Sports picks for Sunday, October 4, 2026

SF: 32.7 points per game to DEN's 20

DEN is at 20 points per game over 3 games; SF is at 32.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 23.6 over 17 games and SF at 25.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

CHI: 184.3 rushing yards per game to NYJ's 92.3

Chicago is running for 184.3 yards a game, roughly double the Jets' 92.3 over three games. The Bears were already a strong ground team at 144.5 last season, so some of this is real, while the Jets have fallen from 123.3. If Chicago can lean on the run at home, it shortens the game and keeps the Jets offense off the field, which points toward rushing props and a slower game script.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

DAL: 1 sack taken per game to HOU's 3.33

Dallas has allowed 1 sack a game while Houston's quarterback has gone down 3.33 times a game through three weeks. Last season both were in the same range, 2.38 for Dallas and 2.58 for Houston, so Dallas's protection is likely running a little lucky and Houston's a little unlucky. Pressure on the Texans quarterback is still the matchup to watch, since it drives stalled drives and turnover chances at home.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

DAL: 57.1% third-down conversion rate to HOU's 36.4%

Dallas is converting 57.1% of third downs to Houston's 36.4% over three games. The Cowboys were at 41.1% last season, so this pace looks hot and is likely to come down, while the Texans sit close to their 37.2% from last year. On the road, Dallas staying ahead of the chains matters, but expect fewer sustained drives than the three-game rate suggests.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

JAX: 88.9% red-zone scoring rate to CIN's 50%

Jacksonville has scored on 88.9% of red-zone trips through three games, while Cincinnati sits at 50%. Last season had it reversed, the Jaguars at 61.8% and the Bengals at 66.7%, so both numbers look due to move back toward the middle. Red-zone rates swing on a few drives, so a Jaguars team scoring this efficiently is likely to cool off on the road.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

LAR: 284 team passing yards per game to PHI's 191.7

The Rams throw for 284 yards a game against the Eagles' 191.7, and both are close to last season's numbers, 268.1 and 194.3. That consistency makes this a style clash that should hold: the Rams win through the air, the Eagles keep their passing volume modest. Expect Philadelphia to try to control tempo on the ground and limit Rams possessions, which matters for passing yard props on both sides.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

BAL: 30.7 points per game to TEN's 12.3

The Ravens score 30.7 a game to the Titans' 12.3 over three games. Baltimore is up from 24.9 last season and Tennessee is down from 16.7, so both are running a bit to the extremes, with the Ravens more likely to cool slightly. The gap was wide last year too, so a lopsided game is plausible, but the exact margin from three games is likely overstated.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

BUF: 33.7 points per game to NE's 12

Buffalo is scoring at a 33.7 clip while New England has managed 12 a game through three weeks. Last season these offenses were nearly identical, 28.8 for the Patriots and 28.3 for the Bills, so the Patriots' drop is the stranger number and the likelier one to bounce back. Buffalo can dictate the pace here, but a three-game sample overstates the gap, and a Patriots total built on 12 a game may be set too low.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

SF: 7.47 yards per play to DEN's 4.87

DEN is at 4.87 yards per play over 3 games; SF is at 7.47 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 5.32 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

MIN: 13.7 points allowed per game to MIA's 28.7

Minnesota allows 13.7 points a game while Miami gives up 28.7 over three games. The Vikings were at 19.6 last season, so this defense is playing above last year's level, and the Dolphins are worse than their 24.9. Minnesota will likely give up a bit more over time, but at home against a Miami team struggling on both sides, the Vikings defense has the edge in setting the tone.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

BAL: 6.67 yards per play to TEN's 4.77

Baltimore gains 6.67 yards a play to Tennessee's 4.77, and both were in the same spots last season at 5.92 and 4.38. The big-play split shows it: the Ravens had 7 plays of 20+ yards in their last game, from Lamar Jackson to Rashod Bateman and Zay Flowers and a 29-yard Derrick Henry run, while the Titans had 1, a 20-yard Cam Ward throw to Carnell Tate. Tennessee needs long, mistake-free drives to keep up; Baltimore can score in chunks.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

BUF: 75% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 16.7%

NE is at 16.7% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; BUF is at 75% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 57.1% over 17 games and BUF at 66.2% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

GB: 266.7 team passing yards per game to TB's 185

GB is at 266.7 team passing yards per game over 3 games; TB is at 185 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 212.8 over 17 games and TB at 205.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

MIN: 11.1% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 78.6%

MIA is at 78.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; MIN is at 11.1% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

HOU: 86.7 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 179.7

Houston allows 86.7 rushing yards a game, and Dallas allows 179.7. Over 3 games, that is a real difference in how often each defense gets pushed around up front. Three games is still a small sample, and one big rushing day can inflate a per-game average. If Houston can run the ball against this Dallas front, it can control the clock and keep Dallas off the field, which matters for game script and totals.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Jamel Dean (CB) is doubtful for PIT

Dean left Thursday's 27-24 loss to the Browns with an ankle injury, and the Steelers could be without him for a couple of weeks. Doubtful is close to out, so plan for a Pittsburgh secondary playing without one of its corners. The fact sheet doesn't name who replaces him, so check the depth chart before backing the Steelers' pass defense in the next game or two.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Jackson is Baltimore's starting quarterback and the center of the offense, so any limit on him changes how this team plays. He was seen in a walking boot on his left ankle after Sunday's 24-18 win over the Titans. Questionable means a real chance he sits, and a boot right after a game is a sign to wait for practice reports. Until his status firms up, Baltimore markets carry extra uncertainty.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

SEA: 3.77 yards per play allowed to LAC's 5.4

Seattle allows 3.77 yards per play, while the Chargers allow 5.4. That is a meaningful gap over 3 games: Seattle is limiting chunk gains on nearly every snap. Yards per play is one of the steadier defensive numbers, though 3 games is still early. Seattle's offense should find moving the ball easier than the Chargers do, which shapes how you think about the side and total.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

CAR: 172.3 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 299.3

Carolina allows 172.3 passing yards a game, while Detroit allows 299.3. Through 3 games, Detroit's pass defense has been giving up a lot through the air. Opponents faced and game script, like teams throwing to catch up, can swell these averages over 3 games. Carolina's passing game looks to have the friendlier setup in this matchup, which matters for quarterback and receiver yardage props.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

CHI: 5.17 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.17

Chicago is getting 5.17 yards a carry over three games, a bit above its 4.75 last season, while the Jets have cratered from 4.53 to 3.17. The Jets' drop is the bigger story and likely overstated on a three-game sample. Still on the road, New York may struggle to stay balanced, which pushes them toward a pass-heavy script against a Bears offense that can run.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

HOU: 3.67 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 0.67

Houston averages 3.67 sacks a game, and Dallas averages 0.67. Over 3 games, Houston gets home regularly while Dallas has barely touched the quarterback. Sack totals depend heavily on the offensive lines each team has faced, so both numbers can move. In this matchup, Houston's quarterback should have time while Dallas's quarterback is the one likely to see pressure, which shapes how each offense can attack downfield.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Derrick Harmon (DT) is doubtful for PIT

Harmon left Thursday's 27-24 loss to the Browns with a foot injury and is expected to miss multiple weeks. Doubtful means you should plan for him to sit, and this sounds like a stretch of games rather than one. Pittsburgh's interior defensive line is thinner for now, which matters most against offenses that like to run inside.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Tyquan Thornton (WR) is out for KC

Thornton dislocated his ankle in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Raiders and is out indefinitely, so this is a multi-week absence. A dislocation is a serious injury, and the indefinite label means there is no return date to plan around. The fact sheet does not say who takes his snaps, so watch how Kansas City spreads the receiver targets in its next game before betting any receiver props.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is out for DET

Ya-Sin hurt his hamstring Sunday night against the Panthers and was ruled out for the rest of that game. That ruling covers this game only. Hamstrings often linger, so check his practice status this week before assuming he plays next time out. If he misses time, Detroit's cornerback depth gets thinner, and that matters when you look at opposing receivers.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Carl Granderson (DE) is out for NO

Granderson is a starting edge rusher for New Orleans, and an ankle injury keeps him out of Monday's home game against Atlanta. Out means he will not play, so the Saints lose a pass rusher before kickoff. The sheet does not name who replaces him. Bettors should look at how New Orleans pressures the Falcons quarterback without him, especially with two linebackers also ruled out.

Anfernee Jennings (LB) is out for NO

Jennings has a knee injury and is ruled out for Monday's home game against the Falcons, so there is no guesswork on his status. The sheet does not say who takes his linebacker snaps, so watch the final inactive list and depth chart for the replacement. For a bettor, the useful step is checking whether the Saints' defensive lines move once the market fully prices in his absence.

Kaden Elliss (LB) is out for NO

Elliss is a linebacker for New Orleans, and a calf injury has ruled him out for Monday against Atlanta. Out means he will not suit up. With Anfernee Jennings also out, the Saints are missing two linebackers in the same game. The sheet does not say who fills in, so the front seven Atlanta faces will be thinner than usual.

DET: 117.3 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 193.3

Detroit allows 117.3 rushing yards a game, and Carolina allows 193.3. Over 3 games, Carolina's run defense is getting pushed around badly, which keeps opposing offenses ahead of the chains. Three games is a small sample, and one blowout can skew it. Detroit leaning on the run in this game would make sense, and that points toward rushing props and a slower, clock-controlled game.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

MIN: 4.67 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0

Minnesota averages 4.67 sacks a game, and Miami has not recorded one through 3 games. That is a big split in pressure, though 3 games is a small sample and depends on which offensive lines each team has faced. Miami's quarterback looks likely to face a lot of pressure, while Minnesota's should have clean pockets. That points toward Minnesota's offense finding rhythm and Miami's being forced into quicker throws.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

LV: 3.33 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.33

Las Vegas averages 3.33 sacks a game, and Kansas City averages 1.33. Over 3 games, the Raiders have generated steady pressure while the Chiefs have been quieter up front. Sack rates can swing with opponents faced, so neither figure is fixed yet. The pressure edge belongs to Las Vegas in this game, which matters for how comfortable each quarterback is going to be.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

ATL: 47.7 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 128.7

Atlanta allows just 47.7 rushing yards a game, while New Orleans allows 128.7. Through 3 games, Atlanta has shut down the run almost completely. A number that low over 3 games will likely rise as the season goes on. New Orleans may have to throw more than it wants to, while Atlanta should find more room on the ground.

MIN: 22.7% third downs allowed to MIA's 48.1%

Minnesota allows opponents to convert just 22.7% of third downs, while Miami allows 48.1%. Through 3 games, Minnesota is getting off the field on most money downs, and Miami is letting nearly half of them through. A 22.7% rate is hard to sustain over a full season, so expect some drift upward. For this game, Miami's offense may find long drives tough to put together while Minnesota keeps getting extra chances.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

HOU: 38.5% third downs allowed to DAL's 58.8%

Houston lets opponents convert 38.5% of third downs, while Dallas allows 58.8%. Dallas is letting more than half of third downs turn into first downs through 3 games, which keeps opposing drives alive and its defense on the field. Third-down rates are noisy over 3 games and tend to drift toward the middle. Houston extending drives at that kind of rate would mean more plays, more possessions and more chances to score.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

BAL: 167.3 rush yards a game to TEN's 90.3

Baltimore is running for 167.3 yards a game over three games, while Tennessee sits at 90.3. Both numbers line up with last season, 156.6 for Baltimore and 93.5 for Tennessee, so this is a lasting difference. Tennessee has to keep the game close early, because once Baltimore is ahead it can grind out the clock on the ground.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

BUF: 54.5% on third down to NE's 32.5%

Buffalo has converted 54.5% of its third downs through three games, and New England just 32.5%. Last season the gap was small, 44.8% for Buffalo and 42.9% for New England, so both teams are running hotter and colder than their usual level. Expect both to drift back toward those marks. For this game, the Patriots need early-down yards to avoid long third downs, or Buffalo will hold the ball and the clock.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

CHI: 184.3 rush yards a game to NYJ's 92.3

Chicago is running for 184.3 yards a game over three games, double the Jets' 92.3. The Bears were already a strong run team last season at 144.5, while the Jets fell from 123.3, so the direction fits even if the size is inflated by three games. If Chicago leans on the ground at home, New York has to load the box and dare the Bears to throw, which matters for game pace and the total.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

LAR: 284 pass yards a game to PHI's 191.7

The Rams are throwing for 284 yards a game, Philadelphia 191.7, over three games. This is close to last season, when the Rams sat at 268.1 and the Eagles at 194.3, so the gap looks real. Philadelphia has to keep Rams receivers in front of them and win with a slower, ground-heavy game. Player prop bettors should note the Rams passing volume has held steady across two seasons.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

DAL: 1 sacks taken a game to HOU's 3.33

Dallas has kept its quarterback clean, taking 1 sack a game through 3 games, while Houston has gone down 3.33 times a game. Both teams sat close last season, Dallas at 2.38 and Houston at 2.58 over 17 games, so three games have pulled them far apart. Expect both to drift back toward those marks. For this game, Houston's protection is the side to watch: if the pressure keeps getting home, drives stall and long down-and-distance spots pile up.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

MIN: 13.7 points allowed a game to MIA's 28.7

The widest gap between these two is points allowed a game: MIA's defense allowed 28.7 points a game over 3 games; MIN's defense allowed 13.7 points a game over 3 games this season. Last season MIA was at 24.9 over 17 games and MIN at 19.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

SF: 7.47 yards a snap to DEN's 4.87

San Francisco's offense is gaining 7.47 yards a snap through 3 games, and Denver's is at 4.87. Last season they were nearly level, San Francisco at 5.49 and Denver at 5.32 over 17 games, so San Francisco's jump is the outlier and likely cools some. Denver needs long, patient drives to shorten the game and keep that offense on the sideline. If Denver stalls early, San Francisco's per-play edge has more chances to show up on the scoreboard.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

NO: 281.3 pass yards a game to ATL's 167.7

New Orleans is throwing for 281.3 yards a game over three games, while Atlanta sits at 167.7. Both moved sharply from last season, when the Saints were at 219.3 and Atlanta at 207.2, so expect some pull back toward the middle. Right now Atlanta's offense has to win on the ground and shorten the game to avoid a passing shootout it is losing.

