Sports picks for Wednesday, November 4, 2026

DET: 264 team passing yards per game to MIA's 166.7

Detroit can move the ball through the air, while Miami's passing game has produced very little. This looks real because both teams were on the same sides last season, with Detroit at 253.1 and Miami at 180.5. Detroit is close to its old level, so its number should hold, and Miami has more room to bounce back after seven games. The spot to think about is Miami trailing, when it would have to throw its way back with its weaker unit.

CIN: 288.4 team passing yards per game to ATL's 188.4

Cincinnati gets far more out of its passing game than Atlanta does, so the Bengals are the side more likely to make this a throwing contest. Cincinnati is up from 235.6 last season and Atlanta is down from 207.2, so the gap has grown from both ends. Seven games at 288.4 is well above last season's level, and some drop would be normal. If Atlanta falls behind, the game asks its passing attack to do what it hasn't done through eight games.

BUF: 33.3 points per game to MIN's 20

Buffalo is scoring at a level that can force opponents out of their plan, while Minnesota has been stuck around 20 for two seasons, with 20.2 last year. Buffalo is up from 28.3, so some of this seven-game run may cool off even if the offense stays good. Minnesota's number looks like its true level. The Vikings have little track record of winning a shootout, so think about how they get to enough points if this game turns fast.

BUF: 6.41 yards per play to MIN's 4.74

Buffalo gains far more on a typical snap, which means it needs fewer long drives and fewer perfect sequences to score. Minnesota is at nearly the same level as last season's 4.82, so its low number looks settled. Buffalo is up from 5.94, and 6.41 over seven games has some room to come back down. Minnesota usually has to string together many clean plays to score, so one penalty or negative play can hurt its drives more than Buffalo's.

HOU: 0.43 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.43

Houston almost never gives the ball away, while the Chargers are giving it away about every way they can. Both numbers are more extreme than last season, when Houston was at 0.71 and the Chargers at 1.24, and turnovers tend to swing a lot over seven games. The direction fits Houston's history better than the size does. Expect the Chargers to clean some of this up, so be wary of any game view that needs them to keep handing over the ball at 2.43 a game.

MIN: 13.3 points allowed per game to BUF's 25.9

Minnesota's defense has been the stingy one here, and Buffalo's has been giving up points in bunches. Both have moved sharply from last season, when Minnesota allowed 19.6 and Buffalo 21.5, so seven games may be overstating each. Expect some drift back toward those numbers from both sides. This matchup can swing on which defense's new level is real, so avoid assuming a low-scoring Vikings script or a Bills shootout as settled.

NO: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to CLE's 42.9%

New Orleans has been cashing in close to the goal line, while Cleveland keeps leaving trips empty. The Saints' number is the one to doubt: they were at 44.4% last season, and seven games of red-zone trips is a small pile of plays. Cleveland was at 52.6% last season, so it has room to rise too. Expect this gap to shrink over time, and be careful about pricing Saints scoring as if 77.3% is their true level.

DET: 29 points per game to MIA's 16.7

Detroit scores like a steady top offense, while Miami has had trouble putting up points at all. Detroit is almost exactly where it was last season at 28.3, which makes 29 easy to trust. Miami has dropped from 20.4, so seven games at 16.7 may be a little low, though last season wasn't high either. Miami likely needs a game that stays short and low-scoring, because matching Detroit's normal output has been out of its range.

Yaya Diaby (LB) is out for TB

Diaby has an MCL sprain in his knee, and Bowles has already ruled him out against the Bears. The diagnosis is clear and the decision is final, so Tampa Bay's linebacker plan can be judged without game-day doubt. No replacement has been named, so the team's depth chart is the next thing to check. Bowles gave no return date, which leaves his status for later games open.

NO: 2.14 sacks taken per game to CLE's 4.13

Cleveland is losing plays to sacks at a heavy rate, while New Orleans has cut its number from 3.06 last season to 2.14. The Browns have gone the other way, up from 3 last season to 4.13 over eight games. Both teams were about level a year ago, so this gap is new and could narrow. For now, Cleveland is the side more likely to get stuck in long-yardage spots, which makes its drives harder to sustain.

MIN: 13.3 points allowed a game to BUF's 25.9

Minnesota's defense is allowing 13.3 points a game, far better than last season's 19.6, while Buffalo's has gone from 21.5 to 25.9. Both moves are over seven games, so some pullback is likely on each side. Buffalo has to win a higher-scoring game since its defense is giving up points. How you view this game depends on whether you believe Minnesota's jump in defense or last season's version.

CHI: 236.5 pass yards a game to TB's 131.4

Tampa Bay is passing for just 131.4 yards a game over eight games, down from 205.9 last season. Chicago is up slightly, 236.5 against 225.1. A drop that size usually has a cause beyond bad luck, so Tampa may not bounce back fast. The Bucs have to win this on the ground or with defense, and if they are forced to throw from behind, their passing numbers this season make that a tough ask.

HOU: 0.43 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.43

Houston has given the ball away less than once every two games, while the Chargers are coughing it up 2.43 times a game. Last season LAC was at 1.24, so seven games of this is a sharp jump that could cool off. Houston was already careful at 0.71 last year. The Chargers have to protect the ball to stay in this one, and a game where LAC has a clean sheet looks very different from one where they don't.

DET: 264 pass yards a game to MIA's 166.7

Detroit's passing game looks like last season's, 264 a game now against 253.1 then, so that side is steady. Miami has slipped from 180.5 to 166.7 through the air over seven games. A Dolphins team that can't move it by passing has to lean on the run and long drives to keep Detroit's offense on the sideline. If Miami falls behind early, that plan gets hard to run, which shapes how this game script likely plays out.

CIN: 288.4 pass yards a game to ATL's 188.4

Cincinnati's passing game is producing far more than Atlanta's, even though both figures measure offense and say nothing about how either defense covers. Cincinnati has climbed from 235.6 a game last season over 7 games this year, while Atlanta has fallen from 207.2, so the gap has grown on both ends. Seven and eight games is a fair sample, but last season's numbers suggest some of it could narrow. Atlanta likely needs longer drives to keep up, so ask whether its offense can match scores if this turns into a throwing game.

DET: 3.43 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1.29

Detroit is getting home far more often than Miami over 7 games each, so the Miami quarterback should face the busier pass rush. This count doesn't adjust for the quarterbacks each defense faced or how often those offenses had to throw from behind, and sacks swing a lot week to week. Expect the gap to narrow some. For this game, look at how much Miami needs to throw on long downs, since that is when Detroit's rush matters most.

BUF: 244.7 team passing yards per game to MIN's 165.6

BUF is at 244.7 team passing yards per game over 7 games; MIN is at 165.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 216.6 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 65.5%

BUF is at 65.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; MIN is at 25% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

SEA: 4.11 yards per play allowed to ARI's 5.83

Seattle is giving up far less on each snap than Arizona, and 8 games is a fair sample. Yards per play holds up better than yardage totals because a big lead or deficit changes it less, so this gap looks more real than most. These numbers don't show the quality of offenses each team faced, which leaves some room for movement. For this game, it points to Arizona having a harder time moving the ball than Seattle does.

MIN: 154.9 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 254.7

BUF is at 254.7 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; MIN is at 154.9 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

Tyler Huntley (QB) is out for BAL

Huntley is done for the year with a turf toe injury, according to a Nov 4 report from Adam Schefter, so the Ravens will not have this quarterback against Jacksonville or for the rest of the season. Because the injury is season-ending, there is no status to monitor this week. The open question is who fills his spot on the quarterback depth chart, so check Baltimore's final inactive list before judging how this affects the game.

Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is out for BAL

Hawkins has a knee injury and the Ravens have already ruled him out for Thursday's game against the Jaguars, so there is no game-day call to wait on. Baltimore will need a different safety in his snaps, and no replacement has been named. Any line posted now should already reflect his absence, so check that the number you are looking at came after the Nov 5 report.

Zachariah Branch (WR) is out for ATL

Stefanski ruled Branch out on Monday because of a hamstring injury, so Atlanta has the whole week to plan without him against Cincinnati. No replacement has been named, so his targets have no clear new owner yet. Check how Atlanta lines up its receivers before assuming any one player gets the extra work.

Jack Campbell (LB) is doubtful for DET

Campbell is dealing with a neck injury, and doubtful means he is unlikely to play at Miami. He said Wednesday that he has full movement in his lower body and is making progress in his upper body, which shows he is improving but not all the way back. Detroit's linebacker plan is the thing to check on the final report, so think about this game as if he sits unless his status improves.

Kyler Murray (QB) is questionable for MIN

Murray has a sore hamstring, and the Vikings have not decided how bad it is until a full evaluation is done. Questionable this early in the week is a real coin flip. Hamstrings tend to linger for a quarterback who runs, so even if he plays against Buffalo, he may be limited. Wait for the evaluation results before trusting any line built on him being fully healthy.

Deshaun Watson (QB) is questionable for CLE

Watson missed Wednesday's practice with a concussion, so Cleveland's quarterback spot at New Orleans is unsettled. Questionable means he could go either way, and with a concussion he also has to be medically cleared. The sheet gives no date for the injury and names no backup. Any Browns number priced as if Watson starts rests on his clearance, so check the later practice reports first.

Jaylen Watson (CB) is out for LAR

Watson is expected to have shoulder surgery and miss the rest of the season, so this is a long-term hole for the Rams at corner. He is out against Washington and beyond, and no replacement has been named. Look at how the Rams line up at corner in this game, because that group may need to hold up for the rest of the year.

David Montgomery (RB) is out for HOU

Ryans said Wednesday that Montgomery has made progress with his groin injury but will miss Sunday's game against the Chargers. The progress is a good sign for later, but it does nothing for this game. Houston has not named who takes his carries, so look for the team's backfield plan before judging the run game.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is doubtful for LAC

Doubtful means Thompson is unlikely to play for the Chargers against Houston. The report gives no injury or replacement, so plan on him sitting and watch for who fills his receiver snaps.

Brandon Aiyuk (WR) is out for SF

Aiyuk's absence has been about his roster status rather than an injury: he is on the 49ers' Reserve/Left Squad list. He has now turned in paperwork to be reinstated, which is a step toward a return, but he is still listed as out for the Raiders game. Paperwork alone does not put him on the field, so think about San Francisco's receivers without him until his status changes.

Sam Darnold (QB) is out for SEA

There is no game-time decision to wait on: Mike Macdonald has already ruled Darnold out for Sunday against Arizona with a quadriceps injury. The report doesn't name who starts in his place. Hold off on judging Seattle's passing game until that is clear, because any number built on Darnold no longer applies to this game.

Kenny Yeboah (TE) is out for ARI

Yeboah won't play at Seattle after Arizona put him on the practice squad injured list Tuesday with an undisclosed injury. A practice squad move means he was not on the main roster, and nothing here points to a role the Cardinals must replace. There is little here to change how a bettor views this game.

Drew Lock (QB) is questionable for SEA

Lock has a right elbow issue, which matters for a quarterback because that is his throwing arm if he is right-handed, and he was limited at Wednesday's walkthrough. Questionable means his status for ARI @ SEA is undecided. A walkthrough is a light session, so it says little about how the elbow handles real throws. Check the later practice reports and his final status before leaning on any Seattle passing number.

DEN: 1.25 sacks taken a game to CAR's 3.29

Carolina's quarterback is going down 3.29 times a game over seven games, up from 2.19 last season. Denver has kept its passer cleaner, 1.25 now against 1.77 last year. Sacks kill drives, so Carolina needs quick throws and a run game to hide this protection problem. If the Panthers can't, expect stalled possessions and a lot of field position going Denver's way.

NE: 123.1 rush yards a game to GB's 60.6

Green Bay is running for just 60.6 yards a game over eight games, half of last season's 119.8. New England is close to its old level, 123.1 against 128.9. A fall that steep means the Packers have to lean on the pass, which makes them easier to defend. If Green Bay's run game stays this quiet, New England can control time and pace with its own ground game.

CIN: 52.9% third-down conversion rate to ATL's 33.3%

Cincinnati has been staying on the field and Atlanta has been getting off it too early, which shapes how many plays each offense gets. Atlanta's 33.3% matches last season exactly, so that looks like who it is. Cincinnati was at 43.4% last season, and 52.9% over seven games is a high number likely to come down. Even with some drop, the Bengals have the better chance to control possessions, and the Falcons have to score on fewer chances.

LAC has lost 7 straight

LAC has yet to win this season, so the streak is the whole season and there is no recent good stretch to point to. Teams in this spot often trail early and get pushed into throwing, which makes them easier to defend. The record says nothing about how close the losses were or who they came against, and streaks like this end abruptly. Check whether the price already reflects 0-7 before leaning on the streak against HOU.

HOU: 253.4 team passing yards per game to LAC's 177.1

Houston has become the more productive passing team, up from 218.1 last season, while the Chargers have fallen from 212.2. These teams were close a year ago, so this gap has only seven games behind it and could narrow from both sides. The Chargers have the clearest room to bounce back at 177.1. A bettor should credit Houston's current form while being careful about pricing the full gap as permanent.

NO: 2.14 sacks taken a game to CLE's 4.13

Cleveland is taking 4.13 sacks a game over eight games, up from 3 last season, while New Orleans has cut its rate to 2.14 from 3.06. The Browns have to get the ball out fast or keep the Saints out of passing downs. Long-yardage situations from sacks pile up quickly, which is a problem for any Cleveland drive that falls behind the chains.

IND: 32.6% third downs allowed to DAL's 51.4%

Indiana is getting opponents off the field on most third downs at 32.6%, while Dallas allows a conversion more than half the time at 51.4%, both over 8 games. Third-down rates can move with the offenses faced and how many short-yardage tries they got, and these numbers don't adjust for either. Dallas's number is high enough that some correction is plausible. For this game, it favors Indiana in sustaining drives, which matters most when you are thinking about possession and the total.

BUF: 7.99 yards per pass attempt to MIN's 5.41

BUF is at 7.99 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; MIN is at 5.41 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and MIN at 5.1 over 17 games.

DAL: 247.9 team passing yards per game to IND's 174.6

Dallas has been the far more productive passing team, and Indianapolis is the side that has changed. The Colts were at 227.8 last season, while the Cowboys have slipped only a little from 266.3. Eight games makes this more than a blip, though passing totals also depend on game script and opponents. If Dallas leads, Indianapolis has to throw its way back, so think about how the score could shape each team's passing numbers.

Bam Knight (RB) is questionable for ARI

Knight has a concussion and did not practice Wednesday, which leaves his status for Arizona at Seattle uncertain. Questionable means he could go either way, and the reports later in the week are the next real clue. Any bet that depends on his touches is best held until his status is settled, since the current information points only to a missed Wednesday.

Michael Wilson (WR) is questionable for ARI

Wilson (rest/ribs) practiced in a limited capacity Wednesday, Theo Mackie of The Arizona Republic reports. Reported Nov 5.

Rashid Shaheed (WR) is questionable for SEA

Shaheed did not practice Wednesday because of a knee injury, so he is questionable for Seattle's game against Arizona. A missed session at this point in the week leaves real doubt without settling anything. Whether he returns to practice on a limited basis is the next signal, and any Shaheed prop is best judged after that.

Emeka Egbuka (WR) is questionable for TB

Egbuka has a foot injury and was running on the side with a trainer Wednesday, which shows some movement but is separate work from a normal practice. Questionable leaves his status for the Chicago game open. A return to team practice would be a stronger sign than side work, so wait for that before counting on him in this game.

Kenny Gainwell (RB) is questionable for TB

Gainwell was limited Wednesday with a hip injury, so he got some practice work and is questionable for Tampa Bay at Chicago. Partial participation is a better early sign than sitting out, but it does not settle his status. See whether his workload holds or grows on later reports before betting anything built on his touches.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Monangai has thumb and toe injuries and did not take part in Wednesday's walkthrough, a poor start to the week for a running back with two listed problems. Questionable leaves his status against Tampa Bay open, and no backup has been named as the next man up. Any bet on Chicago's run game is cleaner after the team's next injury update.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Moore left late in Sunday's 36-10 win over the Ravens with a knee issue, then said afterward that he's okay. That's encouraging, but it's his own word and the questionable tag is still there for Minnesota. Practice reports this week will say more than the postgame comment, so check them before pricing his receiving props.

LAR: 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 79.2%

The Rams have allowed a score on 42.9% of red-zone trips over 8 games, while Washington is at 79.2% over 7. Finishing drives is the difference here: Rams opponents have been held short far more often. Red-zone rates are volatile because each trip carries a lot of weight, so both numbers could move toward the middle. In this spot, the gap favors the Rams, but it is safer to size it as a tilt in scoring chances than as a fixed edge.

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL

Turpin did not practice Wednesday because of a rib injury, and questionable means he has not been ruled in or out for Dallas at Indianapolis. One missed session is an early data point, and the rest of the week's reports should say more. If you are looking at a Turpin prop, wait until he logs some practice work or gets a final designation.

ATL: 134.8 rushing yards per game to CIN's 80.3

Atlanta has a ground game it can lean on, and Cincinnati has little push of its own. Both teams are running close to their direction from last season, when the Falcons had 125.8 and the Bengals 93.6, so this looks more like identity than a fluke. With seven and eight games played, it should mostly hold. Atlanta is better equipped to play a run-heavy game, while Cincinnati may need its passing game to carry more of the load.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is questionable for ATL

Robinson has a hamstring injury and was listed as limited on Wednesday's estimated practice report for the Falcons. Limited means some work rather than a full load, and Wednesday is only one report, so his status against the Bengals can still move either way. The report doesn't say who would take his work. Later practice reports will tell you more, so see where he lands before settling on a view of his role.

Bhayshul Tuten (RB) is questionable for JAX

Tuten has both ankle and foot problems, and questionable leaves his status open for Thursday's game against the Ravens. A running back needs both to cut and absorb contact, so a limited role is possible even if he plays. Jacksonville has not said who takes the extra carries, so the final inactive list is the thing to wait for.

PHI has lost 6 straight

PHI's only 2 wins came before this skid, so everything since has gone wrong. That is a long enough run to count as a real problem, though the record alone does not show who beat them or by how much. Streak teams tend to get marked down in the market, and a rival like NYG can draw extra attention from that. Look at the margins of the 6 losses and ask whether this price is paying for the team or the streak.

Garrett Wilson (WR) is questionable for NYJ

Wilson is in the concussion protocol, and coach Aaron Glenn calls him day-to-day, so his status for Kansas City could change quickly. Questionable means it could go either way, and he has to clear the protocol to play. The sheet names no one to take his targets. The Jets are also managing Breece Hall's quadriceps and Mason Taylor's back, so hold off on judging their passing game until Wilson's status is settled.

Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Hall has a quadriceps injury, and coach Aaron Glenn said he would be limited Wednesday. Limited work means he is doing some of his practice load, which is a better sign than sitting out, and questionable leaves the Kansas City game open either way. No replacement is named here. If you're looking at Jets rushing props, see whether his practice work rises later in the week.

George Pickens (WR) is questionable for DAL

Pickens has a hamstring issue, and limited on Wednesday means he did some work but not all of it. Questionable leaves him in doubt for the Colts game, and the rest of this week's practice reports should show which way this is going. More work would help his case, while a step back would be a warning sign for anyone looking at Dallas receiver props.

Nikko Remigio (WR) is questionable for KC

Remigio has a hip injury and was limited in Wednesday's practice, which means he did some work but not all of it. Questionable leaves his status for the Jets game open. The rest of Kansas City's practice reports this week should tell you more, so any bet that depends on his role is safer once his status is settled.

Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC

Rice is dealing with two issues, hamstring and knee, and was limited on Wednesday, so he got in some work without a full day. Questionable means his status against the Jets is still open. His later practice reports are the best guide, and props tied to him carry more risk until the Chiefs settle it.

Jacob Saylors (RB) is questionable for DET

Saylors has a neck injury and was not expected to practice Wednesday, which makes questionable a real concern for this running back against Miami. One missed session does not decide his status, so the rest of the week's reports will say more. Detroit has not named who covers his work if he sits.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) is questionable for DET

St. Brown has a rib injury and was limited at Wednesday's walkthrough, a lighter session than a full practice. That makes it a soft data point, and questionable keeps the Miami game in doubt. Look for how much he does later this week before leaning on any Detroit passing number that assumes he plays his normal role.

Kaytron Allen (RB) is questionable for MIA

Allen has a quadriceps injury and was limited at Wednesday's practice, so he got some work in but was not a full participant. Questionable leaves his status against Detroit open, and no one has been named to take his carries if he sits. A running back prop here carries extra risk until Miami settles his status.

Jaylen Wright (RB) is questionable for MIA

Wright sat out Wednesday's practice with a quadriceps injury, the more concerning end of a questionable tag for now. One missed day doesn't settle his status against Detroit, so his next practice reports matter most. If he stays out, Miami's backfield plan becomes the thing to check before betting its rushing props.

Denzel Boston (WR) is questionable for CLE

Boston was limited Wednesday with a calf injury, so he did practice, which is better than a day off. Questionable keeps the New Orleans game open either way, and the sheet doesn't say when he got hurt or who would take his snaps. Watch whether he moves toward full practice by the end of the week. Soft-tissue injuries like this can make his workload harder to predict even if he plays.

CJ Donaldson (RB) is questionable for NO

Donaldson has a shoulder injury and was limited Wednesday, so he did some work but not all of it. Questionable means his status for the Browns game is still uncertain, and the rest of the week's practice reports should say more. Hold off on any view of the Saints' backfield touches until his status is firmer.

Alvin Kamara (RB) is questionable for NO

Kamara didn't practice Wednesday, listed with rest and a back issue. The rest tag means the missed day may be partly planned, though the back issue keeps him questionable against Cleveland. The sheet names no replacement and gives no date for the injury. A practice return later in the week would say far more than Wednesday's absence, so wait for it before leaning on any Saints backfield number.

Cam Skattebo (RB) is questionable for NYG

Skattebo did not practice Wednesday because of a hamstring injury, so his week starts with no work at all. Questionable leaves the Philadelphia game open, and any return to practice would be the first good sign. Until then, Giants running back props carry extra risk, since the split of carries depends on his status.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

Smith missed Wednesday's practice with a hamstring injury, which leaves him questionable for the Giants game. Philadelphia's receiver room is thin on practice reps right now, since Dontayvion Wicks also sat out with an ankle injury. No fill-in is named. If both are limited or out, Eagles receiving props change quickly, so check their practice status late in the week before trusting any number.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley officially didn't practice Wednesday and is listed with both hamstring and back issues, which makes him questionable against the Giants. Two listed problems make this a less simple read than a single injury, and the sheet doesn't give a date for either one or name a replacement. DeVonta Smith's hamstring is on the same report, so the Eagles have several skill players to sort out. A return to practice later in the week is the signal to wait for.

Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is questionable for PHI

Wicks sat out Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury and is questionable for the Giants game. DeVonta Smith also missed the day with a hamstring injury, so Philadelphia could be short at receiver if neither improves. The sheet doesn't say who would take the snaps. Any Eagles receiver prop depends on how these two practice later in the week, so wait for that.

Treylon Burks (WR) is questionable for WSH

Burks has a foot injury and did not practice Wednesday, which is the weakest possible start to the week for a questionable receiver. Questionable leaves the door open for Sunday against the Rams, but a foot problem for a receiver is worth tracking through the next reports. Any Washington receiver angle is better judged after you see whether he returns to practice.

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is questionable for SF

Samuel has a hamstring injury and will miss Wednesday's practice, so questionable is a live concern for the Raiders game. One absence early in the week does not settle it, but his later practice reports will show which way this is going. San Francisco has not named who takes his targets if he sits.

Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

Evans is dealing with Achilles and ribs injuries, and Kyle Shanahan said he would not practice Wednesday. Questionable leaves the door open for the Raiders game, but missing practice with two listed injuries is a real concern this early in the week. San Francisco has not said who would take his targets, so receiver props on this offense carry extra risk until his status is clear.

Christian McCaffrey (RB) is questionable for SF

McCaffrey is out of practice for now with a hamstring issue, by his own account only having a chance to practice this week and play Sunday against the Raiders. That is hopeful, though it comes from the player and stops short of a commitment. Actual practice participation will tell you more than the quote, so props are priced on uncertainty until he gets on the field.

Christian Kirk (WR) is questionable for SF

Kirk has a knee injury and was limited Wednesday, so he got some work in but was held back from a full day. Questionable keeps his status for the Raiders game open. A step up to full practice would be a good sign he plays, while a step back would make San Francisco's receiver group a bigger question.

Christian Watson (WR) is questionable for GB

Watson practiced in a limited capacity Wednesday because of a ribs injury, so he is on the field and questionable for the New England game. Limited work is a better sign than a day off, and he has room to improve as the week goes on. The sheet doesn't say how the injury happened or who would take his snaps. A full practice later in the week would be the clearest sign he's trending toward playing.

A.J. Brown (WR) is questionable for NE

Brown is dealing with both ankle and knee issues and won't practice Wednesday, leaving him questionable for Green Bay. Two listed injuries make this more than a routine note, though one missed practice doesn't settle his status. His practice level later in the week is the best clue, so New England's passing outlook carries some doubt until then.

TreVeyon Henderson (RB) is questionable for NE

Henderson's listed problem is an illness, and it will keep him out of Wednesday's practice ahead of Green Bay. The report gives no timeline, so questionable simply means undecided for now. Check whether he returns to practice before the final injury report, and be careful with New England rushing views until he does.

LAC has lost 6 straight

The Clippers have dropped 6 in a row by 12.7 a game, and their last 7 are 1-6. Losses that size point to more than bad luck in close games. Seven games is still a small sample, and the sheet doesn't show who they played. Against Miami, check whether the spread already charges them for the skid before giving the streak any more weight.

P team lost 117-116

DAL: 247.9 pass yards a game to IND's 174.6

Dallas is throwing for 247.9 a game, a little under last season's 266.3, while Indianapolis has dropped to 174.6 from 227.8 over eight games. The Colts' passing decline is the bigger story. Indy has to win with the run and keep this close, because chasing Dallas through the air hasn't been their game this season.

KC is 3-0 at home; NYJ is 1-3 on the road

KC has won all 3 home games, while NYJ has 1 win in 4 road tries, so the split points one way. Both samples are small, and the record does not show who those opponents were, so the size of the home edge is still unproven. A perfect mark at home usually gets priced in quickly. For this game, focus on whether the number already charges you for 3-0 and 1-3, since those records are easy for everyone to see.

HOU is 2-1 on the road; LAC is 0-3 at home

HOU has won 2 of 3 on the road, and LAC has lost all 3 at home. LAC's 0-3 fits a bad season more than a specific home-field problem, while HOU's mark is only 3 games and could swing on one result. Neither record shows the quality of the opponents. Use the split as light support for how these teams are playing, and give more weight to overall team strength when judging the number.

KC: 7.4 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 24.3

Kansas City quarterbacks are rarely losing big chunks to sacks, while the Jets keep getting set back. The Jets are almost exactly where they were last season at 24.9, which makes their number look sticky. The Chiefs are way down from 19.3, so they have more room to drift back up. This compares two offenses and says nothing about either pass rush, so check that before leaning on it for drive-killing plays in this game.

SF: 4.76 yards per play allowed to LV's 6.1

LV is at 6.1 yards per play allowed over 8 games; SF is at 4.76 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

BUF: 23.9 first downs per game to MIN's 15.6

BUF is at 23.9 first downs per game over 7 games; MIN is at 15.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 22 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

SF: 127.4 rush yards a game to LV's 77.3

Las Vegas runs for 77.3 yards a game, almost exactly last season's 77.5, so that weakness is who they are. San Francisco has jumped to 127.4 from 106.9 over seven games. The Raiders have to throw to move the ball, which makes them one-dimensional, while the Niners can lean on the ground and control the clock.

SEA: 19.9 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.8

Seattle keeps games in a manageable range, and Arizona's defense has been giving up points in bunches. Both teams are a little worse than last season, when the Seahawks allowed 17.2 and the Cardinals 28.7, but the overall picture has barely changed across eight games. That makes the gap likely to hold. Arizona's offense probably has to win a higher-scoring game, while Seattle can win a lower-scoring one, so keep both paths in mind when thinking about the total.

Jaylinn Hawkins

Knee · Did not practice · Out

HOU: 0.14 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.43

Houston has almost stopped throwing picks, while the Chargers are giving the ball away through the air at a much higher rate. Both numbers are extreme against last season, when the Texans were at 0.53 and the Chargers at 0.82, and interceptions swing a lot over seven games. Expect both to drift back toward those marks. Houston has the cleaner profile so far, but be careful about pricing this gap as if it will last at full size.

KC: 1.29 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 2.88

Kansas City's quarterback is rarely going down, and the Jets are still taking sacks at a steady clip. Both teams improved from last season, when the Jets took 3.75 and the Chiefs 2.94, with Kansas City's drop the sharper one. That makes the Chiefs the likelier team to give some back. The Jets are the offense more prone to drive-killing negative plays, though this number says nothing about how well Kansas City rushes the passer.

SEA: 19.9 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.8

Arizona's defense is allowing 29.8 points a game over eight games, right in line with last season's 28.7, so this looks real. Seattle is at 19.9, a bit worse than last year's 17.2. The Cardinals have to outscore teams to win, and when that's the plan on the road, you are betting on their offense keeping pace all game.

Lamar Jackson

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

Yaya Diaby

Knee - MCL · Did not practice · Out

Hunter Henry (TE) is questionable for NE

New England's tight end has a foot injury and wasn't on the field for the part of Wednesday's practice reporters could see. That is a small early-week sign, and it leaves Henry's status for the Packers game open. Questionable means he could go either way, and the rest of this week's practice reports should clarify it. If you like a Henry prop, the safer time to decide is after his final designation.

Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR

Parkinson has a rib injury and did not practice Wednesday, leaving his status for the Washington game open. Questionable means there is real doubt but no decision yet. A return to practice later in the week would be the first good sign for his chances of playing.

Will Kacmarek (TE) is questionable for MIA

Kacmarek was limited at Wednesday's practice with a hamstring injury, leaving the tight end questionable for Detroit at Miami. He did get on the field, which is better than a missed session. Later reports should show whether the hamstring is improving, so his final status is the thing to wait for on any bet involving him.

Travis Kelce (TE) is questionable for KC

Kelce was limited on Wednesday with an ankle injury, meaning he took part in some of the work. Questionable keeps his status against the Jets open for now. His practice level later in the week is the signal to follow, and it matters for any Kansas City bet that assumes his usual role.

DEN: 48% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 80%

Opponents have scored on 80% of red-zone trips against Carolina over 7 games, while Denver has held that to 48% over 8. Carolina has been letting drives finish, and Denver has been forcing more stops once the field shrinks. Red-zone numbers rest on a limited number of plays and tend to drift, so expect both to move toward the middle over time. For this game, Denver's scoring chances look more likely to pay off, with some of that gap at risk of shrinking.

Jake Ferguson (TE) is questionable for DAL

Ferguson has an ankle injury and did not take part in Wednesday's practice, so he is starting the week behind. Questionable means he could still play at Indianapolis, but the next practice reports will say a lot about how likely that is. Hold any Dallas tight end view until you see whether he gets back on the field.

Drew Ogletree (TE) is questionable for IND

Ogletree has a knee injury and did not practice Wednesday, so he is behind heading into the Dallas game. Questionable means he could still play, but he has yet to show he can practice this week. Indianapolis has not said who would take his work at tight end, so any tight end prop on this team is shaky until his status is settled.

JAX: 15.9 points allowed per game to BAL's 25.4

Jacksonville has been stingy, and Baltimore has been giving up a lot more. The Jaguars improved from 19.8 last season and the Ravens slipped from 23.4, so both teams have moved in opposite directions. Seven and eight games give that some weight, though Jacksonville's jump is the piece most likely to cool. The defensive edge favors the Jaguars on paper, but weigh how much of it comes from who they have faced, which these numbers do not show.

Sam Darnold

Quadriceps · Did not practice · Out

NE is 3-0 at home; GB is 2-2 on the road

NE is unbeaten in 3 home games, while GB has split 4 on the road, so the sharper mark belongs to NE. GB's 2-2 is a plain middle result, and 3 games is too few to call NE's home edge settled, especially without knowing who came through. A 3-0 home mark often draws public money. Weigh this game on the quality of the teams first and use the split as a tiebreaker.

CIN is 3-1 on the road; ATL is 1-3 at home

CIN has won 3 of 4 away from home, and ATL has won just 1 of 4 at home, so the usual home edge has not shown up for ATL so far. At 4 games each, one result changes the picture a lot, and the record does not show who either team played. Expect both marks to drift closer to the middle over a full season. In this spot, ask how much home field the line still gives ATL.

SF: 89 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 146.4

San Francisco is holding teams to 89 rushing yards a game, while Las Vegas allows 146.4, over 7 and 8 games. Rushing totals lean on script: teams that fall behind stop running, and teams that lead keep running, so this can reflect scoreboard as well as run defense. These numbers don't separate the two or show who each team faced. For this game, ask whether the Raiders can stay close enough to keep running before you lean on the gap.

Mason Taylor (TE) is questionable for NYJ

Taylor was limited Wednesday with a back injury, so he got some work in and is questionable for Kansas City. The Jets also have Breece Hall limited and Garrett Wilson in the concussion protocol, which leaves several pieces of the offense unsettled. The sheet doesn't name a tight end to fill in. Sort out those three statuses together before forming a view on the Jets' offense.

Jaylen Watson

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

Zachariah Branch

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Tyler Huntley

Toe · Did not practice · Out

David Montgomery

Groin · Did not practice · Out

HOU: 23.6 points per game to LAC's 14.1

HOU is at 23.6 points per game over 7 games; LAC is at 14.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and LAC at 21.6 over 17 games.

JAX: 15.9 points allowed a game to BAL's 25.4

Jacksonville's defense has improved to 15.9 points allowed a game from 19.8 last season, while Baltimore's has slipped to 25.4 from 23.4. Jacksonville's number is over seven games, so some regression is possible. Baltimore needs its offense to carry it, and a slow start at home puts a lot of pressure on a defense giving up points this season.

KC: 1.29 sacks taken a game to NYJ's 2.88

Kansas City's line is giving up 1.29 sacks a game over seven games, a huge drop from 2.94 last season. The Jets are at 2.88, better than last year's 3.75 but still high. New York has to protect long enough to make plays, because drives that end in sacks are hard to recover from on the road.

DET: 24.6 first downs per game to MIA's 16.7

Detroit is staying on the field and stacking drives, while Miami is having trouble sustaining anything. The Lions are well above last season's 20.4, so some cooling over a larger sample is possible. The Dolphins are close to their 17.1, which makes their number look like who they are. Detroit is better positioned to control the pace, and if that happens, Miami may get fewer chances to find a rhythm on offense.

IND has lost 5 straight

Indiana has lost 5 in a row by an average of 9, with a 2-6 mark on the recent stretch. That is a clear losing run, though the margins are more modest than a typical blowout skid. The sample is short, and the sheet doesn't show the schedule behind it. At Memphis, a single-digit average gives more reason to look at the spread than to assume Indiana can't compete.

P team won 107-103

SAS has won 5 straight

San Antonio has won 5 straight by 16.2 a game and sits 5-2 on its recent stretch, so these wins have been comfortable. Margins that large usually come down over time, and the sheet doesn't show the quality of the opponents. Against Dallas, expect the spread to reflect the run already, so the question for a bettor is whether the price asks for another blowout.

P team won 111-112

WSH: 0.43 turnovers a game to LAR's 1.5

Washington has turned it over 0.43 times a game over seven games, improved from 1.35 last season. The Rams are at 1.5, up from 0.88. Seven or eight games is a short window for turnovers, which swing a lot, so both numbers could drift. If they hold, the Rams have to clean up ball security to keep the field-position battle even.

Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN

Coach Kevin O'Connell said Tuesday that Darrisaw is nursing a shoulder issue, and that leaves the offensive tackle questionable for Buffalo. There is no practice participation listed yet, so it is hard to say which way this leans. If you are looking at Minnesota's offense in this game, check his status closer to kickoff, since any bet on the Vikings' protection depends on whether he plays.

Will Lee III (CB) is questionable for CAR

Lee is day to day with a hamstring injury and should get a chance to test it this week, which makes him a real game-time type of question for Denver. Hamstrings are tricky for corners because the job depends on speed. How he looks when he tests it should tell you more than the questionable tag does.

Nick Bosa (DE) is questionable for SF

Bosa has a knee injury and was limited Wednesday, so he practiced but not fully. Questionable keeps his status for the Raiders game open, and the next practice reports should show whether the knee is improving. His availability matters for how you view San Francisco's pass rush, so wait for his final designation.

SF has 7 more days of rest

LV comes in on a short week (3 days since its last game); SF on 10 days of rest, a bye behind it. That is a 7-day spacing gap between the sides.

DAL: 1.38 sacks taken per game to IND's 2.88

Dallas is keeping its passer upright, and Indianapolis is taking a lot more hits. The teams have traded places in direction since last season, with the Cowboys down from 2.38 and the Colts up from 2.07. Eight games gives this some weight, though both numbers could drift back toward those marks. Dallas is more likely to stay on schedule, while sacks are a bigger threat to Colts drives, especially if they fall behind and have to throw.

UTA has lost 5 straight

Utah has lost 5 straight by 12.8 a game and is 1-6 over its last 7, which means it has been losing early and often by double digits. That size of margin is hard to keep up over a long run, but the sample is too short to say how real it is. At New Orleans, compare the spread with the recent margin and be wary of paying extra just because the streak is ugly.

P team lost 113-120

CHI has lost 5 straight

Chicago has lost 5 straight by 15.6 a game and is 1-6 over its last 7, so this has been a run of lopsided games. Five games is a short stretch and the sheet doesn't list the opponents, so the margin is likely to come down at some point. Tonight's trip to New York is a spot to ask whether the number has already priced in the blowouts.

P team lost 105-135

Keisean Nixon (CB) is questionable for GB

Nixon was limited Wednesday with a groin injury, leaving the Green Bay cornerback questionable at New England. He practiced in some form, which is better than sitting out, but questionable means he is not yet cleared to play. Check his later practice reports before judging how New England's receivers line up against this secondary.

Travon Walker (DE) is questionable for JAX

Walker has a rib injury and is questionable for Thursday night against the Ravens, so Jacksonville has little time to sort out his status. Questionable means he could go either way. On a Thursday game, the decision on one of the Jaguars' defensive ends should come close to kickoff, so check it before settling on a view of Baltimore's offense.

Nate Wiggins (CB) is questionable for BAL

Wiggins is questionable for Thursday's game against the Jaguars because of an illness, so there is little time left for his status to become clear. An illness can change quickly, in either direction. If you are betting Jacksonville's passing game, it helps to wait for Baltimore's inactive list, since no replacement at corner has been named.

SF: 19.9 points allowed per game to LV's 28.8

LV is at 28.8 points allowed per game over 8 games; SF is at 19.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.

