Sports picks for Tuesday, October 27, 2026

NE: 253 team passing yards per game to MIA's 162

New England throws for much more than Miami, and the Patriots are almost exactly where they were last season at 250.5. Miami has dropped from 180.5, which points to an offense leaning less on the pass over six games. New England's number looks stable. Miami at home may try to shorten the game, and the Patriots' passing volume is the side likely to dictate how this one plays out.

KC: 6.33 yards per play to DEN's 4.67

Kansas City gains far more per snap than Denver this season, a big reversal from last season, when Denver was at 5.32 and KC at 5.05. That swing in both directions over six and seven games suggests something has changed, though both numbers sit away from last season's baseline and could drift back toward it. Denver at home may need to win with field position and fewer, longer drives against a more explosive KC offense.

MIN: 12.3 points allowed per game to DET's 27.5

Minnesota's defense is giving up very few points, down sharply from 19.6 last season, while Detroit is scoring more than its 24.3 from last season. This is strength against strength over six games apiece. The Vikings' number is the more likely to drift up, since a jump that large rarely fully holds. Expect the total to hinge on whether Detroit's offense can crack a unit that has rarely been scored on this season.

MIN: 23.1% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 72%

MIN is at 23.1% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; DET is at 72% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

CIN: 264 pass yards a game to TEN's 157.4

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: TEN threw for 157.4 passing yards a game over 7 games; CIN threw for 264 passing yards a game over 6 games this season. Last season TEN was at 166.1 over 17 games and CIN at 235.6 over 17 games.

SEA: 3.96 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.1

Seattle allows 3.96 yards per play over 7 games, which means offenses barely move on a typical snap. Chicago gives up 6.1, so drives against them pick up chunks. Per-play numbers over 7 games are fairly stable, though the sheet does not show who each defense played. This matchup leans toward Seattle sustaining drives and Chicago struggling to string plays together on the road.

MIN: 155 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 291.8

Minnesota has held opponents to 155 passing yards a game over 6 games, while Detroit has given up 291.8 through the air in the same span. The sheet does not say who either team faced, so some of that gap could be schedule. Six games is enough to take Detroit's pass defense issues seriously. For this game, Minnesota's passing attack gets the softer matchup, which matters for its passing yardage and for how much the Detroit offense has to carry.

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is out for CHI

Chicago has ruled Anthony Johnson Jr. out for the trip to Seattle, listed on the Oct 28 injury report. The sheet gives no injury or snap detail, so his exact role in the secondary is unclear. Out means he will not play, so the Bears will lean on their other safeties against the Seahawks. Check who is listed behind him before judging how much the back end changes.

Charles Cross (OT) is doubtful for SEA

Charles Cross has a high ankle sprain confirmed by MRI, reported Oct 26, and doubtful means he is very unlikely to play against Chicago. High ankle sprains often keep linemen out longer than one week, so this may last past this game. Seattle would be without its listed left tackle, which matters most for how Chicago's pass rush matches up against the backup.

NE: 253 pass yards a game to MIA's 162

New England throws for 253 yards a game to Miami's 162, and the Patriots were at 250.5 last season, so their side is steady. Miami has dropped from 180.5 last season, which makes the gap wider than it was a year ago. Over six and seven games, this looks like a real difference. Miami needs to run and protect possession at home, and a Dolphins team chasing points through the air has not shown it can keep up.

LAR: 274.1 pass yards a game to LAC's 168.2

The Rams average 274.1 passing yards over seven games, while the Chargers sit at 168.2 over six, well down from 212.2 last season. The Rams number matches their 268.1 from last year, so that side looks stable. The Chargers drop is the part more likely to move back toward last season. The Rams can attack through the air, but the Chargers have shown more passing ability before, so a closer passing game than the season numbers suggest is possible.

DET: 282.3 pass yards a game to MIN's 162.3

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: MIN threw for 162.3 passing yards a game over 6 games; DET threw for 282.3 passing yards a game over 6 games this season. Last season MIN was at 166.7 over 17 games and DET at 253.1 over 17 games.

Sean Rhyan (G) is out for GB

Rhyan is a starting-caliber guard on Green Bay's interior line, and a high ankle sprain is the kind of injury that lingers: the report reported Oct 27 says at least a month. Out means he does not play against Carolina, so the Packers go with a backup at guard. The sheet does not name the replacement. Interior line changes show up first in short-yardage runs and in pressure up the middle, so that is the place to look when sizing up Green Bay's offense in this one.

Zaire Franklin (LB) is doubtful for GB

Franklin suffered a hairline fracture in his shin at practice last Thursday, per ESPN's Rob Demovsky, and doubtful means he is unlikely to play against Carolina. A fracture reported days before kickoff leaves little time to heal, so plan on Green Bay's linebacker group playing without him. The report doesn't name a replacement, so watch the final injury report and any depth chart news before betting anything that leans on the Packers' run defense.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Jackson is the engine of the Baltimore offense, so any ankle issue on a quarterback who wins with his legs gets attention. The report says he is believed to be close to 100 percent and expected to play Sunday at Buffalo, which makes the questionable tag look more like caution than real doubt. If that holds, the bigger question is whether the ankle limits how often he runs, so lean on how the week's practice reports and any late-week news read before assuming his full rushing role.

Josh Kattus (TE) is out for CIN

Kattus is a practice-squad tight end, so he was not in line for snaps against Tennessee. The Bengals moved him to the practice-squad injured list on Tuesday, Oct 27, with the injury undisclosed. This changes nothing on Cincinnati's active depth chart, so there is no game impact to price in.

Kyle Dugger (S) is out for CIN

Cincinnati will play the Titans without Dugger, who is out with a quadriceps injury. That leaves the Bengals short a safety at home. No timeline was given beyond this week.

Terry McLaurin (WR) is out for WSH

Terry McLaurin is done for the season. Dan Quinn said an MRI confirmed a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, announced Oct 20. Washington has to rebuild its passing game without its top receiver against Philadelphia, so bet on the receivers who are actually healthy and treat his old target share as up for grabs.

Marcus Mariota (QB) is questionable for WSH

Marcus Mariota is questionable with a knee injury. Dan Quinn said Monday he is on track to return to practice this week. Questionable means a real chance he plays against Philadelphia, so the practice reports later this week will tell you more than anything today.

CIN: 27.2 points per game to TEN's 15.4

Cincinnati scores well above Tennessee, and both teams are close to last season's form: 24.4 for the Bengals, 16.7 for the Titans. Those matching trends over a full season and six to seven games this season make the gap look trustworthy. Tennessee has to keep this low scoring to have a chance, so the shape of the game likely runs through whether the Bengals' offense gets going early.

DAL: 74.1% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 42.9%

ARI is at 42.9% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; DAL is at 74.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 54.1% over 17 games and DAL at 56.9% over 17 games.

MIN: 28.2% third downs allowed to DET's 47.7%

Minnesota has let opponents convert just 28.2% of third downs over 6 games, while Detroit allows 47.7%, close to half. That means Minnesota gets off the field and Detroit keeps drives alive for the other side. Third-down rates swing more than most stats, so Minnesota's number is likely to creep up some. Detroit's problem looks real enough over 6 games to favor Minnesota extending drives and holding the ball.

LAR: 1.57 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3.5

The Chargers' quarterback is getting sacked more than twice as often as the Rams' quarterback, and both teams were close to these figures last season at 3.75 and 1.77. A pattern that holds across two seasons is a real trait. The Chargers' offense can stall when drives get knocked off schedule, which puts more weight on the Rams' pass rush shaping this game.

KC: 6.33 yards a snap to DEN's 4.67

Kansas City gains 6.33 yards a play over six games, a big jump from 5.05 last season, while Denver has fallen from 5.32 to 4.67 over seven games. The Chiefs improvement is large enough that some pullback is possible, and Denver's drop could firm up. At home, Denver has to keep Kansas City off the field and turn its own short drives into points. If the Broncos offense keeps stalling, the Chiefs efficiency gap shows up in field position.

Carson Beck (QB) is questionable for ARI

Carson Beck is questionable for Arizona at Dallas, which means his status is uncertain and could go either way. The Oct 27 report lists no injury detail. A quarterback with an unclear status can shift the whole game line, so the final word before kickoff matters more than usual here.

Drew Lock (QB) is questionable for SEA

Seattle lists Lock as questionable for the Bears game, and the report gives no injury or detail beyond that. Check the final report and practice notes before acting on anything tied to the Seahawks' quarterback spot.

Olaivavega Ioane (G) is doubtful for BAL

Olaivavega Ioane suffered an MCL sprain in the knee during Sunday's game against the Bengals and is expected to miss time. Doubtful usually means a player will not suit up, so plan on Baltimore playing at Buffalo without him at guard. A missing interior lineman can show up in run blocking and pressure up the middle, so factor in a reshuffled Ravens line when you look at this game.

LAC has lost 6 straight

The Chargers are 0-6 and haven't won since the season began. Six games is enough to say this team has real problems, though the sheet doesn't show how close those losses were. Winless teams sometimes get priced so low that the number swings too far. Against the Rams, judge the spread on matchups rather than the streak alone.

Matthew Golden (WR) is questionable for GB

Golden is carrying two issues, shoulder and foot, and he did not take part in Tuesday's walkthrough, which is a light session. Missing even a walkthrough early in the week puts real doubt on his status against Carolina. Watch whether he gets on the field later in the week; if he sits, Green Bay's targets get spread among the rest of the receiver room, which matters for anyone looking at Packers receiving props.

Aaron Jones Sr. (RB) is questionable for MIN

Aaron Jones Sr. left Sunday's 16-10 win over the Colts with a left knee injury, but it is not considered significant and he is viewed as day-to-day. That makes questionable lean toward playing at Detroit. Even if he suits up, a back coming off a knee tweak can see his workload trimmed, so be careful with his rushing props until the practice reports clear up.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) is questionable for DET

Amon-Ra St. Brown tweaked his ankle in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers, and Dan Campbell expects him ready to practice Thursday. Questionable here looks more like caution than real doubt. If he practices Thursday as planned, treat Detroit's passing game against Minnesota as close to normal.

Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC

Ladd McConkey is in the concussion protocol and was on the field Monday in a no-contact jersey. That is progress, but he still has to clear the protocol before facing the Rams. Until he is cleared for contact, his props carry real risk, and his targets would move to the other Chargers receivers if he sits.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

Brenen Thompson was active Sunday but played no snaps in the 22-6 loss to the Chiefs while dealing with a quadriceps injury. That says the Chargers did not trust the leg on game day. Expect a limited or zero role against the Rams unless the practice reports show real improvement.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley left Monday's 38-21 loss to the Cowboys with a back issue and missed the entire fourth quarter, yet he said afterward the hamstring came out great and he does not expect the back to keep him out Sunday at Washington. Questionable here leans toward playing, based on his own words. The open question is workload if the back stays tight, so his rushing and receiving numbers carry more risk than usual until the Eagles confirm he is a full go.

Dameon Pierce (RB) is questionable for PHI

Pierce left Monday's 38-21 loss to the Cowboys with 8:38 to go in the fourth quarter and did not play either of the Eagles' last two drives. The injury has not been disclosed. Questionable means he could go either way against Washington. With no injury type and no named backup on the sheet, his status is something to check closer to kickoff before backing anything built on his touches.

Rashid Shaheed (WR) is questionable for SEA

Shaheed is questionable with a knee injury, and coach Mike Macdonald said Monday the early returns are positive, according to Brady Henderson. Positive early news from the coach makes him more likely to suit up against Chicago, but knee injuries can limit a receiver even when he is active. Watch his practice reps this week before trusting his numbers.

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI

Love is questionable with an ankle injury, and coach Mike LaFleur said Monday he will take part in Wednesday's practice. A player practicing early in the week usually points toward playing. Wednesday's level of work against Dallas, full or limited, gives the clearest read on his workload, so it makes sense to wait for it before taking a position on his rushing props.

MIN has won 6 straight

Minnesota hasn't lost yet: 6-0, every game a win. The sheet doesn't show who those wins came against, so the streak says the team keeps finding ways to close, not how strong the schedule was. Unbeaten teams draw heavy public money, and a road trip to Detroit is a real test. Ask whether the price already pays for the streak.

LV: 7.9 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 25.3

Las Vegas is losing far fewer yards to sacks than the Jets this season, a sharp improvement from last season's 29. The Jets are close to last season's 24.9, so their problem looks like a lasting one. A turnaround that large for the Raiders over seven games may come back down a bit. For this game, the Jets' drives are more likely to get derailed by negative plays.

