Sports picks for Monday, October 5, 2026
779 stored itemsGary’s saved picks and research for this day. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.
Game picks
7
White Sox Moneyline
Yankees Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline
Boston Bruins Moneyline
Dallas Stars Moneyline
Falcons MoneylinePlayer props
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Research
889- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSDEN @ SF
SF: 6.97 yards per play to DEN's 4.8
DEN is at 4.8 yards per play over 4 games; SF is at 6.97 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 5.32 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games. DEN had 2 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 30-yard pass (Bo Nix Pass Complete for 30 Yds to Pat Bryant); 25-yard pass (Bo Nix Pass Complete for 25 Yds to Tyler Badie). SF had 4 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 56-yard pass for a touchdown (George Kittle 56 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Eddy Pineiro Kick)); 24-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 24 Yds to Mike Evans); 22-yard run (Deebo Samuel Sr. 22 Yd Rush).
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PACE & SCRIPTMIA @ MIN
MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to MIA's 25.3
Minnesota allows 12.8 points a game, about half of what Miami gives up. That is a sharp improvement from 19.6 last season, and four games is a small enough sample that some regression is likely. Miami is at 25.3, nearly the same as its 24.9 last season, so that one looks steady. In Minnesota, the Dolphins are the side more likely to be chasing points.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSTEN @ BAL
BAL: 6.58 yards per play to TEN's 4.85
Baltimore averages 6.58 yards a snap, well ahead of Tennessee's 4.85. The Ravens were at 5.92 last season, so four games may be a little high. Tennessee has improved from 4.38. The gap still points to the Ravens moving the ball more easily, which helps them control the game at home.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR: 290.3 team passing yards per game to PHI's 160.8
LAR is at 290.3 team passing yards per game over 4 games; PHI is at 160.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and PHI at 194.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PACE & SCRIPTNE @ BUF
BUF: 31.8 points per game to NE's 16.3
Buffalo is scoring nearly twice as much as New England this season, and 31.8 a game is up from 28.3 last season. The bigger story is New England dropping to 16.3 from 28.8 last season. Four games is early, so the Patriots should bounce back some if their offense settles. In Buffalo, the gap favors the Bills, but the Patriots' points could tick up from here.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ BAL
BAL: 29 points per game to TEN's 13.8
Baltimore is scoring 29 a game, more than double Tennessee's 13.8. The Ravens are up from 24.9 last season, so some cooling over a full season is fair. Tennessee was at 16.7 last season and is lower now. In Baltimore, the Titans need a lot to go right to keep pace.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- RED ZONEMIA @ MIN
MIN: 18.2% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 64.7%
Minnesota has allowed touchdowns on only 18.2% of red-zone trips across 4 games, against Miami's 64.7%. That Minnesota number comes from a small pool of trips and is the kind that moves the most as the season goes on. Miami's rate sits closer to normal. Bettors can expect Minnesota to force more field goals than Miami, but should price in some regression from that 18.2% before leaning hard on it.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Rashawn Slater (OT) is out for LAC
Slater, the Chargers' left tackle, suffered a high-ankle sprain Sunday against Seattle and is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks. That is a long absence for the player protecting the quarterback's blind side, and it will not resolve this week. The sheet does not name his replacement, so think about pressure on the Chargers' passer as a multi-week factor, not a one-game blip.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
James Thompson Jr. (DT) is doubtful for SF
Doubtful usually means a player will not suit up, and Kyle Shanahan said Monday he does not expect Thompson back for Week 5 because of an ankle injury. That leaves San Francisco a defensive tackle short against Denver. The sheet does not name the next man up on the interior. One missing tackle matters most against the run, so the Broncos' rushing numbers are the place to apply it.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Marques Sigle (S) is doubtful for SF
Marques Sigle hurt his ankle in the 49ers' 24-14 win over the Broncos on Sunday, and it is a high-ankle injury expected to cost him multiple weeks. Doubtful undersells it: this is a multi-week absence. Combined with Bosa and Thompson both doubtful, the 49ers defense is missing pieces at every level, which is worth weighing in any spot where opponents need to move the ball through the air.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Jaylin Lane (WR) is out for WSH
Lane's season is over: Dan Quinn said Monday the ankle injury keeps him out for the rest of the year, so this is a permanent change for Washington. Out means he will not play against the Colts or any game after. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so watch how the other receivers are used this week before trusting any Washington receiver prop built on last month's usage.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- MISMATCHNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 196.3 rush yards a game to NYJ's 84
Chicago is running for 196.3 yards a game through 4 games, and the Jets are at 84. Both moved a lot from last season: Chicago was at 144.5, the Jets at 123.3. Four games can inflate a ground game, so expect Chicago to cool some and the Jets to climb. At home, the Bears can lean on the run to shorten the game, and the Jets need early points to keep that from happening.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is doubtful for DET
Ya-Sin is doubtful with a hamstring injury and expected to sit, which thins Detroit's cornerback group. The report places the game at Arizona while the listed matchup is at Carolina, so confirm the opponent before acting on it. Hamstrings can linger, so this may stretch past one week. The sheet does not name a replacement, and opposing receivers facing a short-handed secondary are the obvious angle.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- MISMATCHLAR @ PHI
LAR: 290.3 pass yards a game to PHI's 160.8
The Rams are throwing for 290.3 yards a game through 4 games, and Philadelphia is at 160.8. The Rams were at 268.1 last season, so this is close to their normal, while the Eagles have fallen from 194.3. The Rams number looks like it holds, and the Eagles passing game has room to bounce back. Philadelphia hiding a thin passing game means leaning on the ground and keeping the Rams offense off the field.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Tank Bigsby (RB) is out for PHI
Bigsby needs core muscle surgery and is headed to injured reserve, so he is gone for multiple weeks. That matters more than usual for Philadelphia right now because Saquon Barkley is also dealing with a new hamstring injury. If Barkley is limited too, the Eagles backfield gets thin fast, and carries could land with whoever is left on the depth chart.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Adonai Mitchell (WR) is doubtful for NYJ
The Jets list Mitchell as doubtful, with no injury detail on the sheet. Doubtful usually means he sits. With Breece Hall and Mason Taylor also doubtful, the Jets could be short several skill players at once, which matters more for their offense than any single absence.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Braiden McGregor (DE) is out for NYJ
Braiden McGregor is done for the season. He hurt his pectoral in Sunday's loss to the Bears, and the Jets confirmed it was season-ending. This is no weekly decision: the Jets have to plan the rest of the year at defensive end without him. No replacement is named here, so watch who gets his snaps next game, since that player becomes the long-term answer.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- MISMATCHATL @ NO
NO: 281.3 pass yards a game to ATL's 167.7
New Orleans is throwing for 281.3 yards a game through only 3 games, and Atlanta is at 167.7. Last season the Saints were at 219.3 and the Falcons at 207.2, so both numbers have moved far from their normal in a short stretch. Expect them to drift back toward each other. Atlanta's job at New Orleans is to run the ball and keep the Saints passing game on the bench.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- MISMATCHKC @ LV
KC: 162.3 rush yards a game to LV's 93
Kansas City is running for 162.3 yards a game through 4 games, and Las Vegas is at 93. Both are up from last season, the Chiefs at 106.6 and the Raiders at 77.5, and the Chiefs jump is the bigger one, so expect it to come down some. If the Chiefs can run at will on the road, they control the clock, and the Raiders have to keep games close early to stay in their own plan.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PASS RUSHKC @ LV
LV: 3 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1
Las Vegas gets 3 sacks a game over 4 games, Kansas City just 1. Sack rates are steadier than most defensive stats, so this gap probably isn't pure noise, though who they faced isn't listed. For this game, the Raiders' rush is the more likely of the two to create negative plays, which matters on obvious passing downs and for sack props.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Breece Hall (RB) is doubtful for NYJ
The Jets list Hall as doubtful, with no injury detail given. Doubtful usually means he does not play, which would take their lead back out of the game plan. The sheet names no replacement, so check who gets the first-team snaps late in the week before betting any Jets rushing prop.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTKC @ LV
KC @ LV carries a 57.5 market total
A 57.5 total says the market expects a shootout, with both teams finishing drives in the end zone. That is 13 points above the 44.5 slate median. For it to crack, one offense has to stall: drives that end in field goals instead of touchdowns add up fast against a number this high. Red-zone finishing is the thing to judge this one on.
- PACE & SCRIPTGB @ TB
GB @ TB carries a 31.5 market total
At 31.5, the market expects a slow, grinding game, with points coming in field goals and short fields more than long drives. That sits 13 points under the 44.5 slate median, a gap that size usually prices in weather, injuries or two defenses the books respect. For it to crack, one team has to hit a couple of explosive plays early and force the other out of its game plan. The under is already priced in heavily, so the question is whether you see a path to two quick scores.
- MISMATCHIND @ WSH
WSH: 0.5 turnovers a game to IND's 2
Indianapolis is giving the ball away 2 times a game through 4 games, while Washington is at 0.5. Last season both teams sat at 1.35, so neither number looks like who these teams are, and both should drift back toward that mark. For this game, Washington's edge is in the extra possessions it keeps getting, and a Colts offense that cleans up its giveaways closes much of the gap.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Nick Bosa (DE) is doubtful for SF
Nick Bosa has a calf injury and is unlikely to play in Week 5. Doubtful means he probably sits, so plan for a 49ers front without him. San Francisco also lists defensive tackle James Thompson Jr. as doubtful, which thins the defensive line further. A bettor should think about how much pass rush the 49ers can still generate with two linemen likely missing in the same week.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is out for ARI
Johnson is done for the rest of the season with a biceps injury, reported Oct 6, so this is a long-term hole on Arizona's offensive line rather than a one-week absence. The sheet does not name his replacement, so the question for the trip to New York is who protects that edge now. Losing a starting tackle for good tends to show up in sacks and stalled drives, which makes the Cardinals' pass protection the spot to watch in this and later games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PACE & SCRIPTDET @ CAR
DET @ CAR carries a 58.5 market total
The market expects a lot of points here: 58.5 is 14 points above the 44.5 slate median, which prices in both offenses moving the ball with ease. A total this high assumes long scoring drives and few empty possessions. If either side controls the clock or settles for kicks early, the over falls behind quickly. Think about whether both teams can carry their share of the scoring.
- PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ SF
SF: 30.5 points per game to DEN's 18.5
DEN is at 18.5 points per game over 4 games; SF is at 30.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 23.6 over 17 games and SF at 25.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- RED ZONEJAX @ CIN
JAX: 81.8% red-zone scoring rate to CIN's 50%
JAX is at 81.8% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; CIN is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season JAX was at 61.8% over 17 games and CIN at 66.7% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PASS RUSHMIA @ MIN
MIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1
Minnesota's defense averages 4 sacks a game over 4 games; Miami averages 1. Sack production tends to hold up better than most small-sample defensive stats, though opponent quality isn't on the sheet. That gap pairs with Minnesota's third-down numbers on this matchup: pressure ends drives. Miami's quarterback faces a pass rush that has been far more disruptive than the one Minnesota's will see.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PASS RUSHDAL @ HOU
HOU: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1
Houston's pass rush gets home 3.5 times a game over 4 games; Dallas manages 1. Sack rates settle faster than most defensive numbers, so Houston's edge is more believable than a red-zone split. Who each team faced isn't on the sheet, so some of this could be schedule. In this matchup, Houston's ability to stall drives with negative plays matters more than Dallas's, which helps with drive-count and quarterback sack props.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Reese Taylor (CB) is out for MIA
Taylor is ruled out with a quadriceps injury, reported Oct 6, which takes a cornerback out of Miami's secondary for this game. The report ties the absence to a Week 5 game against the Bengals, while the matchup listed is at Minnesota, so check the schedule before betting it. The sheet does not name who steps in at corner. A depleted secondary can open up the opposing receivers, so their yardage props are the natural place to look.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Donovan Jackson (G) is out for MIN
Donovan Jackson tore his meniscus in Sunday's game against the Dolphins and is listed as out. A guard missing time changes the interior of the line, and a torn meniscus usually means more than one week. The sheet does not say who steps in. Pair this with Christian Darrisaw's concussion status, because two Vikings linemen hurt in the same game is a bigger concern than either one alone.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTKC @ LV
Tyquan Thornton (WR) is out for KC
Thornton dislocated his left ankle in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Raiders and will have surgery this week, with a 3-to-4 week expected recovery. That rules him out for this game and likely a few after it. His targets get spread among the remaining Kansas City receivers, so look at who steps into his snaps before sizing up receiver props.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Jamel Dean (CB) is doubtful for PIT
Doubtful means Dean is very unlikely to play, and the report says the Steelers could be without him for a couple of weeks. He hurt his ankle in Thursday's 27-24 loss to the Browns and left that game. Losing a starting corner thins out the coverage, so the backups behind him will see more snaps. For bettors, that points toward the opposing passing game having an easier path while he is out.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB
Mayfield is out against Green Bay, so Tampa Bay plays this one without its starting quarterback. The Oct 5 report lists no injury or timeline. A quarterback change is the biggest injury swing a line can absorb, so check where the spread and total settle now that his status is final, and price Bucs passing props off whoever starts in his place.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- MISMATCHDEN @ SF
SF: 6.97 yards a snap to DEN's 4.8
The widest gap between these two is yards a snap: DEN averaged 4.8 yards a snap on offense over 4 games; SF averaged 6.97 yards a snap on offense over 4 games this season. Last season DEN was at 5.32 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI
Williams is the starting quarterback, so this is the biggest kind of absence a team can have. Ben Johnson said Monday the hamstring will keep him out of practice this week and called it week-to-week, which is a step worse than day-to-day and points to more than one missed game. The fact sheet does not name the backup, so check who gets first-team reps before trusting any Bears passing number.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- COVERAGEMIA @ MIN
MIN: 22.6% third downs allowed to MIA's 46.7%
Minnesota has let opponents convert just 22.6% of third downs over 4 games, while Miami allows 46.7%. Minnesota's mark is extreme and will likely rise some, since nobody stays that low for long; Miami's number looks like a real weakness. With no opponent detail available, 4 games is the sample. Miami's offense should face more three-and-outs, which shapes possession count and pace in this one.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- MISMATCHTEN @ BAL
BAL: 6.58 yards a snap to TEN's 4.85
Baltimore gains 6.58 yards every time it snaps the ball through 4 games, and Tennessee gains 4.85. Both are up from last season, Baltimore at 5.92 and Tennessee at 4.38, so the order between them matches what they were. That gap usually means Baltimore finishes drives and Tennessee punts. Tennessee's path is long, slow drives that keep the Ravens offense on the sideline.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- TRENCHESATL @ NO
ATL: 47.7 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 128.7
Atlanta has allowed only 47.7 rushing yards a game over 3 games, while New Orleans gives up 128.7. Three games is a thin sample, and run defense numbers bend with game script: teams that fall behind stop running. Expect Atlanta's figure to climb. In this spot, Atlanta's backs face a defense that has given up yards on the ground, while New Orleans may have to lean on the pass.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is out for GB
Cooper tore his Achilles in Sunday's 17-14 win at Tampa Bay and will miss the rest of the season. That takes a starting linebacker off Green Bay's defense for good. The sheet does not name who steps in, so look at how the Packers handle run defense and coverage in the middle over the next couple of games before assuming the unit holds its form.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- RED ZONEGB @ TB
TB: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 85.7%
GB is at 85.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; TB is at 45.5% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PACE & SCRIPTMIA @ MIN
MIA @ MIN carries a 31.5 market total
At 31.5, 13 points below the 44.5 slate median, the market sees very little scoring here, the kind of game decided by a turnover or a long field goal. Totals priced this low leave the over needing only one or two short-field touchdowns to get close. A defensive or special teams score can swing it on its own. The low number is the expectation, so the bet is really about whether that one big play shows up.
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is out for TB
Winfield has a slight rib fracture, diagnosed Monday, and Todd Bowles expects him to miss 2-to-4 weeks. He is ruled out against Green Bay, and the timeline means Tampa Bay is likely without its safety for more than this game. When a team loses a starting safety, look at how its replacement holds up in coverage before trusting that defense against the pass.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Pat Bryant (WR) is doubtful for DEN
Bryant sprained his right ankle in Sunday's 24-14 loss to the 49ers and is expected to miss a few weeks. Doubtful matches that timeline: plan on Denver playing without him. The sheet names no replacement, so treat the Broncos' receiver targets as unsettled until a new pecking order shows up on the field.
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ HOU
DAL @ HOU carries a 64.5 market total
A 64.5 total says the market expects both offenses to score almost every time they touch the ball, with few punts. That is 20 points above the 44.5 slate median, the biggest outlier on the board. Numbers this high need a fast start to stay alive: a scoreless first quarter or a couple of red-zone stalls and the over is chasing all game. Watch how the opening drives go before trusting the pace the number assumes.