NO has 7 more days of rest

Cleveland has 3 days to recover, prepare and travel to New Orleans, while the Saints have had 10 days and a bye to do the same. A team in Cleveland's spot usually cuts practice down, leans on a simpler game plan and has less time to get sore players right. The rest numbers are locked in, though the fact sheet can't tell you how much of this the line already reflects. Before betting, check whether the number has moved toward New Orleans and whether anyone banged up on Cleveland is cleared.

NYG has 7 more days of rest

The Giants have had 10 days and a bye to get ready for this trip, while Philadelphia gets 3 days between games. Home field spares the Eagles a flight, but they still have to squeeze recovery and game planning into a short window. The Giants have had time to rest and install new wrinkles. This gap is set, so the bettor's job is to judge how much of it the price already includes and to check the Eagles' final injury report.

HOU has 7 more days of rest

Houston arrives with 10 days and a bye behind it, while the Chargers have only 3 days since their last game. The Texans still have to travel, but they've had far more time to recover and prepare. The Chargers get to stay home, with the usual short-week tradeoff: lighter practices and a tighter game plan. The rest gap won't change, so compare it with any line movement and watch the Chargers' practice reports for players who may not bounce back in time.

DJ Turner II (CB) is questionable for CIN

Turner has an ankle injury and was called day-to-day on Monday, which points to a short-term issue rather than a long absence. Questionable leaves his status for the Atlanta game open. Cincinnati has not named a replacement at corner, so Falcons passing bets carry an extra unknown until his status is confirmed.

Cade Mays (C) is questionable for DET

Mays sustained a low-ankle sprain during Detroit's win over the Vikings on Sunday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN reports. Reported Nov 2.

D.J. Reed (CB) is questionable for DET

Reed (hip) is not expected to practice Wednesday, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Nov 3.

Kris Abrams-Draine (CB) is questionable for DEN

Abrams-Draine missed Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, so the Denver cornerback is questionable at Carolina. A return to practice later in the week would be the first good sign. If you are considering Carolina's passing game, check Denver's final injury report first, because his status could change the cornerback group.

BUF: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.29

BUF is at 4.29 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; MIN is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 3.82 over 17 games and MIN at 3 over 17 games.

MIN: 3.57 sacks recorded per game to BUF's 2.14

Both defenses get to the quarterback, with Minnesota at 3.57 sacks a game and Buffalo at 2.14 over 7 games each. Sack counts rise when opponents are trailing and throwing, and these numbers don't show how often that happened or who was protecting the passer. Sacks also come in bunches, so the gap could tighten. For this game, the Buffalo quarterback likely faces the tougher pass rush, which matters most if Buffalo falls behind and has to throw.

DAL: 0.88 turnovers committed per game to IND's 1.88

Dallas has protected the ball, and Indianapolis has been giving away extra possessions. The Cowboys improved from 1.24 last season, while the Colts got worse from 1.35. Turnovers swing a lot over eight games, and last season's numbers were much closer together, so this gap is more likely to shrink than grow. The Colts have been the more mistake-prone team so far, but be careful about assuming that margin carries over at full size.

LAR: 258.9 team passing yards per game to WSH's 200.6

The Rams are the more pass-driven offense, and Washington has less production through the air. This gap is narrower than last season's, with the Rams down a bit from 268.1 and Washington up from 184.1, and the broad shape has held over seven and eight games. That makes the Rams' edge fairly believable. If this turns into a throwing game, they have the stronger track record, though Washington's improvement means the gap may not be as wide as last season's.

DEN: 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate to CAR's 40%

Denver has cashed in on fourth down at 83.3% through 8 games, while Carolina is at 40% through 7. Both numbers have flipped from last season, when Denver was at 50% and Carolina at 67.5%, and fourth-down tries are too rare to trust a swing that sharp. Expect both to drift back toward the middle. Use this as a small edge in close-game scoring and live spots, and give more weight to how each offense moves the ball on early downs.

Anthony Gould (WR) is questionable for IND

IND lists Anthony Gould as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Dee Winters (LB) is questionable for DAL

Winters was limited Wednesday with a calf injury, making the Dallas linebacker questionable at Indianapolis. He got some work, so this is a milder early report than a missed practice. Whether his participation increases by the end of the week is the clearest next clue, and it is worth checking before you factor the Dallas linebacker group into this game.

Caleb Downs (S) is questionable for DAL

Downs was still in concussion protocol Wednesday as Dallas began preparing for its Week 9 game at Indianapolis. He has to clear that process to play, so questionable carries real uncertainty here. Check his protocol status before forming a view of the Cowboys' secondary.

Malachi Lawrence (LB) is questionable for DAL

Lawrence suffered an ankle injury in Sunday's 33-30 overtime loss to the Cardinals, Patrik Walker of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.

P.J. Locke (S) is questionable for DAL

Locke was still in concussion protocol Wednesday as the Cowboys began preparing for their Week 9 matchup at Indianapolis, Joe Hoyt of The Dallas Morning News reports. Reported Nov 5.

David Bailey (LB) is questionable for NYJ

Bailey (groin) was a limited participant in practice Wednesday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 4.

Brian Branch (S) is questionable for DET

Branch (concussion) was estimated as a limited participant on the Lions' official injury report Wednesday, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Nov 5.

Quincy Williams (LB) is questionable for CLE

Williams has a hamstring injury and did not practice Wednesday, a less hopeful start than limited work would have been. One missed session doesn't settle his status for New Orleans, but he needs to get back on the field later this week. If he stays out, expect Cleveland to reshuffle at linebacker, though no replacement has been named.

Justin Reid (S) is questionable for NO

Reid is listed with a concussion, but he was a full participant Wednesday, the strongest practice mark a player can get. Questionable still leaves his status open for Cleveland at New Orleans, so he is not officially cleared. Check his final designation, but Wednesday's report is an encouraging sign for the New Orleans safety.

Charlie Jones (WR) is questionable for NYG

The Giants list Jones as questionable for the Philadelphia game, with no injury or practice detail attached. He could go either way, and the next report is the first place to get a clearer answer.

Britain Covey (WR) is questionable for PHI

Philadelphia lists Covey as questionable for the Giants game, which means his availability is undecided. The report gives no injury or practice detail, so there is little else to go on. Wait for more information before building anything around his status.

Jihaad Campbell (LB) is questionable for PHI

Campbell (hamstring/quadriceps) did not participate at the Eagles' practice Wednesday. Reported Nov 5.

Grant Stuard (LB) is questionable for LAR

Stuard is dealing with a hamstring injury, and the Rams list him as questionable for the Washington game. That means he could go either way, and the report gives no timeline or replacement at linebacker. His status should get clearer with the team's next update.

Jordan Whittington (WR) is questionable for LAR

Whittington is questionable for the Washington game, and the report names no injury or practice detail. That tag means he could go either way, and there is too little here to judge what his absence would mean for the Rams.

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR

Phillips has a hamstring injury, and Panthers coach Dave Canales said Monday it is trending in the right direction, with Phillips day-to-day before Sunday's game against Denver. Questionable leaves playing time open, and the coach's tone leans hopeful. Hamstrings can limit a player even when active, so check the final status and any word on snaps before judging Carolina's defense in this spot.

Bobby Okereke (LB) is questionable for CAR

Okereke did not participate in Wednesday's practice because of a foot injury, leaving the Carolina linebacker questionable against Denver. A missed session puts the focus on whether he returns to work later in the week. Check Carolina's final report before weighing how its linebacker group sets up for this game.

Reed Blankenship (S) is questionable for HOU

Blankenship carries two injury tags, a concussion and a hand issue, and he had surgery on his left hand in October. The concussion is likely the bigger hurdle for the Chargers game, while the hand could affect him if he plays. If he sits, Houston has to change things at safety, though no replacement is named, so wait for his status before judging its pass defense.

Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) is questionable for HOU

Al-Shaair was limited Wednesday with a groin injury, so the Houston linebacker is questionable at the Chargers. He got partial work, which beats a missed practice, but his status remains open. Later reports should show whether he is trending toward playing, and that is the time to factor him into your view of Houston's defense.

Zaire Franklin (LB) is questionable for GB

Franklin did not practice Wednesday because of a shin injury, so Green Bay's linebacker starts the week without him on the field. Questionable leaves the New England game open, and a return to practice would be the first sign he can play. Check his status before betting on how the Packers' defense lines up.

Velus Jones Jr. (RB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Velus Jones Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Zavier Scott (RB) is questionable for CHI

Chicago lists Scott as questionable for the Tampa Bay game, so the running back's availability is undecided. The report names no injury or practice level, which leaves little to judge. Hold off on any read involving him until more details come out.

NYG: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 33.3%

The Giants have converted 75% of their fourth downs over 7 games, while Philadelphia sits at 33.3% over 8. Last season the order was reversed, with the Giants at 46.2% and the Eagles at 52.4%, so this looks more like a hot and cold stretch than a new identity. Fourth-down tries are rare enough that both rates can move fast. If the game turns on a few short-yardage calls, New York has the recent edge, but don't price it as a lasting one.

ARI (3-5) at SEA (4-4), a division game

Arizona is 3-5 but -63 on the year, so the losses have been lopsided. The Cardinals are 3-2 on the road, which is better than their overall record, and Seattle is 3-2 at home with a +26 differential. Road wins next to a deep negative point total point to a team that wins some close ones and gets blown out in others. Expect the division familiarity to keep this tighter than the season numbers alone would say.

NYG (4-2-1) at PHI (2-6), a division game

The Giants have a winning record but are only +2 on the year, so they are winning close games rather than beating people up. The Eagles are -65 and have dropped 6 straight, which is a team losing by real margins. Philadelphia is 1-3 at home, so the building has not helped. A thin point differential on the Giants side means this spot is closer to a coin flip on margin than the records suggest.

CIN: 29.4 points per game to ATL's 21.4

CIN is at 29.4 points per game over 7 games; ATL is at 21.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CIN was at 24.4 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

NYG: 229.3 pass yards a game to PHI's 177.1

The Giants are throwing for 229.3 yards a game, up from 204.4 last season, while Philadelphia has slipped to 177.1 from 194.3. Philly's passing game is the one that looks off, over eight games. The Eagles may lean on the run and defense, which tends to keep games lower-scoring and puts pressure on the Giants' passing to break it open.

JAX: 40.9% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 67.9%

Jacksonville has allowed a score on 40.9% of red-zone trips over 7 games, well below Baltimore's 67.9% over 8. The Jaguars have been better at turning long drives into stops, though these rates rest on few plays and don't account for the offenses faced. Jacksonville's number is the likelier one to rise over time. For this game, it gives the Jaguars an edge near the goal line, a fragile kind of edge to build a bet around.

Adam Randall (RB) is ir-r for BAL

Randall has a neck injury and carries an injured reserve return tag, while the Ravens have also officially called him questionable for Thursday's game against the Jaguars. That leaves him with a real chance to play, but his role is unclear. Wait for Baltimore's inactive list before betting on anything that depends on him.

Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

Collins has a hip injury and was ruled out for the Buccaneers game on Nov 1, when the Falcons also said he would remain on injured reserve. He is still carrying an injured reserve return tag, and nothing reported so far clears him for Cincinnati. Assume he is unavailable unless Atlanta activates him.

Jake Elliott (PK) is questionable for PHI

Elliott (ankle) was a limited participant at the Eagles' practice Wednesday. Reported Nov 5.

Ronnie Rivers (RB) is ir-r for LAR

Rivers, a Rams running back, has been designated to return from injured reserve after a calf injury. That means the team has started the process of bringing him back, but it does not confirm he will play at Washington. Check whether he is activated to the roster before giving him any weight in this game.

CLE is 2-3 on the road; NO is 0-4 at home

NO has lost all 4 home games, while CLE has won 2 of 5 on the road. CLE's edge here comes more from NO's failures than from its own road form, since 2-3 is still a losing mark. Winless at home over 4 games is likely to soften with time, and the record does not show who NO faced. Be careful about paying a big price for CLE on a split where neither side has played well.

SF: 6.44 yards per play to LV's 5.39

LV is at 5.39 yards per play over 8 games; SF is at 6.44 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LV was at 4.35 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

Nate Wiggins

Stinger, Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

NYG @ PHI carries a 39.5 market total

The market expects a slow, grinding game here, with fewer total points than any other matchup on a 15-game slate where the middle total is 46.5. A number this low usually means the book sees long drives, field goals and few quick scores from either side. For it to crack, one of these offenses would need early touchdowns or short fields from turnovers. Bettors can use this as a baseline for low-scoring spots and ask what would have to break for points to come in bunches.

Pat Bryant (WR) is ir-r for DEN

Bryant is on injured reserve with a return designation because of an ankle injury, and he was a full participant Wednesday. That is a strong sign of recovery, though he still needs to be activated to face Carolina. Watch for that roster move before building Denver's receiver picture around him.

NYG: 229.3 team passing yards per game to PHI's 177.1

New York is throwing for 229.3 yards a game over 7 games, up from 204.4 last season, while Philadelphia has dropped from 194.3 to 177.1 over 8. Both moves came in the same half season, so the Giants look like the team leaning harder on the pass right now. Half a season is a fair sample, though the Eagles were never a high-volume passing team last season either. On yardage props, remember that a low total can reflect game plan as much as poor play.

DEN: 2.88 sacks recorded per game to CAR's 1.57

Denver is at 2.88 sacks a game over 8 games, while Carolina is at 1.57 over 7, so the Carolina quarterback looks set for the rougher day. These counts don't show the protection each defense faced or how often opponents were forced to throw. Sacks are streaky, so some of this gap may fade. For this game, it matters most if Carolina is chasing points, since obvious passing downs give Denver's rush its best chances.

HOU: 3 sacks recorded per game to LAC's 1.71

Houston has 3 sacks a game and the Chargers 1.71, both over 7 games, so Houston has been far more productive at finishing pass rushes. That total doesn't adjust for opposing quarterbacks, offensive lines or how often those teams were throwing from behind. Sacks swing week to week, so the gap could close some. In this matchup, pay attention to whether the Chargers end up in long-yardage spots, where Houston's rush has the most to gain.

NYG: 33:34 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:24

The Giants are holding the ball for 33:34 a game, while the Eagles are down at 28:24. Last season these teams were nearly even at 30:58 and 30:11, so this is a real change in how both games have played out through 7 and 8 games. Possession also follows game script, since teams playing from ahead tend to keep the ball longer. If New York controls the clock again, Philadelphia gets fewer snaps, which matters for totals and Eagles player props.

DEN has won 4 straight

DEN is 6-2 with 4 straight wins, so the streak sits on top of a strong season instead of carrying it alone. The record does not show how good those opponents were or how close the games got, and that is the first thing to check. Winning teams also get to play with leads, which makes their approach easier to run. Winning streaks usually cost more in the market, so at CAR ask how much of the price is the 4 wins.

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 5 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 727 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in. Tyler Huntley is also listed d for this matchup.

Adam Randall

Neck · Full practice · Questionable

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 8 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 2146 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.08 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in. Matthew Stafford is also listed q for this matchup.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 6 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 1022 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 6.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in. Kyler Murray is also listed q for this matchup.

Travon Walker

Rib · Limited practice · Questionable

Chris Brooks (RB) is ir-r for GB

Brooks (ankle) was designated to return from injured reserve by the Packers on Wednesday, per the NFL's official transaction log. Reported Nov 5.

Mack Hollins (WR) is ir-r for NE

The Patriots are expected to designate Hollins (calf) for return from injured reserve Wednesday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Nov 4.

SEA: 156 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 220.5

Seattle allows 156 passing yards a game, while Arizona allows 220.5, both over 8 games. Passing totals bend with script, since a defense protecting a lead usually sees more throws and one that is trailing sees fewer, and this number doesn't show which applied or which quarterbacks they faced. That makes the yardage gap a starting point. For a passing prop or total in this game, check how often Seattle's opponents actually threw.

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

Cardinals head coach Mike LaFleur said Tuesday that Conner (foot) won't return from IR this week, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Nov 4.

Bhayshul Tuten

Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Questionable

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is ir-r for SF

Robinson (ankle) was designated to return from injured reserve Wednesday, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports. Reported Nov 5.

IND has lost 4 straight

IND has dropped 4 in a row and sits at 2-6, so the skid has dragged down a season that was already shaky. The record does not show whether those losses came against strong teams or in close games, and that decides how much of this is real. Four games can overstate a slide, though 2-6 gives it some backing. Against DAL, check the margins before assuming the market has marked IND down too far or not far enough.

GB: 1.88 takeaways per game to NE's 1

Green Bay is taking the ball away 1.88 times a game, while New England is at 1 over 8 games each. Takeaways are among the streakiest numbers in football, since fumble luck and tipped passes can swing them, so expect this gap to move more than most defensive stats. These numbers also don't show which quarterbacks each defense faced. For this game, give Green Bay a small nod in turnover chances without pricing that rate in as a lasting skill.

PHI has won 4 straight

Philadelphia has won 4 straight by 8.5 a game and is 7-1 across its last 8. That margin is solid without being extreme, which makes it easier to believe than a run of blowouts. Eight games is still a small sample and the opponents aren't listed. A road game at Detroit is a useful test, so weigh the form against the price instead of backing the streak on its own.

P team won 112-106

CHA has lost 4 straight

Charlotte has lost 4 straight by 15.5 a game, with a 3-5 mark on the recent stretch. The 3 wins show this team has looked better than the current run, and 4 games is a very short sample. At Brooklyn, a margin this large can push a number too far, so check how much of the skid is already in the spread.

P team lost 104-114

MIN: 29.7% third downs allowed to BUF's 41.9%

BUF is at 41.9% third downs allowed over 7 games; MIN is at 29.7% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

DAL: 6.45 yards per pass attempt to IND's 4.67

DAL is at 6.45 yards per pass attempt over 8 games; IND is at 4.67 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and IND at 6.76 over 17 games.

TB: 4.95 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.9

Tampa Bay gives up about a yard less per play than Chicago, at 4.95 to 5.9 over 8 games each. Yards per play covers every snap, so it is harder to fake than a points total, and 8 games makes it a fair sample. These numbers don't show the offenses each team faced, so check both schedules before fully buying the gap. If they hold up, Chicago's offense has the tougher assignment, which matters when you size up team totals.

John Bates (TE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists John Bates as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Brevin Jordan (TE) is questionable for HOU

Houston lists Jordan as questionable for the Chargers game, which means his status is uncertain, and no injury detail has been given yet.

Ian Thomas (TE) is questionable for LV

LV lists Ian Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF

Stout (shoulder) was only active as an emergency depth option during Sunday's loss to the Falcons, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reported Monday. Reported Oct 26.

Josh Whyle (TE) is questionable for GB

GB lists Josh Whyle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

NYJ: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.29

The Jets have 2.5 sacks a game over 8 games, while Kansas City has 1.29 over 7, so the Jets have been the more productive pass rush so far. These counts don't show who they faced or whether opponents were throwing from behind, and sack numbers are streaky. Some movement is likely. For this game, look at whether the Jets can keep it close enough to make Kansas City's quarterback throw into obvious passing downs, where that rush has its best chance.

NFC WEST game: ARI 1-2, SEA 1-1 in the division

ARI is 1-2 in the NFC West and SEA is 1-1, a gap too small to tell you much. One game would level or flip these marks, and the opponents behind them matter more than the records. Rate this game on the teams themselves and give the division split very little weight.

DAL: 27.4 points per game to IND's 20.1

DAL is at 27.4 points per game over 8 games; IND is at 20.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and IND at 27.4 over 17 games.

NFC EAST game: NYG 1-0-1, PHI 1-2 in the division

NYG has yet to lose in the NFC East at 1-0-1, while PHI is 1-2. The gap is only a few games, and one of NYG's results is a tie, so it says little about which team is better. Division games bring familiar opponents, and these marks can flip with a single result. Use it as background and let each team's overall form carry more weight.

