Sports picks for Thursday, September 24, 2026

SF: 10 points allowed per game to ARI's 22.5

San Francisco has allowed 10 points a game through two games, well below last season's 21.8, while Arizona has allowed 22.5, which is actually better than its 28.7 last season. The Niners' defense will probably give up more as the season goes on. Arizona's defense was the weaker one last season too. When San Francisco has the ball, expect points to come more easily than they do for Arizona.

SEA: 8.5 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5

Seattle has allowed 8.5 points a game through two games, about half of last season's 17.2, while Washington has given up 30.5, worse than its 26.5 from last season. Last season Seattle was already the stingier defense, so the direction makes sense, but two games exaggerate it. Washington's issues look closer to real, since they go back to last season. Seattle's offense could face little resistance, even after both numbers settle.

CAR: 35.5 points per game to CLE's 16.5

Carolina is scoring 35.5 points a game over two games, nearly double its 18.3 last season, while Cleveland's 16.5 matches its 16.4 from last year. Cleveland looks like the same offense, and Carolina looks like a hot two-game start. Expect the Panthers to cool toward something between the two numbers. The gap is real in the sense that Cleveland has not shown it can keep pace, but the market may be pricing Carolina's scoring too high.

GB: 21 points per game to ATL's 8

ATL is at 8 points per game over 2 games; GB is at 21 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ATL was at 20.8 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

CIN: 26.5 points per game to PIT's 11.5

Cincinnati is scoring a little above last season's 24.4 a game, while Pittsburgh has fallen off hard from 23.4 to 11.5 over two games. The Bengals look like themselves, and the Steelers' number is the one that looks off. Expect Pittsburgh to climb back some, especially at home. That leaves a smaller real gap than the headline shows, and that matters for how you think about spreads and totals in this game.

SF: 31 points per game to ARI's 16.5

San Francisco is scoring 31 a game over two games, up from 25.7 last season, while Arizona sits at 16.5, down from 20.9. The Niners were the better offense last season too, so the direction is real even if the size is inflated. Both numbers should drift toward last season's marks. At home, San Francisco controlling the scoreboard fits both this season's games and last season's.

GB: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 2.5

ATL is at 2.5 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; GB is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ATL was at 0.47 over 17 games and GB at 0.41 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

GB: 1.5 turnovers committed per game to ATL's 3.5

ATL is at 3.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; GB is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ATL was at 1.06 over 17 games and GB at 0.76 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

KC: 32 points per game to MIA's 13

Through two games, Kansas City has scored far more than Miami, and both teams are well off last season's pace: KC scored 21.3 a game then and Miami 20.4. Two games can swing a lot on a couple of short fields or one bad afternoon, so KC probably drifts down and Miami climbs a bit. If KC scores early at Miami, the Dolphins have to chase, and that is the part to think about. Ask how much of the gap you would bet on after two weeks, not after seventeen.

BUF: 38.5 points per game to LAC's 14

Buffalo is scoring 38.5 points a game and the Chargers 14, both over two games. Last season it was 28.3 for Buffalo and 21.6 for the Chargers, so the true gap is probably smaller than it looks right now. Buffalo scores enough to force opponents to chase. Price this game off last season's scoring more than the first two weeks, since both teams are likely to move back toward those numbers.

IND: 1 sacks taken per game to HOU's 3.5

HOU is at 3.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; IND is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 2.58 over 17 games and IND at 2.07 over 17 games.

NYJ: 15 points allowed per game to DET's 35.5

The Jets are allowing 15 points a game over two games after giving up 29.6 last season, and Detroit is allowing 35.5 after 24.3. Both teams have flipped hard from last year, which almost never holds at these extremes. The Jets' defense faces a Detroit team at home, and two good weeks do not erase a full season of 29.6. Lean on last season's numbers for both defenses more than the first two games.

CAR: 312.5 team passing yards per game to CLE's 204

Carolina has thrown for 312.5 yards a game through 2 games after averaging 179.3 last season. That is a huge jump and the biggest story here. Cleveland is at 204, up from 165.2. Two games can overstate a change like this, so expect Carolina to come down some, even if the offense has truly opened up. In Cleveland, watch whether the Browns' defense slows the passing game or Carolina's new style holds up on the road.

NYG: 32:03 time of possession per game to TEN's 22:25

The Giants have held the ball for most of their first two games, and Tennessee has barely had it. Last season the two were close, 30:58 for New York and 29:08 for Tennessee, so a lot of this gap is likely game script over two weeks. If New York controls the clock again, Tennessee gets fewer drives and fewer chances to score. Possession totals like these tend to drift back toward last season's numbers as the sample grows.

HOU: 285.5 team passing yards per game to IND's 179.5

Houston has thrown for 285.5 yards a game through 2 games, up from 218.1 last season. The Colts are at 179.5, down from 227.8. Both teams have swapped places from last season, and two games is a small base for that kind of flip. In Indianapolis, Houston's passing game has the edge on current form, but expect the Colts' passing to climb back toward last season's number.

KC: 271.5 team passing yards per game to MIA's 183.5

Kansas City has thrown for 271.5 yards a game through 2 games, up from 214.1 last season. Miami is at 183.5, close to last season's 180.5. Miami looks like the same team as last season, while KC is up across the board over a 2-game sample that should cool off. In Miami, the Chiefs have the more complete offense right now, and Miami's modest passing makes catching up hard if it falls behind.

KC: 24 first downs per game to MIA's 13

KC is at 24 first downs per game over 2 games; MIA is at 13 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 19.8 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.

CIN: 44.8% third-down conversion rate to PIT's 20%

Cincinnati converts 44.8% of third downs, right in line with its 43.4% last season. Pittsburgh is at 20% over two games after 40% last season, a drop small samples produce and rarely sustain. Bengals drives that stay alive wear a defense down, while Pittsburgh's short drives hand the ball right back. Expect the Steelers to climb back toward last season's rate, so price their offense on more than two games.

MIN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 0%

MIN is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; TB is at 0% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and TB at 44.8% over 17 games.

JAX: 75% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 33.3%

Jacksonville turns 75% of red-zone trips into touchdowns over two games; New England sits at 33.3%. Last season the gap was small, 61.8% to 57.1%, so most of this spread comes from a handful of trips. Red-zone rates swing hard early and tend to pull back toward the middle. If both regress, the Patriots finishing more drives would keep this closer than the percentages suggest.

IND: 83.3% red-zone scoring rate to HOU's 44.4%

Indianapolis has scored touchdowns on 83.3% of its red-zone trips through 2 games, up from 65.2% last season. Houston is at 44.4%, close to last season's 46.3%. Houston's red-zone trouble matches last season, so it looks real. The Colts' rate is high and should come down. Houston can move the ball, but settling for field goals keeps home underdogs or tight spreads alive.

CAR: 70% red-zone scoring rate to CLE's 20%

Carolina has scored touchdowns on 70% of its red-zone trips over 2 games, up from 53.3% last season. Cleveland is at 20%, after 52.6% last season. Red-zone rates swing wildly on a handful of trips, and both teams were near the same number last season, so both should move back toward it. Cleveland's 20% is the likelier to bounce back, which could keep this game closer than the scoring gap suggests.

SF: 6.85 yards per play to ARI's 4.35

ARI is at 4.35 yards per play over 2 games; SF is at 6.85 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ARI was at 5.18 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

BUF: 7.2 yards per play to LAC's 5.15

Buffalo is gaining 7.2 yards a play through 2 games, well above last season's 5.94. The Chargers are at 5.15, about where they were last season. Buffalo had 7 plays of 20-plus yards last game, including a 43-yard Josh Allen touchdown pass to Joshua Palmer and a 35-yard James Cook run. The Chargers had one, a 53-yard Herbert pass to Tre' Harris. Expect Buffalo's rate to come down some, but its explosive plays are coming from both the run and the pass.

MIN: 12.5 points allowed per game to TB's 28

Minnesota has allowed 12.5 points a game through two games, down from 19.6 last season, while Tampa Bay has allowed 28, up from 24.2. Minnesota was the better defense last season as well, so the direction fits, but the size of the gap is a two-game number. Both should drift toward last season's marks. For a total, Tampa Bay's defense looks like the one more likely to give up points.

CHI: 212.5 rushing yards per game to PHI's 112.5

Chicago has run for 212.5 yards a game through two games, well above its 144.5 last season, while Philadelphia sits near its usual 116.9. Two games can inflate a rushing total fast, so expect Chicago to come down toward last season's level. The Bears still ran more than the Eagles last season too, so this matchup looks like one where Chicago leans on the ground game and tries to shorten the game.

Brady Singer: 15.32 ERA over his last 3 starts

Singer has allowed 21 earned runs and 21 hits in 12.1 innings over his last 3 starts, so he is barely getting through four innings a turn. His 5.67 season ERA was already high, which makes this look like a weak starter having a worse stretch rather than a good one in a slump. Three starts is a short sample, and the ERA should come down from here. In Atlanta tonight, the spot to think about is an early exit and the Reds' bullpen covering a lot of innings.

P 3 IP, 5 ER, 1 K

CHI: 212.5 rush yards a game to PHI's 112.5

Chicago is running for 212.5 yards a game through two games, up from 144.5 last season, which was already a strong ground game. Philadelphia is at 112.5, close to its 116.9. The Bears' pace should come down somewhat, but they were a good running team to begin with. Philadelphia's defense has to slow that ground game on the road, or Chicago controls the game and the clock.

LV: 1 sacks taken a game to NO's 4

Las Vegas has taken one sack a game through two games after taking 4 a game last season. New Orleans is taking 4, up from 3.06. The Raiders' improvement is dramatic for two games and likely to slip. The Saints' protection has been worse than last season. In New Orleans, how the Saints' line holds up decides whether their offense stays on schedule or keeps facing long downs.

DAL: 68.2% on third down to BAL's 38.9%

Dallas is converting 68.2% of its third downs through two games, far above its 41.1% from last season. Baltimore is at 38.9%, close to its 40.9%. The Cowboys' rate is the kind of two-game number that almost always comes down. Baltimore's is who they are. Expect Dallas drives to stall more often than they have so far, and don't price this game as if the Cowboys will keep extending possessions at this rate.

MIN: 0.5 turnovers a game to TB's 2.5

Minnesota has turned it over 0.5 times a game through two games, well below its 1.76 from last season. Tampa Bay is at 2.5, far above its 0.94. Both numbers have flipped from last season, when the Bucs were the more careful team. Two games is too few to call that a real change, and both should drift back. Tampa Bay at home needs clean possessions, since extra giveaways are how a road team steals this game.

SF: 6.85 yards a snap to ARI's 4.35

The widest gap between these two is yards a snap: ARI averaged 4.35 yards a snap on offense over 2 games; SF averaged 6.85 yards a snap on offense over 2 games this season. Last season ARI was at 5.18 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

JAX: 0.5 turnovers a game to NE's 2.5

New England has turned it over 2.5 times a game through two games, far above its 0.94 from last season. Jacksonville is at 0.5, below its 1.06. The Patriots were one of the more careful teams last season, so this looks like a two-game spike and not who they are. On the road in Jacksonville, whether New England protects the ball decides whether this stays close.

SEA: 2 takeaways per game to WSH's 0

SEA is at 2 takeaways per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

SEA: 8.5 points allowed a game to WSH's 30.5

Seattle has allowed 8.5 points a game through two games, half of its 17.2 from last season. Washington has allowed 30.5, a bit above its 26.5. Seattle's number will almost certainly rise, since two games of that kind of defense rarely lasts. Washington's is closer to its norm. The gap on defense is real, but it's smaller than the two-game split makes it look.

LV: 2.5 takeaways per game to NO's 1

Las Vegas has forced 2.5 turnovers a game, and New Orleans has forced one. That's two games each, and takeaways are streaky, depending on tipped passes and fumble bounces more than on scheme. Expect the Raiders' rate to cool off. For this game, Las Vegas has an edge in creating short fields, but it's a thin one to lean on.

CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to PHI's 0

Chicago has forced 1.5 turnovers a game, and Philadelphia's defense hasn't forced one through two games. Zero takeaways over two weeks is mostly bad luck with bounces and tipped balls, and that tends to turn, so expect Philadelphia's number to climb. For this game, Chicago has the better recent turnover luck, but that's a weak base for any bet.

LV: 4 sacks recorded per game to NO's 2

Las Vegas is averaging four sacks a game, twice New Orleans's two. That comes from two games, and the opposing lines behind those totals aren't listed, so the schedule could be inflating it. Pass rush holds up more steadily than turnovers, so some of this edge is probably real. For this game, think about whether New Orleans can protect long enough for downfield throws or has to settle for quick passes.

MIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to TB's 1.5

Minnesota is getting home four times a game, while Tampa Bay has 1.5 sacks a game. That comes from two games each, and sack totals depend a lot on the offensive lines and quarterbacks a defense happened to face, which the sheet doesn't list. Pressure tends to hold up better than turnovers, so some of Minnesota's edge is probably real. A bettor can think about how Tampa Bay's quarterback handles a heavy rush, since that can stall drives and push his yardage down.

KC: 2 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0

KC is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; MIA is at 0 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

BUF: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to LAC's 1.5

Buffalo's defense has gotten to the quarterback 3.5 times a game, while the Chargers are at 1.5. That comes from 2 games, and the sheet doesn't say who those quarterbacks were, so some of the gap may come from the schedule. Sack rates swing a lot this early. For this game, the bigger question is whether the Chargers' line can hold up against Buffalo's pressure at home.

CIN: 44.8% on third down to PIT's 20%

Cincinnati is converting 44.8% of third downs, almost exactly its 43.4% from last season. Pittsburgh is at 20% through two games after converting 40% last season. The Bengals' number looks real. The Steelers' looks like a two-game slump that should improve. At home, Pittsburgh has to stay out of third-and-long to keep drives alive, and if it can't, Cincinnati gets far more possessions.

NYG: 32:03 of possession a game to TEN's 22:25

The Giants have held the ball 32:03 a game through two games, while Tennessee is at just 22:25. The Giants are close to their 30:58 from last season, but Tennessee has fallen well below its 29:08. Possession time mostly follows third-down success and game script, and two games of Titans trailing can drag it down fast. If Tennessee sustains drives, this evens out. If not, the Giants control the pace and the Titans' defense stays on the field.

CAR: 3 takeaways per game to CLE's 0.5

Carolina has forced 3 turnovers a game, and Cleveland has forced 0.5. Takeaways over 2 games are mostly bounces and opponent mistakes, and they are one of the least stable numbers in football, so expect both to level off. Don't price in extra Carolina takeaways. Count them as a nice early swing that probably won't repeat at this rate.

KC: 186 rush yards a game to MIA's 88

Kansas City is running for 186 yards a game through two games, a big jump from 106.6 last season. Miami is at 88, below its 120.2 from last season. Two games is a small sample, and Kansas City's jump is the more surprising move of the two. If the Chiefs can keep running the ball in Miami, they control the clock and keep the Dolphins' offense off the field. If Miami can make them throw, that edge goes away.

HOU: 285.5 pass yards a game to IND's 179.5

Houston is throwing for 285.5 yards a game through two games, up from 218.1 last season. Indianapolis has dropped to 179.5 from 227.8. Both moves are big for two games, and the Colts' drop is the one most likely to reverse, since they threw for more than Houston last season. Playing at home, Indianapolis needs its passing game back to keep pace, so the gap here is probably narrower than it looks right now.

NYJ: 15 points allowed a game to DET's 35.5

The Jets have allowed 15 points a game through two games after giving up 29.6 last season. Detroit has allowed 35.5, up from 24.3. Both swings are large for a two-game sample, and both defenses will likely drift back toward last season's numbers. For this game, that argues against assuming the Jets defense stays this stingy and Detroit's stays this leaky, which matters most for the total.

CAR: 312.5 pass yards a game to CLE's 204

Carolina is averaging 312.5 passing yards a game through two weeks, up from 179.3 last season. Cleveland is at 204, also ahead of its 165.2 from last season, so both passing games have started well above where they finished. A jump as big as Carolina's over two games usually comes back toward normal. A road game in Cleveland is a fair test of whether this is a real change, so be careful about pricing the Panthers' passing at its early-season peak.

BUF: 0 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.5

Buffalo hasn't turned the ball over in two games, while the Chargers are giving it away 2.5 times a game. Last season both teams were close to one a game, LAC at 1.24 and BUF at 1.12, so neither pace is likely to last. Turnovers often come down to a bounce or a tipped ball, and two games tell you little. The spot to watch is Chargers ball security on the road: every giveaway hands Buffalo a short field, and that is how a close game turns into a runaway.

GB: 244.5 pass yards a game to ATL's 123.5

Through two games, Green Bay has thrown for about twice as many yards as Atlanta, and most of that gap comes from Atlanta falling off. The Falcons threw for 207.2 a game last season, so 123.5 looks like a two-game slump more than their real level. Green Bay's 244.5 is only a bit above its 212.8 from last season. Expect Atlanta's passing to move back toward last season's number, so the real gap in this game is probably smaller than the headline suggests.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

MIN: 2 takeaways per game to TB's 0.5

MIN is at 2 takeaways per game over 2 games; TB is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Athletics 0-5 in Mason Barnett's last 5 starts

Oakland has lost every one of Barnett's last 5 starts. A team record on a pitcher's days also counts the lineup and the bullpen, so it says less about Barnett than the 0-5 suggests. Five games is a small sample, and runs like this usually end. With Houston in town, the thing to check is whether the A's price already assumes the losing continues.

NYJ: 131.5 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 310.5

The Jets have allowed 131.5 passing yards a game, and Detroit has allowed 310.5. That's a big split, but it's only 2 games, and without knowing the opponents, the Jets' number may reflect weak passing teams or opponents running the ball with a lead. Detroit's pass defense has been the leakier unit so far, and the Jets passing game has the better spot on paper.