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL
Jackson is the quarterback and the engine of Baltimore's offense, so any doubt here moves the whole game. Jesse Minter said Monday he does not know the chances yet and the team is still gathering imaging on the ankle, which is about as open as a coach gets. Questionable this early means wait for practice participation midweek before leaning on any Ravens line.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Cobie Durant (CB) is doubtful for DAL
Durant has a hamstring injury and is expected to miss Thursday's game, per the Cowboys' official site. Doubtful usually means a player sits, so plan on Dallas playing without him at corner. Hamstrings can linger, so this is worth rechecking the following week too. If you are looking at the opposing receivers, a thinner Dallas secondary is the angle to consider.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Marcus Mariota (QB) is doubtful for WSH
Mariota has a sprained MCL in his right knee, confirmed Oct 5, and Washington has no return timeline yet. Doubtful means he is unlikely to play against Indianapolis. With Jayden Daniels also listed as questionable, Washington's quarterback room is thin this week, so check who is cleared to start before you bet anything tied to the Commanders' passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Braxton Berrios (WR) is doubtful for NYG
Berrios has a foot and ankle injury, and the Giants have not ruled out injured reserve, which suggests this could last beyond one week. Doubtful means he is unlikely to face Arizona. The sheet does not say who takes his snaps, so wait for the Giants' receiver usage before betting on any New York pass catcher's props.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Arden Key (DE) is out for IND
Arden Key will not play this week. He has a hamstring injury, and the Colts ruled him out on Oct 6. OUT means no chance he suits up, so the edge rush rotation goes on without him. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so the useful step for a bettor is to check the depth chart before kickoff and see how much Indianapolis has to lean on its other defensive ends.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Jayden Daniels (QB) is questionable for WSH
Daniels is dealing with a left elbow issue. Dan Quinn said Monday the plan is a full practice week and then a Sunday start. Questionable means it could go either way, but the coach is describing a starter. Backup Marcus Mariota is doubtful with a knee sprain, so if Daniels misses practice days this week, Washington's quarterback picture gets murky fast. His Wednesday and Thursday practice reports are the ones to check.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- SITUATIONALGB @ TB
GB: 249.3 team passing yards per game to TB's 172.3
Green Bay is passing for 77 more yards a game than Tampa Bay through 4 games. Both teams moved off last season: Green Bay up from 212.8, Tampa Bay down from 205.9. Tampa's drop fits with its 4 sacks taken per game this season, so the protection issue and the low yardage likely travel together. If Tampa's line keeps leaking, Green Bay's passing edge is the side more likely to hold in this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- MISMATCHMIA @ MIN
MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to MIA's 25.3
Minnesota allows 12.8 points a game through 4 games, and Miami allows 25.3. Miami was at 24.9 last season, so that number looks real, while Minnesota has dropped from 19.6 and will likely give up a bit more over time. On the road, Miami needs long drives that end in touchdowns, because field goals against this defense will not keep pace.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PACE & SCRIPTNE @ BUF
NE @ BUF carries a 55.5 market total
At 55.5, 11 points above the 44.5 slate median, the market expects an open division game with steady scoring on both sides. That number leans on both offenses doing their part. If one team turns it into a one-sided game and runs the clock in the second half, the late points the over needs may never come. Game script matters as much as the offenses here.
- MISMATCHGB @ TB
GB: 2 sacks taken a game to TB's 4
Tampa Bay quarterbacks are getting sacked 4 times a game through 4 games, and Green Bay's 2 times. Last season Tampa Bay was at 2.38 and Green Bay at 2.07, so the Bucs jump stands out and should ease. At home, Tampa Bay hides it with quick throws and the run game, and every sack it takes against Green Bay kills a drive.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Kyle Juszczyk (FB) is doubtful for SF
Juszczyk likely sprained his right knee in Sunday's 24-14 win over the Broncos and is expected to miss several weeks. Doubtful lines up with that, so expect San Francisco to go without its fullback for a stretch. The sheet names no replacement, which makes it a run-game wrinkle to watch more than a betting signal on its own.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- TEAM RECORDNYY @ TB
Yankees 7-1 in Cam Schlittler's last 8 starts
New York has won almost every time Schlittler takes the ball lately, with one loss in his last 8 turns. A team record includes the lineup and bullpen as much as the starter, and the sheet gives no detail on how he pitched in those games. Use it as a sign the Yankees play well behind him, then check how much of that the price in Tampa already reflects.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSKC @ LV
KC: 6.58 yards per play to LV's 5.1
Kansas City is gaining 6.58 yards a play over 4 games, a huge leap from 5.05 last season, and its last game had 6 plays of 20 or more yards, led by a 76-yard Kenneth Walker III run and a 55-yarder from Patrick Mahomes to Tyquan Thornton. Las Vegas is also up, from 4.35 to 5.1, and matched with 6 explosive plays of its own last time out. Big plays inflate yards per play over a short sample, so Kansas City's number likely cools. The style edge is Kansas City's ability to hit chunk plays, which keeps it dangerous even when drives stall.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- TRENCHESDAL @ HOU
HOU: 83.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 150.3
Dallas gives up 150.3 rushing yards a game over 4 games; Houston allows 83.8. That Dallas number is a real problem through a quarter of the season, though the opponents behind it aren't on the sheet. Houston should be able to run, which supports a ball-control script for the home side and rushing props for Houston's backs.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- MISMATCHJAX @ CIN
CIN: 277.5 pass yards a game to JAX's 199.3
Cincinnati is throwing for 277.5 yards a game through 4 games, and Jacksonville is at 199.3. The Bengals are up from 235.6 last season and the Jaguars down from 222.3, so the gap between them is wider than usual and both should drift back some. Jacksonville's best way to hide the gap at Cincinnati is a run-heavy plan that keeps the Bengals passing game on the sideline.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC
Jim Harbaugh called McConkey week-to-week with a foot injury, reported Oct 5, so the questionable tag leans toward missing time against Seattle. He is a key target in the Chargers' passing game, and the sheet does not say who absorbs his looks. Foot injuries for receivers often linger. If he sits, the other Chargers pass catchers' target and yardage props are where the value shifts.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- TURNOVERSLAC @ SEA
SEA: 1.25 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.5
LAC is at 2.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Zach Wilson (QB) is inactive for NO
Wilson is inactive by coach's decision and will be the Saints' emergency third quarterback for the game against the Falcons. That is a routine roster spot with no injury involved. It has no bearing on the Saints' starter or game plan unless two quarterbacks go down.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Rico Dowdle (RB) is questionable for PIT
Dowdle is working back from a toe injury, and his coach said he had a positive workout Friday and is making progress. The team is still unsure whether he will be available, which is exactly what questionable means. Progress reports without a firm answer often go down to game day, so hold off on any Dowdle or Steelers backfield props until his status is confirmed.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI
Love has a new ankle issue. Mike LaFleur said Monday it is not the high-ankle sprain he dealt with in August. Questionable means his status for the game at the Giants is uncertain. Ankle injuries at running back can limit snaps even when the player is active, so look for his practice participation before betting on Arizona's rushing props.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Mack Hollins (WR) is questionable for NE
Hollins has a calf injury, Mike Vrabel expects more information later Monday, and the Patriots are unsure he can practice for a couple of days. Questionable is a true coin flip here. His practice status midweek is the tell, so hold off on New England receiver bets until that report lands.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF
Moore has a shoulder injury that isn't considered long-term, according to the Oct 5 report. Questionable means a real chance either way, and the final call often comes close to kickoff against New England. The short-term label points to a quick return, though this game is still in doubt. Before betting Bills receiving props or Moore's own lines, wait for the inactive list rather than pricing in a full workload.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Konata Mumpfield (WR) is questionable for LAR
Mumpfield took a rotator cuff contusion in Sunday's 24-20 win over the Eagles and is questionable. A contusion is a bruise, which is generally less serious than a tear, though the sheet gives no timeline. His status is a true wait-and-see, so hold off on any Rams receiver props until his practice participation is clearer.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- MISMATCHNE @ BUF
BUF: 53.3% on third down to NE's 34.6%
Buffalo is converting 53.3% of its third downs through 4 games, and New England 34.6%. Last season they were close, Buffalo at 44.8% and New England at 42.9%, so the gap is mostly a 4-game swing and should narrow. In this matchup Buffalo is extending drives at a much higher rate, so New England has to stay ahead of the chains on first and second down at Buffalo to keep up.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Tee Higgins (WR) is questionable for CIN
Higgins has an adductor injury and Zac Taylor called him day to day, which fits the questionable tag: he could play against Jacksonville or sit. Day to day usually means the team does not see a long absence. If he goes, keep in mind a lingering adductor can limit his snaps, so be careful with his yardage props until he shows he is moving normally.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI
Monangai hurt his right thumb in Sunday's 23-12 win over the Jets, and Ben Johnson called him day-to-day. That is the mild end of the scale, and running backs often play through thumb injuries. Practice reports this week will tell you whether his workload gets trimmed.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Mason Taylor (TE) is doubtful for NYJ
The Jets list Taylor as doubtful, with no injury detail on the sheet. Doubtful usually means he sits, and alongside Hall and Mitchell also doubtful, the Jets could be thin at several skill spots in the same game. That stacked absence is the part a bettor should weigh.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Terry McLaurin (WR) is questionable for WSH
McLaurin is dealing with a hamstring injury. As of Monday, Washington was still deciding what he can do at Wednesday's practice. Questionable leaves real doubt about whether he plays against Indianapolis, and hamstring injuries can linger. With both Washington quarterbacks also on the report, the Commanders' passing game carries extra uncertainty this week, so wait on his practice reports before betting his receiving props.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Rachaad White (RB) is questionable for WSH
White is questionable with a shoulder injury, but Dan Quinn said Monday he "should" practice this week. That is an encouraging sign for a questionable tag, since practice is usually the step before playing. Check the midweek practice reports: if he is a full participant, expect him active against the Colts.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Cooper Rush (QB) is inactive for ATL
Rush is inactive by coach's decision for Thursday's game against the Saints, but he will serve as the emergency quarterback. This is a depth-chart move, not an injury, so it changes nothing about who starts for Atlanta. It only matters if the starter gets hurt during the game.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTKC @ LV
Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC
Rice hurt his hamstring in Sunday's win over the Raiders, and the early word is the injury is relatively minor. The report says he could be ready coming out of the Chiefs' Week 5 bye, so the extra rest works in his favor. Hamstrings can linger, so watch his practice reports before betting on his workload in his next game.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA
Douglas has an ankle injury and Jeff Hafley called him day-to-day Monday. That is the hopeful side of questionable. Watch his practice reports this week before counting on his usual role in the passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Dallas Goedert (TE) is doubtful for PHI
Doubtful means Goedert is unlikely to suit up against the Rams. The Oct 5 report gives no injury detail or timeline. Plan for the Eagles to play this game without their tight end, and expect his targets to spread to the rest of the passing game if he sits.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI
Barkley (hamstring) is considered week-to-week, though the Eagles don't view the injury as long term, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- MISMATCHLAC @ SEA
SEA: 1.25 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.5
The Chargers are turning it over 2.5 times a game through 4 games, and Seattle 1.25. Last season the Chargers were at 1.24 and Seattle at 1.65, so the Chargers number is double their normal and likely to come down. For this trip to Seattle, the Chargers need to protect the ball, because extra giveaways hand the Seahawks short fields.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PASS RUSHDET @ CAR
DET: 3.75 sacks recorded per game to CAR's 2
Detroit's defense averages 3.75 sacks a game over 4 games, Carolina 2. Sack rates hold up better than most early stats, so Detroit's rush looks like a real edge here, though schedule detail isn't available. Carolina's quarterback should face more pressure than Detroit's, which tends to show up in stalled drives and turnover chances for the road team.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- PACE & SCRIPTARI @ NYG
ARI @ NYG carries a 54.5 market total
A 54.5 total, 10 points above the 44.5 slate median, says the market expects these defenses to give up plenty. The expectation is a back-and-forth game with scoring in every quarter. For it to crack, one side needs to win the turnover battle or force a run of punts. The over needs both offenses functioning, so consider whether you trust each to carry half.
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 74.5 offensive plays per game to NYJ's 57
Chicago is running 17.5 more plays a game than the Jets through 4 games, up from 64.9 last season, while the Jets have dipped from 59.4. Chicago wants a high-volume game, and the Jets' low play count suggests short drives or a slow pace. When one team controls the ball this much, the other side's offensive props get squeezed. Expect Chicago's count to come down somewhat, but the gap in style should persist.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ BAL
BAL: 31:16 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:19
TEN is at 24:19 time of possession per game over 4 games; BAL is at 31:16 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 29:08 over 17 games and BAL at 29:11 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- TRENCHESGB @ TB
TB: 78.5 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 139.3
Green Bay allows 139.3 rushing yards a game over 4 games; Tampa Bay allows 78.5. Rushing yards allowed shift with game script, so part of this gap may come from how games played out, and opponent detail isn't on the sheet. For this matchup, Tampa's run game has the friendlier front, which helps when thinking about the home side's rushing totals.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- COVERAGELAC @ SEA
SEA: 3.93 yards per play allowed to LAC's 5.28
Seattle allows 3.93 yards per play over 4 games, the Chargers 5.28. Yards per play strips out pace and game script, so this is one of the cleaner signs that Seattle's defense has been stingy. Some regression is normal off 4 games. In this game, the Chargers' offense faces the tougher unit, which leans toward a lower-scoring, field-position game.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- SITUATIONALTEN @ BAL
TEN: 41.3 penalty yards per game to BAL's 82.3
TEN is at 41.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; BAL is at 82.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 59.5 over 17 games and BAL at 43.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAR @ PHI
LAR: 6.1 yards per play to PHI's 4.75
The Rams are gaining 6.1 yards a play, right in line with 6.15 last season, so this looks like their real level. Philadelphia has sunk to 4.75 from 5.27 and had no play of 20 or more yards in its last game, while Matthew Stafford hit Puka Nacua for 32 and 28 yards in the Rams' last outing. The Rams' number should hold; Philadelphia's is more likely to rebound off last season's mark. Philadelphia needs long, patient drives here, which favors a slower game.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- TEAM RECORDARI @ NYG
NYG is 3-0 at home; ARI is 1-2 on the road
The Giants have won all 3 games at home, while Arizona has won once in 3 trips. Three games is a small sample, and these records say nothing about who either team played, so some of the gap may come from the schedule. Home splits this early tend to shrink as the season goes on. Use it as a reason to look closer at how each side has played lately, and give the Giants' home record only modest weight in this spot.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- TEAM RECORDGB @ TB
GB is 2-1 on the road; TB is 0-3 at home
Green Bay has won 2 of 3 on the road, and Tampa Bay has yet to win at home in 3 tries. With 3 games on each side, one result could swing either split, and the opponents behind these records aren't on the sheet. A home team still looking for its first home win usually faces questions about more than location. Home field is giving Tampa little so far, so weigh it lightly when you size up this game.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PACE & SCRIPTATL @ NO
NO: 27 points per game to ATL's 17
ATL is at 17 points per game over 3 games; NO is at 27 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 20.8 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNE @ BUF
BUF: 6.58 yards per play to NE's 5.28
Buffalo is gaining 6.58 yards a play over 4 games, up from 5.94 last season, and had 5 plays of 20 or more yards last game, led by a 51-yard Josh Allen throw to Khalil Shakir. New England has fallen to 5.28 from 6.23, though Drake Maye still produced 3 chunk plays last time out. New England's drop looks more likely to reverse than Buffalo's surge is to keep climbing. Buffalo's deep passing is the style that should dictate this one.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PACE & SCRIPTMIA @ MIN
MIN: 21.5 points per game to MIA's 11.5
Minnesota is scoring 21.5 points a game over 4 games, almost exactly its 20.2 last season. Miami has crashed to 11.5 from 20.4, which is the number doing the work in this gap. Miami's drop is extreme enough that some rebound is likely, but 4 games of it says the offense is in real trouble right now. Weigh how much bounce-back you expect from Miami when looking at its team total.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Josh Simmons
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- SITUATIONALDAL @ HOU
DAL: 51% third-down conversion rate to HOU's 35.2%
DAL is at 51% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; HOU is at 35.2% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and HOU at 37.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- TEAM RECORDNYY @ TB
Rays 6-2 in Freddy Peralta's last 8 starts
Tampa Bay has won Peralta's last 6 starts in a row after dropping two of the earlier ones in this 8-start run. The team record reflects the offense and bullpen as much as Peralta, and eight starts is a short window. Hosting the Yankees, it says the Rays have been backing him well lately, which a bettor should weigh against what the price already assumes.
- TEAM RECORDCHW @ CLE
Guardians 6-2 in Gavin Williams's last 8 starts
Cleveland has won most of Williams's recent outings, losing only twice in his last eight. That record covers the lineup and bullpen too, and eight games is a modest sample. He is home against the White Sox tonight, so the main question for a bettor is whether the number on Cleveland already prices in how dependable they have been behind him.
- RED ZONEKC @ LV
KC: 44.4% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 76.9%
KC is at 44.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; LV is at 76.9% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Anfernee Jennings
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Kaden Elliss
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Carl Granderson
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Damien Lewis
Elbow · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Ben Bartch
Foot · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Charlie Kolar
Forearm · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Dalvin Tomlinson
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Kayode Awosika
Fibula · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Jadarian Price
Chest · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Ladd McConkey
Foot · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Nick Bosa
Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Charles Demmings
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Robert Beal Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Justin Jefferson
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Caleb Douglas
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Brett Thorson
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Azeez Al-Shaair
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Hollywood Brown
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Jonathan Greenard
Full practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Fred Johnson
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
DeVonta Smith
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Zack Baun
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Colbie Young
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Kyle Dugger
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Mason Taylor
Thumb · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Adonai Mitchell
Finger · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Caleb Williams
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Breece Hall
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Christian Gonzalez
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Christian Barmore
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Nick Cross
Illness · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Trey Hendrickson
Finger · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Anthony Campbell
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Ko Kieft
Elbow · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Baker Mayfield
Thumb · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Jacob Monk
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Aaron Banks
Knee, Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Rueben Bain Jr.
Groin, Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Jaylen Watson
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Aaron Donald
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Tylan Wallace
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Teven Jenkins
Back · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Elgton Jenkins
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Rico Dowdle
Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Joey Porter Jr.
Not injury related - other, Back · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Cobie Durant
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
DeMarvion Overshown
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Rachaad White
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Jackson Powers-Johnson
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Kiko Mauigoa
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Sam Cosmi
Concussion, Throat · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Marcus Epps
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Brenen Thompson
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Dallas Goedert
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
James Thompson Jr.
