Sports Picks Archive — Monday, November 2, 2026

Game picks

GARY'S PICK

NBAvs Thunder· -104

Monday night at Rocket Arena brings two 4-2 teams to national TV, and only one of them looks like its record. Cleveland is 3-0 at home. The Thunder arrive without Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso. Since Caruso joined that list, OKC is 0-2. The Thunder lost 120-96 at Dallas and 119-98 at Houston, minus 45 combined. They trailed by 27 at the worst both nights, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander sat the entire fourth quarter both times. The defense that lived on turnovers is gone. When healthy, OKC forced 26 Clippers turnovers, with 15 steals and 38 points off giveaways. Over the last two games it had 4 and 8 steals and 9 and 10 points off turnovers, while opponents shot 34-of-86 from three. Cleveland, meanwhile, has cut its turnovers from 21 and 23 in its first two games to 12, 9, 13 and 12 since. The glass favors Cleveland too. Dallas and Houston beat OKC 35-16 in second-chance points. Next up are Jarrett Allen, coming off 25 and 11 on 12-of-16 at Milwaukee, and Evan Mobley, who scored 24 and 27 in two of the last three. OKC also can't stretch the floor. The Thunder are 15-of-64 from three in two games, and Jared McCain has missed 11 straight. The buzz about Ajay Mitchell scoring 30 and 29 as a starter came before Houston, where Ajay Mitchell started and scored 6 on 3-of-9. The risks are real. Cleveland gives back leads. A 29-point lead at Philadelphia became an 8-point loss, and a 24-point lead over Brooklyn ended as a 4-point win. Only one of the three home wins would have covered this number. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 26 on 10-of-20 even in the Houston blowout, and one big night plus a shooting bounce-back covers 4.5. Peyton Watson is a game-time decision with hamstring soreness. But Watson is 3-of-14 over the last two games, and Sam Merrill, Mario Hezonja and Meleek Thomas can absorb those minutes, so the pick holds either way. The market is still pricing in the Thunder's name. The players OKC actually has are losing on the glass and on the perimeter. Lay the 4.5 at -104, and confirm Watson and the lineups before tip.

Since Caruso joined that list, OKC is 0-2. The Thunder lost 120-96 at Dallas and 119-98 at Houston, minus 45 combined. They trailed by 27 at the worst both nights, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander sat the entire fourth quarter both times. The defense that lived on turnovers is gone. When healthy, OKC forced 26 Clippers turnovers, with 15 steals and 38 points off giveaways. Over the last two games it had 4 and 8 steals and 9 and 10 points off turnovers, while opponents shot 34-of-86 from three. Cleveland, meanwhile, has cut its turnovers from 21 and 23 in its first two games to 12, 9, 13 and 12 since.

The glass favors Cleveland too. Dallas and Houston beat OKC 35-16 in second-chance points. Next up are Jarrett Allen, coming off 25 and 11 on 12-of-16 at Milwaukee, and Evan Mobley, who scored 24 and 27 in two of the last three. OKC also can't stretch the floor. The Thunder are 15-of-64 from three in two games, and Jared McCain has missed 11 straight. The buzz about Ajay Mitchell scoring 30 and 29 as a starter came before Houston, where Ajay Mitchell started and scored 6 on 3-of-9.

The risks are real. Cleveland gives back leads. A 29-point lead at Philadelphia became an 8-point loss, and a 24-point lead over Brooklyn ended as a 4-point win. Only one of the three home wins would have covered this number. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 26 on 10-of-20 even in the Houston blowout, and one big night plus a shooting bounce-back covers 4.5. Peyton Watson is a game-time decision with hamstring soreness. But Watson is 3-of-14 over the last two games, and Sam Merrill, Mario Hezonja and Meleek Thomas can absorb those minutes, so the pick holds either way.

The market is still pricing in the Thunder's name. The players OKC actually has are losing on the glass and on the perimeter. Lay the 4.5 at -104, and confirm Watson and the lineups before tip.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Pacers· -118

Indiana hosts Atlanta tonight on the second night of a back-to-back, its third game in four nights, with a roster that looks more like a summer-league group than an NBA rotation. The Hawks had Sunday off and arrive at Gainbridge Fieldhouse rested. The Pacers are without Siakam (rest) and Nembhard and Nesmith (injury management), and Nance is doubtful. Haliburton, Zubac, Sheppard, McConnell and Furphy were already out. On Sunday against Brooklyn, Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith and Nance played 127 of 240 minutes and scored 55 of Indiana's 90 points. The seven players left without an injury tag are Jackson, Oubre, Walker, Huff, Kobe Brown, Slawson and Braden Smith, and they combined for 35 that night. Spread across seven players, that's about 34 minutes apiece on tired legs, with no room for foul trouble. Huff fouled out in 17 minutes Sunday. Atlanta's defense feeds on opponents like this. The Hawks average about 9.4 steals a game and scored 32 points off turnovers in both New Orleans and Houston, and tonight Jackson and Braden Smith are running Indiana's offense. We've seen this before: against a Charlotte team missing Knueppel, White, Boswell and Grant Williams, Atlanta led 97-62 after three and won 128-81. Even with its stars on Sunday, Indiana managed only about 99 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta's season rate is about 113. There's real risk here. Jalen Johnson is questionable with an ankle sprain, and with Flemings suspended, losing Johnson would take away Atlanta's main creator (16 assists against Houston, 11 against Miami). The Hawks have started slowly, losing first quarters by 12 to Cleveland and 17 to New Orleans, and they're shooting 32.8% from three. Landale is out, so there's no third center behind Okongwu. If Toppin is cleared, Indiana gets a scorer back. And if Atlanta builds a big lead and empties its bench, Indiana's best available players stay on the floor because there's nobody to sub in, so a backdoor cover is possible. Still, the gap in healthy bodies and fresh legs is wider than 9.5. It's rested Hawks against a seven-man Pacers team on a back-to-back. Give me Atlanta.

The Pacers are without Siakam (rest) and Nembhard and Nesmith (injury management), and Nance is doubtful. Haliburton, Zubac, Sheppard, McConnell and Furphy were already out. On Sunday against Brooklyn, Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith and Nance played 127 of 240 minutes and scored 55 of Indiana's 90 points. The seven players left without an injury tag are Jackson, Oubre, Walker, Huff, Kobe Brown, Slawson and Braden Smith, and they combined for 35 that night. Spread across seven players, that's about 34 minutes apiece on tired legs, with no room for foul trouble. Huff fouled out in 17 minutes Sunday.

Atlanta's defense feeds on opponents like this. The Hawks average about 9.4 steals a game and scored 32 points off turnovers in both New Orleans and Houston, and tonight Jackson and Braden Smith are running Indiana's offense. We've seen this before: against a Charlotte team missing Knueppel, White, Boswell and Grant Williams, Atlanta led 97-62 after three and won 128-81. Even with its stars on Sunday, Indiana managed only about 99 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta's season rate is about 113.

There's real risk here. Jalen Johnson is questionable with an ankle sprain, and with Flemings suspended, losing Johnson would take away Atlanta's main creator (16 assists against Houston, 11 against Miami). The Hawks have started slowly, losing first quarters by 12 to Cleveland and 17 to New Orleans, and they're shooting 32.8% from three. Landale is out, so there's no third center behind Okongwu. If Toppin is cleared, Indiana gets a scorer back. And if Atlanta builds a big lead and empties its bench, Indiana's best available players stay on the floor because there's nobody to sub in, so a backdoor cover is possible.

Still, the gap in healthy bodies and fresh legs is wider than 9.5. It's rested Hawks against a seven-man Pacers team on a back-to-back. Give me Atlanta.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Knicks· -104

Brooklyn walks into Madison Square Garden less than 24 hours after snapping an 0-5 start in Indiana, and the Knicks have to win by 15. I'll take the points. This is a bet against the number, not a bet on Brooklyn. New York is 2-4 and has been outscored by 4 points across six games. Its biggest win is 14 over Detroit, and the Knicks needed a 27-point lead to get there before the Pistons won the fourth quarter 34-23. Per 100 possessions, the Knicks are at -0.7 and the Nets at -7.7. That's about a 7-point gap, in Knicks games that have averaged roughly 98 possessions. Home floor and two days of rest help New York, but not enough to stretch that gap to 14.5. The Knicks' offense isn't built to run anybody off the floor right now. They're shooting 41.9% from the field, and Mike Brown admitted the team has to make up for its shooting in other areas. Brooklyn's biggest flaw is turnovers, at 19 a game. New York forces only about 13 and averages 7.3 steals. Detroit punished the Nets with 14 steals and 27 points off turnovers, and the Knicks don't play that way. Brooklyn also tends to hang around. Four of its six games finished within eight points, including a one-point overtime loss at Boston. Mikel Brown Jr. is back after resting Sunday, which adds another ball handler even with a minutes limit. The risks are real. This is the second night of a back-to-back and game 3 in 4 nights. Julius Randle and Michael Porter Jr. logged 37 and 36 minutes last night, and the Nets' last back-to-back ended in a 27-point loss to Indiana. Sunday's win came against a Pacers team missing Tyrese Haliburton, Ivica Zubac and more. Karl-Anthony Towns has a double-double in all six games, and New York averages 21 second-chance points. Brooklyn has lost by 15 or more twice. Still, a Knicks team that hasn't won by this much once all season has to do it against a team that usually keeps it close. I'll take the number. Nets +14.5, at a normal-to-light stake.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Hornets· -110

Five days after Detroit beat Charlotte by 8 on the second night of a back-to-back, the Pistons visit Spectrum Center on two days' rest. The Hornets are playing their third game in four nights, and Coby White is making a season debut. The rest situation has flipped. On Oct. 28, Cade Cunningham logged 39 minutes a night after playing 36 at New York, and Detroit still won 97-89. Tonight the Pistons are fresh. Charlotte is coming off a back-to-back that ended with a 13-0 Philadelphia run in the fourth quarter, after the Hornets had led 83-77 through three. Turnovers are Charlotte's biggest problem and Detroit's best weapon. The Hornets average 18.7 a game. Detroit forced 25 in the first meeting with 13 steals, then 24 at Brooklyn with 14 steals. Charles Lee has publicly flagged the costly turnovers. The shooting doesn't help. Charlotte is 92-for-311 from three (29.6%), and Dennis Schröder went 1-for-11 against Philadelphia. Brandon Miller is carrying the scoring for a 3-4 team. Detroit's road wins came by 16, 13 and 17, and all five of its wins cleared this number. The Pistons are +48 on the season. The Hornets are -57. On night one, White's return adds uncertainty more than help. Reports expect a minutes limit that nobody has confirmed, and it isn't settled whether White or Schröder starts at point guard. A shuffled backcourt against Detroit's active hands looks like more turnovers, not fewer. The risks are real. Without Jalen Duren, Detroit has lost the boards in each of its last three games, including 45-33 to Charlotte. The Pistons are shooting 34-for-111 from three (30.6%) over that span. The first meeting was 85-79 with 5:00 left. Naz Reid played only 13 minutes that night and is expected to play both halves tonight. A slow pace could keep this inside six. Still, the rest, the turnover matchup and Detroit's road form all point the same way. I'm laying the 5.5, but I wouldn't chase it higher.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Magic· -115

Orlando comes home on the back half of a back-to-back, still looking for its first win at Kia Center this season, and it will play without Anthony Black. Washington arrives on two days of rest, with Trae Young handing out at least 8 assists every night. The fatigue is real. This is Orlando's third game in four nights, and Sean Sweeney has ridden his starters hard. Desmond Bane and Franz Wagner played 39 and then 40 minutes in the last two games, and Wendell Carter Jr. played 39 and 35. Black's minutes now go to Jase Richardson, Jamal Cain and Jevon Carter. Richardson is 12-33 from the field over his last five games. Carter didn't play in three of the last four despite not being listed injured. That puts even more of the creating on Wagner, who already has 12 and 11 assists in his last two. Orlando's results don't earn the points either. The Magic are -54 through six games and 0-3 at home. They are -25 in the four games since Paolo Banchero went down, and Black played in all four. Their offense leans on about 38 threes a night at 35.4 percent, which is the first thing to go on tired legs. The matchup fits Washington. The Wizards average 52.3 points in the paint and 28.5 free-throw attempts a game. Orlando gives up 49 paint points, commits 24.5 fouls and turns it over 17.2 times a game. Washington's soft spot is the glass, but Orlando averages just 9.7 offensive rebounds. That's nowhere near the Charlotte and Toronto teams that hurt the Wizards there. There are risks. Alex Sarr is out, so Deandre Ayton makes his first start. Ayton is 11-17 from the field in short stints but hasn't carried a starter's load, and a Davis-Ayton frontcourt doesn't fix the spacing. Washington is shooting 29.3 percent from three. Opponents have hit just 28.7 percent against them, and that won't last. Two of the Wizards' three wins came against 1-5 teams. And Orlando plays this back-to-back at home, with no travel. Three is the key number, so the extra half-point is worth paying -115 for. Wizards and the points.

The fatigue is real. This is Orlando's third game in four nights, and Sean Sweeney has ridden his starters hard. Desmond Bane and Franz Wagner played 39 and then 40 minutes in the last two games, and Wendell Carter Jr. played 39 and 35. Black's minutes now go to Jase Richardson, Jamal Cain and Jevon Carter. Richardson is 12-33 from the field over his last five games. Carter didn't play in three of the last four despite not being listed injured. That puts even more of the creating on Wagner, who already has 12 and 11 assists in his last two.

Orlando's results don't earn the points either. The Magic are -54 through six games and 0-3 at home. They are -25 in the four games since Paolo Banchero went down, and Black played in all four. Their offense leans on about 38 threes a night at 35.4 percent, which is the first thing to go on tired legs.

The matchup fits Washington. The Wizards average 52.3 points in the paint and 28.5 free-throw attempts a game. Orlando gives up 49 paint points, commits 24.5 fouls and turns it over 17.2 times a game. Washington's soft spot is the glass, but Orlando averages just 9.7 offensive rebounds. That's nowhere near the Charlotte and Toronto teams that hurt the Wizards there.

There are risks. Alex Sarr is out, so Deandre Ayton makes his first start. Ayton is 11-17 from the field in short stints but hasn't carried a starter's load, and a Davis-Ayton frontcourt doesn't fix the spacing. Washington is shooting 29.3 percent from three. Opponents have hit just 28.7 percent against them, and that won't last. Two of the Wizards' three wins came against 1-5 teams. And Orlando plays this back-to-back at home, with no travel.

Three is the key number, so the extra half-point is worth paying -115 for. Wizards and the points.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ 76ers· -110

The 1-5 Bulls bring a four-game skid into Xfinity Mobile Arena, and their rookie Caleb Wilson has publicly questioned the team's effort. They face a 6-1 Sixers team that gets LeBron James back tonight. Ten and a half points is a lot to give a team that rarely runs anyone off the floor, and I'll take them. Philly wins, but it wins close: by 5, 5, 5, 6, 8 and 11. Only the 11-point win clears this number, and that came against a Milwaukee team on the second night of a back-to-back. The Sixers' largest lead all season is 16. Tonight's projected five of Maxey, Edgecombe, Brown, James and Embiid went +6, +8 and +5 in its three starts together. The pace is slowing too, at about 88 and 89 possessions in the last two games, which leaves fewer trips to stretch a lead. Common opponents point to single digits. Chicago won at Milwaukee by 7, and Philly beat a tired Bucks team by 11 at home. Chicago lost by 6 at home to a Knicks team on a back-to-back, and Philly beat New York by 6 and by 5. The schedule helps the underdog. This is Philly's third game in four nights, after Maxey, Brown and Edgecombe played 37 or 38 minutes apiece Saturday. James (sciatica), Embiid (plantar fascia) and Brown (knee) all have managed injuries, and Detroit, which beat Philly by 13, is up Wednesday. Chicago has had two days off. And a team shooting 28.1% from three has little room to get colder. The risks are real. The Bulls have trailed by 12 to 20 after one quarter in all four road games, and three of those became losses by 14, 35 and 43. Their 17.7 turnovers a game feed a Philly team that scores about 23 points off turnovers per night. Chicago has allowed 124 or more in every game. Nic Claxton likely won't debut, which leaves Jalen Smith to handle Embiid if Embiid suits up. Embiid's status is the swing, and the reporting leans toward Embiid playing. This is a lean, not a hammer: Bulls +10.5.

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GARY'S PICK

NBAvs Kings· -110

A winless Kings team limps into American Airlines Center on the fourth stop of a road trip. Dallas is waiting with two days of rest and a home crowd. Kyrie Irving is expected to sit, and that's the only thing keeping this from being a bigger play. Sacramento has been run off the floor away from home. The Kings are 0-4 on the road, losing by 12, 25, 27 and 31. That 25-point loss came against a Clippers team that dropped its other five games. Their only loss inside this number all season was by 8, at home, against Portland. The defense is the problem. Opponents are shooting 51.9% from the field and 39.0% from three against Sacramento, and scoring 128.3 points a game. Dallas holds teams to 45.5% and 29.7%. The Kings also give up about 59 paint points a night, and Daniel Gafford has been finishing almost everything around the rim. Then there's the third quarter. Sacramento has been outscored by a combined 62 points coming out of halftime, and by 10 or more in four of six games. Leads tend to grow against this team, not shrink. The setup gets worse from there: - one day of rest after a 31-point loss in Memphis - Sabonis trade chatter breaking hours before tip - a bench where Malik Monk and Emanuel Sharp have shot a combined 11-48 If Zach LaVine's elbow keeps him out, Monk's role gets bigger, which helps Dallas. The risk is real. Without Irving, Cooper Flagg is the only true creator, and Flagg is 6-22 from three in the four games with a box score. Dallas plays slow and turns it over 17.2 times a game, and two of its four wins came by 4 and 5. Sacramento's fourth quarters have been nearly even, so a late backdoor cover is possible. Domantas Sabonis on the glass against a Dallas frontcourt without Dereck Lively II is a concern too. Run each team's offense against the other's defense and Dallas grades out about 10 to 11 points better before home court. Take a few off for Irving and the edge is thin, but it's there. Mavericks, laying the points.

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GARY'S PICK

NBAvs Bucks· -115

Monday night at Target Center, a fully healthy 1-5 Bucks team visits a Minnesota side playing without Anthony Edwards and waiting on LaMelo Ball's right wrist. The number is 9.5, and Milwaukee hasn't given me a reason to take it. The Bucks have nobody on the injury report and the same five have started all six games, yet they're losing by 13.2 a night (113.0 scored, 126.2 allowed). Their only win came over an Indiana team on the second night of a back-to-back without Nembhard and Zubac. They lost to a Chicago team that has dropped all five of its other games. They've lost by more than 9.5 in four of six, including both road games. In the last two, both blowouts at home, Herro, Kuzma, Turner and Jaquez never came back after the third quarter. The second quarter is where it breaks. Over the last three games, Milwaukee is 77-76 in first quarters and 54-114 in second quarters. Jenkins said it after Cleveland: "the second quarter got away from us." Minnesota doesn't win close. All four Wolves wins came by 22 or more, including 127-101 over the Clippers without Edwards. The matchups fit. The Bucks average 16.7 turnovers and give up 19.3 points off them, while Minnesota scored 29 and 28 off turnovers in its last two. Opponents score 52.3 in the paint on Milwaukee. Gobert's return also takes away the Bucks' one strength, the offensive glass (14.5 offensive boards a game). The night Gobert sat, San Antonio scored 60 in the paint and won the boards 49-38. The risks are real. Minnesota is 1-2 without Edwards and only about +3.6 per 100 possessions. Tonight is game 3 in 4 nights, after Kuminga (40), McDaniels (39) and Dosunmu (38) logged heavy minutes Saturday. Ball was reported downgraded today. He's their best remaining creator, with 24 points and 7 assists against the Clippers, but he also leads the NBA with 30 fouls. And Milwaukee's bench has already rallied in garbage time. This play is for Ball active. If he's ruled out on the inactive list, I'd stay off it rather than back Milwaukee.

The Bucks have nobody on the injury report and the same five have started all six games, yet they're losing by 13.2 a night (113.0 scored, 126.2 allowed). Their only win came over an Indiana team on the second night of a back-to-back without Nembhard and Zubac. They lost to a Chicago team that has dropped all five of its other games. They've lost by more than 9.5 in four of six, including both road games. In the last two, both blowouts at home, Herro, Kuzma, Turner and Jaquez never came back after the third quarter.

The second quarter is where it breaks. Over the last three games, Milwaukee is 77-76 in first quarters and 54-114 in second quarters. Jenkins said it after Cleveland: "the second quarter got away from us."

Minnesota doesn't win close. All four Wolves wins came by 22 or more, including 127-101 over the Clippers without Edwards. The matchups fit. The Bucks average 16.7 turnovers and give up 19.3 points off them, while Minnesota scored 29 and 28 off turnovers in its last two. Opponents score 52.3 in the paint on Milwaukee. Gobert's return also takes away the Bucks' one strength, the offensive glass (14.5 offensive boards a game). The night Gobert sat, San Antonio scored 60 in the paint and won the boards 49-38.

The risks are real. Minnesota is 1-2 without Edwards and only about +3.6 per 100 possessions. Tonight is game 3 in 4 nights, after Kuminga (40), McDaniels (39) and Dosunmu (38) logged heavy minutes Saturday. Ball was reported downgraded today. He's their best remaining creator, with 24 points and 7 assists against the Clippers, but he also leads the NBA with 30 fouls. And Milwaukee's bench has already rallied in garbage time.

This play is for Ball active. If he's ruled out on the inactive list, I'd stay off it rather than back Milwaukee.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Grizzlies· -110

Memphis comes home to FedExForum on Monday night at 6-0. New Orleans walks in at 2-4, with Dejounte Murray's status up in the air again. The record says lay the points. I'm taking the 5.5 with the Pelicans. Here's what that record hides. Memphis's margin is almost all three-point shooting. The Grizzlies are 96-of-231 from deep (41.6%), while opponents are 68-of-226 (30.1%) on similar volume. That gap is worth 84 points of a +91 season margin. Everything else adds up to just +7 across six games, and on the road it was flat or negative. Opponents missing that often is mostly luck, and 41.6% is tough to sustain. New Orleans' edge is sturdier. Outside of threes, the Pelicans are +59 over six games. They average 62.7 paint points and 30.5 free-throw attempts a night, and Memphis commits 25.8 fouls a game. That style travels. At Denver they were tied at the end of regulation after leading by 23, and they lost by 1 at Utah. They would have covered +5.5 in four of their six games. Turnovers are how this stays close. Memphis gives it away 16 times a game, including 7 and 6 from Cameron Boozer in two of them. The Pelicans average 13.7 steals, and Zion Williamson leads the league. Memphis's closest win came at Golden State, where it turned it over 27 times and needed a 17-0 run to survive. The injury news doesn't scare me off. New Orleans is 2-0 without Murray, and Jeremiah Fears scored 22 and 20 in those games on 18-of-28 shooting. Ty Jerome returns for Memphis but is 7-of-27 over the last two games played. That sends Cam Spencer, who had 13 assists and 0 turnovers Saturday, back to the bench. Scotty Pippen Jr. is doubtful and Quinten Post is questionable. The risks are real. Memphis takes about 10 more threes a game than New Orleans does. The Pelicans turn it over 18.7 times a night. Zach Edey is a problem for a frontcourt missing Yves Missi. If Memphis gets hot from deep, this one is over by halftime. At 5.5, though, the Pelicans are the side.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Spurs· -115

Utah rolls into Frost Bank Center at 1-5, without Jaren Jackson Jr. or Jusuf Nurkic, to face a 4-2 Spurs team whose big man just went 29, 36 and 43. The book wants San Antonio by 17 or more. I'm not paying that. The Spurs have won by 17-plus once in six games: a 27-point rout of a Sacramento team that hasn't won yet. Their other wins came against Dallas without Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving (+16), Minnesota without Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert (+10), and Utah in overtime (+6). Against Houston and Oklahoma City, they lost. That Utah game was tied 105-105 at the end of regulation, and the Jazz didn't have Lauri Markkanen. There are fair caveats. San Antonio was on the second night of a road back-to-back. Utah hit 15 of 39 threes and 18 of 19 free throws, while the Spurs went 12 of 38 from deep. Normalize the shooting and San Antonio gains roughly 10 points. Add the home floor and fresh legs and I still see a comfortable Spurs win, not a 17-point one, especially with Markkanen back. The fourth quarters matter too. The Spurs led Sacramento 107-80 after three and won by 27, so the bench played the fourth to a 23-23 draw. They've led by more than 16.5 after three quarters exactly once. Even in its two blowout losses, Utah played the fourth even or better: 26-24 against Portland, 24-25 at Memphis. San Antonio has to build this lead by the end of the third, and the back door stays open. What can burn this: Wembanyama shot 14 of 25 against Jaxson Hayes and Mo Bamba in the first meeting, and the Spurs won the paint 54-34. Utah has 106 turnovers in six games. Markkanen went 3 of 14 in his return from a wrist sprain and fouled out. The Jazz lost by 22 at home on Saturday and dropped their only road game by 20. If Markkanen is scratched, I'd stay away. If he plays, this is a lean built on the number, not on Utah being good. Take the points.

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GARY'S PICK

NBAvs Celtics· -106

Boston rolls into Toyota Center on the second night of a back-to-back, fresh off a Sunday matinee in Orlando, and without Paul George, who sits for rest. Houston had Sunday off and gets Fred VanVleet back. That's the setup, and I'm laying the points with the Rockets. George is more than a scorer for this team. In the five games with full box scores, George averaged 17.2 points, 6.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists, with 8, 8 and 7 assists in the last three. Without that second ball-handler, Houston can load up on Jayson Tatum and make White, Pritchard, González and Walsh beat them. The Rockets have the wings for it in Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Kevin Durant and Marcus Smart, and they've racked up 11 or more steals in five of seven games. Pritchard's 28 and 30 both came against Chicago. Against New York, Brooklyn and Orlando, it was 15 points total on 6-of-23 shooting. The records aren't equal either. Boston's five wins came against Orlando, Chicago twice, Brooklyn and New York, teams that are a combined 6-18. The one winning team Boston has faced, Detroit, erased a 22-point Celtics lead and won by 8. Houston is 3-1 against OKC, San Antonio and Dallas twice, all 4-2 teams, though OKC was badly short-handed. Then there's the schedule. Tatum and White both played 34 minutes yesterday, and Boston's only other back-to-back finale needed overtime to beat Brooklyn by a point at home. Houston is 4-1 with an average margin of +11.8 when VanVleet starts, and 3-0 at home with wins by 21, 10 and 18. Boston does have a path to a cover. With Clint Capela and Steven Adams out, Houston has no real center behind Alperen Sengun, so a fresh Mitchell Robinson and Neemias Queta can attack the glass. Tatum's 12 free-throw attempts a game slow runs down, and Houston's three-point shooting swings, like 7-of-29 at Dallas. Those are real risks, but not enough to flip me. Road back-to-back, no George, rested home team. Rockets -5.5.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Nuggets· -115

Portland rolls into Ball Arena on the second stop of a four-game road trip, without Ja Morant for weeks because of a Grade 2 hamstring strain. Denver opens a two-game homestand with its preferred starting five back together, and the market wants the Nuggets by 4.5. I'll take the points. Denver hasn't earned the right to lay them at home. The Nuggets are 1-1 at Ball Arena and outscored by 14 there. They escaped New Orleans in overtime after trailing by 23, then lost by 20 to Golden State. Their season margin sits at -1.2 per game, and Jokić is feuding with his own crowd. Denver's leaks line up with how Portland plays. The Nuggets average 16.6 turnovers and give up 22.2 points a night off them. Jokić alone has 21 giveaways in five games, and Portland just had 13 steals in Utah. Denver allows 13.2 offensive rebounds and 17.0 second-chance points per game. It also commits 20 fouls a game, while Portland averages 31.2 free-throw attempts and Avdija has four straight 20-point games. Denver's best win was a shooting spike. It beat Phoenix by only 7 while hitting 20-37 from deep, and Murray and Braun made 14 of 18 of those attempts. Everyone else went 6-19. Jokić is 5-24 from three on the season, and DeRozan is 2-11 from the floor over his last two games. Portland, meanwhile, is holding opponents to 31.7% from three. The risks are real: - Henderson is 3-21 from three and Lillard is 16-47, so the half-court creation runs through Avdija, Lillard and Holiday. - Portland built much of its +11.4 margin against Phoenix, Sacramento and Utah, who are a combined 2-14 in the games on file. Unbeaten Memphis beat the Blazers by 21 in Portland. - Clingan picked up 5 fouls in 15 minutes Saturday, and foul trouble against Jokić is Denver's cleanest path to covering. - Murray already has two 39-plus nights, and Denver has the extra day of rest. Still, Denver has played one full game with its preferred five. It hasn't shown the ball security or defense to justify this cushion. I'm on Portland +4.5 at -115 with a normal-to-small stake.

Denver hasn't earned the right to lay them at home. The Nuggets are 1-1 at Ball Arena and outscored by 14 there. They escaped New Orleans in overtime after trailing by 23, then lost by 20 to Golden State. Their season margin sits at -1.2 per game, and Jokić is feuding with his own crowd.

Denver's leaks line up with how Portland plays. The Nuggets average 16.6 turnovers and give up 22.2 points a night off them. Jokić alone has 21 giveaways in five games, and Portland just had 13 steals in Utah. Denver allows 13.2 offensive rebounds and 17.0 second-chance points per game. It also commits 20 fouls a game, while Portland averages 31.2 free-throw attempts and Avdija has four straight 20-point games.

Denver's best win was a shooting spike. It beat Phoenix by only 7 while hitting 20-37 from deep, and Murray and Braun made 14 of 18 of those attempts. Everyone else went 6-19. Jokić is 5-24 from three on the season, and DeRozan is 2-11 from the floor over his last two games. Portland, meanwhile, is holding opponents to 31.7% from three.

