Sports picks for Sunday, October 25, 2026

MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.3

Minnesota is allowing 12.8 points a game over 5 games, down from 19.6 last season, while Indianapolis gives up 27.3 over 6, worse than its 24.2 a year ago. Minnesota's defense is outperforming its own history by a lot, so some creep upward is likely. The Colts are on the road against a unit that has set the tone every week, which makes the Indy team total the cleaner place to think than the side.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

TEN: 1.67 sacks taken per game to CLE's 4

Cleveland's quarterback is going down 4 times a game through 6 games, while Tennessee gives up fewer than two. Both teams were near 3 last season, so Cleveland has gotten worse and Tennessee much cleaner. Six games is a real sample, though Cleveland's rate is high enough that some drift back toward 3 is likely. In this spot, expect more Cleveland drives to stall on long downs, which drags on their team total and quarterback yardage.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

DAL: 267.2 team passing yards per game to PHI's 173.3

Dallas throws for 267.2 yards a game over 6 games, nearly identical to 266.3 last season, so the Cowboys' passing volume is steady. Philadelphia is at 173.3, down from 194.3. Neither number looks like a fluke over 6 games. Dallas will lean on the pass in this matchup, and the Eagles' lower air volume suggests they win games other ways, so the Dallas passing lines carry more weight than Philly's.

GB: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 297.4

GB is at 193.3 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; DET is at 297.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Drew Lock (QB) is out for SEA

Lock is inactive with an elbow injury, but Seattle has him as the emergency third quarterback Sunday night against Kansas City. That means he dresses only in a disaster scenario where both quarterbacks ahead of him go down. For betting, this changes little: he was a backup, and his elbow keeps him from being anything more than insurance in this game.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Connor O'Toole (LB) is out for SEA

O'Toole is inactive with a hamstring injury for Sunday night's game against the Chiefs. He is a depth linebacker, so his absence mostly affects special teams and rotation snaps. This is a minor note for the Seattle defense in this matchup.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

MIN: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5

Minnesota is taking the ball away about two times a game across 5 games, while Indianapolis has managed about one takeaway every other week over 6. Turnovers swing on bounces, so neither rate is locked in, but a five-game run of steady takeaways says the Vikings defense pressures mistakes into existence. For Colts at Vikings, Indianapolis is the side more likely to give a short field, which matters for anyone leaning on Minnesota points or the Colts' ball security.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Chazz Surratt (LB) is out for SEA

SEA lists Chazz Surratt as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

BAL: 151.5 rush yards a game to CIN's 82.8

Baltimore runs for 151.5 yards a game over six games, right in line with 156.6 last season, while Cincinnati manages 82.8, below its 93.6. The Ravens' ground game is who they are, and it lets them control the clock and keep the Bengals' offense on the sideline. Since both numbers track last season, this gap looks real. A Baltimore team leaning on the run tends to shorten the game and limit Cincinnati's chances to catch up.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Beau Stephens (G) is out for SEA

SEA lists Beau Stephens as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

DeVonta Smith (WR) is out for PHI

Smith is ruled out with a hamstring injury, so the Eagles take on the Cowboys on Monday without him at receiver. Out is final for this game. The sheet does not name who picks up his targets, so look at how the remaining Philadelphia receivers are priced before you judge this matchup.

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is out for DAL

Turpin is out against the Eagles with a rib injury, according to a report on Oct 24. Out means he will not play, so Dallas goes into Philadelphia without him. The report does not say who replaces him, so watch for the Cowboys to name a fill-in before you price any Dallas receiver or return props.

Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) is out for PHI

Smith (concussion) has been ruled out for Monday's matchup against Dallas. Reported Oct 24.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is out for SEA

Seattle has Charbonnet out against Kansas City, and the report gives no injury detail. He is part of the Seahawks' backfield, so his carries go to the other running backs on the depth chart. For bettors, more volume should land on whoever starts in the Seattle backfield Sunday night.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Jaylon Moore (OT) is out for KC

Moore is out Sunday at Seattle with a concussion, so Kansas City needs another tackle for this game. The sheet doesn't name his replacement, so confirm who starts before weighing how this affects protection against the Seahawks.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Ben VanSumeren (FB) is out for KC

KC lists Ben VanSumeren as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Dee Winters (LB) is out for DAL

Winters is out against the Eagles with a calf injury, so Dallas plays this one without him at linebacker. Out means no game-time call. The report does not name his replacement, so look at who Dallas lines up in his spot before leaning on Philadelphia's run game or short passing.

NYJ: 2.83 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0.8

The Jets are getting home almost three times a game over 6 games, while Miami's defense is under one sack a game across 5. That gap usually comes from a real pass rush on one side and a rush that rarely finishes on the other, though five or six games leaves room for movement. In Dolphins at Jets, the quarterback on the Miami side is the one more likely to be hurried, so sack props and drive killers lean toward New York's defense.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

KC: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%

KC is at 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 78.6% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Michael Carter II (CB) is out for PHI

Carter is ruled out with an abdomen injury for Monday night against Dallas, so Philadelphia is down a cornerback for this one. Out is final: he will not suit up. The sheet does not say who replaces him, so the thing to check is how the Eagles fill that corner spot and whether the Cowboys' receivers get an easier matchup in the slot.

Jack Pyburn (LB) is out for KC

KC lists Jack Pyburn as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to IND's 27.3

Minnesota's defense is giving up 12.8 points a game over five games, a big drop from 19.6 last season, while Indianapolis allows 27.3, worse than its 24.2 a year ago. The Colts have to win a low-scoring game, which means shortening it and avoiding mistakes against a unit that keeps scores down. Five games is a short run and 12.8 is a long way below last season, so some climb is likely. Minnesota's scoring edge depends on that defense holding.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Drew Shelton (OT) is out for DAL

Shelton is an offensive tackle for Dallas, and a hamstring injury has ruled him out of Monday's game in Philadelphia. Out means he is not suiting up. The sheet does not name his replacement, so watch who starts at tackle. A backup lineman facing the Eagles front is worth weighing when you think about pressure on the Cowboys quarterback in this game.

CAR: 295.6 pass yards a game to TB's 164.8

Carolina is throwing for 295.6 yards a game over five games, way up from 179.3 last season, while Tampa Bay sits at 164.8, down from 205.9. The Panthers win this game through the air, and the Bucs have to keep pace with an offense that has thrown far less than last year. A jump that large over five games has room to come back down some. Tampa Bay's ability to answer Carolina's passing volume decides the shape of this one.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

DAL: 267.2 pass yards a game to PHI's 173.3

Dallas is throwing for 267.2 yards a game over six games, almost exactly its 266.3 last season, while Philadelphia sits at 173.3, down from 194.3. The Cowboys attack through the air, and the Eagles have leaned away from passing this year. Dallas matching last season says its number should hold. How Philadelphia's defense handles that steady passing volume shapes how this game goes.

Drake Thomas (LB) is out for SEA

SEA lists Drake Thomas as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Garrett Nussmeier (QB) is out for KC

This is a roster move. Garrett Nussmeier is healthy and inactive by coach's decision, held as Kansas City's emergency third quarterback for Sunday night in Seattle. A third quarterback almost never takes a snap, so his absence leaves the Chiefs' passing game as it was. For betting purposes the starter's line and props are the ones to follow, and this listing does not move them.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Jadon Canady (CB) is out for KC

KC lists Jadon Canady as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Robert Henry Jr. (RB) is out for SEA

SEA lists Robert Henry Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is out for PHI

Wicks is out for Monday's game against Dallas with an ankle injury, reported Oct 24. That takes a receiver off the Eagles' depth chart, so targets shift to whoever is next. The sheet does not name his role or replacement. Look at secondary Philadelphia receiver props once the depth chart is clear.

Rashee Rice (WR) is out for KC

Rice is out for Kansas City's game at Seattle, and the report does not name an injury. When a team's lead receiver sits, the targets go to the rest of the receiver room and the tight ends. With no detail on who steps up, the useful angle is watching how the Chiefs' passing game spreads the ball without him.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

TEN: 1.67 sacks taken a game to CLE's 4

Cleveland's quarterback is going down four times a game through six games, up from three a game last season, while Tennessee has cut its sacks taken to 1.67 from 3.5. That puts the Titans' pass rush against a line that keeps leaking, and Cleveland has to hide it with quick throws and the run. Six games is a real sample for a line, so the Browns' number is unlikely to fix itself fast. Drives that stall on sacks mean more punts and fewer Cleveland points to count on.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

SF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 16.7%

SF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; ATL is at 16.7% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 59.1% over 17 games and ATL at 50% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

DET: 32.8 points per game to GB's 21.2

Detroit is scoring 32.8 points a game over 5 games, up from 28.3 last season, while Green Bay is at 21.2 over 6, a bit under its 23. Detroit's offense was already strong and has climbed further, so some cooling is reasonable but it remains elite. At home, the Lions dictate pace, and the Packers will need to score more than they have been to keep up.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

NO: 84.2% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 53.3%

New Orleans is scoring on 84.2% of red-zone trips over 6 games, a massive jump from 44.4% last season. Pittsburgh is at 53.3%, close to its 58.8% a year ago. The Saints' rate is far above their own recent history and red-zone numbers swing hard over short stretches, so expect it to come down. Pittsburgh's figure looks more like its true level.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

GB @ DET carries a 54.5 market total

The market expects this one to be the shootout of the slate, 11 points above the 43.5 median across 13 games. A total that high says both offenses are expected to score in bunches, with touchdowns rather than field goals. For it to crack, drives would have to stall in the red zone or the game would have to slow down early. If you like the under, the case rests on an early stretch of punts and field goals.

HOU: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.83

Houston turns it over just 0.5 times a game over 6 games, near its 0.71 last season, so ball security is a real trait. The Giants are at 1.83, up sharply from 1 a year ago. Turnovers swing week to week, so the Giants' rate likely settles somewhat. The gap still favors Houston in a game where short fields and extra possessions can decide it.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

SF: 0.83 sacks taken per game to ATL's 2.67

San Francisco's quarterback is going down under once a game over 6 games, down from 1.8 last season. Atlanta is taking 2.67, up from 1.86. Both moved in opposite directions from nearly the same starting point, so expect each to drift back somewhat. For now, Atlanta is more likely to see drives die on sacks, which hurts the Falcons more at home than San Francisco.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Cowboys. Reported Oct 24.

MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 61.1%

IND is at 61.1% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 25% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

HOU: 0.5 turnovers a game to NYG's 1.83

Houston gives the ball away half a time a game over six games, close to its 0.71 last season, while New York is at 1.83, up from 1 a year ago. The Giants have to protect the ball against a team that rarely hands back extra possessions. Turnovers swing a lot, so New York's rate could settle toward last season's. A game where one side gifts short fields usually tilts toward the cleaner team.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jaylin Noel (WR) is questionable for HOU

Noel was seen in a walking boot after Sunday's 27-21 overtime loss to the Giants, with a toe injury. Questionable leaves the door open, but a boot right after the game points toward a tougher path to playing. The sheet names no replacement, so wait for practice participation before trusting any Houston receiver prop tied to his snaps.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

SF has won 6 straight

SF hasn't lost yet: 6-0, and every win is part of the streak. The sheet doesn't say who those six came against, so the record alone can't tell you how much of it was earned against real teams. Six games is a solid start and a 6-0 team is usually a real one, but streaks end and road games at ATL are where they often do. Expect the market to price SF as the clear better team, so the question for a bettor is whether that price already asks too much.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

DET: 114.2 rushing yards per game to GB's 59.8

Green Bay runs for just 59.8 yards a game over 6 games, half its 119.8 from last season. Detroit is at 114.2, near its 120.1 a year ago. A drop that steep suggests Green Bay has shifted away from the run or struggled to establish it, and some recovery is likely. Detroit's ground game is stable, so in this matchup the Lions are the team more likely to control things on the ground.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

KC: 6.74 yards per play to SEA's 5.3

Kansas City gains 6.74 yards a play over 5 games, a big jump from 5.05 last season, while Seattle has slipped to 5.3 from 5.98. The Chiefs hit 4 plays of 20-plus last game, including Patrick Mahomes finding Noah Gray for 31 and Travis Kelce for 24. Seattle's explosives came from Sam Darnold to Rashid Shaheed for 42 and Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 32. Kansas City's efficiency should cool some, but it moves the ball in bigger chunks.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

Dillon Gabriel is on injured reserve with a designation to return for Cleveland, with a back injury, and is ruled out at Tennessee, reported Oct 23. That status means he is eligible to come back later, but he will not play Sunday. The Browns will start someone else at quarterback against the Titans.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Cam Skattebo (RB) is questionable for NYG

Skattebo said after Sunday's 27-21 overtime win at Houston that he felt something in his hamstring on his final carry of the game. Questionable means he has a real chance to play but nothing is settled, and a hamstring felt late in a game is the kind of issue that can linger or clear up within the week. The sheet does not name a backup, so watch practice reports before leaning on any Giants rushing number.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

DET: 114.2 rush yards a game to GB's 59.8

Green Bay runs for just 59.8 yards a game over six games, half its 119.8 last season, while Detroit is at 114.2, close to its 120.1. The Packers lean on passing when the run isn't there, and Detroit can hold a steady ground game. A drop that steep from last season suggests Green Bay's number has room to bounce back. If the Packers can't run, Detroit's defense knows what's coming.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

KC: 6.74 yards a snap to SEA's 5.3

Kansas City averages 6.74 yards a snap over five games, up from 5.05 last season, while Seattle sits at 5.3, below its 5.98. The Chiefs are moving the ball much more efficiently, and Seattle has to stay on schedule to keep up. A jump that big over five games may cool some. Efficiency gaps like this usually mean more scoring chances for the better offense.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to IND's 1.67

Minnesota is averaging 3.4 sacks a game over 5 games, about double the Colts' 1.67 across 6. Paired with the Vikings' takeaway rate, that looks like a pressure defense that forces quarterbacks into bad spots. For Colts at Vikings, Indianapolis protection is the matchup to watch, and sack or interception props on the Colts quarterback lean the Minnesota way.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

SF: 0.83 sacks taken a game to ATL's 2.67

San Francisco has taken 0.83 sacks a game over six games, down from 1.8 last season, while Atlanta is taking 2.67, up from 1.86. The Falcons' line is giving up more pressure, and they need quicker throws to hide it. Both numbers moved a lot from last season, so expect some drift back. Drives stalled by sacks hand San Francisco extra possessions.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

KC: 159.8 rushing yards per game to SEA's 107.2

Kansas City runs for 159.8 yards a game over 5 games, way up from 106.6 last season. Seattle is at 107.2, down from 123.3. The Chiefs leaning on the run is a real change in identity, though a jump that size in 5 games will likely come back some. Against Seattle, expect Kansas City to keep pounding it, which shortens the game and matters for totals.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

KC: 5.48 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.8

KC is at 5.48 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 3.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 4.29 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

KC: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 2

Kansas City turns it over just 0.8 times a game over 5 games, right in line with its 0.88 last season, so this is a steady trait. Seattle is at 2, up from 1.65. Turnovers are noisy, so Seattle's rate may ease, but the Chiefs have long protected the ball. In a road game, extra possessions from Seattle mistakes could decide it.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

DET: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 50%

Detroit scores on 77.3% of red-zone trips over 5 games, up from 62.5% last season. Green Bay sits at 50%, down from 57.6%. Both are pushed to extremes and red-zone rates swing on a handful of plays, so expect the gap to narrow. Detroit still has the edge in converting drives into touchdowns, which favors the Lions in a close game at home.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Taylor Moton (OT) is doubtful for CAR

Carolina lists Moton as doubtful against Tampa Bay, and the report gives no injury detail. Doubtful usually means a player will not suit up. Moton is a starting tackle, so losing him puts a backup on the edge against the Buccaneers' pass rush, which matters for the Panthers' quarterback getting time to throw.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

DAL: 23.3 first downs per game to PHI's 14.8

Dallas moves the chains 23.3 times a game over 6 games, almost identical to 23.1 last season, so its ability to sustain drives is steady. Philadelphia is at 14.8, well below 18 a year ago. The Cowboys should keep stacking first downs, while the Eagles' drop looks steep enough to recover somewhat. Dallas will likely hold the ball longer in this game, which shapes the pace and the total.

HOU: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 1.33

Houston has 3 sacks a game across 6 games, while the Giants have 1.33 over the same span. Six games is enough to say the Texans rush finishes plays more often, though opponent offensive lines shape both numbers. For Giants at Texans, the New York quarterback should see more pressure than Houston's, which favors Texans sack props and points to shorter Giants drives.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Kyle Monangai

Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Luke Gifford

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Lamar Jackson

Ankle · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Alijah Vera-Tucker

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Jaelan Phillips

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Jaylinn Hawkins

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Jaylon Moore

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Tyler Warren

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Nick Bosa

Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

TB: 75.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 132.2

Tampa Bay is giving up 75.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games, while Carolina allows 132.2 across 5. Run-defense numbers also depend on game script: teams trailing stop running, so a leading defense can look stingier than it is. For Bucs at Panthers, the ground game is the softer path against Carolina, which matters for Tampa running back yardage.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

KaVontae Turpin

Ribs · Did not practice · Out

Drew Shelton

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Michael Carter II

Abdomen · Did not practice · Out

Drake Thomas

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Anthony Gould

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Rashid Shaheed

Full practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Brashard Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Dontayvion Wicks

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Dee Winters

Calf · Did not practice · Out

Nolan Smith Jr.

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Zach Charbonnet

Knee · Full practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Nate Landman

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Zaire Franklin

Shin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Jeremiyah Love

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Brandin Echols

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Jalen Pitre

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

David Montgomery

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

CHI is 3-1 at home; NE is 1-3 on the road

CHI has taken care of business at home at 3-1, while NE has won just once in four road trips. Both splits come from four games, which is enough to show a lean and too few to call it a trait. Home and road records drift toward a team's overall level as the season goes on. The split points the same way as the venue here, so it mostly backs up what the line will already say about CHI at home.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Rib · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Reed Blankenship

Concussion, Hand · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Max Mitchell

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

CJ Allen

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

CJ Donaldson

Full practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Divine Deablo

Forearm · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Billy Bowman Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Greg Newsome II

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Reese Taylor

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Emeka Egbuka

Concussion, Foot · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Mike Hall Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Brian Robinson Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Karon Prunty

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

PHI: 38.9% third downs allowed to DAL's 54.7%

Philadelphia lets opponents convert 38.9% of third downs, while Dallas allows 54.7%, both over 6 games. More than half of third downs converted is a lot of extended drives and long fields for your own offence. For Cowboys at Eagles, Philadelphia's offence should stay on the field longer, which bears on time of possession and Eagles scoring props.

Ben Brown

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Jevon Holland

Concussion · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Blake Fisher

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Walter Nolen III

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Mike Evans

Ribs, Achilles · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Luke Goedeke

Calf · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Talanoa Hufanga

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Jack Sanborn

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Jon Gaines II

Knee, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Sauce Gardner

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Andrew Wingard

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

CAR: 5.98 yards per play to TB's 4.7

Carolina gains more on every snap, and Bryce Young is pushing the ball downfield: four plays of 20-plus yards in the last game, led by a 32-yarder to Jalen Coker. Last season Carolina sat at 4.92 and Tampa at 5.12, so both teams have flipped, and five or six games is a short window for that kind of swing. At home, Carolina's offense sets the tempo. A bettor should ask whether Tampa can stop the shots to Coker, David Moore and Tetairoa McMillan, or whether this is a game Tampa has to chase.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Rashee Rice

Hamstring, Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Garret Wallow

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Ben Skowronek

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Joseph Ossai

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Marques Sigle

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

LAR: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to LV's 2.98

The Rams average 4.52 a carry and Las Vegas is at 2.98, which means the Raiders rarely stay ahead of the chains on the ground. Both teams sit close to last season, 4.69 for the Rams and 3.38 for the Raiders, so this gap is real and has held. The Raiders will lean on passing downs, and the Rams can keep a lead with the run. In close spots, the team that can actually run the ball has the easier path.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

KC has won 5 straight

KC is 5-0 and takes that streak on the road to SEA. With no opponent list on the sheet, five wins tell you KC keeps finding ways to win, with nothing on how strong the competition was. A five-game start is short, and road games against a home crowd are a common place for a streak to end. Weigh how much the unbeaten record is inflating KC's price before leaning on it.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MIN has won 5 straight

MIN is unbeaten at 5-0 and hosts IND with all five wins in a row. The sheet doesn't list the opponents, so there's no telling how tough that schedule was. Five games is a real start but a short sample, and an undefeated record tends to push a team's price past what one more game justifies. For a bettor, the useful question is how much a 5-0 home favorite has to win by, more than whether MIN wins.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

MIA has lost 5 straight

MIA has lost every game this season, 0-5, and goes on the road to NYJ. Five straight losses usually means real problems, though the sheet doesn't say how close those games were or who they came against. Winless teams tend to get priced as worse than they are, since the market leans on the record. That is the spot to think about here: whether MIA is as bad as 0-5 says, or just as bad as the number implies.

CAR: 29.2 points per game to TB's 19.8

Carolina is scoring 29.2 a game after 18.3 last season, while Tampa has dropped from 22.4 to 19.8. That is a big jump for Carolina over five games, and some of it will cool off. Tampa's slide is smaller and over six games, so it looks more like who they are right now. At home, Carolina scoring and Tampa needing to keep pace is the likely shape, but set the total with Carolina's number pulled back toward last season.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

SEA: 141.3 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 217.2

Seattle is holding offences to 141.3 passing yards a game over 6 games, while Kansas City gives up 217.2 across 5. Seattle's number can partly reflect opponents who ran more or the quarterbacks they drew, so it may not be this low against better passers. For Chiefs at Seahawks, the Kansas City passing game faces the tougher secondary on paper, which shapes how you view Chiefs yardage props.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Theo Johnson

Neck · Did not practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 27-21

T.J. Edwards

Hamstring · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 24-30

MIN has 7 more days of rest

Minnesota gets two full weeks to prepare off the bye, while Indianapolis is on a normal week. That extra time usually goes to healing nagging injuries and building a game plan specific to this opponent. Indy has no scheduling disadvantage beyond that, so the edge is preparation, and it's one input to weigh alongside matchups.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

CAR: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to TB's 1.83

TB is at 1.83 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; CAR is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 0.94 over 17 games and CAR at 1.35 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

DET has 7 more days of rest

Detroit is coming off its bye with 14 days of rest, and Green Bay is on a standard week. The Lions get the fresher legs and an extra week to game plan for a division rival, at home. Bye-week edges are modest on their own, so fold it in with health and matchups.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DET: 4 sacks recorded per game to GB's 2.5

Detroit is at 4 sacks a game over 5 games, while Green Bay records 2.5 across 6. Both rushes get home, Detroit's more often, though a five-game rate can drop once lines adjust. For Packers at Lions, the pressure gap points at Green Bay's quarterback, which pairs awkwardly with the Lions' weak pass defense numbers and makes the Packers' passing game a volatile read.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

CIN has 7 more days of rest

Cincinnati had the bye and gets 14 days before this trip, while Baltimore is on a normal 7. The Bengals get extra time to scheme for a division rival they already know well. Baltimore is at home and on regular rest, so this is a mild prep edge and the Ravens are not working at a disadvantage.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

MIN: 4.6 yards per play allowed to IND's 5.8

IND is at 5.8 yards per play allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 4.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Hurts (calf) is expected to be held out of football activities for multiple months and miss the rest of the season after new imaging over the weekend revealed several blood clots in his lungs, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Oct 19.