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Dylan Parham
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Durham Smythe
Full practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Benjamin Morrison
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Dondrea Tillman
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Jayden Daniels
Elbow · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PACE & SCRIPTARI @ NYG
NYG: 19.8 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.3
Arizona is allowing 29.3 points a game over 4 games, right in line with 28.7 last season, so its defense looks like it hasn't changed. The Giants have tightened up to 19.8 from 25.8, a bigger move that is more likely to drift back. Arizona's number is the sturdier one. That makes the Giants' offense the side with the cleaner path to scoring in this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ HOU
DAL: 30.5 points per game to HOU's 21
Dallas has put up 30.5 a game through 4 games, up from 27.7 last season, while Houston has slipped to 21 from 23.8. Four games is a small window, so Dallas is probably running a bit hot and Houston a bit cold compared with their full-season baselines. If Dallas scores early, Houston has to chase in a way its offense has not shown it can this year. Totals and spreads built on the 4-game numbers may overstate the gap a little.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ SEA
LAC @ SEA carries a 53.5 market total
At 53.5, 9 points above the 44.5 slate median, the market expects a game that leans high but stops short of a shootout. That leaves room for a few stalled drives without sinking the over. A slow first half or field goals in the red zone would push it under. Watch whether both offenses finish drives early.
- PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ SEA
SEA: 26.3 points per game to LAC's 16.8
LAC is at 16.8 points per game over 4 games; SEA is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- COVERAGEGB @ TB
TB: 32.7% third downs allowed to GB's 48.2%
Tampa Bay allows 32.7% on third down over 4 games, Green Bay 48.2%. Green Bay's red-zone and run numbers point the same way, so this looks like a pattern across 4 games. Expect Tampa's offense to sustain more drives at home, which shapes time of possession and how many chances each side gets.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- COOLING OFFNYY @ TB
Luis Garcia Jr.: .276 OPS in Last 15 Days
Garcia has been close to invisible at the plate over the last 15 days, a .276 OPS against .831 for the season. That slump covers only 35 AB, where a few hard-hit outs can wreck the line. The season number is the better guide and this should climb back. If his props are priced off the cold stretch in NYY @ TB, they may be set lower than his season form supports.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
- PLATOON EDGECHW @ CLE
Jo Adell (bats R) hits 4th against Anthony Kay (LHP)
Jo Adell turns into a different hitter against lefties: a .971 OPS over 172 at-bats, against .591 in 431 at-bats versus righties. The lefty sample is smaller, but 172 at-bats is enough to take seriously and the gap is wide. Anthony Kay is a lefty, and Adell hits 4th. His at-bats against Kay before the bullpen enters are the window where his power shows up most.
P 1-for-3, 3 TB, 1 BB
- MISMATCHDAL @ HOU
DAL: 51% on third down to HOU's 35.2%
Dallas converts 51% of its third downs through 4 games, and Houston 35.2%. Last season Dallas was at 41.1% and Houston at 37.2%, so Houston is near its normal and Dallas is running hot, likely to cool. At Houston, Dallas is extending drives far more often, and the Texans have to get off the field on third down to keep pace.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR: 22.5 first downs per game to PHI's 14.8
The Rams are moving the chains 22.5 times a game, right in line with 23.3 last season, so this is their normal offense. Philadelphia has dropped to 14.8 from 18 last season over 4 games, and that drop is the part more likely to bounce back. The Rams should control the ball and the clock in this one, and an Eagles offense that can't string first downs together would leave its defense on the field a lot.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PLATOON EDGENYY @ TB
Liam Hicks (bats L) hits 4th against Cam Schlittler (RHP)
Liam Hicks is close to a pure platoon bat: an .883 OPS in 375 at-bats against righties and .504 in 104 at-bats against lefties. The righty number sits on the bigger sample and is the reliable read. Cam Schlittler throws right-handed, so Hicks hits 4th on his good side. His value is front-loaded, since a lefty reliever late flips him to his weak side fast.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
- MISMATCHARI @ NYG
NYG: 19.8 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.3
The Giants allow 19.8 points a game through 4 games, and Arizona allows 29.3. Arizona was at 28.7 last season, so its number looks real, while the Giants have improved from 25.8 and could slide back some. On the road, Arizona's defense has to keep points low enough that its offense isn't chasing all game.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- COVERAGELAR @ PHI
LAR: 145.5 passing yards allowed per game to PHI's 222
The Rams allow 145.5 passing yards a game over 4 games, Philadelphia 222. Passing yards allowed depend on game script: teams leading late see more throws. Opponent detail isn't on the sheet, so the Rams' figure may be partly schedule. Philadelphia's passing attack faces the tighter coverage numbers here, while the Rams' quarterback gets the more generous matchup.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Riley Moss (CB) is questionable for DEN
Riley Moss had imaging on his ribs Monday, and the results are not on the sheet yet. Rib injuries vary a lot, so questionable here is an open question. Wait for the imaging news before reading anything into the Broncos' secondary for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
T.J. Sanders
Illness · Limited practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Jaylin Smith (CB) is questionable for HOU
Smith pulled up with a hamstring injury against Dallas on Sunday and could not get back on the field. Questionable means he may or may not play, and hamstrings are the kind of injury that linger or flare up again even when a player is cleared. If he sits, the Texans need another corner to cover his snaps, which matters most if you are looking at the opposing passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Brandon Cisse (CB) is questionable for GB
Brandon Cisse has a neck injury from Sunday's 17-14 win over the Buccaneers, but he was not placed in concussion protocol. That removes the slower return path, which is good news for his availability. Questionable here leans hopeful, and his practice participation this week will tell you how close he is to playing.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Ronnie Stanley (OT) is questionable for BAL
Stanley is Baltimore's tackle and he finished Sunday's 24-18 win over Tennessee despite a toe injury. Playing through it is a good sign for his availability. Questionable keeps some doubt, so confirm his status, especially alongside the Lamar Jackson news.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PASS RUSHDAL @ HOU
DAL: 1.5 sacks taken per game to HOU's 3
DAL is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 4 games; HOU is at 3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DAL was at 2.38 over 17 games and HOU at 2.58 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN
Christian Darrisaw is in concussion protocol after Sunday's game against the Dolphins. Protocol has set steps he has to clear, so his status can change quickly in either direction during the week. With guard Donovan Jackson already out with a torn meniscus, losing Darrisaw too would leave the Vikings' line shorthanded, which matters for both the run game and keeping the quarterback clean.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 36:36 time of possession per game to NYJ's 30:33
NYJ is at 30:33 time of possession per game over 4 games; CHI is at 36:36 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 28:15 over 17 games and CHI at 30:59 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Za'Darius Smith (DE) is questionable for ATL
Smith left Monday night's game against the Saints with a concussion and was ruled out for the rest of it. Concussions go through a set protocol, so his status for the next game depends on how he clears it, and the questionable tag reflects that uncertainty. A pass rusher missing time means less pressure on opposing quarterbacks, and the other edge players take on his snaps.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Monroe Freeling (OT) is questionable for CAR
Monroe Freeling has a knee injury and could return as soon as Week 6 against the Buccaneers. That timeline points to him missing this week's game against Detroit, so questionable leans toward out. Plan on the Panthers playing without him at tackle this week.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PASS RUSHLAC @ SEA
SEA: 1.5 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3
The Chargers are giving up 3 sacks a game, a bit better than 3.75 last season, while Seattle allows 1.5, down from 2.08. Both gaps match last season's pattern, so this looks real: the Chargers' protection is the weaker unit. When Seattle's pass rush gets home, Chargers drives stall, which matters for Chargers team totals and passing props.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Cam Lewis
Hip · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 28 points per game to NYJ's 19
NYJ is at 19 points per game over 4 games; CHI is at 28 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 17.6 over 17 games and CHI at 25.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- RED ZONENE @ BUF
BUF: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 44.4%
NE is at 44.4% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; BUF is at 68.8% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 57.1% over 17 games and BUF at 66.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- RED ZONEDAL @ HOU
DAL: 81.3% red-zone scoring rate to HOU's 57.1%
DAL is at 81.3% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; HOU is at 57.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and HOU at 46.3% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Chauncey Golston (DE) is questionable for NYG
Golston hurt his neck in Sunday's win over the Cardinals and did not return. Questionable puts his status for the next game in real doubt, and neck injuries tend to get handled carefully, so the practice reports this week will say more than the tag does. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so hold off on any read of the Giants front until his status firms up.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Jake Matthews (OT) is questionable for ATL
Matthews, the Falcons' left tackle, was downgraded to out for the rest of Monday's game against the Saints with a groin injury. Questionable leaves his next game open, and groin injuries can take time to settle. If he sits, a backup has to protect the quarterback's blind side, which is a spot where bettors can expect more pressure on Atlanta's passer.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG
Dart had surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee, reported Sep 30, and injured reserve means he is out for this game against Arizona and several more after it. Losing the quarterback changes the whole Giants offense, and the fact sheet does not name who starts in his place. Before betting this game, find out who is under center for New York and how the market has adjusted to him.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Charles Woods (CB) is questionable for NE
Woods left Sunday's 29-26 win over the Bills with a shoulder injury after two tackles, one solo. Questionable means his return was uncertain. If he misses time, New England has to lean on its depth at corner, which matters most against teams that throw a lot.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (CB) is questionable for NYJ
Brownlee is in concussion protocol as Week 5 approaches, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Jaylen Watson (CB) is questionable for LAR
Jaylen Watson has a shoulder injury, and the Rams are hopeful he returns to practice during Week 5 prep. That is a hopeful sign, and nothing more yet. Whether he actually practices this week is the real tell. If he stays out, the Rams face the Eagles with a thinner cornerback group, so check midweek practice reports before deciding how you feel about their pass defense.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Quinyon Mitchell (CB) is questionable for PHI
Mitchell was forced out of Sunday's 24-20 loss to the Rams and is set for knee testing Monday. Questionable before test results are in is a placeholder: the scan will decide this one. If he misses time against the Rams, Philadelphia loses a starting corner and someone less proven covers a top receiver, so the result of that test matters more than the tag right now.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Cam Jurgens (C) is questionable for PHI
Jurgens entered the NFL's five-step concussion protocol Monday, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- TURNOVERSNYJ @ CHI
NYJ: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to CHI's 1.25
NYJ is at 0.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; CHI is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 1.35 over 17 games and CHI at 0.65 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- COVERAGEDET @ CAR
CAR: 230.8 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 304
DET is at 304 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; CAR is at 230.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- RED ZONETEN @ BAL
BAL: 73.3% red-zone scoring rate to TEN's 50%
TEN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; BAL is at 73.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 57.6% over 17 games and BAL at 47.5% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- TURNOVERSKC @ LV
KC: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to LV's 1.5
KC is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; LV is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season KC was at 0.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- TURNOVERSMIA @ MIN
MIN: 1.75 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.75
MIA is at 0.75 takeaways per game over 4 games; MIN is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR: 7 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 5
LAR is at 7 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; PHI is at 5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PARK WEATHERCHW @ CLE
Wind blowing in 15 mph at Progressive Field tonight
A 15 mph wind blowing in from left at 62 degrees knocks fly balls down, so drives that carry on a calm night die on the warning track. That helps pitchers who get outs in the air and hurts power hitters on both sides. The total sits at 6.5, so the market has already priced the low scoring. The better angle is which lineup can score on singles, walks and running in this air.
P final total 7 vs 6.5 (under lean)
- RED ZONEATL @ NO
NO: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 1.67
ATL is at 1.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; NO is at 3.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 2.94 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- COVERAGEDAL @ HOU
HOU: 37.7% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.3%
Dallas lets opponents convert 52.3% of third downs over 4 games; Houston allows 37.7%. Paired with Dallas's run defense and Houston's sack rate, it fits one picture: Houston's offense should stay on the field. Opponent detail isn't on the sheet, but the consistency across numbers makes it more believable. Think about Houston controlling possession at home.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- RED ZONENYJ @ CHI
CHI: 4.75 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 2.75
NYJ is at 2.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; CHI is at 4.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 2.24 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- TURNOVERSPIT @ CLE
PIT: 2 takeaways per game to CLE's 1
Pittsburgh forces 2 takeaways a game over 4 games, Cleveland 1. Takeaways are among the noisiest defensive stats and swing on bounces, so this gap is likely to shrink. For this game, Pittsburgh has been the more opportunistic defense, but bettors shouldn't price turnovers as a reliable edge off 4 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ SEA
SEA: 18.3 points allowed per game to LAC's 26.5
LAC is at 26.5 points allowed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 18.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL
Deablo's hamstring makes him a true game-time question for Monday in New Orleans, and hamstrings can linger or tighten up mid-game. The sheet doesn't say who fills in at linebacker if he sits. If he's out, the Saints short passing game and Fant, if active, get an easier matchup.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC
The Chargers list Thompson as questionable for Seattle, with no injury detail on the report. Questionable means his availability is uncertain. Wait for the late-week update before counting on him.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Jack Strand (QB) is inactive for ATL
Atlanta lists Strand as inactive. The sheet gives no injury or reason, and as a depth quarterback his absence has no effect on who starts. There is nothing here for a bettor to act on.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC
James is officially questionable, but the hamstring is described as week-to-week, a more serious label than day-to-day and one that usually points toward missing time. For the Chargers, losing a safety who moves all over the formation is a big change to how the defense plays. The report mentions Denver as the Week 5 opponent while this game is listed at Seattle, so confirm the schedule. Until James practices fully, plan for the Chargers playing without him.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is questionable for DAL
Overshown is dealing with a hamstring issue and was estimated as a non-participant on Dallas's Monday injury report. An estimated report means the team held a walkthrough instead of a full practice, so that DNP mark is a guess at what Overshown could have done, and it leans negative. Hamstrings can linger, and a linebacker who can't run at full speed is a coverage concern even if active. Watch the later practice reports before the trip to Houston, and leave room for a limited role in this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Leonard Williams (DT) is questionable for SEA
Williams is questionable with an ankle injury, but Mike Macdonald said Monday he expects him to be available Sunday. When the head coach says that, the questionable tag mostly reads as caution. Plan on Seattle having its interior lineman in the lineup.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Colbie Young (WR) is questionable for CIN
Cincinnati lists Young as questionable for Jacksonville, with no injury or timeline given. Questionable means his status could go either way. Check the final report late in the week before factoring him in.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
SirVocea Dennis (LB) is questionable for TB
Dennis had an MRI on his ankle after Tampa Bay's Week 4 loss to the Packers, reported Oct 6, and results are not on the sheet. Questionable means his status for the next game is open. The sheet does not name who covers his linebacker snaps, so wait for the injury report before leaning on how this defense holds up.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Yasir Abdullah (LB) is questionable for ATL
Abdullah is questionable for Monday's matchup against New Orleans due to an illness, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. Reported Oct 3.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Chris Moore (WR) is questionable for BAL
Chris Moore is listed as questionable, and the sheet gives no injury or detail beyond that. Check his practice status later in the week before reading anything into it.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR
Phillips is working back from a hamstring injury, and ESPN reports he could return as early as the Week 6 game against the Buccaneers. As early as is a hopeful timeline, not a firm one. Check his practice status during the week before assuming the Panthers have him back.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- COVERAGELAR @ PHI
LAR: 4.13 yards per play allowed to PHI's 5.22
The Rams allow 4.13 yards per play, more than a full yard less than Philadelphia's 5.22, which is a wide gap over four games. That says the Rams rarely give up chunk plays while the Eagles leak more on a snap-by-snap basis. Four games can still be shaped by soft opponents, and the sheet does not show who they faced. As a bettor, the Rams defense looks like the one more likely to keep this game on a short field.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Aaron Donald (DT) is questionable for LAR
Head coach Sean McVay is hopeful that Donald (back) will play in his team's Monday night matchup against the Bills in Week 5, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. "That's the direction it looks like it's trending in," McVay said. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI
Greenard (ankle) is considered day-to-day after exiting Sunday's game against the Rams, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists DeVonta Smith as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Hollywood Brown (WR) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Hollywood Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALNE @ BUF
NE (2-2) at BUF (3-1), a division game
Buffalo is 3-1 and +20 on the year, while New England is 2-2 and -12, so the season-long scoring gap favors the Bills. New England's lone road win in three tries leaves little to lean on away from home, and Buffalo is 2-1 at home. Four games is a short sample, and division games tend to be tighter than records suggest. A bettor can respect the Bills' edge but should price the familiarity of an AFC East matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Josiah Trotter (LB) is questionable for TB
Josiah Trotter has a knee injury and was a limited participant on Monday's estimated injury report. Limited is a decent sign, since it means he is doing some work. Watch whether he moves to full participation later in the week, which would make questionable look closer to a game-time yes.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- COOLING OFFCHW @ CLE
Colson Montgomery: .265 OPS in Last 15 Days
Montgomery has been nearly an automatic out over the last 15 days, a .265 OPS in 39 AB. His season OPS is only .685, so even a full rebound puts him around an average or below-average bat. A short slump like this can turn quickly, but the ceiling is modest either way, and his season number sets a low bar for any hitting prop against Cleveland.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Julian Blackmon (S) is questionable for NO
Blackmon (calf) was a limited participant at the Saints' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Pete Werner (LB) is questionable for NO
Werner (neck) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Falcons, Matthew Paras of The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports. Reported Oct 3.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Barion Brown (WR) is questionable for NO
NO lists Barion Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Jason Pinnock (S) is questionable for NYG
Pinnock suffered a concussion during Sunday's 36-24 win over the Cardinals, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Jaden Crumedy (DT) is questionable for HOU
Crumedy hurt his shoulder in Sunday's 34-30 loss to Dallas, and questionable is the early tag while Houston sorts out how bad it is. A defensive tackle injury mostly matters for depth along the interior line. Keep an eye on the week's practice reports before reading anything into the Texans run defense.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Jackson Woodard (LB) is questionable for MIA
Woodard hurt his ankle in Sunday's 15-10 loss in Minnesota, and questionable this early means Miami doesn't yet know his availability. The sheet gives no timeline or replacement. For a reserve linebacker, the impact on lines is small unless the Dolphins run short at the position.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Dante Trader Jr. (S) is questionable for MIA
Trader has a knee injury and is listed as day-to-day ahead of Week 5, which points to a real chance he suits up at Minnesota. Day-to-day usually means the team expects him back soon, so this tag is softer than it sounds. The practice reports later in the week will settle it. If Trader is limited or out, Miami's secondary loses a safety, and that matters most in a spot where the Vikings test the back end.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Justin Jefferson (WR) is questionable for MIN
MIN lists Justin Jefferson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Mason Graham (DT) is questionable for CLE
Graham's MRI on Friday showed an MCL sprain and an ankle sprain from Thursday night's game against the Steelers. Two sprains in the same leg make it hard to see him playing at full strength soon, even with a questionable tag. If he sits, the rest of the Browns' interior line absorbs his snaps, which can open up the middle for opposing runners.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Tylan Wallace (WR) is questionable for CLE
Cleveland lists Wallace as questionable for Pittsburgh with no injury or timeline given. Questionable means a coin-flip type call that usually clears up late in the week. Wait for the final report before leaning on anything involving him.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Keenan Allen (WR) is questionable for IND
IND lists Keenan Allen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI
Andrew Wingard has a bone bruise in his knee from Sunday's 36-24 loss to the Giants. Bone bruises can clear in days or hang around, so his practice reports this week matter most. If he sits, the Cardinals' safety group gets thinner coming off a game where they allowed 36 points.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- STARTER FORMNYY @ TB
Freddy Peralta: 0.56 ERA over his last 3 starts
Peralta has allowed almost no runs in his last 3 starts, a 0.56 ERA over 16 innings with 14 strikeouts. Part of that is real: his WHIP in that span is 1.00 against 1.33 for the season, so fewer runners are reaching. The rest is stranding nearly everyone who does, which usually fades, and his season ERA is 4.42. Lean on the cleaner traffic numbers more than the ERA when pricing him against the Yankees.