WSH: 0.33 turnovers a game to IND's 2

Over three games, Indianapolis has given the ball away about twice a game, while Washington has nearly stopped coughing it up. Both teams sat at 1.35 last season over 17 games, so neither number is who these teams are yet: Washington will likely give a few back and the Colts should clean some up. Three games is a short run, but extra possessions at home matter, so watch whether the Colts keep handing Washington short fields.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

TB: 37.5% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 83.3%

GB is at 83.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; TB is at 37.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

MIN: 23.7 points per game to MIA's 12

MIA is at 12 points per game over 3 games; MIN is at 23.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season MIA was at 20.4 over 17 games and MIN at 20.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

DET: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to CAR's 16.7%

Fourth-down rates over three games come from a handful of tries, so 75% and 16.7% swing on one or two plays. Last season Detroit converted 58.1% and Carolina 67.5%, which says the Panthers' early number is noise more than identity. The useful part is Detroit's willingness to go for it, which can add possessions and points in spots where other teams kick.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

GB: 266.7 pass yards a game to TB's 185

Green Bay is throwing for 266.7 yards a game over three games, Tampa Bay 185. Last season they were close, 212.8 and 205.9, so both teams have moved from their usual level in a short sample. Tampa Bay needs a better passing day at home to keep up, and Packers passing props are priced off a three-game jump.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

MIN: 4.77 yards per play allowed to MIA's 6.3

MIA is at 6.3 yards per play allowed over 3 games; MIN is at 4.77 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

DAL: 29.3 points per game to HOU's 18

Dallas is scoring 29.3 a game over three games, close to its 27.7 last season, so that number looks real. Houston has fallen from 23.8 to 18, the bigger shift and the one more likely to rebound. At home, the Texans' offense is the swing factor: if it returns toward last year's level, this game plays closer than the early gap suggests.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

KC: 6.47 yards per play to LV's 4.93

Kansas City is at 6.47 yards a play through three games after 5.05 last season, and its last game had four plays of 20 or more, led by a 48-yard Mahomes throw to Travis Kelce. Las Vegas has improved too, from 4.35 to 4.93, with a 36-yard Mike Washington Jr. touchdown run in its last game. The Chiefs' jump is large for three games and may cool, but their explosive passing gives them the edge in big plays.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

SF: 90% red-zone scoring rate to DEN's 60%

DEN is at 60% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; SF is at 90% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 57.9% over 17 games and SF at 65.2% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

CHI: 2 takeaways per game to NYJ's 0.67

Chicago forces 2 takeaways a game, while the Jets force 0.67. Takeaways are among the streakiest defensive numbers, and 3 games is a short window, so both rates can change quickly. Turnovers can flip a game, so Chicago's ball-hawking matters if the Jets offense gets loose with the football.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

LV: 3 takeaways per game to KC's 1.67

Las Vegas forces 3 takeaways a game, and Kansas City forces 1.67. Three takeaways a game over 3 games is a pace no defense holds, since turnovers come in bunches and depend on opponent mistakes. Expect that number to come down. If Kansas City keeps the ball safe, a big piece of Las Vegas's defensive edge goes away.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

KC: 6.47 yards a snap to LV's 4.93

Kansas City averages 6.47 yards per play over three games, Las Vegas 4.93. Both are well above last season, 5.05 and 4.35, so some cooling is likely, but the gap between them matches last season. The Raiders need to shorten the game and limit the number of Chiefs drives.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

BUF: 6.67 yards per play to NE's 5.2

Buffalo is at 6.67 yards a play over three games, up from 5.94, while New England has dropped from 6.23 to 5.2. The Patriots still hit five plays of 20 or more last game, mostly Drake Maye throws, including 38 yards to DeMario Douglas, so the big-play ability is there. Given last season's numbers, New England's dip looks more likely to bounce back than Buffalo's edge is to grow.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

SEA: 141.7 passing yards allowed per game to LAC's 233

Seattle allows 141.7 passing yards a game, while the Chargers allow 233. Over 3 games, Seattle's pass defense has been stingy, though game script and opponents faced shape these averages. Some regression is likely as the season moves on. Chargers passing props face a tougher setup here than Seattle's receivers do.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

KC: 153.3 rushing yards per game to LV's 100

Kansas City is running for 153.3 a game over three games, way up from 106.6 last season, and Las Vegas has climbed from 77.5 to 100. A three-game jump that large for the Chiefs likely settles, but a balanced Kansas City is harder to defend. Both teams running more points toward a game that may move faster on the clock than last year's matchups.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

BAL: 30:39 time of possession per game to TEN's 23:28

TEN is at 23:28 time of possession per game over 3 games; BAL is at 30:39 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 29:08 over 17 games and BAL at 29:11 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Haynes King (QB) is inactive for CAR

King is out of the active lineup as a coach's decision, with no injury involved. He stays in uniform as Carolina's emergency third quarterback Sunday night against Detroit, so he only plays if both quarterbacks ahead of him go down. For betting, this changes nothing about the Panthers' plan at the position.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Moore has a shoulder injury that isn't considered long-term, according to the Oct 5 report. Questionable means a real chance either way, and the final call often comes close to kickoff against New England. The short-term label points to a quick return, though this game is still in doubt. Before betting Bills receiving props or Moore's own lines, wait for the inactive list rather than pricing in a full workload.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Jayden Daniels (QB) is inactive for WSH

Daniels sits against the Colts with an elbow injury, but the report says he is set to practice fully this week with the aim of playing the Giants on Oct 11. For this game, Washington plays without its starting quarterback. For next week, a full practice week is a good sign he returns.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

TB: 76 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 138.7

Tampa Bay allows 76 rushing yards a game, while Green Bay allows 138.7. Through 3 games, Tampa has been tough to run on, and Green Bay has given up real yardage on the ground. Three games is a small sample, and a single big run can move these averages. Tampa's offense may find more room to run, which points to clock control and a slower game script.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

LAD games have gone UNDER 7 straight

Those seven games landed around 6 runs while the totals sat near 8.1, so the unders cleared with room to spare. The books have caught up: tonight's total against Atlanta is down to 7. The sheet doesn't say whether the pitching or quiet bats drove it. A 6-run pace against a 7 is a much thinner cushion than the streak was built on, so the edge that made these easy is mostly priced out.

P final total 5 vs 7

SEA: 25 points per game to LAC's 14.7

Seattle is scoring 25 a game over three games, a little under last season's 28.4, so that looks steady. The Chargers have dropped from 21.6 to 14.7, the sharper change and the one more likely to move back up. If Los Angeles is still stuck in the teens on the road, the Seahawks control the game, but a Chargers rebound would tighten it.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

SEA: 266.7 pass yards a game to LAC's 195.7

Seattle is throwing for 266.7 yards a game over three games, the Chargers 195.7. Seattle was at 228.1 last season and the Chargers at 212.2, so Seattle is running hot and the Chargers cold. Expect both to move toward those marks, but for now the Chargers need long drives on the road to keep Seattle's passing game off the field.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

NE: 170 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 254.3

New England has held opponents to 170 passing yards a game, while Buffalo's defense has given up 254.3 through the air. That is three games each, so who they faced shapes a lot of it. The sheet doesn't say which quarterbacks either side saw, so the gap is real on paper but thin in sample. For this game, the Patriots offense looks set up to throw on Buffalo more easily than the reverse, which matters for passing props and how you view the total.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

WSH: 82 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 141.3

Washington has allowed 82 rushing yards a game, and Indianapolis has given up 141.3. Both numbers come from three games, so an early run-heavy opponent or two can swing them. If the split holds, Washington should find room on the ground while the Colts have a tougher time running. Bettors can lean on this when sizing up rushing props and which side controls the clock.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

SF: 0 sacks taken per game to DEN's 1.67

DEN is at 1.67 sacks taken per game over 3 games; SF is at 0 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 1.77 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

SEA: 1 sack taken per game to LAC's 2.67

Seattle's quarterback has gone down once a game, while the Chargers have given up 2.67 a game through three. Last season told the same story, LAC at 3.75 and SEA at 2.08, so this gap has a long track record behind it. With Seattle at home, the Chargers' protection is the side under pressure, and drives that stall on long downs are the main risk to their offense.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

GB: 2.67 sacks taken per game to TB's 4.33

Tampa Bay is taking 4.33 sacks a game through three games, almost double its 2.38 last season, while Green Bay is at 2.67 after 2.07. Sack totals over three games swing with one bad matchup, so the Bucs should improve. Until they do, drives stalling behind the line help Green Bay control field position and limit Tampa Bay's passing.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

DET: 4 sacks recorded per game to CAR's 2.33

Detroit is getting home 4 times a game, while Carolina has 2.33 sacks a game. Three games is a short look, and the sheet doesn't show which lines either pass rush faced, so some of Detroit's number may be opponents that struggle to protect. Sack rates this high tend to cool off. For this game, the Detroit rush is the bigger threat to stall drives, which shows up in quarterback sack props and Carolina's passing outlook.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

BUF: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 2

NE is at 2 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; BUF is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 0.47 over 17 games and BUF at 0.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

NO: 27 points per game to ATL's 17

ATL is at 17 points per game over 3 games; NO is at 27 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 20.8 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.

TEN: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 0%

TEN is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; BAL is at 0% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 45.7% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

ARI: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NYG's 50%

Fourth-down rates over three games rest on very few attempts, so 100% and 50% can flip with one play. Last season Arizona converted 42.9% and the Giants 46.2%, which makes the Cardinals' perfect start look like a small-sample run. Expect it to come down, and weigh aggressiveness over the rate itself when thinking about late-game situations.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Sam Cosmi

Concussion, Throat · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Benjamin Morrison

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Ko Kieft

Elbow · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

KC: 4.83 yards per rush attempt to LV's 3.23

Kansas City is getting 4.83 yards a carry, while the Raiders sit at 3.23 through three games. KC has gone up from 4.29 last season and Vegas is close to its 3.38, so the Raiders' number looks like who they are. If KC can lean on the run, it controls the pace and keeps Vegas off the field, which matters for rushing props and how long drives take.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

NYJ: 4.67 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.93

The Jets allow 4.67 yards per snap, Chicago allows 5.93. Over three games that is a meaningful gap, since yards per play smooths out game script better than raw totals. It can still move once each defense sees a different style of offense. In this matchup, the Jets defense looks harder to move the ball on, which pushes toward a grind for the Bears offense.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Aaron Banks

Knee, Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Jaylen Watson

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Aaron Donald

Back · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Dallas Goedert

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Marcus Epps

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Hollywood Brown

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Jonathan Greenard

Full practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Fred Johnson

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Justin Jefferson

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 10-15

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Colbie Young

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

Kyle Dugger

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Dylan Parham

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Mason Taylor

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Adonai Mitchell

Finger · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Caleb Williams

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 12-23

Breece Hall

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Christian Barmore

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Rachaad White

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Nick Cross

Illness · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Jayden Daniels

Elbow · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Tylan Wallace

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-27

Teven Jenkins

Back · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-27

Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is doubtful for GB

Doubtful means Cooper is very unlikely to play against Tampa Bay. The report does not name the injury. Plan as if Green Bay is without him at linebacker, and wait for the final inactive list before betting any Packers defensive props.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Elgton Jenkins

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-27

Rico Dowdle

Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Josh Simmons

Back · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 30-27

Damien Lewis

Elbow · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Jackson Powers-Johnson

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Nick Bosa

Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 14-24

James Thompson Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Ladd McConkey

Foot · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Jadarian Price

Chest · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Kayode Awosika

Fibula · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Dalvin Tomlinson

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Charlie Kolar

Forearm · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Charles Demmings

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Noah Fant (TE) is questionable for NO

Fant is a tight end for New Orleans with an abdomen injury, and he is questionable for Monday against Atlanta. Questionable means he could go either way, so check final inactives before kickoff. If he sits, the sheet does not name his replacement, which leaves his targets unclear. Any bet on Saints tight end production depends on his status that day.