DET: 6 yards per play to MIN's 4.65

Detroit gains more per snap than Minnesota, and both teams sit near last season's figures of 5.97 and 4.82. In their last game, Jared Goff hit Amon-Ra St. Brown for 40 and 28 yards, and Minnesota's biggest play was a 35-yard Kyler Murray run. Each team had 4 plays of 20 yards or more in that one game. Detroit's edge has held over a full season, so the Vikings likely need their big shots to land.

ATL is 2-1 on the road; TB is 0-4 at home

Tampa Bay is 0-4 at home, so its own building hasn't helped at all this season. Atlanta is 2-1 away, a small three-game sample. Four home losses carry more weight than three road games, but neither split is large enough to call a pattern. Lean on the matchup and use the home record as a side note.

DET: 30.7 points per game to MIN's 20.8

MIN is at 20.8 points per game over 6 games; DET is at 30.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 20.2 over 17 games and DET at 28.3 over 17 games.

SEA: 144.4 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 225.9

Seattle allows 144.4 passing yards a game over 7 games, while Chicago gives up 225.9. Low passing yardage can come from game script when teams run while trailing or leading, and the sheet does not say which. Paired with Seattle's other strong numbers, it looks like a good unit. Chicago's passing game faces a tough day, which leans toward unders on its passing props.

DEN: 3 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.33

Denver is getting 3 sacks a game over 7 games, a pass rush that regularly knocks quarterbacks off schedule. Kansas City manages 1.33 a game over 6 games. Sack totals depend on who you play and how often they throw, and the sheet does not show either team's opponents. For this game, Kansas City's quarterback faces the much hotter rush, which can stall drives and matters for sack props.

PIT is 3-0 at home; CLE is 2-2 on the road

Pittsburgh is 3-0 at home, and Cleveland has split its four road games at 2-2. Three home games is a short run, so the perfect mark is a good start, not proof of a fortress. Cleveland's road record is plain average. Give Pittsburgh its usual home edge here, without paying extra for the unbeaten split.

JAX is 3-1 at home; IND is 1-3 on the road

Jacksonville is 3-1 at home, and Indianapolis is 1-3 on the road, four games each. That is a consistent gap in a small sample: the Jaguars have taken care of their building and the Colts have struggled to win away. Expect the home side to keep some edge, and check whether the line already accounts for it.

KC: 239 team passing yards per game to DEN's 175.1

Kansas City is out-throwing Denver, and the teams have moved in opposite directions from last season: KC up from 214.1, Denver down from 223.9. Over six and seven games, Denver's drop is the bigger surprise and has room to recover at home. If the Broncos stay this limited through the air, KC's passing should decide how the game unfolds.

Jameson Geers (TE) is questionable for ARI

Arizona cut Jameson Geers from injured reserve Tuesday, with the injury undisclosed. He carries a questionable tag for the game at Dallas, but a release means he is no longer on the Cardinals roster, so he will not factor in for Arizona this week.

LV: 1.43 sacks taken a game to NYJ's 3

Las Vegas has gone from 4 sacks allowed a game last season to 1.43 over seven games, while the Jets are at 3, close to last season's 3.75. The Raiders change is huge and probably comes back somewhat, but the Jets number looks like who they are. The Jets need quick throws to stay out of long down and distance. Drives that stall on sacks are the main thing to watch for New York's scoring chances.

LV: 269 team passing yards per game to NYJ's 206.6

LV is at 269 team passing yards per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 206.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and NYJ at 140.3 over 17 games.

JAX: 5.77 yards a snap to IND's 4.51

Jacksonville gains 5.77 yards a play over six games, up from 5.27 last season, while Indianapolis has fallen from 5.77 to 4.51 over seven games. That is a full swap of where these offenses sat a year ago. The Colts drop is steep enough that some recovery is possible, though seven games is a real sample. On the road, Indianapolis needs long drives and few mistakes, and Jacksonville's edge in efficiency favors it in a game decided by possessions.

JAX: 1.5 takeaways per game to IND's 0.43

Jacksonville forces 1.5 takeaways a game over 6 games, while Indianapolis forces just 0.43 over 7. Turnovers are among the most random stats in football, so both numbers will likely drift toward the middle as the season goes on. In this game, Indianapolis carries more risk of giving the ball away, and Jacksonville is less likely to lose the turnover battle.

CAR: 4.38 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.86

Carolina is running much more efficiently than Green Bay this season, and the Packers have fallen hard from last season's 4.21. A dip that steep over seven games is likely to come back up some, since Green Bay was right with Carolina's 4.16 last season. Carolina's ground game looks steady and should help them stay balanced on the road.

PHI has lost 5 straight

Philadelphia has lost five in a row and sits 2-5. Five straight losses usually mean something real is wrong, and the sheet doesn't show the opponents or margins behind them. A division road game at Washington is a familiar spot. Weigh how much a losing streak has already pushed the Eagles' price down before reacting to it.

LAR: 24.3 points per game to LAC's 15

The Rams score about nine more points a game than the Chargers. Both are down from last season, when the Rams averaged 30.5 and the Chargers 21.6, and the Chargers' slide to 15 over six games is the sharper fall. A bounce toward their old number is plausible. The Rams are more likely to control the scoreboard in this matchup, but expect some regression from the Chargers' side.

JAX: 5.77 yards per play to IND's 4.51

Jacksonville gains more than a yard per play over Indianapolis, and the Jaguars hit six plays of 20 or more yards last game, with Trevor Lawrence spreading deep throws to Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington and Bhayshul Tuten. The Colts managed one, a 38-yard Jonathan Taylor touchdown run. Indianapolis was at 5.77 last season, so its 4.51 is a steep drop that could bounce back. Jacksonville is the offense more likely to create chunk plays here.

LV: 1.43 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3

The Raiders give up 1.43 sacks a game, the Jets 3. Las Vegas allowed 4 a game last season, so that drop over seven games is a big swing that may not fully hold. The Jets at 3 sit right near their 3.75 from last season, which looks like who they are. Expect more drive-killing negative plays on the New York side, which hurts their chances of sustaining long possessions.

NE: 36.6% third downs allowed to MIA's 52.1%

New England holds opponents to 36.6% on third down over 7 games, while Miami allows 52.1% over 6, meaning offenses convert more often than not against them. Third-down rates move a lot, but Miami's number over 6 games points to a real problem. Expect New England to have more chances to sustain drives and control the clock in Miami.

DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.33

MIN is at 2.33 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; DET is at 4.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

LAC has 7 more days of rest

LAC comes in on 9 days of rest, a bye behind it; LAR on a short week (2 days since its last game). That is a 7-day spacing gap between the sides.

Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (CB) is questionable for DET

Ennis Rakestraw Jr. left Sunday's win over the Packers with an ankle injury, but it is not believed to be major. Questionable leans toward available against Minnesota. Watch the week's practice reports, since a cornerback playing through an ankle can be a target for opposing receivers.

Justin Walley (CB) is questionable for IND

Justin Walley left Sunday's 16-10 loss to Minnesota with a knee injury and did not return, per Shane Steichen. There is no word yet on how serious it is, so questionable is a true unknown for the Jacksonville game. If he sits, the Colts' cornerback depth gets tested, which matters for how you view the Jaguars' passing game.

WSH has 7 more days of rest

PHI comes in on a short week (1 days since its last game); WSH on 8 days since its last game. That is a 7-day spacing gap between the sides.

CAR: 105.3 rush yards a game to GB's 59.9

Carolina runs for 105.3 yards a game over six games, and Green Bay is at 59.9 over seven, a huge drop from 119.8 last season. The Packers number is so far below last year that it is likely to rise. Carolina's ground game is close to last season's 116.3, so it is the steadier side. Green Bay has to lean on its passing game here, and any sign its run game returns would change how this game plays.

JAX has 7 more days of rest

IND comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); JAX on 9 days of rest, a bye behind it. That is a 7-day spacing gap between the sides.

CAR: 105.3 rushing yards per game to GB's 59.9

CAR is at 105.3 rushing yards per game over 6 games; GB is at 59.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 116.3 over 17 games and GB at 119.8 over 17 games.

BUF has 7 more days of rest

BAL comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); BUF on 9 days of rest, a bye behind it. That is a 7-day spacing gap between the sides.

Akayleb Evans (CB) is questionable for CAR

Akayleb Evans did not practice Monday while dealing with triceps and knee injuries. Two issues and no work to start the week put his status for Green Bay in doubt. If he sits, Carolina's secondary is thinner, which is worth weighing when you look at the Packers' passing numbers.

CIN: 5.75 yards per play to TEN's 4.56

Cincinnati gains over a yard more per play than Tennessee, and Joe Burrow hit Tee Higgins for 44 and 43 yards last game plus a 30-yarder to Ja'Marr Chase. The Titans had two chunk plays, led by Tony Pollard's 36-yard touchdown run. Both teams are close to last season's marks, the Bengals at 5.23 and Titans at 4.38, so this gap looks real. Cincinnati's passing game is the more likely source of big plays.

LAR: 5.86 yards per play to LAC's 4.67

The Rams gain over a yard more per play than the Chargers. The Chargers were at 5.19 last season, so their 4.67 over six games is a drop that could recover, and their one chunk play last game was Justin Herbert's 57-yard throw to Quentin Johnston. The Rams had no 20-yard plays last game but still sit near last season's 6.15. Los Angeles looks like the steadier offense here.

BUF: 32.8 points per game to BAL's 24.1

Buffalo scores 32.8 points a game to Baltimore's 24.1. The Ravens are right at last season's 24.9, so their number looks steady. The Bills are up from 28.3 last season, and that six-game jump may cool some. Buffalo is the more likely offense to push the pace and put up points in this one.

JAX: 72.2 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 124.4

Jacksonville allows 72.2 rushing yards a game over 6 games, while Indianapolis gives up 124.4 over 7. Rushing yards allowed depend partly on game script, since teams that fall behind stop running. The sheet does not show Jacksonville's opponents, so it may be a little flattering. Indianapolis's run game faces the tougher front, while Jacksonville's backs get the softer matchup.

NE: 2.43 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1

New England is getting 2.43 sacks a game over 7 games, while Miami has just 1 per game over 6. Pressure numbers depend on opponents and how much they throw, which the sheet does not show. For this game, Miami's quarterback faces the more active rush, and New England's passer should have more time to throw.

DAL: 5.64 yards a snap to ARI's 4.51

Dallas gains 5.64 yards a play over seven games, while Arizona sits at 4.51, down from 5.18 last season. Dallas is a bit below its 5.96 from last year, so it has room to move up. Arizona has to protect the ball and win field position on the road to stay close. If the Cardinals offense keeps producing short gains, Dallas gets more chances to turn its efficiency into points.

JAX: 17.3 points allowed per game to IND's 25.7

IND is at 25.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; JAX is at 17.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.

CHI: 154.3 rush yards a game to SEA's 113.7

Chicago runs for 154.3 yards a game over seven games, up from 144.5 last season, while Seattle is at 113.7, down from 123.3. Both trends match last year's shape, so this looks like a stable difference. Seattle has to make Chicago throw by stopping the run early. If the Bears are moving on the ground in Seattle, expect a longer, slower game where the clock favors them.

KC: 7.38 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 5.4

KC is at 7.38 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; DEN is at 5.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.

BAL @ BUF carries a 53.5 market total

The market expects this to be one of the highest-scoring games on the board, priced at 53.5 when the typical game on this slate sits at 46. That gap means books see both offenses scoring in bunches, likely trading touchdowns instead of settling for field goals. For it to crack, one side has to stall in the red zone or the game has to slow down early. If you like the over, you are betting both offenses keep finishing drives.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Chicago lists Kyle Monangai as questionable for the game at Seattle, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable leaves real doubt about whether Monangai plays. Wait for the final word before betting Bears rushing numbers.

ARI @ DAL carries a 53.5 market total

At 53.5, this game sits 7.5 points above the slate median of 46, so the market expects a shootout with points coming from both sides. A number that high assumes neither defense gets many stops and drives end in touchdowns. If either offense stalls early or the pace drags, the total has a lot of room to come in under. Bettors on the over are counting on both teams scoring all game.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is questionable for SEA

Seattle lists Zach Charbonnet as questionable against Chicago, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable means a real chance Charbonnet sits, which could shift the Seahawks backfield workload. Confirm the status before betting Seattle running back props.

Anthony Gould (WR) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Gould as questionable for the Jacksonville game, with no injury detail in the report. Wait for the final injury report before betting on him.

Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Rice as questionable for the Denver game, and the report gives no injury or detail. His practice status through the week is what to watch before you trust his receiving props or the Chiefs' passing numbers.

Emeka Egbuka (WR) is questionable for TB

Emeka Egbuka is questionable for Tampa Bay against Atlanta, per the Oct 27 report, with no injury listed. That leaves his status open until closer to game time. If he is limited or sits, targets shift to the other Tampa Bay receivers, so his props and theirs are worth holding until his status is settled.