P 4.2 IP, 1 ER, 3 K
- COVERAGENE @ BUF
NE: 189.8 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 256.3
NE is at 189.8 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; BUF is at 256.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- COVERAGENYJ @ CHI
CHI: 23.7% third downs allowed to NYJ's 37%
Chicago lets opponents convert just 23.7% of third downs, while the Jets sit at 37% over four games. That means the Bears get off the field far more often, which shortens drives and limits points. A rate that low over four games usually climbs some, since third-down numbers swing a lot in small samples. For this matchup, the Bears are the defense more likely to end Jets drives early, so sustained Jets possessions would be the surprise.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTJAX @ CIN
JAX: 13.3 points allowed per game to CIN's 21.3
JAX is at 13.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; CIN is at 21.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season JAX was at 19.8 over 17 games and CIN at 28.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- COVERAGELAC @ SEA
SEA: 144.8 passing yards allowed per game to LAC's 211.8
Seattle allows 144.8 passing yards a game, 67 fewer than the Chargers' 211.8 across four games. That is a stingy figure, and the sheet does not say whether Seattle faced weak passing teams to get there. Numbers this low over four games tend to rise as better quarterbacks show up. Seattle still looks like the tougher pass defense in this game, which matters if you are weighing the Chargers' passing output.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
B.J. Hill
Achilles · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- COOLING OFFNYY @ TB
Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days
Diaz has gone quiet over the last 15 days with a .450 OPS in 40 AB, well under his .805 season mark. Forty at-bats is a short stretch for a hitter whose full season says he is a solid on-base bat, so expect him to drift back toward .805. If his props in NYY @ TB are priced off the cold two weeks, they may be set too low.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB
- COVERAGEIND @ WSH
IND: 29.2% third downs allowed to WSH's 42%
Indianapolis holds opponents to 29.2% on third down, while Washington allows 42% over four games. The Colts end drives; the Commanders let them keep going. Third-down rates bounce around over four games, so expect both to drift toward the middle. Here, the Colts offense should find more extra chances against Washington than the Commanders will get the other way.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Trevor Etienne (RB) is ir-r for CAR
Etienne is on injured reserve with a designation to return, and Dave Canales said he will "for sure" be back after the Panthers' Week 5 bye. That is about as firm as a coach gets, so expect him back in the Carolina backfield. How much work he gets in his first game back is the open question, so ease into any rushing props until his role is clear.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Isaiah Adams (G) is questionable for ARI
Adams suffered an ankle injury in Sunday's loss to the Giants, Theo Mackie of The Arizona Republic reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU
Dell is on injured reserve with a knee injury, and DeMeco Ryans said Monday he expects Houston to open his 21-day practice window this week. Opening the window lets him practice; it does not mean he plays against Dallas. Treat any return as a later-week question and watch whether he is activated before counting him in the Texans' receiver mix.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF
Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Friday that the 49ers could open Kirk's (calf) practice window to return from injured reserve in two weeks, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA
Charbonnet is on the PUP list with a knee injury, and Mike Macdonald said Monday he won't be activated ahead of Sunday's game. That settles it: he is out. Seattle's backfield work goes to the other backs on the roster, so price any Seahawks run game without him.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Jordyn Tyson (WR) is ir-r for NO
Tyson (hamstring) is said to be making progress and feeling good but isn't expected to be activated from injured reserve until Week 7 at the soonest, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ CHI
NYJ @ CHI carries a 37.5 market total
A 37.5 total, 7 points below the 44.5 slate median, says the market expects limited offense, with defenses doing more of the work. Scoring likely comes in small pieces: field goals and the odd touchdown. One turnover returned for a score or a short field can push a low number over quickly. Judge it by whether either offense can sustain drives on its own.
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Ashton Dulin
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Jadeveon Clowney
Knee · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Derwin James Jr.
Hamstring, Not injury related - resting player · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Channing Canada
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
SirVocea Dennis
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Jalen Coker
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Dalton Risner
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Yahya Black
Not injury related - personal matter · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Jalen Ramsey
Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Percy Butler
Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Keenan Allen
Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Terry McLaurin
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Christian Benford
Toe · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Dre'Mont Jones
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Morgan Moses
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Craig Woodson
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Ray Davis
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Reggie Gilliam
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Christian Elliss
Chest · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Eli Raridon
Thigh · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Kingsley Enagbare
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Kenyon Sadiq
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Christian Braswell
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Montaric Brown
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Albert Regis
Elbow · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Swayze Bozeman
Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Bryan Cook
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Josh Sweat
Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Colby Parkinson
Knee, Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Josaiah Stewart
Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Jager Burton
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Edgerrin Cooper
Shoulder, Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Rakeem Nunez-Roches
Ankle, Foot · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Jacob Parrish
Not injury related - personal matter · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Ronnie Stanley
Toe, Not injury related - resting player · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Kevin Winston Jr.
Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Chris Moore
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Zay Flowers
Hamstring, Not injury related - resting player · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Tyjae Spears
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Ed Ingram
Groin · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Jake Hansen
Calf · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Logan Hall
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Aidan O'Connell
Not injury related - personal matter · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Mike Evans
Ribs · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Keion White
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Jaden Dugger
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Dre Greenlaw
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Donte Jackson
Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Elijah Molden
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Chazz Surratt
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Ty Okada
Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Trey Lance
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
D.J. Reed
Rib · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Monroe Freeling
Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Cam Jackson
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Lee Hunter
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Noah Fant
Abdomen · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Samson Ebukam
Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Yasir Abdullah
Illness · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Divine Deablo
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Pete Werner
Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- QUARTERBACKIND @ WSH
Marcus Mariota is the projected starting quarterback for WSH
Through 3 games in 2026, Marcus Mariota threw for 340 passing yards, completed 64.7% of his passes and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 1695 yards, completed 61.2% and averaged 7.47 yards per attempt, 10-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in. Marcus Mariota is also listed d for this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- QUARTERBACKTEN @ BAL
Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL
Through 4 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 967 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 10.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in. Lamar Jackson is also listed q for this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- RED ZONEDEN @ SF
SF: 84.6% red-zone scoring rate to DEN's 63.6%
DEN is at 63.6% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; SF is at 84.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 57.9% over 17 games and SF at 65.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- STREAKTEN @ BAL
TEN has lost 4 straight
Tennessee is 0-4 and hasn't won a game yet. The sheet doesn't show the opponents or margins, so four losses could mean a weak roster or a tough early schedule. Streaks like this usually break at some point, and the next opponent matters more than the streak itself. A road game at Baltimore is a hard place to end one, so focus on how big the expected gap is before reading too much into the record.
- STREAKDAL @ HOU
HOU has lost 4 straight
Houston is 0-4 and still looking for its first win. Four games is a short sample, and without the opponents or scores on the sheet, the streak alone can't tell you how far off this team is. Teams in this spot at home often play with urgency, which can make them tougher to fade than the record suggests. Against Dallas, judge the matchup on its own and treat the streak as one piece of context.
- STREAKMIA @ MIN
MIA has lost 4 straight
Miami is 0-4 and has lost every game so far. The sheet doesn't say who those losses came against, so the streak could reflect the schedule as much as the team. Losing streaks tend to end eventually, though a road trip to an unbeaten Minnesota is a hard place to start. Ask whether the price already reflects the slide before you lean on it.
- STREAKMIA @ MIN
MIN has won 4 straight
Minnesota is 4-0 and has won every game it has played. Four games is a short run, and the sheet doesn't show the opponents, so the record may be inflated by an easy start. Unbeaten teams often get extra credit in the betting market. Facing a winless Miami at home sets up a lopsided-looking spot, so check whether the expected margin has grown past what four games can support.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- STREAKDEN @ SF
SF has won 4 straight
SF carries a 4-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-0 on the season. They face DEN in DEN @ SF. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-04.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- STREAKLAC @ SEA
LAC has lost 4 straight
The Chargers are 0-4 and still looking for their first win. The sheet doesn't show who beat them or by how much, so four games can't separate a bad team from a bad schedule. Streaks like this break at some point, though a road game at Seattle is a tough place to do it. Look at the size of the expected gap before treating the streak as a reason to fade them again.
- STREAKGB @ TB
TB has lost 4 straight
Tampa Bay is 0-4 and has lost every game it has played this season. Four games is a short run, and the sheet doesn't show who those losses came against or how close they were. Losing streaks often push a team to change its game plan or lean harder on what has worked, which can make it unpredictable. Against Green Bay, ask whether the market has already priced in the slide before assuming it keeps going.
- STREAKKC @ LV
KC has won 4 straight
Kansas City is 4-0 and hasn't lost yet. The opponents aren't on the sheet, so it's hard to say how much of that record was earned against strong teams. Unbeaten starts usually draw heavy public backing, which can push prices on their games. Going to Las Vegas, the winning streak is a decent sign of form, but the question for a bettor is whether the number already pays for it.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PASS RUSHDEN @ SF
SF: 0 sacks taken per game to DEN's 1.25
DEN is at 1.25 sacks taken per game over 4 games; SF is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 1.77 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ SF
SF: 16 points allowed per game to DEN's 23.5
DEN is at 23.5 points allowed per game over 4 games; SF is at 16 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PASS RUSHNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 11.3 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 23.5
NYJ is at 23.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; CHI is at 11.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 24.9 over 17 games and CHI at 12.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTNE @ BUF
NE: 19.3 points allowed per game to BUF's 26.8
NE is at 19.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; BUF is at 26.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- TURNOVERSATL @ NO
NO: 1 interception thrown per game to ATL's 2
ATL is at 2 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; NO is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 0.47 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- TURNOVERSNE @ BUF
BUF: 0.75 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 1.75
NE is at 1.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; BUF is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 0.47 over 17 games and BUF at 0.59 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- RED ZONENE @ BUF
BUF: 4 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.25
NE is at 2.25 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; BUF is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 3.71 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- SITUATIONALDAL @ HOU
DAL: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 28.6%
DAL is at 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; HOU is at 28.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and HOU at 57.9% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- HEAT CHECKCHW @ CLE
Brenton Doyle: 1.029 OPS in Last 15 Days
Doyle has been red hot over the last 15 days, a 1.029 OPS in 35 AB against .637 for the season. That is a small sample where a couple of extra-base hits swing the number hard, and the season line is the better read on who he is. Price him closer to the .637 hitter than the hot one, and be wary of props that have already moved up to chase the streak.
P 0-for-1, 0 TB
- SITUATIONALIND @ WSH
IND: 26.3 penalty yards per game to WSH's 56
Indianapolis has cut its penalty yardage to 26.3 a game from 51.2 last season, while Washington is at 56, near last season's 53.7. Penalty rates swing week to week and Indianapolis is more likely to slide back than Washington is to change. Washington's flags are the steadier habit here, and extra yards for the visitors can keep drives alive.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PASS RUSHARI @ NYG
ARI: 2 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.75
Arizona gets 2 sacks a game, and the Giants manage 0.75 over four games. The Cardinals pass rush has been finding the quarterback, and New York's has barely touched it. Sack counts over four games are noisy and depend a lot on who was blocking. In this game, Arizona is the defense more likely to create negative plays and drive-killing losses.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PASS RUSHNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 1.75 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3
NYJ is at 3 sacks taken per game over 4 games; CHI is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- STREAKCHW @ CLE
CHW have won 4 straight
Chicago has won four straight by a combined 12 runs and is 7-2 over the last 9, so the form started before the streak. Nothing here says who carried it or which teams it came against. Four games is a short sample, and a trip to Cleveland tests it. Give the recent run some weight, and let tonight's pitching matchup decide how much.
P team won 4-3
- PASS RUSHDAL @ HOU
DAL: 8.3 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 20.5
DAL is at 8.3 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; HOU is at 20.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and HOU at 20.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- TEAM RECORDPIT @ CLE
AFC NORTH game: PIT 1-1, CLE 1-0 in the division
Cleveland is 1-0 in the AFC North and Pittsburgh is 1-1. That's one and two division games, too few to say either team has the other figured out. Division games usually play closer than the standings suggest, since these teams see each other every year. Treat the division records as background and focus on how each team is playing right now.
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Ko Kieft (TE) is questionable for TB
TB lists Ko Kieft as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR
LAR lists Colby Parkinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- TEAM RECORDKC @ LV
AFC WEST game: KC 2-0, LV 1-1 in the division
Kansas City is 2-0 against the AFC West and Las Vegas is 1-1. Two games is a short sample, though the Chiefs have handled the division so far. Division games often stay closer than the overall gap between teams, since these sides know each other's tendencies. On the road in Las Vegas, that familiarity is a reason to be careful with a big expected margin.
- TEAM RECORDNE @ BUF
AFC EAST game: NE 1-0, BUF 0-1 in the division
New England is 1-0 in the AFC East and Buffalo is 0-1. One division game each tells you almost nothing about how this matchup goes. Division opponents know each other well, which tends to keep games tighter than records predict. Give this split very little weight against everything else you know about these two teams.
- TRENCHESDEN @ SF
SF: 99.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 142.8
DEN is at 142.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; SF is at 99.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- COVERAGEMIA @ MIN
MIN: 4.93 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.9
MIA is at 5.9 yards per play allowed over 4 games; MIN is at 4.93 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Charlie Kolar (TE) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Charlie Kolar as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PACE & SCRIPTLAR @ PHI
LAR: 69 offensive plays per game to PHI's 57.5
LAR is at 69 offensive plays per game over 4 games; PHI is at 57.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 63.9 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ SF
DEN @ SF carries a 38.5 market total
At 38.5, 6 points under the 44.5 slate median, the market sees a controlled game, with the run game and defense setting the tone. That is low but within range of a normal game script. If one team falls behind early and has to throw, the pace picks up and the under loses its cover. The early score is a good signal of which way this one goes.
- HEAT CHECKCHW @ CLE
Chase Meidroth: 1.066 OPS in Last 15 Days
Meidroth's 1.066 OPS over the last 15 days sits 0.301 above his .765 season mark. It is only 41 AB, and a few extra-base hits swing a number like that fast, so expect drift back toward his season level. His 16 home runs say the power is real. His total-bases line in Cleveland is 0.5, so he needs one hit, and both his recent form and season line support that kind of bar.