The risks are real: - Henderson is 3-21 from three and Lillard is 16-47, so the half-court creation runs through Avdija, Lillard and Holiday. - Portland built much of its +11.4 margin against Phoenix, Sacramento and Utah, who are a combined 2-14 in the games on file. Unbeaten Memphis beat the Blazers by 21 in Portland. - Clingan picked up 5 fouls in 15 minutes Saturday, and foul trouble against Jokić is Denver's cleanest path to covering. - Murray already has two 39-plus nights, and Denver has the extra day of rest.

Still, Denver has played one full game with its preferred five. It hasn't shown the ball security or defense to justify this cushion. I'm on Portland +4.5 at -115 with a normal-to-small stake.

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GARY'S PICK

NBAvs Suns· -105

Chase Center, 10 p.m. Eastern: Steph Curry and Draymond Green are back after sitting Sunday, and a Suns team on a two-game skid walks into the second night of a Warriors back-to-back. The schedule spot looks like it favors Phoenix. I don't think it does. Start by tossing out the first meeting. Phoenix won 131-122 on Oct. 24, but Golden State was on a back-to-back and played without Curry, Green, Brandin Podziemski and Al Horford. That short-handed group still lost by only 9 on the road. Tonight it's at home with its stars. The back-to-back tag is mostly a label. Curry and Green last played Friday, the same night Phoenix did, so the two players who drive this team are as fresh as anyone on the Suns. The tired legs belong to Podziemski (37 minutes Sunday) and Yaxel Lendeborg (34). Phoenix can't guard anybody. The Suns have allowed 122 or more in all four games, about 126 points per 100 possessions, and opponents are 68-of-155 from three against them. In Golden State's last three games with Curry, the Warriors scored 134, 119 and 112 and won by 20, 5 and 17, with Curry going 17-of-33 from deep. Denver tells the same story. Golden State won there by 20; Phoenix lost to the Nuggets at home by 7. Meanwhile Devin Booker is 8-of-26 over the last two losses, Jalen Green scored 2 on Friday and got pulled from the close, and Dillon Brooks has drawn flagrants in back-to-back games. The risks are real. With Horford, Gui Santos and Kristaps Porzingis out, Green plays center next to Georges Niang, and Phoenix scored 60 in the paint in the first meeting. Golden State also leaks late: Memphis closed on a 17-0 run, the Clippers ripped off 13 straight Sunday, and a 24-point lead at Minnesota became a 5-point win. The Warriors have turned it over 15 to 19 times every game, and Booker dropped 43 the last time. Still, a rested Curry against a defense that has given up 122 or more every night is the side I want. If Curry or Green is a late scratch, I'm off it.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Lakers· -120

Monday night at Crypto.com Arena, the Lakers come back out with no rest. Waiting for them is a Heat team that hasn't played since Friday and opens a five-game West Coast trip with Giannis and Bam fresh. I'll take the points, even at -120. The schedule is the story. Los Angeles is on the second night of a back-to-back, its third game in four nights. Luka sat the second night of the last back-to-back with back tightness. He says he's playing, but he just carried 35 minutes, 45 points and 7 turnovers on Sunday, and Toronto won the fourth quarter 43-27. If he's a late scratch, this ticket is a gift. If he plays on tired legs, that still helps it. The matchup fits too. The Lakers' weak spot is defensive rebounding. Opponents average about 14.6 offensive boards against them, and Toronto grabbed 22 on Sunday for 37 second-chance points. Miami lives inside, scoring about 54 in the paint a night, and Giannis has pulled down 18 rebounds in each of the last two games. Bam has answered his slump with 24 and 27. The Lakers also turn it over nearly 19 times a game, and the Heat score about 18.8 a game off turnovers. Those extra possessions are there for Miami. Now the honest part. Over the full sample, the Lakers have been the better team: roughly +5 per 100 possessions to Miami's roughly -3, against similar schedules. Miami's two wins came over Atlanta and an Indiana team missing Haliburton and Zubac. The Heat shoot 34.1% from three and allow 40.5%, and Luka is 28-of-61 from deep over his last four games. A Luka hot streak can beat this ticket on its own. Giannis is 20-of-34 at the line in the five games with full box scores, which is a worry in a close finish. And Ziaire Williams is expected back, giving the Lakers another body to put on Giannis. This is a lean, not a big bet. Rested big men against a tired team that struggles to finish defensive possessions are worth the 2.5.

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GARY'S PICK

NBA@ Clippers· -122

Two tired teams meet at the Intuit Dome on the second night of a back-to-back, and the biggest question is a hip in the Raptors' locker room. Scottie Barnes went onto the injury report Monday afternoon after logging 36 minutes against the Lakers, and his status decides this bet. If Barnes plays, I'm laying the points with Toronto. The Clippers are 1-5 and -44 on the season, and their losses came against short-handed teams. They lost by 26 at Minnesota without Anthony Edwards and by 16 at home to a Lakers team missing Luka Doncic. They lost by 12 at Golden State with Stephen Curry and Draymond Green out. Tonight they're thinner still. Rui Hachimura, who scored 24 Sunday, and Derrick Jones Jr. are both out. Max Strus is making his season debut on a possibly limited workload, and Darius Garland is playing through back tightness. The matchup favors Toronto too. The Clippers have 126 turnovers in six games, and the Raptors have 76 steals. Toronto has scored at least 46 paint points every night, and the Clippers have allowed 58 or more in the paint three times in their last five. Toronto also stayed in Los Angeles after Sunday's game, while the Clippers flew home from the Bay Area. The risks are real. Barnes has 98 points over his last three games on 41-of-71 shooting, and Rotoworld thinks Barnes could be on the wrong side of questionable. Without Barnes and Kawhi Leonard, the offense falls to RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley, who is 26-of-72 over his last five. Toronto's +47 margin shrinks to +4 once you take out the 43-point rout of Chicago. The Raptors are shooting 32% from three against the Clippers' 38.6%, and they've given up 18 threes in each of their last two games. A hot Clippers shooting night is how this one gets away. My call: Raptors -3.5, once Barnes is confirmed active at about 8:30 PM ET. At -122 this is a steep price, so it's a Barnes-in bet only. If Barnes sits, I'm off it entirely, and I wouldn't flip to a Clippers team this sloppy and short-handed.

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GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Seahawks· -120

Monday night at Lumen Field, with a forecast of 46 degrees and almost no wind. The Bears come in 5-2 with Caleb Williams back under center and 11 days of rest. Seattle is laying 3.5, and I'm taking the points. The biggest reason is Seattle's offensive line. Left tackle Charles Cross is out with a high ankle sprain, and Josh Jones starts. Jones's heaviest workload this season was 19% of snaps last week, and 5% or less before that. Sam Darnold's turnovers rise when the pocket breaks down. San Francisco pressured him on 40% of dropbacks, and Seattle had four giveaways. Denver got to 33% with 17 hits, and Seattle had three more. Kansas City pressured him only 7%, and that was the 20-3 win. Quenton Nelson helps inside, but not on the edge. Chicago's pass rush gets help right on time. Montez Sweat is back from suspension; he had five pressures on Bryce Young in Week 1. Jeffery Simmons debuts on a cut-down playbook, so I'm treating him as a bonus. Darnold also gives the ball away: 8 interceptions in 5 starts, 12 Seattle giveaways in those games, and two returned for touchdowns. Williams is protecting it. Over the last two games, Williams is 52-of-69 for 613 yards, 3 touchdowns and no picks, and Chicago scored 7 touchdowns on 8 red-zone trips. The number fits too. Four of Seattle's seven games were decided by 3 points or fewer, and a Seattle field-goal win still cashes this ticket. Chicago also has 11 days of rest to Seattle's 8. What worries me is that Seattle's defense is the best unit on the field. Opponents have converted 26 of 93 third downs, and neither Kansas City nor Denver had a single play of 20 yards. Williams took 7 sacks in the last two games. Jason Myers is 14-of-15 on field goals, while Cairo Santos is 11-of-15. And Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 100-plus yards in 6 of 7 games. He faces a secondary that gave Drake Maye 321 last week, with Malik Muhammad questionable. At -120, the half point isn't cheap, so this is a normal-size bet, not a big one. At +3 I'd pass.

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Player props

GARY'S PICK

EVAN MOBLEYPOINTS OVER 17.5

NBACleveland Cavaliers· -102

Mobley is scoring like a man who has decided the offense runs through him when the shot clock gets stuck. He put up 24 on Washington with five threes and 27 on 11 of 16 at Milwaukee in only 25 minutes, and before that he was steady at 18 and 20 against real frontcourts. The jumper is the change. Once he started stepping out and making threes, his floor rose, because now he scores when the paint is crowded too. Look at who guards him tonight. Chet Holmgren is out with the tendon tear, Jalen Williams is out after ankle surgery, and the Thunder have been starting Kenrich Williams at the four. Kenrich is a tough, smart player giving up real size, and the help behind him is Hartenstein and a rookie in Aday Mara who is still learning where to be. Dallas and Houston both carved up this version of the Thunder, and neither has a big who can face up, shoot over a smaller defender and finish lobs like Mobley can. The Atlanta game at 11 is the risk: Harden and Mitchell took over and Mobley turned facilitator. At home against a thin, undersized front line, I expect Atkinson to keep going to the mismatch. Getting this close to even money is a fair price for a player trending up against the softest interior he has seen.

GARY'S PICK

SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDERPOINTS UNDER 30.5

NBAOklahoma City Thunder· -120

This number assumes Shai can carry a gutted roster to 31 against one of the longest defenses in the league, and I think it asks too much. With Jalen Williams, Holmgren, Wallace and Caruso all out, every defense he sees loads up on him. Dallas held him to 21 on 7 of 19. Houston got him to 26, and he sat the entire fourth quarter both nights because the games were gone. Cleveland can make his nights that uncomfortable. Mobley and Allen sit behind the point of attack, so Shai's drives finish into two rim protectors, and his three ball has been streaky to start the year. Ajay Mitchell is cooking right now, so some of the scoring load shifts to him, and McCain will keep getting shots even while he is cold. The worry is a close game where Shai plays 38 minutes and lives at the line. That can happen, and it is why I am not leaning hard. Cleveland is laying points at home, though, and the likelier script has the Cavs pulling away in the second half with Daigneault protecting his only star for the rematch. A shortened night or a heavily guarded one both land under this line.

GARY'S PICK

KARL-ANTHONY TOWNSREBOUNDS OVER 11.5

NBANew York Knicks· -113

Towns has been the most reliable thing in this Knicks building so far. The jumper comes and goes, and the glass is there every night: 20 against Detroit, 14 against Orlando, 13 in Chicago, 12 in Philadelphia. Even the night he only logged 24 minutes against the Sixers he still cleared this number, so I'm not scared off by a big spread and a possible early hook. The matchup sets up for him too. Brooklyn is on the second night of a back-to-back, their third game in four nights, and Randle and Porter both played heavy minutes in Indiana. Tired legs mean short jumpers, and this Nets team already misses plenty. They shot 30 of 73 last night and 31 of 77 against Detroit while firing nearly 40 threes a game. Long misses off the rim from a gassed team are exactly what a center at home with two days of rest feasts on. Sharpe can battle, and he also lives in foul trouble. I'll lay the small juice on Towns doing what he has done all season.

GARY'S PICK

JOSH HARTPOINTS REBOUNDS ASSISTS UNDER 22.5

NBANew York Knicks· -110

This number is priced off the Hart we saw in the first two weeks, and that guy hasn't shown up lately. His last three lines read 16, 13 and 14 combined. The scoring has dried up badly: 2 of 9 in Philadelphia, 1 of 6 in Chicago, and he is passing up looks rather than hunting them. The assists have sat around three a night with Brunson, Kolek and Shamet running the offense, so there is no playmaking cushion to bail him out. The game script works in my favor too. The Knicks are laying 14.5 against a Brooklyn team running on fumes, and if this gets out of hand Mike Brown has every reason to rest his starters with Chicago coming Wednesday and talk around the team about fatigue already floating. Hart can always steal a few extra rebounds, and he would still need a big night on the boards plus a scoring bounce plus full minutes to get over. I don't see all three lining up, so I'm on the under.

GARY'S PICK

JOHN COLLINSPOINTS UNDER 12.5

NBADetroit Pistons· -117

The version of Detroit that has played since Duren went down has pushed Collins to the edge of the offense. Reed has taken over at center and keeps getting rewarded for his activity, Cunningham runs everything, and Robinson gets the catch and shoot looks. Collins has been left cleaning up: 2 points at New York, 4 against this same Charlotte team, 4 in Brooklyn. In those three games he took 18 shots combined and went 0 for 5 from deep. The one big night in that stretch came at Philadelphia with Ausar Thompson out, which opened touches that aren't there when Thompson is on the floor handling and cutting. It also gets tighter tonight. Holland just went for 18 off the bench and the coaching staff is expected to keep feeding him and Huerter with Joe still out, which eats into the forward minutes and the secondary shots Collins would need. Charlotte held him to 2 for 8 in 18 minutes six days ago, with Diabate and Kalkbrenner walling off the paint. He needs a hot shooting night from outside to clear 12.5, and nothing in this rotation is pointing that way. I'll lay the juice on the under.

GARY'S PICK

CADE CUNNINGHAMASSISTS UNDER 8.5

NBADetroit Pistons· -112

Cunningham has been remarkably steady as a passer, and that steadiness is the problem for the over. He has stacked up 8 assists four times, 7 against Charlotte last Wednesday and 4 in Brooklyn. The book has set the number one notch above his ceiling so far, so he needs his best passing night of the season to cash. The matchup doesn't help him get there. The first meeting with Charlotte was a slow, grinding game at roughly 92 possessions, and with Coby White back tonight the Hornets add a ball handler who should calm down the turnover problem that has fed transition chances against them. Detroit's shooters have also been cold, going 12 for 41 from three in Brooklyn and 13 for 33 against Charlotte, and a lot of Cunningham's assist ceiling depends on Robinson and Huerter knocking those down. Without Joe the spacing thins out further, so more of his possessions end with him scoring or getting to the line. Another night in the 7 or 8 range is the most natural outcome, and I'm happy to sit under at a near even price.

GARY'S PICK

DYSON DANIELSASSISTS OVER 5.5

NBAAtlanta Hawks· +120

Kingston Flemings is serving his suspension tonight. He has been Atlanta's second ballhandler, and in his longer runs he was handing out five or six assists. The expected fix is Daniels and Alexander-Walker splitting the lead guard duties. Alexander-Walker plays like a shooter and has logged a single assist in most of his recent games. In practice, the setup work falls to Daniels. Jalen Johnson is a game-time call on that ankle. If Johnson sits, Atlanta loses the guy who just posted 16 and 11 assist nights, and even more of the creation goes to Daniels. If Johnson plays, Daniels still picks up the Flemings minutes on the ball. Atlanta moves the ball as a team, piling up 30 plus assists in most of its games. Indiana is down to a skeleton crew on tired legs, and that means a lot of live ball turnovers and run-outs. Daniels is the one who gets his hands on those and pushes the break. The blowout is the risk, but Atlanta's guard depth is thin with Flemings out, so the bench can't eat many of Daniels' minutes. At plus money with his role growing, I'll take the over.

GARY'S PICK

FRANZ WAGNERASSISTS OVER 6.5

NBAOrlando Magic· +105

Orlando is out of ball handlers. Banchero is out, Suggs is out, and now Anthony Black sits on the back end of the back-to-back. That leaves Franz Wagner as the one player on this roster who can run an offense for 40 minutes. Jase Richardson is the nominal point guard, but he has been a 4 point, 2 or 3 assist player in that role, and Jevon Carter and Jamal Cain are spot-up options. Every Orlando possession tonight starts with Wagner deciding who gets the ball. We already saw what this looks like. Once Suggs went down, Wagner put up 11 assists in Toronto and a career-high 12 against Boston, and Black was on the floor for both of those games taking some of the creation load. Tonight that share goes back to Wagner. He also has shooters to feed: Bane has been hitting from deep and da Silva has two 20-point games in his last three off the bench. Washington lets opponents put up a lot of threes, and that gives a willing passer plenty of open looks to set up. The tired legs on the second night of a back-to-back hurt his own scoring more than his passing, and a worn-down Wagner probably leans even more on setting up teammates. I am happy to get plus money on a number he has passed easily two nights running with more help than he will have tonight.

GARY'S PICK

WENDELL CARTER JR.REBOUNDS OVER 8.5

NBAOrlando Magic· -110

Carter has been Orlando's whole frontcourt. Vucevic and Bitadze are getting five or six minutes a night now, so Carter is playing 35 to 39 minutes with nobody behind him. That volume shows up on the glass: 10, 7, 10, 10 in his last four, and the 7 came in a game where Toronto went cold and there were fewer misses to chase. Washington gives up second chances. Charlotte grabbed 18 and 20 offensive boards in two games against them, Toronto took 19, and Cleveland had 15. The reporting around the team says rebounding is still a problem with the Davis and Sarr pairing. Sarr is out tonight and Ayton steps into his first start of the year. Ayton has played 12 to 17 minutes a game and has never had to battle a starting center for 30 minutes this season. Davis will chase rebounds too, but he has also been floating out on the perimeter, so the defensive glass on Orlando's end is open for Carter. The pace also helps. This should be a slow, grinding game with an Orlando team on tired legs and a Wizards team that likes to defend, and slow, grinding games produce a lot of missed shots. Carter is the one Magic big who will be on the floor for nearly all of them. I'll pay the standard juice on nine.

GARY'S PICK

TYRESE MAXEYPOINTS OVER 26.5

NBAPhiladelphia 76ers· -105

Chicago is the softest defense Tyrese Maxey will see this month. The Bulls have been shredded almost every night. Toronto hung 135 on them, Boston put up 134 and 125, and the Knicks scored 133. They also give the ball away in bunches, with 27 turnovers in Toronto and 25 in the first Boston game. Maxey is the guy who turns live balls into layups going the other way. The returns of LeBron and Embiid do not shrink his role. With both of them on the floor he scored 27 against the Knicks and 32 against Cleveland, on 19 and 23 shots. If Embiid sits again, Maxey becomes the whole offense, which is how he scored 38 at Charlotte. Chicago's pace adds trips to a Sixers game that usually crawls, and every extra possession helps a guard taking this many shots. The only real threat is a blowout that sends him to the bench early. This Philadelphia team has not put anyone away all year. Its wins have come by 5, 5, 5, 6, 8 and 11, and Nurse has trusted Maxey to close the last three of them. I expect another full night of minutes, so I will lay the short price.

GARY'S PICK

DOMANTAS SABONISREBOUNDS OVER 13.5

NBASacramento Kings· -103

Sabonis has been the one steady thing on a team that has lost every game. He has stayed on the glass in every kind of game: blowouts, close losses, nights with five fouls, nights against Edey and against Zion. He has not had a game this season where the boards dried up, and he is playing heavy minutes because there is nobody behind him. Raynaud is out, and Cardwell has not played a game yet. Even if Cardwell is active tonight, Christie has no reason to cut into his best player's minutes. Dallas is a good spot for this. Lively is out and Aldama has not debuted, so the Mavericks' size starts and ends with Gafford, who plays mid to high twenties in minutes and gets into foul trouble. Dallas also takes a lot of threes and misses plenty of them. Without Kyrie there is less shot creation, which means more long rebounds coming off contested looks. P.J. Washington will crash, but nobody on that roster boxes out Sabonis for 36 minutes. The trade noise is just noise. He plays hard every night, and rebounding comes down to effort and positioning. I'll take him to clear this at close to even money.

GARY'S PICK

COOPER FLAGGPOINTS OVER 27.5

NBADallas Mavericks· +102

Kyrie is doubtful, and Dallas is already talking about Wednesday in San Antonio for his return. That takes away close to twenty shots a night and puts the offense on Flagg's shoulders. He has handled that load well. In every full game he has played, he has scored in the high twenties or thirties, and he is getting to his spots at a high rate even without the three falling. Sasser and Clayton are not going to soak up the possessions Kyrie leaves behind. Marshall coming back helps with ball movement, but he won't take Flagg's shots. The matchup suits him too. Sacramento has given up huge numbers in the paint all season. Teams have been living at the rim and in transition against the Kings, and that is exactly where Flagg does his scoring: downhill drives, putbacks, and trips to the line. The one risk is a blowout that sits him early, but a Dallas team without Kyrie is less likely to run away with this, and the Kings keep scoring enough to stay within reach for three quarters. I'm getting plus money on a featured scorer against the worst defense he has seen, so I'll take the over.

GARY'S PICK

JADEN MCDANIELSPOINTS OVER 18.5

NBAMinnesota Timberwolves· -110

With Anthony Edwards out, McDaniels has become a real scorer for Minnesota. The three games since the surgery went 19, 23 and 19, on good shot quality and steady volume, and he played 33 minutes in the Clippers blowout and still got to 23. Finch said the Edwards void gets filled by committee, and McDaniels is the steadiest member of that committee. The matchup helps. Milwaukee has been carved up inside all season: 60 paint points to Cleveland, 62 to Chicago, 70 to Washington, and 127 or more allowed in four of six games. McDaniels does most of his work cutting and attacking closeouts, which is exactly where the Bucks leak. If LaMelo Ball sits with the wrist, more possessions run through the wings and this number gets easier. If Ball plays, McDaniels already cleared it twice alongside him. The risks are fouls, since he is second in the league in them, and a lopsided score shortening his night. A line under 20 against this defense is a fair price for a player whose role just got bigger.

GARY'S PICK

RYAN ROLLINSPOINTS UNDER 13.5

NBAMilwaukee Bucks· +102

Rollins has been the least reliable scorer in the Milwaukee starting five. The last six went 9, 4, 19, 15, 11 and 9, and the shooting underneath those numbers is rough: 2 for 14 against Houston, 4 for 11 against Cleveland, 4 for 14 in Washington. Turner said it himself: shots aren't falling, and Rollins is the clearest example. Tonight sets up badly for him. Minnesota guards the perimeter well, holding six of seven opponents to 12 or fewer made threes, and it can throw Dosunmu and McDaniels at the ball handlers. Herro and Jaquez take the first scoring looks, and Rollins makes most of his contribution as a passer, with seven assists Saturday against nine points. Game script matters too. Milwaukee is a 9.5 point dog that lost its last two by 25 and 32, and in those games Jenkins pulled the starters in the third quarter. Rollins logged 17 and 26 minutes. A short night with cold shooting fits the under, and getting plus money on it makes the bet.

GARY'S PICK

CEDRIC COWARDREBOUNDS OVER 6.5

NBAMemphis Grizzlies· +105

Getting plus money on Coward's rebounds looks like a mispriced line to me. The lowest board total he's posted all season is seven, and that includes Saturday, when he played only 23 minutes and sat for good late in the third quarter of a blowout. He's grabbed 11 twice. This is a wing who crashes, and the market has him priced like a coin flip. The matchup helps him. New Orleans plays fast, with possession counts running well past 100 most nights, which means more shots and more misses to chase. The Pelicans have been brutal from three, going 7 of 30 against Denver and 7 of 17 against Atlanta, and long misses from deep land on the wings, right where Coward lives. Memphis also keeps Edey to about 20 minutes a night, so Coward spends a lot of his floor time in smaller lineups where the glass gets shared among more hands and he's often the biggest body near the ball. The real risk is fouls. He's picked up five in three different games. Even in those games he still cleared this number, and playing at home after a day off should give him a full run. The over at +105 is my second card.

GARY'S PICK

TY JEROMEPOINTS UNDER 22.5

NBAMemphis Grizzlies· -124

This number is still pricing in Jerome's opening week, when he dropped 45 on Utah and followed with 28 and 31. The two games right before he sat were a different player. He went 3 of 12 at Portland and 4 of 15 at Utah, and his outside shot has been cold for most of the young season. Now he comes back from upper back soreness that first showed up an hour before tip in Portland, and he played through it then. A guard easing back from a sore back is the last guy I want to lay a 23 point number on. The Memphis bench gives Iisalo every excuse to manage him. The reserves put up 81 on Saturday, Isaiah Stewart has scored 18 and 24 in his last two, GG Jackson can't miss, and Cam Spencer just ran the offense with 13 assists and no turnovers. Coward said it out loud: these guys deserve starter minutes. Jerome has topped out around 32 minutes all year, and Memphis keeps turning games into blowouts by the fourth quarter. New Orleans is also a bad matchup for a guard who needs volume. Zion leads the league in steals, the Pelicans have been swarming passing lanes in both wins, and if Murray sits again Herb Jones starts, which puts one of the best perimeter defenders in the league on Jerome's hip. Unless he lives at the free throw line again, he needs a hot shooting night to get there, and the recent form says that isn't the likely script. I'll take the under.

GARY'S PICK

AIRIOUS BAILEYREBOUNDS OVER 5.5

NBAUtah Jazz· +123

I get plus money on a kid who keeps clearing this number. Bailey has pulled 7, 6, 10, 12 and 7 boards in his last five, and the one game he fell short he played only 22 minutes before sitting the rest of the night. Utah's frontcourt is thin. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic are out, and Jaxson Hayes and Mo Bamba are splitting the center minutes, so Bailey is crashing from the wing as a second big. The minutes are locked in too: 37, 40, 34 and 29 recently, and Utah played him 37 in a 22 point loss to Portland. A rebuilding team keeps its young core on the floor when the game gets away, so a blowout doesn't scare me here. San Antonio misses plenty of shots and plays four guards around Wembanyama, which leaves long rebounds on the perimeter where Bailey lives. At this price I only need him to repeat his normal night.

GARY'S PICK

LAURI MARKKANENPOINTS UNDER 19.5

NBAUtah Jazz· -105

Markkanen is back from a right wrist sprain, and his first game back looked like a shooter still finding his touch: 3 for 14 from the field and 2 for 11 from deep before fouling out with 13 points. Tonight he sees Wembanyama, the worst possible matchup for a jump shooter testing a sore wrist, with a Spurs team that blocked nine shots against Minnesota. Before the injury he went 18 and 16 in two of his three full games, with one big night at 28 against the Lakers, so this line asks for his ceiling. The game script works against him as well. Utah is a big road dog, and in a lopsided second half a veteran is the first player Will Hardy will rest, while the rookies keep logging minutes. Keyonte George and Darryn Peterson are both taking plenty of shots, so Markkanen won't get every touch. I'll take the near even price on the under.

GARY'S PICK

ALPEREN SENGUNPOINTS REBOUNDS ASSISTS OVER 32.5

NBAHouston Rockets· -106

This is a big-man number set as if Houston had big men behind him. Capela is out with the ankle and Adams hasn't played since the San Antonio game, so the only center behind Sengun is Oscar Tshiebwe. That pushes Sengun toward the high-30s minutes he played against Atlanta, when he went for 29, 9 and 9. He came back Saturday from the back soreness with no restriction and put up 16, 9 and 9 against OKC even on a 6-of-17 night. When the shot isn't falling, the passing and the glass carry him past the line. Every game he has finished this year has cleared 32.5, and most cleared it easily. The matchup helps too. Boston plays the second night of a back-to-back after an afternoon game in Orlando, Robinson returns from rest with his minutes unclear, and Queta has been the one taking the bulk of the work. With Paul George resting, Boston also loses a 6-rebound wing who helps on the defensive glass. Houston runs the half court through Sengun at the elbow, and VanVleet's return gives him a shooter to find off the short roll. At -106 I'll take the pace of a big man who has no one to share the floor time with.

GARY'S PICK

JAYSON TATUMASSISTS OVER 6.5

NBABoston Celtics· -106

Paul George has been Boston's second creator, with 8, 8 and 7 assists in his last three games. With him resting tonight, that playmaking load falls mostly on Tatum. He is already sitting at 6, 7, 7, 8, 7 and 11 assists this season, and those came with George handling part of the creation. Take that away and Tatum has the ball more often, against a Houston defense built to make him give it up. Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith are long enough to show bodies early and force him off his spots. Houston will gamble that Pritchard, Hauser and Scheierman can't beat them from deep, and that leaves Tatum kicking the ball out of the crowd. The risk is a tired Boston team missing open shots. They went 12 of 44 from three in Orlando, so I'm keeping the confidence moderate. Tatum has been logging 34 to 42 minutes, and with George out Mazzulla has no reason to cut that. More touches and more help defense coming his way put this over at a near even price.

GARY'S PICK

TOUMANI CAMARA3-POINTERS OVER 2.5

NBAPortland Trail Blazers· -104

Camara has taken his threes every night this season: nine at Utah, eight against Memphis, ten in Sacramento, seven against Phoenix. He has made at least four in most of those games. His role is set. He spots up in the corners while Avdija, Lillard and now Henderson attack the paint, and he gets enough clean looks that three makes is close to his normal night. Denver gives up a lot of threes. Golden State hit 22 against them and Phoenix hit 18 on Friday. Jokic plays drop coverage and the wings help on drives, which leaves exactly the shot Camara takes. With Morant out, Portland has one fewer player who gets all the way to the rim, so expect more drive and kick and more shots for the corner shooters. Camara is also playing more, 31 minutes at Utah, because the rotation tightened without Morant. A volume shooter against a defense that leaves him open, priced close to even money, is a bet I'll make.

GARY'S PICK

DENI AVDIJAPOINTS OVER 22.5

NBAPortland Trail Blazers· -108

Avdija runs Portland's offense now. He has scored 24, 24, 23 and 26 in his last four, and the lone exception was the 41 point blowout of Phoenix, when he sat the entire fourth quarter. His floor comes from the line: 10 of 13 at Utah, 8 of 12 against Memphis, 9 of 12 in Sacramento. He gets there by putting his shoulder into defenders. That holds up on a night his jumper is off, and it travels to any building. Morant is out for weeks with the hamstring, so more of the offense goes to Avdija, and the Utah box shows it. Denver's best option against him is Gordon, but Gordon also has to help on Clingan's rolls and chase Camara off the arc, so Avdija will get some switches onto Braun and DeRozan, who are smaller. If Portland trails at altitude, he stays on the floor late and keeps getting the ball. At this number I only need his normal night.