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists Zaccheaus as questionable against Tampa Bay, and the report includes no further detail. Check the final status before acting.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists Robinson as questionable for the trip to Tampa Bay, with no injury given in the report. Let practice participation guide any bet on the Falcons' backfield split.

Ben Skowronek (WR) is questionable for PIT

Pittsburgh lists Skowronek as questionable for the Browns game, and the report gives no further detail. Check the final status before betting on anything involving him.

Kene Nwangwu (RB) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Nwangwu as questionable against Las Vegas, with no further detail in the report. Check the final injury report before acting.

Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Hall as questionable for the Raiders game, and the report gives no injury details. His practice reports this week will tell you more than the tag, so wait on Jets rushing props until they come out.

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL

Dallas lists Turpin as questionable against Arizona, with no injury or detail in the report. Check the final status before betting on anything that depends on him.

Tyjae Spears (RB) is questionable for TEN

Tennessee lists Spears as questionable for the trip to Cincinnati, and the report gives no injury details. Wait for practice participation before betting on the Titans' backfield workload.

Calvin Ridley (WR) is questionable for TEN

Tennessee lists Ridley as questionable for the Cincinnati game, with no injury or detail in the report. Hold off on his props until the practice reports show whether he is working.

Devonte Wyatt (DT) is questionable for GB

Wyatt is part of Green Bay's interior defensive line, and he is dealing with an ankle injury. He was limited in Tuesday's walkthrough, which was an estimate and not a full practice. Questionable means a real chance he sits against Carolina. If he is out or on a snap count, the Packers lose some push up the middle. Watch his practice status later in the week, since that usually decides it.

KC (5-1) at DEN (5-2), a division game

Denver's 5-2 looks a lot thinner than Kansas City's 5-1: the Broncos are only +3 on the year, while the Chiefs are +40. Denver has won three straight and is 3-0 at home, so the momentum and the venue favor them. Kansas City is 2-1 on the road and just lost. Denver's record likely oversells how good it is, but its home split is real, and this division game sets those two things against each other.

Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is questionable for PHI

Dontayvion Wicks is questionable for Philadelphia at Washington, reported Oct 27, with no injury named. Smith carries the same tag, so the Eagles could be thin at wide receiver. Check both statuses before betting the Philadelphia passing game.

NE (4-3) at MIA (1-5), a division game

Miami is 1-5 with a -59 margin and has yet to win at home, 0-2. New England is 4-3 and +17, though its road record is only 1-3. Both splits are short samples, but Miami's point differential says the record is earned. The question for a bettor is whether New England's road struggles matter more than Miami's broader ones, and the season numbers say they matter less.

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR

Phillips is questionable with a hamstring injury and did not practice on Monday's estimate. Missing the first session of the week is a warning sign. Hamstrings can keep a pass rusher out or limit his snaps. If he sits or is limited at Green Bay, Carolina's pressure on the quarterback could take a hit, so his Wednesday and Thursday participation is worth checking before you bet.

MIN: 4.45 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.55

MIN is at 4.45 yards per play allowed over 6 games; DET is at 5.55 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

DAL: 5.64 yards per play to ARI's 4.51

Dallas gains over a yard more per play than Arizona, and both offenses hit five plays of 20 or more yards last game, including Dak Prescott's 35-yarder to Ryan Flournoy and Jacoby Brissett's 35-yarder to Jalen Brooks. The Cardinals were at 5.18 last season, so their 4.51 over seven games is a drop that could recover. The Cowboys are near their 5.96 from last season. Dallas looks like the more efficient offense here.

NYJ: 4.81 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.94

The Jets allow 4.81 yards per play over 7 games, a solid mark, while Las Vegas gives up 5.94. Per-play numbers over 7 games tend to hold up better than yardage totals. The sheet does not show who either team played. Las Vegas's offense faces the stingier defense, and the Jets should find more room to move on the other side.

MIN (6-0) at DET (4-2), a division game

Both teams are perfect where it counts here: Minnesota is 3-0 on the road and Detroit is 3-0 at home, so one of those splits breaks this week. Minnesota brings the bigger case, 6-0 with a +51 point margin and six straight wins, while Detroit is 4-2 at +19 and has won two in a row. A division game tends to tighten things, and Detroit's home record says this spot is harder than Minnesota's unbeaten mark suggests. Weigh the road team's momentum against a host that has not lost in its building.

CLE (5-2) at PIT (5-2), a division game

Same 5-2 record, very different teams underneath. Cleveland has been outscored by 13 points, which says close wins are carrying that record, while Pittsburgh is +15 and has won three straight. The split points the same way: Cleveland is 2-2 on the road, Pittsburgh 3-0 at home. Cleveland's record flatters it more than Pittsburgh's, so the matching marks overstate how even this division game is.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

Philadelphia lists DeVonta Smith as questionable for the trip to Washington, reported Oct 27, with no injury or practice detail given. Questionable means a real chance Smith sits, so the call may not come until close to kickoff. Hold off on Eagles receiver props until the final status is out.

IND (2-5) at JAX (4-2), a division game

Indianapolis arrives on a three-game losing streak at 2-5 and -26 on the year, and it is 1-3 away from home. Jacksonville is 4-2 with a +50 margin and 3-1 at home, coming off its first loss in a while. The point differential backs up the record gap, so this one does not look like a mirage. In a division game the familiarity can keep it closer, but the numbers lean clearly toward the home side.

LAR: 1.57 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.5

LAC is at 2.5 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; LAR is at 1.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and LAR at 0.88 over 17 games.

PHI: 55.2% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 81.8%

PHI is at 55.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; WSH is at 81.8% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

CHI: 154.3 rushing yards per game to SEA's 113.7

Chicago runs for 154.3 yards a game, and that's close to its 144.5 from last season, so the Bears' ground game looks like who they are. Seattle at 113.7 is near its 123.3 from last season too. Expect the Bears to lean on the run and control the pace in Seattle.

Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

Beaux Collins is on injured reserve with a hip injury and was ruled out Oct 24 for a game against the 49ers. That report names a different opponent than this week's trip to Tampa Bay, so the status for this game still needs to be confirmed. Plan for no role until Collins is activated.

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

James Conner is on injured reserve with a foot injury, and Mike LaFleur would only say he could potentially play this season. He will not factor in at Dallas. Arizona's backfield runs without him for now, so price the Cardinals' run game on the backs who are active.

Jack Bech (WR) is ir-r for LV

The Raiders opened Jack Bech's return window from injured reserve Monday, and the forearm injury put Bech there. Being designated for return means practice resumes, and a game return is still up to the team. Until Bech is activated to the roster, expect no role against the Jets.

WSH: 125.2 rush yards a game to PHI's 87.7

Washington runs for 125.2 yards a game over six games, while Philadelphia is at 87.7 over seven, well down from 116.9 last season. Washington is a bit below its 134.7 from last year, so its side looks steady. The Eagles drop is large enough that it could bounce back. Philadelphia needs to find balance on the road, and if its run game stays this low, Washington controls the pace.

LV has lost 4 straight

The Raiders have lost four straight and are now 3-4, so a decent start has slipped away. Four games is a meaningful run, though the sheet doesn't say who beat them or by how much. Streaks like this can make a team cheap in the market. Against the Jets, ask whether the drop in price went too far.

WSH: 1.33 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.43

Washington forces 1.33 takeaways a game over 6 games, while Philadelphia forces just 0.43 over 7. Turnover rates are noisy and both numbers likely drift toward the middle. In this game, Philadelphia is the side more likely to give the ball away, which tilts the turnover battle toward Washington.

CIN: 29:59 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:41

TEN is at 24:41 time of possession per game over 7 games; CIN is at 29:59 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season TEN was at 29:08 over 17 games and CIN at 30:08 over 17 games.

Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days

Yandy Diaz has gone cold over the last 15 days, with a .450 OPS in 40 at-bats while his season mark sits at .805. That gap of 0.355 comes from a short stretch, and a hitter with his full-season track record usually climbs back toward it. For his props in MIL @ TB, lean on the .805 season line and give the two cold weeks less weight.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB

BAL: 220.9 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 285.8

Baltimore allows 220.9 passing yards a game over 7 games, while Buffalo gives up 285.8 over 6. Passing yards allowed can rise with game script when teams build leads and opponents throw late. The sheet does not say which applies here. Baltimore's passing game gets the more generous matchup, which matters for its passing yardage and for game totals.

ARI: 39.7% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.9%

Arizona allows 39.7% on third down over 7 games, close to average, while Dallas allows 52.9%, so offenses convert more often than not. Third-down rates move week to week, but Dallas's number over 7 games is a real weak spot. Arizona should have chances to extend drives in Dallas.

MIL have won 4 straight

Milwaukee has won four in a row and outscored teams by 8 runs over that run, so most of these games were close. Four games is a short streak, and the sheet doesn't say who has been driving it. They play tonight on the road in Tampa. A bettor should count the streak as a small form note and let the starting pitchers and the price decide how they view this game.

P team lost 3-4

IND: 38.7 penalty yards per game to JAX's 68.7

IND is at 38.7 penalty yards per game over 7 games; JAX is at 68.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.

ATL: 6.69 yards per pass attempt to TB's 4.96

Atlanta gains 6.69 yards per throw while Tampa Bay sits at 4.96. The Bucs were at 6.04 last season, so their seven-game drop is steep and could bounce back. The Falcons are up from 6.21 last season, a smaller move. Expect Atlanta to be the more efficient passing team in this one, with Tampa Bay a candidate to improve.

CIN: 35% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 60%

TEN is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; CIN is at 35% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

DET: 70.4% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

MIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; DET is at 70.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 56.9% over 17 games and DET at 62.5% over 17 games.

ATL: 197.4 pass yards a game to TB's 150.4

Atlanta throws for 197.4 yards a game over seven games, and Tampa Bay sits at 150.4, a steep drop from 205.9 last season. Atlanta is close to its 207.2 from last year, so its number looks steady. The Buccaneers fall is large enough that some recovery is likely. Tampa Bay at home has to find a passing game, and if it doesn't, Atlanta's edge through the air shapes the game.

NE: 7.63 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.85

New England gets 7.63 yards per throw to Miami's 5.85. The Patriots were at 7.99 last season and the Dolphins at 6, so both teams are close to last season's numbers, which makes this gap look real. Expect New England to have the more efficient passing attack in this one.

CLE @ PIT carries a 39.5 market total

This is the lowest total in this group at 39.5, 6.5 points under the slate median of 46, which tells you the market expects a grinding, low-scoring game. Points here are expected to come slowly, with more field goals and punts than long scoring drives. The expectation cracks if a turnover or a big play hands either side a short field or a quick touchdown. A bettor on the under needs the defenses to control this one from start to finish.

Tyler Warren (TE) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Tyler Warren as questionable for the game at Jacksonville, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable leaves real doubt about whether Warren plays. Hold Colts tight end bets until the final status is known.

AFC SOUTH game: IND 1-1, JAX 0-1 in the division

Indianapolis is 1-1 in the AFC South, and Jacksonville is 0-1 after a single division game. One game says almost nothing, and two isn't much more. Look at the overall form and home split for anything useful in this matchup.

Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Hurts (calf) is expected to be held out of football activities for multiple months and miss the rest of the season after new imaging over the weekend revealed several blood clots in his lungs, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Oct 19.

KC: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to DEN's 0.57

KC is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 6 games; DEN is at 0.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and DEN at 1.18 over 17 games.

NFC NORTH game: MIN 2-0, DET 1-0 in the division

Minnesota is 2-0 in the NFC North and Detroit is 1-0, so neither has lost inside the division yet. That's three games combined, too few to say much about either team's grip on the division. Divisional games are familiar matchups and often closer than the overall records suggest, so the head-to-head matters more than these splits.

BAL: 0.71 turnovers a game to BUF's 1.5

Baltimore gives the ball away 0.71 times a game over seven games, down from 1.35 last season, while Buffalo is at 1.5 over six, up from 1.12. Turnover rates swing a lot, so both numbers are likely to move toward last season. Buffalo has to clean up its giveaways at home to stay even. In a game where one turnover can swing the result, the Bills mistakes are the main risk to watch.

CAR: 65.2% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 46.2%

Carolina finishes 65.2% of red-zone trips with touchdowns over 6 games, up from 53.3% last season, while Green Bay has fallen to 46.2% over 7 games from 57.6%. Red-zone rates swing a lot on a few drives, so both numbers should drift back toward last season's marks. For this game, Green Bay settling for field goals is the trend, but it's the kind most likely to turn quickly, so be careful leaning hard on scoring props built on it.

