Sports picks for Sunday, October 11, 2026

Dodgers 8-0 in Tarik Skubal's last 8 starts

The Dodgers have won each of Skubal's last eight starts. Without runs allowed or run support behind it, the record tells you they won and nothing about how. Misiorowski's Brewers are also 8-0 in his last eight, so the two streaks cancel out as an angle. Price this game on the pitching matchup and the lineups, and leave the 8-0 out of it.

Brewers 8-0 in Jacob Misiorowski's last 8 starts

Milwaukee has won all eight of Misiorowski's last eight starts, so the team keeps finding a way when he pitches. There are no runs-allowed or scoring numbers here, so it is unclear how much of that is his arm and how much is the lineup bailing him out. Skubal brings his own 8-0 run into this game, and one streak ends tonight. With both starters riding the same record, the streak gives neither side an edge.

CHI: 47.4% third-down conversion rate to GB's 26.1%

Chicago converts 47.4% on third down over four games, a bit up from 42.7% last season. Green Bay has fallen hard to 26.1% after 48.8% last year, which suggests the Packers' number is more likely to climb than stay put. Chicago's run game keeps third downs short, which helps explain its rate. Expect more Bears drives to stay alive, while the Packers' slump sits on a four-game sample.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

CIN: 277.5 team passing yards per game to MIA's 163.5

Cincinnati moves the ball through the air at a far higher clip than Miami, and that gap shapes this game. The Bengals were already at 235.6 last season, so 277.5 over four games is a step up from a passing team. Miami has dropped from 180.5 last season, which is a bigger red flag over four games. Expect Cincinnati to set the tempo through the air, with Miami needing a different script to stay close.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

DAL: 1.2 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.4

Tampa Bay is taking 3.4 sacks per game over five games, while Dallas is at 1.2. Last season both teams were at 2.38, so this gap is new and five games deep. That helps explain why the Bucs' passing has fallen off. If the Tampa Bay protection issue carries over, the Cowboys' pass rush gets chances to stall drives; Dallas' clean pocket also looks likely to come back toward last year.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

DAL: 83.3% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 47.1%

Dallas is scoring on 83.3% of red-zone trips over five games, up sharply from 56.9% last season, a rate that rarely holds. Tampa Bay is at 47.1%, down from 54%. Both teams likely drift back toward last season's numbers. Dallas finishing drives is the edge for now, but expect fewer touchdowns per trip than this five-game run suggests.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to NO's 32

Minnesota's defense is allowing 12.8 points over four games, well under its 19.6 last season. New Orleans is giving up 32, up from 22.5. The Saints throw a lot, which can mean shootouts, and turnovers have hurt them. Both numbers are four games deep and likely to move toward last season, but the gap points to Minnesota controlling how this game gets played.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

HOU: 264.8 team passing yards per game to TEN's 172.3

Houston throws for far more per game than Tennessee, so expect the Texans to lean on the pass while the Titans try to grind. Four games in, Houston is up from 218.1 last season and Tennessee sits near its 166.1 from last year. The Titans' number looks like who they are; Houston's jump is a four-game sample and could cool. In this spot, think about Houston's passing volume dictating pace, with Tennessee less likely to keep up through the air.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

DET: 287.3 team passing yards per game to ARI's 194.3

Detroit is throwing for 287.3 per game over four games, up from 253.1 last season. Arizona has dropped to 194.3 after 232.6 last year. The Lions look like a passing offense that has stepped up, while the Cardinals' fall is the bigger change and could reverse. Expect Detroit to dictate through the air, with Arizona's passing output a candidate to rise from here.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

CIN: 24.3 points per game to MIA's 11.5

Cincinnati scores about what it did last season, 24.4 over 17 games, so their 24.3 looks real. Miami is the story: 11.5 over four games after 20.4 last season, a sharp drop. Four games is a short window, and Miami's offense likely sits somewhere between those two numbers. A bettor can lean on Cincinnati's steady scoring and be cautious assuming Miami stays this low.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

SF: 57.5% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 31.1%

SF is at 57.5% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; SEA is at 31.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

LV: 28.8 points per game to NE's 16.3

These two teams have flipped from last season. Las Vegas scored 14.2 over 17 games last year and is at 28.8 over four games now, exactly what New England put up last season. New England has fallen to 16.3. Four games is a small sample and both numbers could drift toward their old levels, so weigh how much of each swing you believe before pricing this game.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

CHI: 36:36 time of possession per game to GB's 26:46

Chicago holds the ball for 36:36 per game over four games, way up from 30:59 last season, and Green Bay sits at 26:46 after 29:48 last year. A strong run game and good third downs let the Bears keep the clock moving. If that holds, it means fewer possessions for both teams and a slower game. Four games is a short sample, so the gap is likely to shrink some.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

LAR: 145.5 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 256.3

The Rams have allowed 145.5 passing yards a game over four games, while Buffalo has given up 256.3. That points to a tight Rams secondary, though opponents' quality and whether teams leaned on the run are not on the sheet. Four games is short, so the Rams' number likely rises some. Buffalo's pass defense is the softer unit in this matchup, which is a lens for the Rams' passing props.

CHI: 23.7% third downs allowed to GB's 48.2%

Chicago has held opponents to 23.7% on third down across four games, and Green Bay allows 48.2%, so the Bears get off the field and the Packers do not. The sheet does not say which offenses either faced, so schedule may account for part of it. Rates this extreme tend to come back toward the middle. Green Bay at home still has the bigger issue to fix, which matters for drive length and the total.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

BAL: 0.5 turnovers a game to ATL's 2

Baltimore is giving the ball away 0.5 times a game, Atlanta 2 times, over 4 games. Last season Baltimore was at 1.35 and Atlanta at 1.06, so this gap is mostly four-game noise in both directions. Turnovers swing a lot week to week and should move back toward those marks. Atlanta's job is simple: protect the ball, because extra short fields for Baltimore are how this one gets away.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

CIN: 277.5 pass yards a game to MIA's 163.5

Cincinnati is throwing for 277.5 a game to Miami's 163.5 over 4 games. Both teams have moved from last season: Cincinnati was at 235.6 and Miami at 180.5, so the gap is wider now than a full year said it should be. Expect it to narrow some, with Miami's passing likely to creep back toward last year. Miami has to win with the run and clock control at home, and a bettor should ask whether this gap prices Miami too low.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is out for CHI

Chicago will play at Green Bay without safety Anthony Johnson Jr., who was listed out on the injury report Oct 12. The report gives no injury or detail on when he last played, so how much his absence costs is hard to measure from this alone. Out means he will not suit up, so someone else on the back end takes his snaps, and that depth spot is the thing to check before betting Bears pass defense.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI

Williams is the Bears' starting quarterback, so this is the biggest absence on the board for Chicago. He is dealing with a hamstring injury, and Ben Johnson would not set a return date after Sunday's loss at Green Bay. Johnson said he is on track and it will be close whether he makes it back for Atlanta or after. A bettor should hold off on assuming he plays the Atlanta game until the team says more.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

SF: 57.5% on third down to SEA's 31.1%

The widest gap between these two is third down: SF's offense converted 57.5% of its own third downs over 4 games; SEA's offense converted 31.1% of its own third downs over 4 games this season. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

DET: 287.3 pass yards a game to ARI's 194.3

Detroit is throwing for 287.3 yards a game to Arizona's 194.3 over 4 games. Detroit is up from 253.1 last season, while Arizona has dropped hard from 232.6, so most of the gap comes from Arizona's slide. Expect Arizona's number to rise back toward last year. Arizona has to stay balanced and avoid falling behind early, because chasing Detroit is how this gap shows up on the scoreboard.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

CHI: 196.3 rush yards a game to GB's 58

Chicago is running for 196.3 yards a game while Green Bay is at 58 over 4 games, a huge gap on the ground. Both numbers are extremes: Chicago ran for 144.5 last season and Green Bay for 119.8, so four games have stretched each one. Green Bay's run game should come back toward last year. If Chicago keeps grinding, it controls the clock and Green Bay gets fewer possessions, which favors a lower-scoring, slower game.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to NO's 32

Minnesota has allowed 12.8 points a game through 4 games, while New Orleans has given up 32. Both are big moves from last season, when the Vikings allowed 19.6 and the Saints 22.5, so four games are stretching each side toward an extreme. Expect both to drift back toward those numbers. The gap is still wide enough that New Orleans has to score against a defense playing far above its usual level while hoping its own defense stops leaking.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

DAL: 269.6 pass yards a game to TB's 173.4

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: TB threw for 173.4 passing yards a game over 5 games; DAL threw for 269.6 passing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season TB was at 205.9 over 17 games and DAL at 266.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Andrew Vorhees (G) is out for BAL

Baltimore is without guard Andrew Vorhees for Sunday night at Atlanta, inactive with a foot injury as of Oct 11. Inactive is final: he will not dress. The fact sheet does not name his replacement, so the open question is who fills that interior line spot and how a reshuffled front holds up in pass protection and the run game.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

HOU: 264.8 pass yards a game to TEN's 172.3

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: HOU threw for 264.8 passing yards a game over 4 games; TEN threw for 172.3 passing yards a game over 4 games this season. Last season HOU was at 218.1 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Za'Darius Smith (DE) is out for ATL

Smith carries two problems, a concussion and a neck injury, and the downgrade to out on Oct 11 removes any guesswork for Sunday against Baltimore. Out means he will not play. A concussion has its own return protocol, so his status beyond this week depends on how he clears it. The sheet does not name who takes his edge snaps, so look at Atlanta's pass rush depth before backing any sack or pressure angle against the Ravens.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB

Mayfield is Tampa Bay's starting quarterback, so losing him at Dallas changes the whole offense. The thumb injury still has him in a splint, and Todd Bowles said Friday the next step is seeing whether he can grip a football next week. That timeline makes this more than a one-week absence. The fact sheet does not name the backup, so check who starts before judging Tampa's passing game in this spot.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

MIN: 22.6% third downs allowed to NO's 47.6%

Minnesota lets opponents convert just 22.6% of third downs over four games, while New Orleans allows 47.6%, which means one defense gets off the field and the other keeps drives alive. The sheet does not list the offenses faced, so some of that gap could be schedule. A rate this low usually rises over a full season. Even with some pullback, the difference matters for drive length and possession count in this matchup.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

TB: 72.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 168.4

Tampa Bay has held opponents to 72.8 rushing yards a game across five games, while Dallas has given up 168.4, so one front is closing lanes and the other is getting run over. Five games is enough to take both seriously, though the sheet does not say which offenses each side faced or whether trailing teams abandoned the run against Tampa. Dallas at home is the side with the clearer problem. A bettor can lean on that gap when thinking about Tampa's ground game and rushing props in this spot.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

MIN: 18.2% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 66.7%

Opponents have scored on only 18.2% of red-zone trips against Minnesota over four games, compared with 66.7% against New Orleans. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of trips, so four games can swing them hard, and 18.2% is very likely to climb. New Orleans at 66.7% looks more like a real weakness. Bettors thinking about totals should expect Minnesota's stinginess near the goal line to loosen some.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

JAX: 2 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.5

Jacksonville has forced 2 turnovers a game over four games, and Philadelphia has managed just 0.5. Takeaways swing more than almost any defensive stat, so four games of fumble luck and tipped balls can inflate or sink these numbers fast. Expect both to drift toward the middle. Jacksonville's edge at home is real enough to factor in, but it is a weaker foundation for a bet than yardage or third-down numbers.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

PIT: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5

Pittsburgh is forcing 2 turnovers a game over four games, while Indianapolis has just 0.5. Takeaways are among the noisiest numbers in football, and four games is not much to go on, so both are likely to move toward average. Pittsburgh at home has the better ball-hawking start. Weigh it lightly next to steadier stats when sizing up this game.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

MIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to NO's 2

Minnesota is averaging 4 sacks a game through four games, double New Orleans at 2. That pass rush lines up with Minnesota's strong third-down and red-zone numbers on the same matchup, which suggests the pressure is doing real work. Four games is still a small sample, and sack totals depend on the lines faced. In the Superdome, Minnesota's rush is the side most likely to shape drives.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1

Cincinnati is getting home 3.5 times a game through four games, while Miami has only 1, so one defense is living in the backfield and the other rarely touches the quarterback. Four games is a short sample and the sheet does not show which lines either side faced. Sack rates can move quickly as opponents change. For this game, the pressure gap points toward Cincinnati's defense creating more negative plays in Miami.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Christian Harris (LB) is out for ATL

ATL lists Christian Harris as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Aeneas Peebles (DT) is out for BAL

BAL lists Aeneas Peebles as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Trey Hendrickson (LB) is out for BAL

BAL lists Trey Hendrickson as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Ed Oliver (DT) is out for BUF

Oliver is ruled out with a knee injury for Monday's game against the Rams, reported Oct 10. With an out tag there is no game-time call to wait on: Buffalo plays this one without him in the middle of its defensive front. The sheet does not name who fills his snaps, so the useful step is to see how Buffalo lines up inside and whether the Rams lean on the run against that look.