DAL: 1.17 sacks taken per game to PHI's 2.67

Dallas is getting sacked 1.17 times a game, about half of last season's 2.38, while Philadelphia has risen slightly to 2.67 from 2.33. Six games is enough to say the Dallas line or quarterback is getting the ball out faster. Philadelphia's pass protection is a problem at home. Drive-killing sacks favor Dallas in a game decided by a few possessions.

MIA has 7 more days of rest

Miami comes off the bye with 14 days to rest and prepare, and the Jets are on a standard week. The Dolphins get the healthier body and the extra film time, though they also have to travel for this one. Rest helps most when a team was banged up going into the break, so check the injury report before giving it much weight.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

DEN: 20.8 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.7

Arizona's defense allows 29.7 points a game over six games, close to 28.7 last season, while Denver gives up 20.8, up from 18.3. The Broncos can score against a defense that has been leaky for two seasons, and Arizona has to win a shootout. With Arizona matching last year, that number looks real. Denver's offense facing that defense shapes the total.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

HOU: 83 rushing yards allowed per game to NYG's 135.5

Houston allows 83 rushing yards a game while the Giants give up 135.5, both over 6 games. Six games is a reasonable sample, and when combined with Houston's sack rate, it points to a defensive front controlling the line. For Giants at Texans, Houston's backs have the easier ground matchup, and the Giants may be forced to throw into the pressure.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

IND: 2.33 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.6

Indianapolis goes for it on fourth down 2.33 times a game, up from 1.59 last season, while Minnesota has dropped to 0.6 from 1.41 over five games. The Colts are playing aggressive, which adds possessions and swings to their games. Minnesota is kicking more and trusting field position. Expect the Colts to pass up field goals, which can push totals and spreads both ways.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

GB: 20.8 points allowed per game to DET's 29.6

GB is at 20.8 points allowed per game over 6 games; DET is at 29.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and DET at 24.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

LAR: 4.82 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.98

The Rams allow 4.82 yards per play over 6 games, while Las Vegas allows 5.98 over the same span. Yards per play is less tied to game script than totals, so a gap this size over six games usually reflects a real difference in unit quality. For Rams at Raiders, Los Angeles' offence should move the ball more efficiently, which matters for spread and total thinking.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

DEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.7

Arizona is allowing 29.7 a game and gave up 28.7 last season, so this defense is consistently leaky. Denver allows 20.8, a bit worse than last season's 18.3, but still a solid unit. That gap over six games and seventeen games looks durable. At home, Arizona has to outscore people, and Denver's offense should find room.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

KC: 1.2 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.67

KC is at 1.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; SEA is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 2.94 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

SF: 1 turnover committed per game to ATL's 2

Atlanta is coughing it up twice a game over six games, up from 1.06 last season. San Francisco is at one a game, a bit better than last season's 1.29. Atlanta's jump looks inflated and should come down, since last season it protected the ball well. San Francisco has the steadier profile on the road, but a turnover-driven edge is the least reliable kind to bet on.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

LAR: 167 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 237.3

The Rams give up 167 passing yards a game while Las Vegas gives up 237.3, both over 6 games. Alongside the Rams' lower yards per play, it reads as a solid defense more than a schedule quirk, though six games can still hide easy opponents. For Rams at Raiders, the Los Angeles passing attack has the friendlier matchup, which points toward Rams yardage props.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

NYJ: 37.7% third downs allowed to MIA's 51.7%

The Jets allow conversions on 37.7% of third downs over 6 games, while Miami gives up 51.7% across 5. Paired with the Jets' sack rate, that looks like a defense that gets off the field on obvious passing downs. For Dolphins at Jets, Miami drives are more likely to stall, while New York's offence should get more extended possessions.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

TB (1-5) at CAR (3-2), a division game

Tampa Bay at 1-5 with only a -19 point margin has been losing close games, which makes the record look worse than the play. Carolina has won two straight and is +23 on the year, a sturdier profile than a 3-2 mark suggests. Both teams are 1-1 in this spot, home or road, so the splits add little. Close losses like Tampa's tend to even out, so the gap between these teams may be narrower than the records say.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

DAL: 5.52 yards per play to PHI's 4.42

Dallas gains 5.52 yards a play, while Philadelphia is at 4.42 over six games. Both dropped from last season, 5.96 and 5.27, but the Eagles fell much further. Philadelphia's offense is moving the ball less efficiently, and home field does not cancel that. Dallas has the better per-snap offense coming in, which matters most if the game turns into a shootout.

PIT: 21.3 points allowed a game to NO's 29.7

New Orleans allows 29.7 points a game over six games, a big jump from 22.5 last season, while Pittsburgh gives up 21.3, slightly better than 22.8. The Steelers get to attack a defense that has slipped badly, and the Saints have to outscore them. A seven-point jump over six games may ease some. Pittsburgh's steadier defense against a leaky unit tilts the scoring.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Rashid Shaheed (WR) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Rashid Shaheed as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI

Greenard (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday night's game against the Cowboys, Martin Frank of The Delaware News Journal reports. Reported Oct 24.

MIA (0-5) at NYJ (2-4), a division game

Miami has lost all five games by a combined 62 points and is 0-3 away from home, so this is a team without a single good result to point to. The Jets sit at 2-4 and -10, which means most of their losses have been close, and they are 1-1 at home. Division games tend to tighten up, but nothing on Miami's sheet suggests the slide is about to stop. The cleaner question for a bettor is whether the Jets can win by margin, since their own point total shows a team that plays tight games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

DET: 0.2 turnovers committed per game to GB's 1.17

GB is at 1.17 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; DET is at 0.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and DET at 0.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DET: 4.18 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.8

GB is at 2.8 yards per rush attempt over 6 games; DET is at 4.18 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 4.21 over 17 games and DET at 4.52 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

PIT: 21.3 points allowed per game to NO's 29.7

New Orleans allows 29.7 a game after 22.5 last season, a big jump over six games. Pittsburgh is at 21.3, slightly better than last season's 22.8. The Saints' number is likely to drift down some, but six games of this means something is off. Pittsburgh's offense has a good spot here, even if the full gap shrinks.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

DAL (2-4) at PHI (2-4), a division game

Same record, different stories: Dallas is 2-4 at -8, while Philadelphia is 2-4 at -31 and has lost four straight. The Eagles' slide is the deeper problem, and their 1-2 home mark offers no cover. Dallas has lost two in a row but has mostly stayed within reach of its opponents. In a division game between two teams with matching records, the point margins are the better guide to who is actually playing worse.

NYJ: 0.67 turnovers a game to MIA's 1.6

The Jets commit 0.67 turnovers a game over six games, down from 1.35 last season, while Miami is at 1.6, up a bit from 1.41. Miami has to protect the ball against a team that rarely gives extra possessions. Turnover rates jump around, so the Jets' clean start may not last. Possession battles like this often decide close games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Jordan Mason

Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Willie Gay Jr.

Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Kevin Byard

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Tyler Nubin

Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Quay Walker

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Avieon Terrell

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Cade Mays

Wrist · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Quincy Williams

Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 3 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 615 passing yards, completed 63.5% of his passes and averaged 6.41 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in. Baker Mayfield is also listed q for this matchup.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Jonathan Greenard

Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable

Saquon Barkley

Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable

MIA: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.58

Miami averages 4.9 a carry over five games, up from 4.64, while the Jets have dropped to 3.58 from 4.53. The Jets' run game falling off that much over six games is a real concern. Miami can lean on the ground to control the game on the road. If the Jets fall behind, their run game won't help them climb back.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Marist Liufau

Forearm · Full practice · Questionable

Eli Stowers

Quadricep · Full practice · Questionable

Grant Calcaterra

Back · Full practice · Questionable

Jalyx Hunt

Knee, Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

Landon Dickerson

Knee, Pectoral · Full practice · Questionable

P.J. Locke

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

L'Jarius Sneed

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Connor O'Toole

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Nick Emmanwori

Hip · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Uchenna Nwosu

Hip · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

DeMarcus Lawrence

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Cooper McDonald

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

PHI has lost 4 straight

PHI carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 2-4 on the season. They face DAL in DAL @ PHI. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-24.

Drew Lock

Elbow · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Jakorian Bennett

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

GB: 4.63 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.66

Green Bay allows 4.63 yards per play over 6 games, while Detroit allows 5.66 across 5. Yards per play strips out some game-script noise, so the Packers' edge looks like a real gap in defense quality. For Packers at Lions, Green Bay's offence should be more efficient per snap, though Detroit's sack rate adds risk to any long drive.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Trent McDuffie

Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Mike Washington Jr.

Foot, Back · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Puka Nacua

Calf · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Benjamin St-Juste

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Brian Branch

Achilles · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Bo Melton

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Jordon Riley

Achilles · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Aaron Banks

Knee, Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Max Melton

Knee · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Jonah Coleman

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Budda Baker

Groin, Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Carson Beck

Back · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Darius Robinson

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Pat Surtain II

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Tank Dell

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jermaine Eluemunor

Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Paulson Adebo

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Marcus Mbow

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Broderick Washington Jr.

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Thornton is on injured reserve with a designation to return, and he has a hamstring injury that has him ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams. The Raiders' other receivers absorb his targets. He is not close to helping this week, so treat Las Vegas as playing without him.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Bam Martin-Scott

Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Monroe Freeling

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Kyle Louis

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Dylan Parham

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Breece Hall

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Kene Nwangwu

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Justin Walley

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Bryce Boettcher

Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Denzel Ward

Hand · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Tyjae Spears

Not injury related - resting player, Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Tony Adams

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Calvin Ridley

Hip · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Kevin Winston Jr.

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Olamide Zaccheaus

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

C.J. Henderson

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Christian Kirk

Calf · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

A.J. Terrell Jr.

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Gervon Dexter Sr.

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Siran Neal

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Za'Darius Smith

Neck · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Upton Stout

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Kendal Daniels

Neck · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Cesar Ruiz

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Nathan Shepherd

Illness, Not injury related - resting player · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Rico Dowdle

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 16-10

DeShon Elliott

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Christian Elliss

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Tyrique Stevenson Sr.

Hip · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

Collins has been ruled out for Sunday against the 49ers with a hip injury while still in his return window from injured reserve. He stays sidelined for at least another week, so the Falcons' receiver group looks the same as it has. There's no new piece to account for in this matchup.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

SF @ ATL carries a 50.5 market total

At 7 points over the 43.5 median across 13 games, the market sees this as one of the higher-scoring spots on the board. That points to both offenses moving the ball with some regularity. The expectation cracks if one side controls the clock and shortens the game. A slow, grinding first half is the scenario that works against this number.

CLE: 29:09 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:01

Cleveland holds the ball 29:09 a game, nearly identical to last season's 29:18. Tennessee has dropped to 24:01 from 29:08, which means the Titans are going three and out or scoring quickly far more often. Six games of this suggests the Titans' offense cannot sustain drives. Cleveland controlling the clock shortens the game and limits Tennessee's chances, which leans toward lower totals.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

NYJ: 4.68 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.7

The Jets let offences gain 4.68 yards on an average snap across 6 games, while Miami's defense has given up 5.7 over 5. A full yard per play is a wide gap between two units, and it shows up as drives that stall versus drives that keep moving. These samples are only a third of a season, and the sheet does not say who either side faced, so some of the gap may be schedule. For this game, the Jets defense is the steadier side to lean on when sizing up Miami's ability to string together drives.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

SF: 51.5% third-down conversion rate to ATL's 38.9%

SF is at 51.5% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; ATL is at 38.9% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and ATL at 33.3% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

DAL: 25.2 points per game to PHI's 17.7

DAL is at 25.2 points per game over 6 games; PHI is at 17.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and PHI at 22.3 over 17 games.

