Sports picks for Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers pen: 17 relief IP across 3 games

Aaron Ashby worked 2 games (59 pitches); Trevor Megill worked 1 game (5 pitches; 2.63 season ERA over 61.2 IP). The pen allowed 2 ER in that 17-IP span (Oct 24–Oct 27).

Tampa Bay Rays pen: 16.2 relief IP across 3 games

Tyler Wells worked all 3 games (48 pitches); Bryan Baker worked 1 game (21 pitches; 1.44 season ERA over 62.1 IP). The pen allowed 8 ER in that 16.2-IP span (Oct 24–Oct 27).

Brewers 8-0 in Jacob Misiorowski's last 8 starts

Milwaukee keeps winning when Misiorowski starts, but a team record counts the lineup's runs and the bullpen's innings along with his own pitching. Eight starts is a short run, and the sheet gives no line on how he pitched in those games, so the streak describes the club behind him more than the arm. Runs like this end. At Tampa Bay, judge him on the matchup and the price, and let the 8-0 add a little confidence without carrying the case.

NE: 253 team passing yards per game to MIA's 162

New England throws for 91 more yards a game than Miami, and the Patriots' 253 is almost exactly last season's 250.5, so that side is stable. Miami dropped from 180.5 last season to 162 over six games, which may tick back up some. If Miami cannot match New England's passing volume, the Dolphins likely need to win this game on the ground or on defense.

KC: 6.33 yards per play to DEN's 4.67

Kansas City gains 6.33 yards per play to Denver's 4.67, so the Chiefs move the ball much more easily snap for snap. Both teams flipped from last season, when Kansas City was at 5.05 and Denver at 5.32, so six and seven games may be overstating the gap in both directions. Some pull back toward last season is likely, which makes the size of this edge the thing to doubt when sizing up a Chiefs spread in Denver.

MIN: 12.3 points allowed per game to DET's 27.5

Minnesota's defense allows 12.3 points a game, and Detroit's offense scores 27.5, so something has to give. The Vikings allowed 19.6 last season, so this six-game run is a big jump that could come back toward that mark, while Detroit's 24.3 from last season says the Lions' scoring is closer to normal. In totals and spreads, weigh which number is more likely to slide: a defense this far ahead of its own history is the usual candidate.

MIN: 155 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 291.8

Minnesota has been stingy through the air at 155 a game, while Detroit has given up 291.8 over the same six games. Six games is a real start but still a small window, and these numbers say nothing about which quarterbacks each side has seen. The gap is wide enough that Minnesota's passing game walks into the softer matchup here. When you look at passing props or totals, start from the idea that Detroit's secondary is the one more likely to give.

MIN: 23.1% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 72%

Minnesota has let opponents score on only 23.1% of red-zone trips, while Detroit has allowed 72% over six games. Red-zone rates swing on a handful of possessions, so Minnesota's number is likely to drift upward. Detroit's mark points to a defense that bends and then breaks near the goal line. For this game, that tilts the question of who turns drives into touchdowns rather than field goals toward Minnesota.

NE: 253 pass yards a game to MIA's 162

New England throws for 253 yards a game to Miami's 162, and the Patriots were at 250.5 last season, so their side is steady. Miami has dropped from 180.5 last season, which makes the gap wider than it was a year ago. Over six and seven games, this looks like a real difference. Miami needs to run and protect possession at home, and a Dolphins team chasing points through the air has not shown it can keep up.

LAR: 274.1 pass yards a game to LAC's 168.2

The Rams average 274.1 passing yards over seven games, while the Chargers sit at 168.2 over six, well down from 212.2 last season. The Rams number matches their 268.1 from last year, so that side looks stable. The Chargers drop is the part more likely to move back toward last season. The Rams can attack through the air, but the Chargers have shown more passing ability before, so a closer passing game than the season numbers suggest is possible.

DET: 282.3 pass yards a game to MIN's 162.3

Detroit is passing for 282.3 yards a game through 6 games, up from 253.1 last season. Minnesota is at 162.3 through 6 games, close to its 166.7 last season, so the low number is steady. Minnesota has to win with a slower game that limits Detroit's possessions, because trading passes with this offense plays into Detroit's hands. Think about how the game script shapes the total and the side: an early Detroit lead forces Minnesota out of its plan.

CIN: 264 pass yards a game to TEN's 157.4

Cincinnati is throwing for 264 yards a game through 6 games, up from 235.6 last season, while Tennessee sits at 157.4 through 7 games after 166.1 last season. That gap has two full seasons of support, so it looks like who these offenses are. Tennessee's path is to run the ball, shorten the game and keep Cincinnati's passing attack on the sideline. If the Titans fall behind early, they lose that option and the game tilts toward Cincinnati's strength.

Marcus Mariota (QB) is questionable for WSH

Marcus Mariota is questionable with a knee injury. Dan Quinn said Monday he is on track to return to practice this week. Questionable means a real chance he plays against Philadelphia, so the practice reports later this week will tell you more than anything today.

Terry McLaurin (WR) is out for WSH

Terry McLaurin is done for the season. Dan Quinn said an MRI confirmed a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, announced Oct 20. Washington has to rebuild its passing game without its top receiver against Philadelphia, so bet on the receivers who are actually healthy and treat his old target share as up for grabs.

Kyle Dugger (S) is out for CIN

Cincinnati will play the Titans without Dugger, who is out with a quadriceps injury. That leaves the Bengals short a safety at home. No timeline was given beyond this week.

Josh Kattus (TE) is out for CIN

Kattus is a practice-squad tight end, so he was not in line for snaps against Tennessee. The Bengals moved him to the practice-squad injured list on Tuesday, Oct 27, with the injury undisclosed. This changes nothing on Cincinnati's active depth chart, so there is no game impact to price in.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Jackson is the engine of the Baltimore offense, so any ankle issue on a quarterback who wins with his legs gets attention. The report says he is believed to be close to 100 percent and expected to play Sunday at Buffalo, which makes the questionable tag look more like caution than real doubt. If that holds, the bigger question is whether the ankle limits how often he runs, so lean on how the week's practice reports and any late-week news read before assuming his full rushing role.

Zaire Franklin (LB) is doubtful for GB

Franklin suffered a hairline fracture in his shin at practice last Thursday, per ESPN's Rob Demovsky, and doubtful means he is unlikely to play against Carolina. A fracture reported days before kickoff leaves little time to heal, so plan on Green Bay's linebacker group playing without him. The report doesn't name a replacement, so watch the final injury report and any depth chart news before betting anything that leans on the Packers' run defense.

Sean Rhyan (G) is out for GB

Rhyan is a starting-caliber guard on Green Bay's interior line, and a high ankle sprain is the kind of injury that lingers: the report reported Oct 27 says at least a month. Out means he does not play against Carolina, so the Packers go with a backup at guard. The sheet does not name the replacement. Interior line changes show up first in short-yardage runs and in pressure up the middle, so that is the place to look when sizing up Green Bay's offense in this one.

SEA: 3.96 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.1

Seattle is allowing 3.96 yards per play over seven games, which means offenses rarely gain much on any snap. Chicago is at 6.1 over the same stretch, one of the softer marks you will see. Seven games is enough that Seattle's number looks like a real defense, though some regression is normal. In this game, Seattle's offense faces the friendlier unit, and Chicago will likely need long drives to score.

Charles Cross (OT) is doubtful for SEA

Charles Cross has a high ankle sprain confirmed by MRI, reported Oct 26, and doubtful means he is very unlikely to play against Chicago. High ankle sprains often keep linemen out longer than one week, so this may last past this game. Seattle would be without its listed left tackle, which matters most for how Chicago's pass rush matches up against the backup.

CIN: 27.2 points per game to TEN's 15.4

TEN is at 15.4 points per game over 7 games; CIN is at 27.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season TEN was at 16.7 over 17 games and CIN at 24.4 over 17 games.

DAL: 74.1% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 42.9%

Dallas turns 74.1% of its red-zone trips into touchdowns, while Arizona converts 42.9%. Both are far from last season, when Dallas was at 56.9% and Arizona at 54.1%, and red-zone rates over seven games swing a lot on a handful of drives. Expect both to drift back toward those prior numbers, so a gap this wide in finishing drives is more likely to shrink than hold.

LAR: 1.57 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3.5

The Chargers give up 3.5 sacks a game and the Rams only 1.57, and both are close to last season: 3.75 for the Chargers, 1.77 for the Rams. That steadiness suggests this is a real trait of the two lines and quarterbacks. Chargers drives are more likely to stall on negative plays, which matters for their scoring and for sack-related props.

MIN: 28.2% third downs allowed to DET's 47.7%

Minnesota has held opponents to 28.2% on third down over six games, while Detroit has allowed 47.7%. Third-down rates move a lot week to week, so Minnesota's figure is more likely to rise than hold. Detroit giving up nearly half its third downs means drives stay alive against them. That gap points to Minnesota sustaining more possessions here, which matters for time of possession and drive-count angles.

KC: 6.33 yards a snap to DEN's 4.67

Kansas City gains 6.33 yards a play over six games, a big jump from 5.05 last season, while Denver has fallen from 5.32 to 4.67 over seven games. The Chiefs improvement is large enough that some pullback is possible, and Denver's drop could firm up. At home, Denver has to keep Kansas City off the field and turn its own short drives into points. If the Broncos offense keeps stalling, the Chiefs efficiency gap shows up in field position.

Drew Lock (QB) is questionable for SEA

Seattle lists Lock as questionable for the Bears game, and the report gives no injury or detail beyond that. Check the final report and practice notes before acting on anything tied to the Seahawks' quarterback spot.

Olaivavega Ioane (G) is doubtful for BAL

Olaivavega Ioane suffered an MCL sprain in the knee during Sunday's game against the Bengals and is expected to miss time. Doubtful usually means a player will not suit up, so plan on Baltimore playing at Buffalo without him at guard. A missing interior lineman can show up in run blocking and pressure up the middle, so factor in a reshuffled Ravens line when you look at this game.

Carson Beck (QB) is questionable for ARI

Carson Beck is questionable for Arizona at Dallas, which means his status is uncertain and could go either way. The Oct 27 report lists no injury detail. A quarterback with an unclear status can shift the whole game line, so the final word before kickoff matters more than usual here.

Dameon Pierce (RB) is questionable for PHI

Pierce left Monday's 38-21 loss to the Cowboys with 8:38 to go in the fourth quarter and did not play either of the Eagles' last two drives. The injury has not been disclosed. Questionable means he could go either way against Washington. With no injury type and no named backup on the sheet, his status is something to check closer to kickoff before backing anything built on his touches.

MIN has won 6 straight

Minnesota has not lost yet: six games, six wins. The sheet doesn't say who those wins came against, so the streak shows a team that keeps finding ways to close, without telling you how strong the schedule was. Unbeaten teams draw heavy public money, which tends to push their lines up. On the road at Detroit in a division game, that inflated number is the thing to weigh, more than the streak itself.

LAC has lost 6 straight

The Chargers have played six games and lost all six. Nothing on the sheet says who they faced or how close it got, so 0-6 tells you results, not margins. Winless teams often get priced like the bottom is still falling out. Going across town to the Rams, the question for a bettor is whether that number has already pushed past how bad they really are.

Matthew Golden (WR) is questionable for GB

Golden is carrying two issues, shoulder and foot, and he did not take part in Tuesday's walkthrough, which is a light session. Missing even a walkthrough early in the week puts real doubt on his status against Carolina. Watch whether he gets on the field later in the week; if he sits, Green Bay's targets get spread among the rest of the receiver room, which matters for anyone looking at Packers receiving props.

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI

Love is questionable with an ankle injury, and coach Mike LaFleur said Monday he will take part in Wednesday's practice. A player practicing early in the week usually points toward playing. Wednesday's level of work against Dallas, full or limited, gives the clearest read on his workload, so it makes sense to wait for it before taking a position on his rushing props.

Aaron Jones Sr. (RB) is questionable for MIN

Aaron Jones Sr. left Sunday's 16-10 win over the Colts with a left knee injury, but it is not considered significant and he is viewed as day-to-day. That makes questionable lean toward playing at Detroit. Even if he suits up, a back coming off a knee tweak can see his workload trimmed, so be careful with his rushing props until the practice reports clear up.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) is questionable for DET

Amon-Ra St. Brown tweaked his ankle in Sunday's 20-17 win over the Packers, and Dan Campbell expects him ready to practice Thursday. Questionable here looks more like caution than real doubt. If he practices Thursday as planned, treat Detroit's passing game against Minnesota as close to normal.

Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC

Ladd McConkey is in the concussion protocol and was on the field Monday in a no-contact jersey. That is progress, but he still has to clear the protocol before facing the Rams. Until he is cleared for contact, his props carry real risk, and his targets would move to the other Chargers receivers if he sits.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

Brenen Thompson was active Sunday but played no snaps in the 22-6 loss to the Chiefs while dealing with a quadriceps injury. That says the Chargers did not trust the leg on game day. Expect a limited or zero role against the Rams unless the practice reports show real improvement.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley left Monday's 38-21 loss to the Cowboys with a back issue and missed the entire fourth quarter, yet he said afterward the hamstring came out great and he does not expect the back to keep him out Sunday at Washington. Questionable here leans toward playing, based on his own words. The open question is workload if the back stays tight, so his rushing and receiving numbers carry more risk than usual until the Eagles confirm he is a full go.

Rashid Shaheed (WR) is questionable for SEA

Shaheed is questionable with a knee injury, and coach Mike Macdonald said Monday the early returns are positive, according to Brady Henderson. Positive early news from the coach makes him more likely to suit up against Chicago, but knee injuries can limit a receiver even when he is active. Watch his practice reps this week before trusting his numbers.

LV: 7.9 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 25.3

Las Vegas loses 7.9 yards a game to sacks, and the Jets lose 25.3. The Raiders were at 29 last season, so their big improvement over seven games could reverse, while the Jets' 24.9 a year ago says their number is about who they are. Expect Jets drives to keep getting set back, and treat the Raiders' clean protection with some doubt until it holds longer.

DET: 6 yards per play to MIN's 4.65

Detroit gains 6 yards per play to Minnesota's 4.65, and both are close to last season's 5.97 and 4.82, so this edge looks stable over six games each. In their last games, each team had 4 plays of 20 or more yards: Detroit's came from Jared Goff throws to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams, Minnesota's included a 35-yard Kyler Murray run. Minnesota can hit big plays, but over a full game the Lions move the ball more consistently.

ATL is 2-1 on the road; TB is 0-4 at home

Tampa Bay has lost all four home games, while Atlanta has won two of three away. Those are small samples on both sides, seven games combined, so the split can flip with one result. Home field is supposed to be worth something, and Tampa getting none of it so far is the odd part. It is a reason to question how much home edge the line hands the Bucs, not a reason to assume another home loss.

SEA: 144.4 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 225.9

Seattle has allowed just 144.4 passing yards a game over seven games, while Chicago gives up 225.9. Combined with how few yards Seattle allows overall, this looks like a defense that has earned its number, though the fact sheet does not say who they faced. Chicago's quarterback walks into a tough spot. Passing unders for Chicago fit this matchup better than overs.

DEN: 3 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.33

Denver is getting 3 sacks a game over seven games, more than double Kansas City's 1.33 over six. A steady pass rush like Denver's tends to hold up better than turnover-type stats. Kansas City's lower total suggests their quarterback gets cleaner pockets than Denver's will. For this game, sack props and the Kansas City quarterback's numbers are where Denver's rush matters most.

DET: 30.7 points per game to MIN's 20.8

MIN is at 20.8 points per game over 6 games; DET is at 30.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 20.2 over 17 games and DET at 28.3 over 17 games.

Sean Rhyan

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

KC: 239 team passing yards per game to DEN's 175.1

KC is at 239 team passing yards per game over 6 games; DEN is at 175.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and DEN at 223.9 over 17 games.

PIT is 3-0 at home; CLE is 2-2 on the road

Pittsburgh has won all three at home, and Cleveland is 2-2 on the road. Three games is a short run, so the home mark says the Steelers have protected their building so far without proving it will keep happening. Cleveland breaking even away from home is a perfectly normal road record. The split leans Pittsburgh, but by a few games' worth of evidence.

JAX is 3-1 at home; IND is 1-3 on the road

Jacksonville is 3-1 at home and Indianapolis is 1-3 on the road, four games each. That is a sample big enough to notice: the Jaguars have taken care of business at home, and the Colts have mostly come up short away from it. Four games can still swing on a couple of close finishes. It backs the idea that Jacksonville's home edge is real in this matchup.

