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Sports picks for Tuesday, November 3, 2026

499 stored items

Gary’s saved picks and research for this day. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.

Research

506
  • TURNOVERSHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 0.43 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.43

    HOU is at 0.43 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; LAC is at 2.43 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 0.71 over 17 games and LAC at 1.24 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 13.3 points allowed per game to BUF's 25.9

    Minnesota allows just 13.3 points a game over 7 games, a big improvement from 19.6 last season. Buffalo gives up 25.9, worse than its 21.5 last season. The Vikings number is likely to rise some, especially facing a strong offense. This sets up a clash of styles at home: a stingy Minnesota defense against a Buffalo team that scores a lot but also lets opponents score.

  • PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 33.3 points per game to MIN's 20

    Buffalo scores 33.3 points a game over 7 games, up from 28.3 last season. Minnesota is at 20, nearly identical to its 20.2 last season, so the Vikings offense is what it was. Buffalo's jump will probably settle a little, but it is starting from a high baseline. On the road, the Bills likely control the scoreboard, and the Vikings need to slow them down more than win a scoring race.

  • SITUATIONALDET @ MIA

    DET: 264 team passing yards per game to MIA's 166.7

    Detroit throws for 264 a game over 7 games, close to its 253.1 last season, so this is who the Lions are. Miami is at 166.7, below its 180.5 from last season, and has not moved the ball through the air. The Detroit number should hold, while Miami's could tick up some. Expect the Lions to control how this game is played, with the Dolphins needing their passing game to show up just to keep it close at home.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 6.41 yards per play to MIN's 4.74

    Buffalo gains 6.41 yards a snap over 7 games, up from 5.94 last season. Minnesota is at 4.74, almost the same as its 4.82 last season, so its offense is steady and limited. The Bills efficiency gain should mostly hold. In a road game, Buffalo can afford fewer plays and still score, while the Vikings need long drives without mistakes to keep up.

  • RED ZONECLE @ NO

    NO: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to CLE's 42.9%

    New Orleans turns 77.3% of red-zone trips into touchdowns over 7 games, a massive jump from 44.4% last season. Cleveland sits at 42.9% over 8 games, down from 52.6%. A jump that big usually cools off, so the Saints are likely to drift lower even if they stay above last season. For this game, the Saints finishing drives matters more than how many yards each side piles up, and that edge is the part most likely to shrink.

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 288.4 team passing yards per game to ATL's 188.4

    CIN is at 288.4 team passing yards per game over 7 games; ATL is at 188.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDET @ MIA

    DET: 29 points per game to MIA's 16.7

    Detroit scores 29 points a game over 7 games, matching its 28.3 last season, so this is steady production. Miami is at 16.7, down from 20.4 last season. The Lions number should hold, while Miami could improve a bit but has a lot of ground to make up. On the road, Detroit likely sets the pace, and the Dolphins need to keep the game low-scoring to stay in it.

  • MISMATCHCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 288.4 pass yards a game to ATL's 188.4

    The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: CIN threw for 288.4 passing yards a game over 7 games; ATL threw for 188.4 passing yards a game over 8 games this season. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

  • PASS RUSHDET @ MIA

    DET: 3.43 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1.29

    Detroit's pass rush gets home 3.43 times a game across 7 games, and Miami's defense manages 1.29. Seven games is a real sample for a pressure number, though the sheet doesn't show which quarterbacks each faced, so some of Detroit's total could come from offenses that hold the ball. In a Detroit at Miami game, the side more likely to see drives stall on sacks is Miami's offense. That points toward thinking about Miami's passing volume and drive finishing.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Zachariah Branch (WR) is out for ATL

    Branch will miss Sunday's game against the Bengals with a hamstring injury, coach Kevin Stefanski said Monday. The sheet does not say who gets his targets, so Atlanta spreads the work among its other receivers this week. Hamstrings can linger, so check his practice status before next week too.

  • PASS RUSHCLE @ NO

    NO: 2.14 sacks taken per game to CLE's 4.13

    Cleveland takes 4.13 sacks a game over 8 games, worse than its 3 last season. New Orleans has cut its number to 2.14 over 7 games, down from 3.06 last season. Both moves could settle, but Cleveland's protection problem is persistent. On the road, the Browns are more likely to stall drives behind negative plays, while the Saints keep their offense on schedule.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Tyler Huntley (QB) is doubtful for BAL

    Huntley has a toe injury, and Ravens coach Jesse Minter said Tuesday that injured reserve is possible. Doubtful means unlikely to play against Jacksonville, and the IR comment suggests this could last beyond one game. Joe Fagnano is confirmed to start Thursday, so handicap this game with Fagnano at quarterback and watch for a final IR decision.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Matthew Stafford (QB) is questionable for LAR

    Stafford finished Sunday's 24-9 win over the Chargers, then walked out with ice wrapped on his right arm, and McVay confirmed Monday he has arm soreness. Questionable means a real chance he plays, but it is his throwing arm. Practice reports this week matter most here: a limited Stafford or a backup changes how you view the Rams offense at Washington.

  • MISMATCHBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 13.3 points allowed a game to BUF's 25.9

    Minnesota's defense is allowing 13.3 points a game, far better than last season's 19.6, while Buffalo's has gone from 21.5 to 25.9. Both moves are over seven games, so some pullback is likely on each side. Buffalo has to win a higher-scoring game since its defense is giving up points. How you view this game depends on whether you believe Minnesota's jump in defense or last season's version.

  • MISMATCHTB @ CHI

    CHI: 236.5 pass yards a game to TB's 131.4

    Tampa Bay is passing for just 131.4 yards a game over eight games, down from 205.9 last season. Chicago is up slightly, 236.5 against 225.1. A drop that size usually has a cause beyond bad luck, so Tampa may not bounce back fast. The Bucs have to win this on the ground or with defense, and if they are forced to throw from behind, their passing numbers this season make that a tough ask.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Brandon Aiyuk (WR) is out for SF

    Aiyuk is listed out, and the reason is off the field: he is close to hiring new representation and is expected to file for reinstatement to the NFL soon. That means no snaps against the Raiders and no clear return date yet. The sheet does not name who absorbs his targets, so judge San Francisco's passing game on the receivers who have actually been playing, without counting on a bump from him.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    Kyler Murray (QB) is questionable for MIN

    Murray has a sore hamstring, and the Vikings have not decided how bad it is until a full evaluation is done. Questionable this early in the week is a real coin flip. Hamstrings tend to linger for a quarterback who runs, so even if he plays against Buffalo, he may be limited. Wait for the evaluation results before trusting any line built on him being fully healthy.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Yaya Diaby (LB) is out for TB

    Diaby has an MCL sprain in his knee, and Todd Bowles has already said he will not play Sunday against the Bears. Out is final here: Tampa Bay's pass rush goes to Chicago without him. The sheet names no replacement, so the open question for this spot is how much pressure the Bucs can still create on the Bears' quarterback.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Kenny Yeboah (TE) is out for ARI

    Yeboah won't play at Seattle after Arizona put him on the practice squad injured list Tuesday with an undisclosed injury. A practice squad move means he was not on the main roster, and nothing here points to a role the Cardinals must replace. There is little here to change how a bettor views this game.

  • MISMATCHHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 0.43 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.43

    Houston has given the ball away less than once every two games, while the Chargers are coughing it up 2.43 times a game. Last season LAC was at 1.24, so seven games of this is a sharp jump that could cool off. Houston was already careful at 0.71 last year. The Chargers have to protect the ball to stay in this one, and a game where LAC has a clean sheet looks very different from one where they don't.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Jack Campbell (LB) is doubtful for DET

    Campbell is in a Detroit-area hospital recovering from a neck injury, and the Lions said Monday the early signs are positive. Doubtful usually means a player will not suit up, and a hospital stay points the same way. With Jimmy Rolder lost for the season, Detroit is down two linebackers in Miami, so plan as if Campbell sits.

  • RED ZONEBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 65.5%

    Opponents score touchdowns on only 25% of red-zone trips against Minnesota over 7 games, while Buffalo gives up 65.5%. Red-zone rates swing on a handful of snaps, so Minnesota's number is the more likely of the two to drift upward. For Buffalo at Minnesota, the spot favors field goals over touchdowns when Buffalo gets close. That matters for totals and touchdown scorer markets.

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 244.7 team passing yards per game to MIN's 165.6

    BUF is at 244.7 team passing yards per game over 7 games; MIN is at 165.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 216.6 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

  • COVERAGEBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 154.9 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 254.7

    Minnesota allows 154.9 passing yards a game through 7 games, and Buffalo allows 254.7. A gap that size over seven games usually reflects real coverage quality, though game script matters: teams that trail run more and throw less. When Buffalo comes to Minnesota, expect Buffalo's air yards to be harder to come by than its own defense lets opponents gain.

  • MISMATCHDET @ MIA

    DET: 264 pass yards a game to MIA's 166.7

    Detroit's passing game looks like last season's, 264 a game now against 253.1 then, so that side is steady. Miami has slipped from 180.5 to 166.7 through the air over seven games. A Dolphins team that can't move it by passing has to lean on the run and long drives to keep Detroit's offense on the sideline. If Miami falls behind early, that plan gets hard to run, which shapes how this game script likely plays out.

  • COVERAGEARI @ SEA

    SEA: 4.11 yards per play allowed to ARI's 5.83

    Seattle allows 4.11 yards per play over 8 games, and Arizona allows 5.83. That is a full half season, so the Seattle number is more than a hot streak. The sheet doesn't list the offenses either team faced, so how much of it comes from the schedule is unknown. With Arizona visiting, the likelier story is Arizona's offense working for short gains while Seattle's offense finds more room.

  • MISMATCHGB @ NE

    NE: 123.1 rush yards a game to GB's 60.6

    Green Bay is running for just 60.6 yards a game over eight games, half of last season's 119.8. New England is close to its old level, 123.1 against 128.9. A fall that steep means the Packers have to lean on the pass, which makes them easier to defend. If Green Bay's run game stays this quiet, New England can control time and pace with its own ground game.

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 52.9% third-down conversion rate to ATL's 33.3%

    Cincinnati converts 52.9% of third downs over 7 games, up from 43.4% last season. Atlanta is at 33.3% over 8 games, exactly where it was last season, so that is the Falcons true level. The Bengals rate will probably cool some. That gap means Cincinnati keeps drives alive and the ball away from Atlanta, which can tilt possession and pace even on the road.

  • MISMATCHDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 1.25 sacks taken a game to CAR's 3.29

    Carolina's quarterback is going down 3.29 times a game over seven games, up from 2.19 last season. Denver has kept its passer cleaner, 1.25 now against 1.77 last year. Sacks kill drives, so Carolina needs quick throws and a run game to hide this protection problem. If the Panthers can't, expect stalled possessions and a lot of field position going Denver's way.

  • MISMATCHCLE @ NO

    NO: 2.14 sacks taken a game to CLE's 4.13

    Cleveland is taking 4.13 sacks a game over eight games, up from 3 last season, while New Orleans has cut its rate to 2.14 from 3.06. The Browns have to get the ball out fast or keep the Saints out of passing downs. Long-yardage situations from sacks pile up quickly, which is a problem for any Cleveland drive that falls behind the chains.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 253.4 team passing yards per game to LAC's 177.1

    Houston throws for 253.4 a game over 7 games, up from 218.1 last season. The Chargers are at 177.1, down from 212.2 last season. Both numbers are likely to drift back somewhat. On the road, the Texans have the more productive passing attack, and combined with the Chargers recent issues, the Chargers need to rediscover their passing game to keep pace at home.

  • COVERAGEDAL @ IND

    IND: 32.6% third downs allowed to DAL's 51.4%

    Indianapolis lets opponents convert just 32.6% of third downs over 8 games, and Dallas allows 51.4%. Over half a season both numbers say something real: Dallas is letting drives keep going far too often. The schedule faced isn't on the sheet, so the size of the gap may shrink. In Dallas at Indianapolis, the home offense should sustain longer drives, which affects time of possession and scoring chances.

  • STREAKHOU @ LAC

    LAC has lost 7 straight

    The Chargers haven't won a game yet, seven tries in. The fact sheet doesn't say who those losses came against or how close they were, so the streak tells you results without telling you how badly they're playing. A team this deep in a hole often starts trying things, which can make them harder to read week to week. Against Houston, ask whether the price already reflects an 0-7 team, since streaks this long usually get priced in heavily.

