Skip to content
GARY A.I.Get the app

Sports picks for Monday, October 12, 2026

758 stored items

Gary’s saved picks and research for this day. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.

Game picks

3
GARY'S PICK
Dodgers Moneyline
MLB@ Brewers· -136

Dodgers
Moneyline

-136 · 5:00 PM ET

Brewers

Permanent matchup analysis →
GARY'S PICK
Rays Moneyline
MLBvs Guardians· -172

Rays
Moneyline

-172 · 8:00 PM ET

Guardians

Permanent matchup analysis →
GARY'S PICK
Rams -3.5
NFLvs Bills· -105

Rams
-3.5

-105 · 8:15 PM ET

Bills

Permanent matchup analysis →

Player props

6
GARY'S PICK
KYLE TUCKERH+R+RBI OVER 0.5
MLBLos Angeles Dodgers· -155

Kyle Tucker
H+R+RBI over 0.5

-155 · 5:00 PM ET

Los Angeles Dodgers

GARY'S PICK
JAKE BAUERSH+R+RBI OVER 0.5
MLBMilwaukee Brewers· -155

Jake Bauers
H+R+RBI over 0.5

-155 · 5:00 PM ET

Milwaukee Brewers

GARY'S PICK
MATTHEW STAFFORDPASSING ATTEMPTS UNDER 37.5
NFLLos Angeles Rams· -123

Matthew Stafford
Passing Attempts under 37.5

-123 · 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams

GARY'S PICK
KYREN WILLIAMSRECEPTIONS OVER 2.5
NFLLos Angeles Rams· -174

Kyren Williams
Receptions over 2.5

-174 · 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Rams

GARY'S PICK
RYAN VILADEH+R+RBI UNDER 1.5
MLBTampa Bay Rays· -140

Ryan Vilade
H+R+RBI under 1.5

-140 · 8:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay Rays

GARY'S PICK
FOSTER GRIFFINPITCHER EARNED RUNS OVER 1.5
MLBCleveland Guardians· -133

Foster Griffin
Pitcher Earned Runs over 1.5

-133 · 8:00 PM ET

Cleveland Guardians

Research

868
  • TEAM RECORDCLE @ TB

    Rays 8-0 in Drew Rasmussen's last 8 starts

    Every time Rasmussen has pitched across his last eight starts, Tampa Bay has walked off with the win. The sheet does not split that between his arm, the bats behind him and who they played, and eight games is a short run that rarely stays spotless. Against Cleveland tonight, the streak is a reason to look at the Rays, with the understanding that the price has probably caught up to it.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 261.8 team passing yards per game to TEN's 163.8

    Houston throws for about a hundred more yards a game than Tennessee. The Texans jumped from 218.1 last season, while Tennessee sits near its 166.1 from a year ago, so the Titans' low number looks like who they are. Five games is a small sample for Houston's jump, but in this matchup the Texans are the side more likely to move the ball through the air.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PASS RUSHTB @ DAL

    DAL: 1.2 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.4

    Dallas's quarterback is rarely getting sacked, while Tampa Bay's is going down more than three times a game. Last season both teams allowed 2.38 a game, so over 5 games Dallas has improved and Tampa has slipped, and both are likely to drift back somewhat. In this spot, Tampa is the side more likely to face long third downs and stalled drives.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • SITUATIONALSF @ SEA

    SF: 51.9% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 29.8%

    San Francisco keeps drives alive on more than half its third downs, while Seattle is converting fewer than one in three. The Niners were at 49.8% last season, so their number looks real, but Seattle's 29.8% over 5 games is a steep fall from 39.8% last season and is more likely to climb back. In this spot, the Niners should own the longer drives and the clock, and Seattle's offense needs early-down yards to avoid stalling.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • RED ZONETB @ DAL

    DAL: 83.3% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 47.1%

    TB is at 47.1% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; DAL is at 83.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and DAL at 56.9% over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO

    MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to NO's 30.2

    MIN is at 12.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; NO is at 30.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season MIN was at 19.6 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 260 team passing yards per game to MIA's 153.6

    Cincinnati's passing game is producing at a much higher rate than Miami's right now. The Bengals are up from 235.6 last season, while Miami has dropped from 180.5 to 153.6 over 5 games, a slide that is more likely to settle back toward last year than stay this low. For this game, Cincinnati's arm should set the tone, with Miami chasing if it can't find yards through the air.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PASS RUSHDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 1.2 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3.4

    Denver's quarterback is barely getting touched, while the Chargers are taking more than three sacks a game. That fits last season, when Denver gave up 1.77 a game and the Chargers 3.75, so this is a steady trait over 5 games. Expect Denver's offense to stay on schedule and the Chargers to face more long-yardage downs, which matters for drive props and anything tied to Chargers drives finishing.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Nick Bosa (DE) is out for SF

    Nick Bosa is listed out with a calf injury. Kyle Shanahan said Monday he "has a chance" to play against the Commanders next Monday night, which points to a short absence. That quote is about a later game than the listed Niners at Seahawks matchup, so for this one the out tag is what counts. The sheet does not say who replaces him on the edge.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Tylan Wallace (WR) is out for CLE

    Wallace will not play for Cleveland at the Jets. The report lists no injury or replacement, so his snaps go to the next receiver on the depth chart.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    David Montgomery (RB) is doubtful for HOU

    Doubtful means Montgomery is very unlikely to play at Tennessee, and coach DeMeco Ryans calling the groin injury week-to-week on Oct 12 suggests this could stretch past one game. Groin issues tend to linger for running backs, so a quick return is hard to count on. The sheet does not name who takes his carries, so check the Texans' depth chart and practice reports before betting on Houston's run game or any backup back's rushing line.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Cobie Durant (CB) is out for DAL

    Dallas lists cornerback Cobie Durant as out against Tampa Bay, reported Oct 12. Joey Porter Jr. is also out for Dallas, so the Cowboys are down two corners for this game, which leaves the secondary short on bodies.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Javon Hargrave (DT) is out for GB

    Out is final for Hargrave: an MRI on Oct 12 confirmed a torn Achilles, suffered in the Packers' 31-7 win over the Bears, and that injury typically ends a season. He plays defensive tackle, so the loss lands in the middle of Green Bay's front. The sheet does not name a replacement, so watch how the Packers fill his snaps and whether opposing run games find more room inside in the weeks ahead.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Darius Slayton (WR) is out for IND

    Darius Slayton is listed as out for Indianapolis against Pittsburgh, with no injury or timeline given. Ashton Dulin is also out, so the Colts are down two receivers for this game. Check who is left on the depth chart before betting Indianapolis receiving props.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Anfernee Jennings (LB) is out for NO

    Jennings will not play for New Orleans against Minnesota. The report lists no injury or replacement, so the Saints' linebacker rotation runs one man short.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Saquon Barkley (RB) is out for PHI

    Barkley is ruled out against Jacksonville with a hamstring injury, so the Eagles play this one without their lead back. DeVonta Smith is nursing a hamstring too, and Nick Sirianni said Monday he is hopeful both get cleared for the Panthers the following Sunday, which points to a short absence. No replacement back has been named, so size up Philadelphia's offense here without Barkley and with Smith in doubt, and circle the Panthers game as the likely return.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB

    Tampa Bay has ruled Baker Mayfield out for the trip to Dallas, as of the Oct 12 report. Losing the starting quarterback is the biggest absence a team can have, and no injury detail or backup is listed here, so the first thing to check before betting this game is who takes the snaps for Tampa Bay.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Lamar Jackson (QB) is out for BAL

    Lamar Jackson is out at Atlanta with a sprained left ankle. Jesse Minter said Monday that he is definitely doing better, which suggests a short absence. For this game, Baltimore is without its quarterback, and that affects nearly every Ravens line. Keep an eye on whether he gets close to returning in the weeks after this.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Tre' Harris (WR) is doubtful for LAC

    Harris hurt his hamstring in Sunday's 23-17 loss to the Broncos, and Jim Harbaugh is calling it week-to-week. A doubtful tag paired with that phrase usually means he sits, and hamstrings tend to linger. With the rematch against Denver coming up, the targets he leaves behind go to the rest of the Chargers' receivers, so look at their usage before settling on anything in the Chargers' passing game.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Trey Zuhn III (C) is out for LV

    Out is final: Zuhn will not suit up for Las Vegas at New England. A center change affects snap exchanges and line calls, so the backup's experience matters when you think about this offense. The report does not name the injury or the fill-in.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Caleb Douglas (WR) is out for MIA

    Receiver Caleb Douglas is out for Miami against Cincinnati, reported Oct 12. Tight end Justin Joly is also out, so the Dolphins are down two pass catchers for this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • MISMATCHCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 260 pass yards a game to MIA's 153.6

    Cincinnati throws for 260 yards a game and Miami for 153.6, over 5 games each. The Bengals are up from 235.6 last season, while Miami has fallen hard from 180.5. Miami's number is the likelier one to move back up, but even last season's level trails Cincinnati by a wide margin. Miami needs long drives and a slow clock to keep this from becoming a game it has to chase through the air.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    DJ Moore (WR) is out for BUF

    DJ Moore is inactive for Monday's game at the Rams with a shoulder injury. Buffalo also lists receiver Joshua Palmer as out, so the Bills are down two wideouts tonight. The sheet does not say who absorbs their targets, so be careful with props on the receivers who remain.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI

    Caleb Williams is out with a hamstring injury, and Chicago lost 31-7 to Green Bay without him. Ben Johnson said Williams is on track and that a return for Atlanta in Week 6 is going to be close. Johnson gave no firm date, so expect his status to stay uncertain through the week. Hold off on Bears lines until there is clearer word on him.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Will Shipley (RB) is doubtful for PHI

    Will Shipley left Sunday's 19-17 loss to the Jaguars in London with a foot injury, and tests showed a partial tear of his plantar fascia, the tissue along the bottom of the foot. Doubtful usually means a player sits, and the report says this could last multiple weeks. The fact sheet doesn't name who takes his carries, so check the next injury report before betting Philadelphia's backfield props.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • MISMATCHSF @ SEA

    SF: 51.9% on third down to SEA's 29.8%

    The widest gap between these two is third down: SF's offense converted 51.9% of its own third downs over 5 games; SEA's offense converted 29.8% of its own third downs over 5 games this season. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • MISMATCHCHI @ GB

    CHI: 173.2 rush yards a game to GB's 60.4

    Chicago runs for 173.2 yards a game and Green Bay for 60.4, over 5 games. The Bears are up from 144.5 last season, and the Packers have collapsed from 119.8. Green Bay's number is the one most likely to rebound. Chicago wants to lean on the run and control the clock at Lambeau, and Green Bay has to get its passing game going early to keep the Bears from grinding it out.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • MISMATCHTB @ DAL

    DAL: 269.6 pass yards a game to TB's 173.4

    The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: TB threw for 173.4 passing yards a game over 5 games; DAL threw for 269.6 passing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season TB was at 205.9 over 17 games and DAL at 266.3 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • MISMATCHHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 261.8 pass yards a game to TEN's 163.8

    The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: HOU threw for 261.8 passing yards a game over 5 games; TEN threw for 163.8 passing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season HOU was at 218.1 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • COVERAGEMIN @ NO

    MIN: 22.2% third downs allowed to NO's 48.3%

    Minnesota lets opponents convert just 22.2% of third downs, and New Orleans allows 48.3%. Over 5 games that is a meaningful gap, though third-down rates swing a lot and the sheet doesn't say who either team played. Expect the Vikings' drives to stay alive more often than the Saints' do, which helps when you think about time of possession and how many scoring chances each side gets.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • COVERAGEBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 145.5 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 256.3