ARI @ DAL carries a 54.5 market total

Arizona at Dallas is priced as a shootout: 54.5, which is 8.5 points above the 46 median across the 14 games with posted totals on this slate. The market is betting on both offenses doing their part, since one team carrying the scoring alone rarely clears a number like this. The expectation breaks if either offense goes cold or the game slows into long, grinding drives. Judge it by whether both offenses look likely to score for four quarters, since one going quiet sinks a number this high.

BAL @ BUF carries a 54.5 market total

The market expects Baltimore and Buffalo to trade points all game: 54.5 sits 8.5 above the 46 median across the 14 games with totals on this slate. A number that high assumes both offenses finish drives and neither defense controls the game. For it to crack, one side has to stall early, settle for field goals or turn it over, and drag the pace down. When you look at this game, the useful question is whether you trust both offenses to keep scoring for four quarters.

JAX: 1.5 takeaways per game to IND's 0.43

Jacksonville is forcing 1.5 turnovers a game over six games, while Indianapolis has managed only 0.43 over seven. Takeaways swing heavily on bounces, so both numbers likely move toward the middle. Jacksonville's edge is real for now, but it is the least stable kind of defensive stat. Price turnover-driven angles with that volatility in mind.

CAR: 4.38 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.86

Carolina runs for 4.38 yards a carry while Green Bay gets 2.86. Carolina is close to its 4.16 from last season, but Green Bay was at 4.21, so its drop over seven games is steep and likely to recover some. If the Packers' run game stays this stuck, they lean harder on the pass, but expect at least part of that gap to close.

DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.33

MIN is at 2.33 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; DET is at 4.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

NE: 36.6% third downs allowed to MIA's 52.1%

New England has allowed 36.6% on third down over seven games, while Miami has let opponents convert 52.1% over six. Miami's number is poor enough that even some regression leaves it soft. New England's offense should find it easier to extend drives. That favors New England in possession and field-position terms in this game.

LV: 269 team passing yards per game to NYJ's 206.6

LV is at 269 team passing yards per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 206.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and NYJ at 140.3 over 17 games.

LV: 1.43 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3

The Raiders are getting their quarterback hit on the ground far less, 1.43 sacks a game against the Jets' 3 over 7 games. Last season LV gave up 4 a game, so this is a sharp turnaround that could drift back up, while the Jets at 3.75 last season have stayed leaky. A cleaner pocket helps explain Vegas' passing volume. Jets drives are more likely to stall on a negative play, which matters for any Jets drive-based or scoring angle.

JAX: 5.77 yards per play to IND's 4.51

Jacksonville gains over a yard more per snap than Indianapolis, 5.77 to 4.51. The Colts' drop stands out: they were also at 5.77 last season, and in their last game they had one play of 20 or more, a 38-yard Jonathan Taylor touchdown run. Jacksonville had six such plays last game, with Trevor Lawrence spreading deep shots to Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington and Bhayshul Tuten. Indy's number has room to bounce back, but in this spot the Jaguars are the side built to hit chunk plays.

PHI has lost 5 straight

Philadelphia won two of its first games and has lost every game since, five in a row, to sit at 2-5. A slide that long usually means something has broken, more than bad bounces. The sheet doesn't say who they lost to, so you can't tell how much of it was the schedule. At Washington, the market may be fading them heavily already, and that matters as much as the skid.

LV: 1.43 sacks taken a game to NYJ's 3

Las Vegas has gone from 4 sacks allowed a game last season to 1.43 over seven games, while the Jets are at 3, close to last season's 3.75. The Raiders change is huge and probably comes back somewhat, but the Jets number looks like who they are. The Jets need quick throws to stay out of long down and distance. Drives that stall on sacks are the main thing to watch for New York's scoring chances.

JAX: 5.77 yards a snap to IND's 4.51

Jacksonville gains 5.77 yards a play over six games, up from 5.27 last season, while Indianapolis has fallen from 5.77 to 4.51 over seven games. That is a full swap of where these offenses sat a year ago. The Colts drop is steep enough that some recovery is possible, though seven games is a real sample. On the road, Indianapolis needs long drives and few mistakes, and Jacksonville's edge in efficiency favors it in a game decided by possessions.

LAR: 24.3 points per game to LAC's 15

The Rams score about nine more points a game than the Chargers, 24.3 over 7 games to 15 over 6. Both are down from last season, LAR at 30.5 and LAC at 21.6, so neither offense is at its old level and the Chargers' slide is the steeper one. Some of that should correct for a Chargers team that scored 21.6 a game a year ago. The Rams have the steadier scoring floor, but a low total from both sides fits what each has shown so far.

BUF has 7 more days of rest

Baltimore plays at Buffalo three days after its last game, while the Bills come off a bye with 10 days to prepare. A short week usually means a lighter walkthrough, less install and tired legs, and doing it on the road adds travel to that. Buffalo had extra time to heal and game plan. When one side is this squeezed and the other is rested at home, look at whether the line already prices in the gap before leaning on it.

LAR: 5.86 yards per play to LAC's 4.67

LAC is at 4.67 yards per play over 6 games; LAR is at 5.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 5.19 over 17 games and LAR at 6.15 over 17 games. LAC had 1 play of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 57-yard pass (Justin Herbert Pass Complete for 57 Yds to Quentin Johnston). LAR had no play of 20+ yards in its last game.

CIN: 5.75 yards per play to TEN's 4.56

Cincinnati gains over a yard more per play than Tennessee, 5.75 to 4.56. Both are up from last season, CIN at 5.23 and TEN at 4.38, and the Bengals' last game shows why: Joe Burrow hit Tee Higgins for 44 and 43 yards and Ja'Marr Chase for 30. Tennessee's two big plays came from a 36-yard Tony Pollard touchdown run and a 26-yard Cam Ward throw to Elic Ayomanor. Cincinnati is the side more likely to win with explosive passes.

CAR: 105.3 rushing yards per game to GB's 59.9

Carolina runs for 105.3 yards a game over 6 games, while Green Bay sits at just 59.9 over 7. The Packers ran for 119.8 a game last season, so this collapse is the bigger story and has room to bounce back. Carolina is close to its usual output from last season's 116.3. Expect Green Bay to tilt toward the pass, while Carolina can lean on the run to shorten the game.

MIL have won 5 straight

Milwaukee has outscored teams by 17 runs during the five-game run, so these have mostly been comfortable wins, not coin flips that broke their way. Five games is a small window, and the sheet doesn't say who they beat or which players carried it. Tonight is on the road in Tampa Bay. The run margin is the better sign the form is real; the win count alone will cool off on its own.

CAR: 105.3 rush yards a game to GB's 59.9

Carolina runs for 105.3 yards a game over six games, and Green Bay is at 59.9 over seven, a huge drop from 119.8 last season. The Packers number is so far below last year that it is likely to rise. Carolina's ground game is close to last season's 116.3, so it is the steadier side. Green Bay has to lean on its passing game here, and any sign its run game returns would change how this game plays.

JAX has 7 more days of rest

Indianapolis travels to Jacksonville on three days of rest, and the Jaguars have had 10 days with a bye behind them. The Colts get a compressed week of mostly recovery and a slimmed-down plan, plus a road trip. Jacksonville had time to get healthy and add wrinkles. A home team off a bye against a road team on a short week is about as lopsided as the calendar gets, so check how much of that the number already reflects.

WSH has 7 more days of rest

Philadelphia plays at Washington just two days after its last game, the tightest turnaround on the slate, while the Commanders have nine days with a bye behind them. Two days leaves room for little more than recovery and a basic plan, and the Eagles also have to travel. Washington had time to rest and scheme. Short-week road teams tend to lean on simple game plans, so a slower, cleaner start from Philadelphia is a reasonable way to frame the early game.

Akayleb Evans (CB) is questionable for CAR

Akayleb Evans did not practice Monday while dealing with triceps and knee injuries. Two issues and no work to start the week put his status for Green Bay in doubt. If he sits, Carolina's secondary is thinner, which is worth weighing when you look at the Packers' passing numbers.

Ennis Rakestraw Jr. (CB) is questionable for DET

Ennis Rakestraw Jr. left Sunday's win over the Packers with an ankle injury, but it is not believed to be major. Questionable leans toward available against Minnesota. Watch the week's practice reports, since a cornerback playing through an ankle can be a target for opposing receivers.

Justin Walley (CB) is questionable for IND

Justin Walley left Sunday's 16-10 loss to Minnesota with a knee injury and did not return, per Shane Steichen. There is no word yet on how serious it is, so questionable is a true unknown for the Jacksonville game. If he sits, the Colts' cornerback depth gets tested, which matters for how you view the Jaguars' passing game.

LAC has 7 more days of rest

This one flips the usual script: the Chargers are the road side and the rested side, coming off a bye with 10 days, while the Rams play three days after their last game. The Rams keep home field but get a short prep window with sore bodies. Travel across town is minimal, so the Chargers' edge comes almost entirely from rest and extra install time. Factor that in before giving the Rams the usual home bump.

DAL: 5.64 yards a snap to ARI's 4.51

Dallas gains 5.64 yards a play over seven games, while Arizona sits at 4.51, down from 5.18 last season. Dallas is a bit below its 5.96 from last year, so it has room to move up. Arizona has to protect the ball and win field position on the road to stay close. If the Cardinals offense keeps producing short gains, Dallas gets more chances to turn its efficiency into points.

JAX: 72.2 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 124.4

Jacksonville has allowed only 72.2 rushing yards a game over six games, while Indianapolis gives up 124.4 over seven. Run defense tends to be one of the steadier numbers, so Jacksonville's mark is more likely to hold than a turnover rate would. Indianapolis may need to lean on the pass if its ground game stalls. Rushing props for the Colts face a tough setup here.

BUF: 32.8 points per game to BAL's 24.1

Buffalo is scoring 32.8 points a game over 6 games, almost nine more than Baltimore. That is a jump from last season's 28.3, while the Ravens are close to their 24.9 from a year ago. Buffalo's pace may cool some, but at home it sets the tempo. Baltimore will likely need to keep scoring to stay close, which makes this a game where both offenses matter.

NE: 2.43 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1

New England is getting 2.43 sacks a game over seven games, while Miami has just 1 per game over six. A consistent pass rush is one of the more repeatable defensive traits. Miami's quarterback should face more pressure than New England's will. Sack props and Miami's passing efficiency are where this gap shows up.

DAL: 5.64 yards per play to ARI's 4.51

Dallas gains 5.64 yards per play to Arizona's 4.51, both over 7 games. Both are down from last season, DAL at 5.96 and ARI at 5.18. Last game each had five plays of 20 or more yards, with Dak Prescott hitting Ryan Flournoy for 35 and CeeDee Lamb for 30, and Jacoby Brissett finding Jalen Brooks for 35. Arizona's season number is low, but its recent big-play output suggests the gap may be smaller than it looks.

MIN: 4.45 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.55

MIN is at 4.45 yards per play allowed over 6 games; DET is at 5.55 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

NYJ: 4.81 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.94

The Jets allow 4.81 yards per play over seven games, while Las Vegas gives up 5.94. That is a meaningful difference in how easily offenses move on each snap. Seven games makes both numbers fairly settled. The Jets' offense gets the friendlier matchup, so their drives have the better chance to stay on schedule.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is questionable for SEA

Seattle lists Zach Charbonnet as questionable against Chicago, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable means a real chance Charbonnet sits, which could shift the Seahawks backfield workload. Confirm the status before betting Seattle running back props.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Chicago lists Kyle Monangai as questionable for the game at Seattle, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable leaves real doubt about whether Monangai plays. Wait for the final word before betting Bears rushing numbers.

Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is questionable for PHI

Dontayvion Wicks is questionable for Philadelphia at Washington, reported Oct 27, with no injury named. Smith carries the same tag, so the Eagles could be thin at wide receiver. Check both statuses before betting the Philadelphia passing game.

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR

Phillips is questionable with a hamstring injury and did not practice on Monday's estimate. Missing the first session of the week is a warning sign. Hamstrings can keep a pass rusher out or limit his snaps. If he sits or is limited at Green Bay, Carolina's pressure on the quarterback could take a hit, so his Wednesday and Thursday participation is worth checking before you bet.

Devonte Wyatt (DT) is questionable for GB

Wyatt is part of Green Bay's interior defensive line, and he is dealing with an ankle injury. He was limited in Tuesday's walkthrough, which was an estimate and not a full practice. Questionable means a real chance he sits against Carolina. If he is out or on a snap count, the Packers lose some push up the middle. Watch his practice status later in the week, since that usually decides it.

Calvin Ridley (WR) is questionable for TEN

Tennessee lists Ridley as questionable for the Cincinnati game, with no injury or detail in the report. Hold off on his props until the practice reports show whether he is working.

Tyjae Spears (RB) is questionable for TEN

Tennessee lists Spears as questionable for the trip to Cincinnati, and the report gives no injury details. Wait for practice participation before betting on the Titans' backfield workload.

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL

Dallas lists Turpin as questionable against Arizona, with no injury or detail in the report. Check the final status before betting on anything that depends on him.

Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Hall as questionable for the Raiders game, and the report gives no injury details. His practice reports this week will tell you more than the tag, so wait on Jets rushing props until they come out.

Kene Nwangwu (RB) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Nwangwu as questionable against Las Vegas, with no further detail in the report. Check the final injury report before acting.

Ben Skowronek (WR) is questionable for PIT

Pittsburgh lists Skowronek as questionable for the Browns game, and the report gives no further detail. Check the final status before betting on anything involving him.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists Robinson as questionable for the trip to Tampa Bay, with no injury given in the report. Let practice participation guide any bet on the Falcons' backfield split.

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists Zaccheaus as questionable against Tampa Bay, and the report includes no further detail. Check the final status before acting.

Emeka Egbuka (WR) is questionable for TB

Emeka Egbuka is questionable for Tampa Bay against Atlanta, per the Oct 27 report, with no injury listed. That leaves his status open until closer to game time. If he is limited or sits, targets shift to the other Tampa Bay receivers, so his props and theirs are worth holding until his status is settled.

Anthony Gould (WR) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Gould as questionable for the Jacksonville game, with no injury detail in the report. Wait for the final injury report before betting on him.

Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Rice as questionable for the Denver game, and the report gives no injury or detail. His practice status through the week is what to watch before you trust his receiving props or the Chiefs' passing numbers.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

Philadelphia lists DeVonta Smith as questionable for the trip to Washington, reported Oct 27, with no injury or practice detail given. Questionable means a real chance Smith sits, so the call may not come until close to kickoff. Hold off on Eagles receiver props until the final status is out.

KC: 7.38 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 5.4

KC is at 7.38 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; DEN is at 5.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.

NE (4-3) at MIA (1-5), a division game

Miami is 1-5 with a -59 margin and has yet to win at home, 0-2. New England is 4-3 and +17, though its road record is only 1-3. Both splits are short samples, but Miami's point differential says the record is earned. The question for a bettor is whether New England's road struggles matter more than Miami's broader ones, and the season numbers say they matter less.

KC (5-1) at DEN (5-2), a division game

Denver's 5-2 looks a lot thinner than Kansas City's 5-1: the Broncos are only +3 on the year, while the Chiefs are +40. Denver has won three straight and is 3-0 at home, so the momentum and the venue favor them. Kansas City is 2-1 on the road and just lost. Denver's record likely oversells how good it is, but its home split is real, and this division game sets those two things against each other.

IND (2-5) at JAX (4-2), a division game

Indianapolis arrives on a three-game losing streak at 2-5 and -26 on the year, and it is 1-3 away from home. Jacksonville is 4-2 with a +50 margin and 3-1 at home, coming off its first loss in a while. The point differential backs up the record gap, so this one does not look like a mirage. In a division game the familiarity can keep it closer, but the numbers lean clearly toward the home side.

CLE (5-2) at PIT (5-2), a division game

Same 5-2 record, very different teams underneath. Cleveland has been outscored by 13 points, which says close wins are carrying that record, while Pittsburgh is +15 and has won three straight. The split points the same way: Cleveland is 2-2 on the road, Pittsburgh 3-0 at home. Cleveland's record flatters it more than Pittsburgh's, so the matching marks overstate how even this division game is.

MIN (6-0) at DET (4-2), a division game

Both teams are perfect where it counts here: Minnesota is 3-0 on the road and Detroit is 3-0 at home, so one of those splits breaks this week. Minnesota brings the bigger case, 6-0 with a +51 point margin and six straight wins, while Detroit is 4-2 at +19 and has won two in a row. A division game tends to tighten things, and Detroit's home record says this spot is harder than Minnesota's unbeaten mark suggests. Weigh the road team's momentum against a host that has not lost in its building.

JAX: 17.3 points allowed per game to IND's 25.7

IND is at 25.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; JAX is at 17.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.

CHI: 154.3 rush yards a game to SEA's 113.7

Chicago runs for 154.3 yards a game over seven games, up from 144.5 last season, while Seattle is at 113.7, down from 123.3. Both trends match last year's shape, so this looks like a stable difference. Seattle has to make Chicago throw by stopping the run early. If the Bears are moving on the ground in Seattle, expect a longer, slower game where the clock favors them.