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 7.99 yards per pass attempt to MIN's 5.41

    BUF is at 7.99 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; MIN is at 5.41 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and MIN at 5.1 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALDAL @ IND

    DAL: 247.9 team passing yards per game to IND's 174.6

    Dallas throws for a lot more per game than Indianapolis does, so the Cowboys are the side more likely to put this game in the air. Both teams are down from last season, Dallas from 266.3 and Indianapolis much further from 227.8, which says the Colts' offense has shifted away from the pass rather than just hit a cold stretch. Eight games is a decent sample, so the gap should mostly hold. If you expect Dallas to control the tempo, think about this as a game where the Cowboys' passing volume carries more of the scoring.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Bam Knight (RB) is questionable for ARI

    Knight is in the concussion protocol after Sunday's overtime win in Dallas, per Mike LaFleur. He has to clear every step of the protocol to play in Seattle, and that timing is hard to predict. With Jeremiyah Love also nursing a new ankle injury, Arizona could be short at running back, so wait for clarity before betting the Cardinals' run game.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

    Hall carries the questionable tag with a quadriceps injury, but the latest word is that he is good to go and expected back for Sunday at Kansas City. Questionable usually means a real chance of sitting, and here the reporting points the other way. If he plays, he resumes his lead role in the Jets backfield. Bettors can price the Jets offense as close to full strength, with a final check of the inactive list before kickoff.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Jacob Saylors (RB) is questionable for DET

    Saylors has a neck injury and was not expected to practice Wednesday, reported Nov 3. Questionable means a real chance he misses the trip to Miami, and skipping early practice leans that way. The sheet names no backup, so his workload in the Detroit backfield is uncertain until the late-week reports.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Cam Skattebo (RB) is questionable for NYG

    Skattebo is dealing with a hamstring injury, and John Harbaugh called him day-to-day and a possible game-time decision for Sunday in Philadelphia. That means his status may not be settled until right before kickoff. Anyone betting a Giants rushing number should be ready for a late answer and price that risk in.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    David Montgomery (RB) is questionable for HOU

    Montgomery has a groin injury, and DeMeco Ryans said Monday he had no significant update before the Week 9 game against the Chargers. Questionable with no news this early is a coin flip. Houston's backfield plan stays unclear until practice reports come in, so a Texans run number this week carries extra risk.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

    Thompson is dealing with quadriceps and hamstring problems and is not expected to practice this week ahead of Houston. A player listed questionable who misses every practice is often closer to out than the label suggests, and soft-tissue injuries like these tend to linger. Expect the Chargers to lean on their other receivers, and treat any Thompson prop as a likely void or no-play.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Michael Wilson (WR) is questionable for ARI

    Wilson said he broke two ribs in Sunday's 33-30 win at Dallas. Questionable is generous for that injury, and even if he suits up in Seattle his snaps and toughness on contact could be limited. Bettors should be wary of any Wilson receiving number until his practice status is clear.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Rashid Shaheed (WR) is questionable for SEA

    Shaheed is dealing with a knee injury, and Mike Macdonald said Tuesday he has a chance to play Sunday against Arizona. A coach saying a player has a chance usually means the decision goes late in the week. If he plays, a knee injury can limit his snaps or his speed, so check the final report before betting on his yardage.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

    Moore left late in Sunday's 36-10 win over the Ravens with a knee issue, then said afterward he was okay. His own words point toward playing in Minnesota, and an exit in a blowout can be caution as much as injury. Practice participation this week will confirm it.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Jakobi Meyers (WR) is questionable for JAX

    Meyers has two injuries, hamstring and ankle, and was limited in Tuesday's practice. Limited means he did some work, while questionable leaves his status for Baltimore unsettled. The next practice reports should give a better signal, so hold any view on Jacksonville's passing game loosely until his status firms up.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB) is questionable for JAX

    Rodriguez has a hand injury and was limited in Tuesday's practice, so he got some work in. Questionable means his status for Baltimore is unsettled. A running back's hand matters for carrying and securing the ball, so check whether his practice level rises this week before forming a view on how Jacksonville splits its carries.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Bhayshul Tuten (RB) is questionable for JAX

    Tuten did not practice Tuesday because of ankle and foot injuries, which is a weaker sign than a limited session. Questionable keeps him in play for Baltimore, but he needs to get back on the field during the week to look like a safe bet to suit up. Any view on his role should wait until the next practice reports.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    A.J. Brown (WR) is questionable for NE

    Brown is managing ankle and knee injuries, and Mike Vrabel's only answer on whether he practices this week was "We'll see." That is a genuine coin flip heading into the Packers game, with no practice reps confirmed yet. Losing him would take the top target out of the Patriots passing game. Watch for whether he gets on the field during the week before trusting his receiving lines or the New England total.

  • STREAKNYG @ PHI

    PHI has lost 6 straight

    Philadelphia won two of its first games and has dropped every one since, six in a row. The fact sheet doesn't list opponents, so there's no way to tell from here whether this was a brutal stretch of schedule or a real slide. Losing streaks this long tend to push the market hard against a team. With the Giants coming in, the useful question is whether the number on Philadelphia has dropped further than six results justify.

  • TRENCHESCIN @ ATL

    ATL: 134.8 rushing yards per game to CIN's 80.3

    CIN is at 80.3 rushing yards per game over 7 games; ATL is at 134.8 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 93.6 over 17 games and ATL at 125.8 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONELAR @ WSH

    LAR: 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 79.2%

    LAR is at 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; WSH is at 79.2% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Christian Watson (WR) is questionable for GB

    Watson has sore ribs, but Packers passing game coordinator Jason Vrable said Monday he is doing great. That is an upbeat sign for a questionable tag, and it points toward Watson playing in New England. Rib injuries can still limit a receiver's snaps, so watch his practice status through the week.

  • MISMATCHDAL @ IND

    DAL: 247.9 pass yards a game to IND's 174.6

    Dallas is throwing for 247.9 a game, a little under last season's 266.3, while Indianapolis has dropped to 174.6 from 227.8 over eight games. The Colts' passing decline is the bigger story. Indy has to win with the run and keep this close, because chasing Dallas through the air hasn't been their game this season.

  • TEAM RECORDNYJ @ KC

    KC is 3-0 at home; NYJ is 1-3 on the road

    Kansas City has won all three home games, and the Jets have won once in four road trips. Three and four games are small samples, and the sheet doesn't say who either team played in those spots. Splits this short move fast once a team plays a different caliber of opponent. They line up in the same direction here, so the split supports Kansas City's side without settling the game on its own.

  • TEAM RECORDHOU @ LAC

    HOU is 2-1 on the road; LAC is 0-3 at home

    The site split favours HOU: LAC has played 3 games at home this season and HOU 3 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • COVERAGELV @ SF

    SF: 4.76 yards per play allowed to LV's 6.1

    San Francisco allows 4.76 yards per play through 7 games, and Las Vegas allows 6.1 through 8. That's a wide gap in how easily each defense is moved on. Opponent strength isn't listed, but a seven-game sample carries weight. With Las Vegas in San Francisco, the Raiders' offense likely has the tougher time creating chunk plays.

  • PASS RUSHNYJ @ KC

    KC: 7.4 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 24.3

    NYJ is at 24.3 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; KC is at 7.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYJ was at 24.9 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.

  • MISMATCHLV @ SF

    SF: 127.4 rush yards a game to LV's 77.3

    Las Vegas runs for 77.3 yards a game, almost exactly last season's 77.5, so that weakness is who they are. San Francisco has jumped to 127.4 from 106.9 over seven games. The Raiders have to throw to move the ball, which makes them one-dimensional, while the Niners can lean on the ground and control the clock.

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 23.9 first downs per game to MIN's 15.6

    BUF is at 23.9 first downs per game over 7 games; MIN is at 15.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 22 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTARI @ SEA

    SEA: 19.9 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.8

    ARI is at 29.8 points allowed per game over 8 games; SEA is at 19.9 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Hunter Henry (TE) is questionable for NE

    Henry has a foot injury and could not finish the Week 8 game, and as of Monday, Nov 3, Vrabel said he had no expectations yet for Sunday against the Packers. Questionable here means a real coin flip: the staff is waiting to see how he responds during the week. Practice reports later in the week will tell you far more than Monday's update, so it pays to wait on any Patriots passing-game or tight end props until his status firms up.

  • TEAM RECORDGB @ NE

    NE is 3-0 at home; GB is 2-2 on the road

    The site split favours NE: NE has played 3 games at home this season and GB 4 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • TEAM RECORDCIN @ ATL

    CIN is 3-1 on the road; ATL is 1-3 at home

    Cincinnati has won three of four away from home, and Atlanta has lost three of four in its own building. Four games apiece is a short run, and the sheet doesn't say who either team beat or lost to in those spots. Splits this small often even out. Since both point the same way here, they lean toward Cincinnati, but the price likely already accounts for it.

  • TURNOVERSHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 0.14 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.43

    Houston has thrown one interception every seven games, while the Chargers average more than one a game. Both numbers are far from last season, Houston at 0.53 and the Chargers at 0.82, so both look extreme over seven games. Expect each to move back toward normal: Houston will throw more picks and the Chargers fewer. Turnovers favor Houston so far, but this is the kind of gap a bettor should expect to shrink.

  • MISMATCHARI @ SEA

    SEA: 19.9 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.8

    Arizona's defense is allowing 29.8 points a game over eight games, right in line with last season's 28.7, so this looks real. Seattle is at 19.9, a bit worse than last year's 17.2. The Cardinals have to outscore teams to win, and when that's the plan on the road, you are betting on their offense keeping pace all game.

  • PACE & SCRIPTJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 15.9 points allowed per game to BAL's 25.4

    JAX is at 15.9 points allowed per game over 7 games; BAL is at 25.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season JAX was at 19.8 over 17 games and BAL at 23.4 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 48% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 80%

    Denver holds opponents to touchdowns on 48% of red-zone trips over 8 games, while Carolina allows 80% over 7. Carolina's mark is high enough that some pullback is likely, since red-zone samples are small. For Denver at Carolina, the Broncos' drives that reach the red zone have the better shot at sevens, which shapes how to think about the total.

  • TRENCHESLV @ SF

    SF: 89 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 146.4

    LV is at 146.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; SF is at 89 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • PASS RUSHNYJ @ KC

    KC: 1.29 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 2.88

    New York gets sacked almost three times a game, more than twice as often as Kansas City. That is better than the Jets' 3.75 last season but still a problem, while the Chiefs have dropped sharply from 2.94. Kansas City's low number over seven games is the one more likely to drift up. For the Jets on the road, protection breakdowns that kill drives are part of how this game could go.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Jake Ferguson (TE) is questionable for DAL

    Jake Ferguson has an ankle injury, and coach Brian Schottenheimer said Monday he has a chance to play Sunday at Indianapolis. That is an open door, nothing firmer. If Ferguson sits or plays limited, Dallas passing targets get spread around, so his receiving props and the other Cowboys pass catchers both hinge on his late week status.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Theo Johnson (TE) is questionable for NYG

    Johnson has a neck injury and was a practice participant Monday, Nov 3, which is an encouraging early sign for a player listed questionable ahead of the trip to Philadelphia. Questionable means roughly a coin flip on paper, but practicing early in the week usually pushes a player toward suiting up. The sheet does not say whether that work was full or limited, so the rest of the week's practice reports matter. Hold off on his receiving props until his status firms up.

  • MISMATCHNYJ @ KC

    KC: 1.29 sacks taken a game to NYJ's 2.88

    Kansas City's line is giving up 1.29 sacks a game over seven games, a huge drop from 2.94 last season. The Jets are at 2.88, better than last year's 3.75 but still high. New York has to protect long enough to make plays, because drives that end in sacks are hard to recover from on the road.

  • MISMATCHJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 15.9 points allowed a game to BAL's 25.4

    Jacksonville's defense has improved to 15.9 points allowed a game from 19.8 last season, while Baltimore's has slipped to 25.4 from 23.4. Jacksonville's number is over seven games, so some regression is possible. Baltimore needs its offense to carry it, and a slow start at home puts a lot of pressure on a defense giving up points this season.

  • PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 23.6 points per game to LAC's 14.1

    HOU is at 23.6 points per game over 7 games; LAC is at 14.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and LAC at 21.6 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALDET @ MIA

    DET: 24.6 first downs per game to MIA's 16.7

    Detroit is moving the chains almost eight more times a game than Miami, which means more snaps, longer drives and more control of the clock. The Lions are well up from 20.4 last season, while Miami is close to its 17.1. Detroit's jump over seven games is the number more likely to come down a little, but the gap should stay wide. This sets up a game where the Lions can keep the Dolphins' offense off the field.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Greg Newsome II (CB) is questionable for NYG

    Newsome (concussion) agreed Tuesday with the Giants on a three-year $46 million extension that includes $32 million guaranteed, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Nov 3.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ LAC

    HOU has 7 more days of rest

    Houston comes off a bye with 9 days to heal and prepare, while the Chargers host on 2 days since their last game. A short week usually means limited practice, simpler calls and careful snap counts for anyone nursing an injury. Houston also has to travel, which eats into part of its rest edge. Check the late injury reports on the Chargers side, since that is where the short week shows up first.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Cade Mays (C) is questionable for DET

    Mays is Detroit's center and suffered a low-ankle sprain in Sunday's win over the Vikings. Questionable for the Miami game means he could suit up, but a low-ankle sprain can linger and limit how well a lineman anchors and moves. If he sits or plays hurt, the line calls and interior blocking change hands, so check his practice reports through the week before leaning on Detroit's run game.

  • MISMATCHLAR @ WSH

    WSH: 0.43 turnovers a game to LAR's 1.5

    Washington has turned it over 0.43 times a game over seven games, improved from 1.35 last season. The Rams are at 1.5, up from 0.88. Seven or eight games is a short window for turnovers, which swing a lot, so both numbers could drift. If they hold, the Rams have to clean up ball security to keep the field-position battle even.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    D.J. Reed (CB) is questionable for DET

    Reed has a hip injury and was not expected to practice Wednesday, reported Nov 3. Questionable with an early missed practice leans toward risk for the Miami game. The sheet names no replacement, so if he sits, Detroit's secondary is thinner against the Dolphins' receivers.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Will Lee III (CB) is questionable for CAR

    Lee has a hamstring injury, is day to day, and should get a chance to test it this week, reported Nov 3. That language points toward him having a shot to play against Denver. If the hamstring does not hold up, Carolina's cornerback group gets thinner, so his practice participation is the thing to track.

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ PHI

    NYG has 7 more days of rest

    The Giants arrive off a bye with 9 days of rest, and Philadelphia is at home with only 2 days since its last game. A team on that little rest has almost no practice time, so the focus is recovery and a trimmed game plan. The Giants get the cleaner week of preparation, and the Eagles' edge is mostly the home crowd. Think about which side relies on volume and which on scheme when the prep time is this uneven.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Tre Brown (CB) is questionable for NYJ

    Tre Brown is a Jets corner coming off injured reserve with a finger injury, and the team took him off that list Tuesday. Questionable means his status for the Kansas City game is still undecided. The report doesn't give his last game or name who takes his snaps if he sits, so check the inactive list before judging this Jets secondary.

  • SITUATIONALLV @ SF

    SF has 7 more days of rest

    LV comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); SF on 9 days of rest, a bye behind it. That is a 7-day spacing gap between the sides.

  • PASS RUSHDAL @ IND

    DAL: 1.38 sacks taken per game to IND's 2.88

    Dallas gets sacked less than half as often as Indianapolis, and the Cowboys have improved a lot from 2.38 last season. The Colts are up from 2.07, so their protection has gotten worse. Over eight games the gap looks real, though both could drift toward last season's numbers. The Cowboys look more likely to stay ahead of the chains in this game.