DEN: 5.05 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.05

Denver allows 5.05 yards per snap over 6 games; Arizona allows 6.05 over 6. That full yard means the Cardinals defense has been much easier to move on. Six games is a modest sample and the opponents faced are not on the sheet, so both numbers can shift as the schedule evens out. For this game, Denver's offence looks like the side with the easier path to sustained drives, and the Broncos defense should make Arizona earn more of its yards.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

CHI: 35:30 of possession a game to NE's 30:45

Chicago has held the ball 35:30 a game through 7 games, a big jump from 30:59 last season, while New England sits at 30:45, close to its 31:18 from last year. The Bears are grinding out long drives and keeping opposing offenses on the bench, and seven games is enough to call that a real identity shift. New England's answer is to make its own possessions count and get Chicago off the field early on third down. If the Bears control the clock again, expect fewer total possessions, which tends to shrink scoring chances on both sides.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

SF: 8.47 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 6.75

SF is at 8.47 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; ATL is at 6.75 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

NYG: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 28.6%

The Giants convert 66.7% on fourth down, up from 46.2% last season, while Houston has fallen to 28.6% from 57.9%. Fourth-down rates swing on a handful of tries, so both should move back toward last season. Houston's drop is the bigger outlier and likely to recover. Avoid assuming either team will keep converting at this pace in the moments that decide the game.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

CAR: 2.4 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.67

TB is at 3.67 sacks taken per game over 6 games; CAR is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 2.38 over 17 games and CAR at 2.19 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

CAR: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 47.4%

TB is at 47.4% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; CAR is at 66.7% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and CAR at 53.3% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

PIT: 1.17 turnovers committed per game to NO's 2

New Orleans turns it over twice a game, up from 1.41 last season, while Pittsburgh is at 1.17 after 0.88. Six games is a decent sample, but turnovers bounce around, so expect the Saints' number to come down some. Pittsburgh has the safer offense on the road. The Saints giving away possessions is a real worry until they show they can stop it.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

TB: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 76.9%

TB is at 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; CAR is at 76.9% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

LAR: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 73.9%

The Rams have let opponents score on 50% of red-zone trips over 6 games; the Raiders allow 73.9% over 6. Red-zone numbers rest on few possessions, so both can move fast with a couple of goal-line stands or busts. For now, Las Vegas has been the softer defense once the field shrinks. That leans toward Rams drives finishing in the end zone more often than Raiders drives do in this game.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

PIT: 0.33 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1.17

PIT is at 0.33 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; NO is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season PIT was at 0.35 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

PIT: 32.5% third downs allowed to NO's 44.6%

Pittsburgh lets offences convert 32.5% of third downs over 6 games, and New Orleans allows 44.6% over 6. That gap is the difference between getting off the field and giving up long drives. Third down rates swing a lot over six games, so expect both to drift somewhat toward the middle. For this game, the Steelers offence should find more extra chances on the money down than the Saints offence will, which matters for time of possession and the pace of the game.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CHI: 35:30 time of possession per game to NE's 30:45

Chicago is holding the ball almost five more minutes a game than New England, and both teams sat near 31 minutes last season. That makes Chicago's 35:30 over 7 games a real shift in style from last season's 30:59. A team that grinds clock shortens games, which means fewer possessions for both sides. In this matchup, Chicago at home gets to set that slow tempo unless New England jumps out early and forces it to throw.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

SF: 18.3 points allowed per game to ATL's 25.5

SF is at 18.3 points allowed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 25.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 21.8 over 17 games and ATL at 23.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

DAL: 6 sack yards lost per game to PHI's 18

DAL is at 6 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; PHI is at 18 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and PHI at 13 over 17 games.

KC: 7.6 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 19.8

KC is at 7.6 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 19.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

TB: 54.8 penalty yards per game to CAR's 83.8

TB is at 54.8 penalty yards per game over 6 games; CAR is at 83.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 43.4 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

LAR: 112.7 rush yards a game to LV's 79.2

The Rams run for 112.7 yards a game over six games, down from 126.6 last season, while Las Vegas manages 79.2, close to its 77.5. The Raiders' weak ground game matches last year, so their number looks real. Los Angeles can lean on the run to control tempo, while Vegas has to pass to move. That gap shapes clock control and play calling.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

AFC NORTH game: CIN 0-1, BAL 0-1 in the division

These two share the AFC NORTH. CIN is 0-1 against it, BAL is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-24.

NFC EAST game: DAL 1-1, PHI 1-0 in the division

PHI is 1-0 in the NFC East and DAL is 1-1, so each has played only one or two division games. That is far too few to read anything into. The division edge matters for standings, but for this game the overall form on both sides will tell you more.

CIN: 50% third-down conversion rate to BAL's 38.2%

Cincinnati is moving the chains on half its third downs, and Baltimore is closer to four in ten. Cincinnati sat at 43.4% last season over 17 games, so 50% over 5 games is a jump that probably cools some. Baltimore's 38.2% is a dip from 40.9% last season. If Cincinnati keeps drives alive in Baltimore, it controls the clock and the play count, so think about how this game's pace changes if that edge holds.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

GB: 1.83 takeaways per game to DET's 1

GB is at 1.83 takeaways per game over 6 games; DET is at 1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

LV: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.33

LAR is at 1.33 sacks recorded per game over 6 games; LV is at 2.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

BAL: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to CIN's 52.9%

CIN is at 52.9% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; BAL is at 71.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CIN was at 66.7% over 17 games and BAL at 47.5% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

DAL: 6.43 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 4.83

DAL is at 6.43 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; PHI is at 4.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

CLE @ TEN carries a 37.5 market total

This sits 6 points under the 43.5 slate median, so the market expects a low-scoring, field-goal-heavy game. Points should come in small doses, with long drives and few quick strikes. For it to crack, it would take turnovers that set up short fields or a couple of explosive plays. In a game priced this low, a single defensive or special teams touchdown moves the math a lot.

CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 40%

CIN is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; BAL is at 40% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CIN was at 70% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

SF: 4.8 sack yards lost per game to ATL's 16.2

SF is at 4.8 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; ATL is at 16.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and ATL at 12.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Luka Doncic and Lauri Markkanen lead tonight's board

Doncic averaged 33.5 points over 64 games last season, so a 31.5 line asks for less than his normal output. Markkanen is the odd one: he averaged 26.7 last season, yet his line sits at 22.5, and those 42 games were barely half a season. Books are pricing Markkanen like a smaller scorer than last year's average says. If you trust last season's version of him, his line is the one to look at hardest.

CIN: 260 team passing yards per game to BAL's 216.2

CIN is at 260 team passing yards per game over 5 games; BAL is at 216.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and BAL at 175.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

SF: 238.5 team passing yards per game to ATL's 194.8

SF is at 238.5 team passing yards per game over 6 games; ATL is at 194.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 244.5 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

The Raiders have ruled out Runyon with a foot injury for Sunday's game against the Rams. He is on injured reserve with a designation to return, so he is working toward a comeback but is not ready this week. The other Las Vegas tight ends handle the snaps.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

Musgrave is on the physically unable to perform list with a neck injury, and Matt LaFleur said Thursday it is tough to say whether he plays this season. That is an open-ended timeline. The Packers' other tight ends carry the load against Detroit, and bettors should not expect Musgrave back anytime soon.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Eli Stowers (TE) is ir-r for PHI

Stowers (quadriceps), who is on injured reserve, is officially questionable to play Monday against Dallas. Reported Oct 24.

Grant Calcaterra (TE) is ir-r for PHI

Calcaterra, who is on injured reserve due to a back injury, is questionable to suit up Monday versus Dallas. Reported Oct 24.

NYG: 190.2 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 246

The Giants have allowed 190.2 passing yards a game over 6 games, and Houston has allowed 246 over 6. Passing yards depend on game script, since teams protecting a lead face more throws, and the sheet does not say how these games played out. Still the Texans pass defense has given up a lot more through the air. For this game, the Giants passing attack has the friendlier matchup, which is useful when thinking about passing yard props.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

MIN: 173.2 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 228.7

IND is at 228.7 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 173.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Next college slate · OCT 30

BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

PIT is 1-2 on the road; NO is 0-3 at home

NO hasn't won at home, 0-3, and PIT has one win in three road games. Three games apiece is a thin sample, and home records like this usually even out over a season. The split points to PIT, but with only one road win of their own, the edge here is smaller than the headline makes it sound.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CLE is 1-2 on the road; TEN is 0-3 at home

TEN is 0-3 at home and CLE has won once in three road games. Three games on each side is too few to call either a home or road problem. Neither team has shown much in these spots, so this reads as two weak splits meeting rather than a real edge for CLE.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

LAR: 112.7 rushing yards per game to LV's 79.2

The Rams run for about a third more than the Raiders each week. Both numbers sit close to last season's: Rams 126.6 then, 112.7 now, Raiders 77.5 then, 79.2 now. That makes this one of the steadier gaps on the board over 6 games. Expect the Rams to lean on the ground game in Las Vegas while the Raiders have rarely shown they can match it on the ground.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

CHI: 154.3 rushing yards per game to NE's 122

Chicago runs for 154.3 a game over 7 games, up from 144.5 last season, while New England sits at 122, down from 128.9. The gap matches Chicago's possession edge in this same matchup: a team that runs this much also eats clock. That identity has held across two seasons, so it should stick. New England's path is to avoid trailing, because a deficit hands Chicago the slow, run-heavy game it wants.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Ty Jerome and Zach LaVine lead tonight's board

Jerome's 23.5 line sits above the 19.7 he averaged last season, and that average came from just 15 games, so there is little proof behind either number. LaVine averaged 19.2 over 39 games against a 20.5 line. Both lines lean on expectations more than history. Jerome's is the thinner case.

Cade Cunningham and Tyrese Maxey lead tonight's board

Both players share a 26.5 line from different starting points. Cunningham averaged 24.7 over 78 games last season, so this asks for more than his normal. Maxey's 28.7 comes from just 3 games this season, a hot start and a tiny sample. Philadelphia is also on the second night of a back-to-back, worth weighing against Maxey's early form.

Darius Garland and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead tonight's board

Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 30.5 points over 83 games last season, and his line is 28.5. Garland's 20.5 line sits above the 18.8 he averaged in 46 games last season. The Clippers are missing a long list of players tonight, so the book expects Garland to carry more of the scoring. Whether that extra usage shows up against Oklahoma City's defense is the question for his number.

Kawhi Leonard and Anthony Edwards lead tonight's board

Leonard and Edwards both averaged 27.8 points last season, Leonard over 66 games and Edwards over 71. Edwards gets a 27.5 line, right at that average. Leonard's line is 24.5, well under it, which tells you the market expects less from him in his new setting or is pricing in his workload. That gap between two identical averages is the thing to think about.

Franz Wagner and Jalen Brunson lead tonight's board

Wagner's line of 21.5 is above the 19.9 he averaged last season, and that average came from only 40 games, so the book expects a bigger role. Brunson averaged 26.5 over 94 games, a deep sample, and his line is 25.5. Brunson's number rests on more evidence. Wagner's asks him to beat what he actually did last season.

Pascal Siakam and Michael Porter Jr. lead tonight's board

Both lines sit close to last season. Siakam averaged 24 over 62 games against a 23.5 line, and Porter averaged 24.2 over 52 games against 22.5. These are numbers built on big samples, so the market has little reason to move them much. Brooklyn plays the second night of a back-to-back, which can show up late in games for Porter's legs and shot.

HOU: 0.17 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 1

NYG is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; HOU is at 0.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and HOU at 0.53 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

DET won last season's series 4-0

Detroit Pistons won last season's series 4-0, by 14.3 a game across 4 meetings. Tonight is their first meeting this season.