GARY'S PICK

CALEB WILLIAMSPASSING YARDS UNDER 224.5

NFLChicago Bears· -105

I respect what Caleb did in his last two games. He threw for 308 against New England and 305 in Atlanta. Neither of those secondaries looks anything like the one he sees tonight. Seattle has played seven games and hasn't allowed a quarterback more than 189 passing yards in any of them. Mahomes got 165 here last week. Purdy and Herbert both stalled at 189. Bo Nix managed 107. That's a full season of evidence against good passers and bad ones. The Chicago pass game is also thinner than it was. Cole Kmet went on IR, so Loveland is the only tight end they trust and Stephen Carlson gets elevated to fill snaps. Monangai is out, which puts more of the load on Swift and keeps the Bears leaning on the run to protect a lead or stay close. Ben Johnson ran the ball 30 times in the win over New England. In a game the market sees as tight, I expect that script again, with Caleb picking up chunks with his legs instead of through the air. Lumen Field on a Monday night won't make protection calls easy either. The Bears probably need more than 224 to win this game, and Seattle's defense has shown all year that it won't give up that much. I'll take the under at a short price.

GARY'S PICK

JAXON SMITH-NJIGBARECEIVING YARDS OVER 99.5

NFLSeattle Seahawks· -111

Jaxon is the Seattle offense. He's put up 150, 134, 102, 128, 155 and 122 this year, and the one game he came up short was a 20 target day for the whole team against the Chargers. Rashid Shaheed is out tonight, and he was the only other receiver Seattle used to stretch the field. Tory Horton moves up, but he has caught one ball in his last three games. Kupp is a short area option at this stage. That leaves even more of the throws for Jaxon, and he's already getting double digit targets most weeks. Chicago's pass defense has holes. Jordan Love hung 286 yards on its receivers, Bryce Young got over 200, and Penix found 158 even while Chicago was sacking him five times. Malik Muhammad is questionable with a toe injury that knocked him out of the New England game, and he was the corner Green Bay went after again and again. The risk is protection. Charles Cross is out, Josh Jones starts at left tackle, and Montez Sweat comes back alongside Jeffery Simmons. More pressure usually means Darnold throws earlier, and his first read is Jaxon on a slant or a crosser where he can turn a short catch into a long one. Darnold threw for 278 in Denver while under pressure all game, and Jaxon still finished with 134. He's chasing a historic season in a home night game. I'm taking the over.

GARY'S PICK

KHAMAN MALUACHREBOUNDS UNDER 7.5

NBAPhoenix Suns· -140

The ceiling on this prop is Maluach's minutes, and the minutes are shrinking. He has played between 17 and 28 minutes in every game. Now Oso Ighodaro is healthy again. In his first game back Ighodaro played 21 minutes and grabbed 9 boards, while Maluach got pulled in the third quarter and finished at 17. Jordan Ott has a second big he trusts, and that big moves the ball the way this offense wants. The matchup pushes the same way. With Horford and Santos out, Golden State plays Draymond at center and spreads the floor with Niang and Lendeborg. A rookie seven footer gets dragged out to the arc in that look. He can't sit in the paint and collect misses, and small units like that tend to send a coach looking for a more mobile option late in games. Maluach also shares the glass with Miles Bridges, who has been clearing the defensive boards hard, and with a Dillon Brooks who goes after loose balls. His best game came against a Warriors team missing basically its entire rotation, and he still only reached 9. I will lay the price and take the under on a young center in a minutes squeeze against a team that wants to play him off the floor.

GARY'S PICK

YAXEL LENDEBORGREBOUNDS OVER 7.5

NBAGolden State Warriors· +108

Golden State takes the floor tonight without Al Horford and without Gui Santos, which strips two bodies out of an already thin frontcourt. That leaves Draymond Green playing center at his size and Georges Niang at the four. Niang has given this team almost nothing on the glass all season. The boards have to go to somebody, and Lendeborg has been that somebody whenever the minutes are there. He pulled 9 in the first meeting with Phoenix, 12 in Denver and 13 against Memphis. His one empty night came when he fouled out in 24 minutes, which tells you nothing about his role. Phoenix fires a heavy volume of threes and misses plenty of them. Long caroms off the rim land on the wings, which is exactly where a 6'9" forward who crashes from the perimeter makes his living. The Warriors also pounded the Suns on the offensive glass the last time these two met, so this matchup suits him. Curry coming back changes his scoring load. It does nothing to his rebounding, and with the bigs sitting he should log heavy minutes on the second night of a back to back. I am getting plus money on a guy who should clear this with normal minutes, and I will take that.

GARY'S PICK

GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPOREBOUNDS OVER 11.5

NBAMiami Heat· +100

I'll take Giannis on the glass at even money against a Lakers team that has been getting beaten on the boards. Toronto pulled down 22 offensive rebounds on them last night. Utah grabbed 20 in Salt Lake. Kessler is the only true big Redick trusts, and the rest of the frontcourt is Thybulle, LaRavia and a Ziaire Williams who is coming back from a sore foot. None of them can keep Giannis off the ball. The workload makes this even better. He grabbed 18 rebounds in each of the last two games while playing only 31 minutes, because both games got comfortable late. Tonight Miami has had two days off and the Lakers are on the second night of a back to back, their third game in four nights. Tired legs give up long rebounds and lose box out battles, and the man doing the rebounding is the freshest player on the floor. The two games where he came up short were the foul out in Charlotte and the Minnesota game where Gobert and a deep frontcourt were on him. Kessler can block shots, but he can't play Giannis and Bam at the same time. Giannis gets loose on the weak side over and over, and at plus money I want the over.

GARY'S PICK

ANDREW WIGGINSPOINTS UNDER 12.5

NBAMiami Heat· -101

This line sits at the top of Wiggins' range. In six games he has topped it once, the Atlanta night when he went 4 for 7 from deep. He finished at exactly 12 twice and below that the rest of the way. He's the fourth or fifth option in this offense. Giannis and Bam take the paint, Mitchell runs the show, and Klay has taken over as the starter who gets the threes. The matchup doesn't help him either. Thybulle is one of the best wing defenders in the league, and if Ziaire Williams is back he gives the Lakers another long, active body who takes pride in his defense. Wiggins doesn't get to the foul line much, so when his jumper isn't falling, nothing makes up the difference. With Hardaway, Larsson and Portis all taking shots off the bench, his touches stay limited. It's close to a coin flip on price, and I'm on the side his role has supported every night this season. Under.

GARY'S PICK

RJ BARRETTPOINTS OVER 19.5

NBAToronto Raptors· -108

Barrett has been the steadiest scorer on this roster since Kawhi went down. He put up 20 at Minnesota on a night nobody else could buy a bucket, 25 against Orlando, and 22 with 10 boards at the Lakers last night. The one dud was 9 against Orlando, and that was the night Scottie took 34 shots and swallowed the offense. Tonight sets up well for him either way. If Barnes sits with the hip, Barrett becomes the first option and the volume is his. If Barnes plays on a sore hip in the second game of a back-to-back, I expect him to be less aggressive than the 41 point version, and that leaves more touches for RJ. The matchup helps too. The Clippers are without Derrick Jones Jr., their best wing defender, and without Hachimura, so the size on the perimeter is thin. Strus is making his season debut on a limited workload after a plantar fascia tear, which hardly makes him the guy to slow a strong left hander driving downhill. Barrett lives at the rim and at the line, and a tired, short-handed home team that fouls in the paint is the right opponent for that. I'll lay the small price on 20.

GARY'S PICK

IMMANUEL QUICKLEYASSISTS OVER 6.5

NBAToronto Raptors· +126

Plus money on a number Quickley has been clearing almost every time he plays a normal game. He had 7, 8 and 7 in the last three, and 7 against Chicago before that. The Minnesota game with 2 was a blowout where the whole offense stalled. The situation pushes the ball into his hands. Barnes is a real playmaker, and if the hip keeps him out or limits him, Quickley runs more of the half court. Poeltl's shoulder is also a question, and Toronto's offense with the smaller bigs leans on guards creating off the dribble and kicking out. The pace angle matters as well. The Clippers have been giving the ball away constantly, 24 against the Lakers, 26 at Oklahoma City and at the Lakers, and Toronto loves to run off live turnovers. This team has piled up 31 to 35 assists in three of its last four games, and the point guard is the one collecting the transition dimes. Even with tired legs on the back end of a back-to-back, assists hold up better than shooting. At +126 I'll take him to get to 7.