NYJ: 4 yards per play allowed to DET's 6

The Jets allow 4 yards a play and Detroit allows 6, which is the cleanest single measure of which defense has played better. That's over 2 games, so opponent quality still matters, but a 2-yard gap per play is wide. Some of that should close. In this game, the yardage and efficiency edge sits with the Jets offense against a Detroit defense that has given up chunks.

NYJ: 23.8% third downs allowed to DET's 58.6%

NYJ is at 23.8% third downs allowed over 2 games; DET is at 58.6% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

KC: 4.45 yards per play allowed to MIA's 6.05

Kansas City allows 4.45 yards a play, and Miami allows 6.05. That's a clear gap over 2 games, but the sample is small and the opponents aren't on the sheet. Expect both numbers to drift toward the middle. The Chiefs offense has the easier matchup on a per-play basis, which matters for totals and yardage props.

KC: 29.2% third downs allowed to MIA's 50%

Kansas City has let opponents convert just 29.2% of third downs, and Miami is at 50%. Third-down rates over 2 games are built on a small number of snaps, so both numbers are likely to move toward normal. Miami getting off the field only half the time points to longer Chiefs drives if it holds for even one more week.

TEN: 43.3% third downs allowed to NYG's 65%

The Giants have let opponents convert 65% of third downs, and Tennessee is at 43.3%. Over 2 games that's a small set of snaps, and 65% is extreme enough that it should come down. Until it does, Tennessee drives have a decent chance of staying alive, which helps their time of possession and total play count.

PIT: 154.5 passing yards allowed per game to CIN's 253.5

Pittsburgh has allowed 154.5 passing yards a game, and Cincinnati has allowed 253.5. That's over 2 games, and it doesn't say whether Pittsburgh's opponents were run-first teams or passing offenses. Pittsburgh's pass defense has been tighter so far, while Cincinnati's secondary gives the Steelers passing game more room at home.

SEA: 124.5 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 224

Seattle has allowed only 124.5 passing yards a game, and Washington has allowed 224. That's over 2 games with no opponent detail, so schedule could be carrying part of Seattle's number. Seattle's pass defense has been the stingier unit so far. That tilts passing props toward the Seahawks side and away from Washington.

SEA: 3.65 yards per play allowed to WSH's 6.05

Seattle allows 3.65 yards a play, and Washington allows 6.05. A 2.4-yard gap is huge, even over 2 games, but that sample can hide a soft schedule, so expect some movement toward average. Right now Seattle's defense has been hard to move the ball on, and Washington's hasn't, which favors the Seahawks' side of the ball in efficiency.

SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to WSH's 52%

Seattle has let opponents convert 28.6% of third downs, and Washington has allowed 52%. That's over 2 games, a small pile of snaps, so both are likely to drift toward normal. For now, Seattle gets off the field and Washington doesn't, which points to more sustained Seattle drives in this game.

BAL: 44% third downs allowed to DAL's 68%

Opponents have converted 68% of third downs against Dallas, compared with 44% against Baltimore. That comes from two games, and third-down rates usually drift back toward the middle once more snaps pile up, so Dallas's number is likely to come down. Baltimore's figure is roughly average for now. For this game, Dallas giving up long drives means more time of possession for Baltimore, which matters if you're weighing the pace or the total.

Michael Penix Jr. (QB) is questionable for ATL

Penix carries a questionable tag for a knee issue, but the Falcons already named him their starter for Thursday in Green Bay. Questionable usually means a real chance a player sits, and here the team has told you he is playing. The tag matters less than it looks, though keep an eye on whether the knee limits how much he moves around.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

BAL: 83.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 173.5

Baltimore has allowed 83.5 rushing yards a game, and Dallas has given up 173.5, about double that. Both come from two games, and a run defense's numbers depend heavily on game script: teams trailing late stop running, while teams with a lead keep pounding. The sheet doesn't say who either side played, so part of this gap could be schedule. For this game, Baltimore's ground game against a Dallas front that has leaked yards is the matchup to look at first.

HOU: 85.5 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 177

Houston has held opponents to 85.5 rushing yards a game, and Indianapolis has allowed 177. That's over 2 games, with no word on opponents, so it could be schedule as much as talent. The Colts' number is high enough that it will likely come down. For now, Houston's run game has the friendlier matchup on the road.

NYJ: 65.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DET's 147

The Jets have allowed 65.5 rushing yards a game, and Detroit has allowed 147. It's 2 games, so opponents and game script weigh heavily. A team that was trailing would have stopped running. The Jets' run defense has held up in that small sample, and Detroit's has been easy to run on. That points to the Jets' ground game as the side to keep an eye on.

CLE: 131.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 224

Carolina has given up 224 rushing yards a game, and Cleveland has given up 131.5. That's a huge number, but it's only 2 games, and one runaway game or a heavy-run opponent can inflate it fast. It should come down some. If Cleveland leans on the run, the Browns have the matchup that has played best so far, which matters for game script and rushing props.

CLE: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 100%

CAR is at 100% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; CLE is at 50% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

SF: 20% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 62.5%

San Francisco has let opponents score touchdowns on 20% of red-zone trips, while Arizona has given them up on 62.5%. Both numbers come from two games, and red-zone rates swing hard on just a few snaps inside the 20. The sheet doesn't list who either defense faced, so you can't tell yet how much of SF's number is the unit and how much is the schedule. For this game, Arizona's drives that stall near the goal line are the spot to watch, since SF has kept those to field goals so far.

ATL: 67.5 penalty yards per game to GB's 115.5

ATL is at 67.5 penalty yards per game over 2 games; GB is at 115.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ATL was at 48.2 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Charlie Kolar (TE) is out for LAC

Jim Harbaugh said Kolar will miss Sunday's game in Buffalo with a forearm injury but should avoid injured reserve. That makes this a short absence. The Chargers will lean on their other tight ends this week, which can shift a few short targets around.

Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) is doubtful for LAC

Tomlinson has a hamstring injury, sat out practice Wednesday and is listed doubtful for Sunday in Buffalo. Doubtful players rarely play, so plan as if the Chargers are without a veteran defensive tackle. The interior of their defensive line gets thinner against the Bills, which matters most for how you view Buffalo's run game.

Mason Taylor (TE) is doubtful for NYJ

Taylor did not practice Thursday because of a thumb injury, and doubtful means he is unlikely to play at Detroit. A tight end with a bad thumb is hard to trust as a catcher even if he does suit up. The sheet does not say who takes his snaps, so any Jets tight end prop on him carries real risk of him not playing.

Tua Tagovailoa (QB) is questionable for ATL

Tagovailoa has an ankle injury, and on Monday he was estimated as limited, which means the team held a walk-through and guessed what he could have done in a real practice. Questionable means roughly a coin flip to play. The sheet does not name a backup, so check the final injury report before Thursday's game at Green Bay. If he sits or is limited, lean away from Atlanta passing props.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Alec Pierce (WR) is out for IND

Pierce is headed to injured reserve with a heel injury and has no timeline to return, so he is out for this week against Houston and several more. The Colts lose a receiver for the foreseeable future. Other wideouts will take on his routes and targets, so look at who moves up the depth chart when you size up Indianapolis passing numbers.

Andrei Iosivas (WR) is out for CIN

Iosivas tore a ligament in his thumb and is going on injured reserve, so he misses the trip to Pittsburgh and more. He is a depth receiver, so this changes the back end of Cincinnati's receiver rotation more than the headline names. Watch for who picks up his snaps if you look at Bengals receiver props.

Jayden Daniels (QB) is out for WSH

Daniels is out Sunday against Seattle with a left elbow injury, and he is still getting medical opinions with no firm return date. Losing the starting quarterback changes the whole Washington offense. A backup takes over against the Seahawks, and the open-ended timeline means this may not be a one-week problem.

Nick Cross (S) is out for WSH

Cross is out Sunday against Seattle with an internal injury, per Dan Quinn. Washington loses a safety from its secondary this week. Someone else steps into the back end of the defense, which is worth weighing if you like Seattle's passing game in this spot.

Sam Darnold (QB) is questionable for SEA

Darnold has a glute injury and said Thursday he feels good and is aiming to play Sunday at Washington. The Seahawks are still calling it day by day, so questionable here means a real chance he suits up with the call left open. His own optimism is the strongest signal on the sheet, and the team's caution is the thing to track before kickoff.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is out for SF

Robinson is ruled out after a high-ankle sprain in Sunday's 35-13 win over the Dolphins, and Kyle Shanahan put his recovery at 3-to-6 weeks. That timeline means Arizona is likely only the first game he misses, so this is a multi-week absence. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so check the Niners' depth chart before leaning on any backup receiver's number against Arizona.

James Thompson Jr. (DT) is doubtful for SF

Doubtful means James Thompson Jr. is very unlikely to suit up against Arizona. He hurt his ankle in Sunday's 35-13 win over Miami, and a high-ankle sprain usually costs more than a week. San Francisco's defensive line should plan to rotate without him, so price this game as if he is out.

Cobie Durant (CB) is out for DAL

Durant is out for Sunday's game against Baltimore in Brazil with a hamstring injury, reported Sep 25. Out means he will not play, so Dallas needs someone else at corner. The sheet does not say who replaces him or what his role has been. Safety Malik Hooker is also out, which leaves the Dallas secondary thinner against the Ravens passing game.

DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is out for DAL

Overshown is not making the trip to Brazil because of a hamstring injury, reported Sep 25, so he is out against the Ravens. Linebacker Overshown joins corner Cobie Durant and safety Malik Hooker on the list of Dallas defenders who will miss the game. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps. With three defenders out, Baltimore faces a Dallas defense that is short at every level.

Malik Hooker (S) is out for DAL

Hooker is already ruled out for Sunday in Brazil with a forearm injury, reported Sep 25. He will not play. Corner Cobie Durant is also out, so Dallas is missing two starters in the back end, and the sheet does not name the replacements. Bettors should factor a thinner Dallas secondary into how they view Baltimore's passing game in this spot.

P.J. Locke (S) is out for DAL

P.J. Locke is out for Baltimore after leaving Sunday's 37-20 win over Washington with a foot injury. Brian Schottenheimer said he could need a few weeks, so Dallas is likely to be thin at safety for more than this game. That matters most if Baltimore tests the back end deep.

Caleb Williams (QB) is doubtful for CHI

Williams has a hamstring injury and did not practice Thursday, and doubtful means he is unlikely to play against the Eagles. The usual fallback is thin too, since Tyson Bagent is also questionable with a concussion and also sat out Thursday. Anyone betting this game should wait to learn who actually takes the snaps for Chicago.

Tyson Bagent (QB) is questionable for CHI

Bagent is in the concussion protocol and did not practice Thursday. With Caleb Williams doubtful with a hamstring, Bagent's status matters more than a backup's usually would, because both Bears quarterbacks are in doubt for the Eagles game. Concussion cases depend on clearance steps, so this one can swing late in the week.

Dallas Goedert (TE) is doubtful for PHI

Doubtful means Goedert is unlikely to play against Chicago. He did not practice Thursday with a knee injury, and that report came out Sep 24. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so check the final inactive list before game time and assume Philadelphia's tight end work goes elsewhere.

IND: 8.5 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 28

HOU is at 28 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; IND is at 8.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 20.8 over 17 games and IND at 15.1 over 17 games.

KC: 72.5 offensive plays per game to MIA's 53

KC is at 72.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; MIA is at 53 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 62.4 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

LAR: 142.5 rush yards a game to DEN's 82.5

The Rams are running for 142.5 yards a game through two games, a bit above their 126.6 from last season. Denver is at 82.5, well below its 118.7. The Rams' number looks close to real. Denver's looks like a two-game dip that should recover some. At home, the Broncos need their run game back to avoid putting too much on their passing game, and the Rams' ability to run gives them the steadier way to win.

Aidan O'Connell (QB) is questionable for LV

Aidan O'Connell is listed as questionable for Las Vegas's game at New Orleans. The report gives no injury detail. Questionable means it could go either way, so check his status closer to kickoff.

DAL: 6.5 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 25.5

Baltimore is losing 25.5 yards a game to sacks through two games, up from 17.2 last season, while Dallas has cut its number to 6.5 from 16. Both moves come from two games, so each side should drift back toward last season. Baltimore's quarterback taking losses on the road is the thing to watch here, because negative plays hurt an offense most when it is already fighting crowd noise.

Reds 1-7 in Brady Singer's last 8 starts

The Reds have won 1 of Singer's last 8 starts. That record covers his outings, the run support and the late innings, and the sheet doesn't split the blame. Eight starts is a modest sample, so some of this can turn. On the road in Atlanta, the 1-7 run is a reason to ask whether the Reds are priced too short with him on the mound.

KC: 35:21 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:40

KC is at 35:21 time of possession per game over 2 games; MIA is at 27:40 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 30:09 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.

Angels 1-7 in Grayson Rodriguez's last 8 starts

The Angels are 1-7 in Rodriguez's last 8 starts and have dropped the last 5 in a row. That covers everything on his days: his pitching, the offense and the bullpen. Eight starts is a short stretch and could flip quickly. In Seattle tonight, the useful question is whether the Angels' price has already moved to reflect how these games have gone.

DET: 31 points per game to NYJ's 20

Detroit is scoring 31 a game over two games, close to its 28.3 last season, so the Lions look like the same high-scoring team. The Jets are at 20, up from 17.6. Detroit's number has a full season behind it and should hold. The Jets' bump is two games deep. In Detroit the Lions set the pace, and the question is whether New York can keep up in a game played at the Lions' tempo.

MIN: 29.6% third downs allowed to TB's 48.1%

MIN is at 29.6% third downs allowed over 2 games; TB is at 48.1% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

KC: 20 points allowed per game to MIA's 31

KC is at 20 points allowed per game over 2 games; MIA is at 31 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.

LeQuint Allen Jr. (RB) is questionable for JAX

Allen is questionable for Jacksonville's home game against New England with a hip injury after a limited practice Thursday. A limited session means he took part in some work, and questionable means his status for this game is uncertain. The sheet does not say how many touches he usually gets or who fills in. His final practice status and the game-day inactive list will settle his availability.

Jakobi Meyers (WR) is questionable for JAX

Meyers has a thumb injury and was limited Thursday, so he did some work but not all of it. For a receiver, a thumb matters because it affects catching the ball. Questionable with a limited practice usually leans toward playing, but his catch totals carry more risk than usual against New England.

Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

Evans missed Thursday's practice with a hip injury, which makes questionable look shakier than a coin flip for Sunday against Arizona. Whether he gets on the field Friday is the next sign. If he stays out, expect San Francisco's targets to spread to other receivers.

Aaron Jones Sr. (RB) is questionable for MIN

Jones was limited Thursday with a knee injury, so he got some work in before the trip to Tampa Bay. That leans toward him playing, possibly with fewer touches. His Friday practice status will say more about how much of Minnesota's backfield he can handle.

DeeJay Dallas (RB) is questionable for MIN

Dallas was limited Thursday with a toe injury, so his practice work was cut back. A toe can take away a running back's burst, and questionable leaves his status for Tampa Bay open. The sheet does not show his role in Minnesota's backfield, so keep his involvement low in any read on the Vikings' rushing.

Zay Flowers (WR) is questionable for BAL

Flowers has a hamstring injury and did not practice Thursday. Hamstrings can linger, and a missed session this late in the week makes questionable lean shaky for Baltimore at Dallas. If he sits, the Ravens passing game loses a main target, so wait on his status before betting that side of the offense.

Kendre Miller (RB) is questionable for NO

Miller missed Thursday's practice with an illness, which tends to clear faster than an injury. One missed day because he was sick often does not decide Sunday. Look at Friday's report: if he practices, questionable probably means he plays against Las Vegas.

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is questionable for NO

Etienne has a hamstring injury and was limited Thursday, which points more toward playing than sitting against the Raiders. Hamstrings can flare up, so even if he is active his workload could be managed.

Puka Nacua (WR) is questionable for LAR

Nacua did not practice Thursday because of a hip injury, a real concern for a questionable tag heading to Denver. A return to practice later in the week would ease it. Until then, props tied to him carry extra risk, and the Rams' passing targets could shift.

Jordan Whittington (WR) is questionable for LAR

Whittington did not practice Wednesday because of a quadriceps injury. That matters more this week because Puka Nacua is also trending toward missing the Broncos game, which leaves the Rams short at receiver. If Whittington gets back on the field by Friday, he could see extra snaps. If he doesn't, Los Angeles has even fewer healthy receivers.

CAR: 5 red-zone trips per game to CLE's 2.5

CAR is at 5 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; CLE is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 2.65 over 17 games and CLE at 2.24 over 17 games.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

Smith didn't practice Thursday due to a hamstring injury. Reported Sep 24.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Monangai (knee) was listed as a DNP on Thursday's practice estimate. Reported Sep 24.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley has a stinger and practiced on a limited basis Thursday, which is a better sign than sitting out entirely. Questionable with limited work often ends in playing, though his workload at Chicago could be managed. Check his final status before the game.

Nolan Arenado: 1.397 OPS in Last 15 Days

Arenado has a 1.397 OPS over 43 AB in the last 15 days, far above his .789 season mark. That is about two weeks of swings, so some pullback toward .789 is the likely direction. His 28 home runs say the power is real. At home against Arizona with a 1.5 total-bases line, the choice is whether to price him off the hot stretch or the season number, and the season number has far more at-bats behind it.

P 3-for-5, 6 TB

Marvin Mims Jr. (WR) is questionable for DEN

Mims has a foot injury and was limited again Thursday, so he has been practicing in some form all week without getting to full. Questionable here fits a player trending toward playing but not fully healthy. For the Rams at Denver, weigh that a foot issue can cap his snaps or burst even if he is active.