  • SITUATIONALCLE @ NO

    NO has 7 more days of rest

    Cleveland plays with 2 days since its last game, while New Orleans had a bye and 9 days to rest, game plan and get banged-up players back. The road team on a quick turnaround usually runs a lighter walkthrough week, keeps the install simple and leans on what already works. Ask whether Cleveland's plan depends on anything complicated, and whether New Orleans has the depth to use the extra week.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN

    Coach Kevin O'Connell said Tuesday that Darrisaw is nursing a shoulder issue, and that leaves the offensive tackle questionable for Buffalo. There is no practice participation listed yet, so it is hard to say which way this leans. If you are looking at Minnesota's offense in this game, check his status closer to kickoff, since any bet on the Vikings' protection depends on whether he plays.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Christian McCaffrey (RB) is questionable for SF

    The news on McCaffrey is better than it first looked: the injury is a mild hamstring strain, not his quadriceps, and the 49ers believe he'll be ready after the Week 8 bye. The Oct 26 report leans toward him playing against the Raiders. A questionable tag after a bye usually comes down to how practice goes, so watch his participation during the week before betting San Francisco's run game.

  • PACE & SCRIPTLV @ SF

    SF: 19.9 points allowed per game to LV's 28.8

    LV is at 28.8 points allowed per game over 8 games; SF is at 19.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is questionable for SF

    Samuel is dealing with a hamstring injury, and the Oct 26 report says he has a chance to return after the 49ers' Week 8 bye. Questionable means it could go either way, and the extra rest week helps. Hamstrings can linger, so expect a final call late in the week. If you're looking at San Francisco receiver props against the Raiders, wait for practice reports before acting.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Travon Walker (DE) is questionable for JAX

    Walker has a ribs injury and was limited at practice Tuesday, so he did some work but not a full load. Questionable means his status for the Baltimore game is still open. One practice report is thin evidence either way, and his remaining practice reports should say more. If you are betting on how much pressure Jacksonville gets, wait for his final status, because any number you take now carries that uncertainty.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

    Evans has an Achilles injury, and the Oct 26 report says he is expected back after San Francisco's Week 8 bye. That is stronger language than the chance to return reported for others on this roster, so questionable here leans toward playing. An Achilles is a serious injury to come back from, though, so his workload in his first game back against the Raiders may be limited.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    DJ Turner II (CB) is questionable for CIN

    DJ Turner II is day-to-day with an ankle injury, leaving him questionable for Cincinnati at Atlanta. Day-to-day points toward a short absence at worst. If he cannot go, the Bengals lose a cornerback, which helps Falcons receivers, so watch his practice participation before the weekend.

  • TURNOVERSDAL @ IND

    DAL: 0.88 turnovers committed per game to IND's 1.88

    Indianapolis turns it over about one more time per game than Dallas, and the Colts are well above their 1.35 from last season. Dallas has improved from 1.24. Turnovers swing a lot, so the Colts' number over eight games is likely to come down some. The gap favors Dallas now, but a bettor should expect it to tighten rather than widen.

  • SITUATIONALLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 258.9 team passing yards per game to WSH's 200.6

    LAR is at 258.9 team passing yards per game over 8 games; WSH is at 200.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and WSH at 184.1 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.29

    BUF is at 4.29 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; MIN is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 3.82 over 17 games and MIN at 3 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate to CAR's 40%

    Denver is converting most of its fourth downs this season after converting half of them last season over 17 games, while Carolina sits at 40% after 67.5% last season. Fourth-down tries are rare, so eight games is a small pile of attempts and both numbers can swing hard on a couple of snaps. Expect each side to drift back toward last season. For this game, the gap matters most in tight spots where a coach decides to go for it, which is worth weighing in live and close-spread situations.

  • PASS RUSHBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 3.57 sacks recorded per game to BUF's 2.14

    Minnesota's defense averages 3.57 sacks a game through 7 games, and Buffalo's records 2.14. Both are healthy numbers, Minnesota's more so. Who they faced isn't on the sheet. In Buffalo at Minnesota, Buffalo's offense is the one facing the stronger rush, so drive stalls and quarterback pressure lean that way.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Emeka Egbuka (WR) is questionable for TB

    Tampa Bay lists Egbuka as questionable for the trip to Chicago, reported Nov 3, with no injury named. Questionable means roughly a coin flip to play, so the final practice report and inactives matter here. If he sits or is limited, targets shift to the rest of the Bucs receivers, so wait on any Egbuka or Tampa passing props until his status is settled.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Velus Jones Jr. (RB) is questionable for SEA

    Velus Jones Jr. is questionable for Seattle against Arizona, with no injury or practice detail on the report. Without more information, his status is a coin flip for now. Check the final injury report before counting on him in any role.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    TreVeyon Henderson (RB) is questionable for NE

    New England lists TreVeyon Henderson as questionable against Green bay, with no injury detail on the report. The Packers will be without linebacker Zaire Franklin, a matchup that could help whoever carries the ball for the Patriots. Wait on his practice status before betting his rushing or receiving numbers.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Reed Blankenship (S) is questionable for HOU

    Blankenship has two problems: a concussion and a left hand that needed surgery in October, per the Nov 3 report. A concussion means he has to clear the league's protocol, which can be decided late. If he sits, Houston's secondary is short a safety for the trip to the Chargers, so check the final status before betting on Los Angeles passing numbers.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR

    Phillips has a hamstring injury, and Panthers coach Dave Canales said Monday it is trending in the right direction, with Phillips day-to-day before Sunday's game against Denver. Questionable leaves playing time open, and the coach's tone leans hopeful. Hamstrings can limit a player even when active, so check the final status and any word on snaps before judging Carolina's defense in this spot.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Grant Stuard (LB) is questionable for LAR

    Grant Stuard is dealing with a hamstring injury and is questionable for the game at Washington. Hamstrings can linger and tend to come down to late week practice. If he sits, the linebacker group gets thinner, which matters most for Washington's run game.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Britain Covey (WR) is questionable for PHI

    Covey is questionable for the Eagles against the Giants, with no injury details reported. He sits alongside Smith and Wicks on the injury list, so the receiver room is worth tracking as a group. Hold off on any angles involving him until practice reports come in.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Anthony Gould (WR) is questionable for IND

    Indianapolis lists Gould as questionable for Dallas, with no injury or practice details on record. The label alone says little about his chances this early in the week. Wait on practice participation before factoring him into any Colts receiving or return plays.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

    Philadelphia lists Smith as questionable for the Giants game, with no injury details or practice notes reported yet. As one of the Eagles' main receivers, his availability shapes how the passing targets get split. Watch his practice status through the week before betting his receiving lines or the Eagles passing props.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is questionable for PHI

    The Eagles list Wicks as questionable for the Giants, with no injury or practice details yet. With Smith and Covey also on the report, Philadelphia's receiver depth is thin to watch this week. Wait for practice updates before leaning on any Eagles receiver props.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL

    Dallas lists Turpin as questionable for the Colts game, with no injury or practice details reported yet. Without more information, this is a wait-and-see spot. Hold off on any return or receiving angles involving him until the week's practice reports fill in.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is questionable for ATL

    Atlanta lists running back Brian Robinson Jr. as questionable for Cincinnati, with no injury or practice detail given. That leaves his availability as a true unknown for now. Hold off on his rushing props until the later practice reports show whether he is working fully.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Malachi Lawrence (LB) is questionable for DAL

    Linebacker Malachi Lawrence hurt his ankle in Sunday's 33-30 overtime loss to Arizona and is questionable at Indianapolis. Dallas also has safety Caleb Downs in the concussion protocol, so the defense could be short at two spots. That is worth weighing on Colts rushing and total points lines.

  • SITUATIONALARI @ SEA

    ARI (3-5) at SEA (4-4), a division game

    Arizona is 3-5 but -63 on the year, so the losses have been lopsided. The Cardinals are 3-2 on the road, which is better than their overall record, and Seattle is 3-2 at home with a +26 differential. Road wins next to a deep negative point total point to a team that wins some close ones and gets blown out in others. Expect the division familiarity to keep this tighter than the season numbers alone would say.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    P.J. Locke (S) is questionable for DAL

    Locke entered the concussion protocol after getting hurt in Sunday's 33-30 overtime loss to Arizona. Concussion cases have to clear set steps before a player is allowed back, so his status for Indianapolis depends on passing those checks this week. If he sits, the Cowboys secondary is short a safety, which matters against a Colts passing game when weighing yardage totals.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

    Chicago lists Monangai as questionable for Tampa Bay, with no injury or practice details on record. Without more, the label gives little direction. Wait on practice reports before betting any Bears rushing props tied to the backfield split.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is questionable for BAL

    Hawkins has a knee injury and was estimated as a non-participant on Monday, which means the team projected he would not have practiced. One report that early in the week says little about Sunday, and questionable leaves both outcomes open. His practice level over the next few days is the better clue. No replacement is named, so hold any view on Baltimore's secondary until his status firms up.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Caleb Downs (S) is questionable for DAL

    Safety Caleb Downs is in the concussion protocol after getting hurt in Sunday's 33-30 overtime loss to Arizona. He has to clear every step of the protocol to play at Indianapolis, which is hard to predict and can stall late in the week. Colts passing numbers are the spot affected if Dallas plays without him.

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 33.3%

    The Giants are converting three of every four fourth downs this year, up from 46.2% last season, while Philadelphia has fallen to 33.3% from 52.4%. Fourth downs come in small numbers, so over seven and eight games a handful of plays decides these rates. Both teams should move back toward last season's marks. A bettor can note that the Giants have reason to stay aggressive, but should not price this as a lasting edge.

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ PHI

    NYG (4-2-1) at PHI (2-6), a division game

    The Giants have a winning record but are only +2 on the year, so they are winning close games rather than beating people up. The Eagles are -65 and have dropped 6 straight, which is a team losing by real margins. Philadelphia is 1-3 at home, so the building has not helped. A thin point differential on the Giants side means this spot is closer to a coin flip on margin than the records suggest.

  • PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 29.4 points per game to ATL's 21.4

    CIN is at 29.4 points per game over 7 games; ATL is at 21.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 24.4 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

  • MISMATCHNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 229.3 pass yards a game to PHI's 177.1

    The Giants are throwing for 229.3 yards a game, up from 204.4 last season, while Philadelphia has slipped to 177.1 from 194.3. Philly's passing game is the one that looks off, over eight games. The Eagles may lean on the run and defense, which tends to keep games lower-scoring and puts pressure on the Giants' passing to break it open.

  • RED ZONEJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 40.9% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 67.9%

    Jacksonville allows touchdowns on 40.9% of red-zone trips over 7 games, and Baltimore allows 67.9% over 8. Red-zone rates move a lot on a few plays, so both could drift toward the middle. In Jacksonville at Baltimore, Jacksonville's offense should find the end zone more easily once close than Baltimore's does.

  • PASS RUSHDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 2.88 sacks recorded per game to CAR's 1.57

    Denver averages 2.88 sacks a game over 8 games, and Carolina averages 1.57 over 7. Half a season of pressure is a reasonable sign of a real pass rush. In Denver at Carolina, Carolina's quarterback is the one likelier to be taking hits, which bears on Carolina's passing totals.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    Tyrell Shavers (WR) is pup-r for BUF

    Shavers (knee) was designated to return from the reserve PUP list, which opens his practice window, but the Oct 28 report says he will not play Sunday. That report names the Ravens while this listing shows Buffalo at Minnesota, so confirm which game it covers. Either way, a player just activating his practice window is unlikely to factor into the Bills' passing plans right away.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

    Conner is on injured reserve with a foot injury, and the IR-R tag points to a possible return, but coach Mike LaFleur said he won't come back this week. That removes the doubt for the Seattle game: he is out. The next question is whether his status changes after this week, since no return date was given. Judge Arizona's run game on the backs who are active, and check the team's depth chart because no replacement has been named here.

  • COVERAGEARI @ SEA

    SEA: 156 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 220.5

    Seattle allows 156 passing yards a game over 8 games, and Arizona allows 220.5. Script can shrink passing yards when opponents trail and run, and the sheet doesn't show that context. In Arizona at Seattle, Arizona's passing game faces the stingier coverage, so its passing yardage markets carry the harder matchup.

  • QUARTERBACKBUF @ MIN

    Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

    Through 6 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 1022 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 6.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in. Kyler Murray is also listed q for this matchup.

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 229.3 team passing yards per game to PHI's 177.1

    The Giants are throwing for more yards per game than last season, 229.3 against 204.4, while Philadelphia has dropped to 177.1 from 194.3. Through seven and eight games that is a real shift for both offenses. Passing yards also depend on game script, so a team playing from behind piles them up. For this matchup, the Giants look like the side more willing to win through the air, and it fits spots where Philadelphia has leaned on other ways to move the ball.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLV @ SF

    SF: 6.44 yards per play to LV's 5.39

    LV is at 5.39 yards per play over 8 games; SF is at 6.44 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LV was at 4.35 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

    Collins is out with a hip injury and stays on injured reserve, so he will not be available for the Falcons against Cincinnati. Since he was already on IR, Atlanta's receiver group has been working without him, and his absence should not change how you look at this game.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Adam Randall (RB) is ir-r for BAL

    Randall (neck) wasn't activated from injured reserve Saturday and won't be available for Sunday's game against the Bills, Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 1.

  • STREAKDAL @ IND

    IND has lost 4 straight

    Indianapolis won two early and has lost four straight since. The sheet doesn't say who those four losses came against, so the streak shows results without showing how lopsided they were. Four games is long enough to move the market and short enough to flip. With Dallas visiting, check whether the line has overcorrected on the Colts.

  • STREAKDEN @ CAR

    DEN has won 4 straight

    Denver is 6-2 and has won four in a row, so it's a good team playing its best football right now. The sheet doesn't say who those four wins came against, which matters for how much weight the run deserves. Hot streaks tend to get priced in quickly. Heading to Carolina, the question for a bettor is whether the line asks too much of Denver after four straight wins.

  • QUARTERBACKLAR @ WSH

    Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

    Through 8 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 2146 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.08 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in. Matthew Stafford is also listed q for this matchup.

  • QUARTERBACKJAX @ BAL

    Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

    Through 5 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 727 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in. Tyler Huntley is also listed q for this matchup.

  • PASS RUSHHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 3 sacks recorded per game to LAC's 1.71

    Houston records 3 sacks a game over 7 games, and the Chargers record 1.71. That's a clear pressure edge for Houston across a fair sample. In Houston at the Chargers, the home offense faces the better rush, so the Chargers' passing game is the side more likely to be disrupted.