Research

1000

PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ DET
MIN: 13.3 points allowed per game to DET's 25.7
Minnesota allows 13.3 points a game and Detroit gives up 25.7, so the Vikings' defense is carrying a much heavier share of the load. That 13.3 is a big improvement on last season's 19.6, while Detroit sits close to its 24.3. Seven games is a solid run, but a defense that much better than a year ago can slip back some against a strong offense. At Detroit, the Vikings likely need their defense to drag the game into a low-scoring fight.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
COVERAGEMIN @ DET
MIN: 154.9 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 276.6
Minnesota has held opponents to 154.9 passing yards a game over 7 games, while Detroit has given up 276.6. That is a big gap with seven games behind it, though the sheet doesn't show which quarterbacks Minnesota faced, so some of it may be schedule. Detroit's pass defense is the softer unit here. In this spot, Minnesota's passing game is the side with the friendlier matchup, and Detroit's passers face a much tougher test.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Olaivavega Ioane (G) is out for BAL
Baltimore has guard Olaivavega Ioane out for the game at Buffalo, reported Nov 2. Out means he is not playing. No injury or replacement is named, so the question for bettors is who lines up at guard and how that changes the Ravens' interior blocking.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Beau Stephens (G) is out for SEA
SEA lists Beau Stephens as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Jordan McFadden (G) is out for CHI
CHI lists Jordan McFadden as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Jordan van den Berg (DT) is out for CHI
CHI lists Jordan van den Berg as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Jayden Loving (DT) is out for CHI
CHI lists Jayden Loving as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Charles Cross (OT) is out for SEA
SEA lists Charles Cross as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Brandon Pili (DT) is out for SEA
Pili (back) is inactive for Monday night's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Uchenna Nwosu (LB) is out for SEA
Nwosu (ankle) is inactive for Monday's clash with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Velus Jones Jr. (RB) is out for SEA
Velus Jones Jr. is listed out for Seattle against Chicago on Monday night. The sheet gives no injury or role detail, so his absence mainly affects depth in the Seahawks' backfield.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Rashid Shaheed (WR) is out for SEA
Rashid Shaheed is listed out for Seattle's Monday night game against Chicago. The sheet gives no injury or timeline. His targets get spread across the rest of the Seahawks' receivers for this one.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Malik Muhammad II (CB) is out for CHI
Malik Muhammad II is inactive Monday night in Seattle with a toe injury. Chicago's cornerback group plays without him, and the sheet does not say who covers his snaps. An inactive tag is final for this game.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Drew Lock (QB) is out for SEA
Drew Lock is inactive as a coach's decision for Monday's game against Chicago. No injury is involved, so this is a backup quarterback sitting out and it has no bearing on Seattle's starter or game plan.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Javon Kinlaw (DT) is out for WSH
WSH lists Javon Kinlaw as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Jihaad Campbell (LB) is out for PHI
Campbell, a linebacker, is out for Philadelphia at Washington, and the report gives no injury detail. With Washington's Jeremy McNichols doubtful, both teams are dealing with absences in this game, so check both injury reports together before forming a view.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Jonathan Jones (CB) is out for PHI
Jones, a cornerback, is out for Philadelphia at Washington, with no injury listed on the report. A backup corner gets his snaps, which is relevant if you are weighing Washington passing numbers in this game.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Jeremy McNichols (RB) is doubtful for WSH
Jeremy McNichols hurt his foot Sunday against the Eagles and is seeking more opinions, with the expectation that he misses multiple months. Doubtful is mostly a formality here: plan on Washington playing without him for a long stretch. His touches go to the rest of the backfield, which the sheet does not name.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Britain Covey (WR) is out for PHI
Covey is out for Philadelphia at Washington, and the report gives no injury detail. With DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks also out, the Eagles are short three receivers. Check who handles return duties and slot snaps before betting this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Jaelan Phillips (LB) is out for CAR
Phillips is listed out, but the same report calls his hamstring day-to-day as of Monday, Nov 3, so the tag and the update point in different directions. A day-to-day hamstring can heal fast or linger, and the sheet does not name who fills his spot at linebacker. Check the final report before kickoff at Green Bay, since a late change could shift how much pressure Carolina gets.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Emeka Egbuka (WR) is out for TB
Tampa Bay has ruled out Egbuka for the Falcons game, with no injury or timeline listed. His targets move to the rest of the Buccaneers receivers, so look at how those players are priced before kickoff.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Anthony Gould (WR) is out for IND
Indianapolis has ruled out receiver Anthony Gould for the trip to Jacksonville, reported Nov 2. Out means he is not playing. The sheet lists no injury or replacement, so check who picks up his snaps before betting Colts receiver props.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is out for BAL
Jaylinn Hawkins is a safety in Baltimore's secondary, and he is ruled out with a knee injury after being listed as a non-participant on Monday's estimated practice report, reported Nov 3. Out means he will not play at Buffalo. The fact sheet does not name his replacement or his role, so the size of the loss is unclear. Bettors weighing Buffalo's passing game should check who Baltimore lists at safety before kickoff.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Spencer Brown (OT) is out for BUF
Buffalo has ruled Spencer Brown out for the game against Baltimore, per the report on Nov 2. Out means he will not play. The sheet does not give the injury, his recent snaps or who replaces him, so check who starts at tackle before you weigh how much Buffalo's line loses against this Ravens front.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Justin Walley (CB) is out for IND
Indianapolis will play at Jacksonville without cornerback Justin Walley, listed out on Nov 2. No injury or backup is named, so watch who covers in his spot against the Jaguars' passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Daron Payne (DT) is out for WSH
WSH lists Daron Payne as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is out for PHI
Wicks is out for Philadelphia at Washington, with no injury detail listed. He joins DeVonta Smith and Britain Covey on the out list, which strips the Eagles of receiver depth for this game. The remaining pass catchers should see more volume, so the active list matters more than usual here.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Tyler Huntley (QB) is questionable for BAL
Tyler Huntley has a toe injury, and Minter said Monday he probably won't play Thursday, with the team then looking at it from a long-term standpoint. That language points toward an absence that could stretch past this game. Joe Fagnano, questionable with a knee issue, is the other quarterback named, so Baltimore's quarterback situation is shaky heading into a short week.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Yaya Diaby (LB) is out for TB
Out means Diaby will not play. Todd Bowles confirmed an MCL sprain in his knee, an injury that often costs more than one week, so Tampa Bay may need to plan without him for a while. Losing a linebacker takes away some of the pass rush and run defense, which is worth considering when you look at how the opposing offense matches up with this front.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Joe Cardona (LS) is out for LAR
Long snapper Joe Cardona is out for the Rams against the Chargers, per the Nov 2 report. A team losing its long snapper has to use someone else on every punt, field goal and extra point, and the sheet does not name who. Kicking props and close spreads carry a bit more risk when the snapper is new.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTNE @ MIA
Kadyn Proctor (OT) is out for MIA
Proctor, an offensive tackle, is out for Miami against New England, with no injury detail on the report. A missing tackle means a backup lines up on the edge, which matters most if you are looking at New England pass rush or sack numbers in this game.
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Jaylon Jones (CB) is out for TEN
Jaylon Jones is out of the Titans secondary for the game at Cincinnati. No injury or timeline is given. A missing corner means a depth player sees more snaps in coverage, a factor worth weighing for Bengals passing props.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
DeVonta Smith (WR) is out for PHI
Smith is out for Philadelphia at Washington, with no injury listed on the report. He is one of three Eagles receivers ruled out this week, alongside Dontayvion Wicks and Britain Covey, so the receiver room is thin. That pushes looks toward whoever is left, and bettors should check who is active before trusting any Eagles passing prop.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTNE @ MIA
TreVeyon Henderson (RB) is out for NE
Henderson is out for New England at Miami, and the report lists no injury or timeline. With him off the field, the Patriots backfield carries go to whoever else is active, so look at that depth chart before judging any New England rushing number.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Kendrick Bourne (WR) is out for ARI
Bourne fractured his right tibia in Sunday's overtime win at Dallas. The break won't need surgery, but the three-month recovery ends his season. The sheet doesn't spell out his share of Arizona's targets, so the open question is which receiver absorbs his snaps. Watch the first depth chart and practice reports before trusting any Cardinals receiver prop built on last month's usage.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
David Bailey (LB) is out for NYJ
Bailey is out for New York against Las Vegas, with no further detail on the report. His linebacker snaps go to the next man up on the depth chart.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTNE @ MIA
A.J. Brown (WR) is out for NE
Brown is dealing with ankle and knee problems, and Mike Vrabel's "We'll see" on Monday about practice is about as noncommittal as it gets. He is listed out for the trip to Miami, so New England's passing game runs without him. If practice reports stay quiet this week, his status is unlikely to change, and the targets he leaves behind are the thing to price on other Patriots receivers.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Jimmy Rolder (LB) is out for DET
Jimmy Rolder is done for the season with a hamstring injury, per a Nov 2 report. That makes this a roster change, so Detroit's linebacker rotation against Minnesota and beyond runs without him. The sheet does not name a replacement, so watch who takes his snaps in the first game after the news.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Matthew Stafford (QB) is questionable for LAR
Stafford left Sunday's 24-9 win over the Chargers with ice on his right arm, and Sean McVay confirmed Monday he has been dealing with arm soreness. Questionable on the throwing arm of the starting quarterback is the status that moves this matchup most. Watch his practice participation closely, because a full week of work and a limited one would point to very different Rams offenses.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Talanoa Hufanga (S) is out for DEN
Denver will play Kansas City without safety Talanoa Hufanga, per the Nov 2 report. Out means he is ruled out. The sheet gives no injury detail or replacement, so the Broncos' secondary depth against the Chiefs is the question to settle before kickoff.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PACE & SCRIPTKC @ DEN
KC @ DEN carries a 58.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 58.5, 12 points above the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Deane Leonard (CB) is out for LAC
Leonard is out of the Chargers secondary for the Rams game. No injury or timeline is given. A backup corner takes his snaps, a small factor for Rams passing numbers.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Mansoor Delane (CB) is out for KC
The report gives only the designation, with no injury listed and no detail on his role, so there is little to build on. Delane will not play at Denver. Bettors should check who starts at corner for Kansas City before kickoff, since a backup in coverage changes how a Denver passing prop looks.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ LAR
LAC @ LAR carries a 33.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 33.5, 13 points below the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
PACE & SCRIPTATL @ TB
ATL @ TB carries a 16.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 16.5, 30 points below the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NYJ
LV @ NYJ carries a 71.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 71.5, 25 points above the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Kayode Awosika (G) is out for LAC
Awosika, a guard, is out for the Chargers against the Rams, with no injury listed. A reserve lineman steps into his spot on the interior.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Colby Parkinson (TE) is out for LAR
The Rams will not have tight end Colby Parkinson against the Chargers, per the Nov 2 report. Out means he will not play. With no injury or replacement listed, look at who the Rams activate at tight end before betting any Rams pass-catcher props.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ DET
MIN @ DET carries a 34.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 34.5, 12 points below the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ DAL
ARI @ DAL carries a 63.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 63.5, 17 points above the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Case Keenum (QB) is out for CHI
Case Keenum is inactive as a coach's decision and will serve as Chicago's emergency third quarterback Monday night in Seattle. This is a depth move with no injury involved, so it does not change who starts or how the Bears run their offense.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Kyle Monangai (RB) is out for CHI
Kyle Monangai is listed out for Chicago's Monday night game at Seattle. The sheet gives no injury or timeline, so his carries go to whoever else is in the Bears' backfield this week.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Brenen Thompson (WR) is out for LAC
Thompson is out with a quadriceps and hamstring problem and is not expected to practice this week. Two leg issues and no practice point to a full miss of the Rams game. The sheet does not say who absorbs his targets, so look at the Chargers' receiver depth before pricing their passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
MISMATCHTEN @ CIN
CIN: 288.4 pass yards a game to TEN's 173
The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: TEN threw for 173 passing yards a game over 8 games; CIN threw for 288.4 passing yards a game over 7 games this season. Last season TEN was at 166.1 over 17 games and CIN at 235.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Antonio Johnson (S) is out for JAX
Jacksonville will be without safety Antonio Johnson against Indianapolis, per the Nov 2 report. Out means he is ruled out for this game. The sheet does not give his injury or name a replacement, so the Jaguars' depth at safety is the thing to check before kickoff.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Bryce Boettcher (LB) is out for IND
Bryce Boettcher will not play for Indianapolis at Jacksonville, per the Nov 2 report. Out means no chance he suits up, so the Colts will work around him at linebacker. The sheet does not list his injury or who takes his snaps, so check the Colts' final inactives before reading much into how their defense lines up.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
MISMATCHMIN @ DET
DET: 264 pass yards a game to MIN's 165.6
The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: MIN threw for 165.6 passing yards a game over 7 games; DET threw for 264 passing yards a game over 7 games this season. Last season MIN was at 166.7 over 17 games and DET at 253.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
DaVon Hamilton (DT) is out for JAX
Hamilton tore his quadriceps in Sunday's win over the Colts, and coach Liam Coen confirmed Monday that he is done for the year. A season-ending injury removes him from every remaining game, so Jacksonville has to rotate someone else into his spot on the interior line. For bettors, the useful thing to track is how the Jaguars' run defense holds up in the next few weeks with a new body in the middle.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ CIN
TEN @ CIN carries a 79.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 79.5, 33 points above the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
PACE & SCRIPTIND @ JAX
JAX: 15.9 points allowed per game to IND's 27.8
Jacksonville gives up 15.9 points a game while Indianapolis allows 27.8, and both have moved sharply from last season, the Jaguars improving from 19.8 and the Colts getting worse from 24.2. Seven and eight games makes both shifts believable, though the size of each leaves room for some drift back. At Jacksonville, the Colts face a defense allowing little while their own defense leaks points, which puts pressure on Indianapolis to keep pace.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Eric Murray (S) is out for JAX
Murray is done for the season with an elbow injury, so this goes beyond the Colts game and holds for the rest of the year. Jacksonville has to replace a starting safety long term, and the sheet does not say who steps in. Whoever takes his snaps against Indianapolis is the player to watch in coverage.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Divine Deablo (LB) is out for ATL
ATL lists Divine Deablo as out on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) is out for ATL
Atlanta will be without cornerback Billy Bowman Jr. at Tampa Bay, listed out on Nov 2. The sheet gives no injury or backup, so watch who covers in his spot against the Buccaneers' receivers.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is out for ATL
Atlanta has running back Brian Robinson Jr. out for the game at Tampa Bay, reported Nov 2. Out means he is not playing. No injury or replacement is listed, so check who absorbs his carries before looking at Falcons rushing props.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Samson Ebukam (DE) is out for ATL
Samson Ebukam is out with a hamstring injury, ruled out on Nov 3. Atlanta's edge rush goes without him this week, and the sheet does not say who steps into his snaps. With a hamstring, the next question is whether he returns the following week or misses more time.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Zachariah Branch (WR) is out for ATL
Zachariah Branch is out with a hamstring injury, per a report on Nov 2, so Atlanta's receiver group is down a body for the Tampa Bay game. The sheet does not name who takes his targets, so check the depth chart before betting any Falcons receiver props.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Doneiko Slaughter (CB) is out for PIT
Slaughter is out for Pittsburgh against Cleveland. With Brandin Echols also ruled out, the Steelers are down two corners, which is the angle to weigh for Browns passing props.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Brandin Echols (CB) is out for PIT
Echols is out of the Steelers secondary for the Browns game, with no injury detail given. Pittsburgh is also without Doneiko Slaughter at corner, so the depth at the position is thin for this one.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Ben Skowronek (WR) is out for PIT
Skowronek is out for Pittsburgh against Cleveland. No injury is listed. His snaps and any targets spread to the other Steelers receivers.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
Max Mitchell (OT) is out for NYJ
The Jets have ruled out Mitchell, an offensive tackle, for the Raiders game. No injury or timeline is listed. Missing a tackle can put more pressure on the line in pass protection, which is the spot to think about for Jets passing numbers.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
Joseph Ossai (DE) is out for NYJ
Ossai is out for the Jets against Las Vegas, with no injury detail given. That takes one edge rusher out of the rotation, so others on the line pick up more snaps.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
Breece Hall (RB) is out for NYJ
Hall carries an Out tag for the Raiders game, but the quadriceps issue looks like a short-term problem: he is reported as good to go and expected back next Sunday against the Chiefs. Out means he will not play in this one, so the Jets backfield runs without its lead back for a single week. The sheet does not name who takes his carries, so check the depth chart before betting any Jets rushing number. Prices tied to Hall should look normal again for the Chiefs game.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Jack Campbell (LB) is doubtful for DET
Campbell is recovering from a neck injury at a Detroit-area hospital, and the Lions say preliminary indications are positive. Doubtful means he is unlikely to face Minnesota. Plan on the Lions defense playing without him at linebacker, with backups taking his snaps.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Kyler Murray (QB) is questionable for MIN
Murray has a sore hamstring and is getting a full evaluation to find out how serious it is. Questionable means his status for Detroit is open, and hamstrings can linger or flare up. Until the results are known, a Minnesota side or total carries quarterback risk, and the number can move once the team updates his status.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Jon Gaines II (G) is out for ARI
Arizona will play at Dallas without guard Jon Gaines II, listed out on Nov 2. No injury or replacement is given, so the question is who starts at guard and how much that shifts the Cardinals' interior blocking.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Dee Winters (LB) is out for DAL
Dallas has linebacker Dee Winters out against Arizona, reported Nov 2. Out means he will not suit up. The sheet lists no injury or replacement, so check who gets his snaps in the Cowboys' second level.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Walter Nolen III (DT) is out for ARI
Arizona has ruled out defensive tackle Walter Nolen III for the trip to Dallas, reported Nov 2. He will not play. No injury or backup is named, so watch who fills his interior snaps against the Cowboys' line.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Luke Schoonmaker (TE) is out for DAL
Dallas will play Arizona without tight end Luke Schoonmaker, listed out on Nov 2. The sheet gives no injury or replacement, so the impact depends on who absorbs his snaps in the Cowboys' tight end group.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
KaVontae Turpin (WR) is out for DAL
Dallas has KaVontae Turpin out against Arizona, reported Nov 2. Out means he is not playing. No injury or replacement is listed, so check who takes his receiver and return snaps before betting anything tied to his role.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Kyle Dugger (S) is out for CIN
Cincinnati has ruled out safety Kyle Dugger for the Titans game, reported Nov 2. He will not play. The sheet gives no injury or backup, so check who starts in the Bengals secondary before reading anything into Tennessee's passing numbers.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Carnell Tate (WR) is out for TEN
Tate is out for Tennessee at Cincinnati, with no injury detail listed. His targets shift to the rest of the Titans receivers, which matters most for anyone pricing the passing game in this spot.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Tyjae Spears (RB) is out for TEN
Tennessee has ruled Spears out for the trip to Cincinnati. The report gives no injury detail or timeline. With him out, the backfield work goes to whoever else is active, so check the final inactives before backing any Titans rushing number.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Greg Gaines (DT) is out for BUF
Buffalo will play Baltimore without defensive tackle Greg Gaines, who was listed out on Nov 2. The report gives no injury detail or backup, so watch who gets his interior snaps against a Ravens offense that leans on the run.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Joe Fagnano (QB) is questionable for BAL
Fagnano is questionable after being limited in Monday's walkthrough with an ankle injury. Questionable means a real chance he plays, and a limited session is partial work rather than none. His practice reports through the week at Buffalo will tell you more than the tag does now, so wait for them before leaning on any Baltimore passing number.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
RED ZONEMIN @ DET
MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 74.1%
MIN is at 25% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; DET is at 74.1% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
COVERAGECHI @ SEA
SEA: 3.96 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.1
Seattle is allowing 3.96 yards per play over 7 games, and Chicago is allowing 6.1. Per-play numbers settle faster than most stats, so seven games makes Seattle's look like a real strength, though the opponents behind it aren't listed here. Chicago's offense will find yards harder to come by than Seattle's offense will. Long, sustained drives favor the Seattle side in this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSKC @ DEN
KC: 6.29 yards per play to DEN's 4.74
Kansas City gains 6.29 yards a play to Denver's 4.74, a sharp flip from last season when the Chiefs were at 5.05 and the Broncos at 5.32. Both teams hit chunk plays in their last game: the Chiefs had three of 20 or more yards, led by Patrick Mahomes' 73-yard touchdown to Emmett Johnson, and Denver had four, led by Bo Nix's 51-yarder to Jonah Coleman. Seven and eight games say the Chiefs are the more explosive offense right now, so at Denver the Broncos likely need to win with longer drives and field position.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
MISMATCHLAC @ LAR
LAR: 258.9 pass yards a game to LAC's 177.1
The Rams are throwing for 258.9 a game over 8 games, close to last season's 268.1, so their passing game is steady. The Chargers are the mover: 177.1 through 7 games after 212.2 last season. That drop is the side more likely to bounce back some over a bigger sample. In this one the Chargers need to keep it close on the ground, since a shootout favors the team that has passed well for two straight years.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
SITUATIONALNE @ MIA
NE: 244.1 team passing yards per game to MIA's 166.7
New England passes for 244.1 yards a game and Miami for 166.7, and both are close to last season, the Patriots at 250.5 and the Dolphins down from 180.5. That consistency over a full season and eight games points to a stable gap. At Miami, the Dolphins likely need to run the ball and shorten the game, since trading throws with New England has not been their strength.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ CIN
CIN: 29.4 points per game to TEN's 18
Cincinnati scores 29.4 points a game against Tennessee's 18, and the Bengals are up from 24.4 last season while the Titans are near their 16.7. Seven games makes Cincinnati's jump look real, though some cooling is normal. At Cincinnati, Tennessee has rarely shown the scoring to keep up, so the game likely tilts on whether the Titans can slow the Bengals rather than outscore them.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
MISMATCHIND @ JAX
JAX: 15.9 points allowed a game to IND's 27.8
Jacksonville is allowing 15.9 points a game over 7 games, a sharp improvement from 19.8 last season, while Indianapolis has gone the other way, from 24.2 to 27.8 over 8 games. Both moves stretch past last year's numbers, so some pullback toward those marks is fair to expect. The Colts defense is the weaker unit by a wide margin, which puts the pressure on Indianapolis to win a game where it can't count on stops. Think about this as Jacksonville's defense setting the pace at home.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Tommy Townsend (P) is out for TEN
Tennessee will play at Cincinnati without punter Tommy Townsend, and the report lists no injury. A replacement punter is an unknown on field position, which matters a little more for a team total or a tight spread.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
STREAKLAC @ LAR
LAC has lost 7 straight
At 0-7, the Chargers have not won a game this season, so the streak is the whole year. Their opponents are not listed, so there is no way to tell how much of this is schedule. Seven games is far more than one bad week, though, and it is real evidence. Going to face the Rams, price LAC on what they have shown and be wary of paying for a bounce-back story with nothing behind it.
MISMATCHKC @ DEN
KC: 6.29 yards a snap to DEN's 4.74
Kansas City is gaining 6.29 yards a snap through 7 games, up from 5.05 last season, while Denver has dropped from 5.32 to 4.74 over 8 games. The Chiefs' jump is large enough that some cooling is likely, and Denver's dip sits below its own recent level. The Broncos need long drives and a short game to hide the gap in efficiency. Field position and turnovers will matter more for the team that gains less per play.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
MISMATCHNE @ MIA
NE: 244.1 pass yards a game to MIA's 166.7
New England throws for 244.1 a game over 8 games, near last season's 250.5, so that passing attack is stable. Miami is at 166.7 through 7 games after 180.5 last year, a small slide on a pass game that was already below New England's. The gap should mostly hold. Miami needs a home game played on the ground and at a slower pace, because matching the Patriots through the air hasn't been its strength in either season.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSIND @ JAX
JAX: 5.93 yards per play to IND's 4.45
Jacksonville gains 5.93 yards a play to Indianapolis's 4.45, and the switch from last season is stark: the Colts were at 5.77 and the Jaguars at 5.27. That points to an Indianapolis offense that has stalled badly over eight games while Jacksonville has gotten better. A fall that steep can partly recover, but at Jacksonville the Colts are the side that has to prove they can move the ball.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ BUF
BUF: 33.3 points per game to BAL's 22.4
BAL is at 22.4 points per game over 8 games; BUF is at 33.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 24.9 over 17 games and BUF at 28.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF
Moore indicated following Sunday's 36-10 win over the Ravens that he's okay in the wake of his late-game exit due to a knee issue, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PASS RUSHLAC @ LAR
LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3.29
The Chargers give up 3.29 sacks a game while the Rams allow 1.5, and both match last season closely, 3.75 for the Chargers and 1.77 for the Rams. Two seasons of the same pattern says this is a real protection problem for the Chargers. At the Rams, drive-killing sacks are a likely factor for the Chargers' offense, which can keep their scoring down.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Dean Connors (RB) is questionable for LAR
Connors suffered a broken hand in Sunday's 24-9 win over the Rams. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) is questionable for JAX
Tuten was a non-participant at Monday's walkthrough due to ankle and foot injuries. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB) is questionable for JAX
Rodriguez was listed as limited on Monday's practice estimate due to a hand injury. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Jacob Saylors (RB) is questionable for DET
Saylors is questionable with a neck injury and is not expected to practice Wednesday. Missing the first session of the week puts his status for the Vikings game in real doubt. Thursday and Friday reports will decide it, so hold off on Detroit backfield bets until then.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Jakobi Meyers (WR) is questionable for JAX
Meyers was listed as limited on Monday's estimated injury report due to hamstring and ankle issues. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Christian Watson (WR) is questionable for GB
Watson is questionable with a rib injury, but the update on Monday was encouraging: passing game coordinator Jason Vrable said he is sore and "doing great." That sounds like a player who expects to face Carolina. Rib injuries can still bother a receiver on contact, so pay attention to how practice goes later in the week.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Bam Knight (RB) is questionable for ARI
Head coach Mike LaFleur revealed Monday that Knight is in the concussion protocol following Sunday's overtime win in Dallas, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Michael Wilson (WR) is questionable for ARI
Wilson said after Sunday's 33-30 win at Dallas that he suffered two broken ribs during the contest, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI
Head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love suffered a "new" ankle injury during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas, and that he'll have an update on the running back later this week, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
STREAKPHI @ WSH
PHI has lost 6 straight
The Eagles are 2-6, and the last six games have all been losses. The teams that beat them are not listed, so the streak alone cannot say whether this is a tough schedule or a team that has slid. Six straight losses inside an eight-game season is a real sample. Heading to Washington, the useful check is how far the line has already moved against them.
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Justice Hill (RB) is questionable for BAL
Hill (groin) was estimated as a limited participant on Monday's practice report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
STREAKSAC @ DAL
SAC has lost 6 straight
SAC lost its last 6 by an average of 19; their last-10 mark is 0-6.
P team won 115-100
STREAKNOP @ MEM
MEM has won 6 straight
Memphis Grizzlies has won 6 straight, winning by 15.2 a game over the run; 6-0 across the last 6.
P team lost 135-134
TURNOVERSIND @ JAX
JAX: 1.71 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5
Jacksonville is forcing 1.71 takeaways a game over 7 games. Indianapolis has 0.5 over 8. Takeaways are among the streakiest numbers in football and depend heavily on opposing quarterbacks making mistakes, so Jacksonville's rate is likely to cool and Indianapolis's could tick up. The edge is real so far, but turnover gaps this size rarely hold, so lean on it lightly when sizing up this game.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC: 249 team passing yards per game to DEN's 180.4
Kansas City throws for 249 yards a game against Denver's 180.4, and the gap flipped from last season when Denver was at 223.9 and Kansas City at 214.1. The Broncos' passing has dropped hard over eight games while the Chiefs have climbed. At Denver, the Chiefs look like the side more capable of moving it through the air, while the Broncos may lean on the run.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ LAR
LAR: 24.3 points per game to LAC's 14.1
The Rams score 24.3 points a game and the Chargers 14.1, with the Chargers way down from 21.6 last season and the Rams also off from 30.5. Seven games is enough to take the Chargers' slide seriously, though some bounce-back is possible. At the Rams, the Chargers have to find points they have rarely produced, which leans toward a game the Rams control.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
TEAM RECORDCLE @ PIT
PIT is 4-0 at home; CLE is 2-3 on the road
Pittsburgh has won all 4 home games, and Cleveland has won 2 of 5 on the road. Four home games is a small set, and the visitors are not listed, so the perfect mark may partly reflect the schedule. A record that small swings fast, and one loss makes it ordinary. The split leans PIT, and the line likely already carries some of that home edge.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
TEAM RECORDIND @ JAX
JAX is 4-1 at home; IND is 1-4 on the road
Jacksonville has won 4 of 5 at home, and Indianapolis has won 1 of 5 away. That puts each team in its best and worst spot. Five games each is enough to take seriously and too few to call settled, and opponent strength is not listed. The gap is wide enough that one or two results would not erase it, so the split backs JAX, and the price decides whether that is worth anything.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PASS RUSHLV @ NYJ
LV: 8 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 24.3
Las Vegas is losing very few yards to sacks this season, while the Jets give up far more. That is a big turn for the Raiders, who lost 29 per game last season, while New York sits near its 24.9 from last season. The Jets number looks like who they are, and the Raiders' improvement over 8 games may soften. Drive-killing sacks on the Jets side matter for their totals and for whether they can sustain drives.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
RED ZONEARI @ DAL
DAL: 71.9% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 45.5%
ARI is at 45.5% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; DAL is at 71.9% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ARI was at 54.1% over 17 games and DAL at 56.9% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
COVERAGECHI @ SEA
SEA: 144.4 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 225.9
CHI is at 225.9 passing yards allowed per game over 7 games; SEA is at 144.4 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Javon Kinlaw
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Jihaad Campbell
Hamstring, Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PASS RUSHKC @ DEN
DEN: 2.88 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.29
Denver is recording 2.88 sacks a game over 8 games, more than double Kansas City's 1.29 over 7. Sack totals depend on the quarterbacks and lines faced, which aren't on the sheet, but eight games is enough to call Denver's rush a real strength. Kansas City's quarterback is the one likelier to face pressure here, which matters for sack props and drive-killing plays.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Zaire Franklin
Shin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ WSH
PHI @ WSH carries a 37.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 37.5, 9 points below the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Kayode Awosika
Fibula · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
SITUATIONALATL @ TB
ATL: 6.5 yards per pass attempt to TB's 4.28
Atlanta gains a normal amount per throw while Tampa Bay's passing has collapsed to 4.28 a pop. Last season the two were even, ATL at 6.21 and TB at 6.04, so the Falcons are roughly themselves and the Bucs are the story across 8 games. A drop that steep tends to bounce back some, though Tampa leaning on short throws limits explosive scoring. Unders on Tampa's passing game have some support, with room for a rebound.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Jake Ferguson (TE) is questionable for DAL
Head coach Brian Schottenheimer said Monday that Ferguson (ankle) has a chance to play Sunday at Indianapolis, Jon Machota of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Kadyn Proctor
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Jonathan Jones
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Daron Payne
Foot · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
DeVonta Smith
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Dontayvion Wicks
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
TEAM RECORDKC @ DEN
DEN is 4-0 at home; KC is 2-2 on the road
Denver is unbeaten in 4 home games, and Kansas City is 2-2 on the road. Four games is a small sample and the opponents are not listed, so the perfect home mark has room to fall. KC at 2-2 away looks like a team that travels fine. The split points to Denver, and a bettor should check whether the line already gives them full credit for it.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
TEAM RECORDLV @ NYJ
LV is 3-1 on the road; NYJ is 1-3 at home
The Raiders have won 3 of 4 away from home, and the Jets have won 1 of 4 in their own building, which flips the usual home edge. Four games on each side is a thin sample, and the opponents are not listed. Splits this small tend to drift back toward a team's overall level. The fair use here is to give New York little or no home bump before deciding anything about LV.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Brenen Thompson
Quadricep, Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Deane Leonard
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Justin Walley
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Antonio Johnson
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Anthony Gould
Concussion · Full practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Emeka Egbuka
Foot · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Doneiko Slaughter
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Brandin Echols
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Max Mitchell
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Joseph Ossai
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Jon Gaines II
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Walter Nolen III
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Dee Winters
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Jeremiyah Love
Full practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Tyjae Spears
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Tommy Townsend
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Carnell Tate
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Lamar Jackson
Full practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Jaylinn Hawkins
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Jaelan Phillips
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Travis Glover
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Akayleb Evans
Triceps, Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Velus Jones Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Kyle Monangai
Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Rashid Shaheed
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Charles Cross
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Talanoa Hufanga
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Kyle Dugger
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Sean Rhyan
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Brian Robinson Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Torricelli Simpkins III
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Damien Lewis
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
KaVontae Turpin
Ribs · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Britain Covey
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
COVERAGEMIN @ DET
MIN: 29.7% third downs allowed to DET's 45.8%
Minnesota has held opponents to 29.7% on third down over 7 games. Detroit is allowing 45.8%. Third-down rates tend to drift toward the middle, so Minnesota's number will likely rise some, but the gap is wide. Detroit's offense may struggle to sustain drives, while Minnesota should extend more possessions, which can shape time of possession and total plays in this game.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Olaivavega Ioane
Knee · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
MISMATCHCAR @ GB
GB: 1.75 sacks taken a game to CAR's 3.29
Carolina is giving up 3.29 sacks a game over seven games, up sharply from 2.19 last season, while Green Bay takes 1.75, slightly better than its 2.07 a year ago. The Panthers' protection has gotten worse, and drive-killing sacks show up most on obvious passing downs. Carolina needs quick throws and manageable third downs to stay ahead of the chains. Long-yardage situations favor Green Bay's pass rush.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
TRENCHESIND @ JAX
JAX: 77.4 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 131.8
IND is at 131.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; JAX is at 77.4 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Cade Mays (C) is questionable for DET
Cade Mays, Detroit's center, suffered a low ankle sprain in Sunday's win over the Vikings and now carries a questionable tag for the rematch with Minnesota. Questionable means his status is uncertain for this game. The report doesn't name who would snap the ball if he sits. Check the late-week practice reports before betting anything that depends on Detroit's interior line holding up.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSMIN @ DET
DET: 5.94 yards per play to MIN's 4.74
Detroit moves the ball far more efficiently per snap, and both numbers match last season closely, DET at 5.97 and MIN at 4.82, so this gap looks real over 7 games. Minnesota's offense leans on Kyler Murray downfield shots like the 51-yarder to Jordan Addison. Detroit had just 1 play of 20-plus last game, a 30-yard Jahmyr Gibbs touchdown run, so they grind more than they explode. The Lions control the game, while Minnesota needs big plays to keep up.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
STREAKBOS @ HOU
BOS has won 5 straight
5 wins in a row for BOS (13-point average margin), sitting 5-1 over their last 6.
P team lost 93-109
COVERAGELV @ NYJ
NYJ: 4.91 yards per play allowed to LV's 6.1
The Jets are allowing 4.91 yards per play over 8 games. Las Vegas is at 6.1. Per-play numbers are fairly stable over eight games, so the Jets defense looks like the sturdier unit. Las Vegas's offense faces the tougher matchup, and the Jets offense should find more room to move the ball than it does against most defenses.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSTEN @ CIN
CIN: 5.97 yards per play to TEN's 4.77
Cincinnati gains over a yard more per snap than Tennessee, and both are up from last season, CIN from 5.23 and TEN from 4.38. The Titans did hit 7 plays of 20-plus last game, including Tony Pollard's 40-yard touchdown run, so their offense has shown some pop lately. The Bengals' explosiveness runs through Joe Burrow to Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, which should keep CIN as the side dictating pace and score.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
MISMATCHLV @ NYJ
LV: 1.38 sacks taken a game to NYJ's 2.88
Las Vegas has taken 1.38 sacks a game over 8 games after taking 4 last season, a huge turnaround in protection. The Jets are at 2.88 over 8 games, better than their 3.75 last year but still about double the Raiders. A swing that big for Las Vegas is the number most likely to drift back up some. The Jets have to protect with quick throws and run support, because drive-killing sacks are where this game can swing.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Uchenna Nwosu
Ankle · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
D.J. Reed (CB) is questionable for DET
Reed is questionable with a hip injury and is not expected to practice Wednesday. A starting corner sitting the first practice of the week leaves his status for Minnesota open. If he cannot go, Detroit's coverage gets thinner against the Vikings receivers, which matters for their passing props.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Joe Cardona
Ankle · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ DET
DET: 29 points per game to MIN's 20
MIN is at 20 points per game over 7 games; DET is at 29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season MIN was at 20.2 over 17 games and DET at 28.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
STREAKTOR @ LAC
LAC has lost 5 straight
The Clippers have lost 5 straight by 13.8 a game, 1-5 over their last six. The injury list explains a lot: Brandon Ingram, Bradley Beal, Max Strus, Jordan Miller and Yanic Konan Niederhauser are all out tonight. Until bodies come back, this is a thin roster, and Toronto gets them at full stretch.
P team lost 125-118
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
David Bailey
Groin · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PASS RUSHLV @ NYJ
LV: 1.38 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 2.88
Las Vegas is taking under a sack and a half per game, a huge drop from 4 last season, while the Jets are at 2.88, down from 3.75. Both lines have improved over 8 games, but the Raiders' turnaround is so large it may give some back. The Jets still face more pressure, which helps the Raiders' defense in drive-killing situations and makes long Jets drives harder to string together.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Will Lee III (CB) is questionable for CAR
Will Lee III is day to day with a hamstring injury and should get a chance to test it this week before Carolina visits Green Bay. Questionable with a practice test ahead means it hinges on how the hamstring holds up. Wait for his practice reports before reading too much into Carolina's coverage.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
DJ Turner II (CB) is questionable for CIN
DJ Turner II has an ankle injury and is considered day to day ahead of Cincinnati hosting Tennessee. Day to day with a questionable tag usually means it comes down to how he moves late in the week. Check the final status before betting on how the Bengals' secondary holds up.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
RED ZONEMIN @ DET
DET: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.29
MIN is at 2.29 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; DET is at 4.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
TRENCHESCAR @ GB
CAR: 4.27 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.81
Carolina gains a solid amount per carry, in line with 4.16 last season, while Green Bay has crashed to 2.81 from 4.21. A drop that steep over 8 games usually recovers some. Carolina's ground game looks like its normal self, so the Panthers can lean on the run at Lambeau while Green Bay may have to throw more to move the ball.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PASS RUSHNE @ MIA
NE: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1.29
New England is recording 2.75 sacks a game over 8 games, while Miami has 1.29 over 7. That gap has a decent sample behind it. Miami's quarterback is the likelier to face heat, which matters for sack props and for drives that stall on long downs. New England's passer should have the cleaner pocket in this game.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
SITUATIONALATL @ TB
ATL: 188.4 team passing yards per game to TB's 131.4
Tampa Bay is throwing for 131.4 a game, a sharp fall from 205.9 last season, while Atlanta is down a bit from 207.2. The Bucs' drop over 8 games is the outlier and the likelier number to rise. For this game, Tampa passing totals may be priced low off the slump, so weigh whether their offense keeps leaning away from the pass or bounces back toward last season.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
MISMATCHATL @ TB
ATL: 188.4 pass yards a game to TB's 131.4
Atlanta throws for 188.4 a game over 8 games, a little under last season's 207.2, while Tampa Bay has fallen hard from 205.9 to 131.4 over 8 games. The Buccaneers' drop is the outlier and the likeliest number to climb back. Until it does, Tampa needs the run game to carry its offense at home. Watch how this matchup reads if the Buccaneers have to throw to catch up, since their passing has been far below last year's level.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Grant Stuard (LB) is questionable for LAR
Stuard is battling a hamstring injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
MISMATCHCHI @ SEA
CHI: 154.3 rush yards a game to SEA's 113.7
Chicago is running for 154.3 yards a game through 7 games, up from 144.5 last season, so the Bears' ground game is a two-year trait. Seattle is at 113.7 over 7 games, down from 123.3. The gap looks durable. Seattle has to slow the Bears' run game at home and force Chicago into passing downs, so the Bears' ability to stay on schedule is how to frame this game.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
SITUATIONALNE @ MIA
NE (5-3) at MIA (1-6), a division game
Miami is 1-6, -64 and has not won at home in 3 tries. New England is 5-3 and +22, a solid margin, though the Patriots are only 2-3 on the road. Miami's numbers are poor in every split, so there is little sign of a team underselling itself. The question for this game is how much New England's ordinary road form should temper the gap the season numbers show.
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
SITUATIONALIND @ JAX
IND (2-6) at JAX (5-2), a division game
Indianapolis is 2-6, -61 and has lost 4 straight, and the Colts are 1-4 on the road. Jacksonville is +85 and 4-1 at home, so the gap here shows up in every split on the sheet. Jacksonville's one-game win streak follows a loss, which matters less than a margin that big. A spread this lopsided depends on whether the number already prices in how far apart these two have been.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
SITUATIONALCLE @ PIT
CLE (5-3) at PIT (6-2), a division game
Cleveland is 5-3 while being outscored by 34 points, a record that flatters a team losing more points than it wins. Pittsburgh is +36, has won 4 straight and is 4-0 at home, while the Browns are 2-3 on the road. Records like Cleveland's tend to drift toward the scoring margin over time. Here the margin, the streak and the venue all point the same direction, toward Pittsburgh.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
SITUATIONALPHI @ WSH
PHI (2-6) at WSH (2-4-1), a division game
Philadelphia has lost 6 straight and is -65, and the Eagles are 1-3 away from home. Washington is only -23 on the year but has been steadier at home at 2-1-1, with a win last time out. Neither record looks misleading next to its margin. This is a matchup of two struggling teams where the home split and the Eagles' slide both lean Washington's way.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
SITUATIONALMIN @ DET
MIN (6-1) at DET (5-2), a division game
Minnesota has the better record and the bigger margin at +47, but Detroit arrives hotter with 3 straight wins and a perfect 4-0 at home. The Vikings have handled the road well at 3-1, so the head start in point differential can travel. Detroit's +23 is about half of Minnesota's, which suggests the Lions have won closer games. In a division game, the home split and the Vikings' cushion pull in opposite directions, so the price matters more than the records.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