Joshua Palmer (WR) is out for BUF

Joshua Palmer will miss Monday's game against the Rams with a shoulder injury, and out means he is not playing. DJ Moore is listed questionable with a shoulder issue of his own, which puts two Buffalo receivers on the same report. If Moore also sits, the targets have to go somewhere thinner, so check Moore's status before Monday night and price Buffalo's passing props with both outcomes in mind.

Robert Longerbeam (CB) is out for ATL

ATL lists Robert Longerbeam as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Malcolm DeWalt IV (CB) is out for ATL

ATL lists Malcolm DeWalt IV as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Ethan Onianwa (OT) is out for ATL

ATL lists Ethan Onianwa as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Cam Jurgens (C) is out for BAL

BAL lists Cam Jurgens as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Elijah Sarratt (WR) is out for BAL

Baltimore lists Sarratt as out for the game in Atlanta. The report gives no injury detail or timeline, and with Lamar Jackson also out, the Ravens' passing game is thin at more than one spot this week.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Jack Strand (QB) is out for ATL

Atlanta lists Strand as out for Sunday against Baltimore. No injury or timeline is given, and as a quarterback outside the starting picture his absence should not change much for this game.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Lamar Jackson (QB) is out for BAL

Jackson is Baltimore's quarterback and the center of its offense, so an out tag is as big as absences get for this team. The report gives no injury detail or timeline, and the sheet does not name who starts in his place. Expect the Ravens' numbers in Atlanta to look different from what they show with him under center.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Cooper Rush (QB) is out for ATL

Rush is inactive for Sunday against the Ravens as a coach's decision, which means no injury. He will serve as Atlanta's emergency quarterback, so he only sees the field if things go badly wrong at the position.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 16.7%

Cincinnati converts three of every four fourth-down tries, while Miami has turned only one in six into a first down over 4 games. Fourth-down attempts are a small handful per team, so a couple of plays swing these rates hard. Cincinnati was at 70% last season, so its number looks like who it is, while Miami was at 47.8% and should drift back up. In a game with Miami at home, the bigger question is whether Miami keeps going for it on short fields given how rarely it has worked.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

NO: 80% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

MIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; NO is at 80% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season MIN was at 56.9% over 17 games and NO at 44.4% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

TB: 33.9% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.6%

TB is at 33.9% third downs allowed over 5 games; DAL is at 52.6% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

BUF @ LAR carries a 54.5 market total

A 54.5 total puts Buffalo at the Rams in the same tier as Detroit-Arizona, 11 points above the 43.5 slate median. The market expects a shootout with points coming quickly from both sides. For that to break, one offense has to sputter or the clock has to keep running, because a total this high needs both teams to score. The more one-sided the game looks to you, the weaker the over case gets.

IND: 75% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 44.4%

Indianapolis finishes 75% of its red-zone trips with a touchdown, and Pittsburgh is under half at 44.4% through 4 games. Indianapolis was already good there last season at 65.2%, while Pittsburgh was at 58.8%, so the Steelers' dip is the likelier number to recover. Red-zone rates swing on a few snaps over 4 games. If Pittsburgh keeps settling for field goals at home, that shapes how a close total plays out.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

DET @ ARI carries a 54.5 market total

At 54.5, the market expects Detroit and Arizona to trade scores all game, 11 points more than the middle game on this 14-game slate. Nothing on the sheet explains why, so the number itself is the evidence: the market sees both defenses giving up points. For the under to have a chance, drives have to stall early and settle for field goals. Ask yourself whether you see two offenses running free or a game that slows down, and price it that way.

DET: 5.85 yards per play to ARI's 4.38

Detroit gains almost a yard and a half more per snap than Arizona, and its last game had 4 plays of 20 or more yards, led by Jared Goff's 57-yarder to Isaac TeSlaa and 49-yarder to Jameson Williams. Detroit sat at 5.97 last season, so 5.85 is normal for them. Arizona fell from 5.18 last season to 4.38 and leans on Jacoby Brissett throwing to Michael Wilson for its chunk plays. Detroit's big-play passing against an Arizona offense that moves in smaller steps is the matchup to price.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

DEN: 1.25 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.5

The Chargers are giving the ball away twice as often as Denver, 2.5 times a game over 4 games. They were at 1.24 last season, so that rate is the one most likely to come down. Denver at 1.25 is close to its 1 last season. Turnovers swing spreads, and a Chargers team that cleans this up at home looks different than its record of mistakes so far.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Quinshon Judkins (RB) is questionable for CLE

Judkins is listed as questionable after being seen in a walking boot on his right foot following Sunday's 17-12 loss at the Jets. A boot right after a game is a warning sign even without a diagnosis. Bettors looking at Browns rushing numbers should wait for his status before leaning on him.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

NYG: 19.8 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5

NYG is at 19.8 points allowed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 30.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season NYG was at 25.8 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side tied 27-27

SEA: 2 takeaways per game to SF's 0.75

Seattle is forcing 2 turnovers a game across four games, and San Francisco only 0.75. Takeaway rates bounce around a lot in short samples, so both teams are likely to move toward average. Seattle has the better start at home. Use it as a small nudge, since turnover luck is hard to bank on.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

CeeDee Lamb (WR) is questionable for DAL

Lamb is listed questionable with a quad bruise, and the Oct 9 report calls it not serious. Questionable means a real chance he sits, but a bruise is usually something players manage through. If he plays, watch whether the bruise cuts into his snaps or his downfield work against Tampa Bay. Waiting for the final inactive list before betting his receiving props is the safer approach.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

DJ Moore has a shoulder injury and is questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, which means it is uncertain whether he plays. Joshua Palmer is already ruled out with a shoulder injury, so Buffalo is short at receiver either way. The status should be clearer closer to kickoff, and anything tied to Moore or the Bills' passing game is safer to judge once he is confirmed active or out.

Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

Gabriel's back injury has him ruled out for Sunday at the Jets, and his designation shows he's on the return path from injured reserve without being ready yet. The sheet doesn't say who starts for Cleveland, so check the quarterback before backing any Browns passing number.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

NYG: 19.8 points allowed a game to WSH's 30.5

The Giants are allowing 19.8 points a game and Washington 30.5 over 4 games. Both moved a lot from last season, when the Giants allowed 25.8 and Washington 26.5, so the two defenses were close a year ago. Expect both to drift back toward the middle. Washington's defense has to hold up at home, and a bettor should be wary of pricing four games of defense as a full-season truth.

P Edge side tied 27-27

DET: 3.75 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2

Detroit is averaging 3.75 sacks a game over four games, ahead of Arizona at 2. The sheet does not say which lines Detroit has faced, so some of that rate could be schedule. Sack totals swing with opponents, and four games is a short run. Detroit's rush is the more likely of the two to create negative plays in this game.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

DEN: 1.25 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.5

Denver is turning it over 1.25 times a game and the Chargers 2.5 over 4 games. Last season the Chargers were at 1.24, so their giveaways have doubled in a short sample, while Denver is near last year's 1. The Chargers' number is the one likely to come down. If they clean it up at home, this gap shrinks fast, so judge them on ball security more than the record.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

DEN: 1.25 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3

The Chargers' quarterback goes down three times a game, Denver's barely more than once over 4 games. This one has history behind it: the Chargers took 3.75 a game last season and Denver 1.77. Expect the gap to hold, since it matches a full season of evidence. Pressure on the Chargers' passer is a steady factor in drive-killing third downs and in how much they can push the ball downfield.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

BUF: 31.8 points per game to LAR's 21.3

BUF is at 31.8 points per game over 4 games; LAR is at 21.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 28.3 over 17 games and LAR at 30.5 over 17 games.

CIN: 30.8% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 64.7%

CIN is at 30.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; MIA is at 64.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

IND: 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate to PIT's 33.3%

IND is at 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; PIT is at 33.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 66.7% over 17 games and PIT at 52.2% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

JAX: 13.3 points allowed a game to PHI's 23.3

Jacksonville is allowing 13.3 points a game, Philadelphia 23.3, over 4 games. A year ago the two were close, with Philadelphia at 19.1 and Jacksonville at 19.8, so both have moved sharply in opposite directions. Jacksonville's number is the more likely to rise. Philadelphia needs to finish drives against a defense that has been stingy early, and a bettor should weigh how much of that 13.3 is four games of schedule.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

LAR: 4.13 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.45

The Rams allow 4.13 yards per play across four games, while Buffalo allows 5.45, so the Rams are holding up on a snap-by-snap basis. Yards per play is steadier than most defensive stats, though four games and an unknown schedule leave room for movement. Buffalo is giving up more on every play. That gap is a useful frame for how both offenses should move the ball in Los Angeles.

CHI: 25.3 first downs per game to GB's 17

CHI is at 25.3 first downs per game over 4 games; GB is at 17 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

CHI: 16.3 points allowed per game to GB's 26.3

CHI is at 16.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; GB is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

JAX: 13.3 points allowed per game to PHI's 23.3

PHI is at 23.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 13.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season PHI was at 19.1 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

CHI: 28 points per game to GB's 18.3

CHI is at 28 points per game over 4 games; GB is at 18.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 25.9 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Riley Moss

Ribs · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Anfernee Jennings

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Adonai Mitchell

Finger · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Dylan Parham

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Teven Jenkins

Back · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Tylan Wallace

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Mason Graham

Knee, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Carsen Ryan

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Jaylon Carlies

Ribs · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Jamel Dean

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Stefon Diggs

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Percy Butler

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Derwin James Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Kayode Awosika

Fibula · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Jason Pinnock

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Yasir Abdullah

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Ben Bartch

Foot · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Rock Ya-Sin

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Marques Sigle

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Nick Bosa

Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Marcus Epps

Groin · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Kyle Monangai

Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Kyle Juszczyk

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 32-29

James Thompson Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Andrew Wingard

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Lamar Jackson

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Jalen Nailor

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

CHI: 74.5 offensive plays per game to GB's 58.8

CHI is at 74.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; GB is at 58.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and GB at 59.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Trey Hendrickson

Finger · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Cam Jurgens

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Joshua Palmer

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

Ed Oliver

Knee · Did not practice · Out

Ashton Dulin

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Mike Hall Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Breece Hall

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Charles Demmings

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Jeremiah Wright

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Kaden Elliss

Calf · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Matt Hibner (TE) is questionable for BAL

Hibner (hand) is questionable to return to Sunday night's contest against the Falcons. Reported Oct 12.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Hollywood Brown

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Christian Darrisaw

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Christian Gonzalez

Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Karon Prunty

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Trey Zuhn III

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Kyle Dugger

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Reese Taylor

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Caleb Douglas

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Justin Joly

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Amani Hooker

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Jaylon Jones

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Saquon Barkley

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Drew Kendall

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Benjamin Morrison

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Marcus Mariota

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Drew Shelton

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

SirVocea Dennis

Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Cobie Durant

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

DeMarvion Overshown

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Rib · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-16

CHI: 47.3 penalty yards per game to GB's 86

CHI is at 47.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; GB is at 86 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 57.1 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Joe Alt

Neck · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

SF: 43.3 penalty yards per game to SEA's 81.8

SF is at 43.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; SEA is at 81.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 38.3 over 17 games and SEA at 46.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Tyler Owens

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Charles Omenihu

Groin, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Nick Cross

Illness · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side tied 27-27

Keyshaun Elliott

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Pat Surtain II

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Quentin Johnston

Chest · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Donte Jackson

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Brenen Thompson

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

BAL: 241.5 team passing yards per game to ATL's 179.5

Baltimore throws for about 62 more yards a game than Atlanta over 4 games. That is a big shift for Baltimore, which was at 175.6 last season, while Atlanta dropped from 207.2. Baltimore leaning on the pass this much is new, and game script from 4 games can inflate it. Watch whether the Ravens keep throwing in Atlanta or return to their old balance.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to SF's 44.1%

Seattle allows opponents to convert 28.6% of third downs over four games, while San Francisco allows 44.1%. The sheet does not show which offenses each faced, and four games is short, so Seattle's rate will likely tick up. San Francisco's mark leaves more room for sustained drives. At home, Seattle's defense has the edge in getting off the field.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

LAD games have gone UNDER 5 straight

Dodgers games have averaged 5.6 combined runs over the last five, well under the 7.7 the books posted. The market kept expecting more offense than it got, though five games is a short run. Tonight's total of 6 already sits close to what these games have produced, so most of the gap that made the unders easy is gone. Backing the under now means trusting the low scoring at a price that has already caught up to it.

