Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

Injuries noted

Kansas City Chiefs: Omarr Norman-Lott (PUP-R) — Norman-Lott (knee) was moved to the reserve/PUP list by the Chiefs on Sunday.; Ethan Downs (IR) — Knee - ACL; John Michael Gyllenborg (IR) — Knee; Jeff Caldwell (IR) — Caldwell (knee) reverted to the Chiefs' injured reserve list Tuesday, Charles Goldman of AtoZSports.com reports.; Jimmy Holiday (IR) — Holiday (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve by the Chiefs on Sunday.; Josh Simmons (Out) — Simmons (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raiders.; Matt Waletzko (IR) — Waletzko (undisclosed) reverted from waivers to Kansas City's injured reserve list Friday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.; Chamarri Conner (Questionable) — Conner (knee) has a good chance to play in Sunday's game against the Raiders, Matt McMullen of the Chiefs' official site reported Monday.; Cooper McDonald (IR) — The Chiefs placed McDonald (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday.; L'Jarius Sneed (Questionable) — questionable

Las Vegas Raiders: Chris Collier (IR) — Collier (undisclosed) reverted to injured reserve with the Raiders on Sunday, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.; Justin Shorter (IR) — Undisclosed; Corey Rucker (IR) — Undisclosed; Justin Pickett (IR) — ir; Chigozie Anusiem (IR) — The Raiders placed Anusiem (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Keyron Crawford (IR) — The Raiders placed Crawford (ankle) on injured reserve Sunday, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.; Brennan Jackson (IR) — ir; Carter Runyon (IR-R) — Runyon (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve by the Raiders on Sunday with a designation to return.; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (IR) — Head coach Klint Kubiak said Friday that the hope is that Thornton (undisclosed) will be back at practice ahead of the Raiders' Week 5 road tilt against the Patriots, Levi Edwards of the Raiders' official site reports.; Aidan O'Connell (Questionable) — O'Connell (personal) won't practice Wednesday, Ryan McFadden of ESPN.com reports.; Treydan Stukes (Questionable) — Stukes (concussion) was a full participant at practice Wednesday.; Jack Bech (IR) — The Raiders placed Bech (forearm) on injured reserve Tuesday.; Jackson Powers-Johnson (Out) — out

QUARTERBACK

• Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

  8.29 Y/A

  Through 3 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 812 passing yards, completed 68.4% of his passes and averaged 8.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

• Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

  7.18 Y/A

  Through 3 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 661 passing yards, completed 67.4% of his passes and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

TRENCHES

• KC: 153.3 rushing yards per game to LV's 100

  53.3 YPG

  Kansas City is running for 153.3 a game over three games, way up from 106.6 last season, and Las Vegas has climbed from 77.5 to 100. A three-game jump that large for the Chiefs likely settles, but a balanced Kansas City is harder to defend. Both teams running more points toward a game that may move faster on the clock than last year's matchups.

• KC: 4.83 yards per rush attempt to LV's 3.23

  1.6 Y/C

  Kansas City is getting 4.83 yards a carry, while the Raiders sit at 3.23 through three games. KC has gone up from 4.29 last season and Vegas is close to its 3.38, so the Raiders' number looks like who they are. If KC can lean on the run, it controls the pace and keeps Vegas off the field, which matters for rushing props and how long drives take.

PASS RUSH

• LV: 3.33 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.33

  2 SACKS

  Las Vegas averages 3.33 sacks a game, and Kansas City averages 1.33. Over 3 games, the Raiders have generated steady pressure while the Chiefs have been quieter up front. Sack rates can swing with opponents faced, so neither figure is fixed yet. The pressure edge belongs to Las Vegas in this game, which matters for how comfortable each quarterback is going to be.

PACE & SCRIPT

• KC: 32:07 time of possession per game to LV's 30:03

  2:04 TOP

  KC is at 32:07 time of possession per game over 3 games; LV is at 30:03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 30:09 over 17 games and LV at 28:03 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

• LV: 3 takeaways per game to KC's 1.67

  1.33 TO

  Las Vegas forces 3 takeaways a game, and Kansas City forces 1.67. Three takeaways a game over 3 games is a pace no defense holds, since turnovers come in bunches and depend on opponent mistakes. Expect that number to come down. If Kansas City keeps the ball safe, a big piece of Las Vegas's defensive edge goes away.

• KC: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to LV's 1.33

  0.67 TO

  KC is at 0.67 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; LV is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 0.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.35 over 17 games.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS

• KC: 6.47 yards per play to LV's 4.93

  1.53 Y/P

  Kansas City is at 6.47 yards a play through three games after 5.05 last season, and its last game had four plays of 20 or more, led by a 48-yard Mahomes throw to Travis Kelce. Las Vegas has improved too, from 4.35 to 4.93, with a 36-yard Mike Washington Jr. touchdown run in its last game. The Chiefs' jump is large for three games and may cool, but their explosive passing gives them the edge in big plays.

RED ZONE

• KC: 57.1% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 77.8%

  20.6 PP

  Kansas City allows opponents to score on 57.1% of red-zone trips, and Las Vegas allows 77.8%. Red-zone rates over three games rest on very few trips, so both are shaky. If it holds, the Chiefs turn more drives into touchdowns while the Raiders settle for field goals more often, which matters for the total and touchdown props.