    The Rams allow 145.5 passing yards a game, and Buffalo allows 256.3, both over 4 games. That is a short sample, and the sheet doesn't show which quarterbacks they saw or whether teams were running out the clock against them. If you look at passing numbers here, the Rams' receivers have the easier coverage to beat.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • MISMATCHMIN @ NO

    MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to NO's 30.2

    Minnesota has allowed 12.8 points a game over 5 games, New Orleans 30.2. Both are far from last season, when the Vikings allowed 19.6 and the Saints 22.5, so expect each to drift back toward those marks. The gap is still large at last season's levels. New Orleans has to keep its own offense on the field and avoid short fields, because it has given up points in bunches this year.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • MISMATCHDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 1.2 sacks taken a game to LAC's 3.4

    Denver gives up 1.2 sacks a game and the Chargers take 3.4, over 5 games. Both teams were in the same spots last season, Denver at 1.77 and the Chargers at 3.75, so this gap looks real. The Chargers need quick throws and extra blockers to keep drives alive. Long-yardage downs and stalled drives are the likely cost when their protection breaks down.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Ben Bartch (G) is out for DET

    Ben Bartch is out, so Detroit will start a different guard in Arizona. The report gives no injury detail or replacement. An interior line change mostly affects the run game and inside pressure, so consider that when you look at Detroit's rushing numbers this week.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ NYJ

    CLE @ NYJ carries a 29.5 market total

    At 29.5, Cleveland at the Jets shares the bottom of the board with Houston and Tennessee, 24.5 under the 54 median. The market sees scoring arriving slowly and mostly through kicks. With no supporting stats on the sheet, the number carries the whole case. A defensive or special teams touchdown is the cleanest way it breaks, so in a game priced this low, turnovers matter more than usual to anyone holding a position on the total.

  • PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN

    HOU @ TEN carries a 29.5 market total

    At 29.5, this is tied for the lowest total on the slate, 24.5 under the 54 median, and the market is pricing a game where touchdowns are scarce and a few field goals might decide it. Nothing on the sheet explains why, so lean on the number alone. For it to crack, Houston or Tennessee needs a short field from a turnover or a return score, because at this price one cheap touchdown moves the game a long way toward the total.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ LAC

    DEN @ LAC carries a 40.5 market total

    At 40.5, Denver at the Chargers is the highest of the low group but still 13.5 under the 54 median, which points to a game decided by defense and field position more than shootout volume. Nothing on the sheet says why. For the number to crack, both offenses need to stay on schedule and finish drives, because one team scoring early can pull the other out of a conservative plan.

  • TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 1.2 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.6

    The Chargers are giving the ball away more than twice as often as Denver. Denver's 1.2 is close to its 1 from last season, while the Chargers have doubled from 1.24, and turnover rates like that over 5 games tend to come back down. The edge favors Denver in this game, though Chargers giveaways are the number most likely to cool off.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • TRENCHESTB @ DAL

    TB: 72.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 168.4

    Tampa Bay gives up 72.8 rushing yards a game, and Dallas gives up 168.4, so one of these run defenses holds up and the other leaks. Five games is a real start, but the sheet doesn't say which offenses each team faced, so some of that gap could come from schedule or from game script. For this game, Tampa's backs face the softer front, and that is the side to lean on when you think about how the Bucs move the ball.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX

    PHI @ JAX carries a 35.5 market total

    The current fanduel total is 35.5, 18.5 points below the 54 median across 14 games with posted totals on this slate.

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Cam Jurgens (C) is out for BAL

    Jurgens is out for Atlanta even though Jesse Minter said Monday that he is in the finishing stages of the concussion protocol. He is the center, so a backup will handle snaps and protection calls. A shuffled interior line is something to factor in when you think about Baltimore's run game and pass protection this week.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G) is out for BUF

    BUF lists Ar'maj Reed-Adams as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Rico Dowdle (RB) is out for PIT

    Dowdle is out with a toe injury, so the Steelers are without that running back against the Colts. Offensive coordinator Brian Angelichio said Monday, Oct 12, that he expects Dowdle back in Week 6 against the Buccaneers, so the team views this as a one-game absence. Until then, his carries go to the rest of the Pittsburgh backfield.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Tom Kennedy (WR) is out for DET

    Kennedy's season is over: Dan Campbell confirmed Monday that he needs surgery on the MCL in his right knee. He was a depth receiver, so the effect on Detroit's offense against Arizona is small. Snaps at the bottom of the receiver rotation will go to whoever is next on the depth chart.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is out for SF

    Deebo Samuel Sr. strained his right hamstring in Sunday's 32-29 win over Seattle, and Kyle Shanahan says he will miss at least a couple of weeks. Out is final, and that timeline covers more than one game. San Francisco loses a receiver it moves all over the formation, and no replacement is named yet. Hamstrings often run past the first estimate, so be wary of betting on a quick return.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Roman Wilson (WR) is out for PIT

    Roman Wilson will not play this week. Coach Mike McCarthy ruled him out Monday with a finger injury. The report names the Buccaneers as Sunday's opponent while the listed matchup is the Colts, so check which game you are betting before acting on it. With Wilson out, his targets go to the other Pittsburgh receivers, and none are named here, so wait for the depth chart before backing a replacement.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Charles Omenihu (DE) is out for WSH

    Charles Omenihu is listed as out for Washington's defensive line against the Giants, with no injury or timeline given. Out means he will not play, which leaves Washington one pass rusher short for this game.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Trey Hendrickson (LB) is out for BAL

    Trey Hendrickson is out for Baltimore at Atlanta, so the Ravens lose that pass rusher for this game. The Oct 12 report gives no injury or timeline, so the pressure the Ravens can create depends on who steps into his snaps.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Andrew Wingard (S) is out for ARI

    Arizona has safety Andrew Wingard out against Detroit, so he will not play. The Oct 12 report gives no injury detail or replacement, so the effect depends on who the Cardinals move into his role.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Devin White (LB) is doubtful for DET

    White needs surgery on his forearm, and Dan Campbell expects him back at some point later this season, which makes the doubtful tag for Arizona close to an out. Detroit will cover his snaps with the other linebackers. That matters most against the run and in short coverage, where linebackers carry the load.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    James Thompson Jr. (DT) is out for SF

    Thompson is out for the Seattle game with an ankle injury, and the report is that he could return in Week 6 against Washington. That puts his absence at one more game, so San Francisco will rotate other bodies through the interior of the defensive line this week.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Garret Wallow (LB) is out for SF

    Linebacker Garret Wallow has a hamstring strain, and Kyle Shanahan says he will miss at least a couple of weeks. That rules him out here and probably beyond. Combined with other San Francisco defensive absences on this report, the depth behind the starters gets tested against Seattle.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Kyle Juszczyk (FB) is out for SF

    Fullback Kyle Juszczyk is out with a knee injury. Kyle Shanahan said Monday he could return for the Week 6 game against the Commanders next Monday night, so this looks like a short absence. For the listed Niners at Seahawks game, plan on San Francisco without its fullback. The sheet does not name a replacement.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Drew Lock (QB) is questionable for SEA

    Lock is listed as questionable with a forearm injury and was limited on Monday's estimated practice report. For a quarterback, a forearm problem affects throwing. Follow the practice reports through the week, because whether he plays decides who runs Seattle's offense against San Francisco.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Marques Sigle (S) is out for SF

    SF lists Marques Sigle as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Chazz Surratt (LB) is out for SEA

    SEA lists Chazz Surratt as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Michael Penix Jr. (QB) is questionable for ATL

    Penix is questionable with a rib injury, which means he could go either way. Atlanta is optimistic that it is not serious and expects him to be available Sunday. A quarterback playing through rib pain can lose some zip on longer throws, so check his status closer to kickoff before relying on Falcons passing numbers.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO

    MIN @ NO carries a 36.5 market total

    A 36.5 in New Orleans says the market expects Minnesota and the Saints to trade punts more than touchdowns, 17.5 below the 54 slate median. The sheet has no injuries or team numbers behind it. The expectation cracks if either offense finishes drives in the red zone instead of settling for kicks, since a couple of touchdowns in place of field goals erases most of that gap fast.

  • PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB

    CHI @ GB carries a 38.5 market total

    A 38.5 at Lambeau puts Chicago and Green Bay 15.5 under the 54 slate median, so books expect a lower-scoring division game with long possessions and limited explosive plays. The sheet offers no injuries or form to explain the gap. It cracks if either quarterback finds chunk plays early, so first-half pace is the useful tell on whether the market read is right.

  • PACE & SCRIPTDET @ ARI

    DET @ ARI carries a 66.5 market total

    At 66.5, Detroit at Arizona is the highest total on the slate, 12.5 above the 54 median, and the market expects touchdowns in bunches with both offenses moving quickly. The sheet has no injuries or stats behind it. The expectation cracks if drives stall into field goals or the game slows with long possessions, so at this price, red zone results matter as much as yardage.

  • PASS RUSHCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0.8

    Cincinnati's defense averages 3.4 sacks a game, and Miami's gets just 0.8, a big split in pressure over 5 games each. The sheet doesn't show the quarterbacks or lines they faced, so part of this may be opponent quality. Miami's passer should get more time than Cincinnati's will, which matters for sack props and for how cleanly each offense can push the ball downfield.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Bill Murray (G) is out for LAR

    LAR lists Bill Murray as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Ed Oliver (DT) is out for BUF

    BUF lists Ed Oliver as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Larrell Murchison (DE) is out for LAR

    LAR lists Larrell Murchison as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Jude Bowry (OT) is out for BUF

    BUF lists Jude Bowry as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Max Klare (TE) is out for LAR

    LAR lists Max Klare as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    CJ Daniels (WR) is out for LAR

    The Rams list receiver CJ Daniels as out against the Bills. The sheet gives no injury, timeline or replacement, so the firm fact is that he does not play Monday.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Joshua Palmer (WR) is out for BUF

    Buffalo lists receiver Joshua Palmer as out at the Rams. DJ Moore is also inactive with a shoulder injury, so the Bills are missing two receivers tonight. The sheet does not say who picks up the snaps.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Landon Jackson (DE) is out for BUF

    Jackson is inactive for Monday night against the Rams because of a knee injury. Buffalo will rotate other edge rushers into his snaps. The pass rush has one fewer body, and that is something to keep in mind for the Rams' passing game.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Dee Alford (CB) is out for BUF

    Cornerback Dee Alford is inactive for Monday's game against the Rams with an ankle injury. Buffalo plays tonight one corner short, and the sheet does not name who takes his snaps.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Ty Simpson (QB) is out for LAR

    Ty Simpson is inactive as a coach's decision. He is healthy and is the Rams' emergency third quarterback against the Bills on Monday. He would only enter if both quarterbacks ahead of him go down, so this barely touches how the game plays out.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Za'Darius Smith (DE) is out for ATL

    Atlanta lists Za'Darius Smith as out against Baltimore, so the Falcons play without that defensive end. The Oct 12 report has no injury detail or named fill-in, so check how Atlanta plans to generate its edge rush.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Benjamin Morrison (CB) is out for TB

    Benjamin Morrison is out for Tampa Bay at Dallas, per the Oct 12 report. No injury or replacement is listed, so the question is how thin the Bucs' corner group gets against the Dallas passing game.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Drew Shelton (OT) is out for DAL

    Offensive tackle Drew Shelton is out for Dallas against Tampa Bay, reported Oct 12. No injury detail or replacement is listed, so how much this matters depends on who steps in on the line.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Joey Porter Jr. (CB) is out for DAL

