Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

Injuries noted

Indianapolis Colts: Cameron Mitchell (IR) — ir; D.J. Montgomery (IR) — Montgomery (abdomen) was placed on injured reserve by the Colts on Sunday, JJ Stankevitz of the team's official website reports.; Carson Towt (IR) — ir; Alec Pierce (IR) — Colts head coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce (heel) won't have his 21-day practice window opened in Week 7, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports.; Micheal Clemons (IR) — Clemons (toe) was placed on injured reserve by the Colts on Tuesday.; Arden Key (IR) — The Colts placed Key (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday.; Tyler Warren (Out) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Out (Groin); practice: DNP. Warren (groin) is ruled out for Sunday's game against the Vikings, FOX59's Mike Chappell reports.; Anthony Gould (Out) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Out (Concussion); practice: DNP. Gould (concussion) did not practice Wednesday or Thursday.; Sauce Gardner (Out) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Out (Calf); practice: DNP. out; Justin Walley (Questionable) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Questionable (Knee); practice: Limited. questionable; CJ Allen (Out) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Out (Ankle); practice: DNP. Allen (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Vikings.; Bryce Boettcher (Questionable) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Questionable (Groin); practice: DNP. questionable

Minnesota Vikings: Jamal Adams (IR) — ir; Tyler Batty (IR) — The Vikings placed Batty (knee) on injured reserve Sunday, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports.; Nick Samac (IR) — The Vikings placed Samac (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports.; Josh Oliver (IR) — The Vikings placed Oliver (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports.; Donovan Jackson (IR) — Jackson (knee) was placed on injured reserve by the Vikings on Tuesday.; Jordan Mason (Questionable) — Official injury report, Wk 7: Questionable (Thumb); practice: Full.

QUARTERBACK

• Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

  5.92 Y/A

  Through 6 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

• Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

  6.55 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.3% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

TRENCHES

• MIN: 86.6 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 122.5

  35.9 YPG

  IND is at 122.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 86.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

PASS RUSH

• MIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to IND's 1.67

  1.73 SACKS

  Minnesota is averaging 3.4 sacks a game over 5 games, about double the Colts' 1.67 across 6. Paired with the Vikings' takeaway rate, that looks like a pressure defense that forces quarterbacks into bad spots. For Colts at Vikings, Indianapolis protection is the matchup to watch, and sack or interception props on the Colts quarterback lean the Minnesota way.

• IND: 15.2 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 20.6

  5.4 YDS

  IND is at 15.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; MIN is at 20.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.

• IND: 2.5 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

  0.5 SACKS

  IND is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 6 games; MIN is at 3 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.3

  14.5 PPG

  Minnesota is allowing 12.8 points a game over 5 games, down from 19.6 last season, while Indianapolis gives up 27.3 over 6, worse than its 24.2 a year ago. Minnesota's defense is outperforming its own history by a lot, so some creep upward is likely. The Colts are on the road against a unit that has set the tone every week, which makes the Indy team total the cleaner place to think than the side.

• IND: 66.7 offensive plays per game to MIN's 61.4

  5.3 PLAYS

  IND is at 66.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; MIN is at 61.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and MIN at 56.1 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

• MIN: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5

  1.5 TO

  Minnesota is taking the ball away about two times a game across 5 games, while Indianapolis has managed about one takeaway every other week over 6. Turnovers swing on bounces, so neither rate is locked in, but a five-game run of steady takeaways says the Vikings defense pressures mistakes into existence. For Colts at Vikings, Indianapolis is the side more likely to give a short field, which matters for anyone leaning on Minnesota points or the Colts' ball security.

RED ZONE

• MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 61.1%

  36.1 PP

  IND is at 61.1% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 25% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

• IND: 63.2% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

  13.2 PP

  IND is at 63.2% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; MIN is at 50% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

• IND: 3.17 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.4

  0.77 TRIPS

  IND is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; MIN is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and MIN at 3 over 17 games.

MISMATCH

• MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to IND's 27.3

  12.8 VS 27.3

  Minnesota's defense is giving up 12.8 points a game over five games, a big drop from 19.6 last season, while Indianapolis allows 27.3, worse than its 24.2 a year ago. The Colts have to win a low-scoring game, which means shortening it and avoiding mistakes against a unit that keeps scores down. Five games is a short run and 12.8 is a long way below last season, so some climb is likely. Minnesota's scoring edge depends on that defense holding.