DJ Rogers (TE) is questionable for DAL

Dallas lists DJ Rogers as questionable for the home game against Arizona, with no injury detail given. Questionable means his status is a real coin flip until closer to kickoff. The sheet does not show his role at tight end, so watch the final injury report before leaning on anything involving the Cowboys tight end group.

Tommy Townsend (P) is questionable for TEN

Townsend is Tennessee's punter and hurt his left knee in Sunday's 27-24 loss to the Browns. Robert Saleh said Monday he is still being evaluated, so questionable here means a real chance he misses the trip to Cincinnati. A punter's knee matters on the plant leg, and a fill-in punter can cost field position. Check the final injury report before you bet anything tied to field position or totals.

AFC EAST game: NE 2-0, MIA 1-0 in the division

New England is 2-0 in the AFC East, and Miami is 1-0. With three division games between them, neither record tells you much yet. Division rivals know each other well and games often stay close, so give these splits little weight on their own.

NFC EAST game: PHI 1-1, WSH 0-2-1 in the division

Washington has yet to win in the NFC East at 0-2-1, and Philadelphia is 1-1. Three games is a small sample, but the Commanders haven't found an answer against their division so far. Familiar opponents usually keep scores tight, so let this nudge your read rather than drive it.

MIN: 1.83 takeaways per game to DET's 1

MIN is at 1.83 takeaways per game over 6 games; DET is at 1 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

NFC SOUTH game: ATL 1-1, TB 1-0 in the division

Atlanta is 1-1 in the NFC South, and Tampa Bay is 1-0. That's three games total, far too few to read much into. Division games bring familiarity and often tighter scores, so this split adds little to the bigger picture of the matchup.

AFC NORTH game: CLE 2-0, PIT 1-1 in the division

Cleveland is 2-0 against the AFC North, and Pittsburgh is 1-1. Two games each is a thin base, so these marks say little about who owns the division. Familiar rivals tend to play tight games. Rely on how these teams match up, and treat the division record as a light tiebreaker.

AFC WEST game: KC 3-0, DEN 1-1 in the division

Kansas City is 3-0 inside the AFC West, so the Chiefs have handled their rivals cleanly so far. Denver is 1-1. Three games is still a small sample, but a perfect mark against familiar opponents is a fair sign the Chiefs know how to win these. Weigh that against Denver's home record before settling on this game.

ATL: 197.4 team passing yards per game to TB's 150.4

ATL is at 197.4 team passing yards per game over 7 games; TB is at 150.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ATL was at 207.2 over 17 games and TB at 205.9 over 17 games.

LAR: 69% red-zone scoring rate to LAC's 50%

LAC is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; LAR is at 69% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 47.4% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.

GB: 20.7 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.7

CAR is at 27.7 points allowed per game over 6 games; GB is at 20.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

LAC: 1.67 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.86

The Chargers force 1.67 takeaways a game over 6 games, while the Rams get 0.86 over 7. Takeaways depend heavily on bounces and on the quarterbacks a defense happens to see, and the sheet doesn't list either schedule, so this is the least stable stat here. Expect both numbers to move toward average. Use it as a small edge for the Chargers, not a reason to expect a sloppy game from the Rams' offense.

NYJ: 56% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 78.6%

LV is at 78.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; NYJ is at 56% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

DAL: 1 sack taken per game to ARI's 2.14

ARI is at 2.14 sacks taken per game over 7 games; DAL is at 1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 3.69 over 17 games and DAL at 2.38 over 17 games.

IND: 215.9 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 273.8

Indianapolis allows 215.9 passing yards a game over 7 games; Jacksonville gives up 273.8 over 6. The sheet doesn't show which quarterbacks each faced, and trailing teams throw more, so game script can inflate a yardage number like Jacksonville's. A gap this size over six or seven games usually holds up better than red-zone or turnover rates. Colts passing props have the easier matchup on paper.

Next college slate · OCT 30

BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

LV is 2-1 on the road; NYJ is 1-2 at home

The Raiders are 2-1 on the road, and the Jets are 1-2 at home, three games each. The gap is small and so are the samples: the Jets haven't gotten much from home field, and the Raiders have held up away. Treat home field as close to neutral here and focus on the matchup.

IND: 2.14 fourth-down attempts per game to JAX's 0.83

IND is at 2.14 fourth-down attempts per game over 7 games; JAX is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and JAX at 1.71 over 17 games.

BAL: 0.71 turnovers committed per game to BUF's 1.5

Baltimore gives the ball away 0.71 times a game over 7 games, almost half last season's 1.35. Buffalo is at 1.5 over 6 games, up from 1.12. Turnover rates swing hard and tend to move back toward average, so both sides of this gap are likely to shrink. Lean on it lightly: a careful Baltimore offense helps in a road spot, but turnovers are the least stable number on the sheet.

DEN is 3-0 at home; KC is 2-1 on the road

Denver is 3-0 at home, and Kansas City is 2-1 on the road, three games each. The Broncos have protected their building, but three games is a short run. Kansas City's road record is solid. Expect Denver's home edge to count, and don't assume the unbeaten split carries the game by itself.

DAL: 27 points per game to ARI's 20.3

ARI is at 20.3 points per game over 7 games; DAL is at 27 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 20.9 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.

LV: 26.1 points per game to NYJ's 19.6

LV is at 26.1 points per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 19.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 14.2 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.

Deni Avdija and Luka Doncic lead tonight's board

Avdija's 22.5 line sits below the 24.3 points he averaged across 72 games last season, and the sheet has no early numbers for him this year. Doncic is at 34.3 points through 3 games against a 32.5 line, so the book is shading him slightly under his hot start. Avdija's line rests on a full season of evidence. Doncic's rests on three games, so it is the less settled of the two.

Zach LaVine and Victor Wembanyama lead tonight's board

These two lines run opposite to the early numbers. LaVine has averaged 29 points through 3 games and his line is only 21.5. Wembanyama has averaged 20 points and 11 rebounds, yet his points line is 27.5. The book is clearly weighing more than three games, so expect those hot and cold starts to settle. When a line sits that far from a small-sample average, ask why the market disagrees before assuming it is soft.

Cade Cunningham and Jalen Brunson lead tonight's board

Both lines sit above what these two have done through 3 games: Cunningham is at 21.3 points against a 23.5 line, Brunson at 22.7 against 25.5. The book is pricing their reputations over a three-game start. Lines like that can move toward the early numbers or hold if the market trusts the track record. Cunningham's 8 assists show where his production has gone so far, which is useful if you look past his points.

Michael Porter Jr. and Jayson Tatum lead tonight's board

Porter's points line of 21.5 sits right on his 21.3 average through 3 games, so the book is pricing him as he's played. Tatum's 26.5 is above his 24-point start, and he's averaging 8 assists, so he's been setting up teammates more than scoring. Three games is a thin base for either. On Tatum, the question is whether the scoring comes back or the passing role sticks, and that matters more than any one night.

NYJ: 21.4 points allowed per game to LV's 28.1

LV is at 28.1 points allowed per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 21.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

NE: 22.9 points per game to MIA's 16.3

New England scores 22.9 points a game over 7 games, down from 28.8 last season, and Miami is at 16.3 over 6 games after 20.4. Both offenses have slipped, Miami further from a lower base. New England still has the stronger offense on the trip to Miami. With both teams scoring below last year's pace, totals set off last season's reputations may sit higher than this season's output supports.

Pat Surtain II (CB) is questionable for DEN

Denver lists Pat Surtain II as questionable against Kansas City, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Surtain sits, the Broncos lose their top cornerback against the Chiefs passing game. Wait for the final status before betting Kansas City receivers.

Karon Prunty (CB) is questionable for NE

Questionable means a real chance he plays and a real chance he doesn't, and the report gives no injury or practice detail behind the tag. Prunty is one of three New England corners listed for the trip to Miami, along with Carlton Davis III and Channing Canada. If more than one sits, the Patriots get thin at the position fast. Check the final inactives before betting Miami passing props.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

Davis is questionable, which leaves his status for Miami open, and the report lists no injury or recent game detail. He is one of three Patriots corners on the report this week, with Karon Prunty and Channing Canada also questionable. Depth behind him is the concern if several miss. Miami receiver props are the spot to watch once inactives come out.

Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE

New England lists Canada as questionable for the trip to Miami, so he could play or sit. No injury or replacement is listed, so the main use for a bettor is to check his status before kickoff if the Patriots' secondary matters to how you see this game.

Ben Brown (C) is questionable for NE

Brown is questionable at center for New England heading to Miami, and the report gives no injury detail. A center absence means a backup snapping and making line calls, which can show up in pressure and run blocking. His Friday and Saturday practice status will say more than the tag does.

Reese Taylor (CB) is questionable for MIA

Taylor is questionable for Miami against New England, with no injury or recent game detail listed. Patriots receivers get a little friendlier if a corner sits, so his final status matters most for those props.

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

Beal is questionable for Miami against New England, and the report gives no injury or snap detail. His availability mostly affects edge depth in the pass rush. Check inactives before betting on New England passing numbers.

Michael Carter II (CB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Michael Carter II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

KC @ DEN carries a 40.5 market total

The 40.5 total sits 5.5 points below the slate median of 46, so the market expects a tight, defense-heavy game with limited scoring. Drives are expected to bog down, with field goals carrying more of the load than touchdowns. One or two explosive plays early would put real pressure on that number. Under bettors need the slow pace to hold for all four quarters.

PHI @ WSH carries a 40.5 market total

At 40.5, five and a half points under the slate median of 46, the market sees this as a low-scoring division-style grind. That number assumes long, slow drives and few easy touchdowns for either side. A defensive or special teams score, or a fast start from either offense, would quickly push this toward the over. Think of the under here as a bet that neither team finds a quick rhythm.

Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Travis Glover (OT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Travis Glover as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

Brenton Cox Jr. (DE) is questionable for GB

GB lists Brenton Cox Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo listed DJ Moore as questionable on Oct 20 with no injury detail on the sheet. Without practice information, there is little to judge his chances against Baltimore. Wait for the final report before trusting his props.

Tip Reiman (TE) is pup-r for ARI

Head coach Mike LaFleur stated he's "not too sure" if Reiman (ankle) will play this season, Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.

Max Melton (CB) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Max Melton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Drew Shelton (OT) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Drew Shelton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

Carter Runyon is on injured reserve with a foot injury and was ruled out Oct 25 for a game against the Rams. That report names a different opponent than this week's game at the Jets, so the status for this game still needs to be confirmed. Plan for no role until Runyon is activated.

Joseph Ossai (DE) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Joseph Ossai as questionable against Las Vegas, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable means a real chance the Jets are missing an edge rusher, which matters for Raiders sack and pressure props. Check the final status before kickoff.

Max Mitchell (OT) is questionable for NYJ

Mitchell is listed as questionable for the Jets, with no injury or practice detail given. With that little to go on, the useful move is to check the final report before kickoff against Las Vegas, since a missing tackle can change how well a line protects the quarterback.

Brandin Echols (CB) is questionable for PIT

Pittsburgh lists Brandin Echols as questionable against Cleveland, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Echols sits, the Steelers secondary loses a cornerback. Watch the final status before betting Browns receivers.

Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists Billy Bowman Jr. as questionable at Tampa Bay, reported Oct 27. Avieon Terrell carries the same tag, so the Falcons secondary could be short more than one defensive back. Confirm both statuses before betting Buccaneers passing props.

Avieon Terrell (CB) is questionable for ATL

Avieon Terrell is questionable for Atlanta at Tampa Bay, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. With Bowman also questionable, the Falcons could be thin at cornerback. Check both statuses before playing the Tampa Bay passing game.

Luke Goedeke (OT) is questionable for TB

TB lists Luke Goedeke as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Sauce Gardner (CB) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Sauce Gardner as questionable at Jacksonville, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Gardner sits, the Colts lose a starting cornerback in coverage. Wait for the final status before betting Jaguars receivers.

Tre' Harris (WR) is questionable for LAC

The Chargers listed Tre' Harris as questionable on Oct 20, with no injury detail given. With McConkey and Thompson also banged up, the Chargers' receiver room is uncertain heading into the Rams game. Check final statuses for all three before you price any Chargers receiver.

Trent McDuffie (CB) is questionable for LAR

McDuffie is listed as questionable for the Rams against the Chargers, and the report gives no injury or practice detail. Questionable means a real chance he sits. A cornerback absence matters most against the Chargers' passing game, so wait for the final status before backing their receivers or the passing totals.

Jaylon Moore (OT) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Jaylon Moore as questionable at Denver, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Moore sits, the Chiefs line loses a tackle against the Broncos pass rush. Check the final status before betting Denver sack props.

ARI: 32:16 time of possession per game to DAL's 28:03

ARI is at 32:16 time of possession per game over 7 games; DAL is at 28:03 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 29:48 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.