    Joey Porter Jr. is out for Dallas against Tampa Bay, reported Oct 12. With Cobie Durant also ruled out, Dallas is missing two cornerbacks, so depth at the position gets tested in this one.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    SirVocea Dennis (LB) is out for TB

    Linebacker SirVocea Dennis is out for Tampa Bay at Dallas, reported Oct 12. No injury detail or replacement is listed, so it is a depth question for the Bucs' defense.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is out for TB

    TB lists Antoine Winfield Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is out for DAL

    DAL lists DeMarvion Overshown as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    DeVonta Smith (WR) is out for PHI

    Smith is listed out with a hamstring injury, which takes a starting receiver off the Eagles' board for this one. Nick Sirianni said Monday, Oct 12, that he hoped Smith would be back for Sunday's game against the Panthers, so the team sees this as a short absence. The Out tag still means he will not play here, so his targets have to go to someone else on the roster.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Hollywood Brown (WR) is out for PHI

    Hollywood Brown is out for Philadelphia at Jacksonville, reported Oct 12. DeVonta Smith is also listed out at receiver, so the Eagles could be short on pass catchers for this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Drew Kendall (C) is out for PHI

    Center Drew Kendall is out for Philadelphia at Jacksonville, reported Oct 12. No injury or replacement is listed, so it is a depth question on the Eagles' line.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Jonathan Greenard (LB) is out for PHI

    Linebacker Jonathan Greenard is out for Philadelphia at Jacksonville, reported Oct 12. No injury detail or replacement is listed, so how much the Eagles' pass rush feels it depends on who fills in.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Marcus Epps (S) is out for PHI

    PHI lists Marcus Epps as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Eric Murray (S) is out for JAX

    JAX lists Eric Murray as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    David Martin-Robinson (TE) is out for TEN

    Tight end David Martin-Robinson is out for Tennessee against Houston, reported Oct 12. No injury detail or replacement is listed.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Amani Hooker (S) is out for TEN

    Safety Amani Hooker is out for Tennessee against Houston, reported Oct 12. No injury detail or replacement is listed, so the Titans' back end loses a body for this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Jalen Pitre (S) is doubtful for HOU

    Pitre hurt his left shoulder in Sunday's 26-3 win over the Titans, and DeMeco Ryans called the injury week-to-week on Monday. Doubtful means Houston expects Pitre to sit, and week-to-week suggests this could last beyond one game. The sheet doesn't name who takes over at safety, so check the next injury report and the depth chart before betting on how Houston's secondary holds up against Tennessee.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Colbie Young (WR) is out for CIN

    Cincinnati has ruled Colbie Young out for the trip to Miami, so the receiver will not suit up for this game. The report, posted Oct 12, does not name the injury, when it happened or who takes his snaps, so price this as one fewer option in the Bengals' passing game and watch the final depth chart.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Justin Joly (TE) is out for MIA

    Tight end Justin Joly is out for Miami against Cincinnati, reported Oct 12. With receiver Caleb Douglas also out, Miami has fewer options in the passing game.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Reese Taylor (CB) is out for MIA

    Cornerback Reese Taylor is out for Miami against Cincinnati, reported Oct 12. No injury detail or replacement is listed, so it is a depth question for the Dolphins' secondary.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is out for MIA

    Out means Beal will not play against Cincinnati, so Miami's defensive end rotation is a man short for this one. The report lists no injury or replacement, so check Miami's depth chart to see who gets his snaps on the edge.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Kyle Dugger (S) is out for CIN

    Kyle Dugger is listed out for Cincinnati at Miami, so the Bengals play this one without that safety. The Oct 12 report gives no injury detail or replacement, so the size of the hit to the back end depends on who Cincinnati slides into his spot.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Jalen Nailor (WR) is out for LV

    Nailor is out with a concussion, so the Raiders lose a receiver for this trip to New England. Klint Kubiak said Monday, Oct 12, that Nailor is expected to practice this week. That points to a short stay on the sideline, but as long as he is listed Out, he does not play in this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Tyler Scott (WR) is out for LV

    Scott is on the Raiders' practice squad, and Monday he went on the practice squad injured list with an undisclosed injury. That means he was not part of the game-day receiver group to begin with, so his absence changes nothing about how Las Vegas lines up against New England.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Karon Prunty (CB) is out for NE

    Prunty will not play for New England against Las Vegas. The report does not list the injury or who covers his snaps, so the next corner on the depth chart takes the work.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Carlton Davis III (CB) is out for NE

    Davis is out, so New England takes on Las Vegas without him at corner. No injury detail or replacement is listed, so how the Patriots cover receivers depends on who moves up behind him.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Christian Gonzalez (CB) is out for NE

    Gonzalez is ruled out and will not play for New England against Las Vegas. The report gives no injury or fill-in, so the corner who steps in becomes the matchup to look at in the Raiders' passing game.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Channing Canada (CB) is out for NE

    NE lists Channing Canada as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Jordan Addison (WR) is out for MIN

    Addison will not play when Minnesota visits New Orleans. The report does not name the injury, so his targets go to the Vikings' other receivers, and their usage is where his absence shows up.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Charles Demmings (CB) is out for MIN

    Demmings is out, so Minnesota plays at New Orleans without him at corner. No injury or replacement is listed, so whoever takes his snaps is the matchup the Saints' receivers face.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Christian Darrisaw (OT) is out for MIN

    Darrisaw is ruled out for Minnesota at New Orleans, so the Vikings need a different starter at tackle. The report gives no injury or fill-in, so pass protection on that side depends on the backup.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Kaden Elliss (LB) is out for NO

    Elliss is out, so New Orleans faces Minnesota without him at linebacker. No injury or fill-in is named, so check who takes his snaps in the middle of the defense.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Nathan Shepherd (DT) is out for NO

    Shepherd is ruled out for New Orleans against Minnesota, leaving the Saints a body short on the interior line. The report does not give the injury or who replaces him.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Vernon Broughton (DT) is out for NO

    NO lists Vernon Broughton as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Jeremiah Wright (G) is out for NO

    NO lists Jeremiah Wright as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Adonai Mitchell (WR) is out for NYJ

    Mitchell is out for the Jets against Cleveland. No injury or fill-in is listed, so his targets get spread among the remaining New York receivers.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Breece Hall (RB) is out for NYJ

    Hall is ruled out, so the Jets host Cleveland without him in the backfield. The report gives no injury detail or named replacement, so the carries go to the backups, and how New York splits that work shapes any running back angle in this game.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Carsen Ryan (TE) is out for CLE

    Cleveland has tight end Carsen Ryan out for the game against the Jets. The Oct 12 report lists no injury or timeline, so the open question is how the Browns fill his snaps in the passing and blocking game.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Mason Graham (DT) is out for CLE

    Mason Graham is out for Cleveland's game against the Jets, so the Browns lose that defensive tackle for this one. The Oct 12 listing carries no injury detail, so judge the impact by who Cleveland rotates in up front.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is out for CLE

    Cleveland lists defensive tackle Mike Hall Jr. as out against the Jets, meaning he will not play. The Oct 12 report gives no injury or return window, so the interior line rotation is the thing to check before kickoff.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is out for NYJ

    NYJ lists Kiko Mauigoa as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Teven Jenkins (G) is out for CLE

    CLE lists Teven Jenkins as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Dylan Parham (G) is out for NYJ

    NYJ lists Dylan Parham as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Ben Skowronek (WR) is out for PIT

    Ben Skowronek has a calf injury, and head coach Mike McCarthy said Monday he will not play this Sunday. That is a firm ruling, so there is no late game-time call to wait on. McCarthy named the Buccaneers as the opponent while this game is listed as Colts at Steelers, so confirm which game the ruling covers before you factor it in. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Ashton Dulin (WR) is out for IND

    Ashton Dulin is listed as out for Indianapolis against Pittsburgh. The report gives no injury or timeline. Out means he will not play, so any Colts receiver prop should assume he is not on the field.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Jamel Dean (CB) is out for PIT

    Jamel Dean is listed as out for Pittsburgh's secondary against Indianapolis, with no injury or timeline given. Out means he will not play. A missing cornerback is a reason to look at the Colts' passing props, though Indianapolis is also without receivers Ashton Dulin and Darius Slayton.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Jaylon Carlies (LB) is out for IND

    IND lists Jaylon Carlies as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Marcus Mariota (QB) is out for WSH

    Marcus Mariota is listed as out for Washington against the Giants, with no injury or timeline given. Out means he will not suit up, so whoever Washington has left at quarterback behind him is the one to account for.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Stefon Diggs (WR) is out for WSH

    Stefon Diggs is listed as out for Washington against the Giants, with no injury or timeline given. Out means he will not play. Washington is also without quarterback Marcus Mariota, so the passing game is thinner on both ends.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Jason Pinnock (S) is out for NYG

    Jason Pinnock is listed as out for the Giants' secondary at Washington, with no injury or timeline given. Out means he will not play, and the report does not name who fills his safety spot.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Tyler Owens (S) is out for WSH

    Tyler Owens is listed as out for Washington against the Giants, with no injury or timeline given. Nick Cross is also out, so Washington is down two safeties for this game, which matters when you look at the Giants' passing numbers.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Nick Cross (S) is out for WSH

    Nick Cross is listed as out for Washington against the Giants, with no injury or timeline given. Tyler Owens is also out, which leaves the Washington secondary two safeties short for this game.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Percy Butler (S) is out for WSH

    WSH lists Percy Butler as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Kyle Monangai (RB) is out for CHI

    Chicago has running back Kyle Monangai out at Green Bay, so he will not carry the ball in this game. The Oct 12 report does not say what the injury is or who absorbs his work, so look at how the Bears split backfield touches before betting their run game.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Jacob Monk (C) is out for GB

    Jacob Monk is listed as out for Green Bay against Chicago, with no injury or timeline given. Out means he will not play, so the Packers are down a center on the offensive line.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Keyshaun Elliott (LB) is out for CHI

    Keyshaun Elliott is out for Chicago at Green Bay, so the Bears play without that linebacker. The Oct 12 report has no injury detail or named fill-in, which leaves the depth chart as the place to gauge the impact.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Anthony Campbell (DT) is out for GB

    Green Bay lists defensive tackle Anthony Campbell as out against Chicago. The report gives no injury or timeline. One interior lineman missing matters most if the Bears lean on the run, so watch how Green Bay fills the rotation up front.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Aaron Banks (G) is out for GB

    GB lists Aaron Banks as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Riley Moss (CB) is out for DEN

    Moss is ruled out for the trip to the Chargers with a rib injury, even though he was listed as limited on Monday's estimated practice report. Losing a corner means Denver has to cover more snaps with its depth in the secondary. Bettors looking at Chargers receiver props should keep in mind that Denver's back end is thinner this week.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Brenen Thompson (WR) is out for LAC

    Brenen Thompson is listed as out for the Chargers against Denver, with no injury or timeline given. Quentin Johnston is also out, so Los Angeles is short two receivers for this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Quentin Johnston (WR) is out for LAC

    Quentin Johnston is listed as out for the Chargers against Denver, with no injury or timeline given. Brenen Thompson is out too, so the Chargers' targets go to a thinner receiver group. Check who is still active before betting Los Angeles receiving props.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Pat Surtain II (CB) is out for DEN

    Pat Surtain II is out for Denver at the Chargers, so the Broncos take the field without that cornerback. The Oct 12 report lists no injury or timeline, so a bettor weighing the Chargers' passing game should see who Denver names in his place.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Donte Jackson (CB) is out for LAC