Kyle Tucker: 1.347 OPS in Last 15 Days

Tucker has a 1.347 OPS over 41 AB in the last 15 days against a .726 season mark, a 0.621 jump that is the biggest on this board. A jump that large off a modest baseline in 41 AB is the kind most likely to fade. He has 17 home runs. Against San Diego with a 1.5 total-bases line, two hot weeks alone are a thin reason to expect two bases.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

CAR: 6.7 yards per play to CLE's 5.25

Carolina is gaining 6.7 yards a play, far above its 4.92 last season, and a big share of that came from 5 plays of 20 or more yards in its last game, including Bryce Young's 55-yarder to Xavier Legette and two 20-plus catches by Tetairoa McMillan. Cleveland is at 5.25, up from 4.33, with Deshaun Watson's 55-yard touchdown to Denzel Boston doing much of the work. Both numbers lean on a handful of big plays over two games and are likely to cool. Carolina's version is more about stretching the field, so the Panthers' deep game against Cleveland's secondary is where this matchup will be decided.

Cooper Kupp (WR) is questionable for SEA

Kupp has a back injury and was limited Wednesday. He practiced in some form, which is the better side of questionable. Back injuries can tighten up late in the week, so his Friday status against Washington is the one to wait for.

George Holani (RB) is questionable for SEA

Holani practiced on a limited basis Wednesday with a knee injury. Price is also questionable with a shoulder, so Seattle's depth behind the lead back is thin going into Washington. If either misses the game, the other likely picks up more snaps.

RJ Harvey (RB) is questionable for DEN

Harvey was on the field for the part of Thursday's practice open to media. That doesn't tell us how much he actually did. Dobbins and Coleman are also questionable, so Denver's whole backfield is uncertain against the Rams. Wait for the official practice designations before betting any Broncos running back.

J.K. Dobbins (RB) is questionable for DEN

Dobbins was on the field for the media part of Thursday's practice with a hip injury. That's a small positive but doesn't show his workload. With Harvey and Coleman also questionable, Denver's carries against the Rams could be split among whoever is healthy. Hold off until final statuses are in.

Jonah Coleman (RB) is questionable for DEN

Coleman sat out Thursday's practice with an ankle injury, so his questionable tag leans toward uncertain against the Rams. Denver's running back work could get split if he is limited or out. Wait for the final status before relying on his carries.

ATL: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 85.7%

ATL is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; GB is at 85.7% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Tank Bigsby (RB) is questionable for PHI

Bigsby missed Thursday's practice with a hamstring injury, and hamstrings can linger. That makes his questionable tag for the Chicago game look uncertain. If he sits, Philadelphia's backfield touches shift to whoever is healthy.

Will Shipley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Shipley did not practice Thursday because of a foot injury, so his questionable tag against Chicago carries real doubt. Watch whether he returns to practice before the final report. If he is out, Philadelphia's running back depth gets thinner.

CHI: 5.9 yards per rush attempt to PHI's 4.1

Chicago is averaging 5.9 yards a carry through two games, up from 4.75 last season, while Philadelphia sits at 4.1, basically its 4.14 from last season. The Eagles' number looks steady, and Chicago's looks inflated by a short sample. The Bears were the better per-carry team last season too, so they have a decent chance to control this game on the ground at home, even if 5.9 comes down.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is questionable for ATL

Robinson has an ankle injury and was listed as limited in Monday's walk-through. That was an estimate from a light session, not a full practice. Questionable leaves his status for Thursday at Green Bay open, and a running back with a sore ankle can play and still get fewer carries. Wait for the final report before backing his rushing numbers.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Jaylin Lane (WR) is questionable for WSH

Lane returned six kickoffs for 120 yards and one punt for 14 yards in Sunday's 37-20 loss to the Cowboys. Reported Sep 23.

Nico Collins (WR) is questionable for HOU

Collins missed Thursday's practice with a hamstring injury, and hamstrings tend to linger for receivers who rely on speed. Questionable after a missed practice leans toward sitting or playing limited. Look for Friday's practice status before betting Houston's passing game at Indianapolis.

Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND

Dulin did not practice Thursday because of an ankle injury, so he is questionable against Houston. If he sits, the snaps go to the other receivers on Indy's depth chart. Check whether he practices Friday before betting anything tied to him.

Jaylen Wright (RB) is questionable for MIA

Wright is dealing with a foot injury and was limited Thursday, so he got some work in before the Chiefs game. Limited is a better sign than no practice at all, and it points toward him having a real shot to play. A foot issue can still cut into his carries even if he suits up, so his usage against Kansas City is the thing to confirm before leaning on him.

Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA

Douglas missed Thursday's practice with an ankle injury and is a real question mark for Kansas City. Missing a late-week practice is a bad sign for a questionable player. Friday's report should settle it, so wait on Miami receiver props until then.

Chris Bell (WR) is questionable for MIA

Bell has a knee injury and says he will be ready Sunday against the Chiefs. A player's own word is a positive sign, and questionable leaves room for the team to decide otherwise, so the final call before the game is the one to trust.

Ryan Miller (WR) is questionable for MIA

Miller has a hip injury and did not practice Thursday ahead of the Chiefs game. A questionable tag with no practice that day is a shaky spot, and any work later in the week would be his first sign of trending toward playing. If he sits, Miami's other receivers absorb his targets.

Tony Pollard (RB) is questionable for TEN

Pollard was limited Thursday with an ankle injury, and limited is a better sign than not practicing at all. Questionable players who practice late in the week usually suit up, though his carries at New York could be managed. Look at his Friday status before betting his rushing total.

Tyjae Spears (RB) is questionable for TEN

Spears has an ankle injury and was not seen during the open part of Thursday's practice, a poor sign for Sunday at the Giants. If he misses, the Titans backfield work shifts elsewhere, so check his Friday practice status before betting anything around the Tennessee running game.

Malik Nabers (WR) is questionable for NYG

Nabers hurt his right shoulder and said Thursday the X-rays came back with good results, which rules out the worst outcomes like a fracture. He is questionable for the Titans game, and the clean imaging makes playing more likely than not. The fact sheet does not say whether he practiced, so Friday's participation is the next thing to check before leaning on his receiving numbers.

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is questionable for PIT

Pittman was limited Thursday with a foot injury, so he practiced in some form going into the Cincinnati game. That leans toward him playing, though foot injuries can cap how much a receiver runs. Friday's practice report is the key signal for his receiving props.

Rico Dowdle (RB) is questionable for PIT

Dowdle did not practice Thursday because of a toe injury, which is the worst sign on the Pittsburgh list. If he sits, the carries against Cincinnati go to the other Steelers backs. Hold off on Pittsburgh rushing props until his Friday status is known.

Jaylen Warren (RB) is questionable for PIT

Warren has a shoulder injury and was limited Thursday, while Rico Dowdle sat out with a toe injury. With both Steelers backs banged up for the Bengals game, the split of carries could look different than usual. Warren practicing gives him the better chance of the two to play.

Jadarian Price (RB) is questionable for SEA

Price is limited with a chest injury but did practice Thursday before the trip to Washington. A limited session puts him in better shape than a player sitting out entirely, though a questionable tag still leaves real doubt. If he plays at less than full health, Seattle may lean more on its other backs, so his workload is the thing to watch before kickoff.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

Thompson has a quadriceps injury and did not practice Thursday ahead of the trip to Buffalo. Questionable means a real chance he sits, and missing Thursday entirely leans him toward the wrong side of that line. If he has any practice later in the week, that helps; if he doesn't, expect the Chargers to spread his snaps among the other receivers.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Moore did not practice Thursday because of a shoulder injury. A questionable tag usually means close to a coin flip, and a missed Thursday session makes it look worse. Friday's practice report is the next real clue. Until then, props on Moore or other Buffalo receivers against the Chargers carry extra risk.

Cooper Rush (QB) is inactive for ATL

Rush is inactive for Thursday's game at Green Bay as a coach's decision, which means the team chose to sit him and no injury is listed. He will not play in this one, and nothing on the sheet points to a change in Atlanta's plan at quarterback.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Jack Strand (QB) is inactive for ATL

Strand is inactive for Thursday's game against the Packers as a coach's decision, with no injury listed. He will not suit up, so this is a depth move and does not signal a change for Atlanta's starter.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Keon Coleman (WR) is questionable for BUF

Keon Coleman is dealing with an ankle injury and was not spotted at the start of Thursday's practice. Questionable means his status is unsettled, and sitting out Thursday makes Sunday less likely. Moore was also missing from the same session, so Buffalo's receiver room could be thin against the Chargers. Wait for Friday's practice report before trusting any Bills receiver number.

Jalen Coker (WR) is questionable for CAR

Coker has an ankle injury and did not practice Thursday, which is a worse sign than a limited session this late in the week. Questionable means he has a real chance to miss the trip to Cleveland, and a Thursday DNP usually pushes the odds toward sitting. Watch Friday's report: another missed practice makes him a likely scratch, and Carolina's other receivers would absorb his targets.

Xavier Legette (WR) is questionable for CAR

Legette has a knee injury and did not practice Thursday, which makes questionable a shaky tag for Sunday at Cleveland. If he cannot go, the Carolina receiver snaps get redistributed, so his practice status on Friday is the thing to check.

Kene Nwangwu (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Nwangwu has a back injury and did not practice at all Thursday, which is a worse sign than a limited session this late in the week. Questionable means it could go either way, and a missed Thursday tilts it toward sitting unless he returns Friday. Watch the Friday report before the Jets visit Detroit, and expect the other backs to absorb his touches if he is out.

Adonai Mitchell (WR) is questionable for NYJ

Mitchell has a finger injury and was limited Thursday, and for a receiver a limited session usually points toward playing at Detroit. Finger injuries can affect catching, so how he is used matters as much as whether he is active.

LAR: 6.55 yards per play to DEN's 5.15

The Rams are gaining 6.55 yards a play, a bit above their 6.15 last season, while Denver is at 5.15 against 5.32 last season. Both are close to where they finished a year ago, so this gap has a full season behind it and should mostly hold. The Rams' offense moves the ball more efficiently, and Denver needs to win with its defense and the altitude to close that gap.

HOU: 75.5 offensive plays per game to IND's 58

HOU is at 75.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; IND is at 58 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 64 over 17 games and IND at 59.9 over 17 games.

HOU games have gone UNDER 10 straight

Over those 10 games, Houston and its opponents combined for 7.8 runs a night, and the lines averaged 9. Tonight's total at Oakland is 10.5, higher than any line during the streak, so the market has moved well past what these games have produced. To go over, this game needs about three more runs than Houston's recent average. So ask whether 10.5 reflects this matchup or overcorrects for a long run of unders.

P final total 12 vs 10.5

LV: 13.5 points allowed per game to NO's 24

LV is at 13.5 points allowed per game over 2 games; NO is at 24 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.

NE: 4.7 yards per play allowed to JAX's 6.1

New England has allowed 4.7 yards a play, and Jacksonville has allowed 6.1. Yards per play is one of the steadier defensive numbers even over two games, though the sheet doesn't show whether New England faced weak offenses. Some of the gap should hold up. For this game, New England's defense has done a better job limiting chunk gains, which makes long Jacksonville drives harder to put together.

HOU: 252.5 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 337.5

Indianapolis has given up 337.5 passing yards a game, compared with Houston's 252.5. That comes from two games, and passing yards allowed go up when opponents have to throw to catch up, so game script can inflate it. The sheet doesn't list who either team faced. For this game, Houston's passing attack against an Indy secondary that has given up plenty of yards is the matchup to look at, especially for passing yardage props.

BAL: 6.75 yards per play to DAL's 5.4

Baltimore is gaining 6.75 yards a play, up from 5.92 last season, while Dallas has slipped to 5.4 from 5.96. The two teams were nearly even last season, so most of this gap comes from two games and should narrow. Baltimore is the hotter offense right now, and Dallas at home should play closer to its full-season self than the early number shows.

SEA: 7.65 yards per pass attempt to WSH's 5.3

Seattle averages 7.65 yards per pass attempt, near its 8.01 last season, so the Seahawks' passing game looks like the same unit. Washington has fallen to 5.3 from 6.41, a steep drop over two games that has room to bounce back. For now Seattle has the more dangerous passing attack, and the Commanders need their home passing game to snap back toward last season's level to keep pace.

PHI: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 50%

Philadelphia has converted every fourth down through two games and Chicago is at 50%, after the two finished last season almost level at 52.4% and 51.7%. Two games of fourth downs is too few attempts to separate these teams. Last season's near-even rates are the better guide for how a short-yardage call plays out in this game.

TEN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NYG's 50%

Tennessee has converted every fourth down through two games, compared with 45.7% last season, and the Giants are at 50% against 46.2%. Perfect on fourth down over two games comes from a handful of tries and will not last. Both teams were right around the same rate last season, so this gap says little about who wins a key fourth-down call on Sunday.

NYJ: 38:13 time of possession per game to DET's 31:33

NYJ is at 38:13 time of possession per game over 2 games; DET is at 31:33 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 28:15 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.

Alec Burleson (bats L) hits 3rd against Paul Skenes (RHP)

Burleson has a .927 OPS against righties over 401 at-bats and .549 against lefties, so the split is real. Skenes is a right-hander, which puts Burleson on his good side in the 3rd spot. Skenes can shut down any split, so this is Burleson's best setup against a tough arm, and props on him still need a fair price.

P 1-for-4, 4 TB

ATL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to GB's 0%

ATL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; GB is at 0% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ATL was at 50% over 17 games and GB at 56% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Andrei Iosivas

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

Nick Cross

Undisclosed · Did not practice · Out

Demarcus Robinson

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Tanner Gordon owns a 8.20 ERA at Coors Field and 3.25 everywhere else

Hitters bat .342 off Gordon at Coors Field, and his ERA there is 8.20 against 3.25 everywhere else. The Coors number covers 56.0 innings in 12 games, enough to call it a pattern. Nothing on the sheet suggests that split closes tonight. Against Arizona, the Coors version of Gordon is the one to price, which puts the D-backs' bats in a good spot.

P 3.1 IP, 10 ER, 1 K

Cobie Durant

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Mookie Betts: 1.212 OPS in Last 15 Days

Betts has a 1.212 OPS over 46 AB in the last 15 days, 0.432 above his .780 season baseline. About two weeks of hitting this far over his norm usually drifts back. His 22 home runs give him a real power floor. Against San Diego with a 1.5 total-bases line, the .780 season mark is the steadier guide than the recent surge.

P 3-for-4, 4 TB, 1 BB

DeMarvion Overshown

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Malik Hooker

Forearm · Did not practice · Out

P.J. Locke

Foot · Did not practice · Out

Warren Brinson

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Daniel Bellinger (TE) is questionable for TEN

Bellinger is questionable for Tennessee's trip to the Giants after missing practice Thursday with an illness. Illnesses can clear up fast, but a missed practice leaves his status for Sunday in doubt. The sheet does not describe his role at tight end or name a backup. Hold off on any Titans tight end angle until his status is settled.

Chig Okonkwo (TE) is questionable for WSH

Okonkwo (hamstring) remained sidelined at practice Thursday, Tashan Reed of the Washington Post reports. Reported Sep 24.

Eli Raridon (TE) is questionable for NE

Raridon has a thigh injury and did not practice Thursday. A missed session this late makes questionable lean toward a game-time call or an absence for New England at Jacksonville. Friday's practice status is the thing to check before building anything around the Patriots' tight end snaps.

Brock Bowers (TE) is questionable for LV

Bowers was limited Thursday with a knee injury, so he got some practice work before the game at New Orleans. Questionable players who practice late in the week usually play, but his snap count may be lower. Check Friday's report before betting his receiving props.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is questionable for LAR

Ferguson was limited at Wednesday's walkthrough due to an ankle injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 23.

Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR

Parkinson didn't participate in Wednesday's walkthrough due to a knee injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 23.

BAL @ DAL carries a 52.5 market total

The current fanduel total is 52.5, 9 points above the 43.5 median across 16 games with posted totals on this slate.

Diamondbacks are 8-4 vs Rockies this season

Arizona is 8-4 against Colorado and won the last meeting 5-3, so the edge has held late in the series. Twelve games is a fair sample, though the sheet doesn't show the pitchers or how the wins split between parks. Tonight is at Coors, and Gordon's rough numbers there matter more than the series count.

Royals 2-6 in Randy Dobnak's last 8 starts

Kansas City has won 2 of Dobnak's last 8 starts. The record includes the lineup and bullpen as well as his pitching, and 8 starts is a small sample. Hosting the White Sox tonight, the 2-6 mark is a reason for caution about backing the Royals at a short price behind him.

Cubs 2-6 in Matthew Boyd's last 8 starts

The Cubs have won 2 of Boyd's last 8 starts. Run support and the bullpen shape a team record like this as much as the starter, and 8 starts can swing back fast. Boyd also has a much worse ERA at Wrigley than on the road. Hosting Miami, ask whether the Cubs' home price accounts for how their games behind him have gone.

Red Sox 6-2 in Ranger Suarez's last 8 starts

Boston has won 6 of Suarez's last 8 starts, including the last 3. The lineup and bullpen are doing their part along with him. Eight starts is a short sample, and a run like this tends to make the Red Sox expensive. Against Cleveland, the 6-2 run supports Boston, and the price decides whether that support is worth paying for.

Dodgers are 8-4 vs Padres this season

Los Angeles has won 8 of 12 against San Diego, but the Padres took the last meeting 5-1. The sheet doesn't show who started or where those games were played, so the record can't tell you much about tonight at Dodger Stadium. In a series this close, the probable starters carry more weight than the head-to-head count.

Nick Muse (TE) is questionable for ATL

Muse has a shoulder injury and was estimated as limited on Monday, so it was a guess from a light session. He is questionable for Thursday at Green Bay. The sheet does not show how much Atlanta uses him, so this matters most to anyone betting on Falcons tight ends.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

White Sox are 8-4 vs Royals this season

Chicago has won 8 of 12 against Kansas City, but the Royals took the last meeting 5-4 and tonight is in KC. The sheet doesn't say who pitched those games or where, so the record doesn't explain itself. A one-run game says little about a shift. Keep the series edge as background and price tonight on the starters and current form.