SITUATIONALATL @ TB
ATL (3-5) at TB (3-5), a division game
Same 3-5 record, very different teams underneath it. Tampa Bay is +27 on the year and has won 2 straight, while Atlanta is -18, so the Bucs have been the unluckier side. The catch is Tampa's 1-4 home mark against Atlanta's 2-2 on the road. The point margin is the steadier number over a full season, so the Bucs' record looks more likely to improve than Atlanta's.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC (5-2) at DEN (6-2), a division game
Denver has won 4 straight and is 4-0 at home, but the Broncos are only +7 on the year, so most of those wins have been close. Kansas City is a game worse at 5-2 yet +36, with a 2-game losing streak and a 2-2 road mark. Denver's record flatters its margin and the Chiefs' undersells theirs. Close wins are harder to repeat than big margins, which makes this a spot where the hot streak and the better team are different sides.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
TRENCHESCAR @ GB
CAR: 102 rushing yards per game to GB's 60.6
Carolina runs for 102 a game, while Green Bay is at just 60.6 after posting 119.8 last season. The Packers' drop over 8 games is so steep it likely improves. Carolina is down from 116.3 too, so neither team is at its norm. Green Bay's thin ground game puts more on the passing attack, which shapes how they play with a lead.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Roquan Smith (LB) is questionable for BAL
Smith (foot) was estimated as a limited participant on Monday's practice report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
TRENCHESCHI @ SEA
CHI: 154.3 rushing yards per game to SEA's 113.7
Chicago runs for 154.3 a game, up from 144.5 last season, so the Bears are a true run team over 7 games. Seattle is at 113.7, a bit below 123.3 last season. In Seattle, Chicago will try to dictate tempo on the ground and limit possessions, which favors a slower game and puts pressure on Seattle to stop the run early.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
TURNOVERSLAC @ LAR
LAR: 1.5 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.43
LAC is at 2.43 turnovers committed per game over 7 games; LAR is at 1.5 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and LAR at 0.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
MISMATCHPHI @ WSH
WSH: 126.6 rush yards a game to PHI's 88.1
Philadelphia's run game has fallen to 88.1 yards a game over 8 games from 116.9 last season, while Washington is at 126.6 through 7 games, close to last year's 134.7. The Eagles' drop is the number more likely to recover some. Washington's steady rushing gives it the clock-control edge at home. If Philadelphia can't get its ground game back, it leans more on passing, which changes how this game is likely to unfold.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
SITUATIONALNE @ MIA
NE: 7.66 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.77
New England gains much more per throw, close to its 7.99 from last season, while Miami sits at 5.77, near its 6 last season. Both numbers match last season, so this gap looks real. The Patriots can push the ball downfield in Miami, while the Dolphins rely on shorter gains and need longer drives to score.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
RED ZONELAC @ LAR
LAR: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to LAC's 47.1%
LAC is at 47.1% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; LAR is at 68.8% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 47.4% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
TURNOVERSPHI @ WSH
WSH: 1.43 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.5
Washington is forcing 1.43 takeaways a game over 7 games. Philadelphia has 0.5 over 8. Takeaways swing on bounces and opposing mistakes, so both numbers are likely to move toward the middle. Washington has been the opportunistic defense so far, but a turnover edge this size is the least reliable gap on the board, so weigh it lightly.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
TEAM RECORDTEN @ CIN
CIN is 2-1 at home; TEN is 1-3 on the road
Cincinnati has won 2 of 3 at home, and Tennessee has won 1 of 4 on the road. Three and four games are too few to say much about either team, and one result changes both records. This is a mild nudge toward CIN that should carry little weight against bigger numbers.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAC @ LAR
LAR: 5.79 yards per play to LAC's 4.71
The Rams gain more per play, down a bit from 6.15 last season, while the Chargers have dipped to 4.71 from 5.19. Justin Herbert's 54- and 30-yard throws to Ladd McConkey show LAC still hits big plays. The Rams had 2 plays of 20-plus last game, including a 40-yarder from Matthew Stafford to Tutu Atwell. Expect LAC to chase explosives against a steadier Rams offense.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Coleman Shelton
Hip · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Bryce Boettcher
Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Jakobi Meyers
Hamstring, Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Drew Ogletree
Knee · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Olamide Zaccheaus
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Divine Deablo
Forearm · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Samson Ebukam
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Avieon Terrell
Illness · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Luke Goedeke
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Kenny Gainwell
Hip · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Billy Bowman Jr.
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Ben Skowronek
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Tytus Howard
Concussion · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Daniel Thomas
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Myles Harden
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Jackson Powers-Johnson
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Breece Hall
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Jack Bech
Forearm · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Jay Ward
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Roger McCreary
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
TreVeyon Henderson
Illness · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
A.J. Brown
Ankle, Knee · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Max Melton
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Andrew Wingard
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
George Pickens
Shoulder, Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Hjalte Froholdt
Knee · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Kenny Clark
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
P.J. Locke
Foot · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Joe Giles-Harris
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Jaylon Jones
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
John Franklin-Myers
Groin, Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Reese Taylor
Quadricep · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
JuJu Brents
Neck, Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Carlton Davis III
Neck · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Treylon Burks
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Adam Randall (RB) is ir-r for BAL
Randall (neck) wasn't activated from injured reserve Saturday and won't be available for Sunday's game against the Bills, Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic reports. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ PIT
CLE @ PIT carries a 39.5 market total
The current fanduel total is 39.5, 7 points below the 46.5 median across 13 games with posted totals on this slate.
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Garett Bolles
Hip · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Zach Allen
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Jaylen Waddle
Chest · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Colby Parkinson
Rib · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Donte Jackson
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Trent McDuffie
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Rodney Shelley
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Drew Lock
Elbow · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Calvin Ridley
Hip · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
D'Marco Jackson
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Dalton Kincaid
Chest · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Greg Gaines
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Patrick O'Connell
Toe · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
T.J. Tampa
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Dee Alford
Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Brandon Pili
Back · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Anthony Bradford
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Dylan Parham
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
TJ Parker
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Spencer Brown
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Brenton Cox Jr.
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Devonte Wyatt
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
DJ Moore
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Anthony Campbell
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Luke Schoonmaker
Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Jordan Whittington
Back · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
John Bates
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Matthew Golden
Shoulder, Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Charles Snowden
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Mansoor Delane
Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Malik Muhammad II
Toe · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Bobby Brown III
Hand · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
QUARTERBACKMIN @ DET
Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN
Through 6 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 1022 passing yards, completed 64.9% of his passes and averaged 6.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in. Kyler Murray is also listed q for this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
QUARTERBACKBAL @ BUF
Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL
Through 5 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 727 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in. Tyler Huntley is also listed q for this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC: 7.36 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 5.55
KC is at 7.36 yards per pass attempt over 7 games; DEN is at 5.55 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
STREAKCLE @ PIT
PIT has won 4 straight
Pittsburgh has won four in a row and sits 6-2, so most of its season has gone right. The opponents in those four wins are not listed, and that is the main thing missing before calling the run earned. Four games is short enough that one loss resets it. With Cleveland coming in, the streak supports PIT's form, and the price will usually reflect it already.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
STREAKIND @ JAX
IND has lost 4 straight
Four straight losses leave the Colts at 2-6. Opponents are not listed, so it is unclear how much of the slide is schedule. Across eight games, that record is a meaningful sample of a team that is losing. Heading to Jacksonville, the question is how far the market has already dropped them.
STREAKKC @ DEN
DEN has won 4 straight
Denver has won four straight and is 6-2. Opponents are not listed, so there is no way to grade how hard those wins were. A four-game run is short enough that one loss resets it. Kansas City is the next test, and the line will show how much credit the run has already earned.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Brandon Jones
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-28
MISMATCHCLE @ PIT
PIT: 2.88 sacks taken a game to CLE's 4.13
Cleveland has taken 4.13 sacks a game over 8 games, up from 3 last season, while Pittsburgh is at 2.88 after 2.38 last year. Both lines are giving up more, but the Browns' rise is the steeper one and the likelier to ease back a bit. Cleveland needs quick throws and a working run game to keep sacks from stalling drives on the road. Pass rush pressure is where Pittsburgh can tilt this game.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PACE & SCRIPTIND @ JAX
JAX: 28 points per game to IND's 20.1
IND is at 20.1 points per game over 8 games; JAX is at 28 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
TEAM RECORDLAC @ LAR
LAR is 2-3 at home; LAC is 0-4 on the road
The Rams have won 2 of 5 at home, so their building has not been much of an edge, while the Chargers have lost all 4 road games. The split favours LAR mostly because of LAC's side of it. Four and five games are small samples, and the opponents are not listed. The Chargers' road mark carries more of the weight here than anything the Rams have done at home.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
TEAM RECORDNE @ MIA
NE is 2-3 on the road; MIA is 0-3 at home
Miami has lost all 3 home games, and New England has won 2 of 5 on the road, so the split leans NE mainly because of Miami's side. Three home games is a very small sample, and opponents are not listed, so one result can change the picture. So far Miami's home field has given it nothing, which matters more here than New England's ordinary road mark.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL
Collins (hip) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers and will remain on injured reserve, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Tyrell Shavers (WR) is pup-r for BUF
The Bills designated Shavers (knee) to return from the reserve/PUP list Wednesday, but he will not play against the Ravens on Sunday, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 28.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Tyler Loop (PK) is questionable for BAL
Loop (groin) was estimated as DNP on Monday's injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Christian Elliss
Chest · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
R Mason Thomas
Not injury related - personal matter · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
STREAKPHX @ GSW
GSW has won 4 straight
GSW won its last 4 by an average of 13.5; their last-10 mark is 4-3.
P team won 113-116
STREAKUTA @ SAS
UTA has lost 4 straight
Utah Jazz has lost 4 straight, losing by 10.5 a game over the run; 1-5 across the last 6.
P team lost 97-119
STREAKCHI @ PHI
CHI has lost 4 straight
Chicago Bulls has lost 4 straight, losing by 14.8 a game over the run; 1-5 across the last 6.
P team lost 107-126
TEAM RECORDPHI @ WSH
WSH is 2-1-1 at home; PHI is 1-3 on the road
Washington has 2 wins, 1 loss and a tie at home, and Philadelphia has won 1 of 4 on the road. Four games each is a small sample, and opponents are not listed. The gap is modest, and one Eagles road win would close much of it. This is a small lean toward the home side, too thin to build around on its own.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
SITUATIONALLV @ NYJ
LV: 265.1 team passing yards per game to NYJ's 214.9
Both offenses throw far more than they did last season: Las Vegas was at 167.7 passing yards a game and the Jets at 140.3, so each team has jumped by a lot over 8 games. Las Vegas sets the tone through the air, and New York has kept up better than its old identity suggests. Gains this large over half a season usually come back down some, so think about how much of that passing volume carries into a road game for the Raiders.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
STREAKUTA @ SAS
SAS has won 4 straight
4 wins in a row for SAS (14.8-point average margin), sitting 4-2 over their last 6.
P team won 97-119
STREAKATL @ IND
IND has lost 4 straight
Indiana has lost 4 straight by 10.3 a game and is 2-5 over its last seven. Tonight they are on the second night of a back-to-back while Atlanta comes in on 2 days rest. T.J. McConnell and Johnny Furphy are both out. The losing run, the tired legs and the depth hits all point the same way for this game.
P team lost 108-104
TRENCHESCLE @ PIT
PIT: 83.9 rushing yards allowed per game to CLE's 126.9
Pittsburgh is allowing 83.9 rushing yards a game over 8 games. Cleveland gives up 126.9. Some of that may be game script, since teams trailing throw more, but eight games makes Pittsburgh's run defense look solid. Cleveland's running game faces the harder front, and Pittsburgh's backs face the softer one.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
SITUATIONALIND @ JAX
IND: 2.13 fourth-down attempts per game to JAX's 0.71
IND is at 2.13 fourth-down attempts per game over 8 games; JAX is at 0.71 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and JAX at 1.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
TEAM RECORDATL @ TB
NFC SOUTH game: ATL 1-2, TB 2-0 in the division
These two share the NFC SOUTH. ATL is 1-2 against it, TB is 2-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-01.
TEAM RECORDKC @ DEN
AFC WEST game: KC 3-1, DEN 2-1 in the division
Kansas City has won three of four AFC West games and Denver two of three, so both have handled the division well. Seven games combined is a small base, but it says both teams have held up against opponents that know them. Kansas City travels to Denver here, so the division edge carries less weight than how each team plays in this building.
TEAM RECORDNE @ MIA
AFC EAST game: NE 3-0, MIA 1-1 in the division
New England has won all three of its AFC East games, while Miami has split its two. Three games is a short run, but a perfect division record means the Patriots have beaten the teams that know them best. Miami at home is a different test from the earlier division games, so ask whether those three wins came against strong opponents before treating the streak as proof.
TEAM RECORDPHI @ WSH
NFC EAST game: PHI 1-2, WSH 1-2-1 in the division
Both teams have struggled in the NFC East: Philadelphia has lost two of three division games and Washington has one win in four, plus a tie. Neither record says much on its own, since these are short samples against tough rivals. With Washington at home and both teams needing a division win, the home side holds the edge as long as the rest of the matchup is close.
MISMATCHBAL @ BUF
BUF: 6.41 yards a snap to BAL's 5.54
Buffalo is gaining 6.41 yards a snap through 7 games, up from 5.94 last season, while Baltimore has dipped to 5.54 over 8 games from 5.92. The two teams were nearly even last year, so this gap is mostly a this-season story and could narrow. Baltimore has to sustain long drives to offset the efficiency gap in Buffalo. Consider whether the Bills' jump holds against an offense that matched them last season.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
MISMATCHARI @ DAL
DAL: 1.38 sacks taken a game to ARI's 2.5
Dallas has taken 1.38 sacks a game over 8 games, better than 2.38 last season, and Arizona has improved too, from 3.69 to 2.5 over 8 games. Both lines are protecting better, but the Cardinals still give up nearly twice as many. Some of Dallas' drop may drift back. Arizona has to stay ahead of the chains on the road, because sacks on third down are where this gap would hurt most.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
COVERAGEARI @ DAL
ARI: 39.4% third downs allowed to DAL's 51.4%
Arizona is allowing 39.4% on third down over 8 games. Dallas is allowing 51.4%. Arizona's number is close to ordinary, while Dallas has struggled to get off the field across eight games. Arizona's offense should sustain more drives than usual here, which pushes toward more plays and possessions for the visitors.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
COVERAGENE @ MIA
NE: 38.5% third downs allowed to MIA's 50.6%
New England is allowing 38.5% on third down over 8 games. Miami is at 50.6% over 7. New England's number is solid without being extreme, so it should hold fairly well. Miami's defense has had real trouble getting off the field, which favors New England sustaining drives and controlling the clock in this game.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ GB
GB: 20.5 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.6
CAR is at 27.6 points allowed per game over 7 games; GB is at 20.5 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PASS RUSHCAR @ GB
GB: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to CAR's 1.57
Green Bay is recording 2.75 sacks a game over 8 games, while Carolina has 1.57 over 7. The opponents faced aren't listed, but eight games is a fair sample for a pass rush. Carolina's quarterback should see more pressure than Green Bay's in this one, which matters for sack props and how often Carolina drives stall.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
TEAM RECORDIND @ JAX
AFC SOUTH game: IND 1-2, JAX 1-1 in the division
Neither team has separated inside the division: Indianapolis has lost two of its three AFC South games and Jacksonville has split its two. That is five division games between them, too few to say either side owns the South. This game matters more for the standings than as evidence of who is better, so lean on how each team has played overall rather than these small division records.
TEAM RECORDCLE @ PIT
AFC NORTH game: CLE 2-1, PIT 2-1 in the division
Cleveland and Pittsburgh are both 2-1 against the AFC North, so the division records offer no separation. Three games each is too small to mean much. Any edge in this one has to come from other numbers.
TEAM RECORDMIN @ DET
NFC NORTH game: MIN 2-1, DET 2-0 in the division
Both teams have done well inside the NFC North: Minnesota is 2-1 and Detroit has won both division games. Two and three games is a tiny sample. These records say little about who wins this one, so the broader form and the price should carry more weight.
RED ZONETEN @ CIN
CIN: 41.7% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 64.5%
Cincinnati is allowing scores on 41.7% of red-zone trips over 7 games. Tennessee is at 64.5% over 8. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of drives and move a lot, so Cincinnati's number will likely climb some. For now, Cincinnati's offense has the friendlier finishing matchup, which matters for touchdown props and team totals.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
RED ZONEPHI @ WSH
PHI: 56.3% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 79.2%
PHI is at 56.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; WSH is at 79.2% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
TEAM RECORDARI @ DAL
ARI is 3-2 on the road; DAL is 1-3 at home
Arizona has won three of five road games, while Dallas has won only one of four at home. Four home games is a small sample, but Dallas has not protected its own field this season. A road team with a winning record facing a home team that has not held serve is a spot where the usual home edge should count for less.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PASS RUSHARI @ DAL
DAL: 1.38 sacks taken per game to ARI's 2.5
Dallas keeps its quarterback clean, taking 1.38 sacks a game over 8 games, down from 2.38 last season. Arizona has improved too, from 3.69 to 2.5, but still gets hit nearly twice as often. Dallas has been better at this two seasons running, so the edge should mostly hold, and it favors the Cowboys staying on schedule and finishing drives.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
SITUATIONALIND @ JAX
IND: 40.6 penalty yards per game to JAX's 68.1
IND is at 40.6 penalty yards per game over 8 games; JAX is at 68.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PASS RUSHLAC @ LAR
LAR: 11 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 22.6
LAC is at 22.6 sack yards lost per game over 7 games; LAR is at 11 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and LAR at 11.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ CIN
CIN: 30:18 time of possession per game to TEN's 25:38
TEN is at 25:38 time of possession per game over 8 games; CIN is at 30:18 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season TEN was at 29:08 over 17 games and CIN at 30:08 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
NBA STARSATL @ IND
Jalen Johnson and Pascal Siakam lead tonight's board
Jalen Johnson's points line is 21.5 against an 18.3 average over 7 games, but he is filling the box with 9 rebounds and 7.9 assists. Pascal Siakam's 22.5 is close to his 21.4. Indiana is on a back-to-back and Atlanta is rested, a factor for the minutes and legs on both sides.
NBA STARSMIA @ LAL
Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic lead tonight's board
Giannis Antetokounmpo's 31.5 sits above his 28.2 average over six games, while Luka Doncic's 33.5 is below his 37.7. The Lakers are on the second night of a back-to-back and Miami has three days rest. Six games is early, and the Giannis line is set higher than his output, while the schedule could cut into what Doncic has been doing.
UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF
Next college slate · NOV 6
BDL lists 9 covered college games on the next college slate. All 9 kickoff times are confirmed.
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Roger Rosengarten (OT) is questionable for BAL
BAL lists Roger Rosengarten as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBAL @ BUF
BUF: 6.41 yards per play to BAL's 5.54
BAL is at 5.54 yards per play over 8 games; BUF is at 6.41 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 5.92 over 17 games and BUF at 5.94 over 17 games. BAL had 1 play of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 22-yard pass (Joe Fagnano Pass Complete for 22 Yds to Rashod Bateman Ed Oliver 15 Yd Pnlty). BUF had 4 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 49-yard pass (Josh Allen Pass Complete for 49 Yds to DJ Moore); 40-yard pass (Josh Allen Pass Complete for 40 Yds to Dalton Kincaid); 26-yard pass (Josh Allen Pass Complete for 26 Yds to Khalil Shakir).
P Edge side won; final 10-36
NBA STARSTOR @ LAC
Scottie Barnes and Rui Hachimura lead tonight's board
Scottie Barnes is at 23.5 against a 24.8 average over six games, a line close to his form. Rui Hachimura's 17.5 is well above his 13.4 over five, likely because the Clippers are missing Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Max Strus and others. The book expects him to absorb shots, and five games of his own lower scoring is the counterweight.
NBA STARSPHX @ GSW
Devin Booker and Stephen Curry lead tonight's board
Devin Booker is at 23.5 against a 22.3 average over just four games, a small sample. Stephen Curry's 26.5 sits under his 29.2 over five, with Porzingis, Butler and Moody all out and leaving him a heavy load. Golden State is on a back-to-back while Phoenix has three days rest, so fatigue is the swing factor for Curry.
NBA STARSPOR @ DEN
Deni Avdija and Nikola Jokic lead tonight's board
Deni Avdija's 22.5 sits just under his 23-point average over five games. Nikola Jokic's 25.5 is well above his 21.2, though he is putting up 9.8 rebounds and 9.2 assists, so his value is spread across the stat sheet. Five games is a short sample, and the Jokic line is priced more on his history than this season's scoring.
NBA STARSUTA @ SAS
Keyonte George and Victor Wembanyama lead tonight's board
Keyonte George is at 21.5 against a 21.7 average over six games, a line close to his output. Victor Wembanyama's 25.5 is below his 28 points, and he is adding 10.7 rebounds. San Antonio has won four straight by wide margins, so a lopsided game could trim late minutes, which matters most for the bigger number.
NBA STARSBOS @ HOU
Jayson Tatum and Kevin Durant lead tonight's board
Jayson Tatum's 26.5 is under his 28.3 average over six games, and he is also handing out 7.7 assists. Kevin Durant's 21.5 sits just under his 22 over seven. Boston plays on the second night of a back-to-back while Houston has two days rest, and tired legs can show up in a scorer's shooting.
NBA STARSMIL @ MIN
Tyler Herro and LaMelo Ball lead tonight's board
Tyler Herro is at 20.5 against a 22-point average over six games, a line just under his output. LaMelo Ball's 20.5 is far above his 14.4 average over seven, even as he runs the offense at 6.3 assists. That Ball number reflects his name more than his season, and a bettor should notice the gap before taking it at face value.
NBA STARSNOP @ MEM
Zion Williamson and Ty Jerome lead tonight's board
Zion Williamson's 20.5 is right on his 20.7 average over six games. Ty Jerome's 22.5 sits well under his 25.8 over five, and he is scoring on a Memphis team that has won six straight. Five games is a short run for a player at that level, so the question is whether Jerome's scoring is who he is this season or a hot start.
NBA STARSSAC @ DAL
Darius Acuff Jr. and Cooper Flagg lead tonight's board
Darius Acuff Jr. is at 24.5 against a 26.3 average over six games, and Cooper Flagg is at 25.5 against 26.8 over five. Both lines sit a little under their scoring this season. Dallas is without Dereck Lively II and Santi Aldama, and Sacramento has been losing by big margins, so a blowout could cut into late minutes for both.
NBA STARSCHI @ PHI
Caleb Wilson and Tyrese Maxey lead tonight's board
Caleb Wilson's line of 19.5 is under his 21.2 average over six games, and Tyrese Maxey's 25.5 is well under his 29.6 over seven. Both numbers are set below what each has done so far. Chicago is missing Nicolas Claxton tonight, and Philadelphia is without Dominick Barlow and Ariel Hukporti, so small samples aside, both lines look cautious next to this season's play.
NBA STARSWAS @ ORL
Anthony Davis and Franz Wagner lead tonight's board
Anthony Davis is at 21.5 against a 22.3 average over six games, close to his output. Franz Wagner's 22.5 sits above his 19.7 scoring average, though his 7.8 assists show he is moving the ball a lot. Orlando is on a back-to-back while Washington is rested by three days, and that fatigue matters for both of these numbers.
NBA STARSBKN @ NYK
Michael Porter Jr. and Jalen Brunson lead tonight's board
Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) averaged 21.2 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists this season over 6 games; his points line tonight is 20.5. Jalen Brunson (NYK) averaged 25.5 points, 2.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists this season over 6 games; his points line tonight is 24.5.
NBA STARSDET @ CHA
Cade Cunningham and Brandon Miller lead tonight's board
Cade Cunningham's 23.5 line sits a bit above his 22.2 average over six games, while Brandon Miller's 22.5 is below his 24.4 over seven. Charlotte is missing Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams tonight, which could push more shots toward Miller. Both samples are small, but the absences give Miller's number a clearer reason to hold up.
NBA STARSOKC @ CLE
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Donovan Mitchell lead tonight's board
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's line is 29.5 against a 26-point average over six games, so the book is setting him above what he has done this season. Donovan Mitchell's 22.5 sits right on his 22.7 average. Six games is early, and the Gilgeous-Alexander number leans on reputation more than this season's output, which is the gap a bettor should weigh.
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN
MIN lists Christian Darrisaw as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
COVERAGEMIN @ DET
MIN: 4.61 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.51
MIN is at 4.61 yards per play allowed over 7 games; DET is at 5.51 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV
Runyon, a Raiders tight end, is ruled out for Sunday against the Jets with a foot injury. He is on injured reserve and designated to return, which means he is close to coming back, just not this week. For this game, Las Vegas has one less tight end to work with.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
RED ZONELAC @ LAR
LAR: 4 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.43
LAC is at 2.43 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; LAR is at 4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and LAR at 4.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Jarrian Jones (CB) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists Jarrian Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC: 40% third-down conversion rate to DEN's 29.7%
KC is at 40% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; DEN is at 29.7% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and DEN at 41.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PACE & SCRIPTNE @ MIA
NE: 23 points per game to MIA's 16.7
New England scores 23 a game over 8 games and Miami 16.7 over 7, and both are down from last season's 28.8 and 20.4. Each offense has dipped by a similar amount, so the gap between them has held steady. If you lean on last season's scoring numbers for a total here, you're probably setting it too high.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
TURNOVERSATL @ TB
TB: 2 takeaways per game to ATL's 1.25
Tampa Bay takes the ball away 2 times a game over 8 games, against 1.25 for Atlanta. Takeaways swing more from week to week than most defensive stats, so Tampa's rate is more likely to cool than climb. In this matchup it points to Atlanta's ball security as a factor in how the game plays out, more than a reason to expect a turnover-heavy afternoon.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
STREAKBAL @ BUF
BAL has lost 3 straight
Baltimore has dropped three in a row and fallen to 4-4, which erases most of a solid start. Three games is a short slide, and the next stop is Buffalo, a hard place to end one. A team on a losing run tends to get priced cheaply, so the real question for a bettor is whether the number has moved further than the play has.
PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NYJ
LV: 27.6 points per game to NYJ's 21.3
LV is at 27.6 points per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 21.3 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 14.2 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
STREAKLV @ NYJ
NYJ has lost 3 straight
NYJ carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 2-6 on the season. They face LV in LV @ NYJ. Current-2026 standings through 2026-11-01.
SITUATIONALCHI @ SEA
CHI: 2.43 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.14
Chicago goes for it on fourth down far more than Seattle, 2.43 attempts a game to 1.14 over 7 games each, and both teams are more aggressive than last season. That is a coaching habit, so it should stick. Chicago's approach adds swings both ways: more extended drives, but also short fields for Seattle when tries fail.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
STREAKBAL @ BUF
BUF has won 3 straight
Buffalo has won three straight and sits at 6-1, the record of a team playing at a high level. Baltimore comes in on a three-game skid, so this pits a hot team at home against a cold one. Streaks like this can inflate a line, so check whether the price already reflects the gap before backing the favorite.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
TRENCHESATL @ TB
TB: 80 rushing yards allowed per game to ATL's 118.3
Tampa Bay holds teams to 80 rushing yards a game over 8 games, while Atlanta allows 118.3 over the same count. The sheet does not say who either has played or how often opponents chose to run, so part of Tampa's number could come from teams throwing to catch up. With 8 games each, both numbers carry some weight. Atlanta's ground game looks like the side facing the tougher wall, so rushing props on that side deserve a closer look.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
STREAKTEN @ CIN
CIN has won 3 straight
Cincinnati has won three straight to reach 5-2 and hosts Tennessee next. The sheet does not say who those three wins came against, so the streak shows form without proving the quality of the opponents. With the Bengals at home, the question for a bettor is whether the line asks them to win by more than they have been.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
RED ZONEIND @ JAX
JAX: 40.9% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 61.9%
IND is at 61.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; JAX is at 40.9% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
STREAKMIN @ DET
DET has won 3 straight
Detroit has won three straight and sits at 5-2, and it is unbeaten at home this season. Minnesota comes in with a winning road record, so this is a real test of that form. A strong streak paired with a perfect home mark tends to push the price up, so judge the spread more than the winner.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNE @ MIA
NE: 5.96 yards per play to MIA's 5.13
New England moves the ball better on each snap, 5.96 yards a play to Miami's 5.13, with both a little below last season. Drake Maye supplies the explosives: two touchdown passes of 43 and 48 yards last game among 4 plays of 20 or more. Miami had 2, led by a 35-yard score from Malik Willis. The gap matches last season, so expect it to hold, with the Patriots more likely to hit quick scores.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PASS RUSHPHI @ WSH
WSH: 2.29 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.25
Washington gets to the quarterback 2.29 times a game over 7 games, while Philadelphia records 1.25 over 8. The sheet does not show how much each offense they faced threw or protected, so the gap could reflect script as much as talent. For this game, Washington's rush gives it a better chance to end Philadelphia drives early, which is worth weighing on sack props.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
HEAD-TO-HEADBKN @ NYK
NYK won last season's series 4-0
New York swept Brooklyn in all four meetings last season by 26 a game, about as one-sided as a series gets. This is the first meeting of the new season, so last season's results only go so far. Brooklyn is also on a back-to-back while New York has three days rest, which stacks another edge on the Knicks side.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Anthony Black is OUT for ORL
Black is out tonight against Washington with what the team calls right ankle injury management. That wording usually points to a cautious team decision rather than a fresh injury. Orlando's guard rotation gets thinner, so bettors should look at the backups taking his minutes on the ball and whether his absence changes the pace of the game.
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Tobias Harris is OUT for SAS
Harris sits with a left calf strain, and this was already flagged before Saturday's game, so it is a carryover absence. Calf strains tend to linger, and a team that has played without him recently should have its rotation sorted. The bigger edge is in props for whoever has been absorbing his minutes.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Cason Wallace is OUT for OKC
Oklahoma City's Cason Wallace had surgery Friday to repair his left shoulder and is out at Cleveland. He is one of the Thunder's top perimeter defenders. Along with Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso, OKC is missing a big chunk of its rotation tonight.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Alex Caruso is OUT for OKC
Alex Caruso is out for Oklahoma City at Cleveland with a right ankle sprain. He is another perimeter defender gone along with Wallace, and that leaves the Thunder thin on the guards who usually defend the Cavaliers' backcourt.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Khalifa Diop is OUT for CLE
Khalifa Diop is on G League assignment for Cleveland. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Noah Penda is OUT for ORL
Orlando's Noah Penda has a partially torn right hamstring, diagnosed Saturday. Hamstring tears tend to cost real time, so expect him out for a stretch. He is part of a long Magic injury list tonight, and that list taken together is the story for this game.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
T.J. McConnell is OUT for IND
T.J. McConnell is out for Indiana with a hamstring issue, which removes a key backcourt reserve. With the Pacers on a back-to-back and on a four-game skid, the depth hit adds up.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Jock Landale is OUT for ATL
Atlanta is without Jock Landale at Indiana with a left hip strain. He is a backup big, so the Hawks' frontcourt depth takes a small hit, though the Pacers are thin in the frontcourt too.
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Kon Knueppel is OUT for CHA
Kon Knueppel is out for Charlotte with a left hamstring strain. With Grant Williams also sidelined, Brandon Miller is in line for more shots, which is the angle to watch on his scoring line.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Kingston Flemings is OUT for ATL
Flemings is serving a league suspension, so he is out tonight at Indiana with no game-time decision. A suspension is known well ahead of tip, so the line should already reflect it. The useful angle is the minutes he leaves behind: look at which Atlanta guards pick up his touches, since their props may not fully account for the bigger role.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Maxime Raynaud is OUT for SAC
Sacramento is without Maxime Raynaud at Dallas with a right kneecap subluxation. Recent reports said he was progressing, so a return may not be far off. Tonight it is one of several Kings absences, which matters more as a group than on its own.
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Jusuf Nurkic is OUT for UTA
Utah is without Jusuf Nurkic at San Antonio with a tear of the plate under his right second toe. Earlier reporting had him missing at least four games, so this is an ongoing absence and the line should already reflect it. For bettors, the Jazz frontcourt rotation is thinner, so lean on what Utah has shown in recent games without him rather than on season-long numbers.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Yanic Konan Niederhauser is OUT for LAC
Yanic Konan Niederhauser is out for the Clippers with a foot issue, one more absence on a roster already missing Beal, Ingram and Strus.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Kawhi Leonard is OUT for TOR
Toronto is without Kawhi Leonard for at least three to four weeks with a knee injury. He is the team's best scorer, so his shots go to others, and the Raptors at the Clippers become a team leaning on secondary creators. Long absences like this get priced in fast; the first few games are where the number may lag.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Santi Aldama is OUT for DAL
Santi Aldama is out for Dallas after right knee surgery, and Dereck Lively II is out too. With two bigs missing, watch who picks up frontcourt minutes and rebounds against Sacramento.
REPLACEMENTCHI @ PHI
Dominick Barlow is OUT for PHI
Dominick Barlow is out for Philadelphia with a low back stress reaction, alongside Ariel Hukporti. Their absence thins the Sixers' frontcourt depth against Chicago.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Henri Veesaar is OUT for ATL
Henri Veesaar is out for Atlanta with a torn right ACL, a long-term absence the market has already had time to absorb.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Mouhamed Gueye is OUT for ATL
Mouhamed Gueye is out for Atlanta after surgery on a left foot fracture. With Henri Veesaar also out, Atlanta's frontcourt depth is thin against Indiana.
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Grant Williams is OUT for CHA
Grant Williams is out for Charlotte with a right hamstring strain, and Kon Knueppel is out too. That leaves the Hornets thinner on the wing and frontcourt against Detroit.
REPLACEMENTCHI @ PHI
Nicolas Claxton is OUT for CHI
Nicolas Claxton is out for Chicago with a left hamstring strain. The Bulls have lost four straight, and losing their big man on the road in Philadelphia makes the matchup harder.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Dereck Lively II is OUT for DAL
Dereck Lively II is out for Dallas, and Santi Aldama is out as well. Dallas will lean on other bigs for rim protection and rebounding against Sacramento.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
Spencer Jones is OUT for DEN
Spencer Jones is out for Denver with hamstring issues. A depth piece missing matters less than who is on the floor, and Nikola Jokic is the one carrying the load against Portland.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Kristaps Porzingis is OUT for GSW
Kristaps Porzingis is out for Golden State and away from the team indefinitely for personal reasons. With Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody also out, the Warriors' rotation is short.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Jimmy Butler is OUT for GSW
Jimmy Butler is out for Golden State as he recovers from a torn right ACL, with a possible return between January and February. This is a long-term absence the market already knows about.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Moses Moody is OUT for GSW
Moses Moody is out for Golden State as he works back from a ruptured left patellar tendon, with a possible return between December and January. A known, long-term absence.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Johnny Furphy is OUT for IND
Johnny Furphy is out for Indiana with a knee issue. Combined with T.J. McConnell's absence, the Pacers' bench is thinner on the second night of a back-to-back.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Bradley Beal is OUT for LAC
Bradley Beal is out for the Clippers with knee inflammation. He is one of several missing pieces, and the Clippers have lost five straight while short-handed.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Max Strus is OUT for LAC
Max Strus is out for the Clippers with a foot issue, though he has been practicing in 5-on-5 work in the G League. His return may be close, but tonight he adds to a long injury list.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Brandon Ingram is OUT for LAC
Brandon Ingram is out for the Clippers as he continues recovering from an Achilles injury and has been sent to the G League. His absence leaves the scoring load on fewer players, with Rui Hachimura's line set well above his average.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Jordan Miller is OUT for LAC
Jordan Miller is out for the Clippers after surgery on a torn left rotator cuff, with a re-evaluation in six months. A long-term absence the market has already absorbed.
REPLACEMENTMIL @ MIN
Donte DiVincenzo is OUT for MIN
Donte DiVincenzo is out for Minnesota after Achilles surgery. This is a long-term absence, and his missing minutes go toward the rest of the backcourt, including LaMelo Ball.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Jonathan Isaac is OUT for ORL
Jonathan Isaac is out for Orlando with an ongoing left knee injury and no timetable to return. With Orlando on a back-to-back, the frontcourt depth takes a hit.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Izaiyah Nelson is OUT for ORL
Izaiyah Nelson is out for Orlando, about a month from returning after offseason ankle surgery. A known absence that adds to Jonathan Isaac's.
REPLACEMENTCHI @ PHI
Ariel Hukporti is OUT for PHI
Ariel Hukporti is out for Philadelphia with a right Achilles rupture. Along with Dominick Barlow, that thins the Sixers' big-man depth.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Mark Williams is OUT for PHX
Mark Williams is out for Phoenix after left shoulder surgery. Phoenix's center rotation is thinner, though Golden State is short-handed in the frontcourt too.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
Shaedon Sharpe is OUT for POR
Shaedon Sharpe will not play. Injury/Illness - Right Meniscus Surgery (2026-11-02, POR@DEN). Prior reporting (2026-08-24): Sharpe suffered a torn meniscus in his knee…
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Jayden Quaintance is OUT for SAS
Jayden Quaintance is out for San Antonio after right knee surgery, a long-term absence that has not slowed the Spurs' four-game winning streak.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Tristan Vukcevic is OUT for WAS
Tristan Vukcevic sits again for Washington at Orlando with a left hip impingement, and he was already listed out a day earlier. This is a depth absence. It matters more for how the Wizards fill backup big minutes than for the spread.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Jamir Watkins is OUT for WAS
Jamir Watkins remains out for Washington while he recovers from left ACL surgery, an absence reported back in the summer. Nothing changes tonight: the market has priced Washington without him for a long time.
REPLACEMENTMIA @ LAL
Adou Thiero is OUT for LAL
Adou Thiero is out for the Lakers against Miami with a knee issue and has yet to appear in a regular season game. The Lakers have been playing without him all season, so this changes nothing on the board.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
Julian Strawther is OUT for DEN
Denver is without Julian Strawther against Portland with a left knee sprain, diagnosed in mid October. He is a bench wing, so the effect is on the Nuggets' second unit shooting minutes more than on the side.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Tarik Biberovic is OUT for DAL
Tarik Biberovic is out for Dallas against Sacramento with right heel bursitis after being listed out a day earlier. It is a depth absence and should not move the number.
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Trey Alexander is OUT for UTA
Trey Alexander is with Utah's G League affiliate on his two-way deal and will not play at San Antonio. He also missed a game in late October with a left side injury. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Nate Bittle is OUT for TOR
Toronto's Nate Bittle stays out with a foot injury and has no timetable. He is a depth piece, and his absence has been in place for a while.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Devin Carter is OUT for BOS
Boston's Devin Carter has mononucleosis and no timetable to return. Mono can keep players out for weeks, so assume he is gone for a while. The Celtics bench at Houston is thinner, which is a small factor at most.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Ben Simmons is OUT for SAC
Ben Simmons is out for Sacramento after surgery to repair his right Achilles tendon, a season-altering injury. The Kings will be without him for a long time, so the market has already moved past him.
REPLACEMENTBKN @ NYK
Tyler Bilodeau is OUT for BKN
Brooklyn's Tyler Bilodeau is out at New York with a shoulder injury and missed the first three games of the season. It is a depth absence the Nets have been playing through since opening night.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Ben Sheppard is OUT for IND
Indiana's Ben Sheppard is out for months after surgery on a torn meniscus in his left knee, per Rick Carlisle. This is a long absence that changes the Pacers bench rotation for a big part of the season, and it is already part of how the market sees them.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Paolo Banchero is OUT for ORL
Orlando is without Paolo Banchero for four to six weeks with a right high-ankle sprain. He is the top scorer and creator, so his usage has to go somewhere else, and with Jalen Suggs and Noah Penda also out, the Magic rotation is badly thinned. Early lines without him tend to be the softest; the market adjusts as the games pile up.
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Jalen Duren is OUT for DET
Detroit is without Jalen Duren at Charlotte with a right hamstring strain, due for re-evaluation two weeks after late October reporting. Duren is the starting center, so the Pistons lose rebounding and rim protection. Charlotte's work on the glass and inside is the place to look in this matchup.
REPLACEMENTNOP @ MEM
Yves Missi is OUT for NOP
Yves Missi is out for New Orleans at Memphis with a left knee bone bruise, and he missed time last week too. The Pelicans lose a rim-running big, which thins their frontcourt depth tonight.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Steven Adams is OUT for HOU
Houston is without Steven Adams against Boston with a right soleus strain. He is a backup big who does a lot of work on the offensive glass, so the Rockets' rebounding edge off the bench takes a small hit.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Keegan Murray is OUT for SAC
Keegan Murray is out for Sacramento at Dallas with left ankle capsulitis, and late October reporting said he would be re-evaluated in 10 to 14 days. He is a starting forward, and with Simmons and Raynaud also out, the Kings are short on bodies at the forward spots.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Ivica Zubac is OUT for IND
Ivica Zubac is out for Indiana again with an ankle injury, and reports had this as his fourth straight game on the inactive list. Indiana has been playing without its center for a while now, so the recent games tell you more than season numbers.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Jalen Williams is OUT for OKC
Jalen Williams is out after left ankle surgery, the second scorer behind the Thunder's top option. With Holmgren, Wallace and Caruso also out, OKC at Cleveland is a short-handed road team, and the depth of that list matters more than any single name.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Jalen Suggs is OUT for ORL
Orlando's Jalen Suggs has a mild bone bruise in his right knee and will be re-evaluated in two weeks. Paired with Banchero's absence, the Magic lose a starter on each end, a large hit for one game against Washington.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Chet Holmgren is OUT for OKC
Chet Holmgren is out for Oklahoma City at Cleveland after a biological treatment on his right knee. OKC loses its rim protector, and with Williams, Wallace and Caruso also out, Cleveland's interior offense gets an easier night.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC
Thomas Sorber is out for Oklahoma City with a right knee surgery recovery. OKC just exercised his third-year team option. He was not part of the active rotation, so there is no change to the game.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC
Nikola Topic stays out for Oklahoma City after low back surgery and remains on the inactive list. This is a long-running absence with no effect on tonight's line.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Justin Champagnie is OUT for WAS
Washington's Justin Champagnie is out after right foot surgery and was expected to miss several weeks. He is a rotation wing, so the Wizards' bench at Orlando is thinner, though the market already knows.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Sergio De Larrea is OUT for DAL
Sergio de Larrea is out for Dallas against Sacramento with a right knee sprain, per Dusty May. He is a depth guard, so the effect is on the Mavericks' backcourt minutes more than the result.
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Jaren Jackson Jr. is OUT for UTA
Utah is without Jaren Jackson Jr. at San Antonio with a torn right MCL, diagnosed in late October. He is a starting big and rim protector, and with Nurkic also out, the Jazz frontcourt is short tonight. The Spurs' inside scoring is the spot to watch in this matchup.
REPLACEMENTNOP @ MEM
Jordan Poole is OUT for NOP