    Out means Donte Jackson will not play against Denver. The report gives no injury or timeline, so it is unclear how long this lasts. The Chargers will need someone else to take his corner snaps, and the sheet does not name that player. If you are looking at Denver's passing numbers, keep in mind the Chargers secondary is down a corner.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Joe Alt (OT) is out for LAC

    LAC lists Joe Alt as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Derwin James Jr. (S) is out for LAC

    LAC lists Derwin James Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Kayode Awosika (G) is out for LAC

    LAC lists Kayode Awosika as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is out for DET

    Rock Ya-Sin is out, so Detroit will play in Arizona without one of its corners. The report gives no injury or timeline. Arizona's receivers could see a backup in coverage for some snaps, which is worth factoring into how you view the Cardinals' passing game.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • RED ZONEMIN @ NO

    NO: 81.3% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

    New Orleans is cashing in on red-zone trips at a much higher rate than Minnesota. The Saints were at only 44.4% last season, so their 81.3% over 5 games is likely to come down, while the Vikings' 50% is below their 56.9% from a year ago and should rise. Expect this gap to shrink, so don't count on the Saints finishing drives this cleanly.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 25.6 points per game to MIA's 14

    CIN is at 25.6 points per game over 5 games; MIA is at 14 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 24.4 over 17 games and MIA at 20.4 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • RED ZONEMIN @ NO

    MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 63.6%

    Minnesota holds teams to touchdowns on 25% of red-zone trips, and New Orleans allows them on 63.6%. Red-zone rates move a lot over 5 games because trip counts are small, so expect both numbers to drift toward the middle. For now, the Vikings are the side more likely to turn drives into sevens instead of field goals.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB

    CHI: 35:12 time of possession per game to GB's 27:30

    Chicago is holding the ball for well over half the game, while Green Bay is getting less than its share. The Bears are up from 30:59 last season, and their heavy run game fits that, while Green Bay's 27:30 is down from 29:48 over 5 games. Expect Chicago to try to shorten this game and limit Green Bay's possessions.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSDET @ ARI

    DET: 5.94 yards per play to ARI's 4.42

    Detroit gains about a yard and a half more per play than Arizona. Detroit's 5.94 matches its 5.97 from last season, so that's who they are, while Arizona has dropped from 5.18 to 4.42. In Detroit's last game, Jared Goff hit Jameson Williams for 39 yards and Sam LaPorta for 38, both touchdowns, among 5 plays of 20-plus yards, so Arizona's defense needs to stop the big play to keep this close.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • TEAM RECORDLAD @ MIL

    Brewers 7-1 in Logan Henderson's last 8 starts

    Milwaukee has lost only once in Henderson's last eight starts and has won the last four in a row. Eight starts is a small sample, and nothing on the sheet says whether the wins came from his pitching, the offense or the schedule. The Dodgers are a tougher lineup than most of what that run likely included, so weigh the streak against the quality of tonight's opponent.

  • COVERAGETB @ DAL

    TB: 33.9% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.6%

    Tampa Bay lets opponents convert 33.9% of third downs, while Dallas allows 52.6%, over 5 games each. Dallas giving up more than half its third downs is the louder number, and the sheet doesn't show whether the schedule made it worse. Tampa's offense should have an easier time sustaining drives in this one.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PACE & SCRIPTDET @ ARI

    DET: 32.8 points per game to ARI's 21.6

    Detroit is scoring about 11 more points a game than Arizona. The Lions are up from 28.3 last season, and Arizona is right around its 20.9, so Arizona's number looks steady while Detroit's could cool a little after 5 games. For this game, Detroit's offense is still the side more likely to set the pace and force Arizona to keep up.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • COVERAGECHI @ GB

    CHI: 26% third downs allowed to GB's 44.3%

    Chicago holds opponents to 26% on third down, and Green Bay allows 44.3%, through 5 games. The sheet doesn't list the offenses each defense faced, so some of Chicago's number may be schedule. In this matchup, the Bears' offense faces the more forgiving third-down defense, which matters for drive length and total plays.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • MISMATCHDET @ ARI

    DET: 5.94 yards a snap to ARI's 4.42

    Detroit gains 5.94 yards a snap and Arizona 4.42, over 5 games. Detroit sat at 5.97 last season, so that efficiency is steady. Arizona has slipped from 5.18 and could recover some. The Cardinals need to win by limiting possessions, because Detroit moves the ball far more easily on a play-by-play basis.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    TreVeyon Henderson (RB) is questionable for NE

    Henderson (ankle) is slated to undergo further medical testing Monday after exiting Sunday's 45-17 win over the Raiders, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

    Gabriel (back) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Quinshon Judkins (RB) is questionable for CLE

    Browns head coach Todd Monken said that Judkins is considered day-to-day after sustaining a "tweak" to his ankle in Sunday's 17-12 loss to the Jets, and the running back hasn't been ruled out for a Week 6 game against the Ravens, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC

    McConkey (foot) was active but didn't play any snaps in Sunday's 23-17 loss to the Broncos. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) is questionable for SEA

    Smith-Njigba was estimated as a limited practice participant Monday due to an ankle injury, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PASS RUSHDET @ ARI

    DET: 4 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2.2

    Detroit's defense averages 4 sacks a game and Arizona's averages 2.2, both over 5 games. Sack rates depend a lot on the lines and quarterbacks faced, which the sheet doesn't show. Arizona's passer looks like the one under more pressure here, a useful angle for sack props and for the Cardinals' passing efficiency.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    CeeDee Lamb (WR) is questionable for DAL

    Lamb is believed to be dealing with a "quad bruise" that is "not considered to be serious," Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 9.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 22 points per game to TEN's 11.6

    Houston scores about twice what Tennessee does through five games. Houston's 22 sits near its 23.8 from last season, so that looks real. Tennessee's 11.6 is well below its 16.7 from last season, which points to an offense in a bad run that could tick up some at home. In HOU @ TEN, Houston should control the scoreboard, but a Titans total priced off 11.6 may be leaning too hard on five bad games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • TRENCHESMIN @ NO

    MIN: 86.6 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 148.8

    Minnesota allows 86.6 rushing yards a game, and New Orleans allows 148.8, over 5 games each. Run defense numbers can bend with game script, since teams that trail stop running, and the sheet doesn't say how these games played out. The Vikings' ground game faces the softer front, which matters for rushing props and for how Minnesota can control the clock.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET: 279.6 team passing yards per game to ARI's 209.6

    Detroit throws for about 70 more yards a game than Arizona this season, and its 279.6 is up from 253.1 last season. Arizona has gone the other way, down to 209.6 from 232.6. Five games each is a short sample, but both moves point the same direction as last season's gap, only wider. In DET @ ARI, the Lions are the side more likely to win through the air, and Arizona's passing numbers lean toward recovering a bit rather than falling further.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 31.8 points per game to LAR's 21.3

    Buffalo is scoring about ten more points a game than the Rams through four games. Buffalo's 31.8 is a step up from 28.3 last season, so their offense looks like itself. The Rams are the surprise: 21.3 now against 30.5 last season, a big drop over a four-game sample. In BUF @ LAR, the Rams' number is the one more likely to climb back, so a low Rams team total deserves a second look before you assume this offense is broken.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PASS RUSHDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 5.6 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 22.8

    DEN is at 5.6 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; LAC is at 22.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and LAC at 21.6 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • TEAM RECORDMIN @ NO

    MIN is 3-0 on the road; NO is 0-3 at home

    The site split favours MIN: NO has played 3 games at home this season and MIN 3 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-11.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • TEAM RECORDPHI @ JAX

    JAX is 3-0 at home; PHI is 1-2 on the road

    Jacksonville has won all 3 of its home games, while Philadelphia has gone 1-2 away from home. Three games is a small sample on both sides, and the sheet does not say who those wins and losses came against, so the gap may be smaller than it looks. A home split this early tends to drift toward the team's overall level. Use it as a lean toward Jacksonville's comfort at home and check how this line already prices that in.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • TEAM RECORDIND @ PIT

    PIT is 3-0 at home; IND is 1-2 on the road

    Pittsburgh has won all 3 home games and Indianapolis is 1-2 on the road. That is 3 games apiece, too few to call either a settled trait, and the sheet does not say who they played. Splits this young usually narrow as the season goes on. Think of it as a mild tilt toward Pittsburgh at home, worth more if the line has not already leaned that way.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • TURNOVERSIND @ PIT

    PIT: 1.6 takeaways per game to IND's 0.4

    Pittsburgh forces 1.6 takeaways a game, and Indianapolis forces just 0.4, through 5 games. Takeaways are one of the streakiest stats in football, so both numbers are likely to move toward the middle. The Steelers have been the more opportunistic defense so far, but turnover gaps this size rarely hold steady.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • COVERAGECHI @ GB

    GB: 4.7 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6

    Green Bay allows 4.7 yards per play, and Chicago allows 6, over 5 games. Yards per play is a steadier read than totals because it isn't inflated by extra snaps. Green Bay's offense gets the easier defense to move against here, and the sheet doesn't show schedule strength that would explain it away.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • MISMATCHBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 0.6 turnovers a game to ATL's 1.8

    Baltimore turns it over 0.6 times a game and Atlanta 1.8, over 5 games. Both numbers are off last season, when the Ravens were at 1.35 and the Falcons at 1.06, so expect each to drift back. Turnovers swing week to week more than most stats. Atlanta has to protect the ball to stay in this one, since giving Baltimore extra possessions compounds any edge the Ravens already have.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • COVERAGEBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 4.13 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.45

    The Rams allow 4.13 yards per play, and Buffalo allows 5.45, over 4 games each. Four games is a small sample, and the sheet doesn't show who either team faced. On a per-snap basis the Rams' defense has been much harder to move on, and Buffalo's has given up chunk yardage.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Tyler Owens

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Adonai Mitchell

    Finger · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Ben Bartch

    Foot · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Kayode Awosika

    Fibula · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Joe Alt

    Neck · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Jamel Dean

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Jaylon Carlies

    Ribs · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Carsen Ryan

    Calf · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Mason Graham

    Knee, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Teven Jenkins

    Back · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Mike Hall Jr.

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Breece Hall

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Anfernee Jennings

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Kaden Elliss

    Calf · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Jeremiah Wright

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Charles Demmings

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Christian Darrisaw

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Christian Gonzalez

    Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Channing Canada

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Jalen Nailor

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    SirVocea Dennis

    Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Antoine Winfield Jr.

    Rib · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PASS RUSHSF @ SEA

    SF: 0.6 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.2

    SF is at 0.6 sacks taken per game over 5 games; SEA is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PASS RUSHHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 3.6 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2

    Houston averages 3.6 sacks a game and Tennessee averages 2, over 5 games. The sheet doesn't show the offensive lines they faced, so part of the gap may be opponents. Tennessee's quarterback looks likelier to take hits here, which is relevant for sack props and for how the Titans' passing game holds up.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Benjamin Morrison

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Donte Jackson

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Kyle Monangai

    Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Stefon Diggs

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Tylan Wallace

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Karon Prunty

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Trey Hendrickson

    Finger · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Riley Moss

    Ribs · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • HEAD-TO-HEADCLE @ TB

    Rays are 5-1 vs Guardians this season

    Tampa Bay has taken five of six from Cleveland this season, and the most recent one was a 1-0 game that could have gone either way. Six games is a small sample, and the sheet offers no pitchers or scores to explain the edge. Tonight's starters and the Rays being at home should carry more weight than the 5-1.