P 2-for-4, 2 TB
- HEAT CHECKCHW @ CLE
Brayan Rocchio: 1.068 OPS in Last 15 Days
Rocchio has a 1.068 OPS over the last 15 days, well above his .705 season mark, in 34 AB. A short burst is doing most of the work there, though his 15 home runs show some real pop. His total-bases line is 0.5, so it comes down to whether he gets one hit, and that depends more on his everyday contact than the hot stretch.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
- TRENCHESKC @ LV
KC: 92.8 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 134.5
KC is at 92.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; LV is at 134.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- COVERAGEDAL @ HOU
HOU: 5.53 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.43
DAL is at 6.43 yards per play allowed over 4 games; HOU is at 5.53 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- COVERAGEJAX @ CIN
JAX: 32.6% third downs allowed to CIN's 44%
Jacksonville allows conversions on 32.6% of third downs, Cincinnati on 44% over four games. The Jaguars get off the field more, and the Bengals have let drives stay alive. Both rates can move a lot over a four-game sample. For this game, Cincinnati's defense is the one more likely to give up long, clock-eating drives.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- COVERAGEATL @ NO
ATL: 35.7% third downs allowed to NO's 47.1%
Atlanta allows 35.7% on third down, New Orleans 47.1%, both over just three games. That puts the Saints near the bottom on getting off the field, and the Falcons in a decent spot. Three games is a very small sample, so both numbers could move a lot. For this game, the Saints defense looks more likely to give Atlanta extended drives.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- RED ZONEIND @ WSH
IND: 57.1% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 80%
Indianapolis gives up scores on 57.1% of red-zone trips, Washington on 80% over four games. The Colts have been turning some short fields into field goals or stops, and the Commanders have not. Red-zone rates swing hard on few trips, so four games is a thin read. In this matchup, Colts drives that reach the red zone look more likely to finish in the end zone than Washington's.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PACE & SCRIPTMIA @ MIN
MIN: 32:08 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:38
MIA is at 27:38 time of possession per game over 4 games; MIN is at 32:08 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season MIA was at 28:57 over 17 games and MIN at 28:20 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- MISMATCHDET @ CAR
DET: 0.25 turnovers a game to CAR's 1
Detroit has turned it over 0.25 times a game through 4 games, and Carolina once a game. Detroit was at 0.88 last season and Carolina at 1.35, so both teams are protecting the ball better, Detroit at a rate that is hard to keep. Carolina's path at home is to win the turnover battle against a team that rarely gives it away.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Charles Demmings (CB) is questionable for MIN
MIN lists Charles Demmings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTKC @ LV
Josh Simmons (OT) is questionable for KC
Kansas City has Simmons, a tackle, as questionable at Las Vegas. The report does not say what the injury is. If he misses the game, the Chiefs protect the quarterback with a backup on the edge, so wait for the inactive list before you lean on anything tied to protection.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PLATOON EDGECHW @ CLE
Andrew Benintendi (bats L) gets a RHP from the 5th spot
Andrew Benintendi has a .741 OPS in 376 at-bats against righties. His .500 against lefties comes from just 45 at-bats, so the righty line is the real read. Gavin Williams is a right-hander, so Benintendi gets his normal version from the 5th spot: a steady bat with a solid floor more than big upside.
P 0-for-2, 0 TB
- UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF
Next college slate · OCT 9
BDL lists 4 covered college games on the next college slate. All 4 kickoff times are confirmed.
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Elgton Jenkins (C) is questionable for CLE
Cleveland lists Jenkins as questionable for Pittsburgh, with no injury or timeline given. A center being out means a backup snapping the ball against Pittsburgh's front, which can hurt the whole offense. Watch his status late in the week before trusting anything tied to Cleveland moving the ball.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Christian Gonzalez (CB) is questionable for NE
Gonzalez is questionable for New England at Buffalo, so his availability is undecided. The report lists no injury or timeline. If the Patriots are without their cornerback, the Bills receivers could face easier coverage, which is worth weighing in Buffalo passing props.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE
Canada is a New England cornerback listed questionable, with no injury detail given. Wait for the final status before reading anything into the Patriots coverage against Buffalo.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Martin Emerson Jr. (CB) is questionable for NO
NO lists Martin Emerson Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- COOLING OFFCHW @ CLE
Tristan Peters: .307 OPS in L15, draws RHP Gavin Williams
Tristan Peters has a .307 OPS in just 28 at-bats over the last 15 days, against a .774 season mark. That is a tiny sample and says little about him. He gets right-hander Gavin Williams, his better side, with an .802 OPS across 382 AB. Lean on that larger number, since a cold 28 AB stretch can push his prices lower than his full record supports.
P 0-for-2, 0 TB
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Cam Lewis (CB) is questionable for CHI
CHI lists Cam Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Montaric Brown (CB) is questionable for JAX
Jacksonville lists Brown as questionable for Cincinnati, with no injury detail on the report. With Christian Braswell also questionable, the Jaguars could be thin at corner. Watch both late-week updates before judging how Cincinnati's receivers might fare.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Fred Johnson (OT) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Fred Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- TEAM RECORDNE @ BUF
BUF is 2-1 at home; NE is 1-2 on the road
Buffalo has won 2 of 3 at home, and New England has won 1 of 3 on the road. Three games on each side is a small sample, and a single result would change either split. The sheet doesn't show the opponents, so the gap could come from the schedule. Treat home field as a slight edge for Buffalo, not the main reason to back them.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Lane Johnson (OT) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Lane Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- TEAM RECORDNYJ @ CHI
CHI is 2-1 at home; NYJ is 1-2 on the road
Chicago has won 2 of 3 at home, and the Jets have won 1 of 3 on the road. With 3 games each, one swing in either direction changes the picture. The opponents aren't on the sheet, so it's hard to tell how much of this is the venue and how much is the schedule. Use it as a small nudge toward Chicago and lean on the bigger matchup picture.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Samson Ebukam (DE) is questionable for ATL
ATL lists Samson Ebukam as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Jacob Monk (C) is questionable for GB
GB lists Jacob Monk as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Benjamin Morrison (CB) is questionable for TB
TB lists Benjamin Morrison as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA
MIA lists Robert Beal Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Drew Shelton (OT) is questionable for DAL
Dallas lists Shelton as questionable for the game in Houston, with no injury detail given. If the offensive tackle sits, a backup has to handle Houston's pass rush, so his status is worth checking before betting on the Cowboys' quarterback.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Noah Fant (TE) is inactive for NO
Fant (abdomen) is listed as inactive for Monday's game against the Falcons. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Christian Braswell (CB) is questionable for JAX
Jacksonville lists Braswell as questionable for Cincinnati, with no injury or timeline given. He is one of two Jaguars corners on the report this week, alongside Montaric Brown, so depth in the secondary is the thing to watch. Check both statuses before the game against a Bengals passing attack.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Christian Benford (CB) is questionable for BUF
Buffalo lists Benford as questionable for New England, with no injury detail on the report. If the starting corner sits, a backup takes his snaps in coverage. Check the final report before leaning on New England's passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- STREAKPIT @ CLE
CLE has won 3 straight
Cleveland is 3-1 and has won its last 3 after losing its first game. Three wins is a short run, and the sheet doesn't show who those wins came against. Teams riding a streak tend to play with more confidence, though the market usually catches up quickly. Hosting Pittsburgh in a division game, expect a closer contest than the streak alone might suggest.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- STREAKARI @ NYG
ARI has lost 3 straight
Arizona won its opener and has dropped three straight since, sitting at 1-3 through Week 4. Nothing on the sheet shows the opponents or margins, so the streak could reflect the schedule as much as the roster. Four games is a thin sample to judge a team on. For the trip to New York, the margins of those three losses tell you more than the streak itself does.
- TURNOVERSTEN @ BAL
BAL: 1.25 takeaways per game to TEN's 0.5
Baltimore forces 1.25 takeaways a game, Tennessee only 0.5 over four games. The Titans have rarely taken the ball away, which means few extra possessions for their offense. Takeaway rates swing a lot over four games, so both could move. For this game, Baltimore is the more likely of the two to steal a possession, though the gap is small.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- STREAKNYJ @ CHI
NYJ has lost 3 straight
The Jets won their opener and have lost three in a row since, which puts them at 1-3 through Week 4. The sheet does not say who those losses came against or by how much, so there is no way to tell whether this is a bad team or a tough early schedule. Four games is a small sample, and a streak alone says little about the next one. Before backing or fading them at Chicago, look at who beat them and how close those games were.
- PACE & SCRIPTATL @ NO
NO: 74 offensive plays per game to ATL's 63.3
ATL is at 63.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; NO is at 74 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 61.6 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PASS RUSHATL @ NO
ATL: 13.7 sack yards lost per game to NO's 24.3
ATL is at 13.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; NO is at 24.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 12.9 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- SITUATIONALPIT @ CLE
PIT: 49.5 penalty yards per game to CLE's 74.3
Cleveland is committing 74.3 penalty yards a game, way up from 49.4 last season, while Pittsburgh is at 49.5, close to its 47.2. The Cleveland spike over 4 games is likely to cool, but for now it hands opponents free yards. In a close divisional game, Cleveland flags could extend Pittsburgh drives.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- COVERAGEATL @ NO
NO: 211.7 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 263
New Orleans has allowed 211.7 passing yards a game, Atlanta 263, and both figures come from only 3 games. That sample is short enough that one opponent's game plan, a pass-heavy comeback or a run-first script, can shape the whole average. The fact sheet doesn't say who either team faced, so the gap could narrow quickly. When Atlanta's offense takes the field, the Saints' secondary looks like the tougher matchup on paper, but a three-game read is a starting point.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- TURNOVERSGB @ TB
GB: 1.5 turnovers committed per game to TB's 2.25
GB is at 1.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; TB is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and TB at 0.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- TURNOVERSLAR @ PHI
PHI: 1.25 turnovers committed per game to LAR's 2
LAR is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; PHI is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 0.88 over 17 games and PHI at 0.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- TURNOVERSNE @ BUF
BUF: 1.75 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2.5
NE is at 2.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; BUF is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 0.94 over 17 games and BUF at 1.12 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- TURNOVERSDEN @ SF
SF: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to DEN's 1.25
DEN is at 1.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; SF is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 1 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- TURNOVERSDET @ CAR
DET: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to CAR's 1
Detroit has 1 turnover in 4 games, 0.25 a game, after 0.88 last season, while Carolina gives it away once a game, down from 1.35. Turnover rates are very noisy, so Detroit's number will almost surely rise. Carolina's habit of giving the ball away is real, but don't count on Detroit staying this clean.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- TURNOVERSIND @ WSH
WSH: 1.25 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5
IND is at 0.5 takeaways per game over 4 games; WSH is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- COVERAGEARI @ NYG
NYG: 5.4 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.22
The Giants allow 5.4 yards per play, and Arizona allows 6.22 over four games. That makes the Cardinals the defense giving up more on a typical snap. Yards per play is a fairly steady measure, though four games and unknown opponents leave room for movement. In this game, the Giants offense has the more forgiving defense to work against.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- TRENCHESIND @ WSH
WSH: 93.5 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 131
Washington allows 93.5 rushing yards a game, and Indianapolis gives up 131 over four games. The Commanders front has held the run better, and the Colts have been more open on the ground. Four games of rushing numbers can be bent by game script and opponents not on the sheet. In this matchup, Washington has the better chance of running effectively than Indianapolis does.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- TURNOVERSJAX @ CIN
JAX: 2 takeaways per game to CIN's 1.25
Jacksonville forces 2 takeaways a game, and Cincinnati gets 1.25 over four games. The Jaguars have created more extra possessions. Takeaways are among the least stable defensive numbers, so a four-game rate this high usually comes down. For this game, Jacksonville has the edge in creating turnovers, but that gap is the kind that can vanish in one afternoon.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- TURNOVERSDET @ CAR
CAR: 1.75 takeaways per game to DET's 1
Carolina's defense has forced 1.75 turnovers a game across 4 games, while Detroit's has forced 1. Takeaways swing a lot week to week, and 4 games is a small enough window that one strip-sack or tipped pick moves the average noticeably. Expect both numbers to drift toward the middle as the season fills in. For this game, a turnover edge is a thin reason to lean Carolina on its own, so weigh it beside yardage and efficiency.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Ikem Ekwonu (OT) is pup-r for CAR
Ekwonu is on the reserve physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, and Dave Canales said Monday he is still a considerable time away. That rules him out against Detroit and well beyond. Carolina has been playing without him, so this game's line should already reflect his absence.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI
Gordon (calf) was estimated as a full participant on the Bears' official injury report Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN
CIN lists Kyle Dugger as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Tyler Higbee
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALMIA @ MIN
MIA (0-4) at MIN (4-0)
Minnesota is 4-0, +35 and 2-0 at home, while Miami is 0-4, -55 and 0-3 on the road. This is the widest gap between two records on the slate, and the margins back it up. Both streaks come from only four games, so some regression is normal. A bettor should expect Minnesota to be priced as a clear favorite and focus on whether the number already reflects Miami's road struggles.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Swayze Bozeman (LB) is questionable for CIN
CIN lists Swayze Bozeman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (S) is questionable for ARI
ARI lists Dadrion Taylor-Demerson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Marcus Epps (S) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Marcus Epps as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Zack Baun (LB) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Zack Baun as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB
Parsons (knee), per head coach Matt LaFleur, will not practice this week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALDEN @ SF
DEN (2-2) at SF (4-0)
DEN is 2-2, -20 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. SF is 4-0, +58 points on the year, has won 4 straight this season. DEN is 0-2 on the road; SF is 3-0 at home.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- SITUATIONALTEN @ BAL
TEN (0-4) at BAL (3-1)
Tennessee is 0-4 and 0-2 on the road, but its -28 margin means the Titans have mostly lost competitive games. Baltimore is 3-1, +20 and has won 2 straight, though the Ravens are only 1-1 at home. Four games is a short sample for both. The Ravens have momentum, while a bettor should note that the Titans' losses have not been routs.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- SITUATIONALNYJ @ CHI
NYJ (1-3) at CHI (3-1)
Chicago is 3-1, +47 on the year and has won 2 straight, while the Jets have lost 3 straight and sit 1-3. The Jets' -8 point total is mild for a team with three straight losses, which suggests close defeats more than blowouts. Chicago is 2-1 at home and the Jets are 1-2 on the road. The Bears have the stronger profile, but a bettor should note the Jets have mostly kept games close.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Christian Darrisaw
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- SITUATIONALDAL @ HOU
DAL (2-2) at HOU (0-4)
Houston is 0-4 and 0-3 at home, with a -25 margin, so home field has offered no lift so far. Dallas is 2-2, +10 on the year and 1-1 on the road. The Texans' losses have been moderate in size, which suggests a team losing close more than getting blown out. A bettor can lean on the Cowboys' better margin while keeping in mind Houston has stayed within range in most games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA
SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Alaric Jackson
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Kingsley Enagbare (LB) is questionable for NYJ
NYJ lists Kingsley Enagbare as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL
Baltimore lists Hendrickson as questionable for the home game against Tennessee, so his status is uncertain. The report gives no injury detail. If he sits, the Ravens lose a pass rusher, and the inactive list before kickoff decides it.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB
GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO
The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 1.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
B.J. Hill (DT) is questionable for CIN
Cincinnati lists Hill as questionable against Jacksonville, and he is one of three Bengals defenders on that list with the same tag. No injury is named for him. If several of them sit, Cincinnati's defense is thin in the middle and the back end at once, so the inactive list matters for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB
The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Byron Young
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Rueben Bain Jr. (LB) is questionable for TB
TB lists Rueben Bain Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Bryan Cook (S) is questionable for CIN
Cook is questionable for Cincinnati against Jacksonville, and so is fellow safety Kyle Dugger. The report does not describe either injury. If both miss, the Bengals have to fill two safety spots, so check inactives before betting this game.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) is questionable for HOU
HOU lists Azeez Al-Shaair as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU
Brooks (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 3.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- SITUATIONALARI @ NYG
ARI (1-3) at NYG (3-1)
ARI is 1-3, -30 points on the year, has lost 3 straight this season. NYG is 3-1, +3 points on the year, has won 2 straight this season. ARI is 1-2 on the road; NYG is 3-0 at home.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- SITUATIONALJAX @ CIN
JAX (3-1) at CIN (2-2)
Jacksonville is 3-1, +51 on the year and has won 2 straight, the best scoring profile in this game. Cincinnati is 2-2 with a +12 margin despite losing 2 straight, so its record may undersell it a bit. Both teams are 1-1 in the relevant split. The Jaguars arrive with momentum, but Cincinnati's positive margin says the Bengals are closer than a two-game skid makes them look.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- SITUATIONALIND @ WSH
IND (2-2) at WSH (1-3)
Indianapolis has won 2 straight and sits at -2 points, essentially a break-even team that is trending up. Washington is 1-3 and -34, so its losses have been lopsided. Both teams are 1-1 in their home or road splits, so venue adds little here. The Colts arrive with the momentum, and a bettor should ask whether Washington's -34 reflects a few blowouts or a team that is losing every week.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTKC @ LV
Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for LV
Thornton is on injured reserve with an undisclosed injury, so he is out against Kansas City. Klint Kubiak said Friday the hope is he returns to practice before the Week 5 road game at New England, which points to that week at the earliest. For this game, the Raiders' receiver snaps go elsewhere.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA
The Dolphins opened Duck's (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. Reported Oct 1.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- SITUATIONALLAC @ SEA
LAC (0-4) at SEA (3-1)
The Chargers are 0-4, -39 and 0-2 on the road, while Seattle is 3-1, +32 and 2-0 at home. Seattle won its most recent game after a loss, so the Seahawks are steady more than streaking. Four games is a small sample, but the margins match the records. A bettor should see Seattle's unbeaten home mark as the key split in this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTKC @ LV
Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV
Bech went on injured reserve Tuesday, Sep 29, with a forearm injury, so he misses the Kansas City game. Las Vegas is also without Thornton at receiver, which thins the depth chart further. Look to the healthy Raiders wideouts to absorb the work.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Dondrea Tillman (LB) is questionable for DEN
DEN lists Dondrea Tillman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Mykel Williams (DE) is pup-r for SF
The 49ers opened Williams' (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday to return from the reserve/PUP list, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Dalvin Tomlinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PACE & SCRIPTJAX @ CIN
JAX @ CIN carries a 39.5 market total
A 39.5 total sits 5 points below the 44.5 slate median, the closest of the low totals to normal. The market expects a modest game, not a defensive slog. A couple of explosive plays would be enough to break it. That small gap leaves less edge on the under than the lower totals on this slate.
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA
Price (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 3.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Ty Okada (S) is questionable for SEA
SEA lists Ty Okada as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Treyton Welch
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Nathan Shepherd
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Jake Matthews
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
John Michael Schmitz Jr.
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Dexter Lawrence II
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Sam Franklin Jr.