CHI: 154.3 rushing yards per game to SEA's 113.7

CHI is at 154.3 rushing yards per game over 7 games; SEA is at 113.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CHI was at 144.5 over 17 games and SEA at 123.3 over 17 games.

PHI: 55.2% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 81.8%

PHI is at 55.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; WSH is at 81.8% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

LAR: 1.57 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.5

LAC is at 2.5 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; LAR is at 1.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and LAR at 0.88 over 17 games.

CIN: 29:59 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:41

TEN is at 24:41 time of possession per game over 7 games; CIN is at 29:59 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season TEN was at 29:08 over 17 games and CIN at 30:08 over 17 games.

BAL: 220.9 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 285.8

Baltimore allows 220.9 passing yards a game over seven games, while Buffalo gives up 285.8 over six. Buffalo's secondary has been the easier one to throw on. Without opponent detail on the sheet, it is hard to say how much is schedule. Baltimore's passing game gets the better setup in this one.

WSH: 125.2 rush yards a game to PHI's 87.7

Washington runs for 125.2 yards a game over six games, while Philadelphia is at 87.7 over seven, well down from 116.9 last season. Washington is a bit below its 134.7 from last year, so its side looks steady. The Eagles drop is large enough that it could bounce back. Philadelphia needs to find balance on the road, and if its run game stays this low, Washington controls the pace.

Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 4 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 967 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 10.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in. Lamar Jackson is also listed q for this matchup.

Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days

Diaz has been close to an automatic out lately: a .450 OPS, 0.355 below his .805 season mark. That covers only 40 AB, where a handful of soft outs can sink the number. His full season says he is a solid hitter, and a slump this short usually drifts back toward it. Before fading him in a prop or lineup spot tonight, give the .805 more weight than the cold stretch.

ARI: 39.7% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.9%

Arizona has allowed 39.7% on third down over seven games, and Dallas has allowed 52.9% over the same count. Dallas letting more than half of third downs convert means opposing drives keep going. Third-down numbers drift, but a gap this size usually narrows rather than flips. Arizona's offense should sustain more drives here, which can push totals and possession counts their way.

Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

Beaux Collins is on injured reserve with a hip injury and was ruled out Oct 24 for a game against the 49ers. That report names a different opponent than this week's trip to Tampa Bay, so the status for this game still needs to be confirmed. Plan for no role until Collins is activated.

LV has lost 4 straight

LV carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 3-4 on the season. They face NYJ in LV @ NYJ. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-27.

Jack Bech (WR) is ir-r for LV

The Raiders opened Jack Bech's return window from injured reserve Monday, and the forearm injury put Bech there. Being designated for return means practice resumes, and a game return is still up to the team. Until Bech is activated to the roster, expect no role against the Jets.

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

James Conner is on injured reserve with a foot injury, and Mike LaFleur would only say he could potentially play this season. He will not factor in at Dallas. Arizona's backfield runs without him for now, so price the Cardinals' run game on the backs who are active.

WSH: 1.33 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.43

Washington is forcing 1.33 turnovers a game over six games, while Philadelphia has just 0.43 over seven. Takeaways are among the noisiest defensive stats, so expect both to drift toward average. For now Washington has been the more opportunistic side. Lean on it lightly when thinking about how this game could swing.

ATL: 197.4 pass yards a game to TB's 150.4

Atlanta throws for 197.4 yards a game over seven games, and Tampa Bay sits at 150.4, a steep drop from 205.9 last season. Atlanta is close to its 207.2 from last year, so its number looks steady. The Buccaneers fall is large enough that some recovery is likely. Tampa Bay at home has to find a passing game, and if it doesn't, Atlanta's edge through the air shapes the game.

NE: 7.63 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.85

New England gains 7.63 yards per throw over 7 games, while Miami is at 5.85 over 6. Both teams are close to last season's marks, 7.99 for NE and 6 for MIA, so this gap looks stable. The Patriots can push the ball down the field, while the Dolphins rely on shorter gains. Expect New England to have the edge on passing efficiency.

IND: 38.7 penalty yards per game to JAX's 68.7

IND is at 38.7 penalty yards per game over 7 games; JAX is at 68.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.

ATL: 6.69 yards per pass attempt to TB's 4.96

Atlanta averages 6.69 yards per throw, while Tampa Bay is at 4.96, both over 7 games. Tampa fell sharply from 6.04 last season, while the Falcons improved from 6.21. A drop that big tends to come back some. Atlanta is the side more able to move the ball through the air in this one.

CLE @ PIT carries a 39.5 market total

This is the lowest total in this group at 39.5, 6.5 points under the slate median of 46, which tells you the market expects a grinding, low-scoring game. Points here are expected to come slowly, with more field goals and punts than long scoring drives. The expectation cracks if a turnover or a big play hands either side a short field or a quick touchdown. A bettor on the under needs the defenses to control this one from start to finish.

MIA has lost 4 straight

Miami is 0-4 on the season, and the losses have been lopsided, by 12.8 points a game on average. Four games is a small sample, but double-digit average margins point to a team being outplayed rather than unlucky in close finishes. The road trip to Atlanta does not make it easier. For bettors, the useful question is whether the spread already prices in a blowout trend that is only four games old.

OKC has won 4 straight

Oklahoma City is 4-0 and is beating teams by 10.5 points a game, a margin that looks like control more than close escapes. Four games is still a short window. Dallas is short-handed tonight, with Santi Aldama, Dereck Lively II and Tarik Biberovic all out. A favorite this strong against a thin roster usually carries a big spread, so the margin is the thing to weigh.

HOU has won 4 straight

Houston is 4-0 and is winning comfortably, by 9.8 points a game. Four games is an early sample, and opponent quality will decide how much of that margin survives as the schedule fills in. A road game at Milwaukee is a fair test of whether the run travels. Unbeaten starts tend to push lines toward the hot team, so check how much of that the number tonight has absorbed.

DET: 70.4% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

MIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; DET is at 70.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 56.9% over 17 games and DET at 62.5% over 17 games.

CIN: 35% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 60%

Cincinnati has held opponents to 35% scoring in the red zone over six games, while Tennessee allows 60% over seven. Red-zone defense swings on a few plays, so Cincinnati's number is likely to climb. Tennessee's rate leaves room for Cincinnati to cash in drives. That gap favors Cincinnati finishing drives with touchdowns in this matchup.

AFC EAST game: NE 2-0, MIA 1-0 in the division

New England is 2-0 against the AFC East and Miami 1-0. Three division games combined is too few to say who has the upper hand in the division. Both teams have done what they needed to, and that is about all these records tell you.

NFC NORTH game: MIN 2-0, DET 1-0 in the division

Minnesota has won both its division games, and Detroit has won its only one. Three division games between them is a thin sample, so neither record says much about who controls the NFC North. Division opponents know each other well, and that tends to tighten games regardless of record. Weigh Minnesota's unbeaten season more than these division marks.

BAL: 0.71 turnovers a game to BUF's 1.5

Baltimore gives the ball away 0.71 times a game over seven games, down from 1.35 last season, while Buffalo is at 1.5 over six, up from 1.12. Turnover rates swing a lot, so both numbers are likely to move toward last season. Buffalo has to clean up its giveaways at home to stay even. In a game where one turnover can swing the result, the Bills mistakes are the main risk to watch.

AFC SOUTH game: IND 1-1, JAX 0-1 in the division

Indianapolis is 1-1 against the AFC South and Jacksonville lost its only division game. One game for the Jaguars is not a trend, and two for the Colts barely is. The home and road split in this matchup gives you more to go on than the division records.

MIN: 1.83 takeaways per game to DET's 1

MIN is at 1.83 takeaways per game over 6 games; DET is at 1 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

Tyler Warren (TE) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Tyler Warren as questionable for the game at Jacksonville, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable leaves real doubt about whether Warren plays. Hold Colts tight end bets until the final status is known.

Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Hurts (calf) is expected to be held out of football activities for multiple months and miss the rest of the season after new imaging over the weekend revealed several blood clots in his lungs, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Oct 19.

NFC EAST game: PHI 1-1, WSH 0-2-1 in the division

Philadelphia is 1-1 in the division, and Washington has no wins against the NFC East: two losses and a tie. Three games is a small sample, but the Commanders have yet to beat a division rival. That gives some weight to the Eagles even during a five-game skid, though their recent form matters more.

AFC WEST game: KC 3-0, DEN 1-1 in the division

Kansas City has won all three division games, and Denver is 1-1. Three wins is still a short run, but it means the Chiefs have handled the familiar AFC West teams so far. Denver's unbeaten home record cuts the other way, which makes this a matchup where the two splits disagree.

Tommy Townsend (P) is questionable for TEN

Townsend is Tennessee's punter and hurt his left knee in Sunday's 27-24 loss to the Browns. Robert Saleh said Monday he is still being evaluated, so questionable here means a real chance he misses the trip to Cincinnati. A punter's knee matters on the plant leg, and a fill-in punter can cost field position. Check the final injury report before you bet anything tied to field position or totals.

AFC NORTH game: CLE 2-0, PIT 1-1 in the division

Cleveland is 2-0 inside the AFC North, Pittsburgh 1-1. That's four division games total, too few to call either team the better division side. Pittsburgh's home record is the stronger signal here. Familiar division opponents tend to keep these close, so the division mark alone shouldn't move you much.

NFC SOUTH game: ATL 1-1, TB 1-0 in the division

Atlanta is 1-1 in the division and Tampa Bay won its only NFC South game. Three games across both teams says very little. Tampa's home struggles and Atlanta's road record give you more to work with in this game than the division marks do.

ATL: 197.4 team passing yards per game to TB's 150.4

Atlanta throws for clearly more yards per game than Tampa Bay this season. Tampa Bay's 150.4 is a sharp fall from 205.9 last season, while Atlanta's 197.4 sits near its 207.2, so the gap comes mostly from Tampa's passing drying up over 7 games. A drop that large often moves back toward normal. Tampa's passing totals look like the number most likely to climb.

LAR: 69% red-zone scoring rate to LAC's 50%

LAC is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; LAR is at 69% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 47.4% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.

CAR: 65.2% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 46.2%

Carolina is turning red-zone trips into touchdowns far more often than Green Bay this season. Both numbers have flipped from last season, when Carolina was at 53.3% and Green Bay at 57.6%, so 6 and 7 games of red-zone trips are carrying a lot of weight. Red-zone rates swing hard on small trip counts and tend to drift back. Green Bay's touchdown finishing at home is the side more likely to bounce back.

KC: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to DEN's 0.57

KC is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 6 games; DEN is at 0.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and DEN at 1.18 over 17 games.

LAC: 1.67 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.86

The Chargers are forcing 1.67 takeaways a game over 6 games, nearly double the Rams' 0.86 over 7. Takeaways run hot and cold more than most defensive stats, so a gap like this tends to narrow as the season goes on. For this game, the Chargers' ball-hawking gives them a better shot at a short field, but price it as a modest edge rather than something to count on every week.

DAL: 1 sack taken per game to ARI's 2.14

ARI is at 2.14 sacks taken per game over 7 games; DAL is at 1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ARI was at 3.69 over 17 games and DAL at 2.38 over 17 games.

NYJ: 56% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 78.6%

LV is at 78.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; NYJ is at 56% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

IND: 215.9 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 273.8

The Colts have allowed 215.9 passing yards a game over 7 games, and the Jaguars have given up 273.8 over 6. That is a wide gap for a sample this size, and part of it can come from game script, since teams that fall behind see more throws against them. In this matchup, the Indianapolis passing game gets the softer coverage unit, so passing yardage props lean toward the Colts' side of the field.

GB: 20.7 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.7

CAR is at 27.7 points allowed per game over 6 games; GB is at 20.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

Avieon Terrell (CB) is questionable for ATL

Avieon Terrell is questionable for Atlanta at Tampa Bay, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. With Bowman also questionable, the Falcons could be thin at cornerback. Check both statuses before playing the Tampa Bay passing game.

IND: 2.14 fourth-down attempts per game to JAX's 0.83

IND is at 2.14 fourth-down attempts per game over 7 games; JAX is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and JAX at 1.71 over 17 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jalen Johnson lead tonight's board

Both lines sit above what these players have averaged over 4 games. Giannis is at 28.5 points against a line of 31.5, and Jalen Johnson is at 21.5 against 23.5, with the rest of his game showing up as 9.8 rebounds and 8.3 assists. Atlanta is without Henri Veesaar and Mouhamed Gueye, which could open more frontcourt work. Four games is a thin base, so treat the gap between average and line as the main thing to judge.

Anthony Davis and Donovan Mitchell lead tonight's board

Anthony Davis (WAS) averaged 22.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 2 assists this season over 4 games; his points line tonight is 21.5. Donovan Mitchell (CLE) averaged 26.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists this season over 3 games; his points line tonight is 25.5.

Brandon Miller and Cade Cunningham lead tonight's board

Brandon Miller has averaged 24.3 points over 4 games, right at his 24.5 line. Charlotte is without Coby White, Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams, so shots could keep funneling to him. Cade Cunningham is at 20.8 points with 8 assists, below his 24.5 line, and Detroit is on the back end of a back-to-back. Fatigue and a short sample are both reasons to think about how hard the books set Cunningham's number.

Tyrese Maxey and Pascal Siakam lead tonight's board

Tyrese Maxey has averaged 28.8 points over 4 games, well above tonight's 24.5 line, so the market is pricing in a pullback. Pascal Siakam is at 23.5 against a 22.5 line, with 7.8 rebounds added. Indiana is missing T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy, which thins its guard and wing rotation. Four games is a small sample, so ask whether Maxey's start is a new level or a hot week.

Franz Wagner and Scottie Barnes lead tonight's board

Both lines sit above what these two have done over 3 games. Franz Wagner is at 21 points with 8.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists against a 23.5 line, and Scottie Barnes is at 17 against 21.5. Orlando is without Paolo Banchero, so Wagner's usage could rise tonight. Toronto is missing Nate Bittle. Three games is very little to go on, and the gap on Barnes is the bigger one to weigh.

Jalen Brunson and Norman Powell lead tonight's board

Jalen Brunson (NYK) averaged 22.8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 4.5 assists this season over 4 games; his points line tonight is 26.5. Norman Powell (CHI) averaged 19.5 points, 3 rebounds and 1.8 assists this season over 4 games; his points line tonight is 18.5.

Kevin Durant and Tyler Herro lead tonight's board

Kevin Durant (HOU) averaged 23.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists this season over 4 games; his points line tonight is 26.5. Tyler Herro (MIL) averaged 23.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.8 assists this season over 4 games; his points line tonight is 21.5.

Stephen Curry and LaMelo Ball lead tonight's board

Stephen Curry has averaged 23.7 points over 3 games against a 24.5 line, close to even. LaMelo Ball is the outlier: 14.8 points over 4 games against a 22.5 line, with 6.3 assists a night. Golden State is without Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis and Moses Moody, which puts more on Curry. Minnesota is missing Donte DiVincenzo. Ball's line is pricing a big bounce back, and four games is all the evidence there is.

Nikola Jokic and Zion Williamson lead tonight's board

Nikola Jokic has averaged 22.3 points over 3 games with 9.7 rebounds and 8.7 assists, so he is feeding teammates more than scoring, and his line is 26.5. Zion Williamson is at 20.7 over 3 games against a 19.5 line. Denver is without Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones and Alpha Diallo, which could push Jokic to shoot more. Three games is very little, so weigh the injuries above the averages.

Sauce Gardner (CB) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Sauce Gardner as questionable at Jacksonville, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Gardner sits, the Colts lose a starting cornerback in coverage. Wait for the final status before betting Jaguars receivers.

BAL: 0.71 turnovers committed per game to BUF's 1.5

Baltimore is giving the ball away about half as often as Buffalo this season. Baltimore's 0.71 is well below its 1.35 from last season, while Buffalo's 1.5 over 6 games is up from 1.12. Turnover rates swing heavily on small samples, so both teams look likely to drift back toward last season's levels. Expect this game's turnover margin to be closer than the season gap suggests.

Luke Goedeke (OT) is questionable for TB

TB lists Luke Goedeke as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

LV is 2-1 on the road; NYJ is 1-2 at home

The Raiders are 2-1 away from home, and the Jets are 1-2 at home, three games each. That's a short sample on both sides, so one result in either direction changes the story. The Jets have not protected their own field so far, which takes some shine off any home edge built into the line.

Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Travis Glover (OT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Travis Glover as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

Brenton Cox Jr. (DE) is questionable for GB

GB lists Brenton Cox Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo listed DJ Moore as questionable on Oct 20 with no injury detail on the sheet. Without practice information, there is little to judge his chances against Baltimore. Wait for the final report before trusting his props.