Brett Thorson

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Braves are 5-1 vs Dodgers this season

Atlanta has won five of six against Los Angeles, and the last meeting was a 1-0 game. Six games is a small sample, and the sheet doesn't say who started or where those games were played. Tonight is in Los Angeles, so price it on the starters and the park and keep the season series as background.

DeMarvion Overshown

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Cobie Durant

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Brenen Thompson

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Carl Granderson

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Kaden Elliss

Calf · Did not practice · Out

Anfernee Jennings

Knee · Did not practice · Out

Ben Bartch

Foot · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Xavier Legette

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Dondrea Tillman

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 14-24

Azeez Al-Shaair

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Jacob Monk

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Rueben Bain Jr.

Groin, Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Zack Baun

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson

Back · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Christian Gonzalez

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Durham Smythe

Full practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Joey Porter Jr.

Not injury related - other, Back · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

DAL: 7.3 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 23.3

DAL is at 7.3 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; HOU is at 23.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and HOU at 20.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Trey Hendrickson

Finger · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Caleb Douglas

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Dodgers 6-2 in Blake Snell's last 8 starts

Los Angeles has won six of Blake Snell's last eight starts. The win column also reflects the offense and bullpen, and eight starts is a small window. With Atlanta in town, it gives a modest reason to look at the Dodgers' side, but the price should come from tonight's matchup more than this record.

Brewers 6-2 in Logan Henderson's last 8 starts

Milwaukee has won six of Logan Henderson's last eight starts, including the last three. A team record counts the lineup and bullpen as much as the starter, and eight games is a short stretch, so this shows recent form more than a lasting edge. Against San Diego, use it as a sign the Brewers have played well behind him lately, and price the matchup itself first.

DAL: 75% red-zone scoring rate to HOU's 50%

DAL is at 75% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; HOU is at 50% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and HOU at 46.3% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Charles Woods (CB) is questionable for NE

Woods left Sunday's 29-26 win over the Bills with a shoulder injury after two tackles, one solo. Questionable means his return was uncertain. If he misses time, New England has to lean on its depth at corner, which matters most against teams that throw a lot.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Cam Lewis

Hip · Did not practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 12-23

JAX: 12 points allowed a game to CIN's 21

Jacksonville is allowing 12 points a game over three games, Cincinnati 21. Both defenses improved on last season, 19.8 for Jacksonville and 28.9 for Cincinnati, and three games makes the Jaguars number look better than it probably is. The Bengals have still allowed more both seasons, so Jacksonville is the steadier defense in this matchup on the road.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

MIL have won 5 straight

Milwaukee has outscored opponents by 14 runs during the streak, so these have mostly been comfortable wins. The 6-1 mark over the last 7 shows the form runs a bit deeper than the streak. Five games is a short sample, and San Diego, also hot, is the next test. The question is how much of that run margin the market has already baked into tonight's price.

P team won 3-4

D.J. Reed (CB) is questionable for DET

Reed is questionable for Sunday at Carolina with a rib injury. Questionable means a real chance he plays and a real chance he sits, and the sheet has no practice detail to tip it. The sheet does not name who replaces him at cornerback, so check his status before kickoff.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

BUF: 155 rushing yards per game to NE's 109.3

NE is at 109.3 rushing yards per game over 3 games; BUF is at 155 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 128.9 over 17 games and BUF at 159.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Jaylin Smith (CB) is questionable for HOU

Smith pulled up with a hamstring injury against Dallas on Sunday and could not get back on the field. Questionable means he may or may not play, and hamstrings are the kind of injury that linger or flare up again even when a player is cleared. If he sits, the Texans need another corner to cover his snaps, which matters most if you are looking at the opposing passing game.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Ronnie Stanley (OT) is questionable for BAL

Stanley is Baltimore's tackle and he finished Sunday's 24-18 win over Tennessee despite a toe injury. Playing through it is a good sign for his availability. Questionable keeps some doubt, so confirm his status, especially alongside the Lamar Jackson news.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

Dart had surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in the left knee, and injured reserve means Dart is out for at least several weeks. The Giants face Arizona with a different quarterback, and with two ligament and cartilage repairs, this is a long-term absence rather than a week-to-week call.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Braiden McGregor (DE) is questionable for NYJ

McGregor left Sunday's game against the Bears with a chest injury and never came back. Questionable means it is close to a coin flip whether he suits up, and a chest injury that knocks a player out mid-game usually needs the full week of practice reports before anyone knows. The sheet does not name his role or a replacement, so watch his practice participation later in the week before leaning on anything tied to the Jets pass rush.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

T.J. Sanders

Illness · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

NE: 17 points allowed per game to BUF's 26

NE is at 17 points allowed per game over 3 games; BUF is at 26 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Chauncey Golston (DE) is questionable for NYG

Golston hurt his neck in Sunday's win over the Cardinals and did not return. Questionable puts his status for the next game in real doubt, and neck injuries tend to get handled carefully, so the practice reports this week will say more than the tag does. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so hold off on any read of the Giants front until his status firms up.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is questionable for ARI

Johnson protects the quarterback at tackle for Arizona, and coach Mike LaFleur confirmed a biceps injury after Sunday's 36-24 loss to the Giants. Questionable means his availability is unsettled. A backup tackle can mean more pressure on the quarterback, so check his practice status before leaning on Arizona's passing game.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

JAX: 12 points allowed per game to CIN's 21

Jacksonville has allowed 12 points a game through three games, down from 19.8 last season, and Cincinnati has gone from 28.9 allowed to 21. Both defenses have improved, with the Jaguars' jump large enough that three games could be overstating it. Expect the Jacksonville number to drift up some, so lean on last season's figure as a check before treating this as a low-scoring game.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

GB @ TB carries a 38.5 market total

At 38.5, this game sits 8 points under the 46.5 slate median, so the market expects a low-scoring game built on long drives, field goals and few quick strikes. The fact sheet gives no injury, weather or team-stat reason, so the number is the whole case here. For it to crack, both offenses would need early touchdowns or a short field off turnovers. A bettor can use it as a baseline: in a game priced this low, every early score carries extra weight against the total.

ARI: 210 team passing yards per game to NYG's 153

Arizona is throwing for 210 yards a game and the Giants for 153 through three games. Both are below last season, ARI at 232.6 and NYG at 204.4, and New York's drop is the larger one. The Giants' passing should come back up some, but Arizona has the more reliable air attack in this one, which matters for passing yard props on both sides.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

JAX: 29% third downs allowed to CIN's 43.6%

Jacksonville lets opponents convert just 29% of third downs, while Cincinnati allows 43.6%. That is three games each, and third-down rates jump around early, so expect Jacksonville's number to rise some. For now the Jaguars are the defense getting off the field, and Cincinnati's is the one extending drives. That favors Jacksonville sustaining possessions in this game.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

TB: 35.7% third downs allowed to GB's 50%

Tampa Bay holds opponents to 35.7% on third down, while Green Bay allows 50%. Over three games a coin-flip conversion rate is hard to sustain, so the Packers' number should come down. For now, the Buccaneers offense should keep drives alive more easily than Green Bay's, which matters for time of possession and the total.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

SEA: 16.7 points allowed per game to LAC's 25.3

LAC is at 25.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; SEA is at 16.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

DET: 0.33 turnovers committed per game to CAR's 1.33

Detroit has turned it over once in three games, while Carolina gives it away 1.33 times a game. Carolina is right on last season's 1.35, and Detroit was already careful at 0.88 last year, so the low number fits who the Lions are even if it rises a bit. Carolina is the side more likely to hand over short fields, which shapes how a game like this tilts.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

MIA @ MIN carries a 38.5 market total

A 38.5 total is 8 points below the 46.5 median on this slate, which tells you the market sees a slow game with points coming in small pieces. No player, unit or matchup detail is on the sheet to explain it. The expectation cracks if either side hits explosive plays or the game turns into a trading of turnovers. Bettors can watch how the first quarter plays out: a fast start breaks the script the number assumes.

NYG: 18.3 points allowed per game to ARI's 27

The Giants are allowing 18.3 points a game through three, a big improvement on last season's 25.8, while Arizona is at 27, close to its 28.7 from a year ago. Arizona's defense looks like the same group, while New York's three-game number is likely to move back up. Arizona's offense facing a defense that has been better than its history is the matchup that decides how many points this game produces.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

NYG: 18.3 points allowed a game to ARI's 27

The Giants are allowing 18.3 points a game over three games, Arizona 27. Arizona was at 28.7 last season, so its number looks real, while the Giants jumped from 25.8 and could slide back. At home the Giants have the stronger defense so far, and Arizona's defense needs to hold up against a Giants offense facing a unit that has struggled both seasons.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

DET: 0.33 turnovers a game to CAR's 1.33

Detroit has given the ball away once in three games, Carolina 1.33 a game. Detroit was already careful last season at 0.88, Carolina sat at 1.35, so the gap is real even if the Lions' number is unusually low. Carolina has to force mistakes to win this one at home, because Detroit rarely gives away free possessions.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

GB: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to TB's 2.33

GB is at 1.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; TB is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and TB at 0.94 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

PIT: 2 takeaways per game to CLE's 1

Pittsburgh has forced 2 turnovers a game over four games, and Cleveland has forced 1. Takeaways swing a lot week to week, so even four games is a modest sample and both numbers can drift. The Steelers have been the side creating extra possessions. Bettors can factor that into how short fields might shape scoring, without leaning on it as a steady trait.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

BUF: 1.67 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2.67

NE is at 2.67 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; BUF is at 1.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 0.94 over 17 games and BUF at 1.12 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

CAR: 2.33 takeaways per game to DET's 1.33

DET is at 1.33 takeaways per game over 3 games; CAR is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

LAR: 1 takeaways per game to PHI's 0

The Rams have forced 1 turnover a game over three games, and Philadelphia has yet to force one. Zero takeaways in three games is more likely bad luck than a permanent trait, since turnovers bounce around. For this game, the Rams have the edge on extra possessions so far, but the Eagles' number is the one most likely to change.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

MIN: 2 takeaways per game to MIA's 1

MIA is at 1 takeaways per game over 3 games; MIN is at 2 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

BUF: 4 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2

NE is at 2 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; BUF is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 3.71 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

NO: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 1.67

ATL is at 1.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; NO is at 3.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 2.94 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.

Pete Werner (LB) is questionable for NO

Werner (neck) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Falcons, Matthew Paras of The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports. Reported Oct 3.

Jason Pinnock (S) is questionable for NYG

Pinnock took a concussion in Sunday's 36-24 win over the Cardinals. A concussion means he has to clear the league protocol before he plays again, so the questionable tag depends on medical steps more than how he feels. If he is still in protocol late in the week, plan on the Giants playing without him at safety.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL

Deablo is dealing with a hamstring injury and carries a questionable tag for Monday's trip to New Orleans, which means the Falcons see a real chance he plays but have not cleared him. The sheet does not say when he got hurt or who would take his snaps at linebacker, so the size of the hit is hard to judge from here. Hamstrings can linger, so check the final injury report before Monday before betting anything that depends on Atlanta's defense.

Barion Brown (WR) is questionable for NO

NO lists Barion Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is questionable for ATL

Abdullah is questionable for Monday's game against New Orleans because of an illness, per an Oct 3 report. Illness can clear up quickly or linger, so this one usually resolves close to game time. If he misses it, Atlanta covers his linebacker snaps from the depth chart. With a Monday kickoff, there is extra time for news, so wait for the final status before betting around it.

Devin Lloyd (LB) is questionable for CAR

Lloyd is questionable with a calf injury ahead of the Panthers' home game against the Lions. Dave Canales said Monday he was confident Lloyd would be back at practice, which is a good sign for a player with a questionable tag. If he does sit, Carolina loses a linebacker against a Detroit offense and has to fill the snaps from the bench. His practice participation through the week is the best clue to his status.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Julian Blackmon (S) is questionable for NO

Blackmon (calf) was a limited participant at the Saints' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 2.