  • TEAM RECORDCLE @ NO

    CLE is 2-3 on the road; NO is 0-4 at home

    The site split favours CLE: NO has played 4 games at home this season and CLE 5 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 33:34 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:24

    The Giants are holding the ball longer this season, 33:34 a game against 30:58 last season, and Philadelphia has dropped to 28:24 from 30:11. Over seven games that points to a Giants offense built to grind out drives, which also fits its fourth-down aggression. Possession time follows score and pace, so it can move fast. If the Giants control the clock again, expect fewer total possessions, which matters for totals more than sides.

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ PHI

    NYG @ PHI carries a 39.5 market total

    The market expects a slow, grinding game here, with fewer total points than any other matchup on a 15-game slate where the middle total is 46.5. A number this low usually means the book sees long drives, field goals and few quick scores from either side. For it to crack, one of these offenses would need early touchdowns or short fields from turnovers. Bettors can use this as a baseline for low-scoring spots and ask what would have to break for points to come in bunches.

  • SITUATIONALDAL @ IND

    DAL: 6.45 yards per pass attempt to IND's 4.67

    DAL is at 6.45 yards per pass attempt over 8 games; IND is at 4.67 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and IND at 6.76 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSGB @ NE

    GB: 1.88 takeaways per game to NE's 1

    Green Bay forces 1.88 takeaways a game over 8 games, and New England forces 1. Takeaways are the streakiest defensive stat, so Green Bay's rate may cool. In Green Bay at New England, the Patriots' offense is the one more exposed to giveaways, which can swing short fields and scoring.

  • COVERAGEBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 29.7% third downs allowed to BUF's 41.9%

    BUF is at 41.9% third downs allowed over 7 games; MIN is at 29.7% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TEAM RECORDNYG @ PHI

    NFC EAST game: NYG 1-0-1, PHI 1-2 in the division

    The Giants haven't lost a division game yet, with a win and a tie, while Philadelphia is 1-2 inside the NFC East. Two or three games is a tiny sample, and division teams know each other well, which tends to keep these games tighter than the records suggest. Don't lean on the division split. The overall form of each team will tell you more.

  • PASS RUSHNYJ @ KC

    NYJ: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.29

    The Jets average 2.5 sacks a game over 8 games, and Kansas City averages 1.29 over 7. Kansas City's defense isn't getting home much, giving the Jets' quarterback cleaner pockets. In the Jets at Kansas City, the visiting passing game should face less pressure than the Chiefs' does.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF

    Stout's shoulder kept him to emergency depth duty in the loss to Atlanta. He was active but only as a backup in case others got hurt. That report is from Oct 26, so check how his practice week goes before the Raiders game. If he is limited again, expect San Francisco's other corners to take most of the snaps.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Nick Bosa (DE) is questionable for SF

    Shanahan said Monday that Bosa (knee) has a chance to return Nov 8 against the Raiders after the Week 8 bye. A chance is the coach keeping options open, which is softer than expected to return. If Bosa plays, San Francisco's pass rush gets its top name back. Hold off on Raiders passing props until his practice status is clear.

  • RED ZONEDET @ MIA

    DET: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to MIA's 2.57

    DET is at 4.29 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; MIA is at 2.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 3.76 over 17 games and MIA at 2.82 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR

    The Rams list Parkinson as questionable for Washington, with no injury or practice details reported. His status affects how the Rams use their tight ends. Let practice updates settle it before leaning on any receiving lines involving him.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Luke Schoonmaker (TE) is questionable for DAL

    DAL lists Luke Schoonmaker as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • COVERAGETB @ CHI

    TB: 4.95 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.9

    Tampa Bay's defense gives up close to a full yard less per snap than Chicago's, and both numbers come from 8 games, so this is a real half-season trend and not a fluke. The sheet doesn't show who each team has faced, so some of this gap could be schedule. Yards per play tends to stay steady over a season. When Tampa has the ball, Chicago's defense is the one more likely to give up chunk plays, so lean toward the Bucs' offense finding room.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ IND

    DAL: 27.4 points per game to IND's 20.1

    DAL is at 27.4 points per game over 8 games; IND is at 20.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and IND at 27.4 over 17 games.

  • TEAM RECORDARI @ SEA

    NFC WEST game: ARI 1-2, SEA 1-1 in the division

    Arizona is 1-2 in the NFC West and Seattle is 1-1, so neither team has separated itself in the division. With two or three games each, these records say almost nothing about this matchup. Familiar division opponents usually play each other close. Look past the division record and judge the game on the matchup.

  • PASS RUSHBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 1.86 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

    BUF is at 1.86 sacks taken per game over 7 games; MIN is at 3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ LAC

    HOU @ LAC carries a 40.5 market total

    At 40.5, this game sits 6 points under the slate's 46.5 median, so the market is pricing in a low-event game where points come slowly. That points to offenses expected to stall in the red zone or defenses expected to control the pace. The expectation breaks if either side starts hitting explosive plays or turns red-zone trips into touchdowns instead of field goals. A total this low leaves little room, so a single defensive or special teams score moves it a lot.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 20.6 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.6

    DEN is at 20.6 points allowed per game over 8 games; CAR is at 27.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and CAR at 22.4 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONELV @ SF

    SF: 47.8% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 70.6%

    LV is at 70.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; SF is at 47.8% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • RED ZONENYJ @ KC

    KC: 38.9% red-zone scoring allowed to NYJ's 62.1%

    NYJ is at 62.1% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; KC is at 38.9% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 6.89 yards per pass attempt to LAC's 5.24

    HOU is at 6.89 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; LAC is at 5.24 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 6.2 over 17 games and LAC at 5.87 over 17 games.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSDAL @ IND

    DAL: 5.39 yards per play to IND's 4.45

    Dallas gains about a yard more per play than Indianapolis this season, 5.39 to 4.45, though both teams are down from last season, when Dallas was at 5.96 and the Colts at 5.77. In the last game, Prescott hit Pickens for 37 and Lamb for 27, while Indy had no play of 20 yards or more. The Colts' drop over eight games is sharp and likely overstates their decline. Dallas holds the explosive edge here, so the Colts probably need long drives to keep pace.

  • PASS RUSHDAL @ IND

    DAL: 7.9 sack yards lost per game to IND's 19.1

    DAL is at 7.9 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; IND is at 19.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and IND at 15.1 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Roger Rosengarten (OT) is questionable for BAL

    BAL lists Roger Rosengarten as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Jarrian Jones (CB) is questionable for JAX

    JAX lists Jarrian Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • RED ZONECIN @ ATL

    CIN: 41.7% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 63.3%

    CIN is at 41.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; ATL is at 63.3% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • SITUATIONALLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 42.7% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.9%

    The Rams convert 42.7% of third downs, up slightly from 39.6% last season, while Washington has slid to 31.9% from 37.6%. That means the Rams sustain drives and Washington stalls more often. The Rams' number looks stable, while Washington's should drift up some over a full season. In this game, expect the Rams to sustain possessions more often, which favors them in the longer drives that shape the clock and the total.

  • COVERAGEDET @ MIA

    MIA: 221 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 276.6

    Detroit gives up far more yards through the air than Miami, 276.6 a game over 7 games. Without opponent details, part of that could come from playing pass-heavy teams or from teams throwing to catch up late. Seven games is enough to take seriously. Miami's passing game is the matchup to watch, since the Lions' secondary has been giving up big totals all season.

  • RED ZONENYG @ PHI

    PHI: 56.3% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 77.8%

    NYG is at 77.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; PHI is at 56.3% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TURNOVERSNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 1.29 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.5

    The Giants' defense forces turnovers far more often than Philadelphia's, which has managed just 0.5 per game over 8 games. Takeaways are one of the most random stats in football and tend to even out, so both numbers will likely move toward the middle. Bettors should not count on the Giants winning the turnover battle based on this alone, and the Eagles' low number has room to rise.

  • UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF

    Next college slate · NOV 6

    BDL lists 3 covered college games on the next college slate. All 3 kickoff times are confirmed.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    Dee Alford (CB) is questionable for BUF

    Alford is a Bills corner listed questionable for the game at Minnesota, and the sheet gives no injury or last-played detail. Questionable means his status could go either way until late in the week. If he is ruled out, Buffalo has to cover the Vikings receivers with one less corner, a reason to wait on the final report before leaning on Minnesota passing props.

  • TEAM RECORDDET @ MIA

    DET is 1-2 on the road; MIA is 0-3 at home

    The site split favours DET: MIA has played 3 games at home this season and DET 3 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC

    Jackson is a genuine game-time type of call for the Chargers against Houston, with no injury or last-game detail on the sheet. The bigger story is the room around him: LAC also lists Rodney Shelley and Deane Leonard as questionable, so three corners are uncertain at once. If two or more sit, the Texans receivers get softer coverage, which matters for their passing props.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Rodney Shelley (CB) is questionable for LAC

    Shelley is one of three Chargers corners listed questionable for Houston, along with Donte Jackson and Deane Leonard. The sheet gives no injury or last-game detail, so his own role is hard to measure. The pile-up is the angle: depth at corner gets thin fast if more than one sits, so check the final inactives before betting the Texans passing game.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Deane Leonard (CB) is questionable for LAC

    Leonard joins Donte Jackson and Rodney Shelley on the Chargers questionable list, three corners in doubt for one game against Houston. There is no injury or last-played detail here. One missing corner is manageable, but several out together would push LAC into deep backups, a spot worth checking before kickoff for Texans receiver lines.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

    Runyon (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 30.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Travis Glover (OT) is questionable for GB

    Glover is a Packers tackle listed questionable for the trip to New England, with no injury or last-game detail on the sheet. Questionable leaves it close to a coin flip. If he sits, a backup handles his side of the line, which can mean more pressure on the quarterback, so his status is worth checking before betting sacks or Green Bay passing numbers.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Charles Cross (OT) is questionable for SEA

    SEA lists Charles Cross as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    Spencer Brown (OT) is questionable for BUF

    Buffalo lists Brown as questionable for the trip to Minnesota, reported Nov 3, with no injury named. Questionable means he could play or sit. If the tackle misses, a backup takes over protection duties, which is worth factoring into Bills passing and sack props once the inactive list posts.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Jonathan Jones (CB) is questionable for PHI

    PHI lists Jonathan Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Kadyn Proctor (OT) is questionable for MIA

    Miami lists Proctor as questionable against Detroit, reported Nov 3, with no injury named. Questionable is close to a coin flip. A backup tackle against the Lions front would put more pressure on Miami's pass protection, so his final status is the thing to check before sack or Dolphins passing props.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Mansoor Delane (CB) is questionable for KC

    Kansas City lists Delane as questionable for the Jets game, reported Nov 3, with no injury named. Questionable means his status could go either way. If the corner sits, the Chiefs lean deeper into their secondary, so check inactives before playing Jets receiver props.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Joseph Ossai (DE) is questionable for NYJ

    The Jets list Ossai as questionable for Kansas City, with no injury or practice details on record. If he sits, New York loses an edge rusher against the Chiefs. Check his practice participation through the week before leaning on pressure-based angles.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Justin Walley (CB) is questionable for IND

    IND lists Justin Walley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) is questionable for ATL

    Atlanta lists Bowman as questionable for Cincinnati, with no injury or practice details yet. Against a Bengals passing game, cornerback depth matters for yardage totals. Wait for practice reports before factoring his status in.

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 23.3 points per game to PHI's 17.1

    NYG is at 23.3 points per game over 7 games; PHI is at 17.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 22.4 over 17 games and PHI at 22.3 over 17 games.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 5.54 yards per play to LAC's 4.71

    Houston gains 5.54 yards a play this season, up from 5.1, while the Chargers have fallen to 4.71 from 5.19 over seven games. The Chargers' last game ran the other way, with Herbert hitting McConkey for 54 and 30 among four plays of 20 yards or more. Houston's last game had Stroud finding Dell for 43. One big game does not erase seven weeks, but the Chargers' season number looks low for an offense that can still hit plays like that.

  • COVERAGELAR @ WSH

    LAR: 32.4% third downs allowed to WSH's 42.7%

    The Rams get off the field on third down much more often than Washington, holding teams to 32.4% over 8 games. Washington's 42.7% over 7 games means opposing offenses keep drives alive against them. Third-down rates hold up reasonably well across a half season. Expect the Rams' offense to sustain longer drives, which can mean more time of possession and more scoring chances for Los Angeles.

  • TURNOVERSARI @ SEA

    ARI: 1 turnover committed per game to SEA's 1.75

    Arizona gives the ball away once a game, down from 1.24 last season, while Seattle sits at 1.75, close to its 1.65 last season. Seattle's mark has held across two seasons, which makes it look like part of how that offense plays. Turnovers swing on a few bounces each week, so Arizona's improvement is less certain. In this matchup, Arizona is the side likelier to protect the ball, which matters most if the game stays close.

  • STREAKJAX @ BAL

    BAL has lost 3 straight

    BAL carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 4-4 on the season. They face JAX in JAX @ BAL. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • STREAKCIN @ ATL

    CIN has won 3 straight

    Cincinnati is 5-2 and has won three straight, including three of four on the road. The sheet doesn't say who those wins came against. A three-game run is a short streak, though it points the same way as the Bengals' road record. Going into Atlanta, the form backs Cincinnati, and the line probably reflects it already.

  • STREAKNYJ @ KC

    NYJ has lost 3 straight

    The Jets are 2-6 and have lost three straight, with one road win in four tries. The sheet doesn't list opponents, so the streak shows results without showing how lopsided they were. Three games is a short skid on its own, but it fits a weak season overall. At Kansas City, the useful angle is whether the spread already prices in how badly things are going.

  • STREAKDET @ MIA

    DET has won 3 straight

    DET carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 5-2 on the season. They face MIA in DET @ MIA. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • STREAKTB @ CHI

    CHI has won 3 straight

    Chicago is 6-2 and has won three in a row, so this is a team playing with confidence coming home to face Tampa Bay. The fact sheet doesn't say who those three wins came against, so it's unclear how much of the streak is quality and how much is schedule. Three games is a short run, and streaks this size break all the time. Weigh the full 6-2 record more heavily than the hot stretch when sizing up this matchup.

