Sports picks for Monday, October 26, 2026

Rays 8-0 in Freddy Peralta's last 8 starts

His team has won all of Freddy Peralta's last 8 starts, and he pitches tonight. A team record mixes in run support and bullpen work, so it says as much about the lineup behind him as about his own arm. Eight games is a short run, and perfect streaks rarely stay perfect. Use it as a sign the club plays well behind him and set the price off how he is pitching.

DAL: 267.2 team passing yards per game to PHI's 173.3

DAL is at 267.2 team passing yards per game over 6 games; PHI is at 173.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 266.3 over 17 games and PHI at 194.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

MIN: 12.3 points allowed per game to IND's 25.7

Minnesota gives up about half what Indianapolis allows, and the Vikings have gotten far stingier than last season's 19.6. Six games is enough to take seriously, though a jump that big usually settles somewhat. Indy allowed 24.2 last season and 25.7 now, so their defense is steady and leaky. The Vikings defense likely shapes this game more than anything Indy does on that side.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Jon Gaines II (G) is out for ARI

Out means Gaines will not play for Arizona against Denver, so the Cardinals are a guard short. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so check who starts on the interior line for Arizona.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Reed Blankenship (S) is out for HOU

HOU lists Reed Blankenship as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Tyler Warren (TE) is out for IND

Warren is out at tight end for the trip to Minnesota, per the Oct 26 report. Those snaps and targets go elsewhere in the Colts offense, so look at which tight end or receiver Indianapolis leans on in the middle of the field.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is out for CLE

Cleveland is without defensive tackle Mike Hall Jr. at Tennessee, and the report gives no injury or timeline. Losing a body on the interior can open more room for the Titans' run game, so factor that into Tennessee's rushing numbers.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Divine Deablo (LB) is out for ATL

ATL lists Divine Deablo as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Avieon Terrell (CB) is out for ATL

ATL lists Avieon Terrell as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) is out for ATL

Olamide Zaccheaus is out for Atlanta against San Francisco, with no injury or timeline given. His targets go to the rest of the Falcons receivers, so the other wideouts' receiving props could see a bump this week.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is out for SF

Samuel is out with a hamstring injury, so he will not play in Atlanta. The report points to a possible return after the 49ers' Week 8 bye, which makes this a short-term absence. The sheet does not say who takes his targets, so watch the final injury report and the depth chart before betting on any San Francisco receiver.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Brandin Echols (CB) is out for PIT

Echols will not play at New Orleans, per the Oct 26 report. Pittsburgh will lean on another corner in his spot, so the Saints passing game gets a look at a different coverage group than usual.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

KC: 26.7% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%

Kansas City has let opponents score touchdowns on only 26.7% of red-zone trips over 6 games, while Seattle is at 78.6% over 7. Red-zone rates rest on a handful of trips per game, so Kansas City's number is likely to rise and Seattle's could ease down. The gap still favors Kansas City finishing drives better, which matters most if you are thinking about touchdown totals more than yardage.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Jaylon Moore (OT) is out for KC

Kansas City offensive tackle Jaylon Moore is out for the trip to Seattle, per the injury report on Oct 26. Out means he will not play. The report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so it is a lineup change to note on the Chiefs line rather than something to build a bet around on its own.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is out for SEA

Seattle lists running back Zach Charbonnet as out against Kansas City, reported Oct 26. Out means he will not play this game. The report does not name the injury or say who absorbs his carries, so check which Seahawks backs are active and how their rushing lines move once the inactive list is set.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Nate Landman (LB) is out for LAR

Landman is ruled out for the Rams at Las Vegas, taking a linebacker off the field. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so watch who the Rams list at linebacker against the Raiders.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

David Montgomery (RB) is out for HOU

Out means Montgomery will not play for Houston against the Giants, so the Texans lose a running back for this game. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so check how the Houston backfield is listed before betting any Texans rushing number.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Luke Goedeke (OT) is out for TB

Tampa Bay will be without tackle Luke Goedeke at Carolina, which means a backup lines up on the offensive line. The report has no injury detail. A line change can affect protection, so keep it in mind alongside Emeka Egbuka also being out.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Nick Bosa (DE) is out for SF

Nick Bosa is out against Atlanta with a knee injury. Kyle Shanahan said Monday he has a chance to return after the Week 8 bye, which is hopeful language rather than a firm date. For this game, San Francisco plays without him, so weigh how the 49ers' pass rush looks without a defensive end of his profile when you think about Atlanta's quarterback and passing numbers.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Jack Sanborn (LB) is out for CHI

CHI lists Jack Sanborn as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

KC @ SEA carries a 23.5 market total

At 23.5, Chiefs at Seahawks carries the lowest total on this list, 23 under the 46.5 slate median, so the market sees maybe two or three scoring drives combined. No reason is on the sheet. The expectation breaks only if one team finds explosive plays or the game turns sloppy with turnovers in plus territory. With a number this low, every touchdown is a large chunk of the total, so variance cuts hard both ways.

T.J. Edwards (LB) is out for CHI

T.J. Edwards will not suit up for Chicago against New England. The report gives no injury detail or return date, only that he is out. With Jack Sanborn also out, two Bears linebackers are missing, so look at who starts in the middle before betting on the Patriots' run game or their tight ends.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

PIT @ NO carries a 29.5 market total

At 29.5, the market expects a slow, grinding game with long drives and few cheap points, a total 17 below the 46.5 slate median. The sheet gives no injury, weather or team scoring data, so the reason for the number isn't shown here. A total this low cracks on short fields: a defensive score, a return or a couple of turnovers deep in Steelers or Saints territory. Weigh the under on how likely those cheap scores are, since one breaks the script.

TEN: 1.57 sacks taken per game to CLE's 3.57

Cleveland's quarterback goes down more than twice as often as Tennessee's. Cleveland was at 3 last season, so pressure has always found them. Tennessee cut its number from 3.5 last season to 1.57, a big improvement over seven games that could slide back a bit. Drives stalling on sacks is a bigger risk for Cleveland in this game.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Ben Brown (C) is out for NE

Brown is out at center for the game at Chicago, listed on the Oct 26 report. A missing center means a backup handles snaps and line calls, so watch how the Patriots' interior holds up against the Bears' pass rush and inside run defense.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) is out for ATL

ATL lists Billy Bowman Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Carlton Davis III (CB) is out for NE

Davis is ruled out for the trip to Chicago on the Oct 26 report, so there is no game-time decision here. The sheet does not name the injury or his replacement, so the useful check is who starts at corner for New England and how the Bears receivers line up against him.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Kyle Monangai (RB) is out for CHI

Chicago will play New England without Kyle Monangai. The report gives no injury or timeline, so out is the only certain part: he does not play this game. Carries and backfield touches go to the other Bears backs, so check who is active before betting on Chicago's run game.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Channing Canada (CB) is out for NE

Canada will not play at Chicago, per the Oct 26 report. With no injury or role detail on the sheet, this is a depth note: the question for a bettor is how thin New England's cornerback room gets on Sunday.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Greg Newsome II (CB) is out for NYG

Out means Newsome will not play at Houston, so the Giants are a cornerback short. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named fill-in, so check who New York lists at corner and how that affects the Texans passing game.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Lamar Jackson (QB) is out for BAL

The listing and the quote point in different directions. Lamar Jackson is listed out for the Cincinnati game, yet coach Jesse Minter says his ankle is in a decent spot for a Sunday game against the Bills. Until Baltimore's status settles, any line on this game depends on which version is right, so wait for the final word.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Joseph Ossai (DE) is out for NYJ

Out means Ossai will not play against Miami, so the Jets are down a defensive end. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so watch who fills in on the edge and how much pressure the Jets can put on the Dolphins quarterback.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

CJ Allen (LB) is out for IND

Allen is ruled out at linebacker for Indianapolis against Minnesota on the Oct 26 report. A backup takes his snaps, so the Colts' run defense and short coverage over the middle are the spots to watch.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Karon Prunty (CB) is out for NE

Out means Prunty will not play at Chicago, a firm ruling as of the Oct 26 report. The sheet gives no injury or depth detail, so look at who New England lists behind him at corner before reading much into the Bears passing game.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) is out for PHI

PHI lists Nolan Smith Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Tyrus Wheat (LB) is out for DAL

DAL lists Tyrus Wheat as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Dee Winters (LB) is out for DAL

DAL lists Dee Winters as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Jake Majors (C) is out for PHI

PHI lists Jake Majors as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Lane Johnson (OT) is out for PHI

PHI lists Lane Johnson as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Michael Carter II (CB) is out for PHI

PHI lists Michael Carter II as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Drew Shelton (OT) is out for DAL

DAL lists Drew Shelton as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is out for PHI

Wicks is out for Philadelphia against Dallas, the same game DeVonta Smith misses. The report gives no injury detail. With two Eagles receivers out, depth at the position is thin for this game.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is out for DAL

Dallas has ruled out Turpin for Monday night in Philadelphia. The report gives no injury or timeline. Check who handles his snaps on offense and in the return game before betting Dallas props.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Britain Covey (WR) is out for PHI

Britain Covey hurt his knee during Monday's game against the Cowboys and was ruled out for the rest of the night on Oct 27. That is an in-game ruling, so it says nothing yet about next week; a knee injury can mean anything from a short absence to a longer one. The sheet does not say who takes his snaps or return work. Watch Philadelphia's practice reports this week before pricing him into anything ahead.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Emari Demercado (RB) is out for DAL

Demercado is a coach's decision inactive for Monday night in Philadelphia, so this is about the game plan and he is healthy. Dallas has chosen other running backs for this one, and the sheet does not name them.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Cole Payton (QB) is out for PHI

Cole Payton is inactive for Monday's game against Dallas as a coach's decision, with no injury involved. He stays available as Philadelphia's emergency quarterback, so he only plays if something goes badly wrong at the position. This changes nothing about how Philadelphia's offense should look in this game.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Charles Cross (OT) is doubtful for SEA

Doubtful means Charles Cross is unlikely to play against Kansas City. An MRI showed a high ankle sprain, an injury that tends to keep players out for more than a week. Assume Seattle starts a backup at tackle, which is worth weighing when you look at the Chiefs' pass rush in this game.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Chazz Surratt (LB) is out for SEA

Seattle lists linebacker Chazz Surratt as out against Kansas City. The report gives no injury or timeline. It is one depth piece at linebacker, so check who fills in before reading it as a big swing for the game.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

IND @ MIN carries a 26.5 market total

A 26.5 total is the market calling for a low-event game, 20 points under the 46.5 slate median, where field goals may matter as much as touchdowns. The sheet doesn't say why, with no injury, weather or unit data listed. For this to crack, Indianapolis or Minnesota would need early touchdowns that force the other side to open up. At a number this low, a single non-offensive touchdown covers a big share of the total.

DAL: 267.2 pass yards a game to PHI's 173.3

Dallas throws for 267.2 yards a game, almost the same as its 266.3 last season, so this is who the Cowboys are. Philadelphia is at 173.3 over six games, down from 194.3 last season, which suggests a passing game that leans on the run by design more than one that is broken. The Dallas number should hold. In Philadelphia, the Eagles win by shortening the game, and the Cowboys need the ball enough times to let their passing volume matter.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

CAR: 276 pass yards a game to TB's 150.4

Carolina throws for 276 yards a game over six games, up from 179.3 last season, while Tampa Bay sits at 150.4, down from 205.9. Both moves are big enough that the full truth is probably somewhere between this year and last. The Panthers' passing jump is the bigger outlier, so expect it to cool some. For this game, Tampa Bay has to lean on the run and the clock to keep Carolina's passing game off the field.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

MIN: 12.3 points allowed a game to IND's 25.7

Minnesota gives up about half the points Indianapolis does, and that is a big jump from last season, when the Vikings allowed 19.6 a game. Six games is a short run, so some of that drop should drift back up. The Colts defense at 25.7 is close to its 24.2 from last season, so that number looks real. Minnesota at home has the steadier edge on the scoreboard, and a Colts offense facing this unit has to win with long, patient drives.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Rashee Rice (WR) is out for KC

Kansas City will play Seattle without Rashee Rice, a wide receiver, after the team listed him as out on the injury report on Oct 26. Out means he will not suit up, so there is no game-time decision to wait on. The report gives no injury detail and no word on who takes his snaps, so look at how the rest of the Chiefs receiver room is priced before leaning on any of them.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Walter Nolen III (DT) is out for ARI

Arizona will be without defensive tackle Walter Nolen III against Denver, per the injury report released Oct 26. The sheet does not say what the injury is or when he last played. Out removes him from the interior line for this game. The listing does not say who replaces him, so check how Arizona fills the middle of the line before you factor in Denver's running game.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Jalen Brooks (WR) is out for ARI

Jalen Brooks had season-ending wrist surgery, which he announced Monday, so he is done for the year and out against Denver. His targets go to the rest of Arizona's receivers from here on, so the other wideouts are the ones to look at.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Zaire Franklin (LB) is out for GB

Zaire Franklin has a hairline fracture in his shin from practice last Thursday, so he misses Green Bay's trip to Detroit. A fracture usually means more than one week out. Green Bay has to fill a linebacker spot against the Lions, and the sheet does not say who steps in. When you look at Detroit's ground game in this one, keep in mind that a starting linebacker is missing.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is out for ARI

Jeremiyah Love carries an out tag, but head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love will take part in Wednesday's practice as he works back from an ankle injury. That points toward a return, so how much he practices this week matters more than the current label. Watch the Wednesday and later practice reports before treating Arizona's backfield against Denver as settled.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Jevon Holland (S) is out for NYG

Holland is ruled out for the Giants at Houston, taking a safety out of the secondary. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so look at how New York fills the back end against the Texans passing game.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is out for DEN

Denver will play this one in Arizona without safety Talanoa Hufanga, who was ruled out on the injury report on Oct 26. The sheet gives no injury detail and no indication of when he last played. Out means he will not suit up, so the question is how Denver's secondary holds up without him. The listing does not say who takes his snaps, so check the inactive list and the depth chart closer to kickoff before you lean on Arizona's passing game.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Marcus Mbow (OT) is out for NYG

Mbow is ruled out for the Giants at Houston, leaving them a tackle short. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so watch who starts at tackle and how the Giants line handles the Texans pass rush.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Andrew Wingard (S) is out for ARI

Arizona has ruled out safety Andrew Wingard for the home game against Denver, according to the injury report released Oct 26. No injury or last-played date is listed. Out means he will not play at all. The listing does not name a replacement, so the depth chart at safety is what to check before deciding how much Denver's receivers might benefit.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

MIN: 1.83 takeaways per game to IND's 0.43

Minnesota's defense has forced 1.83 turnovers a game over 6 games, while Indianapolis has managed 0.43 over 7. Takeaways swing more than almost any defensive stat, since a tipped ball or a loose fumble can flip a game, so both numbers can drift toward the middle. Minnesota looks like the defense more likely to set up a short field at home, but a few weeks of bounces are part of that gap.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Blake Fisher (OT) is out for HOU