PHI @ WSH carries a 40.5 market total

At 40.5, five and a half points under the slate median of 46, the market sees this as a low-scoring division-style grind. That number assumes long, slow drives and few easy touchdowns for either side. A defensive or special teams score, or a fast start from either offense, would quickly push this toward the over. Think of the under here as a bet that neither team finds a quick rhythm.

KC @ DEN carries a 40.5 market total

The 40.5 total sits 5.5 points below the slate median of 46, so the market expects a tight, defense-heavy game with limited scoring. Drives are expected to bog down, with field goals carrying more of the load than touchdowns. One or two explosive plays early would put real pressure on that number. Under bettors need the slow pace to hold for all four quarters.

NE: 22.9 points per game to MIA's 16.3

New England is scoring more per game than Miami this season, though both offenses are down from last season: 28.8 for New England, 20.4 for Miami. Miami's 16.3 over 6 games is the weakest scoring in this matchup. With both teams below last season's pace, scoring in this game looks more likely to land low than in a shootout.

NYJ: 21.4 points allowed per game to LV's 28.1

LV is at 28.1 points allowed per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 21.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

LV: 26.1 points per game to NYJ's 19.6

LV is at 26.1 points per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 19.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 14.2 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.

DAL: 27 points per game to ARI's 20.3

ARI is at 20.3 points per game over 7 games; DAL is at 27 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ARI was at 20.9 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.

Tip Reiman (TE) is pup-r for ARI

Tip Reiman is on the reserve list with an ankle injury, and head coach Mike LaFleur said on Oct 26 he is "not too sure" Reiman plays again this season. He will not play against Dallas. This looks like a long absence, so Arizona's tight end work stays with the rest of the room for the foreseeable future.

Max Melton (CB) is questionable for ARI

Max Melton is questionable for Arizona at Dallas, listed Oct 27 with no injury detail. If the cornerback sits or is limited, Arizona's coverage gets thinner against Dallas receivers. Check his status before kickoff if you are looking at Dallas passing props.

Drew Shelton (OT) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Drew Shelton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

Carter Runyon is on injured reserve with a foot injury and was ruled out Oct 25 for a game against the Rams. That report names a different opponent than this week's game at the Jets, so the status for this game still needs to be confirmed. Plan for no role until Runyon is activated.

Joseph Ossai (DE) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Joseph Ossai as questionable against Las Vegas, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. Questionable means a real chance the Jets are missing an edge rusher, which matters for Raiders sack and pressure props. Check the final status before kickoff.

Max Mitchell (OT) is questionable for NYJ

Mitchell is listed as questionable for the Jets, with no injury or practice detail given. With that little to go on, the useful move is to check the final report before kickoff against Las Vegas, since a missing tackle can change how well a line protects the quarterback.

Brandin Echols (CB) is questionable for PIT

Pittsburgh lists Brandin Echols as questionable against Cleveland, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Echols sits, the Steelers secondary loses a cornerback. Watch the final status before betting Browns receivers.

Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists Billy Bowman Jr. as questionable at Tampa Bay, reported Oct 27. Avieon Terrell carries the same tag, so the Falcons secondary could be short more than one defensive back. Confirm both statuses before betting Buccaneers passing props.

Michael Carter II (CB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Michael Carter II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

Beal is questionable for Miami against New England, and the report gives no injury or snap detail. His availability mostly affects edge depth in the pass rush. Check inactives before betting on New England passing numbers.

Reese Taylor (CB) is questionable for MIA

Taylor is questionable for Miami against New England, with no injury or recent game detail listed. Patriots receivers get a little friendlier if a corner sits, so his final status matters most for those props.

Ben Brown (C) is questionable for NE

Brown is questionable at center for New England heading to Miami, and the report gives no injury detail. A center absence means a backup snapping and making line calls, which can show up in pressure and run blocking. His Friday and Saturday practice status will say more than the tag does.

Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE

New England lists Canada as questionable for the trip to Miami, so he could play or sit. No injury or replacement is listed, so the main use for a bettor is to check his status before kickoff if the Patriots' secondary matters to how you see this game.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

Davis is questionable, which leaves his status for Miami open, and the report lists no injury or recent game detail. He is one of three Patriots corners on the report this week, with Karon Prunty and Channing Canada also questionable. Depth behind him is the concern if several miss. Miami receiver props are the spot to watch once inactives come out.

Karon Prunty (CB) is questionable for NE

Questionable means a real chance he plays and a real chance he doesn't, and the report gives no injury or practice detail behind the tag. Prunty is one of three New England corners listed for the trip to Miami, along with Carlton Davis III and Channing Canada. If more than one sits, the Patriots get thin at the position fast. Check the final inactives before betting Miami passing props.

Pat Surtain II (CB) is questionable for DEN

Denver lists Pat Surtain II as questionable against Kansas City, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Surtain sits, the Broncos lose their top cornerback against the Chiefs passing game. Wait for the final status before betting Kansas City receivers.

Jaylon Moore (OT) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Jaylon Moore as questionable at Denver, reported Oct 27, with no injury detail. If Moore sits, the Chiefs line loses a tackle against the Broncos pass rush. Check the final status before betting Denver sack props.

Trent McDuffie (CB) is questionable for LAR

McDuffie is listed as questionable for the Rams against the Chargers, and the report gives no injury or practice detail. Questionable means a real chance he sits. A cornerback absence matters most against the Chargers' passing game, so wait for the final status before backing their receivers or the passing totals.

Tre' Harris (WR) is questionable for LAC

The Chargers listed Tre' Harris as questionable on Oct 20, with no injury detail given. With McConkey and Thompson also banged up, the Chargers' receiver room is uncertain heading into the Rams game. Check final statuses for all three before you price any Chargers receiver.

DEN is 3-0 at home; KC is 2-1 on the road

Denver has won all three home games, and Kansas City is 2-1 on the road. Three games each is a small sample, so neither mark is settled. The Broncos holding serve at home lines up against the Chiefs' perfect division record. The game turns on which of those short runs you trust more.

Next college slate · OCT 30

BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

IND has lost 3 straight

Indianapolis has dropped three in a row and sits 2-5, so most of its losses have piled up recently. Three games is a small window, and the sheet doesn't show the opponents, so it can't say if this is a bad team or a rough stretch of schedule. Teams in a skid on the road can look worse on paper than they are. Before you fade them at Jacksonville, check who handed them those three losses.

NE: 6.06 yards per play to MIA's 5.23

New England gains more on each snap than Miami this season, and both numbers sit close to last season's: 6.23 for New England, 5.4 for Miami. That consistency makes this gap more believable than most early-season splits. New England's offense moves the ball more efficiently, which favors them in a game decided by sustaining drives.

ARI: 32:16 time of possession per game to DAL's 28:03

ARI is at 32:16 time of possession per game over 7 games; DAL is at 28:03 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ARI was at 29:48 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.

CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2.43

Cincinnati is getting home 3.5 sacks a game over 6 games, compared with Tennessee's 2.43 over 7. Sack totals depend heavily on how often opponents are forced to pass, so a defense playing with leads will pile them up faster. For this game, the Titans' quarterback faces the busier pass rush, worth weighing for sack props and any Tennessee passing lines.

PHI won last season's series 4-0

Philadelphia beat Indiana in all 4 meetings last season, by 12.8 points a game. Tonight is the first meeting this season. Indiana is missing T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy, and Philadelphia is without Dominick Barlow, Ariel Hukporti and Tacko Fall. Last season's sweep is context for this matchup, and the current injury lists matter more for tonight's number.

JAX: 1.67 sacks taken per game to IND's 2.71

IND is at 2.71 sacks taken per game over 7 games; JAX is at 1.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.

DEN has won 3 straight

Denver has won three straight and is 5-2, the same record as a team riding real momentum. The sheet doesn't list who those wins came against, and three games is a short sample to judge a team on. Kansas City is a division rival coming to Denver, and streaks against weaker teams tend to stop predicting much once a familiar opponent shows up. Weigh the matchup more than the streak.

CLE won last season's series 4-0

Cleveland swept Washington 4-0 last season and won those games by 18.8 points on average, a one-sided series. Tonight is the first meeting this season, and rosters change, so last year's margin is background more than a forecast. Washington is without Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins. A history this lopsided often inflates the spread, so the question is how much of it still applies.

CHI: 2.43 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.14

Chicago goes for it on fourth down about twice as often as Seattle this season. Chicago was already aggressive last season at 1.71, and Seattle conservative at 0.71, so this reflects a real coaching difference over 7 games. Expect Chicago to keep drives alive in spots where Seattle would punt or kick, which adds variance to Chicago's scoring.

PIT has won 3 straight

Pittsburgh has won its last three to get to 5-2, so the two losses came earlier and the team is playing its best football right now. The sheet doesn't say who those three wins came against, so it can't tell you if the streak was earned against strong teams or soft ones. Three games is a short run. Use it as a sign Pittsburgh is playing well at home against Cleveland, and look up the quality of those opponents before you trust it.

LAR: 4.14 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.67

LAC is at 2.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; LAR is at 4.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and LAR at 4.47 over 17 games.

GB: 115 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 153.2

Carolina has allowed 153.2 rushing yards a game over 6 games, while Green Bay sits at 115 over 7. Run defense numbers can get inflated when a team trails and opponents lean on the ground to burn clock. In this matchup, the Packers' backfield draws the weaker front, which points toward Green Bay rushing volume and props.

Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC

Nikola Topic stays inactive after low back surgery. His absence is long-running and should already be priced in.

Ryan Vilade: .411 OPS in Last 15 Days

Vilade has barely reached base or hit for power lately, a .411 OPS that sits 0.339 below his .750 season line. The slump covers just 30 AB, a sample where a few bad swings swing everything. Cold spells that short tend to move back toward the season number. When sizing up his spot in this lineup, lean on the .750 more than the last two weeks.

Santi Aldama is OUT for DAL

Absence to track: Santi Aldama is out for DAL. Injury/Illness - Right Knee Surgery (2026-10-28, OKC@DAL). Prior reporting (2026-10-28): The Mavericks recalled Aldama (knee) from the G…

Dominick Barlow is OUT for PHI

Dominick Barlow is out for Philadelphia with a low back stress reaction, and earlier reports had him missing at least two weeks. Ariel Hukporti and Tacko Fall are out too, so Philadelphia's depth up front is thin tonight.

Henri Veesaar is OUT for ATL

Henri Veesaar is out for Atlanta with a torn right ACL, a long-term absence the line already reflects. With Mouhamed Gueye also out, Atlanta's frontcourt rotation is short.

Mouhamed Gueye is OUT for ATL

Mouhamed Gueye (ATL) is ruled out. Injury/Illness - Left Foot Fracture (2026-10-28, MIA@ATL). Prior reporting (2026-10-19): Gueye underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a…

Coby White is OUT for CHA

Coby White is out for Charlotte with a left calf strain. With Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams also out, Charlotte's guard and wing minutes shrink, and Brandon Miller is the obvious candidate to carry more of the scoring.

Kon Knueppel is OUT for CHA

Kon Knueppel is out for Charlotte with a left hamstring strain and has no timetable. That is one of three Charlotte absences tonight, alongside Coby White and Grant Williams, which leaves the rotation short against Detroit.

Grant Williams is OUT for CHA

Grant Williams is out for Charlotte with a right hamstring strain and is set to be re-evaluated. He joins Coby White and Kon Knueppel on the sideline, so Charlotte goes into Detroit thin.

Nicolas Claxton is OUT for CHI

Nicolas Claxton is out for Chicago with a left hamstring strain, though he has been doing individual work. His absence costs Chicago size and rim protection against a New York team on a back-to-back.

Dereck Lively II is OUT for DAL

Absence to track: Dereck Lively II is out for DAL. Injury/Illness - Right Foot Surgery (2026-10-28, OKC@DAL). Prior reporting (2026-10-22): Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game…

Spencer Jones is OUT for DEN

Spencer Jones is out for Denver with a hamstring issue being managed on both legs. He is one of four Denver players out tonight, which thins the bench around Nikola Jokic.

Kristaps Porzingis is OUT for GSW

Kristaps Porzingis is out for Golden State and is not with the team, with reports saying he is weighing his future. Along with Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody, Golden State is missing a lot of size and scoring, which puts more on Stephen Curry.

Jimmy Butler is OUT for GSW

Jimmy Butler is out for Golden State as he recovers from right ACL surgery. Golden State is also without Kristaps Porzingis and Moses Moody, so the supporting cast around Stephen Curry is thin.

Moses Moody is OUT for GSW

Moses Moody is out for Golden State as he works back from left patellar tendon surgery. With Jimmy Butler and Kristaps Porzingis also out, Golden State's wing depth is short at Minnesota.

T.J. McConnell is OUT for IND

T.J. McConnell is out for Indiana with a right hamstring strain. Indiana is also missing Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy, so backcourt minutes tighten against a Philadelphia team that swept them last season.

Johnny Furphy is OUT for IND

Johnny Furphy is out for Indiana as he recovers from right ACL surgery, a long-term absence. Combined with T.J. McConnell and Ben Sheppard, Indiana's guard and wing rotation is short tonight.

Bradley Beal is OUT for LAC

Absence to track: Bradley Beal is out for LAC. Injury/Illness - Right Knee Injury Management (2026-10-28, LAL@LAC). Prior reporting (2026-10-15): Beal (knee) will not be ready for the…

Max Strus is OUT for LAC

Max Strus is out for the Clippers with a partially torn right plantar fascia. With Bradley Beal and Brandon Ingram also out, the Clippers are short on shooting and wing depth.

Yanic Konan Niederhauser is OUT for LAC

Yanic Konan Niederhauser is out for the Clippers after right Lisfranc surgery. His absence trims frontcourt depth on a night the Clippers are already missing several rotation players.

Brandon Ingram is OUT for LAC

Brandon Ingram is out for the Clippers after right heel surgery and was not expected to be ready for the season's start. Along with Bradley Beal and Max Strus, the Clippers lose a lot of scoring.

Jordan Miller is OUT for LAC

Jordan Miller is out for the Clippers after left rotator cuff surgery. He adds to a long Clippers injury list that cuts into their depth against the Lakers.

Donte DiVincenzo is OUT for MIN

Donte DiVincenzo will not play. Injury/Illness - Right Achilles Tendon Repair / Surgery (2026-10-28, GSW@MIN). Prior reporting (2026-10-05): DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains…

Jonathan Isaac is OUT for ORL

Jonathan Isaac is out for Orlando with a left knee issue. With Paolo Banchero, Noah Penda and Izaiyah Nelson also out, Orlando's forward depth is thin at Toronto.

Izaiyah Nelson is OUT for ORL

Izaiyah Nelson is out for Orlando while recovering from a left ankle injury. He is a depth piece on a night Orlando is also without Paolo Banchero and Jonathan Isaac.

Ariel Hukporti is OUT for PHI

Ariel Hukporti is out for Philadelphia with a right Achilles tear, a long-term absence. With Dominick Barlow and Tacko Fall also out, Philadelphia's big-man depth is short.

Tacko Fall is OUT for PHI

Tacko Fall is out for Philadelphia with a left quadriceps strain. He is the third Philadelphia big out tonight, alongside Dominick Barlow and Ariel Hukporti.

Jayden Quaintance is OUT for SAS

Jayden Quaintance is out for San Antonio and has not been cleared for basketball activities. His absence is ongoing and has little effect on tonight's rotation.

Tobias Harris is OUT for SAS

Tobias Harris is out for San Antonio while he ramps up from a left calf strain. Combined with a back-to-back, San Antonio heads into Utah short on legs and on depth.

Jusuf Nurkic is OUT for UTA

Jusuf Nurkic is out for Utah with a plantar plate tear in his right foot. His absence costs Utah size inside, though Utah still has the rest edge over San Antonio.

Tristan Vukcevic is OUT for WAS

Tristan Vukcevic will not play. Injury/Illness - Left Hip Impingement (2026-10-28, WAS@CLE). Prior reporting (2026-10-01): The Wizards announced Thursday that Vukcevic…

Jamir Watkins is OUT for WAS

Jamir Watkins is out for Washington as he recovers from left ACL surgery, a long-term absence the market already reflects.

Cameron Carr is OUT for LAL

Cameron Carr is out for the Lakers with an oblique issue after being recalled from the G League. He is a fringe rotation piece, so his absence matters little for tonight's line.

Adou Thiero is OUT for LAL

Adou Thiero is out for the Lakers with swelling in his left knee. He is a depth piece, and the bigger story in this game is the Lakers playing on no rest.

Julian Strawther is OUT for DEN

Julian Strawther is out for Denver with a left knee sprain. He is one of four Denver players out tonight, which shortens the bench around Nikola Jokic.