Aaron Banks

Knee, Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Charlie Kolar

Forearm · Did not practice · Out

Alec Pierce

Heel · Did not practice · Out

Jayden Reed

Neck · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Jayden Daniels

Elbow · Did not practice · Out

Jackson Merrill: 1.106 OPS in Last 15 Days

Merrill's run covers 55 AB, the biggest sample in this group, and sits 0.361 above his .745 season OPS. His 26 home runs show steady pop all year, so a longer run like this is more believable, though his season number still anchors him. His total-bases line in SD @ LAD is 0.5, which makes it a question about contact more than power.

P 1-for-4, 2 TB

Zach Bako-Bewele

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Ezequiel Duran: .350 OPS in Last 15 Days

Duran has a .350 OPS over 48 AB in the last 15 days against .752 for the season, a 0.402 drop. That is a real slide, but a few hits in 48 AB would close much of it, and the season mark is the better guide. In Mets at Texas, check whether his prop prices lean on the slump more than his full-season numbers.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB

CIN: 5.05 yards per play to PIT's 3.8

Cincinnati moves the ball in bigger chunks. Burrow had 4 completions of 20+ yards last game, including the 32-yard touchdown to Chase and two 23-yarders to Higgins, while Rodgers managed one, a 26-yarder to Warren. Pittsburgh's 3.8 over 2 games sits far below its 5.22 last season, when these offenses were nearly even, so expect it to climb. Bettors should ask whether Pittsburgh's defense can take away Cincinnati's deep throws, because Pittsburgh's own offense has shown little so far.

Jakob Marsee: 1.151 OPS in Last 15 Days

Marsee has a 1.151 OPS over 43 AB in the last 15 days against a .707 season mark. That is a big jump off a modest baseline in about two weeks of at-bats, so expect him to settle back toward .707. He has 11 home runs. With a 1.5 total-bases line against the Cubs, he likely needs an extra-base hit or two hits, and the season profile makes that a tougher ask than the recent run suggests.

P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB

KC: 80% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 33.3%

KC is at 80% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; MIA is at 33.3% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 75% over 17 games and MIA at 47.8% over 17 games.

SF: 0 sacks taken per game to ARI's 1.5

ARI is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; SF is at 0 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ARI was at 3.69 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.

HOU: 28 points allowed per game to IND's 37

HOU is at 28 points allowed per game over 2 games; IND is at 37 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 17.4 over 17 games and IND at 24.2 over 17 games.

JAX: 1.5 sacks taken per game to NE's 3

NE is at 3 sacks taken per game over 2 games; JAX is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NE was at 3 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.

BAL: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1

BAL is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; DAL is at 1 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

HOU: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to IND's 2

Houston is averaging 3.5 sacks a game, while Indianapolis has two. That comes from two games, so it tells you about the opposing lines as much as the rushers. Pressure numbers usually hold up better than turnovers, so some of Houston's edge is likely real. For this game, Indy's protection against the Houston rush affects how many drives turn into points.

GB: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 2

Green Bay is averaging 3.5 sacks a game, and Atlanta is at two. That comes from two games, and sack totals depend on which offensive lines each defense faced, which the sheet doesn't show. Pass rush holds up better than most early-season stats, so Green Bay probably has a real edge. For this game, pressure on Atlanta's quarterback can stall drives, which is worth weighing on his passing props.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

ATL games have gone UNDER 5 straight

Atlanta's last five games averaged 6.4 combined runs, and the lines averaged 8.1. Five games is short, and one bad bullpen night ends it. Tonight's total is 7.5, so books have trimmed some of that gap, and Cincinnati brings its own under run into the game. The lower line still sits above what Atlanta's games have been producing.

P final total 13 vs 7.5

LAD have won 5 straight

The Dodgers have a +27 run differential over the five wins, so they are winning comfortably, and they are 7-3 over their last 10. Five games is a short window, and a margin that wide rarely holds. Against San Diego, price them on the 7-3 form more than the five-game margin.

P team lost 4-2

PHI: 166 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 240

Philadelphia has allowed 166 passing yards a game and Chicago has allowed 240, both over 2 games. Two games is a small sample, and the sheet doesn't say which quarterbacks they faced or whether those offences were chasing points late, so some of this gap could come from the schedule. Early on, Chicago's secondary looks like the one that can be thrown on, which makes the Eagles' passing game the side to look at first.

PHI: 5.05 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.25

Chicago has allowed 6.25 yards every time an offence snaps the ball, while Philadelphia has allowed 5.05, both over 2 games. Yards per play is steadier than yardage totals because it doesn't care how many snaps a defence faced, but two games can still swing on one or two big plays. If Chicago keeps giving up chunk gains at home, the Eagles should be able to move the ball.

CIN: 74.5 rushing yards allowed per game to PIT's 128

Cincinnati has held opponents to 74.5 rushing yards a game, and Pittsburgh has allowed 128. That comes from two games, and run numbers bend with game script, since teams that fall behind stop running. The sheet doesn't show who either team faced, so part of this could be schedule. For this game, Cincinnati looks better placed to make an opponent one-dimensional, which is the angle to use with rushing props.

Elijah Molden (CB) is questionable for LAC

Molden did not practice Wednesday because of a hamstring injury, which makes him the least likely to play of anyone who is limited. If the Chargers' corner misses the Bills game, a backup takes his snaps in coverage. Watch whether he returns to practice before Friday.

Kayode Awosika (G) is doubtful for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as doubtful on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Tyson Campbell (CB) is questionable for CLE

Campbell was limited Wednesday while dealing with both an ankle and a hip injury. Two separate injuries make this murkier than a single issue would. If he misses the Panthers game or plays at less than full speed, Cleveland's cornerback depth gets tested, and that matters for Carolina's receivers.

Joseph Ossai (DE) is questionable for NYJ

Ossai was limited Wednesday with a foot injury, so he was on the field in part. Questionable leaves his status open for the Jets' game in Detroit. If he sits or is limited on game day, New York loses some of its edge rush depth, so check his final practice status.

Jadeveon Clowney (DE) is questionable for HOU

Clowney (knee) did not participate in practice Thursday. Reported Sep 25.

Jawaan Taylor (OT) is questionable for ATL

Taylor (ribs) was listed as limited on the Falcons' estimated injury report Monday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 22.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Charvarius Ward (CB) is questionable for IND

Ward did not practice Wednesday because of a groin injury. If the Colts' corner can't go against Houston, a backup covers his assignments, and that gives the Texans' receivers an easier matchup to target. Whether he practices before Friday is the first real signal.

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

Beal did not practice Wednesday with a hamstring injury, per the Sep 24 report. Questionable means a real chance Beal sits against Kansas City, and a Wednesday DNP with a hamstring is the less hopeful version of that tag. Thursday and Friday practice reports will tell you more than this one does, so wait on anything that leans on Miami's edge rush until then.

Cor'Dale Flott (CB) is questionable for TEN

Flott was limited in Wednesday's practice with a quadriceps injury. A limited session early in the week is a decent sign, and questionable players who practice in some form often suit up. If he plays at New York, he may not be at full speed, which is worth keeping in mind for the Giants' passing game.

Deonte Banks (CB) is questionable for NYG

Banks was listed as limited for the Giants' Wednesday walkthrough with a calf injury, and that is an estimate since the team did not hold a full practice. Estimated reports say little about what Banks can actually do on the field. With Tennessee's Flott also questionable at corner, both secondaries in this game carry some uncertainty until later-week reports come out.

Andrew Thomas (OT) is questionable for NYG

Thomas (groin) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants officially placed Dart (knee) on injured reserve Thursday, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 24.

Joey Porter Jr. (CB) is questionable for PIT

Porter was limited Wednesday with an undisclosed injury, per the Sep 23 report. Limited is a better sign than sitting out, and questionable leaves it open. The bigger story for Pittsburgh is that Jamel Dean also carries a questionable tag at corner, so Cincinnati's passing game could face a thinner secondary if either one sits.

Jamel Dean (CB) is questionable for PIT

Dean did not practice Wednesday with an ankle injury, per the Sep 23 report. A Wednesday DNP makes questionable lean closer to a true coin flip. Joey Porter Jr. is also questionable for Pittsburgh at corner, so if both are limited or out against Cincinnati, the Bengals' receivers get an easier matchup than usual.

Dre'Mont Jones (DE) is questionable for NE

Jones has a shoulder injury and did not practice Thursday. Questionable with a missed Thursday session puts his availability for New England at Jacksonville in real doubt. If he sits, the Patriots' pass rush loses a body up front, which matters for how much time the Jaguars quarterback gets.

Garrett Williams (CB) is questionable for ARI

Williams was limited Wednesday with an Achilles injury, per the Sep 24 report. Any Achilles listing deserves caution even with limited practice work. Arizona also has Max Melton questionable at corner, so the Cardinals' secondary heading to San Francisco could be short if either one misses.

Max Melton (CB) is questionable for ARI

Melton did not practice Wednesday with a toe injury, per the Sep 24 report. A Wednesday DNP puts questionable on shakier ground. Paired with Garrett Williams also questionable at corner, Arizona's pass defense at San Francisco is worth rechecking once Friday's report lands.

Romello Height (DE) is questionable for SF

Height was scheduled for hand surgery Tuesday, and he carries a questionable tag for Arizona. Defensive linemen sometimes play through hand injuries with a club or wrap, so surgery does not automatically rule him out. His status should get clearer as the week goes on.

Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (DE) is questionable for MIN

Ingram-Dawkins hurt his hip in Week 2 at Chicago, and coach Kevin O'Connell called him day-to-day on Monday. Day-to-day is the mild end of the scale, so this reads as a real chance to play at Tampa Bay. The later-week practice reports will settle it.

Ronnie Stanley (OT) is questionable for BAL

Stanley did not practice Wednesday with a toe injury, per the Sep 24 report. As an offensive tackle, Stanley protects Baltimore's passer, and a missed game would force a line shuffle for the trip to Dallas. A Wednesday DNP is often rest or caution for a veteran lineman, so the Friday designation matters most here.

Darien Porter (CB) is questionable for LV

Porter was limited Wednesday with a foot injury, per the Sep 24 report. Limited work early in the week tends to point toward playing, with questionable keeping the door open. Check whether Porter moves to full practice before counting on the Raiders' corner group at full strength in New Orleans.

Chase Young (DE) is questionable for NO

Young was limited Wednesday with a calf injury, per the Sep 24 report. As a defensive end, Young is part of how New Orleans gets pressure, and limited practice suggests a decent chance to play against Las Vegas. Calf injuries can linger, so a full practice by Friday would be the reassuring sign.

Martin Emerson Jr. (CB) is questionable for NO

Coach Kellen Moore said Monday that Emerson is "day-to-day" after injuring his shoulder in Week 2 at Baltimore, Ross Jackson of WWL Louisiana reports. Reported Sep 22.

Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CB) is questionable for CHI

Stevenson (hamstring) did not participate in Thursday's practice. Reported Sep 25.

CAR: 43.5% third-down conversion rate to CLE's 28.6%

CAR is at 43.5% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; CLE is at 28.6% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 36.1% over 17 games and CLE at 33.6% over 17 games.

WSH: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to SEA's 42.9%

SEA is at 42.9% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; WSH is at 66.7% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 54.2% over 17 games and WSH at 65.2% over 17 games.

NYJ: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 90%

NYJ is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; DET is at 90% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) is questionable for ATL

Bowman (Achilles) is officially listed as questionable for Thursday's game at Green Bay, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

LAR: 0.5 sacks taken per game to DEN's 2

LAR is at 0.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; DEN is at 2 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 1.77 over 17 games and DEN at 1.77 over 17 games.

DAL: 1 sacks taken per game to BAL's 2.5

BAL is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; DAL is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and DAL at 2.38 over 17 games.

KC: 6.3 yards per play to MIA's 5.15

Kansas City is hitting deep again: Mahomes had 5 completions of 20+ yards last game, led by 45 to Thornton and two 30-plus throws to Rice. Its 6.3 over 2 games is well above last season's 5.05, so some of that should cool off. Miami's 5.15 is near its 5.4 from last season, though one 77-yard Willis touchdown to Miller props up a thin sample. This sets up a game decided by explosive plays, so a big play or two can make or break an over.

Jordan Walker: .330 OPS in Last 15 Days

Walker has a .330 OPS over just 37 AB in the last 15 days against .802 for the season, a 0.472 drop and the biggest in this group. It also comes from the smallest sample, and 37 at-bats can swing hard. Expect a drift back toward his season level. In Cardinals at Pittsburgh, check whether his lines have been marked down on the slump alone.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB

NE: 0% red-zone scoring allowed to JAX's 28.6%

New England hasn't allowed a single red-zone score in 2 games, and Jacksonville has allowed one on 28.6% of trips. Both numbers are very low and come from only a few trips, so neither defence will stay near this pace. When two defences have been this stingy near the goal line, field goals are more likely than usual, which matters if you're thinking about the total or touchdown props.

TEN: 71.4% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 100%

TEN is at 71.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; NYG is at 100% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

KC: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 88.9%

KC is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; MIA is at 88.9% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

BAL: 8.65 yards per pass attempt to DAL's 6.6

BAL is at 8.65 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; DAL is at 6.6 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 6.69 over 17 games and DAL at 7 over 17 games.

CIN: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to PIT's 1.5

CIN is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; PIT is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and PIT at 0.88 over 17 games.

CIN: 0 fumbles lost per game to PIT's 1

CIN is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; PIT is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 0.41 over 17 games and PIT at 0.35 over 17 games.

PHI: 0 fumbles lost per game to CHI's 1

PHI is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; CHI is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season PHI was at 0.47 over 17 games and CHI at 0.24 over 17 games.

CAR: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 2.95

CAR is at 4.4 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; CLE is at 2.95 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 4.16 over 17 games and CLE at 3.9 over 17 games.

Andrew Mukuba (S) is questionable for PHI

Mukuba (knee) was limited in practice Thursday. Reported Sep 24.

Jauan Jennings (WR) is questionable for MIN

Minnesota lists Jennings as questionable for Tampa Bay, and the report gives no injury or practice detail. Questionable leaves him a real chance to play. Wait for his practice line before you bet on Vikings receiver props, since his status changes who gets the targets.

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (S) is questionable for ARI

Taylor-Demerson (back) did not participate at the Cardinals' practice Wednesday, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 24.

DaVon Hamilton (DT) is questionable for JAX

Hamilton was limited Wednesday with a back injury, so he got some work in. A limited day keeps him on track to play, though back problems can flare up during the week. His Thursday and Friday reports will say more about how much of the interior line he handles against New England.

Craig Woodson (S) is questionable for NE

Woodson has a shoulder injury and did not practice Thursday, and he is one of three Patriots on this report who missed the session. Questionable with no Thursday work makes his status for the trip to Jacksonville uncertain. If he is out, New England's secondary is thinner, a spot to keep in mind for the Jaguars passing game.

Jeremy Reaves (S) is questionable for WSH

Reaves (knee) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 24.

Leo Chenal (LB) is questionable for WSH

Chenal (chest) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 24.

Thomas Harper (S) is questionable for DET

Harper has an ankle injury and did not practice Thursday, so questionable here means a real chance he misses the Jets game. A Thursday DNP is a worse sign than a limited session, and Friday's practice report is the next thing to check. The fact sheet does not say who would take his safety snaps, so if he sits, expect Detroit to lean on a backup in the secondary. Hold off on Jets passing props until his status is settled.

LAC: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 77.8%

LAC is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; BUF is at 77.8% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Nakobe Dean (LB) is questionable for LV

Dean (shoulder) was a limited participant at the Raiders' practice Wednesday, Ryan McFadden of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 24.

Christen Miller (DT) is questionable for NO

Miller (toe) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 24.

Barion Brown (WR) is questionable for NO

NO lists Barion Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Jonas Sanker (S) is questionable for NO

Sanker (knee) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 24.

Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR

Landman (shoulder) was a limited participant in Wednesday's estimated practice, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.

Kamren Kinchens (S) is questionable for LAR

Kinchens (hamstring) did not participate in Wednesday's estimated practice session, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.

Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI

Greenard (pectoral) was able to practice on a limited basis Thursday. Reported Sep 24.

Jalen Carter (DT) is questionable for PHI

Carter (wrist) was a limited participant in practice Thursday. Reported Sep 24.

SF: 134.5 rushing yards per game to ARI's 93

ARI is at 93 rushing yards per game over 2 games; SF is at 134.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ARI was at 93.1 over 17 games and SF at 106.9 over 17 games.

JAX: 23.5 points per game to NE's 15

NE is at 15 points per game over 2 games; JAX is at 23.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NE was at 28.8 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.

Brandon Dorlus (DT) is questionable for ATL

Dorlus (thumb) was a limited participant in Monday's estimated practice, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Sep 21.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

HOU: 6.2 yards per play allowed to IND's 7.3

HOU is at 6.2 yards per play allowed over 2 games; IND is at 7.3 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

TEN: 5.25 yards per play allowed to NYG's 6.35

The Giants have allowed 6.35 yards per play over 2 games, and Tennessee has allowed 5.25. Every snap counts toward this number, so it's a better quick read on a defence than yards per game, but after two games one busted coverage can move it a lot. Right now the Giants look like the easier defence to move the ball against.

NE: 166 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 236.5

New England has held opponents to 166 passing yards a game, and Jacksonville has allowed 236.5, both over 2 games. The sheet doesn't say who threw against them or whether those opponents leaned on the run with a lead, so part of the Patriots' low number could be how those games went. If it holds, the Patriots' passing game has the better matchup here.

BAL: 4.7 yards per play allowed to DAL's 5.8

BAL is at 4.7 yards per play allowed over 2 games; DAL is at 5.8 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Christian Walker: .334 OPS in Last 15 Days

Walker's cold run covers 44 AB and sits 0.37 below his .704 season OPS. That season number is already modest, so even a full bounce back only gets him to an ordinary level. Some recovery is likely, but in HOU @ OAK his baseline sets a lower ceiling than the size of the slump suggests.