Jordan Poole is out for New Orleans at Memphis with left ankle tendinopathy, ruled out a day earlier. The Pelicans lose a high-usage bench scorer, so their second unit needs points from somewhere else.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Tyrese Haliburton is OUT for IND
Indiana is without Tyrese Haliburton for at least two weeks with a hamstring injury, and hamstrings tend to linger. He runs the Pacers offense, so expect a slower, less efficient attack against Atlanta, and with Zubac and Sheppard also out, Indiana is thin.
REPLACEMENTMIL @ MIN
Anthony Edwards is OUT for MIN
Minnesota is without Anthony Edwards against Milwaukee after right knee arthroscopy in late October. He is the Timberwolves' top scorer, so the rest of the roster has to carry the scoring load. The first games without a star are the ones where lines can lag on how much the offense drops.
REPLACEMENTBKN @ NYK
Egor Demin is OUT for BKN
Egor Demin will not play for Brooklyn at New York. The sheet gives no injury detail, only that the Nets picked up his third-year option. Check the final injury report for why before acting on it.
REPLACEMENTMIA @ LAL
Ziaire Williams is OUT for LAL
Ziaire Williams is out for the Lakers against Miami with a foot injury, his third straight missed game. He is a depth wing, and the market has been pricing the Lakers without him already.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
Ja Morant is OUT for POR
Portland is without Ja Morant at Denver with a Grade 2 left hamstring strain, an injury that usually costs weeks. The Blazers lose their main creator, so their offense runs through other guards, and Denver gets an easier backcourt matchup.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Jaylon Tyson is OUT for CLE
Jaylon Tyson is out for Cleveland against Oklahoma City with a right ankle sprain. He is a rotation wing, a far smaller loss than the long list OKC brings into this game.
REPLACEMENTNOP @ MEM
Scotty Pippen Jr. is OUT for MEM
Memphis is without Scotty Pippen Jr. against New Orleans with low back soreness after he was listed doubtful a day earlier. The Grizzlies lose a guard, but the Pelicans are missing Poole and Missi, so both sides are a little short.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Stephen Curry is OUT for GSW
Golden State is without Stephen Curry against Phoenix. He sat for rest on Sunday, the first game of a back-to-back, and is listed out again here. Check the final status before tipoff, since rest decisions can change, and the Warriors offense is a very different thing without him.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Draymond Green is OUT for GSW
Draymond Green is listed out for Golden State against Phoenix with back trouble. He sat Sunday, and earlier reporting expected him back for the second game of the back-to-back, so his status may yet flip. Check the final report before betting the Warriors side.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Mitchell Robinson is OUT for BOS
Boston's Mitchell Robinson is out at Houston. He was downgraded from questionable to out for rest on Sunday. He is a rebounding big, so the Celtics lose some size on a night when the Rockets also lack Steven Adams.
REPLACEMENTNOP @ MEM
Malik Dia is OUT for NOP
Malik Dia is with New Orleans' G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTNOP @ MEM
Jaron Pierre Jr. is OUT for NOP
Jaron Pierre Jr. is with New Orleans' G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Quadir Copeland is OUT for HOU
Quadir Copeland is with Houston's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Julian Phillips is OUT for HOU
Julian Phillips is with Houston's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Nae'Qwan Tomlin is OUT for CLE
Cleveland's Nae'Qwan Tomlin is out with a low back stress reaction. Stress reactions often take weeks. He is a depth forward, so the effect on tonight's game is small.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Ernest Udeh, Jr. is OUT for CLE
Ernest Udeh Jr. is with Cleveland's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Keshon Gilbert is OUT for ATL
Keshon Gilbert is with Atlanta's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Jalen Wilson is OUT for ATL
Jalen Wilson is with Atlanta's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Ugonna Onyenso is OUT for DET
Ugonna Onyenso is with Detroit's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. With Duren out, Detroit is thinner at center, but Onyenso was not in line for those minutes tonight.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Sean Pedulla is OUT for SAC
Sean Pedulla is with Sacramento's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Kobe Bufkin is OUT for UTA
Kobe Bufkin is with Utah's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTUTA @ SAS
Harrison Ingram is OUT for UTA
Harrison Ingram is with Utah's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
Jayson Kent is OUT for POR
Jayson Kent is with Portland's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
John Tonje is OUT for POR
John Tonje is with Portland's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTMIA @ LAL
Tre Donaldson is OUT for MIA
Tre Donaldson is with Miami's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTMIA @ LAL
Vladislav Goldin is OUT for MIA
Vladislav Goldin is with Miami's G League affiliate on a two-way deal. No betting impact.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Drew Timme is OUT for PHX
Timme is on a two-way deal and is listed as out because he is with the G League side. A two-way player sitting is routine paperwork and rarely moves a line or a rotation, so this tells you little about how Phoenix plays at Golden State. Leave it out of your read on this game.
SITUATIONALWAS @ ORL
ORL on a back-to-back, WAS rested
Orlando played last night while Washington sat for three days. Home teams on the back end of a back-to-back lose some of their usual edge, and Orlando is also missing Jonathan Isaac and Izaiyah Nelson.
SITUATIONALATL @ IND
IND on a back-to-back, ATL rested
Indiana plays its second game in two nights while Atlanta has two days off. The Pacers have also lost four straight and are missing T.J. McConnell and Johnny Furphy. A tired home team on a skid is a spot where the rest gap counts for more than home court usually does.
SITUATIONALBKN @ NYK
BKN on a back-to-back, NYK rested
Brooklyn is on the second night of a back-to-back, while New York has had three days to rest. Add a Knicks sweep of last season's series, and the schedule tilts this one further toward the home side.
SITUATIONALBOS @ HOU
BOS on a back-to-back, HOU rested
Boston comes in on no rest after a five-game winning streak, while Houston has had two days off. A hot road team on tired legs is the kind of spot where form and schedule pull in different directions.
SITUATIONALPHX @ GSW
GSW on a back-to-back, PHX rested
Golden State played last night while Phoenix rested three days. The Warriors are also without Kristaps Porzingis, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody, so a thin rotation on tired legs puts more weight on Stephen Curry.
SITUATIONALMIA @ LAL
LAL on a back-to-back, MIA rested
The Lakers are on no rest while Miami has had three days off. Luka Doncic has carried a heavy scoring load, and a back-to-back is the spot where that kind of workload is most likely to show.
STREAKDET @ CHA
CHA has lost 3 straight
Charlotte has lost 3 straight by 9.7 a game and is 3-4 over its last seven. Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams are both out tonight against Detroit. Three games is a short run, but the injuries make the near term harder.
P team lost 124-91
STREAKCHI @ PHI
PHI has won 3 straight
PHI won its last 3 by an average of 5; their last-10 mark is 6-1.
P team won 107-126
STREAKSAC @ DAL
DAL has won 3 straight
3 wins in a row for DAL (11-point average margin), sitting 4-2 over their last 6.
P team lost 115-100
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSPHI @ WSH
WSH: 5.24 yards per play to PHI's 4.45
Philadelphia has fallen to 4.45 yards a play over 8 games from 5.27 last season, with Tanner McKee at quarterback. Washington sits at 5.24, a bit below its 5.53. Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White produced 6 plays of 20 or more yards last game to Philadelphia's 3. While McKee is starting, the Eagles look more likely to win with defense and red-zone finishing than with yardage.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Brooks is on injured reserve with a core injury, and Dave Canales said Monday he will "potentially" be designated to return this week. Being designated only opens a practice window, so playing against Green Bay this week is a long shot. Carolina's current backs should keep the work for now.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL
BAL lists Trey Hendrickson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
John Jenkins (DT) is questionable for BAL
BAL lists John Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN
Iosivas (thumb) is making good progress in his rehab, Mike Petraglia of CLNSCincy.com reports. Reported Oct 30.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI
When asked Monday if Conner (foot) will play this season, coach Mike LaFleur said "potentially," Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Jalen Brooks (WR) is on injured reserve for ARI
The Cardinals placed Brooks (wrist) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 27.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Malachi Lawrence (LB) is questionable for DAL
DAL lists Malachi Lawrence as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
P.J. Locke (S) is questionable for DAL
DAL lists P.J. Locke as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Isiah Pacheco (RB) is on injured reserve for DET
Lions coach Dan Campbell said Friday that Pacheco (back) has a chance to return in late December, Justin Rogers of DetroitFootball.net reports. Reported Oct 30.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL
Williams (ankle) will remain on injured reserve and has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Tori McElhany of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Josh Hayes (CB) is ir-r for TB
Hayes suffered a small setback in his recovery from a knee injury, Greg Auman of Fox Sports reports. Reported Oct 29.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Branson Combs (LB) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists Branson Combs as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR
Head coach Sean McVay said Wednesday that Adams had successful surgery on his left hamstring, and the Rams are hopeful that the wide receiver will be able to return on the early side of his 6-to-10-week recovery timetable, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 28.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
RJ Harvey (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN
Denver placed Harvey on injured reserve with a knee injury on Saturday, Oct 31, so he misses the Kansas City game and will be out for a while longer. Tyler Badie is also on injured reserve, so the Broncos are thin at running back, and whoever is left carries more of the work against the Chiefs.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI
Bennett (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Commanders. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Dameon Pierce (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI
The Eagles placed Pierce (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday Reported Oct 28.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Terry McLaurin (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH
McLaurin (knee) underwent surgery Friday to repair the torn patellar tendon in his left knee, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 30.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB
Parsons is on the return list from the physically unable to perform list with a knee injury, and Matt LaFleur said the intention is for him to practice in Week 9. LaFleur also called it "a process," so getting back on the practice field this week does not mean he plays against Carolina. Bettors should assume Green Bay's pass rush is without him until the team says otherwise.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Xavier Legette (WR) is on injured reserve for CAR
Legette is on injured reserve with a knee injury, and Dave Canales said Monday he could "potentially" be designated to return this week. A return designation starts the practice window, and it does not mean he plays Sunday at Green Bay. Expect Carolina's current receivers to carry the load for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTNE @ MIA
Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE
Hollins is on injured reserve with a calf injury, and this week is the first he is eligible to come off it. The Patriots' own site reports he could be back at practice this week, which is the first real step toward a return, since a player has to practice before he can be activated. Until that happens, treat him as out for the trip to Miami. The sheet does not say who has been covering his snaps, so watch the practice reports before giving his return any weight in New England's receiving numbers.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT
Pittman is on injured reserve with a foot injury and will not play against Cleveland. He said Monday that he started running again last week as part of his return program, but he also admitted he has no clear timeline to be activated. Running is an early step, so assume he stays out for a while. Until the team sets a timeline, keep him out of any Steelers passing-game plans.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
REPLACEMENTNE @ MIA
Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE
Bryant has an ankle injury and has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Miami. His status is designated to return from injured reserve, so a comeback is in view, but it won't come this week. New England plays this one a tackle short.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PASS RUSHIND @ JAX
JAX: 1.86 sacks taken per game to IND's 2.88
IND is at 2.88 sacks taken per game over 8 games; JAX is at 1.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Calais Campbell
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Ronnie Stanley
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
B.J. Hill
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Dexter Lawrence II
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Christian Darrisaw
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Chris Lindstrom
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Puka Nacua
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Alaric Jackson
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Byron Young
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Aaron Donald
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Jonathan Allen
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 36-43
SITUATIONALLAC @ LAR
LAC (0-7) at LAR (4-4)
The Chargers are 0-7, -76, and 0-4 on the road, with no split on the sheet that offers a counterpoint. The Rams are +26 with 2 straight wins, though they are only 2-3 at home. That home mark is the one soft spot in the Rams' case. A margin gap this wide makes the price more important than the pick.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
SITUATIONALTEN @ CIN
TEN (1-7) at CIN (5-2)
Tennessee is 1-7, -55 and has lost 2 straight, and Cincinnati is +48 with 3 straight wins. The Bengals are only 2-1 at home, a small sample, so most of their case rests on the season margin. Tennessee's lone road win at 1-3 gives little sign of a team that travels well. The gap in margin is wide enough that the home split adds little either way.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
SITUATIONALBAL @ BUF
BAL (4-4) at BUF (6-1)
Baltimore is 4-4 but -24, with 3 straight losses, so the record is a little kinder than the scoring. Buffalo is 6-1, +52 and on a 3-game win streak, and is 3-1 at home. The Ravens have been better on the road at 3-2 than their overall form suggests. Buffalo has the momentum and the margin, so the bettor's call comes down to whether Baltimore's road results carry more weight than its recent skid.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
SITUATIONALARI @ DAL
ARI (3-5) at DAL (3-5)
Both teams are 3-5, but Dallas is +6 while Arizona is -63, so the Cardinals have won more than their scoring says they should. Arizona is 3-2 on the road and Dallas is 1-3 at home, which explains part of how the Cardinals got here. A -63 margin usually catches up with a team's record. Bettors weighing this one are choosing between the road and home splits and the much larger gap in point margin.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
TEAM RECORDATL @ TB
ATL is 2-2 on the road; TB is 1-4 at home
Tampa Bay has won only one of five home games, while Atlanta has split its four road games. Five home games is a decent sample for a split, and the Buccaneers have not used their own field to win. That weakens the usual home edge in this game, so put more weight on the matchup itself than on where it is played.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
TURNOVERSMIN @ DET
MIN: 1.71 takeaways per game to DET's 1
MIN is at 1.71 takeaways per game over 7 games; DET is at 1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ WSH
WSH: 22.7 points per game to PHI's 17.1
PHI is at 17.1 points per game over 8 games; WSH is at 22.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and WSH at 20.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ SEA
CHI: 35:30 time of possession per game to SEA's 31:45
Chicago holds the ball for 35:30 a game over 7 games, up from 30:59 last season, a big change for a team that also goes for it more on fourth down. Seattle is at 31:45. Long possessions like this mean fewer total drives in a game, which tends to keep scoring down. Some cooling is likely, but this is how Chicago wants to play.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PACE & SCRIPTNE @ MIA
NE: 20.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 25.9
NE is at 20.3 points allowed per game over 8 games; MIA is at 25.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTMIN @ DET
Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET
Joseph (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Vikings. Reported Oct 30.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Jonathan Bullard (DT) is ir-r for DAL
Bullard (calf) was designated to return from injured reserve by the Cowboys on Thursday. Reported Oct 30.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Dorian Mausi (LB) is ir-r for TEN
Mausi (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
John Simpson (G) is questionable for BAL
BAL lists John Simpson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Nov 3.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PASS RUSHBAL @ BUF
BUF: 1.86 sacks taken per game to BAL's 2.75
BAL is at 2.75 sacks taken per game over 8 games; BUF is at 1.86 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and BUF at 2.86 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PASS RUSHATL @ TB
ATL: 2 sacks taken per game to TB's 2.88
ATL is at 2 sacks taken per game over 8 games; TB is at 2.88 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and TB at 2.38 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Jer'Zhan Newton (DT) is ir-r for WSH
Newton (pectoral) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ DAL
DAL: 27.4 points per game to ARI's 21.9
ARI is at 21.9 points per game over 8 games; DAL is at 27.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ARI was at 20.9 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC: 1.86 fourth-down attempts per game to DEN's 0.75
KC is at 1.86 fourth-down attempts per game over 7 games; DEN is at 0.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and DEN at 1.18 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ DAL
ARI: 32:24 time of possession per game to DAL's 28:46
ARI is at 32:24 time of possession per game over 8 games; DAL is at 28:46 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ARI was at 29:48 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
SITUATIONALNE @ MIA
NE: 76.9% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 50%
NE is at 76.9% fourth-down conversion rate over 8 games; MIA is at 50% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season NE was at 72% over 17 games and MIA at 47.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
TRENCHESPHI @ WSH
WSH: 99.1 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 131.9
PHI is at 131.9 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; WSH is at 99.1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
TURNOVERSLV @ NYJ
LV: 1.63 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1
Las Vegas forces 1.63 turnovers a game over 8 games, and the Jets force 1 over 8. Takeaway rates bounce around a lot, so neither number is likely to stay put. For this game, the Raiders have more often been the defense creating extra possessions, which nudges toward watching Jets ball security rather than banking on a turnover.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NYJ
NYJ: 23.5 points allowed per game to LV's 28.8
LV is at 28.8 points allowed per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 23.5 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
SITUATIONALCAR @ GB
CAR (3-4) at GB (5-3)
Green Bay is 5-3 but only plus-7 on the year, which points to a lot of close games and a record that may flatter the Packers a bit. Carolina is 3-4 and minus-15, has dropped two straight, and has gone a respectable 2-2 on the road. The Packers are 3-1 at home, but four games is a small split. A thin season margin like Green Bay's suggests a tighter matchup than the standings imply, so be careful about laying a big number on the home side.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Omarr Norman-Lott (DT) is pup-r for KC
Kansas City opened Norman-Lott's window to come back from his knee injury on Wednesday, Oct 29. That starts the clock and lets him practice. It doesn't mean he plays against Denver, so his availability for this game is still open.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
COVERAGEATL @ TB
TB: 32% third downs allowed to ATL's 41.1%
Tampa Bay lets opponents convert 32% of third downs over 8 games, while Atlanta allows 41.1% over 8. That means Tampa gets off the field far more often, and over 8 games it is a meaningful sample. Atlanta's offense faces the defense that ends drives more reliably, which matters for drive length, time of possession and Atlanta's scoring props.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
TRENCHESKC @ DEN
KC: 96.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 127.9
Kansas City allows 96.3 rushing yards a game over 7 games, and Denver allows 127.9 over 8. The sheet does not show opponent quality or how often teams ran, so Kansas City's number could partly reflect opponents throwing from behind. For this game, Kansas City's run game draws the softer front, which is the side to look at for rushing props.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
TURNOVERSNE @ MIA
MIA: 1.29 turnovers committed per game to NE's 1.88
NE is at 1.88 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; MIA is at 1.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season NE was at 0.94 over 17 games and MIA at 1.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSARI @ DAL
DAL: 5.39 yards per play to ARI's 4.7
Dallas averages 5.39 yards a play to Arizona's 4.7, both down from last season. Arizona's last game was Tyler Allgeier: runs of 63 and 52 yards among 6 plays of 20 or more. Dallas had 2, both Prescott throws, to George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb. Arizona's play-by-play average is low, so they need those big runs to keep pace.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
TEAM RECORDCAR @ GB
GB is 3-1 at home; CAR is 2-2 on the road
Green Bay has won three of four at home and Carolina has split four road games. Four games each is a small sample, but the Packers have held serve at home while the Panthers have been average away from theirs. That fits the normal home edge without adding much to it, so price this as a standard home spot.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
HEAD-TO-HEADDET @ CHA
DET won last season's series 3-0
Detroit swept Charlotte last season and won the three games by 16.7 points a game on average. That is a lopsided series, but three games is a small sample and both rosters have turned over since. Tonight is the first meeting this season, so use last season as a hint about the matchup, then check current form and Detroit's injury report before leaning on it.
PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ PIT
PIT: 22.5 points per game to CLE's 17.4
CLE is at 17.4 points per game over 8 games; PIT is at 22.5 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and PIT at 23.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
RED ZONEATL @ TB
ATL: 63.6% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 50%
ATL is at 63.6% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; TB is at 50% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ATL was at 62% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
TEAM RECORDMIN @ DET
DET is 4-0 at home; MIN is 3-1 on the road
Detroit is unbeaten in four home games and Minnesota has won three of four on the road, so both teams arrive strong in this setting. Four games each is not a big sample, and one of those records has to give. When a strong home team meets a strong road team, the site split matters less than usual, so focus on the rest of the matchup.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
COVERAGEIND @ JAX
IND: 211.8 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 253.9
IND is at 211.8 passing yards allowed per game over 8 games; JAX is at 253.9 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
COVERAGELV @ NYJ
NYJ: 194 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 235.5
The Jets allow 194 passing yards a game over 8 games, while Las Vegas allows 235.5 over 8. Pass yardage allowed also depends on whether opponents are trailing and throwing, and the sheet does not show that. For this game, the Jets passing attack draws the more forgiving secondary, which is the side to look at on passing props.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
TRENCHESCAR @ GB
GB: 110.9 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 140.7
Green Bay allows 110.9 rushing yards a game over 8 games, and Carolina allows 140.7 over 7. The sheet does not say who either has faced or how game scripts shaped those numbers. Carolina's run defense has been the leakier one, so Green Bay's backs line up against the friendlier front in this game, which is the angle for rushing props.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
TRENCHESARI @ DAL
ARI: 122.1 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 152.8
Arizona allows 122.1 rushing yards a game over 8 games, and Dallas allows 152.8 over 8, so neither run defense has held up well. The sheet does not show who they faced or how scripts played out. With both fronts giving up ground, this game sets up for both run games to find room, which is worth weighing on rushing props and the total.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB
Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
QUARTERBACKPHI @ WSH
Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI
Through 3 games in 2026, Tanner McKee threw for 638 passing yards, completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 5.6 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ SEA
CHI: 72.1 offensive plays per game to SEA's 64
CHI is at 72.1 offensive plays per game over 7 games; SEA is at 64 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and SEA at 59.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
QUARTERBACKPHI @ WSH
Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH
Through 5 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 976 passing yards, completed 62.8% of his passes and averaged 6.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
QUARTERBACKCHI @ SEA
Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI
Through 4 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 1020 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 8.23 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PACE & SCRIPTATL @ TB
TB: 18.9 points allowed per game to ATL's 23.6
ATL is at 23.6 points allowed per game over 8 games; TB is at 18.9 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
QUARTERBACKARI @ DAL
Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI
Through 8 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1719 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 5.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
QUARTERBACKARI @ DAL
Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL
Through 8 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 2046 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 6.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
QUARTERBACKCHI @ SEA
Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA
Through 6 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 62.1% of his passes and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
NBA TAPEMIA @ LAL
LAL outscored teams by 5.3 a game this season, MIA was outscored by 3.2
LAL outscored teams by 5.3 a game this season, MIA was outscored by 3.2. 2026-27 regular season: LAL over 7 games, MIA over 6.
QUARTERBACKLV @ NYJ
Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ
Through 8 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1913 passing yards, completed 69% of his passes and averaged 8 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
NBA TAPETOR @ LAC
TOR outscored teams by 7.8 a game this season, LAC was outscored by 7.3
TOR outscored teams by 7.8 a game this season, LAC was outscored by 7.3. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 6 games, TOR over 6.
NBA TAPEPOR @ DEN
POR outscored teams by 11.4 a game this season, DEN was outscored by 1.2
POR outscored teams by 11.4 a game this season, DEN was outscored by 1.2. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 5 games, POR over 5.
NBA TAPEUTA @ SAS
SAS outscored teams by 7.2 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 10.2
SAS outscored teams by 7.2 a game this season, UTA was outscored by 10.2. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 6 games, UTA over 6.
QUARTERBACKLV @ NYJ
Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV
Through 8 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 2124 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 7.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 19-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
NBA TAPEBOS @ HOU
HOU outscored teams by 12.4 a game this season, BOS by 9.5
HOU outscored teams by 12.4 a game this season, BOS by 9.5. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 7 games, BOS over 6.
NBA TAPEMIL @ MIN
MIN outscored teams by 11.3 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 13.2
MIN outscored teams by 11.3 a game this season, MIL was outscored by 13.2. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 7 games, MIL over 6.
NBA TAPENOP @ MEM
MEM outscored teams by 15.2 a game this season, NOP by 1.8
MEM outscored teams by 15.2 a game this season, NOP by 1.8. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 6 games, NOP over 6.
NBA TAPECHI @ PHI
PHI outscored teams by 3.9 a game this season, CHI was outscored by 15.8
PHI outscored teams by 3.9 a game this season, CHI was outscored by 15.8. 2026-27 regular season: PHI over 7 games, CHI over 6.
NBA TAPEWAS @ ORL
WAS outscored teams by 0.8 a game this season, ORL was outscored by 9.0
WAS outscored teams by 0.8 a game this season, ORL was outscored by 9.0. 2026-27 regular season: ORL over 6 games, WAS over 6.
QUARTERBACKCLE @ PIT
Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE
Through 8 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1806 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.25 yards per attempt. His 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
NBA TAPEATL @ IND
ATL outscored teams by 0.9 a game this season, IND was outscored by 3.9
ATL outscored teams by 0.9 a game this season, IND was outscored by 3.9. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 7 games, ATL over 7.
NBA TAPEDET @ CHA
DET outscored teams by 8.0 a game this season, CHA was outscored by 8.1
DET outscored teams by 8.0 a game this season, CHA was outscored by 8.1. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 7 games, DET over 6.
NBA TAPEPHX @ GSW
GSW outscored teams by 2.9 a game this season, PHX was outscored by 12.5
GSW outscored teams by 2.9 a game this season, PHX was outscored by 12.5. 2026-27 regular season: GSW over 7 games, PHX over 4.
TURNOVERSBAL @ BUF
BAL: 1 turnover committed per game to BUF's 1.57
BAL is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 8 games; BUF is at 1.57 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 1.35 over 17 games and BUF at 1.12 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
NBA TAPEBKN @ NYK
NYK was outscored by 0.7 a game this season, BKN by 7.8
NYK was outscored by 0.7 a game this season, BKN by 7.8. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 6 games, BKN over 6.
QUARTERBACKATL @ TB
Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL
Through 6 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1282 passing yards, completed 61.9% of his passes and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
NBA TAPEOKC @ CLE
CLE outscored teams by 5.0 a game this season, OKC was outscored by 0.5
CLE outscored teams by 5.0 a game this season, OKC was outscored by 0.5. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 6 games, OKC over 6.
TURNOVERSLAC @ LAR
LAC: 1.57 takeaways per game to LAR's 1
The Chargers force 1.57 turnovers a game over 7 games, and the Rams force 1 over 8. Takeaway rates are among the least stable defensive numbers, so this gap could shrink fast. For this game, the Chargers have been the defense more likely to flip a possession, which puts a little more weight on Rams ball security.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
QUARTERBACKIND @ JAX
Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX
Through 7 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1690 passing yards, completed 65.7% of his passes and averaged 8.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 17-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
QUARTERBACKATL @ TB
Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB
Through 5 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
QUARTERBACKIND @ JAX
Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND
Through 8 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1542 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 5.75 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-9 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
QUARTERBACKLAC @ LAR
Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC
Through 7 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 1398 passing yards, completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.59 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-10 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PASS RUSHTEN @ CIN
CIN: 3.29 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2.5
Cincinnati records 3.29 sacks a game over 7 games, and Tennessee records 2.5 over 8, so both pass rushes have been busy. The sheet does not show how pass-heavy their opponents were. For this game, both quarterbacks face pressure, which can stall drives and points toward sack props over expecting a shootout.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
QUARTERBACKLAC @ LAR
Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR
Through 8 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 2146 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.08 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
QUARTERBACKKC @ DEN
Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC
Through 7 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1795 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 7.74 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
QUARTERBACKNE @ MIA
Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE
Through 8 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1983 passing yards, completed 67.1% of his passes and averaged 8.47 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-8 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
QUARTERBACKNE @ MIA
Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA
Through 7 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 1268 passing yards, completed 59% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
QUARTERBACKCLE @ PIT
Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT
Through 8 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1871 passing yards, completed 60.8% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
QUARTERBACKMIN @ DET
Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET
Through 7 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1964 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 15-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
QUARTERBACKTEN @ CIN
Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN
Through 8 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 1483 passing yards, completed 62.5% of his passes and averaged 5.98 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
QUARTERBACKKC @ DEN
Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN
Through 8 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1493 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
QUARTERBACKCAR @ GB
Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR
Through 7 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1921 passing yards, completed 58.7% of his passes and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
QUARTERBACKCAR @ GB
Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB
Through 8 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 2246 passing yards, completed 61.5% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 16-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 8 games in.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
QUARTERBACKBAL @ BUF
Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF
Through 7 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1793 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 8.75 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
QUARTERBACKTEN @ CIN
Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN
Through 7 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 2115 passing yards, completed 73% of his passes and averaged 7.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 20-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 7 games in.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Coach Sean McVay said Monday that it is "looking more likely than not" Ferguson (ankle) will practice this week, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC
Coach Jim Harbaugh said Monday that the Chargers will likely open the return window for Njoku (fibula) this week, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Tip Reiman (TE) is pup-r for ARI
Head coach Mike LaFleur stated he's "not too sure" if Reiman (ankle) will play this season, Dani Sureck of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 26.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
REPLACEMENTTEN @ CIN
Erick All Jr. (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN
Bengals head coach Zac Taylor confirmed Wednesday that All has been diagnosed with a torn ACL in his right knee and will require season-ending surgery, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports. Reported Oct 28.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
SITUATIONALCHI @ SEA
CHI has 3 more days of rest
Chicago gets 11 days to prepare with a bye behind it, while Seattle is on 8, so the Bears have had three extra days to heal, install a plan and travel without rushing. Teams coming off a bye usually show up healthier and better schemed, and the long trip west matters less with that cushion. Seattle's 8 days is close to a normal week, so this is a small edge for Chicago. It favors the Bears early in the game, before in-game adjustments even things out.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
NBA TAPESAC @ DAL
DAL outscored teams by 2.5 a game this season, SAC was outscored by 19.0
DAL outscored teams by 2.5 a game this season, SAC was outscored by 19.0. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 6 games, SAC over 6.
SITUATIONALNE @ MIA
NE: 20.5 first downs per game to MIA's 16.7
NE is at 20.5 first downs per game over 8 games; MIA is at 16.7 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season NE was at 21.2 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PACE & SCRIPTATL @ TB
TB: 32:45 time of possession per game to ATL's 29:42
ATL is at 29:42 time of possession per game over 8 games; TB is at 32:45 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ATL was at 30:00 over 17 games and TB at 31:53 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
RED ZONECAR @ GB
CAR: 64% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 51.7%
CAR is at 64% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; GB is at 51.7% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CAR was at 53.3% over 17 games and GB at 57.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ DET
DET: 66.6 offensive plays per game to MIN's 59
MIN is at 59 offensive plays per game over 7 games; DET is at 66.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
COVERAGECAR @ GB
GB: 4.73 yards per play allowed to CAR's 5.31
Green Bay allows 4.73 yards per play over 8 games, and Carolina allows 5.31 over 7. Yards per play is one of the steadier ways to judge a defense, so Green Bay's edge here is more likely to hold than a red-zone or turnover number. For this game, Carolina's offense faces the tougher unit on a snap-by-snap basis, which matters for its yardage props.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PASS RUSHARI @ DAL
DAL: 7.9 sack yards lost per game to ARI's 15.5
ARI is at 15.5 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; DAL is at 7.9 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ARI was at 24.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
NBA TAPENOP @ MEM
MEM scored 121.2 points a game this season, NOP 119.7
MEM scored 121.2 points a game this season, NOP 119.7. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 6 games, NOP over 6.
NBA TAPEMIL @ MIN
MIN scored 120.0 points a game this season, MIL 113.0
MIN scored 120.0 points a game this season, MIL 113.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 7 games, MIL over 6.
NBA TAPEBOS @ HOU
HOU scored 120.7 points a game this season, BOS 118.7
HOU scored 120.7 points a game this season, BOS 118.7. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 7 games, BOS over 6.
NBA TAPEUTA @ SAS
SAS scored 117.3 points a game this season, UTA 108.7
SAS scored 117.3 points a game this season, UTA 108.7. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 6 games, UTA over 6.
NBA TAPEPOR @ DEN
POR scored 120.6 points a game this season, DEN 114.0
POR scored 120.6 points a game this season, DEN 114.0. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 5 games, POR over 5.
NBA TAPEPHX @ GSW
GSW scored 117.7 points a game this season, PHX 112.0
GSW scored 117.7 points a game this season, PHX 112.0. 2026-27 regular season: GSW over 7 games, PHX over 4.
NBA TAPETOR @ LAC
TOR scored 118.2 points a game this season, LAC 106.5
TOR scored 118.2 points a game this season, LAC 106.5. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 6 games, TOR over 6.
NBA TAPEMIA @ LAL
LAL scored 120.3 points a game this season, MIA 118.3
LAL scored 120.3 points a game this season, MIA 118.3. 2026-27 regular season: LAL over 7 games, MIA over 6.
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
Patrick Johnson (DE) is on injured reserve for LV
The Raiders put Johnson on injured reserve Saturday with a neck injury, reported Nov 1, so he will not suit up against the Jets. Injured reserve keeps a player out for several weeks at minimum, so this is a longer absence. The sheet does not say who takes his defensive end snaps, so watch Las Vegas's rotation up front when you size up this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PASS RUSHMIN @ DET
DET: 2.29 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3
MIN is at 3 sacks taken per game over 7 games; DET is at 2.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season MIN was at 4 over 17 games and DET at 3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH
Lane underwent surgery Oct. 9 to repair his fractured and dislocated ankle, and he is expected to be cleared for activities before OTAs, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Oct 22.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTPHI @ WSH
Laremy Tunsil (OT) is on injured reserve for WSH
Tunsil (triceps) could potentially return late in the season, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 29.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Tyler Badie (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN
The Broncos placed Badie (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
L'Jarius Sneed (CB) is on injured reserve for KC
The Chiefs placed Sneed on injured reserve with a knee injury on Saturday, Oct 31, so he misses the Denver game and more after it. Kansas City is a corner down for this road trip, and the next man up draws his coverage work.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Brashard Smith (RB) is on injured reserve for KC
Kansas City put Smith on injured reserve with a hamstring injury back on Oct 24, so he is unavailable at Denver. The other Chiefs running backs split the carries he would have taken.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Coach Sean McVay indicated Monday that Garrett (knee) is on track to practice this week, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Nov 2.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Cam Taylor-Britt (CB) is on injured reserve for IND
The Colts placed Taylor-Britt on injured reserve Tuesday due to a groin injury, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 27.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Akayleb Evans (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Evans (triceps) was placed on injured reserve by the Panthers on Thursday, Darin Gantt of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 30.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
HEAD-TO-HEADPHI @ WSH
PHI and WSH are even since 2025
Washington has won the last two of the listed meetings, a 24-17 win in Philadelphia on Jan 4 and a 27-10 rout at home on Nov 1. Philadelphia's lone win listed is a 24-22 squeaker on Sep 13. The trend leans Washington, and its most convincing result came in the same building as this game.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
HEAD-TO-HEADKC @ DEN
DEN lead the series with KC since 2025
Denver owns the series edge, but the meetings have been all over the place. Denver won 20-13 at Kansas City on Dec 25, Kansas City answered 31-10 on Sep 14, and Denver took a close 28-24 at home on Nov 1. The one blowout went to Kansas City, so the 3-1 edge overstates how lopsided this matchup really is.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
HEAD-TO-HEADCLE @ PIT
CLE and PIT are even since 2025
Only three of the four games are listed here, and they swing hard. Cleveland won a 13-6 grinder at home on Dec 28 and a 27-24 shootout on Oct 1, then Pittsburgh flattened them 27-6 on Nov 1. The home team won all three listed games, so for the trip to Pittsburgh, venue says more than the even record does.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
COVERAGENE @ MIA
NE: 5.29 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.84
New England allows 5.29 yards per play over 8 games, and Miami allows 5.84 over 7. Yards per play holds up better than most defensive stats, so Miami's defense has been the easier one to move on. For this game, New England's offense draws the softer matchup on a per-snap basis, which is the side to look at for yardage props.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
TURNOVERSLAC @ LAR
LAR: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1
LAC is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 7 games; LAR is at 0.5 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 0.41 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ GB
CAR: 25.4 points per game to GB's 21.4
CAR is at 25.4 points per game over 7 games; GB is at 21.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CAR was at 18.3 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND
Colts head coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce (heel) will "most likely not" have his 21-day practice window opened in Week 8, Jake Arthur of Roundtable.io reports. Reported Oct 26.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
TRENCHESLAC @ LAR
LAR: 4.64 yards per rush attempt to LAC's 3.96
LAC is at 3.96 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; LAR is at 4.64 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 4.58 over 17 games and LAR at 4.69 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
SITUATIONALLV @ NYJ
LV: 48 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 64.4
LV is at 48 penalty yards per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 64.4 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
NBA TAPEOKC @ CLE
CLE scored 121.0 points a game this season, OKC 106.5
CLE scored 121.0 points a game this season, OKC 106.5. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 6 games, OKC over 6.
RED ZONELV @ NYJ
LV: 53.1% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 42.3%
LV is at 53.1% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; NYJ is at 42.3% over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 50% over 17 games and NYJ at 44.7% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
RED ZONECHI @ SEA
CHI: 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%
CHI is at 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; SEA is at 78.6% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
NBA TAPEDET @ CHA
DET scored 109.8 points a game this season, CHA 98.3
DET scored 109.8 points a game this season, CHA 98.3. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 7 games, DET over 6.
NBA TAPEATL @ IND
ATL scored 116.1 points a game this season, IND 112.9
ATL scored 116.1 points a game this season, IND 112.9. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 7 games, ATL over 7.
NBA TAPEBKN @ NYK
BKN scored 108.2 points a game this season, NYK 107.0
BKN scored 108.2 points a game this season, NYK 107.0. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 6 games, BKN over 6.
NBA TAPEWAS @ ORL
WAS scored 110.5 points a game this season, ORL 107.7
WAS scored 110.5 points a game this season, ORL 107.7. 2026-27 regular season: ORL over 6 games, WAS over 6.
NBA TAPECHI @ PHI
CHI scored 113.5 points a game this season, PHI 108.7
CHI scored 113.5 points a game this season, PHI 108.7. 2026-27 regular season: PHI over 7 games, CHI over 6.
NBA TAPESAC @ DAL
DAL scored 114.0 points a game this season, SAC 109.3
DAL scored 114.0 points a game this season, SAC 109.3. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 6 games, SAC over 6.
AFTER GARYCHI @ SEA
CHI +3.5 → +3.5
Gary's number was 3.5; the same book now shows 3.5.
RED ZONEATL @ TB
TB: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 63.3%
ATL is at 63.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; TB is at 50% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PASS RUSHCLE @ PIT
PIT: 3.25 sacks recorded per game to CLE's 2.63
Pittsburgh's pass rush gets home a bit more often than Cleveland's, both over eight games, so this is a real half-season gap. The sheet doesn't show who each team played, so some of that edge could come from facing weaker lines or teams forced to throw late. With eight games behind it, the gap should mostly hold. Pressure matters most when one quarterback holds the ball, so look at how each line has protected before leaning on it.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
HEAD-TO-HEADTOR @ LAC
LAC won last season's series 2-0
The Clippers beat Toronto twice last season, by 14.5 a game. Two games is a thin sample. Both teams played yesterday, so fatigue is even, and both have rotation players in doubt: Poeltl for Toronto and Derrick Jones Jr. for the Clippers. Those two statuses matter more for tonight than last season's results.
HEAD-TO-HEADPOR @ DEN
DEN won last season's series 3-1
Denver won three of four against Portland last season by 18.3 a game, a wide gap over a reasonable sample. Denver also has the extra day of rest tonight. Diallo is questionable with a wrist sprain, but he is a depth piece, so the bigger question for a bettor is whether a line this size already prices in last season's margins.
RED ZONECAR @ GB
GB: 66.7% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 80%
CAR is at 80% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; GB is at 66.7% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
RED ZONEBAL @ BUF
BUF: 70% red-zone scoring rate to BAL's 59.3%
BAL is at 59.3% red-zone scoring rate over 8 games; BUF is at 70% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 47.5% over 17 games and BUF at 66.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
TRENCHESLV @ NYJ
NYJ: 123.6 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 146.4
LV is at 146.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 123.6 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSATL @ TB
ATL: 5.41 yards per play to TB's 4.88
Atlanta gets 5.41 yards a play over 8 games, almost the same as last season's 5.38, and Tampa Bay is at 4.88, down from 5.12. Atlanta's number looks like who they are. Tampa Bay runs the ball well but gets less per snap than Atlanta, so the Bucs win by holding the ball, while Atlanta can make plays faster.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PASS RUSHBAL @ BUF
BUF: 11.4 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 18
BAL is at 18 sack yards lost per game over 8 games; BUF is at 11.4 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 17.2 over 17 games and BUF at 21.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
SITUATIONALCAR @ GB
CAR: 21.1 first downs per game to GB's 18
CAR is at 21.1 first downs per game over 7 games; GB is at 18 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
TURNOVERSCAR @ GB
GB: 1.88 takeaways per game to CAR's 1.43
CAR is at 1.43 takeaways per game over 7 games; GB is at 1.88 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
RED ZONEMIN @ DET
DET: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 56.3%
MIN is at 56.3% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; DET is at 66.7% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season MIN was at 56.9% over 17 games and DET at 62.5% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
HEAD-TO-HEADMIL @ MIN
MIN won last season's series 2-0
Minnesota beat Milwaukee in both meetings last season, by 18 a game. That is only two games, and a margin that big usually includes some blowout noise. Tonight is the first meeting this season with both teams on two days of rest, so the schedule gives neither side an edge and current form should do most of the work.
HEAD-TO-HEADOKC @ CLE
OKC won last season's series 2-0
