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Monthly game-pick tape

Every decided game pick remains in its month. Units use flat one-unit stakes at the listed odds; pushes count as graded but not as decisions.

Month	Record	Win %	Net	Graded
October 2026	134-152-3	47%	-32.3u	289
September 2026	263-274	49%	-39.7u	537
August 2026	196-200	49%	-26.9u	396
July 2026	203-195	51%	-19.9u	398
June 2026	268-179	60%	+64.1u	447
May 2026	145-119	55%	+6.4u	264
April 2026	217-186	54%	+5.2u	403
March 2026	279-249-6	53%	+0.2u	534
February 2026	116-116-1	50%	-10.4u	233
January 2026	124-119-1	51%	-4.4u	244
December 2025	122-106	54%	+5.6u	228
June 2025	5-5	50%	-0.8u	10
May 2025	43-25	63%	+12.4u	68
April 2025	1-1	50%	-0.1u	2

Confidence calibration

Confidence is Gary's ranking signal, not a promise of win probability. This table shows what actually happened inside each displayed band.

50–59% confidence

45-51

47% won · 99 graded · avg label 56%

60–69% confidence

96-86

53% won · 182 graded · avg label 66%

70–79% confidence

53-37

59% won · 90 graded · avg label 75%

80–89% confidence

13-18

42% won · 31 graded · avg label 83%

90–100% confidence

1-1

50% won · 2 graded · avg label 92%

Player props

571-466-6 · 55% · -29.6u · 1043 graded

This record starts September 2, 2026 and covers Gary’s core player-prop picks. Older core player-prop rows remain available in the raw CSV and JSON ledgers. The separate Home Run Threat lane is excluded from both this record and those downloads. NFL anytime-touchdown fun picks are excluded from this core record and remain available in the raw ledgers. Some winning rows have no recorded odds and use the disclosed 0.9-unit fallback in net-unit calculations; the exports retain the original missing values.

Methodology, known corrections, and source policy are documented in the editorial standards, corrections process, and data-source policy.