  • STREAKBUF @ MIN

    BUF has won 3 straight

    Buffalo is 6-1 with three straight wins, which says this team has lost once all year and is rolling into Minnesota. Who those three wins came against isn't listed, so the streak alone can't tell you whether the run was earned against strong teams. The 6-1 mark carries more weight than the three-game run. On the road, look at how Buffalo matches up with Minnesota rather than leaning on momentum.

  • PASS RUSHCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 3.29 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 2.25

    Cincinnati gets to the quarterback about one extra time per game compared to Atlanta, a gap over 7 and 8 game samples. Sack totals depend on opposing lines and how often teams are forced to throw, which the sheet doesn't show. The Bengals' pass rush is a factor for Atlanta's quarterback, so a drive-killing sack on obvious passing downs is more likely from the Cincinnati side.

  • TURNOVERSHOU @ LAC

    LAC: 1.57 takeaways per game to HOU's 0.86

    The Chargers force turnovers about twice as often as Houston, both over 7 games. Takeaways are one of the most random stats in football and usually even out over time, so expect this gap to narrow. A bettor can note the Chargers' ball-hawking habit, but turnovers are too streaky to rely on for any one game.

  • TURNOVERSDET @ MIA

    DET: 0.57 turnovers committed per game to MIA's 1.29

    DET is at 0.57 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; MIA is at 1.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 0.88 over 17 games and MIA at 1.41 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALTB @ CHI

    TB (3-5) at CHI (6-2)

    Tampa Bay is 3-5 but +27, the same differential gap as the matchup, which means the Bucs have played far better than the record and have won 2 straight. Chicago is 6-2, +54, on a 3-game win streak and 3-1 at home. Both teams arrive hot. The Bucs' record undersells them, so this spot may be closer than the standings suggest.

  • SITUATIONALLV @ SF

    LV (4-4) at SF (6-1)

    LV is 4-4, -9 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. SF is 6-1, +58 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. LV is 3-1 on the road; SF is 4-0 at home.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ LAC

    HOU (2-5) at LAC (0-7)

    The Chargers are 0-7, -76, and 0-3 at home, with nothing in the numbers pointing to a turnaround. Houston is 2-5 but only -5, so its record looks worse than its play, and it is 2-1 on the road. A losing team with a near-even differential facing a winless one is a spot where the records undersell the visitor.

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ CAR

    CAR has 3 more days of rest

    Both teams are on short rest, but Denver has it worse at 2 days since its last game against Carolina's 5. Carolina also plays at home, so it gets the extra practice day and skips the travel. A 3-day gap matters most for recovery and for how much new wrinkle a team can install. Weigh Denver's road trip on a tight turnaround as a real drag on preparation.

  • SITUATIONALGB @ NE

    GB has 3 more days of rest

    Green Bay comes in on 5 days of rest and New England on just 2, so both are rushed but the Packers had a little more time to prepare. New England has the home field to offset some of that, with no travel on a quick turnaround. Expect both sides to run familiar plays rather than new looks. The 3-day gap leans toward Green Bay on freshness and toward New England on logistics.

  • SITUATIONALLAR @ WSH

    LAR (4-4) at WSH (2-4-1)

    LAR is 4-4, +26 points on the year, has won 2 straight this season. WSH is 2-4-1, -23 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. LAR is 2-1 on the road; WSH is 2-1-1 at home.

  • SITUATIONALDET @ MIA

    DET (5-2) at MIA (1-6)

    Detroit is 5-2 and on a 3-game win streak, but +23 is modest for that record, and the Lions are only 1-2 on the road. Miami is 1-6, -64 and 0-3 at home. The Lions' road record and narrow differential argue for caution on margin. Miami's home form gives little reason to expect the building to help.

  • SITUATIONALNYJ @ KC

    NYJ (2-6) at KC (5-2)

    Kansas City has lost 2 straight but is still 3-0 at home and +36 on the year. The Jets are 2-6 but only -18, so several of their losses were close, and they are 1-3 on the road. The Chiefs' skid has come away from home, which matters in a game at Arrowhead. Weigh the clean home record more than the recent losing streak.

  • SITUATIONALDAL @ IND

    DAL (3-5) at IND (2-6)

    Dallas is 3-5 with a +6 differential, which means that record likely undersells them: they have been losing close games. Indianapolis is -61 and has lost 4 straight, and is 1-2 at home. When a losing team has a positive point total and the opponent is deep in the red, the record gap understates how far apart these teams have played.

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ ATL

    CIN (5-2) at ATL (3-5)

    Cincinnati arrives on a 3-game win streak, 5-2 and +48, and has been good away from home at 3-1. Atlanta is 1-3 at home and -18 overall, so home field has not been an edge for them. The Falcons' differential is mild for a 3-5 team, meaning some losses were close. Cincinnati's road record and Atlanta's home record point the same way in this spot.

  • SITUATIONALJAX @ BAL

    JAX (5-2) at BAL (4-4)

    Jacksonville is 5-2 with a +85 differential, which says the wins have come by real margins. Baltimore is 4-4 and -24, with 3 straight losses, and only 1-2 at home. The Jaguars have played just two road games, going 1-1, so their road form is a small sample. The point gaps are the stronger signal here, and the Ravens' home record has not given them much cover.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSDET @ MIA

    DET: 5.94 yards per play to MIA's 5.13

    Detroit gains 5.94 yards a play, almost identical to its 5.97 last season, while Miami is at 5.13, a bit below its 5.4. Detroit's number has held across two seasons, which makes it the steadier one. In the last game, Gibbs broke a 30-yard touchdown run, and Miami's Willis found Coleman for a 35-yard score. Detroit's efficiency looks real, so Miami likely needs big plays to stay with them.

  • TURNOVERSJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 1.71 takeaways per game to BAL's 1

    Jacksonville takes the ball away more often than Baltimore, 1.71 per game over 7 games. Turnovers are one of the streakiest stats in the league and usually cool off, so this gap is likely to shrink. A bettor should not assume the Jaguars win the turnover battle here. A game decided by turnovers can swing either way, and this number is not stable enough to build around.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Antonio Johnson (S) is questionable for JAX

    JAX lists Antonio Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Branson Combs (LB) is questionable for JAX

    JAX lists Branson Combs as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    John Jenkins (DT) is questionable for BAL

    BAL lists John Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN

    Iosivas is on injured reserve with a thumb injury and is reported to be making good progress in rehab. That is encouraging for a return at some point, but the report gives no timeline, and the IR listing is the status that counts for the Atlanta game. Think about Cincinnati's receivers without Iosivas until the team changes that designation.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN

    CIN lists Kyle Dugger as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

    Williams (ankle) will remain on injured reserve and has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Tori McElhany of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Nov 1.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL

    ATL lists Divine Deablo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Dee Winters (LB) is questionable for DAL

    DAL lists Dee Winters as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Bryce Boettcher (LB) is questionable for IND

    IND lists Bryce Boettcher as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • COVERAGENYG @ PHI

    NYG: 184.9 passing yards allowed per game to PHI's 235.4

    The Giants allow just 184.9 passing yards a game over 7 games, while the Eagles give up a fair bit more. Without knowing which quarterbacks each faced, part of this could be schedule or teams leaning on the run. Seven games is a reasonable sample. Philadelphia's passing attack faces the tougher test here, and New York's quarterback has more room to throw.

  • COVERAGELAR @ WSH

    LAR: 191.9 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 243

    The Rams hold opponents to 191.9 passing yards a game over 8 games, while Washington gives up 243 over 7. Some of that could reflect the quarterbacks each has faced, which the sheet doesn't show. The Rams' passing game gets the softer matchup against Washington, while Washington's quarterback faces a secondary that has kept yardage down all season.

  • COVERAGEHOU @ LAC

    LAC: 30.6% third downs allowed to HOU's 40.4%

    The Chargers stop opponents on third down far more often than Houston, holding teams to 30.6% over 7 games. Houston's 40.4% means opposing drives keep moving. Both samples are the same length, and third-down defense tends to hold up across a season. Houston's offense will have a harder time sustaining drives in this game, which points to more punts and shorter possessions for the Texans.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Jeremiyah Love (RB) is on injured reserve for ARI

    Arizona placed Love (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Kendrick Bourne (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI

    Arizona placed Bourne (tibia) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Josh Hayes (CB) is ir-r for TB

    Hayes is working back from a knee injury and has been designated to return, but he hit a small setback in his recovery, per an Oct 29 report. That makes his return against Chicago less likely than the designation alone suggests, so expect Tampa Bay to keep playing the corners it has been using.

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ MIN

    Greg Gaines (DT) is questionable for BUF

    BUF lists Greg Gaines as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    David Bailey (LB) is questionable for NYJ

    Bailey is a Jets linebacker listed questionable for the trip to Kansas City, with no injury or last-game detail supplied. That leaves his role and the size of any drop-off unclear. Questionable is a true maybe, so the cleanest move is to wait on the final status before betting anything tied to how the Jets defend the Chiefs offense.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Isiah Pacheco (RB) is on injured reserve for DET

    Pacheco has a back injury, and injured reserve rules him out against Miami. Dan Campbell said Friday that he has a chance to return in late December, so this is a long absence with no firm date. Detroit's plan for his work isn't spelled out, so look to who gets the Lions' carries this week and treat any late December return as a possibility for now.

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NO

    Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

    Etienne is on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, and Kellen Moore said he'll be evaluated Monday before the Saints decide whether he practices this week. Practicing would be the first step back, so playing against Cleveland is far from settled. Until he's activated, assume the Saints' backfield runs without him.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Dameon Pierce (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

    The Eagles placed Pierce (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday Reported Oct 28.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Jihaad Campbell (LB) is questionable for PHI

    PHI lists Jihaad Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

    Adams had successful surgery on his left hamstring, and injured reserve rules him out against Washington. The recovery timetable is 6-to-10 weeks, and Sean McVay said the Rams hope he lands on the early side. That hope is the only sign of a quicker return, so plan on the Rams playing without him for a while. No replacement is named, so see how they split his targets before judging their receiver room.

  • TURNOVERSHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 0.29 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1

    HOU is at 0.29 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; LAC is at 1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 0.18 over 17 games and LAC at 0.41 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Dean Connors (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR

    Connors went on injured reserve Tuesday with a hand injury, so unlike a questionable tag, there is no game-day decision to wait on: he will not play at Washington. Any Rams backfield read for this game should assume he is out, though it is unclear from what is reported who picks up his work.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Terry McLaurin (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

    McLaurin had surgery Friday to repair a torn patellar tendon in his left knee, so he is out against the Rams while on injured reserve. A torn tendon that needed surgery is a serious injury, and no return timeline has been given. Don't price Washington as if he is coming back soon. No one is named to take over his work, so this game offers a first look at how the Commanders replace him.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Jeremy McNichols (RB) is on injured reserve for WSH

    The Commanders placed McNichols (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Talanoa Hufanga (S) is questionable for DEN

    Denver lists Hufanga as questionable at Carolina, reported Nov 3, with no injury named. Questionable is roughly even odds to play. If the safety sits, the Broncos fill in from their depth in the back end, so hold off on Panthers passing props until his status is known.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    RJ Harvey (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

    Denver placed Harvey on injured reserve Saturday with a knee injury, per the Oct 31 report. That rules him out of the Carolina game and at least the next few weeks. The Broncos' backfield carries go to whoever else is active, so look at Denver running back roles for this game with Harvey off the board.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

    Brooks is on injured reserve with a core injury, so he is out of Carolina's plans until the Panthers activate him. Working off to the side during Tuesday's unofficial practice on Nov 3 shows he is doing some work, but away from the main group. That points to rehab progress and falls short of a return. For the Denver game, keep him out of your thinking unless his status changes.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Xavier Legette (WR) is on injured reserve for CAR

    Legette is on injured reserve with a knee injury, and Dave Canales said Monday he will potentially be designated to return this week. That would start his practice window, and he still needs to be activated before he can play Denver. For now, treat Carolina's receiver group as playing without him.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Bobby Brown III (DT) is questionable for CAR

    CAR lists Bobby Brown III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Jaylin Noel (WR) is on injured reserve for HOU

    Noel, who was placed on injured reserve earlier Wednesday, is expected to require surgery to address his toe injury and will miss the remainder of the season, Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports. Reported Oct 28.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    De'Zhaun Stribling (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

    Stribling (ankle) was spotted Monday walking without crutches or a brace on his lower leg, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

    Matt LaFleur said the Packers' intention is for Parsons (knee) to resume practicing in Week 9, and he called it a process to get him back. Getting on the field for practice is the first step, so playing at New England this week is a long shot based on those words. If he is out, Green Bay's pass rush is missing a big name, which helps the Patriots' passing outlook.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Zaire Franklin (LB) is questionable for GB

    GB lists Zaire Franklin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

    Hollins (calf), who is eligible to be activated from IR this week, per Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald, could return to practice Wednesday, Evan Lazar of the Patriots' official site reports. Reported Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI

    ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ NO

    CLE: 21.6 points allowed per game to NO's 27.7

    CLE is at 21.6 points allowed per game over 8 games; NO is at 27.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 22.3 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTTB @ CHI

    CHI: 71.9 offensive plays per game to TB's 62.1

    TB is at 62.1 offensive plays per game over 8 games; CHI is at 71.9 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 62.8 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ ATL

    CIN @ ATL carries a 51.5 market total

    The current fanduel total is 51.5, 5 points above the 46.5 median across 15 games with posted totals on this slate.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ IND

    DAL @ IND carries a 51.5 market total

    At 51.5, this game is tied for the top total on a 15-game slate, 5 points over the 46.5 median, which tells you the market expects a game with points from both sides. That kind of number assumes few empty possessions and steady touchdown drives. For it to come in low, the defenses would need to force punts or turnovers early and keep the score close. A total this high rewards thinking about pace and how often each team actually finishes drives.

  • PACE & SCRIPTLV @ SF

    LV @ SF carries a 51.5 market total

    The market has this one tied for the highest total on the slate, 5 points above the 46.5 median across 15 games, so it is pricing a game where scoring comes often. That expectation leans on drives ending in touchdowns rather than field goals. If one side cannot keep pace, a lopsided score can slow the game late as the leader runs clock. Bettors can weigh whether both offenses need to contribute for a number this high to get there.