P 2-for-4, 5 TB

Josiah Trotter (LB) is questionable for TB

Trotter has a shoulder injury and did not practice Thursday ahead of the Vikings game. No practice with a questionable tag puts his status in real doubt, so any work later in the week is his key sign. If he can't go, Tampa Bay has to fill his linebacker snaps with someone else against Minnesota.

Kaytron Allen (RB) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Kaytron Allen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Chris Moore (WR) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Chris Moore as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 25.

Javon Kinlaw (DT) is questionable for WSH

Kinlaw (shoulder) did not practice Wednesday, John Keim of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 23.

Frankie Luvu (LB) is questionable for WSH

Luvu (groin) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 24.

Julian Love (S) is questionable for SEA

Love did not practice Thursday due to a calf injury, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 25.

Ernest Jones IV (LB) is questionable for SEA

Jones (neck) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

Ty Okada (S) is questionable for SEA

Okada (hamstring) did not practice Thursday, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 25.

Jonathan Allen (DT) is questionable for CIN

Allen (knee) did not participate at practice Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Tyler Nubin (S) is questionable for NYG

Nubin (calf) was estimated as a limited participant for the Giants' walkthrough practice Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

Brian Burns (LB) is questionable for NYG

Burns (ankle) was estimated as a non-participant for the Giants' walkthrough practice Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

Chop Robinson (LB) is questionable for MIA

Robinson is working back from a concussion and was a full participant Wednesday, which is the best sign you get this early in the week. He still has to clear the league's concussion steps, and that is why the questionable tag stays on. If he stays full through Friday, expect Miami's pass rush to have him against Kansas City.

Elly De La Cruz: 1.241 OPS in Last 15 Days

De La Cruz has a 1.241 OPS over 45 AB in the last 15 days, 0.35 above an already strong .891 season mark. With 29 home runs, this hot stretch sits closer to his real level than most on the board, so any cooling should be smaller. At Atlanta with a 1.5 total-bases line, the season numbers back up the recent form.

P 1-for-4, 4 TB

DJ Giddens (RB) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis has Giddens listed as questionable for the Houston game, with no injury or practice detail on the report. Questionable means he could go either way. Until his practice status firms up, hold off on any Colts backfield prop that depends on how the carries get split.

Treydan Stukes (S) is questionable for LV

Stukes (concussion) did not participate at the Raiders' practice Wednesday, Ryan McFadden of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 24.

Minkah Fitzpatrick (S) is questionable for NYJ

Fitzpatrick sat out Wednesday's practice with a groin injury, so the Jets are starting the week without their safety on the field. Questionable means roughly a coin flip to play, and a missed first practice pushes that toward the wrong side unless he gets back out Thursday or Friday. Watch his practice line the rest of the week before leaning on anything tied to the Jets secondary against Detroit.

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR

Phillips did not practice Wednesday with a back injury, per the Sep 23 report. That makes three Carolina defenders, with Nick Scott and Devin Lloyd, who missed Wednesday and carry questionable tags. How many of them suit up at Cleveland will shape how much the Browns can lean on this matchup.

Devin Lloyd (LB) is questionable for CAR

Lloyd missed Thursday's practice with a calf injury. Calf injuries can linger, and a linebacker needs his legs to cover the field. Watch Friday's practice report before Carolina's game at Cleveland, because a second missed day would make him less likely to play.

Nick Scott (S) is questionable for CAR

Scott did not practice Wednesday with a ribs injury, per the Sep 23 report. Carolina also has Devin Lloyd and Jaelan Phillips questionable after Wednesday DNPs, so the Panthers' defense could be missing several pieces at Cleveland. Friday's report is the one to wait for.

Ed Oliver (DT) is questionable for BUF

Oliver (hip) was limited during Thursday's practice. Reported Sep 25.

T.J. Sanders (DT) is questionable for BUF

Sanders (appendix) did not participate in Wednesday's practice, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports. Reported Sep 23.

Ty Johnson (RB) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Ty Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC

James (finger) did not participate at practice Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is questionable for GB

Cooper is being evaluated for a possible concussion and is questionable to return to Thursday's game against the Falcons. Reported Sep 25.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Javon Hargrave (DT) is questionable for GB

Hargrave (concussion/knee) is listed as questionable ahead of Thursday night's game against the Falcons, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reported Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

ARI (1-1) at SF (2-0), a division game

ARI is 1-1, -12 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. SF is 2-0, +42 points on the year, has won 2 straight this season. ARI is 1-0 on the road; SF is 1-0 at home. Both live in the NFC WEST.

CIN (2-0) at PIT (1-1), a division game

Cincinnati has won both games by a combined 20 points, and one of those wins came on the road. Pittsburgh has split its two games, won its only home game and been outscored by 10. Two games is a thin sample, and a division opponent knows the Bengals well, so the 30-point gap in scoring margin may be wider than the real gap between these teams. Cincinnati has the better form, and the Steelers' home win is their one clean positive.

Rueben Bain Jr. (LB) is questionable for TB

Bain did not practice Wednesday because of a groin injury. A missed first practice puts him behind, and groin injuries tend to linger. If he is out against Minnesota, the Tampa Bay pass rush gets thinner, and Trotter also missed Wednesday, so the Bucs linebacker room is worth checking later in the week.

TEN: 35 penalty yards per game to NYG's 67

TEN is at 35 penalty yards per game over 2 games; NYG is at 67 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 59.5 over 17 games and NYG at 63.2 over 17 games.

WSH: 0.5 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 14

SEA is at 14 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 14.3 over 17 games and WSH at 12.5 over 17 games.

BUF: 144.5 rushing yards per game to LAC's 104

LAC is at 104 rushing yards per game over 2 games; BUF is at 144.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAC was at 121.6 over 17 games and BUF at 159.6 over 17 games.

CIN: 5.95 yards per pass attempt to PIT's 4.05

CIN is at 5.95 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; PIT is at 4.05 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 5.81 over 17 games and PIT at 5.99 over 17 games.

Victor Mesa Jr.: 1.226 OPS in Last 15 Days

Mesa has a 1.226 OPS over 37 AB in the last 15 days, 0.404 above his .822 season mark. At 37 AB, a couple of big games can move that a lot. His .822 OPS and 14 home runs are solid on their own. The total-bases line against the Yankees is 0.5, so any hit clears it, which leans on his contact more than on the hot streak.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

IND: 26.5 points per game to HOU's 18.5

HOU is at 18.5 points per game over 2 games; IND is at 26.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and IND at 27.4 over 17 games.

ATL: 33.3% third downs allowed to GB's 47.1%

Atlanta has let opponents convert 33.3% of third downs, and Green Bay has allowed 47.1%, both over 2 games. Third-down rates are among the noisiest early numbers because they rest on only a couple dozen snaps, so both should drift toward the middle. For this game, Falcons drives look more likely to stay alive than Packers drives.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

BAL: 31:18 time of possession per game to DAL's 25:56

BAL is at 31:18 time of possession per game over 2 games; DAL is at 25:56 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 29:11 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.

GB: 175 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 239

ATL is at 239 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; GB is at 175 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Billy Bowman Jr.

Achilles · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Brandon Coleman (G) is questionable for WSH

Coach Dan Quinn said Monday that "all signs look good to go" regarding Coleman's (finger) odds of being available in Week 3, JP Finlay of NBC Sports Washington reports. Reported Sep 22.

Javon Hargrave

Knee, Concussion · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

LAR: 38.9% third-down conversion rate to DEN's 26.1%

LAR is at 38.9% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; DEN is at 26.1% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 39.6% over 17 games and DEN at 41.2% over 17 games.

Yainer Diaz: 1.083 OPS in Last 15 Days

Diaz's run covers 45 AB and sits 0.327 above his .756 season OPS. With 13 home runs, he is usually an average bat with modest power, so he is more likely to settle near .756 than stay here. His total-bases line in HOU @ OAK is 1.5, which needs an extra-base hit or two singles.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

Lawrence Butler: 1.037 OPS in Last 15 Days

Butler's run covers 46 AB and sits 0.318 above his .719 season OPS. His 17 home runs give him real pop, and this stretch is that power showing up more often. The gap is smaller than most on this list, but .719 is still his level so far. His total-bases line in HOU @ OAK is 1.5, so he needs power or two hits to clear it.

P 3-for-5, 4 TB

CAR: 21 first downs per game to CLE's 14.5

CAR is at 21 first downs per game over 2 games; CLE is at 14.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and CLE at 15.8 over 17 games.

Donovan Jennings (G) is questionable for GB

Jennings (hand) did not participate in Monday's estimated practice, Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports. Reported Sep 22.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 407 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Caleb Williams is also listed d for this matchup.

LAC @ BUF carries a 50.5 market total

The market has 50.5 here, 7 points above the 43.5 median on a 16-game slate, so it expects both teams to keep scoring. A total this far above the pack needs touchdowns from both sides. One offense carrying the load won't be enough. It cracks if one team can't finish drives and the game turns into field goals and punts. The main question for this total is whether both offenses show up, since one hot offense alone won't reach it.

Cairo Santos (PK) is questionable for CHI

Santos was a non-participant in Thursday's practice estimate due to a right hip injury. Reported Sep 24.

Brandon Aiyuk (WR) is reserve-dnr for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Sunday that he's not viewing Aiyuk as an option for the 49ers while the club contends with multiple injuries at receiver, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 21.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald said Wednesday that the Seahawks won't open Charbonnet's (knee) practice window this week, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 23.

Freddie Freeman: .459 OPS in Last 15 Days

Freeman has a .459 OPS over 42 AB in the last 15 days against an .807 season mark, a 0.348 drop. For a hitter with that track record, 42 at-bats is a short stretch, and a climb back is more likely than staying there. In Padres at Dodgers, a Freeman prop priced on the slump deserves a look, since the season number is the steadier read.

P 2-for-4, 2 TB

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

In his first 2026 game, Sam Darnold threw for 13 passing yards, completed 50% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in. Sam Darnold is also listed q for this matchup.

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is questionable for NE

Gilliam (knee) was a limited participant at the Patriots' practice Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Sam Cosmi (G) is questionable for WSH

Cosmi suffered a concussion in Sunday's 37-20 loss to the Cowboys, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 22.

PIT: 0% red-zone scoring allowed to CIN's 25%

CIN is at 25% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; PIT is at 0% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

LAR: 113 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 157.5

Denver has allowed 157.5 rushing yards a game, and the Rams have allowed 113, both over 2 games. The sheet doesn't say whether Denver played run-heavy teams or spent a lot of time behind, and both can pump up rushing totals against a defence. If Denver's run defence doesn't tighten up, the Rams have a clear path to leaning on the ground game.

Ryan O'Hearn (bats L) hits 4th against Kyle Leahy (RHP)

O'Hearn has an .855 OPS against right-handers over 268 at-bats and .585 against lefties over 122, so both sides of the split rest on solid samples. Leahy throws right-handed, so O'Hearn hits cleanup on his strong side. His early at-bats carry most of the edge, since Pittsburgh can turn to lefty relievers once Leahy leaves.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB

HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to IND's 1

HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; IND is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and IND at 0.82 over 17 games.

CIN games have gone UNDER 4 straight

Cincinnati's last four games averaged 6.5 combined runs, with lines around 8.5. Four games is a thin sample. Tonight's 7.5 at Atlanta is already lower, and Atlanta's games have been going under too. The question is whether 7.5 is still set too high for how both teams have played lately.

P final total 13 vs 7.5

NYG: 1 sack yards lost per game to TEN's 13.5

TEN is at 13.5 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; NYG is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 26.1 over 17 games and NYG at 13.5 over 17 games.

HOU: 3 fourth-down attempts per game to IND's 1.5

HOU is at 3 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; IND is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 1.12 over 17 games and IND at 1.59 over 17 games.

MIN: 20 penalty yards per game to TB's 50.5

MIN is at 20 penalty yards per game over 2 games; TB is at 50.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season MIN was at 52.1 over 17 games and TB at 43.4 over 17 games.

Kyle Schwarber: .571 OPS in Last 15 Days

Schwarber has a .571 OPS over 48 AB in the last 15 days, down 0.29 from his .861 season mark. It is a dip, and milder than several other slumps on this board. His season number rests on far more at-bats, so a rebound is the likelier direction. In Brewers at Phillies, weigh the season profile over the recent stretch.

P 2-for-4, 3 TB

Brice Turang: 1.135 OPS in Last 15 Days

Turang has a 1.135 OPS over 39 AB in the last 15 days, 0.334 above his .801 season mark. The jump is among the smaller ones here, and with 19 home runs his baseline is good, so the pullback should be modest. Thirty-nine AB is still a short window. His total-bases line at Philadelphia is 0.5, so one hit clears it, and his season .801 supports that.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

GB: 3.95 yards per play allowed to ATL's 4.9

ATL is at 4.9 yards per play allowed over 2 games; GB is at 3.95 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

PIT: 25% third downs allowed to CIN's 37%

CIN is at 37% third downs allowed over 2 games; PIT is at 25% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Luis Garcia Jr.: .562 OPS in Last 15 Days

Garcia has a .562 OPS over 48 AB in the last 15 days against .832 for the season, 0.27 below his norm. It is a modest cool spell relative to his year. Forty-eight at-bats is enough to notice and too few to redefine him. In Rays at Yankees, his season level is the better baseline, and a market that overreacted to the dip could leave value.

NFC WEST game: ARI 0-1, SF 1-0 in the division

Each team has played just one division game, so this split is a one-game sample for both. San Francisco won its only NFC West game and Arizona lost its only one, which says little about how either team matches up with division rivals yet. A single result like this will move fast with the next divisional game, and this one counts toward it. For a bettor, weigh this game on the full matchup and don't treat either team's one-game division record as a trend.

Vinnie Pasquantino (bats L) hits 3rd against David Sandlin (RHP)

Pasquantino has an .815 OPS against righties over 288 at-bats and .591 against lefties over 118. Sandlin is a right-hander, so Pasquantino gets his preferred matchup hitting 3rd. His early at-bats against the starter are the best spot for him tonight, before a late lefty can flip the split.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

KC: 162.5 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 223.5

KC is at 162.5 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; MIA is at 223.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

DAL: 85.7% red-zone scoring rate to BAL's 66.7%

BAL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; DAL is at 85.7% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 47.5% over 17 games and DAL at 56.9% over 17 games.

Thomas Saggese: .381 OPS in L15, draws RHP Paul Skenes

Saggese's slump covers 39 AB and sits 0.294 below his .675 season OPS. Right-handers like Skenes are his weaker side, with a .596 OPS across 107 AB. The slump, the soft split and a top righty all point the same way, so a quiet night at the plate is a reasonable expectation.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB

NYG: 61.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 50

TEN is at 50 offensive plays per game over 2 games; NYG is at 61.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and NYG at 63.8 over 17 games.

Junior Caminero: .648 OPS in Last 15 Days

Caminero's dip covers 52 AB and sits 0.238 below his .886 season OPS. Even the cold version is close to a league-average bat, and his season line puts him among the more dangerous hitters around. Expect his numbers to drift back up, and don't overreact to the dip against New York.

P 2-for-5, 2 TB

Colson Montgomery: .406 OPS in Last 15 Days

Montgomery has a .406 OPS over 41 AB in the last 15 days, down 0.299 from his .705 season mark. His season number was already modest, so even a full bounce lands at a middling level. At 41 AB, the slump can still turn quickly. In White Sox at Kansas City, set expectations near .705 and give the recent stretch little weight.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

NE: 8 points allowed per game to JAX's 15

NE is at 8 points allowed per game over 2 games; JAX is at 15 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.

MIN: 14.3% red-zone scoring allowed to TB's 37.5%

MIN is at 14.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; TB is at 37.5% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

GB: 5.15 yards per play to ATL's 4.25

Green Bay has picked up more per snap, but read the details. Two of Love's three 20+ yard plays last game were defensive pass interference penalties on incompletions to Golden. Atlanta's 4.25 over 2 games is well below its 5.38 last season, with Cooper Rush at quarterback and only one 20+ yard play, a 25-yarder to London. Both teams sit below last season's pace, so expect some movement back up. Atlanta's offense under Rush is the part to watch.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

LV: 29.2% third downs allowed to NO's 40.9%

Las Vegas has let opponents convert only 29.2% of third downs, and New Orleans has allowed 40.9%, both over 2 games. Third-down rates this early rest on a small number of snaps and tend to settle toward average. For now the Raiders get off the field more often, so Saints drives are more likely to stall than Raiders drives.

CHI: 31 points per game to PHI's 24

PHI is at 24 points per game over 2 games; CHI is at 31 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and CHI at 25.9 over 17 games.

NO: 75 offensive plays per game to LV's 63.5

LV is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; NO is at 75 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

Trey Pipkins III (OT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Trey Pipkins III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

JuJu Brents (CB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists JuJu Brents as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

L'Jarius Sneed (CB) is questionable for KC

KC lists L'Jarius Sneed as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Felix Anudike-Uzomah (DE) is questionable for KC

KC lists Felix Anudike-Uzomah as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Logan Hall (DE) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Logan Hall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Trent Brown (OT) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Trent Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Eduardo Rodriguez: 5.94 ERA over his last 3 starts

Rodriguez has a 5.94 ERA over his last 16.2 innings, and his WHIP has gone from 1.23 on the season to 1.38 in that stretch. More runners on base gives hitters more chances to score. That is only 3 starts against a 2.89 season ERA with far more innings behind it. At Coors, where runs come easy, the shakier recent version is the one to plan around.

P 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 K

Blake Miller (OT) is questionable for DET

DET lists Blake Miller as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Ahmed Hassanein (DE) is questionable for DET

DET lists Ahmed Hassanein as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Tytus Howard (OT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Tytus Howard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Jordan Hancock (CB) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Jordan Hancock as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Anthony Belton (OT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Belton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Benjamin St-Juste (CB) is questionable for GB

GB lists Benjamin St-Juste as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 21.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Rashawn Slater (OT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Rashawn Slater as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Rodney Shelley (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Rodney Shelley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

LAR: 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate to DEN's 0%

LAR is at 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; DEN is at 0% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 66.7% over 17 games and DEN at 50% over 17 games.