PIT has won 3 straight

Pittsburgh has stacked three wins in a row and sits at 5-2, so this is a team playing with a lead in the standings. The sheet doesn't say who those three wins came against, so there is no way to tell yet whether the run was earned against good teams. A streak of three is a short sample. Use it as context for the price on CLE @ PIT, since a hot record often costs a little extra in the line.

JAX: 1.67 sacks taken per game to IND's 2.71

IND is at 2.71 sacks taken per game over 7 games; JAX is at 1.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.

IND has lost 3 straight

Indianapolis has dropped three straight and is 2-5, so the season is slipping away early. The sheet doesn't show who beat them, which leaves open whether this is a bad team or a rough stretch of schedule. Three games is a small run, and losing streaks often draw a softer line. On the road at JAX, check whether the number has moved further than three losses justify.

DEN has won 3 straight

Denver has won three straight and is 5-2, level with the best records on this slate. Nothing on the sheet names the opponents in that run, so the quality of the wins is unknown. Three games is a short sample. With KC coming to Denver, a hot streak tends to get priced in, so weigh the matchup itself more heavily than the run.

NE: 6.06 yards per play to MIA's 5.23

New England gains 6.06 yards a play over 7 games, close to last season's 6.23, and Miami is at 5.23 over 6 games after 5.4. Both teams look much like last year, which makes this gap one of the steadier ones to trust. The Patriots move the ball more efficiently, so if they trail in points, it is more likely about finishing drives than the offense itself.

CHI: 2.43 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.14

Chicago goes for it on fourth down 2.43 times a game over 7 games, up from 1.71 last season. Seattle sits at 1.14, also up from 0.71 but still far more conservative. Chicago's aggressive streak looks like a coaching choice and should hold. On the road, expect the Bears to pass on some punts and field goals, which makes their games swingier and adds variance to totals and spreads.

LAR: 4.14 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.67

LAC is at 2.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; LAR is at 4.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and LAR at 4.47 over 17 games.

CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2.43

Cincinnati's defense gets 3.5 sacks a game over 6 games, ahead of Tennessee's 2.43 over 7. Sack totals depend on the quarterbacks and offensive lines faced, and the sheet doesn't say who those were. Pressure tends to be steadier than turnovers, so Cincinnati's edge should mostly hold. Bettors can lean that way on sack props and on Tennessee's passing game having a rougher afternoon.

GB: 115 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 153.2

Carolina allows 153.2 rushing yards a game over 6 games; Green Bay allows 115 over 7. Run defense numbers grow when a team trails and opponents sit on the ball, so some of Carolina's figure may come from game script. The gap is large enough over six games to take seriously. If Green Bay gets ahead, its backs could see plenty of carries against a soft front.

LAC (0-6) at LAR (3-4)

The Chargers are 0-6 with a -61 margin and 0-3 on the road, and nothing in their numbers points to a turnaround yet. The Rams are 3-4 but +11, a team whose record undersells its scoring margin. The catch is that the Rams are 1-3 at home, so the home field has not helped them. Their margin is the better guide to who they are than that small home sample.

Travis Glover

Knee · Did not practice

Matthew Golden

Shoulder · Did not practice

Jaelan Phillips

Hamstring · Did not practice

Keegan Murray is OUT for SAC

Keegan Murray is out for Sacramento and will be re-evaluated in 10-to-14 days. He's a starting forward, and on a team already short on bodies, more of the load falls on whoever is healthy, including LaVine.

Jayden Quaintance is OUT for SAS

Jayden Quaintance is out for San Antonio, still recovering from knee surgery. He hasn't been part of the rotation, so tonight's lineup shouldn't look any different without him.

Ben Simmons is OUT for SAC

Ben Simmons is out for Sacramento after Achilles surgery. It's a long-term absence the team has already planned around, so don't expect a fresh shift in roles tonight.

Ryan Vilade: .411 OPS in Last 15 Days

Ryan Vilade has a .411 OPS over the last 15 days, well below his .750 season mark, a drop of 0.339. That slump covers only 30 at-bats, which is too few to say his bat has changed. Expect him to drift back toward the season line, and weigh the .750 more heavily than the recent stretch when judging his spot in the MIL @ TB lineup.

P 0-for-1, 0 TB

BOS on a back-to-back, BKN rested

Boston plays on no rest tonight while Brooklyn has had 2 days off. Tired legs on the second night of a back-to-back tend to show up late in games and in shooting. Factor the schedule into how much you trust Boston's starters for a full night.

SAC has lost 3 straight

Sacramento is 0-3 and losing by 14.7 a game, the widest losing margin on tonight's board. Their injury list is long tonight, with Murray, Simmons, Cardwell and Raynaud all out. A depleted roster helps explain the margins, so the slide may hold as long as those players stay out.

P team lost 103-130

BKN has lost 3 straight

Brooklyn is 0-3 and losing by 12.7 a game, so these losses haven't been close. Three games is a short run, but the margin says the gap has been real. They do get a Boston team on no rest tonight, which is the kind of spot where a lopsided start can tighten up.

P team lost 124-125

NYK has lost 3 straight

The Knicks are 0-3, losing by 6.3 a game. That's a modest margin, closer to tight losses than blowouts. Three games is a small sample for a team with Brunson, and the margins suggest a team on the edge of winning these more than one getting run off the floor.

P team won 97-111

DET has won 3 straight

Detroit is 3-0 and winning by 12.7 a game, so the wins have been comfortable. Three games is early, but blowout margins carry more weight than a few close escapes. They play tonight without Jalen Duren, which tests whether that margin holds with a thinner frontcourt.

P team lost 97-111

LAL has won 3 straight

LAL won its last 3 by an average of 13; their last-10 mark is 3-0.

P team lost 136-129

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

T.J. Tampa (CB) is ir-r for BAL

Tampa is a Ravens cornerback who has been on injured reserve with toe and ankle injuries. Baltimore designated him to return Wednesday, which opens his practice window, though it does not mean he plays against Buffalo. Watch whether he gets activated before you count him in the Ravens secondary.

Broderick Washington Jr. (DT) is questionable for BAL

Washington is questionable for Baltimore at Buffalo, and the report lists no injury or recent game detail. He is a defensive tackle, so his absence would mainly thin the interior against the Bills' run game. His final status is the thing to check.

Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is questionable for BAL

Hawkins is questionable for Baltimore at Buffalo, with no injury detail listed. A safety out means a backup handling deep coverage against the Bills. Confirm his status before betting Buffalo passing props.

Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Andrew Wingard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jalen Brooks (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Brooks (wrist) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.

Dee Winters (LB) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Dee Winters as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE

Hall is questionable for Cleveland at Pittsburgh, and the report gives no injury or recent game detail. As a defensive tackle, his status matters most for the interior against the Steelers' run game.

Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

The Falcons designated Williams (ankle) for return to practice from injured reserve Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log. Reported Oct 23.

Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Divine Deablo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is questionable for TB

TB lists Antoine Winfield Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Pierce is on injured reserve with a heel injury, and Shane Steichen said Monday his 21-day practice window will most likely not open in Week 8. That puts him out against Jacksonville with no return timeline yet. Bet the Colts' passing game as if Pierce is not part of it this week.

CJ Allen (LB) is questionable for IND

Allen is questionable for the Colts at Jacksonville, with no injury or practice detail on the report. Questionable means it could go either way. Check the final status before kickoff, since a missing linebacker can open up the middle of the field for the Jaguars.

Bryce Boettcher (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Bryce Boettcher as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR

Landman is questionable for the Rams against the Chargers, and the report lists no injury or practice detail. With McDuffie also questionable, the Rams could be short at more than one spot on defense, so the final inactive list matters for how you view the Chargers' offense.

Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC

Smith is a Chiefs running back placed on injured reserve Saturday with a hamstring injury. He is out for the trip to Denver and will miss at least several weeks. The carries go to the rest of the Kansas City backfield, so look at who else is active before betting any Chiefs rushing props.

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is questionable for DEN

Hufanga is questionable for Denver against Kansas City, with no injury detail listed. A safety absence would put a backup in coverage against the Chiefs' passing game. Check his final status before betting Kansas City receiving props.

Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Badie is a Broncos running back placed on injured reserve Saturday with a thumb injury. He misses the Chiefs game and at least several weeks after. His touches shift to the other Denver backs, which matters most if you are looking at Broncos rushing props.

Willie Gay Jr. (LB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Willie Gay Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI

Bennett (knee) will remain on injured reserve and is inactive for Monday night's matchup with Dallas. Reported Oct 26.

Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Nolan Smith Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

Lane underwent surgery Oct. 9 to repair his fractured and dislocated ankle, and he is expected to be cleared for activities before OTAs, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Oct 22.

T.J. Edwards (LB) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists T.J. Edwards as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jack Sanborn (LB) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Jack Sanborn as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Price (chest) will be designated for return from injured reserve during Week 8, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports. Reported Oct 26.

Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Drake Thomas (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Drake Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Connor O'Toole (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Connor O'Toole as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Shaedon Sharpe is OUT for POR

Shaedon Sharpe is out for Portland after surgery on a torn meniscus in his knee. This is a long-term absence, so the lineup has already adjusted. Look at who has been absorbing his minutes and shots rather than expecting a fresh bump tonight.

Tobias Harris is OUT for SAS

Tobias Harris is out for San Antonio with a left calf strain. That's a veteran forward's minutes to fill, so check who starts in his place before looking at frontcourt player lines.

Cameron Carr is OUT for LAL

Cameron Carr is out for the Lakers with a right oblique strain. Without minutes data on the sheet, the effect on the rotation is hard to judge.

Dylan Cardwell is OUT for SAC

Dylan Cardwell is out for Sacramento with a left calf strain and will be re-evaluated in one week. It thins the frontcourt a little more on a team already missing several players tonight.

Maxime Raynaud is OUT for SAC

Maxime Raynaud is out for Sacramento with a right kneecap subluxation. Reports say he is progressing, but tonight's frontcourt minutes will go elsewhere.

Chris Youngblood is OUT for POR

Chris Youngblood, a two-way player with an ankle injury, is out for Portland. He's a depth piece, so expect little effect on the main rotation.

Adou Thiero is OUT for LAL

Adou Thiero is out for the Lakers with swelling in his left knee. He's a bench piece, so the rotation impact is likely small.

Devin Carter is OUT for BOS

Devin Carter is out for Boston with mononucleosis and has no timetable for a return. That's a backcourt body gone for an unknown stretch, which matters more on a back-to-back when depth gets tested.

Tyler Bilodeau is OUT for BKN

Tyler Bilodeau, a two-way player dealing with a shoulder injury, is out for Brooklyn. He's at the end of the bench, so the rotation shouldn't change much.

Jalen Duren is OUT for DET

Jalen Duren is out for Detroit with a right hamstring strain and will be re-evaluated in two weeks. Losing the starting center affects rebounding and rim protection, so look at who takes the center minutes and how the Knicks attack the paint.

Jose Alvarado is OUT for NYK

Jose Alvarado is out for the Knicks with a left ankle sprain. That takes away a backup guard, which can push more minutes and ball-handling onto the starters.

Joshua Jefferson is OUT for BKN

Joshua Jefferson is on G League assignment and won't play for Brooklyn. No rotation impact.

Grant Nelson is OUT for BKN

Grant Nelson is a two-way player and is out for Brooklyn. No meaningful rotation impact.

Drake Powell is OUT for BKN

Drake Powell is on G League assignment and won't play for Brooklyn. That's a young wing out of the mix, but this is a development move, not an injury.

Ben Saraf is OUT for BKN

Ben Saraf is on G League assignment and is out for Brooklyn. Little effect on the rotation.

Ugonna Onyenso is OUT for DET

Ugonna Onyenso, a two-way player, won't play for Detroit. With Duren also out, Detroit is thinner at center.

Sean Pedulla is OUT for SAC

Sean Pedulla, a two-way player, is out for Sacramento. Minor on its own, but it adds to a long injury list.

Akayleb Evans

Triceps · Did not practice

ARI (2-5) at DAL (3-4)

Dallas is 3-4 but +9 on the year, which suggests it has lost some close games and is better than its record. Arizona's 2-5 comes with a -66 margin, so its record, if anything, flatters it. The home split cuts against Dallas at 1-2, while Arizona is a respectable 2-2 on the road. The point differentials tell a clearer story than the venue records in this one.

TEN (1-6) at CIN (4-2)

Tennessee is 1-6 and -48, and Cincinnati is 4-2 and +41, so the margins match the records on both sides. Cincinnati has won two straight but is only 1-1 at home, a two-game sample that says little. Tennessee is 1-2 on the road. The season-long numbers carry more weight here than the venue splits, and they lean heavily to Cincinnati.