P final total 3 vs 6

CHI: 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 85.7%

CHI is at 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; GB is at 85.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

JAX: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1

Jacksonville is getting the quarterback down 2.5 times a game, while Philadelphia's pass rush has managed 1. Four games is a small sample, and the sheet does not show which offensive lines those sacks came against, so part of the gap could be schedule. Sack rates swing a lot week to week, so expect both numbers to move. For this game, a Jacksonville rush that is getting home makes long third downs and stalled Eagles drives more likely.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

TEN: 1.5 sacks taken per game to HOU's 3

Houston's quarterback takes 3 sacks a game, Tennessee's half that over 4 games. Houston was at 2.58 last season, so the line has a real history of giving up pressure. Tennessee improved sharply from 3.5 last season, which is the number more likely to slide back. Pressure on Houston's passer can stall drives in Tennessee.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Trey Lance (QB) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Lance on injured reserve Saturday with a groin injury. As a backup quarterback, his absence mainly thins the depth behind the starter and should not change the plan against Denver.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

CIN: 20.8 first downs per game to MIA's 13.3

CIN is at 20.8 first downs per game over 4 games; MIA is at 13.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

JAX: 28.6% red-zone scoring allowed to PHI's 58.8%

Jacksonville allows touchdowns on 28.6% of red-zone trips over four games, while Philadelphia allows 58.8%. Red-zone rates swing on just a handful of possessions, so Jacksonville's stinginess is likely to loosen. Philadelphia's number looks more like how teams finish against it. For totals in Jacksonville, expect the Jaguars' edge near the goal line to shrink as the sample grows.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Dee Alford (CB) is questionable for BUF

Alford is questionable with an ankle injury for Monday's game against the Rams, reported Oct 10, so his status may not be settled until close to kickoff. If he sits, Buffalo has to reshuffle its corner group against a Rams passing game. A Monday night spot gives bettors the whole weekend of news, so final injury reports matter more than early numbers here.

Landon Jackson (DE) is questionable for BUF

Landon Jackson is questionable for Buffalo's Monday game against the Rams with a knee injury, so he could play or sit. He plays defensive end and works as part of the pass rush. The fact sheet does not say who would take his snaps. Check for an update before Monday night, since the call can come late.

MIN: 94.5 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 147.8

MIN is at 94.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NO is at 147.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Jacob Monk

Quadricep · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Tyler Guyton (OT) is questionable for DAL

Guyton is questionable with a back issue, and Brian Schottenheimer said Friday that his X-rays came back negative. That points to a better chance of playing against Tampa Bay than the tag alone suggests. If he sits, Dallas loses a starting tackle and the line shuffles.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

SF: 0 sacks taken per game to SEA's 1.5

SF is at 0 sacks taken per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Eric Murray

Concussion · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 17-19

HOU: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2

Houston is averaging 3.5 sacks a game, Tennessee 2, both over four games. That is a strong Texans rush, though four games is not enough to rule out a soft run of opposing lines, and the sheet does not say who they faced. Sack totals tend to come back toward average. In this matchup, the Titans' quarterback is likely to be under steady pressure, which points toward drives stalling and fewer points for Tennessee.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Aaron Banks

Knee, Toe · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 7-31

ATL: 48.3 rushing yards allowed per game to BAL's 100

Atlanta is allowing just 48.3 rushing yards a game, less than half of Baltimore's 100, both over four games. The sheet does not show which offenses Atlanta faced, and a low number can come from opponents falling behind and passing instead of running. Expect it to rise. Against Baltimore, a team built around the run, this Falcons front faces a much tougher test than most, so do not assume the Ravens get shut down on the ground.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

NYJ: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.25

The Jets have given the ball away once in 4 games, 0.25 a game, after 1.35 last season. That kind of clean month rarely lasts, so expect more giveaways from them going forward. Cleveland at 1.25 is a bit better than last season's 1.47 and looks closer to normal. If you're leaning on the Jets to win the turnover battle again, know that their current rate is the outlier here.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

NYJ: 0.25 turnovers a game to CLE's 1.25

The Jets have 0.25 turnovers a game to Cleveland's 1.25 over 4 games. Last season the Jets were at 1.35 and Cleveland at 1.47, so the Jets' number is the outlier and is unlikely to last. Cleveland is close to its usual level. Cleveland's path is to force mistakes from a Jets offense that has hardly made any, and that regression is part of how to think about this spot.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

DET: 6.77 yards per pass attempt to ARI's 4.75

Detroit is getting 6.77 yards every time it throws, while Arizona's passing game is stuck at 4.75, well below last season's 5.61. Detroit is near its 7.09 from last season, so that level looks real. Arizona's drop is a 4-game sample and has room to bounce back some, but even last season's number trails Detroit by a lot. Detroit's passing efficiency should be the edge that shapes this game.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

MIN: 1.75 takeaways per game to NO's 0.75

MIN is at 1.75 takeaways per game over 4 games; NO is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

LV: 2.25 takeaways per game to NE's 1.25

Las Vegas is taking the ball away 2.25 times a game, New England 1.25, both over four games. Four games is a short window, and turnovers are among the streakiest stats in football, so the Raiders' number will likely come down. It is a real edge so far for Las Vegas, but treat the size of it with caution when sizing up this game.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

LV: 1.5 turnovers a game to NE's 2.5

The Raiders are turning it over 1.5 times a game and New England 2.5 over 4 games. New England was at 0.94 last season, so this is a big jump in a short run, while the Raiders are near last year's 1.35. Expect New England's giveaways to come down. At home, the Patriots win this matchup mostly by holding onto the ball.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

TB: 1.4 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.4

Tampa Bay is forcing 1.4 turnovers a game across five games, while Dallas is at 0.4. Takeaways depend heavily on luck, like tipped passes and which fumbles bounce your way, so over five games a lot of this gap is noise. Both numbers will probably move toward average. For this game, the edge points toward Tampa Bay, though turnover swings are the least reliable thing to build a view around.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

SF: 6.97 yards per play to SEA's 5.83

SF is at 6.97 yards per play over 4 games; SEA is at 5.83 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 5.49 over 17 games and SEA at 5.98 over 17 games. SF had 4 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 56-yard pass for a touchdown (George Kittle 56 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Eddy Pineiro Kick)); 24-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 24 Yds to Mike Evans); 22-yard run (Deebo Samuel Sr. 22 Yd Rush). SEA had 5 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 28-yard pass (Sam Darnold Pass Complete for 28 Yds to Jaxon Smith-Njigba); 28-yard run for a touchdown (Rashid Shaheed 28 Yd Rush (Jason Myers PAT Failed)); 23-yard pass for a touchdown (Emanuel Wilson 23 Yd pass from Sam Darnold (Jason Myers Kick)).

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Quentin Lake (S) is questionable for LAR

Quentin Lake is questionable for the Rams on Monday against Buffalo with a hip injury, so he could go either way. He plays safety in the Los Angeles secondary. The fact sheet does not name a replacement. If he sits, the Rams back end loses a regular, which matters most for Bills passing props.

ARI: 233.8 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 304

Arizona is allowing 233.8 passing yards a game, while Detroit is giving up 304, both over four games. Detroit's number is high, though pass yards allowed can climb when a defense is protecting a lead and opponents are forced to throw. Over four games both figures could shift. For this game, Arizona's passing attack has room to work against a Lions secondary that has given up a lot through the air.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

TB: 5.3 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.42

TB is at 5.3 yards per play allowed over 5 games; DAL is at 6.42 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

NYG (3-1) at WSH (1-3), a division game

The Giants are 3-1 on just +3 points, so their record runs well ahead of how they have actually played, while Washington sits at -34. New York has won 2 straight but is 0-1 on the road, one game of evidence. Washington is 1-1 at home. A 3-1 team with a near-even point total tends to drift back, so in a division game the gap between these clubs is narrower than the records suggest.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Carson Schwesinger (LB) is questionable for CLE

Schwesinger is questionable with a lower leg injury after he was seen in a walking boot following the 17-12 loss to the Jets. The boot is a real concern even with no diagnosis given. If he cannot go, Cleveland's linebacker group is down a body.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

SF (4-0) at SEA (3-1), a division game

San Francisco is 4-0, has won 4 straight and is +58, so the record isn't hiding anything. Seattle is +32 and 2-0 at home, while the Niners have played just one road game. Both differentials back up the records, which makes this a meeting of two real teams. The home split is the one edge Seattle brings, so think of this as a closer spot than 4-0 against 3-1 suggests.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

CHI (3-1) at GB (2-2), a division game

Chicago has outscored teams by 47 and arrives on a two-game win streak, while Green Bay sits 32 points underwater at 2-2. The road and home splits are one game each: the Bears are 1-0 away and the Packers 0-1 at Lambeau, too thin to mean much. The point differentials say these teams are further apart than the records do. In a division game, weigh that margin over the one-game splits.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Jalyx Hunt (LB) is questionable for PHI

Hunt was seen in a walking boot on his left leg after the Eagles' 19-17 loss to the Jaguars, dealing with ankle and knee issues. Questionable means his status is undecided, and a boot right after the game is not an encouraging sign. Watch the Eagles' practice reports this week before counting on him in the Philadelphia linebacker group.

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

JAX: 74.3 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 122

PHI is at 122 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 74.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

SF: 9.32 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 7.43

SF is at 9.32 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 7.43 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

DET: 29.8 points per game to ARI's 21.8

DET is at 29.8 points per game over 4 games; ARI is at 21.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 28.3 over 17 games and ARI at 20.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Kingsley Enagbare

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Caleb Williams

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Ashton Jeanty

Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Noah Sewell

Achilles · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Christian Elliss

Chest · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Scott Matlock

Foot · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

NO: 72.8 offensive plays per game to MIN's 59.8

MIN is at 59.8 offensive plays per game over 4 games; NO is at 72.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Tim Patrick

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Alvin Kamara

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Dre'Mont Jones

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Jonathan Greenard

Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Rodney Shelley

Hamstring · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

David Martin-Robinson

Hamstring · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Upton Stout

Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Jeremy McNichols (RB) is ir-r for WSH

McNichols is ruled out against the Giants with a quadriceps injury, still short of returning from injured reserve. Washington's backfield runs without him Sunday; the sheet doesn't say who absorbs his carries, so watch the active list before leaning on any Commanders back.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Michael Jurgens

Elbow · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Barion Brown

Thigh · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Terry McLaurin

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side tied 27-27

Deatrich Wise Jr.

Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side tied 27-27

Charlie Kolar

Forearm · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Keenan Allen

Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

IND: 2 sacks taken a game to PIT's 3.25

Pittsburgh is taking 3.25 sacks a game to Indianapolis's 2 over 4 games. Indianapolis matches last season's 2.07, while Pittsburgh is up from 2.38, so the Steelers' protection is the number that has slipped. Some of that should come back toward last year. Pittsburgh has to get the ball out quickly at home, because drive-killing sacks are how this gap shows up in the score.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Charbonnet is still on the reserve/PUP list with a knee injury, and Mike Macdonald said after Sunday's 32-29 loss to the 49ers that he will not be activated before Thursday's game against the Broncos. PUP-R means he is out until the team activates him, so there is no game-time call to wait on for that one. The sheet does not name who takes his carries, so check Seattle's backfield usage before pricing any running back props.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Kayden McDonald

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 407 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Caleb Williams is also listed q for this matchup.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

DEN: 5.8 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 18.8

DEN is at 5.8 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; LAC is at 18.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and LAC at 21.6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

IND: 13.8 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 26.8

Pittsburgh's quarterback is losing 26.8 yards a game to sacks, nearly double last season's 14.8. Indianapolis at 13.8 is close to its 15.1 from last season. Pittsburgh's jump comes from 4 games and big sack losses can swing on a couple of bad afternoons, so it should come down some. For now, Indy's pass rush has a real chance to put Pittsburgh in long down-and-distance spots.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Irv Charles (WR) is ir-r for SEA

Charles is ruled out for Sunday against the 49ers with a knee injury while on the injured reserve return track. He is still working his way back, and Seattle's receiver group goes without him for this game.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Savion Williams (WR) is ir-r for GB

Williams is still out with his ankle and won't face the Bears on Sunday, though his designation means a return from injured reserve is in motion. Green Bay's receiver group goes without him again this week.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Thornton is still working back from his hamstring and is ruled out for Sunday at New England. His status shows he's eligible to return from injured reserve but not cleared for this one, so the Raiders go to the Patriots without him and his targets get spread among the other receivers.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU

Tank Dell will not play at Tennessee: Houston ruled him out with a knee injury on Oct 9, and his designation marks him as returning from injured reserve. That leaves the Texans receiver room a body short for this game. Any Houston receiver prop should be priced as if Dell's targets go to someone else on the roster.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

MIA has lost 4 straight

Miami has lost all four games so far this season. The sheet does not show who those losses came against, so it is hard to say how much of it is the schedule. Four games is an early read, and streaks like this tend to break at some point. Against Cincinnati at home, the useful question is whether the line has already priced in the 0-4 start more than the play deserves.

LAC has lost 4 straight

LAC carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 0-4 on the season. They face DEN in DEN @ LAC. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-10.

MIN has won 4 straight

Minnesota is 4-0 and has not lost yet. The sheet does not show who those wins came against, so the strength of the run is unknown. Four games is early, and unbeaten teams often get priced up as the public piles on. On the road at New Orleans, check whether the number asks Minnesota to win by more than their form supports.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

SF has won 4 straight

SF carries a 4-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-0 on the season. They face SEA in SF @ SEA. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-10.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

HOU has lost 4 straight

Houston has not won a game yet, four tries in and four losses. Four games is a small sample, and nothing on the sheet says who they lost to or by how much. The opponent here is Tennessee, also 0-4, so one of these winless teams leaves with a win. With both sides in the same hole, the records cancel out, and the spread is where to look for how the market separates them.

SEA: 144.8 passing yards allowed per game to SF's 209

SF is at 209 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 144.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Jonathan Mingo

Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Tyler Smith

Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Ed Ingram

Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Aireontae Ersery

Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Blake Fisher

Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Carnell Tate

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

M.J. Stewart

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Jackson Woodard

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Kenneth Grant

Toe · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Jaylen Wright

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Swayze Bozeman

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Bryan Cook

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Ja'Marr Chase

Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Tee Higgins

Groin, Neck · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Colbie Young

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Christian Barmore

Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Rhamondre Stevenson

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Brian O'Neill

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Ben Yurosek

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Lorenzo Styles Jr.

Calf · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Justin Jefferson

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Jordan Addison

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Christen Miller

Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Julian Blackmon

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Will McDonald IV

Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Darius Slayton

Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Rico Dowdle

Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Charvarius Ward

Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Jager Burton

Back · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Javon Hargrave

Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Ladd McConkey

Foot · Did not practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Branson Taylor

Neck · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Tyleik Williams

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Walter Nolen III

Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Karson Sharar

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

George Holani

Ribs, Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Mykel Williams

Knee · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Za'Darius Smith

Concussion, Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Jake Matthews

Groin · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Divine Deablo

Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Zay Flowers

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Andrew Vorhees

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Marlon Humphrey

Hamstring, Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Jalen Ramsey

Wrist · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Jaylan Ford

Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Charles Woods

Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Freddie Freeman: .489 OPS in Last 15 Days

Freeman has a .489 OPS over the last 15 days, well off his .792 season mark, a 0.303 drop. That cold stretch covers just 46 at-bats, which is not much against a full season from a hitter with his track record. Expect him to drift back toward his normal level. When sizing up his props tonight, give the season number more weight than the slump.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

MIL games have gone UNDER 4 straight

The last four Brewers games have averaged 5.8 combined runs against totals around 7.3. Four games is a small sample, and both clubs come in on under runs, so tonight's line of 6 has already dropped toward that recent scoring. The cushion that cashed these unders is mostly gone at this number. Judge the total on tonight's pitching rather than on the streak.

P final total 3 vs 6

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1

DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

IND: 2 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.25

IND is at 2 sacks taken per game over 4 games; PIT is at 3.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and PIT at 2.38 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

NO: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2

MIN is at 2 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NO is at 3.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

SEA: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to SF's 1.5

SF is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; SEA is at 2.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

DAL: 27.6 points per game to TB's 20

TB is at 20 points per game over 5 games; DAL is at 27.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 12

SF is at 0 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; SEA is at 12 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

NFC WEST game: SF 2-0, SEA 1-0 in the division

These two share the NFC WEST. SF is 2-0 against it, SEA is 1-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-10.

NFC EAST game: NYG 1-0, WSH 0-2 in the division

The Giants have won their only division game, and Washington has lost both of theirs. One and two games are tiny samples, so these marks say little about who is better. Division opponents know each other well, which tends to keep games closer than records suggest. Washington at home lets you weigh the 0-2 against the familiarity edge.

BAL: 8.85 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 7.15

BAL is at 8.85 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; ATL is at 7.15 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BAL was at 6.69 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

JAX: 26 points per game to PHI's 18.8

PHI is at 18.8 points per game over 4 games; JAX is at 26 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

HOU: 21 points per game to TEN's 13.8

HOU is at 21 points per game over 4 games; TEN is at 13.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

HOU: 29:12 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:19

HOU is at 29:12 time of possession per game over 4 games; TEN is at 24:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 31:49 over 17 games and TEN at 29:08 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

Dart had surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee and sits on injured reserve, reported Sep 30. That's a long-term absence, so the Giants play at Washington without him and their quarterback situation is the first thing to check before betting their offense.

P Edge side tied 27-27

NYG: 43.4% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.6%

The Giants convert 43.4% on third down, a bit above last season's 40.2%, so they look solid at extending drives. Washington has fallen to 31.6% from 37.6% last season over 4 games, and that should move back up some. Right now, the Giants keep drives alive and Washington stalls more often, which affects possession counts and totals.

P Edge side tied 27-27

NFC NORTH game: CHI 0-1, GB 0-1 in the division

Both Chicago and Green Bay lost their only division game so far. One game each is too little to read anything into. Division rivals meet twice a year and the games often play tighter than overall form suggests. The division records give no edge here, so look at the rest of each team's resume instead.

MIN: 4.93 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.9

MIN is at 4.93 yards per play allowed over 4 games; NO is at 5.9 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

AFC WEST game: DEN 0-1, LAC 0-1 in the division

These two share the AFC WEST. DEN is 0-1 against it, LAC is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-10.

LAR: 290.3 pass yards a game to BUF's 247.3

The Rams are throwing for 290.3 a game and Buffalo 247.3 over 4 games. The Rams are close to last season's 268.1, while Buffalo is up from 216.6, so the Bills have closed some of the usual gap. Both look sustainable as passing teams. With two offenses moving the ball through the air, this spot leans toward a game decided by which defense gets the key stop.

Will Smith: 1.182 OPS in Last 15 Days

Smith has a 1.182 OPS over the last 15 days, well above his .781 season mark. That is only 31 at-bats, so a couple of homers can inflate it fast, and his 10 home runs on the year fit a solid hitter more than one playing at this level. Expect him to settle back toward .781. Against a 0.5 total-bases line he needs one hit, and the hot stretch helps that case without deciding it.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB

DEN (2-2) at LAC (0-4), a division game

Denver is 2-2 but -20 on the year and 0-2 on the road. The Chargers are 0-4, -39 and on a 4-game losing streak, including 0-2 at home. A -39 total over four games is bad without being a blowout pace, so some of that 0-4 is close losses. Neither team has won in the venue it plays in here, which makes this division game less lopsided than the standings look.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

DAL: 1 turnover committed per game to TB's 1.8

TB is at 1.8 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; DAL is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 0.94 over 17 games and DAL at 1.24 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

PHI: 222 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 280.3

PHI is at 222 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 280.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

TEN: 9.3 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 20.5

HOU is at 20.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; TEN is at 9.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 20.8 over 17 games and TEN at 26.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

HOU @ TEN carries a 37.5 market total

At 37.5, Houston at Tennessee sits 6 points below the slate median, so the market expects a grind with long drives and few big plays. The sheet gives no injury or matchup detail to explain it, so the price is the read here. Low totals like this are fragile: one defensive score or a short field after a turnover can knock it over. If you think either offense can break a long play, this number gives you very little room.

Mookie Betts: 1.046 OPS in Last 15 Days

Betts has a 1.046 OPS over the last 15 days against a .780 season mark. The sample is 46 at-bats, bigger than a short burst, and his 23 home runs show the power is real. Some cooling toward .780 is the likely path, though this run has more behind it than most hot streaks. At a 0.5 total-bases line he needs only one hit, and his form supports that.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB

TB: 31:52 time of possession per game to DAL's 27:19

TB is at 31:52 time of possession per game over 5 games; DAL is at 27:19 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 31:53 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Will Mallory (TE) is ir-r for IND

Mallory's thumb keeps him out against Pittsburgh, and he's still on the return track from injured reserve. Indianapolis plays the Steelers a tight end short, with the sheet naming no replacement.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

JAX: 5.63 yards per play to PHI's 4.75

Jacksonville gains 5.63 yards a play, up from 5.27 last season, and had 5 plays of 20 or more yards last game, including a 25-yard touchdown run by Chris Rodriguez Jr. Philadelphia has fallen to 4.75 from 5.27 and had no play of 20 or more yards last game. Both teams were at the same level last season, so expect this 4-game gap to close some. Philadelphia's lack of big plays means long drives are its main path to points.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Next college slate · OCT 15

BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

SEA: 3.93 yards per play allowed to SF's 4.82

SF is at 4.82 yards per play allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 3.93 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

TEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to HOU's 27.3

HOU is at 27.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 20.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 17.4 over 17 games and TEN at 28.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is questionable for NYG

The Giants list tackle Jermaine Eluemunor as questionable for their trip to Washington, reported Oct 12. Questionable means a real chance he plays and a real chance he sits, and the report gives no injury detail to lean on. If he sits, the Giants need a fill-in at tackle, so his final status before kickoff matters for anything tied to their passing game.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Will Campbell (OT) is questionable for NE

Questionable means the Patriots have not ruled Will Campbell in or out for the Raiders game, and the call usually comes closer to kickoff. The report from Oct 12 gives no injury and no detail on how he practiced, so there is little to go on beyond the tag. If he sits, New England has to patch the offensive line, which matters for pass protection and the run game. Check the final inactives before betting anything that leans on the Patriots offense.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

HOU: 83.8 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 122.8

Houston is allowing 83.8 rushing yards a game, Tennessee 122.8, both over four games. The Texans have been solid against the run, though run defense numbers also depend on game script, since teams that trail stop running. Four games is a short look, so both can move. For this game, Houston running the ball looks like the cleaner path than Tennessee doing the same.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

MIA: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.42

CIN is at 3.42 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; MIA is at 4.52 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 4.14 over 17 games and MIA at 4.64 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

LAC: 36.5% third downs allowed to DEN's 47.5%

The Chargers are letting opponents convert 36.5% of third downs, while Denver is allowing 47.5%, both over four games. Denver's number means opponents are extending drives often, and over four games that can come down if the schedule eases. For this game, Chargers drives have a good chance to stay alive, which helps their time of possession and scoring chances.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

SF: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 66.7%

SF is at 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 66.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

NYJ has lost 3 straight

The Jets won their opener, then lost three in a row to sit at 1-3. The sheet does not show the opponents, so the slide could be schedule as much as form. Three games is a short stretch. At home against a Cleveland team on a three-game win streak, the market may be pricing in both streaks, which can leave value on the home side.