Out means Fisher will not play against the Giants, so Houston is down an offensive tackle. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so check who starts at tackle for the Texans before leaning on their passing game.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Willie Gay Jr. (LB) is out for MIA

MIA lists Willie Gay Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Breece Hall (RB) is out for NYJ

Out means Hall will not suit up against Miami, and the Jets lose a running back for this game. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so the carries go to whoever is left in the backfield. Check how the Jets backfield is listed before betting any Jets rushing number.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Kyle Dugger (S) is out for CIN

Dugger will miss this game with a quadriceps injury, so Cincinnati is down a safety. The report names the Titans as the opponent, but the listed matchup is at Baltimore, so confirm the schedule before acting on it. The sheet does not say who starts in his place.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Max Mitchell (OT) is out for NYJ

Mitchell is ruled out against Miami, leaving the Jets an offensive tackle short. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so pay attention to who starts at tackle and how the Jets line holds up against the Dolphins pass rush.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Bryce Boettcher (LB) is out for IND

Out means Boettcher will not play at Minnesota, so the Colts are down a linebacker for this one. The report from Oct 26 does not name the injury or a replacement, so watch who Indianapolis lists at linebacker and how much the Vikings lean on the run and short middle throws.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Broderick Washington Jr. (DT) is out for BAL

Broderick Washington Jr. is out for Baltimore against Cincinnati, with no injury or timeline listed. Losing an interior lineman thins the Ravens' rotation up front, a small factor for the Bengals' run game.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Dylan Parham (G) is out for NYJ

NYJ lists Dylan Parham as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Tyjae Spears (RB) is out for TEN

Tyjae Spears will not play against Cleveland. The report gives no injury detail. Tennessee is also without Calvin Ridley, so the offense is down a back and a receiver for this game.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

DeVonta Smith (WR) is out for PHI

Philadelphia will play Dallas without DeVonta Smith, and Dontayvion Wicks is out too. The report gives no injury or timeline for Smith. With two receivers missing, the Eagles' passing game will lean on whoever is left, so check the active list before betting their props.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Drake Thomas (LB) is out for SEA

Seattle linebacker Drake Thomas is listed as out against Kansas City, reported Oct 26. Out means he will not play this game. The report does not give the injury or say who steps in, so it is one Seahawks defensive absence to factor in alongside the rest of the injury report.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is out for CAR

Phillips is out for Carolina against Tampa Bay with a hamstring injury, and he did not practice Monday. The sheet does not say who replaces him, so look at Carolina's pass rush plan when the depth chart is updated.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Reese Taylor (CB) is out for MIA

Out means Taylor will not play for Miami at the Jets, so the Dolphins are a cornerback short. The Oct 26 report gives no injury detail or named fill-in, so check who Miami lists at corner and how that shapes the Jets passing game.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Anthony Gould (WR) is out for IND

Gould is ruled out for Indianapolis at Minnesota on the Oct 26 report. The sheet gives no detail on his role, so this mostly touches the Colts receiver depth and possibly the return game.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Garret Wallow (LB) is out for SF

SF lists Garret Wallow as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Jalen Pitre (S) is out for HOU

HOU lists Jalen Pitre as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is out for BAL

Jaylinn Hawkins is out for Baltimore against Cincinnati, and the report gives no injury detail. A missing safety means a backup in coverage against the Bengals' passing game, which is worth weighing on Cincinnati's receiving props.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Emeka Egbuka (WR) is out for TB

Emeka Egbuka is out for Tampa Bay at Carolina, taking a receiver out of the Buccaneers' rotation. No injury or timeline is listed, so the open question is which teammate absorbs his targets this week.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Kene Nwangwu (RB) is out for NYJ

Nwangwu is ruled out for Miami at New York, which thins the Jets running back room further. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so look at who is active in the backfield before backing any Jets rushing number.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Marques Sigle (S) is out for SF

SF lists Marques Sigle as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Theo Johnson (TE) is out for NYG

Johnson is ruled out for the Giants at Houston, taking a tight end out of the offense. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so the targets he would see go to whoever is left at the position.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is out for TB

Antoine Winfield Jr. is listed out, so Tampa Bay plays Carolina without that safety in the back end. The report gives no injury or return date. The Bucs are missing three listed players in this game, two on offense and Winfield on defense.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is out for MIA

Beal is ruled out for Miami at New York, taking a defensive end off the Dolphins front for this game. The Oct 26 report names no injury and no replacement, so the open question is how much pass rush Miami brings without him.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

TB: 77.3 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 153.2

Tampa Bay has held teams to 77.3 rushing yards a game over 7 games, and Carolina has allowed 153.2 over 6. That is a big split that has lasted most of the season so far, so it reflects real tackling and front play more than one bad afternoon. Tampa Bay's ground game should find room in Carolina, and a run-heavy script for the Bucs makes sense if they get an early lead.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Sauce Gardner (CB) is out for IND

Gardner will not play at Minnesota, listed out on the Oct 26 report. Indianapolis loses a top corner, which changes how the Vikings can attack its secondary and is the kind of absence that can move a passing yardage view for this game.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Luke Gifford (LB) is out for SF

SF lists Luke Gifford as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is out for ATL

Atlanta will be without Brian Robinson Jr. against San Francisco. No injury or return date is listed, only that he will not play. His share of the backfield work moves to the other Falcons backs, so confirm who is active before betting on Atlanta's run game.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Mike Evans (WR) is out for SF

Mike Evans is out for San Francisco's trip to Atlanta with an Achilles injury, and the report has him returning after the Week 8 bye. That makes this a clean absence: no game-time call, so lines should already reflect it. The sheet doesn't name who absorbs his targets, so watch the depth chart and adjust receiver props once the snap share shows who steps in.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Cesar Ruiz (G) is out for NO

Ruiz is ruled out at guard for New Orleans against Pittsburgh on the Oct 26 report. A backup guard takes his snaps, which is worth weighing for both the Saints run game and how well their quarterback is kept clean inside.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Calvin Ridley (WR) is out for TEN

Calvin Ridley is out for Tennessee against Cleveland, so the Titans lose a receiver from Sunday's plan. The report lists no injury or return date. Look for a bump in targets for whoever is next on the depth chart.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Nathan Shepherd (DT) is out for NO

Shepherd is out on the New Orleans defensive line for the Pittsburgh game, listed on the Oct 26 report. A missing interior lineman puts more on the rest of the Saints front against the Steelers run game.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Ben Skowronek (WR) is out for PIT

Skowronek is ruled out for Pittsburgh's trip to New Orleans on the Oct 26 report. The sheet gives no injury or usage detail, so his absence matters mostly for how the Steelers fill out their receiver rotation.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

SF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 16.7%

San Francisco converts three of every four fourth downs, while Atlanta has converted 16.7%. Fourth-down tries are few over seven games, so a couple of plays swing these rates hard. Last season the Niners were at 59.1% and Atlanta at 50%, both likely closer to normal. Expect both to drift back, and treat late fourth-down gambles here as close to a coin flip.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

BAL: 141.7 rush yards a game to CIN's 81.2

Baltimore runs for 141.7 yards a game, a bit under last season's 156.6 but still the identity of this offense. Cincinnati runs for 81.2 over six games, down from an already low 93.6 last season, so the Bengals are a passing team and this number should stay low. In Baltimore, the Ravens can lean on the ground and control the clock, which puts pressure on the Bengals to keep pace through the air.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

TEN: 1.57 sacks taken a game to CLE's 3.57

Cleveland's quarterback goes down 3.57 times a game over seven games, up from 3 last season. Tennessee has flipped the other way, from 3.5 sacks taken last season to 1.57 this year, a change big enough to expect some drift back. Cleveland's problem looks steadier, since it was bad last season too. In Tennessee, the Browns need quick throws and a run game to keep drives from dying on sacks.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Brewers 7-1 in Robert Gasser's last 8 starts

Milwaukee is 7-1 in Robert Gasser's last 8 starts and has won his last 4 in a row. That lines up with a starter keeping games close enough for the offense and bullpen to finish. Eight starts is a small window, and a 7-1 pace is hard to keep up. In this matchup it supports Milwaukee's side early in the game, while the full-game result still runs through the bullpen.

Sean Rhyan (G) is doubtful for GB

Rhyan is listed as doubtful, and the report says the ankle injury he suffered in Sunday's loss to the Lions will cost him multiple weeks. Plan on Green Bay playing without him at guard for a stretch. The sheet does not say who replaces him.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

NO: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 47.4%

New Orleans scores on 77.3% of red-zone trips, Pittsburgh on 47.4%. Both flipped from last season: New Orleans was at 44.4% and Pittsburgh at 58.8%. Red-zone rates over seven games swing on a handful of snaps and usually regress. Don't assume New Orleans keeps finishing drives at this rate.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

MIN: 23.1% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 60%

Minnesota has allowed red-zone touchdowns on 23.1% of trips over 6 games, and Indianapolis is at 60% over 7. Few teams keep a rate that low for a full season, since it rests on a small number of snaps, so expect some climb. Indianapolis drives could still stall into field goals at Minnesota, which tilts toward unders on the Colts' touchdown props more than their yardage.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

DET: 115 rushing yards per game to GB's 59.9

Detroit runs for nearly double Green Bay's output. Green Bay has collapsed from 119.8 last season to 59.9, a giant drop over seven games. Detroit at 115 is close to last season's 120.1, so that number is stable. Green Bay may bounce back some, but in this game Detroit is the side more likely to lean on the run.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Cam Skattebo (RB) is questionable for NYG

Skattebo is expected to "OK" after tweaking his hamstring on a 42-yard run in overtime during Sunday's 27-21 win over the Texans, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

MIN has won 6 straight

Minnesota has not lost yet, and six straight wins means they have beaten everyone put in front of them so far. The sheet does not say who those six opponents were, so how strong the schedule was is an open question. Unbeaten teams usually get priced like it, so the number on Indianapolis may already carry a premium. Six games is a real run, but a streak tells you less about one specific game than the matchup does.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Jaylin Noel (WR) is questionable for HOU

Noel (toe) was seen in a walking boot after Sunday's 27-21 overtime loss to the Giants, DJ Bien-Aime of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Rashid Shaheed (WR) is questionable for SEA

Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that the early returns on Shaheed's knee injury are positive, Brady Henderson reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Aaron Jones Sr. (RB) is questionable for MIN

Jones left Sunday's 16-10 win over the Colts with a left knee injury, and the early word from Adam Schefter is that it isn't significant and he's day-to-day. Questionable means a real chance he plays, so the key is how he practices this week. If he's limited or sits, Minnesota's run game gets thinner, which matters in a game where the Vikings scored 16. Wait on his practice reports before leaning on any Vikings rushing number.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) is questionable for DET

Questionable is a real coin flip, but this one leans toward playing. Amon-Ra St. Brown tweaked his ankle in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers, and Dan Campbell expects him ready to practice Thursday. Whether he actually practices that day is the tell for Green Bay at Detroit.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Christian McCaffrey (RB) is questionable for SF

McCaffrey is dealing with a mild hamstring strain rather than a quadriceps injury, and the 49ers believe he'll be ready following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SF Standard reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Matthew Golden (WR) is questionable for GB

Matthew Golden is questionable at Detroit, dealing with both shoulder and foot injuries. He did not practice in Monday's estimate, which is a worse sign than a limited listing. Hold off on anything tied to him until he shows up on a practice report.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB) is questionable for NYG

Tracy (hamstring) didn't return to Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over the Texans after exiting with 5:29 remaining in the second quarter, Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Jalen Coker (WR) is questionable for CAR

Questionable means Jalen Coker could go either way against Tampa Bay. He was limited on Monday's estimated practice report with a shoulder injury, so he was doing some work. His practice level later in the week will tell you more than the tag does.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

TB @ CAR carries a 56.5 market total

A 56.5 total means the market expects both offenses to score often and the game to stay open, 10 points above the 46.5 slate median. The sheet has no team or injury details explaining it. It cracks if Tampa Bay or Carolina stalls in the red zone and settles for field goals, or if one side builds a lead and runs the clock. Watch how drives finish, since kicks instead of touchdowns drag a high total down fast.

MIL have won 6 straight

Milwaukee has won six straight, but by a combined 12 runs, about two a game, so most of these wins were close. Teams that stack tight wins usually cool off, and six games is a short window. The run comes into a road game at Tampa Bay. Expect a game decided late, where the bullpens matter more than the streak itself.

P team won 10-1

LAR @ LV carries a 56.5 market total

At 56.5, Rams at Raiders is priced for a shootout, 10 above the 46.5 slate median. No injury, weather or unit facts are on the sheet to explain it. The script fails if drives bog down in the red zone or one team pulls ahead and leans on the run. For an over this high, both offenses have to keep producing touchdowns for four quarters.