MISMATCH

• KC: 6.47 yards a snap to LV's 4.93

  6.47 VS 4.93

  Kansas City averages 6.47 yards per play over three games, Las Vegas 4.93. Both are well above last season, 5.05 and 4.35, so some cooling is likely, but the gap between them matches last season. The Raiders need to shorten the game and limit the number of Chiefs drives.

COVERAGE

• KC: 4.6 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.17

  0.57 Y/P

  KC is at 4.6 yards per play allowed over 3 games; LV is at 5.17 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 3.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

• KC and LV are even since 2025

  1-1 SERIES

  These two split the last two seasons, and the games could not have looked more different. Kansas City rolled 31-0 at home on Oct 19, 2025, then lost 14-12 in Las Vegas on Jan 4 in a game where its offense never got going. That is a two-game sample with the home side winning both, so it says little about who has the edge now. The January result is a reminder that Las Vegas at home can drag Kansas City into a low-scoring fight, which is the spot to think about here.

REPLACEMENT

• Tyquan Thornton (WR) is out for KC

  OUT

  Thornton dislocated his ankle in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Raiders and is out indefinitely, so this is a multi-week absence. A dislocation is a serious injury, and the indefinite label means there is no return date to plan around. The fact sheet does not say who takes his snaps, so watch how Kansas City spreads the receiver targets in its next game before betting any receiver props.

• Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

  IR

  Bech went on injured reserve Tuesday, Sep 29, with a forearm injury, so he misses the Kansas City game. Las Vegas is also without Thornton at receiver, which thins the depth chart further. Look to the healthy Raiders wideouts to absorb the work.

• Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

  IR

  Thornton is on injured reserve with an undisclosed injury, so he is out against Kansas City. Klint Kubiak said Friday the hope is he returns to practice before the Week 5 road game at New England, which points to that week at the earliest. For this game, the Raiders' receiver snaps go elsewhere.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Josh Simmons

  Out

  Back · Did not practice · Out

• Jackson Powers-Johnson

  Out

  Groin · Did not practice · Out

• Aidan O'Connell

  Questionable

  Not injury related - personal matter · Did not practice · Questionable

• Cody White

  LP

  Limited practice

• Brock Bowers

  LP

  Limited practice

• Chris Roland-Wallace

  FP

  Full practice

• Eric Stokes

  FP

  Full practice

• Treydan Stukes

  FP

  Full practice

• Chamarri Conner

  FP

  Full practice

• Patrick Mahomes

  FP

  Full practice

• Rashee Rice

  FP

  Full practice

• Felix Anudike-Uzomah

  FP

  Full practice

• Tristin McCollum

  FP

  Coach's Decision · Full practice

• Isaiah Pola-Mao

  FP

  Full practice

• Chris Jones

  FP

  Full practice

• L'Jarius Sneed

  FP

  Full practice

• Jadon Canady

  FP

  Coach's Decision · Full practice

• Malik Benson

  FP

  Full practice

• Jack Cochrane

  FP

  Full practice

• Ashton Gillotte

  FP

  Full practice

• Folorunso Fatukasi

  FP

  Full practice

• Ashton Jeanty

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• KC: 263 team passing yards per game to LV's 211.7

  51.3 YPG

  KC is at 263 team passing yards per game over 3 games; LV is at 211.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and LV at 167.7 over 17 games.

• KC: 7.93 yards per pass attempt to LV's 6.53

  1.4 Y/A

  KC is at 7.93 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; LV is at 6.53 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and LV at 4.94 over 17 games.

• KC: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to LV's 1

  1 ATT/G

  KC is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; LV is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 3. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.88 over 17 games.

• KC (3-0) at LV (3-0), a division game

  -4 PT GAP

  Both teams are 3-0 and both are winning by margin: Kansas City +38, Las Vegas +34. Each has played just one game in this spot, the Chiefs 1-0 away and the Raiders 1-0 at home. One unbeaten team leaves after this division game, so at least one streak ends. The margins are almost even, so a wide number either way is betting on reputation more than this season's form.

STREAK

• KC has won 3 straight

  W3

  Kansas City is 3-0 and walks into Las Vegas to face another 3-0 team. Three games is a small sample, and the sheet does not show who either side has beaten. When two unbeaten division teams meet, the records cancel out and the line comes down to matchups. Bet this on how the units line up, since the streaks tell you nothing about who wins here.

• LV has won 3 straight

  W3

  Las Vegas is 3-0, and hosting an unbeaten Kansas City is the first game that will show whether that start is real. Three games is a short sample, and the opponents are not on the sheet. The market usually trusts the established team over the surprise one in a spot like this. If Las Vegas is getting points at home while unbeaten, ask whether that reflects the teams or their reputations.

TEAM RECORD

• AFC WEST game: KC 1-0, LV 1-0 in the division

  DIVISION

  Both teams have one division game on the books and both won it, so this is the first real sort in the AFC West. One game is a thin sample, and the sheet does not show who either team beat. With both sides at 3-0 overall, price this off how each team has played in those wins, since the 1-0 division marks tell you very little on their own.

AFTER GARY

• LV +4.5 → +4.5

  NOW +0.7PP

  Gary's number was 4.5; the same book now shows 4.5.