ARI has lost 3 straight

Arizona won once, then dropped three straight to sit at 1-3. The sheet does not say who beat them, so it is hard to judge how earned the slide is. Three games is a small sample. Hosting Detroit, the question is whether the line has moved too far off the recent losses.

CLE has won 3 straight

Cleveland has won three straight after a loss to open the season, sitting at 3-1. The sheet does not say who those wins came against, so the quality is unclear. Three games is a short run. The Jets have lost three straight, so this spot pits a rising team against a sliding one, and the line will likely lean that way already.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

SF: 4.85 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.78

SF is at 4.85 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 3.78 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 3.81 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

IND: 25.5 points per game to PIT's 19.3

IND is at 25.5 points per game over 4 games; PIT is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and PIT at 23.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

PIT: 209.5 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 261.3

Pittsburgh is allowing 209.5 passing yards a game, while Indianapolis is giving up 261.3, both over four games. The sheet does not say who either faced, and four games leaves room for a single big passing day to tilt the average. For this game, the Steelers secondary has been the tighter unit, and the Colts may need to lean less on the pass than they would like.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

NYG: 2 takeaways per game to WSH's 1.25

The Giants are forcing 2 turnovers a game, Washington 1.25, both over four games. Takeaways are streaky and depend on bounces and opponent mistakes, so the Giants' pace is likely to slow. For this game, it is a small edge for New York, but turnover rates are a shaky foundation for any strong view.

P Edge side tied 27-27

DET: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to ARI's 1

DET is at 0.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 0.88 over 17 games and ARI at 1.24 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

WSH: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.25

NYG is at 1.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season NYG was at 1 over 17 games and WSH at 1.35 over 17 games.

P Edge side tied 27-27

LAC: 1.75 takeaways per game to DEN's 1

The Chargers are forcing 1.75 turnovers a game, Denver 1, both over four games. That gap is modest, and turnovers swing a lot from week to week, so over four games it could flip quickly. It leans toward the Chargers in this game, without enough weight to carry a view by itself.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

ARI: 1.75 takeaways per game to DET's 1

Arizona is forcing 1.75 turnovers a game, Detroit 1, both over four games. Turnovers are among the noisiest stats in football, and four games is not much to go on. Expect Arizona's rate to settle. For this game, it is a slight lean toward the Cardinals on the turnover battle, but not something to lean on hard.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

SF: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 1.25

SF is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 1.29 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

LV: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.25

LV is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NE is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NE at 3.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

DAL: 6.6 sack yards lost per game to TB's 17

TB is at 17 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; DAL is at 6.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

DEN: 46.8 penalty yards per game to LAC's 72.3

DEN is at 46.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; LAC is at 72.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and LAC at 46.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

HOU: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to TEN's 1.25

HOU is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 0.71 over 17 games and TEN at 1.12 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

DeForest Buckner

Did not practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

K'Lavon Chaisson

Did not practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

Kirk is on injured reserve with a calf injury, and Kyle Shanahan said the 49ers could open his practice window in two weeks. That puts him out of the Seattle game, and any return is still a few steps away.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Durham Smythe

Achilles · Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Jadeveon Clowney

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Calais Campbell

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Terrel Bernard

Did not practice

Tyler Higbee

Did not practice

A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Brown is on injured reserve with an ankle injury, though he was seen in the locker room Wednesday without a noticeable limp. That's an encouraging sign for his recovery, but he still sits on injured reserve, so New England faces the Raiders without him.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

CIN (2-2) at MIA (0-4)

Miami is 0-4, has lost 4 straight and is 55 points in the hole, so the record fits the play. Cincinnati has dropped 2 straight but is still +12, which says the 2-2 undersells them a little. The Dolphins have played only one home game. A bettor can lean on the differential gap here, since a losing streak with a positive margin tends to cool off.

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

B.J. Hill

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Joshua Williams (CB) is ir-r for TEN

Tennessee cornerback Joshua Williams was downgraded to out with a pectoral injury on Oct 10, so he will not face Houston. He carries a return-from-IR tag, meaning he was working back toward the lineup before this setback. With Houston also missing Tank Dell, the Titans secondary loses a body while the Texans receiving group is thinned too.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

TEN: 209.8 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 260

Tennessee is allowing 209.8 passing yards a game, while Houston is giving up 260, both over four games. Houston's number is high for a defense that is also strong against the run, and part of that can come from opponents throwing more when they fall behind. Over four games both numbers can move. For this game, the Titans' passing game has more room to work than Houston's does.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

BAL: 215.3 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 264.8

Baltimore allows 215.3 passing yards a game, Atlanta 264.8, both across four games. Passing yards against can inflate when a defense plays with a lead and opponents throw late, so the gap may say as much about scripts as coverage. The opposing quarterbacks aren't on the sheet. Atlanta's bigger number is the one to weigh if Baltimore's passing game gets room to work at Atlanta.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

MIN (4-0) at NO (1-3)

Minnesota is 4-0 at +35 and 2-0 on the road, so the unbeaten start comes with a real margin. New Orleans is 1-3 at -23, has lost 2 straight and is 0-2 at home. Every split here leans the same way. A +35 margin over four games points to a good team winning some close ones, so the Vikings' form looks real even if 4-0 slightly overstates the gap.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

LV: 3 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2

Las Vegas is averaging 3 sacks a game, New England 2, both over four games. A Raiders rush getting home that often is a strong start, though sack numbers are streaky and depend on the lines faced, which the sheet does not show. For this game, expect more pressure on the Patriots' quarterback, which can stall drives and push New England's scoring down.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Byron Young

Did not practice

LV (3-1) at NE (2-2)

LV is 3-1, +31 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. NE is 2-2, -12 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. LV is 2-0 on the road; NE is 1-0 at home.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Ja'Kobi Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for BAL

Ravens coach Jesse Minter said Friday that Lane (wrist) is "doing really well" and "has put himself in a great position to be ready to roll when the time permits." Reported Oct 9.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Trey Amos (CB) is ir-r for WSH

Trey Amos is on the Commanders' designated-to-return list from injured reserve and was downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Giants with an ankle injury, per an Oct 11 report. The downgrade means the return from IR waits at least another week. Washington faces New York without Amos in the cornerback group, so look at how the Commanders line up their remaining corners against the Giants' receivers before trusting any passing number on either side.

P Edge side tied 27-27

BUF: 53.3% third-down conversion rate to LAR's 43.1%

BUF is at 53.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 43.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LAR at 39.6% over 17 games.

LAR: 20.8 points allowed per game to BUF's 26.8

Buffalo's defense is giving up 26.8 points a game, up from 21.5 last season, while the Rams sit at 20.8, nearly matching last season's 20.4. The Rams look like their usual selves. Buffalo's jump is 4 games and should come back down some, but for now the Rams offense has a softer defense to work against.

Trent Brown

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Pat Bryant (WR) is on injured reserve for DEN

Denver placed Bryant on injured reserve Friday with an ankle injury, so he misses the trip to the Chargers and at least several weeks after. The Broncos' other receivers absorb his targets.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed running back Chris Brooks on injured reserve Saturday with an ankle injury, per an Oct 10 report. Brooks is out for Sunday's game against the Bears and at least the next few weeks. Green Bay's backfield depth thins out, so any Packers running back carry or yardage line should account for one fewer option behind the starter.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Micah Parsons is on the return list from the physically unable to perform designation with a knee injury, and Matt LaFleur said on Oct 5 he would not practice this week. A player who is not practicing is not on track to suit up against Chicago, so expect Green Bay to play this one without him. Anything you like on the Packers' pass rush should be priced as if he is out.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

Kyler Gordon is working back from the PUP list with a calf injury and has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Green Bay, per an Oct 10 report. The ruling means Chicago's return window for Gordon stays open, with no snaps against the Packers this week. The Bears take on Green Bay's passing game short a cornerback, which is the spot to watch for Packers receiver props.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Berrios on injured reserve Wednesday with a foot injury, so he's out at Washington and for at least several weeks. It's another hit to a New York offense already without Dart.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Pittsburgh put Pittman on injured reserve Saturday with a foot injury, so he misses Sunday against Indianapolis and more beyond it. The Steelers' remaining receivers absorb his targets, which is the angle to consider on their passing props.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

New England placed Hollins on injured reserve Saturday with a calf injury, so he's out against Las Vegas and for at least the next stretch. Combined with other receivers on the shelf, the Patriots' pass catchers are thin this week.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Braden Smith (OT) is ir-r for HOU

Houston right tackle Braden Smith was downgraded to out with a foot injury on Oct 11, so he will not play at Tennessee. He is listed as returning from injured reserve, and the late downgrade means the Texans had to adjust the line close to kickoff. A backup tackle starting is a reason to look harder at Tennessee's pass rush in this matchup.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Tank Bigsby (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Philadelphia placed Bigsby on injured reserve Tuesday with an abdomen injury, which keeps him out for at least several weeks. He is a running back, so his carries get spread among the backs still on the roster for the trip to Jacksonville. The fact sheet does not say who absorbs that work, so watch the Eagles' depth chart and any practice reports before leaning on a backup's rushing number.

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

HOU: 63.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53.8

HOU is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; TEN is at 53.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 64 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

Mays is ruled out for Sunday against Arizona with a wrist injury while on the injured reserve return track. Detroit's center spot stays with the backup for another week.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Aaron Donald

Did not practice

CHI: 102.5 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 139.3

Chicago gives up 102.5 rushing yards a game while Green Bay allows 139.3, both over four games. The sheet doesn't show opponents, and run defense numbers bend with game script: a team protecting a lead faces more carries. Four games can move fast. For this matchup, Green Bay's softer run defense is the side to think about if Chicago can stay close enough to keep handing the ball off.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Alaric Jackson

Did not practice

CIN: 62.3 offensive plays per game to MIA's 52.5

CIN is at 62.3 offensive plays per game over 4 games; MIA is at 52.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 62.2 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed receiver Jaylin Lane on injured reserve Tuesday with an ankle injury, per an Oct 6 report. IR means Lane misses multiple games and is unavailable Sunday against the Giants. Check who absorbs Lane's targets in Washington's receiver rotation before pricing any Commanders pass-catcher props.

P Edge side tied 27-27

MIA: 104 rushing yards per game to CIN's 74.3

CIN is at 74.3 rushing yards per game over 4 games; MIA is at 104 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 93.6 over 17 games and MIA at 120.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

PHI (2-2) at JAX (3-1)

Jacksonville is 3-1 at +51 and 2-0 at home, on a 2-game win streak, so the record and the scoring agree. Philadelphia is 2-2, -18, and has lost 2 straight while going 1-1 on the road. The Jaguars come in with both form and margin behind them. The Eagles' name carries more weight than their current numbers, which is the thing to weigh when the price comes out.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA

Duck was downgraded to out with a knee injury for Sunday against Cincinnati, a late move after he'd been on the path back from the physically unable to perform list. Miami loses a cornerback against the Bengals receivers, and a late downgrade like this can catch a line that hasn't fully adjusted.

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

WSH: 1.75 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.75

Washington's pass rush gets home about once more per game than the Giants' does, 1.75 sacks to 0.75 across four games each. The fact sheet doesn't say who either team faced, so part of that gap could be the quarterbacks and lines they drew. Four games is a small sample for sack totals, which swing on a handful of snaps. For this game, the Washington edge matters most if the Giants fall behind and have to throw on obvious passing downs.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Dexter Lawrence II

Did not practice

P Edge side won; final 31-24

IND: 26.3 penalty yards per game to PIT's 49.5

IND is at 26.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; PIT is at 49.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and PIT at 47.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

LAR: 69 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59.5

BUF is at 59.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; LAR is at 69 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.