Vinnie Pasquantino: 1.052 OPS in Last 15 Days

Pasquantino has a 1.052 OPS over 38 AB in the last 15 days against a .751 season mark, the mildest hot streak on this board. Thirty-eight AB is a small sample, so expect him to settle closer to .751. He has 15 home runs. Hosting Chicago with a 1.5 total-bases line, he likely needs an extra-base hit, and the season power numbers are the better guide.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

Rays are 7-5 vs Yankees this season

Tampa Bay leads the season series 7-5, but the Yankees won the last meeting 9-2. Across 12 games that split is close to even, and the sheet doesn't show the pitchers or parks behind it. With tonight in New York, the head-to-head adds little, and the starters should drive how you see it.

Mets are 2-0 vs Rangers this season

The Mets have played Texas twice and won both, the last one 7-2. Two games is too small to mean much, and the sheet doesn't say who pitched. Tonight is in Texas, so judge this game on its own matchup.

Cardinals are 7-5 vs Pirates this season

St. Louis is 7-5 against Pittsburgh and won the last meeting 5-1. Across 12 games, 7-5 is close to even, so the series gives little reason to back either side tonight in Pittsburgh. Tonight's pitching matchup is the better place to start.

Alaric Jackson (OT) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Alaric Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Deane Leonard (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Deane Leonard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Kwity Paye (DE) is questionable for LV

LV lists Kwity Paye as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

Jacob Parrish (CB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Jacob Parrish as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Brian O'Neill (OT) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Brian O'Neill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Nick Samac (C) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Nick Samac as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Nick Bosa (DE) is questionable for SF

SF lists Nick Bosa as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

Hjalte Froholdt (C) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Hjalte Froholdt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

Robert Hainsey (C) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Robert Hainsey as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Cole Van Lanen (OT) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Cole Van Lanen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Morgan Moses (OT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Morgan Moses as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Carlton Davis III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Next college slate · SEP 25

BDL lists 3 covered college games on the next college slate. All 3 kickoff times are confirmed.

Dametrious Crownover (OT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Dametrious Crownover as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Charles Omenihu (DE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Charles Omenihu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Dorance Armstrong (DE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Dorance Armstrong as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Micah Robinson (CB) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists Micah Robinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

Brandon Cisse (CB) is questionable for GB

GB lists Brandon Cisse as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 21.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

KC: 46.7% third-down conversion rate to MIA's 36%

KC is at 46.7% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; MIA is at 36% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and MIA at 34.9% over 17 games.

LAR: 243 team passing yards per game to DEN's 201.5

LAR is at 243 team passing yards per game over 2 games; DEN is at 201.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and DEN at 223.9 over 17 games.

LAR: 7.95 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 6.45

LAR is at 7.95 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; DEN is at 6.45 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.

TB: 4 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.5

MIN is at 2.5 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; TB is at 4 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and TB at 2.94 over 17 games.

CAR: 96.5 rushing yards per game to CLE's 65.5

CAR is at 96.5 rushing yards per game over 2 games; CLE is at 65.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 116.3 over 17 games and CLE at 97 over 17 games.

TEN: 4.55 yards per rush attempt to NYG's 3.5

TEN is at 4.55 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; NYG is at 3.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 4.19 over 17 games and NYG at 4.31 over 17 games.

TB: 5.2 yards per play to MIN's 4.35

Tampa Bay is gaining more per play than Minnesota, and its 5.2 over 2 games matches its 5.12 from last season. Minnesota's 4.35 is below its 4.82 last season, a two-game dip from an offense that was already below average, so a small bounce is possible but it shouldn't be expected to reach Tampa's level. At home, Tampa should be the side creating the chances, and it's fair to lean toward Minnesota scoring less in this one.

DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 3

NYJ is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; DET is at 4.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 2.24 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

Tyler Mahle: 0.95 ERA over his last 3 starts

Mahle has allowed 2 earned runs in his last 19 innings with a 0.79 WHIP, so hitters are barely reaching base. His season marks are a 3.81 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, and three starts can run hot, so expect some drift back toward those. Facing Singer tonight, the gap between the two starters' recent form is the main thing to weigh in this game.

P 5 IP, 5 ER, 4 K

Tristan Peters: .423 OPS in Last 15 Days

Peters has a .423 OPS over only 30 AB in the last 15 days against a .793 season mark. Thirty at-bats is a thin sample, and a couple of good games would change the picture. His season number is the better guide. In White Sox at Kansas City, a small recent window shouldn't drive how you view his props.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

Ozzie Albies: .457 OPS in Last 15 Days

Albies has a .457 OPS over 46 AB in the last 15 days, down 0.239 from his .696 season mark. His season OPS is not high to begin with, so even a full rebound brings him back to a middling level. Forty-six at-bats is a short window. Against Cincinnati, expect something closer to his season form and keep expectations modest.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

CIN: 3 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 1.5

CIN is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; PIT is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 3.18 over 17 games and PIT at 3 over 17 games.

CIN: 50% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 33.3%

CIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; PIT is at 33.3% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 66.7% over 17 games and PIT at 58.8% over 17 games.

At Wrigley Field, Matthew Boyd pitches to a 5.53 ERA

Boyd has a 5.53 ERA at Wrigley against 2.86 over 66.0 road innings, and hitters bat .271 off him at home. The home number covers 53.2 innings in 10 games, so this is more than a couple of bad outings. Against Miami tonight, price the Wrigley version of Boyd, which is a much more hittable pitcher than his road line suggests.

P 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 K

BUF: 4 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.5

LAC is at 2.5 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; BUF is at 4 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Carter Jensen (bats L) draws David Sandlin (RHP), batting 1st

Jensen has an .819 OPS against right-handers over 363 at-bats and .676 against lefties over 152. He holds his own against lefties, but the gap is real. Leading off against a righty like Sandlin gives him his better side and the most trips to the plate, so his overall season line probably undersells him here.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

LAR: 4.6 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.4

The Rams have allowed 4.6 yards per play and Denver has allowed 5.4, both over 2 games. That's a modest gap, and two games can't show whether it comes from the defences themselves or the offences they faced. Of the two, the Rams defence has been harder to move the ball against so far.

LAR: 38.5% third downs allowed to DEN's 48.3%

Denver has let opponents convert 48.3% of third downs, and the Rams have allowed 38.5%, both over 2 games. Both numbers come from a small count of snaps, and Denver's in particular should come down. For now, the Rams offence looks more likely to extend drives, which fits with Denver also giving up more yards per play.

Tuli Tuipulotu (LB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Tuli Tuipulotu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Patrick Jones II (LB) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Patrick Jones II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Bobby Brown III (DT) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Bobby Brown III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks is expected to undergo surgery Wednesday to repair a core-muscle injury and is likely to miss at least six weeks, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 23.

Grant Delpit (S) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Grant Delpit as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Mason Graham (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Mason Graham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Quincy Williams (LB) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Quincy Williams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Omar Cooper Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets are expected to place Cooper (ankle) on injured reserve, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 19.

Arian Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Smith (knee) underwent surgery Wednesday to repair a torn ACL and will miss the rest of the season, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.

David Bailey (LB) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists David Bailey as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Jake Hummel (LB) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Jake Hummel as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Chris Jones (DT) is questionable for KC

KC lists Chris Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

James Williams Sr. (LB) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists James Williams Sr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Solomon Thomas (DT) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists Solomon Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Shelby Harris (DT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Shelby Harris as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

B.J. Hill (DT) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists B.J. Hill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Tyler Owens (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Tyler Owens as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Percy Butler (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Percy Butler as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Quintayvious Hutchins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Andrew Billings (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Andrew Billings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Roy Lopez (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Roy Lopez as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

De'Zhaun Stribling (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

The 49ers placed Stribling (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 19.

Jake Golday (LB) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Jake Golday as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Jalen Redmond (DT) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Jalen Redmond as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Anthony Nelson (LB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Anthony Nelson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Teddye Buchanan (LB) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Teddye Buchanan as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Nnamdi Madubuike (DT) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Nnamdi Madubuike as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Trey Hendrickson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Malaki Starks (S) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Malaki Starks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Zion Young (LB) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Zion Young as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Folorunso Fatukasi (DT) is questionable for LV

LV lists Folorunso Fatukasi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Isaiah Stalbird (LB) is questionable for NO

NO lists Isaiah Stalbird as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Nathan Shepherd (DT) is questionable for NO

NO lists Nathan Shepherd as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Ronnie Rivers (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Rivers (calf) on their injured reserve list Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Samson Ebukam (DE) is inactive for ATL

Ebukam (hamstring) is officially listed as out for Thursday's game against the Packers, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports. Reported Sep 23.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

HOU: 32:44 time of possession per game to IND's 28:50

HOU is at 32:44 time of possession per game over 2 games; IND is at 28:50 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 31:49 over 17 games and IND at 29:37 over 17 games.

TEN @ NYG carries a 38.5 market total

At 38.5, this is one of the lowest totals on the slate, 5 points under the 43.5 median across 16 games. The market expects a grind with long drives, punts and field goals. Low totals like this can go over fast: one defensive or special-teams touchdown, or a couple of short fields after turnovers, adds points neither offense had to earn. Anyone considering the under is betting that neither team hands the other free scores.

TEN: 1.5 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.5

TEN is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; NYG is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

DEN: 2 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1

LAR is at 1 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; DEN is at 2 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

CHI: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.5

PHI is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; CHI is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

WSH: 0.5 sacks taken per game to SEA's 1.5

SEA is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 2.08 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

Dalvin Tomlinson

Hamstring · Did not practice

DJ Moore

Shoulder - AC Joint · Did not practice

Jordan Hancock

Hamstring · Did not practice

Brenen Thompson

Quadriceps · Did not practice

T.J. Sanders

Appendix · Did not practice

Kayode Awosika

Lower Leg · Did not practice

Elijah Molden

Hamstring · Did not practice

Rodney Shelley

Hamstring · Did not practice

Keon Coleman

Ankle · Did not practice

Trey Pipkins III

Knee · Did not practice

Bud Dupree

Did not practice

Claudin Cherelus

Shoulder · Did not practice

Xavier Legette

Knee · Did not practice

Nick Scott

Ribs · Did not practice

Devin Lloyd

Calf · Did not practice

Jalen Coker

Ankle · Did not practice

Teven Jenkins

Back · Did not practice

Kene Nwangwu

Back · Did not practice

Mason Taylor

Thumb · Did not practice

Ben Bartch

Foot · Did not practice

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Omar Cooper Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

Thomas Harper

Ankle · Did not practice

Minkah Fitzpatrick

Groin · Did not practice

Ed Ingram

Groin · Did not practice

Grover Stewart

Did not practice

Ashton Dulin

Ankle · Did not practice

Jadeveon Clowney

Knee · Did not practice

Dalton Schultz

Did not practice

Jake Hummel

Groin · Did not practice

DJ Giddens

Knee · Did not practice

Nico Collins

Hamstring · Did not practice

M.J. Stewart

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Caleb Douglas

Ankle · Did not practice

Ryan Miller

Hip · Did not practice

Ronnie Harrison Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Josh Simmons

Back · Did not practice

Andrew Thomas

Groin · Did not practice

Daniel Bellinger

Illness · Did not practice

Jaxson Dart

Knee - Meniscus · Did not practice

Brian Burns

Ankle · Did not practice

Paulson Adebo

Knee · Did not practice

Solomon Thomas

Knee · Did not practice

Tyjae Spears

Ankle · Did not practice

Cole Holcomb

Did not practice

Jonathan Allen

Did not practice

Darnell Washington

Did not practice

Rico Dowdle

Toe · Did not practice

B.J. Hill

Achilles · Did not practice

Samaje Perine

Did not practice

Cameron Heyward

Did not practice

Frankie Luvu

Groin · Did not practice

Sam Cosmi

Concussion · Did not practice

Ty Okada

Hamstring · Did not practice

Julian Love

Calf · Did not practice

Chig Okonkwo

Hamstring · Did not practice

Branson Combs

Did not practice

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Did not practice

Eli Raridon

Thigh · Did not practice

Dre'Mont Jones

Shoulder · Did not practice

Quintayvious Hutchins

Knee · Did not practice

Mike Evans

Hip · Did not practice

Eddy Pineiro

Did not practice

Roy Lopez

Groin · Did not practice

De'Zhaun Stribling

Ankle · Did not practice

Romello Height

Hand · Did not practice

Nick Bosa

Calf · Did not practice

James Thompson Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

Rueben Bain Jr.

Groin · Did not practice

Brett Thorson

Hamstring · Did not practice

Nick Samac

Knee · Did not practice

Josiah Trotter

Shoulder · Did not practice

Jauan Jennings

Personal · Did not practice

T.J. Tampa

Knee · Did not practice

Ronnie Stanley

Toe · Did not practice

Zay Flowers

Hamstring · Did not practice

Treydan Stukes

Concussion · Did not practice

Aidan O'Connell

Personal · Did not practice

Kendre Miller

Illness · Did not practice

Barion Brown

Hamstring · Did not practice

Christen Miller

Toe · Did not practice

Davon Godchaux

Did not practice

Martin Emerson Jr.

Shoulder · Did not practice

Zach Wood

Calf · Did not practice

Kwity Paye

Illness · Did not practice

Puka Nacua

Hip · Did not practice

Colby Parkinson

Knee · Did not practice

Davante Adams

Did not practice

Jonah Coleman

Ankle · Did not practice

Kamren Kinchens

Hamstring · Did not practice

Cairo Santos

Hip · Did not practice

Joe Thuney

Did not practice

Dallas Goedert

Knee - MCL · Did not practice

Caleb Williams

Hamstring · Did not practice

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice

Grady Jarrett

Did not practice

Tyrique Stevenson Sr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Kyle Monangai

Knee · Did not practice

Tank Bigsby

Abdomen · Did not practice

Will Shipley

Foot · Did not practice

Tyson Bagent

Concussion · Did not practice

Za'Darius Smith

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 35-14

BUF has 3 more days of rest

LAC travels across the country to Buffalo on 4 days since its last game, while BUF has had 7 days. A short week usually means lighter practices, a simpler game plan and less recovery time for bruised starters, and the road trip adds to that. Buffalo had extra time to install wrinkles for this opponent. The rest edge sits with the home side, so if LAC looks slow or out of sync early, fatigue is the likely reason.

DET has 3 more days of rest

NYJ comes to Detroit on 4 days since its last game, and DET has had 7. That 3-day gap means the Jets likely had walkthroughs in place of full practices and a trimmed game plan, and they have to travel on top of it. Detroit got a normal week to heal and prepare. Weigh the rest edge for the home team, most of all on anything tied to a fast start.

LAC (0-2) at BUF (2-0)

Buffalo is 2-0 and plus 15, with one of those wins at home. The Chargers are 0-2 and minus 24, and both losses came before they had played a road game. That makes this their first trip, and it comes against a team with momentum. The Bills' margin is modest for an unbeaten team, so their record looks better than their scoring, and a two-game minus 24 is a small sample for the Chargers.

ATL (0-2) at GB (1-1)

Atlanta is 0-2 and has been outscored by 38, including a road loss. Green Bay is 1-1 and minus 14, and it has yet to play at home. Both point totals are in the red, so the 24-point gap here separates a bad start from a mediocre one. Two games is too few to call either team who it is. The Packers' first home game is the unknown worth pricing in.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

CAR (1-1) at CLE (1-1)

The records match at 1-1, but the scoring does not: Carolina is plus 9 and Cleveland is minus 20. Carolina's win came on the road, and Cleveland has not played at home yet. Both teams won last time out, so neither arrives cold. The 29-point gap comes from two games each, so this looks like two teams with the same record and different quality, and the Browns' home debut adds some doubt.

KC (2-0) at MIA (0-2)

Kansas City is 2-0 and plus 24, and Miami is 0-2 and minus 36. Neither team has played a road or home game in this split yet, so this is Kansas City's first road game and Miami's first home game. The 60-point gap is the widest here, and it rests on two games per team. The Chiefs clearly arrive in better shape, but a home crowd is one factor the Dolphins' numbers have not captured yet.

SEA (2-0) at WSH (0-2)

Seattle is 2-0, plus 27, and has already won on the road. Washington is 0-2 and minus 19, and this is its first home game. A 46-point gap over two games says Seattle has been the better team so far. Washington's losses are smaller than the worst on this slate. Seattle's road win makes the travel less of a worry, and Washington's missing home sample is the one open question.

MIN (2-0) at TB (0-2)

Minnesota is 2-0 and plus 23, including a road win. Tampa Bay is 0-2 but only minus 10 overall, so its losses have been close, and one came at home. That minus 10 makes the Buccaneers' record look worse than their scoring. Over two games the 33-point gap favors Minnesota. A bettor should weigh how close Tampa's losses were more heavily than the 0-2 record.

LV: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 136.5

LV is at 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; NO is at 136.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

ATL: 30:48 time of possession per game to GB's 27:00

ATL is at 30:48 time of possession per game over 2 games; GB is at 27:00 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ATL was at 30:00 over 17 games and GB at 29:48 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Bryan Woo: 1.40 ERA over his last 3 starts

Woo has allowed 3 earned runs over 19.1 innings in his last 3 starts, with 18 strikeouts. His season ERA is 3.92, so this is a hot stretch well above his norm, and three starts is a small sample. The strikeouts give the run some substance. Against the Angels, lean on his season level as the base and treat the recent form as a modest bump.

P 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 8 K

CIN: 213.5 team passing yards per game to PIT's 175

CIN is at 213.5 team passing yards per game over 2 games; PIT is at 175 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and PIT at 202.4 over 17 games.

WSH: 67 offensive plays per game to SEA's 57.5

SEA is at 57.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; WSH is at 67 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 59.7 over 17 games and WSH at 58.2 over 17 games.