SF: 0.33 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 1.17

SF is at 0.33 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; ATL is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and ATL at 0.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

MIA: 126.6 rushing yards per game to NYJ's 94.5

Miami runs for 126.6 a game over 5 games, close to last season's 120.2. The Jets have fallen hard, from 123.3 last season to 94.5 over 6 games. Miami's number looks stable. The Jets' drop is the part that could move back up, but six games of it is more than a blip, so expect Miami to carry the ground game in New Jersey.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

GB has won 3 straight

GB has won three straight and sits 4-2 heading to DET. Three wins is a short run, and the sheet doesn't say who they came against. Streaks this short tend to say more about recent results than about a team's level, so lean on the full 4-2 record and how GB matches up with DET more than on the streak itself.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

LV has lost 3 straight

LV carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 3-3 on the season. They face LAR in LAR @ LV. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-24.

CHI: 26.1% third downs allowed to NE's 36.6%

Chicago has let opponents convert only 26.1% of third downs over 7 games, while New England allows 36.6% over 7. That Bears number is very low, and third down rates over seven games usually drift back toward normal, so expect some slippage. Even with regression, the gap is meaningful. For this game, Patriots drives are more likely to stall on the money down, which favours shorter Patriots possessions.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

LAL won last season's series 4-0

The Lakers swept Utah 4-0 last season and won by 12 a game. That is a lopsided series, but rosters and roles change over a summer, and four games is a small set. Use it as a sign of how badly Utah matched up last year, then check whether tonight's injury news on both sides changes that.

MIA: 16.2 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 26.5

MIA is at 16.2 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 26.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 19.5 over 17 games and NYJ at 24.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

SEA: 2.67 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.6

Seattle is getting 2.67 sacks a game over 6 games, and Kansas City's defense gets 1.6 over 5. Sacks come in bunches, so one big game can inflate an average this early. The Seahawks have been the more disruptive front so far. For this game, Seattle's rush is the one more likely to knock the Chiefs off schedule, which matters for drive length and sack props.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Johnny Furphy is OUT for IND

Furphy is still recovering from a torn right ACL. His absence is long known and already built into Indiana's rotation.

PIT: 5.1 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.9

Pittsburgh allows 5.1 yards a snap over 6 games, and New Orleans allows 5.9 over 6. That difference means the Saints defense gives up chunk plays more easily. Six games is a modest sample and the opponents faced are not listed, so both can move. It points to the Steelers offence having the cleaner path to moving the ball in this game.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

PIT (4-2) at NO (2-4)

Pittsburgh is 4-2 but only +9 on the year, so the wins have been narrow, and the Steelers are 1-2 on the road. New Orleans is 0-3 at home and -26 overall, though it did win its last game. The Saints have yet to win in their own building, which removes the usual home edge. Pittsburgh's thin margin suggests a team that wins close, so expect this to stay tighter than the records imply.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

NE: 8.4 sack yards lost per game to CHI's 18.4

NE is at 8.4 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; CHI is at 18.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NE was at 12.6 over 17 games and CHI at 12.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

HOU: 5.73 yards per play to NYG's 4.95

Houston gains 5.73 yards a snap to the Giants' 4.95, and Houston sat at 5.1 last season, so that is a real step up over 6 games. In their last games, the Giants had 8 plays of 20-plus yards and Houston had 5, so the Giants can still hit big shots, with J.J. McCarthy finding Charlie Jones and Malik Nabers deep. Houston is steadier play to play, while the Giants rely more on chunk plays, which swing harder from week to week.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Bradley Beal is OUT for LAC

Beal is out with a right knee issue, one of several Clippers missing tonight. That pushes more shots toward Garland and whoever starts on the wing.

NO: 2.17 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.17

PIT is at 3.17 sacks taken per game over 6 games; NO is at 2.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season PIT was at 2.38 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Rigoberto Sanchez

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Christian Darrisaw

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Jonathan Allen

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Trey Alexander is OUT for UTA

Alexander is on a two-way deal and in the G League. No effect on Utah's rotation tonight.

Otega Oweh is OUT for OKC

Oweh is no longer with the team. It does not change Oklahoma City's rotation.

CHI: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.86

Chicago reaches the red zone 4.29 times a game to New England's 2.86 over 7 games. Both teams reversed from last season, when New England had 3.71 trips and Chicago 3.24. Chicago's jump fits its run game and possession edge in this matchup: long drives end close to the end zone. New England's drop matters more, because a team getting there less than three times a game needs explosive plays or kicks to keep up.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Jadeveon Clowney

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC

Sorber is out after knee surgery. It is a known depth loss for Oklahoma City's frontcourt.

Brandon Ingram is OUT for LAC

Ingram is out after heel surgery and was not expected back to start the season. Losing him takes a scorer off a Clippers roster already short several players.

Calais Campbell

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Yanic Konan Niederhauser is OUT for LAC

Niederhauser is out after foot surgery. It is a long absence already priced in, though it thins the Clippers' big man depth.

Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC

Topic is out after back surgery. It is a long absence and only a depth note for Oklahoma City.

Josh Simmons

Back · Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

NYJ: 20.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.4

MIA is at 26.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 20.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 24.9 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

LAR @ LV carries a 48.5 market total

Five points above the 43.5 median across 13 games puts this in the upper tier of the slate. The market expects steady scoring from both sides, without a full shootout. It cracks if either offense settles for field goals instead of finishing drives. Red-zone results are the swing factor for a number in this range.

ARI: 67.3 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57.3

Arizona runs 67.3 plays a game to Denver's 57.3, and Denver ran 64.2 last season, so Denver's drop is the bigger change. Six games is enough to take it seriously, but some move back toward last season's pace is likely. If Arizona dictates tempo at home, the game has more snaps, which matters most for totals and volume props.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

DEN (4-2) at ARI (2-4)

Denver is 4-2 despite being outscored by 11, so this record flatters the Broncos, and they are only 1-2 on the road. Arizona is 2-4 and -52, winless at home in two games, though it won its last time out. Denver's two-game win streak has come without a positive margin to support it. The Cardinals' point total is the bigger red flag, so neither side's record tells the full story here.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

KC (5-0) at SEA (3-3)

KC is 5-0, +57 points on the year, has won 5 straight this season. SEA is 3-3, +26 points on the year, has lost 2 straight this season. KC is 2-0 on the road; SEA is 2-1 at home.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

SF (6-0) at ATL (2-4)

San Francisco is unbeaten and has outscored teams by 67, so the six wins are mostly real margin, and they are 2-0 away from home. Atlanta has dropped two straight and has yet to win at home in three tries, though a -11 point differential says the 2-4 record is closer than it looks. The home edge that usually helps an underdog has not shown up for Atlanta, which makes this a spot to judge on form and margin rather than venue.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

CLE (4-2) at TEN (1-5)

Cleveland's 4-2 record flatters them: they are -16 on points, which says close wins are carrying the record. They are also 1-2 on the road. Tennessee is 1-5 and -45, a bigger hole, and 0-3 at home, though both teams won last time out. A team winning with a negative point differential tends to come back toward its margin, so Cleveland's record is a shakier reason to back them here than the standings suggest.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Aaron Donald

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Byron Young

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Alaric Jackson

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Parsons is on the physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, and Matt LaFleur said he would not practice in Week 7 because he still has hurdles to clear. He is the Packers' top pass rusher, so his absence is a real hit to their defense. Against Detroit, Green Bay has to generate pressure without him.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

Conner is on injured reserve with a designation to return, nursing a foot injury. As of Oct 13 he was close to practicing, but Arizona was not expected to open his 21-day window that week. He remains out against Denver, so the Cardinals' backfield work stays with the backups for now.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Romeo Doubs (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Doubs is on injured reserve with a shoulder injury and is hopeful to return after the Patriots' Week 11 bye, reported Oct 19. He is not expected to face a long-term absence, but he will not play at Chicago. New England's other receivers absorb his targets for now.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Nate Bittle is OUT for TOR

Bittle is out with a foot fracture. A depth note for Toronto's frontcourt.

DAL: 47.2% third-down conversion rate to PHI's 37.3%

DAL is at 47.2% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 37.3% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and PHI at 37.1% over 17 games.

DAL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 20%

DAL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 20% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

Devin Duvernay

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

NO: 16.3 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 26.5

PIT is at 26.5 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; NO is at 16.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Dexter Lawrence II

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

B.J. Hill

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Ronnie Stanley

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

KC: 7.9 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 6.47

KC is at 7.9 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 6.47 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

IND (2-4) at MIN (5-0)

Minnesota is 5-0 and +45, and 2-0 at home, so the unbeaten record is backed by a solid scoring margin. Indianapolis is 2-4 at -20 and has lost two straight, going 1-2 on the road. Five games is a modest sample, but nothing in the Vikings' numbers looks like luck. The question here is less about who wins and more about whether the Colts can keep it close in a building where Minnesota has not lost.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Noah Penda is OUT for ORL

Penda is out with a partially torn hamstring. A depth note for Orlando's wing group.

Adou Thiero is OUT for LAL

Thiero is out with knee swelling. A depth note for the Lakers.

Maxime Raynaud is OUT for SAC

Raynaud is out with a knee injury. With Cardwell also out, Sacramento is thin up front.

Dylan Cardwell is OUT for SAC

Cardwell is out with a left calf strain. A depth note for Sacramento's frontcourt.

Cameron Carr is OUT for LAL

Carr is out with an oblique strain. A depth note for the Lakers.

Tacko Fall is OUT for PHI

Fall is out with a quadriceps strain and has yet to debut for Philadelphia. A depth note at center.

Ariel Hukporti is OUT for PHI

Hukporti is done for the season with a ruptured right Achilles. Philadelphia's center depth gets thinner, especially with Barlow and Fall also out.

Izaiyah Nelson is OUT for ORL

Nelson is out recovering from a left ankle injury. A depth note for Orlando.

Jonathan Isaac is OUT for ORL

Isaac is out with a left knee issue. Orlando loses a defender off the bench.

Donte DiVincenzo is OUT for MIN

DiVincenzo is out after Achilles surgery. Minnesota has known about this for a while, so his minutes are already spread across the guard rotation.

Jordan Miller is OUT for LAC

Miller is out after shoulder surgery. It is a known absence and mostly a depth loss for the Clippers.

Max Strus is OUT for LAC

Strus is out with a partially torn plantar fascia. He adds to a thin Clippers wing group tonight.

DeForest Buckner

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Jusuf Nurkic is OUT for UTA

Nurkic is out with a foot injury that was expected to cost him weeks. Utah is short a big man against the Lakers.

MIN: 86.6 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 122.5

IND is at 122.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 86.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

PHI on a back-to-back, DET rested

Schedule gap: PHI on no rest, DET on 2 days rest.

BKN on a back-to-back, IND rested

Brooklyn plays its second game in two nights while Indiana has had 2 days off. Tired teams tend to fade late and shoot worse from outside. Indiana is short T.J. McConnell, which trims its bench, so the rest edge is real but partly offset.

PHI has won 3 straight

PHI won its last 3 by an average of 8.3; their last-10 mark is 3-0.

P team lost 106-93

Dominick Barlow is OUT for PHI

Barlow is out at least two weeks with a lower back stress injury. His minutes go to the rest of Philadelphia's frontcourt.