NE: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 76.9%

LV is at 76.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; NE is at 58.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

DET: 72.2% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 57.1%

DET is at 72.2% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; ARI is at 57.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and ARI at 54.1% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

BUF: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 53.3%

BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; LAR is at 53.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.

DET: 24.5 first downs per game to ARI's 19.8

DET is at 24.5 first downs per game over 4 games; ARI is at 19.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 20.4 over 17 games and ARI at 19.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

DEN: 0.75 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.5

DEN is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; LAC is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and LAC at 0.82 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

Kalia Davis has been designated to return from injured reserve but is ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets with a quadriceps injury, per an Oct 10 report. The return window stays open while Davis keeps rehabbing. Cleveland heads to New York without Davis in the defensive tackle rotation, which matters most for how the Browns handle the Jets' run game.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

BAL: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 2.5

BAL is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; ATL is at 2.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and ATL at 2.94 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

BAL: 6.58 yards per play to ATL's 5.88

Baltimore gains 6.58 yards a play, up from 5.92 last season. Atlanta is up too, to 5.88 from 5.38. Both offenses are running hotter than last season over 4 games, so some cooling is likely, but Baltimore has the edge in efficiency either way. Two improved offenses can push the scoring pace up.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

DAL: 5.76 yards per play to TB's 5.02

Dallas gains 5.76 yards a play to Tampa Bay's 5.02, through 5 games each. Both are close to last season, Dallas at 5.96 and Tampa at 5.12, so this gap looks real and should hold. Dallas should be the more efficient offense on a per-play basis.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

CHI lead the series with GB since 2025

All three meetings were one-score games. Green Bay won the first at home 28-21, then Chicago won 22-16 on Dec 20 and 31-27 in the playoff game on Jan 10, both at Soldier Field. The Bears' two wins came at home, and this one is in Green Bay, where the Packers took the only meeting. Expect another tight game more than a blowout.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

SEA lead the series with SF since 2025

SEA has taken 2 of the last 3. Jan 17, 2026: SF 6 at SEA 41 (playoffs). Jan 3, 2026: SEA 13 at SF 3. Sep 7, 2025: SF 17 at SEA 13.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

SF: 137.3 rushing yards per game to SEA's 110.3

SF is at 137.3 rushing yards per game over 4 games; SEA is at 110.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and SEA at 123.3 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET

Branch is ruled out against Arizona while on the PUP list with an Achilles injury. He is one of Detroit's key defensive backs, and an Achilles injury usually means a long road back, so the Lions' secondary plays without him again.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

LV: 250 team passing yards per game to NE's 213.8

LV is at 250 team passing yards per game over 4 games; NE is at 213.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and NE at 250.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

HOU: 20.3 first downs per game to TEN's 15.8

HOU is at 20.3 first downs per game over 4 games; TEN is at 15.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and TEN at 15.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

DET (2-2) at ARI (1-3)

Detroit is 2-2 at -8 and 0-2 on the road, so the record roughly matches the scoring and they have yet to win away. Arizona is 1-3 at -30, has lost 3 straight and is 0-1 at home in one game. The Cardinals' slide is backed by the margin. Detroit's road struggles are a two-game sample, which is too small to call a pattern.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT

DeShon Elliott is on Pittsburgh's designated-to-return list but has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Colts with a knee injury, per an Oct 9 report. Elliott stays off the field until the Steelers activate the safety from IR. Pittsburgh's back end is down a safety against Indianapolis, a detail to weigh on Colts passing lines.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI

Turner (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Green Bay. Reported Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

GB: 4.97 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.68

CHI is at 5.68 yards per play allowed over 4 games; GB is at 4.97 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

PHI: 5.23 yards per play allowed to JAX's 5.92

PHI is at 5.23 yards per play allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 5.92 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

NE: 104 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 134.5

LV is at 134.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NE is at 104 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

NYJ: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 235.3

The Jets allow 193.3 passing yards a game to Cleveland's 235.3, each over four games. The sheet doesn't say which passing offenses either faced, and four games of yardage can tilt on one shootout. A gap of this size can shrink quickly. At home, the Jets' coverage numbers point toward a tougher day for Cleveland's passing game than the Browns' defense presents for New York.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

CLE @ NYJ carries a 39.5 market total

Cleveland at the Jets is set at 39.5, 4 points under the 43.5 median, which points to a slower, lower-scoring game than most on the slate. It is less extreme than the lowest total here, so the market sees some scoring, just not much. For it to crack, one side has to hit a couple of explosive plays or gift field position with turnovers. Judge it by whether either offense can create points it does not have to grind out.

BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LAR's 50%

BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LAR at 66.7% over 17 games.

BAL: 29 points per game to ATL's 24

BAL is at 29 points per game over 4 games; ATL is at 24 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BAL was at 24.9 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 4 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 855 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. His 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 4 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 754 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 5.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 4 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 819 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 6.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 4 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1214 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 4 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 999 passing yards, completed 57.5% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 4 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 816 passing yards, completed 59.7% of his passes and averaged 6.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 4 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1007 passing yards, completed 69.9% of his passes and averaged 8.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 4 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 818 passing yards, completed 67.8% of his passes and averaged 5.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

CIN: 30:49 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:38

CIN is at 30:49 time of possession per game over 4 games; MIA is at 27:38 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 30:08 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 3 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 560 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 8.12 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

HOU: 5.5 yards per play to TEN's 4.85

Houston is gaining more ground on each snap than Tennessee, and its last game showed how: 8 plays of 20 or more yards, led by C.J. Stroud hitting Jaylin Noel for 52 and Nico Collins for 45. Both teams are up from last season, Houston from 5.1 and Tennessee from 4.38, over just 4 games. Tennessee's offense leans on Cam Ward finding Carnell Tate, while Houston's lives on the deep ball, so this spot hinges on whether Tennessee can keep Stroud's shots in front of them.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

NO: 5.03 yards per play to MIN's 4.4

New Orleans is moving the ball at almost exactly its pace from last season, 5.05 then and 5.03 now, so that side looks stable. The gap comes from Minnesota dropping to 4.4 from 4.82 over 4 games, with Kyler Murray's longest gain last time a 27-yarder to Jordan Addison. Both offenses had 3 plays of 20 or more yards in their last game, so this projects as a grind where Minnesota needs its efficiency to bounce back toward last season's level.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

NO: 26.3 points per game to MIN's 21.5

MIN is at 21.5 points per game over 4 games; NO is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season MIN was at 20.2 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 4 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1039 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 8.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

In his first 2026 game, Tyler Huntley threw for 63 passing yards, completed 88.9% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 2 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 479 passing yards, completed 73.3% of his passes and averaged 10.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 4 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1189 passing yards, completed 61.1% of his passes and averaged 7.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

LAR: 31:19 time of possession per game to BUF's 28:06

BUF is at 28:06 time of possession per game over 4 games; LAR is at 31:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 33:09 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.

Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 3 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 337 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.13 yards per attempt. His 2-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 5 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1381 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports. Reported Oct 7.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 4 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1203 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 6.68 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 4 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 726 passing yards, completed 63% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

JAX: 32.6% third downs allowed to PHI's 40.4%

PHI is at 40.4% third downs allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 32.6% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Hunter Long (TE) is on injured reserve for ARI

Long is out against Detroit after the Cardinals moved him to injured reserve on Tuesday with a knee injury. Injured reserve means he cannot play this week and will miss a stretch of games after it. The sheet does not say who takes his tight end snaps, so check Arizona's depth chart before betting any Cardinals tight end prop.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 3 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 433 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 4 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1026 passing yards, completed 64.6% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Smythe (Achilles) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ryan Mink of the Ravens' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 2 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 260 passing yards, completed 56.9% of his passes and averaged 5.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 3 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 479 passing yards, completed 55.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 4 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 902 passing yards, completed 72.7% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 4 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1041 passing yards, completed 56.5% of his passes and averaged 6.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

TB: 53.8% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 70%

TB is at 53.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; DAL is at 70% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

CLE has 3 more days of rest

Cleveland had the bye and shows up with 10 days to prepare, while the Jets are on a normal 7-day week. Those extra days usually go to healing bumps and building a game plan specific to this opponent. The Jets have home field, so the travel edge runs their way. Rest is one input among many, so weigh it as a small tilt toward Cleveland's preparation and freshness, and look at whether the line already accounts for it.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

PIT has 3 more days of rest

Pittsburgh is at home off a bye with 10 days of rest, and Indianapolis comes in on a standard 7-day week with a road trip on top. A team off the bye gets extra time to rest sore players and install wrinkles the opponent hasn't seen on film. That pairing of home field and extra rest is the friendlier spot on the schedule. Factor it in as a modest edge for Pittsburgh, and check how much of it the number already reflects.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

TB: 22.4 points allowed per game to DAL's 27.2

TB is at 22.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; DAL is at 27.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 24.2 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 4 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 713 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 6.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 4 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 843 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 4 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1141 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 4 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1171 passing yards, completed 71.3% of his passes and averaged 7.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 4 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 712 passing yards, completed 56.3% of his passes and averaged 6.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 4 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 854 passing yards, completed 62.4% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

TEN +7 → +6.5

Gary's number was 7; the same book now shows 6.5.

CIN: 45.3% third-down conversion rate to MIA's 38%

CIN is at 45.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; MIA is at 38% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 43.4% over 17 games and MIA at 34.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

PIT -2.5 → -2.5

Gary's number was -2.5; the same book now shows -2.5.

LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to BUF's 2.25

BUF is at 2.25 sacks taken per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.

BUF: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.75

BUF is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

CLE: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYJ's 2.25

Cleveland's front gets to the quarterback three times a game, the Jets 2.25, both over four games. Sack totals swing on a few plays and depend on the lines and quarterbacks faced, which the sheet doesn't list. Four games is a small base. Cleveland's rush is the side to factor in if the Jets end up in long-yardage passing downs.

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

NYG +3.5 → +3.5

Gary's number was 3.5; the same book now shows 3.5.

SF +3 → +3

Gary's number was 3; the same book now shows 3.

NYJ: 4.88 yards per play allowed to CLE's 5.47

The Jets give up 4.88 yards per play, Cleveland 5.47, both across four games. Yards per play strips out pace and game script better than totals do, so this is a cleaner read on the Jets' defense being the stingier unit. Four games is still a small sample. In a game where both offenses may grind, the Jets' per-snap edge is the number that carries the most weight.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

LAR: 33.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%

The Rams let opponents convert 33.3% of third downs, Buffalo 40.7%, each over four games. Third-down rates depend heavily on distance, so the sheet's lack of opponent detail leaves open how much is the defense and how much is the schedule. Four games is small for this stat. The Rams getting off the field more often matters most in a game where possession count and pace shape the total.

ARI: 45.5% third downs allowed to DET's 52.8%

DET is at 52.8% third downs allowed over 4 games; ARI is at 45.5% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

NYG: 205.3 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 242.5

The Giants allow 205.3 passing yards a game, Washington 242.5, both through four games. The opponents aren't listed, and passing yards against rise when a defense leads and the other team has to throw. Four games leaves room for both to move. The Washington number is the softer one in this matchup if the Giants can keep the game close enough to stay balanced.