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Terrel Bernard
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- COVERAGENYJ @ CHI
NYJ: 4.88 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.68
The Jets allow 4.88 yards per play over 4 games, and Chicago allows 5.68. Yards per play is one of the steadier defensive measures because it adjusts for how many snaps a unit faces, so a gap this size usually means something. Four games still leaves room for schedule to shape it, and the fact sheet doesn't list the offenses faced. For this matchup, the Jets' defense has been the more efficient unit, which matters most if the game turns into a field-position grind.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- COVERAGEDET @ CAR
CAR: 42.6% third downs allowed to DET's 52.8%
DET is at 52.8% third downs allowed over 4 games; CAR is at 42.6% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAC @ SEA
SEA: 5.83 yards per play to LAC's 5.03
Seattle gains 5.83 yards a play to the Chargers' 5.03, and both are close to last season's 5.98 and 5.19, so this gap looks stable. Both offenses hit 5 plays of 20+ yards last game, the Chargers through Justin Herbert to Quentin Johnston and Seattle through Sam Darnold to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Seattle is the more efficient offense, but both can hit chunk plays, which keeps totals live.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- TRENCHESNE @ BUF
BUF: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to NE's 3.93
NE is at 3.93 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; BUF is at 4.9 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 4.4 over 17 games and BUF at 4.97 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Xavier Legette (WR) is on injured reserve for CAR
Carolina put Legette on injured reserve Saturday with a knee injury, so he misses at least the next several games, starting with Detroit. Losing a receiver shrinks the Panthers passing options, and his targets shift to whoever is left. For bettors, the remaining Carolina wideouts become the props to look at against the Lions.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Kendal Daniels (LB) is questionable for ATL
ATL lists Kendal Daniels as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- TRENCHESDET @ CAR
DET: 119.8 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 156.5
DET is at 119.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; CAR is at 156.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Nick Cross (S) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Nick Cross as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Christian Barmore (DT) is questionable for NE
NE lists Christian Barmore as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PASS RUSHJAX @ CIN
CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.5
Cincinnati's defense is getting home 3.5 times a game across 4 games, a full sack more than Jacksonville's 2.5. Sack totals depend heavily on the quarterbacks and lines a defense sees, and on whether opponents were throwing from behind. Four games is enough to call the Bengals' rush active, though the rate may cool. In this game, watch Jacksonville's protection: if it holds up, the gap matters less; if it doesn't, drives stall and totals can lean lower.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
T.J. Sanders (DT) is questionable for BUF
BUF lists T.J. Sanders as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PASS RUSHATL @ NO
ATL: 2.33 sacks taken per game to NO's 3.33
ATL is at 2.33 sacks taken per game over 3 games; NO is at 3.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PASS RUSHGB @ TB
GB: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to TB's 1.5
GB is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; TB is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALATL @ NO
ATL (1-2) at NO (1-2), a division game
Both teams are 1-2 after three games, but New Orleans at -2 has played much closer than Atlanta at -17. The Saints are 0-1 at home, a one-game sample that says little. Atlanta is 1-1 on the road and just won its last game. In a division game between two even records, a bettor should trust the Saints' tighter margin more than Atlanta's one-game streak.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- TURNOVERSATL @ NO
ATL: 0.67 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1.33
ATL is at 0.67 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; NO is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 0.59 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- COVERAGEKC @ LV
KC: 4.85 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.6
KC is at 4.85 yards per play allowed over 4 games; LV is at 5.6 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PLATOON EDGENYY @ TB
Jonathan Aranda (bats L) hits 2nd against Cam Schlittler (RHP)
Jonathan Aranda has an .837 OPS in 416 at-bats against righties and .678 in 164 against lefties. Both samples are decent, so the split looks real, and it is milder than a strict platoon bat's. Hitting 2nd against right-hander Cam Schlittler gives him his better side plus extra trips to the plate near the top of the order, which helps any prop that depends on volume.
P 2-for-5, 2 TB
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSMIA @ MIN
MIA: 5.15 yards per play to MIN's 4.4
Miami gains 5.15 yards a play to Minnesota's 4.4, both down a bit from last season's 5.4 and 4.82. Miami's last game had one big play, Ollie Gordon II's 53-yard run, so its number rests on explosiveness. Minnesota spread out its chunk plays through Kyler Murray to Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson. Expect Minnesota to move the ball in smaller gains while Miami hunts for a big play.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- TURNOVERSLAC @ SEA
SEA: 0.75 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.5
LAC is at 1.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; SEA is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 0.82 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR
CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Dylan Parham (G) is questionable for NYJ
NYJ lists Dylan Parham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB
GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE
Cleveland lists Jenkins, a guard, as questionable for the home game against Pittsburgh. The report does not give the injury. If he sits, a backup guard plays in his spot, so check inactives before kickoff.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Kenneth Grant (DT) is ir-r for MIA
Head coach Jeff Hafley said Friday that Grant (leg) could begin practicing next week, C. Isaiah Smalls II of the Miami Herald reports. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- COVERAGEDEN @ SF
SF: 4.82 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.55
DEN is at 5.55 yards per play allowed over 4 games; SF is at 4.82 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET
Head coach Dan Campbell said Friday that Branch (Achilles) is close to returning, Tim Twentyman of the Lions' official site reports. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Christen Miller (DT) is inactive for NO
Miller (coach's decision) is inactive for Monday night's contest against the Falcons. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Ben Bartch (G) is questionable for DET
DET lists Ben Bartch as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU
Stewart (knee) practiced in full Thursday. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Sam Cosmi (G) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Sam Cosmi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- SITUATIONALARI @ NYG
ARI: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to NYG's 50%
ARI is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; NYG is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ARI was at 42.9% over 17 games and NYG at 46.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- BALLPARKCHW @ CLE
Gavin Williams's ERA drops to 2.84 at Progressive Field
Williams is a different pitcher at home: a 2.84 ERA with hitters at .201 over 107.2 innings in Cleveland, against 5.05 over 76.2 innings on the road. Eighteen home games is a real sample, so this looks like a pitcher who settles in at Progressive Field. Against Chicago tonight, the home version is the one to price, and his road numbers mostly do not apply.
P 5 IP, 2 ER, 11 K
- HEAT CHECKNYY @ TB
George Lombard Jr.: .885 OPS in Last 15 Days
Lombard has an .885 OPS over the last 15 days, up from .699 for the season. At 46 AB the sample is a little sturdier than most hot streaks, still far short of a season, so expect some of it to fade while a modest bump holds. His total-bases line is 0.5, meaning one hit clears it, a low bar for a hitter seeing the ball well right now.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 5.75 yards per play to NYJ's 5.05
Chicago gains 5.75 yards a play, matching 5.71 last season, while the Jets have jumped to 5.05 from 4.36. Chicago had 6 plays of 20+ yards last game with Tyson Bagent hitting Rome Odunze for 37. The Jets had one, a 58-yard Geno Smith touchdown to Isaiah Williams, so their improvement may rest on a few big plays. Chicago's offense is the more reliable side.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- SITUATIONALIND @ WSH
IND: 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate to WSH's 57.1%
IND is at 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; WSH is at 57.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season IND was at 66.7% over 17 games and WSH at 61.5% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- SITUATIONALTEN @ BAL
TEN: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 25%
TEN is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; BAL is at 25% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 45.7% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- PACE & SCRIPTATL @ NO
ATL: 22.7 points allowed per game to NO's 27.7
ATL is at 22.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; NO is at 27.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- SITUATIONALGB @ TB
GB: 6.1 yards per pass attempt to TB's 4.9
GB is at 6.1 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; TB is at 4.9 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 6.85 over 17 games and TB at 6.04 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR (2-2) at PHI (2-2)
LAR is 2-2, +2 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. PHI is 2-2, -18 points on the year, has lost 2 straight this season. LAR is 1-1 on the road; PHI is 1-1 at home.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- QUARTERBACKPIT @ CLE
Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT
Through 4 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 999 passing yards, completed 57.5% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Brett Thorson (P) is questionable for MIN
MIN lists Brett Thorson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Ferguson (ankle) is out for Sunday's game against Philadelphia, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 2.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- QUARTERBACKDET @ CAR
Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR
Through 4 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1268 passing yards, completed 62.3% of his passes and averaged 7.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- QUARTERBACKLAC @ SEA
Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC
Through 4 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 816 passing yards, completed 59.7% of his passes and averaged 6.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- QUARTERBACKGB @ TB
Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB
Through 4 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1041 passing yards, completed 56.5% of his passes and averaged 6.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- QUARTERBACKARI @ NYG
Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG
Through 3 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 479 passing yards, completed 55.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- QUARTERBACKARI @ NYG
Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI
Through 4 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 818 passing yards, completed 67.8% of his passes and averaged 5.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- QUARTERBACKJAX @ CIN
Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN
Through 4 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1171 passing yards, completed 71.3% of his passes and averaged 7.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- QUARTERBACKNYJ @ CHI
Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ
Through 4 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 902 passing yards, completed 72.7% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- QUARTERBACKNE @ BUF
Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF
Through 4 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1039 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 8.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- QUARTERBACKNE @ BUF
Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE
Through 4 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 854 passing yards, completed 62.4% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- QUARTERBACKPIT @ CLE
Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE
Through 4 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 855 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. His 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- QUARTERBACKATL @ NO
Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL
In his first 2026 game, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 256 passing yards, completed 72% of his passes and averaged 10.24 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- TRENCHESPIT @ CLE
PIT: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 3.6
Pittsburgh's runners are picking up close to a yard more per carry than Cleveland's through 4 games, which lets the Steelers stay ahead of the chains and lean on the ground game in a division road spot. The gap was already there last season, 4.26 for Pittsburgh against 3.9 for Cleveland over 17 games, so this looks like a lasting difference. Cleveland's 3.6 has slipped from last year, making long down-and-distance a bigger problem. If Pittsburgh can run early, expect a slower, shorter game with fewer Cleveland possessions.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- QUARTERBACKATL @ NO
Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO
Through 3 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 917 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 6.95 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PASS RUSHIND @ WSH
WSH: 5.8 sack yards lost per game to IND's 13.8
IND is at 13.8 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; WSH is at 5.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and WSH at 12.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 16.3 points allowed per game to NYJ's 21
NYJ is at 21 points allowed per game over 4 games; CHI is at 16.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 29.6 over 17 games and CHI at 24.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- TRENCHESMIA @ MIN
MIA: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to MIN's 3.7
MIA is at 4.52 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; MIN is at 3.7 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season MIA was at 4.64 over 17 games and MIN at 4.46 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- QUARTERBACKDET @ CAR
Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET
Through 4 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1214 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- QUARTERBACKDEN @ SF
Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN
Through 4 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 819 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 6.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- QUARTERBACKLAC @ SEA
Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA
Through 3 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 560 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 8.12 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- QUARTERBACKKC @ LV
Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV
Through 4 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1026 passing yards, completed 64.6% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- QUARTERBACKMIA @ MIN
Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN
Through 3 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 433 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- QUARTERBACKDAL @ HOU
Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL
Through 4 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1065 passing yards, completed 70% of his passes and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- QUARTERBACKTEN @ BAL
Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN
Through 4 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 726 passing yards, completed 63% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- QUARTERBACKLAR @ PHI
Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR
Through 4 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1189 passing yards, completed 61.1% of his passes and averaged 7.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- QUARTERBACKDEN @ SF
Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF
Through 4 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1007 passing yards, completed 69.9% of his passes and averaged 8.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- QUARTERBACKNYJ @ CHI
Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI
Through 2 games in 2026, Tyson Bagent threw for 322 passing yards, completed 69.8% of his passes and averaged 7.49 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- QUARTERBACKKC @ LV
Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC
Through 4 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1037 passing yards, completed 64.1% of his passes and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN
The Vikings placed Oliver (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Tyler Smith (G) is ir-r for DAL
Smith (thumb) was a limited participant in Monday's estimated practice, Jon Machota of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- QUARTERBACKDAL @ HOU
C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU
Through 4 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1141 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PACE & SCRIPTGB @ TB
TB: 30:00 time of possession per game to GB's 26:46
GB is at 26:46 time of possession per game over 4 games; TB is at 30:00 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and TB at 31:53 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- QUARTERBACKLAR @ PHI
Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI
Through 4 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 713 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 6.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- QUARTERBACKIND @ WSH
Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND
Through 4 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 754 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 5.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- QUARTERBACKMIA @ MIN
Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA
Through 4 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 712 passing yards, completed 56.3% of his passes and averaged 6.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- QUARTERBACKGB @ TB
Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB
Through 2 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 148 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 4.93 yards per attempt. His 1-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- QUARTERBACKJAX @ CIN
Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX
Through 4 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 843 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Scott Matlock (FB) is ir-r for LAC
The Chargers opened Matlock's (undisclosed) 21-day return window Monday, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- SITUATIONALDET @ CAR
DET (2-2) at CAR (2-2)
DET is 2-2, -8 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. CAR is 2-2, +12 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. DET is 0-2 on the road; CAR is 1-1 at home.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- SITUATIONALATL @ NO
ATL has 3 more days of rest
Atlanta gets 11 days to prepare off its bye, while New Orleans has had 8, so the Falcons have three extra days to heal and game plan for a division rival. Bye weeks tend to help most with nagging injuries and installing a few new wrinkles, though teams can also start slow after the layoff. The gap is fixed, so it holds up. Use it as a tiebreaker on how the Falcons handle the first quarter, and do not let it carry the whole case.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- COVERAGELAC @ SEA
SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to LAC's 36.5%
Seattle has let opponents convert just 28.6% of third downs over 4 games, while the Chargers sit at 36.5%. Third-down rates bounce around more than most defensive stats, since a handful of third-and-shorts can swing them. Expect Seattle's number to rise some as the sample grows. For this game, the Seahawks getting off the field on third down is a reason to think the Chargers may need explosive plays to sustain drives.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- BALLPARKNYY @ TB
Freddy Peralta's ERA drops to 1.69 at Tropicana Field (4 games there)
Peralta has a 1.69 ERA at Tropicana Field with hitters at .116, but that is only 4 games and 21.1 innings. Everywhere else he sits at 4.81 over 147.2 innings, a much bigger sample and a better guide. A few good nights in one park can make a split like this, so expect it to climb, and give his overall form more weight against the Yankees.
P 4.2 IP, 1 ER, 3 K
- RED ZONENYJ @ CHI
NYJ: 54.5% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 42.1%
NYJ is at 54.5% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; CHI is at 42.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PASS RUSHIND @ WSH
WSH: 1.25 sacks taken per game to IND's 2
IND is at 2 sacks taken per game over 4 games; WSH is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PACE & SCRIPTDET @ CAR
CAR: 27.3 points allowed per game to DET's 31.8
Both defenses are leaking points through 4 games, and Detroit's is the worse of the two at 31.8 allowed per game. Each team is well above last season, when Detroit gave up 24.3 and Carolina 22.4 over 17 games, so 4 games may be inflating both numbers. Expect some pullback toward those older marks as the season goes on. For this game, two defenses giving up this much points to a matchup where both offenses should find room, so look hard at the total before leaning on either side's defense.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PACE & SCRIPTMIA @ MIN
MIN: 59.8 offensive plays per game to MIA's 52.5
MIA is at 52.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; MIN is at 59.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season MIA was at 55.8 over 17 games and MIN at 56.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PACE & SCRIPTIND @ WSH
IND: 26 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5
IND is at 26 points allowed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 30.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- REGRESSIONNYY @ TB
Chandler Simpson: .306 AVG vs .261 xBA
Simpson is getting more hits than his contact earns: by the quality of what he puts in play, he should be around .261 with a .263 xwOBA, and he is sitting at .306 and .305. Over 612 plate appearances that gap is a full season of evidence, and for a slap hitter who leans on speed, beating xBA on weak grounders is part of how he plays. Expect some pullback toward the expected marks without a full collapse. Against the Yankees, his chances come from balls in play and legs, so a defense that converts grounders cleanly cuts directly into his value in this matchup.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
- PASS RUSHLAR @ PHI
LAR: 1.75 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1
The Rams are at 1.75 sacks a game over 4 games, the Eagles at 1. Neither number is high, and sack rates depend on the quarterbacks and lines faced, which the fact sheet doesn't list. Four games leaves plenty of room for both to move. In this spot, the pass-rush gap is modest enough that it shouldn't drive a view of the game on its own.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR: 43.1% third-down conversion rate to PHI's 35.8%
LAR is at 43.1% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; PHI is at 35.8% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 39.6% over 17 games and PHI at 37.1% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALGB @ TB
GB: 55.6% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 33.3%
GB is at 55.6% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; TB is at 33.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 56% over 17 games and TB at 44.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALDAL @ HOU
DAL: 24 first downs per game to HOU's 20.3
DAL is at 24 first downs per game over 4 games; HOU is at 20.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DAL was at 23.1 over 17 games and HOU at 19 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE
Brown was spotted Monday in the Patriots' locker room walking without a limp and wearing a small wrap on his injured right ankle, Taylor Kyles of CLNSMedia.com reports. Reported Sep 28.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PACE & SCRIPTNE @ BUF
NE: 30:50 time of possession per game to BUF's 28:06
NE is at 30:50 time of possession per game over 4 games; BUF is at 28:06 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 31:18 over 17 games and BUF at 33:09 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PACE & SCRIPTLAR @ PHI
LAR: 31:19 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:33
LAR is at 31:19 time of possession per game over 4 games; PHI is at 28:33 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 30:46 over 17 games and PHI at 30:11 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Jordan Davis (DT) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Jordan Davis as questionable on the injury report.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Ronnie Rivers (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR
The Rams placed Rivers (calf) on their injured reserve list Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN
The Bengals placed Davis (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTJAX @ CIN
Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN
The Bengals placed Iosivas (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI
The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PASS RUSHMIA @ MIN
MIA: 14.5 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 21.3
MIA is at 14.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; MIN is at 21.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season MIA was at 19.5 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Arian Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ
Smith (knee) underwent surgery Wednesday to repair a torn ACL and will miss the rest of the season, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PASS RUSHLAC @ SEA
SEA: 12 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 18.8
LAC is at 18.8 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; SEA is at 12 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PASS RUSHTEN @ BAL
TEN: 9.3 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 16
TEN is at 9.3 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; BAL is at 16 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 26.1 over 17 games and BAL at 17.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND
Colts head coach Shane Steichen reiterated Monday that Pierce didn't undergo surgery on his left heel and is continuing to rehab the injury, James Boyd of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 28.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL
Baltimore put Pocic on injured reserve Saturday with a knee injury, so the Ravens are without their center against Tennessee. A backup now handles snaps and calls up front, which can mean more pressure up the middle. Factor in a less settled interior line when looking at Ravens offensive markets.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- COVERAGELAR @ PHI
LAR: 33.3% third downs allowed to PHI's 40.4%
LAR is at 33.3% third downs allowed over 4 games; PHI is at 40.4% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- COOLING OFFNYY @ TB
Junior Caminero: .749 OPS in L15, draws RHP Cam Schlittler
Junior Caminero's dip is mild: a .749 OPS in 46 at-bats over the last 15 days against an .885 season mark. That is still a productive hitter running a little cool, and he should drift back toward his norm. Right-hander Cam Schlittler is technically his weaker side, but his .871 across 459 AB against righties barely trails his overall line, so handedness changes little here.