MIA: 192.3 team passing yards per game to MIN's 137

MIA is at 192.3 team passing yards per game over 3 games; MIN is at 137 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season MIA was at 180.5 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Mason Graham (DT) is questionable for CLE

Graham suffered an MCL and ankle sprain in Thursday night's game against the Steelers, and an MRI on Friday confirmed both. Two sprains in the same leg make questionable lean toward sitting, and the Browns' interior defensive line could be short. Treat his availability as uncertain for the next game until he gets back to practice.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

NE (1-2) at BUF (3-0), a division game

Buffalo has won all three, outscored teams by 23 and is 2-0 at home, while New England is -15 and has lost both road games. Three games is a small sample, but every split points the same way: Buffalo at home, New England away. Division games tend to be tighter than the records suggest because these teams know each other well, so ask whether a line built on that gap is pricing in some familiarity.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Jake Cronenworth: .968 OPS in Last 15 Days

Cronenworth has a .968 OPS over the last 15 days in 47 AB, a 0.339 jump over his .629 season mark. That swing is large for a hitter with a modest baseline, and a 47 AB sample usually drifts back. His total-bases line against Milwaukee is 1.5, so lean on the season number more than the hot stretch.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

CHI: 29.7 points per game to NYJ's 21.3

Chicago is scoring 29.7 points a game through three, up from 25.9 last season, and the Jets are at 21.3 after 17.6. Both offenses are scoring more than they did a year ago, but the Bears have the stronger history to back theirs. With Chicago at home, it carries the scoring load here, and the Jets' rise is the number more likely to slide back.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

Xander Bogaerts: 1.123 OPS in Last 15 Days

Bogaerts is at a 1.123 OPS over the last 15 days, far above his .676 season mark. It comes in only 34 AB, where a few extra-base hits move the number fast, and his 13 home runs point to modest power. His total-bases line in Milwaukee is 0.5, which only needs one hit, so everyday contact matters more than the hot run.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB

Jalen Coker

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-32

SEA: 26.8% third downs allowed to LAC's 40%

Seattle allows just 26.8% on third down, and the Chargers allow 40%. Three games is a small sample, and a rate that low usually drifts up. Right now the Seahawks defense is getting stops, which gives them the edge in drive length at home. That points toward Seattle controlling possession more than Los Angeles.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Terry McLaurin (WR) is inactive for WSH

McLaurin is out for the Colts game in London. Dan Quinn said he pushed to play through his hamstring, but the team held him out, and Washington has been careful with that injury. Without its top receiver, Washington's passing game loses its most reliable target, so lean on that when looking at their passing numbers.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

KC: 263 team passing yards per game to LV's 211.7

KC is at 263 team passing yards per game over 3 games; LV is at 211.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and LV at 167.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

Isaiah Adams (G) is questionable for ARI

Adams hurt his ankle in Sunday's loss to the Giants, and he goes into the rematch in New York as questionable. That means the team hasn't ruled him in or out, and the call likely comes late in the week or near kickoff. An offensive guard rarely moves a line alone. If he sits, the Cardinals' run game and pass protection lose some reliability, which is worth weighing on rushing props.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

Kirk is on injured reserve with a calf injury and still a ways off. Kyle Shanahan said Friday the 49ers could open his practice window in two weeks, which rules him out against Denver and leaves the receiver group thin. Expect the targets to stay with the healthy wideouts and tight end until his window opens.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Charbonnet is on the reserve physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, so he isn't on the active roster yet. He was limited at practice Thursday and Friday, a sign he is working his way back. A player moving off that list still needs the team to activate him, so check his status before the Chargers game. Until he is activated, Seattle's rushing props should be priced as if he isn't there.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Jalen Coker (WR) is inactive for CAR

Coker is inactive for Sunday's game against the Lions with a quadriceps injury. That takes a receiver out of Carolina's rotation, so the snaps and targets he would have seen go to the other wideouts. Look at the remaining Panthers receivers when you weigh their passing game against Detroit.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is ir-r for NO

Head coach Kellen Moore said Thursday that he doesn't expect Tyson (hamstring) to practice next week, Matthew Paras of The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports. Reported Oct 1.

HOU: 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 69.2%

DAL is at 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; HOU is at 42.9% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Pete Werner

Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable

Divine Deablo

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

Yasir Abdullah

Illness · Full practice · Questionable

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable

Noah Fant

Abdomen · Limited practice · Questionable

Lee Hunter

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Cam Jackson

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Monroe Freeling

Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-32

D.J. Reed

Rib · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Trey Lance

Groin · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Ty Okada

Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Elijah Molden

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Donte Jackson

Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Dre Greenlaw

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Jaden Dugger

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Keion White

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Mike Evans

Ribs · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Aidan O'Connell

Not injury related - personal matter · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Logan Hall

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Jake Hansen

Calf · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Ed Ingram

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Tyjae Spears

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

Zay Flowers

Hamstring, Not injury related - resting player · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Chris Moore

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Kevin Winston Jr.

Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

Ronnie Stanley

Toe, Not injury related - resting player · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Jacob Parrish

Not injury related - personal matter · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Rakeem Nunez-Roches

Ankle, Foot · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Edgerrin Cooper

Shoulder, Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Jager Burton

Groin · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Josaiah Stewart

Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Colby Parkinson

Knee, Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Josh Sweat

Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Bryan Cook

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

Swayze Bozeman

Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

B.J. Hill

Achilles · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

Albert Regis

Elbow · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Montaric Brown

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Christian Braswell

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Kenyon Sadiq

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Kingsley Enagbare

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Eli Raridon

Thigh · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Ashton Dulin

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-13

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Dalton Risner

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

SirVocea Dennis

Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Jadeveon Clowney

Knee · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Derwin James Jr.

Hamstring, Not injury related - resting player · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Christian Elliss

Chest · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Reggie Gilliam

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Ray Davis

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Dre'Mont Jones

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Christian Benford

Toe · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Terry McLaurin

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Keenan Allen

Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-13

Percy Butler

Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Jalen Ramsey

Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Yahya Black

Not injury related - personal matter · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

LAR: 6.33 yards per play to PHI's 5.33

The Rams average 6.33 yards a play to the Eagles' 5.33, close to last season's 6.15 and 5.27, so this gap has held up. In their last game the Rams had 7 plays of 20-plus yards, including Stafford hitting Davante Adams for 49 and Konata Mumpfield for a 48-yard score, while Philadelphia had 2. The Rams win with chunk plays, and the Eagles grind it out, so a Rams offense that hits deep shots on the road changes how this game goes.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Freddie Freeman: .489 OPS in Last 15 Days

Freeman has a .489 OPS over the last 15 days in 46 AB, a 0.303 drop from his .792 season mark. That is a real cold stretch, and 46 AB is still too small to change what he is. His season number is the better guide. If the market against the Dodgers leans hard on the slump, it may be underrating him.

P 2-for-4, 5 TB

LAD have won 4 straight

The Dodgers have won the four by a combined 9 runs and are 7-2 over their last 9, so this is a couple of weeks of good baseball. Their games have been low scoring, which points to run prevention carrying the wins. Four games is a small sample, and Atlanta is the matchup that checks it. Decide whether you trust that run prevention more than the streak itself.

P team lost 3-2

SD have won 4 straight

San Diego has won the four by a combined 19 runs, and at 8-2 over their last 10 the form holds up beyond a short burst. Four games is still a small sample. Milwaukee is the toughest kind of test, at home and riding a five-game streak of its own. With both teams hot, the run margins say more than the streak lengths when sizing up this one.

P team lost 3-4

NO: 1 interception thrown per game to ATL's 2

ATL is at 2 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; NO is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 0.47 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

AFC WEST game: KC 1-0, LV 1-0 in the division

Both teams have one division game on the books and both won it, so this is the first real sort in the AFC West. One game is a thin sample, and the sheet does not show who either team beat. With both sides at 3-0 overall, price this off how each team has played in those wins, since the 1-0 division marks tell you very little on their own.

AFC NORTH game: PIT 1-1, CLE 1-0 in the division

Cleveland has played one division game and won it. Pittsburgh has played two and split them. That is three games total between them, too few to say either team has the AFC North figured out, and the sheet does not show who those games came against. Division rematches tend to be tight because both staffs know each other well, so expect this to play closer to a coin flip than the records alone suggest.

CHI: 12.3 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 24.3

NYJ is at 24.3 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; CHI is at 12.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NYJ was at 24.9 over 17 games and CHI at 12.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

Ozzie Albies: .405 OPS in Last 15 Days

Albies has a .405 OPS over the last 15 days in 43 AB, down 0.28 from his .685 season mark. That season level is already middling, so a rebound only gets him back to ordinary. Forty-three at-bats is short. Against the Dodgers, think of him as a .685 hitter running cold, with limited upside either way.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB

ATL: 35.7% third downs allowed to NO's 47.1%

Atlanta allows 35.7% on third down, while New Orleans gives up 47.1%. Over three games both can move, especially the Saints' high mark. As it stands, the Falcons offense should extend drives against New Orleans more often than the reverse, which helps when thinking about the pace and total of this game.

Mookie Betts: 1.046 OPS in Last 15 Days

Betts has a 1.046 OPS over the last 15 days in 46 AB, well above his .780 season mark. His 23 home runs make the power in this run believable. Two weeks is a short window, so expect him to settle between the two numbers. His total-bases line against Atlanta is 1.5, and one extra-base hit clears it.

P 0-for-2, 0 TB, 2 BB

LAR: 21.3 first downs per game to PHI's 15.7

The Rams are getting 21.3 first downs a game to Philadelphia's 15.7 through three games. Both are below last season, 23.3 and 18, but the gap between them is similar. The Rams are the team that keeps drives alive, while the Eagles have been more stop-and-start, which favors the Rams holding the ball longer.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

SEA: 6.13 yards per play to LAC's 5.23

Seattle averages 6.13 yards a play to the Chargers' 5.23 through three games, very close to last season's 5.98 and 5.19. That steadiness means this gap is likely real. Seattle's offense moves the ball more efficiently, and with the game in Seattle, the Chargers need longer drives to keep pace.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Will Smith: 1.182 OPS in Last 15 Days

Smith has a 1.182 OPS over the last 15 days in 31 AB, against a .781 season mark. A 0.401 swing on 31 AB usually drifts back. He has 10 home runs this season, so one swing clears his 1.5 total-bases line against Atlanta. The hot stretch adds a little to a hitter who already has a path to two bases.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

BUF: 5 yards per rush attempt to NE's 3.87

NE is at 3.87 yards per rush attempt over 3 games; BUF is at 5 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 4.4 over 17 games and BUF at 4.97 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

MIA: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.67

MIA is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; MIN is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season MIA was at 1.35 over 17 games and MIN at 1.41 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Monroe Freeling (OT) is questionable for CAR

Questionable means Freeling has a real chance to play or sit against Detroit. The report does not name the injury. If he is out at tackle, Carolina's pass protection is thinner, so check the inactive list before betting on the Panthers' passing game or on sacks for the Lions.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Martin Emerson Jr. (CB) is questionable for NO

NO lists Martin Emerson Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Samson Ebukam (DE) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Samson Ebukam as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

GB: 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 0%

GB is at 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; TB is at 0% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 56% over 17 games and TB at 44.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

TB: 30:03 time of possession per game to GB's 25:38

GB is at 25:38 time of possession per game over 3 games; TB is at 30:03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and TB at 31:53 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

MIA: 41.5% third-down conversion rate to MIN's 30.2%

MIA is at 41.5% third-down conversion rate over 3 games; MIN is at 30.2% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season MIA was at 34.9% over 17 games and MIN at 31.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

WSH: 2.7 sack yards lost per game to IND's 13.7

Washington has lost 2.7 yards a game to sacks through three games, down from 12.5 last season, while the Colts are at 13.7, near their 15.1. Washington's number looks too good to last over a full season and should climb back. The Colts give up more yards behind the line, which makes their drives easier for Washington's defense to stall.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

SF: 16.7 points allowed per game to DEN's 23.3

DEN is at 23.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; SF is at 16.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

CAR: 45.2% third downs allowed to DET's 56.1%

DET is at 56.1% third downs allowed over 3 games; CAR is at 45.2% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Next college slate · OCT 9

BDL lists 4 covered college games on the next college slate. All 4 kickoff times are confirmed.

Padres are 4-2 vs Brewers this season

San Diego has taken four of six from Milwaukee, and the last meeting was a 4-3 game. A two-game edge over six meetings is thin, and the sheet doesn't say who pitched or where. With tonight in Milwaukee, the series record shouldn't move your number much on its own.

KC: 57.1% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 77.8%

Kansas City allows opponents to score on 57.1% of red-zone trips, and Las Vegas allows 77.8%. Red-zone rates over three games rest on very few trips, so both are shaky. If it holds, the Chiefs turn more drives into touchdowns while the Raiders settle for field goals more often, which matters for the total and touchdown props.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

PIT: 49.5 penalty yards per game to CLE's 74.3

Cleveland is giving up 74.3 penalty yards a game through four games, a big jump from 49.4 last season, while Pittsburgh is at 49.5, close to its 47.2. The Browns' number is likely to come down, but four games of extra flags have handed opponents free yards and drive extensions. In a division game with the Steelers in town, Cleveland's discipline is the thing to watch for whether drives stay alive.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

NO: 211.7 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 263

New Orleans allows 211.7 passing yards a game, and Atlanta gives up 263. That is over three games, so who threw against them matters, and the sheet doesn't say. On paper, the Saints passing game has the easier matchup here, which points toward their quarterback and receiver props.

DET: 78.6% red-zone scoring rate to CAR's 61.5%

DET is at 78.6% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; CAR is at 61.5% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and CAR at 53.3% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

MIN has won 3 straight

Minnesota is 3-0 and hosts Miami, which has not won yet. Three games is a short run, and without the opponents on the sheet there is no telling how tough those wins were. A spot like this usually draws one-sided public money toward the unbeaten home team. That tends to inflate the spread, so the question is how many points this streak is really worth.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

LAC has lost 3 straight

The Chargers are 0-3 and head to Seattle still without a win. Three games is a small sample and the opponents are not on the sheet, so this could be a slow start against good teams as much as a bad roster. Winless teams often get marked down hard, and road dogs in that spot can carry value. Judge whether the spread prices this team or just its record.