P Edge side tied 27-27

CHI: 5.75 yards per play to GB's 5.15

Chicago is right where it was last season at 5.71, so its edge comes from Green Bay slipping to 5.15 from 5.61 over 4 games. Chicago hit 6 plays of 20 or more yards last time with Tyson Bagent at quarterback, mixing Rome Odunze through the air with a 26-yard Kyle Monangai run. Green Bay's big plays last game came mostly on the ground through Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks, and with only 4 games logged, its number has room to climb back toward last season's mark.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

MIN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NO's 77.8%

MIN is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; NO is at 77.8% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and NO at 41.2% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

DET: 56.8 penalty yards per game to ARI's 75

DET is at 56.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; ARI is at 75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 42.2 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Garrett Mitchell: .560 OPS in Last 15 Days

Mitchell has a .560 OPS over the last 15 days, 0.211 below his .771 season mark. That comes from just 36 at-bats, so a couple of good games would change it a lot. His season number is the better guide to what he brings tonight. Use the dip as a reason to check where he hits in the order and how much he plays, and leave it at that.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB

DEN: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1

DEN is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAC is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and LAC at 0.41 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

BUF (3-1) at LAR (2-2)

Buffalo is 3-1 at +20, off a loss, and 1-0 on the road. The Rams are 2-2 at +2 with a 1-1 home split, a team whose record and scoring both say average. The Bills have the better margin, though +20 over four games is solid rather than dominant. One road game is all the evidence on Buffalo away from home.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Garrett (knee), per head coach Sean McVay, is "on track" in his recovery but is not expected to return to practice next week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 10.

Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for ARI

Johnson is out against Detroit after Arizona moved him to injured reserve Tuesday with a biceps injury. He is a starting tackle, and injured reserve rules him out for several weeks. Adams, a guard, also went on injured reserve Saturday, so Arizona will play the Lions with two linemen missing. Pass protection and the run game both take a hit.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Rashawn Slater (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC

Slater is out against Denver after the Chargers put him on injured reserve Friday with an ankle injury. He plays left tackle, the spot that protects the quarterback's blind side, and injured reserve means he will miss multiple weeks. The sheet does not name his replacement. Penning, a guard, is also on injured reserve, so the Chargers line is short two starters against the Broncos pass rush. Factor that in on sack and quarterback pressure props.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to ARI's 3.5

DET is at 4.5 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; ARI is at 3.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 3.76 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

BUF: 1.25 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.75

BUF is at 1.25 takeaways per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to GB's 1

CHI is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 4 games; GB is at 1 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

CHI -1.5 → -1.5

Gary's number was -1.5; the same book now shows -1.5.

SF: 30.5 points per game to SEA's 26.3

SF is at 30.5 points per game over 4 games; SEA is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

PIT: 21.8 points allowed per game to IND's 26

IND is at 26 points allowed per game over 4 games; PIT is at 21.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and PIT at 22.8 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

CLE +114 → +118

Gary's number was 114; the same book now shows 118.

LAR: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 1

BUF is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 0.53 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.

NYJ: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 0.75

CLE is at 0.75 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CLE was at 0.41 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.59 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

The Raiders placed receiver Jack Bech on injured reserve Tuesday with a forearm injury, per a Sep 29 report. Bech is unavailable for Las Vegas at New England. The Raiders' receiver targets shift to the healthy group, so look at who gained snaps in Bech's absence before backing any Raiders pass-catcher prop.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

De'Von Achane (RB) is on injured reserve for MIA

The Dolphins placed De'Von Achane on injured reserve Monday with a knee injury, per a Sep 28 report. IR keeps Achane out for at least several games, including this matchup with Cincinnati. Miami's run game has to go through other backs, so lean on the Dolphins' depth chart, not past Achane-driven numbers, when sizing up Miami's rushing lines.

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Alec Pierce remains on injured reserve with a left heel injury, and Colts coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce did not have surgery and is rehabbing, per a Sep 28 report. No surgery leaves a path back this season, though Pierce is still on IR for this trip to Pittsburgh. Indianapolis' receiver targets go elsewhere until Pierce is activated.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Price is out against San Francisco after Seattle placed him on injured reserve Saturday with a chest injury, reported Oct 3. Injured reserve rules him out for several weeks. The sheet does not say who takes his carries, so check the Seahawks backfield before betting any rushing props.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

BAL: 1.25 takeaways per game to ATL's 0.75

Baltimore has forced 1.25 takeaways a game, Atlanta 0.75, both across four games. Takeaways bounce around week to week, and four games means the difference is two turnovers total. That kind of gap often closes. It is a modest point in Baltimore's favor at Atlanta, best weighed lightly against the yardage and efficiency numbers.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Julian Neal (CB) is on injured reserve for SEA

The Seahawks placed Neal (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Chauncey Golston (DE) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Golston (neck) on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Arden Key (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Arden Key on injured reserve Saturday with a hamstring injury, per an Oct 10 report. Key misses Sunday's game at Pittsburgh and at least a few more. Indianapolis is down an edge rusher against the Steelers, worth factoring into how clean a pocket Pittsburgh's quarterback gets.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Braiden McGregor went on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday with a pectoral injury, per an Oct 7 report. McGregor is out Sunday against Cleveland and for at least several weeks. New York's edge rotation loses a body, which can shade how much pressure the Jets get on the Browns' quarterback.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

New Orleans running back Travis Etienne Jr. went on injured reserve with a hamstring injury on Oct 1, so he will miss the Minnesota game. That is a multi-week absence for a back with a starting name. Saints rushing props should be read through whoever has taken his carries since he went down.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Jaylin Smith (CB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Texans cornerback Jaylin Smith was placed on injured reserve with a hamstring injury on Oct 7, so he is out for the Tennessee game and more beyond it. That trims Houston's cornerback depth for this trip. It matters more if another Texans corner goes down during the game.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Houston running back British Brooks went on injured reserve with a hamstring injury on Oct 3, which keeps him out at Tennessee. Injured reserve means a multi-week absence, so this is no game-time question. Whatever work he had in the Texans backfield goes to the other backs on the roster.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

Tampa Bay put McMillan on injured reserve with a knee injury, reported Sep 30, so he is out for the Dallas game and several more beyond it. IR means he is not part of the plan for now. The sheet does not name who takes his targets, so the receivers still active for the Bucs absorb that work.

P Edge side won; final 24-16

CIN: 6.6 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.6

CIN is at 6.6 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; MIA is at 5.6 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 5.81 over 17 games and MIA at 6 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

HOU: 6.7 yards per pass attempt to TEN's 5.72

HOU is at 6.7 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; TEN is at 5.72 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 6.2 over 17 games and TEN at 4.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

PIT: 5.05 yards per play to IND's 4.5

This gap is mostly about Indianapolis falling off: 4.5 yards per play over 4 games after 5.77 last season, with just 1 play of 20 or more yards in its last game. Pittsburgh had 6 last time, with Aaron Rodgers hitting Roman Wilson for 49 and DK Metcalf twice. A drop that steep over 4 games is more likely to drift back up than hold, but if Daniel Jones can't stretch the field, Pittsburgh's deep passing dictates how this one plays.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

WSH: 42% third downs allowed to NYG's 48.9%

NYG is at 48.9% third downs allowed over 4 games; WSH is at 42% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side tied 27-27

DET -5.5 → -5.5

Gary's number was -5.5; the same book now shows -5.5.

DEN -3.5 → -3.5

Gary's number was -3.5; the same book now shows -3.5.

CIN: 1.25 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.75

Cincinnati forces 1.25 takeaways a game, Miami 0.75, both across four games. Turnovers are among the streakiest numbers in the sport, and a gap of half a takeaway a game over four weeks is a couple of plays. Expect both to move toward each other. Treat Cincinnati's edge as a small tilt rather than something to build a whole view of this game around.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

ARI: 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 82.4%

DET is at 82.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; ARI is at 69.2% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

LV: 30 penalty yards per game to NE's 46

LV is at 30 penalty yards per game over 4 games; NE is at 46 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NE at 50.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

JAX -7.5 → -7.5

Gary's number was -7.5; the market closed at -7.5.

IND: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to PIT's 0.75

IND is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; PIT is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and PIT at 1.35 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to TEN's 0.5

HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; TEN is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and TEN at 0.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

SF: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 0.75

SF is at 0.25 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; SEA is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 32-29

TEN: 4.08 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.45

HOU is at 3.45 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; TEN is at 4.08 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and TEN at 4.19 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

WSH: 4.22 yards per rush attempt to NYG's 3.57

NYG is at 3.57 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; WSH is at 4.22 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season NYG was at 4.31 over 17 games and WSH at 4.81 over 17 games.

P Edge side tied 27-27

NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CLE's 0.5

CLE is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

CIN: 21.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 25.3

CIN is at 21.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; MIA is at 25.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CIN was at 28.9 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

DET: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to ARI's 1

DET is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 1.82 over 17 games and ARI at 1.65 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 45-21

Brewers are 4-3 vs Dodgers this season

Milwaukee leads the season series 4-3, about as even as seven games can be. The last meeting was a 6-2 Brewers win, but there is nothing here on starters or venues to explain the split, and one result going the other way would flip it. Judge tonight on who is pitching and how each lineup is hitting now, with the series record as a tiebreaker at most.

HOU: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to TEN's 1

HOU is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; TEN is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season HOU was at 1.12 over 17 games and TEN at 2.06 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

WSH: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 0.75

NYG is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; WSH is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and WSH at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Anthony Nelson

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Devonte Wyatt

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 7-31

DJ Moore

Shoulder - AC Joint · Limited practice

Dee Alford

Ankle · Limited practice

Josaiah Stewart

Limited practice

Grant Stuard

Limited practice

Quentin Lake

Hip · Limited practice

Ronnie Stanley

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 30-23

Tucker Addington

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Marcus Harris

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Kevin Winston Jr.

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Nico Collins

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Jourdan Lewis

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

AJ Epenesa

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Dontayvion Wicks

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Jarrian Jones

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

DaVon Hamilton

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Montaric Brown

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

ARI: 10.3 sack yards lost per game to DET's 16.3

DET is at 16.3 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; ARI is at 10.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DET was at 20.3 over 17 games and ARI at 24.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

JAX: 30:53 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:33

PHI is at 28:33 time of possession per game over 4 games; JAX is at 30:53 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season PHI was at 30:11 over 17 games and JAX at 31:56 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Mike Evans

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Caleb Ransaw (S) is on injured reserve for JAX

Jacksonville put Ransaw on injured reserve Tuesday with a knee injury, so he misses this game against Philadelphia and at least the next few after it. He is a safety, which means the Jaguars play with a thinner back line against the Eagles' passing game. No replacement is named here, so see who starts at safety and weigh that when looking at deep-ball or receiver yardage lines.

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Derrick Harmon on injured reserve Monday with a foot injury, per an Oct 5 report. Harmon misses Sunday's home game against the Colts and at least several more. Pittsburgh's defensive tackle group is short, along with safety DeShon Elliott also being out, which matters for how the Steelers hold up against Indianapolis' offense.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Josh Hines-Allen

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Lukas Van Ness

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Jonathan Allen

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Gavin Stone

Stone is on the Dodgers’ 60-day IL with a shoulder injury. His listed return date is today, October 11, but that listing doesn’t establish that he’s ready to return. There’s no season line available to support a stash. I’d pass on stashing him based on the date alone.

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Abdullah (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB

Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

Saints receiver Jordyn Tyson is on injured reserve as of Oct 5, so he is out against Minnesota. No injury is listed. His absence puts more of the New Orleans passing game on the receivers still active.

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

BAL (3-1) at ATL (2-2)

Both teams come in on two-game win streaks, but Baltimore is +20 and 2-0 on the road while Atlanta is just +4. The Falcons' 2-2 is about who they are on the margin, and their 0-1 home mark is one game. The Ravens have the stronger profile, though a 16-point differential gap is modest. Think of this as a closer matchup than the record gap implies.

P Edge side lost; final 30-23

CIN: 5.65 yards per play to MIA's 5.15

Cincinnati is up to 5.65 from 5.23 last season, with Joe Burrow spreading 20-plus gains across three different receivers last game. Miami is down to 5.15 from 5.4, and its only explosive play last time was a 53-yard Ollie Gordon II run. Four games is a short sample, but Burrow's passing creating chunk plays against a Miami offense relying on one long run points to Cincinnati controlling the pace.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

BUF: 6.58 yards per play to LAR's 6.1

Both offenses move the ball well, so this gap is a matter of degree. Buffalo is up to 6.58 from 5.94 last season, while the Rams sit at 6.1, close to last season's 6.15. Buffalo's jump comes over only 4 games and has room to settle, but two efficient offenses meeting points to a game where stops are scarce on both sides.