BAL (4-3) at BUF (5-1)

Baltimore's 4-3 comes with just a +2 margin and a two-game losing streak, yet it has been better away from home at 3-1. Buffalo is 5-1, +26 and has won two straight, though only 2-1 at home. The records point one way and the splits soften it a little. Buffalo arrives with the momentum, and Baltimore's road form is the piece that keeps this from being lopsided on paper.

CHI has 3 more days of rest

CHI comes in on a short week (5 days since its last game); SEA on a short week (2 days since its last game). That is a 3-day spacing gap between the sides.

NE has 3 more days of rest

NE comes in on a short week (5 days since its last game); MIA on a short week (2 days since its last game). That is a 3-day spacing gap between the sides.

CAR: 26.5 points per game to GB's 20.6

CAR is at 26.5 points per game over 6 games; GB is at 20.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 18.3 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

JAX: 40% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 60%

IND is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; JAX is at 40% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

GB: 1.86 takeaways per game to CAR's 1.17

Green Bay forces 1.86 takeaways a game over 7 games; Carolina forces 1.17 over 6. Turnover numbers bounce around a lot week to week, and the sheet doesn't show which offenses either team faced. Expect some pullback toward average. It gives Green Bay a modest edge in a turnover-margin sense, nothing to lean on hard.

DET: 2 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

MIN is at 3 sacks taken per game over 6 games; DET is at 2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 4 over 17 games and DET at 3 over 17 games.

LAR: 11.9 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 22

LAC is at 22 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; LAR is at 11.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and LAR at 11.5 over 17 games.

Damien Lewis

Knee · Did not practice

Sean Rhyan

Ankle · Did not practice

Zaire Franklin

Shin · Did not practice

Torricelli Simpkins III

Ankle · Did not practice

NE: 20.4 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.2

NE is at 20.4 points allowed per game over 7 games; MIA is at 26.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.

CHI: 35:30 time of possession per game to SEA's 31:45

Chicago holds the ball 35:30 a game over 7 games, up from 30:59 last season, and Seattle is at 31:45 after 30:12. Both teams are keeping the ball longer, Chicago by a lot. That tracks with an offense that goes for it on fourth down and extends drives. Long Bears possessions shrink the game, so fewer total snaps is the likely shape of this one in Seattle.

ATL: 5.57 yards per play to TB's 4.8

Atlanta gains 5.57 yards a play over 7 games, a bit above last season's 5.38, while Tampa Bay has dropped to 4.8 from 5.12. Tampa still hit two runs of 20-plus in its last game, including Sean Tucker's 46-yard touchdown, so the explosive plays exist even as the average lags. Atlanta had one 20-yard play last time, a 21-yard Drake London score from Michael Penix Jr. Atlanta is the steadier offense, while Tampa's home output may hinge on a few big runs.

MIA: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2

NE is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; MIA is at 1.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 0.94 over 17 games and MIA at 1.41 over 17 games.

KC: 26.7% red-zone scoring allowed to DEN's 45.5%

Teams reach the Kansas City red zone and score just 26.7% of the time over 6 games, compared with 45.5% against Denver over 7. Both are low, and red-zone rates rest on few trips, so Kansas City's number in particular is likely to rise. The sheet gives no schedule detail to explain it. In a game between two stingy red-zone defenses, field goals can matter more than usual for totals.

KC: 99.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 133.3

Kansas City allows 99.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games; Denver allows 133.3 over 7. The sheet doesn't list opponents, and teams that lead late face more runs, so script shapes both numbers. Over six or seven games, a gap this size is meaningful. Kansas City's run game has the softer matchup, worth weighing on running back yardage props.

CAR: 22.3 first downs per game to GB's 17.6

CAR is at 22.3 first downs per game over 6 games; GB is at 17.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.

Jon Gaines II (G) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Jon Gaines II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

Torricelli Simpkins III (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Torricelli Simpkins III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

NE: 21.1 first downs per game to MIA's 16.7

NE is at 21.1 first downs per game over 7 games; MIA is at 16.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 21.2 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.

Dylan Parham (G) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Dylan Parham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

P.J. Locke (S) is ir-r for DAL

Locke (foot) has been downgraded from questionable to out for Monday's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

IND: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to JAX's 40%

IND is at 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; JAX is at 40% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 66.7% over 17 games and JAX at 58.6% over 17 games.

ATL: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 52.2%

ATL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; TB is at 52.2% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ATL was at 62% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.

Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

Dorian Mausi (LB) is ir-r for TEN

Mausi is a Titans linebacker coming back from injured reserve. Tennessee opened his 21-day practice window Wednesday, so he can practice now but has to be activated to play. Whether he suits up in Cincinnati depends on that move, so check the final roster.

GB: 2 sacks taken per game to CAR's 2.83

CAR is at 2.83 sacks taken per game over 6 games; GB is at 2 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 2.19 over 17 games and GB at 2.07 over 17 games.

DET won last season's series 3-0

Detroit swept the Knicks 3-0 last season and won by 28 a game, which was a lopsided series. Tonight is the first meeting this season, and both rosters and form have changed since. Last year's margins are background. This season's games are better evidence for pricing tonight.

NYJ: 187.7 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 230.1

The Jets allow 187.7 passing yards a game over 7 games, while the Raiders allow 230.1 over 7. Without opponent detail on the sheet, it's unclear how much is scheme and how much is weak quarterbacks faced. Yardage over seven games is fairly stable, so the gap should mostly hold. Raiders passing props face the tougher spot here.

LAR is 1-3 at home; LAC is 0-3 on the road

Neither team has done much in this split: LAR is 1-3 at home and LAC has yet to win away, 0-3 on the road. That is four games and three games, too few to say either side has a true home or road problem. The edge here comes from a slightly worse sample on the LAC side, and in a same-city matchup with little travel, the site split should carry less weight than usual.

SAS won last season's series 3-0

San Antonio swept Sacramento 3-0 last season and won by 19.3 a game. Tonight is the first meeting this season. Last season's results are a reference point, and tonight's injury report matters more than an old sweep.

WSH: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 131.4

Washington allows 100.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games; Philadelphia allows 131.4 over 7. Game script plays a role, since defenses holding leads see more runs, and the sheet doesn't say who either played. The difference is solid over this sample. Washington's backs get the friendlier matchup in this one.

NYJ: 3.8 yards per rush attempt to LV's 2.96

LV is at 2.96 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; NYJ is at 3.8 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 3.38 over 17 games and NYJ at 4.53 over 17 games.

ATL (3-4) at TB (2-5), a division game

Tampa Bay is 2-5 but +11 on the year, a record that undersells a team that has lost close games. Atlanta is 3-4 and -2, about what its record says. The strange piece is Tampa Bay's 0-4 home mark against Atlanta's 2-1 road record. Point differential favors the Buccaneers while the venue splits favor the Falcons, and in a division game that tension is the whole read.

KC: 39.4% third-down conversion rate to DEN's 31.1%

KC is at 39.4% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; DEN is at 31.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and DEN at 41.2% over 17 games.

LAR: 0.57 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1.17

LAC is at 1.17 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; LAR is at 0.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 0.41 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.

WSH: 31:05 time of possession per game to PHI's 27:40

Washington holds the ball 31:05 a game over 6 games, up from 28:41 last season. Philadelphia has fallen to 27:40 over 7 games from 30:11. The flip makes sense with Washington running more and the Eagles' ground game down. At home, Washington is the team more likely to control the clock, which keeps Philly's offense on the sideline and can drag the game toward fewer possessions.

ATL: 2.29 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.14

ATL is at 2.29 sacks taken per game over 7 games; TB is at 3.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and TB at 2.38 over 17 games.

Montaric Brown (CB) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Montaric Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

LV: 49.6 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 69

LV is at 49.6 penalty yards per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 69 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.

BUF: 6.55 yards per play to BAL's 5.91

Buffalo gains 6.55 yards a play over 6 games, up from 5.94 last season, and Baltimore is at 5.91, right where it was. Josh Allen hit four passes of 20-plus last game, including 37 yards to Joshua Palmer and two to James Cook III. Baltimore had two, both from Tyler Huntley to Zay Flowers, including a 48-yard score. Buffalo's jump could cool, but at home its passing game is the side more likely to create big plays.

PIT: 0.29 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 0.86

Cleveland loses 0.86 fumbles a game over 7 games, more than double last season's 0.41. Pittsburgh is at 0.29, close to its 0.35. Fumbles lost are mostly luck, so Cleveland's number is the one likely to come back down. Factor in some extra giveaway risk for the Browns on the road, but don't build a whole case around it.

LAL outscored teams by 1.8 a game last season, POR was outscored by 0.3

LAL outscored teams by 1.8 a game last season, POR was outscored by 0.3. 2025-26 regular season: LAL over 82 games, POR over 82.

SAS outscored teams by 0.0 a game this season, SAC was outscored by 14.7

SAS outscored teams by 0.0 a game this season, SAC was outscored by 14.7. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 3 games, SAC over 3.

DET outscored teams by 12.7 a game this season, NYK was outscored by 6.3

DET outscored teams by 12.7 a game this season, NYK was outscored by 6.3. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 3 games, DET over 3.

BOS outscored teams by 10.3 a game this season, BKN was outscored by 12.7

BOS outscored teams by 10.3 a game this season, BKN was outscored by 12.7. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 3 games, BKN over 3.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 7 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1398 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 4 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 6.35 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 5 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1157 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 8.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 6 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 1057 passing yards, completed 57.6% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

CHI: 72.1 offensive plays per game to SEA's 64

CHI is at 72.1 offensive plays per game over 7 games; SEA is at 64 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and SEA at 59.7 over 17 games.

LV: 1.71 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1.14

LV is at 1.71 takeaways per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 7 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1699 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 6.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 7 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1482 passing yards, completed 64.8% of his passes and averaged 7.06 yards per attempt. His 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 7 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1623 passing yards, completed 70% of his passes and averaged 7.84 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 7 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1877 passing yards, completed 62.6% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 16-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

LV: 4 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 2.86

LV is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 2.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.24 over 17 games.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 6 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1788 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 8.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 5 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 812 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 7 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1851 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 6.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 7 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1600 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 6 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1653 passing yards, completed 71.7% of his passes and averaged 7.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 7 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 1179 passing yards, completed 62% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Joe Alt (OT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Joe Alt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 7 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1784 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 4 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1020 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.23 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 4 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 759 passing yards, completed 64.7% of his passes and averaged 6.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC

Jackson is a Chargers cornerback listed as questionable for the game against the Rams. The report gives no injury or practice detail, so there is little to go on. If he sits, the Rams' passing game faces a thinner secondary, so watch his status before kickoff.

Erick All Jr. (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed All (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Tanner McKee threw for 426 passing yards, completed 61.3% of his passes and averaged 5.33 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 6 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1504 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 8.79 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 4 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 727 passing yards, completed 69.8% of his passes and averaged 6.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 7 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1958 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 7.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 6 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1712 passing yards, completed 59.2% of his passes and averaged 7.51 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 6 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1480 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 8.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

ARI: 1.14 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.57

ARI is at 1.14 takeaways per game over 7 games; DAL is at 0.57 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 6 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 62.1% of his passes and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 6 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 1141 passing yards, completed 59.4% of his passes and averaged 6.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 7 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1989 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 6 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1474 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 7.72 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 7 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1271 passing yards, completed 59.2% of his passes and averaged 5.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.

Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Kmet (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 23.

Charles Omenihu (DE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Charles Omenihu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Rodney Shelley (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Rodney Shelley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

BAL: 23.9 points allowed per game to BUF's 28.5

BAL is at 23.9 points allowed per game over 7 games; BUF is at 28.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season BAL was at 23.4 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.

JAX: 11.8 sack yards lost per game to IND's 19.3

IND is at 19.3 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; JAX is at 11.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and JAX at 20.6 over 17 games.

NE: 72.7% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 50%

NE is at 72.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; MIA is at 50% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 72% over 17 games and MIA at 47.8% over 17 games.

TEN: 40.7% third downs allowed to CIN's 48.1%

Tennessee lets opponents convert 40.7% of third downs over 7 games; Cincinnati allows 48.1% over 6. Third-down rates depend on the distances offenses face, and the sheet doesn't show schedules, so both can move. Cincinnati's number is high enough to matter. Tennessee drives have a better chance to stay alive, which nudges toward more possessions finishing in points.

TB: 217.4 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 255.6

Tampa Bay allows 217.4 passing yards a game over 7 games; Atlanta allows 255.6 over 7. The sheet doesn't list opponents, and teams that fall behind see more passing, so script inflates some of Atlanta's number. Over seven games the gap is fairly reliable. Tampa Bay's passing game has the easier matchup on paper.