IND: 36.4% third downs allowed to WSH's 47.1%

Indianapolis allows 36.4% on third down, and Washington gives up 47.1%. That is three games each, so expect both to move toward the middle. For now the Colts offense should find it easier to stay on the field, which matters for drive length and who controls tempo in this one.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

KC has won 3 straight

Kansas City is 3-0 and walks into Las Vegas to face another 3-0 team. Three games is a small sample, and the sheet does not show who either side has beaten. When two unbeaten division teams meet, the records cancel out and the line comes down to matchups. Bet this on how the units line up, since the streaks tell you nothing about who wins here.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

TB has lost 3 straight

Tampa Bay is 0-3 and still looking for its first win. Three games is a short sample, and the sheet does not show who they lost to, so this could be a bad team or a tough early schedule. Winless teams often get priced down hard by the market, and that is where value can show up. Against Green Bay at home, judge whether the line has overreacted to the record.

BAL: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TEN's 50%

TEN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; BAL is at 66.7% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 57.6% over 17 games and BAL at 47.5% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

CLE has won 3 straight

Cleveland is 3-1 and has won three in a row, so whatever went wrong earlier has been corrected for now. The sheet does not show the opponents in that run, so it is hard to say how much of it was earned against strong teams. Three games is a short streak and they rarely carry much weight in a line by themselves. Look at how this run matches up with Pittsburgh's strengths rather than betting the streak.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

PHI: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 50%

LAR is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; PHI is at 66.7% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAR was at 63.2% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

SF has won 3 straight

San Francisco is 3-0 and hosts Denver. Three games is a short run, and the sheet does not show who those wins came against, so the quality of the start is hard to judge. Unbeaten home favorites tend to attract heavy public backing, which can stretch a line. Weigh whether the number fits the matchup or just the record.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

TEN: 19.7 points allowed per game to BAL's 26

TEN is at 19.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; BAL is at 26 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 28.1 over 17 games and BAL at 23.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

MIA has lost 3 straight

Miami is 0-3, and now has to go to Minnesota, which is 3-0. Three games is a small sample for both sides, and the sheet does not show who either team played. Matchups between an unbeaten home team and a winless road team often get priced at the extremes. The spot to think about is whether the gap in the line is bigger than the gap in how these teams have actually played.

BUF has won 3 straight

Buffalo is 3-0 and has not lost yet. Three games is a small sample, and without the opponents on the sheet there is no way to judge how hard those wins were. Unbeaten teams early in the season tend to draw heavy public money, which can push a line further than the team's real edge. Against New England at home, ask whether the number already prices in the hot start.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

TEN has lost 3 straight

Tennessee is 0-3 and has not won a game. Three games is a small sample and the opponents are not on the sheet, so the record alone does not separate a bad roster from a hard start. Going on the road to Baltimore is a tough spot for any winless team. The useful question is whether the spread already reflects that, since books know the public avoids teams like this.

ATL: 13.7 sack yards lost per game to NO's 24.3

ATL is at 13.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; NO is at 24.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 12.9 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

HOU has lost 3 straight

Houston is 0-3 and still searching for a win. Three games is too few to say much about who this team is, and the sheet does not show who beat them. Teams in this spot tend to get cheap in the betting market, especially at home, where Houston plays Dallas. If the line looks like it is pricing a lost season after three games, that is the angle to weigh.

NO: 74 offensive plays per game to ATL's 63.3

ATL is at 63.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; NO is at 74 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 61.6 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

NYJ: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 50%

NYJ is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; CHI is at 50% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

SF: 105.7 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 143.7

DEN is at 143.7 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; SF is at 105.7 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

LV has won 3 straight

Las Vegas is 3-0, and hosting an unbeaten Kansas City is the first game that will show whether that start is real. Three games is a short sample, and the opponents are not on the sheet. The market usually trusts the established team over the surprise one in a spot like this. If Las Vegas is getting points at home while unbeaten, ask whether that reflects the teams or their reputations.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Lee Hunter (DT) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Lee Hunter as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 1.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Princely Umanmielen (LB) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Princely Umanmielen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

ARI: 1.33 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.33

Arizona has 1.33 sacks a game, and the Giants have 0.33 over three games. Both pass rushes have been quiet, and sack numbers this low often reflect the quarterbacks faced. Neither side looks set to wreck the game up front, so quarterbacks in this one should have time, especially Arizona's.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Xavier Legette (WR) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Legette (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Nick Scott (S) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Nick Scott as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

CHI: 2 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3

NYJ is at 3 sacks taken per game over 3 games; CHI is at 2 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

LAR: 1.67 sacks taken per game to PHI's 2.67

LAR is at 1.67 sacks taken per game over 3 games; PHI is at 2.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAR was at 1.77 over 17 games and PHI at 2.33 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

ATL: 2.33 sacks taken per game to NO's 3.33

ATL is at 2.33 sacks taken per game over 3 games; NO is at 3.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.

DJ Wonnum (LB) is questionable for DET

DET lists DJ Wonnum as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

JAX: 1.33 sacks taken per game to CIN's 2.33

Jacksonville's line is keeping its quarterback cleaner than Cincinnati's through three games each, a sharp turn from last season when JAX gave up 3.42 sacks a game and CIN 2.12. Three games is a small window, so expect both numbers to drift back toward those full-season marks. The Jaguars' change is the bigger story: if the protection is real, they can stay on schedule, while the Bengals' rise from last season points to drives stalling on long downs.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

Mays (wrist) is targeting a Week 7 return from injured reserve, Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press reports. Reported Sep 29.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 1.

WSH: 1 sack taken per game to IND's 2

IND is at 2 sacks taken per game over 3 games; WSH is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Christen Miller (DT) is questionable for NO

NO lists Christen Miller as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Kendal Daniels (LB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Kendal Daniels as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 2.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Price went on injured reserve Saturday with a chest injury, so he is out against the Chargers. With Charbonnet still on the PUP list, Seattle's backfield is down another body. The remaining healthy backs pick up the carries.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Mykel Williams (DE) is pup-r for SF

Williams is on the PUP list with a knee injury, and the 49ers opened his 21-day practice window Wednesday, Sep 30. That starts the clock on a return, though he still needs to be activated to face Denver. Check the final injury report before counting on him in the pass rush.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Brandon Aiyuk (WR) is reserve-dnr for SF

Aiyuk is on the reserve list and Kyle Shanahan said Sep 21 he is not viewing him as an option, even with the 49ers short at receiver. Kirk and Demarcus Robinson are also on injured reserve, so San Francisco is thin at the position against Denver. Do not expect Aiyuk to factor in.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

Bech went on injured reserve Tuesday, Sep 29, with a forearm injury, so he misses the Kansas City game. Las Vegas is also without Thornton at receiver, which thins the depth chart further. Look to the healthy Raiders wideouts to absorb the work.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

Thornton is on injured reserve with an undisclosed injury, so he is out against Kansas City. Klint Kubiak said Friday the hope is he returns to practice before the Week 5 road game at New England, which points to that week at the earliest. For this game, the Raiders' receiver snaps go elsewhere.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA

Duck is coming back from a knee injury, and Miami opened his 21-day practice window Wednesday, which means he can practice but still has to be activated to play. Opening the window does not mean he plays at Minnesota. Wait for news that Miami has activated him before counting him in the Dolphins' secondary.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Brooks went on injured reserve Friday with a hamstring injury, so he misses the Dallas game. He is a depth running back, and Houston's other backs handle the carries. His absence barely moves the Texans' outlook.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

McMillan went on injured reserve Wednesday with a knee injury, so he is out against Green Bay and for at least the next several games. Tampa Bay's receiver snaps get spread among the rest of the room, which can bump the depth receivers' volume a little.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

NYG: 5.77 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.57

The Giants allow 5.77 yards per play, and Arizona allows 6.57. Both numbers are on the soft side, and three games is a short sample, so the gap is modest. That points to a game where both offenses can move the ball, with a slight edge to the Giants offense.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Alaric Jackson

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Terrel Bernard

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

DET -3.5 → -4.5

Gary's number was -3.5; the market closed at -4.5.

Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

Reed is expected to go on injured reserve with a neck injury, which takes him out for at least the next several games, this one at Tampa Bay included. His targets go to Green Bay's other receivers, so look at who picks up the slot role when you weigh Packers receiving props.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Parsons is Green Bay's top pass rusher, and he is working back from a knee injury. Matt LaFleur said Monday there have been no setbacks but he will not be cleared to practice this week, so he is not playing at Tampa Bay. Without him the Packers' pressure drops, which gives Tampa's quarterback more time and helps Bucs passing numbers.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

Gordon is coming off a calf injury and was estimated as a full participant Wednesday, the best practice note a returning player can get. The PUP tag means Chicago still has to activate him before he can face the Jets. If he is activated, the Bears get a starting-caliber corner back, which makes the Jets' passing game a tougher spot.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Brown is on injured reserve with a right ankle injury, so he is out against Buffalo. He was seen Monday in the locker room walking without a limp and wearing only a small wrap, a hopeful sign for his return once eligible. For this game, New England's passing game runs through its other receivers, so price Patriots wideouts with Brown off the field.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Sam Franklin Jr.

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Dexter Lawrence II

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

John Michael Schmitz Jr.

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Treyton Welch

Did not practice

Nathan Shepherd

Did not practice

Jake Matthews

Did not practice

Tyler Higbee

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Byron Young

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Christian Darrisaw

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 10-15

JAX @ CIN carries a 51.5 market total

At 51.5, this game sits 5 points above the 46.5 slate median, so the market expects touchdowns to come often and from both sides. The sheet offers no stats or names to explain why, so the price itself is the signal. For it to fall short, drives would have to stall into field goals or one offense would have to go quiet. A slow, low-scoring first half matters more here, since the total assumes points arrive steadily.

LAR: 7.37 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 5.93

LAR is at 7.37 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; PHI is at 5.93 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

KC: 7.93 yards per pass attempt to LV's 6.53

KC is at 7.93 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; LV is at 6.53 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and LV at 4.94 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

DAL (1-2) at HOU (0-3)

Dallas is 1-2 but +6, a record that undersells a team that has outscored its opponents. Houston is 0-3, -21 and 0-2 at home, so its struggles are showing up in its own building too. Three games is a short sample, but the Cowboys' margin suggests better results ahead. A home team with no wins hosting a team whose margin is positive is a spot where the road side has the stronger case.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

DEN (2-1) at SF (3-0)

Denver has won two straight, but a 2-1 team at -10 points has been winning close and losing big, so the record flatters them. San Francisco is +48 through three games and 2-0 at home, which is a real margin even in a short sample. Denver has played one road game and lost it, so that split is one game deep. The win streaks look similar on paper, and the point totals show these teams arriving in very different shape.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

De'Von Achane (RB) is on injured reserve for MIA

Miami put Achane on injured reserve Monday with a knee injury, so he will not play at Minnesota and is out for several weeks at minimum. He is the lead back, and the sheet does not name who gets his carries. Expect Miami's run game to look different, and price their backup backs off a fresh look at the depth chart.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Lane Johnson (OT) is inactive for PHI

Johnson, Philadelphia's tackle, sat out Sunday's 24-20 loss to the Rams for a personal reason, with no injury involved. That means his absence should not carry over the way a physical injury would. Watch for word on his return before pricing the Eagles' line play into future games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Pierce is on injured reserve with a left heel injury, and Shane Steichen said Monday he did not have surgery and is still rehabbing. Injured reserve keeps him out for this game against Washington, so the Colts' receiving work goes to the rest of the room. No return date is on the sheet, so nothing about his timeline should factor into this game.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

NYJ (1-2) at CHI (2-1)

The Jets are 1-2 but +3 on points, so their record looks worse than their play, with two straight losses. Chicago's +36 is the stronger profile, though the Bears are only 1-1 at home. Over three games, point margin usually says more about a team than wins do, and the Jets' margin hints at close losses that could swing back. A big number toward Chicago may be leaning too hard on the records.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

JAX (2-1) at CIN (2-1)

Same 2-1 record, but Jacksonville is +46 and Cincinnati is +17, so the Jaguars have won more convincingly. The splits are a single game each: Jacksonville 0-1 on the road, Cincinnati 1-0 at home, which is too little to say much. The Bengals come in off a loss and the Jaguars off a win. With the home team holding the weaker margin, the road side's profile deserves a closer look.