DET: 4.15 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.2

NYJ is at 3.2 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; DET is at 4.15 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 4.53 over 17 games and DET at 4.52 over 17 games.

BUF: 4.85 yards per rush attempt to LAC's 3.95

LAC is at 3.95 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; BUF is at 4.85 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAC was at 4.58 over 17 games and BUF at 4.97 over 17 games.

NE: 17.4% third downs allowed to JAX's 26.3%

NE is at 17.4% third downs allowed over 2 games; JAX is at 26.3% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

PHI: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 57.1%

PHI is at 71.4% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; CHI is at 57.1% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season PHI was at 70.5% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.

Ed Ingram (G) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Ed Ingram as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Brenden Schooler (S) is nfi-r for NE

The Patriots opened the 21-day practice window for Schooler (back) on Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Ranger Suarez: 0.92 ERA over his last 3 starts

Suarez has a 0.92 ERA over 19.2 innings in his last 3 starts, with 16 strikeouts and a 0.97 WHIP against 1.20 on the season. Fewer runners on base gives the low ERA some support. Three starts is still a small window, and lines tend to price him off his 3.27 season ERA. If you trust the recent form against Cleveland, that gap is where value would sit.

P 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 K

SF: 4.65 yards per rush attempt to ARI's 3.75

ARI is at 3.75 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; SF is at 4.65 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ARI was at 4.25 over 17 games and SF at 3.81 over 17 games.

WSH: 157 rushing yards per game to SEA's 129.5

SEA is at 129.5 rushing yards per game over 2 games; WSH is at 157 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 123.3 over 17 games and WSH at 134.7 over 17 games.

Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Ar'maj Reed-Adams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Teven Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Christian Mahogany (G) is questionable for DET

DET lists Christian Mahogany as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Ben Bartch (G) is questionable for DET

DET lists Ben Bartch as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Tate Ratledge (G) is questionable for DET

DET lists Tate Ratledge as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU

The Texans designated Stewart (quadriceps) for return from their reserve/PUP list Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Anthony Campbell (DT) is inactive for GB

Campbell (ankle) is inactive for Thursday Night Football against the Falcons, Mike Spofford of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Jayden Reed (WR) is inactive for GB

GB lists Jayden Reed as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

John Simpson (G) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists John Simpson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Tucker Addington (LS) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Tucker Addington as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Gennings Dunker (G) is questionable for PIT

PIT lists Gennings Dunker as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

Brady Russell (FB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Brady Russell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI

The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Turner (knee) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.

SEA: 5.8 yards per play to WSH's 5.1

Seattle is gaining more per play, and much of it came from one 82-yard Drew Lock touchdown to Smith-Njigba, which does a lot in a two-game sample. Both teams sit a bit under last season, Seattle at 5.98 and Washington at 5.53, so this gap looks smaller than it is. Washington had 4 plays of 20+ yards last game with both Mariota and Daniels throwing to McLaurin, so who starts at quarterback matters more than the per-play gap.

LAR: 16.5 points allowed per game to DEN's 22

LAR is at 16.5 points allowed per game over 2 games; DEN is at 22 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and DEN at 18.3 over 17 games.

CAR: 61 offensive plays per game to CLE's 52

CAR is at 61 offensive plays per game over 2 games; CLE is at 52 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 59.5 over 17 games and CLE at 60.6 over 17 games.

CHI: 6.05 yards per play to PHI's 5.35

Chicago is gaining more per snap, and its 6.05 over 2 games is up from 5.71 last season, so part of that looks real and part is likely to cool. Philadelphia's 5.35 is close to its 5.27 from last season, which is steady more than slow. This looks like two offenses that can move the ball, with Chicago a bit more efficient at home, and the gap is probably too small to make a strong call on either side.

Warren Brinson (DT) is inactive for GB

Brinson (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Thursday night's game against the Falcons, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Noah Sewell (LB) is pup-r for CHI

The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Sewell (Achilles) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 23.

Cole Strange (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Cole Strange as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

ARI @ SF carries a 47.5 market total

The current fanduel total is 47.5, 4 points above the 43.5 median across 16 games with posted totals on this slate.

HOU: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 66.7%

HOU is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; IND is at 66.7% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

NYJ @ DET carries a 47.5 market total

The 47.5 sits 4 points above the 43.5 median across 16 games, so the market expects a bit more scoring than a normal game on this slate. It doesn't expect a shootout. A number this close to the pack can go either way depending on how drives end: a couple of red-zone stalls pulls it under, and one extra touchdown pushes it over. Red-zone finishing is the thing to watch here, more than total yards.

LAC: 26 points allowed per game to BUF's 31

LAC is at 26 points allowed per game over 2 games; BUF is at 31 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.

Wind blowing in 11 mph at PNC Park tonight

At 61 degrees with the wind in from center, fly balls lose carry, so balls headed for the warning track are more likely to die short. Fly-ball hitters on both sides pay the most, while hitters who keep it on the ground or line it into the gaps lose less. The total of 7 is already low, so the market has priced in some of it. Expect a game decided by singles and pitching, where one crooked inning can swing it.

P final total 3 vs 7 (under lean)

Tyler Glasnow: 5.63 ERA over his last 3 starts

Glasnow has a 5.63 ERA over his last 16 innings, with a 1.44 WHIP against 0.96 on the season, so far more hitters are reaching base than usual. It is only 3 starts, and his 3.46 season ERA reflects a better pitcher, so this could turn quickly. Against San Diego, the season version deserves more weight than the last three outings.

P 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 11 K

LAR: 40% red-zone scoring allowed to DEN's 57.1%

LAR is at 40% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; DEN is at 57.1% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

PHI: 37.5 penalty yards per game to CHI's 57.5

PHI is at 37.5 penalty yards per game over 2 games; CHI is at 57.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season PHI was at 63.1 over 17 games and CHI at 57.1 over 17 games.

LAR: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to DEN's 0.5

LAR is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; DEN is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 1.76 over 17 games and DEN at 1.18 over 17 games.

BAL: 254 team passing yards per game to DAL's 220.5

BAL is at 254 team passing yards per game over 2 games; DAL is at 220.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 175.6 over 17 games and DAL at 266.3 over 17 games.

SEA: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to WSH's 1

SEA is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; WSH is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 0.71 over 17 games and WSH at 1.53 over 17 games.

KC: 2.5 fourth-down attempts per game to MIA's 1.5

KC is at 2.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; MIA is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and MIA at 1.35 over 17 games.

LAC: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to BUF's 0.5

LAC is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; BUF is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and BUF at 1.88 over 17 games.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1982 passing yards, completed 60.1% of his passes and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt. His 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line puts that prior-season passing production in the context of his ball security over the same sample.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

LV (2-0) at NO (1-1)

Las Vegas is 2-0 and plus 26, with a road win already. New Orleans is 1-1 but plus 6, so its scoring is better than its record suggests, and this is its first home game. Both teams won last week. The 20-point gap is real but comes from two games, and the Saints are a sturdier opponent than their record says.

Aaron Banks (G) is inactive for GB

Banks (toe) has been ruled out ahead of Thursday night's game against the Falcons, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Njoku (fibula) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.

Brett Thorson (P) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Brett Thorson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 22.

Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 467 passing yards, completed 64.5% of his passes and averaged 7.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 2 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 419 passing yards, completed 66.1% of his passes and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 2 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 482 passing yards, completed 66.1% of his passes and averaged 8.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 2 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 7.36 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 2 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 413 passing yards, completed 67.8% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 2 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 454 passing yards, completed 73.8% of his passes and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 2 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 559 passing yards, completed 67.9% of his passes and averaged 9.98 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 2 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 398 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

In his first 2026 game, Kyler Murray threw for 18 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 3.6 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 2 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 492 passing yards, completed 80.4% of his passes and averaged 8.79 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 2 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 372 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 5.72 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 2 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 434 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 8.35 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 2 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 386 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Marcus Mariota is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

In his first 2026 game, Marcus Mariota threw for 111 passing yards, completed 68.8% of his passes and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 1695 yards, completed 61.2% and averaged 7.47 yards per attempt, 10-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 2 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 408 passing yards, completed 59.5% of his passes and averaged 5.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 2 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 461 passing yards, completed 68.2% of his passes and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

In his first 2026 game, Jameis Winston threw for 111 passing yards, completed 40.7% of his passes and averaged 4.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 2 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 323 passing yards, completed 61.5% of his passes and averaged 6.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 2 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 417 passing yards, completed 58% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 2 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 566 passing yards, completed 63.5% of his passes and averaged 7.65 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 2 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 376 passing yards, completed 66.1% of his passes and averaged 6.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 2 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 627 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 6.74 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 2 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 533 passing yards, completed 67.5% of his passes and averaged 6.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 2 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 462 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 7.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 2 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 443 passing yards, completed 76.9% of his passes and averaged 8.52 yards per attempt. His 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 2 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 648 passing yards, completed 63% of his passes and averaged 8.88 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 2 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 582 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 9.7 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 2 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 401 passing yards, completed 59.3% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 2 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 532 passing yards, completed 52.1% of his passes and averaged 7.49 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

IND: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.6

HOU is at 3.6 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; IND is at 4.4 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and IND at 4.44 over 17 games.

CHI: 31.8% third downs allowed to PHI's 39.3%

PHI is at 39.3% third downs allowed over 2 games; CHI is at 31.8% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

CLE: 26.5 points allowed per game to CAR's 31

CAR is at 31 points allowed per game over 2 games; CLE is at 26.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and CLE at 22.3 over 17 games.

CAR: 8 yards per pass attempt to CLE's 6.95

CAR is at 8 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; CLE is at 6.95 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 5.47 over 17 games and CLE at 4.78 over 17 games.

Green light: Pittsburgh Pirates run, and Ivan Herrera has caught just 4%

Pittsburgh has 129 steals, and Herrera has thrown out 2 of 45 base stealers, a real sample. A Pirate on first can usually take second at little risk, so a single quickly becomes a runner in scoring position. When sizing up this game, give Pittsburgh's walks and singles extra value, since the Pirates can score without the long ball.

P Pittsburgh Pirates stole 2 bases

NYJ (1-1) at DET (1-1)

Both teams are 1-1, but the Jets are plus 10 and Detroit is minus 9, so the records hide a scoring gap. Each team won its only game in this split: the Jets on the road and the Lions at home. Both lost last week. The 19-point gap comes from two games each, and with the home and road results cancelling out, the matchup looks closer than the margins suggest.

CHI: 70 offensive plays per game to PHI's 62.5

PHI is at 62.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; CHI is at 70 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season PHI was at 59.4 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

Ja'Kobi Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for BAL

Coach Jesse Minter said Lane underwent wrist surgery Wednesday, and the Ravens placed the rookie wide receiver on injured reserve, Brian Wacker of The Baltimore Sun reports. Reported Sep 16.

Malik Davis (RB) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Davis (hip) on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 12.

Audric Estime (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints placed Estime (thigh) on injured reserve Saturday, Ross Jackson of WWL Louisiana reports. Reported Sep 12.

Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints placed Banks (ankle) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

KC: 1.5 takeaways per game to MIA's 1

KC is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 2 games; MIA is at 1 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

IND: 0.5 takeaways per game to HOU's 0

HOU is at 0 takeaways per game over 2 games; IND is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

DET: 1.5 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1

NYJ is at 1 takeaways per game over 2 games; DET is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

BUF: 1 takeaways per game to LAC's 0.5

Buffalo has forced 1 turnover a game and the Chargers 0.5, both over 2 games. Turnovers are among the most random stats in football, and a gap this small over two games tells you very little about either defence. Don't put much weight on it for this game.

CLE: 1 turnovers committed per game to CAR's 1.5

CAR is at 1.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; CLE is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 1.35 over 17 games and CLE at 1.47 over 17 games.

CLE: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to CAR's 1

CAR is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; CLE is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CAR was at 0.65 over 17 games and CLE at 0.41 over 17 games.

NYJ: 0 turnovers committed per game to DET's 0.5

NYJ is at 0 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; DET is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 1.35 over 17 games and DET at 0.88 over 17 games.

Ryan Mountcastle

Ryan Mountcastle — oblique strain, 1 day from eligibility. He hit .240/.300/.390 before the IL (0.690 OPS). That's deep-bench production, and oblique recovery can be unpredictable even after clearance. Hold only if you've got the bench room and need corner OF help badly. Conditional stash — monitor for activation tomorrow, but don't burn a high-value add. He'll need live ABs to prove the oblique doesn't linger.

NYJ: 0 fumbles lost per game to DET's 0.5

NYJ is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; DET is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 0.59 over 17 games and DET at 0.41 over 17 games.

DEN: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAR's 1

LAR is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; DEN is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 0.41 over 17 games and DEN at 0.35 over 17 games.

DEN: 1.5 turnovers committed per game to LAR's 2

LAR is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; DEN is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 0.88 over 17 games and DEN at 1 over 17 games.

DAL: 0 fumbles lost per game to BAL's 0.5

BAL is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; DAL is at 0 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and DAL at 0.53 over 17 games.

DAL: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to BAL's 1

BAL is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; DAL is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 1.35 over 17 games and DAL at 1.24 over 17 games.

PHI: 1 turnovers committed per game to CHI's 1.5

PHI is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; CHI is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season PHI was at 0.88 over 17 games and CHI at 0.65 over 17 games.

Avonte Maddox (CB) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Maddox (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

Paulson Adebo (CB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Adebo (knee) on injured reserve Friday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 19.

A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Brown, who was officially placed on injured reserve Saturday, is expected to miss about six weeks due to a right high-ankle sprain, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 13.

Will Johnson (CB) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 23.

TB: 75 rushing yards allowed per game to MIN's 100

MIN is at 100 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; TB is at 75 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

T.J. Tampa (CB) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Tampa (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 19.

TEN: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1

TEN is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; NYG is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 1.12 over 17 games and NYG at 1 over 17 games.

HOU: 1 turnovers committed per game to IND's 1.5

HOU is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; IND is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 0.71 over 17 games and IND at 1.35 over 17 games.

DET: 77.8% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 66.7%

NYJ is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; DET is at 77.8% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and DET at 62.5% over 17 games.

JAX: 1.5 takeaways per game to NE's 1

NE is at 1 takeaways per game over 2 games; JAX is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

ARI: 1.5 takeaways per game to SF's 1

Arizona has forced 1.5 turnovers a game and San Francisco 1, both over 2 games. Takeaways swing on tipped passes and fumble bounces, so half a turnover a game over two games is mostly noise. This one shouldn't move how you see the game.

KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Lambert-Smith (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 15.

Dylan Sampson (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

Sampson (knee) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 15.

Tim Patrick (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets placed Patrick (groin) on injured reserve Saturday, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 12.

Isiah Pacheco (RB) is on injured reserve for DET

Pacheco (back) underwent surgery Monday and is expected to be out for a significant amount of time, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Sep 14.

Micheal Clemons (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

Clemons (toe) was placed on injured reserve by the Colts on Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

At Yankee Stadium, Cam Schlittler pitches to a 2.98 ERA

Schlittler's 2.98 ERA at Yankee Stadium is the worse half of his split: he sits at 1.16 over 109.0 innings away. Hitters bat only .224 off him at home, and the home number covers 81.2 innings in 15 games, so both halves carry real weight. Against Tampa, he is a pitcher who limits contact, and the home park only takes a little off that.

P 3 IP, 1 ER, 5 K

SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to ARI's 7

ARI is at 7 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; SF is at 0 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season ARI was at 24.9 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.

A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Terrell (groin) on injured reserve Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 22.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

NYG: 1.5 takeaways per game to TEN's 1

TEN is at 1 takeaways per game over 2 games; NYG is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

HOU: 24 first downs per game to IND's 20.5

HOU is at 24 first downs per game over 2 games; IND is at 20.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and IND at 20.7 over 17 games.

CIN: 19 first downs per game to PIT's 15.5

CIN is at 19 first downs per game over 2 games; PIT is at 15.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and PIT at 17.7 over 17 games.

LAR: 19 first downs per game to DEN's 15.5

LAR is at 19 first downs per game over 2 games; DEN is at 15.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 23.3 over 17 games and DEN at 19.6 over 17 games.

BAL: 60 offensive plays per game to DAL's 53

BAL is at 60 offensive plays per game over 2 games; DAL is at 53 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season BAL was at 57.3 over 17 games and DAL at 65.9 over 17 games.

TEN: 0 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 0.5

TEN is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; NYG is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 0.47 over 17 games and NYG at 0.59 over 17 games.

WSH: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 4.25

SEA is at 4.25 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; WSH is at 4.9 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season SEA was at 4.17 over 17 games and WSH at 4.81 over 17 games.

KC: 90 rushing yards allowed per game to MIA's 112.5

KC is at 90 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; MIA is at 112.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

JAX: 5.65 yards per play to NE's 5.15

Jacksonville has the edge per play, but New England has hit more big plays: 6 plays of 20+ yards last game, including Maye's 63-yarder to Doubs and a 39-yard Henderson touchdown run. The Patriots' 5.15 over 2 games is far below their 6.23 last season, so they're more likely to bounce back than Jacksonville is to stay ahead. Lawrence spread his long balls around, which makes this look like a closer offensive matchup than the gap suggests.

NO: 1 interceptions thrown per game to LV's 1.5

LV is at 1.5 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; NO is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LV was at 1.12 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

NYJ: 6.9 yards per pass attempt to DET's 6

NYJ is at 6.9 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; DET is at 6 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 4.28 over 17 games and DET at 7.09 over 17 games.

ATL: 63 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 87

ATL is at 63 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; GB is at 87 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

DET: 5.4 yards per play to NYJ's 4.9

Detroit's passing game still runs through St. Brown: three of Goff's 5 completions of 20+ yards last game went to him, including a 27-yard touchdown. Detroit's 5.4 over 2 games is below its 5.97 last season, so there's room to rise. The Jets' 4.9 is up from 4.36 last season, but one of their two big plays was a 34-yard pass interference call, which is not repeatable offense. Expect Detroit to control the game, with the Jets likely to come down toward last season's level.