WSH: 5.13 yards per play to PHI's 4.53

Washington gains 5.13 yards a play over 6 games, down from 5.53 last season. Philadelphia has dropped harder, to 4.53 over 7 games from 5.27. Both offenses are less efficient, but the Eagles' slide is steeper and comes alongside their weaker running game. If Philly's efficiency stays this low, Washington has the edge at home in moving the ball.

Milwaukee Brewers pen: 13 relief IP across 3 games

Aaron Ashby worked 2 games (48 pitches); Trevor Megill worked 1 game (20 pitches; 2.63 season ERA over 61.2 IP). The pen allowed 2 ER in that 13-IP span (Oct 23–Oct 26).

BOS scored 118.0 points a game this season, BKN 111.0

BOS scored 118.0 points a game this season, BKN 111.0. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 3 games, BKN over 3.

DET scored 118.3 points a game this season, NYK 101.7

DET scored 118.3 points a game this season, NYK 101.7. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 3 games, DET over 3.

SAS scored 112.0 points a game this season, SAC 109.3

SAS scored 112.0 points a game this season, SAC 109.3. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 3 games, SAC over 3.

LAL scored 116.3 points a game last season, POR 115.5

LAL scored 116.3 points a game last season, POR 115.5. 2025-26 regular season: LAL over 82 games, POR over 82.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks (core) was seen jogging at practice Thursday, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. Reported Oct 15.

Taylor Moton (OT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said that Parsons (knee) won't practice in Week 7, Weston Hodkiewicz of the team's official site reports. "He has to clear some hurdles yet before we get to that point," LaFleur said. Reported Oct 19.

Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Moore (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

Jacob Monk (C) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

Ed Oliver (DT) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Ed Oliver as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Tom Kennedy (WR) is on injured reserve for DET

Kennedy is a Lions wide receiver placed on injured reserve on Oct 17 with a knee injury. He is out against Minnesota. He sits deeper in Detroit's receiver group, so his absence changes little for the main pass catchers.

Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Injured reserve means Wilson is out for this game against Cleveland and for at least the next several weeks, so there is no game-time decision here. He went on IR with a finger injury, reported Oct 17. The facts don't spell out his role in the Steelers receiver room, so the size of the loss is unclear. When pricing Pittsburgh's passing game, count him out entirely and lean on the receivers who are actually active.

Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Jerrell (biceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

Cam Taylor-Britt (CB) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Taylor-Britt on injured reserve Tuesday due to a groin injury, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 27.

Anton Harrison (OT) is on injured reserve for JAX

Harrison was diagnosed with a torn ACL while undergoing a procedure on his right knee Thursday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 24.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Derwin James Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Bud Dupree (LB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Bud Dupree as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams coach Sean McVay said Friday that Garrett (knee) could have his 21-day practice window opened next week, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 23.

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

Adams (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 20.

Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Turner (groin) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 21.

Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE

Bryant (ankle) was a full participant at the Patriots' practice Tuesday. Reported Oct 21.

Romeo Doubs (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Doubs (shoulder) is hopeful to return after the Patriots' Week 11 bye and isn't expected to face a long-term absence, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 19.

Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Shipley (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 16.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Croskey-Merritt (groin) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 19.

BAL: 31:55 time of possession per game to BUF's 29:04

BAL is at 31:55 time of possession per game over 7 games; BUF is at 29:04 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season BAL was at 29:11 over 17 games and BUF at 33:09 over 17 games.

ARI: 2.14 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1.43

Arizona gets 2.14 sacks a game over 7 games; Dallas gets 1.43 over 7. Neither pass rush is dominant, and the sheet doesn't say which lines they faced. Sack rates hold up better than turnovers, so Arizona's small edge should mostly stay. It modestly favors Arizona on sack props, nothing more.

WSH: 1.83 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.14

PHI is at 1.14 sacks recorded per game over 7 games; WSH is at 1.83 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

TB: 52.6% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 66.7%

Tampa Bay lets opponents score on 52.6% of red-zone trips over 7 games; Atlanta allows 66.7%. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of trips, so both should drift toward the middle. The sheet gives no opponent context. Tampa Bay's offense has the better red-zone matchup, which matters most for touchdown props.

CHI: 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%

CHI is at 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; SEA is at 78.6% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

PHI: 37.9% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 30.9%

PHI is at 37.9% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; WSH is at 30.9% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season PHI was at 37.1% over 17 games and WSH at 37.6% over 17 games.

PIT: 91 rushing yards allowed per game to CLE's 116.4

Pittsburgh allows 91 rushing yards a game over 7 games; Cleveland allows 116.4 over 7. The sheet doesn't show who either faced, and game script shapes run totals. Pittsburgh's number is strong enough over seven games to trust. Cleveland's backs face the tougher front in this one.

NYJ: 96.4 rushing yards per game to LV's 74.7

LV is at 74.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 96.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 77.5 over 17 games and NYJ at 123.3 over 17 games.

CIN: 1.5 takeaways per game to TEN's 1

TEN is at 1 takeaways per game over 7 games; CIN is at 1.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

Brewers are 2-1 vs Rays this season

Milwaukee has taken two of three from Tampa Bay this season, and the most recent meeting was an 8-2 win. Three games is a tiny sample, and the sheet doesn't say who pitched or where those games were played. Tonight is in Tampa with different starters, so the head-to-head record should count for little next to tonight's pitching matchup and current form.

DAL: 5.1 sack yards lost per game to ARI's 11.7

ARI is at 11.7 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; DAL is at 5.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 24.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.

BOS won last season's series 3-1

Boston won last season's series 3-1 and won by 11.8 a game across 4 meetings. Tonight is the first meeting this season. It's background context, and tonight's back-to-back for Boston is the more current factor.

BUF: 4.33 red-zone trips per game to BAL's 3.43

BAL is at 3.43 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; BUF is at 4.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.

WSH: 22 points per game to PHI's 18.1

PHI is at 18.1 points per game over 7 games; WSH is at 22 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and WSH at 20.9 over 17 games.

LAR: 68.3 offensive plays per game to LAC's 61.8

LAC is at 61.8 offensive plays per game over 6 games; LAR is at 68.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 64.4 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.

LV: 20.9 first downs per game to NYJ's 17.6

LV is at 20.9 first downs per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 17.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 15.1 over 17 games and NYJ at 16 over 17 games.

MIN: 32:43 time of possession per game to DET's 30:12

MIN is at 32:43 time of possession per game over 6 games; DET is at 30:12 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 28:20 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.

POR on 4d, LAL on 2d

Portland comes in on 4 days of rest and the Lakers on 2. Both teams are rested, so the gap is small and unlikely to decide much on its own.

NE: 5.4 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.93

New England allows 5.4 yards per play over 7 games, about half a yard less than Miami's 5.93 over 6. Half a yard a play adds up over a full game, and it says the Patriots have been harder to move on. Without opponent or last-season context, we can't tell how much of that gap comes from who each team has faced. For this game, it leans toward New England's offense finding more room than Miami's.

DAL: 25.7 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.7

ARI is at 29.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; DAL is at 25.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.

BAL: 0.43 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 0.83

BAL is at 0.43 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; BUF is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season BAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and BUF at 0.53 over 17 games.

Devonte Wyatt

Ankle · Limited practice

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Limited practice

PHI: 25 points allowed per game to WSH's 28.7

PHI is at 25 points allowed per game over 7 games; WSH is at 28.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season PHI was at 19.1 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.

NE: 62.4 offensive plays per game to MIA's 56.3

NE is at 62.4 offensive plays per game over 7 games; MIA is at 56.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

JAX: 25.7 points per game to IND's 22

IND is at 22 points per game over 7 games; JAX is at 25.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.

LV: 64.3 offensive plays per game to NYJ's 58.1

LV is at 64.3 offensive plays per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 58.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and NYJ at 59.4 over 17 games.

DET: 66.3 offensive plays per game to MIN's 60.5

MIN is at 60.5 offensive plays per game over 6 games; DET is at 66.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.

CIN: 60.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 54.3

TEN is at 54.3 offensive plays per game over 7 games; CIN is at 60.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and CIN at 62.2 over 17 games.

Brenton Cox Jr.

Quadriceps · Limited practice

TB: 1.71 takeaways per game to ATL's 1.29

ATL is at 1.29 takeaways per game over 7 games; TB is at 1.71 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

BOS allowed 107.7 points a game this season, BKN 123.7

BOS allowed 107.7 points a game this season, BKN 123.7. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 3 games, BKN over 3.

DET allowed 105.7 points a game this season, NYK 108.0

DET allowed 105.7 points a game this season, NYK 108.0. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 3 games, DET over 3.

LAL allowed 114.6 points a game last season, POR 115.8

LAL allowed 114.6 points a game last season, POR 115.8. 2025-26 regular season: LAL over 82 games, POR over 82.

MIA: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 1.14

NE is at 1.14 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; MIA is at 0.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 0.47 over 17 games and MIA at 1.06 over 17 games.

TB: 36.4% third downs allowed to ATL's 42.4%

Tampa Bay has let opponents convert 36.4% of third downs over 7 games, while Atlanta allows 42.4%. That gap means the Bucs get off the field more often and give opponents fewer extended drives. There's no schedule or prior-season context to test it, and third-down rates move a lot over 7 games. For this game, Tampa's offense staying on schedule against Atlanta is the spot the numbers favor.

IND: 30% third downs allowed to JAX's 36.2%

IND is at 30% third downs allowed over 7 games; JAX is at 36.2% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

LAR: 4.91 yards per play allowed to LAC's 5.4

The Rams allow 4.91 yards per play over 7 games, about half a yard better than the Chargers at 5.4 over 6. That puts the Rams among the stingier units on a per-snap basis. Without opponent or last-season numbers, we can't say whether the schedule has helped. For this game, the Rams' defense looks like the tougher one to move the ball against.

KC: 19.5 first downs per game to DEN's 16.6

KC is at 19.5 first downs per game over 6 games; DEN is at 16.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season KC was at 19.8 over 17 games and DEN at 19.6 over 17 games.

LV: 1.86 fourth-down attempts per game to NYJ's 1.14

LV is at 1.86 fourth-down attempts per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 1.88 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.41 over 17 games.

MIN: 80% fourth-down conversion rate to DET's 61.5%

MIN is at 80% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; DET is at 61.5% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and DET at 58.1% over 17 games.

CAR: 41% third-down conversion rate to GB's 35.2%

CAR is at 41% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; GB is at 35.2% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 36.1% over 17 games and GB at 48.8% over 17 games.

NYJ: 0.71 turnovers committed per game to LV's 1.14

LV is at 1.14 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 1.35 over 17 games and NYJ at 1.35 over 17 games.

Thomas Incoom (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Incoom (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

Tavius Robinson (LB) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Robinson (pectoral) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Joseph is a Lions safety on the PUP list with a knee injury. Dan Campbell said he is in a good headspace and expects him to play at some point this season, with no timeline given. He is not a factor against Minnesota, and Detroit keeps using its current safeties.

PHI (2-5) at WSH (1-4-1), a division game

Philadelphia has lost five straight and is 2-5 with a -48 margin, so the slide is backed by the scoreboard. Washington is 1-4-1 and -40, not much better, and 1-1-1 at home. Neither team's record looks out of line with how it has played. This is a division game between two struggling sides, so the numbers give no strong edge either way.

Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets placed Mauigoa (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.

Kalia Davis (DT) is on injured reserve for CLE

Kalia Davis will spend the rest of the season on injured reserve with a quadriceps injury after his 21-day practice window expired Tuesday. He will not play at Pittsburgh or again this year, so Cleveland's defensive line rotation carries on without him. The sheet does not name who absorbs his snaps at defensive tackle.

Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

Sebastian Joseph-Day, a defensive tackle, went on injured reserve with a triceps injury, and the Steelers made the move Oct 23. IR means he is out for this game against Cleveland and several weeks beyond it, so there is no game-day call to wait on. The fact sheet does not say how much he played or who takes his snaps, so look for news on the next man up in Pittsburgh's interior line rotation before judging how much the Browns' run game gains.

Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday, Scott Smith of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.

Ross Matiscik (LS) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Ross Matiscik as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jonah Elliss (LB) is on injured reserve for DEN

The Broncos placed Elliss (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Aaron Banks

Knee · Limited practice

CLE: 19 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 25.1

CLE is at 19 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; PIT is at 25.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CLE was at 20.3 over 17 games and PIT at 14.8 over 17 games.

GB: 11.1 sack yards lost per game to CAR's 17.2

CAR is at 17.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; GB is at 11.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CAR was at 16 over 17 games and GB at 16.3 over 17 games.

ARI: 68.4 offensive plays per game to DAL's 62.9

ARI is at 68.4 offensive plays per game over 7 games; DAL is at 62.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and DAL at 65.9 over 17 games.