Tarik Biberovic is OUT for DAL

Tarik Biberovic is out for Dallas with right heel bursitis after being listed as doubtful. He joins Santi Aldama and Dereck Lively II on a thin Dallas injury list.

Noah Penda is OUT for ORL

Noah Penda is out for Orlando with a partially torn right hamstring. Orlando is also without Paolo Banchero and Jonathan Isaac, so the forward rotation is short.

Trey Alexander is OUT for UTA

Trey Alexander is out for Utah while on a two-way G League assignment. He is outside the main rotation, so his absence barely moves this game.

Nate Bittle is OUT for TOR

Nate Bittle is out for Toronto with a right foot avulsion fracture. He is a depth big, and Toronto is otherwise in better shape than an Orlando team missing four players.

Ben Sheppard is OUT for IND

Ben Sheppard is out for Indiana with a torn left meniscus and is scheduled for surgery. With T.J. McConnell and Johnny Furphy also out, Indiana's guard and wing depth is thin against Philadelphia.

Cameron Johnson is OUT for DEN

Cameron Johnson is out for Denver with a right ankle sprain. He is the most notable of Denver's four absences tonight, and his minutes have to come from somewhere, which could mean more scoring burden for Nikola Jokic.

Alpha Diallo is OUT for DEN

Alpha Diallo is out for Denver for personal reasons. He is a depth piece on a night Denver is already missing several rotation players.

Paolo Banchero is OUT for ORL

Absence to track: Paolo Banchero is out for ORL. Injury/Illness - Right Low Grade High Ankle Sprain (2026-10-28, ORL@TOR). Prior reporting (2026-10-24): Banchero is expected to be…

Jalen Duren is OUT for DET

Detroit plays Charlotte without Jalen Duren, who has a right hamstring strain and will be re-evaluated in two weeks. This is a multi-week absence, so expect his minutes to be spread around for several games. Bettors should watch how Detroit fills his role tonight, because that rotation will likely repeat over the next stretch.

Yves Missi is OUT for NOP

Yves Missi is out against Denver with a left knee bone bruise first reported Oct 24. New Orleans has had a few days to plan for this. Look at who picks up his minutes, since that is the role most likely to change in this matchup.

Steven Adams is OUT for HOU

Steven Adams misses the Milwaukee game with a right soleus strain. Houston is also without Alperen Sengun, and Marcus Smart is questionable, so the Rockets are thin. Price this game with both absences together instead of looking at them one at a time.

Jabari Walker is OUT for PHI

Jabari Walker sits with left knee soreness, and he was ruled out the day before. That is a small rotation change for Philadelphia in Indiana, and nothing on the sheet points to a big ripple.

Kawhi Leonard is OUT for TOR

Kawhi Leonard is out for Toronto against Orlando with swelling in his left knee, and earlier reporting said he was expected to miss time. Orlando is also missing Jalen Suggs, so both sides lose a key piece. Judge any line move by how much each absence matters to its own team.

Ivica Zubac is OUT for IND

Indiana loses Ivica Zubac to a left ankle sprain against Philadelphia. Andrew Nembhard and Tyrese Haliburton are both questionable too, so Indiana's lineup is unsettled. Wait for the final report before reading too much into this game.

Cason Wallace is OUT for OKC

Cason Wallace has a torn left shoulder labrum, so this is a longer absence. He is one of six Thunder players out in Dallas, along with Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso. Oklahoma City's depth is being tested hard tonight.

Jalen Williams is OUT for OKC

Jalen Williams has a left ankle fracture, so he will be out for a long time. He sits along with Holmgren, Caruso and Wallace. That is a lot of talent gone for one night in Dallas, so any OKC number based on full strength needs adjusting.

Jalen Suggs is OUT for ORL

Jalen Suggs is out in Toronto with a right knee bone bruise first reported Oct 26. Toronto is without Kawhi Leonard, so both teams are down a starter-level name. The absences partly cancel out when you think about the matchup.

Chet Holmgren is OUT for OKC

Chet Holmgren sits with right knee patellar tendinitis. Tendinitis tends to come and go, so his status may stay week to week. In Dallas tonight, he is one of several key Thunder players out, which makes Oklahoma City much thinner than usual.

Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC

Thomas Sorber is out after right knee surgery, a long-term absence that should already be built into Oklahoma City's rotation and the line.

Kylan Boswell is OUT for CHA

Kylan Boswell is a two-way player in the G League, and he has been out since the season opener with a knee issue. This has little effect on Charlotte's main rotation.

Justin Champagnie is OUT for WAS

Justin Champagnie misses Washington's trip to Cleveland with a right foot injury. AJ Dybantsa is questionable with an ankle sprain, so check the final report to see how short Washington's wings are.

Sergio De Larrea is OUT for DAL

Sergio De Larrea is out for Dallas with a right knee sprain. That is a small rotation change compared with the long list of Thunder absences in this game.

Alex Caruso is OUT for OKC

Alex Caruso sits with a right ankle sprain. With Wallace and Williams also out, Oklahoma City is missing a lot of perimeter defenders. That could help Dallas guards more than usual tonight.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is OUT for UTA

Jaren Jackson Jr. has a torn right MCL, so Utah will be without him for a long time. Lauri Markkanen and Jaxson Hayes are questionable too, so Utah's frontcourt against San Antonio could be very thin.

Malik Dia is OUT for NOP

Malik Dia is on a two-way contract and in the G League. This has little impact on New Orleans tonight.

Jaron Pierre Jr. is OUT for NOP

Jaron Pierre Jr. is with the G League on a two-way deal. This has little impact on New Orleans against Denver.

Malachi Smith is OUT for TOR

Malachi Smith is a two-way player in the G League. This does not affect Toronto's rotation tonight.

Rui Hachimura is OUT for LAC

Rui Hachimura misses the Lakers game with left quad soreness, and he was ruled out the day before. Soreness usually means a short absence, so this is a one-night rotation change for the Clippers more than a lasting one.

Simone Fontecchio is OUT for MIA

Simone Fontecchio was doubtful with an illness and is now ruled out in Atlanta. Illnesses usually clear up quickly, so expect him back soon.

Quadir Copeland is OUT for HOU

Quadir Copeland is in the G League on a two-way deal. This has little impact on Houston in Milwaukee.

Julian Phillips is OUT for HOU

Julian Phillips is on a two-way assignment in the G League. This does not affect Houston's rotation tonight.

Alperen Sengun is OUT for HOU

Alperen Sengun is out with low back soreness. Steven Adams is also out and Marcus Smart is questionable, so Houston comes into Milwaukee short on frontcourt players. Back soreness can linger, so check his status again before the next game.

Khalifa Diop is OUT for CLE

Khalifa Diop is on G League assignment, which does not change Cleveland's rotation against Washington.

Nae'Qwan Tomlin is OUT for CLE

Nae'Qwan Tomlin is out with a low back stress reaction. That injury can keep a player out longer than soreness would, so expect a longer absence. This is a depth change for Cleveland.

Ernest Udeh, Jr. is OUT for CLE

Ernest Udeh, Jr. is a two-way player in the G League. This has little impact on Cleveland tonight.

Michael Ajayi is OUT for CHA

Michael Ajayi is on a two-way deal and in the G League. This has little impact on Charlotte in Detroit.

Anthony Edwards is OUT for MIN

Anthony Edwards is out against Golden State. The team is calling it right knee injury management, and earlier reporting said he would have arthroscopic surgery on that knee. Expect a longer absence, so Minnesota numbers built with him in the lineup may not apply for a while.

Kobe Bufkin is OUT for UTA

Kobe Bufkin is a two-way player in the G League. This has little effect on Utah against San Antonio.

Harrison Ingram is OUT for UTA

Harrison Ingram is on a two-way assignment in the G League. This does not affect Utah's rotation tonight.

DET on a back-to-back, CHA rested

Detroit is playing its second game in two nights, while Charlotte has had 2 days off. Tired home teams can fade late, especially on defense. Charlotte is short-handed, though, with Coby White, Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams all out. The rest edge and the injury edge point in opposite directions, so weigh both when looking at the spread.

NYK on a back-to-back, CHI rested

New York is on the second night of a back-to-back, and Chicago has had 2 days of rest. That gap tends to show up in legs and shooting late in games. Chicago is without Nicolas Claxton, which takes some size off the floor. For bettors, the rest edge sits with the home team, and second-half or total markets are where fatigue usually shows.

SAS on a back-to-back, UTA rested

San Antonio is on the back end of a back-to-back, and Utah comes in with 2 days of rest. San Antonio is also without Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance, and Utah is missing Jusuf Nurkic and Trey Alexander. The schedule edge belongs to Utah at home. Look at whether the line moved enough to reflect a tired road team.

LAL on a back-to-back, LAC rested

The Lakers are on no rest, and the Clippers have had 3 days off, the widest rest gap on tonight's board. The Clippers are thin, though, with Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Max Strus, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser all out. The Lakers are missing Cameron Carr and Adou Thiero. Rest favors the Clippers and health favors the Lakers, so it is worth checking which one the line leaned on.

NOP has lost 3 straight

New Orleans is 0-3, but the losses have been close, by 3.3 points a game. Three tight losses look more like a team losing coin flips than one getting run off the floor. Denver comes in without Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Spencer Jones and Alpha Diallo. Close losses are the kind of streak that can flip, so do not let the record alone drive the read.

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

T.J. Tampa (CB) is ir-r for BAL

Tampa is a Ravens cornerback who has been on injured reserve with toe and ankle injuries. Baltimore designated him to return Wednesday, which opens his practice window, though it does not mean he plays against Buffalo. Watch whether he gets activated before you count him in the Ravens secondary.

Broderick Washington Jr. (DT) is questionable for BAL

Washington is questionable for Baltimore at Buffalo, and the report lists no injury or recent game detail. He is a defensive tackle, so his absence would mainly thin the interior against the Bills' run game. His final status is the thing to check.

Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is questionable for BAL

Hawkins is questionable for Baltimore at Buffalo, with no injury detail listed. A safety out means a backup handling deep coverage against the Bills. Confirm his status before betting Buffalo passing props.

Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Andrew Wingard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jalen Brooks (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Brooks (wrist) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.

Dee Winters (LB) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Dee Winters as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE

Hall is questionable for Cleveland at Pittsburgh, and the report gives no injury or recent game detail. As a defensive tackle, his status matters most for the interior against the Steelers' run game.

Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

The Falcons designated Williams (ankle) for return to practice from injured reserve Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log. Reported Oct 23.

Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Divine Deablo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is questionable for TB

TB lists Antoine Winfield Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Pierce is on injured reserve with a heel injury, and Shane Steichen said Monday his 21-day practice window will most likely not open in Week 8. That puts him out against Jacksonville with no return timeline yet. Bet the Colts' passing game as if Pierce is not part of it this week.

CJ Allen (LB) is questionable for IND

Allen is questionable for the Colts at Jacksonville, with no injury or practice detail on the report. Questionable means it could go either way. Check the final status before kickoff, since a missing linebacker can open up the middle of the field for the Jaguars.

Bryce Boettcher (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Bryce Boettcher as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR

Landman is questionable for the Rams against the Chargers, and the report lists no injury or practice detail. With McDuffie also questionable, the Rams could be short at more than one spot on defense, so the final inactive list matters for how you view the Chargers' offense.

Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC

Smith is a Chiefs running back placed on injured reserve Saturday with a hamstring injury. He is out for the trip to Denver and will miss at least several weeks. The carries go to the rest of the Kansas City backfield, so look at who else is active before betting any Chiefs rushing props.

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is questionable for DEN

Hufanga is questionable for Denver against Kansas City, with no injury detail listed. A safety absence would put a backup in coverage against the Chiefs' passing game. Check his final status before betting Kansas City receiving props.

Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Badie is a Broncos running back placed on injured reserve Saturday with a thumb injury. He misses the Chiefs game and at least several weeks after. His touches shift to the other Denver backs, which matters most if you are looking at Broncos rushing props.

Willie Gay Jr. (LB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Willie Gay Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI

Bennett (knee) will remain on injured reserve and is inactive for Monday night's matchup with Dallas. Reported Oct 26.

Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Nolan Smith Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

Lane underwent surgery Oct. 9 to repair his fractured and dislocated ankle, and he is expected to be cleared for activities before OTAs, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Oct 22.

T.J. Edwards (LB) is questionable for CHI

Edwards is questionable for Chicago at Seattle, and the report lists no injury or recent game detail. A linebacker sitting would thin the middle of the Bears' defense against both the run and short passes. Wait for inactives before leaning on Seattle's ground game.

Jack Sanborn (LB) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Jack Sanborn as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Price (chest) will be designated for return from injured reserve during Week 8, Gregg Bell of Sports Radio 93.3 KJR Seattle reports. Reported Oct 26.

Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Drake Thomas (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Drake Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Connor O'Toole (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Connor O'Toole as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

CAR: 26.5 points per game to GB's 20.6

CAR is at 26.5 points per game over 6 games; GB is at 20.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CAR was at 18.3 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

DET: 2 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

MIN is at 3 sacks taken per game over 6 games; DET is at 2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 4 over 17 games and DET at 3 over 17 games.

LAR: 11.9 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 22

LAC is at 22 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; LAR is at 11.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and LAR at 11.5 over 17 games.

Damien Lewis

Knee · Did not practice

Zaire Franklin

Shin · Did not practice

Torricelli Simpkins III

Ankle · Did not practice

Akayleb Evans

Triceps · Did not practice

Travis Glover

Knee · Did not practice

Matthew Golden

Shoulder · Did not practice

Jaelan Phillips

Hamstring · Did not practice

JAX: 40% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 60%

IND is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; JAX is at 40% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

NE has 3 more days of rest

New England has six days since its last game, a normal week, while Miami is at home on three days. The gap is three days, smaller than a bye gap, but the Dolphins still get a squeezed prep week with less practice time. Home field softens some of that for Miami. This is a modest rest edge for the road side, worth a small adjustment, not a big one.

CHI has 3 more days of rest

Chicago comes in on six days, a standard week, and Seattle is at home three days after its last game. That three-day gap means the Seahawks get a shortened practice week and less time to heal, though they skip the travel. The Bears have the long trip but a fuller week of prep. The rest edge here is real but modest, so weigh it against the travel rather than on its own.

BAL (4-3) at BUF (5-1)

Baltimore's 4-3 comes with just a +2 margin and a two-game losing streak, yet it has been better away from home at 3-1. Buffalo is 5-1, +26 and has won two straight, though only 2-1 at home. The records point one way and the splits soften it a little. Buffalo arrives with the momentum, and Baltimore's road form is the piece that keeps this from being lopsided on paper.

TEN (1-6) at CIN (4-2)

Tennessee is 1-6 and -48, and Cincinnati is 4-2 and +41, so the margins match the records on both sides. Cincinnati has won two straight but is only 1-1 at home, a two-game sample that says little. Tennessee is 1-2 on the road. The season-long numbers carry more weight here than the venue splits, and they lean heavily to Cincinnati.

ARI (2-5) at DAL (3-4)

Dallas is 3-4 but +9 on the year, which suggests it has lost some close games and is better than its record. Arizona's 2-5 comes with a -66 margin, so its record, if anything, flatters it. The home split cuts against Dallas at 1-2, while Arizona is a respectable 2-2 on the road. The point differentials tell a clearer story than the venue records in this one.

LAC (0-6) at LAR (3-4)

The Chargers are 0-6 with a -61 margin and 0-3 on the road, and nothing in their numbers points to a turnaround yet. The Rams are 3-4 but +11, a team whose record undersells its scoring margin. The catch is that the Rams are 1-3 at home, so the home field has not helped them. Their margin is the better guide to who they are than that small home sample.

GB: 1.86 takeaways per game to CAR's 1.17

Green Bay has forced 1.86 takeaways a game over 7 games, with Carolina at 1.17 over 6. Turnover numbers are among the least stable in football, so expect both to drift toward each other over a full season. The Packers still have the better recent track record of creating extra possessions, which helps their case if this game stays close.

KC: 26.7% red-zone scoring allowed to DEN's 45.5%

Opponents have scored on just 26.7% of red-zone trips against Kansas City over 6 games, compared with 45.5% against Denver over 7. Both are strong, and the Chiefs' rate is extreme enough that it is more likely to rise than hold. For a total, two defenses this stingy near the goal line can turn drives into field goals, which pulls scoring down.

KC: 99.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 133.3

KC is at 99.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; DEN is at 133.3 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

ATL: 5.57 yards per play to TB's 4.8

Atlanta gains more yards per play than Tampa Bay this season, and Tampa Bay's 4.8 is down from 5.12 last season. In their last games, Tampa Bay had more big plays, including Sean Tucker's 46-yard touchdown run, while Atlanta had just one, Drake London's 21-yard score. One game of explosives says little about the season, but the Tampa run game can still strike. Atlanta's efficiency edge is steadier than Tampa's.