DET: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to MIA's 2.57

DET is at 4.29 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; MIA is at 2.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 3.76 over 17 games and MIA at 2.82 over 17 games.

Luke Schoonmaker (TE) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Luke Schoonmaker as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

KC: 38.9% red-zone scoring allowed to NYJ's 62.1%

Kansas City has allowed red-zone scoring 38.9% of the time over 7 games, while the Jets are at 62.1% over 8. Red-zone defense rests on a small slice of each game's snaps, so both numbers can drift toward the middle. These figures don't show who either defense faced. Use the gap as a reason to ask whether Kansas City's drives are more likely to finish in the end zone here, and don't assume the Jets will keep getting stopped at the same rate.

BUF: 1.86 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

BUF is at 1.86 sacks taken per game over 7 games; MIN is at 3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.

DAL: 7.9 sack yards lost per game to IND's 19.1

DAL is at 7.9 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; IND is at 19.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and IND at 15.1 over 17 games.

DEN: 20.6 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.6

DEN is at 20.6 points allowed per game over 8 games; CAR is at 27.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and CAR at 22.4 over 17 games.

HOU: 6.89 yards per pass attempt to LAC's 5.24

HOU is at 6.89 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; LAC is at 5.24 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 6.2 over 17 games and LAC at 5.87 over 17 games.

SF: 47.8% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 70.6%

San Francisco allows red-zone scoring on 47.8% of chances over 7 games, and the Raiders are far worse at 70.6% over 8. Few plays feed this kind of number, so the extremes tend to soften, and the Raiders' figure has the most room to improve. Opponent quality isn't shown here, so the schedule remains an open question. For totals and touchdown props, the Raiders' defense looks like the softer spot once a drive gets close.

LV @ SF carries a 52.5 market total

At 6 points over the slate median, the market is asking LV and SF to produce one of the highest-scoring games across these 15. That leaves little room for empty possessions, since this price assumes plenty of drives end in touchdowns. A lopsided game could crack it if the leader turns to the run and shortens the game, and so could a run of stalled drives. Only the price is supplied here, so judge this spot by how much scoring the number needs from both sides.

DAL: 5.39 yards per play to IND's 4.45

Dallas is at 5.39 yards per play and Indianapolis at 4.45, and both are down from last season's 5.96 and 5.77. The Colts have fallen further, and they had no play of 20+ yards in their last game, while Dallas had 2, led by Dak Prescott's 37-yarder to George Pickens. One game of missing big plays is a small sample, but the 8-game rate backs up the slide. Dallas has the easier path to explosive gains, which shapes how you think about the Colts keeping pace.

HOU @ LAC carries a 40.5 market total

At 40.5, this game sits 6 points under the slate's 46.5 median, so the market is pricing in a low-event game where points come slowly. That points to offenses expected to stall in the red zone or defenses expected to control the pace. The expectation breaks if either side starts hitting explosive plays or turns red-zone trips into touchdowns instead of field goals. A total this low leaves little room, so a single defensive or special teams score moves it a lot.

CIN @ ATL carries a 52.5 market total

Sitting 6 points above the median of 46.5, this total expects both offenses to keep finishing drives and the scoring to come in bunches. The supplied facts give the price but no team numbers behind it, so the market's view is the whole case. For the expectation to crack, red-zone trips have to turn into field goals, or one team has to get ahead and run the clock. In a total this high, a bettor should watch whether drives end in sevens or threes.

JAX @ BAL carries a 40.5 market total

Six points under the slate median puts this among the quieter games on the board, with the market expecting more punts and field goals than quick touchdowns. The price is the only evidence supplied here, so it offers no read on why the number is this low. For that script to crack, the game needs early touchdowns, turnovers that create short fields or a defensive score. Early in the game, watch whether drives finish in the end zone or stall into field goals.

LaMelo Ball and Kevin Durant lead tonight's board

Both lines sit above this season's scoring: Ball at 19.5 against 16.9 over 8 games, Durant at 22.5 against 20.8 over 8. The book expects both to score more than they have, and with Ball the gap is the wider one. Eight games can undersell a player, so a rise is plausible. A bettor has to decide whether tonight offers a specific reason for it, since the averages alone point the other way.

NYG: 1.29 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.5

The Giants take the ball away 1.29 times per game over 7 games, and the Eagles are at 0.5 over 8. Takeaways are among the streakiest defensive numbers, since fumble bounces and tipped balls swing them, so both figures could move. Philadelphia's low rate has room to climb. Be careful about paying up for a turnover edge in this game, because it can disappear in one afternoon.

LAR: 42.7% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.9%

The Rams convert 42.7% of their third downs over 8 games, up from 39.6% last season, while Washington has slid from 37.6% to 31.9% over 7. That gap means Los Angeles has been better at extending drives, and Washington more likely to hand the ball back. Third-down rates can swing, so Washington has some room to climb back toward last year's number. This edge shows up in possession and snap counts, which makes it useful when you look at totals and player volume.

Dee Alford (CB) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo listed cornerback Dee Alford as questionable on Nov 3 for the Minnesota game, which means his availability is in doubt and he could play or sit. The report gives no injury or replacement, so it is unclear how much his absence would change the Bills' secondary. Check Buffalo's inactive list before kickoff, then look at Minnesota's passing props and lines with his status in hand.

Spencer Brown (OT) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo lists Brown as questionable for the Minnesota game, so his status at offensive tackle is still open. The report gives no injury, practice detail or replacement. Check Buffalo's next injury update before betting on how its pass protection will hold up.

Theo Benedet (OT) is questionable for CHI

Chicago listed offensive tackle Theo Benedet as questionable on Nov 5 for the Tampa Bay game, which means his availability is in doubt and he could play or sit. The report gives no injury or replacement, so the size of any drop-off is unknown. Check Chicago's inactive list before kickoff, and hold off on building a view of this game around him until his status is settled.

Charles Cross (OT) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Charles Cross as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Dre'Mont Jones (DE) is questionable for NE

NE lists Dre'Mont Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Carlton Davis III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Morgan Moses (OT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Morgan Moses as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Travis Glover (OT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Travis Glover as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Deane Leonard (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Deane Leonard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Rodney Shelley (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Rodney Shelley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Donte Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

David Njoku (TE) is ir-r for LAC

Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh said Wednesday that Njoku (fibula) has been designated for return from injured reserve, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Nov 4.

Braden Smith (OT) is questionable for HOU

Houston lists Smith as questionable for the Chargers game, which means his status is uncertain, and no injury detail has been given yet.

PHI: 56.3% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 77.8%

Philadelphia allows red-zone scoring 56.3% of the time over 8 games, while the Giants are at 77.8% over 7. The Giants' number is extreme, and red-zone rates rest on few plays, so some pullback is reasonable. The opposing offenses aren't shown here, so schedule could be part of it. The Eagles look like the better bet to finish drives with touchdowns, but price in some regression before leaning on that for a team total.

CIN: 41.7% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 63.3%

Cincinnati has held opponents to 41.7% red-zone scoring over 7 games, and Atlanta allows 63.3% over 8. Teams can bend for yards against the Bengals, then tighten up late in drives, though these numbers rest on a small share of snaps and can move quickly. They also don't show which offenses were involved. For this game, weigh field-goal versus touchdown outcomes, especially on anytime touchdown props and team totals.

Eyioma Uwazurike (DE) is questionable for DEN

Questionable means Uwazurike may or may not play at Carolina, and the report gives no injury detail. With no information yet on his practice work or who would take his snaps, the inactive list before kickoff is the thing to check.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is ir-r for LAR

Ferguson (ankle) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Nov 5.

Jonathan Jones (CB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jonathan Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Colton Hood (CB) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Colton Hood as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Andrew Thomas (OT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Andrew Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Jermaine Eluemunor as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

DET is 1-2 on the road; MIA is 0-3 at home

MIA has lost all 3 home games, and DET has won just 1 of 3 on the road, so this split favors DET mostly because of MIA's mark. Three games each is a thin sample with no opponent detail behind it, so expect both numbers to move. DET's road record alone gives little reason to pay up, so look for support beyond the split before trusting the favorable lean.

Martin Emerson Jr. (CB) is questionable for NO

NO lists Martin Emerson Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Asim Richards (OT) is questionable for NO

NO lists Asim Richards as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jared Verse (DE) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Jared Verse as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Myles Harden (CB) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Myles Harden as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Elgton Jenkins (C) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Elgton Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Austin Barber (OT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Austin Barber as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Kadyn Proctor (OT) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Kadyn Proctor as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Mansoor Delane (CB) is questionable for KC

KC lists Mansoor Delane as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Joseph Ossai (DE) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Joseph Ossai as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Justin Walley (CB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Justin Walley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Next college slate · NOV 6

BDL lists 3 covered college games on the next college slate. All 3 kickoff times are confirmed.

MIA: 221 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 276.6

Miami allows 221 passing yards per game and Detroit allows 276.6, both over 7 games. Passing yards depend heavily on game script and how often opponents throw, and a team playing with a lead can give up empty yards late. These numbers don't show opposing quarterbacks or game states, so they can flatter or punish either unit. Before leaning on a passing prop, check yards per attempt and how each defense's games have played out.

Tyrese Maxey and Cade Cunningham lead tonight's board

Maxey has averaged 29.1 points over 8 games, and his line tonight is only 23.5, while Cunningham's 24.5 sits just above his 23.7 average over 7 games. A gap that wide on Maxey suggests the book expects his scoring to cool or sees a hard matchup. Eight games is a small sample, so some regression is reasonable. Ask why the market is so far below his average before assuming the line is simply low.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Anthony Davis lead tonight's board

Both lines sit almost exactly on recent production: Alexander-Walker at 21.5 against a 21.1 average over 8 games, Davis at 23.5 against 23 over 7. The market sees little reason to move off what these two have done. With samples this short and numbers this close, the average alone gives no edge. Minutes and game script matter more here, including the absences on both frontcourts.

Tyler Herro and Jayson Tatum lead tonight's board

Herro's line of 20.5 sits under his 21.9 average over 7 games, while Tatum's 27.5 is just above his 27. Both are close to production, and Tatum's 7.9 assists show he can help a game without scoring big. Seven games leaves room for movement. For Tatum, think about game flow: if Boston pulls away, a points line this tight can depend on late minutes.

Brandon Miller and Michael Porter Jr. lead tonight's board

Miller's 22.5 line sits a little below his 23.5 average over 8 games, and Porter's 21.5 is a little above his 20.7 over 7. The book is shading these two in opposite directions, though only slightly. Those gaps are small enough to disappear in one game. Treat the matchup and shot volume as the deciding factors rather than the averages.

Caleb Wilson and Jalen Brunson lead tonight's board

Wilson has averaged 21.6 points over 7 games with a line of 19.5, so the market sits below his early production. Brunson's 24.5 line is right on his 24.6 average. Seven games is short for anyone, and a young scorer's number can move either way as defenses adjust. The more interesting spot is Wilson, since the book is asking whether his start lasts.

Pascal Siakam and Ty Jerome lead tonight's board

Jerome has averaged 28.2 points over 6 games, and his line is well below that at 23.5, while Siakam's 22.5 sits above his 21.4 average over 7. The book is plainly doubting that Jerome keeps scoring at this rate off such a short sample. Some pullback is likely, though the line already assumes plenty of it. Siakam's line asks him to beat his recent scoring with Indiana short on bodies.

Lauri Markkanen and Zion Williamson lead tonight's board

Markkanen has averaged 16.5 points over 6 games, yet his line is 21.5, so the book is pricing in a rebound from a slow start. Williamson's 20.5 sits just under his 21.3 over 7 games. Six games can understate a scorer, but they are also all the evidence this season offers. On Markkanen, the question is whether anything has changed to justify a line that far above what he has done.

Donovan Mitchell and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead tonight's board

Gilgeous-Alexander's 31.5 line sits well above his 28.4 average over 7 games, so the market expects more than he has produced so far. Mitchell's 22.5 is just above his 21.9. Seven games is a small window, and the gap on Gilgeous-Alexander suggests the book trusts a bigger scoring baseline. Before leaning either way, ask whether this game gives him the volume to clear a number he has been averaging under.

Scottie Barnes and Nikola Jokic lead tonight's board

Jokic's 22 points over 6 games come with 9.7 rebounds and 9 assists, so he is producing plenty even with a 24.5 line above his scoring. Barnes sits at 24.4 over 7 games against a 23.5 line. Six games is too short to say Jokic has become a lower-volume scorer. With Jokic, his passing means he can have a big night and still miss a points number.

Deni Avdija and Devin Booker lead tonight's board

The two lines match at 23.5, and both players sit right beside it: Avdija at 23.8 over 6 games, Booker at 23 over 5. The samples are short and the gaps are tiny, so the averages say almost nothing about direction. Shaedon Sharpe and Mark Williams are out for these teams. Look at who takes the extra shots and how the game is likely to flow.

Cooper Flagg and Victor Wembanyama lead tonight's board

Both lines sit just above early scoring: Flagg at 25.5 against 25.2 over 6 games, Wembanyama at 26.5 against 25.7 over 7. Each also does a lot beyond scoring, with Flagg at 6.5 assists and Wembanyama at 10.7 rebounds. Margins this thin can flip in one game. Game script matters most here, particularly if a lopsided score cuts into late minutes.

Luka Doncic and Darius Acuff Jr. lead tonight's board

Doncic has averaged 38.3 points over 7 games, and the book has him at 33.5, while Acuff's 23.5 sits below his 26.1 average. Both lines assume some cooling. A 38.3 average is hard to keep up, so a pullback is likely, but 33.5 already allows for much of it. The question on both is how far the market has discounted them, especially Acuff on only 7 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Darius Garland lead tonight's board

Giannis has averaged 28.4 points over 7 games, and his 30.5 line asks for more than that, while Garland's 21.5 sits above his 20.1. The Clippers are missing several players, which may be why the book expects a bit more from Garland. Seven games is a short sample for both. On Giannis, 12.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists show his value does not depend on hitting a scoring number.

LAR: 32.4% third downs allowed to WSH's 42.7%

The Rams have allowed conversions on 32.4% of third downs over 8 games, and Washington is at 42.7% over 7. That gap means more short drives against the Rams and more extended ones against Washington. Third-down rates can swing with the distances a defense faces, and the opposing offenses aren't shown here, so some movement is normal. It points toward the Rams having the better chance to control possessions, which is useful for thinking about pace and totals.

BAL has lost 3 straight

BAL carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 4-4 on the season. They face JAX in JAX @ BAL. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-03.

NYJ has lost 3 straight

NYJ is 2-6 and has lost 3 straight, so the skid looks more like the rest of the season than a sudden dip. Three games is short on its own, but the full record backs up the concern, even without knowing who they played. Teams in this position often fall behind and have to throw more. At KC, the question is how much of that bad form the number already prices in.

HOU: 5.54 yards per play to LAC's 4.71

Houston is up to 5.54 yards per play from 5.1 last season, while the Chargers have dropped to 4.71 from 5.19, each over 7 games. The Chargers' last game cuts against that gap: 4 plays of 20+ yards, with Justin Herbert hitting Ladd McConkey for 54 and 30, against 2 for Houston, led by C.J. Stroud's 43-yarder to Tank Dell. One game doesn't erase 7, but it shows Los Angeles can still strike downfield. Don't assume the full season gap will carry over cleanly in this matchup.

ARI: 1 turnover committed per game to SEA's 1.75

ARI is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; SEA is at 1.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season ARI was at 1.24 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.

DET won last season's series 4-0

Detroit swept last season's matchup by 14.3 a game across 4 meetings, so the games were one-sided. That is last season's result, and tonight is the first meeting this season, so it may not carry over. Jalen Duren being out also changes this Detroit team. Use the sweep as background on the matchup, then lean on how these teams look now.

DET has won 3 straight

DET is 5-2 with 3 straight wins, so the recent form matches a good season. The streak is short, and the record does not show the quality of those opponents or how close the games were. Winning records like this tend to hold up better than the streak itself, which ends with one bad day. At MIA, separate what you think of a 5-2 team from any extra price added for the 3 wins.

CHI has won 3 straight

Chicago's 6-2 record says the streak is part of a good season, with no need to explain it as a hot patch. The catch is that 3 games is a short run, and this record doesn't show who Chicago beat or how close those games were. A winning record usually holds up better than a streak does, so give Chicago credit for the 6-2. Then check the quality of those wins before paying extra for the momentum against Tampa Bay.

CIN: 3.29 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 2.25

Cincinnati gets 3.29 sacks per game over 7 games, against 2.25 for Atlanta over 8. That means the Bengals have created more drive-ending plays, though sack totals also depend on how often opponents drop back and how well their lines protect. Those opponent details aren't shown here, so the true gap could be smaller. Use it as a starting point for sack props, then check Atlanta's protection and likely game script.

BUF has won 3 straight

BUF carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 6-1 on the season. They face MIN in BUF @ MIN. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-03.

NYG: 23.3 points per game to PHI's 17.1

NYG is at 23.3 points per game over 7 games; PHI is at 17.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 22.4 over 17 games and PHI at 22.3 over 17 games.

SAS won last season's series 4-0

San Antonio won all 4 meetings last season by 19.3 a game, about as lopsided as a series gets. Tonight is the first meeting this season, so that number is a starting point and may not describe this version of either team. Absences on both sides, including Dereck Lively II for Dallas, change the picture further. Check whether the spread is leaning too hard on last season's margin.

CIN has won 3 straight

CIN is 5-2 and has won 3 straight, so the streak fits a strong season so far. Three games is a short run, and the record alone does not show whether those wins came against real opponents, so check that first. Teams playing with leads get to control how games go, which helps while it lasts. At ATL, ask whether the price has already moved for the streak.

DJ Wonnum

Concussion · Did not practice

Jalen Duren is OUT for DET

Duren is out with a right hamstring strain, and Oct 25 reporting called for a re-evaluation in two weeks. Detroit has kept winning during this absence, so the bigger question for a bettor is how the frontcourt holds up against Philadelphia, and when he returns.

Steven Adams is OUT for HOU

Houston won't have Steven Adams against Minnesota because of a right soleus strain. The issue has been in the reporting since Oct 26, so tonight's number may already reflect it. Compare how Houston's frontcourt minutes and rebounding props are priced once the rotation is clear.

Keegan Murray is OUT for SAC

Keegan Murray misses tonight's game against the Lakers with left ankle capsulitis. A re-evaluation timeline was reported on Oct 26, so this is an ongoing absence and the market has had time to adjust. Focus on whether Sacramento's forward props still look priced for a full-strength rotation.

Kawhi Leonard is OUT for TOR

Toronto is without Kawhi Leonard in Denver, listed as left knee injury management. Leonard has also completed a treatment on that knee, per today's reporting. This status can change from game to game, so check each night's report before carrying tonight's read into Toronto's next game.

Cason Wallace is OUT for OKC

Cason Wallace is out against Cleveland after surgery on the left shoulder, reported on Oct 31. A surgical absence should hold beyond tonight. Oklahoma City's guard minutes are the place to look, and props there may have adjusted already.

Isaiah Joe is OUT for DET

Isaiah Joe sits against Philadelphia with a right hip contusion, and the news has been out since Nov 3. That gives the market a full day to adjust. Check Detroit's wing props for any leftover value, and watch the next report since no longer timeline is listed.

Chet Holmgren is OUT for OKC

Chet Holmgren is out against Cleveland while recovering from a biological treatment on the right knee, reported on Oct 31. Oklahoma City's interior minutes and rebounding are the natural spots to examine. The absence is known, so props may already account for it.

Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC

Thomas Sorber is out against Cleveland after right knee surgery. The status was reported on Nov 3, so it should come as no surprise to the market.

Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC

Nikola Topic is out against Cleveland after low back surgery. The listing was reported on Nov 3, so any effect on Oklahoma City's guard minutes should already be known.

Sergio De Larrea is OUT for DAL

Dallas is without Sergio De Larrea in San Antonio because of a right knee sprain, an issue reported since Oct 30. Check the next injury report before assuming the same rotation holds for Dallas's following game.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is OUT for UTA

Utah plays New Orleans without Jaren Jackson Jr., who has a torn right MCL diagnosed in reporting on Oct 27. This looks like a longer absence, so Utah's frontcourt roles are worth tracking beyond tonight. The market has had time to adjust, so look at the props of whoever is absorbing those minutes.

Tyrese Haliburton is OUT for IND

Tyrese Haliburton is out in Memphis with a left hamstring strain, and reporting on Oct 28 had already set a minimum absence. The news is known, so the better question is whether Indiana's ball handlers are priced for the extra work. Check the injury report for the return timeline before betting future games.

Anthony Edwards is OUT for MIN

Minnesota plays in Houston without Anthony Edwards, who had right knee arthroscopy reported on Oct 29. The absence has been public for days, so the spread likely accounts for it. Minnesota's secondary scorers are the place to compare prices against their expected role.

Egor Demin is OUT for BKN

Brooklyn is without Egor Demin against Charlotte because of a right bone bruise. Check Brooklyn's guard rotation and the next injury report, since the listing gives no return date.

Ja Morant is OUT for POR

Portland plays in Phoenix without Ja Morant, who was diagnosed with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain in reporting on Oct 30. The diagnosis points to more than a one-night absence. Portland's ball-handling props are the place to look, with the caveat that the market has known for days.

Jaylon Tyson is OUT for CLE

Jaylon Tyson is out in Oklahoma City with a right ankle sprain, reported on Nov 3. Cleveland's wing minutes are the spot to check, and the next report will show whether this lasts beyond tonight.

Scotty Pippen Jr. is OUT for MEM

Scotty Pippen Jr. misses Indiana's visit with a lumbar disc herniation, reported on Nov 3. Memphis's backcourt minutes are the place to look, and a back issue of this kind leaves the return date open.

Peyton Watson is OUT for CLE

Peyton Watson is out for Cleveland in Oklahoma City with right hamstring tightness and soreness, reported on Nov 3. The wording suggests something that could be reassessed soon, so check the next report before assuming a longer absence.

Max Christie is OUT for DAL

Max Christie is out in San Antonio with right hip soreness and tightness, reported on Nov 3. Dallas's perimeter props are the place to check, and the next report will show whether this is short term.

Ugonna Onyenso is OUT for DET

Ugonna Onyenso is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Keshon Gilbert is OUT for ATL

Keshon Gilbert is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Jalen Wilson is OUT for ATL

Jalen Wilson is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Michael Ajayi is OUT for CHA

Michael Ajayi is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

PJ Hall is OUT for CHA

PJ Hall is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Khalifa Diop is OUT for CLE

Khalifa Diop is out because of a G League assignment, with no injury listed.

Nae'Qwan Tomlin is OUT for CLE

Nae'Qwan Tomlin is out for Cleveland with a low back stress reaction. No return timeline is listed, so check the next report.

Ernest Udeh, Jr. is OUT for CLE

Ernest Udeh, Jr. is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Quadir Copeland is OUT for HOU

Quadir Copeland is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Julian Phillips is OUT for HOU

Julian Phillips is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Joshua Jefferson is OUT for BKN

Joshua Jefferson is out because of a G League assignment, with no injury listed.

Grant Nelson is OUT for BKN

Grant Nelson is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Drake Powell is OUT for BKN

Drake Powell is out because of a G League assignment, with no injury listed. Assignments can change quickly, so check Brooklyn's status again for the next game.

Malik Dia is OUT for NOP

Malik Dia is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Jaron Pierre Jr. is OUT for NOP

Jaron Pierre Jr. is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Harrison Ingram is OUT for UTA

Harrison Ingram is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Malachi Smith is OUT for TOR

Malachi Smith is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Jayson Kent is OUT for POR

Jayson Kent is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

John Tonje is OUT for POR

John Tonje is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Sean Pedulla is OUT for SAC

Sean Pedulla is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

DET: 0.57 turnovers committed per game to MIA's 1.29

DET is at 0.57 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; MIA is at 1.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 0.88 over 17 games and MIA at 1.41 over 17 games.

Tristan Vukcevic is OUT for WAS

Vukcevic is out with a left hip impingement and was already listed out for Monday's game. This thins Washington's big-man rotation behind Anthony Davis, so check how his minutes get covered.

Reece Beekman is OUT for WAS

Reece Beekman is out against Atlanta with a right AC joint injury, which the Wizards announced on Nov 2. Washington's guard minutes are the spot to check, and the market has had time to adjust.

HOU: 0.29 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1

HOU is at 0.29 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; LAC is at 1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 0.18 over 17 games and LAC at 0.41 over 17 games.

Justin Champagnie is OUT for WAS

Justin Champagnie is out against Atlanta after right foot surgery. Reporting on Oct 28 pointed to an extended absence, so this should hold past tonight, and Washington's prices have had time to absorb it.

Jock Landale is OUT for ATL

Atlanta is without Jock Landale in Washington because of a left hip strain, reported on Nov 3. Look at how Atlanta's big-man minutes and rebounding props are priced, then check the next report for Landale's status.

Henri Veesaar is OUT for ATL

Veesaar was diagnosed with a torn right ACL back on Sep 21, so this absence is long known and should already be in Atlanta's price. Tonight's line gets no fresh information from it.

Devin Carter is OUT for BOS

Carter is out with an illness, and Oct 18 reporting said he was diagnosed with mononucleosis, which came without a clear return date in what is available here. Boston has already been playing without him, so tonight's number should not move much.

LAC: 1.57 takeaways per game to HOU's 0.86

The Chargers force 1.57 takeaways per game and Houston 0.86, both over 7 games. Turnovers are streaky and depend partly on bounces and the quarterbacks a defense has faced, which aren't shown here, so expect this gap to move. Houston has the room to bounce back. Be wary of a spread that seems to price this edge heavily, since a single turnover can flip the number either way.

JAX: 1.71 takeaways per game to BAL's 1

Jacksonville takes the ball away 1.71 times per game over 7 games, and Baltimore is at 1 over 8. Takeaways swing on bounces and a few big moments, so this edge is less dependable than a yardage or per-play gap. The opposing quarterbacks aren't shown here, which leaves the schedule unanswered too. Treat Jacksonville's number as a volatility factor in this game, since one extra turnover can change a spread without saying much about the defense.

T.J. McConnell is OUT for IND

McConnell is out with a right hamstring strain after also missing Monday's game. His absence takes away a backup ball handler on a team on a losing run, so look at how Indiana's guard minutes and assists get redistributed in Memphis.

Ben Saraf is OUT for BKN

Ben Saraf is out because of a G League assignment, with no injury listed. Assignments can change quickly, so check Brooklyn's status again for the next game.

Kylan Boswell is OUT for CHA

Kylan Boswell is listed out because of a two-way G League designation, with no injury given.

Jalen Williams is OUT for OKC

Jalen Williams is out against Cleveland after left ankle surgery, reported on Oct 28. A post-surgery absence is unlikely to change on short notice, so this is more of a standing fact than breaking news. Look for value in how the remaining Oklahoma City scorers are priced, since the news itself is likely in the line.

Dereck Lively II is OUT for DAL

Lively is out following right foot surgery and was already listed out for Monday's game. Dallas also lacks Tarik Biberovic tonight, so depth is thin against a Spurs team playing well. Look at who gets the center minutes before pricing rebounds or interior props.

Adou Thiero is OUT for LAL

Thiero is out under left knee injury management, with JJ Redick addressing his status Monday. Knee management can mean a stop-start return, so check the report again before future Lakers games.

Donte DiVincenzo is OUT for MIN

DiVincenzo remains out after right Achilles surgery, and Minnesota has known about this for a long time. It should not move tonight's number on its own, and the rotation has had time to settle without him.

Dominick Barlow is OUT for PHI

Barlow is out with a low back stress reaction, and that kind of injury is worth monitoring beyond tonight. His absence matters most for frontcourt minutes, with Ariel Hukporti also out. Check who picks up those minutes against Detroit before looking at rebounding or role-player props.

Mouhamed Gueye is OUT for ATL

Gueye had surgery on a left foot fracture, reported Oct 19, so Atlanta has had time to adjust its rotation. Since the absence is old news, it should move little tonight, though it does leave the frontcourt thinner alongside Henri Veesaar's injury.

Grant Williams is OUT for CHA

Williams remains out with a right hamstring strain, and he was already listed out on Nov 1. That makes this a continuation rather than a fresh change for Charlotte. Hamstrings can linger, so check his status again before later games.

Yves Missi is OUT for NOP

Yves Missi is out with a left knee bone bruise, and Oct 30 reporting also had him missing a game. New Orleans has to cover those minutes against Utah, so check recent box scores for who has picked them up.

Spencer Jones is OUT for DEN

Jones is out under what the report calls bilateral hamstring injury management, and Julian Strawther is out too. That cuts into Denver's depth, so the useful step is checking who takes the extra wing minutes against Toronto.

Johnny Furphy is OUT for IND

Furphy is out after right ACL surgery, though recent reporting had him practicing again, which is a sign of progress. He does not factor tonight, and a return is the thing to monitor in later games.

Bradley Beal is OUT for LAC

Beal is out under right knee injury management, and reporting from Oct 15 already said he would not be ready. The Clippers are also missing several others tonight. This absence is not new, so check whether the spread already accounts for it.

Yanic Konan Niederhauser is OUT for LAC

Konan Niederhauser is out after right Lisfranc surgery, though the Clippers recently recalled him, which suggests he is working his way back. He is not part of tonight's picture, and his return is more relevant for later games.

Brandon Ingram is OUT for LAC

Ingram is out after right heel surgery, though the Clippers recalled him on Nov 2, so he may be getting closer. He adds no scoring tonight, which leaves more on Darius Garland. His return is the thing to monitor for later games.

Jordan Miller is OUT for LAC

Miller had left rotator cuff surgery, reported Aug 26, so this absence is long established and should already be in the Clippers' price. It offers little new for tonight.

Ariel Hukporti is OUT for PHI

Hukporti has a right Achilles tear, reported Oct 6, so this is a long absence the market already knows about. With Dominick Barlow also out, Philadelphia's frontcourt depth is the thing to check against Detroit.

Mark Williams is OUT for PHX

Williams had left shoulder surgery, reported Sep 11, so Phoenix has been planning around this for some time. It should already be in the price, though it does keep the frontcourt thinner during a losing run.

Shaedon Sharpe is OUT for POR

Sharpe tore his meniscus, reported Aug 24, and remains out after surgery. Since this is long known, the number should already reflect it, and Deni Avdija's role in the offense has grown around that absence's reality.

Jayden Quaintance is OUT for SAS

Quaintance is out after right knee surgery, and Oct 5 reporting said he had been around the team without playing. This is a long-running absence, so it should have little effect on tonight's line.

Tobias Harris is OUT for SAS

Harris is out with a left calf strain and was also listed out for Saturday's game. The Spurs have kept winning during this stretch, so the absence may matter less than it looks. Calf strains can linger, so check his status before later games.

NYG: 21 first downs per game to PHI's 16.1

NYG is at 21 first downs per game over 7 games; PHI is at 16.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 20.4 over 17 games and PHI at 18 over 17 games.

LAR: 23.3 first downs per game to WSH's 18.3

LAR is at 23.3 first downs per game over 8 games; WSH is at 18.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LAR was at 23.3 over 17 games and WSH at 19 over 17 games.

TB (3-5) at CHI (6-2)

Tampa Bay is 3-5 but +27, the same differential gap as the matchup, which means the Bucs have played far better than the record and have won 2 straight. Chicago is 6-2, +54, on a 3-game win streak and 3-1 at home. Both teams arrive hot. The Bucs' record undersells them, so this spot may be closer than the standings suggest.

LAR (4-4) at WSH (2-4-1)

The Rams look like a coin-flip team at 4-4, but +26 points says they have played better than that record, and they arrive on a 2-game winning streak. Washington's -23 fits a losing team, though 2-1-1 at home is a clear step up from its 2-4-1 overall mark. Both splits come from only a handful of games, so the season-long margin is the sturdier number. For a bettor, this is a spot to weigh the Rams' better overall body of work against a Washington team that has been harder to beat at home.

DET (5-2) at MIA (1-6)

Detroit is 5-2 and on a 3-game win streak, but +23 is modest for that record, and the Lions are only 1-2 on the road. Miami is 1-6, -64 and 0-3 at home. The Lions' road record and narrow differential argue for caution on margin. Miami's home form gives little reason to expect the building to help.

NYJ (2-6) at KC (5-2)

Kansas City has lost 2 straight but is still 3-0 at home and +36 on the year. The Jets are 2-6 but only -18, so several of their losses were close, and they are 1-3 on the road. The Chiefs' skid has come away from home, which matters in a game at Arrowhead. Weigh the clean home record more than the recent losing streak.

DAL (3-5) at IND (2-6)

Dallas is 3-5 with a +6 differential, which means that record likely undersells them: they have been losing close games. Indianapolis is -61 and has lost 4 straight, and is 1-2 at home. When a losing team has a positive point total and the opponent is deep in the red, the record gap understates how far apart these teams have played.

CIN (5-2) at ATL (3-5)

Cincinnati arrives on a 3-game win streak, 5-2 and +48, and has been good away from home at 3-1. Atlanta is 1-3 at home and -18 overall, so home field has not been an edge for them. The Falcons' differential is mild for a 3-5 team, meaning some losses were close. Cincinnati's road record and Atlanta's home record point the same way in this spot.

HOU (2-5) at LAC (0-7)

The Chargers are 0-7, -76, and 0-3 at home, with nothing in the numbers pointing to a turnaround. Houston is 2-5 but only -5, so its record looks worse than its play, and it is 2-1 on the road. A losing team with a near-even differential facing a winless one is a spot where the records undersell the visitor.

JAX (5-2) at BAL (4-4)

Jacksonville is 5-2 with a +85 differential, which says the wins have come by real margins. Baltimore is 4-4 and -24, with 3 straight losses, and only 1-2 at home. The Jaguars have played just two road games, going 1-1, so their road form is a small sample. The point gaps are the stronger signal here, and the Ravens' home record has not given them much cover.

LV (4-4) at SF (6-1)

LV is 4-4, -9 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. SF is 6-1, +58 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. LV is 3-1 on the road; SF is 4-0 at home.

GB has 3 more days of rest

Green Bay has 6 days since its last game, while New England is on 3. The Patriots stay home, but they have half the recovery time and much less time to practice and game plan. The Packers have the travel to deal with, which offsets some of their edge. This is a smaller rest gap than a bye matchup, so it works best as a secondary factor once you've looked at the matchup and the Patriots' injury report.

CAR has 3 more days of rest

Carolina has 6 days since its last game and Denver has 3, so both sides are working with limited time, but the Broncos have less of it and have to travel. A 3-day gap is smaller than the bye-against-short-week spots, though it can still affect recovery and how much of a game plan gets installed. Use this as a modest lean in how you think about the game, and check Denver's injury report before giving it much weight.

Jusuf Nurkic is OUT for UTA

Nurkic is out with a tear in his right foot's plantar plate. Utah is already on a losing run, so losing a big man hurts the depth, and rebounding and interior minutes are the place to look first against New Orleans.

Jamir Watkins is OUT for WAS

Watkins is out after left ACL surgery, announced Jul 30, so this is a long-known absence. It should already be priced in and offers little new for tonight.

T.J. Edwards

Did not practice

Theo Benedet

Shoulder · Did not practice

Elijah Roberts

Did not practice

Kyle Monangai

Toe · Did not practice

Emeka Egbuka

Foot · Did not practice

Grady Jarrett

Groin · Did not practice

Zavier Scott

Wrist · Did not practice

Connor O'Toole

Foot · Did not practice

Charles Cross

Ankle · Did not practice

Jon Gaines II

Ankle · Did not practice

Jayden Williams

Knee · Did not practice

Bam Knight

Concussion · Did not practice

Hjalte Froholdt

Did not practice

Budda Baker

Did not practice

Rashid Shaheed

Knee · Did not practice

Isaac Seumalo

Did not practice

Brandon Pili

Back · Did not practice

Josh Sweat

Did not practice

Leonard Williams

Shoulder · Did not practice

Travis Glover

Knee · Did not practice

TreVeyon Henderson

Illness · Did not practice

Zaire Franklin

Shin · Did not practice

Hunter Henry

Foot · Did not practice

Christian Barmore

Illness · Did not practice

A.J. Brown

Ankle · Did not practice

DET has won 3 straight

Detroit has won 3 straight by 19 a game and is 6-1 across its last 7. The record backs up the run, but a 19-point average over 3 games is very likely to come down. The sheet doesn't show who those opponents were. Against Philadelphia, make sure the spread isn't asking Detroit to keep winning at a pace that 3 games can't really support.

P team lost 112-106

MIL has lost 3 straight

Milwaukee has lost 3 straight by 23 a game, with a 1-6 mark on the recent stretch. Those are heavy losses, though 3 games can be skewed by one bad night and the margin is likely to shrink. A road game at Boston is a hard place to look for a quick fix, so the useful question is how much of that 23 the spread has already absorbed.

P team lost 102-109

NOP has won 3 straight

New Orleans has won 3 straight by 11.7 a game, but its last 7 are only 3-4. So the 3 wins are the whole winning record in that stretch, and the team lost the other 4 games. Three games is too few to call this a new level. Against Utah, be careful about paying for the streak without weighing the longer 3-4 record.

P team won 113-120

PHX has lost 3 straight

Phoenix has lost 3 straight by 7 a game and is 1-4 across its last 5. That is a poor run, but the margins are manageable and the sample is very small. This looks more like a team losing winnable games than one being blown out, at least over these 3. At home against Portland, see whether the price has dropped too far because of the record.

P team lost 132-119

NYG: 184.9 passing yards allowed per game to PHI's 235.4

The Giants allow 184.9 passing yards per game over 7 games, and the Eagles allow 235.4 over 8. A low total can reflect good coverage, but it can also come from opponents running more or facing weak passing attacks, and these numbers don't show which applies. That makes the Giants' figure a question to test. Check attempts and yards per throw before using it against Eagles passing props.

LAR: 191.9 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 243

The Rams allow 191.9 passing yards per game over 8 games, and Washington allows 243 over 7. Their strong third-down number on the same slate isn't on this sheet, so this one stands alone: fewer yards can mean good coverage, weak opponents or fewer attempts, and the schedule isn't shown. Before leaning on a Washington passing under, check how often teams have thrown on the Rams and how efficient those throws were.

LAC: 30.6% third downs allowed to HOU's 40.4%

The Chargers allow third-down conversions 30.6% of the time, and Houston allows 40.4%, both over 7 games. That means offenses have stayed on the field more often against Houston. Third-down rates can shift with the distances a defense sees, and the opposing offenses aren't shown here, so some of the gap could shrink. It gives the Chargers a possession edge on paper, which matters most when thinking about time of possession and totals.

Josh Whyle

Concussion · Did not practice

Maxime Raynaud is OUT for SAC

Raynaud is out with a right patella subluxation, though Oct 26 reporting said he was progressing. He does not help Sacramento's frontcourt tonight, so check who covers those minutes against the Lakers and monitor his return.