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Eric Murray

    Elbow · Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Calais Campbell

    Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Lamar Jackson

    Thumb · Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Jaylinn Hawkins

    Knee · Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    DaVon Hamilton

    Knee · Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Bhayshul Tuten

    Ankle · Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Tyler Huntley

    Toe · Did not practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Tyler Loop

    Groin · Did not practice

  • SITUATIONALLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 23.3 first downs per game to WSH's 18.3

    LAR is at 23.3 first downs per game over 8 games; WSH is at 18.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LAR was at 23.3 over 17 games and WSH at 19 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 21 first downs per game to PHI's 16.1

    NYG is at 21 first downs per game over 7 games; PHI is at 16.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 20.4 over 17 games and PHI at 18 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 28 points per game to BAL's 22.4

    Jacksonville is scoring 28 points a game, right in line with its 27.9 last season, while Baltimore has dipped to 22.4 from 24.9. Jacksonville's scoring has held across two seasons, which makes it look like who they are. Baltimore's slide over eight games could recover some. For this game, the Jaguars bring the more dependable offense, and the total depends on whether Baltimore climbs back toward last season.

  • TRENCHESNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 116.7 rushing yards per game to PHI's 88.1

    NYG is at 116.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; PHI is at 88.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 129.1 over 17 games and PHI at 116.9 over 17 games.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSDEN @ CAR

    CAR: 5.5 yards per play to DEN's 4.74

    Carolina gains almost a full yard more per snap than Denver, and both teams have flipped from last season, when Denver sat at 5.32 and Carolina at 4.92. Denver's offense still hit 4 plays of 20+ yards last game, three of them Bo Nix throws, so the explosive ability is there even with a low average. Carolina managed 1 such play, the Jalen Coker touchdown. Some reversion toward last year's numbers is a fair expectation, so lean on the gap less than the raw figure suggests.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNYJ @ KC

    KC: 6.29 yards per play to NYJ's 5.51

    Kansas City gains 6.29 yards a play, up from 5.05 last season, and the Jets are at 5.51, a large jump from 4.36. The Jets' last game had seven plays of 20 yards or more, led by Smith's 47-yarder to Mitchell, while Mahomes hit Johnson for a 73-yard score. The Jets' gain is the bigger change and the more likely to cool. Both offenses are producing chunk plays lately, which points toward a game with scoring upside.

  • TRENCHESCIN @ ATL

    ATL: 4.55 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.59

    CIN is at 3.59 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; ATL is at 4.55 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 4.14 over 17 games and ATL at 4.39 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 0.75 turnovers committed per game to CAR's 1.43

    DEN is at 0.75 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; CAR is at 1.43 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DEN was at 1 over 17 games and CAR at 1.35 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ CAR

    CAR: 66.6 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57

    DEN is at 57 offensive plays per game over 8 games; CAR is at 66.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DEN was at 64.2 over 17 games and CAR at 59.5 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDET @ MIA

    DET: 66.6 offensive plays per game to MIA's 56.9

    DET is at 66.6 offensive plays per game over 7 games; MIA is at 56.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 62.5 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ NO

    NO: 23.1 points per game to CLE's 17.4

    CLE is at 17.4 points per game over 8 games; NO is at 23.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    John Simpson (G) is questionable for BAL

    BAL lists John Simpson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • COVERAGECLE @ NO

    CLE: 38.7% third downs allowed to NO's 47.8%

    Cleveland's defense gets off the field on third down more often than New Orleans, which lets opponents convert 47.8% over 7 games, a high rate. Third-down numbers hold steady across a half season more than most stats. The Browns' offense should find it easier to extend drives in this game, which can mean more plays and more time with the ball for Cleveland.

  • TRENCHESHOU @ LAC

    LAC: 111.1 rushing yards per game to HOU's 84.7

    HOU is at 84.7 rushing yards per game over 7 games; LAC is at 111.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 108.9 over 17 games and LAC at 121.6 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSLV @ SF

    LV: 1.63 takeaways per game to SF's 1

    LV is at 1.63 takeaways per game over 8 games; SF is at 1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TURNOVERSARI @ SEA

    SEA: 1.63 takeaways per game to ARI's 1

    ARI is at 1 takeaways per game over 8 games; SEA is at 1.63 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TURNOVERSTB @ CHI

    TB: 2 takeaways per game to CHI's 1.38

    Tampa Bay's defense is forcing 2 turnovers a game over 8 games, while Chicago's sits at 1.38 over the same stretch. Takeaways swing a lot from week to week, and eight games is enough to show a trend but not enough to bank on it. The sheet doesn't say which offenses produced those giveaways, so it can't separate real ball-hawking from careless opponents. For this game, Tampa Bay has the edge in turnover upside, but don't build a whole view around it.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

    Lions head coach Dan Campbell said Tuesday that Joseph (knee) will not play in Week 9 against the Dolphins but is expected to see scout-team reps, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Omarr Norman-Lott (DT) is pup-r for KC

    Norman-Lott has been out with a knee injury, and Kansas City opened his return window Wednesday. That starts a practice clock; it does not guarantee he is active against the Jets. A rotational defensive tackle coming back from injury usually eases in, so his impact on this game is likely small even if he dresses.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Torricelli Simpkins III (G) is questionable for CAR

    CAR lists Torricelli Simpkins III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Jonathan Bullard (DT) is ir-r for DAL

    Bullard (calf) was designated to return from injured reserve by the Cowboys on Thursday. Reported Oct 30.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Yasir Abdullah (LB) is ir-r for ATL

    The Falcons designated Abdullah (hamstring) for return to practice from their injured reserve list Tuesday, per the NFL's transaction log. Reported Nov 4.

  • PASS RUSHJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 1.86 sacks taken per game to BAL's 2.75

    JAX is at 1.86 sacks taken per game over 7 games; BAL is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season JAX was at 3.42 over 17 games and BAL at 2.65 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Jer'Zhan Newton (DT) is ir-r for WSH

    Newton (pectoral) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles. Reported Nov 1.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Joe Cardona (LS) is questionable for LAR

    LAR lists Joe Cardona as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • SITUATIONALDAL @ IND

    DAL: 47.5% third-down conversion rate to IND's 38.5%

    DAL is at 47.5% third-down conversion rate over 8 games; IND is at 38.5% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and IND at 42.6% over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 22.1 first downs per game to ATL's 17.6

    CIN is at 22.1 first downs per game over 7 games; ATL is at 17.6 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and ATL at 19.4 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR

    CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • COVERAGEARI @ SEA

    SEA: 30.6% third downs allowed to ARI's 39.4%

    Seattle holds opponents to 30.6% on third down over 8 games, while Arizona allows 39.4% over the same span. Third-down defense tends to stick across a season. Arizona's offense faces the tougher test on key downs, so expect the Cardinals to have more drives stall and the Seahawks to keep possessions alive.

  • RED ZONEHOU @ LAC

    LAC: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to HOU's 68.4%

    HOU is at 68.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; LAC is at 50% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • RED ZONEDAL @ IND

    DAL: 4 red-zone trips per game to IND's 2.75

    DAL is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; IND is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 3.82 over 17 games and IND at 3.88 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 60% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 33.3%

    CIN is at 60% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; ATL is at 33.3% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 70% over 17 games and ATL at 50% over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 48.2% third-down conversion rate to BAL's 39.2%

    Jacksonville is moving the chains on nearly half its third downs, a big jump from 39.2% over 17 games last season. Third-down rates are among the jumpiest numbers in football, and 7 games is a small window, so expect some slide back. Baltimore is close to its 40.9% from last year. Treat Jacksonville's drive-extending edge as real but shrinking when judging how long its possessions will run.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 5.17 yards per play to PHI's 4.45

    The Giants are almost exactly where they were last season at 5.15, so their efficiency looks stable. Philadelphia is the mover, down from 5.27 last season with Tanner McKee taking the snaps in its last game. New York broke 7 plays of 20+ yards last game behind J.J. McCarthy, Malik Nabers and Cam Skattebo, against 3 for the Eagles. If the Eagles' quarterback situation holds, the Giants' edge is easier to trust than most mid-season gaps.

  • COVERAGEHOU @ LAC

    LAC: 198.4 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 244

    HOU is at 244 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; LAC is at 198.4 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Jon Gaines II (G) is questionable for ARI

    ARI lists Jon Gaines II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Sean Rhyan (G) is questionable for GB

    GB lists Sean Rhyan as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

    LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ CAR

    DEN (6-2) at CAR (3-4)

    Denver has won 4 straight and is 6-2, but just +7, so the wins have been tight. Carolina is 3-4 and -15, has lost 2 straight and is 1-2 at home. The Broncos are 2-2 on the road. A 6-2 team with a single-digit differential is one where the record likely flatters, and margin should be expected to stay narrow.

  • TEAM RECORDNYG @ PHI

    NYG is 1-1-1 on the road; PHI is 1-3 at home

    Philadelphia is 1-3 at home, and the Giants are 1-1-1 on the road. That gives New York the edge on this split, but it rests on four home games and three road games, too few to say either team is built for or against its venue. These numbers can move fast. Treat home field here as a small factor and focus on how the two teams match up.

  • TEAM RECORDLV @ SF

    SF is 4-0 at home; LV is 3-1 on the road

    The site split favours SF: SF has played 4 games at home this season and LV 4 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-02.

  • COVERAGETB @ CHI

    CHI: 23.8% third downs allowed to TB's 32%

    Chicago lets opponents convert just 23.8% of third downs over 8 games, and Tampa Bay allows 32% over the same span. That is a real gap, and eight games is a fair sample. The sheet doesn't show who those offenses were, so schedule could be part of it. Third-down rates tend to drift back toward the middle. Chicago getting off the field more often points toward shorter Tampa Bay drives, which matters most for totals and drive-based props.

  • PACE & SCRIPTJAX @ BAL

    JAX @ BAL carries a 42.5 market total

    This total sits 4 points under the 46.5 slate median, so the market expects a below-average scoring game, though not as extreme as the lowest spots on the board. That suggests a game where points are earned on longer drives rather than quick strikes. It cracks if either team breaks big plays or wins the turnover battle and gets short fields. Since the gap from the median is moderate, early scoring can shift the picture fast.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDET @ MIA

    DET @ MIA carries a 50.5 market total

    At 50.5, this game is 4 points above the 46.5 median, so the market expects more scoring than a typical game on this slate. That number points to offenses expected to finish drives and keep trading scores. For it to fall short, the game needs stalled possessions, long clock-eating drives or field goals in the red zone. Bettors can use the first few drives to see whether the expected back-and-forth is taking shape.

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ CAR

    DEN: 53.5 penalty yards per game to CAR's 73.7

    DEN is at 53.5 penalty yards per game over 8 games; CAR is at 73.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

  • PASS RUSHBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 11.4 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 19.9

    BUF is at 11.4 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; MIN is at 19.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 21.3 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 6.06 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 4.86

    NYG is at 6.06 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; PHI is at 4.86 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 5.79 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALDET @ MIA

    DET: 6.99 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.77

    DET is at 6.99 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; MIA is at 5.77 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 7.09 over 17 games and MIA at 6 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 70% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 56.3%

    BUF is at 70% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; MIN is at 56.3% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 21 points allowed per game to WSH's 26

    LAR is at 21 points allowed per game over 8 games; WSH is at 26 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Erick All Jr. (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

    Bengals head coach Zac Taylor confirmed Wednesday that All has been diagnosed with a torn ACL in his right knee and will require season-ending surgery, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports. Reported Oct 28.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ IND

    IND: 32:02 time of possession per game to DAL's 28:46

    DAL is at 28:46 time of possession per game over 8 games; IND is at 32:02 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 30:48 over 17 games and IND at 29:37 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ KC

    KC: 18.7 points allowed per game to NYJ's 23.5

    NYJ is at 23.5 points allowed per game over 8 games; KC is at 18.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYJ was at 29.6 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 44.2% third-down conversion rate to MIN's 36%

    BUF is at 44.2% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; MIN is at 36% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and MIN at 31.8% over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALDAL @ IND

    DAL: 23 first downs per game to IND's 19

    DAL is at 23 first downs per game over 8 games; IND is at 19 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 23.1 over 17 games and IND at 20.7 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 1.43 turnovers committed per game to ATL's 2

    CIN is at 1.43 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; ATL is at 2 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and ATL at 1.06 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Tip Reiman (TE) is pup-r for ARI

    Head coach Mike LaFleur stated he's "not too sure" if Reiman (ankle) will play this season, Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

    Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC

    Coach Jim Harbaugh said Monday that the Chargers likely will open the 21-day window for Njoku (fibula) this week, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Nov 2.

  • PASS RUSHLAR @ WSH

    WSH: 2.29 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.5

    LAR is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 8 games; WSH is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Blake Fisher (OT) is questionable for HOU

    HOU lists Blake Fisher as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Brady Christensen (G) is ir-r for CAR

    Christensen (hamstring) was designated to return from injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

    Coach Sean McVay said Monday that it is "looking more likely than not" Ferguson (ankle) will practice this week, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Marcus Mbow (OT) is questionable for NYG

    NYG lists Marcus Mbow as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • PASS RUSHLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to WSH's 2.29

    LAR is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 8 games; WSH is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LAR was at 1.77 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 3.57 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.43

    HOU is at 3.57 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; LAC is at 2.43 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 3.18 over 17 games and LAC at 3.35 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 60% red-zone scoring rate to LAC's 47.1%

    HOU is at 60% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; LAC is at 47.1% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 46.3% over 17 games and LAC at 47.4% over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEDAL @ IND

    DAL: 71.9% red-zone scoring rate to IND's 59.1%

    DAL is at 71.9% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; IND is at 59.1% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and IND at 65.2% over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESARI @ SEA

    SEA: 94 rushing yards allowed per game to ARI's 122.1

    ARI is at 122.1 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; SEA is at 94 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TURNOVERSNYG @ PHI

    PHI: 1 turnover committed per game to NYG's 1.57

    NYG is at 1.57 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; PHI is at 1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 1 over 17 games and PHI at 0.88 over 17 games.

  • COVERAGEBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 4.61 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.24

    BUF is at 5.24 yards per play allowed over 7 games; MIN is at 4.61 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • COVERAGECLE @ NO

    CLE: 5.19 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.83

    Cleveland allows 5.19 yards per play over 8 games, and New Orleans gives up 5.83 over 7. Yards per play is one of the steadier defensive numbers, so a gap this size usually means something. The sheet doesn't list the opponents behind either figure, so it can't confirm whether either schedule was soft. On a per-snap basis, Cleveland's offense should find more room in New Orleans than the Saints find against Cleveland.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSGB @ NE

    NE: 5.96 yards per play to GB's 5.34

    New England gains about six yards a snap, a little below its 6.23 last season, and Green Bay has also slipped from 5.61. Both sides are down by similar amounts over 8 games, so the gap between them roughly matches last year's. That consistency makes it one of the more stable edges on the board, pointing to the Patriots moving the ball more easily per play.

  • QUARTERBACKJAX @ BAL

    Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

    Through 7 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1690 passing yards, completed 65.7% of his passes and averaged 8.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 17-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKCIN @ ATL

    Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

    Through 7 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 2115 passing yards, completed 73% of his passes and averaged 7.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 20-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKCIN @ ATL

    Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

    Through 6 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1282 passing yards, completed 61.9% of his passes and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKDAL @ IND

    Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

    Through 8 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 2046 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 6.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKDAL @ IND

    Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

    Through 8 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1542 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 5.75 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-9 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKNYJ @ KC

    Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

    Through 8 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1913 passing yards, completed 69% of his passes and averaged 8 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKNYJ @ KC

    Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

    Through 7 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1795 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 7.74 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKDET @ MIA

    Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

    Through 7 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1964 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKDET @ MIA

    Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

    Through 7 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 1268 passing yards, completed 59% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKCLE @ NO

    Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

    Through 8 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1806 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.25 yards per attempt. His 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

  • QUARTERBACKCLE @ NO

    Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

    Through 7 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1721 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKNYG @ PHI

    J.J. McCarthy is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

    Through 3 games in 2026, J.J. McCarthy threw for 495 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 10.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1632 yards, completed 57.6% and averaged 6.72 yards per attempt, 11-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKNYG @ PHI

    Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

    Through 3 games in 2026, Tanner McKee threw for 638 passing yards, completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 5.6 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKLAR @ WSH

    Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

    Through 5 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 976 passing yards, completed 62.8% of his passes and averaged 6.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKDEN @ CAR

    Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

    Through 8 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1493 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKDEN @ CAR

    Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

    Through 7 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1921 passing yards, completed 58.7% of his passes and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKHOU @ LAC

    C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

    Through 7 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1867 passing yards, completed 64.8% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKHOU @ LAC

    Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

    Through 7 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 1398 passing yards, completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.59 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-10 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKLV @ SF

    Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

    Through 8 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 2124 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 7.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 19-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKLV @ SF

    Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

    Through 7 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1748 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.28 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKGB @ NE

    Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

    Through 8 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 2246 passing yards, completed 61.5% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 16-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKGB @ NE

    Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

    Through 8 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1983 passing yards, completed 67.1% of his passes and averaged 8.47 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKARI @ SEA

    Gardner Minshew II is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

    In his first 2026 game, Gardner Minshew II threw for 188 passing yards, completed 73.9% of his passes and averaged 8.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 37 yards, completed 46.2% and averaged 2.85 yards per attempt, 0-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

  • QUARTERBACKARI @ SEA

    Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

    Through 7 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1478 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-9 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKTB @ CHI

    Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

    Through 5 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKTB @ CHI

    Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

    Through 5 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1267 passing yards, completed 70.9% of his passes and averaged 8.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

  • QUARTERBACKBUF @ MIN

    Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

    Through 7 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1793 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.75 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.

  • RED ZONEARI @ SEA

    ARI: 67.9% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 83.3%

    ARI is at 67.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; SEA is at 83.3% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • PASS RUSHTB @ CHI

    CHI: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to TB's 2

    TB is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 8 games; CHI is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • COVERAGECLE @ NO

    CLE: 196.6 passing yards allowed per game to NO's 233.3

    Cleveland allows 196.6 passing yards a game over 8 games, and New Orleans gives up 233.3 over 7. Passing yards depend heavily on how often opponents throw, and the sheet doesn't say whether teams were chasing points or protecting leads. Cleveland's number looks solid on its face. The Saints' secondary looks like the softer spot in this game, which is a point in favor of Cleveland's passing props.

  • TRENCHESHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 98 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 124.6

    HOU is at 98 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; LAC is at 124.6 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TRENCHESNYJ @ KC

    KC: 96.3 rushing yards allowed per game to NYJ's 123.6

    Kansas City allows 96.3 rushing yards a game over 7 games, while the Jets give up 123.6 over 8. The sheet doesn't say whether teams ran less against Kansas City because they were trailing, and game script can hold rushing totals down. That makes the gap less certain than it looks. If the Jets fall behind early, expect their run game to shrink further, which matters for rushing props on their side.

  • PACE & SCRIPTTB @ CHI

    CHI: 26.8 points per game to TB's 22.3

    TB is at 22.3 points per game over 8 games; CHI is at 26.8 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and CHI at 25.9 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Max Mitchell (OT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

    The Jets placed Mitchell (concussion) on their injured reserve list Tuesday, Amanda Vogt of the team's official site reports. Reported Nov 4.

  • COVERAGEGB @ NE

    GB: 4.73 yards per play allowed to NE's 5.29

    Green Bay allows 4.73 yards per play over 8 games, and New England gives up 5.29 over the same span. Yards per play is less affected by game script than raw yardage, so Green Bay's figure points to a defense that limits damage snap by snap. The sheet doesn't list opponents, so schedule strength is unknown. Over eight games this tends to hold up reasonably well, which supports leaning toward Green Bay's defense when thinking about New England's scoring.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 5.97 yards per play to ATL's 5.41

    Cincinnati is up sharply from 5.23 last season, with Joe Burrow spreading big gains across Tee Higgins, Ja'Marr Chase and Mike Gesicki for 6 plays of 20+ yards last game. Atlanta is right at its 5.38 from last year, and one of its 2 explosive plays was a single 76-yard catch by Jahan Dotson. A Bengals passing game that hits that many chunk plays is a style the Falcons have to answer, so a game script built on Burrow's downfield throws is the one to think about.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 5.79 yards per play to WSH's 5.24

    The Rams are still more efficient per play, though they are down from 6.15 last season and Washington is down from 5.53. Last game flipped the script: Washington hit 6 plays of 20+ yards behind Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White, the Rams 2. The season gap favors Los Angeles, but Washington's recent explosiveness at home is a reason not to lean too hard on it.

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSARI @ SEA

    SEA: 5.28 yards per play to ARI's 4.7

    Seattle is well off its 5.98 from last season, and Arizona has dropped from 5.18, so both offenses are less efficient this year over 8 games. The Seahawks still hold the edge, though a smaller one than last year's numbers implied. Expect a lower-yardage game than either team's reputation suggests.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC

    The Chiefs placed Smith (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    L'Jarius Sneed (CB) is on injured reserve for KC

    The Chiefs placed Sneed (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 31.

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NO

    Nathan Shepherd (DT) is questionable for NO

    New Orleans lists Shepherd as questionable against Cleveland, with no injury detail given. That is thin information, so his status is a late-week call. If he sits, the Saints are a body short on the interior defensive line against the Browns' run game.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Jevon Holland (S) is questionable for NYG

    NYG lists Jevon Holland as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NYG

    The Giants placed Tracy (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

    Coach Sean McVay indicated Monday that Garrett (knee) is on track to practice this week, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Laremy Tunsil (OT) is on injured reserve for WSH

    Tunsil (triceps) could potentially return late in the season, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 29.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

    Lane underwent surgery Oct. 9 to repair his fractured and dislocated ankle, and he is expected to be cleared for activities before OTAs, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Oct 22.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

    The Broncos placed Badie (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Akayleb Evans (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

    Evans (triceps) was placed on injured reserve by the Panthers on Thursday, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 30.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Jalen Pitre (S) is questionable for HOU

    HOU lists Jalen Pitre as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Patrick Johnson (DE) is on injured reserve for LV

    The Raiders placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Nov 1.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

    49ers coach Kyle Shanahan reiterated Monday that Robinson (ankle) has a chance to return following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 26.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Marques Sigle (S) is questionable for SF

    SF lists Marques Sigle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Garret Wallow (LB) is questionable for SF

    SF lists Garret Wallow as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ SF

    Luke Gifford (LB) is questionable for SF

    SF lists Luke Gifford as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Jalen Brooks (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI

    The Cardinals placed Brooks (wrist) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Cashius Howell (DE) is on injured reserve for CIN

    Howell (wrist) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Samson Ebukam (DE) is on injured reserve for ATL

    Ebukam (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Falcons on Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official website reports. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

    Colts head coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce (heel) will "most likely not" have his 21-day practice window opened in Week 8, Jake Arthur of Roundtable.io reports. Reported Oct 26.

  • RED ZONEDET @ MIA

    DET: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to MIA's 55.6%

    DET is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; MIA is at 55.6% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and MIA at 56.3% over 17 games.

  • RED ZONETB @ CHI

    CHI: 4.25 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3.25

    TB is at 3.25 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; CHI is at 4.25 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate to LAC's 16.7%

    HOU is at 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; LAC is at 16.7% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 57.9% over 17 games and LAC at 57.1% over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 77.4 rushing yards allowed per game to BAL's 102.8

    Jacksonville allows 77.4 rushing yards a game over 7 games, and Baltimore gives up 102.8 over 8. Both are respectable, and Jacksonville's figure is stingy. The sheet doesn't show who those opponents were or how often they ran. Rushing yards allowed can drop when opponents abandon the run, so Jacksonville's number may be partly script. In Baltimore, the matchup that matters is Jacksonville's front against a home ground game.

  • TURNOVERSDAL @ IND

    DAL: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to IND's 0.75

    DAL is at 0.25 fumbles lost per game over 8 games; IND is at 0.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 0.53 over 17 games and IND at 0.53 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSDET @ MIA

    DET: 0.14 interceptions thrown per game to MIA's 0.71

    DET is at 0.14 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; MIA is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and MIA at 1.06 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSCLE @ NO

    CLE: 1.38 turnovers committed per game to NO's 1.86

    CLE is at 1.38 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; NO is at 1.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 1.47 over 17 games and NO at 1.41 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSARI @ SEA

    ARI: 0.13 fumbles lost per game to SEA's 0.63

    ARI is at 0.13 fumbles lost per game over 8 games; SEA is at 0.63 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season ARI was at 0.59 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSCIN @ ATL

    CIN: 0.86 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 1.38

    CIN is at 0.86 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; ATL is at 1.38 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CIN was at 1 over 17 games and ATL at 0.47 over 17 games.

  • COVERAGECIN @ ATL

    ATL: 5.21 yards per play allowed to CIN's 5.74

    Atlanta allows 5.21 yards per play over 8 games, and Cincinnati gives up 5.74 over 7. Per-play numbers are fairly stable, and this gap suggests Atlanta's defense is the tougher unit. The sheet doesn't show who either side faced, so it can't rule out an easier schedule for Atlanta. At home, Atlanta's offense should find more room per snap than Cincinnati's does.

  • RED ZONEGB @ NE

    GB: 3.63 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.75

    GB is at 3.63 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; NE is at 2.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and NE at 3.71 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ CAR

    CAR: 25.4 points per game to DEN's 21.5

    DEN is at 21.5 points per game over 8 games; CAR is at 25.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DEN was at 23.6 over 17 games and CAR at 18.3 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSDAL @ IND

    DAL: 0.63 interceptions thrown per game to IND's 1.13

    DAL is at 0.63 interceptions thrown per game over 8 games; IND is at 1.13 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and IND at 0.82 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTARI @ SEA

    ARI: 69.6 offensive plays per game to SEA's 63

    ARI is at 69.6 offensive plays per game over 8 games; SEA is at 63 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and SEA at 59.7 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTTB @ CHI

    CHI: 35:27 time of possession per game to TB's 32:45

    TB is at 32:45 time of possession per game over 8 games; CHI is at 35:27 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 31:53 over 17 games and CHI at 30:59 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALGB @ NE

    GB: 271 team passing yards per game to NE's 244.1

    GB is at 271 team passing yards per game over 8 games; NE is at 244.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season GB was at 212.8 over 17 games and NE at 250.5 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ LAC

    HOU: 19.9 first downs per game to LAC's 16.7

    HOU is at 19.9 first downs per game over 7 games; LAC is at 16.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and LAC at 19.5 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSNYG @ PHI

    PHI: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.71

    NYG is at 0.71 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; PHI is at 0.25 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and PHI at 0.47 over 17 games.

  • TURNOVERSBUF @ MIN

    MIN: 1.71 takeaways per game to BUF's 1.29

    BUF is at 1.29 takeaways per game over 7 games; MIN is at 1.71 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TURNOVERSLAR @ WSH

    WSH: 1.43 takeaways per game to LAR's 1

    LAR is at 1 takeaways per game over 8 games; WSH is at 1.43 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TURNOVERSNYJ @ KC

    KC: 1.43 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1

    NYJ is at 1 takeaways per game over 8 games; KC is at 1.43 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    John Simpson

    Back · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    John Jenkins

    Knee · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Jarrian Jones

    Ankle · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Ezra Cleveland

    Knee · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Jakobi Meyers

    Hamstring · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Chris Rodriguez Jr.

    Hand · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Roger Rosengarten

    Ankle · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Branson Combs

    Shoulder · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Antonio Johnson

    Ankle · Limited practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Travon Walker

    Ribs · Limited practice

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSTB @ CHI

    CHI: 5.36 yards per play to TB's 4.88

    Chicago gains about half a yard more per snap, but both teams are down from last season, when the Bears sat at 5.71 and the Bucs at 5.12. The gap has held at a similar size across 8 games, which suggests it is fairly stable. Chicago at home is the side more likely to string together efficient drives.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

    Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.

  • TURNOVERSCLE @ NO

    CLE: 0.38 interceptions thrown per game to NO's 0.86

    CLE is at 0.38 interceptions thrown per game over 8 games; NO is at 0.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESDAL @ IND

    IND: 131.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 152.8

    Indianapolis allows 131.8 rushing yards a game over 8 games, and Dallas gives up 152.8. Neither run defense is good, and Dallas is clearly worse. Rushing totals can rise when a defense is trailing and opponents run out the clock, and the sheet doesn't show game scripts. Indianapolis running the ball at home is the cleaner angle, and rushing totals on both sides deserve a look.