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

MIA (0-3) at MIN (3-0)

Miami is 0-3 and -50, meaning the Dolphins are losing by wide margins, and they are 0-2 on the road. Minnesota is 3-0 and +30 with one home game played. Three games is still early, yet a margin that lopsided is hard to wave off as bad luck. The question is whether a line this wide is already as big as Miami's losses justify.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

LAC (0-3) at SEA (2-1)

The Chargers are 0-3 and -32, so the losses have not been close. Seattle is 2-1, +25 and won its only home game, though it comes in off a loss. Three games is a small sample, and one road game tells little about the Chargers away. The Seahawks have the better profile across the board, so look at whether the number already reflects how far apart these two have played.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

TEN (0-3) at BAL (2-1)

Tennessee is 0-3 and -22, so the losing is real, though -22 over three games is closer to steady losses than blowouts. Baltimore is 2-1 and +14, yet 0-1 at home, one game that says little. The Ravens profile as the better team without being dominant. If the spread treats this as a mismatch on the scale of the records, Tennessee's losing margins suggest some room.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

SEA: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2

LAC is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; SEA is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

ARI: 44.8% third downs allowed to NYG's 54.5%

Over 3 games, Arizona lets offenses convert 44.8% of third downs, and the Giants have allowed 54.5%, which means drives against New York keep going more than half the time. Without opponent detail on the sheet, it is hard to say how much of that is schedule. Third-down rates swing a lot over three games and usually drift back toward the middle. The gap points toward Arizona sustaining drives, so totals and Cardinals scoring lean that way if it holds.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

MIA: 5.07 yards per play to MIN's 4.3

Miami is gaining more per snap than Minnesota over three games each, and both last games ran through the deep pass: Malik Willis hit Chris Bell for 44, while Kyler Murray found Jordan Addison for a 41-yard score. Both teams are below last season's marks, 5.4 for MIA and 4.82 for MIN, so three games may be underselling each offense. With explosive throws driving both sides, the game likely swings on which secondary gives up the chunk play.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

ARI: 21 points per game to NYG's 15.3

ARI is at 21 points per game over 3 games; NYG is at 15.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ARI was at 20.9 over 17 games and NYG at 22.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

BAL: 4 red-zone trips per game to TEN's 2.67

TEN is at 2.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; BAL is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 1.94 over 17 games and BAL at 3.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

ATL (1-2) at NO (1-2), a division game

Two 1-2 teams, but New Orleans at -2 has been far closer to even than Atlanta at -17. Atlanta comes in off a win and is 1-1 on the road, while the Saints lost their only home game. Over three games the Saints' margin points to a team better than its record. In a division game where both teams know each other, the home side's tighter margin is the better guide.

NE: 49.7 penalty yards per game to BUF's 73

NE is at 49.7 penalty yards per game over 3 games; BUF is at 73 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NE was at 50.2 over 17 games and BUF at 49.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

JAX: 119.3 rushing yards per game to CIN's 91.3

JAX is at 119.3 rushing yards per game over 3 games; CIN is at 91.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 115.1 over 17 games and CIN at 93.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

NYJ: 0.33 turnovers committed per game to CHI's 1

NYJ is at 0.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; CHI is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NYJ was at 1.35 over 17 games and CHI at 0.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

DEN: 1.33 takeaways per game to SF's 0.67

Denver has forced 1.33 takeaways a game over 3 games, double San Francisco's 0.67. In raw terms that is four turnovers against two, a gap of two plays. Takeaways are the noisiest defensive stat and rarely hold their pace across a season. Denver's edge is real on the sheet but too thin to lean on in this game.

P Edge side lost; final 14-24

LAC: 2 takeaways per game to SEA's 1.33

LAC is at 2 takeaways per game over 3 games; SEA is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

GB: 0.67 fumbles lost per game to TB's 1.33

GB is at 0.67 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; TB is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 0.35 over 17 games and TB at 0.29 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

JAX: 0 fumbles lost per game to CIN's 0.67

JAX is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; CIN is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 0.35 over 17 games and CIN at 0.41 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

ATL: 0.67 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1.33

ATL is at 0.67 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; NO is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 0.59 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

SF: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to DEN's 1.33

DEN is at 1.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; SF is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 1 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

KC: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to LV's 1.33

KC is at 0.67 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; LV is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 0.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.35 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

WSH: 1 takeaways per game to IND's 0.33

Washington's defense has forced one turnover a game across 3 games, while Indianapolis has managed 0.33, so one takeaway total in three weeks. Turnovers swing on tipped balls and loose fumbles, and three games is a tiny sample for something that random. Neither number says much about who these units are yet. If you are weighing this game, give Washington a slight edge in extra possessions but do not price it as a reliable advantage.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Chris Moore (WR) is inactive for BAL

Moore is inactive, so he will not play against Tennessee. The sheet gives no injury or reason, which often points to a depth decision at receiver. Any small role he had goes to the other Ravens receivers, and the impact on the game should be minor.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

CHI: 5.83 yards per play to NYJ's 5.1

Chicago is more efficient per play, though the Jets are the team that changed: NYJ is at 5.1 over three games after 4.36 last season, with six 20-plus plays in their last game, three from Geno Smith to targets like Kenyon Sadiq and Garrett Wilson. CHI's 5.83 sits close to last season's 5.71, so that number looks stable. Three games is thin for the Jets' jump, so weigh how much of their big-play burst carries over before trusting it.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

LAR: 66.3 offensive plays per game to PHI's 57.3

LAR is at 66.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; PHI is at 57.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAR was at 63.9 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

TEN: 44.3 penalty yards per game to BAL's 66

TEN is at 44.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; BAL is at 66 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 59.5 over 17 games and BAL at 43.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

DAL: 5.53 yards per play to HOU's 4.8

Dallas moves the ball better per snap than Houston over three games each, and both teams are running a bit below last season, 5.96 for DAL and 5.1 for HOU. Each had only two 20-plus plays last game, with Dak Prescott's 49-yarder to CeeDee Lamb the biggest. Both offenses have room to climb back toward last season's levels, so a matchup built on few explosive plays may not stay that way.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Cam Jackson (DT) is inactive for CAR

Jackson (knee) is inactive for Sunday night's matchup with the Lions. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET

Head coach Dan Campbell said Friday that Branch (Achilles) is close to returning, Tim Twentyman of the Lions' official site reports. Reported Oct 2.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Kenneth Grant (DT) is ir-r for MIA

Grant is on injured reserve with a leg injury but designated to return, and coach Jeff Hafley said Friday he could start practicing next week. That makes him unlikely for the game at Minnesota. Miami's defensive line stays without him for now, so look for his return in the following weeks.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU

Stewart is on the reserve list coming back from a knee injury and practiced in full Thursday, which is a strong sign he is close to being activated. Until Houston actually moves him to the active roster, he is not playing. Check the final inactive list before assuming he helps the Texans' secondary against Dallas.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CAR's 0.67

DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; CAR is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and CAR at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

KC: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to LV's 1

KC is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; LV is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

SF: 0.33 interceptions thrown per game to DEN's 1

DEN is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; SF is at 0.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and SF at 0.94 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

SF: 4.9 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.57

DEN is at 5.57 yards per play allowed over 3 games; SF is at 4.9 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

SEA: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.33

LAC is at 1.33 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; SEA is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAC was at 0.82 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

ATL: 22.7 points allowed per game to NO's 27.7

ATL is at 22.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; NO is at 27.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.

LAR: 4.5 yards per play allowed to PHI's 5.17

The Rams allow 4.5 yards per play over 3 games, a stingy mark, while Philadelphia gives up 5.17. That is the cleaner efficiency stat here, since it ignores how many snaps a defense faced. Three games can be shaped by weak offenses, and the sheet does not tell us who they played. If the Rams number holds up, it favors them in a game where Philadelphia has to move the ball steadily.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

DET @ CAR carries a 50.5 market total

A 50.5 total sits 4 points above the 46.5 slate median, which means the market expects a game with more scoring than most on the board. No player or unit detail is on the sheet to back it. For it to come in under, drives would need to end in field goals or punts more than the price assumes. Bettors can watch red-zone results early, since touchdowns versus field goals is where a total like this is won or lost.

GB: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to TB's 1

GB is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; TB is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 1.47 over 17 games and TB at 1.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

NYJ @ CHI carries a 42.5 market total

The current fanduel total is 42.5, 4 points below the 46.5 median across 15 games with posted totals on this slate.

HOU: 67.3 offensive plays per game to DAL's 59

DAL is at 59 offensive plays per game over 3 games; HOU is at 67.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DAL was at 65.9 over 17 games and HOU at 64 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

TEN @ BAL carries a 42.5 market total

At 42.5, this game is 4 points below the 46.5 slate median, so the market expects somewhat fewer points than a typical game this week. The sheet gives no injury or matchup reason for it. A short gap like this cracks easily: a defensive score or a couple of long plays would do it. Bettors can treat early pace and red-zone finishing as the tell for whether the lower expectation holds.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 3 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 743 passing yards, completed 70.9% of his passes and averaged 7.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

WSH +4.5 → +4.5

Gary's number was 4.5; the market closed at 4.5.

ATL has 3 more days of rest

Atlanta comes off a bye with 10 days of rest, and New Orleans has the usual 7 days. That 3-day cushion gives the Falcons more recovery and more install time for a division opponent they already know well. Familiarity can shrink a prep advantage, since both staffs have seen each other plenty. Use the rest gap as a modest point in Atlanta's favor, weighed against the Saints playing at home on a normal week.

GB has 3 more days of rest

Green Bay gets 10 days since its last game with a bye in between, while Tampa Bay is on a normal 7-day week. That 3-day gap means the Packers had extra time to heal bumps and build a plan specifically for this opponent. The edge is real on paper but modest, since 7 days is a standard week for Tampa Bay. When sizing up this game, count the rest as a small tilt toward the road side's preparation and health.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 3 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 585 passing yards, completed 63.8% of his passes and averaged 7.31 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 3 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 812 passing yards, completed 68.4% of his passes and averaged 8.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

NYJ: 87.3 rushing yards allowed per game to CHI's 117

The Jets have held opponents to 87.3 rushing yards a game over 3 games, while Chicago allows 117. That gap means the Bears' ground game faces a tougher wall than the Jets' backs will. Rushing totals depend on game script, since teams that trail stop running, so three games can flatter a defense. If Chicago falls behind, expect its run game to fade, and if the Jets lead, they get room to grind.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 3 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 605 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 14-24

TEN: 9 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 17

TEN is at 9 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; BAL is at 17 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 26.1 over 17 games and BAL at 17.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 3 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 939 passing yards, completed 59.5% of his passes and averaged 7.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 3 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 616 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 7.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 2 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 186 passing yards, completed 52.9% of his passes and averaged 5.47 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 3 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 730 passing yards, completed 69.5% of his passes and averaged 6.95 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 3 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 802 passing yards, completed 70.6% of his passes and averaged 7.36 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 3 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 627 passing yards, completed 57% of his passes and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 3 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 620 passing yards, completed 64.4% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 3 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 745 passing yards, completed 69.7% of his passes and averaged 9.8 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 3 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 794 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 6.62 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 3 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 661 passing yards, completed 67.4% of his passes and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 3 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 872 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 7.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 3 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 789 passing yards, completed 72.3% of his passes and averaged 9.51 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 3 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 786 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 9.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 3 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 627 passing yards, completed 59.1% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

GB -3 → -2.5

Gary's number was -3; the market closed at -2.5.

PIT: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 3.6

Pittsburgh is getting more out of each carry than Cleveland over four games each, and both numbers sit near last season's: 4.26 for PIT, 3.9 for CLE. That consistency makes this gap more believable than most early splits. If the Steelers can lean on the run in Cleveland, they control tempo, while the Browns may need to find yards some other way.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 4 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 999 passing yards, completed 57.5% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 3 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 652 passing yards, completed 70.1% of his passes and averaged 5.57 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 2 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 392 passing yards, completed 68.1% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

In his first 2026 game, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 256 passing yards, completed 72% of his passes and averaged 10.24 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

SEA: 87 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 116.3

LAC is at 116.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; SEA is at 87 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Marcus Mariota is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 2 games in 2026, Marcus Mariota threw for 294 passing yards, completed 63.8% of his passes and averaged 6.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 1695 yards, completed 61.2% and averaged 7.47 yards per attempt, 10-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 4 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 855 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. His 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 3 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 504 passing yards, completed 62.5% of his passes and averaged 5.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

In his first 2026 game, Jalon Daniels threw for 0 passing yards, completed 0% of his passes and averaged 0 yards per attempt. His 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line comes from a one-game sample, so the relationship between completion rate and per-throw production is still an early read.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 3 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 844 passing yards, completed 52.4% of his passes and averaged 6.81 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 3 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 783 passing yards, completed 75.5% of his passes and averaged 7.68 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 3 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 611 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 6.24 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

In his first 2026 game, Tyson Bagent threw for 54 passing yards, completed 55.6% of his passes and averaged 6 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 3 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 917 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 6.95 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 2 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 229 passing yards, completed 51% of his passes and averaged 4.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN

Minnesota put Oliver on injured reserve Tuesday with a biceps injury, so he will not play against Miami. He is a tight end the team uses heavily as a blocker, and the sheet does not name his replacement. Expect a little less from the Vikings' heavier run formations with him out.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson is on injured reserve with an ankle injury and is out for Sunday's game in Philadelphia. The Rams lose a tight end, so the remaining tight ends pick up his snaps and any short targets he would have drawn. Factor that in if you are looking at Rams tight end props.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to DEN's 7.7

DEN is at 7.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; SF is at 0 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

GB: 41.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 30%

GB is at 41.7% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; TB is at 30% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 57.6% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

DET: 31:32 time of possession per game to CAR's 28:27

DET is at 31:32 time of possession per game over 3 games; CAR is at 28:27 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DET was at 30:33 over 17 games and CAR at 29:51 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

DAL: 6.57 yards per pass attempt to HOU's 5.53

DAL is at 6.57 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; HOU is at 5.53 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and HOU at 6.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

MIA: 6.1 yards per pass attempt to MIN's 5.07

MIA is at 6.1 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; MIN is at 5.07 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season MIA was at 6 over 17 games and MIN at 5.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Garrett Mitchell: .560 OPS in Last 15 Days

Mitchell has a .560 OPS over the last 15 days in 36 AB, down 0.211 from his .771 season mark. It is a cold stretch on a short sample, and he should move back toward .771. Against San Diego, his season number is the more reliable read on his bat.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN

Iosivas went on injured reserve Sep 26 with a thumb injury, so he is out against Jacksonville. He is a depth receiver, and Cincinnati's other wideouts take his snaps. The effect on the Bengals' offense is small.