COVERAGE

• MIN: 4.6 yards per play allowed to IND's 5.8

  1.2 Y/P

  IND is at 5.8 yards per play allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 4.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

• MIN: 173.2 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 228.7

  55.5 YPG

  IND is at 228.7 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 173.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

• MIN: 22.2% third downs allowed to IND's 30.4%

  8.2 PP

  IND is at 30.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 22.2% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 24.

REPLACEMENT

• Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

  IR

  Alec Pierce stays on injured reserve with a heel injury, and Shane Steichen said Monday his practice window will not open in Week 7. Pierce is the Colts' deep threat, so Indianapolis keeps losing that vertical stretch against Minnesota. With no return in sight this week, the other Colts receivers should keep soaking up his targets.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Tyler Warren

  Out

  Groin · Did not practice · Out

• Anthony Gould

  Out

  Concussion · Did not practice · Out

• CJ Allen

  Out

  Ankle · Did not practice · Out

• Sauce Gardner

  Out

  Calf · Did not practice · Out

• Jordan Mason

  Questionable

  Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

• Justin Walley

  Questionable

  Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

• Bryce Boettcher

  Questionable

  Groin · Did not practice · Questionable

• Rigoberto Sanchez

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Christian Darrisaw

  DNP

  Did not practice

• DeForest Buckner

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Austin Ajiake

  LP

  Limited practice

• Harrison Smith

  LP

  Limited practice

• Justin Jefferson

  FP

  Full practice

• Charvarius Ward

  FP

  Full practice

• Charles Demmings

  FP

  Coach's Decision · Full practice

• Jordan Addison

  FP

  Full practice

• Grover Stewart

  FP

  Full practice

• Keenan Allen

  FP

  Full practice

• Jonathan Taylor

  FP

  Full practice

• Ashton Dulin

  FP

  Full practice

• Jaylon Carlies

  FP

  Full practice

• T.J. Hockenson

  FP

  Full practice

• Drew Ogletree

  FP

  Full practice

• Jerry Tillery

  FP

  Full practice

• Brian O'Neill

  FP

  Full practice

• Jalen Travis

  FP

  Full practice

• Matt Goncalves

  FP

  Full practice

• James Pierre

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• MIN has 7 more days of rest

  7d vs 14d

  Minnesota gets two full weeks to prepare off the bye, while Indianapolis is on a normal week. That extra time usually goes to healing nagging injuries and building a game plan specific to this opponent. Indy has no scheduling disadvantage beyond that, so the edge is preparation, and it's one input to weigh alongside matchups.

• IND: 2.33 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.6

  1.73 ATT/G

  Indianapolis goes for it on fourth down 2.33 times a game, up from 1.59 last season, while Minnesota has dropped to 0.6 from 1.41 over five games. The Colts are playing aggressive, which adds possessions and swings to their games. Minnesota is kicking more and trusting field position. Expect the Colts to pass up field goals, which can push totals and spreads both ways.

• IND (2-4) at MIN (5-0)

  +65 PT GAP

  Minnesota is 5-0 and +45, and 2-0 at home, so the unbeaten record is backed by a solid scoring margin. Indianapolis is 2-4 at -20 and has lost two straight, going 1-2 on the road. Five games is a modest sample, but nothing in the Vikings' numbers looks like luck. The question here is less about who wins and more about whether the Colts can keep it close in a building where Minnesota has not lost.

• IND: 20 first downs per game to MIN's 15.4

  4.6 FD

  IND is at 20 first downs per game over 6 games; MIN is at 15.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

• IND: 199.8 team passing yards per game to MIN's 167

  32.8 YPG

  IND is at 199.8 team passing yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 167 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 227.8 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

• IND: 37.5 penalty yards per game to MIN's 50

  12.5 YDS

  IND is at 37.5 penalty yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 50 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 24. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and MIN at 52.1 over 17 games.

STREAK

• MIN has won 5 straight

  W5

  MIN is unbeaten at 5-0 and hosts IND with all five wins in a row. The sheet doesn't list the opponents, so there's no telling how tough that schedule was. Five games is a real start but a short sample, and an undefeated record tends to push a team's price past what one more game justifies. For a bettor, the useful question is how much a 5-0 home favorite has to win by, more than whether MIN wins.

AFTER GARY

• MIN -6.5 → -7

  GARY +0.5

  Gary's number was -6.5; the same book now shows -7.