DET: 115 rush yards a game to GB's 59.9

Green Bay's run game has fallen to 59.9 yards a game over seven games, about half of last season's 119.8. Detroit sits at 115, close to its 120.1 from last season, so the Lions number is steady. A drop that steep for the Packers usually comes back up somewhat, but seven games is enough to take it seriously. In Detroit, the Lions can control the game on the ground, and the Packers will lean on the pass to keep up.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

MIN is 3-0 at home; IND is 1-3 on the road

Minnesota has won all three home games, and Indianapolis has won once in four trips. Both samples are small, three and four games, so a single result swings either split a lot. Home and road records usually drift toward the overall record as the season goes on. Use it as a mild nudge toward the home side, and lean more on how the teams match up.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

HOU: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 1.29

Houston is recording 3 sacks a game over 7 games, and the Giants are at 1.29 over 7. With the same game count on both sides, this is a fair comparison and the gap looks real. The Giants' passing game is walking into a defense that lives in the backfield, which leans toward sack props and fewer explosive Giants drives.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

NYJ: 2.71 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1

The Jets' defense is getting 2.71 sacks a game over 7 games, while Miami's sits at 1 over 6. That is a steady pass rush gap across most of the season. If the Jets keep getting home, Miami's quarterback faces more drive-killing negative plays, which points toward stalled Dolphins possessions and lower Miami scoring spots.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

DAL: 23.3 first downs per game to PHI's 14.8

Dallas moves the chains far more often than Philadelphia, and at 23.1 last season, that's just the Cowboys offense. Philly has dropped from 18 last season over six games, a sign their attack has been less sustained. More first downs means more snaps and more time of possession for Dallas. Philly will likely need explosive plays more than long drives.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

LAR: 44.4% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 78.6%

LAR is at 44.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; LV is at 78.6% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

DET: 30.7 points per game to GB's 20.6

Detroit outscores Green Bay by about ten a game. Detroit sat at 28.3 last season, so this pace is close to their norm. Green Bay dipped from 23, consistent with a running game that has disappeared. In this spot, Detroit sets the tempo, and Green Bay has to find points through the air.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

GB: 208 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 291.8

Green Bay has allowed 208 passing yards a game over 7 games, while Detroit has given up 291.8 over 6. Detroit's secondary is the weaker unit by a wide margin, and that has held across a meaningful stretch. Green Bay's passing game sets up well in Detroit, so the Packers' quarterback and receiver yardage lines are the natural place to look.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

MIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to IND's 1.86

Minnesota is recording 3.5 sacks a game over 6 games, nearly double Indianapolis's 1.86 over 7. That kind of pressure tends to hold up better than turnover or red-zone numbers because it repeats snap to snap. The Colts' quarterback faces more hurried throws in this game, which leans toward Colts drives stalling and Minnesota sack props.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

HOU: 0.43 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.57

Houston rarely gives the ball away, while the Giants cough it up about once and a half a game. The Giants were at 1 last season, so some of this is a rough seven-game stretch that may ease. Houston at 0.71 last season has stayed careful with the ball. Turnovers swing totals and spreads, and the Giants carry more of that risk here.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

LAR: 125 rush yards a game to LV's 74.7

The Rams run for 125 yards a game, almost exactly last season's 126.6. Las Vegas runs for 74.7, nearly the same as last season's 77.5. Both numbers look like who these teams are, and they should hold. In Las Vegas, the Rams can stay balanced and work the clock, while the Raiders have to win through the air.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Tyler Warren

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Anthony Gould

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

CJ Donaldson

Full practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Jaylon Moore

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Mike Hall Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Greg Newsome II

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Billy Bowman Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Talanoa Hufanga

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Emeka Egbuka

Concussion, Foot · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Drew Shelton

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Ben Brown

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DEN is 2-2 on the road; ARI is 0-3 at home

Arizona is winless in three home games, and Denver has split four on the road. Three games is a short sample for a home record, and one win changes how it looks. Denver's road mark is average, so most of the tilt comes from the Cardinals side. It is a small lean toward Denver that should carry less weight than the matchup itself.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

CLE is 2-2 on the road; TEN is 0-4 at home

Tennessee is winless in four home games, and Cleveland has split four on the road. The Titans number carries this split, since an even road mark is ordinary. Four games apiece is a small sample, and 0-4 at home is the kind of record that tends to move once a few close games flip. It tilts toward Cleveland, with the caveat that the edge rests mostly on Tennessee's slump.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

PIT is 2-2 on the road; NO is 0-4 at home

The site split favours PIT: NO has played 4 games at home this season and PIT 4 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-25.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

DET is 3-0 at home; GB is 2-2 on the road

Detroit has won all three at home, and Green Bay has split four road games. Three home games is a small sample, but a clean sweep against an average road team still leans one way. Expect both numbers to move toward each team's overall form over time. It supports Detroit at home as a modest factor in a division-style spot, not a deciding one.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

NYG is 1-1-1 on the road; HOU is 0-4 at home

Houston has lost all four home games, and the Giants have gone 1-1-1 in three road games. Three road games with a tie in them tells you very little about the Giants away from home. The Texans home record is the louder number, though four games can still turn quickly. Weigh Houston's home slide more than anything the Giants have shown on the road.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

CHI is 3-1 at home; NE is 1-3 on the road

Chicago has taken three of four at home, and New England has won once in four road games. Four games each is a thin sample, and the sheet does not say who either team played. Splits this lopsided tend to even out over a full season. It points toward Chicago at home, but price it as a small edge, not a settled fact.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

SEA: 144.4 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 223.8

Seattle has held teams to 144.4 passing yards a game over 7 games, while Kansas City has allowed 223.8 over 6. Seattle's pass defense has been stingy for most of the season, so this is more than one strong week. Kansas City's passing yardage lines face the toughest look in this matchup, and Seattle's receivers have the friendlier secondary to work against.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

PHI: 38.9% third downs allowed to DAL's 54.7%

Philadelphia has let opponents convert 38.9% of third downs over 6 games, while Dallas has allowed 54.7% over 6. Dallas giving up a conversion on more than half of third downs means drives stay alive and the clock runs. Philadelphia should sustain long possessions at home, which points toward Eagles time of possession and scoring in this spot.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

CIN: 35% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 66.7%

Cincinnati has allowed red-zone touchdowns on 35% of trips over 6 games, while Baltimore is at 66.7% over 7. Red-zone defense rides on small samples, so Cincinnati's mark could slide back toward average. The bigger edge is on the other side: Baltimore's defense has been giving up touchdowns once drives get close, which helps Bengals scoring chances in Baltimore.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

HOU: 0.43 turnovers a game to NYG's 1.57

Houston gives the ball away 0.43 times a game over seven games, a cut from 0.71 last season. The Giants are at 1.57, up from 1 last season. Both numbers have probably moved past where they settle, since turnovers swing a lot from game to game. In Houston, the Texans are the cleaner team, and the Giants need to protect the ball to stay in it.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

DEN: 20.1 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.7

Arizona allows 29.7 points a game over seven games, in line with 28.7 last season, so this defense is the same problem it was. Denver gives up 20.1, close to last season's 18.3. Both numbers look stable. In Arizona, the Broncos offense should find points against this unit, and the Cardinals have to outscore the game.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

GB @ DET carries a 37.5 market total

A 37.5 total puts Packers at Lions 9 under the 46.5 slate median, a game the market expects to be fairly tight and possession-heavy without going to the extremes of the lowest numbers. The sheet doesn't give a reason. It cracks if either offense hits big plays early and forces the other to throw to keep pace. This is a middle-low spot where a single quick touchdown exchange can push the game toward the number.

DEN: 20.1 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.7

Arizona allows nearly ten more points a game than Denver, and the Cardinals were at 28.7 last season, so the leaky defense is real. Denver ticked up from 18.3, but remains the steadier unit. Arizona's offense will likely need to keep scoring against a Denver attack that should find room. Points against Arizona are the more reliable side of this game.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Alijah Vera-Tucker

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Jack Sanborn

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Karon Prunty

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Kyle Monangai

Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Ben Skowronek

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Brandin Echols

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Marques Sigle

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Brian Robinson Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Mike Evans

Ribs, Achilles · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Divine Deablo

Forearm · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Nick Bosa

Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Luke Gifford

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Garret Wallow

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Sauce Gardner

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

CJ Allen

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Joseph Ossai

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Max Mitchell

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Reese Taylor

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Luke Goedeke

Calf · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Rib · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Jaelan Phillips

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Lamar Jackson

Ankle · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Jaylinn Hawkins

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Jalen Pitre

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

David Montgomery

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Reed Blankenship

Concussion, Hand · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jevon Holland

Concussion · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Blake Fisher

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Walter Nolen III

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Jon Gaines II

Knee, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Andrew Wingard

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Jeremiyah Love

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Zaire Franklin

Shin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Nate Landman

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Zach Charbonnet

Knee · Full practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Rashid Shaheed

Full practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Rashee Rice

Hamstring, Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Drake Thomas

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 3-20

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Nolan Smith Jr.

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Dee Winters

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Dontayvion Wicks

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Michael Carter II

Abdomen · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Britain Covey

Full practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

KaVontae Turpin

Ribs · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 38-21

MIN: 4.45 yards per play allowed to IND's 5.67

IND is at 5.67 yards per play allowed over 7 games; MIN is at 4.45 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 28.6%

Cincinnati converts three of four fourth downs, Baltimore just 28.6%. Baltimore was at 60% last season, so its dip over seven games looks like a small-sample slump. Cincinnati was at 70% last season, so its number is closer to form. Expect Baltimore to rebound some on fourth downs.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

DET: 70.4% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 46.2%

GB is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; DET is at 70.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 57.6% over 17 games and DET at 62.5% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF

Stout (shoulder) was only active as an emergency depth option during Sunday's loss to the Falcons, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reported Monday. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Justin Walley (CB) is questionable for IND

According to head coach Shane Steichen, Walley did not return to Sunday's 16-10 loss to Minnesota due to a knee injury, Kevin Bowen of 107.5 The Fan Indianapolis reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Akayleb Evans (CB) is questionable for CAR

Evans is questionable for Carolina against Tampa Bay with triceps and knee injuries, and he did not practice Monday. Missing practice early in the week is a warning sign. Watch the later practice reports before counting on him at corner, especially since Carolina is also without Jaelan Phillips.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

DAL: 1.17 sacks taken per game to PHI's 2.67

Dallas gives up 1.17 sacks a game, down from 2.38 last season, while Philly has gone from 2.33 to 2.67. Six games is a short window, so Dallas may give some back. The Cowboys line has kept its quarterback clean, which fits their high passing volume. Philly's quarterback faces more pressure, which can stall drives.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

T.J. Edwards

Hamstring · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Theo Johnson

Neck · Did not practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (CB) is questionable for DET

Ennis Rakestraw Jr. left Sunday's win over the Packers with an ankle injury, but early word is that it is not major. That leans toward him playing, which is why the tag is questionable and not worse. His practice participation this week is the thing to watch before the Green Bay rematch.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

KC: 0.83 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 1.86

Kansas City barely turns the ball over, and that has held from last season's 0.88 to this season, so it looks like how this offense plays. Seattle is giving it away more than last season's 1.65, and over seven games that is a real habit. Kansas City should win the possession battle in Seattle, which helps a road favorite cover or a road underdog stay close.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

KC: 0.83 turnovers a game to SEA's 1.86

Seattle turns it over 1.86 times a game over seven games, close to last season's 1.65. Kansas City is at 0.83 over six games, nearly its 0.88 from last season. Both numbers hold up across two seasons. In Seattle, the Chiefs rarely give away possessions, so the Seahawks have to protect the ball to keep the game close.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

DEN: 5 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.14

Denver allows 5 yards per play over 7 games, and Arizona allows 6.14 over 7. Yards per play is one of the steadier defensive measures, so a gap this size over the same game count likely reflects a real talent difference. Denver's offense should move the ball efficiently in Arizona, while Cardinals drives will have to grind for their yards.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Devonte Wyatt (DT) is questionable for GB

Devonte Wyatt is questionable for Green Bay at Detroit with an ankle injury, and he did not participate in Monday's practice estimate. Questionable means a real chance he sits, and missing practice early in the week leans that way. If he can't go, Green Bay's interior line loses a starter against Detroit's run game, so check the final status before the game rather than assuming he plays.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

CIN (4-2) at BAL (4-3), a division game

Cincinnati is +41 with two straight wins and a 3-1 road mark, so the 4-2 record matches how it has played. Baltimore sits a game behind on the loss column but is only +2, has dropped two straight and is 1-2 at home. The standings make this look like two even teams, and the scoring margin says they are not. In a division spot, a home team on a skid that hasn't been winning at home earns no automatic credit.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

MIA (1-5) at NYJ (2-5), a division game

Miami has been outscored by 59 points across six games, so the one-game win streak is a single result against a lot of lopsided losses. The Jets are only 13 points under for the year, which says their 2-5 record has more close losses in it than blowouts. Neither side has much going at its building: Miami is 1-3 on the road, New York 1-2 at home. In a division game between two losing teams, the point differential is the cleaner guide to which team has played closer to average.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

SEA: 28% third downs allowed to KC's 41.9%

Seattle has allowed only 28% of third downs to be converted over 7 games, and Kansas City sits at 41.9% over 6. A rate that low usually drifts up some, but Seattle's pass defense has been strong too, so this unit looks legitimately good. Kansas City drives figure to end early more often in Seattle, which leans toward fewer Chiefs possessions that turn into points.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

NYJ: 4.81 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.93

The Jets allow 4.81 yards per play over 7 games, while Miami allows 5.93 over 6. That is a meaningful efficiency gap and yards per play holds up better than most stats. The Jets' offense should find it easier going than Miami's in this one, which matters more for drive length and field position than for any single big play.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

NYJ: 38.2% third downs allowed to MIA's 52.1%

The Jets allow conversions on 38.2% of third downs over 7 games, while Miami allows 52.1% over 6. Miami letting more than half of third downs go keeps opposing drives alive, and that pairs with the Jets' own steadier defense. Expect the Jets to own more of the clock at home, which tends to shorten the game for Miami's offense.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

DAL: 5.52 yards per play to PHI's 4.42

Dallas gains more per snap than Philadelphia, though both offenses are down from last season, when Dallas was at 5.96 and Philadelphia at 5.27. Philadelphia had no play of 20 or more yards in its last game, and its drop to 4.42 points to an offense that has to march down the field in small gains. That is hard to keep up for a full game. Some rebound toward last season is likely, but at home the Eagles will probably lean on long, slow drives while Dallas tries to hit bigger plays, with Dak Prescott looking for George Pickens.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

SF is 2-1 on the road; ATL is 1-3 at home

The site split favours SF: ATL has played 4 games at home this season and SF 3 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-25.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

CIN is 3-1 on the road; BAL is 1-2 at home

Cincinnati has won three of four on the road, while Baltimore is 1-2 at home. The Bengals road mark over four games is the stronger half of this split. Baltimore's home sample is only three games, so it can swing fast. It gives Cincinnati a small edge in the spot, with plenty of room for both records to settle.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

DAL (2-4) at PHI (2-4), a division game

Same 2-4 record, different paths: Dallas is only 8 points under for the year, while Philadelphia is 31 under and has lost four straight. Both are 1-2 in their respective home and road splits, so venue hasn't told much in six games. Dallas's margin suggests a team closer to average than its record, and Philadelphia's suggests the slide is real. When records match, the scoring margin is the better tiebreaker.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

PIT: 91 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 139.4

Pittsburgh has held opponents to 91 rushing yards a game over 7 games, while New Orleans has given up 139.4. Seven games is enough to call this a real gap, though the sheet doesn't show who each team faced. The Steelers can likely keep the Saints' ground game in check, while the Saints' run defense is the softer side. Game scripts that lean on the run should favor Pittsburgh.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

PIT: 19.7 points allowed per game to NO's 27.7

Pittsburgh has allowed fewer points than last season's 22.8, while New Orleans has given up much more than its 22.5 a game last season. Seven games is a meaningful sample, and a jump that big suggests the Saints defense is a real problem. In New Orleans, the Steelers' defense has the edge to control the game, while the Saints' defense is the unit most likely to let the score get away.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

SF: 1 sacks taken a game to ATL's 2.29

The widest gap between these two is sacks taken a game: SF took 1 sacks a game over 7 games; ATL took 2.29 sacks a game over 7 games this season. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and ATL at 1.86 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

PIT: 19.7 points allowed a game to NO's 27.7

New Orleans allows 27.7 points a game over seven games, a jump from 22.5 last season. Pittsburgh has gone the other way, from 22.8 last season to 19.7 this year. Last season these defenses were almost even, so part of this gap should shrink. In New Orleans, the Steelers have the better defense right now, and the Saints need their offense to cover for the points they allow.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

LAR is 2-1 on the road; LV is 1-3 at home

The Rams have won two of three on the road, and Las Vegas has won once in four home games. Three road games is a small sample for the Rams, so the Raiders home struggles carry more of the weight. Both records should drift toward normal as more games are played. It is a mild lean toward the visitors rather than a strong read.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Marist Liufau

Forearm · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

Collins (hip) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Thornton is on injured reserve with a designation to return, and he has a hamstring injury that has him ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams. The Raiders' other receivers absorb his targets. He is not close to helping this week, so treat Las Vegas as playing without him.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Jack Bech (WR) is ir-r for LV

The Raiders opened Jack Bech's return window from injured reserve on Monday after a forearm injury. That means he can practice again, but he is not yet back on the active roster. Whether he plays against the Rams depends on how practice goes this week, so wait for the final status before counting on him.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

P.J. Locke

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Jalyx Hunt

Knee, Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Nick Emmanwori

Hip · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Uchenna Nwosu

Hip · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Quay Walker

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Eli Stowers

Quadricep · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Trent McDuffie

Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Drew Lock

Elbow · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Bo Melton

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Jordon Riley

Achilles · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Darius Robinson

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

PHI has lost 4 straight

Philadelphia has lost four straight and sits at 2-4. A four-game skid drags a team's market price down, sometimes past what the full season supports. The sheet does not say who those losses came against, so strength of schedule is unknown. Facing Dallas at home, think about whether the price has overreacted to the streak.