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Keyshaun Elliott

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Caleb Douglas

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Quentin Johnston

    Chest · Limited practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Marcus Mariota

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Kyle Dugger

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • SITUATIONALCHI @ GB

    CHI: 43.7% third-down conversion rate to GB's 27.6%

    CHI is at 43.7% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; GB is at 27.6% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 42.7% over 17 games and GB at 48.8% over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Marcus Epps

    Groin · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Nick Cross

    Illness · Limited practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    James Thompson Jr.

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Cam Jurgens

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Joshua Palmer

    Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Ed Oliver

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Cobie Durant

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    DeVonta Smith

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Jason Pinnock

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Trey Zuhn III

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jaylon Jones

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Tanner Hudson (TE) is questionable for CIN

    Hudson suffered a pectoral injury during the Bengals' 31-24 win over the Dolphins on Sunday, Ben Baby of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    DeMarvion Overshown

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Nick Bosa

    Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Saquon Barkley

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Andrew Wingard

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Rock Ya-Sin

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Kyle Juszczyk

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Marques Sigle

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Chazz Surratt

    Calf · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Lamar Jackson

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Kiko Mauigoa

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Carlton Davis III

    Neck · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Justin Joly

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Baker Mayfield

    Thumb · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Brenen Thompson

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Charles Omenihu

    Groin, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Ashton Dulin

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Reese Taylor

    Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Dylan Parham

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Amani Hooker

    Concussion · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Drew Kendall

    Knee · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Drew Shelton

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Derwin James Jr.

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Pat Surtain II

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Percy Butler

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Robert Beal Jr.

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Hollywood Brown

    Ankle · Did not practice · Out

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • STREAKMIN @ NO

    MIN has won 5 straight

    Minnesota is 5-0 and has won every game this season. Five straight to open is a real run, though the sheet does not say how strong those opponents were. Unbeaten teams draw heavy public money, which can inflate the price on them. Going to New Orleans, a bettor can ask how much of the line reflects the streak itself rather than this specific matchup.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • STREAKDEN @ LAC

    LAC has lost 5 straight

    The Chargers are 0-5 and have lost every game they have played. Five losses to start is a meaningful sample, though the sheet gives no margins or opponents to tell close losses from blowouts. Teams this deep in a hole often get priced as if the slide will continue. Hosting Denver, the useful question is whether the market is betting the record or the matchup.

  • STREAKCIN @ MIA

    MIA has lost 5 straight

    Miami is 0-5 and has lost every game it has played. That is a full five-game start without a win, so this is more than one bad week, though the sheet does not show margins or opponents. Losing runs like this tend to push lines further against a team than its play sometimes earns. With Cincinnati coming in, a bettor can ask whether Miami at home is being priced on the record or on how it has actually played.

  • STREAKHOU @ TEN

    TEN has lost 5 straight

    Tennessee is 0-5 and has not won a game this season. Five straight losses at the start says more than a short slide would, though the sheet does not show how close those games were or who they came against. Winless teams often stay priced low, which can make the spread more interesting than the outright result. Against Houston at home, the question for a bettor is whether the number has overcorrected for the losing.

  • STREAKSF @ SEA

    SF has won 5 straight

    San Francisco is 5-0 and has not lost yet. Five straight wins is a solid sample, though the sheet does not show who they beat or by how much. Undefeated teams tend to carry a premium in the betting market. At Seattle, a bettor can weigh whether a road division game is priced as tightly as the streak suggests it should be.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 28.6%

    Cincinnati is converting three of four fourth-down tries while Miami has made fewer than a third. Fourth-down attempts are rare, so five games is a very thin sample for both. Cincinnati's 75% sits near its 70% from last season, while Miami's 28.6% is well under its 47.8%. In CIN @ MIA, the Bengals' aggressiveness looks backed by results, but Miami's number should not convince you they will fail every key short-yardage spot.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NE

    LV @ NE carries a 62.5 market total

    A 62.5 for Las Vegas at New England sits 8.5 above the 54 slate median, so books see both teams scoring often and the game staying open. No team numbers or injuries on the sheet explain it. It cracks if either side controls the clock and keeps the ball away, because fewer possessions is the fastest way a high total comes up short.

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET: 6.92 yards per pass attempt to ARI's 4.82

    DET is at 6.92 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; ARI is at 4.82 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 7.09 over 17 games and ARI at 5.61 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • COVERAGEMIN @ NO

    MIN: 4.6 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.8

    MIN is at 4.6 yards per play allowed over 5 games; NO is at 5.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • TRENCHESPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 63.8 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 118

    Jacksonville allows 63.8 rushing yards a game, and Philadelphia allows 118, through 5 games each. The sheet doesn't show which run games either faced or how often teams were trailing against them. On paper, the Eagles' backs face the tougher front in this game, which matters for rushing props on the Philadelphia side.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Tyler Guyton (OT) is questionable for DAL

    Head coach Brian Schottenheimer said Friday that X-rays on Guyton's back came back negative, Joe Hoyt of The Dallas Morning News reports. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Colton Hood (CB) is questionable for NYG

    Hood (concussion) is considered day-to-day ahead of the Giants' matchup with the Saints in Week 6, Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Trey Lance (QB) is on injured reserve for LAC

    The Chargers placed Lance (groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Spencer Brown (OT) is questionable for BUF

    Brown (back) is questionable to return to Monday night's contest against the Rams. Reported Oct 13.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Will Campbell (OT) is questionable for NE

    Campbell is believed to have suffered a sprained knee during Sunday's 45-17 win over Las Vegas, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • MISMATCHLV @ NE

    NE: 127.2 rush yards a game to LV's 82

    New England runs for 127.2 yards a game and Las Vegas for 82, over 5 games. Both teams are close to last season, the Patriots at 128.9 and the Raiders at 77.5, so this gap is steady. Las Vegas has to throw to move the ball, and New England can lean on the run to control the clock at home.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Eric Murray

    Concussion · Limited practice · Doubtful

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Aaron Banks

    Knee, Toe · Limited practice · Doubtful

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Jacob Monk

    Quadricep · Limited practice · Doubtful

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • TURNOVERSPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 1.6 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.6

    Jacksonville forces 1.6 takeaways a game and Philadelphia forces 0.6, over 5 games. Turnovers are among the least stable stats in the sport, so this gap likely shrinks with more games. The Jaguars' defense has made more plays on the ball so far, but don't lean on that edge as hard as on more stable numbers.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ WSH

    NYG: 21.2 points allowed per game to WSH's 29.8

    The Giants' defense is giving up about nine fewer points a game than Washington's. The Giants' 21.2 is a real improvement on 25.8 last season, while Washington's 29.8 is worse than its 26.5. Five games is a short window, but both moves are big. In NYG @ WSH, Washington's defense is the bigger concern, which helps the Giants' scoring outlook, though some of each team's swing should fade toward last season.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • TURNOVERSNYG @ WSH

    WSH: 0.4 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.4

    Washington has been careful with the ball, while the Giants are giving it away more than once a game. Both have flipped from last season: Washington was at 1.35 and the Giants at 1. Over five games, those swings look more like variance than a change in who these teams are. In NYG @ WSH, expect the turnover gap to narrow, so be careful pricing the game as if Washington will win the giveaway battle again.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • TRENCHESCIN @ MIA

    MIA: 126.6 rushing yards per game to CIN's 82.8

    CIN is at 82.8 rushing yards per game over 5 games; MIA is at 126.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 93.6 over 17 games and MIA at 120.2 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • TURNOVERSTB @ DAL

    TB: 1.4 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.4

    Tampa Bay forces 1.4 takeaways a game and Dallas forces 0.4, over 5 games. Takeaway rates swing a lot week to week, so expect both to move toward the middle. Tampa has been the ballhawking side, but that edge is less reliable than yardage or efficiency numbers.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 30:17 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:31

    HOU is at 30:17 time of possession per game over 5 games; TEN is at 24:31 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 31:49 over 17 games and TEN at 29:08 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB

    CHI: 73.2 offensive plays per game to GB's 58.8

    CHI is at 73.2 offensive plays per game over 5 games; GB is at 58.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and GB at 59.4 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • MISMATCHNYG @ WSH

    NYG: 21.2 points allowed a game to WSH's 29.8

    The widest gap between these two is points allowed a game: NYG's defense allowed 21.2 points a game over 5 games; WSH's defense allowed 29.8 points a game over 5 games this season. Last season NYG was at 25.8 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • STARTER FORMCLE @ TB

    Foster Griffin: 8.03 ERA over his last 3 starts

    Griffin has allowed 11 earned runs on 22 hits in 12.1 innings over his last 3 starts, so hitters are squaring him up and he is leaving early. His season ERA is 3.60, and three starts is a short window, so his real level is probably closer to that. The question for a bettor is whether the market has overreacted to the bad run or whether Tampa Bay keeps hitting him.

    P 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 K

  • TURNOVERSMIN @ NO

    MIN: 2 takeaways per game to NO's 1

    MIN is at 2 takeaways per game over 5 games; NO is at 1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Tonka Hemingway (DT) is questionable for LV

    Hemingway is in concussion protocol ahead of Week 6 versus Buffalo, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Tyler Nubin (S) is questionable for NYG

    Nubin (neck) is considered day-to-day ahead of the team's Week 6 matchup with the Saints, Pat Leonard of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • TRENCHESCIN @ MIA

    MIA: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.5

    CIN is at 3.5 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; MIA is at 4.9 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 4.14 over 17 games and MIA at 4.64 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • COVERAGEDEN @ LAC

    LAC: 31.3% third downs allowed to DEN's 45.2%

    DEN is at 45.2% third downs allowed over 5 games; LAC is at 31.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 14 points allowed per game to PHI's 22.4

    Jacksonville is giving up 14 points a game through five games, a big drop from 19.8 last season, while Philadelphia has gone the other way, from 19.1 to 22.4. Five games is enough to take the Jaguars defense seriously, though a jump that size usually settles back some. With the Eagles visiting, the home defense is the side with the momentum, and the Philly defense is the one that has to prove last season was the real version.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Talanoa Hufanga (S) is questionable for DEN

    Hufanga (ankle) was listed as a non-participant on the Broncos' estimated injury report Monday, Aric DiLalla of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • COVERAGETB @ DAL

    TB: 5.3 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.42

    TB is at 5.3 yards per play allowed over 5 games; DAL is at 6.42 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PASS RUSHMIN @ NO

    MIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to NO's 2

    MIN is at 3.4 sacks recorded per game over 5 games; NO is at 2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 5.7 yards per play to PHI's 4.58

    Jacksonville is gaining over a yard more per play than Philadelphia, a clear gap in how efficiently each moves the ball. Last season both sat at 5.27, so this split is a five-game development. The Jaguars' 5.7 and the Eagles' 4.58 should both pull back toward that mark. In PHI @ JAX, Jacksonville holds the efficiency edge right now, but the Eagles' offense is more likely to improve than stay this flat.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Carson Schwesinger (LB) is questionable for CLE

    Schwesinger sustained a Grade 1 right ankle sprain during the Browns' 17-12 loss to the Jets on Sunday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH

    NYG (3-1-1) at WSH (1-3-1), a division game

    New York is 3-1-1 with only +3 points, so the record is built on close finishes rather than dominance. Washington is 1-3-1 at -34, a much clearer sign of a team getting outplayed. The Giants are 0-1-1 on the road while Washington is 1-1-1 at home, which narrows the spot. A thin margin like New York's tends to drift, so the record may flatter them more than this matchup does.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC

    DEN (3-2) at LAC (0-5), a division game

    Denver is 3-2 despite -14 points, so the record looks better than the play, and the Broncos are 1-2 on the road. The Chargers are 0-5 at -45 and 0-3 at home, with 5 straight losses. Denver's margin suggests some of those wins were close and may not repeat. This is a spot where the better record faces a team that has given little reason to trust it at home.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • SITUATIONALCHI @ GB

    CHI (3-2) at GB (3-2), a division game

    Both teams are 3-2, but Chicago is +23 and Green Bay is -8, so the Bears have played better football over five games. Green Bay has won 2 straight, which gives them the recent form while Chicago comes off a loss. Both are 1-1 in the relevant split, so the venue adds little here. The point margins say the identical records undersell Chicago and flatter Green Bay.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PACE & SCRIPTSF @ SEA

    SF @ SEA carries a 61.5 market total

    At 61.5, San Francisco at Seattle is 7.5 above the 54 median, so the market prices this division game as a back-and-forth scoring affair. The sheet gives no detail on why. The expectation breaks if defenses force punts and field goals instead of touchdowns, so watch whether early drives end in the end zone before assuming the pace holds.