Julian Strawther is OUT for DEN

Strawther is out with a left knee sprain diagnosed around Oct 17. With Spencer Jones out as well, Denver is short on depth tonight, so look at who absorbs the bench minutes.

Sean Rhyan

Ankle · Did not practice

Mike Evans

Achilles · Did not practice

Trent Williams

Did not practice

Darien Porter

Groin · Did not practice

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Christian McCaffrey

Hamstring · Did not practice

Siran Neal

Knee · Did not practice

DET: 5.94 yards per play to MIA's 5.13

Detroit is at 5.94 yards per play, almost identical to last season's 5.97, so this offense looks like what it has been. Miami is at 5.13, a small drop from 5.4, over the same 7-game sample. Both sides still hit big plays in their last game, with Jahmyr Gibbs running 30 yards for a score and Malik Willis throwing a 35-yard touchdown to Kevin Coleman Jr. Because both numbers sit close to last year's, this gap looks more stable than most, and Detroit's steadier down-to-down offense is the base case.

Tarik Biberovic is OUT for DAL

Biberovic is out with right heel bursitis after also being listed out for Monday's game. Alongside Dereck Lively II's absence, it leaves Dallas with less depth for a tough road game in San Antonio.

Reed Blankenship

Concussion · Did not practice

Brenen Thompson

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Deane Leonard

Concussion · Did not practice

Kendall Williamson

Calf · Did not practice

Khalil Mack

Did not practice

Brandon Jones

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jaelan Phillips

Hamstring · Did not practice

Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN

Iosivas is on injured reserve with a thumb injury and is reported to be making good progress in rehab. That is encouraging for a return at some point, but the report gives no timeline, and the IR listing is the status that counts for the Atlanta game. Think about Cincinnati's receivers without Iosivas until the team changes that designation.

Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN

The Bengals list Dugger, a safety, as questionable for the Falcons game, which leaves his status open. The report gives no injury, timeline or replacement, so there is little here to measure his absence, and his final status is the next thing to check.

Jordan Battle (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Jordan Battle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

Williams (ankle) will remain on injured reserve and has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Tori McElhany of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Nov 1.

Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Divine Deablo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

When asked Wednesday when Pierce (heel) might be able to return to practice, Colts head coach Shane Steichen noted that he "can't put a timetable on it right now," Kevin Bowen of 107.5 The Fan Indianapolis reports. Reported Nov 4.

Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Akeem Davis-Gaither as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Harrison Phillips (DT) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Harrison Phillips as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Trevin Wallace (LB) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Trevin Wallace as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Isiah Pacheco (RB) is on injured reserve for DET

Lions coach Dan Campbell said Friday that Pacheco (back) has a chance to return in late December, Justin Rogers of DetroitFootball.net reports. Reported Oct 30.

Amen Ogbongbemiga (LB) is questionable for DET

DET lists Amen Ogbongbemiga as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Darrell Baker Jr. (CB) is pup-r for MIA

Baker (undisclosed) is not ready to return to practice, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. Reported Nov 5.

Chop Robinson (LB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Chop Robinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Zach Sieler (DT) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Zach Sieler as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Michael Taaffe (S) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Michael Taaffe as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Dante Trader Jr. (S) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Dante Trader Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Maliek Collins (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Maliek Collins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Carson Schwesinger (LB) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Carson Schwesinger as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

Head coach Kellen Moore said Wednesday that the Saints haven't opened Etienne's (hamstring) practice window just yet, Jeff Nowak of WWL Louisiana reports. Reported Nov 4.

Abdul Carter (LB) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Abdul Carter as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Malik Harrison (LB) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Malik Harrison as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jonathan Greenard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jalyx Hunt (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jalyx Hunt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Myles Garrett (DE) is ir-r for LAR

Head coach Sean McVay said Garrett (knee) will practice Wednesday, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 4.

Dean Connors (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR

Connors (hand) was placed on IR on Tuesday, Blaine Grisak of SI.com reports. Reported Nov 4.

Kam Curl (S) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Kam Curl as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Terry McLaurin (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

McLaurin (knee) underwent surgery Friday to repair the torn patellar tendon in his left knee, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 30.

Jeremy McNichols (RB) is on injured reserve for WSH

McNichols, who suffered a foot injury Sunday against the Eagles that may require surgery, is out for the season, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Nov 4.

Shy Tuttle (DT) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Shy Tuttle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is questionable for DEN

DEN lists Talanoa Hufanga as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

RJ Harvey (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

The Broncos placed Harvey (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 31.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks (core) was seen working off to the side during the Panthers' unofficial practice Tuesday, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 3.

Xavier Legette (WR) is on injured reserve for CAR

Panthers head coach Dave Canales said Monday that Legette (knee) will "potentially" be designated for return from injured reserve this week, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 2.

Bud Dupree (LB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Bud Dupree as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Daiyan Henley (LB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Daiyan Henley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Kendall Williamson (S) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kendall Williamson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Thomas Booker IV (DT) is questionable for LV

LV lists Thomas Booker IV as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Folorunso Fatukasi (DT) is questionable for LV

LV lists Folorunso Fatukasi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Nate Hobbs (CB) is ir-r for SF

The 49ers designated Hobbs (groin) for return to practice from their injured reserve list Wednesday. Reported Nov 5.

De'Zhaun Stribling (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

Stribling (ankle) was spotted Monday walking without crutches or a brace on his lower leg, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 2.

Siran Neal (S) is questionable for SF

SF lists Siran Neal as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Parson (knee) practiced in a limited fashion Wednesday. Reported Nov 4.

Christian Barmore (DT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Christian Barmore as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Kevin Byard (S) is questionable for NE

NE lists Kevin Byard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is on injured reserve for ARI

Arizona placed Love (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.

Kendrick Bourne (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI

Arizona placed Bourne (tibia) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.

Connor O'Toole (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Connor O'Toole as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Tykee Smith (S) is questionable for TB

TB lists Tykee Smith as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Tyrell Shavers (WR) is pup-r for BUF

The Bills opened Shavers' return from the PUP list on Oct 28, but he was ruled out for the Ravens game as he works back from a knee injury. That starts the comeback without putting him on the field, and there's no word yet on Minnesota. Don't build anything around him until Buffalo says he's playing.

Greg Gaines (DT) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Greg Gaines as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Bobby Okereke

Foot · Did not practice

Damien Lewis

Knee · Did not practice

Kam Curl

Foot · Did not practice

Treylon Burks

Foot · Did not practice

Stefon Diggs

Did not practice

Colby Parkinson

Ribs · Did not practice

Joe Cardona

Ankle · Did not practice

Trent McDuffie

Back · Did not practice

Michael Carter II

Abdomen · Did not practice

Britain Covey

Knee · Did not practice

Dontayvion Wicks

Ankle · Did not practice

Saquon Barkley

Hamstring · Did not practice

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice

Abdul Carter

Illness · Did not practice

Jonathan Jones

Hamstring · Did not practice

Cam Skattebo

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jihaad Campbell

Hamstring · Did not practice

Austin Barber

Calf · Did not practice

Maliek Collins

Elbow · Did not practice

Alvin Kamara

Back · Did not practice

Deshaun Watson

Concussion · Did not practice

Quincy Williams

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jaylen Wright

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Jack Campbell

Neck · Did not practice

D.J. Reed

Hip · Did not practice

Cade Mays

Ankle · Did not practice

Garrett Wilson

Concussion · Did not practice

Peter Woods

Neck · Did not practice

Harrison Phillips

Ankle · Did not practice

Demario Davis

Did not practice

Charvarius Ward

Did not practice

Akeem Davis-Gaither

Knee · Did not practice

Justin Walley

Knee · Did not practice

Broderick Jones

Did not practice

Malachi Lawrence

Ankle · Did not practice

Von Miller

Did not practice

Caleb Downs

Concussion · Did not practice

Drew Ogletree

Knee · Did not practice

Jake Ferguson

Ankle · Did not practice

KaVontae Turpin

Ribs · Did not practice

P.J. Locke

Concussion · Did not practice

Keenan Allen

Did not practice

DJ Turner II

Heel · Did not practice

Jonathan Allen

Did not practice

CLE: 21.6 points allowed per game to NO's 27.7

CLE is at 21.6 points allowed per game over 8 games; NO is at 27.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 22.3 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.

CHI: 71.9 offensive plays per game to TB's 62.1

TB is at 62.1 offensive plays per game over 8 games; CHI is at 71.9 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 62.8 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

DAL @ IND carries a 51.5 market total

At 51.5, this game is tied for the top total on a 15-game slate, 5 points over the 46.5 median, which tells you the market expects a game with points from both sides. That kind of number assumes few empty possessions and steady touchdown drives. For it to come in low, the defenses would need to force punts or turnovers early and keep the score close. A total this high rewards thinking about pace and how often each team actually finishes drives.

ARI @ SEA carries a 41.5 market total

This total sits 5 points below the median of 46.5, so the market expects a game with fewer scoring drives than most on this slate. Nothing supplied explains the gap, so the number stands alone as the market's view. The low-scoring script cracks if one early touchdown forces the trailing team to throw more, or if turnovers hand out short fields. With a total this low, one or two short-field scores can change how the whole game plays.

Tyler Bilodeau is OUT for BKN

Bilodeau is listed under a two-way G League designation for this game, and he had a shoulder issue reported Oct 25. He looks like a small factor for Brooklyn, so this should barely affect tonight's line.

Ben Sheppard is OUT for IND

Sheppard is out after left meniscus surgery, with his coach addressing his status in reporting from Oct 28. Indiana is already short of bodies, so wing minutes in Memphis are the place to check.

Cedric Johnson

Ankle · Did not practice

Kyle Dugger

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Tyler Loop

Groin · Did not practice

DaVon Hamilton

Knee · Did not practice

Eric Murray

Elbow · Did not practice

Trey Alexander is OUT for UTA

Alexander is on a two-way G League assignment for this game, so this is more about roster status than a new injury. It should have little effect on tonight's price.

Nate Bittle is OUT for TOR

Bittle is out with a right avulsion fracture and also missed Monday's game. Toronto's frontcourt depth is thinner in Denver, so check who covers his minutes before looking at role-player props.

Ben Simmons is OUT for SAC

Simmons had right Achilles surgery, reported Oct 21, and remains out. This is a known long-term absence, so it should already be in Sacramento's price.

Eyioma Uwazurike

Shoulder · Did not practice

Kris Abrams-Draine

Ankle · Did not practice

Will Lee III

Hamstring · Did not practice

Talanoa Hufanga

Ankle · Did not practice

JAX: 28 points per game to BAL's 22.4

Jacksonville is scoring 28 points a game over 7 games, right in line with last season's 27.9, so this looks like a real level for the offense. Baltimore has dropped to 22.4 over 8 games from 24.9. The Jaguars' number has more support behind it, while the Ravens have room to bounce back toward last year's mark. If Baltimore's scoring stays flat, it may struggle to keep up in a shootout, which is the main thing to weigh on the spread and team totals.

DET: 66.6 offensive plays per game to MIA's 56.9

DET is at 66.6 offensive plays per game over 7 games; MIA is at 56.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 62.5 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

NO: 23.1 points per game to CLE's 17.4

CLE is at 17.4 points per game over 8 games; NO is at 23.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.

CAR: 66.6 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57

DEN is at 57 offensive plays per game over 8 games; CAR is at 66.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DEN was at 64.2 over 17 games and CAR at 59.5 over 17 games.

DEN: 0.75 turnovers committed per game to CAR's 1.43

DEN is at 0.75 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; CAR is at 1.43 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DEN was at 1 over 17 games and CAR at 1.35 over 17 games.

NYG: 116.7 rushing yards per game to PHI's 88.1

NYG is at 116.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; PHI is at 88.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 129.1 over 17 games and PHI at 116.9 over 17 games.

ATL: 4.55 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.59

CIN is at 3.59 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; ATL is at 4.55 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CIN was at 4.14 over 17 games and ATL at 4.39 over 17 games.

CAR: 5.5 yards per play to DEN's 4.74

Carolina has moved the ball more easily over 7 games, while Denver has had to grind for its yards across 8. Both teams have flipped from last season, when Denver was at 5.32 and Carolina at 4.92, so a half-season sample is carrying a big reversal. The last game cuts the other way: Denver had 4 plays of 20+ yards, led by Bo Nix's 51-yarder to Jonah Coleman, and Carolina had 1. When pricing this game, weigh whether that Denver burst can last against Carolina's season-long edge.

KC: 6.29 yards per play to NYJ's 5.51

Kansas City is at 6.29 yards per play and the Jets at 5.51, and both have climbed well above last season's 5.05 and 4.36. The Jets had 7 plays of 20+ yards in their last game, led by Geno Smith's 47-yarder to Adonai Mitchell, while Mahomes hit Emmett Johnson for a 73-yard touchdown among Kansas City's 3. Jumps this large may cool a little, but 7 and 8 games is a real sample. Both offenses have shown big-play ability, so factor that into the total as well as the side.

Anthony Bradford (G) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Anthony Bradford as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Quenton Nelson (G) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Quenton Nelson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

TB: 2 takeaways per game to CHI's 1.38

Tampa Bay's defense has forced 2 turnovers a game through 8 games, while Chicago's has forced 1.38. Takeaways swing on tipped balls and fumble bounces, and these totals don't show how careless each team's opponents were, so this edge is more likely to shrink than a yardage gap. For a bettor, it points to a Tampa Bay defense that can flip a game with a short field, but it shouldn't carry a read on this matchup by itself.

Joe Cardona (LS) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Joe Cardona as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Tucker Addington (LS) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Tucker Addington as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Joseph (knee) was estimated as a limited participant on the Lions' official injury report Wednesday, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Nov 5.

Tyler Smith (G) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Tyler Smith as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jonathan Bullard (DT) is ir-r for DAL

Bullard (calf) was designated to return from injured reserve by the Cowboys on Thursday. Reported Oct 30.

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is ir-r for ATL

Abdullah (hamstring) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Nov 5.

NYG: 5.17 yards per play to PHI's 4.45

This gap is mostly about Philadelphia. The Giants are almost exactly where they were last season at 5.15, while the Eagles have fallen from 5.27 over 8 games. The last game fit that split: New York had 7 plays of 20+ yards, including J.J. McCarthy's 47-yarder to Malachi Fields, and Philadelphia had 3 with Tanner McKee at quarterback. Philadelphia has more room to bounce back than New York has to fall, so be careful assuming the full gap holds.

JAX: 1.86 sacks taken per game to BAL's 2.75

JAX is at 1.86 sacks taken per game over 7 games; BAL is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season JAX was at 3.42 over 17 games and BAL at 2.65 over 17 games.

Sam Cosmi (G) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Sam Cosmi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 5.

Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Torricelli Simpkins III (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Torricelli Simpkins III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Denzel Perryman (LB) is ir-r for LAC

The Chargers designated Perryman (undisclosed) for return to practice from their injured reserve list Wednesday, Noah Furtado of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 5.

Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Sean Rhyan (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Sean Rhyan as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jon Gaines II (G) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Jon Gaines II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

LAC: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to HOU's 68.4%

HOU is at 68.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; LAC is at 50% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

DAL: 4 red-zone trips per game to IND's 2.75

DAL is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; IND is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 3.82 over 17 games and IND at 3.88 over 17 games.

DEN (6-2) at CAR (3-4)

Denver has won 4 straight and is 6-2, but just +7, so the wins have been tight. Carolina is 3-4 and -15, has lost 2 straight and is 1-2 at home. The Broncos are 2-2 on the road. A 6-2 team with a single-digit differential is one where the record likely flatters, and margin should be expected to stay narrow.

JAX: 48.2% third-down conversion rate to BAL's 39.2%

Jacksonville is converting almost half its third downs, which extends drives and can tilt possession its way. The Jaguars were at 39.2% last season, so 7 games have produced a big jump that could cool. Baltimore is much closer to its 40.9% from last season, which makes its number look more settled. Before leaning on the Jacksonville offense staying on the field, ask how much of that jump you expect to survive in Baltimore.

CIN: 60% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 33.3%

CIN is at 60% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; ATL is at 33.3% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CIN was at 70% over 17 games and ATL at 50% over 17 games.

CIN: 22.1 first downs per game to ATL's 17.6

CIN is at 22.1 first downs per game over 7 games; ATL is at 17.6 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and ATL at 19.4 over 17 games.

DAL: 47.5% third-down conversion rate to IND's 38.5%

DAL is at 47.5% third-down conversion rate over 8 games; IND is at 38.5% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and IND at 42.6% over 17 games.

Steve Avila (G) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Steve Avila as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

LAC: 111.1 rushing yards per game to HOU's 84.7

HOU is at 84.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; LAC is at 111.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 108.9 over 17 games and LAC at 121.6 over 17 games.

LV: 1.63 takeaways per game to SF's 1

LV is at 1.63 takeaways per game over 8 games; SF is at 1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

SEA: 1.63 takeaways per game to ARI's 1

ARI is at 1 takeaways per game over 8 games; SEA is at 1.63 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

Jer'Zhan Newton (DT) is ir-r for WSH

Newton (pectoral) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles. Reported Nov 1.

SEA: 30.6% third downs allowed to ARI's 39.4%

Seattle allows third-down conversions 30.6% of the time, and Arizona allows 39.4%, both over 8 games. That is a decent sample and means Seattle has ended more drives, though the opposing offenses aren't shown here, so schedule could account for part of it. Third-down rates also move with distance. In this game, it favors Seattle on possession and drive length, which is a useful way to think about Arizona's team total.

CLE: 38.7% third downs allowed to NO's 47.8%

Cleveland allows third-down conversions 38.7% of the time over 8 games, and New Orleans allows 47.8% over 7. Nearly half of the third downs against the Saints have been converted, which keeps opposing drives alive and adds plays. That rate could ease because third-down numbers move around, and the offenses faced aren't shown here. When looking at this game, consider whether Cleveland can sustain drives and add to its play volume.

LAC: 198.4 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 244

HOU is at 244 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; LAC is at 198.4 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

CHI: 23.8% third downs allowed to TB's 32%

Over 8 games, Chicago has let offenses convert fewer than one in four third downs, while Tampa Bay has allowed about one in three. Chicago's rate is strong enough to look like more than noise, but it isn't adjusted for the quality of those offenses or how many long third downs they faced. Rates this low tend to drift up, so use it as a reason to ask whether Tampa Bay can stay in manageable distances and keep drives alive in Chicago.

DET: 6.99 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.77

DET is at 6.99 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; MIA is at 5.77 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 7.09 over 17 games and MIA at 6 over 17 games.

NYG: 6.06 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 4.86

NYG is at 6.06 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; PHI is at 4.86 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 5.79 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

DEN: 53.5 penalty yards per game to CAR's 73.7

DEN is at 53.5 penalty yards per game over 8 games; CAR is at 73.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

LAR: 21 points allowed per game to WSH's 26

LAR is at 21 points allowed per game over 8 games; WSH is at 26 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.

NOP won last season's series 3-0

New Orleans didn't just sweep Utah last season, it won by 13.3 a game. That is only 3 meetings, and tonight is the first look at this season's versions. Use the series as a reason to study the matchup, then let current form and tonight's injury report carry more weight.

BUF: 70% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 56.3%

BUF is at 70% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; MIN is at 56.3% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

NYG is 1-1-1 on the road; PHI is 1-3 at home

The site split favours NYG: PHI has played 4 games at home this season and NYG 3 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-03.