Oklahoma City beat Cleveland both times last season, by 20 a game. Two games is a tiny sample, and margins that wide against a good opponent rarely repeat as a pattern. This is the first meeting this season, so treat the sweep as a mild point in OKC's favor and let current form and the Cleveland injury report carry more weight.
HEAD-TO-HEADWAS @ ORL
ORL won last season's series 3-1
Orlando took three of four from Washington last season, winning by 11.3 a game. Four meetings is a decent look for a head to head, and the gap was steady enough to say Orlando matched up well. Washington has Sarr and Gill both listed questionable tonight, so check their status: if either sits, last season's margins look more repeatable.
SITUATIONALIND @ JAX
IND: 58.8% fourth-down conversion rate to JAX's 40%
IND is at 58.8% fourth-down conversion rate over 8 games; JAX is at 40% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season IND was at 66.7% over 17 games and JAX at 58.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
TRENCHESTEN @ CIN
TEN: 99.5 rushing yards per game to CIN's 80.3
TEN is at 99.5 rushing yards per game over 8 games; CIN is at 80.3 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season TEN was at 93.5 over 17 games and CIN at 93.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
RED ZONEBAL @ BUF
BUF: 4.29 red-zone trips per game to BAL's 3.38
BAL is at 3.38 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; BUF is at 4.29 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ LAR
LAR: 21 points allowed per game to LAC's 25
LAC is at 25 points allowed per game over 7 games; LAR is at 21 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and LAR at 20.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
HEAD-TO-HEADMIA @ LAL
LAL won last season's series 2-0
The Lakers won both meetings with Miami last season, by 9 a game. Two games and a modest margin do not say much about this season's teams. Hardaway is questionable for personal reasons, which is harder to predict than an injury, so wait for his status before reading too much into Miami's depth tonight.
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Deatrich Wise Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Luke McCaffrey
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Charles Omenihu
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Saquon Barkley
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Jalen Carter
Abdomen · Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Jalyx Hunt
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
NBA TAPEBOS @ HOU
HOU allowed 108.3 points a game this season, BOS 109.2
HOU allowed 108.3 points a game this season, BOS 109.2. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 7 games, BOS over 6.
NBA TAPEUTA @ SAS
SAS allowed 110.2 points a game this season, UTA 118.8
SAS allowed 110.2 points a game this season, UTA 118.8. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 6 games, UTA over 6.
NBA TAPECHI @ PHI
PHI allowed 104.9 points a game this season, CHI 129.3
PHI allowed 104.9 points a game this season, CHI 129.3. 2026-27 regular season: PHI over 7 games, CHI over 6.
NBA TAPETOR @ LAC
TOR allowed 110.3 points a game this season, LAC 113.8
TOR allowed 110.3 points a game this season, LAC 113.8. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 6 games, TOR over 6.
NBA TAPEPHX @ GSW
GSW allowed 114.9 points a game this season, PHX 124.5
GSW allowed 114.9 points a game this season, PHX 124.5. 2026-27 regular season: GSW over 7 games, PHX over 4.
NBA TAPEOKC @ CLE
OKC allowed 107.0 points a game this season, CLE 116.0
OKC allowed 107.0 points a game this season, CLE 116.0. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 6 games, OKC over 6.
NBA TAPEPOR @ DEN
POR allowed 109.2 points a game this season, DEN 115.2
POR allowed 109.2 points a game this season, DEN 115.2. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 5 games, POR over 5.
NBA TAPEBKN @ NYK
NYK allowed 107.7 points a game this season, BKN 116.0
NYK allowed 107.7 points a game this season, BKN 116.0. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 6 games, BKN over 6.
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
T'Vondre Sweat (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ
The Jets placed Sweat (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 31.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Coby Bryant (S) is on injured reserve for CHI
Coach Ben Johnson said Wednesday that Bryant (knee) will start running again in the "near future," Courtney Cronin of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 28.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
NBA TAPESAC @ DAL
DAL allowed 111.8 points a game this season, SAC 128.3
DAL allowed 111.8 points a game this season, SAC 128.3. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 6 games, SAC over 6.
NBA TAPEMIA @ LAL
LAL allowed 115.0 points a game this season, MIA 121.5
LAL allowed 115.0 points a game this season, MIA 121.5. 2026-27 regular season: LAL over 7 games, MIA over 6.
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Derwin James Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers placed James (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Denzel Perryman (LB) is on injured reserve for LAC
Head coach Jim Harbaugh said Wednesday that Perryman (undisclosed) is "close" to returning from injured reserve, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 29.
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTARI @ DAL
Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL
Liufau (forearm) has been downgraded from questionable to out ahead of Monday night's game against the Eagles. Reported Oct 25.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
TRENCHESTEN @ CIN
TEN: 4.19 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.59
TEN is at 4.19 yards per rush attempt over 8 games; CIN is at 3.59 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season TEN was at 4.19 over 17 games and CIN at 4.14 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
NBA TAPEWAS @ ORL
WAS allowed 109.7 points a game this season, ORL 116.7
WAS allowed 109.7 points a game this season, ORL 116.7. 2026-27 regular season: ORL over 6 games, WAS over 6.
PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ PIT
PIT: 18 points allowed per game to CLE's 21.6
CLE is at 21.6 points allowed per game over 8 games; PIT is at 18 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CLE was at 22.3 over 17 games and PIT at 22.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
RED ZONEKC @ DEN
KC: 3.71 red-zone trips per game to DEN's 2.88
KC is at 3.71 red-zone trips per game over 7 games; DEN is at 2.88 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season KC was at 3.47 over 17 games and DEN at 3.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
NBA TAPENOP @ MEM
MEM allowed 106.0 points a game this season, NOP 117.8
MEM allowed 106.0 points a game this season, NOP 117.8. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 6 games, NOP over 6.
NBA TAPEATL @ IND
ATL allowed 115.4 points a game this season, IND 116.7
ATL allowed 115.4 points a game this season, IND 116.7. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 7 games, ATL over 7.
NBA TAPEDET @ CHA
DET allowed 101.8 points a game this season, CHA 106.4
DET allowed 101.8 points a game this season, CHA 106.4. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 7 games, DET over 6.
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Kalia Davis (DT) is on injured reserve for CLE
Davis will spend the rest of the season on injured reserve after his 21-day practice window expired Tuesday without a return. That makes it official: the Browns defensive tackle is done for the year, and Cleveland goes into Pittsburgh without him.
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
COVERAGELAC @ LAR
LAR: 4.92 yards per play allowed to LAC's 5.39
The Rams give up less per snap than the Chargers, 4.92 yards a play over eight games against 5.39 over seven. Yards per play cuts through game script better than total yards, so this gap says more about how each defense plays snap to snap. The sheet doesn't list opponents, so schedule could account for part of it. In a matchup between these two, the Rams' defense is the more reliable side to trust on a drive-by-drive basis.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
NBA TAPEMIL @ MIN
MIN allowed 108.7 points a game this season, MIL 126.2
MIN allowed 108.7 points a game this season, MIL 126.2. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 7 games, MIL over 6.
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Ross Matiscik
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Michael Wilson
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Jordan Battle
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Tyler Allgeier
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Harrison Smith
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Eric Stokes
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Mason Graham
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Jake Matthews
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
LaCale London
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Jawaan Taylor
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Josh Hines-Allen
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Jahlani Tavai
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
LeQuint Allen Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Tucker Addington
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Moro Ojomo
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ CIN
CIN: 61.9 offensive plays per game to TEN's 56.3
TEN is at 56.3 offensive plays per game over 8 games; CIN is at 61.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and CIN at 62.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
TURNOVERSCHI @ SEA
CHI: 0.71 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.14
CHI is at 0.71 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; SEA is at 1.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CHI was at 0.41 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
TURNOVERSLAC @ LAR
LAR: 1 interception thrown per game to LAC's 1.43
LAC is at 1.43 interceptions thrown per game over 7 games; LAR is at 1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LAC was at 0.82 over 17 games and LAR at 0.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PACE & SCRIPTIND @ JAX
IND: 64.9 offensive plays per game to JAX's 59.1
IND is at 64.9 offensive plays per game over 8 games; JAX is at 59.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and JAX at 64.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
SITUATIONALBAL @ BUF
BAL: 61.6 penalty yards per game to BUF's 75.1
BAL is at 61.6 penalty yards per game over 8 games; BUF is at 75.1 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season BAL was at 43.9 over 17 games and BUF at 49.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC: 19.9 first downs per game to DEN's 17.1
KC is at 19.9 first downs per game over 7 games; DEN is at 17.1 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season KC was at 19.8 over 17 games and DEN at 19.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
SITUATIONALPHI @ WSH
PHI: 37.3% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.9%
PHI is at 37.3% third-down conversion rate over 8 games; WSH is at 31.9% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season PHI was at 37.1% over 17 games and WSH at 37.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NYJ
LV: 63.8 offensive plays per game to NYJ's 58.5
LV is at 63.8 offensive plays per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 58.5 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and NYJ at 59.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ DAL
ARI: 69.6 offensive plays per game to DAL's 64
ARI is at 69.6 offensive plays per game over 8 games; DAL is at 64 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and DAL at 65.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PACE & SCRIPTNE @ MIA
NE: 30:54 time of possession per game to MIA's 28:47
NE is at 30:54 time of possession per game over 8 games; MIA is at 28:47 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season NE was at 31:18 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
TURNOVERSCLE @ PIT
PIT: 1.63 takeaways per game to CLE's 1.25
Pittsburgh forces more turnovers than Cleveland, 1.63 a game to 1.25, both over eight games. Takeaways swing on fumble bounces and tipped balls, so this is one of the shakier defensive numbers to project forward. Expect both to drift toward the middle. In a divisional game, it helps to look at which quarterback has been careless with the ball before banking on extra possessions.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
RED ZONELV @ NYJ
LV: 4 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 3.25
LV is at 4 red-zone trips per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 3.25 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
TRENCHESMIN @ DET
DET: 96.6 rushing yards allowed per game to MIN's 116.7
MIN is at 116.7 rushing yards allowed per game over 7 games; DET is at 96.6 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
COVERAGEBAL @ BUF
BAL: 228.3 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 254.7
Baltimore allows fewer passing yards per game than Buffalo, over eight games for the Ravens and seven for the Bills. Per-game passing totals move with script: a defense playing with a lead faces more throws, so Buffalo's number may partly reflect opponents chasing. Without opponent detail on the sheet, take the gap as moderate. For passing props in this game, the quarterback's own form deserves more weight than this split.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
RED ZONECLE @ PIT
PIT: 37.5% red-zone scoring allowed to CLE's 48%
CLE is at 48% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; PIT is at 37.5% over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
TRENCHESNE @ MIA
NE: 92.6 rushing yards allowed per game to MIA's 113.1
NE is at 92.6 rushing yards allowed per game over 8 games; MIA is at 113.1 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
COVERAGECLE @ PIT
CLE: 196.6 passing yards allowed per game to PIT's 221.8
CLE is at 196.6 passing yards allowed per game over 8 games; PIT is at 221.8 over 8 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
NBA TAPECHI @ PHI
CHI made 12.2 threes a game this season, PHI 11.9
CHI made 12.2 threes a game this season, PHI 11.9. 2026-27 regular season: PHI over 7 games, CHI over 6.
NBA TAPETOR @ LAC
LAC made 13.5 threes a game this season, TOR 11.7
LAC made 13.5 threes a game this season, TOR 11.7. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 6 games, TOR over 6.
NBA TAPEPHX @ GSW
GSW made 16.6 threes a game this season, PHX 14.0
GSW made 16.6 threes a game this season, PHX 14.0. 2026-27 regular season: GSW over 7 games, PHX over 4.
NBA TAPEPOR @ DEN
POR made 15.8 threes a game this season, DEN 13.0
POR made 15.8 threes a game this season, DEN 13.0. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 5 games, POR over 5.
NBA TAPEUTA @ SAS
SAS made 12.7 threes a game this season, UTA 11.7
SAS made 12.7 threes a game this season, UTA 11.7. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 6 games, UTA over 6.
NBA TAPEBOS @ HOU
BOS made 14.3 threes a game this season, HOU 12.9
BOS made 14.3 threes a game this season, HOU 12.9. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 7 games, BOS over 6.
NBA TAPEMIL @ MIN
MIN made 15.0 threes a game this season, MIL 14.5
MIN made 15.0 threes a game this season, MIL 14.5. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 7 games, MIL over 6.
NBA TAPENOP @ MEM
MEM made 16.0 threes a game this season, NOP 8.8
MEM made 16.0 threes a game this season, NOP 8.8. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 6 games, NOP over 6.
NBA TAPESAC @ DAL
DAL made 13.0 threes a game this season, SAC 10.3
DAL made 13.0 threes a game this season, SAC 10.3. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 6 games, SAC over 6.
RED ZONENE @ MIA
NE: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 64.3%
NE is at 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 8 games; MIA is at 64.3% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Nov 1.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ DAL
DAL: 26.6 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.8
ARI is at 29.8 points allowed per game over 8 games; DAL is at 26.6 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ WSH
WSH: 30:25 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:24
PHI is at 28:24 time of possession per game over 8 games; WSH is at 30:25 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season PHI was at 30:11 over 17 games and WSH at 28:41 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
SITUATIONALLV @ NYJ
LV: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to NYJ's 1.13
LV is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 8 games; NYJ is at 1.13 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season LV was at 1.88 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 38-33
SITUATIONALCHI @ SEA
CHI: 44% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 38.9%
CHI is at 44% third-down conversion rate over 7 games; SEA is at 38.9% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CHI was at 42.7% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Cole Kmet (TE) is on injured reserve for CHI
The Bears placed Kmet (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 23.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
REPLACEMENTCHI @ SEA
Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA
Head coach Mike Macdonald told reporters Friday that Arroyo (shoulder) underwent surgery and will likely be out for the rest of the season, Curtis Crabtree of Fox 13 Seattle reports. Reported Oct 23.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PASS RUSHARI @ DAL
ARI: 2.38 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1.88
Arizona's defense brings the quarterback down more often than Dallas's, 2.38 sacks a game to 1.88, each over eight games. That's half a sack a game, a modest gap, and the sheet doesn't show which offensive lines each faced. A difference this small can flip with one big game either way. Use it as a lean on pressure in this matchup, weighted by how well each offensive line has held up.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
NBA TAPEBKN @ NYK
BKN made 14.3 threes a game this season, NYK 13.8
BKN made 14.3 threes a game this season, NYK 13.8. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 6 games, BKN over 6.
NBA TAPEOKC @ CLE
CLE made 14.7 threes a game this season, OKC 10.0
CLE made 14.7 threes a game this season, OKC 10.0. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 6 games, OKC over 6.
SITUATIONALCLE @ PIT
CLE: 1.38 fourth-down attempts per game to PIT's 0.75
CLE is at 1.38 fourth-down attempts per game over 8 games; PIT is at 0.75 over 8 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CLE was at 1.71 over 17 games and PIT at 1.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PACE & SCRIPTNE @ MIA
NE: 62 offensive plays per game to MIA's 56.9
NE is at 62 offensive plays per game over 8 games; MIA is at 56.9 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
TRENCHESCHI @ SEA
CHI: 4.3 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.79
CHI is at 4.3 yards per rush attempt over 7 games; SEA is at 3.79 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Nov 1. Last season CHI was at 4.75 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-17
NBA TAPEDET @ CHA
DET made 13.5 threes a game this season, CHA 13.1
DET made 13.5 threes a game this season, CHA 13.1. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 7 games, DET over 6.
NBA TAPEATL @ IND
ATL made 13.9 threes a game this season, IND 12.7
ATL made 13.9 threes a game this season, IND 12.7. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 7 games, ATL over 7.
NBA TAPEWAS @ ORL
ORL made 13.5 threes a game this season, WAS 9.2
ORL made 13.5 threes a game this season, WAS 9.2. 2026-27 regular season: ORL over 6 games, WAS over 6.
NBA TAPEMIA @ LAL
LAL made 14.3 threes a game this season, MIA 13.0
LAL made 14.3 threes a game this season, MIA 13.0. 2026-27 regular season: LAL over 7 games, MIA over 6.
SITUATIONALPOR @ DEN
DEN on 3d, POR on 2d
Denver has three days of rest to Portland's two, which adds a small edge to a home team that won the series 3-1 last season. One day is a minor factor by itself. It fits with the rest of Denver's case tonight but should not carry a bet alone.
SITUATIONALSAC @ DAL
DAL on 3d, SAC on 2d
Dallas has three days off to Sacramento's two, a small home edge on the schedule. One day rarely decides a game. Both teams have bigger names in doubt, Irving for Dallas and LaVine for Sacramento, so let the injury report settle first.
HEAD-TO-HEADPHX @ GSW
GSW won last season's series 3-2
Golden State won three of five against Phoenix last season, but the average margin was 0.4 points. That is about as even as a series gets, so the record barely leans either way. Gui Santos is out tonight for the Warriors with a knee injury, which trims their depth a little.
SITUATIONALCHI @ PHI
CHI on 3d, PHI on 2d
Chicago comes in with three days off to Philadelphia's two. A one-day gap is minor. The bigger swing in this game is Embiid, who is questionable with a foot issue: his status will move the line far more than the rest edge.
HEAD-TO-HEADUTA @ SAS
SAS won last season's series 2-1
San Antonio won two of three against Utah last season, by 5.7 a game. That is a small sample with modest margins. Both teams are on two days of rest, so there is no schedule edge, and last season's results carry only light weight.
SITUATIONALDET @ CHA
DET on 3d, CHA on 2d
Detroit has three days off and Charlotte has two, a one-day edge for the road team. One extra day this early in the season is a small factor, smaller than a rotation player sitting. Use it as a tiebreaker on top of Detroit's sweep last season, and check whether Isaiah Joe plays.
HEAD-TO-HEADATL @ IND
ATL won last season's series 2-1
Atlanta won two of three against Indiana last season, by 10.3 a game. Three games is a small sample. Atlanta is without Flemings on suspension and Jalen Johnson is questionable, while Indiana's Toppin has a back issue, so tonight's lineups may look very different from last season's.
HEAD-TO-HEADCHI @ PHI
CHI won last season's series 2-1
Chicago won two of three against Philadelphia last season, but only by 3.7 a game. Those are close games that could have gone either way, so the series record says little. Embiid's status is what matters for this matchup.
HEAD-TO-HEADSAC @ DAL
SAC won last season's series 2-1
Sacramento won two of three against Dallas last season, by 4.3 a game. Three close games is close to an even matchup. With LaVine, Cardwell and Irving all questionable, tonight depends more on who suits up than on last season.
HEAD-TO-HEADATL @ TB
TB lead the series with ATL since 2025
The first two meetings were decided by a field goal or less: 23-20 Tampa Bay on Sep 7 and 29-28 Atlanta on Dec 11 last season. Then Tampa Bay shut Atlanta out 16-0 on Nov 1. One shutout is a single game, and the longer history says these teams usually play each other close.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC
The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL
The Falcons placed Jerrell (biceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Taylor Moton (OT) is on injured reserve for CAR
The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
HEAD-TO-HEADNE @ MIA
NE lead the series with MIA since 2025
New England has won all three, but the wins have varied. They beat Miami 33-27 and 38-10 last season, then won 24-19 in Miami on Nov 1. Both road wins in Miami were one-score games, while the blowout came in New England, so the venue matters when sizing up this one.
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
HEAD-TO-HEADMIN @ DET
MIN lead the series with DET since 2025
Every game in this series has been tight. Minnesota won 27-24 at Detroit and 23-10 at home last season, then Detroit edged them 19-15 on Nov 1 for its only win. The latest meeting was low scoring and close, so this has played like a one-score game and the series lead means less than it looks.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
HEAD-TO-HEADIND @ JAX
JAX lead the series with IND since 2025
Jacksonville has handled Indianapolis every time, winning 36-19 and 23-17 last season and 42-7 on Nov 1. Two of the three were blowouts, with the closest a six-point game on the road. Three games is a small run, but nothing in it suggests Indianapolis has found an answer, especially in Jacksonville.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
NBA TAPETOR @ LAC
TOR played at 102.8 possessions a game this season, LAC 101.1
TOR played at 102.8 possessions a game this season, LAC 101.1. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 6 games, TOR over 6.
NBA TAPEPHX @ GSW
GSW played at 100.2 possessions a game this season, PHX 98.5
GSW played at 100.2 possessions a game this season, PHX 98.5. 2026-27 regular season: GSW over 7 games, PHX over 4.
NBA TAPEPOR @ DEN
POR played at 101.7 possessions a game this season, DEN 99.1
POR played at 101.7 possessions a game this season, DEN 99.1. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 5 games, POR over 5.
NBA TAPEUTA @ SAS
UTA played at 101.3 possessions a game this season, SAS 99.9
UTA played at 101.3 possessions a game this season, SAS 99.9. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 6 games, UTA over 6.
NBA TAPEBOS @ HOU
HOU played at 99.5 possessions a game this season, BOS 99.4
HOU played at 99.5 possessions a game this season, BOS 99.4. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 7 games, BOS over 6.
NBA TAPEMIL @ MIN
MIL played at 105.8 possessions a game this season, MIN 102.0
MIL played at 105.8 possessions a game this season, MIN 102.0. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 7 games, MIL over 6.
NBA TAPENOP @ MEM
NOP played at 105.0 possessions a game this season, MEM 101.9
NOP played at 105.0 possessions a game this season, MEM 101.9. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 6 games, NOP over 6.
NBA TAPESAC @ DAL
SAC played at 104.5 possessions a game this season, DAL 100.3
SAC played at 104.5 possessions a game this season, DAL 100.3. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 6 games, SAC over 6.
NBA TAPECHI @ PHI
CHI played at 106.8 possessions a game this season, PHI 100.1
CHI played at 106.8 possessions a game this season, PHI 100.1. 2026-27 regular season: PHI over 7 games, CHI over 6.
NBA TAPEWAS @ ORL
WAS played at 100.2 possessions a game this season, ORL 99.5
WAS played at 100.2 possessions a game this season, ORL 99.5. 2026-27 regular season: ORL over 6 games, WAS over 6.
NBA TAPEBKN @ NYK
BKN played at 101.2 possessions a game this season, NYK 97.5
BKN played at 101.2 possessions a game this season, NYK 97.5. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 6 games, BKN over 6.
NBA TAPEATL @ IND
ATL played at 103.5 possessions a game this season, IND 101.9
ATL played at 103.5 possessions a game this season, IND 101.9. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 7 games, ATL over 7.
NBA TAPEDET @ CHA
DET played at 98.7 possessions a game this season, CHA 97.1
DET played at 98.7 possessions a game this season, CHA 97.1. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 7 games, DET over 6.
NBA TAPEMIA @ LAL
MIA played at 103.9 possessions a game this season, LAL 100.6
MIA played at 103.9 possessions a game this season, LAL 100.6. 2026-27 regular season: LAL over 7 games, MIA over 6.
NBA TAPEOKC @ CLE
CLE played at 102.5 possessions a game this season, OKC 97.9
CLE played at 102.5 possessions a game this season, OKC 97.9. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 6 games, OKC over 6.
REPLACEMENTIND @ JAX
Anton Harrison (OT) is on injured reserve for JAX
Harrison was diagnosed with a torn ACL while undergoing a procedure on his right knee Thursday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR
The Rams placed Turner (groin) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 21.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Jacob Monk (C) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Oct 26.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
NBA TAPEATL @ IND
ATL grabbed 42.3 rebounds a game this season, IND 42.0
ATL grabbed 42.3 rebounds a game this season, IND 42.0. 2026-27 regular season: IND over 7 games, ATL over 7.
NBA TAPEOKC @ CLE
CLE grabbed 48.2 rebounds a game this season, OKC 45.3
CLE grabbed 48.2 rebounds a game this season, OKC 45.3. 2026-27 regular season: CLE over 6 games, OKC over 6.
REPLACEMENTLV @ NYJ
Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ
The Jets placed Mauigoa (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
NBA TAPEDET @ CHA
CHA grabbed 47.1 rebounds a game this season, DET 45.8
CHA grabbed 47.1 rebounds a game this season, DET 45.8. 2026-27 regular season: CHA over 7 games, DET over 6.
NBA TAPEBKN @ NYK
NYK grabbed 47.7 rebounds a game this season, BKN 44.5
NYK grabbed 47.7 rebounds a game this season, BKN 44.5. 2026-27 regular season: NYK over 6 games, BKN over 6.
NBA TAPEWAS @ ORL
WAS grabbed 42.0 rebounds a game this season, ORL 40.0
WAS grabbed 42.0 rebounds a game this season, ORL 40.0. 2026-27 regular season: ORL over 6 games, WAS over 6.
NBA TAPECHI @ PHI
CHI grabbed 45.8 rebounds a game this season, PHI 40.9
CHI grabbed 45.8 rebounds a game this season, PHI 40.9. 2026-27 regular season: PHI over 7 games, CHI over 6.
NBA TAPESAC @ DAL
DAL grabbed 43.7 rebounds a game this season, SAC 39.8
DAL grabbed 43.7 rebounds a game this season, SAC 39.8. 2026-27 regular season: DAL over 6 games, SAC over 6.
NBA TAPENOP @ MEM
MEM grabbed 49.8 rebounds a game this season, NOP 44.0
MEM grabbed 49.8 rebounds a game this season, NOP 44.0. 2026-27 regular season: MEM over 6 games, NOP over 6.
NBA TAPEMIL @ MIN
MIL grabbed 49.0 rebounds a game this season, MIN 48.4
MIL grabbed 49.0 rebounds a game this season, MIN 48.4. 2026-27 regular season: MIN over 7 games, MIL over 6.
NBA TAPEBOS @ HOU
HOU grabbed 45.1 rebounds a game this season, BOS 43.2
HOU grabbed 45.1 rebounds a game this season, BOS 43.2. 2026-27 regular season: HOU over 7 games, BOS over 6.
NBA TAPEUTA @ SAS
SAS grabbed 45.7 rebounds a game this season, UTA 45.2
SAS grabbed 45.7 rebounds a game this season, UTA 45.2. 2026-27 regular season: SAS over 6 games, UTA over 6.
NBA TAPEPOR @ DEN
POR grabbed 46.4 rebounds a game this season, DEN 43.6
POR grabbed 46.4 rebounds a game this season, DEN 43.6. 2026-27 regular season: DEN over 5 games, POR over 5.
NBA TAPEPHX @ GSW
GSW grabbed 43.9 rebounds a game this season, PHX 40.3
GSW grabbed 43.9 rebounds a game this season, PHX 40.3. 2026-27 regular season: GSW over 7 games, PHX over 4.
NBA TAPETOR @ LAC
TOR grabbed 44.7 rebounds a game this season, LAC 41.2
TOR grabbed 44.7 rebounds a game this season, LAC 41.2. 2026-27 regular season: LAC over 6 games, TOR over 6.
NBA TAPEMIA @ LAL
MIA grabbed 43.7 rebounds a game this season, LAL 40.0
MIA grabbed 43.7 rebounds a game this season, LAL 40.0. 2026-27 regular season: LAL over 7 games, MIA over 6.
REPLACEMENTATL @ TB
Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB
Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday, Scott Smith of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
REPLACEMENTBAL @ BUF
Tavius Robinson (LB) is on injured reserve for BAL
The Ravens placed Robinson (pectoral) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
REPLACEMENTCAR @ GB
Thomas Incoom (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR
The Panthers placed Incoom (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
REPLACEMENTKC @ DEN
Jonah Elliss (LB) is on injured reserve for DEN
The Broncos placed Elliss (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
REPLACEMENTLAC @ LAR
Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR
The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT
Pittsburgh placed Joseph-Day on injured reserve Thursday with a triceps injury, reported Oct 23, so he is out against Cleveland. Injured reserve means a multi-week absence for a defensive tackle. The sheet does not say who rotates in for him up front.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Elijah Harkless is Questionable for DET
Harkless is on a two-way deal and his questionable tag is about G League assignment, not injury. That rarely affects an NBA game, so it should not change your read.
REPLACEMENTMIA @ LAL
Tim Hardaway Jr. is Questionable for MIA
Hardaway is questionable for personal reasons. Those absences are hard to predict and often go either way close to tip. He is a bench scorer, so his status affects Miami's second unit.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Zach LaVine is Questionable for SAC
LaVine is questionable with right elbow inflammation and soreness. He is a top scorer for Sacramento, so his status affects the side and the total. Wait for word before betting this game.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Kyrie Irving is Questionable for DAL
Irving is questionable with left knee injury management. That label usually means the team is managing his workload. He is the biggest swing for Dallas, so wait for his status before betting this game.
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Alexandre Sarr is Questionable for WAS
Alexandre Sarr carries a Questionable tag. Injury/Illness - Left Knee Soreness (2026-11-02, WAS@ORL). Prior reporting (2026-11-01): Sarr (knee) is questionable to play in Monday's…
REPLACEMENTWAS @ ORL
Anthony Gill is Questionable for WAS
Gill is questionable with low back spasms. He is a depth forward, so his status matters little alone. With Sarr also questionable, Washington's frontcourt depth is the thing to watch.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Clint Capela is Questionable for HOU
Capela is questionable with a right ankle sprain. He is a rebounding big, so if he sits, Houston's frontcourt rotation shifts. That matters for rebounding props on both sides of this game.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Jalen Johnson is Questionable for ATL
Johnson is questionable with a left ankle sprain. He is a key piece for Atlanta, which is already without Flemings on suspension. If Johnson sits too, Atlanta is thin, and that changes how much last season's 2-1 series edge counts.
REPLACEMENTBKN @ NYK
Mikel Brown Jr. is Day-To-Day for BKN
Brown is day-to-day after resting Sunday in Indiana on the first night of a back-to-back, and the report said he should return for the second night. A rest day is a planned absence, so expect him back tonight against New York unless that changes.
REPLACEMENTSAC @ DAL
Dylan Cardwell is Questionable for SAC
Cardwell is questionable with a left calf strain. Calf strains often linger, so lean toward him being limited or out. He is a depth big, so the effect on Sacramento is mostly in the frontcourt rotation, alongside LaVine's own questionable tag.
REPLACEMENTATL @ IND
Obi Toppin is Day-To-Day for IND
Toppin is day-to-day with a back issue and missed Sunday's game and the Friday loss to Miami. That is two straight absences, so expect him to be limited or out again unless Indiana says otherwise. Bench big minutes are the spot to watch.
REPLACEMENTNOP @ MEM
Quinten Post is Questionable for MEM
Post is questionable with a right ankle sprain. He is a stretch big for Memphis, so if he sits their frontcourt rotation changes. This game has no rest edge and last season's series split 2-2, so lineup news matters more than usual.
REPLACEMENTBOS @ HOU
Reed Sheppard is Questionable for HOU
Sheppard is questionable with a low back strain. Back issues can flare up with little warning. If he sits, Houston's guard minutes shift around, so wait for his status before playing props tied to their backcourt.
SITUATIONALLV @ NYJ
LV (4-4) at NYJ (2-6)
The Jets are 2-6 but only -18, so their record looks worse than their scoring, while the Raiders sit at 4-4 and -9. Las Vegas is 3-1 on the road and New York is 1-3 at home, with 3 straight losses. The margins are close, which suggests these teams are nearer than the records say. The road and home splits favor the Raiders, but the Jets' margin points to a team due for better results.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Isaac Jones is Questionable for DET
Jones is on a two-way deal and his questionable tag is about G League assignment, not injury. That rarely affects an NBA game, so it should not change your read.
REPLACEMENTCHI @ PHI
Joel Embiid is Questionable for PHI
Embiid is questionable with a right foot plantar fascia issue listed as injury management. That label usually means the team is handling his workload, so availability can go either way game to game. His status is the biggest factor in Chicago at Philadelphia, so wait for it before betting the side or total.
REPLACEMENTDET @ CHA
Isaiah Joe is Questionable for DET
Joe is questionable with a right hip contusion. A bruise is usually a short-term issue, so he has a fair chance to play. He is a shooter off the bench, so his status mostly affects Detroit's second unit.
REPLACEMENTBKN @ NYK
Jose Alvarado is Questionable for NYK
Alvarado is questionable with a left ankle sprain. He plays backup point guard minutes for New York, so if he sits, the other guards absorb his time. Check his status before backing guard props in this one.
REPLACEMENTPOR @ DEN
Alpha Diallo is Questionable for DEN
Diallo is questionable with a right wrist sprain. He is a depth wing for Denver, so his status moves little beyond a few bench minutes. Denver also has the rest edge tonight.
REPLACEMENTOKC @ CLE
Peyton Watson is Questionable for CLE
Watson is questionable with right hamstring tightness and soreness. Hamstrings can linger, so lean toward limited minutes even if he plays. He is a wing defender, which matters against a team like Oklahoma City.
REPLACEMENTPHX @ GSW
Gui Santos is Day-To-Day for GSW
Santos left Sunday's win over the Clippers at halftime with a knee injury and will not play against Phoenix. He is a bench forward, so his absence trims Golden State's depth a little in a matchup that was nearly even last season.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Derrick Jones Jr. is Day-To-Day for LAC
Jones left Sunday's game against the Clippers with a right knee issue and is day-to-day. A knee injury on a back-to-back makes him a real doubt tonight. He is a wing defender, so his status matters for Toronto's scorers.
REPLACEMENTTOR @ LAC
Jakob Poeltl is Day-To-Day for TOR
Poeltl is day-to-day with a shoulder issue and missed Sunday's game against the Lakers. Toronto is on a back-to-back, which makes a quick return less likely. If he sits again, Toronto is thin at center against the Clippers.
REPLACEMENTNE @ MIA
Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE
The Patriots put Vera-Tucker on injured reserve on Oct 22 with a hamstring injury, which rules him out at guard against Miami and for at least a few more weeks. IR leaves no doubt about this game. The facts don't say who takes his spot, so the interior line is the place to watch. Before you bet a run-heavy angle for New England, check who is starting at guard.
P Edge side won; final 24-19
REPLACEMENTCLE @ PIT
Teven Jenkins (G) is on injured reserve for CLE
The Browns placed Jenkins (back) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 24.
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
HEAD-TO-HEADCAR @ GB
CAR and GB are even since 2025
Both meetings were played in Green Bay and both were one-score games. Carolina won 16-13 last season in a low-scoring grind, and Green Bay answered 27-19 on Oct 29, with neither team pulling away in either game. Two games is a thin sample, so the split says more about how tight this matchup plays than about who owns it. For a bettor, the takeaway is that recent meetings have stayed close, which matters most when weighing a larger spread at Lambeau.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
SITUATIONALBAL @ BUF
BAL is on a short week
Baltimore and Buffalo both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. Whatever the real spacing, it is identical for both sides, so the calendar gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
SITUATIONALLV @ NYJ
LV is on a short week
Las Vegas and the Jets both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
SITUATIONALCLE @ PIT
CLE is on a short week
Cleveland and Pittsburgh both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 6-27
SITUATIONALATL @ TB
ATL is on a short week
Atlanta and Tampa Bay both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 0-16
SITUATIONALLAC @ LAR
LAC is on a short week
The Chargers and Rams both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 9-24
SITUATIONALARI @ DAL
ARI is on a short week
Arizona and Dallas both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
HEAD-TO-HEADBAL @ BUF
BUF lead the series with BAL since 2025
Only two meetings, and they look nothing alike. Buffalo won a 41-40 shootout on Sep 7 last season, then crushed Baltimore 36-10 on Nov 1. Two games is too few to call this a mismatch, but Buffalo has won both at home.
P Edge side won; final 10-36
SITUATIONALKC @ DEN
KC is on a short week
Kansas City and Denver both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 24-28
SITUATIONALNE @ MIA
NE is on a short week
New England and Miami both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
SITUATIONALPHI @ WSH
PHI is on a short week
Philadelphia and Washington both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 10-27
SITUATIONALIND @ JAX
IND is on a short week
Indianapolis and Jacksonville both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 7-42
SITUATIONALCAR @ GB
CAR is on a short week
Both teams are on 4 days since their last game, so Carolina and Green Bay come in equally rushed. Short weeks usually mean lighter practices, banged-up players sitting and simpler game plans, which often makes for sloppier, lower-scoring games. Neither side has a rest edge here, so look at depth and injuries rather than the calendar to find a gap.
P Edge side won; final 19-27
SITUATIONALTEN @ CIN
TEN is on a short week
Tennessee and Cincinnati both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 36-43
SITUATIONALMIN @ DET
MIN is on a short week
Minnesota and Detroit both show 1 day since their last game, which no normal schedule produces. The spacing is identical for both sides, so rest gives neither team an edge here.
P Edge side won; final 15-19
SITUATIONALCHI @ SEA
CHI (5-2) at SEA (4-3)
Chicago is 5-2 at +37, and Seattle is 4-3 at +43, so the Seahawks have the slightly better margin despite the worse record. Seattle is 3-1 at home and Chicago is 2-1 on the road, both small samples. The Bears have won 2 straight to Seattle's 1. These teams look closer than one game in the standings, so the home split is the cleanest edge on the sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
HEAD-TO-HEADARI @ DAL
ARI lead the series with DAL since 2025
Arizona has won both trips to Dallas, 27-17 last season and 33-30 on Nov 1. The second game was much closer and higher scoring. Two games is a thin record, and the latest result points to a close game more than a repeat of the first.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Will Kacmarek
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Nolan Smith Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Byron Murphy II
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Travis Kelce
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Jack Sanborn
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Karene Reid
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Marvin Mims Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Malcolm Roach
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Jaylon Moore
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Pat Surtain II
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Drue Tranquill
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Tre' Harris
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Brenton Strange
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Tyler Warren
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Rigoberto Sanchez
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
CJ Allen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Sauce Gardner
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Akeem Davis-Gaither
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Ruke Orhorhoro
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Tim Smith
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
C.J. Henderson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
A.J. Terrell Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Baker Mayfield
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
A'Shawn Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Josiah Trotter
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Antoine Winfield Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Yaya Diaby
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Chris Godwin Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Za'Darius Smith
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Bucky Irving
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Kendal Daniels
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Elgton Jenkins
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Cameron Heyward
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Alex Highsmith
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
T.J. Watt
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Darnell Washington
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Jalen Ramsey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Mike Hall Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Grant Delpit
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Dylan Sampson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Quay Walker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Kwity Paye
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Braelon Allen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Demario Davis
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
DJ Glaze
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Harrison Phillips
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Folorunso Fatukasi
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Jahmyr Gibbs
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Tyleik Williams
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Alim McNeill
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Penei Sewell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Aidan Hutchinson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Jacob Saylors
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Joe Huber
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Aaron Jones Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
DJ Wonnum
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Brian O'Neill
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Budda Baker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Mack Wilson Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Elijah Wilkinson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Tyler Smith
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Caleb Downs
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Quinnen Williams
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Arnold Ebiketie
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Isaac Seumalo
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Josh Sweat
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Zaven Collins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Ja'Marr Chase
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Kyle Hamilton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Broderick Washington Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
John Simpson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
John Jenkins
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Trey Hendrickson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Roquan Smith
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Mark Andrews
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Alec Anderson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Bradley Chubb
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Matt Hibner
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Joe Andreessen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Ray Davis
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Ryan Fitzgerald
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Jalen Coker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Benjamin St-Juste
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-27
HEAD-TO-HEADBOS @ HOU
BOS and HOU split last season 1-1
Boston and Houston split two games last season, 1-1. Two games is too small to say much. Houston has Sheppard and Capela both questionable, which matters more than last season's split.
HEAD-TO-HEADNOP @ MEM
NOP and MEM split last season 2-2
New Orleans and Memphis split four games last season, 2-2. That says this matchup has been even, with no head to head edge. Lineup news and current form should decide your read.
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Bryce Young
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 19-27
SITUATIONALOKC @ CLE
Both sides on 2 days rest
Oklahoma City and Cleveland are both on two days of rest, so the schedule gives neither side an edge. Focus on Watson's hamstring and OKC's sweep last season.
SITUATIONALNOP @ MEM
Both sides on 2 days rest
New Orleans and Memphis both have two days of rest, so there is no schedule edge. Lineup news, including Post's ankle, matters more here.
SITUATIONALMIL @ MIN
Both sides on 2 days rest
Milwaukee and Minnesota are both on two days of rest, so there is no schedule edge. Minnesota's sweep last season and current form carry more weight.
SITUATIONALUTA @ SAS
Both sides on 2 days rest
Utah and San Antonio both have two days of rest, so there is no schedule edge. Current form should carry this one.
SITUATIONALTOR @ LAC
Both sides on a back-to-back (played yesterday)
Toronto and the Clippers both played yesterday, so both are on a back-to-back and neither has a rest edge. Both teams have players in doubt after Sunday, Poeltl and Derrick Jones Jr., so tired legs and thin rotations may affect the total.
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Kei'Trel Clark
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Quan Martin
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Zach Charbonnet
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Jadarian Price
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
DeMarcus Lawrence
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Brady Russell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Leonard Williams
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Tyrice Knight
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Drake Thomas
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Chazz Surratt
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Colston Loveland
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
T.J. Edwards
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Connor O'Toole
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ SEA
Quenton Nelson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-17
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Fabian Moreau
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Jayden Daniels
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Dallas Goedert
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Landon Dickerson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Marcus Mariota
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Carson Beck
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Brock Bowers
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Matt Goncalves
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Tyler Steen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
Ed Oliver
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ DAL
Drew Shelton
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Carson Schwesinger
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Desjuan Johnson
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Nick Bolton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Drew Kendall
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ BUF
T.J. Sanders
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-36
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Jaylen Wright
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Kevin Byard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Michael Taaffe
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Karon Prunty
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
DaQuan Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Malik Washington
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Drake Maye
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Malik Willis
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Dante Trader Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Channing Canada
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Dre'Mont Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Ben Brown
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ PIT
Jared Verse
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-27
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Creed Humphrey
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Kahlil Benson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NYJ
Ian Thomas
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 38-33
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Jared Wayne
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Rashee Rice
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ DEN
Patrick Mahomes
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-28
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ GB
Aaron Banks
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-27
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Gavin Bartholomew
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ TB
Cameron Thomas
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 0-16
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Morgan Moses
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Zack Baun
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ CIN
Tony Pollard
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 36-43
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ DET
Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 15-19
PRACTICE REPORTIND @ JAX
Montaric Brown
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-42
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Nate Landman
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Jonathan Greenard
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Ladd McConkey
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ LAR
Khalil Mack
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 9-24
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ MIA
Greg Dulcich
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-19
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Marcus Epps
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Michael Carter II
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Colson Yankoff
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Smael Mondon Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Stefon Diggs
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ WSH
Nick Allegretti
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-27