Marlins are 3-2 vs Cubs this season

Miami is 3-2 against the Cubs and won the last meeting 3-2. Five games, one decided by a run, is too small to show an edge. Tonight is at Wrigley, and the series record shouldn't move your number much.

Brewers are 3-2 vs Phillies this season

Milwaukee is 3-2 against Philadelphia and won the last meeting 4-1. Five games is a thin sample, and the sheet doesn't say who started or where. Tonight is in Philadelphia, so start from the pitching matchup.

DeeJay Dallas

Toe · Limited practice

IND: 110.5 rushing yards per game to HOU's 92

HOU is at 92 rushing yards per game over 2 games; IND is at 110.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season HOU was at 108.9 over 17 games and IND at 118.1 over 17 games.

At Kauffman Stadium, Randy Dobnak pitches to a 3.93 ERA

Hitters bat .296 off Dobnak at Kauffman, where his ERA is 3.93 against 2.33 elsewhere. Both halves are thin, 34.1 innings over 7 home games and 38.2 innings away, so a few rough outings could explain the gap. Against Chicago, expect more balls in play at home and treat the road ERA as his best case.

P 1.1 IP, 4 ER, 1 K

Ty'Ron Hopper

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Lukas Van Ness

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Ar'maj Reed-Adams

Elbow · Limited practice

Tuli Tuipulotu

Hamstring · Limited practice

Ed Oliver

Hip · Limited practice

Cole Bishop

Limited practice

Donovan Jennings

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Barryn Sorrell

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Chris Lindstrom

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Kendal Daniels

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Teair Tart

Limited practice

Grant Delpit

Shoulder · Limited practice

Quincy Williams

Knee · Limited practice

Parker Brailsford

Limited practice

Tyson Campbell

Hip · Limited practice

Quinshon Judkins

Limited practice

Elgton Jenkins

Limited practice

Maliek Collins

Limited practice

Tate Ratledge

Elbow · Limited practice

Joseph Ossai

Foot · Limited practice

D.J. Reed

Limited practice

Christian Mahogany

Hip · Limited practice

Adonai Mitchell

Finger · Limited practice

Blake Miller

Knee · Limited practice

Will McDonald IV

Limited practice

Will Anderson Jr.

Limited practice

Trent Brown

Knee · Limited practice

CJ Allen

Limited practice

Charvarius Ward

Groin · Limited practice

Chris Jones

Calf · Limited practice

Chris Bell

Knee · Limited practice

JuJu Brents

Knee · Limited practice

Tucker Addington

Shoulder · Limited practice

Jaylen Wright

Foot · Limited practice

L'Jarius Sneed

Knee · Limited practice

Chamarri Conner

Knee · Limited practice

Shelby Harris

Toe · Limited practice

Chauncey Golston

Limited practice

Cor'Dale Flott

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Tony Pollard

Ankle · Limited practice

Tyler Nubin

Calf · Limited practice

Deonte Banks

Calf · Limited practice

Micah Robinson

Groin · Limited practice

Gennings Dunker

Knee · Limited practice

Jamel Dean

Ankle · Limited practice

Joey Porter Jr.

Undisclosed · Limited practice

Michael Pittman Jr.

Foot · Limited practice

Jaylen Warren

Shoulder · Limited practice

Troy Fautanu

Limited practice

Joe Burrow

Limited practice

K'Lavon Chaisson

Limited practice

Percy Butler

Groin · Limited practice

Dorance Armstrong

Knee · Limited practice

Odafe Oweh

Limited practice

Leo Chenal

Chest · Limited practice

Charles Omenihu

Ankle · Limited practice

Javon Kinlaw

Shoulder · Limited practice

Brandon Pili

Concussion · Limited practice

Jadarian Price

Chest · Limited practice

Jaylin Lane

Groin · Limited practice

Anthony Bradford

Knee · Limited practice

Josh Jones

Limited practice

Cole Van Lanen

Knee · Limited practice

DaVon Hamilton

Back · Limited practice

Jakobi Meyers

Thumb · Limited practice

Foyesade Oluokun

Limited practice

Robert Hainsey

Elbow · Limited practice

Brenden Schooler

Back · Limited practice

Reggie Gilliam

Knee · Limited practice

Ben Brown

Limited practice

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice

LeQuint Allen Jr.

Hip · Limited practice

Brian Thomas Jr.

Limited practice

Kyle Juszczyk

Limited practice

Cody Simon

Limited practice

Kaelon Black

Limited practice

Andrew Billings

Knee · Limited practice

Hjalte Froholdt

Knee · Limited practice

George Kittle

Limited practice

Isaiah Adams

Limited practice

Jack Gibbens

Limited practice

Garrett Williams

Achilles · Limited practice

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson

Back · Limited practice

Max Melton

Toe · Limited practice

Keion White

Limited practice

Anthony Nelson

Shin · Limited practice

Jalen Redmond

Elbow · Limited practice

Aaron Jones Sr.

Knee · Limited practice

Jake Golday

Ankle · Limited practice

Andrew Van Ginkel

Limited practice

A'Shawn Robinson

Limited practice

Miles Killebrew

Limited practice

Kyler Murray

Limited practice

Chris Moore

Ankle · Limited practice

Trey Hendrickson

Finger · Limited practice

Malaki Starks

Hamstring · Limited practice

Oscar Delp

Limited practice

Travis Etienne Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice

Brock Bowers

Knee - Meniscus · Limited practice

Cameron Jordan

Limited practice

Juwan Johnson

Limited practice

Chris Olave

Limited practice

Marvin Mims Jr.

Foot · Limited practice

Jordan Whittington

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Nate Landman

Shoulder · Limited practice

Omar Speights

Limited practice

Kam Curl

Limited practice

Ozzy Trapilo

Limited practice

Shemar Turner

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Darnell Wright

Limited practice

Noah Sewell

Achilles · Limited practice

Xavier Woods

Limited practice

Jonathan Greenard

Pectoral · Limited practice

Andrew Mukuba

Knee · Limited practice

Saquon Barkley

Shoulder · Limited practice

Jalen Carter

Wrist · Limited practice

Cooper DeJean

Limited practice

Dayo Odeyingbo

Limited practice

Malik Muhammad II

Limited practice

D'Andre Swift

Limited practice

Edgerrin Cooper

Head · Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Devonte Wyatt

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

C.J. West (DT) is on injured reserve for SF

The 49ers placed West (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.

Dell Pettus (S) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Pettus (ankle) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Ronnie Harrison Jr. (LB) is on injured reserve for MIA

The Dolphins placed Harrison (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 19.

David Onyemata (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Onyemata (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery Wednesday, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.

Robert Longerbeam (CB) is inactive for ATL

ATL lists Robert Longerbeam as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Ethan Onianwa (OT) is inactive for ATL

ATL lists Ethan Onianwa as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Malcolm DeWalt IV (CB) is inactive for ATL

ATL lists Malcolm DeWalt IV as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is inactive for GB

GB lists Zach Bako-Bewele as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 24.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

LAR (1-1) at DEN (1-1)

The Rams are 1-1 and plus 2, a true coin-flip start, and this is their first road game. Denver is also 1-1 but minus 14, and its win came at home. Both teams won last week. The 16-point gap favors the Rams on scoring, and Denver's only home result is a win. Two games is too little to settle it, so the margin and the home split point in opposite directions.

ATL +4.5 → +4.5

Gary's number was 4.5; the same book now shows 4.5.

BAL: 191 passing yards allowed per game to DAL's 218

BAL is at 191 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; DAL is at 218 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

CLE: 46.2% third downs allowed to CAR's 51.9%

CAR is at 51.9% third downs allowed over 2 games; CLE is at 46.2% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

LAR: 58.5 offensive plays per game to DEN's 53

LAR is at 58.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; DEN is at 53 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season LAR was at 63.9 over 17 games and DEN at 64.2 over 17 games.

LV: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 71.4%

LV is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; NO is at 71.4% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

SF: 175 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 203

ARI is at 203 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; SF is at 175 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

NYJ: 14.5 sack yards lost per game to DET's 20

NYJ is at 14.5 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; DET is at 20 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 24.9 over 17 games and DET at 20.3 over 17 games.

NYG: 2 sacks taken per game to TEN's 2.5

TEN is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; NYG is at 2 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season TEN was at 3.5 over 17 games and NYG at 2.82 over 17 games.

NO: 5.1 yards per play to LV's 4.7

New Orleans at 5.1 is basically its 5.05 from last season, so the Saints are steady. The Raiders at 4.7 over 2 games are up from 4.35 last season, which counts as progress for them even while they trail. The gap is small and both numbers line up with last season, so expect a low-margin game with no big per-play mismatch to lean on.

NYJ: 2 sacks taken per game to DET's 2.5

NYJ is at 2 sacks taken per game over 2 games; DET is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 23. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and DET at 3 over 17 games.

Zach Wood (LS) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints placed Wood (calf) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 19.

Anthony Bradford (G) is on injured reserve for SEA

The Seahawks placed Bradford (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

DET: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to NYJ's 3

NYJ is at 3 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; DET is at 3.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

SF: 5.1 yards per play allowed to ARI's 5.5

ARI is at 5.5 yards per play allowed over 2 games; SF is at 5.1 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

LAC: 35.7% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%

LAC is at 35.7% third downs allowed over 2 games; BUF is at 40.7% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

CAR: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to CLE's 2

CAR is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; CLE is at 2 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Mike Onwenu (G) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Onwenu (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

At Dodger Stadium, Tyler Glasnow pitches to a 4.25 ERA

Hitters bat just .200 off Glasnow at Dodger Stadium, yet his ERA there is 4.25, against 2.84 elsewhere. The home sample is 29.2 innings over 5 games and the away one only 38.0, so one bad night can swing either number. The low average says his stuff is working at home, which points to that home ERA coming down. Against San Diego, that matters more than the raw split.

P 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 11 K

NE: 3 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.5

NE is at 3 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; JAX is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

CIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to PIT's 3.5

CIN is at 4 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; PIT is at 3.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 23.

Jake Tonges (TE) is on injured reserve for SF

Tonges (knee) requires surgery for an MCL tear and is done for the season, Cam Inman reports. Reported Sep 16.

Eli Stowers (TE) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Stowers (quadriceps/hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 12.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Garrett (knee) was placed on injured reserve Thursday and will miss at least four games, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 17.

B.J. Green II (DE) is on injured reserve for JAX

The Jaguars placed Green (elbow) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 17.

NYG is on a short week

Both sides are on a short week: TEN has 4 days since its last game, and NYG has only 3. The Giants are at home, which helps offset their extra day of lost recovery. The Titans have the extra day but also the travel. The gap is small, so neither team gets a real scheduling edge. Expect both teams to run simpler game plans, which can make for a sloppy game.

LAR is on a short week

LAR is on 3 days since its last game and has to travel to Denver, where DEN comes in on 4. On paper that is a one-day gap, but the road team with less rest carries the heavier load. Tired legs usually show up late in games, so second-half play is where the Rams are most likely to feel it.

Cameron Williams (OL) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Williams (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Will McFadden of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 12.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Da'Shawn Hand (DT) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Hand (quadriceps) on injured reserve Wednesday, William McFadden of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 17.

P Edge side won; final 35-14

Jordan Mason (RB) is on injured reserve for MIN

MIN lists Jordan Mason as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Sep 16.

Kitan Crawford (S) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Crawford (ankle) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 17.

Jordan Magee (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Magee (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Zach Selby of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 17.

Kyle Louis (LB) is on injured reserve for MIA

The Dolphins placed Louis (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 17.

Cooper McDonald (LB) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed McDonald (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 17.

Henry To'oTo'o (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

To'oTo'o (shoulder) is expected to miss more than four games, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 16.

Kayden McDonald (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed McDonald (ankle) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 12.

HOU (0-2) at IND (0-2), a division game

Houston and Indianapolis are both 0-2 and have both lost two straight. They are almost level on points: minus 19 for Houston and minus 21 for the Colts, a 2-point gap. The Colts have already lost at home, and this is Houston's first road game. This is a division game between two winless teams whose numbers are nearly identical, and nothing on the sheet puts either one clearly ahead.

PHI (2-0) at CHI (1-1)

Philadelphia is 2-0 but only plus 6, so the unbeaten record rests on close games, one of them on the road. Chicago is 1-1 yet plus 16, which is better scoring than its record shows, though its loss came at home. That puts the stronger record and the stronger margin on different sides. After two games the Bears have the better margin and the Eagles have the better record.

MIA have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 0 of their last 10

MIA scored in the first inning in 0 of the 10 sampled games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Matthew Boyd: 4.71 ERA, .218 opponent AVG across 21.0 IP, 3 HR; Tyler Phillips: 5.21 ERA, .312 opponent AVG across 19.0 IP, 5 HR.

P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 71-48 in their other 119 completed games.

Landon Dickerson (G) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Dickerson (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Chris McPherson of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 16.

Marcelino McCrary-Ball (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

NYJ lists Marcelino McCrary-Ball as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

Alec Burleson vs Paul Skenes: .353

Burleson has 6 hits in 17 at-bats against Skenes with an .801 OPS, so some of those hits went for extra bases. Seventeen at-bats is small, and a couple of hits either way changes the picture. He comes in at a .750 OPS over the last 15 days, so his current form fits the history. In Pittsburgh, he is a Cardinals bat who has squared up Skenes before, and .353 is unlikely to carry over.

P 1-for-4, 4 TB

KC is on a short week

KC and MIA each come in on 4 days of rest, so the schedule is a wash. With little practice time, both teams will lean on what they already run well. Look past rest to handicap this game.

Lucas Giolito

Lucas Giolito — elbow on 60-day, back in 7 days. He's been brutal this year (5.16 ERA). Elbow injuries have nasty recurrence rates, and his performance metrics suggest he was already struggling. One week isn't enough time to trust this return. Pass — hold the roster spot. Elbow + poor play is a two-way red flag. Only grab him if he clears and makes a start without issue.

PHI is on a short week

PHI and CHI are both on 4 days since their last games, so rest is even. Both teams had the same short prep window, and the travel is modest. Rest is not the reason to back either team.

LV is on a short week

LV and NO both played 4 days ago, so neither side has a rest edge. Both teams are working with limited practice time, which usually means vanilla game plans. The schedule is neutral here.

CIN and PIT are even since 2025

The 1-1 split hides two very different games. Cincinnati won a shootout 33-31 at home on Oct 16, and Pittsburgh won 34-12 at home on Nov 16. The home team won both times, and this game is in Pittsburgh. The last visit there was lopsided, with Cincinnati held to 12. With only two meetings, the venue gives you more to go on than the series score does.

ATL is on a short week

ATL and GB both come in on 4 days since their last games, so the schedule is even. Both staffs had less time to prepare, which usually means simpler game plans. Rest is not an edge for either side here.

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

CIN is on a short week

CIN and PIT both played 4 days ago, so there is no rest gap. Both teams know each other well, and that familiarity matters more when neither side has time to prepare new looks. The schedule tells you nothing extra here.

BAL is on a short week

BAL and DAL both come in on 4 days of rest. With no gap between them, the schedule does not favor either side. Short-week games often start slowly because both teams have had little time to add new plays.

SEA is on a short week

SEA and WSH are both on 4 days since their last games. Seattle has the longer trip on short rest, which the rest numbers alone do not show. Otherwise the schedule is even.

NE is on a short week

NE and JAX both come in on 4 days of rest, so neither team has a schedule edge. Expect simpler game plans on both sides. Rest is not an angle for this game.

MIN is on a short week

MIN and TB each had 4 days since their last games, so the schedule is even. Both coaching staffs had a compressed week to prepare, which usually keeps game plans basic. Rest does not separate these teams.

HOU is on a short week

HOU and IND both had 4 days since their last games, so rest is even. Both teams know each other's schemes, which matters more on a short week when there is little time to add new looks. The schedule does not tilt this one.

CAR is on a short week

CAR and CLE are both on 4 days of rest, so neither side has a schedule edge. Short weeks tend to limit how much each team can add to its game plan, which usually favors basic, conservative play from both.

HOU lead the series with IND since 2025

Houston won both meetings last season, and both were close. They won 20-16 in Indianapolis on Nov 30, then 38-30 at home on Jan 4. Indianapolis had a shot late in each game, so the 2-0 record makes the gap look bigger than it was. This one is back in Indianapolis, where Houston scored only 20 last time. That makes the one-score finishes the pattern to lean on, more than the series record.

SF lead the series with ARI since 2025

San Francisco has won both recent meetings, but the first was a coin flip: 16-15 at home on Sep 21. The second was one-way, 41-22 in Arizona on Nov 16. This game is back in San Francisco, where the last meeting was the one-point game. Two games is a small sample, and the home result argues more for a tight game than a repeat of the blowout.

ARI is on a short week

ARI and SF both played 4 days ago, so the rest is even. Both teams know each other, so the short week hurts neither side more than the other. Look elsewhere for an edge.

Daron Payne

Full practice

Chris Paul

Full practice

Jeremy Reaves

Full practice

Sam Darnold

Full practice

Brady Russell

Full practice

Anthony Belton

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Shemar Stewart

Full practice

Jalen Ramsey

Full practice

James Williams Sr.

Full practice

Fernando Carmona

Full practice

Jermaine Eluemunor

Full practice

Cedric Gray

Full practice

Greg Newsome II

Full practice

Francis Mauigoa

Full practice

Marcus Harris

Full practice

Nic Jones

Full practice

Micah McFadden

Full practice

Malik Nabers

Full practice

Mansoor Delane

Full practice

Jadon Canady

Full practice

Jeffrey Bassa

Full practice

R Mason Thomas

Full practice

Malik Willis

Full practice

Chop Robinson

Full practice

Ashton Gillotte

Full practice

Dante Trader Jr.

Full practice

Seydou Traore

Full practice

Chris Johnson

Full practice

Rashee Rice

Full practice

Jaden Hicks

Full practice

Jack Cochrane

Full practice