SF is 4-0 at home; LV is 3-1 on the road

San Francisco has won all 4 at home, and Las Vegas has lost just once in 4 road games, so this is a strong home team against a visitor that has traveled well. The split favors San Francisco, but 4 games each is a small sample and these records don't show the opponents either team faced. An unbeaten home mark rarely stays perfect for long. Las Vegas's road record is a reason to look past the 4-0 and check who each team beat before giving San Francisco a big home edge.

CLE @ NO carries a 42.5 market total

At 4 points below the median, this is a milder version of a low total: the market expects a modest game, with fewer scoring drives than a typical game on this slate. The supplied facts stop at the price, so they can't say which team or unit is driving it. For the number to crack, field-goal drives have to become touchdowns or turnovers have to create easy points. A bettor can use it as a baseline and compare how the first few drives are ending.

DET @ MIA carries a 50.5 market total

At 50.5, this game is 4 points above the 46.5 median, so the market expects more scoring than a typical game on this slate. That number points to offenses expected to finish drives and keep trading scores. For it to fall short, the game needs stalled possessions, long clock-eating drives or field goals in the red zone. Bettors can use the first few drives to see whether the expected back-and-forth is taking shape.

BUF: 11.4 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 19.9

BUF is at 11.4 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; MIN is at 19.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 21.3 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.

DET outscored teams by 11.6 a game this season, PHI by 5.8

DET outscored teams by 11.6 a game this season, PHI by 5.8. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 7 games, PHI over 8.

BOS outscored teams by 5.9 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 13.0

BOS outscored teams by 5.9 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 13.0. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 7 games, MIL over 7.

BKN was outscored by 8.6 a game this season, CHA by 11.3

BKN was outscored by 8.6 a game this season, CHA by 11.3. 2026-27 regular season: BKN over 7 games, CHA over 8.

NYK outscored teams by 1.3 a game this season, CHI was outscored by 16.3

NYK outscored teams by 1.3 a game this season, CHI was outscored by 16.3. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 7 games, CHI over 7.

NOP outscored teams by 1.7 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 11.9

NOP outscored teams by 1.7 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 11.9. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 7 games, UTA over 7.

CLE outscored teams by 3.6 a game this season, OKC by 0.3

CLE outscored teams by 3.6 a game this season, OKC by 0.3. 2026-27 regular season: OKC over 7 games, CLE over 7.

HOU outscored teams by 12.9 a game this season, MIN by 11.4

HOU outscored teams by 12.9 a game this season, MIN by 11.4. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 8 games, MIN over 8.

TOR outscored teams by 7.7 a game this season, DEN was outscored by 2.3

TOR outscored teams by 7.7 a game this season, DEN was outscored by 2.3. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 6 games, TOR over 7.

POR outscored teams by 10.8 a game this season, PHX was outscored by 10.6

POR outscored teams by 10.8 a game this season, PHX was outscored by 10.6. 2026-27 regular season: PHX over 5 games, POR over 6.

SAS outscored teams by 9.3 a game this season, DAL by 0.0

SAS outscored teams by 9.3 a game this season, DAL by 0.0. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 7 games, DAL over 7.

LAL outscored teams by 7.3 a game this season, SAC was outscored by 14.1

LAL outscored teams by 7.3 a game this season, SAC was outscored by 14.1. 2026-27 regular season: SAC over 7 games, LAL over 8.

MIA was outscored by 5.7 a game this season, LAC by 7.3

MIA was outscored by 5.7 a game this season, LAC by 7.3. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 7 games, MIA over 7.

WAS outscored teams by 2.0 a game this season, ATL by 1.3

WAS outscored teams by 2.0 a game this season, ATL by 1.3. 2026-27 regular season: WAS over 7 games, ATL over 8.

MEM outscored teams by 12.9 a game this season, IND was outscored by 3.9

MEM outscored teams by 12.9 a game this season, IND was outscored by 3.9. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 7 games, IND over 8.

CLE: 5.19 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.83

Cleveland gives up 5.19 yards per play over 8 games, and New Orleans gives up 5.83 over 7. That is a meaningful gap across a decent sample, so it should mostly hold, though neither number accounts for the offenses each team has faced. Yards per play is less affected by game script than yardage totals, which makes it a useful starting point for this game: Cleveland has done more to limit each snap, and New Orleans has to show it can close that gap at home.

MIN: 4.61 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.24

BUF is at 5.24 yards per play allowed over 7 games; MIN is at 4.61 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

NE: 5.96 yards per play to GB's 5.34

New England has been the more efficient offense over 8 games, so it is more likely to dictate this one with fewer wasted snaps. Both teams are down a little from last season, when New England was at 6.23 and Green Bay at 5.61, but the order is the same. A gap that shows up in both seasons is easier to trust than a sudden swing. Green Bay likely needs longer, cleaner drives to keep pace, which is a useful lens for how this game could play out.

Brady Christensen (G) is ir-r for CAR

Christensen (hamstring) was designated to return from injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Tip Reiman (TE) is pup-r for ARI

Head coach Mike LaFleur stated he's "not too sure" if Reiman (ankle) will play this season, Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.

IND: 32:02 time of possession per game to DAL's 28:46

DAL is at 28:46 time of possession per game over 8 games; IND is at 32:02 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 30:48 over 17 games and IND at 29:37 over 17 games.

KC: 18.7 points allowed per game to NYJ's 23.5

NYJ is at 23.5 points allowed per game over 8 games; KC is at 18.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYJ was at 29.6 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.

WSH: 2.29 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.5

LAR is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 8 games; WSH is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to WSH's 2.29

LAR is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 8 games; WSH is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LAR was at 1.77 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 7 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 2115 passing yards, completed 73% of his passes and averaged 7.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 20-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 7 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1690 passing yards, completed 65.7% of his passes and averaged 8.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 17-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 6 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1282 passing yards, completed 61.9% of his passes and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 8 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 2046 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 6.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 8 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1542 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 5.75 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-9 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 8 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1913 passing yards, completed 69% of his passes and averaged 8 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 7 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1795 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 7.74 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 7 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1964 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 7 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 1268 passing yards, completed 59% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 8 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1806 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.25 yards per attempt. His 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 7 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1721 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

J.J. McCarthy is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 3 games in 2026, J.J. McCarthy threw for 495 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 10.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1632 yards, completed 57.6% and averaged 6.72 yards per attempt, 11-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 3 games in 2026, Tanner McKee threw for 638 passing yards, completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 5.6 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 5 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 976 passing yards, completed 62.8% of his passes and averaged 6.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 8 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1493 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 7 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1921 passing yards, completed 58.7% of his passes and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 7 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1867 passing yards, completed 64.8% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 7 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 1398 passing yards, completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.59 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-10 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 8 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 2124 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 7.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 19-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 7 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1748 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.28 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 8 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 2246 passing yards, completed 61.5% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 16-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 8 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1983 passing yards, completed 67.1% of his passes and averaged 8.47 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

Gardner Minshew II is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

In his first 2026 game, Gardner Minshew II threw for 188 passing yards, completed 73.9% of his passes and averaged 8.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 37 yards, completed 46.2% and averaged 2.85 yards per attempt, 0-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 7 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1478 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-9 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 5 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 5 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1267 passing yards, completed 70.9% of his passes and averaged 8.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 7 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1793 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.75 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

DAL: 71.9% red-zone scoring rate to IND's 59.1%

DAL is at 71.9% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; IND is at 59.1% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and IND at 65.2% over 17 games.

HOU: 60% red-zone scoring rate to LAC's 47.1%

HOU is at 60% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; LAC is at 47.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 46.3% over 17 games and LAC at 47.4% over 17 games.

HOU: 3.57 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.43

HOU is at 3.57 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; LAC is at 2.43 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 3.18 over 17 games and LAC at 3.35 over 17 games.

DAL: 23 first downs per game to IND's 19

DAL is at 23 first downs per game over 8 games; IND is at 19 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 23.1 over 17 games and IND at 20.7 over 17 games.

BUF: 44.2% third-down conversion rate to MIN's 36%

BUF is at 44.2% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; MIN is at 36% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and MIN at 31.8% over 17 games.

SEA: 94 rushing yards allowed per game to ARI's 122.1

ARI is at 122.1 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; SEA is at 94 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

CIN: 1.43 turnovers committed per game to ATL's 2

CIN is at 1.43 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; ATL is at 2 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and ATL at 1.06 over 17 games.

PHI: 1 turnover committed per game to NYG's 1.57

NYG is at 1.57 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; PHI is at 1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 1 over 17 games and PHI at 0.88 over 17 games.

CLE: 196.6 passing yards allowed per game to NO's 233.3

Cleveland allows 196.6 passing yards a game over 8 games, against 233.3 for New Orleans over 7. Passing totals can flatter a defense when opponents are ahead and running out the clock, and they can also shrink against weak passing teams, so this gap may overstate the difference in coverage. Before leaning on it for passing props or totals in this game, consider whether each defense was actually tested through the air or simply saw fewer throws.

ARI: 67.9% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 83.3%

ARI is at 67.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; SEA is at 83.3% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

KC: 96.3 rushing yards allowed per game to NYJ's 123.6

Kansas City allows 96.3 rushing yards a game over 7 games, while the Jets allow 123.6 over 8. Per-game rushing totals depend partly on script, because opponents who fall behind stop running, so Kansas City's number may reflect game flow as well as its run defense. If the Jets can keep this close in Kansas City, their ground game gets a truer test, so think about how the score is likely to shape the run totals.

CHI: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to TB's 2

TB is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 8 games; CHI is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

CHI: 26.8 points per game to TB's 22.3

TB is at 22.3 points per game over 8 games; CHI is at 26.8 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and CHI at 25.9 over 17 games.

HOU: 98 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 124.6

HOU is at 98 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; LAC is at 124.6 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Tracy (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 27.

L'Jarius Sneed (CB) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Sneed (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 31.

Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Smith (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

Max Mitchell (OT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets placed Mitchell (concussion) on their injured reserve list Tuesday, Amanda Vogt of the team's official site reports. Reported Nov 4.

HOU scored 119.3 points a game this season, MIN 119.0

HOU scored 119.3 points a game this season, MIN 119.0. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 8 games, MIN over 8.

Samson Ebukam (DE) is on injured reserve for ATL

Ebukam (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Falcons on Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official website reports. Reported Nov 4.

Cashius Howell (DE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Howell (wrist) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

Josh Hayes (CB) is ir-r for TB

Hayes suffered a small setback in his recovery from a knee injury, Greg Auman of Fox Sports reports. Reported Oct 29.

Jalen Brooks (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Brooks (wrist) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.

SEA: 5.28 yards per play to ARI's 4.7

Seattle has the better offense by this measure over 8 games, and Arizona has been stuck grinding for yards. Both have dropped sharply from last season, when Seattle was at 5.98 and Arizona at 5.18, though the order has stayed the same. That makes Seattle's edge look fairly dependable, while the raw numbers have more room to rebound. Think of this as two offenses below last season's level, with Arizona the one more likely to need a long drive to score.

LAR: 5.79 yards per play to WSH's 5.24

The Rams have been more efficient over 8 games, but both offenses are down from last season, when the Rams were at 6.15 and Washington at 5.53. The most recent game points the other way: Washington had 6 plays of 20+ yards behind Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White, and the Rams had 2. Washington's number also comes from just 7 games, so it could still move. Weigh that recent burst against the Rams' longer-running edge before assuming they control this game.

CIN: 5.97 yards per play to ATL's 5.41

Cincinnati is getting far more per snap than last season's 5.23, while Atlanta is right around its 5.38. The last game shows the difference in style: the Bengals had 6 plays of 20+ yards spread among Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase and Mike Gesicki, while the Falcons had 2, one of them a 76-yard pass to Jahan Dotson. Atlanta's number looks stable, and Cincinnati's rise comes from only 7 games. If you back the gap, you are betting that Burrow's offense keeps creating chunk plays.

DAL: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to IND's 0.75

DAL is at 0.25 fumbles lost per game over 8 games; IND is at 0.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 0.53 over 17 games and IND at 0.53 over 17 games.

DET: 0.14 interceptions thrown per game to MIA's 0.71

DET is at 0.14 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; MIA is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and MIA at 1.06 over 17 games.

Luke Gifford (LB) is questionable for SF

SF lists Luke Gifford as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

Garret Wallow (LB) is questionable for SF

SF lists Garret Wallow as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

GB: 4.73 yards per play allowed to NE's 5.29

Green Bay allows 4.73 yards per play over 8 games, and New England allows 5.29 over the same span. Eight games is enough to take Green Bay's number seriously, and a per-play rate is less exposed to game script than yardage totals, though it isn't adjusted for opponent strength. This gives Green Bay's defense the better baseline on the road, so New England's offense likely needs to earn its yards on longer drives.

Marques Sigle (S) is questionable for SF

SF lists Marques Sigle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

CLE: 1.38 turnovers committed per game to NO's 1.86

CLE is at 1.38 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; NO is at 1.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 1.47 over 17 games and NO at 1.41 over 17 games.

DET: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to MIA's 55.6%

DET is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; MIA is at 55.6% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and MIA at 56.3% over 17 games.

BOS scored 115.0 points a game this season, MIL 111.1

BOS scored 115.0 points a game this season, MIL 111.1. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 7 games, MIL over 7.

Akayleb Evans (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Evans (triceps) was placed on injured reserve by the Panthers on Thursday, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 30.

TOR scored 119.1 points a game this season, DEN 113.3

TOR scored 119.1 points a game this season, DEN 113.3. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 6 games, TOR over 7.

Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

The Broncos placed Badie (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

Head coach Sean McVay said Wednesday that Adams had successful surgery on his left hamstring, and the Rams are hopeful that the wide receiver will be able to return on the early side of his 6-to-10-week recovery timetable, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 28.

Dameon Pierce (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Pierce (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday Reported Oct 28.

Patrick Johnson (DE) is on injured reserve for LV

The Raiders placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Nov 1.

CHI: 4.25 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3.25

TB is at 3.25 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; CHI is at 4.25 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.

MIA scored 118.1 points a game this season, LAC 108.1

MIA scored 118.1 points a game this season, LAC 108.1. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 7 games, MIA over 7.

CLE scored 119.7 points a game this season, OKC 108.0

CLE scored 119.7 points a game this season, OKC 108.0. 2026-27 regular season: OKC over 7 games, CLE over 7.

LAL scored 122.5 points a game this season, SAC 110.1

LAL scored 122.5 points a game this season, SAC 110.1. 2026-27 regular season: SAC over 7 games, LAL over 8.

JAX: 77.4 rushing yards allowed per game to BAL's 102.8

Jacksonville allows just 77.4 rushing yards a game over 7 games, and Baltimore allows 102.8 over 8. Jacksonville's total is low enough to suggest real run-stopping, though game script and the run-game quality of its opponents could both be helping. On the road against Baltimore, the useful question is whether Jacksonville can keep the game close enough for that run defense to matter, since a lead would change how Baltimore's opponent attacks it.

NOP scored 121.9 points a game this season, UTA 107.0

NOP scored 121.9 points a game this season, UTA 107.0. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 7 games, UTA over 7.

MEM scored 123.0 points a game this season, IND 111.8

MEM scored 123.0 points a game this season, IND 111.8. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 7 games, IND over 8.

CHI scored 112.6 points a game this season, NYK 106.4

CHI scored 112.6 points a game this season, NYK 106.4. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 7 games, CHI over 7.

BKN scored 105.6 points a game this season, CHA 97.4

BKN scored 105.6 points a game this season, CHA 97.4. 2026-27 regular season: BKN over 7 games, CHA over 8.

SAS scored 117.6 points a game this season, DAL 112.0

SAS scored 117.6 points a game this season, DAL 112.0. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 7 games, DAL over 7.

POR scored 120.2 points a game this season, PHX 112.2

POR scored 120.2 points a game this season, PHX 112.2. 2026-27 regular season: PHX over 5 games, POR over 6.

HOU: 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate to LAC's 16.7%

HOU is at 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; LAC is at 16.7% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 57.9% over 17 games and LAC at 57.1% over 17 games.

ARI: 0.13 fumbles lost per game to SEA's 0.63

ARI is at 0.13 fumbles lost per game over 8 games; SEA is at 0.63 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season ARI was at 0.59 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.

DET scored 111.9 points a game this season, PHI 110.9

DET scored 111.9 points a game this season, PHI 110.9. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 7 games, PHI over 8.

ATL scored 115.1 points a game this season, WAS 109.4

ATL scored 115.1 points a game this season, WAS 109.4. 2026-27 regular season: WAS over 7 games, ATL over 8.

Jaylin Noel (WR) is on injured reserve for HOU

Noel, who was placed on injured reserve earlier Wednesday, is expected to require surgery to address his toe injury and will miss the remainder of the season, Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports. Reported Oct 28.

OKC won last season's series 2-0

Oklahoma City beat Cleveland twice last season by an average of 20 a game. Two meetings are too few to define this matchup, and a margin that big is hard to carry forward. Tonight is the first meeting this season, so weigh who is actually available above last season's result.

ARI: 69.6 offensive plays per game to SEA's 63

ARI is at 69.6 offensive plays per game over 8 games; SEA is at 63 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and SEA at 59.7 over 17 games.

CHI: 35:27 time of possession per game to TB's 32:45

TB is at 32:45 time of possession per game over 8 games; CHI is at 35:27 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 31:53 over 17 games and CHI at 30:59 over 17 games.

DEN won last season's series 2-0

Denver won both meetings with Toronto last season, but the average margin was only 4.5 a game. The 2-0 record looks more one-sided than the scoring did. With just 2 meetings, it gives little reason to expect a blowout tonight on series history alone.

LAL won last season's series 3-1

The Lakers won 3 of 4 against Sacramento last season by 10.8 a game on average. That is a useful note on last season's matchup, drawn from a small sample. Tonight is the first meeting this season, so current form and availability should do most of the work.

GB: 3.63 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.75

GB is at 3.63 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; NE is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and NE at 3.71 over 17 games.

MIA won last season's series 2-0

Miami beat the Clippers twice last season by an average of 9 a game. Two meetings make for a thin record, so this should move easily once the teams play this season. Use it as background and put more weight on how each team looks now.

GB: 271 team passing yards per game to NE's 244.1

GB is at 271 team passing yards per game over 8 games; NE is at 244.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season GB was at 212.8 over 17 games and NE at 250.5 over 17 games.

HOU: 19.9 first downs per game to LAC's 16.7

HOU is at 19.9 first downs per game over 7 games; LAC is at 16.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and LAC at 19.5 over 17 games.

CIN: 0.86 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 1.38

CIN is at 0.86 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; ATL is at 1.38 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CIN was at 1 over 17 games and ATL at 0.47 over 17 games.

CAR: 25.4 points per game to DEN's 21.5

DEN is at 21.5 points per game over 8 games; CAR is at 25.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DEN was at 23.6 over 17 games and CAR at 18.3 over 17 games.

ATL: 5.21 yards per play allowed to CIN's 5.74

Atlanta allows 5.21 yards per play over 8 games, while Cincinnati allows 5.74 over 7. That is a solid sample, so the gap is likely to mean something, even though neither number adjusts for the offenses faced. Cincinnati is the defense giving up more on each snap, which makes Atlanta's offense the side to look at first when thinking about how this game could move at home.

DAL: 0.63 interceptions thrown per game to IND's 1.13

DAL is at 0.63 interceptions thrown per game over 8 games; IND is at 1.13 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and IND at 0.82 over 17 games.

BOS won last season's series 3-1

Boston beat Milwaukee in 3 of 4 last season, with an average margin of 18 a game. A number that large in 4 meetings can be pulled up by one lopsided night. Last season's gap is a starting point, and tonight's first meeting of this season will say more about whether it still applies.