LV has lost 4 straight

LV carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 3-4 on the season. They face LAR in LAR @ LV. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-25.

KC: 5.08 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.79

Kansas City is getting much more per carry than last season's 4.29, while Seattle has dipped from 4.17. Six games is enough to notice the Chiefs' gain, but a jump that large usually settles back a bit. In Seattle, Kansas City has the more reliable run game, which gives them a way to protect a lead or shorten the game if the passing attack stalls.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days

Yandy Diaz has a .450 OPS over the last 15 days, well under his .805 for the season. That is 40 at-bats, about two weeks of quiet games, against a full season that says he is a good hitter. Slumps this size usually drift back toward the season line. For his props tonight, the .805 is the better guide than the cold stretch.

P 2-for-4, 3 TB

Broderick Washington Jr.

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

DeMarcus Lawrence

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Brian Branch

Achilles · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Jonah Coleman

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Kyle Louis

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Cooper McDonald

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Budda Baker

Groin, Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Paulson Adebo

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Dylan Parham

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Aaron Banks

Knee, Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Pat Surtain II

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Bam Martin-Scott

Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Kene Nwangwu

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Puka Nacua

Calf · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Cade Mays

Wrist · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Jermaine Eluemunor

Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

When asked Monday if Conner (foot) will play this season, coach Mike LaFleur said "potentially," Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Bryce Boettcher

Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Benjamin St-Juste

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Max Melton

Knee · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Tyler Nubin

Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Monroe Freeling

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Quincy Williams

Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Nathan Shepherd

Illness, Not injury related - resting player · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Cesar Ruiz

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Carson Beck

Back · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Marcus Mbow

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Willie Gay Jr.

Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Denzel Ward

Hand · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Kevin Byard

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

A.J. Terrell Jr.

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Avieon Terrell

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Kendal Daniels

Neck · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Jordan Mason

Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Upton Stout

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

MIA @ NYJ carries a 53.5 market total

At 53.5, Dolphins at Jets sits 7 above the 46.5 slate median, so the market expects steady scoring from both sides. Nothing on the sheet explains why. It falls short if drives end in field goals or the game slows with a lot of clock-eating runs. A bettor here is really judging whether both teams finish drives with touchdowns.

Calvin Ridley

Hip · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Breece Hall

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Tyjae Spears

Not injury related - resting player, Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Olamide Zaccheaus

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Mike Washington Jr.

Foot, Back · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Tank Dell

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Justin Walley

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Tony Adams

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Gervon Dexter Sr.

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Christian Elliss

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Christian Kirk

Calf · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

C.J. Henderson

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Kevin Winston Jr.

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

SF: 1 sack taken per game to ATL's 2.29

SF is at 1 sacks taken per game over 7 games; ATL is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and ATL at 1.86 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Za'Darius Smith

Neck · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Siran Neal

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Connor O'Toole

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 3-20

L'Jarius Sneed

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Jakorian Bennett

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Landon Dickerson

Knee, Pectoral · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Grant Calcaterra

Back · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Saquon Barkley

Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Jonathan Greenard

Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Tyrique Stevenson Sr.

Hip · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DeShon Elliott

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 16-10

LAR: 4.91 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.94

The Rams allow 4.91 yards per play over 7 games; the Raiders allow 5.94. That full yard per snap adds up over a game, and seven games of it points to a real difference between these units. Rams drives should find more room than Raiders drives in this spot.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

PIT: 34.8% third downs allowed to NO's 47.8%

Opponents convert 34.8% of third downs against Pittsburgh and 47.8% against New Orleans, both over 7 games. Nearly half of third downs moving the chains is a defense that can't get off the field, and seven games makes that more than noise. Expect longer Steelers drives than Saints drives, which matters for time of possession and totals.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Rico Dowdle

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 16-10

DET: 4.08 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.86

GB is at 2.86 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; DET is at 4.08 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 4.21 over 17 games and DET at 4.52 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DAL: 25.2 points per game to PHI's 17.7

DAL is at 25.2 points per game over 6 games; PHI is at 17.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and PHI at 22.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

NYG: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 37.5%

The Giants have converted three of every four fourth downs, up from 46.2% last season, while Houston has dropped from 57.9%. Teams don't attempt many fourth downs, so a few plays can swing these rates and a big move in either direction is common. Expect both teams to end up closer to last season's numbers. In Houston, the Giants may stay aggressive, but those attempts are riskier than this rate makes them look.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

MIA: 131.5 rush yards a game to NYJ's 96.4

Miami runs for 131.5 yards a game over six games, up from 120.2 last season. The Jets are at 96.4, down from 123.3 last season. Last season these run games were close, so this gap may narrow some. In New York, the Dolphins can lean on the run to control the clock, and the Jets have to find their ground game again to keep pace.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

CHI: 35:30 of possession a game to NE's 30:45

Chicago has held the ball 35:30 a game through 7 games, a big jump from 30:59 last season, while New England sits at 30:45, close to its 31:18 from last year. The Bears are grinding out long drives and keeping opposing offenses on the bench, and seven games is enough to call that a real identity shift. New England's answer is to make its own possessions count and get Chicago off the field early on third down. If the Bears control the clock again, expect fewer total possessions, which tends to shrink scoring chances on both sides.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

OKC won last season's series 7-2

Oklahoma City handled Phoenix last season, taking 7 of 9 meetings and winning by 12.7 a game. Nine games is a real sample, so the gap between these rosters showed up again and again. Rosters turn over, though, and tonight OKC is on the second night of a back-to-back while Phoenix comes in rested. The series history makes OKC the stronger side, but the schedule gives Phoenix a better shot to keep this closer than those margins.

CAR: 5.8 yards per play to TB's 4.8

Carolina gets a full yard more per snap than Tampa Bay this season, a big jump from last season's 4.92, while the Bucs have fallen from 5.12. Both teams had two long plays last game. Darren Waller's 50-yard touchdown for Carolina and Sean Tucker's 46-yard run for Tampa Bay show how a single big play can tilt per-play averages. Over six and seven games, Carolina's gain looks partly real but likely to settle. At home, the Panthers may move the ball more efficiently, but Tampa Bay's run game is the steadier weapon.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

SEA: 3.96 yards per play allowed to KC's 4.9

KC is at 4.9 yards per play allowed over 6 games; SEA is at 3.96 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

GB: 1.86 takeaways per game to DET's 1

Green Bay forces 1.86 takeaways a game over 7 games, and Detroit forces 1 over 6. Turnovers are one of the streakiest stats in football, so this gap can shrink fast. The Packers have created more extra possessions, but don't count on takeaways the way you would on yards allowed.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

SF: 50% third-down conversion rate to ATL's 38.1%

SF is at 50% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; ATL is at 38.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and ATL at 33.3% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

KC: 6.33 yards per play to SEA's 5.39

Kansas City gains almost a yard more per snap than Seattle, a big jump from last season's 5.05, while Seattle has fallen from 5.98. The Chiefs had no play of 20 or more yards in their last game, so their efficiency comes from steady gains rather than big plays. Seattle hit five big plays last time, three to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Kansas City moves the ball more consistently, while Seattle at home can swing a game with a few deep shots.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

LV: 1.71 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.86

The Raiders force 1.71 takeaways a game over 7 games; the Rams force 0.86. Takeaways are streaky and tend to even out, so Las Vegas may not keep this pace. The Raiders have made more extra possessions, but this is a shakier edge than the yardage numbers.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Freddy Peralta: 1.13 ERA over his last 3 starts

Freddy Peralta has allowed barely a run per nine over his last 3 starts, with a 1.13 WHIP against 1.33 for the season. He has only 12 strikeouts in 16 innings, so some of that low run total came from balls finding gloves. Three starts against a 4.42 season ERA is a small sample, and some of that ERA gap should close. The season number is still how most lines price him, so the recent form is the part to weigh against it.

P 4.2 IP, 5 ER, 4 K

MIN: 155 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 215.9

IND is at 215.9 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; MIN is at 155 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to BAL's 2.29

Cincinnati gets 3.5 sacks a game over 6 games, and Baltimore gets 2.29 over 7. That's a steady pass rush for the Bengals, though the sheet doesn't show which lines they faced. Pressure stalls drives, so look for Cincinnati's rush to show up in the Ravens' passing game.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

DET: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to GB's 2.29

Detroit is getting 3.5 sacks a game over 6 games, and Green Bay is at 2.29 over 7. The Lions' rush has been the more consistent one, though the sheet doesn't show which lines they faced. If Detroit keeps that pace, the Packers' passing downs get tougher.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

NYG: 184.9 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 244

The Giants allow 184.9 passing yards a game over 7 games, while Houston allows 244. A gap of 59.1 yards a game across seven games is real, though passing yards also depend on game script and opponent volume. Texans passing numbers look harder to come by than Giants ones in this matchup.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

DAL: 6 sack yards lost per game to PHI's 18

DAL is at 6 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; PHI is at 18 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and PHI at 13 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

CLE: 29:27 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:41

Cleveland holds the ball about as long as it did last season, while Tennessee's time of possession has dropped sharply from 29:08. Seven games of short possessions usually means quick three-and-outs, a defense that is on the field too much, or both. In Tennessee, Cleveland is the more likely team to control the pace, and a Titans defense on the field that long tends to give up more late.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

PIT: 1 turnover committed per game to NO's 1.86

PIT is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; NO is at 1.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season PIT was at 0.88 over 17 games and NO at 1.41 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CHI: 35:30 time of possession per game to NE's 30:45

Chicago has held the ball for well over half of each game this season, a big jump from 30:59 last season, while New England is close to its 31:18 from last season. Seven games of that much possession tells you how the Bears want to play. At home, Chicago will try to shorten the game with long drives, which tends to keep scoring down and make it harder for New England to come back from behind.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

AFC NORTH game: CIN 1-1, BAL 0-2 in the division

Cincinnati has split two division games, and Baltimore has lost both of theirs. Two games each is a very small sample, so the 0-2 says more about results than about who the Ravens are. Division rivals know each other well, and these games often run close. Use it as context alongside Cincinnati's road form, not as a reason on its own.

NFC EAST game: DAL 1-1, PHI 1-0 in the division

Dallas has split two division games and Philadelphia has won its only one. Three games in total is a thin base, and none of these numbers tells you which opponents were behind the wins and losses. Division familiarity usually tightens these games no matter what the early records say. Treat the division split as background and lean on bigger season-long form when you size up this one.

AFC EAST game: MIA 1-0, NYJ 0-2 in the division

Miami is 1-0 in the division and the Jets are 0-2. Those are one and two games, far too few to say either team owns the AFC East. Division games are familiar matchups and often play closer than the overall records suggest. Treat the division marks as background and focus on how these teams are playing now.

NFC SOUTH game: TB 1-0, CAR 1-1 in the division

Tampa Bay is 1-0 in the NFC South and Carolina is 1-1. One and two games of division play tell you almost nothing. Teams that see each other twice a year tend to know each other's tendencies, which can tighten the game. Lean on the overall picture more than these tiny division samples.

NFC NORTH game: GB 1-2, DET 1-0 in the division

Green Bay has dropped two of its three division games, while Detroit has played just one and won it. That is a tiny sample on both sides, so neither record says much about who handles this rivalry better. Division games bring familiar opponents and fewer surprises, which tends to flatten whatever edge these early records seem to show. Use it as one small input next to how each team has played overall, and give it little weight on its own.

Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Hurts (calf) is expected to be held out of football activities for multiple months and miss the rest of the season after new imaging over the weekend revealed several blood clots in his lungs, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

GB (4-3) at DET (4-2), a division game

Detroit is 3-0 at home with two straight wins and is +19 on the year, so it arrives with the steadier profile. Green Bay is 4-3 but has been outscored by a point overall, which means its record runs a little ahead of how it has played. The Packers are 2-2 on the road. Three home games is a small sample, but in a division game the team with both the better margin and the home results has the cleaner case.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Tommy Townsend (P) is questionable for TEN

Punter Tommy Townsend hurt his left knee in Sunday's 27-24 loss to Cleveland, and Robert Saleh said Monday he is still being evaluated. Questionable leaves it open. A punter change rarely moves a side, but if Tennessee signs someone this week, field position against the Browns becomes a small thing to factor in.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

DEN: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 69.6%

Denver allows a red-zone score on 45.5% of trips over 7 games; Arizona allows one on 69.6%. Red-zone defense is a small sample and tends to drift toward the middle, so Denver's mark may not hold. For now the Broncos force more field goals, and the Cardinals give up more touchdowns.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

TB: 52.6% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 76.5%

Tampa Bay allows a score on 52.6% of red-zone trips over 7 games, while Carolina allows one on 76.5% over 6. Red-zone rates swing on a few trips, so both numbers can move. Right now the Panthers struggle to hold once teams get close, which favors Bucs touchdowns over field goals.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

SF: 244 team passing yards per game to ATL's 197.4

SF is at 244 team passing yards per game over 7 games; ATL is at 197.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 244.5 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

MIA: 131.5 rushing yards per game to NYJ's 96.4

Miami runs for a lot more than the Jets this season, and both teams flipped from last year, when the Jets ran for 123.3 a game and Miami 120.2. Miami's number comes from 6 games, the Jets' from 7. The Jets' drop from last season looks like a real shift in how they play, while Miami's rise is modest. Expect Miami to lean on the ground game in this one more than New York does.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

ARI: 68.4 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57.1

Arizona runs far more snaps than Denver this season, and the swing came from both sides: Denver ran 64.2 a game last season and Arizona 63.2, nearly even. Seven games is a real sample, but Denver's drop is the bigger outlier and could drift back up. If Arizona controls tempo at home, Denver gets fewer possessions to work with, which matters for anything tied to Denver's offensive volume.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

DAL: 6.43 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 4.83

DAL is at 6.43 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; PHI is at 4.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

GB: 20.7 points allowed per game to DET's 27.5

GB is at 20.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; DET is at 27.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and DET at 24.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

LAR: 31% third downs allowed to LV's 42.4%

LAR is at 31% third downs allowed over 7 games; LV is at 42.4% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

TB: 52 penalty yards per game to CAR's 79.2

TB is at 52 penalty yards per game over 7 games; CAR is at 79.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season TB was at 43.4 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Stephen Curry and Nikola Jokic lead tonight's board

Both lines sit below last season's full-year scoring. Curry averaged 26.5 over 45 games against a 24.5 line, and Jokic averaged 27.5 over 71 games against a 26.5 line. Golden State is without Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis and Moses Moody, which pushes more of the offense to Curry. Denver is missing Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther. Last season's track record is the better guide here, and it sits above both numbers.

