Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Injuries noted

Green Bay Packers: Luke Musgrave (PUP-R) — Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst said Tuesday that he's "really hopeful" Musgrave (neck) will be able to play at some point during the 2026 season, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.; Micah Parsons (PUP-R) — Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said Monday that Parsons (knee) hasn't experienced any setbacks but won't be cleared to practice this week, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com reports.; Jordon Riley (PUP-R) — out; Johnathan Baldwin II (IR) — ir; Marlon Jones (IR) — Undisclosed; Warren Brinson (IR) — Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday.; Trey Dean III (IR) — Dean (undisclosed) reverted to the Packers' injured-reserve list Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Collin Oliver (IR-R) — Oliver is dealing with Achilles and calf injuries. and is considered week-to-week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Savion Williams (IR-R) — ir; Thomas Yassmin (IR) — Green Bay reverted Yassmin (undisclosed) to injured reserve Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Aaron Banks (Out) — Banks (toe/knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Anthony Campbell (Out) — Campbell (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Zach Bako-Bewele (IR) — The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Lukas Van Ness (Questionable) — Van Ness (shoulder) was limited in practice Thursday.; Jayden Reed (IR) — The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Edgerrin Cooper (Questionable) — Cooper (concussion/shoulder) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Jacob Monk (Out) — Monk (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Karl Brooks (Questionable) — questionable; Jager Burton (Questionable) — Burton (groin) is listed as questionable ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jalen McMillan (IR) — The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday.; Josh Hayes (IR-R) — ir; Mohamed Kamara (IR) — Kamara (knee) reverted to the Buccaneers' injured reserve list Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Deshawn McKnight (IR) — The Buccaneers placed McKnight (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday, Scott Smith of the team's official site reports.; Jacob Parrish (Questionable) — questionable; Rueben Bain Jr. (Out) — Bain (groin) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.; Josiah Trotter (Questionable) — Trotter (shoulder) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice.; Rakeem Nunez-Roches (Questionable) — questionable; Baker Mayfield (Out) — Mayfield's dislocated right thumb could keep him out anywhere from 3-to-6 weeks, depending on how quickly he's able to resume gripping the football without issue, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Chris Godwin Jr. (Questionable) — Godwin (ankle) is participating in Thursday's practice, Greg Auman of Fox Sports reports.; Bucky Irving (Questionable) — Irving (glute) remained limited at Thursday's practice.; SirVocea Dennis (Questionable) — Dennis (calf/personal) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Packers, Brianna Dix of the Buccaneers' official site reports.; Yaya Diaby (Questionable) — questionable; Ko Kieft (Out) — Kieft (elbow) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.; Keionte Scott (Questionable) — questionable; Benjamin Morrison (Out) — Morrison (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.

QUARTERBACK

• Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

  0 Y/A

  In his first 2026 game, Jalon Daniels threw for 0 passing yards, completed 0% of his passes and averaged 0 yards per attempt. His 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line comes from a one-game sample, so the relationship between completion rate and per-throw production is still an early read.

• Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

  6.81 Y/A

  Through 3 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 844 passing yards, completed 52.4% of his passes and averaged 6.81 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

TRENCHES

• TB: 76 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 138.7

  62.7 YPG

  Tampa Bay allows 76 rushing yards a game, while Green Bay allows 138.7. Through 3 games, Tampa has been tough to run on, and Green Bay has given up real yardage on the ground. Three games is a small sample, and a single big run can move these averages. Tampa's offense may find more room to run, which points to clock control and a slower game script.

PASS RUSH

• GB: 2.67 sacks taken per game to TB's 4.33

  1.67 SACKS

  Tampa Bay is taking 4.33 sacks a game through three games, almost double its 2.38 last season, while Green Bay is at 2.67 after 2.07. Sack totals over three games swing with one bad matchup, so the Bucs should improve. Until they do, drives stalling behind the line help Green Bay control field position and limit Tampa Bay's passing.