P 2-for-4, 3 TB
- TURNOVERSARI @ NYG
ARI: 0 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.5
ARI is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; NYG is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ARI was at 0.59 over 17 games and NYG at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- TRENCHESNE @ BUF
BUF: 139 rushing yards per game to NE's 117.8
NE is at 117.8 rushing yards per game over 4 games; BUF is at 139 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 128.9 over 17 games and BUF at 159.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- TRENCHESJAX @ CIN
JAX: 74.3 rushing yards allowed per game to CIN's 99.5
JAX is at 74.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; CIN is at 99.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- TURNOVERSNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1
Chicago has forced 1.5 turnovers a game across 4 games, the Jets 1. That half-turnover gap is small, and takeaways are among the streakiest stats in football, often driven by a couple of fumbles that bounce the right way. Both numbers are likely to move. For this game, the turnover edge is too thin to lean on; yardage efficiency tells you more about these two defenses.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- TURNOVERSKC @ LV
LV: 2.25 takeaways per game to KC's 1.75
KC is at 1.75 takeaways per game over 4 games; LV is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- TURNOVERSKC @ LV
KC: 0 fumbles lost per game to LV's 0.5
KC is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LV is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season KC was at 0.18 over 17 games and LV at 0.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- TURNOVERSLAC @ SEA
SEA: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1
LAC is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; SEA is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 0.41 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- TURNOVERSNYJ @ CHI
NYJ: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to CHI's 0.75
NYJ is at 0.25 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; CHI is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 0.59 over 17 games and CHI at 0.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- AFTER GARYATL @ NO
ATL -102 → -106
Gary's number was -102; the same book now shows -106.
- RED ZONELAC @ SEA
SEA: 4 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 3
LAC is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; SEA is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and SEA at 3.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- RETURN WATCHSD · return listed 10/6
Lucas Giolito
Giolito is on San Diego's 60-day IL with an elbow injury and a listed October 6 return. That date guarantees nothing, and his 5.16 ERA gives me little reason to pay for the uncertainty. I'd pass on the stash unless an IL slot is sitting empty.
- SITUATIONALKC @ LV
KC: 7.6 yards per pass attempt to LV's 6.65
KC is at 7.6 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; LV is at 6.65 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and LV at 4.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- SITUATIONALNE @ BUF
NE: 46 penalty yards per game to BUF's 62.5
NE is at 46 penalty yards per game over 4 games; BUF is at 62.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NE was at 50.2 over 17 games and BUF at 49.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 28.6%
LAR is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; PHI is at 28.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 66.7% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALKC @ LV
KC (4-0) at LV (3-1), a division game
Kansas City is 4-0, +41 and 2-0 on the road, so travel has not slowed the Chiefs. Las Vegas is 3-1 and +31, a strong profile, but only 1-1 at home and coming off a loss. Division games often play tighter than the records. A bettor should see two good teams, with the Chiefs carrying the cleaner momentum into an AFC West spot.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
De'Von Achane (RB) is on injured reserve for MIA
The Dolphins placed Achane (knee) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Sep 28.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Jonah Coleman (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN
Coleman (ankle) is being placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF
The 49ers placed Robinson (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET
Mays (wrist) is targeting a Week 7 return from injured reserve, Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press reports. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Brooks is expected to undergo surgery Wednesday to repair a core-muscle injury and is likely to miss at least six weeks, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Mike Jackson (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Head coach Dave Canales said Wednesday that Jackson (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery and will be sidelined about eight weeks, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Jaycee Horn (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR
The Panthers placed Horn (quadriceps) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- TURNOVERSLAR @ PHI
PHI: 1 interception thrown per game to LAR's 1.5
LAR is at 1.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; PHI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 0.47 over 17 games and PHI at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- COVERAGEMIA @ MIN
MIN: 194.8 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 226.5
MIA is at 226.5 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; MIN is at 194.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- TRENCHESTEN @ BAL
BAL: 100 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 122.8
Baltimore allows 100 rushing yards a game over 4 games, Tennessee 122.8. Rushing yards allowed depend partly on game script: teams that lead see more runs late, and teams that trail see fewer. The fact sheet doesn't show who either faced, so some of the gap may be schedule. For this matchup, Tennessee's run game faces the tougher front, which matters if the Titans want to keep the ball and shorten the game.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- TURNOVERSGB @ TB
GB: 0.75 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1.25
GB is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; TB is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 0.41 over 17 games and TB at 0.65 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALDET @ CAR
DET: 57.1% fourth-down conversion rate to CAR's 37.5%
Detroit is converting a little over half its fourth downs, nearly identical to last season's 58.1% over 17 games, so this is who the Lions are: an aggressive team that goes for it and usually gets it. Carolina's 37.5% is the outlier, a steep drop from 67.5% last season, and over 4 games that comes from only a handful of attempts. Expect Carolina's rate to climb back toward its old level. In a close game, Detroit's willingness to go for it can swing the scoring, which matters for spreads and totals.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- HEAD-TO-HEADNYY @ TB
Rays are 7-6 vs Yankees this season
Tampa Bay holds a 7-6 edge over New York, close to a dead heat across 13 meetings. Nothing on the sheet ties it to particular pitchers or how the games were won. The Yankees took the last one 6-4, and tonight is in Tampa. A near-even series between division rivals says very little, so the pitching matchup and lineups should drive how you see this game.
- TURNOVERSNYJ @ CHI
NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CHI's 0.5
NYJ is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; CHI is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 0.76 over 17 games and CHI at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- TURNOVERSPIT @ CLE
CLE: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to PIT's 1
PIT is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; CLE is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season PIT was at 0.53 over 17 games and CLE at 1.06 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- SITUATIONALMIA @ MIN
MIA: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.75
MIA is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; MIN is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season MIA was at 1.35 over 17 games and MIN at 1.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- TURNOVERSDEN @ SF
SF: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to DEN's 0.75
DEN is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; SF is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and SF at 0.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- SITUATIONALGB @ TB
GB: 2.25 fourth-down attempts per game to TB's 1.5
GB is at 2.25 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; TB is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 1.47 over 17 games and TB at 1.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- TURNOVERSDET @ CAR
DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CAR's 0.5
DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; CAR is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and CAR at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- PASS RUSHATL @ NO
NO: 2.33 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 1.67
ATL is at 1.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; NO is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- TURNOVERSKC @ LV
KC: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to LV's 1
KC is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; LV is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season KC was at 0.71 over 17 games and LV at 1.12 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- COVERAGEJAX @ CIN
CIN: 248 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 280.3
JAX is at 280.3 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; CIN is at 248 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PACE & SCRIPTPIT @ CLE
PIT: 63.5 offensive plays per game to CLE's 57.3
PIT is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; CLE is at 57.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season PIT was at 58.1 over 17 games and CLE at 60.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- HEAD-TO-HEADCHW @ CLE
White Sox are 7-6 vs Guardians this season
Thirteen games in, the White Sox lead this series by one, about as close to even as a season series gets. Nothing on the sheet explains the split by pitcher, venue or margin. Cleveland won the last meeting 6-3, and tonight is in Cleveland. The 7-6 record carries little weight on its own, so price this on tonight's starters and current form.
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU
The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH
The Commanders placed Chenal (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT
The Steelers placed Harmon (foot) on injured reserve Monday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- TRENCHESNYJ @ CHI
CHI: 102.5 rushing yards allowed per game to NYJ's 123.5
NYJ is at 123.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; CHI is at 102.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- HEAT CHECKNYY @ TB
Ben Rice: 1.041 OPS in Last 15 Days
Rice was already one of the better hitters in the league at .897 with 41 home runs, and he has a 1.041 OPS over the last 15 days in 43 AB. Because his normal level is so high, the jump is smaller than most hot streaks and easier to believe. His total-bases line is 1.5, needing a double, a homer or two singles, a fair ask for him on either his recent or season form.
P 2-for-3, 8 TB, 1 BB
- PACE & SCRIPTJAX @ CIN
CIN: 62.3 offensive plays per game to JAX's 56.3
JAX is at 56.3 offensive plays per game over 4 games; CIN is at 62.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season JAX was at 64.3 over 17 games and CIN at 62.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Carl Granderson (DE) is inactive for NO
NO lists Carl Granderson as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Robert Longerbeam (CB) is inactive for ATL
ATL lists Robert Longerbeam as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Malcolm DeWalt IV (CB) is inactive for ATL
ATL lists Malcolm DeWalt IV as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL
The Cowboys placed Bullard (calf) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL
The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB
Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG
The Giants placed Burns (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Noah Sewell (LB) is pup-r for CHI
The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Sewell (Achilles) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI
The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Turner (knee) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ BAL
BAL: 59.8 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53.8
TEN is at 53.8 offensive plays per game over 4 games; BAL is at 59.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and BAL at 57.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PASS RUSHDEN @ SF
SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to DEN's 5.8
DEN is at 5.8 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; SF is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Jihaad Campbell
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Dalton Schultz
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
George Holani
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Andrew Thomas
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Lukas Van Ness
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Romello Height
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Brock Bowers
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Javon Hargrave
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Karl Brooks
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Tucker Addington
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Cody White
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PACE & SCRIPTIND @ WSH
IND: 25.5 points per game to WSH's 22
IND is at 25.5 points per game over 4 games; WSH is at 22 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and WSH at 20.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Donovan Jennings
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Aaron Jones Sr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Jayden Price
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- SITUATIONALPIT @ CLE
PIT: 223 team passing yards per game to CLE's 198.8
PIT is at 223 team passing yards per game over 4 games; CLE is at 198.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season PIT was at 202.4 over 17 games and CLE at 165.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- SITUATIONALIND @ WSH
IND: 37.7% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.6%
IND is at 37.7% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; WSH is at 31.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season IND was at 42.6% over 17 games and WSH at 37.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- SITUATIONALJAX @ CIN
JAX: 51.1% third-down conversion rate to CIN's 45.3%
JAX is at 51.1% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; CIN is at 45.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season JAX was at 39.2% over 17 games and CIN at 43.4% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Harrison Smith
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSGB @ TB
GB: 5.15 yards per play to TB's 4.67
Green Bay gains about half a yard more per play than Tampa Bay through 4 games, though both are down from last season, 5.61 and 5.12 over 17 games. The Packers' last game showed balance, with 20-yard runs from Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks and a 25-yard Jordan Love completion to Mark Redman. Tampa Bay's explosive plays came mostly through Jalon Daniels, who had a 21-yard run and a 21-yard throw to Ted Hurst III. Both offenses should drift back up, and Green Bay's mix of run and pass gives it more ways to control this one.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- RED ZONEATL @ NO
ATL: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 61.5%
ATL is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; NO is at 61.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Decamerion Richardson (CB) is inactive for NO
NO lists Decamerion Richardson as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Ethan Onianwa (OT) is inactive for ATL
ATL lists Ethan Onianwa as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Brandin Echols
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Frankie Luvu
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Charles Omenihu
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Ben Sinnott
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Chig Okonkwo
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
DJ Moore
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Keon Coleman
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Damar Hamlin
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
DJ Turner II
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
LeQuint Allen Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Brenden Schooler (S) is nfi-r for NE
The Patriots opened the 21-day practice window for Schooler (back) on Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- RED ZONEARI @ NYG
ARI: 3.5 red-zone trips per game to NYG's 2.75
ARI is at 3.5 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NYG is at 2.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ARI was at 3.59 over 17 games and NYG at 3.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- RED ZONETEN @ BAL
BAL: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to TEN's 3
TEN is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; BAL is at 3.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 1.94 over 17 games and BAL at 3.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- RED ZONEGB @ TB
GB: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3
GB is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; TB is at 3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and TB at 2.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALARI @ NYG
ARI: 194.3 team passing yards per game to NYG's 172.8
ARI is at 194.3 team passing yards per game over 4 games; NYG is at 172.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ARI was at 232.6 over 17 games and NYG at 204.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- TRENCHESLAC @ SEA
LAC: 4.3 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.78
LAC is at 4.3 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 3.78 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAC was at 4.58 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- TRENCHESLAC @ SEA
SEA: 102 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 121.8
LAC is at 121.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 102 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- TRENCHESLAR @ PHI
LAR: 102 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 122
LAR is at 102 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; PHI is at 122 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- COVERAGEARI @ NYG
NYG: 205.3 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 233.8
The Giants allow 205.3 passing yards a game over 4 games, Arizona 233.8. Passing yards allowed can flatter a defense whose opponents ran a lot or played with a lead, and the fact sheet doesn't list the opposing offenses. Four games is a modest sample, so the gap could shrink. In this matchup, Arizona's passing attack faces the stingier secondary on paper, a factor to weigh against whatever the Cardinals do on the ground.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PACE & SCRIPTARI @ NYG
ARI: 65.8 offensive plays per game to NYG's 60.5
ARI is at 65.8 offensive plays per game over 4 games; NYG is at 60.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and NYG at 63.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ BAL
TEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to BAL's 24
TEN is at 20.8 points allowed per game over 4 games; BAL is at 24 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season TEN was at 28.1 over 17 games and BAL at 23.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- RED ZONEPIT @ CLE
CLE: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to PIT's 60%
Cleveland has allowed scores on 50% of red-zone trips over 4 games, Pittsburgh 60%. Red-zone rates rest on very few trips per game, so a single goal-line stand or a missed field goal can swing them by double digits. Expect both numbers to drift. In this matchup, the Browns' red-zone defense has held up better, which matters most in a game where both offenses may settle for field goals.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- RETURN WATCHLAD · return listed 10/6
Gavin Stone
Stone is on the Dodgers' 60-day IL with a shoulder injury. October 6 is his listed return date, not a promise, and there's no season line available to size up the stash. I'd hold only in a spare IL slot; I wouldn't spend an active roster spot on that listing.
- RED ZONELAR @ PHI
PHI: 61.5% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 53.3%
LAR is at 53.3% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; PHI is at 61.5% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season LAR was at 63.2% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALJAX @ CIN
JAX: 7.3 yards per pass attempt to CIN's 6.6
JAX is at 7.3 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; CIN is at 6.6 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season JAX was at 6.42 over 17 games and CIN at 5.81 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- RED ZONENE @ BUF
NE: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 68.8%
NE is at 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; BUF is at 68.8% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- HEAT CHECKNYY @ TB
Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days
DeLuca's OPS over the last 15 days sits 0.129 above his .728 season mark. That covers 42 AB, enough to notice and short enough that a couple of good games carry it. The jump is modest, so he does not need much luck to stay near this level. His total-bases line at Tampa Bay is 0.5, one hit clears it, and his 11 home runs give him a one-swing path.
P 1-for-4, 2 TB
- SITUATIONALNYJ @ CHI
NYJ: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 60%
NYJ is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; CHI is at 60% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season NYJ was at 43.9% over 17 games and CHI at 51.7% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PACE & SCRIPTPIT @ CLE
PIT: 30:41 time of possession per game to CLE's 28:37
PIT is at 30:41 time of possession per game over 4 games; CLE is at 28:37 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season PIT was at 28:25 over 17 games and CLE at 29:18 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Kaden Elliss (LB) is inactive for NO
NO lists Kaden Elliss as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Anfernee Jennings (LB) is inactive for NO
NO lists Anfernee Jennings as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Jared Ivey (LB) is inactive for ATL
ATL lists Jared Ivey as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers placed Njoku (fibula) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL
The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN
The Titans placed Slater (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE
The Patriots placed Van Roten (thigh) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- COVERAGEPIT @ CLE
PIT: 209.5 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 235.3
Pittsburgh allows 209.5 passing yards a game over 4 games, Cleveland 235.3. Yardage totals depend on how often opponents threw and the score they threw from, and the fact sheet doesn't list who either defense faced. Four games gives a rough picture that can still move. For this game, Cleveland's passing offense draws the tighter coverage unit, which matters most if the Browns have to throw to catch up.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- PASS RUSHIND @ WSH
IND: 2.25 sacks recorded per game to WSH's 1.75
IND is at 2.25 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; WSH is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PASS RUSHPIT @ CLE
CLE: 3 sacks recorded per game to PIT's 2.5
PIT is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; CLE is at 3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PASS RUSHNE @ BUF
BUF: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2
Buffalo is at 2.5 sacks a game over 4 games, New England 2. Half a sack per game is a small gap, and sack totals depend on the quarterbacks and lines each defense has seen. Four games won't settle which rush is better. For this matchup, the pass-rush difference is minor enough that it shouldn't carry much weight in how you view the game.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PASS RUSHDEN @ SF
DEN: 2 sacks recorded per game to SF's 1.5
DEN is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; SF is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PASS RUSHMIA @ MIN
MIA: 2.75 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3.25
MIA is at 2.75 sacks taken per game over 4 games; MIN is at 3.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 4. Last season MIA was at 2.92 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ BAL
Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN
Tennessee put Carmona on injured reserve Tuesday with an ankle injury, so the guard misses the game at Baltimore. The Titans also lost guard Jackson Slater to IR the same day, which leaves the interior line thin. Two guards gone at once is a real hit to protection and the run game, and that is the angle to weigh in this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- RED ZONELAC @ SEA
LAC: 56.3% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 66.7%
LAC is at 56.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 66.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 4.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) is on injured reserve for ATL
The Falcons placed Terrell (groin) on injured reserve Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 22.