SF: 8.2 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 6.69

SF is at 8.2 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; ATL is at 6.69 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

KC: 1.17 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.29

KC is at 1.17 sacks taken per game over 6 games; SEA is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 2.94 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

CHI: 154.3 rushing yards per game to NE's 122

NE is at 122 rushing yards per game over 7 games; CHI is at 154.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NE was at 128.9 over 17 games and CHI at 144.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

TB (2-5) at CAR (3-3), a division game

Tampa Bay is 2-5 yet +11 on the year, which points to a run of close losses and a record that undersells the team. Carolina is 3-3 while being outscored by 7, so its record flatters it slightly. The Bucs are also 2-1 on the road and the Panthers 1-2 at home. Records like these tend to drift toward the scoring margin, which makes this a spot where the standings can mislead.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Travis Glover (OT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Travis Glover as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

SF: 6.44 yards per play to ATL's 5.57

San Francisco gains almost a full yard more per snap than Atlanta, a big jump from last season's 5.49. Its last game had 4 plays of 20 yards or more, spread across Brock Purdy throws and a 30-yard Kaelon Black touchdown run, while Atlanta had one. Atlanta sits close to last season's 5.38, so its number looks stable. If San Francisco keeps hitting chunk plays, Atlanta has to win by stringing together long drives.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Next college slate · OCT 30

BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

Anthony Edwards and Donovan Mitchell lead tonight's board

Edwards has averaged 28.7 points over 3 games and his line is 28.5, so the market has him priced right at his early pace. Mitchell's line of 25.5 sits under the 27.5 he averaged across 88 games last season. Three games is a short look at Edwards, while Mitchell's number rests on a full season. The question for Mitchell is whether the lower line reflects a smaller role this year or simply a soft number.

Ty Jerome and Lauri Markkanen lead tonight's board

Ty Jerome is scoring 34.7 points over 3 games, and his line is 26.5, so the book does not believe that pace will last. Markkanen is at 20.7 against a 22.5 line. Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic and Trey Alexander, and both teams are on a back-to-back. Three games of 34.7 from Jerome is a hot start that the market has already marked down, and that number is more likely to fall than hold.

Tip Reiman (TE) is pup-r for ARI

Head coach Mike LaFleur stated he's "not too sure" if Reiman (ankle) will play this season, Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Pascal Siakam and Tyler Herro lead tonight's board

Siakam has averaged 24.7 points over 3 games and Herro 23.7 over 3 games, and both lines sit at 23.5, just under what each has done. Herro is also handing out 5.3 assists a game. Three games is not much, but neither line asks either player to do anything new. These read as fair lines, so the deciding factor is game script: who controls pace and who ends up taking the late shots.

Cooper Flagg and Giannis Antetokounmpo lead tonight's board

Flagg averaged 21 points across 70 games last season and his line is 22.5, a small step up that prices in some growth. Giannis has averaged 28.3 points over 3 games and his line is 30.5, above that early pace. Three games is a small sample for him in a new setting. Both lines ask for a bit more than the numbers on hand, so the case for either depends on role and minutes tonight more than the averages alone.

TB is 2-1 on the road; CAR is 1-2 at home

Tampa Bay has won two of three away from home, while Carolina has lost two of three in its own building. Three games on each side is a short sample, and the opponents behind those results are not on the sheet, so this split can swing hard with one result. Home field is usually worth something, and a 1-2 home mark over three games does not erase that. For a bettor, this is a nudge toward Tampa Bay at most, worth checking against overall form before it moves a number.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Devin Booker and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead tonight's board

Booker averaged 25.6 points over 70 games last season and his line tonight is 22.5, a clear step below that. Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 27.7 over 3 games, and his line of 30.5 sits above that early pace. Booker's number is backed by a full season, while three games is a thin read on Gilgeous-Alexander. Booker's lower line suggests the market expects a lighter role for him this year.

IND: 2.14 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.83

Indianapolis goes for it on fourth down more than twice a game, up from 1.59 last season, while Minnesota has pulled back to 0.83 from 1.41. That is a coaching choice more than a fluke, so the gap should mostly hold. In a road game, Indianapolis staying aggressive means more short-yardage swings that can flip a drive or a total either way.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Anthony Davis and Brandon Miller lead tonight's board

Both lines sit near what these two have done over 3 games. Davis is at 20.7 points against a 21.5 line, and Miller is at 19.3 against a 23.5 line. Charlotte is missing Coby White, Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams tonight, which explains why the book expects more shots for Miller. Washington is without AJ Dybantsa, which leaves more of the scoring load with Davis. Three games is a thin base, so the injury news carries as much weight as the averages here.

Jalen Johnson and Kevin Durant lead tonight's board

Jalen Johnson is filling every column: 21.7 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists over 3 games, with a 21.5 points line. Durant sits at 24 points against a 23.5 line. Atlanta is down Henri Veesaar and Mouhamed Gueye, which keeps the ball in Johnson's hands. Both lines match what these two have done, so with only 3 games behind them, the numbers look fair.

Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Norman Powell and Jayson Tatum lead tonight's board

Powell has averaged 19.3 points over 3 games, just above his 18.5 line, and Chicago is without Nicolas Claxton tonight. Tatum's 27.5 line is well above last season's 22.2 average, but that came over only 22 games, so it says little about his usual output. The book is pricing Tatum like a top scorer rather than off that short stretch. With Powell, 3 games is too few to trust the small edge over his line.

MIA: 14.2 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 25.3

Miami loses far fewer yards to sacks than the Jets, down from 19.5 last season over 6 games, while the Jets sit right at last season's 24.9. The Jets' number is consistent across two years, which suggests a lasting protection issue. When New York drops back, drive-killing sacks are a steady risk.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

The Raiders have ruled out Runyon with a foot injury for Sunday's game against the Rams. He is on injured reserve with a designation to return, so he is working toward a comeback but is not ready this week. The other Las Vegas tight ends handle the snaps.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

SEA: 2.43 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.33

KC is at 1.33 sacks recorded per game over 6 games; SEA is at 2.43 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

KC: 6.7 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 17

KC is at 6.7 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; SEA is at 17 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MIL won last season's series 4-0

Milwaukee swept Indiana 4-0 last season, winning by 9 a game. Tonight is the first meeting this season. Four games is a small series, and a 9-point average is a clear edge without being a blowout pattern. Use it as background on the matchup and check this season's form before leaning on it.

IND has lost 3 straight

Indianapolis has lost three straight and is 2-5, so the slide matches a losing season rather than a blip. Who those losses came against is not on the sheet, and that matters for how much the streak means. Three games is short enough that it can end any week, and going to Minnesota is a tough place to stop it. Losing streaks can push a price further than the team deserves, so look at the number before assuming the slide continues.

PIT has won 3 straight

Pittsburgh has won three in a row and sits 5-2, so the streak is part of a winning season rather than a hot patch out of a bad start. The sheet does not show who those three wins came against, which is the first thing to check before trusting it. Streaks this short break often, and a road trip to New Orleans is a fresh test. Teams on a run tend to get priced up, so the useful question is whether the line already pays for the streak.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

DEN has won 3 straight

Denver has won three straight and is 5-2, so the streak sits inside a strong season. The sheet does not show the quality of those three opponents, which decides whether the run was earned or a soft stretch. Three-game streaks are not very predictive on their own, and this one goes on the road at Arizona. Winning runs tend to inflate the market's view of a team, so judge Denver on the full 5-2 record and the matchup rather than the last three weeks alone.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

NYG: 116.7 rushing yards per game to HOU's 84.7

The Giants run for more than Houston, though both have dipped from last season, the Giants from 129.1 and Houston from 108.9. Houston's ground game has fallen harder, which puts more weight on its passing attack. If the Giants can sustain the run on the road, they control pace in a game Houston would rather open up.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

CHI: 26.1% third downs allowed to NE's 36.6%

Chicago allows just 26.1% on third down over 7 games, and New England allows 36.6%. Seven games of the Bears getting off the field at that rate is a real strength, though the sheet doesn't show the offenses they faced. Patriots drives look more likely to stall than Bears drives.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

CHA won last season's series 4-0

Charlotte swept Washington 4-0 last season and won by 16 a game, which is about as one-sided as a series gets. Tonight is the first meeting this season. Four games is a small series, and a margin that wide can shift with new rosters. It tells you how these teams matched up last year, so weigh it against who is actually available for each side tonight.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

49ers coach Kyle Shanahan reiterated Monday that Robinson (ankle) has a chance to return following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

OKC has won 3 straight

Oklahoma City is 3-0 and has won by 10.3 a game, a solid early run. Three games is a short sample, but double-digit wins are a sign the team is playing well. Winning teams on a streak usually carry an inflated price, so judge how much of that margin is already in the line.

P team won 114-125

MIA has lost 3 straight

Miami is 0-3 and has lost by 15.7 a game. That is a rough start, but three games is a small sample to call it who they are. Losing streaks often push the market to price a team lower than it deserves. The size of the losses matters more than the count here, so look for whether they are closing that gap.

P team lost 113-109

Julian Strawther is OUT for DEN

Julian Strawther is out for Denver with a left knee sprain. With Spencer Jones also out, Denver has fewer wing options against Golden State.

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Adams on injured reserve Tuesday with a hamstring injury, so he misses the game in Las Vegas. Losing a veteran receiver pushes more targets to the rest of the Rams' pass catchers. Bettors should expect a different target share in the Los Angeles passing game this week.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

MIN has won 3 straight

Minnesota is 3-0 and has won by 23.3 a game, which is dominant. Three games is a short run, and margins that wide rarely last as the schedule gets tougher. The streak shows a team playing well early, and the market will have noticed. Expect the margins to come down toward normal.

P team lost 125-127

OKC on a back-to-back, PHX rested

Oklahoma City is on the second night of a back-to-back while Phoenix comes in with 2 days off. The Thunder at least get to play tired at home. A rest gap like this is one of the more reliable factors in the league, and it can shrink the expected margin, especially late in the game.

CHI: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.86

Chicago reaches the red zone well over four times a game, up from 3.24 last season, while New England has dropped from 3.71. That fits a Chicago offense built on the run and sustained drives. Red-zone trips are the raw material for points, so how well Chicago finishes those trips is the key question for totals.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Bobby Brown III (DT) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Bobby Brown III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Mouhamed Gueye is OUT for ATL

Mouhamed Gueye is out for Atlanta after surgery on a left foot fracture. It is a known absence, so his minutes are likely already spread across the rotation and baked into the numbers.

Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

The Broncos placed Badie (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Santi Aldama is OUT for DAL

Santi Aldama is out for Dallas after right knee surgery. Dallas is also without Dereck Lively II and Tarik Biberovic, so the frontcourt is thin tonight at Miami. Expect more minutes for whoever is left up front.

Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE

Bryant (ankle) was a full participant at the Patriots' practice Tuesday. Reported Oct 21.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Jamir Watkins is OUT for WAS

Jamir Watkins is out for Washington as he recovers from left ACL surgery, a long-term absence that is already part of how Washington plays.

Tristan Vukcevic is OUT for WAS

Tristan Vukcevic is out for Washington with a left hip impingement. Washington is also without AJ Dybantsa and Jamir Watkins, so the depth behind Anthony Davis is thin at Charlotte.

Jusuf Nurkic is OUT for UTA

Jusuf Nurkic is out for Utah for at least four weeks with a partial plantar plate tear in his right foot. Utah loses size inside against Memphis, and Lauri Markkanen could see more time near the basket.

Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC

Thomas Sorber is out for OKC as he works back from offseason knee surgery. It is a known absence, but with OKC on a back-to-back, a thinner bench matters more tonight.

Johnny Furphy is OUT for IND

Johnny Furphy is out for Indiana with a torn right ACL and will miss the rest of the season. Indiana's rotation is already built around his absence.

T.J. McConnell is OUT for IND

T.J. McConnell is out for Indiana with a hamstring issue and has yet to make his season debut. Indiana is used to playing without him, but on a back-to-back, losing a bench guard hurts more.

Moses Moody is OUT for GSW

Moses Moody is out for Golden State after left patellar tendon surgery. He joins Jimmy Butler and Kristaps Porzingis on the sidelines, leaving Golden State thin on the wing at Denver.

Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI

Bennett (knee) will remain on injured reserve and is inactive for Monday night's matchup with Dallas. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Price (chest) will be designated for return from injured reserve during Week 8, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Jimmy Butler is OUT for GSW

Jimmy Butler is out for Golden State as he recovers from right ACL surgery. This is a known long-term absence, so the market should already reflect it. It does thin out an already short-handed group.

Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Smith (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Spencer Jones is OUT for DEN

Spencer Jones is out for Denver while the team manages hamstring injuries on both legs. Julian Strawther is also out, so Denver's wing depth takes a hit against Golden State.

Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC

Nikola Topic is out for OKC with a back issue and has no clear return date. Paired with Thomas Sorber's absence, OKC's depth is a little thinner for the second night of a back-to-back.

Kon Knueppel is OUT for CHA

Kon Knueppel is out for Charlotte with a left hamstring strain. Coby White and Grant Williams are out too, so Brandon Miller should see a heavy load against Washington.

DEN (5-2) at ARI (2-5)

Denver has won three straight to reach 5-2, but it is only +3 on the year, so the record is built on close games. Arizona is 66 points under and 0-3 at home, which is a weak profile by any measure. The Broncos are 2-2 on the road. Denver's margin says its wins could flip with a few bounces, while Arizona's says the losing is earned.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

CLE @ TEN carries a 51.5 market total

A 51.5 total puts Browns at Titans 5 above the 46.5 slate median, a modest lean toward points rather than a shootout call. The sheet gives no team or injury reason. It cracks low if both offenses stall and trade punts, and high if turnovers hand out short fields. Since it sits close to the slate middle, small swings like one red-zone stop matter a lot against this number.