BUF: 2 sacks taken per game to BAL's 2.57

BAL is at 2.57 sacks taken per game over 7 games; BUF is at 2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and BUF at 2.86 over 17 games.

BUF: 11.8 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 17.3

BAL is at 17.3 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; BUF is at 11.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season BAL was at 17.2 over 17 games and BUF at 21.3 over 17 games.

KC: 23.8 points per game to DEN's 20.6

KC is at 23.8 points per game over 6 games; DEN is at 20.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season KC was at 21.3 over 17 games and DEN at 23.6 over 17 games.

LAR: 31:48 time of possession per game to LAC's 29:36

LAC is at 29:36 time of possession per game over 6 games; LAR is at 31:48 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LAC was at 32:45 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.

IND: 65.6 offensive plays per game to JAX's 60.2

IND is at 65.6 offensive plays per game over 7 games; JAX is at 60.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and JAX at 64.3 over 17 games.

NE: 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 65.4%

NE is at 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; MIA is at 65.4% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

PIT: 31:38 time of possession per game to CLE's 29:27

CLE is at 29:27 time of possession per game over 7 games; PIT is at 31:38 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CLE was at 29:18 over 17 games and PIT at 28:25 over 17 games.

CAR: 5.8 yards per play to GB's 5.34

Carolina is gaining more per snap than Green Bay this season, a big jump from 4.92 last season, while Green Bay has slipped from 5.61. Six and seven games is a real but early sample, and Carolina's last game leaned on two chunk plays, including a 50-yard trick-pass touchdown from Darren Waller. Green Bay hit six plays of 20-plus yards in its last game through Jordan Love, so at home it is the side more likely to dictate with explosives. Ask whether Carolina's gain holds up on the road before trusting it.

GB: 4.87 yards per play allowed to CAR's 5.32

Green Bay allows 4.87 yards per play over 7 games, while Carolina gives up 5.32 over 6. The Packers have been the harder defense to gain yards on, by close to half a yard a snap. There's no opponent or prior-season context here to show how much schedule shaped it. For this game, the numbers point to Green Bay's offense having the easier path to yards.

ARI: 126.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 145.7

ARI is at 126.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; DAL is at 145.7 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 26.

NYJ: 0.29 interceptions thrown per game to LV's 0.71

LV is at 0.71 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 0.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season LV was at 1.12 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.

MIA: 4.72 yards per rush attempt to NE's 4.17

NE is at 4.17 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; MIA is at 4.72 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season NE was at 4.4 over 17 games and MIA at 4.64 over 17 games.

CHI: 0.71 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.14

CHI is at 0.71 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; SEA is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CHI was at 0.41 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

POR made 14.5 threes a game last season, LAL 11.8

POR made 14.5 threes a game last season, LAL 11.8. 2025-26 regular season: LAL over 82 games, POR over 82.

Teven Jenkins (G) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Jenkins (back) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

SAS made 12.3 threes a game this season, SAC 8.7

SAS made 12.3 threes a game this season, SAC 8.7. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 3 games, SAC over 3.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson (ankle), who is eligible to come off injured reserve next week, isn't expected to be ready at that time, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 20.

Tanner Hudson (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Hudson (pectoral) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Monday. Reported Oct 19.

C.J. Gardner-Johnson (S) is reserve-sus for BUF

BUF lists C.J. Gardner-Johnson as reserve-sus on the injury report. Reported Oct 28.

Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days

Jonny DeLuca has a .857 OPS over his last 42 at-bats, up from .728 for the season. A handful of extra-base hits can move a number that fast in so few at-bats. His full season, with 11 home runs, is the better guide, and the hot stretch is likely to settle back toward it. Against a 1.5 total-bases line in MIL @ TB, start from the season baseline and treat the recent bump as a secondary factor.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

CHI: 44% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 38.9%

CHI is at 44% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; SEA is at 38.9% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CHI was at 42.7% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

TB: 21.6 points allowed per game to ATL's 24.7

ATL is at 24.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; TB is at 21.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.

CHI: 4.3 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.79

CHI is at 4.3 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; SEA is at 3.79 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 26. Last season CHI was at 4.75 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

BOS made 17.7 threes a game this season, BKN 15.0

BOS made 17.7 threes a game this season, BKN 15.0. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 3 games, BKN over 3.

DET made 15.7 threes a game this season, NYK 12.0

DET made 15.7 threes a game this season, NYK 12.0. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 3 games, DET over 3.

Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE

Vera-Tucker (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Patriots on Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

POR won last season's series 2-1

Portland won last season's series 2-1, winning by 7.3 a game across 3 meetings. Three games against a Lakers roster that has changed is thin evidence, and tonight is the first meeting this season.

SAS on 3d, SAC on 2d

San Antonio has 3 days of rest and Sacramento has 2. Both teams are fresh, so the schedule offers no real edge.

Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Odeyingbo (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

BKN played at 104.5 possessions a game this season, BOS 99.8

BKN played at 104.5 possessions a game this season, BOS 99.8. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 3 games, BKN over 3.

DET played at 99.5 possessions a game this season, NYK 98.0

DET played at 99.5 possessions a game this season, NYK 98.0. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 3 games, DET over 3.

DAL is on a short week

ARI comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); DAL on a short week (1 days since its last game).

PHI lead the series with WSH since 2025

These three games have been close or split. Philadelphia won 29-18 in Washington last December, Washington answered 24-17 in Philadelphia on Jan 4, and the Eagles edged them 24-22 on Sep 13. Two of the three were one-score games, and the road team has won twice. With this one in Washington, the series gives no reason to expect either side to pull away.

DEN lead the series with KC since 2025

Denver won both meetings last season by a field goal or a touchdown, 22-19 at home and 20-13 in Kansas City on Christmas. The most recent game flipped hard: Kansas City won 31-10 at home on Sep 14. That blowout is one game, and the two before it were close. With this one in Denver, lean on the tight pattern of last season more than one lopsided September result.

SAC played at 103.5 possessions a game this season, SAS 101.0

SAC played at 103.5 possessions a game this season, SAS 101.0. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 3 games, SAC over 3.

CLE lead the series with PIT since 2025

Cleveland has two of the three meetings, both at home: 13-6 last December and 27-24 on Oct 1. Pittsburgh's lone win came in its own building, 23-9 last October. This one is in Pittsburgh, and in this series the home team has won all three, so the 2-1 edge for Cleveland matters less than where the game is played. Two of the three stayed low scoring and the latest was a field-goal finish, so a tight game is the base case.

POR played at 101.6 possessions a game last season, LAL 99.2

POR played at 101.6 possessions a game last season, LAL 99.2. 2025-26 regular season: LAL over 82 games, POR over 82.

POR grabbed 46.0 rebounds a game last season, LAL 41.0

POR grabbed 46.0 rebounds a game last season, LAL 41.0. 2025-26 regular season: LAL over 82 games, POR over 82.

Javon Hargrave (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Hargrave (Achilles) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

Jonathan Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Ford (calf) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

Devin White (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

White is on injured reserve with a forearm injury, placed there Friday per the Oct 17 report, so he will not suit up against Minnesota. IR means at least several games out, and Detroit's linebacker group plays without him. How much that matters depends on his snap share, which the fact sheet doesn't give, so weigh it as a depth loss on the Lions' defense rather than a starter-sized hole.

Denzel Perryman (LB) is on injured reserve for LAC

Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh said Wednesday that Perryman (undisclosed) won't be reinstated from injured reserve ahead of Sunday's game against the Chiefs, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 15.

Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.

Javontae Jean-Baptiste (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Jean-Baptiste (pectoral) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 19.

BOS grabbed 43.3 rebounds a game this season, BKN 42.0

BOS grabbed 43.3 rebounds a game this season, BKN 42.0. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 3 games, BKN over 3.

SAS grabbed 42.7 rebounds a game this season, SAC 42.7

SAS grabbed 42.7 rebounds a game this season, SAC 42.7. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 3 games, SAC over 3.

DET grabbed 52.0 rebounds a game this season, NYK 47.3

DET grabbed 52.0 rebounds a game this season, NYK 47.3. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 3 games, DET over 3.

Branden Carlson is Questionable for POR

Branden Carlson is questionable for Portland while in concussion protocol. Concussion clearance often comes late, so check his status close to tip if it matters for frontcourt lines.

Isaac Jones is Questionable for DET

Isaac Jones, a two-way player, is questionable for Detroit. With Duren out, he could get some minutes at center if he plays.

Elijah Harkless is Questionable for DET

Elijah Harkless, a two-way player, is questionable for Detroit. Little rotation impact either way.

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.

Isaiah Joe is Questionable for DET

Isaiah Joe is questionable for Detroit with a right hip contusion. He gives them spacing off the bench, so watch his status if you're looking at Detroit's three-point output.

Ausar Thompson is Questionable for DET

Ausar Thompson is questionable for Detroit with a right ankle sprain. He's a key defender on the wing, so his status affects how well Detroit can guard Brunson. Check before tip.

Ben Bartch (G) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Bartch (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

Blake Grupe (PK) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday's 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 19.

Alec Ingold (FB) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Ingold on injured reserve Thursday due to a shoulder injury. Reported Oct 15.

CAR (3-3) at GB (4-3)

Both teams sit near even: Carolina is 3-3 at -7, Green Bay is 4-3 at -1, and each lost its last game. The splits mirror each other too, Carolina 2-1 on the road and Green Bay 2-1 at home. Nothing on either sheet suggests a team that is much better or worse than its record. Expect the matchup to look as close as these numbers do.

ATL is on a short week

ATL comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); TB on a short week (2 days since its last game).

LV is on a short week

LV comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); NYJ on a short week (2 days since its last game).

KC is on a short week

KC comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); DEN on a short week (2 days since its last game).

MIN is on a short week

MIN comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); DET on a short week (2 days since its last game).

TEN is on a short week

TEN comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); CIN on a short week (2 days since its last game).

CAR is on a short week

CAR comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); GB on a short week (2 days since its last game).

MIN lead the series with DET since 2025

Minnesota won both games last season: 27-24 in Detroit in November and 23-10 at home on Christmas. The road win was a three-point game, the home win was comfortable. That is two games from last season, so it says little about either roster now. Back in Detroit, the closer November meeting is the better model for this spot.

ATL and TB are even since 2025

This series could not have been tighter last season. Tampa Bay won 23-20 in Atlanta in Week 1, and Atlanta won 29-28 in Tampa in December. The road team took both, each by a field goal or less. Two games is a thin sample, but both say a coin-flip finish, which makes the points on the spread worth more than the side here.

JAX lead the series with IND since 2025

Jacksonville won both meetings last December. The first was a rout, 36-19 at home, and the second was closer, 23-17 in Indianapolis. Both games came in the same month of last season, so they show where the teams stood then, not now. With this one in Jacksonville, the home blowout is the result to weigh against what each team has shown this year.

NE lead the series with MIA since 2025

New England won both meetings last season, a 33-27 shootout in Miami in Week 2 and a 38-10 rout at home on Jan 4. The Patriots scored 33 or more in both. That is two games, but both say Miami had no answer for this offense. Back in Miami, the closer September game is the fairer guide to how this one sets up.

CHI (5-2) at SEA (4-3)

Seattle is 4-3 but +43, a larger margin than Chicago's +37 despite one more loss, so Seattle's record likely undersells it. Chicago has won two straight and is 2-1 on the road, while Seattle is 3-1 at home. Chicago has the better record and the momentum, and Seattle has the stronger scoring margin and home form. Those two pictures pulling apart is what makes this spot interesting.

CLE is on a short week

CLE comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); PIT on a short week (2 days since its last game).

Bryce Young

Full practice

Both sides on 2 days rest

Both teams come in on 2 days of rest, so the schedule gives neither side an edge tonight.

Jalen Coker

Full practice

Bobby Brown III

Full practice

Benjamin St-Juste

Full practice

LV (3-4) at NYJ (2-5)

Las Vegas has lost four straight, Jersey two, and the margins are nearly identical at -14 and -13. The Raiders are 2-1 on the road and the Jets 1-2 at home, short samples on both sides. Nothing here separates these teams much, so the venue splits and the length of the Raiders' losing streak are the main things a bettor has to weigh.

ARI lead the series with DAL since 2025

Arizona won the only meeting, 27-17 in Dallas last November. That is one game from last season, so it carries little weight now. This one is back in Dallas, and a single ten-point road win is not enough to say Arizona has the Cowboys figured out.

CAR lead the series with GB since 2025

CAR has taken 1 of the last 1. Nov 2, 2025: CAR 16 at GB 13.

BUF lead the series with BAL since 2025

The only meeting was a classic: Buffalo won 41-40 at home in Week 1 last season. That is one game, and it was decided by a single point after both offenses ran wild. It gives no real edge to either side, though it does show what these two offenses can do to each other when the game opens up.