SEA: 3.9 yards per play allowed to KC's 4.7

KC is at 4.7 yards per play allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 3.9 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Smith (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Adams on injured reserve Tuesday with a hamstring injury, so he misses the game in Las Vegas. Losing a veteran receiver pushes more targets to the rest of the Rams' pass catchers. Bettors should expect a different target share in the Los Angeles passing game this week.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Jalyx Hunt (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jalyx Hunt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Denver placed Badie on injured reserve Saturday with a thumb injury, so he misses at least the trip to Arizona. His backfield snaps go to the other Broncos running backs. This is a depth loss more than a game-changer.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

T.J. Tampa (CB) is ir-r for BAL

Baltimore opened the return window for cornerback T.J. Tampa on Wednesday, Oct 22, bringing him back from injured reserve after a toe and ankle injury. Being designated to return means he can practice again; it does not mean he plays Sunday against Cincinnati. Check whether the Ravens activate him to the roster before counting him in this game.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Alec Pierce stays on injured reserve with a heel injury, and Shane Steichen said Monday his practice window will not open in Week 7. Pierce is the Colts' deep threat, so Indianapolis keeps losing that vertical stretch against Minnesota. With no return in sight this week, the other Colts receivers should keep soaking up his targets.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

Williams has been on injured reserve with an ankle injury, and the Falcons opened his practice window Thursday, reported Oct 23. Being designated to return lets him practice, but he still has to be activated before he can play, so he is unlikely to factor in against San Francisco. Think of it as a sign that help on the line is coming later, with no effect on this game.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE

Bryant sits on IR with a return designation for his ankle, and he was a full participant at practice Tuesday, Oct 21. A full practice is the strongest sign he is close, though the team still has to activate him before he can play at Chicago. Watch for a roster move before Sunday.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

T.J. McConnell is OUT for IND

McConnell is out with a right hamstring strain. His backup minutes at guard go to Indiana's other ball handlers tonight.

LV: 1.67 takeaways per game to LAR's 1

LAR is at 1 takeaways per game over 6 games; LV is at 1.67 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

TEN: 12.8 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 22.2

Cleveland loses 22.2 yards a game to sacks over 6 games, close to last season's 20.3, so this looks like who it is. Tennessee has improved from 26.1 to 12.8, a big change that could slide back some. When Cleveland takes losses like this, drives stall into long-yardage downs. In Tennessee, watch how often Cleveland falls behind the chains, since that is where its drives tend to die.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

CHI: 72.1 offensive plays per game to NE's 62.4

NE is at 62.4 offensive plays per game over 7 games; CHI is at 72.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

SF: 29.5 points per game to ATL's 23.7

SF is at 29.5 points per game over 6 games; ATL is at 23.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

MIA: 52 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 74.5

MIA is at 52 penalty yards per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 74.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 47.7 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

SF: 6.48 yards per play to ATL's 5.72

San Francisco gains 6.48 yards a snap over 6 games, nearly a full yard above last season's 5.49, and Atlanta is up too, from 5.38 to 5.72. Both lean on big passes: Brock Purdy hit Mike Evans for 54 and George Kittle for 35 last game, and Michael Penix Jr. found Jahan Dotson and Drake London for 41 and 39. Jumps this large often cool, but both offenses are pushing the ball downfield, which supports a game where each side can score quickly.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

PIT: 103.2 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 138

The Steelers give up 103.2 rushing yards a game over 6 games; the Saints give up 138 over 6. Rushing yards allowed lean on game script, since teams that fall behind see opponents run late, so some of the Saints number may come from trailing. Even so the gap is wide. For this game, Pittsburgh's ground game has the better matchup, which matters for running back props and clock control.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CAR: 0.4 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1.17

TB is at 1.17 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; CAR is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and CAR at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

NE: 5.4 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.1

NE is at 5.4 yards per play allowed over 7 games; CHI is at 6.1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DEN: 44.8 penalty yards per game to ARI's 66

DEN is at 44.8 penalty yards per game over 6 games; ARI is at 66 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

Davis is ruled out for Sunday against the Titans with a quadriceps injury, still in his return window from injured reserve. The Browns' defensive tackle rotation stays as it has been for another week. This is a depth piece staying out, so it shouldn't change how you view the game.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

GB (4-2) at DET (3-2), a division game

Green Bay has won three straight but is only +2 on the year, so the 4-2 record rests on close games. Detroit is 3-2, +16 and 2-0 at home, the stronger profile of the two by margin. The Packers are 2-1 on the road, so travel has not slowed them. In a division game, Detroit's home record and better margin carry more weight than Green Bay's streak.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DEN: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 71.4%

DEN is at 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; ARI is at 71.4% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

IND: 20 first downs per game to MIN's 15.4

IND is at 20 first downs per game over 6 games; MIN is at 15.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

CIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to BAL's 2.5

Cincinnati gets 3.4 sacks a game over 5 games, and Baltimore gets 2.5 over 6. Sack totals are streaky and five games is a small sample, so the Bengals number could cool. For now both fronts get home, with Cincinnati the more aggressive. In this game, expect pressure on both quarterbacks, which leans toward sacks props and drives stalling on obvious passing downs.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Joseph is on the physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, and Dan Campbell said he expects the 25-year-old to play at some point this season. That is a hopeful tone with no firm date. The Lions' secondary stays without him against Green Bay.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

KC: 0.2 fumbles lost per game to SEA's 0.83

KC is at 0.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 0.18 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

P.J. Locke (S) is ir-r for DAL

Locke (foot) has been downgraded from questionable to out for Monday's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

PHI: 5.38 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.1

Philadelphia allows 5.38 yards a snap over 6 games, while Dallas allows 6.1 over 6. The Cowboys defense has been the easier one to move on. Six games is still early and the sheet does not say who each played, so some of this may be schedule. For this game, the Eagles offence has the better matchup to move the ball.

Dorian Mausi (LB) is ir-r for TEN

The Titans opened Mausi's 21-day practice window on Wednesday, which means he can practice now and the team has three weeks to activate him. Nothing on the sheet says he plays against the Browns, so count him as a future add to the linebacker group.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

KC: 41.7% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 32.4%

KC is at 41.7% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; SEA is at 32.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MIA @ NYJ carries a 39.5 market total

Four points under the 43.5 slate median, the market sees a tighter, lower-scoring game here. Scoring is expected to come slowly, with defenses holding the upper hand. For the expectation to crack, one offense would need to hit early big plays and force the other to chase. A fast start from either side is the main threat to a total priced this low.

NE: 6.06 yards per play to CHI's 5.39

New England gains 6.06 yards a snap to Chicago's 5.39 over 7 games, and both are slightly below last season's 6.23 and 5.71. That clashes with Chicago's style edge in this matchup: Chicago holds the ball longer and runs more, while New England gets more out of each play. Both numbers are steady across two seasons, so expect Chicago to control volume and New England to need efficiency to keep pace.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

LAR: 32.9% third downs allowed to LV's 41.3%

LAR is at 32.9% third downs allowed over 6 games; LV is at 41.3% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to GB's 0.67

GB is at 0.67 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; DET is at 0 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 0.41 over 17 games and DET at 0.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

OKC won last season's series 3-0

Oklahoma City swept the Clippers 3-0 last season, by 19.3 a game. Three games is a small sample, but those were blowouts, and the Clippers come in tonight missing a long list of players. Large spreads in this matchup have history behind them.

PHI: 119.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 149.8

DAL is at 149.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 119.3 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

TB: 33.8% third downs allowed to CAR's 42%

Tampa Bay allows 33.8% on third downs over 6 games, and Carolina allows 42% over 5. Third down rates swing in small samples, and five games is not much, so both can drift. Right now Carolina gives opponents more drive extensions. For this game, the Buccaneers offence should sustain drives more easily than Carolina's does.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

ARI: 32:05 time of possession per game to DEN's 28:46

DEN is at 28:46 time of possession per game over 6 games; ARI is at 32:05 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DEN was at 31:14 over 17 games and ARI at 29:48 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

CIN: 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 57.9%

CIN is at 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; BAL is at 57.9% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

BAL: 5 yards per play allowed to CIN's 5.68

Baltimore gives up 5 yards every time an offense snaps it, and Cincinnati allows 5.68, so the Ravens are the tighter defense through six games while the Bengals have five. The sheet doesn't say who either team faced, so part of this gap could be schedule. Six games is a real sample for yards per play, which tends to hold steadier than points. For this game, it points to Baltimore's offense finding more room than Cincinnati's does.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

CIN: 1.6 takeaways per game to BAL's 1

Cincinnati forces 1.6 turnovers a game over five games, and Baltimore forces 1 over six. Takeaways swing a lot from week to week, so a gap this size over five or six games can close fast. The sheet doesn't show who threw those picks or lost those fumbles, so this tells you less about the matchup than the yardage numbers do. Count it as a small lean toward Cincinnati winning the turnover battle, nothing you'd build a game around.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

SF: 209.8 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 252

SF is at 209.8 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 252 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

NE (4-3) at CHI (5-2)

Chicago has won two straight, is +37 on the year and 3-1 at home, so its record and margin agree. New England is 4-3 and +17, decent overall, but 1-3 on the road, which means most of its winning has come at home. The road split is the clearest edge on the sheet here, and it leans toward Chicago holding serve at home against a team that has not traveled well.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

MIN: 22.2% third downs allowed to IND's 30.4%

IND is at 30.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 22.2% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

CIN -2.5 → -3

Gary's number was -2.5; the same book now shows -3.

CAR -2.5 → -3

Gary's number was -2.5; the same book now shows -3.

MIN -6.5 → -7

Gary's number was -6.5; the same book now shows -7.

KC +3 → +3

Gary's number was 3; the same book now shows 3.

Landon Dickerson (G) is ir-r for PHI

Dickerson (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Cowboys. Reported Oct 25.

Tanner Hudson (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Hudson went on injured reserve Monday with a pectoral injury, so he misses at least the next several games, including this one at Baltimore. The Bengals other tight ends pick up his snaps. His absence mostly affects depth at the position, with no usage numbers here to suggest a big target hole.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson is on injured reserve with an ankle injury. He becomes eligible to return next week, but he is not expected to be ready then. The Rams' other tight ends keep carrying the work in Las Vegas and likely beyond.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

IND: 199.8 team passing yards per game to MIN's 167

IND is at 199.8 team passing yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 167 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 227.8 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Kmet on injured reserve Friday with a knee injury, so he will miss the Patriots game and at least several more after it. Injured reserve keeps a player out for multiple weeks, which makes this a longer absence than a one-game scratch. Chicago loses its tight end, and the sheet does not name who takes those snaps, so expect a different look in the short passing game until he is back.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 6 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1328 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

DEN has 3 more days of rest

Denver comes off a mini-bye with 10 days, and Arizona is on a normal week. Three extra days is a small cushion: a bit more recovery and install time, with travel on the Broncos' side. It's a minor note, best used as a tiebreaker.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

MEM was outscored by 6.0 a game last season, SAC by 10.0

MEM was outscored by 6.0 a game last season, SAC by 10.0. 2025-26 regular season: SAC over 82 games, MEM over 82.

DET outscored teams by 8.2 a game last season, PHI was outscored by 0.2

DET outscored teams by 8.2 a game last season, PHI was outscored by 0.2. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, DET over 82.

MIN outscored teams by 3.4 a game last season, TOR by 2.8

MIN outscored teams by 3.4 a game last season, TOR by 2.8. 2025-26 regular season: MIN over 82 games, TOR over 82.

NYK outscored teams by 6.3 a game last season, ORL by 0.6

NYK outscored teams by 6.3 a game last season, ORL by 0.6. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, ORL over 82.

CLE: 43.8% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 60%

CLE is at 43.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; TEN is at 60% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

IND was outscored by 8.0 a game last season, BKN by 10.0

IND was outscored by 8.0 a game last season, BKN by 10.0. 2025-26 regular season: BKN over 82 games, IND over 82.

LAL outscored teams by 1.8 a game last season, UTA was outscored by 8.4

LAL outscored teams by 1.8 a game last season, UTA was outscored by 8.4. 2025-26 regular season: UTA over 82 games, LAL over 82.

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, LAC by 1.1

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, LAC by 1.1. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, LAC over 82.