PHI: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.71

NYG is at 0.71 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; PHI is at 0.25 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and PHI at 0.47 over 17 games.

ATL won last season's series 3-1

Atlanta took 3 of 4 from Washington last season and won by 11.8 a game on average. Tonight is the first meeting this season, so that margin comes entirely from last year's games. Four games is a small base, and it should count for less than how both teams look now.

NYK won last season's series 3-1

New York won 3 of 4 against Chicago last season by an average of 12 a game. That is a real edge across a small set of games, and those games belong to last season. Check whether this season's form and availability support the same gap before leaning on it.

MEM won last season's series 2-0

Memphis beat Indiana twice last season by an average of 22 a game. With just 2 meetings, the size of that margin is the least reliable part and is likely to shrink as a guide. Tonight's lineups matter far more than a two-game series from last season.

Jordyn Tyson

Hamstring · Limited practice

CJ Donaldson

Shoulder · Limited practice

Elgton Jenkins

Knee · Limited practice

Jonathan Greenard

Ankle · Limited practice

Charlie Jones

Hand · Limited practice

Andrew Thomas

Groin · Limited practice

Jake Elliott

Ankle · Limited practice

Jermaine Eluemunor

Calf · Limited practice

Jalyx Hunt

Knee · Limited practice

Malik Harrison

Groin · Limited practice

Colton Hood

Illness · Limited practice

Sam Cosmi

Knee · Limited practice

Steve Avila

Hamstring · Limited practice

Shy Tuttle

Shoulder · Limited practice

John Bates

Shoulder · Limited practice

Terrance Ferguson

Ankle · Limited practice

Jordan Whittington

Back · Limited practice

Myles Garrett

Knee · Limited practice

Grant Stuard

Hamstring · Limited practice

Courtland Sutton

Limited practice

Torricelli Simpkins III

Ankle · Limited practice

Zach Allen

Limited practice

Tycen Anderson

Limited practice

Corey Bullock

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Denzel Perryman

Undisclosed · Limited practice

Donte Jackson

Hamstring · Limited practice

Rodney Shelley

Hamstring · Limited practice

Kayode Awosika

Lower Leg · Limited practice

David Njoku

Lower Leg · Limited practice

Brevin Jordan

Finger · Limited practice

Braden Smith

Ankle · Limited practice

Azeez Al-Shaair

Groin · Limited practice

Daiyan Henley

Shoulder · Limited practice

Bud Dupree

Illness · Limited practice

Marques Sigle

Ankle · Limited practice

Nate Hobbs

Groin · Limited practice

Upton Stout

Shoulder - AC Joint · Limited practice

Demarcus Robinson

Ankle · Limited practice

Ian Thomas

Ankle · Limited practice

Folorunso Fatukasi

Shoulder · Limited practice

Christian Kirk

Knee · Limited practice

Thomas Booker IV

Ankle · Limited practice

Nick Bosa

Knee · Limited practice

Luke Gifford

Groin · Limited practice

Garret Wallow

Hamstring · Limited practice

Micah Parsons

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Aaron Banks

Knee · Limited practice

Keisean Nixon

Groin · Limited practice

Chris Brooks

Ankle · Limited practice

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice

Dre'Mont Jones

Shoulder · Limited practice

Gabe Jacas

Knee · Limited practice

Greg Van Roten

Hamstring · Limited practice

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Limited practice

Mack Hollins

Calf · Limited practice

Kevin Byard

Chest · Limited practice

Christian Watson

Ribs · Limited practice

Michael Wilson

Ribs · Limited practice

Drew Lock

Elbow · Limited practice

Isaiah Adams

Ankle · Limited practice

Quenton Nelson

Knee · Limited practice

Walter Nolen III

Ankle · Limited practice

Uchenna Nwosu

Ankle · Limited practice

Anthony Bradford

Knee · Limited practice

Velus Jones Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice

Kenny Gainwell

Hip · Limited practice

Malik Muhammad II

Toe · Limited practice

Tykee Smith

Ankle · Limited practice

IND: 131.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 152.8

Dallas gives up 152.8 rushing yards a game over 8 games, and Indianapolis gives up 131.8 over 8. Neither run defense looks stingy, though Dallas's total could be inflated if opponents often played from ahead and kept running late. Eight games makes this more than a blip, so in this matchup, look first at which team is more likely to lead and stay on the ground, because both defenses have allowed plenty of room there.

Daron Payne (DT) is on injured reserve for WSH

Payne (foot) underwent season-ending surgery Wednesday, Ben Standig of The Team 980 Washington D.C. reports. Reported Nov 4.

LAR: 6.54 yards per pass attempt to WSH's 5.7

LAR is at 6.54 yards per pass attempt over 8 games; WSH is at 5.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and WSH at 6.41 over 17 games.

JAX: 7.63 yards per pass attempt to BAL's 6.81

JAX is at 7.63 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; BAL is at 6.81 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season JAX was at 6.42 over 17 games and BAL at 6.69 over 17 games.

TB: 168.6 rushing yards per game to CHI's 150.8

TB is at 168.6 rushing yards per game over 8 games; CHI is at 150.8 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 114.5 over 17 games and CHI at 144.5 over 17 games.

Javon Kinlaw (DT) is on injured reserve for WSH

Kinlaw underwent season-ending surgery Tuesday to repair his MCL, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 4.

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Nov 4.

Jimmy Rolder (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

Rolder (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

Omarr Norman-Lott (DT) is pup-r for KC

The Chiefs designated Norman-Lott (knee) to return from injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 29.

T'Vondre Sweat (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets placed Sweat (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 31.

Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

DaVon Hamilton (DT) is on injured reserve for JAX

The Jaguars placed Hamilton (knee) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

Eric Murray (S) is on injured reserve for JAX

The Jaguars placed Murray (elbow) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed James (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Nov 1.

CHI: 5.36 yards per play to TB's 4.88

Chicago has been a bit more efficient than Tampa Bay over 8 games, so the Bears should have an easier time staying ahead of the chains. Both teams are below last season's numbers, 5.71 for Chicago and 5.12 for Tampa Bay, but the order has not changed. That consistency gives the gap some credibility, though its size is modest and one big game could shift it. Use it as a mild lean on which offense finds yards more easily, then let the rest of the matchup decide how much it matters.

NYJ: 194 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 222.9

NYJ is at 194 passing yards allowed per game over 8 games; KC is at 222.9 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

ATL: 41.1% third downs allowed to CIN's 47.3%

CIN is at 47.3% third downs allowed over 7 games; ATL is at 41.1% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

LAR: 4.93 yards per play allowed to WSH's 5.4

LAR is at 4.93 yards per play allowed over 8 games; WSH is at 5.4 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

NYG: 66.1 offensive plays per game to PHI's 60

NYG is at 66.1 offensive plays per game over 7 games; PHI is at 60 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 63.8 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.

CHA allowed 108.6 points a game this season, BKN 114.1

CHA allowed 108.6 points a game this season, BKN 114.1. 2026-27 regular season: BKN over 7 games, CHA over 8.

WAS allowed 107.4 points a game this season, ATL 114.0

WAS allowed 107.4 points a game this season, ATL 114.0. 2026-27 regular season: WAS over 7 games, ATL over 8.

LAL allowed 115.3 points a game this season, SAC 124.3

LAL allowed 115.3 points a game this season, SAC 124.3. 2026-27 regular season: SAC over 7 games, LAL over 8.

HOU allowed 106.4 points a game this season, MIN 107.6

HOU allowed 106.4 points a game this season, MIN 107.6. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 8 games, MIN over 8.

SAS allowed 108.3 points a game this season, DAL 112.3

SAS allowed 108.3 points a game this season, DAL 112.3. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 7 games, DAL over 7.

TOR allowed 111.4 points a game this season, DEN 115.7

TOR allowed 111.4 points a game this season, DEN 115.7. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 6 games, TOR over 7.

LAC allowed 115.4 points a game this season, MIA 123.9

LAC allowed 115.4 points a game this season, MIA 123.9. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 7 games, MIA over 7.

POR allowed 109.3 points a game this season, PHX 122.8

POR allowed 109.3 points a game this season, PHX 122.8. 2026-27 regular season: PHX over 5 games, POR over 6.

UTA allowed 118.9 points a game this season, NOP 120.1

UTA allowed 118.9 points a game this season, NOP 120.1. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 7 games, UTA over 7.

Antonio Johnson

Limited practice

Branson Combs

Limited practice

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Limited practice

Jakobi Meyers

Limited practice

Ezra Cleveland

Limited practice

Jarrian Jones

Limited practice

Jordan Battle

Hamstring · Limited practice

Yasir Abdullah

Hamstring · Limited practice

Brian Robinson Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice

Divine Deablo

Forearm · Limited practice

Dee Winters

Calf · Limited practice

Jonathan Taylor

Limited practice

George Pickens

Hamstring · Limited practice

Luke Schoonmaker

Groin · Limited practice

Tyler Smith

Ankle · Limited practice

Omarr Norman-Lott

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

David Bailey

Groin · Limited practice

Joseph Ossai

Ankle · Limited practice

Travis Kelce

Ankle · Limited practice

Breece Hall

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Rashee Rice

Hamstring · Limited practice

Mansoor Delane

Shoulder · Limited practice

Trevin Wallace

Groin · Limited practice

Tucker Addington

Shoulder · Limited practice

Dante Trader Jr.

Shoulder · Limited practice

Will Kacmarek

Hamstring · Limited practice

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Ribs · Limited practice

Brian Branch

Concussion · Limited practice

Jacob Saylors

Neck · Limited practice

Michael Taaffe

Wrist · Limited practice

Kerby Joseph

Knee · Limited practice

Malik Herring

Neck · Limited practice

Zach Sieler

Shoulder · Limited practice

Chop Robinson

Knee · Limited practice

Amen Ogbongbemiga

Toe · Limited practice

Kaytron Allen

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Asim Richards

Thumb · Limited practice

Myles Harden

Hamstring · Limited practice

Denzel Boston

Calf · Limited practice

Carson Schwesinger

Wrist · Limited practice

Martin Emerson Jr.

Shin · Limited practice

Jared Verse

Knee · Limited practice

Kelvin Banks Jr.

Ankle · Limited practice

LV: 4 red-zone trips per game to SF's 3.14

LV is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; SF is at 3.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and SF at 3.88 over 17 games.

NE: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 66.7%

New England has allowed scores on 54.2% of opponents' red-zone trips over 8 games, while Green Bay is at 66.7%. Red-zone rates can move quickly because each team gets only a limited number of trips, and these figures don't account for the offenses involved, so expect some drift. For this game, New England's edge matters most if it is close and decided by touchdowns versus field goals, but it is a thinner signal than a full-game efficiency number.

BOS allowed 109.1 points a game this season, MIL 124.1

BOS allowed 109.1 points a game this season, MIL 124.1. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 7 games, MIL over 7.

DET allowed 100.3 points a game this season, PHI 105.1

DET allowed 100.3 points a game this season, PHI 105.1. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 7 games, PHI over 8.

NYK allowed 105.1 points a game this season, CHI 128.9

NYK allowed 105.1 points a game this season, CHI 128.9. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 7 games, CHI over 7.

CLE: 0.38 interceptions thrown per game to NO's 0.86

CLE is at 0.38 interceptions thrown per game over 8 games; NO is at 0.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

MEM allowed 110.1 points a game this season, IND 115.6

MEM allowed 110.1 points a game this season, IND 115.6. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 7 games, IND over 8.

OKC allowed 107.7 points a game this season, CLE 116.1

OKC allowed 107.7 points a game this season, CLE 116.1. 2026-27 regular season: OKC over 7 games, CLE over 7.

MIN: 1.71 takeaways per game to BUF's 1.29

BUF is at 1.29 takeaways per game over 7 games; MIN is at 1.71 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

WSH: 1.43 takeaways per game to LAR's 1

LAR is at 1 takeaways per game over 8 games; WSH is at 1.43 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

KC: 1.43 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1

NYJ is at 1 takeaways per game over 8 games; KC is at 1.43 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

TB: 4.82 yards per rush attempt to CHI's 4.21

TB is at 4.82 yards per rush attempt over 8 games; CHI is at 4.21 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 4.05 over 17 games and CHI at 4.75 over 17 games.

LV: 63.8 offensive plays per game to SF's 58.4

LV is at 63.8 offensive plays per game over 8 games; SF is at 58.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and SF at 63.6 over 17 games.

DET: 30:59 time of possession per game to MIA's 28:47

DET is at 30:59 time of possession per game over 7 games; MIA is at 28:47 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season DET was at 30:33 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.

BUF: 97.4 rushing yards allowed per game to MIN's 116.7

BUF is at 97.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; MIN is at 116.7 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

CHI: 58.8% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 50%

TB is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; CHI is at 58.8% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.

GB (5-3) at NE (5-3)

These teams share a 5-3 record, but New England is +22 to Green Bay's +7 and is 3-0 at home. The Packers are 2-2 on the road. Both won their last game. With records equal, the home split and the bigger differential both lean toward the Patriots in this kind of spot.

NYG: 13.9 sack yards lost per game to PHI's 19.3

NYG is at 13.9 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; PHI is at 19.3 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season NYG was at 13.5 over 17 games and PHI at 13 over 17 games.

NO: 16.1 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 21.8

CLE is at 21.8 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; NO is at 16.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 20.3 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

JAX: 227.4 team passing yards per game to BAL's 205.1

JAX is at 227.4 team passing yards per game over 7 games; BAL is at 205.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season JAX was at 222.3 over 17 games and BAL at 175.6 over 17 games.

NE: 30:54 time of possession per game to GB's 28:40

GB is at 28:40 time of possession per game over 8 games; NE is at 30:54 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and NE at 31:18 over 17 games.

LV: 265.1 team passing yards per game to SF's 244

LV is at 265.1 team passing yards per game over 8 games; SF is at 244 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and SF at 244.5 over 17 games.

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.

BAL: 228.3 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 253.9

JAX is at 253.9 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; BAL is at 228.3 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

SF: 210.3 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 235.5

LV is at 235.5 passing yards allowed per game over 8 games; SF is at 210.3 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

CLE made 15.1 threes a game this season, OKC 10.3

CLE made 15.1 threes a game this season, OKC 10.3. 2026-27 regular season: OKC over 7 games, CLE over 7.

Erick All Jr. (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Bengals head coach Zac Taylor confirmed Wednesday that All has been diagnosed with a torn ACL in his right knee and will require season-ending surgery, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports. Reported Oct 28.

ATL made 15.0 threes a game this season, WAS 9.1

ATL made 15.0 threes a game this season, WAS 9.1. 2026-27 regular season: WAS over 7 games, ATL over 8.

CLE: 3.77 yards per rush attempt to NO's 3.26

CLE is at 3.77 yards per rush attempt over 8 games; NO is at 3.26 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 3.9 over 17 games and NO at 3.65 over 17 games.

NE: 92.6 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 110.9

GB is at 110.9 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; NE is at 92.6 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 3.

Tyler Loop (PK) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Loop (groin) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 3.

JAX: 40% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 25%

JAX is at 40% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; BAL is at 25% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season JAX was at 58.6% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

LV: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to SF's 1.14

LV is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 8 games; SF is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season LV was at 1.88 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.

BKN made 14.1 threes a game this season, CHA 13.1

BKN made 14.1 threes a game this season, CHA 13.1. 2026-27 regular season: BKN over 7 games, CHA over 8.

MIN made 15.1 threes a game this season, HOU 13.0

MIN made 15.1 threes a game this season, HOU 13.0. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 8 games, MIN over 8.

NO: 65.6 offensive plays per game to CLE's 60.5

CLE is at 60.5 offensive plays per game over 8 games; NO is at 65.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 3. Last season CLE was at 60.6 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

MIL made 14.6 threes a game this season, BOS 14.0

MIL made 14.6 threes a game this season, BOS 14.0. 2026-27 regular season: BOS over 7 games, MIL over 7.

DET made 14.1 threes a game this season, PHI 11.8

DET made 14.1 threes a game this season, PHI 11.8. 2026-27 regular season: DET over 7 games, PHI over 8.

MEM made 16.3 threes a game this season, IND 12.1

MEM made 16.3 threes a game this season, IND 12.1. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 7 games, IND over 8.

UTA made 11.7 threes a game this season, NOP 9.6

UTA made 11.7 threes a game this season, NOP 9.6. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 7 games, UTA over 7.

DEN made 12.3 threes a game this season, TOR 11.1

DEN made 12.3 threes a game this season, TOR 11.1. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 6 games, TOR over 7.

POR made 15.7 threes a game this season, PHX 13.4

POR made 15.7 threes a game this season, PHX 13.4. 2026-27 regular season: PHX over 5 games, POR over 6.

SAS made 12.4 threes a game this season, DAL 12.1

SAS made 12.4 threes a game this season, DAL 12.1. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 7 games, DAL over 7.

LAL made 14.9 threes a game this season, SAC 11.6

LAL made 14.9 threes a game this season, SAC 11.6. 2026-27 regular season: SAC over 7 games, LAL over 8.

LAC made 13.4 threes a game this season, MIA 13.4

LAC made 13.4 threes a game this season, MIA 13.4. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 7 games, MIA over 7.

NYK made 14.3 threes a game this season, CHI 11.9

NYK made 14.3 threes a game this season, CHI 11.9. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 7 games, CHI over 7.

Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Kmet (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 23.

MIN won last season's series 2-1

Minnesota won 2 of 3 against Houston last season, but the average margin was just 0.3 a game. That makes the series close to even, whatever the record says. Three meetings give no strong read on either side, so don't take much from the series winner tonight.

CHA won last season's series 2-1

Charlotte won 2 of 3 against Brooklyn last season, with an average margin of 12.3 a game. In just 3 meetings, one big win can inflate that figure. Tonight's first meeting this season will tell you more than last season's margin.

CHI played at 105.9 possessions a game this season, NYK 96.5

CHI played at 105.9 possessions a game this season, NYK 96.5. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 7 games, CHI over 7.

IND played at 101.7 possessions a game this season, MEM 101.4

IND played at 101.7 possessions a game this season, MEM 101.4. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 7 games, IND over 8.

NOP played at 104.0 possessions a game this season, UTA 101.3

NOP played at 104.0 possessions a game this season, UTA 101.3. 2026-27 regular season: NOP over 7 games, UTA over 7.

CLE played at 101.6 possessions a game this season, OKC 97.7

CLE played at 101.6 possessions a game this season, OKC 97.7. 2026-27 regular season: OKC over 7 games, CLE over 7.

SAC played at 103.4 possessions a game this season, LAL 100.8

SAC played at 103.4 possessions a game this season, LAL 100.8. 2026-27 regular season: SAC over 7 games, LAL over 8.

SAS played at 100.1 possessions a game this season, DAL 99.8

SAS played at 100.1 possessions a game this season, DAL 99.8. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 7 games, DAL over 7.

POR played at 100.8 possessions a game this season, PHX 98.6

POR played at 100.8 possessions a game this season, PHX 98.6. 2026-27 regular season: PHX over 5 games, POR over 6.

TOR played at 102.6 possessions a game this season, DEN 98.7

TOR played at 102.6 possessions a game this season, DEN 98.7. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 6 games, TOR over 7.

MIN played at 101.6 possessions a game this season, HOU 98.3

MIN played at 101.6 possessions a game this season, HOU 98.3. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 8 games, MIN over 8.

Taylor Moton (OT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

SEA lead the series with ARI since 2025

SEA has taken 3 of the last 3. Sep 20, 2026: SEA 31 at ARI 7. Nov 9, 2025: ARI 22 at SEA 44. Sep 25, 2025: SEA 23 at ARI 20.

Jacob Monk (C) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.