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN

    HOU (1-4) at TEN (0-5), a division game

    Houston is 1-4 but only -2 points on the year, which says most of those losses were close games. Tennessee is 0-5 at -51, has lost 5 straight and is 0-3 at home, so the gap between these teams is wider than the records alone suggest. Houston's point margin points to a team that should win more going forward. In a division game, a bettor can lean on the margin over the record when sizing up which side is undervalued.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • TRENCHESLV @ NE

    NE: 90.8 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 140.6

    LV is at 140.6 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NE is at 90.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • SITUATIONALSF @ SEA

    SF (5-0) at SEA (3-2), a division game

    San Francisco is 5-0 at +61 and 2-0 on the road, a record backed by real margin. Seattle is 3-2 but +29, which is a strong number for a two-loss team, and 2-1 at home. The Seahawks' margin says they are better than a 3-2 record suggests. In a division game at Seattle, that gap is narrower than the unbeaten record implies.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to LAC's 25%

    DEN is at 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; LAC is at 25% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DEN was at 50% over 17 games and LAC at 57.1% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • MISMATCHPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 5.7 yards a snap to PHI's 4.58

    Jacksonville gains 5.7 yards a snap and Philadelphia 4.58, over 5 games. Both teams were at 5.27 last season, so the Jaguars have improved and the Eagles have dropped. Philadelphia's number looks the more likely to bounce back toward last season. The Eagles need to find efficiency on early downs, because Jacksonville has been moving the ball more easily per play.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Drake Thomas (LB) is questionable for SEA

    Thomas (ankle) was listed as a non-participant on Monday's estimated injury report, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • SITUATIONALCHI @ GB

    CHI: 41.8 penalty yards per game to GB's 73.8

    CHI is at 41.8 penalty yards per game over 5 games; GB is at 73.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 57.1 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PASS RUSHSF @ SEA

    SF: 2.8 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 16.2

    SF is at 2.8 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 16.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Ben Yurosek

    Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Jaylan Ford

    Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Justin Jefferson

    Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Alvin Kamara

    Back · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Jordan Addison

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Christen Miller

    Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Julian Blackmon

    Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 45.4 penalty yards per game to LAC's 76.4

    DEN is at 45.4 penalty yards per game over 5 games; LAC is at 76.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and LAC at 46.3 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Morgan Moses

    Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Jalen Ramsey

    Wrist · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Caleb Williams

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • COOLING OFFCLE @ TB

    Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Diaz has a .450 OPS over the last 15 days, so he has barely been reaching base or hitting for power. That is 40 at-bats against an .805 season mark, a short cold patch for a hitter with his track record. Expect him to drift back toward his normal level, and give the full-season number more weight when looking at his props.

    P 2-for-5, 3 TB

  • STREAKDET @ ARI

    ARI has lost 4 straight

    Arizona is 1-4 and has dropped its last 4 after winning its opener. Four straight losses is a real slide, though the sheet does not say how close those games were. Losing runs often make a team cheaper than its play warrants. With Detroit visiting, a bettor can think about whether Arizona at home is being written off too fast.

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU

    Tank Dell will not play at Tennessee: Houston ruled him out with a knee injury on Oct 9, and his designation marks him as returning from injured reserve. That leaves the Texans receiver room a body short for this game. Any Houston receiver prop should be priced as if Dell's targets go to someone else on the roster.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Barion Brown

    Thigh · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSSF @ SEA

    SF: 6.54 yards per play to SEA's 5.5

    SF is at 6.54 yards per play over 5 games; SEA is at 5.5 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 5.49 over 17 games and SEA at 5.98 over 17 games. SF had 3 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 28-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 28 Yds to Mike Evans); 23-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 23 Yds to Mike Evans); 23-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 23 Yds to Mike Evans). SEA had 3 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 38-yard pass (Sam Darnold Pass Complete for 38 Yds to Jaxon Smith-Njigba); 35-yard pass (Sam Darnold Pass Complete for 35 Yds to Jaxon Smith-Njigba); 22-yard pass (Sam Darnold Pass Complete for 22 Yds to Rashid Shaheed).

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Jonathan Mingo

    Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Divine Deablo

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Jackson Woodard

    Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Rhamondre Stevenson

    Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Mykel Williams

    Knee · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    David Martin-Robinson

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    George Holani

    Ribs, Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • QUARTERBACKBAL @ ATL

    Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

    Through 3 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 719 passing yards, completed 67.5% of his passes and averaged 9.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in. Michael Penix Jr. is also listed q for this matchup.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

    The Seahawks listed Charbonnet (knee) as a limited participant on Monday's practice estimate, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

    Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Kirk (calf) is "unlikely" to return to practice this week, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Savion Williams (WR) is ir-r for GB

    Williams (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bears, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 9.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Jeremy McNichols (RB) is ir-r for WSH

    McNichols (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

    Thornton (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Patriots, Paul Gutierrez of Raiders.com reports. Reported Oct 9.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    David Sills V (WR) is ir-r for TB

    Sills (hamstring) had his 21-day practice window opened by the Buccaneers on Monday, Scott Smith & Brianna Dix of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Keenan Allen

    Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Rico Dowdle

    Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Darius Slayton

    Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Will McDonald IV

    Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Tim Patrick

    Groin · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Kingsley Enagbare

    Knee · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Tyler Smith

    Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jonathan Greenard

    Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Ed Ingram

    Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Aireontae Ersery

    Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Kayden McDonald

    Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Blake Fisher

    Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Carnell Tate

    Back · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    M.J. Stewart

    Knee · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Kenneth Grant

    Toe · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Jaylen Wright

    Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Swayze Bozeman

    Groin · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Bryan Cook

    Ankle · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Ja'Marr Chase

    Concussion · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Tee Higgins

    Groin, Neck · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Colbie Young

    Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Ashton Jeanty

    Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Dre'Mont Jones

    Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Christian Barmore

    Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Craig Woodson

    Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Charles Woods

    Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Christian Elliss

    Chest · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Brian O'Neill

    Knee · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Michael Jurgens

    Elbow · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Lorenzo Styles Jr.

    Calf · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALCHI @ GB

    CHI: 23.6 first downs per game to GB's 17.2

    CHI is at 23.6 first downs per game over 5 games; GB is at 17.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Marlon Humphrey

    Hamstring, Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Andrew Vorhees

    Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Zay Flowers

    Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Jake Matthews

    Groin · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Samson Ebukam

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Za'Darius Smith

    Concussion, Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Upton Stout

    Shoulder · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Karson Sharar

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Walter Nolen III

    Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Tyleik Williams

    Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Branson Taylor

    Neck · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Scott Matlock

    Foot · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Ladd McConkey

    Foot · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Rodney Shelley

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Anthony Campbell

    Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Noah Sewell

    Achilles · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Javon Hargrave

    Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Jager Burton

    Back · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Deatrich Wise Jr.

    Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Terry McLaurin

    Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Charvarius Ward

    Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Full practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Charlie Kolar

    Forearm · Limited practice · Questionable

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Irv Charles (WR) is ir-r for SEA

    Charles (knee) was estimated as a full practice participant on Monday's injury report, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PACE & SCRIPTTB @ DAL

    DAL: 27.6 points per game to TB's 20

    TB is at 20 points per game over 5 games; DAL is at 27.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • COOLING OFFLAD @ MIL

    Freddie Freeman: .489 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Freeman has a .489 OPS over the last 15 days, so very little is falling in and the power is missing. That covers 46 at-bats, set against a .792 season mark, which makes it a cold stretch more than a new normal. When sizing up his props at Milwaukee, lean on the season number over these two weeks.

    P 0-for-3, 0 TB

  • STREAKLAD @ MIL

    MIL games have gone UNDER 4 straight

    Milwaukee's last four games averaged 5.8 combined runs against totals that averaged 7.3. Four games is short, and some of that gap came from books setting lines high. Tonight's total is 7, so the market has partly caught up, and with the Dodgers on their own under run the cushion is thinner than the streak suggests.

    P final total 11 vs 7

  • TURNOVERSDET @ ARI

    DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1

    DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; ARI is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • RED ZONESF @ SEA

    SF: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 75%

    SF is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 75% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • STREAKLAD @ MIL

    LAD games have gone UNDER 4 straight

    The Dodgers' last four games came in under, averaging 5.5 combined runs against totals around 7.5. That gap is wide but rests on four games. Tonight's line is 7, lower than what they have been clearing, so the question is whether that number already prices in both teams' under runs.

    P final total 11 vs 7

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH

    NYG: 44.3% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.9%

    The Giants are converting 44.3% of third downs through five games, up from 40.2% last season, while Washington has fallen to 31.9% from 37.6%. That Washington drop is the bigger move and the more likely to bounce back some. For now the Giants are sustaining drives and Washington is not, which favors New York in time of possession and makes Commanders scoring props shakier.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • HEAD-TO-HEADSF @ SEA

    SF and SEA are even since 2025

    The series is 2-2 across the last two seasons. Oct 11, 2026: SF 32 at SEA 29. Jan 17, 2026: SF 6 at SEA 41 (playoffs). Jan 3, 2026: SEA 13 at SF 3.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • TEAM RECORDSF @ SEA

    NFC WEST game: SF 3-0, SEA 1-1 in the division

    San Francisco is 3-0 in the division and Seattle is 1-1. Three games and two games are small samples, though San Francisco sweeping its division games so far fits its unbeaten start. Division road games often play closer than the standings suggest. At Seattle, a bettor can weigh whether the line gives enough credit to the home side in a familiar matchup.

  • PASS RUSHIND @ PIT

    IND: 11.2 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 23.4

    Pittsburgh is losing 23.4 yards a game to sacks through five games, way up from 14.8 last season, while Indianapolis is at 11.2, down from 15.1. A swing that big over five games usually comes back toward normal. Hosting the Colts, the Steelers offense still carries more drive-killing risk than the Indy one, which matters most for Pittsburgh scoring and long third downs.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • TEAM RECORDCHI @ GB

    NFC NORTH game: CHI 0-2, GB 1-1 in the division

    Chicago has lost both its division games and Green Bay has split its 2. Two games each is far too small to call either side's division form. Rivalry games like this one often play tighter than the standings. At Green Bay, a bettor can put more weight on the matchup than on these short division records.

  • SITUATIONALSF @ SEA

    SF: 8.56 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 6.9

    SF is at 8.56 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 6.9 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • TEAM RECORDHOU @ TEN

    AFC SOUTH game: HOU 1-1, TEN 0-1 in the division

    These two share the AFC SOUTH. HOU is 1-1 against it, TEN is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-11.

  • TEAM RECORDDEN @ LAC

    AFC WEST game: DEN 1-1, LAC 0-2 in the division

    Denver has split its 2 division games and the Chargers have lost both of theirs. Two games each is a very small sample. Division games tend to stay competitive, and a team at the bottom of the standings can still keep one close at home. A bettor can look at the spread and ask whether it reflects the records more than the matchup.

  • MISMATCHCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 0.6 turnovers a game to CLE's 1.4

    The Jets turn it over 0.6 times a game and Cleveland 1.4, over 5 games. Cleveland is right at last season's 1.47, while the Jets are well under their 1.35 and are likely to give some of that back. Cleveland has to clean up the giveaways to keep this close, because handing the Jets extra possessions on the road is the quickest way to lose it.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • TEAM RECORDNYG @ WSH

    NFC EAST game: NYG 1-0-1, WSH 0-2-1 in the division

    The Giants are 1-0-1 in the division and Washington is 0-2-1 without a division win. Three games is a small sample, and two ties on these records point to close games. Division games tend to stay tight regardless of record. With Washington at home, a bettor can think about whether a close, low-margin game fits better than the records alone suggest.

  • COVERAGEDET @ ARI

    ARI: 236.8 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 297.4

    DET is at 297.4 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; ARI is at 236.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

    Dart recently underwent surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • HEAD-TO-HEADCHI @ GB

    CHI and GB are even since 2025

    Four meetings, and two of them flipped hard. Chicago took the Dec 20 game 22-16 and the playoff shootout 31-27, both at home, then got buried 31-7 at Green Bay on Oct 11. The closest games came in Chicago and the blowout came in Green Bay, so the venue looks like it matters more than the overall record does. For this trip to Lambeau, the most recent game is the one that fits the spot best.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • HEAT CHECKCLE @ TB

    Brayan Rocchio: 1.068 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Rocchio has a 1.068 OPS over the last 15 days, but it comes in just 34 at-bats and sits far above his .705 season mark. A jump that size on that few at-bats usually comes back toward the baseline, though his 15 home runs give the pop some backing. His total-bases line is 0.5, so the over needs one hit and the hot run matters less than whether he simply gets one.

    P 0-for-4, 0 TB

  • TURNOVERSSF @ SEA

    SEA: 2.2 takeaways per game to SF's 1.4

    SF is at 1.4 takeaways per game over 5 games; SEA is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • COVERAGESF @ SEA

    SEA: 29.4% third downs allowed to SF's 40.8%

    SF is at 40.8% third downs allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 29.4% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • TURNOVERSDET @ ARI

    DET: 0.2 turnovers committed per game to ARI's 1

    DET is at 0.2 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; ARI is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 0.88 over 17 games and ARI at 1.24 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • TURNOVERSCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 1.6 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.8

    CIN is at 1.6 takeaways per game over 5 games; MIA is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • RED ZONECHI @ GB

    CHI: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 81.3%

    CHI is at 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; GB is at 81.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • TURNOVERSCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 0.6 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.4

    The Jets have turned it over 0.6 times a game through five games, down from 1.35 last season, while Cleveland is at 1.4, right where it was at 1.47. Clean ball security that far below last year tends to drift back. The Browns number looks steady, so in this spot Cleveland is the side more likely to hand over a short field.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • TURNOVERSLV @ NE

    LV: 2 takeaways per game to NE's 1.2

    LV is at 2 takeaways per game over 5 games; NE is at 1.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • HEAT CHECKLAD @ MIL

    Will Smith: 1.182 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Smith has a 1.182 OPS over the last 15 days, far above his .781 season mark. That is only 31 at-bats, where a couple of home runs swing the number a lot, and his 10 homers on the year point to a solid hitter more than a slugger. His total-bases line is 0.5, so tonight comes down to one hit, and the hot form helps that case without settling it.

    P 0-for-4, 0 TB

  • PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NE

    NE: 18.8 points allowed per game to LV's 25.8

    LV is at 25.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; NE is at 18.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and NE at 18.8 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 5.44 yards per play to TEN's 4.52

    Houston is gaining 5.44 yards per play through five games, up from 5.1 last season, while Tennessee is at 4.52, a little better than 4.38. Both teams are close to where they were a year ago, which makes this gap believable. Stroud hit two 20-yard throws last game to Cam Ward's one, to Calvin Ridley. Expect Houston to move the ball more easily and Tennessee to need long drives to score.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PACE & SCRIPTTB @ DAL

    TB: 31:52 time of possession per game to DAL's 27:19

    TB is at 31:52 time of possession per game over 5 games; DAL is at 27:19 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 31:53 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • MISMATCHBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 290.3 pass yards a game to BUF's 247.3

    The Rams throw for 290.3 yards a game and Buffalo for 247.3, over 4 games. The Rams were at 268.1 last season, so their passing game is running a bit hotter but on track. Buffalo has jumped from 216.6, a big rise over a short sample. Both teams can throw, and the Bills likely need to keep pace through the air rather than slow the Rams down.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • HEAT CHECKLAD @ MIL

    Mookie Betts: 1.046 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Betts has a 1.046 OPS over the last 15 days in 46 at-bats, well above his .780 season mark. Some of that is a hot two weeks that should cool, while his 23 home runs show the power has been there all year. With his total-bases line at 1.5, the choice is how much to trust the recent run versus the full-season version of him.

    P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB

  • TURNOVERSSF @ SEA

    SF: 1 turnover committed per game to SEA's 1.8

    SF is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 1.29 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • TURNOVERSTB @ DAL

    DAL: 1 turnover committed per game to TB's 1.8

    TB is at 1.8 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; DAL is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 0.94 over 17 games and DAL at 1.24 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 21 first downs per game to MIA's 15.2

    CIN is at 21 first downs per game over 5 games; MIA is at 15.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • SITUATIONALSF @ SEA

    SF: 48.6 penalty yards per game to SEA's 74.6

    SF is at 48.6 penalty yards per game over 5 games; SEA is at 74.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 38.3 over 17 games and SEA at 46.6 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • MISMATCHIND @ PIT

    IND: 1.8 sacks taken a game to PIT's 2.8

    Indianapolis takes 1.8 sacks a game and Pittsburgh 2.8, over 5 games. The Colts were at 2.07 last season and the Steelers at 2.38, so both moved in the direction of this gap, though the difference is modest. Pittsburgh's line has to hold up at home to keep drives on schedule.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO

    MIN: 33:38 time of possession per game to NO's 29:17

    MIN is at 33:38 time of possession per game over 5 games; NO is at 29:17 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season MIN was at 28:20 over 17 games and NO at 28:36 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • TEAM RECORDDEN @ LAC

    DEN is 1-2 on the road; LAC is 0-3 at home

    The site split favours DEN: LAC has played 3 games at home this season and DEN 3 games away from it. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-11.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Sai'vion Jones (DE) is questionable for DEN

    DEN lists Sai'vion Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is questionable for NYG

    NYG lists Jermaine Eluemunor as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Will Mallory (TE) is ir-r for IND

    Mallory (thumb) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Steelers. Reported Oct 9.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • RED ZONECIN @ MIA

    CIN: 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 63.6%

    CIN is at 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; MIA is at 63.6% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • COVERAGENYG @ WSH

    NYG: 199.4 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 255

    NYG is at 199.4 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; WSH is at 255 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF

    Next college slate · OCT 15

    BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

  • STREAKBAL @ ATL

    BAL has won 3 straight

    Baltimore is 4-1 with three straight wins, so the only loss came early and the team has been steady since. The sheet does not list the opponents in that run, which matters for judging how much of it is earned. On the road at Atlanta, the streak is the headline, but five games is still a small base. Think about how much the market has already moved toward Baltimore because of the run.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • STREAKPHI @ JAX

    JAX has won 3 straight

    Jacksonville has turned a 1-1 start into 4-1, so the team has found something in the middle of the season. The sheet does not say who those three wins came against, which is the thing to check before giving the run much weight. A three-game streak over five games is a short sample, and Philadelphia coming to Jacksonville is a real step up as a test. Look at the opponents behind the streak before letting it move your number on this one.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 24.6 points per game to PHI's 18.4

    PHI is at 18.4 points per game over 5 games; JAX is at 24.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 6.74 yards per pass attempt to TEN's 5.24

    HOU is at 6.74 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; TEN is at 5.24 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 6.2 over 17 games and TEN at 4.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • COVERAGELV @ NE

    NE: 5.26 yards per play allowed to LV's 6.1

    LV is at 6.1 yards per play allowed over 5 games; NE is at 5.26 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • STREAKPHI @ JAX

    PHI has lost 3 straight

    PHI carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 2-3 on the season. They face JAX in PHI @ JAX. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-11.

  • PASS RUSHTB @ DAL

    DAL: 6.6 sack yards lost per game to TB's 17

    TB is at 17 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; DAL is at 6.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • STREAKMIN @ NO

    NO has lost 3 straight

    New Orleans has dropped three in a row and sits at 1-4, so the one win came early and nothing has gone right since. Five games is a small sample, and the sheet does not show who the losses came against, so it is hard to separate a bad team from a hard schedule. Losing streaks often get priced in heavily, so check whether the line against Minnesota at home already assumes the slide keeps going.

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

    The Steelers placed Pittman (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Trey Amos (CB) is ir-r for WSH

    Amos (ankle) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Giants. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PASS RUSHPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.2

    PHI is at 1.2 sacks recorded per game over 5 games; JAX is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

    The Commanders placed Lane (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

    Gordon (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL

    BAL (4-1) at ATL (2-3)

    Baltimore is 4-1 at +27, has won 3 straight and is 3-0 on the road. Atlanta is 2-3 at only -3, so the Falcons have been close in most games, but they are 0-2 at home. Atlanta's margin suggests a team better than its record. Baltimore's road form is strong, and a bettor can weigh it against a home team whose losses have been tight.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PASS RUSHIND @ PIT

    IND: 1.8 sacks taken per game to PIT's 2.8

    Pittsburgh is giving up 2.8 sacks a game through five games, up from 2.38 last season, and Indianapolis is at 1.8, down from 2.07. Both moves are modest, so this gap looks fairly real. The Steelers offense is the one more likely to see drives stall on a sack at home against the Colts.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB

    The Packers placed Brooks (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Pat Bryant (WR) is on injured reserve for DEN

    Bryant (ankle) was placed on the Broncos' injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 9.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

    Mays is ruled out for Sunday against Arizona with a wrist injury while on the injured reserve return track. Detroit's center spot stays with the backup for another week.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 20.8 points allowed per game to BUF's 26.8

    Buffalo is allowing 26.8 points a game through four games, up from 21.5 last season, while the Rams are at 20.8, right in line with last year's 20.4. The Rams defense looks like its usual self. Buffalo's jump comes from four games and could ease back toward last year, but on the road against a Rams offense throwing it well, the Bills defense has more to prove.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX

    PHI (2-3) at JAX (4-1)

    Jacksonville is 4-1 at +53, has won 3 straight and is 3-0 at home, so the form and the venue line up. Philadelphia is 2-3 at -20, has lost 3 straight and is 1-2 on the road. Everything on the sheet points the same direction for this spot. A bettor should weigh how much of that is already priced in rather than whether Jacksonville is the better team.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN (3-2) at MIA (0-5)

    Cincinnati is 3-2 at +19 and 2-1 on the road. Miami is 0-5 at -62 with 5 straight losses and 0-2 at home. The Dolphins' margin says the losses have not been close. The question for a bettor is less about who wins and more about whether a margin this lopsided is already baked into the number.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Jadeveon Clowney

    Did not practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Trent Brown

    Did not practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    B.J. Hill

    Did not practice

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Dexter Lawrence II

    Did not practice

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    K'Lavon Chaisson

    Did not practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Alaric Jackson

    Did not practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Terrel Bernard

    Did not practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Tyler Higbee

    Did not practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Byron Young

    Did not practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Aaron Donald

    Did not practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.4

    DEN is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; LAC is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and LAC at 0.82 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • SITUATIONALMIN @ NO