IND: 63.2% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

IND is at 63.2% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; MIN is at 50% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

NYJ: 18.7 points per game to MIA's 14

MIA is at 14 points per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 18.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 20.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 7 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1784 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 6 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1487 passing yards, completed 61.4% of his passes and averaged 6.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 6 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1336 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 7.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 5 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1361 passing yards, completed 71.4% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 3 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 429 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 5.96 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 6 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 5 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1549 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

In his first 2026 game, Tanner McKee threw for 215 passing yards, completed 57.8% of his passes and averaged 4.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 5 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1033 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 5 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1309 passing yards, completed 66.5% of his passes and averaged 8.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 6 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1639 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 6.66 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 6 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1794 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 7.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 5 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1485 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 7.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 6 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1684 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 7.48 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 6 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1714 passing yards, completed 65.3% of his passes and averaged 7.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

J.J. McCarthy is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 2 games in 2026, J.J. McCarthy threw for 243 passing yards, completed 52.4% of his passes and averaged 11.57 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1632 yards, completed 57.6% and averaged 6.72 yards per attempt, 11-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 6 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1049 passing yards, completed 60.3% of his passes and averaged 5.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 5 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 849 passing yards, completed 56.2% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 6 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 998 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 5.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 6 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1174 passing yards, completed 63.8% of his passes and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt. His 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 4 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.3% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 4 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 944 passing yards, completed 64.5% of his passes and averaged 8.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 6 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1460 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 8.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 6 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1443 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

SEA has 3 more days of rest

Seattle hosts on 10 days of rest, while Kansas City is on its usual 7 and traveling. The Seahawks get a little extra recovery and prep time at home. A three-day gap is a small edge, worth a nudge and no more.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 4 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1020 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.23 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 6 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1582 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

KC: 254.2 team passing yards per game to SEA's 225

KC is at 254.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; SEA is at 225 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and SEA at 228.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

SEA: 28% third downs allowed to KC's 35.7%

KC is at 35.7% third downs allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 28% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

LV: 27 points per game to LAR's 22.5

LAR is at 22.5 points per game over 6 games; LV is at 27 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season LAR was at 30.5 over 17 games and LV at 14.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

CLE -1.5 → -1.5

Gary's number was -1.5; the same book now shows -1.5.

GB: 43.4% third downs allowed to DET's 50.7%

GB is at 43.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; DET is at 50.7% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

NYJ: 1.33 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.8

MIA is at 0.8 takeaways per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 1.33 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

NYG: 33:11 time of possession per game to HOU's 30:11

NYG is at 33:11 time of possession per game over 6 games; HOU is at 30:11 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NYG was at 30:58 over 17 games and HOU at 31:49 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

NE: 7.63 yards per pass attempt to CHI's 6.56

NE is at 7.63 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; CHI is at 6.56 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NE was at 7.99 over 17 games and CHI at 6.46 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

ARI +4.5 → +4.5

Gary's number was 4.5; the market closed at 4.5.

CAR: 4.2 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3.17

TB is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; CAR is at 4.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and CAR at 2.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

BAL: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to CIN's 1.2

CIN is at 1.2 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; BAL is at 0.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and BAL at 1.35 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

CAR: 14.2 sack yards lost per game to TB's 21.2

TB is at 21.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; CAR is at 14.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and CAR at 16 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

OKC scored 119.0 points a game last season, LAC 113.8

OKC scored 119.0 points a game last season, LAC 113.8. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, LAC over 82.

UTA scored 117.6 points a game last season, LAL 116.3

UTA scored 117.6 points a game last season, LAL 116.3. 2025-26 regular season: UTA over 82 games, LAL over 82.

IND scored 112.4 points a game last season, BKN 105.9

IND scored 112.4 points a game last season, BKN 105.9. 2025-26 regular season: BKN over 82 games, IND over 82.

NYK scored 116.5 points a game last season, ORL 115.7

NYK scored 116.5 points a game last season, ORL 115.7. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, ORL over 82.

MIN scored 118.0 points a game last season, TOR 114.6

MIN scored 118.0 points a game last season, TOR 114.6. 2025-26 regular season: MIN over 82 games, TOR over 82.

DET scored 117.8 points a game last season, PHI 115.9

DET scored 117.8 points a game last season, PHI 115.9. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, DET over 82.

MEM scored 114.7 points a game last season, SAC 111.0

MEM scored 114.7 points a game last season, SAC 111.0. 2025-26 regular season: SAC over 82 games, MEM over 82.

PIT -3 → -3

Gary's number was -3; the market closed at -3.

NYJ: 185 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 219.2

MIA is at 219.2 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 185 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

PIT: 204.3 passing yards allowed per game to NO's 239.7

PIT is at 204.3 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; NO is at 239.7 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

LAR: 5.88 yards per play to LV's 5.33

The Rams gain 5.88 yards a snap to the Raiders' 5.33, but the Raiders are up a full yard from last season's 4.35 while the Rams slipped from 6.15. In their last games, the Raiders had 4 plays of 20-plus yards with Kirk Cousins hitting Tre Tucker for a 44-yard score, and the Rams had just 1, a 43-yarder from Matthew Stafford to Puka Nacua. The gap is closing, so the Raiders can stay in this one more than last season's numbers would suggest.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Pittsburgh put receiver Roman Wilson on injured reserve with a finger injury on Oct 17. IR means he misses the New Orleans game and several more after it. Other Steelers receivers absorb his targets, so the passing game runs through a smaller group for now.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL

Jerrell went on injured reserve Saturday with a biceps injury, reported Oct 24, so he will not play against San Francisco. The sheet does not say whether he was a starter or who replaces him at tackle. Check who Atlanta lines up at tackle before you count on its pass protection in this one.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Raheim Sanders (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Sanders on injured reserve on Oct 13 with a hip injury, so he's out against the Titans. His snaps go to the other backs on the roster, though the sheet doesn't name who. If you're looking at Cleveland's rushing props, the backfield split is already set without him.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

Berrios had surgery to repair a Lisfranc injury in his foot, so he's on injured reserve and out against the Texans. Lisfranc repairs usually mean a long absence, so the Giants' receiver group should look like this for a while.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

Green Bay placed Moore on injured reserve Oct 17 with an ankle injury, so he is out for the trip to Detroit. He was a depth receiver, so the Packers' targets stay with their regular pass catchers. This barely moves the matchup.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Garrett is on injured reserve with a knee injury, so he will not play at Las Vegas. Sean McVay said Friday, Oct 23, that Garrett's 21-day practice window could open next week. That is the first step toward a return, and the clock starts once he practices. For this game, the Rams rush the passer without him. A return is coming soon but has not happened yet.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Turner went on injured reserve Wednesday, Oct 21, with a groin injury, so he is out against the Raiders. He joins Myles Garrett on IR, which leaves the Rams thin on the defensive line for this trip. The sheet does not name who fills his spot. With two linemen gone, a Las Vegas run game that might normally be ignored gets more interesting.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Tyquan Thornton (WR) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Thornton (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald said Friday that Price "should be looking at a sooner rather than later return after" the Seahawks' next game in Week 7, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 16.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI

Bennett (knee) won't come off injured reserve this weekend and has been ruled out for Sunday's Week 6 battle against Carolina. Reported Oct 18.

Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Shipley (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 16.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

Robinson is on injured reserve with an ankle injury, and Kyle Shanahan put his chances of playing against the Falcons as an "outside chance." The more likely plan is activation after the Week 8 bye. Assume the 49ers' receiver group looks the same this week.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Tom Kennedy (WR) is on injured reserve for DET

Kennedy is out with a knee injury after the Lions moved him to injured reserve on Friday, Oct 17. IR means he misses this game against Green Bay and at least several more after it. The sheet does not say what his role in the offense was or who takes his snaps, so price this as a depth move at receiver for Detroit rather than a shift in the game.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Jonathon Brooks is on injured reserve for Carolina with a core injury, so the running back is not available against Tampa Bay unless the team activates him. Brooks was seen jogging at practice on a Thursday, reported Oct 15, which is an early step in a return. Watch for an activation move before counting on any Brooks workload.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

NYJ: 30:37 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:46

MIA is at 27:46 time of possession per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 30:37 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 28:57 over 17 games and NYJ at 28:15 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

NE: 1.86 sacks taken per game to CHI's 2.57

NE is at 1.86 sacks taken per game over 7 games; CHI is at 2.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NE was at 3 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

NYJ: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 63.6%

MIA is at 63.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; NYJ is at 50% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

SF: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 64%

SF is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; ATL is at 64% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

DAL: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to PHI's 2.67

DAL is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; PHI is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 3.82 over 17 games and PHI at 2.59 over 17 games.

ATL: 149.5 rushing yards per game to SF's 128.2

SF is at 128.2 rushing yards per game over 6 games; ATL is at 149.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and ATL at 125.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

NYG: 1.5 takeaways per game to HOU's 1

NYG is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 6 games; HOU is at 1 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

ARI: 0 fumbles lost per game to DEN's 0.5

DEN is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; ARI is at 0 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and ARI at 0.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

HOU: 0.33 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.83

NYG is at 0.83 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; HOU is at 0.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and HOU at 0.18 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

KC: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.17

KC is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 0.71 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

ATL +124 → +126

Gary's number was 124; the same book now shows 126.

MIN won last season's series 2-0

Minnesota won both meetings last season by 5 a game. Two close games is too small a sample to say much, especially with Toronto's roster changed.

DET -3.5 → -3.5

Gary's number was -3.5; the market closed at -3.5.

LV +3.5 → +3.5

Gary's number was 3.5; the market closed at 3.5.

NYG +10.5 → +10.5

Gary's number was 10.5; the same book now shows 10.5.

HOU: 62.5% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 75%

NYG is at 75% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; HOU is at 62.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

BAL: 39.5% third downs allowed to CIN's 46%

CIN is at 46% third downs allowed over 5 games; BAL is at 39.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

DEN: 3 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2.33

Denver gets 3 sacks a game, and Arizona gets 2.33, both over six games. That's about one extra sack every couple of games, a modest edge. Sack totals depend on how often opponents drop back, so a defense facing teams playing from behind gets more chances. In this game, it points to more pressure on Arizona's quarterback, which matters for sack props and drive-killing negative plays.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

DET: 5.94 yards per play to GB's 5.4

Detroit gains 5.94 yards a snap over 5 games, almost the same as last season's 5.97, so this is who it is. Green Bay is at 5.4, a small drop from 5.61. Jared Goff threw touchdowns of 39 to Jameson Williams and 38 to Sam LaPorta last game, while Jordan Love's longest gains topped out at 28. Detroit's edge has held across two seasons, and Green Bay will need to match its explosive plays in Detroit.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DEN: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1

DEN is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; ARI is at 1 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

MEM won last season's series 3-1

Memphis took last season's series 3-1, winning by 11 a game across 4 meetings. That is a clear edge but a short sample, and both sides have reshaped their guards since.

LAR: 23 points allowed per game to LV's 27

LAR is at 23 points allowed per game over 6 games; LV is at 27 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and LV at 25.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

LAR: 288.7 team passing yards per game to LV's 263.5

LAR is at 288.7 team passing yards per game over 6 games; LV is at 263.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and LV at 167.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

BAL: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CIN's 123

CIN is at 123 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; BAL is at 100.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

NYG: 104.8 rushing yards per game to HOU's 84.8

NYG is at 104.8 rushing yards per game over 6 games; HOU is at 84.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season NYG was at 129.1 over 17 games and HOU at 108.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

GB: 11.3 sack yards lost per game to DET's 17.4

GB is at 11.3 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; DET is at 17.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 16.3 over 17 games and DET at 20.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

PIT: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 61.5%

PIT is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; NO is at 61.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CLE: 59 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53

CLE is at 59 offensive plays per game over 6 games; TEN is at 53 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CLE was at 60.6 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

CLE: 17.7 points per game to TEN's 14

CLE is at 17.7 points per game over 6 games; TEN is at 14 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Christian Watson

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Matthew Golden

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Brandon Cisse

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Anthony Campbell

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Nico Collins

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Andrew Thomas

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Tucker Addington

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Austin Ajiake

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Grant Delpit

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Jake Matthews

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Alvin Kamara

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

LAL allowed 114.6 points a game last season, UTA 126.0

LAL allowed 114.6 points a game last season, UTA 126.0. 2025-26 regular season: UTA over 82 games, LAL over 82.