LAC: 121.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 142.8

The Chargers allow 121.8 rushing yards a game, Denver 142.8, both over four games. Run defense totals lean on game script, since trailing teams face fewer carries and leading teams face more, and opponents aren't on the sheet. Four games can shift quickly. Denver's softer run numbers are the side to consider if the Chargers stay in a script where they keep running.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

MIN -134 → -134

Gary's number was -134; the same book now shows -134.

CIN -7 → -7

Gary's number was -7; the same book now shows -7.

LV +3.5 → +3.5

Gary's number was 3.5; the same book now shows 3.5.

ATL -3.5 → -3.5

Gary's number was -3.5; the same book now shows -3.5.

Harrison Smith

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Aaron Jones Sr.

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Derek Barnett

Limited practice

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Rachaad White

Limited practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Anthony Belton

Limited practice

P Edge side won; final 7-31

LV: 53.3% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 44.4%

LV is at 53.3% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; NE is at 44.4% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season LV was at 50% over 17 games and NE at 57.1% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

IND: 3 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 2.25

IND is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; PIT is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and PIT at 3 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

IND: 29.2% third downs allowed to PIT's 34.8%

Indianapolis lets opponents convert 29.2% of third downs, Pittsburgh 34.8%, both across four games. Who they faced isn't on the sheet, and third-down rates tend to drift as the sample grows. Four games is small. Indianapolis getting off the field more often is the number to weigh at Pittsburgh in a game expected to hinge on sustained drives.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

IND: 37.7% third-down conversion rate to PIT's 32%

IND is at 37.7% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; PIT is at 32% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season IND was at 42.6% over 17 games and PIT at 40% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

DEN: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to LAC's 33.3%

DEN is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAC is at 33.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 50% over 17 games and LAC at 57.1% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

DAL: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to TB's 0.8

TB is at 0.8 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; DAL is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 0.29 over 17 games and DAL at 0.53 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

PHI: 48.3 penalty yards per game to JAX's 61.5

PHI is at 48.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; JAX is at 61.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season PHI was at 63.1 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

SEA: 4 red-zone trips per game to SF's 3.25

SF is at 3.25 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; SEA is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season SF was at 3.88 over 17 games and SEA at 3.47 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots moved fullback Reggie Gilliam to injured reserve on Saturday, Oct 11, with ankle and knee injuries. IR means he is out for this game against the Raiders and at least several more after it. A fullback rarely moves a betting line on his own, so the useful angle is how New England's run game looks in its short-yardage and goal-line packages without its lead blocker.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

LV: 39.6% third-down conversion rate to NE's 34.6%

LV is at 39.6% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; NE is at 34.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season LV was at 33.8% over 17 games and NE at 42.9% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

LV: 21.8 first downs per game to NE's 19.3

LV is at 21.8 first downs per game over 4 games; NE is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season LV was at 15.1 over 17 games and NE at 21.2 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

PIT: 112.8 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 131

IND is at 131 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; PIT is at 112.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

DEN: 39.6% third-down conversion rate to LAC's 34.6%

DEN is at 39.6% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAC is at 34.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 41.2% over 17 games and LAC at 45.8% over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

BUF: 7.73 yards per pass attempt to LAR's 7

BUF is at 7.73 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; LAR is at 7 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LAR at 7.24 over 17 games.

DAL: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1

TB is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; DAL is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and DAL at 0.71 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

CHI: 6.83 yards per pass attempt to GB's 6.1

CHI is at 6.83 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; GB is at 6.1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 6.46 over 17 games and GB at 6.85 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

LAR: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 68.8%

BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; LAR is at 58.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN

Minnesota tight end Josh Oliver went on injured reserve with a biceps injury on Sep 30, so he is out at New Orleans. He has been sidelined for over a week already, and the Vikings have been playing without him. The other Minnesota tight ends absorb his blocking and receiving snaps.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Isaiah Adams (G) is on injured reserve for ARI

Adams is out against Detroit after Arizona placed him on injured reserve Saturday with an ankle injury. He is a guard. Johnson, a tackle, is also on injured reserve, so the Cardinals line will be thin against the Lions front. That makes it harder for Arizona to run the ball or give its quarterback time to throw.

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

TB (1-4) at DAL (2-3)

Tampa Bay is 1-4 but only 12 points under, which says the record undersells them; they also snapped their skid last week. Dallas is 2-3 at +2 and 1-2 at home, so the edge at home hasn't shown up. These teams are closer than the standings say, and Tampa's 1-1 road split is even with what Dallas does at home.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

DEN: 23.5 points allowed per game to LAC's 26.5

DEN is at 23.5 points allowed per game over 4 games; LAC is at 26.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and LAC at 20 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 23-17

LAC: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to DEN's 2

DEN is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAC is at 2.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Donovan Jackson (G) is on injured reserve for MIN

Vikings guard Donovan Jackson was placed on injured reserve with a knee injury on Oct 7, so he misses the trip to New Orleans. Losing a starting-caliber guard means a backup lines up inside. That can show up in the Minnesota run game and in pressure up the middle.

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Trevor Penning (G) is on injured reserve for LAC

Penning is out against Denver after the Chargers placed him on injured reserve Saturday with a concussion. He is a guard. Slater, the left tackle, went on injured reserve Friday, so the Chargers line is missing two starters this week. Weaker protection matters for any bet built on the Chargers passing game.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Cody Ponce

Ponce is on Toronto’s 60-day IL with a knee injury, carrying a 3.86 ERA. His listed return date is October 15, four days away, but that isn’t a promise of activation. I’d consider a stash in an open IL slot; I wouldn’t commit an active roster spot on this information.

Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals put cornerback Jalen Davis on injured reserve Tuesday, Sep 29, with a hamstring injury. IR rules him out for the trip to Miami. A depth corner going down thins the secondary, and that matters most when an offense spreads out and forces backups onto the field, so keep an eye on how Cincinnati handles nickel and dime looks.

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 29.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL

Baltimore placed Pocic (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

HOU (0-4) at TEN (0-4), a division game

Both teams are 0-4 on 4-game losing streaks, Houston at -25 and Tennessee at -28. Those margins are modest for winless clubs, which means both have lost close games. Houston is 0-1 on the road and Tennessee 0-2 at home. One of these streaks ends in this division game, and the point totals give neither team a clear edge.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL

Bullard went on injured reserve with a calf injury, reported Oct 1, so Dallas plays Tampa Bay without him. Losing a defensive tackle thins the middle of the line, which is where a team defends the run first. The sheet names no replacement, so Dallas leans on its other interior linemen against the Bucs' ground game.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

Houston defensive tackle Mario Edwards Jr. went on injured reserve on Oct 1 and will miss the Tennessee game. No injury was listed. His snaps on the interior go to the other Texans tackles, which thins their rotation against the Titans run game.

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

Dallas moved Thompson to injured reserve with a hamstring injury, reported Sep 30, so he misses the Tampa Bay game. That takes a starting-level safety out of the Cowboys' secondary for multiple weeks. With no replacement named, assume Dallas is thinner on the back end against the Bucs' passing game.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Chenal (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Burns (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 29.

P Edge side tied 27-27

Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

P Edge side won; final 30-23

IND (2-2) at PIT (2-2)

Both sit at 2-2 with slight negative margins, Indianapolis at -2 and Pittsburgh at -10. The Colts have won 2 straight, while the Steelers are 2-0 at home and lost last time out. Two home games is a small sample, but it's the clearest split on the board. This is an even spot where home field carries more weight than either team's momentum.

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

The Titans placed Carmona (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Van Roten (thigh) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

The Titans placed Slater (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

TB is on a short week

Both teams are playing on just 3 days of rest, so neither side gets a scheduling edge here. On a week that short, teams mostly walk through practice, simplify the game plan and lean on players getting healthy enough to suit up. Dallas is at home and Tampa Bay has to travel on that same tight window. Short-week games tend to look sloppier and more basic, so the injury report matters more than usual.

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

CLE (3-1) at NYJ (1-3)

Cleveland is 3-1 on a 3-game win streak, yet sits at -14 on the year, so the record flatters them. The Jets are 1-3 at -8, better than their record, and have lost 3 straight. Cleveland is 1-1 on the road, the Jets 0-1 at home in one game. A 3-1 team with a negative margin is a classic candidate to come back toward the pack, and this matchup is closer than the standings say.

P Edge side won; final 12-17

HOU lead the series with TEN since 2025

Houston has won both, but in different ways. The first was a 26-0 shutout at home, the second a 16-13 escape in Tennessee. The Titans have scored 13 points in two games against this Texans defense. This one is in Tennessee, where the last meeting came down to a field goal, so the road game has been the closer spot.

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

WSH lead the series with NYG since 2025

Washington is 2-0 against the Giants since last season, and neither game was a coin flip. The Commanders won 21-6 at home on Sep 7, holding New York to two scores' worth of points, then won 29-21 on the road on Dec 14 in a game the Giants kept closer. Two meetings is a small sample, but the Giants scoring more in the rematch is the thread to follow when sizing up this one.

P Edge side tied 27-27

DEN and LAC are even since 2025

Each team won at home. The Chargers won 23-20 in Los Angeles, and Denver won 19-3 in January. The home team has won both games, but the second was far more lopsided, with the Chargers held to a field goal. This game is in Los Angeles, where the first meeting was decided by 3.

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Patrick O'Connell

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Ernest Jones IV

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Budda Baker

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Jordan Burch

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Jeremiyah Love

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Josh Sweat

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Tyler Badie

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Alec Ingold

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Dalvin Tomlinson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Adam Trautman

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Dondrea Tillman

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Joey Porter Jr.

Illness · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

D.J. Jones

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 23-17

Khalil Mack

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

Chase McLaughlin

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Cam Hart

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-17

D'Andre Swift

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

CeeDee Lamb

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Grady Jarrett

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Joe Thuney

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Darnell Wright

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Cam Lewis

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 7-31

Brandon Cisse

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 7-31

Malik Nabers

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Ben Sinnott

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Deonte Banks

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Najee Harris

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Javon Kinlaw

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Chris Manhertz

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Nick Allegretti

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Jeremy Reaves

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Isaiah Likely

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Cam Skattebo

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Sam Cosmi

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Jayden Daniels

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Treylon Burks

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Andrew Thomas

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Frankie Luvu

Full practice

P Edge side tied 27-27

Grover Stewart

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Tanor Bortolini

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Akeem Davis-Gaither

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Jonathan Taylor

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 22-34

Mekhi Blackmon

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Rueben Bain Jr.

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Elgton Jenkins

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Jarvis Brownlee Jr.

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Mason Taylor

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 12-17

Jayden Price

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Mike Reid

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Davon Godchaux

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Carl Granderson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Noah Fant

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Ko Kieft

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-16

Brett Thorson

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 23-13

Tyler Shough

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Alijah Clark

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Segun Olubi

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Brenden Schooler

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Jackson Powers-Johnson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Folorunso Fatukasi

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Brock Bowers

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Spencer Burford

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-45

Drake Maye

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 17-45

Barrett Carter

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Jordan Battle

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 31-24

JuJu Brents

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Austin Jackson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Chris Bell

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Gunnar Helm

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Logan Hall

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Jeffery Simmons

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Nate Thomas

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Wade Woodaz

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Azeez Al-Shaair

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

John Franklin-Myers

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

Tony Pollard

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 26-3

LeQuint Allen Jr.

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Jihaad Campbell

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Dallas Goedert

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Quinyon Mitchell

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Jakobi Meyers

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 17-19

Jalen Hurts

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Jamal Hill

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 26-3

Dante Trader Jr.

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 31-24

Jaylen Watson

Full practice

Nate Landman

Full practice

Davante Adams

Full practice

Ray Davis

Full practice

Damar Hamlin

Full practice

Grant Delpit

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 12-17

Isaac Seumalo

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 45-21

Dorian Williams

Full practice

Colby Parkinson

Full practice

Keon Coleman

Full practice

James Houston

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-16

Fred Johnson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Chris Olave

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 23-13

Cameron Heyward

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 22-34

Kaelon Black

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 32-29

Christian Benford

Full practice

Zack Baun

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 17-19

Dalton Risner

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 31-24

Beau Stephens

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 32-29

Cole Van Lanen

Full practice