CAR: 22.3 first downs per game to GB's 17.6

CAR is at 22.3 first downs per game over 6 games; GB is at 17.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.

CHI: 35:30 time of possession per game to SEA's 31:45

Chicago holds the ball well over half the game this season, a jump from 30:59 last season over 7 games. Seattle at 31:45 also controls possession more than last season's 30:12. When two teams that keep the ball meet, someone gives ground, and fewer total possessions point toward a slower game.

NE: 20.4 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.2

NE is at 20.4 points allowed per game over 7 games; MIA is at 26.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.

MIA: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2

NE is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; MIA is at 1.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 0.94 over 17 games and MIA at 1.41 over 17 games.

Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

ATL: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 52.2%

ATL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; TB is at 52.2% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ATL was at 62% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.

IND: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to JAX's 40%

IND is at 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; JAX is at 40% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 66.7% over 17 games and JAX at 58.6% over 17 games.

NE: 21.1 first downs per game to MIA's 16.7

NE is at 21.1 first downs per game over 7 games; MIA is at 16.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 21.2 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.

Dorian Mausi (LB) is ir-r for TEN

Mausi is a Titans linebacker coming back from injured reserve. Tennessee opened his 21-day practice window Wednesday, so he can practice now but has to be activated to play. Whether he suits up in Cincinnati depends on that move, so check the final roster.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

Jon Gaines II (G) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Jon Gaines II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

P.J. Locke (S) is ir-r for DAL

Locke (foot) has been downgraded from questionable to out for Monday's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

Dylan Parham (G) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Dylan Parham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Torricelli Simpkins III (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Torricelli Simpkins III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 26.

NYJ: 3.8 yards per rush attempt to LV's 2.96

LV is at 2.96 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; NYJ is at 3.8 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 3.38 over 17 games and NYJ at 4.53 over 17 games.

WSH: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 131.4

Washington has held opponents to 100.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games, while Philadelphia has allowed 131.4 over 7. A one-score game script can flatter or punish these numbers fast. In this matchup, the Commanders' backfield gets the friendlier front, which tilts rushing props their way.

GB: 2 sacks taken per game to CAR's 2.83

CAR is at 2.83 sacks taken per game over 6 games; GB is at 2 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CAR was at 2.19 over 17 games and GB at 2.07 over 17 games.

LAR is 1-3 at home; LAC is 0-3 on the road

Neither team has done well where it plays. The Rams are 1-3 at home and the Chargers are 0-3 on the road. Those splits come from only four and three games, which is too few to call it a home edge or a road problem. The split leans toward the Rams on paper, but a 1-3 home record is a thin reason to back anyone. Judge this game on the matchup itself.

LAR: 0.57 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1.17

LAC is at 1.17 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; LAR is at 0.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 0.41 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.

ATL (3-4) at TB (2-5), a division game

Tampa Bay is 2-5 but +11 on the year, a record that undersells a team that has lost close games. Atlanta is 3-4 and -2, about what its record says. The strange piece is Tampa Bay's 0-4 home mark against Atlanta's 2-1 road record. Point differential favors the Buccaneers while the venue splits favor the Falcons, and in a division game that tension is the whole read.

OKC won last season's series 3-0

Oklahoma City beat Dallas three times last season, winning by 13.7 points per game. Tonight's Thunder team is missing Jalen Williams, Holmgren, Caruso and Wallace. That makes last season's margin a weak guide for this game.

DEN won last season's series 3-0

Denver Nuggets won last season's series 3-0, by 15.7 a game across 3 meetings. Tonight is their first meeting this season.

DET won last season's series 3-0

Detroit beat Charlotte all three times last season, winning by 16.7 points per game on average. Three games is a small sample, and that was last season's roster. Detroit is without Jalen Duren tonight, so the margin from last season may not hold.

WSH: 31:05 time of possession per game to PHI's 27:40

Washington is holding the ball longer per game than Philadelphia this season, a reversal from last season when Philadelphia led 30:11 to 28:41. Washington's ground game helps them control the clock over 6 games. If Washington keeps that possession edge at home, Philadelphia gets fewer chances to answer.

NYJ: 187.7 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 230.1

The Jets have allowed 187.7 passing yards a game over 7 games, well below the Raiders' 230.1 over the same span. Seven games gives this some weight, though pass defense numbers move with the quarterbacks a team happens to draw. In this game, the Raiders' passing attack runs into the tougher secondary, which leans toward the under on Las Vegas passing yardage.

ATL: 2.29 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.14

ATL is at 2.29 sacks taken per game over 7 games; TB is at 3.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and TB at 2.38 over 17 games.

KC: 39.4% third-down conversion rate to DEN's 31.1%

KC is at 39.4% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; DEN is at 31.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and DEN at 41.2% over 17 games.

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 4 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 759 passing yards, completed 64.7% of his passes and averaged 6.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 7 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1623 passing yards, completed 70% of his passes and averaged 7.84 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 7 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1877 passing yards, completed 62.6% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 16-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 6 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1788 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 8.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

ARI: 1.14 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.57

Arizona is forcing 1.14 takeaways a game over 7 games, twice Dallas at 0.57 over 7. Takeaway rates bounce around, and both numbers sit low enough that neither defense is really living off turnovers. For this game, the edge belongs to the Cardinals, but it is a small one that a single tipped pass can erase.

LV: 1.71 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1.14

LV is at 1.71 takeaways per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 5 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 812 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 7 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1851 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 6.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 7 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1600 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 6 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1653 passing yards, completed 71.7% of his passes and averaged 7.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 7 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 1179 passing yards, completed 62% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Erick All Jr. (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed All (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 6 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1712 passing yards, completed 59.2% of his passes and averaged 7.51 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 7 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1958 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 7.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 6 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1504 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 8.79 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Montaric Brown (CB) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Montaric Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC

Jackson is a Chargers cornerback listed as questionable for the game against the Rams. The report gives no injury or practice detail, so there is little to go on. If he sits, the Rams' passing game faces a thinner secondary, so watch his status before kickoff.

Joe Alt (OT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Joe Alt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Rodney Shelley (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Rodney Shelley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Charles Omenihu (DE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Charles Omenihu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Kmet (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 23.

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.

PHI outscored teams by 3.0 a game this season, IND by 1.5

PHI outscored teams by 3.0 a game this season, IND by 1.5. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 4 games, PHI over 4.

TOR outscored teams by 10.0 a game this season, ORL was outscored by 6.7

TOR outscored teams by 10.0 a game this season, ORL was outscored by 6.7. 2026-27 regular season: TOR over 3 games, ORL over 3.

NYK was outscored by 1.3 a game this season, CHI by 18.8

NYK was outscored by 1.3 a game this season, CHI by 18.8. 2026-27 regular season: CHI over 4 games, NYK over 4.

HOU outscored teams by 9.8 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 5.5

HOU outscored teams by 9.8 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 5.5. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 4 games, HOU over 4.

MIN outscored teams by 17.0 a game this season, GSW was outscored by 3.5

MIN outscored teams by 17.0 a game this season, GSW was outscored by 3.5. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 4 games, GSW over 4.

BUF: 6.55 yards per play to BAL's 5.91

Buffalo gains more per play than Baltimore this season, a jump from 5.94 last season while Baltimore holds near 5.92. Buffalo's last game had 4 plays of 20 or more yards, all Josh Allen passes, including 37 yards to Joshua Palmer. Baltimore's explosives came from Tyler Huntley to Zay Flowers, including a 48-yard touchdown. Buffalo's passing edge over 6 games looks like the stronger offense here.

LV: 49.6 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 69

LV is at 49.6 penalty yards per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 69 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.

DET outscored teams by 6.0 a game this season, CHA was outscored by 7.0

DET outscored teams by 6.0 a game this season, CHA was outscored by 7.0. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 4 games, CHA over 4.

WAS was outscored by 0.3 a game this season, CLE by 0.7

WAS was outscored by 0.3 a game this season, CLE by 0.7. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 3 games, WAS over 4.

ATL outscored teams by 9.3 a game this season, MIA was outscored by 12.8

ATL outscored teams by 9.3 a game this season, MIA was outscored by 12.8. 2026-27 regular season: ATL over 4 games, MIA over 4.

NOP was outscored by 3.3 a game this season, DEN by 8.7

NOP was outscored by 3.3 a game this season, DEN by 8.7. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 3 games, DEN over 3.

SAS outscored teams by 6.8 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 8.3

SAS outscored teams by 6.8 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 8.3. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 4 games, SAS over 4.

OKC outscored teams by 10.5 a game this season, DAL was outscored by 3.5

OKC outscored teams by 10.5 a game this season, DAL was outscored by 3.5. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 4 games, OKC over 4.

LAL outscored teams by 8.0 a game this season, LAC by 3.3

LAL outscored teams by 8.0 a game this season, LAC by 3.3. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 3 games, LAL over 4.

PIT: 0.29 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 0.86

Cleveland is losing fumbles about three times as often as Pittsburgh this season, up from 0.41 last season over 7 games. Pittsburgh's 0.29 is close to its 0.35 from last season. Fumble luck tends to swing back, so Cleveland's fumble rate should come down over time.

LV: 4 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 2.86

LV is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 2.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.24 over 17 games.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 6 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 62.1% of his passes and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

CHI: 72.1 offensive plays per game to SEA's 64

CHI is at 72.1 offensive plays per game over 7 games; SEA is at 64 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and SEA at 59.7 over 17 games.

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 4 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1020 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.23 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Tanner McKee threw for 426 passing yards, completed 61.3% of his passes and averaged 5.33 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 6 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 1057 passing yards, completed 57.6% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 7 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1784 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 7 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1271 passing yards, completed 59.2% of his passes and averaged 5.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 6 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1474 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 7.72 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 7 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1989 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 6 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 1141 passing yards, completed 59.4% of his passes and averaged 6.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 6 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1480 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 8.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 7 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1398 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 4 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 6.35 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 5 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1157 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 8.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 7 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1699 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 6.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Junior Caminero

Caminero is day-to-day with a leg issue. His listed return date is today, October 28, but that doesn't guarantee he's back. With an .885 OPS, I'm holding him. Stash and hold; confirm he's in the lineup before activating.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 7 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1482 passing yards, completed 64.8% of his passes and averaged 7.06 yards per attempt. His 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

JAX: 11.8 sack yards lost per game to IND's 19.3

IND is at 19.3 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; JAX is at 11.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and JAX at 20.6 over 17 games.

TB: 217.4 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 255.6

Tampa Bay has allowed 217.4 passing yards a game over 7 games, and Atlanta has given up 255.6 over 7. Pass yardage allowed can swell for teams that trail, since opponents keep throwing. In this game, the Buccaneers' passing attack faces the weaker coverage unit, which points toward Tampa Bay passing props.

TEN: 40.7% third downs allowed to CIN's 48.1%

Tennessee is allowing conversions on 40.7% of third downs over 7 games, while Cincinnati sits at 48.1% over 6. Nearly half of third downs converting means the Bengals defense is giving opponents extra plays and longer drives. In this matchup, the Titans' offense gets more chances to sustain drives, which helps their side of the total.

BAL: 23.9 points allowed per game to BUF's 28.5

BAL is at 23.9 points allowed per game over 7 games; BUF is at 28.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season BAL was at 23.4 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.

WSH: 5.13 yards per play to PHI's 4.53

Washington gains more per play than Philadelphia this season, though both are below last season: 5.53 for Washington, 5.27 for Philadelphia. Philadelphia's 4.53 over 7 games is the bigger drop and likely to recover some. Washington holds the efficiency edge at home for now, likely narrower than this season's gap shows.

NE: 72.7% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 50%

NE is at 72.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; MIA is at 50% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 72% over 17 games and MIA at 47.8% over 17 games.

IND scored 116.5 points a game this season, PHI 110.0

IND scored 116.5 points a game this season, PHI 110.0. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 4 games, PHI over 4.

TOR scored 113.7 points a game this season, ORL 109.7

TOR scored 113.7 points a game this season, ORL 109.7. 2026-27 regular season: TOR over 3 games, ORL over 3.

CHI scored 110.8 points a game this season, NYK 104.0

CHI scored 110.8 points a game this season, NYK 104.0. 2026-27 regular season: CHI over 4 games, NYK over 4.

HOU scored 120.8 points a game this season, MIL 116.8

HOU scored 120.8 points a game this season, MIL 116.8. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 4 games, HOU over 4.

MIN scored 122.0 points a game this season, GSW 117.3

MIN scored 122.0 points a game this season, GSW 117.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 4 games, GSW over 4.

NOP scored 124.7 points a game this season, DEN 113.0

NOP scored 124.7 points a game this season, DEN 113.0. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 3 games, DEN over 3.

SAS scored 116.5 points a game this season, UTA 112.8

SAS scored 116.5 points a game this season, UTA 112.8. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 4 games, SAS over 4.

Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Injured reserve means Wilson is out for this game against Cleveland and for at least the next several weeks, so there is no game-time decision here. He went on IR with a finger injury, reported Oct 17. The facts don't spell out his role in the Steelers receiver room, so the size of the loss is unclear. When pricing Pittsburgh's passing game, count him out entirely and lean on the receivers who are actually active.

DAL scored 112.5 points a game this season, OKC 111.3

DAL scored 112.5 points a game this season, OKC 111.3. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 4 games, OKC over 4.

LAL scored 128.3 points a game this season, LAC 113.0

LAL scored 128.3 points a game this season, LAC 113.0. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 3 games, LAL over 4.

WSH: 1.83 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.14

PHI is at 1.14 sacks recorded per game over 7 games; WSH is at 1.83 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

Tom Kennedy (WR) is on injured reserve for DET

Kennedy is a Lions wide receiver placed on injured reserve on Oct 17 with a knee injury. He is out against Minnesota. He sits deeper in Detroit's receiver group, so his absence changes little for the main pass catchers.

CHI: 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%

When opponents reach Chicago's red zone, they score 64.7% of the time over 7 games, while Seattle has given up scores on 78.6% of trips over the same span. The sheet does not list who either team played or how those drives went, so schedule can't be ruled in or out as the reason. Red-zone rates swing on a handful of trips each week, so a gap this size can shrink fast. In this game it leans toward Chicago holding drives to field goals a bit more often, which matters most for totals and touchdown props.

TB: 52.6% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 66.7%

Opponents have scored on 52.6% of red-zone trips against Tampa Bay over 7 games, compared with 66.7% against Atlanta. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of plays, so both can move a lot in a few weeks. For this game, the Buccaneers are more likely to turn deep drives into points, which matters most when thinking about the spread in a close game.

Ed Oliver (DT) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Ed Oliver as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Moore (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said that Parsons (knee) won't practice in Week 7, Weston Hodkiewicz of the team's official site reports. "He has to clear some hurdles yet before we get to that point," LaFleur said. Reported Oct 19.

Taylor Moton (OT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Croskey-Merritt (groin) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 19.

Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Shipley (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 16.

CIN: 1.5 takeaways per game to TEN's 1

TEN is at 1 takeaways per game over 7 games; CIN is at 1.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

Jacob Monk (C) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

ARI: 2.14 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1.43

Arizona is recording 2.14 sacks a game over 7 games, ahead of Dallas at 1.43 over 7. Neither rate is elite, and sack counts shift with how often opponents drop back. For this game, the Cowboys' quarterback faces a bit more pressure than the Cardinals' passer, a modest factor for sack props.

ATL scored 121.0 points a game this season, MIA 109.0

ATL scored 121.0 points a game this season, MIA 109.0. 2026-27 regular season: ATL over 4 games, MIA over 4.

CLE scored 119.3 points a game this season, WAS 114.3

CLE scored 119.3 points a game this season, WAS 114.3. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 3 games, WAS over 4.

DET scored 113.0 points a game this season, CHA 104.0

DET scored 113.0 points a game this season, CHA 104.0. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 4 games, CHA over 4.

Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Jerrell (biceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE

Bryant (ankle) was a full participant at the Patriots' practice Tuesday. Reported Oct 21.

PIT: 91 rushing yards allowed per game to CLE's 116.4

Pittsburgh has held opponents to 91 rushing yards a game over 7 games, while Cleveland has allowed 116.4 over 7. Seven games makes the Steelers' run defense look like a real strength. In this matchup, the Browns may have a hard time running, which can push them into obvious passing downs.

BAL: 31:55 time of possession per game to BUF's 29:04

BAL is at 31:55 time of possession per game over 7 games; BUF is at 29:04 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season BAL was at 29:11 over 17 games and BUF at 33:09 over 17 games.

Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

PHI: 37.9% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 30.9%

PHI is at 37.9% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; WSH is at 30.9% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season PHI was at 37.1% over 17 games and WSH at 37.6% over 17 games.

Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Turner (groin) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 21.

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

Adams (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 20.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams coach Sean McVay said Friday that Garrett (knee) could have his 21-day practice window opened next week, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 23.

Bud Dupree (LB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Bud Dupree as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Derwin James Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks (core) was seen jogging at practice Thursday, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. Reported Oct 15.

NYJ: 96.4 rushing yards per game to LV's 74.7

LV is at 74.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 96.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 77.5 over 17 games and NYJ at 123.3 over 17 games.

Anton Harrison (OT) is on injured reserve for JAX

Harrison was diagnosed with a torn ACL while undergoing a procedure on his right knee Thursday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 24.

Cam Taylor-Britt (CB) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Taylor-Britt on injured reserve Tuesday due to a groin injury, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 27.

Romeo Doubs (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Doubs (shoulder) is hopeful to return after the Patriots' Week 11 bye and isn't expected to face a long-term absence, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 19.

MIA won last season's series 3-1

Miami won three of four against Atlanta last season, winning by 15 points per game on average. The average margin is large, but four games is a small sample and this is the first meeting this season.

LV: 20.9 first downs per game to NYJ's 17.6

LV is at 20.9 first downs per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 17.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 15.1 over 17 games and NYJ at 16 over 17 games.

NOP on 4d, DEN on 2d

New Orleans has 4 days of rest and Denver has 2. Two days is a real gap, but neither team is on a back-to-back. The rest edge is small and goes to the home team.

BUF: 4.33 red-zone trips per game to BAL's 3.43

BAL is at 3.43 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; BUF is at 4.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.

WSH: 22 points per game to PHI's 18.1

PHI is at 18.1 points per game over 7 games; WSH is at 22 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and WSH at 20.9 over 17 games.

DAL: 25.7 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.7

ARI is at 29.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; DAL is at 25.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.

MIN: 32:43 time of possession per game to DET's 30:12

MIN is at 32:43 time of possession per game over 6 games; DET is at 30:12 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 28:20 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.

NE: 5.4 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.93

New England allows 5.4 yards per play over 7 games, about half a yard less than Miami's 5.93 over 6. That gap comes to a few extra yards a drive in Miami's favor as the offense facing them. The sheet doesn't say which offenses either defense has seen, so part of this could be schedule. For this game, the Patriots' offense has a softer unit in front of it than the Dolphins do.

Brewers are 2-1 vs Rays this season

Milwaukee has taken two of three from Tampa Bay this season, most recently an 8-2 blowout. Three games is a tiny sample, and the sheet doesn't say who pitched or where those games were played, so there's no matchup reason to expect a repeat. Tonight is in Tampa Bay. Price it on the starters and current form, and give the season series little weight.

LAR: 68.3 offensive plays per game to LAC's 61.8

LAC is at 61.8 offensive plays per game over 6 games; LAR is at 68.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 64.4 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.

DAL: 5.1 sack yards lost per game to ARI's 11.7

ARI is at 11.7 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; DAL is at 5.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ARI was at 24.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.

NYK won last season's series 3-1

New York beat Chicago three of four times last season, winning by 12 points per game on average. Patrick Williams is questionable for Chicago tonight. That series result is background, and tonight's injury report matters more.

HOU won last season's series 2-0

Houston swept Milwaukee 2-0 last season, winning by 6.5 points per game on average. Two games is a very small sample. Tonight Houston is without Sengun and Adams, which matters more than last season's results.

MIN won last season's series 3-1

Minnesota beat Golden State three of four times last season, but the average margin was only 4 points. Anthony Edwards is out tonight, so last season's close series is a weak guide for this game.

MIN allowed 105.0 points a game this season, GSW 120.8

MIN allowed 105.0 points a game this season, GSW 120.8. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 4 games, GSW over 4.

Thomas Incoom (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Incoom (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

Tavius Robinson (LB) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Robinson (pectoral) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Joseph is a Lions safety on the PUP list with a knee injury. Dan Campbell said he is in a good headspace and expects him to play at some point this season, with no timeline given. He is not a factor against Minnesota, and Detroit keeps using its current safeties.

Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets placed Mauigoa (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.

Kalia Davis (DT) is on injured reserve for CLE

Kalia Davis will spend the rest of the season on injured reserve with a quadriceps injury after his 21-day practice window expired Tuesday. He will not play at Pittsburgh or again this year, so Cleveland's defensive line rotation carries on without him. The sheet does not name who absorbs his snaps at defensive tackle.

Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

Sebastian Joseph-Day, a defensive tackle, went on injured reserve with a triceps injury, and the Steelers made the move Oct 23. IR means he is out for this game against Cleveland and several weeks beyond it, so there is no game-day call to wait on. The fact sheet does not say how much he played or who takes his snaps, so look for news on the next man up in Pittsburgh's interior line rotation before judging how much the Browns' run game gains.

Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday, Scott Smith of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.

Ross Matiscik (LS) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Ross Matiscik as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jonah Elliss (LB) is on injured reserve for DEN

The Broncos placed Elliss (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

CIN: 60.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 54.3

TEN is at 54.3 offensive plays per game over 7 games; CIN is at 60.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and CIN at 62.2 over 17 games.

DET: 66.3 offensive plays per game to MIN's 60.5

MIN is at 60.5 offensive plays per game over 6 games; DET is at 66.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.

LV: 64.3 offensive plays per game to NYJ's 58.1

LV is at 64.3 offensive plays per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 58.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and NYJ at 59.4 over 17 games.

JAX: 25.7 points per game to IND's 22

IND is at 22 points per game over 7 games; JAX is at 25.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.

NE: 62.4 offensive plays per game to MIA's 56.3

NE is at 62.4 offensive plays per game over 7 games; MIA is at 56.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

PHI: 25 points allowed per game to WSH's 28.7

PHI is at 25 points allowed per game over 7 games; WSH is at 28.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season PHI was at 19.1 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.

GB: 11.1 sack yards lost per game to CAR's 17.2

CAR is at 17.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; GB is at 11.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CAR was at 16 over 17 games and GB at 16.3 over 17 games.

CLE: 19 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 25.1

CLE is at 19 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; PIT is at 25.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CLE was at 20.3 over 17 games and PIT at 14.8 over 17 games.

LAC allowed 109.7 points a game this season, LAL 120.3

LAC allowed 109.7 points a game this season, LAL 120.3. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 3 games, LAL over 4.

TB: 1.71 takeaways per game to ATL's 1.29

ATL is at 1.29 takeaways per game over 7 games; TB is at 1.71 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

Aaron Banks

Knee · Limited practice

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Limited practice

Devonte Wyatt

Ankle · Limited practice

Brenton Cox Jr.

Quadriceps · Limited practice

OKC allowed 100.8 points a game this season, DAL 116.0

OKC allowed 100.8 points a game this season, DAL 116.0. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 4 games, OKC over 4.

SAS allowed 109.8 points a game this season, UTA 121.0

SAS allowed 109.8 points a game this season, UTA 121.0. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 4 games, SAS over 4.

DEN allowed 121.7 points a game this season, NOP 128.0

DEN allowed 121.7 points a game this season, NOP 128.0. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 3 games, DEN over 3.

HOU allowed 111.0 points a game this season, MIL 122.3

HOU allowed 111.0 points a game this season, MIL 122.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 4 games, HOU over 4.

NYK allowed 105.3 points a game this season, CHI 129.5

NYK allowed 105.3 points a game this season, CHI 129.5. 2026-27 regular season: CHI over 4 games, NYK over 4.

TOR allowed 103.7 points a game this season, ORL 116.3

TOR allowed 103.7 points a game this season, ORL 116.3. 2026-27 regular season: TOR over 3 games, ORL over 3.

PHI allowed 107.0 points a game this season, IND 115.0

PHI allowed 107.0 points a game this season, IND 115.0. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 4 games, PHI over 4.

DET allowed 107.0 points a game this season, CHA 111.0

DET allowed 107.0 points a game this season, CHA 111.0. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 4 games, CHA over 4.

WAS allowed 114.5 points a game this season, CLE 120.0

WAS allowed 114.5 points a game this season, CLE 120.0. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 3 games, WAS over 4.

ATL allowed 111.8 points a game this season, MIA 121.8

ATL allowed 111.8 points a game this season, MIA 121.8. 2026-27 regular season: ATL over 4 games, MIA over 4.

BAL: 0.43 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 0.83

BAL is at 0.43 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; BUF is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season BAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and BUF at 0.53 over 17 games.

NYJ: 0.71 turnovers committed per game to LV's 1.14

LV is at 1.14 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 1.35 over 17 games and NYJ at 1.35 over 17 games.

MIA: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 1.14

NE is at 1.14 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; MIA is at 0.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 0.47 over 17 games and MIA at 1.06 over 17 games.

PHI (2-5) at WSH (1-4-1), a division game

Philadelphia has lost five straight and is 2-5 with a -48 margin, so the slide is backed by the scoreboard. Washington is 1-4-1 and -40, not much better, and 1-1-1 at home. Neither team's record looks out of line with how it has played. This is a division game between two struggling sides, so the numbers give no strong edge either way.

CAR: 41% third-down conversion rate to GB's 35.2%

CAR is at 41% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; GB is at 35.2% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CAR was at 36.1% over 17 games and GB at 48.8% over 17 games.

MIN: 80% fourth-down conversion rate to DET's 61.5%

MIN is at 80% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; DET is at 61.5% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and DET at 58.1% over 17 games.

LV: 1.86 fourth-down attempts per game to NYJ's 1.14

LV is at 1.86 fourth-down attempts per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 1.88 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.41 over 17 games.

KC: 19.5 first downs per game to DEN's 16.6

KC is at 19.5 first downs per game over 6 games; DEN is at 16.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season KC was at 19.8 over 17 games and DEN at 19.6 over 17 games.

LAR: 4.91 yards per play allowed to LAC's 5.4

LAC is at 5.4 yards per play allowed over 6 games; LAR is at 4.91 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

IND: 30% third downs allowed to JAX's 36.2%

IND is at 30% third downs allowed over 7 games; JAX is at 36.2% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

TB: 36.4% third downs allowed to ATL's 42.4%

ATL is at 42.4% third downs allowed over 7 games; TB is at 36.4% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

MIA: 4.72 yards per rush attempt to NE's 4.17

NE is at 4.17 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; MIA is at 4.72 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season NE was at 4.4 over 17 games and MIA at 4.64 over 17 games.

ARI: 126.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 145.7

ARI is at 126.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; DAL is at 145.7 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

GB: 4.87 yards per play allowed to CAR's 5.32

Green Bay allows 4.87 yards per play over 7 games, compared with 5.32 for Carolina over 6. Holding offenses under five yards a play across seven games is a solid stretch for a defense. There is no opponent detail here to tell whether Green Bay's schedule has been soft. For this game, Carolina's offense faces the stronger defense, so drives that need many plays to finish are the likelier script for them.

CAR: 5.8 yards per play to GB's 5.34

Carolina is gaining more per snap than Green Bay this year, a big jump from 4.92 last season, while the Packers have slipped from 5.61. Six games is a modest sample, and the Panthers' last game leaned on two chunk plays, including a 50-yard trick-play touchdown thrown by Darren Waller, which can inflate an average fast. Green Bay hit six plays of 20-plus yards last time out through Jordan Love, so the explosive edge at Lambeau sits with the home side. Weigh Carolina's number as partly built on gadget plays that rarely repeat.

NYJ: 0.29 interceptions thrown per game to LV's 0.71

LV is at 0.71 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; NYJ is at 0.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LV was at 1.12 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.

BUF: 11.8 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 17.3

BAL is at 17.3 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; BUF is at 11.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season BAL was at 17.2 over 17 games and BUF at 21.3 over 17 games.

BUF: 2 sacks taken per game to BAL's 2.57

BAL is at 2.57 sacks taken per game over 7 games; BUF is at 2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and BUF at 2.86 over 17 games.

CHI: 0.71 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.14

CHI is at 0.71 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; SEA is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CHI was at 0.41 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

PIT: 31:38 time of possession per game to CLE's 29:27

CLE is at 29:27 time of possession per game over 7 games; PIT is at 31:38 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CLE was at 29:18 over 17 games and PIT at 28:25 over 17 games.

ARI: 68.4 offensive plays per game to DAL's 62.9

ARI is at 68.4 offensive plays per game over 7 games; DAL is at 62.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and DAL at 65.9 over 17 games.

LAR: 31:48 time of possession per game to LAC's 29:36

LAC is at 29:36 time of possession per game over 6 games; LAR is at 31:48 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season LAC was at 32:45 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.

KC: 23.8 points per game to DEN's 20.6

KC is at 23.8 points per game over 6 games; DEN is at 20.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season KC was at 21.3 over 17 games and DEN at 23.6 over 17 games.

NE: 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 65.4%

NE is at 54.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; MIA is at 65.4% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 27.

IND: 65.6 offensive plays per game to JAX's 60.2

IND is at 65.6 offensive plays per game over 7 games; JAX is at 60.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and JAX at 64.3 over 17 games.

Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days

DeLuca has hit better than usual lately: a .857 OPS over his last 42 AB, 0.129 above his .728 season mark. In that few at-bats, a couple of extra-base hits move the number a lot. His full season, with 11 home runs, is the better guide to who he is, and the hot stretch is likely to drift back toward it. Against a 1.5 total-bases line, start from the season baseline and treat the recent bump as a smaller factor.

DEN made 11.0 threes a game this season, NOP 9.7

DEN made 11.0 threes a game this season, NOP 9.7. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 3 games, DEN over 3.

SAS made 13.5 threes a game this season, UTA 11.0

SAS made 13.5 threes a game this season, UTA 11.0. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 4 games, SAS over 4.

DAL made 12.5 threes a game this season, OKC 11.3

DAL made 12.5 threes a game this season, OKC 11.3. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 4 games, OKC over 4.

LAL made 15.5 threes a game this season, LAC 15.0

LAL made 15.5 threes a game this season, LAC 15.0. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 3 games, LAL over 4.

CHI: 44% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 38.9%

CHI is at 44% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; SEA is at 38.9% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CHI was at 42.7% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE

Vera-Tucker (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Patriots on Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson (ankle), who is eligible to come off injured reserve next week, isn't expected to be ready at that time, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 20.

Teven Jenkins (G) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Jenkins (back) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

Tanner Hudson (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Hudson (pectoral) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Monday. Reported Oct 19.

C.J. Gardner-Johnson (S) is reserve-sus for BUF

BUF lists C.J. Gardner-Johnson as reserve-sus on the injury report. Reported Oct 28.

CHI: 4.3 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.79

CHI is at 4.3 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; SEA is at 3.79 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season CHI was at 4.75 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

ATL made 14.0 threes a game this season, MIA 12.3

ATL made 14.0 threes a game this season, MIA 12.3. 2026-27 regular season: ATL over 4 games, MIA over 4.

CLE made 13.7 threes a game this season, WAS 9.3

CLE made 13.7 threes a game this season, WAS 9.3. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 3 games, WAS over 4.

DET made 14.0 threes a game this season, CHA 13.5

DET made 14.0 threes a game this season, CHA 13.5. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 4 games, CHA over 4.

IND made 12.5 threes a game this season, PHI 11.0

IND made 12.5 threes a game this season, PHI 11.0. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 4 games, PHI over 4.

ORL made 13.0 threes a game this season, TOR 9.0

ORL made 13.0 threes a game this season, TOR 9.0. 2026-27 regular season: TOR over 3 games, ORL over 3.

NYK made 12.0 threes a game this season, CHI 10.0

NYK made 12.0 threes a game this season, CHI 10.0. 2026-27 regular season: CHI over 4 games, NYK over 4.

MIL made 14.5 threes a game this season, HOU 12.0

MIL made 14.5 threes a game this season, HOU 12.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 4 games, HOU over 4.

MIN made 15.8 threes a game this season, GSW 15.3

MIN made 15.8 threes a game this season, GSW 15.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 4 games, GSW over 4.

TB: 21.6 points allowed per game to ATL's 24.7

ATL is at 24.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; TB is at 21.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 27. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.

PHI on 3d, IND on 2d

Philadelphia has 3 days of rest and Indiana has 2. A one-day difference with no back-to-back is a minor factor in this game.

TOR won last season's series 2-1

Toronto won two of three against Orlando last season, winning by 14.3 points per game on average. Three games is a small sample, and both teams are missing a key player tonight, Leonard for Toronto and Suggs for Orlando.

SAS won last season's series 2-1

San Antonio won two of three against Utah last season, winning by 5.7 points per game on average. Three close games is a thin sample. Utah's injury list, starting with Jaren Jackson Jr., matters more tonight.

TOR played at 105.5 possessions a game this season, ORL 103.5

TOR played at 105.5 possessions a game this season, ORL 103.5. 2026-27 regular season: TOR over 3 games, ORL over 3.