Savion Williams

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

PHI: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 66.7%

DAL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; PHI is at 54.2% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

ARI: 3.83 red-zone trips per game to DEN's 3

DEN is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; ARI is at 3.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DEN was at 3.35 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

KC: 16.6 points allowed per game to SEA's 20.3

KC is at 16.6 points allowed per game over 5 games; SEA is at 20.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

PHI: 22.8 points allowed per game to DAL's 26.5

DAL is at 26.5 points allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 22.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 30.1 over 17 games and PHI at 19.1 over 17 games.

Tavius Robinson (LB) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens put Robinson on injured reserve Saturday with a pectoral injury, so he is out for Sunday against Cincinnati and at least several weeks beyond. The sheet does not say who takes his linebacker snaps, so look for the depth chart to settle that.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets put linebacker Kiko Mauigoa on injured reserve on Saturday with a quadriceps injury, reported Oct 24. That rules Mauigoa out against Miami. The report names no replacement, so the linebacker snaps go to whoever the Jets have active.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Jonah Elliss (LB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Denver put linebacker Jonah Elliss on injured reserve Saturday with an ankle injury, so he misses the Arizona game and at least the next few weeks. The sheet does not say when he got hurt or who takes his snaps. A bettor looking at the Cardinals offense should find out who replaces him in the Broncos' linebacker rotation, because that is where a gap would appear.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Edmunds on injured reserve Saturday with a chest injury, so he misses Sunday's game in Houston. Losing a linebacker the day before the game leaves the middle of the Giants' defense thinner than planned. If you're weighing Texans running backs or tight ends, his absence is part of the picture.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

Sebastian Joseph-Day went on injured reserve with a triceps injury on Oct 23, so the Steelers defensive line plays New Orleans without him. IR keeps him out this week and for at least several more. Other interior linemen take his snaps, which is worth weighing if you like the Saints on the ground.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Hummel is on injured reserve recovering from groin surgery and isn't expected to resume practicing this week. That rules him out against the Giants and means his return is still a ways off, so the Texans' linebacker group won't change.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Thomas Incoom (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Carolina placed linebacker Thomas Incoom on injured reserve on Saturday with a calf injury, reported Oct 24, so Incoom is out against Tampa Bay. No replacement is named on the report.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

MIA: 41.3% third-down conversion rate to NYJ's 35.1%

MIA is at 41.3% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; NYJ is at 35.1% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 34.9% over 17 games and NYJ at 34.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

Tampa Bay placed linebacker Christian Rozeboom on injured reserve on Thursday with a finger injury, reported Oct 23. Rozeboom will not play at Carolina. No replacement is named, so check the Buccaneers' active linebackers before the game.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

New Orleans has receiver Jordyn Tyson on injured reserve as of Oct 21, with no injury listed. He misses the Pittsburgh game, and IR rules out a quick return. His targets move to the other Saints receivers, and New Orleans enters this game short a pass catcher just like Pittsburgh.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

BAL: 5.98 yards per play to CIN's 5.5

Baltimore gains about half a yard more per snap than Cincinnati, and that gap looks a lot like last season, when the Ravens sat at 5.92 and the Bengals at 5.23. The Bengals have climbed to 5.5 over 5 games, and their last game ran through one shot play, a 45-yard Burrow touchdown to Ja'Marr Chase. Baltimore's 5.98 over 6 games is close to its full-season level, so it should hold up. At home, the Ravens have the steadier offense, while Cincinnati leans on Chase hitting chunk plays.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

MIA +3.5 → +3.5

Gary's number was 3.5; the same book now shows 3.5.

Harrison Smith

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Carson Schwesinger

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Will Anderson Jr.

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Travis Kelce

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MEM allowed 120.7 points a game last season, SAC 121.0

MEM allowed 120.7 points a game last season, SAC 121.0. 2025-26 regular season: SAC over 82 games, MEM over 82.

DET allowed 109.6 points a game last season, PHI 116.1

DET allowed 109.6 points a game last season, PHI 116.1. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, DET over 82.

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, LAC 112.6

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, LAC 112.6. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, LAC over 82.

CHI: 1.43 takeaways per game to NE's 1

Chicago forces 1.43 turnovers a game, and New England forces 1, both over seven games. The gap is less than half a takeaway a week, and turnover numbers swing a lot, so this edge is thin. The sheet doesn't say which quarterbacks gave the ball away. It's a slight tilt toward Chicago in the turnover battle, too small to carry much weight on its own.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

TOR allowed 111.8 points a game last season, MIN 114.6

TOR allowed 111.8 points a game last season, MIN 114.6. 2025-26 regular season: MIN over 82 games, TOR over 82.

NYK allowed 110.1 points a game last season, ORL 115.1

NYK allowed 110.1 points a game last season, ORL 115.1. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, ORL over 82.

BKN allowed 115.9 points a game last season, IND 120.4

BKN allowed 115.9 points a game last season, IND 120.4. 2025-26 regular season: BKN over 82 games, IND over 82.

BAL: 0.17 interceptions thrown per game to CIN's 0.6

CIN is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; BAL is at 0.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CIN was at 1 over 17 games and BAL at 0.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

DAL: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to PHI's 68.8%

DAL is at 77.3% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; PHI is at 68.8% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.

MIA: 46.2% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 37.5%

MIA is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NYJ is at 37.5% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season MIA was at 56.3% over 17 games and NYJ at 44.7% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

KC: 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.17

KC is at 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and SEA at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

IND: 15.2 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 20.6

IND is at 15.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; MIN is at 20.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

DET: 66.4 offensive plays per game to GB's 60.7

GB is at 60.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; DET is at 66.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 59.4 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

IND: 66.7 offensive plays per game to MIN's 61.4

IND is at 66.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; MIN is at 61.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and MIN at 56.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

IND: 3.17 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.4

IND is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; MIN is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and MIN at 3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

DET: 30:14 time of possession per game to GB's 28:03

GB is at 28:03 time of possession per game over 6 games; DET is at 30:14 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

KC: 28 points per game to SEA's 24.7

KC is at 28 points per game over 5 games; SEA is at 24.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season KC was at 21.3 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

CAR: 68.4 offensive plays per game to TB's 62.8

TB is at 62.8 offensive plays per game over 6 games; CAR is at 68.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season TB was at 62.8 over 17 games and CAR at 59.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

ARI: 120.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 139.8

DEN is at 139.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; ARI is at 120.8 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Blake Grupe (PK) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday's 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

NYK made 14.2 threes a game last season, ORL 11.7

NYK made 14.2 threes a game last season, ORL 11.7. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, ORL over 82.

IND: 37.5 penalty yards per game to MIN's 50

IND is at 37.5 penalty yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 50 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and MIN at 52.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

IND made 13.4 threes a game last season, BKN 13.1

IND made 13.4 threes a game last season, BKN 13.1. 2025-26 regular season: BKN over 82 games, IND over 82.

NE: 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed to CHI's 64.7%

NE is at 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; CHI is at 64.7% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

PIT: 5.1 yards per play to NO's 4.68

Pittsburgh gets a bit more out of each snap than New Orleans, but both offenses sit below what they did last season: the Steelers at 5.1 over 6 games against 5.22, and the Saints at 4.68 against 5.05. Pittsburgh had no play of 20 yards or more in its last game, so it is moving the ball in short pieces. The Saints at least found chunk plays from Tyler Shough, a 31-yard touchdown pass to Alvin Kamara and a 25-yard run. Expect a grinding game where one or two explosive plays decide it, and New Orleans has shown more of those lately.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CLE: 3.17 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2.67

Cleveland gets 3.17 sacks a game, and Tennessee gets 2.67, both over six games. That half-sack edge is small, and sack counts rise and fall with how often opponents throw. Six games makes it a fair sample for both pass rushes. In this game, it points to the Titans' quarterback taking a bit more pressure, which is most useful for sack props.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

CLE: 173.5 team passing yards per game to TEN's 153.5

CLE is at 173.5 team passing yards per game over 6 games; TEN is at 153.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season CLE was at 165.2 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

DET: 4.4 red-zone trips per game to GB's 3.67

GB is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; DET is at 4.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

OKC made 13.8 threes a game last season, LAC 12.4

OKC made 13.8 threes a game last season, LAC 12.4. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, LAC over 82.

MIN made 13.8 threes a game last season, TOR 11.4

MIN made 13.8 threes a game last season, TOR 11.4. 2025-26 regular season: MIN over 82 games, TOR over 82.

UTA made 12.6 threes a game last season, LAL 11.8

UTA made 12.6 threes a game last season, LAL 11.8. 2025-26 regular season: UTA over 82 games, LAL over 82.

Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE

Vera-Tucker went on injured reserve Thursday, Oct 22, with a hamstring injury, so the Patriots play at Chicago without him at guard. Losing a starting guard can change how a line handles interior pressure, and the sheet does not name his replacement. With Bryant also working back from IR, New England's line depth is thin this week.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

IND: 2.5 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

IND is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 6 games; MIN is at 3 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Teven Jenkins (G) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Jenkins on injured reserve Saturday with a back injury, so their offensive line plays the Titans without him. A guard going to injured reserve on the eve of a game forces a lineup shuffle up front. That matters for how cleanly Cleveland can run the ball and protect in Tennessee.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

MEM made 13.9 threes a game last season, SAC 10.3

MEM made 13.9 threes a game last season, SAC 10.3. 2025-26 regular season: SAC over 82 games, MEM over 82.

PHI made 12.3 threes a game last season, DET 11.0

PHI made 12.3 threes a game last season, DET 11.0. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, DET over 82.

IND won last season's series 2-1

Indiana won last season's series 2-1, by 8.3 a game across 3 meetings. Three games is thin. The rest edge tonight, with Brooklyn on a back-to-back, says more than this record.

OKC on 3d, LAC on 2d

Oklahoma City has had 3 days off, the Clippers 2. One extra day is a minor edge and unlikely to matter much on its own.

CIN (3-2) at BAL (4-2), a division game

These teams are close on paper: Cincinnati is 3-2 at +19, Baltimore is 4-2 at +24. Baltimore lost its last game and is 1-1 at home, while the Bengals are 2-1 on the road. Neither record looks inflated, since both have positive margins to back them. With split home and road results and similar point totals, this division game shapes up as close as the records suggest.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

UTA played at 103.5 possessions a game last season, LAL 99.2

UTA played at 103.5 possessions a game last season, LAL 99.2. 2025-26 regular season: UTA over 82 games, LAL over 82.

MEM played at 101.7 possessions a game last season, SAC 100.1

MEM played at 101.7 possessions a game last season, SAC 100.1. 2025-26 regular season: SAC over 82 games, MEM over 82.

PHI played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, DET 99.9

PHI played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, DET 99.9. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, DET over 82.

MIN played at 101.5 possessions a game last season, TOR 99.2

MIN played at 101.5 possessions a game last season, TOR 99.2. 2025-26 regular season: MIN over 82 games, TOR over 82.

ORL played at 100.6 possessions a game last season, NYK 97.7

ORL played at 100.6 possessions a game last season, NYK 97.7. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, ORL over 82.

Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Odeyingbo on injured reserve with a quadriceps injury Saturday, reported Oct 17. That removes a defensive end from Chicago's pass rush against New England. Patriots quarterback pressure and sack numbers could ease a bit in this one.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

OKC played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, LAC 97.3

OKC played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, LAC 97.3. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, LAC over 82.

IND played at 101.8 possessions a game last season, BKN 97.6

IND played at 101.8 possessions a game last season, BKN 97.6. 2025-26 regular season: BKN over 82 games, IND over 82.

IND grabbed 41.9 rebounds a game last season, BKN 39.3

IND grabbed 41.9 rebounds a game last season, BKN 39.3. 2025-26 regular season: BKN over 82 games, IND over 82.