TB: 21.6 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.7

TB is at 21.6 points allowed per game over 7 games; CAR is at 27.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season TB was at 24.2 over 17 games and CAR at 22.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Grant Williams is OUT for CHA

Grant Williams is out for Charlotte with a right hamstring strain, one of three Charlotte players missing tonight with Coby White and Kon Knueppel. Bench depth is the concern for Charlotte against Washington.

LAR (3-4) at LV (3-4)

Both are 3-4, but the Rams are +11 while the Raiders are 14 under and have lost four straight. Los Angeles is 2-1 on the road and Las Vegas is 1-3 at home. The Rams' margin suggests a record that undersells them, and the Raiders' slide fits their numbers. Matching records hide a real gap here, and the scoring margin is the clearer read.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

CIN: 264 team passing yards per game to BAL's 224.7

CIN is at 264 team passing yards per game over 6 games; BAL is at 224.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and BAL at 175.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

PIT (5-2) at NO (2-5)

Pittsburgh has won three straight and sits 5-2, though +15 is a modest margin for that record, so some of those wins were tight. New Orleans is 32 points under and 0-4 at home, which removes most of the usual home edge. The Steelers are only 2-2 on the road. Pittsburgh's record runs ahead of its margin, so the gap between these teams is real but smaller than the standings suggest.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

SF (6-1) at ATL (3-4)

SF is 6-1, +58 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. ATL is 3-4, -2 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. SF is 2-1 on the road; ATL is 1-3 at home.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

NO: 2.14 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.14

PIT is at 3.14 sacks taken per game over 7 games; NO is at 2.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season PIT was at 2.38 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

CLE (5-2) at TEN (1-6)

CLE is 5-2, -13 points on the year, has won 2 straight this season. TEN is 1-6, -48 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. CLE is 2-2 on the road; TEN is 0-4 at home.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

NE: 8.4 sack yards lost per game to CHI's 18.4

NE is at 8.4 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; CHI is at 18.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NE was at 12.6 over 17 games and CHI at 12.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Colts head coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce (heel) will "most likely not" have his 21-day practice window opened in Week 8, Jake Arthur of Roundtable.io reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Byron Young

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Nicolas Claxton is OUT for CHI

Nicolas Claxton is out for Chicago with a left hamstring strain. Losing a big man shifts rebounding and rim protection to others. That can matter for the opponent's interior scoring tonight.

Dereck Lively II is OUT for DAL

Dereck Lively II is out for Dallas after right foot surgery. With Santi Aldama and Tarik Biberovic also out, Dallas is short on size at Miami, which matters for rebounding and rim protection.

MIN on a back-to-back, CLE rested

Minnesota is playing for the second night in a row while Cleveland has had 2 days off. Tired legs on the road tend to show late in games and in shooting. A rest gap like this is one of the steadier edges in the league, and it usually gets some weight in the line already. It matters most for second-half and late-game spots.

IND (2-5) at MIN (6-0)

Minnesota is 6-0, 3-0 at home and +51, so the unbeaten record is backed by its scoring. Indianapolis has lost three straight, is 1-3 on the road and is 26 points under. Everything here points one direction. The question for a bettor in a gap this wide is price, since a team on a six-game streak tends to get priced for it.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

GSW has lost 3 straight

Golden State is 0-3 and has lost by 11.3 a game. Three games is a small sample, but double-digit losses are a real early warning. Losing streaks can push a price too far, so weigh how many key players are missing before treating the start as the team's true level.

P team won 134-114

MEM has won 3 straight

Memphis is 3-0 and has won by 11.3 a game. Three games is a short sample, but double-digit margins point to more than luck. Early streaks draw market attention, so watch whether the price now expects the margins to keep coming.

P team won 110-105

IND on a back-to-back, MIL rested

Indiana is on the second night of a back-to-back while Milwaukee has had 2 days of rest. The road team playing tired is a familiar spot, and rest gaps like this tend to show up in second halves. The market usually prices some of it in, so the question is whether the number moved enough.

HOU has won 3 straight

Houston has won its first 3 by an average of 9.7. Three games is a short run, but winning by nearly ten a night is a clean start. Hot starts get priced in fast, so the useful question is whether the line has caught up to the form.

P team won 110-120

MIL has lost 3 straight

Milwaukee has lost its first 3 by an average of 10. Three games is a small sample. An 0-3 start tends to drag a team's price down, sometimes past what the roster deserves. Look at whether the losses came against strong opponents before reading too much into it.

P team won 102-110

Rigoberto Sanchez

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

DeForest Buckner

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

DAL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 20%

DAL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 20% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

DAL: 47.2% third-down conversion rate to PHI's 37.3%

DAL is at 47.2% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 37.3% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and PHI at 37.1% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Aaron Donald

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Ronnie Stanley

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Robert Gasser: 1.20 ERA over his last 3 starts

Robert Gasser has allowed 2 earned runs in 15 innings over his last 3 starts, with 15 strikeouts. A strikeout per inning means he is getting outs on his own, so this run has more behind it than luck. His 3.87 season ERA is still the larger body of work, and three starts is a small sample. His strikeout props are the steadier angle than expecting another near-scoreless night.

P 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 K

PIT: 0.29 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1

PIT is at 0.29 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; NO is at 1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season PIT was at 0.35 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Jonathan Allen

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Christian Darrisaw

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Mark Williams is OUT for PHX

Mark Williams is out for Phoenix after left shoulder surgery. Phoenix is down its center at OKC, and the frontcourt minutes go elsewhere.

Calais Campbell

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Donte DiVincenzo is OUT for MIN

Donte DiVincenzo is out for Minnesota with an Achilles injury. It is a long-term absence, so the rotation has already adjusted around him.

Coby White is OUT for CHA

Coby White is out for Charlotte with a left calf strain. Losing a ballhandler pushes more shots and usage toward the remaining guards and wings. Check who absorbs that role tonight.

AJ Dybantsa is OUT for WAS

AJ Dybantsa is out for Washington with a left ankle sprain. That takes a major piece out of the lineup and pushes more shots to others. Check who picks up the usage, since that is where the value shifts tonight.

B.J. Hill

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Dexter Lawrence II

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Kristaps Porzingis is OUT for GSW

Kristaps Porzingis is out for Golden State and is not with the team. He has been weighing his future in basketball, so this looks like more than a one-game absence. His size is off the floor either way.

Trey Alexander is OUT for UTA

Trey Alexander is out for Utah with a left knee bone bruise. His minutes go to others in the backcourt, a depth question for tonight.

Henri Veesaar is OUT for ATL

Henri Veesaar is out for Atlanta with a torn right ACL, a long-term absence. That is already part of how Atlanta plays, so it should not move tonight's number much.

Jadeveon Clowney

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Devin Duvernay

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Alaric Jackson

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

The Falcons designated Williams (ankle) for return to practice from injured reserve Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Tarik Biberovic is OUT for DAL

Tarik Biberovic is out for Dallas with right heel bursitis. He joins Santi Aldama and Dereck Lively II on the sidelines, which leaves Dallas thin at Miami.

T.J. Tampa (CB) is ir-r for BAL

The Ravens designated cornerback T.J. Tampa to return from injured reserve on Wednesday, Oct 22, after a toe and ankle injury. He can practice now, but he still has to be activated to play against Cincinnati. Watch the final injury report before assuming he adds depth to the Baltimore secondary.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

De'Zhaun Stribling (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

Stribling (ankle) remains on track to return in December, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

ARI: 32:16 time of possession per game to DEN's 28:28

DEN is at 28:28 time of possession per game over 7 games; ARI is at 32:16 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DEN was at 31:14 over 17 games and ARI at 29:48 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

NYG: 33:34 time of possession per game to HOU's 29:41

NYG is at 33:34 time of possession per game over 7 games; HOU is at 29:41 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NYG was at 30:58 over 17 games and HOU at 31:49 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

KC: 141.5 rushing yards per game to SEA's 113.7

KC is at 141.5 rushing yards per game over 6 games; SEA is at 113.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 106.6 over 17 games and SEA at 123.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

PIT: 5.07 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.83

Pittsburgh allows 5.07 yards per play over 7 games; New Orleans allows 5.83. That's a steady gap across seven games, and it lines up with the Saints also giving up more on the ground. The Steelers' offense should find more room per snap than the Saints' in this one.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

CHI: 72.1 offensive plays per game to NE's 62.4

NE is at 62.4 offensive plays per game over 7 games; CHI is at 72.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

SF: 47.8% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 66.7%

SF is at 47.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; ATL is at 66.7% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

PHI: 5.38 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.1

Over 6 games, Philadelphia gives up 5.38 yards every time an offense snaps the ball, while Dallas gives up 6.1. The sheet has no opponent list, so we can't tell whether either number was helped by a soft schedule. Six games is enough to say Philadelphia's defense has been the stingier unit. When Dallas has the ball, expect fewer chunk plays than the Philly offense gets against Dallas.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

LAR: 186.3 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 230.1

LAR is at 186.3 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; LV is at 230.1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

CIN: 1.5 takeaways per game to BAL's 0.86

Cincinnati forces 1.5 takeaways a game over 6 games, while Baltimore forces 0.86 over 7. Turnovers swing week to week, so this edge is less reliable than the Bengals' sack rate. Their pressure and takeaways together point to more chances for short fields.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

Davis is ruled out for Sunday against the Titans with a quadriceps injury, still in his return window from injured reserve. The Browns' defensive tackle rotation stays as it has been for another week. This is a depth piece staying out, so it shouldn't change how you view the game.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

SF: 210.3 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 255.6

SF is at 210.3 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; ATL is at 255.6 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

CLE: 192.7 team passing yards per game to TEN's 157.4

Cleveland throws for more than Tennessee this season, up from 165.2 a game last year, while Tennessee sits near its 166.1. Seven games each makes this a fair sample. Cleveland's passing jump is the change, and it gives the Browns a clearer edge through the air in this road spot.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

MIA: 4.72 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.8

MIA is at 4.72 yards per rush attempt over 6 games; NYJ is at 3.8 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season MIA was at 4.64 over 17 games and NYJ at 4.53 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

LAR: 22.7 points allowed per game to LV's 28.1

LAR is at 22.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; LV is at 28.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and LV at 25.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

CIN: 50.6% third-down conversion rate to BAL's 41.7%

CIN is at 50.6% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; BAL is at 41.7% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CIN was at 43.4% over 17 games and BAL at 40.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

P.J. Locke (S) is ir-r for DAL

Locke (foot) has been downgraded from questionable to out for Monday's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Dorian Mausi (LB) is ir-r for TEN

The Titans opened Mausi's 21-day practice window on Wednesday, which means he can practice now and the team has three weeks to activate him. Nothing on the sheet says he plays against the Browns, so count him as a future add to the linebacker group.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Torricelli Simpkins III (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Torricelli Simpkins III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

NE: 5.4 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.1

NE is at 5.4 yards per play allowed over 7 games; CHI is at 6.1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

MIA: 47.7 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 69

MIA is at 47.7 penalty yards per game over 6 games; NYJ is at 69 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season MIA was at 47.7 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

NO: 16.1 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 25.1

PIT is at 25.1 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; NO is at 16.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

NYJ: 0.71 turnovers committed per game to MIA's 1.33

MIA is at 1.33 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; NYJ is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season MIA was at 1.41 over 17 games and NYJ at 1.35 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Lions head coach Dan Campbell stated Kerby (knee) "is in a good headspace" and expects the 25-year-old to play at some point this season, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Oct 20.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

DET: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to GB's 1.14

GB is at 1.14 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; DET is at 0.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and DET at 0.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to GB's 0.71

GB is at 0.71 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; DET is at 0 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 0.41 over 17 games and DET at 0.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

HOU: 0.14 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 0.86

NYG is at 0.86 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; HOU is at 0.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and HOU at 0.53 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

HOU: 98 rushing yards allowed per game to NYG's 128.1

Houston allows 98 rushing yards a game over 7 games, and the Giants allow 128.1 over the same stretch. Without opponent detail we can't say how much schedule shaped those totals, but seven games is a fair sample. The ground game looks like the easier path for Houston's offense than for the Giants' in this matchup, which matters for rushing props and game script.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

LV: 2.29 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.43

LAR is at 1.43 sacks recorded per game over 7 games; LV is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

DEN: 3 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2.14

Denver gets home to the quarterback 3 times a game over 7 games, and Arizona gets there 2.14 times. Sack counts swing with opposing lines and how often teams were trailing and throwing, and the sheet doesn't show either. Denver's rush is the more reliable of the two through seven games, so Arizona's protection is the one under more pressure in this spot.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

GB: 4.87 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.55

GB is at 4.87 yards per play allowed over 7 games; DET is at 5.55 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

PHI: 119.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 149.8

Philadelphia allows 119.3 rushing yards a game over 6 games, and Dallas allows 149.8. Run totals depend partly on game script, since teams that lead late run more, and the sheet doesn't say how these games went. Six games shows a real gap. Philadelphia's backs face the softer front, which is the side to lean on when thinking about rushing lines.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

NE: 6.06 yards per play to CHI's 5.39

New England gains more per snap than Chicago, close to last season's 6.23, so the efficiency looks real. Chicago is down from 5.71 but makes up for it with volume and red-zone trips. This sets up a contrast: New England efficient on fewer plays, Chicago grinding out longer drives at home.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Freddy Peralta's ERA drops to 1.69 at Tropicana Field (4 games there)

Freddy Peralta has a 1.69 ERA in 4 games at Tropicana Field, with hitters batting .116 against him there. Everywhere else he sits at 4.81 over 147.2 innings, and that bigger sample is the more reliable one. A .116 average over 21.1 innings has plenty of luck in it. Give the ballpark a small nudge his way and price him mostly off the larger number.

P 4.2 IP, 5 ER, 4 K

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, PHX by 1.5

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, PHX by 1.5. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, PHX over 82.

WAS outscored teams by 2.0 a game this season, CHA was outscored by 11.7

WAS outscored teams by 2.0 a game this season, CHA was outscored by 11.7. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 3 games, WAS over 3.

CLE outscored teams by 4.1 a game last season, MIN by 3.4

CLE outscored teams by 4.1 a game last season, MIN by 3.4. 2025-26 regular season: CLE over 82 games, MIN over 82.

BOS outscored teams by 7.7 a game last season, CHI was outscored by 5.2

BOS outscored teams by 7.7 a game last season, CHI was outscored by 5.2. 2025-26 regular season: BOS over 82 games, CHI over 82.

DAL was outscored by 6.0 a game this season, MIA by 15.7

DAL was outscored by 6.0 a game this season, MIA by 15.7. 2026-27 regular season: MIA over 3 games, DAL over 3.

IND outscored teams by 4.7 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 10.0

IND outscored teams by 4.7 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 10.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 3 games, IND over 3.

ATL outscored teams by 15.7 a game this season, HOU by 9.7

ATL outscored teams by 15.7 a game this season, HOU by 9.7. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 3 games, ATL over 3.

MEM outscored teams by 11.3 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 9.3

MEM outscored teams by 11.3 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 9.3. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 3 games, MEM over 3.