Graded results

Games

W
Chicago Bears +3.5 -120
NFL · 34-17
L
Atlanta Hawks -9.5 -118
NBA · 108-104
W
Detroit Pistons -5.5 -110
NBA · 124-91
L
Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 -104
NBA · 117-112
L
Chicago Bulls +10.5 -110
NBA · 107-126
W
Minnesota Timberwolves -9.5 -115
NBA · 100-112
W
Brooklyn Nets +14.5 -104
NBA · 90-103
L
Dallas Mavericks -8.5 -110
NBA · 115-100
W
Washington Wizards +3.5 -115
NBA · 103-94
W
Portland Trail Blazers +4.5 -115
NBA · 118-110
W
New Orleans Pelicans +5.5 -110
NBA · 135-134
L
Utah Jazz +16.5 -115
NBA · 97-119
W
Houston Rockets -5.5 -106
NBA · 93-109
L
Miami Heat +2.5 -120
NBA · 117-138
L
Golden State Warriors -3.5 -105
NBA · 113-116
W
Toronto Raptors -3.5 -122
NBA · 125-118

Props

W
Airious Bailey · over
Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs · Actual 6
W
Alperen Sengun · over
Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets · Actual 43
W
Andrew Wiggins · under
Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Lakers · Actual 7
W
Cade Cunningham · under
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets · Actual 7
L
Caleb Williams · under
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks · Actual 247
W
Cedric Coward · over
New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies · Actual 9
L
Cooper Flagg · over
Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks · Actual 17
W
Deni Avdija · over
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets · Actual 28
L
Domantas Sabonis · over
Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks · Actual 7
L
Dyson Daniels · over
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers · Actual 4
L
Evan Mobley · over
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers · Actual 16
L
Franz Wagner · over
Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic · Actual 6
W
Giannis Antetokounmpo · over
Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Lakers · Actual 12
L
Immanuel Quickley · over
Toronto Raptors @ LA Clippers · Actual 2
L
Jaden McDaniels · over
Milwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves · Actual 13
W
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · over
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks · Actual 118
W
Jayson Tatum · over
Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets · Actual 9
W
John Collins · under
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets · Actual 4
W
Josh Hart · under
Brooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks · Actual 21
W
Karl-Anthony Towns · over
Brooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks · Actual 16
W
Khaman Maluach · under
Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors · Actual 2
L
Lauri Markkanen · under
Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs · Actual 22
W
RJ Barrett · over
Toronto Raptors @ LA Clippers · Actual 26
W
Ryan Rollins · under
Milwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves · Actual 10
L
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · under
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers · Actual 43
W
Toumani Camara · over
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets · Actual 3
L
Ty Jerome · under
New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies · Actual 40
L
Tyrese Maxey · over
Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers · Actual 26
W
Wendell Carter Jr. · over
Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic · Actual 9
L
Yaxel Lendeborg · over
Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors · Actual 5