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTATL @ NO
Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO
Banks (ankle) underwent surgery this week, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- REPLACEMENTMIA @ MIN
Nick Samac (C) is on injured reserve for MIN
The Vikings placed Samac (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- HEAD-TO-HEADNE @ BUF
NE lead the series with BUF since 2025
All three meetings were one-score games, and New England won both trips to Buffalo, 23-20 last October and 29-26 on Oct 4. Buffalo's lone win came in the shootout at Foxborough, 35-31. This series has been played on a coin's edge, so a small edge is the most anyone has shown. For a game in Buffalo, close finishes are the pattern, and that matters more than who leads the series.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTIND @ WSH
Micheal Clemons (DE) is on injured reserve for IND
Clemons (toe) was placed on injured reserve by the Colts on Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- HEAD-TO-HEADPIT @ CLE
CLE lead the series with PIT since 2025
Cleveland has won two of the three meetings, and both wins came at home: 13-6 on Dec 28 last season and 27-24 on Oct 1. Pittsburgh's lone win was a 23-9 home game on Oct 12, 2025. The last two in Cleveland were tight, one a low-scoring grind and the other a shootout by comparison, so the venue has mattered more than any clear gap between the teams. With this one in Cleveland again, expect a close game and think about how much weight to give home field in a series that has gone to the host every time.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTGB @ TB
Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 29.
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- REPLACEMENTLAR @ PHI
Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Garrett (knee) is facing a six-week recovery from surgery on his left knee, but the pass rusher is determined to be back before then, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network and ESPN reports. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Jordan Hancock (CB) is on injured reserve for BUF
The Bills placed Hancock (hamstring) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- HEAD-TO-HEADKC @ LV
KC lead the series with LV since 2025
These three games swung hard. Kansas City won the first 31-0 at home, then lost a 14-12 grinder in Las Vegas in January before edging the Raiders 30-27 there on Oct 4. The two games in Vegas were both decided late, while the Arrowhead game was a blowout. On the road in Las Vegas, recent history points to a tight game more than a runaway.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- SITUATIONALGB @ TB
GB (2-2) at TB (0-4)
Green Bay is 2-2 but -32 on the year, which means the Packers have lost by wide margins and their record flatters them. They are 2-1 on the road, though. Tampa Bay is 0-4, -20 and 0-3 at home, so the Bucs have been losing closer games. A bettor should note that the margins here are closer than the records suggest.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALPIT @ CLE
PIT (2-2) at CLE (3-1), a division game
Cleveland is 3-1 and has won three straight, yet sits at -14 points, worse than Pittsburgh's -10, so the record oversells how much better they have been. Both teams have lost more on margin than they have won. Pittsburgh is 0-2 on the road and Cleveland is 2-0 at home, which is the clearest edge here, though it rests on two games each. In a division game between two teams with negative point totals, the home and road splits carry more weight than the records.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- REPLACEMENTARI @ NYG
Will Johnson (CB) is on injured reserve for ARI
The Cardinals placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Trey Pipkins III (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers placed Pipkins (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Avonte Maddox (CB) is on injured reserve for DET
The Lions placed Maddox (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Claudin Cherelus (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR
The Panthers placed Cherelus (shoulder) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- RUNNING GAMENYY @ TB
Green light: New York Yankees run, and Liam Hicks has caught just 16%
Liam Hicks has thrown out 11 of 69 base stealers, so roughly five of every six runners make it. The Yankees run about 1.3 times a game, and 69 tries is a season-long sample, so this is who Hicks is behind the plate. Yankee singles tonight can turn into runners on second, which helps New York score in innings where they get only a hit or two.
P New York Yankees stole 0 bases
- REPLACEMENTDET @ CAR
Thomas Harper (S) is on injured reserve for DET
The Lions placed Harper (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ SF
C.J. West (DT) is on injured reserve for SF
The 49ers placed West (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
David Onyemata (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ
Onyemata (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery Wednesday, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
P.J. Locke (S) is on injured reserve for DAL
The Cowboys placed Locke (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Dell Pettus (S) is on injured reserve for NE
The Patriots placed Pettus (ankle) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is on injured reserve for NE
Hutchins (knee) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ HOU
Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU
The Texans placed Hummel (groin) on injured reserve Saturday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- REGRESSIONNYY @ TB
Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)
Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.
- REPLACEMENTNE @ BUF
Mike Onwenu (G) is on injured reserve for NE
The Patriots placed Onwenu (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ SEA
Anthony Bradford (G) is on injured reserve for SEA
The Seahawks placed Bradford (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ CLE
Gennings Dunker (G) is on injured reserve for PIT
The Steelers placed Dunker (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 24-27
- SITUATIONALLAC @ SEA
LAC is on a short week
The Chargers and Seattle come in on the same rest, so the schedule is a wash. Look to the matchup and the injury reports for any edge.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- HEAD-TO-HEADATL @ NO
ATL lead the series with NO since 2025
Atlanta has won both meetings, but they looked very different: a 24-10 road win in New Orleans in November, then a 19-17 squeaker at home in January. Two games is a small sample, and the second one shows the gap was much narrower by season's end. Heading back to New Orleans, the closer January game is the more useful picture of this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- HEAD-TO-HEADLAR @ PHI
LAR and PHI are even since 2025
The two meetings split, both in Philadelphia. The Eagles won 33-26 last September, and the Rams flipped it with a 24-20 win on Oct 4. Both games were decided by one score, and with just two games on record there is no real trend here. Treat the most recent result as the better guide to where these teams are, with last season's game as a reminder that Philadelphia can win this spot.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- HEAD-TO-HEADJAX @ CIN
JAX and CIN are even since 2025
It is one game apiece, and both were played in Cincinnati. The Bengals won a 31-27 shootout last September, then Jacksonville took a lower-scoring 22-17 game on Oct 4. Two meetings is a thin sample, so neither result says much about who owns this matchup. The scoring dropped a lot between the two games, which makes the total a better thing to think about than the series record.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- SITUATIONALPIT @ CLE
PIT is on a short week
Both Pittsburgh and Cleveland are playing on 4 days since their last game, so neither side gets a rest edge. Short weeks usually mean lighter practices, simpler game plans and sore bodies on both sidelines, which can make for a sloppier, lower-tempo division game. With the schedule even, the matchup and the injury reports matter more than the calendar here.
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- SITUATIONALIND @ WSH
IND is on a short week
Indianapolis and Washington come in on identical rest, so the schedule gives neither side an edge. Weigh the matchup and the injury reports here, since the calendar is a wash.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- SITUATIONALNE @ BUF
NE is on a short week
New England and Buffalo are on identical rest, so the calendar is even in this division game. Any edge has to come from the matchup and the injury reports.
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- SITUATIONALJAX @ CIN
JAX is on a short week
Jacksonville and Cincinnati are on identical rest, so the schedule does nothing to separate them. The matchup and the injury reports carry this one.
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- SITUATIONALARI @ NYG
ARI is on a short week
Arizona and the Giants come in on the same rest, so the calendar is a wash. Any edge has to come from the matchup itself.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- SITUATIONALGB @ TB
GB is on a short week
Green Bay and Tampa Bay come in on the same rest, so the schedule gives neither team an advantage. Weigh the matchup and the injury reports instead.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- SITUATIONALTEN @ BAL
TEN is on a short week
Tennessee and Baltimore are on identical rest, so the calendar does not tilt this game. The edge, if there is one, comes from the matchup.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- SITUATIONALKC @ LV
KC is on a short week
Kansas City and Las Vegas come in on the same rest, so the schedule does nothing to separate these division rivals. Any edge comes from the matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- SITUATIONALDAL @ HOU
DAL is on a short week
Dallas and Houston come in on the same rest, so neither side gets a scheduling edge in this in-state game. Look to the matchup and health instead.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- SITUATIONALDEN @ SF
DEN is on a short week
Denver and San Francisco are on identical rest, so neither side gets a calendar edge. Weigh health and matchup over the schedule.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- SITUATIONALNYJ @ CHI
NYJ is on a short week
The Jets and Chicago come in on the same rest, so neither side gets a scheduling edge. Look to the matchup and health instead of the calendar.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- SITUATIONALLAR @ PHI
LAR is on a short week
The Rams and Philadelphia are on identical rest, so neither side gets a scheduling edge. Health and matchup matter more than the calendar here.
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- SITUATIONALMIA @ MIN
MIA is on a short week
Miami and Minnesota are on identical rest, so the calendar is even. The matchup and the injury reports carry this one.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- SITUATIONALDET @ CAR
DET is on a short week
Detroit and Carolina are on identical rest, so the calendar gives neither side an advantage. The matchup and health decide where any edge lives.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
DJ Wonnum
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Darren Waller
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Chuba Hubbard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Bryce Young
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Princely Umanmielen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Bud Dupree
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Julian Love
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Nick Emmanwori
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Rashid Shaheed
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Akeem Davis-Gaither
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Justin Eboigbe
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Keaton Mitchell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Christian McCaffrey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Bucky Irving
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Grey Zabel
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Ashton Jeanty
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Nate Landman
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Jarran Reed
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Josh Wallace
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Brandon Pili
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Jonathan Taylor
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Khalil Mack
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Jaylen Waddle
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Chamarri Conner
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Will Shipley
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Trent Williams
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
D.J. Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Zach Allen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
Marvin Mims Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ SF
J.K. Dobbins
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-24
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Jadon Canady
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
L'Jarius Sneed
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Malik Benson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Wade Woodaz
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Isaiah Pola-Mao
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Tristin McCollum
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Tyler Nubin
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Mo Alie-Cox
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Kendal Daniels
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Quan Martin
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Grover Stewart
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Bo Melton
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Deone Walker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Joe Andreessen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Charvarius Ward
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Jonathan Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Julian Blackmon
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Martin Emerson Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Davon Godchaux
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Christen Miller
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
LaCale London
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Za'Darius Smith
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Nick Scott
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ CAR
Devin Lloyd
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Jack Cochrane
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- FIRST INNINGNYY @ TB
NYY have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 1 of their last 10
NYY scored in the first inning in 1 of the 10 sampled games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Freddy Peralta: 3.27 ERA, .226 opponent AVG across 22.0 IP, 3 HR; Cam Schlittler: 2.45 ERA, .175 opponent AVG across 33.0 IP, 6 HR.
P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Jawaan Taylor
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ SEA
Leonard Williams
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Chris Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Seydou Traore
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Nico Collins
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Ashton Gillotte
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Tony Pollard
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Drake Maye
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Rashee Rice
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Zeek Biggers
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
DaVon Hamilton
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Dorian Williams
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Barion Brown
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Amik Robertson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Tyson Campbell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Nick Allegretti
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Grant Delpit
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Patrick Mahomes
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Folorunso Fatukasi
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Treydan Stukes
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Eric Stokes
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTKC @ LV
Chris Roland-Wallace
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-27
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Jaylen Wright
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
JuJu Brents
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Chop Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Dante Trader Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Aaron Brewer
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Josh Uche
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Blake Cashman
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTMIA @ MIN
Chris Bell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-15
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Joey Porter Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Malik Hooker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Calen Bullock
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Shavon Revel Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ CLE
Tytus Howard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-27
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Trent Brown
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
James Houston
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Spencer Shrader
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ HOU
Will Anderson Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Marlon Humphrey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
John Simpson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Javon Kinlaw
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Calais Campbell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ WSH
Lucas Patrick
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Mark Andrews
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
Lamar Jackson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ BAL
John Franklin-Myers
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-24
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Benjamin St-Juste
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
A'Shawn Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
DeMonte Capehart
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Yaya Diaby
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Brandon Cisse
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Chris Godwin Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Josiah Trotter
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Keionte Scott
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTGB @ TB
Anthony Belton
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-14
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Poona Ford
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Darius Cooper
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Davante Adams
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Moro Ojomo
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Jalen Carter
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Byron Young
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Jordan Davis
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Tank Bigsby
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Kamren Kinchens
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ PHI
Puka Nacua
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-20
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Mack Wilson Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Budda Baker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Deonte Banks
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Patrick Ricard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Walter Nolen III
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Isaac Seumalo
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Nic Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Roy Lopez
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Elijah Campbell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ NYG
Hjalte Froholdt
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-36
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Jordan Battle
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Nate Boerkircher
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Jonathan Allen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Jarrian Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Jakobi Meyers
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ CIN
Cole Van Lanen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 22-17
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Minkah Fitzpatrick
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
D'Andre Swift
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Jeremy Ruckert
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Grady Jarrett
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Kene Nwangwu
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Joe Thuney
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ CHI
Jonah Jackson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNE @ BUF
Bradley Chubb
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 29-26
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ CHI
Marcelino McCrary-Ball (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ
NYJ lists Marcelino McCrary-Ball as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 12-23
- HEAD-TO-HEADNYJ @ CHI
CHI lead the series with NYJ since 2025
These teams have met once, a 23-12 Chicago win at home on Oct 4. The Jets were held to 12 points in that game, but one game is all there is, so it says little about how the next meeting goes.
P Edge side won; final 12-23
- HEAD-TO-HEADMIA @ MIN
MIN lead the series with MIA since 2025
Minnesota won the lone meeting 15-10 at home on Oct 4, a low-scoring game with Miami held to 10 points. With one game on record, the defensive tone of that afternoon is the only real takeaway.
P Edge side won; final 10-15
- HEAD-TO-HEADDET @ CAR
CAR lead the series with DET since 2025
Carolina beat Detroit 32-26 at home on Oct 4 in the only meeting, a high-scoring game. One result does not make a trend, though the scoreboard suggests both offenses found room.
P Edge side won; final 26-32
- HEAD-TO-HEADLAC @ SEA
SEA lead the series with LAC since 2025
Seattle won the lone meeting 30-23 at home on Oct 4. Both teams scored, and the Seahawks pulled away by a touchdown, but a single game is all the history there is.
P Edge side won; final 23-30
- HEAD-TO-HEADDEN @ SF
SF lead the series with DEN since 2025
San Francisco beat Denver 24-14 at home on Oct 4 in the only meeting. It was a comfortable win, but one game is too small a sample to say much about the matchup going forward.
P Edge side won; final 14-24
- HEAD-TO-HEADGB @ TB
GB lead the series with TB since 2025
Green Bay won the only meeting 17-14 in Tampa on Oct 4, a low-scoring game decided by one score. With a single game on record, the useful note is that it was tight and defensive, and that is a thin base to build on.
P Edge side lost; final 17-14
- HEAD-TO-HEADARI @ NYG
NYG lead the series with ARI since 2025
The only meeting was a high-scoring Giants win, 36-24 at home on Oct 4. Both offenses moved the ball, so the takeaway from this single game is about scoring more than which side is better.
P Edge side won; final 24-36
- HEAD-TO-HEADTEN @ BAL
BAL lead the series with TEN since 2025
Baltimore won the lone meeting 24-18 at home on Oct 4, a one-score game. Tennessee kept it close in Baltimore, but one result is all there is, so the series lead means little on its own.
P Edge side won; final 18-24
- HEAD-TO-HEADDAL @ HOU
DAL lead the series with HOU since 2025
Dallas won the only meeting 34-30 in Houston on Oct 4, a back-and-forth shootout. One game is a small sample, but both offenses scored freely, which is more useful to know than who won.
P Edge side lost; final 34-30
- RETURN WATCHTOR · return listed 10/15
Cody Ponce
Ponce is on Toronto’s 60-day IL with a knee injury. His listed return is October 15, 10 days away, but I’m not betting on that date as a guarantee. The 3.86 ERA gives him some stash appeal if you have a spare IL slot. Stash only in a spare IL slot; I’d pass if he costs an active roster spot.
- HEAD-TO-HEADIND @ WSH
IND lead the series with WSH since 2025
There is one meeting on record, and it was lopsided: Indianapolis won 30-13 in Washington on Oct 4. One game does not set a pattern, so the margin says more about that afternoon than about the matchup as a whole.
P Edge side lost; final 30-13
- PRACTICE REPORTATL @ NO
Travis Etienne Jr.
Hamstring
P Edge side lost; final 45-24
Graded results
13Games
- W
Atlanta Falcons ML -102
NFL · 45-24
- L
Pittsburgh Penguins ML -180
NHL · 3-2
- W
Dallas Stars ML -205
NHL · 0-5
- L
Yankees ML -120
MLB · 2-5
- W
White Sox ML +130
MLB · 4-3
- W
Tampa Bay Lightning ML -218
NHL · 1-4
- L
Boston Bruins ML -102
NHL · 4-1
Props
- L
Alvin Kamara · under
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints · Actual 58
- L
Cam Schlittler · under
Yankees @ Rays · Actual 2
- W
Kyle Teel · over
White Sox @ Guardians · Actual 2
- W
Liam Hicks · over
Yankees @ Rays · Actual 1
- W
Munetaka Murakami · over
White Sox @ Guardians · Actual 2
- L
Tyler Shough · under
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints · Actual 286