DEN outscored teams by 5.1 a game last season, GSW was outscored by 0.6

DEN outscored teams by 5.1 a game last season, GSW was outscored by 0.6. 2025-26 regular season: DEN over 82 games, GSW over 82.

NYJ: 187.7 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 227.5

MIA is at 227.5 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; NYJ is at 187.7 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

TB: 36.4% third downs allowed to CAR's 44.4%

Tampa Bay lets opponents convert 36.4% of third downs over 7 games, and Carolina allows 44.4% over 6. Third-down rates move a lot week to week, so neither number is locked in, but Tampa's has held over a slightly longer stretch. Carolina's defense is the one more likely to let drives stay alive, which helps Tampa sustain possessions.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

DET: 6 yards per play to GB's 5.34

Detroit gains more per play than Green Bay, right in line with last season's 5.97 over 6 games, while Green Bay has slipped from 5.61. Both offenses hit explosives last game: Green Bay had 6 plays of 20 yards or more, Detroit 4, with Jared Goff finding Amon-Ra St. Brown twice. Detroit's number looks stable, so Green Bay likely needs those big plays to keep pace.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Kmet (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson is on injured reserve with an ankle injury. He becomes eligible to return next week, but he is not expected to be ready then. The Rams' other tight ends keep carrying the work in Las Vegas and likely beyond.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

NYJ: 21.4 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.2

MIA is at 26.2 points allowed per game over 6 games; NYJ is at 21.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season MIA was at 24.9 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

SF: 19.9 points allowed per game to ATL's 24.7

SF is at 19.9 points allowed per game over 7 games; ATL is at 24.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 21.8 over 17 games and ATL at 23.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

SF: 5.7 sack yards lost per game to ATL's 13.9

SF is at 5.7 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; ATL is at 13.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and ATL at 12.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

TEN: 11 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 19

CLE is at 19 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; TEN is at 11 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CLE was at 20.3 over 17 games and TEN at 26.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 4 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1020 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.23 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 7 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1784 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 7 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1699 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 6.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 7 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1748 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.28 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 5 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1157 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 8.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 7 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 1179 passing yards, completed 62% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 7 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1398 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 6 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 1057 passing yards, completed 57.6% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 6 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1653 passing yards, completed 71.7% of his passes and averaged 7.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 7 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1271 passing yards, completed 59.2% of his passes and averaged 5.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 7 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1989 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 7 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1721 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 7 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1482 passing yards, completed 64.8% of his passes and averaged 7.06 yards per attempt. His 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 5 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 812 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 7 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1623 passing yards, completed 70% of his passes and averaged 7.84 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 4 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 6.35 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 6 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1712 passing yards, completed 59.2% of his passes and averaged 7.51 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 4 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 727 passing yards, completed 69.8% of his passes and averaged 6.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

J.J. McCarthy is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 3 games in 2026, J.J. McCarthy threw for 495 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 10.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1632 yards, completed 57.6% and averaged 6.72 yards per attempt, 11-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 7 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1867 passing yards, completed 64.8% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 7 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1600 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 7 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1958 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 7.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 6 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1788 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 8.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 7 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1877 passing yards, completed 62.6% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 16-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 6 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1474 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 7.72 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 6 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 62.1% of his passes and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 6 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1639 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 6.66 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

In his first 2026 game, Tanner McKee threw for 215 passing yards, completed 57.8% of his passes and averaged 4.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

ARI: 4 red-zone trips per game to DEN's 2.86

DEN is at 2.86 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; ARI is at 4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DEN was at 3.35 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

CAR: 65.2% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 52.2%

TB is at 52.2% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; CAR is at 65.2% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and CAR at 53.3% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

NE (4-3) at CHI (5-2)

Chicago has won two straight, is +37 on the year and 3-1 at home, so its record and margin agree. New England is 4-3 and +17, decent overall, but 1-3 on the road, which means most of its winning has come at home. The road split is the clearest edge on the sheet here, and it leans toward Chicago holding serve at home against a team that has not traveled well.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

TB: 1.71 takeaways per game to CAR's 1.17

TB is at 1.71 takeaways per game over 7 games; CAR is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

KC: 0.17 fumbles lost per game to SEA's 0.71

KC is at 0.17 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; SEA is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 0.18 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Garrett Mitchell: .560 OPS in Last 15 Days

Garrett Mitchell has a .560 OPS over the last 15 days, down from .771 for the season. That is 36 at-bats, which is a few quiet games more than a change in the hitter. Expect him to move back toward his season line. For props tonight, the .771 is the better starting point.

P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB

CLE: 45% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 60%

Cleveland holds teams to 45% scoring in the red zone over 7 games, while Tennessee allows 60%. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of trips per game, so they swing more than yardage stats and tend to drift back toward average. Tennessee is the defense more likely to give up touchdowns once drives get close, which matters for touchdown props more than yardage.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

MIN: 97.8 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 124.4

IND is at 124.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; MIN is at 97.8 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

LAR: 115.7 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 143.6

LAR is at 115.7 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; LV is at 143.6 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

NE: 7.63 yards per pass attempt to CHI's 6.56

NE is at 7.63 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; CHI is at 6.56 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NE was at 7.99 over 17 games and CHI at 6.46 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

IND: 19.3 first downs per game to MIN's 15.7

IND is at 19.3 first downs per game over 7 games; MIN is at 15.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season IND was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

LAR: 24.3 first downs per game to LV's 20.9

LAR is at 24.3 first downs per game over 7 games; LV is at 20.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season LAR was at 23.3 over 17 games and LV at 15.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams coach Sean McVay said Friday that Garrett (knee) could have his 21-day practice window opened next week, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

KC: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.14

KC is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 6 games; SEA is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and SEA at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Jacob Monk (C) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Jerrell (biceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Turner (groin) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 21.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

Berrios (foot) underwent successful surgery Friday to repair a Lisfranc injury, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 14.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Shipley (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 16.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Pittsburgh put receiver Roman Wilson on injured reserve with a finger injury on Oct 17. IR means he misses the New Orleans game and several more after it. Other Steelers receivers absorb his targets, so the passing game runs through a smaller group for now.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said that Parsons (knee) won't practice in Week 7, Weston Hodkiewicz of the team's official site reports. "He has to clear some hurdles yet before we get to that point," LaFleur said. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Tyquan Thornton (WR) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Thornton (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

MEM scored 119.0 points a game this season, UTA 115.3

MEM scored 119.0 points a game this season, UTA 115.3. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 3 games, MEM over 3.

ATL scored 124.7 points a game this season, HOU 121.0

ATL scored 124.7 points a game this season, HOU 121.0. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 3 games, ATL over 3.

IND scored 121.3 points a game this season, MIL 119.0

IND scored 121.3 points a game this season, MIL 119.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 3 games, IND over 3.

Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

DAL scored 112.3 points a game this season, MIA 109.0

DAL scored 112.3 points a game this season, MIA 109.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIA over 3 games, DAL over 3.

CHI scored 116.3 points a game last season, BOS 114.9

CHI scored 116.3 points a game last season, BOS 114.9. 2025-26 regular season: BOS over 82 games, CHI over 82.

CLE scored 119.5 points a game last season, MIN 118.0

CLE scored 119.5 points a game last season, MIN 118.0. 2025-26 regular season: CLE over 82 games, MIN over 82.

WAS scored 118.0 points a game this season, CHA 102.0

WAS scored 118.0 points a game this season, CHA 102.0. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 3 games, WAS over 3.

BAL: 41.3% third downs allowed to CIN's 48.1%

CIN is at 48.1% third downs allowed over 6 games; BAL is at 41.3% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

TB: 32:23 time of possession per game to CAR's 29:35

TB is at 32:23 time of possession per game over 7 games; CAR is at 29:35 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season TB was at 31:53 over 17 games and CAR at 29:51 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

MIA: 56.3% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 45%

MIA is at 56.3% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; NYJ is at 45% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season MIA was at 56.3% over 17 games and NYJ at 44.7% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 28-25

OKC scored 119.0 points a game last season, PHX 112.6

OKC scored 119.0 points a game last season, PHX 112.6. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, PHX over 82.

DAL: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to PHI's 2.67

DAL is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; PHI is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 3.82 over 17 games and PHI at 2.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Moore (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Romeo Doubs (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Doubs (shoulder) is hopeful to return after the Patriots' Week 11 bye and isn't expected to face a long-term absence, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DEN scored 122.1 points a game last season, GSW 114.6

DEN scored 122.1 points a game last season, GSW 114.6. 2025-26 regular season: DEN over 82 games, GSW over 82.

Taylor Moton (OT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Raheim Sanders (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Sanders (hip) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks (core) was seen jogging at practice Thursday, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. Reported Oct 15.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

NE: 1.86 sacks taken per game to CHI's 2.57

NE is at 1.86 sacks taken per game over 7 games; CHI is at 2.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NE was at 3 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Tom Kennedy (WR) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Kennedy (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

LAR: 5.86 yards per play to LV's 5.36

The Rams are more efficient per play, but they dipped from 6.15 last season and had no play of 20 yards or more in their last game. Las Vegas has jumped from 4.35, and Kirk Cousins hit Tre Tucker for 41 and 37 yards last time out. The gap is narrower than last season, so expect Vegas to look for shots downfield at home.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

SEA: 31:45 time of possession per game to KC's 29:12

KC is at 29:12 time of possession per game over 6 games; SEA is at 31:45 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 30:09 over 17 games and SEA at 30:12 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

HOU won last season's series 2-0

Houston beat Atlanta in both meetings last season by 20 a game. Two games is a very small series, so the margin says more about those two nights than the matchup. Tonight is the first meeting this season.

Brewers are 2-1 vs Rays this season

Milwaukee has won two of three against Tampa Bay this season, the latest an 8-2 win. Three games is a tiny sample, and nothing on the sheet says who pitched them or where they were played. Tonight brings different starters in Tampa. Give the series record little weight and price the game on the starters and current form.

IND: 60% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

IND is at 60% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; MIN is at 50% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

CLE: 201.7 passing yards allowed per game to TEN's 233

Cleveland allows 201.7 passing yards a game over 7 games, and Tennessee allows 233. Passing yardage depends on how often opponents had to throw, and the sheet doesn't show schedule or game flow. Over seven games Cleveland's pass defense has been tighter. Tennessee's secondary looks like the softer target for quarterback and receiver yardage in this game.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

DAL -4.5 → -4.5

Gary's number was -4.5; the same book now shows -4.5.

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

Savion Williams

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, PHX 111.1

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, PHX 111.1. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, PHX over 82.

CHA allowed 113.7 points a game this season, WAS 116.0

CHA allowed 113.7 points a game this season, WAS 116.0. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 3 games, WAS over 3.

SF: 28.1 points per game to ATL's 24.4

SF is at 28.1 points per game over 7 games; ATL is at 24.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

ATL allowed 109.0 points a game this season, HOU 111.3

ATL allowed 109.0 points a game this season, HOU 111.3. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 3 games, ATL over 3.

LAR: 31:48 time of possession per game to LV's 29:20

LAR is at 31:48 time of possession per game over 7 games; LV is at 29:20 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season LAR was at 30:46 over 17 games and LV at 28:03 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Christian Watson

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

HOU: 0.29 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.71

NYG is at 0.71 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; HOU is at 0.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and HOU at 0.18 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Anthony Campbell

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

MEM allowed 107.7 points a game this season, UTA 124.7

MEM allowed 107.7 points a game this season, UTA 124.7. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 3 games, MEM over 3.

Matthew Golden

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Brandon Cisse

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

Edmunds (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Jonah Elliss (LB) is on injured reserve for DEN

The Broncos placed Elliss (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

GSW allowed 115.2 points a game last season, DEN 116.9

GSW allowed 115.2 points a game last season, DEN 116.9. 2025-26 regular season: DEN over 82 games, GSW over 82.

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Hummel isn't expected to resume practicing this week while he continues to recover from groin surgery, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 21.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

Sebastian Joseph-Day went on injured reserve with a triceps injury on Oct 23, so the Steelers defensive line plays New Orleans without him. IR keeps him out this week and for at least several more. Other interior linemen take his snaps, which is worth weighing if you like the Saints on the ground.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday, Scott Smith of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 43-13

MIN allowed 114.6 points a game last season, CLE 115.4

MIN allowed 114.6 points a game last season, CLE 115.4. 2025-26 regular season: CLE over 82 games, MIN over 82.

BOS allowed 107.2 points a game last season, CHI 121.5

BOS allowed 107.2 points a game last season, CHI 121.5. 2025-26 regular season: BOS over 82 games, CHI over 82.

Travis Kelce

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Tavius Robinson (LB) is on injured reserve for BAL

Robinson, a Ravens linebacker, went on injured reserve Saturday, Oct 24, with a pectoral injury. Injured reserve means he is out against Cincinnati and will miss at least several more weeks. The sheet does not say who takes his snaps, so look at Baltimore's linebacker depth before you weigh this spot.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Nico Collins

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

DAL allowed 118.3 points a game this season, MIA 124.7

DAL allowed 118.3 points a game this season, MIA 124.7. 2026-27 regular season: MIA over 3 games, DAL over 3.

NYG: 1.29 takeaways per game to HOU's 0.86

NYG is at 1.29 takeaways per game over 7 games; HOU is at 0.86 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

PHI: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 66.7%

DAL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; PHI is at 54.2% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

ARI: 0 fumbles lost per game to DEN's 0.43

DEN is at 0.43 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; ARI is at 0 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and ARI at 0.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

CHI: 1.43 takeaways per game to NE's 1

Chicago forces 1.43 turnovers a game over 7 games, and New England forces 1. Takeaways are one of the noisiest defensive stats, with fumble luck and tipped balls doing a lot of the work, so this gap could close fast. Chicago has the slight edge in creating short fields, but it's a thin reason to back either side on its own.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

KC: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.14

KC is at 0.67 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; SEA is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season KC was at 0.71 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

CLE: 19 points per game to TEN's 15.4

CLE is at 19 points per game over 7 games; TEN is at 15.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

PHI: 22.8 points allowed per game to DAL's 26.5

DAL is at 26.5 points allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 22.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 30.1 over 17 games and PHI at 19.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

Alvin Kamara

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

CIN: 20.3 points allowed per game to BAL's 23.9

CIN is at 20.3 points allowed per game over 6 games; BAL is at 23.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CIN was at 28.9 over 17 games and BAL at 23.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Jake Matthews

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 20-29

Carson Schwesinger

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Grant Delpit

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 27-24

Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets placed Mauigoa (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Thomas Incoom (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Incoom (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Austin Ajiake

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Harrison Smith

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 10-16

Tucker Addington

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Andrew Thomas

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Will Anderson Jr.

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

IND allowed 116.7 points a game this season, MIL 129.0

IND allowed 116.7 points a game this season, MIL 129.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 3 games, IND over 3.