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

NYJ: 171 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 207

NYJ is at 171 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; CHI is at 207 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

CHI: 4 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 3

NYJ is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; CHI is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NYJ was at 2.24 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

ARI -2.5 → -2.5

Gary's number was -2.5; the market closed at -2.5.

JAX +116 → +120

Gary's number was 116; the market closed at 120.

Manny Machado: .567 OPS in Last 15 Days

Machado has a .567 OPS over the last 15 days in 51 AB, a 0.144 drop from his .711 season mark. That is a modest slump on a fuller sample, and his season has been ordinary anyway. Expect a mild bounce toward .711, which leaves little mispricing to find against Milwaukee.

P 0-for-2, 0 TB, 2 BB

TEN: 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 70%

Tennessee has let opponents score on 55.6% of red-zone trips over 3 games, while Baltimore sits at 70%. Red-zone rates move wildly early because the trip counts are small, so both numbers could shift a lot in one game. Baltimore's figure means drives that get close against them usually finish. Factor that into Titans scoring only lightly, since the sample is thin.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

Jaycee Horn (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Horn (quadriceps) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Mike Jackson (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Head coach Dave Canales said Wednesday that Jackson (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery and will be sidelined about eight weeks, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks is expected to undergo surgery Wednesday to repair a core-muscle injury and is likely to miss at least six weeks, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Ja'Tavion Sanders (TE) is inactive for CAR

CAR lists Ja'Tavion Sanders as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Tyler Conklin (TE) is inactive for DET

DET lists Tyler Conklin as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Jonah Coleman (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Coleman went on injured reserve Sep 26 with an ankle injury, so he is out at San Francisco. The carries he would have handled go to the other Denver backs.

P Edge side lost; final 14-24

ARI: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to NYG's 2.67

ARI is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; NYG is at 2.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ARI was at 3.59 over 17 games and NYG at 3.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

SEA: 4 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 3

LAC is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; SEA is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and SEA at 3.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

DET: 53.3 penalty yards per game to CAR's 70

DET is at 53.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; CAR is at 70 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DET was at 42.2 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL

Baltimore put Pocic on injured reserve Saturday with a knee injury, so the Ravens are without their center against Tennessee. A backup now handles snaps and calls up front, which can mean more pressure up the middle. Factor in a less settled interior line when looking at Ravens offensive markets.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB

Bako-Bewele went on injured reserve Monday with a knee injury and is out for the game at Tampa Bay. He is offensive line depth, so this mostly thins Green Bay's backup options if another lineman goes down during the game.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Ronnie Rivers (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rivers has been on injured reserve since Sep 24 with a calf injury, so he misses the Philadelphia game. He is a depth running back, and the Rams' other backs carry the load. His absence changes little for Los Angeles.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN

Davis landed on injured reserve Tuesday with a hamstring injury, so Cincinnati is without a cornerback against Jacksonville. That thins out the Bengals' secondary depth, and the next corner up takes his snaps. Jaguars receivers may see a slightly softer group behind the starters.

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI

Jones, a Bears tackle, went on injured reserve Saturday with a knee injury, so he is out against the Jets. A backup takes over at tackle, which can mean more pressure on Chicago's quarterback. That is a small lean against Bears passing efficiency if the Jets get home on the edge.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

GB (1-2) at TB (0-3)

Green Bay is 1-2 but -35, so its losses have been lopsided. Tampa Bay is 0-3 at -17 and 0-2 at home, with closer losses than Green Bay's. Three games is early, but the Buccaneers' winless record looks worse than how they have played compared with the Packers. A road favorite with the weaker margin is a spot to be wary of.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

Arian Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Smith tore his ACL and had surgery to repair it, ending his season. The Jets lose a receiver for good, and his snaps are already folded into the rest of the group, so this news should be fully priced in for the game at Chicago.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

DAL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 28.6%

DAL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; HOU is at 28.6% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and HOU at 57.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

Robinson went on injured reserve Sep 26 with an ankle injury, so he misses Denver. He joins Kirk on injured reserve, which leaves the 49ers short at receiver. The healthy wideouts and tight end pick up his targets.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Jordan Davis (DT) is questionable for PHI

Davis is questionable for Philadelphia against the Rams, with no injury detail listed. He anchors the middle of the Eagles' defensive line, so his status matters for how well they hold up against the run. If he sits, Rams running backs get a friendlier interior, so watch the inactive list before betting Rams rushing numbers.

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

NE: 4.87 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.43

New England allows 4.87 yards per play over 3 games, and Buffalo gives up 5.43. Per play, the Patriots defense has been the tighter unit so far. Three games is a short look, and the sheet does not show who either team faced. In a division game at Buffalo, the Patriots defense has a modest edge in limiting chunk plays, which matters most when you are looking at the total.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

BAL: 59.3 offensive plays per game to TEN's 52.3

TEN is at 52.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; BAL is at 59.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and BAL at 57.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

SF -2.5 → -2.5

Gary's number was -2.5; the same book now shows -2.5.

KC: 4.6 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.17

KC is at 4.6 yards per play allowed over 3 games; LV is at 5.17 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

LAR: 101.3 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 127.3

LAR is at 101.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; PHI is at 127.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

JAX: 22.3 first downs per game to CIN's 19

JAX is at 22.3 first downs per game over 3 games; CIN is at 19 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 20.9 over 17 games and CIN at 20.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

JAX: 52.9% third-down conversion rate to CIN's 46.3%

JAX is at 52.9% third-down conversion rate over 3 games; CIN is at 46.3% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 39.2% over 17 games and CIN at 43.4% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

GB: 5.93 yards per pass attempt to TB's 5.03

GB is at 5.93 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; TB is at 5.03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 6.85 over 17 games and TB at 6.04 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

CAR: 27.7 points allowed per game to DET's 31.7

DET is at 31.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; CAR is at 27.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DET was at 24.3 over 17 games and CAR at 22.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

CIN: 3.33 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.67

Cincinnati records 3.33 sacks a game over 3 games, and Jacksonville is at 2.67. Both are active pass rushes, with the Bengals ahead by a small margin. Sacks swing on which lines a defense faced, so these could narrow. Expect pressure on both quarterbacks, which tends to stall drives and can help an under if both fronts keep this pace.

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

CAR: 6.1 yards per play to DET's 5.6

Carolina is out-gaining Detroit per play over three games each, a big turn from last season when CAR sat at 4.92 and DET at 5.97. Three games is a short sample, and both teams have moved hard away from their full-season marks, so this gap could close fast. Look at the Panthers' early jump with some caution before treating them as the more efficient offense at home.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

TB: 26.3 points allowed per game to GB's 30.3

GB is at 30.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; TB is at 26.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-14

IND: 2.33 sacks recorded per game to WSH's 1.67

IND is at 2.33 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; WSH is at 1.67 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

ARI: 66.7 offensive plays per game to NYG's 60.3

ARI is at 66.7 offensive plays per game over 3 games; NYG is at 60.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and NYG at 63.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

DEN: 2.67 sacks recorded per game to SF's 2

DEN is at 2.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; SF is at 2 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 14-24

NO: 2.33 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 1.67

ATL is at 1.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; NO is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

BUF: 3 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2.33

Buffalo's defense averages 3 sacks a game over 3 games, and New England gets 2.33. Both fronts are getting home, with Buffalo a bit more often. Sack rates depend heavily on the offensive lines faced, and three games is not much. At home in this matchup, Buffalo's pass rush is the more likely to speed up the opposing quarterback.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

PIT: 63.5 offensive plays per game to CLE's 57.3

PIT is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; CLE is at 57.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season PIT was at 58.1 over 17 games and CLE at 60.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

HOU: 5.53 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.03

DAL is at 6.03 yards per play allowed over 3 games; HOU is at 5.53 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

DAL: 207.3 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 238.7

DAL is at 207.3 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; HOU is at 238.7 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

NYG: 104.3 rushing yards allowed per game to ARI's 127.7

ARI is at 127.7 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; NYG is at 104.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

HOU: 30:05 time of possession per game to DAL's 27:30

DAL is at 27:30 time of possession per game over 3 games; HOU is at 30:05 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DAL was at 30:48 over 17 games and HOU at 31:49 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

NYJ +3.5 → +3.5

Gary's number was 3.5; the market closed at 3.5.

CLE: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to PIT's 1

PIT is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; CLE is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season PIT was at 0.53 over 17 games and CLE at 1.06 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

LV +4.5 → +4.5

Gary's number was 4.5; the same book now shows 4.5.

Ahmed Hassanein (DE) is inactive for DET

DET lists Ahmed Hassanein as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL

Dallas put Bullard on injured reserve Wednesday with a calf injury, so the Cowboys' defensive tackle will not suit up at Houston. The move takes a body out of the interior rotation, and the fact sheet does not name a replacement. For this game, look at how the Dallas front holds up against the run once the depth chart firms up.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

Dallas put Thompson on injured reserve Wednesday with a hamstring injury, so the Cowboys play Houston without a starting safety. The next safety up takes his snaps, leaving the back end thinner. Texans receivers could find more room on deeper throws.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

Green Bay placed Brinson, a defensive tackle, on injured reserve Saturday, Oct 3, with calf and groin injuries. Injured reserve rules him out of the Tampa Bay game and the next few weeks at minimum. The Packers will lean on their other interior linemen for snaps, so this is a depth loss on the defensive line more than a change to the game plan.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Burns on injured reserve Tuesday with a knee injury, so he is out against Arizona. He is their top pass rusher, and losing him cuts into how much pressure New York can create. That gives the Cardinals' quarterback a cleaner pocket, worth factoring into Arizona passing markets.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

ATL: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 61.5%

ATL is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; NO is at 61.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

Noah Sewell (LB) is pup-r for CHI

Sewell is a Bears linebacker coming back from an Achilles injury, and Chicago opened his 21-day practice window on Wednesday, Sep 23. He can practice now but still needs to be activated to play. Achilles injuries are slow to return from, so even if he is activated for the Jets game, a limited role is more likely than a full workload.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

Brenden Schooler (S) is nfi-r for NE

The Patriots opened Schooler's 21-day practice window on Sep 24 as he works back from a back injury. He stays off the active roster until New England activates him, so do not count on him against Buffalo unless that move is made. His main impact is depth on defense and special teams.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

Washington put Chenal on injured reserve Tuesday with a neck injury, so he will not play against Indianapolis. No replacement is named in the report, so his snaps at linebacker go to the next man on the depth chart. Factor in that the Commanders are down a linebacker when looking at this matchup.

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

SEA -7 → -7

Gary's number was -7; the same book now shows -7.

Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

Houston placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday, which takes the defensive tackle out of the Dallas game. No injury was listed with the move, and no replacement is named. The Texans will lean on their remaining interior linemen, so that rotation is where to look when you size up the Dallas ground game.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI

Turner is a Bears defensive tackle who has been on the reserve physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, and Chicago opened his 21-day practice window on Wednesday, Sep 24. That means he can practice with the team now, but he is not on the active roster until the Bears activate him. Opening the window is a step toward a return, so keep an eye on whether he is activated before the Jets game rather than assuming he plays.

P Edge side won; final 12-23

NYJ: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 57.1%

NYJ is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; CHI is at 57.1% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season NYJ was at 43.9% over 17 games and CHI at 51.7% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

JAX: 40.3 penalty yards per game to CIN's 55

JAX is at 40.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; CIN is at 55 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 63.5 over 17 games and CIN at 37.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

PIT: 223 team passing yards per game to CLE's 198.8

PIT is at 223 team passing yards per game over 4 games; CLE is at 198.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season PIT was at 202.4 over 17 games and CLE at 165.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

MIA +9.5 → +9.5

Gary's number was 9.5; the same book now shows 9.5.

SF: 207.3 passing yards allowed per game to DEN's 237

DEN is at 237 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; SF is at 207.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

NE: 34.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.5%

NE is at 34.3% third downs allowed over 3 games; BUF is at 40.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

BAL: 105 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 126.3

Baltimore allows 105 rushing yards a game over 3 games, and Tennessee gives up 126.3. The Titans run defense is the softer one, which matters against a Ravens team built to run. Game script inflates rushing allowed for teams that trail, and three games can tilt either way. If Baltimore gets ahead, Tennessee's number likely grows, so Ravens rushing props fit that spot.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

DAL +3 → +3

Gary's number was 3; the market closed at 3.

TEN +11.5 → +11.5

Gary's number was 11.5; the market closed at 11.5.

LAR -3.5 → -3.5

Gary's number was -3.5; the market closed at -3.5.