• GB: 14.7 sack yards lost per game to TB's 20

  5.3 YDS

  GB is at 14.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; TB is at 20 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 16.3 over 17 games and TB at 15.9 over 17 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• GB @ TB carries a 38.5 market total

  38.5

  At 38.5, this game sits 8 points under the 46.5 slate median, so the market expects a low-scoring game built on long drives, field goals and few quick strikes. The fact sheet gives no injury, weather or team-stat reason, so the number is the whole case here. For it to crack, both offenses would need early touchdowns or a short field off turnovers. A bettor can use it as a baseline: in a game priced this low, every early score carries extra weight against the total.

• TB: 30:03 time of possession per game to GB's 25:38

  4:25 TOP

  GB is at 25:38 time of possession per game over 3 games; TB is at 30:03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and TB at 31:53 over 17 games.

• TB: 26.3 points allowed per game to GB's 30.3

  4 PPG

  GB is at 30.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; TB is at 26.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

• GB: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to TB's 2.33

  1 TO

  GB is at 1.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; TB is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and TB at 0.94 over 17 games.

• GB: 0.67 fumbles lost per game to TB's 1.33

  0.67 FUM

  GB is at 0.67 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; TB is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 0.35 over 17 games and TB at 0.29 over 17 games.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS

• GB: 5.17 yards per play to TB's 4.73

  0.43 Y/P

  Green Bay is gaining more per snap than Tampa Bay over three games each, and both last games leaned on the deep ball: Jordan Love had throws of 45 to Matthew Golden and two to Christian Watson, while Baker Mayfield hit Ted Hurst III for a 40-yard score. Both offenses are below last season's marks, 5.61 for GB and 5.12 for TB, which hints at some rebound. Expect a game shaped by downfield passing, where one or two long completions can decide it.

RED ZONE

• TB: 37.5% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 83.3%

  45.8 PP

  GB is at 83.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; TB is at 37.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

• GB: 41.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 30%

  11.7 PP

  GB is at 41.7% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; TB is at 30% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 57.6% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.

MISMATCH

• GB: 266.7 pass yards a game to TB's 185

  266.7 VS 185

  Green Bay is throwing for 266.7 yards a game over three games, Tampa Bay 185. Last season they were close, 212.8 and 205.9, so both teams have moved from their usual level in a short sample. Tampa Bay needs a better passing day at home to keep up, and Packers passing props are priced off a three-game jump.

COVERAGE

• TB: 35.7% third downs allowed to GB's 50%

  14.3 PP

  Tampa Bay holds opponents to 35.7% on third down, while Green Bay allows 50%. Over three games a coin-flip conversion rate is hard to sustain, so the Packers' number should come down. For now, the Buccaneers offense should keep drives alive more easily than Green Bay's, which matters for time of possession and the total.

REPLACEMENT

• Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is doubtful for GB

  DOUBTFUL

  Doubtful means Cooper is very unlikely to play against Tampa Bay. The report does not name the injury. Plan as if Green Bay is without him at linebacker, and wait for the final inactive list before betting any Packers defensive props.

• Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

  IR

  McMillan went on injured reserve Wednesday with a knee injury, so he is out against Green Bay and for at least the next several games. Tampa Bay's receiver snaps get spread among the rest of the room, which can bump the depth receivers' volume a little.

• Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  Reed is expected to go on injured reserve with a neck injury, which takes him out for at least the next several games, this one at Tampa Bay included. His targets go to Green Bay's other receivers, so look at who picks up the slot role when you weigh Packers receiving props.

• Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

  PUP-R

  Parsons is Green Bay's top pass rusher, and he is working back from a knee injury. Matt LaFleur said Monday there have been no setbacks but he will not be cleared to practice this week, so he is not playing at Tampa Bay. Without him the Packers' pressure drops, which gives Tampa's quarterback more time and helps Bucs passing numbers.

• Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  Bako-Bewele went on injured reserve Monday with a knee injury and is out for the game at Tampa Bay. He is offensive line depth, so this mostly thins Green Bay's backup options if another lineman goes down during the game.

• Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  Green Bay placed Brinson, a defensive tackle, on injured reserve Saturday, Oct 3, with calf and groin injuries. Injured reserve rules him out of the Tampa Bay game and the next few weeks at minimum. The Packers will lean on their other interior linemen for snaps, so this is a depth loss on the defensive line more than a change to the game plan.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Benjamin Morrison

  Out

  Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

• Anthony Campbell

  Out

  Ankle · Did not practice · Out

• Ko Kieft

  Out

  Elbow · Did not practice · Out

• Baker Mayfield

  Out

  Thumb · Did not practice · Out

• Aaron Banks

  Out

  Knee, Toe · Did not practice · Out

• Jacob Monk

  Out

  Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

• Rueben Bain Jr.

  Out

  Groin, Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

• Jacob Parrish

  Questionable

  Not injury related - personal matter · Limited practice · Questionable

• Rakeem Nunez-Roches

  Questionable

  Ankle, Foot · Full practice · Questionable

• Edgerrin Cooper

  Questionable

  Shoulder, Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

• Jager Burton

  Questionable

  Groin · Limited practice · Questionable

• SirVocea Dennis

  Questionable

  Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

• Donovan Jennings

  LP

  Limited practice

• Javon Hargrave

  LP

  Limited practice

• Lukas Van Ness

  LP

  Limited practice

• Karl Brooks

  LP

  Limited practice

• Bo Melton

  FP

  Full practice

• Bucky Irving

  FP

  Full practice

• Anthony Belton

  FP

  Full practice

• Keionte Scott

  FP

  Full practice

• Josiah Trotter

  FP

  Full practice

• Chris Godwin Jr.

  FP

  Full practice

• Brandon Cisse

  FP

  Full practice

• Yaya Diaby

  FP

  Full practice

• DeMonte Capehart

  FP

  Coach's Decision · Full practice

• A'Shawn Robinson

  FP

  Full practice

• Benjamin St-Juste

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• GB: 266.7 team passing yards per game to TB's 185

  81.7 YPG

  GB is at 266.7 team passing yards per game over 3 games; TB is at 185 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 212.8 over 17 games and TB at 205.9 over 17 games.

• GB: 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 0%

  33.3 PP

  GB is at 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; TB is at 0% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 56% over 17 games and TB at 44.8% over 17 games.

• GB: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to TB's 1

  1 ATT/G

  GB is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; TB is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 1.47 over 17 games and TB at 1.71 over 17 games.

• GB has 3 more days of rest

  10d vs 7d

  Green Bay gets 10 days since its last game with a bye in between, while Tampa Bay is on a normal 7-day week. That 3-day gap means the Packers had extra time to heal bumps and build a plan specifically for this opponent. The edge is real on paper but modest, since 7 days is a standard week for Tampa Bay. When sizing up this game, count the rest as a small tilt toward the road side's preparation and health.

• GB (1-2) at TB (0-3)

  +18 PT GAP

  Green Bay is 1-2 but -35, so its losses have been lopsided. Tampa Bay is 0-3 at -17 and 0-2 at home, with closer losses than Green Bay's. Three games is early, but the Buccaneers' winless record looks worse than how they have played compared with the Packers. A road favorite with the weaker margin is a spot to be wary of.

• GB: 5.93 yards per pass attempt to TB's 5.03

  0.9 Y/A

  GB is at 5.93 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; TB is at 5.03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season GB was at 6.85 over 17 games and TB at 6.04 over 17 games.

STREAK

• TB has lost 3 straight

  L3

  Tampa Bay is 0-3 and still looking for its first win. Three games is a short sample, and the sheet does not show who they lost to, so this could be a bad team or a tough early schedule. Winless teams often get priced down hard by the market, and that is where value can show up. Against Green Bay at home, judge whether the line has overreacted to the record.

AFTER GARY

• GB -3 → -2.5

  NOW +0.5

  Gary's number was -3; the market closed at -2.5.