LAR: 44.7% third-down conversion rate to LV's 39.1%

LAR is at 44.7% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; LV is at 39.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season LAR was at 39.6% over 17 games and LV at 33.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

PIT: 31:38 time of possession per game to NO's 29:21

PIT is at 31:38 time of possession per game over 7 games; NO is at 29:21 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season PIT was at 28:25 over 17 games and NO at 28:36 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

BAL: 96.6 rushing yards allowed per game to CIN's 116.3

CIN is at 116.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; BAL is at 96.6 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

SF: 0.57 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 1

SF is at 0.57 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; ATL is at 1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and ATL at 0.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

PIT: 5.14 yards per play to NO's 4.71

Pittsburgh gains about half a yard more per snap than New Orleans over seven games each, and both offenses sit a bit below last season's marks (5.22 and 5.05). The Steelers lean on chunk plays: four gains of 20-plus last game, led by Rodgers hitting DK Metcalf for 51. The Saints had two, both Tyler Shough throws, including 49 to Barion Brown. Seven games is a real sample, so if Pittsburgh's explosives keep showing up, expect them to set the tempo in New Orleans.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

DEN: 0.43 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 0.86

DEN is at 0.43 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; ARI is at 0.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-16

DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to GB's 3.71

GB is at 3.71 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; DET is at 4.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

DAL: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to PHI's 68.8%

DAL is at 77.3% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; PHI is at 68.8% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 38-21

CLE: 5.06 yards per play allowed to TEN's 5.51

Cleveland allows 5.06 yards per play over 7 games, and Tennessee allows 5.51. Yards per play is less tied to game script than totals, so a seven-game gap like this tends to hold up better. Cleveland's defense has been the tougher one to gain ground on, and Tennessee's offense will likely find fewer easy plays than Cleveland's does.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

CLE: 5 yards per play to TEN's 4.56

Cleveland moves the ball more per snap than Tennessee and is up from 4.33 last season, with 7 plays of 20 yards or more in its last game. Tennessee is near last season's 4.38 and had 2 explosives. Neither offense is efficient by league standards, so Cleveland's recent big-play burst carries more weight than usual in a low-scoring style matchup.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

CAR: 26.5 points per game to TB's 23.1

TB is at 23.1 points per game over 7 games; CAR is at 26.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and CAR at 18.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

CLE: 60 offensive plays per game to TEN's 54.3

CLE is at 60 offensive plays per game over 7 games; TEN is at 54.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CLE was at 60.6 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

SF: 4.76 yards per play allowed to ATL's 5.19

SF is at 4.76 yards per play allowed over 7 games; ATL is at 5.19 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 20-29

NYJ: 19.6 points per game to MIA's 16.3

MIA is at 16.3 points per game over 6 games; NYJ is at 19.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season MIA was at 20.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

PIT: 46.2% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 56.7%

PIT is at 46.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; NO is at 56.7% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side won; final 16-10

Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days

Jonny DeLuca has an .857 OPS over the last 15 days, above his .728 for the season, with more power than usual. That is 42 at-bats, a short run, so expect him to settle back toward the season line. He has 11 home runs this year, enough pop to make any hit dangerous. On a 0.5 total bases line, the question is simply whether he gets a hit, and his season form is the better guide.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB

Teven Jenkins (G) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Jenkins (back) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

NE: 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed to CHI's 64.7%

NE is at 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; CHI is at 64.7% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 25.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

CLE: 106.7 rushing yards per game to TEN's 91.1

CLE is at 106.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; TEN is at 91.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CLE was at 97 over 17 games and TEN at 93.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-24

NYG: 60.6 penalty yards per game to HOU's 72.6

NYG is at 60.6 penalty yards per game over 7 games; HOU is at 72.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season NYG was at 63.2 over 17 games and HOU at 58.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE

Vera-Tucker (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Patriots on Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

GSW made 15.7 threes a game last season, DEN 14.2

GSW made 15.7 threes a game last season, DEN 14.2. 2025-26 regular season: DEN over 82 games, GSW over 82.

MEM made 14.3 threes a game this season, UTA 11.3

MEM made 14.3 threes a game this season, UTA 11.3. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 3 games, MEM over 3.

ATL made 15.0 threes a game this season, HOU 13.3

ATL made 15.0 threes a game this season, HOU 13.3. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 3 games, ATL over 3.

PHX made 14.8 threes a game last season, OKC 13.8

PHX made 14.8 threes a game last season, OKC 13.8. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, PHX over 82.

MIL made 15.0 threes a game this season, IND 12.3

MIL made 15.0 threes a game this season, IND 12.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 3 games, IND over 3.

MIA made 12.0 threes a game this season, DAL 12.0

MIA made 12.0 threes a game this season, DAL 12.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIA over 3 games, DAL over 3.

BOS made 15.5 threes a game last season, CHI 14.3

BOS made 15.5 threes a game last season, CHI 14.3. 2025-26 regular season: BOS over 82 games, CHI over 82.

CLE made 14.3 threes a game last season, MIN 13.8

CLE made 14.3 threes a game last season, MIN 13.8. 2025-26 regular season: CLE over 82 games, MIN over 82.

CHA made 14.0 threes a game this season, WAS 9.3

CHA made 14.0 threes a game this season, WAS 9.3. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 3 games, WAS over 3.

Tanner Hudson (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Hudson (pectoral) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Monday. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

CIN: 27.2 points per game to BAL's 24.1

CIN is at 27.2 points per game over 6 games; BAL is at 24.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season CIN was at 24.4 over 17 games and BAL at 24.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-13

IND: 65.6 offensive plays per game to MIN's 60.5

IND is at 65.6 offensive plays per game over 7 games; MIN is at 60.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and MIN at 56.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

DET: 66.3 offensive plays per game to GB's 61.3

GB is at 61.3 offensive plays per game over 7 games; DET is at 66.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 25. Last season GB was at 59.4 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

BOS won last season's series 2-1

Boston took 2 of 3 from Chicago last season, by 10 a game. Three games is a small sample, but the home side had the better of it. Chicago is without Nicolas Claxton tonight, and Boston has a 1-day rest edge. The history and the injury both tilt slightly toward Boston.

BOS on 3d, CHI on 2d

Boston has 3 days of rest, and Chicago has 2. A 1-day gap this early rarely changes much, since both teams come in fresh. This is a neutral spot, so look at Chicago's missing Nicolas Claxton before the rest numbers.

OKC played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, PHX 98.1

OKC played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, PHX 98.1. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, PHX over 82.

ATL played at 103.2 possessions a game this season, HOU 98.8

ATL played at 103.2 possessions a game this season, HOU 98.8. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 3 games, ATL over 3.

Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Odeyingbo (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

GB lead the series with DET since 2025

Green Bay won both games last season, 27-13 at home and 31-24 in Detroit. Detroit took the Oct 25 meeting 20-17, the first Lions win in this stretch and the lowest-scoring game of the three. That suggests the series has tightened since last season, with Detroit catching up. Leaning on Green Bay's two wins from last season overlooks how close the latest game was.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

WAS played at 105.3 possessions a game this season, CHA 101.0

WAS played at 105.3 possessions a game this season, CHA 101.0. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 3 games, WAS over 3.

TB lead the series with CAR since 2025

Tampa Bay has won two of three, but last season's two meetings were close: Carolina won 23-20 at home and Tampa Bay won 16-14. The Oct 25 game was a 43-13 rout in Carolina, far outside anything these teams had done before. One lopsided game can come from turnovers or short fields, so expect the next one to look more like the close games last season. A big spread built on that 43-13 score is worth questioning.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

CIN lead the series with BAL since 2025

Cincinnati has won two of three, and every meeting has been one-sided. The Bengals won 32-14 and 35-13 in Baltimore, while the Ravens shut them out 24-0 in Cincinnati last season. The road team has won both games in Baltimore, so home field has meant little in this series. With only three games, the takeaway is that these matchups tend to get away from one side, which favors looking at margins over a tight finish.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

CHI played at 103.2 possessions a game last season, BOS 95.6

CHI played at 103.2 possessions a game last season, BOS 95.6. 2025-26 regular season: BOS over 82 games, CHI over 82.

MIA played at 103.2 possessions a game this season, DAL 100.3

MIA played at 103.2 possessions a game this season, DAL 100.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIA over 3 games, DAL over 3.

MIN played at 101.5 possessions a game last season, CLE 100.7

MIN played at 101.5 possessions a game last season, CLE 100.7. 2025-26 regular season: CLE over 82 games, MIN over 82.

UTA played at 102.5 possessions a game this season, MEM 101.2

UTA played at 102.5 possessions a game this season, MEM 101.2. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 3 games, MEM over 3.

MIA lead the series with NYJ since 2025

Miami has won all three meetings, though the games have varied a lot. The Dolphins won 27-21 at home last season, then blew the Jets out 34-10 in New York, and the latest one on Oct 25 was a 28-25 finish. Three games is a small sample, and the most recent was the tightest, so the Jets have closed some of the gap. For this game, the 28-25 result says more about the current matchup than the blowout does.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

GSW played at 100.1 possessions a game last season, DEN 99.5

GSW played at 100.1 possessions a game last season, DEN 99.5. 2025-26 regular season: DEN over 82 games, GSW over 82.

MIL played at 108.0 possessions a game this season, IND 103.3

MIL played at 108.0 possessions a game this season, IND 103.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 3 games, IND over 3.

DEN grabbed 44.0 rebounds a game last season, GSW 42.3

DEN grabbed 44.0 rebounds a game last season, GSW 42.3. 2025-26 regular season: DEN over 82 games, GSW over 82.

ATL grabbed 44.0 rebounds a game this season, HOU 43.0

ATL grabbed 44.0 rebounds a game this season, HOU 43.0. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 3 games, ATL over 3.

MEM grabbed 52.0 rebounds a game this season, UTA 44.0

MEM grabbed 52.0 rebounds a game this season, UTA 44.0. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 3 games, MEM over 3.

Devin White (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed White (forearm) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Jonathan Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Ford (calf) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Javon Hargrave (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Hargrave (Achilles) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

P Edge side lost; final 17-20

Cam Jackson (DT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Jackson (shoulder) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 14.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

CLE grabbed 44.4 rebounds a game last season, MIN 44.1

CLE grabbed 44.4 rebounds a game last season, MIN 44.1. 2025-26 regular season: CLE over 82 games, MIN over 82.

CHA grabbed 46.0 rebounds a game this season, WAS 44.0

CHA grabbed 46.0 rebounds a game this season, WAS 44.0. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 3 games, WAS over 3.

BOS grabbed 46.4 rebounds a game last season, CHI 45.0

BOS grabbed 46.4 rebounds a game last season, CHI 45.0. 2025-26 regular season: BOS over 82 games, CHI over 82.

DAL grabbed 40.3 rebounds a game this season, MIA 40.0

DAL grabbed 40.3 rebounds a game this season, MIA 40.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIA over 3 games, DAL over 3.

MIL grabbed 49.0 rebounds a game this season, IND 41.7

MIL grabbed 49.0 rebounds a game this season, IND 41.7. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 3 games, IND over 3.

OKC grabbed 44.1 rebounds a game last season, PHX 43.1

OKC grabbed 44.1 rebounds a game last season, PHX 43.1. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, PHX over 82.

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for CHI

CHI lists Anthony Johnson Jr. as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Blake Grupe (PK) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday's 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Ben Bartch (G) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Bartch (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

NYG (4-2-1) at HOU (2-5)

The Giants are 4-2-1 but only +2, so the record runs well ahead of how they have scored. Houston is 2-5 and just 5 points under, which means a lot of close losses, though it is 0-4 at home. New York is 1-1-1 on the road. By margin these teams are close to even, and the standings make the gap look bigger than it is.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

IND is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side won; final 10-16

CLE is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

SF is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

PIT is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 16-10

DAL and PHI are even since 2025

Dallas and Philadelphia split last season, and both games came down to a field goal or less. Philadelphia won 24-20 at home in September, and Dallas won 24-21 at home in November. Both games were close, the home team won each, and neither team has played the other this season. Expect another tight game with home field mattering, but a two-game sample from last season carries limited weight.

P Edge side lost; final 38-21

NE is on a short week

Both teams are playing on four days of rest, so neither side gets a calendar edge here. A turnaround that short usually means walkthroughs instead of full practices and a trimmed game plan, and the home team at least skips the travel. With the rest even, judge this one on the matchup and any injuries carried over from the last game.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

TB is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

CLE and TEN are even since 2025

The series is 1-1 across the last two seasons. Oct 25, 2026: CLE 27 at TEN 24. Dec 7, 2025: TEN 31 at CLE 29.

P Edge side lost; final 27-24

SF and ATL are even since 2025

These two have split, and each game went clearly to one side. San Francisco won 20-10 at home last season, and Atlanta returned the favor 29-20 at home on Oct 25. With two games in two different seasons, the home team has won both, and that is about all the sample shows. Home field is the cleanest thread here, more than any edge in talent.

P Edge side won; final 20-29

KC is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side won; final 3-20

GB is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side won; final 17-20

LAR is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

DEN is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

NYG is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

CIN is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

MIA is on a short week

Both teams show one day since their last game, which is not a normal NFL turnaround, so check the schedule before leaning on it. Either way, the rest is identical for both sides and gives neither a calendar edge.

P Edge side lost; final 28-25

Grover Stewart

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 10-16

Jaylen Wright

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 28-25

Calijah Kancey

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Taylor Moton

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

AJ Dillon

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Riley Dixon

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Benjamin Morrison

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Chuba Hubbard

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Bucky Irving

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Cody Mauch

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Darren Waller

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Bryce Young

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Devin Lloyd

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 43-13

Josiah Trotter

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Zyon McCollum

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

A'Shawn Robinson

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Sean Tucker

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Chase McLaughlin

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 43-13

Cam Jurgens

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Matt Hibner

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Mark Andrews

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Andrew Vorhees

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

John Simpson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Olaivavega Ioane

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-13

Kyle Dugger

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 35-13

Ed Ingram

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Charlie Jones

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Henry To'oTo'o

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jordan Stout

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Colton Hood

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Ja'Marcus Ingram

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Thomas Fidone II

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Chris Manhertz

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Kayvon Thibodeaux

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 27-21

Dalton Schultz

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Brevin Jordan

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Logan Hall

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 27-21

Jedrick Wills Jr.

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Josh Sweat

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Isaac Seumalo

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Zach Allen

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Riley Moss

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 30-16

Garrett Williams

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 30-16

Rock Ya-Sin

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 17-20

Folorunso Fatukasi

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Trey Zuhn III

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Spencer Burford

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Kolton Miller

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Brock Bowers

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Colby Parkinson

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Josh Wallace

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 35-21

Segun Olubi

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-21

Tyrice Knight

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Cyrus Allen

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Chamarri Conner

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Patrick Mahomes

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 3-20

Beau Stephens

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side won; final 3-20

Anthony Bradford

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 3-20