BUF -6.5 → -6.5

Gary's number was -6.5; the market closed at -6.5.

Albert Reese IV (OT) is inactive for CAR

CAR lists Albert Reese IV as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Frankie Luvu

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Charles Omenihu

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Ben Sinnott

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

DJ Moore

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Keon Coleman

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Damar Hamlin

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

DJ Turner II

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-17

LeQuint Allen Jr.

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Andrew Thomas

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Jihaad Campbell

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Donovan Jennings

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Javon Hargrave

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Lukas Van Ness

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Dalton Schultz

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

Aaron Jones Sr.

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Harrison Smith

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Tucker Addington

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-15

Cody White

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Brock Bowers

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Romello Height

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 14-24

George Holani

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Jayden Price

Limited practice

Karl Brooks

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Chig Okonkwo

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-13

Brandin Echols

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

LAR: 31:05 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:44

LAR is at 31:05 time of possession per game over 3 games; PHI is at 28:44 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAR was at 30:46 over 17 games and PHI at 30:11 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

IND: 1.67 fourth-down attempts per game to WSH's 1

IND is at 1.67 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; WSH is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and WSH at 1.53 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

LAC: 4.2 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.63

LAC is at 4.2 yards per rush attempt over 3 games; SEA is at 3.63 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAC was at 4.58 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

JAX: 7.1 yards per pass attempt to CIN's 6.33

JAX is at 7.1 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; CIN is at 6.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 6.42 over 17 games and CIN at 5.81 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

IND: 33.3 penalty yards per game to WSH's 46.7

IND is at 33.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; WSH is at 46.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and WSH at 53.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

LAR: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 33.3%

LAR is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; PHI is at 33.3% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season LAR was at 66.7% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

GB: 14.7 sack yards lost per game to TB's 20

GB is at 14.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; TB is at 20 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 16.3 over 17 games and TB at 15.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

TEN: 189 passing yards allowed per game to BAL's 216.3

TEN is at 189 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; BAL is at 216.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

JAX: 10.3 sack yards lost per game to CIN's 15.7

JAX is at 10.3 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; CIN is at 15.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season JAX was at 20.6 over 17 games and CIN at 14.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-17

GB: 5.17 yards per play to TB's 4.73

Green Bay is gaining more per snap than Tampa Bay over three games each, and both last games leaned on the deep ball: Jordan Love had throws of 45 to Matthew Golden and two to Christian Watson, while Baker Mayfield hit Ted Hurst III for a 40-yard score. Both offenses are below last season's marks, 5.61 for GB and 5.12 for TB, which hints at some rebound. Expect a game shaped by downfield passing, where one or two long completions can decide it.

P Edge side won; final 17-14

DET: 24.7 first downs per game to CAR's 22

DET is at 24.7 first downs per game over 3 games; CAR is at 22 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season DET was at 20.4 over 17 games and CAR at 18 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

PIT: 30:41 time of possession per game to CLE's 28:37

PIT is at 30:41 time of possession per game over 4 games; CLE is at 28:37 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season PIT was at 28:25 over 17 games and CLE at 29:18 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Tyler Smith (G) is on injured reserve for DAL

Cowboys head coach Brian Schottenheimer said Tuesday that Smith (thumb) is progressing well and could return from injured reserve for the team's Week 5 game against the Buccaneers, Todd Archer of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

CLE: 3 sacks recorded per game to PIT's 2.5

PIT is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; CLE is at 3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

Mekhi Wingo (DT) is inactive for DET

DET lists Mekhi Wingo as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Bishop Fitzgerald (S) is inactive for DET

DET lists Bishop Fitzgerald as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Devin White (LB) is inactive for DET

DET lists Devin White as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

KC: 32:07 time of possession per game to LV's 30:03

KC is at 32:07 time of possession per game over 3 games; LV is at 30:03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 30:09 over 17 games and LV at 28:03 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-27

MIN: 85.7 rushing yards allowed per game to MIA's 104.3

MIA is at 104.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; MIN is at 85.7 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE

New England moved Van Roten to injured reserve Tuesday with a thigh injury, so the guard is out for the trip to Buffalo. Losing a starting-caliber guard can shake up pass protection, and the fact sheet does not say who steps in. Check the Patriots' line combination before backing their offense in this spot.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

PIT: 209.5 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 235.3

Pittsburgh allows 209.5 passing yards a game over 4 games, and Cleveland gives up 235.3. Four games is a bit more reliable than three, though still early. The Browns secondary has been the more generous one, without opponent detail to show whether schedule explains it. In this division game, Pittsburgh's passing attack has the friendlier matchup on paper.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 18-24

Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

Tennessee placed Slater on injured reserve Tuesday with a foot injury, ruling the guard out at Baltimore. Fellow guard Fernando Carmona went on IR the same day, so the Titans are patching two spots on the interior. Expect a reshuffled line against the Ravens, which matters for anyone leaning on the Tennessee offense.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

Tennessee put Carmona on injured reserve Tuesday with an ankle injury, so the guard misses the game at Baltimore. The Titans also lost guard Jackson Slater to IR the same day, which leaves the interior line thin. Two guards gone at once is a real hit to protection and the run game, and that is the angle to weigh in this matchup.

P Edge side lost; final 18-24

David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC

Njoku is on injured reserve with a fibula injury after the Chargers placed him there Sep 23. He is out at Seattle, so the tight end snaps and targets go to the backups on the depth chart.

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

CLE: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to PIT's 60%

PIT is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; CLE is at 50% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

LAR (1-2) at PHI (2-1)

Philadelphia is 2-1 but -14, a record that flatters the Eagles, while the Rams are 1-2 at -2, close to even. Both lost last time out, and each split is one game: Rams 0-1 away, Eagles 1-0 at home. Over three games, margin is the better read, and it favors the Rams. If the line leans on Philadelphia's record, the road side has a case.

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Damien Lewis (G) is inactive for CAR

CAR lists Damien Lewis as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Ben Bartch (G) is inactive for DET

DET lists Ben Bartch as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Avonte Maddox (CB) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Maddox (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

Trey Pipkins III (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC

Pipkins went on injured reserve Sep 26 with a knee injury, so he misses the game at Seattle. That takes a tackle out of the Chargers' line, and a backup fills his snaps.

P Edge side lost; final 23-30

Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO

Banks (ankle) underwent surgery this week, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 26.

A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Terrell (groin) on injured reserve Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 22.

NRFI watch: quiet first innings on both sides of SD @ MIL

A run was scored by either team in the first inning in 3 of 10 sampled MIL games and 3 of 10 sampled SD games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Logan Henderson: 1.00 ERA, .210 opponent AVG across 18.0 IP, 1 HR; Michael King: 1.69 ERA, .148 opponent AVG across 32.0 IP, 2 HR.

P 1st inning: 1-0 (1 run)

Will Johnson (CB) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side lost; final 24-36

Jordan Hancock (CB) is on injured reserve for BUF

Buffalo put Hancock on injured reserve Friday, Sep 26, with a hamstring injury, so the cornerback is out against New England. The fact sheet does not name who picks up the snaps. Losing depth at corner matters most if the Bills suffer another injury in the secondary during the game.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Micheal Clemons (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Clemons on injured reserve on Sep 23 with a toe injury, so he is out against Washington. The report does not name who takes his snaps at defensive end. His absence is already a known part of Indianapolis' defensive front, not a fresh change this week.

P Edge side won; final 30-13

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Garrett is on injured reserve after surgery on his left knee and faces a six-week recovery, though the pass rusher wants to be back sooner. That rules Garrett out against Philadelphia, which takes the Rams' top edge threat off the field. Expect less pressure on the Eagles quarterback, and treat any early return talk as hopeful until it shows up on the practice report.

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Nick Samac (C) is on injured reserve for MIN

The Vikings put Samac, a center, on injured reserve Saturday with a knee injury, so he misses the Miami game. Losing a center can hurt the snaps and protection calls up front. The sheet does not say who starts in his place, so check Minnesota's line before betting on their run game or sack totals.

P Edge side won; final 10-15

CLE lead the series with PIT since 2025

Cleveland has won two of the three meetings, and both wins came at home: 13-6 on Dec 28 last season and 27-24 on Oct 1. Pittsburgh's lone win was a 23-9 home game on Oct 12, 2025. The last two in Cleveland were tight, one a low-scoring grind and the other a shootout by comparison, so the venue has mattered more than any clear gap between the teams. With this one in Cleveland again, expect a close game and think about how much weight to give home field in a series that has gone to the host every time.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

PIT (2-2) at CLE (3-1), a division game

Cleveland is 3-1 and has won three straight, yet sits at -14 points, worse than Pittsburgh's -10, so the record oversells how much better they have been. Both teams have lost more on margin than they have won. Pittsburgh is 0-2 on the road and Cleveland is 2-0 at home, which is the clearest edge here, though it rests on two games each. In a division game between two teams with negative point totals, the home and road splits carry more weight than the records.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

KC (3-0) at LV (3-0), a division game

Both teams are 3-0 and both are winning by margin: Kansas City +38, Las Vegas +34. Each has played just one game in this spot, the Chiefs 1-0 away and the Raiders 1-0 at home. One unbeaten team leaves after this division game, so at least one streak ends. The margins are almost even, so a wide number either way is betting on reputation more than this season's form.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is on injured reserve for NE

Hutchins (knee) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Claudin Cherelus (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Cherelus (shoulder) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Thomas Harper (S) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Harper (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

P Edge side lost; final 26-32

C.J. West (DT) is on injured reserve for SF

West went on injured reserve Sep 23 with an undisclosed injury, so he is out against Denver. His snaps on the defensive interior go to the other 49ers tackles.

P Edge side won; final 14-24

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed Hummel (groin) on injured reserve Saturday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Sep 26.

P Edge side lost; final 34-30

P.J. Locke (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Locke (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

P Edge side won; final 34-30

David Onyemata (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Onyemata (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery Wednesday, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side lost; final 12-23

Dell Pettus (S) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Pettus (ankle) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

ARI (1-2) at NYG (2-1)

The Giants are 2-1 and 2-0 at home, yet -9 on the year, so the record flatters them some. Arizona is 1-2, -18 and has lost two straight. The Giants' home results are the best thing they have going, but negative margins tend to catch up with a team over a season. Both teams carry negative margins, which makes this a matchup of two flawed sides more than a clear edge.

P Edge side won; final 24-36

DET (2-1) at CAR (1-2)

Detroit is 2-1 but -2, and Carolina is 1-2 but +6, so the records and margins point opposite ways. Each team has one game in this spot: Detroit 0-1 on the road, Carolina 0-1 at home. Over three games, margin tends to be more stable than record. The home team has actually outscored opponents, so a line built mostly on Detroit's record may undersell Carolina.

P Edge side won; final 26-32

Mike Onwenu (G) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Onwenu (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Gennings Dunker (G) is on injured reserve for PIT

Pittsburgh put Dunker on injured reserve Saturday, Sep 26, with a knee injury, so the guard misses the Cleveland game and at least the next few weeks. Losing a starting-caliber lineman can weaken the interior blocking, so watch who the Steelers slot in at guard.

P Edge side lost; final 24-27

Anthony Bradford (G) is on injured reserve for SEA

Bradford went on injured reserve Sep 24 with a knee injury, so he misses the Chargers game. A backup guard takes his spot on Seattle's offensive line.

P Edge side won; final 23-30

KC and LV are even since 2025

These two split the last two seasons, and the games could not have looked more different. Kansas City rolled 31-0 at home on Oct 19, 2025, then lost 14-12 in Las Vegas on Jan 4 in a game where its offense never got going. That is a two-game sample with the home side winning both, so it says little about who has the edge now. The January result is a reminder that Las Vegas at home can drag Kansas City into a low-scoring fight, which is the spot to think about here.

P Edge side lost; final 30-27

PIT is on a short week

Both teams are on 3 days since their last game, so neither side has a rest edge here. Short weeks usually mean light practices, simpler game plans and players still sore from the last game. In a division game where both staffs know each other, that often shows up as sloppier, more conservative football. The schedule is a wash between them, so look at which roster is healthier going in rather than at the calendar.

P Edge side won; final 24-27

NE and BUF are even since 2025

These two have split right down the middle, and both games were coin flips. New England won 23-20 in Buffalo on Oct 5, then Buffalo answered with a 35-31 shootout win in Foxborough on Dec 14. The road team won both times, so home field has not meant much in this matchup. With two games and two one-score finishes, a tight game is the default expectation here more than a clear edge for either side.

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

ATL lead the series with NO since 2025

Atlanta has won both recent meetings, but the two games looked very different. The Falcons handled the Saints 24-10 in New Orleans on Nov 23, then barely held on 19-17 at home on Jan 4. The second game suggests New Orleans closed the gap late last season, so a 2-0 run overstates how one-sided this has been. Weigh the narrow finish more heavily than the blowout when sizing up this one.

Brandon Pili

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side won; final 23-30

Bo Melton

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 17-14

Nate Landman

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Will Shipley

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-20

Josh Wallace

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-20

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-36

Tyler Nubin

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-36

DaVon Hamilton

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 22-17

Drake Maye

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 29-26

Dorian Williams

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 29-26

Jonathan Taylor

Full practice