ATL played at 103.5 possessions a game this season, MIA 103.0

ATL played at 103.5 possessions a game this season, MIA 103.0. 2026-27 regular season: ATL over 4 games, MIA over 4.

CLE lead the series with PIT since 2025

Cleveland has two of the three meetings, both at home: 13-6 last December and 27-24 on Oct 1. Pittsburgh's lone win came in its own building, 23-9 last October. This one is in Pittsburgh, and in this series the home team has won all three, so the 2-1 edge for Cleveland matters less than where the game is played. Two of the three stayed low scoring and the latest was a field-goal finish, so a tight game is the base case.

DEN lead the series with KC since 2025

Denver won both meetings last season by a field goal or a touchdown, 22-19 at home and 20-13 in Kansas City on Christmas. The most recent game flipped hard: Kansas City won 31-10 at home on Sep 14. That blowout is one game, and the two before it were close. With this one in Denver, lean on the tight pattern of last season more than one lopsided September result.

PHI lead the series with WSH since 2025

These three games have been close or split. Philadelphia won 29-18 in Washington last December, Washington answered 24-17 in Philadelphia on Jan 4, and the Eagles edged them 24-22 on Sep 13. Two of the three were one-score games, and the road team has won twice. With this one in Washington, the series gives no reason to expect either side to pull away.

PHI played at 104.4 possessions a game this season, IND 103.5

PHI played at 104.4 possessions a game this season, IND 103.5. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 4 games, PHI over 4.

CHA played at 99.6 possessions a game this season, DET 98.9

CHA played at 99.6 possessions a game this season, DET 98.9. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 4 games, CHA over 4.

CLE played at 105.8 possessions a game this season, WAS 102.9

CLE played at 105.8 possessions a game this season, WAS 102.9. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 3 games, WAS over 4.

UTA played at 102.0 possessions a game this season, SAS 100.5

UTA played at 102.0 possessions a game this season, SAS 100.5. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 4 games, SAS over 4.

DAL played at 100.9 possessions a game this season, OKC 98.9

DAL played at 100.9 possessions a game this season, OKC 98.9. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 4 games, OKC over 4.

Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Odeyingbo (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

MIN played at 101.6 possessions a game this season, GSW 99.9

MIN played at 101.6 possessions a game this season, GSW 99.9. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 4 games, GSW over 4.

DAL is on a short week

Both teams are squeezed: Arizona has three days since its last game and Dallas only two, though the Cowboys are at home. Dallas has the shorter turnaround, Arizona has to travel, and those roughly cancel out. With both sides on a compressed week, expect simpler game plans on both sidelines. Rest is close to a wash here, so the calendar alone does not hand either side much of an edge.

CHI played at 108.3 possessions a game this season, NYK 97.8

CHI played at 108.3 possessions a game this season, NYK 97.8. 2026-27 regular season: CHI over 4 games, NYK over 4.

MIL played at 107.0 possessions a game this season, HOU 100.0

MIL played at 107.0 possessions a game this season, HOU 100.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 4 games, HOU over 4.

LAC played at 103.0 possessions a game this season, LAL 101.8

LAC played at 103.0 possessions a game this season, LAL 101.8. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 3 games, LAL over 4.

NOP played at 104.4 possessions a game this season, DEN 99.1

NOP played at 104.4 possessions a game this season, DEN 99.1. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 3 games, DEN over 3.

OKC grabbed 46.8 rebounds a game this season, DAL 43.0

OKC grabbed 46.8 rebounds a game this season, DAL 43.0. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 4 games, OKC over 4.

ATL grabbed 41.8 rebounds a game this season, MIA 40.5

ATL grabbed 41.8 rebounds a game this season, MIA 40.5. 2026-27 regular season: ATL over 4 games, MIA over 4.

CLE grabbed 47.0 rebounds a game this season, WAS 43.3

CLE grabbed 47.0 rebounds a game this season, WAS 43.3. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 3 games, WAS over 4.

DET grabbed 50.3 rebounds a game this season, CHA 48.0

DET grabbed 50.3 rebounds a game this season, CHA 48.0. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 4 games, CHA over 4.

IND grabbed 43.3 rebounds a game this season, PHI 41.5

IND grabbed 43.3 rebounds a game this season, PHI 41.5. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 4 games, PHI over 4.

TOR grabbed 46.0 rebounds a game this season, ORL 43.7

TOR grabbed 46.0 rebounds a game this season, ORL 43.7. 2026-27 regular season: TOR over 3 games, ORL over 3.

NYK grabbed 47.8 rebounds a game this season, CHI 46.3

NYK grabbed 47.8 rebounds a game this season, CHI 46.3. 2026-27 regular season: CHI over 4 games, NYK over 4.

MIL grabbed 52.0 rebounds a game this season, HOU 45.3

MIL grabbed 52.0 rebounds a game this season, HOU 45.3. 2026-27 regular season: MIL over 4 games, HOU over 4.

MIN grabbed 54.0 rebounds a game this season, GSW 41.5

MIN grabbed 54.0 rebounds a game this season, GSW 41.5. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 4 games, GSW over 4.

NOP grabbed 45.3 rebounds a game this season, DEN 45.3

NOP grabbed 45.3 rebounds a game this season, DEN 45.3. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 3 games, DEN over 3.

UTA grabbed 45.3 rebounds a game this season, SAS 43.5

UTA grabbed 45.3 rebounds a game this season, SAS 43.5. 2026-27 regular season: UTA over 4 games, SAS over 4.

LAC grabbed 40.7 rebounds a game this season, LAL 35.5

LAC grabbed 40.7 rebounds a game this season, LAL 35.5. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 3 games, LAL over 4.

Javontae Jean-Baptiste (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Jean-Baptiste (pectoral) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 19.

Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.

Denzel Perryman (LB) is on injured reserve for LAC

Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh said Wednesday that Perryman (undisclosed) won't be reinstated from injured reserve ahead of Sunday's game against the Chiefs, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 15.

Devin White (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

White is on injured reserve with a forearm injury, placed there Friday per the Oct 17 report, so he will not suit up against Minnesota. IR means at least several games out, and Detroit's linebacker group plays without him. How much that matters depends on his snap share, which the fact sheet doesn't give, so weigh it as a depth loss on the Lions' defense rather than a starter-sized hole.

Jonathan Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Ford (calf) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

Javon Hargrave (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Hargrave (Achilles) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

AJ Dybantsa is Questionable for WAS

AJ Dybantsa is questionable with a left ankle sprain. Champagnie is already out for Washington, so check the final report before betting anything that depends on Washington's wings.

Tyrese Haliburton is Questionable for IND

Tyrese Haliburton is questionable with left hamstring tightness. With Zubac out and Nembhard questionable, Indiana's lineup is unsettled. His status is the biggest unknown in this game.

Jose Alvarado is Day-To-Day for NYK

Jose Alvarado was out Tuesday against the Pistons, his second straight game missed with a sprained ankle. Day-to-day leaves his status open, so watch the report for the Chicago game.

RayJ Dennis is Questionable for ATL

RayJ Dennis is a two-way player with a G League tag. His status has little effect on Atlanta's main rotation.

Yaxel Lendeborg is Questionable for GSW

Yaxel Lendeborg is questionable with left foot soreness. Check his status before betting Golden State in Minnesota.

Lauri Markkanen is Questionable for UTA

Lauri Markkanen is questionable with a right wrist sprain. With Jaren Jackson Jr. out, his status is the main thing that decides how strong Utah is against San Antonio.

Caleb Martin is Questionable for DAL

Caleb Martin is questionable for Dallas with a right thumb sprain. Naji Marshall is also questionable, so Dallas may be thin on the wing against a depleted Thunder team.

Jalen Wilson is Questionable for ATL

Jalen Wilson is a two-way player in the G League. His status has little effect on Atlanta against Miami.

Marcus Smart is Questionable for HOU

Marcus Smart is questionable with a left forearm strain. With Sengun and Adams out, losing Smart too would leave Houston very thin in Milwaukee.

Zuby Ejiofor is Questionable for ATL

Zuby Ejiofor is on G League assignment. His status has little effect on Atlanta tonight.

Ajay Mitchell is Questionable for OKC

Mitchell has a right ankle sprain and was already listed questionable on Tuesday, with nothing firmer since. An absence would push his guard minutes to other members of the Thunder rotation. Props tied to Oklahoma City's backcourt are the ones most likely to shift once his status is settled.

Tobe Awaka is Questionable for CHI

Awaka is dealing with a left ankle sprain, and the tag has carried over from Tuesday's report into game day, so there is no clear word yet either way. If he sits, Chicago's frontcourt minutes get spread among whoever is next in line. Check the final injury report close to tip before acting on any Bulls player prop that depends on his minutes.

Keshon Gilbert is Questionable for ATL

Keshon Gilbert is a two-way player in the G League. This has little effect on Atlanta's rotation.

Aaron Wiggins is Questionable for ATL

Aaron Wiggins is questionable with a left knee contusion. A bruise like this is often a game-time call, so check his status before betting Atlanta.

Kyrie Irving is Questionable for DAL

Irving's tag is listed as left knee injury management, a planned approach to his workload more than a fresh injury. It has held since Tuesday's report. Whether he plays decides who handles the ball for Dallas, so wait for the late update before acting on Mavericks guard props or the side.

Patrick Williams is Questionable for CHI

Patrick Williams is questionable with a right adductor strain, which is a groin injury. Check his status before betting Chicago against New York.

Isaiah Joe is Day-To-Day for DET

Isaiah Joe missed the front end of a back-to-back with a right hip issue. Day-to-day means he could return soon, so check his status before tipoff.

Jaxson Hayes is Questionable for UTA

Jaxson Hayes is questionable with right shoulder soreness. With Jackson out and Markkanen also questionable, Utah's frontcourt depth could get very thin.

Andrew Nembhard is Questionable for IND

Andrew Nembhard is questionable with neck stiffness. Zubac is out and Haliburton is questionable, so Indiana's lineup against Philadelphia is uncertain until the final report.

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.

Naji Marshall is Questionable for DAL

Naji Marshall is questionable with an illness. Illness calls are often decided close to tipoff, so watch the late news for Dallas.

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for CHI

CHI lists Anthony Johnson Jr. as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 28.

Ben Bartch (G) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Bartch (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

Alec Ingold (FB) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Ingold on injured reserve Thursday due to a shoulder injury. Reported Oct 15.

Blake Grupe (PK) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday's 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 19.

MIN lead the series with DET since 2025

Minnesota won both games last season: 27-24 in Detroit in November and 23-10 at home on Christmas. The road win was a three-point game, the home win was comfortable. That is two games from last season, so it says little about either roster now. Back in Detroit, the closer November meeting is the better model for this spot.

NE lead the series with MIA since 2025

New England won both meetings last season, a 33-27 shootout in Miami in Week 2 and a 38-10 rout at home on Jan 4. The Patriots scored 33 or more in both. That is two games, but both say Miami had no answer for this offense. Back in Miami, the closer September game is the fairer guide to how this one sets up.

JAX lead the series with IND since 2025

Jacksonville won both meetings last December. The first was a rout, 36-19 at home, and the second was closer, 23-17 in Indianapolis. Both games came in the same month of last season, so they show where the teams stood then, not now. With this one in Jacksonville, the home blowout is the result to weigh against what each team has shown this year.

ATL and TB are even since 2025

This series could not have been tighter last season. Tampa Bay won 23-20 in Atlanta in Week 1, and Atlanta won 29-28 in Tampa in December. The road team took both, each by a field goal or less. Two games is a thin sample, but both say a coin-flip finish, which makes the points on the spread worth more than the side here.

CHI (5-2) at SEA (4-3)

Seattle is 4-3 but +43, a larger margin than Chicago's +37 despite one more loss, so Seattle's record likely undersells it. Chicago has won two straight and is 2-1 on the road, while Seattle is 3-1 at home. Chicago has the better record and the momentum, and Seattle has the stronger scoring margin and home form. Those two pictures pulling apart is what makes this spot interesting.

CAR (3-3) at GB (4-3)

Both teams sit near even: Carolina is 3-3 at -7, Green Bay is 4-3 at -1, and each lost its last game. The splits mirror each other too, Carolina 2-1 on the road and Green Bay 2-1 at home. Nothing on either sheet suggests a team that is much better or worse than its record. Expect the matchup to look as close as these numbers do.

CAR is on a short week

Carolina and Green Bay both play three days after their last game, so neither side gets a rest edge. Both staffs have a compressed week, which usually means trimmed playbooks and a focus on recovery. The Packers keep home field and skip the travel, the one schedule difference between them. Short weeks for both sides can lead to sloppier, simpler football, so lean on matchups more than the calendar here.

TEN is on a short week

Tennessee and Cincinnati are both on three days of rest, so the schedule is even. Each side gets a short prep window with limited practice and less time for bumps to heal. The Titans have the added road trip, which is the only calendar difference. With rest matched, this spot comes down to the rosters more than the turnaround.

MIN is on a short week

Minnesota and Detroit both play three days after their last game, so neither team has a rest advantage. A short week on both sides usually means basic game plans and a focus on recovery. Detroit avoids the travel at home. With the calendar even, the matchup itself carries more weight than rest here.

LV is on a short week

Las Vegas and the Jets both come in on three days of rest, so the turnaround is the same. The Raiders have the long cross-country trip on a short week, which is the one real schedule difference. Both staffs have less time to install and heal. Even rest means the edge, if any, comes from travel and the matchup.

CLE is on a short week

Cleveland and Pittsburgh are both three days removed from their last game, so rest is even. Both teams get a compressed week, which tends to mean simpler game plans and more recovery than practice. Pittsburgh has home field and the shorter travel burden falls on Cleveland, though the trip is brief. The calendar does little to separate these two.

ATL is on a short week

Atlanta and Tampa Bay both play three days after their last game, so neither has a rest edge. A short week on both sides usually trims the playbook and limits practice. The Buccaneers are at home, the only schedule difference. With rest matched, look to the matchup over the calendar.

KC is on a short week

Kansas City and Denver are both on three days of rest, so the turnaround is even. Both staffs get a squeezed week with limited practice and less time to recover. The Chiefs travel to Denver, adding the trip to an already short week. Rest is a wash here, so home field and the matchup matter more than the schedule.

Both sides on 2 days rest

Oklahoma City and Dallas are both on 2 days rest, so rest is even. The bigger variables in this game are the questionable tags on Mitchell and Irving.

Jalen Coker

Full practice

Benjamin St-Juste

Full practice

Bryce Young

Full practice

Bobby Brown III

Full practice

Both sides on 2 days rest

Miami and Atlanta both come in on 2 days rest, so neither team gets a fatigue edge from the schedule. Look at form and matchups instead for this one.

LAL and LAC split last season 2-2

The Lakers and Clippers split four games last season, so neither team owned the matchup. Tonight is their first meeting this season, and last season's result says little about these rosters now. Price this game off how each team is playing now, not the series history.

Both sides on 2 days rest

Golden State and Minnesota are each on 2 days rest, so the schedule is a wash. Any edge in this game has to come from somewhere else.

Both sides on 2 days rest

Houston and Milwaukee both arrive on 2 days rest. Neither side is tired or rested relative to the other, so fatigue is not a factor here.

Both sides on 3 days rest

Orlando and Toronto both get 3 days rest, the longest break on tonight's board, and it is equal on both sides. Legs should be fresh at both ends, but rest gives neither team an edge.

Both sides on 2 days rest

Washington and Cleveland each have 2 days off, so rest is even. The schedule gives no reason to lean either way here.

LV (3-4) at NYJ (2-5)

Las Vegas has lost four straight, Jersey two, and the margins are nearly identical at -14 and -13. The Raiders are 2-1 on the road and the Jets 1-2 at home, short samples on both sides. Nothing here separates these teams much, so the venue splits and the length of the Raiders' losing streak are the main things a bettor has to weigh.

BUF lead the series with BAL since 2025

The only meeting was a classic: Buffalo won 41-40 at home in Week 1 last season. That is one game, and it was decided by a single point after both offenses ran wild. It gives no real edge to either side, though it does show what these two offenses can do to each other when the game opens up.

ARI lead the series with DAL since 2025

Arizona won the only meeting, 27-17 in Dallas last November. That is one game from last season, so it carries little weight now. This one is back in Dallas, and a single ten-point road win is not enough to say Arizona has the Cowboys figured out.

CAR lead the series with GB since 2025

This series is one game deep: Carolina won 16-13 at Green Bay on Nov 2 last season. That was a three-point game with neither offense getting much going, so the 1-0 edge says more about one close afternoon than about who owns this matchup. One meeting is a thin base for any read, and rosters have turned over since then. Expect this one to be set by how both teams have played this season, with last year's low score as a mild hint that this pairing can stay tight.