  • RED ZONELV @ SF

    LV: 4 red-zone trips per game to SF's 3.14

    LV is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; SF is at 3.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and SF at 3.88 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONEGB @ NE

    NE: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 66.7%

    New England allows touchdowns on 54.2% of opponents' red-zone trips over 8 games, while Green Bay gives up 66.7%. Red-zone rates are built on small numbers of trips and move around a lot, so this gap is shakier than an eight-game sample suggests. New England holding to field goals more often helps the under and fades touchdown props inside the twenty, but expect both numbers to drift.

  • COVERAGECIN @ ATL

    ATL: 41.1% third downs allowed to CIN's 47.3%

    CIN is at 47.3% third downs allowed over 7 games; ATL is at 41.1% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • COVERAGENYJ @ KC

    NYJ: 194 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 222.9

    NYJ is at 194 passing yards allowed per game over 8 games; KC is at 222.9 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • COVERAGELAR @ WSH

    LAR: 4.93 yards per play allowed to WSH's 5.4

    LAR is at 4.93 yards per play allowed over 8 games; WSH is at 5.4 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    T'Vondre Sweat (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

    The Jets placed Sweat (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 31.

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 66.1 offensive plays per game to PHI's 60

    NYG is at 66.1 offensive plays per game over 7 games; PHI is at 60 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 63.8 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 7.63 yards per pass attempt to BAL's 6.81

    JAX is at 7.63 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; BAL is at 6.81 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season JAX was at 6.42 over 17 games and BAL at 6.69 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALLAR @ WSH

    LAR: 6.54 yards per pass attempt to WSH's 5.7

    LAR is at 6.54 yards per pass attempt over 8 games; WSH is at 5.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and WSH at 6.41 over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESTB @ CHI

    TB: 4.82 yards per rush attempt to CHI's 4.21

    TB is at 4.82 yards per rush attempt over 8 games; CHI is at 4.21 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 4.05 over 17 games and CHI at 4.75 over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESTB @ CHI

    TB: 168.6 rushing yards per game to CHI's 150.8

    TB is at 168.6 rushing yards per game over 8 games; CHI is at 150.8 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 114.5 over 17 games and CHI at 144.5 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Eric Murray (S) is on injured reserve for JAX

    The Jaguars placed Murray (elbow) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    DaVon Hamilton (DT) is on injured reserve for JAX

    The Jaguars placed Hamilton (knee) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Coby Bryant (S) is on injured reserve for CHI

    Bryant is on injured reserve with a knee injury, and coach Ben Johnson said Wednesday he will start running again in the near future. A player who has not resumed running is still well away from game action, so do not count on him against Tampa Bay.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Derwin James Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for LAC

    The Chargers placed James (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Nov 1.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ LAC

    Denzel Perryman (LB) is on injured reserve for LAC

    Head coach Jim Harbaugh said Wednesday that Perryman (undisclosed) is "close" to returning from injured reserve, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 29.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Daron Payne (DT) is on injured reserve for WSH

    Payne (foot) was placed on injured reserve by the Commanders on Tuesday, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Javon Kinlaw (DT) is on injured reserve for WSH

    Kinlaw (knee) was placed on injured reserve by the Commanders on Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NO

    Cesar Ruiz (G) is questionable for NO

    Ruiz is listed as questionable for New Orleans, and the sheet gives no injury or recent practice detail. Questionable means a real chance he misses the Browns game, and losing a starting guard can thin out interior protection. Confirm his status closer to kickoff.

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NO

    Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

    Tyson is on injured reserve for New Orleans, and the sheet gives no injury detail or timeline. He will not play against Cleveland, and the Saints offense has to work around one fewer receiver.

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ MIA

    Jimmy Rolder (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

    Rolder (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 4.

  • SITUATIONALGB @ NE

    GB (5-3) at NE (5-3)

    These teams share a 5-3 record, but New England is +22 to Green Bay's +7 and is 3-0 at home. The Packers are 2-2 on the road. Both won their last game. With records equal, the home split and the bigger differential both lean toward the Patriots in this kind of spot.

  • PACE & SCRIPTGB @ NE

    NE: 30:54 time of possession per game to GB's 28:40

    GB is at 28:40 time of possession per game over 8 games; NE is at 30:54 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and NE at 31:18 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTLV @ SF

    LV: 63.8 offensive plays per game to SF's 58.4

    LV is at 63.8 offensive plays per game over 8 games; SF is at 58.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and SF at 63.6 over 17 games.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDET @ MIA

    DET: 30:59 time of possession per game to MIA's 28:47

    DET is at 30:59 time of possession per game over 7 games; MIA is at 28:47 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season DET was at 30:33 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.

  • RED ZONETB @ CHI

    CHI: 58.8% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 50%

    TB is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; CHI is at 58.8% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.

  • PASS RUSHCLE @ NO

    NO: 16.1 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 21.8

    CLE is at 21.8 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; NO is at 16.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 20.3 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

  • PASS RUSHNYG @ PHI

    NYG: 13.9 sack yards lost per game to PHI's 19.3

    NYG is at 13.9 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; PHI is at 19.3 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season NYG was at 13.5 over 17 games and PHI at 13 over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESBUF @ MIN

    BUF: 97.4 rushing yards allowed per game to MIN's 116.7

    BUF is at 97.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; MIN is at 116.7 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • SITUATIONALJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 227.4 team passing yards per game to BAL's 205.1

    JAX is at 227.4 team passing yards per game over 7 games; BAL is at 205.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season JAX was at 222.3 over 17 games and BAL at 175.6 over 17 games.

  • SITUATIONALLV @ SF

    LV: 265.1 team passing yards per game to SF's 244

    LV is at 265.1 team passing yards per game over 8 games; SF is at 244 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and SF at 244.5 over 17 games.

  • COVERAGEJAX @ BAL

    BAL: 228.3 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 253.9

    JAX is at 253.9 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; BAL is at 228.3 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • TRENCHESCLE @ NO

    CLE: 3.77 yards per rush attempt to NO's 3.26

    CLE is at 3.77 yards per rush attempt over 8 games; NO is at 3.26 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 3.9 over 17 games and NO at 3.65 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI

    Chicago placed Kmet on injured reserve with a knee injury on Oct 23, so he is out against Tampa Bay. Losing the starting tight end removes a familiar target and blocker. The sheet does not name a replacement, so be cautious with props on Bears tight ends until the snap share is clear.

  • REPLACEMENTARI @ SEA

    Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

    Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Tyler Loop (PK) is on injured reserve for BAL

    The Ravens placed Loop (groin) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Nov 3.

  • SITUATIONALJAX @ BAL

    JAX: 40% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 25%

    JAX is at 40% fourth-down conversion rate over 7 games; BAL is at 25% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season JAX was at 58.6% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

  • TRENCHESGB @ NE

    NE: 92.6 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 110.9

    GB is at 110.9 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; NE is at 92.6 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • SITUATIONALLV @ SF

    LV: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to SF's 1.14

    LV is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 8 games; SF is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season LV was at 1.88 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.

  • COVERAGELV @ SF

    SF: 210.3 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 235.5

    LV is at 235.5 passing yards allowed per game over 8 games; SF is at 210.3 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 2.

  • PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ NO

    NO: 65.6 offensive plays per game to CLE's 60.5

    CLE is at 60.5 offensive plays per game over 8 games; NO is at 65.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 2. Last season CLE was at 60.6 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Jacob Monk (C) is on injured reserve for GB

    The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

  • SITUATIONALTB @ CHI

    CHI is on a short week

    Tampa Bay is on 2 days since its last game and Chicago on 1, so both teams are about as rushed as they can be. Chicago is home, saving the travel, while Tampa Bay had a single extra day. Neither staff had time for much new, so expect simple, familiar game plans. Depth and how the starters held up in their last game matter more than usual here.

  • SITUATIONALARI @ SEA

    SEA is on a short week

    ARI comes in on a short week (2 days since its last game); SEA on a short week (1 days since its last game).

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Anton Harrison (OT) is on injured reserve for JAX

    Harrison was diagnosed with a torn ACL while undergoing a procedure on his right knee Thursday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Taylor Moton (OT) is on injured reserve for CAR

    The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.

  • REPLACEMENTLAR @ WSH

    Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

    The Rams placed Turner (groin) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 21.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC

    The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

  • REPLACEMENTDAL @ IND

    Cam Taylor-Britt (CB) is on injured reserve for IND

    The Colts placed Taylor-Britt on injured reserve Tuesday due to a groin injury, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 27.

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ ATL

    Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL

    The Falcons placed Jerrell (biceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • HEAD-TO-HEADARI @ SEA

    SEA lead the series with ARI since 2025

    SEA has taken 3 of the last 3. Sep 20, 2026: SEA 31 at ARI 7. Nov 9, 2025: ARI 22 at SEA 44. Sep 25, 2025: SEA 23 at ARI 20.

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ CHI

    Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

    Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday, Scott Smith of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NO

    Kalia Davis (DT) is on injured reserve for CLE

    Davis is done for the season: his 21-day practice window on a quadriceps injury expired Tuesday without activation, so he stays on injured reserve. Cleveland has been playing without him, so nothing changes for this trip to New Orleans.

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ PHI

    Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

    Edmunds (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Jonah Elliss (LB) is on injured reserve for DEN

    The Broncos placed Elliss (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ CAR

    Thomas Incoom (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

    The Panthers placed Incoom (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTNYJ @ KC

    Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

    The Jets placed Mauigoa (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTJAX @ BAL

    Tavius Robinson (LB) is on injured reserve for BAL

    The Ravens placed Robinson (pectoral) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.

  • REPLACEMENTGB @ NE

    Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE

    Vera-Tucker (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Patriots on Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NO

    Teven Jenkins (G) is on injured reserve for CLE

    Cleveland placed Jenkins on injured reserve with a back injury on Oct 24, so he is out against New Orleans. Missing a guard puts more pressure on the Browns' interior line, and that matters most in games where the opponent can win up front.

  • SITUATIONALNYJ @ KC

    NYJ is on a short week

    The Jets and Chiefs both have 2 days since their last game, so the rest is level. Kansas City plays at home, and the Jets have to travel on that quick turnaround. Both sides will probably keep the playbook tight and limit practice to walkthroughs. The road trip is the one place the calendar tilts this game.

  • SITUATIONALDAL @ IND

    DAL is on a short week

    Dallas and Indianapolis are both on 2 days of rest, so the turnaround is the same for each. The Colts are home and skip the travel, which is the only real schedule edge. Short weeks favor teams that can win with their base plays instead of new wrinkles. Late injury news matters more than usual when nobody had time to heal.

  • HEAD-TO-HEADNYG @ PHI

    NYG and PHI are even since 2025

    These two split last season, and each win was a blowout for the home team: the Giants won 34-17 in New York on Oct 9, then the Eagles answered 38-20 in Philadelphia on Oct 26. Neither game was close. Two games is a small sample, but home field decided both, and this one is in Philadelphia. The useful question for a bettor is whether the Giants can play better on the road than they did in that 38-20 loss.

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ ATL

    CIN is on a short week

    Cincinnati and Atlanta both come in with 2 days since their last game, so neither has a rest advantage. Atlanta stays home while the Bengals travel on that short turnaround. With so little practice time, expect simple plans and careful handling of anyone banged up. The calendar mostly cancels out, with the travel the one difference.

  • SITUATIONALJAX @ BAL

    JAX is on a short week

    Jacksonville and Baltimore are both on 2 days since their last game, so the rest is even. Baltimore gets to stay home while Jacksonville has to travel on that quick turnaround. Both sides will likely run trimmed game plans and manage snap counts. The schedule gives a small edge to the home side, mostly from skipping the trip.

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ MIN

    BUF is on a short week

    Buffalo and Minnesota both have 2 days since their last game, so neither gets a rest edge. Minnesota is home while Buffalo travels on the short turnaround. Both teams will likely run simple, familiar game plans and protect anyone nursing an injury. The home side saves the trip, and that is the only tilt the calendar gives here.

  • SITUATIONALLAR @ WSH

    LAR is on a short week

    The Rams and Washington are both on 2 days since their last game, so the rest is equal. Washington gets to stay home, and the Rams make the trip east on that quick turnaround. Neither staff had time for much new, which puts more weight on depth and execution. Travel is the one schedule factor separating these two.

  • SITUATIONALDET @ MIA

    DET is on a short week

    Detroit and Miami both come in on 2 days of rest, so there is no edge on recovery time. Miami is home, while Detroit travels on the short turnaround. Expect both teams to lean on what they already run well rather than anything new. Watch the injury reports closely, since a short week gives sore players little time to get right.

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ MIN

    BUF (6-1) at MIN (6-1)

    Two 6-1 teams with nearly identical differentials: Buffalo at +52, Minnesota at +47. Something gives, since the Bills are 3-0 on the road and the Vikings are 3-0 at home. Buffalo arrives on a 3-game win streak while Minnesota lost its last one. The numbers show two evenly matched teams, so small edges like recent form carry more weight.

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Joe Fagnano

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Trey Hendrickson

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Olaivavega Ioane

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Adam Randall

    Neck · Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Mark Andrews

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Matt Hibner

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Roquan Smith

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Ronnie Stanley

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Nate Wiggins

    Full practice

  • PRACTICE REPORTJAX @ BAL

    Justice Hill

    Full practice

  • SITUATIONALCLE @ NO

    CLE (5-3) at NO (2-5)

    Cleveland is 5-3 but -34, a record that flatters a team losing on points, and the Browns are 2-3 on the road. New Orleans is 2-5 with a similar -32 and has not won at home in four tries. By differential these teams are almost the same. The gap in records is mostly close-game luck, which tends not to hold.

  • HEAD-TO-HEADHOU @ LAC

    HOU lead the series with LAC since 2025

    This series is one game: Houston won 20-16 at the Chargers on Dec 27 last season. A four-point road win in a low-scoring game says these teams were close, and one result is too little to call either side the better team. This time Houston is on the road again, so the best guide from that meeting is a tight, low-scoring game rather than a clear edge for either team.

Sports Picks Archive — Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Gary AI