    MIN (5-0) at NO (1-4)

    Minnesota is 5-0 at +45 and 3-0 on the road, so the Vikings travel well and win comfortably. New Orleans is 1-4 at -33, has lost 3 straight and is 0-3 at home. Both the records and the margins agree here. The home split gives the Saints no cushion, which makes this a spot to judge on the size of the gap rather than the winner.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET (3-2) at ARI (1-4)

    Detroit is 3-2 at +16 but only 1-2 on the road. Arizona is 1-4 at -54 with 4 straight losses and 0-2 at home. The Cardinals' margin is among the worst on the board, which says the record is no fluke. Detroit's road split is the one soft spot, so a bettor can weigh that against how badly Arizona has been beaten.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • SITUATIONALIND @ PIT

    IND: 2.2 fourth-down attempts per game to PIT's 1

    Indianapolis is going for it 2.2 times a game through five games, up from 1.59 last season, while Pittsburgh sits at 1, below its 1.35. That points to an Indy coaching staff that is more aggressive this year and a Steelers staff that kicks. In close games, expect the Colts to stay on the field in spots Pittsburgh would punt, which adds swing to their drives.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • TRENCHESHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 78.4 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 114

    HOU is at 78.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; TEN is at 114 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

    The Giants placed Berrios (foot) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • COOLING OFFCLE @ TB

    Ryan Vilade: .411 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Vilade has a .411 OPS over the last 15 days, so very little has turned into hits. That is only 30 at-bats against a .750 season mark, a small enough slice that it says more about recent timing than about who he is. Use the .750 as his baseline tonight.

    P 0-for-2, 0 TB, 1 BB

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Tank Bigsby (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

    The Eagles placed Bigsby (abdomen) on injured reserve Tuesday, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 6.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

    Parsons (knee) isn't expected to return to practice this week ahead of the Packers' Week 6 game against the Cowboys on Sunday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Braden Smith (OT) is ir-r for HOU

    Houston right tackle Braden Smith was downgraded to out with a foot injury on Oct 11, so he will not play at Tennessee. He is listed as returning from injured reserve, and the late downgrade means the Texans had to adjust the line close to kickoff. A backup tackle starting is a reason to look harder at Tennessee's pass rush in this matchup.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Joshua Williams (CB) is ir-r for TEN

    Williams (pectoral) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Texans, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 53.3% third-down conversion rate to LAR's 43.1%

    BUF is at 53.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 43.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LAR at 39.6% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA

    Duck (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • RED ZONEDET @ ARI

    DET: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 61.1%

    DET is at 77.3% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; ARI is at 61.1% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and ARI at 54.1% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Calais Campbell

    Did not practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Ja'Kobi Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for BAL

    Ja'Kobi Lane is on injured reserve with a wrist injury, but Jesse Minter said the Ravens could open his return window as soon as Wednesday. That is the first step back, and it does not guarantee he plays this week. If he is activated, Baltimore gets back a receiver, but his role in his first game back is unclear.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    DeForest Buckner

    Did not practice

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Leonard Williams (DT) is questionable for SEA

    SEA lists Leonard Williams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

    Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel said Monday that Brown (ankle) has "a chance" to return to practice this week, Mark Daniels of MassLive.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

    The Patriots placed Hollins (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Dylan Sampson (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

    Head coach Todd Monken said Monday that there is a "possibility" that the Browns open the 21-day practice window for Sampson (knee) this week, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • COVERAGESF @ SEA

    SEA: 150.8 passing yards allowed per game to SF's 199.6

    SF is at 199.6 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; SEA is at 150.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 69 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59.5

    BUF is at 59.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; LAR is at 69 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSIND @ PIT

    PIT: 5.34 yards per play to IND's 4.56

    Pittsburgh is gaining 5.34 yards per play through five games, near last season's 5.22, while Indianapolis has fallen to 4.56 from 5.77. That Colts drop is big and likely to bounce back, especially after six plays of 20-plus yards last game, led by Daniel Jones' 42-yarder to Josh Downs. Pittsburgh's last game leaned on two Jaylen Warren touchdowns of 80 and 50 yards. This gap could be narrower than it looks.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • RED ZONEBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 53.3%

    BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; LAR is at 53.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • TRENCHESSF @ SEA

    SF: 4.66 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.7

    SF is at 4.66 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 3.7 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 3.81 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PACE & SCRIPTIND @ PIT

    PIT: 21.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.6

    IND is at 27.6 points allowed per game over 5 games; PIT is at 21.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and PIT at 22.8 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 31:43 time of possession per game to PHI's 27:50

    PHI is at 27:50 time of possession per game over 5 games; JAX is at 31:43 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season PHI was at 30:11 over 17 games and JAX at 31:56 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 29.2 points per game to ATL's 23.8

    Baltimore is scoring 29.2 points a game through five games, up from 24.9 last season, and Atlanta is at 23.8, up from 20.8. Both offenses are running hotter than a year ago, and Baltimore's jump is the larger one, so some cooling is likely. Both rising together makes this matchup lean toward points.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • TRENCHESNYG @ WSH

    WSH: 95.4 rushing yards allowed per game to NYG's 127.6

    NYG is at 127.6 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; WSH is at 95.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 20.2 first downs per game to TEN's 15.6

    HOU is at 20.2 first downs per game over 5 games; TEN is at 15.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and TEN at 15.4 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSTB @ DAL

    DAL: 5.76 yards per play to TB's 5.02

    Dallas is gaining 5.76 yards per play through five games, a bit below its 5.96 last season, while Tampa Bay is at 5.02, close to its 5.12. Both numbers sit near last year, so this gap looks real. At home, the Cowboys offense has been the more efficient one, and Tampa Bay needs longer drives to match it.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • RED ZONELV @ NE

    NE: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 77.8%

    LV is at 77.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; NE is at 60% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 63.4 offensive plays per game to TEN's 54.6

    HOU is at 63.4 offensive plays per game over 5 games; TEN is at 54.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 64 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT

    Elliott (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Colts, Mark Kaboly of 93.7 The Fan Pittsburgh reports. Reported Oct 9.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI

    Turner (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Green Bay. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Dre Greenlaw (LB) is reserve-sus for SF

    Greenlaw was handed a one-game suspension without pay Monday for an act of unsportsmanlike conduct during Sunday's 32-29 win over the Seahawks, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Beau Stephens (G) is questionable for SEA

    SEA lists Beau Stephens as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • TRENCHESCHI @ GB

    CHI: 96 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 127.6

    CHI is at 96 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 127.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • COVERAGECLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 4.5 yards per play allowed to CLE's 5.22

    CLE is at 5.22 yards per play allowed over 5 games; NYJ is at 4.5 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

    Davis (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Kelsey Russo of the Browns' official site reports. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET

    Branch (Achilles) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Cardinals. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX

    PHI: 47.2 penalty yards per game to JAX's 69.2

    PHI is at 47.2 penalty yards per game over 5 games; JAX is at 69.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season PHI was at 63.1 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET: 24.4 first downs per game to ARI's 19.8

    DET is at 24.4 first downs per game over 5 games; ARI is at 19.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 20.4 over 17 games and ARI at 19.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • TURNOVERSHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 1 takeaways per game to TEN's 0.4

    Houston's defense has forced about one turnover a game through five games, while Tennessee's has forced fewer than one every two games. Five games is a short run, and takeaways swing on tipped balls and loose fumbles more than most numbers do, so both figures can move fast. The sheet has no opponent detail or last-season mark to explain the gap. In this game, the edge in extra possessions leans Houston, but it is a thin edge to build a position on.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • COVERAGEDET @ ARI

    ARI: 42.1% third downs allowed to DET's 50.7%

    Detroit's defense has let opponents convert about half their third downs over five games, while Arizona sits at 42.1%. A 50.7% rate means drives against Detroit keep going, which adds plays and points. The sheet does not show who those offenses were, so part of the gap could be schedule. If Arizona's offense can stay ahead of the chains, this is a spot where long drives and a higher-scoring game are realistic.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • COVERAGECLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 175 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 216.6

    CLE is at 216.6 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 175 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLV @ NE

    NE: 5.84 yards per play to LV's 5.16

    New England gains more on an average snap, and its last game showed how: 7 plays of 20+ yards, with Drake Maye hitting Kyle Williams for 49 and two deep touchdowns. Las Vegas is up from 4.35 last season, while NE has dipped from 6.23, so both numbers are drifting toward each other over 5 games. If Maye keeps finding chunk plays, LV has to keep pace through Cousins, Bowers and Jeanty, so lean on how the Raiders handle the deep ball.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • RED ZONEBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 3.8 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 2.6

    BAL is at 3.8 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; ATL is at 2.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and ATL at 2.94 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 0.6 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1.2

    DEN is at 0.6 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; LAC is at 1.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and LAC at 0.41 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX

    PHI: 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game to JAX's 0.8

    PHI is at 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; JAX is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season PHI was at 1.24 over 17 games and JAX at 1.71 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • SITUATIONALCHI @ GB

    CHI: 3 fourth-down attempts per game to GB's 2

    CHI is at 3 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; GB is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 1.71 over 17 games and GB at 1.47 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • STARTER FORMCLE @ TB

    Drew Rasmussen: 0.46 ERA over his last 3 starts

    Rasmussen has a 0.46 ERA, a 0.66 WHIP and 24 strikeouts in 19.2 innings over his last 3 starts, so almost nobody is reaching base. He was already sharp before this, with a 2.67 ERA and 0.91 WHIP on the season. The 0.46 will not last, but this is a hot stretch from a good pitcher, so his season numbers are a fair floor for what Cleveland faces.

    P 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 K

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LAR's 50%

    BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LAR at 66.7% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • RED ZONEPHI @ JAX

    JAX: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to PHI's 50%

    PHI is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; JAX is at 33.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • TURNOVERSNYG @ WSH

    WSH: 0.2 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.8

    NYG is at 0.8 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; WSH is at 0.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and WSH at 0.65 over 17 games.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • SITUATIONALMIN @ NO

    MIN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NO's 75%

    MIN is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; NO is at 75% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and NO at 41.2% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 6.46 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.24

    CIN is at 6.46 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; MIA is at 5.24 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 5.81 over 17 games and MIA at 6 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 50% third-down conversion rate to MIA's 41.3%

    CIN is at 50% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; MIA is at 41.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 43.4% over 17 games and MIA at 34.9% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 229.8 team passing yards per game to ATL's 195

    BAL is at 229.8 team passing yards per game over 5 games; ATL is at 195 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BAL was at 175.6 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • TURNOVERSCHI @ GB

    GB: 1.8 takeaways per game to CHI's 1.2

    CHI is at 1.2 takeaways per game over 5 games; GB is at 1.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • QUARTERBACKSF @ SEA

    Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

    Through 4 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 755 passing yards, completed 64.3% of his passes and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL

    The Ravens placed Smythe (Achilles) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ryan Mink of the Ravens' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • QUARTERBACKBAL @ ATL

    Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

    Through 2 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 264 passing yards, completed 78% of his passes and averaged 6.44 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • QUARTERBACKBUF @ LAR

    Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

    Through 4 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1189 passing yards, completed 61.1% of his passes and averaged 7.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • COVERAGEIND @ PIT

    PIT: 5.5 yards per play allowed to IND's 6.14

    Pittsburgh allows 5.5 yards per play over five games, and Indianapolis allows 6.14. That gap is real enough: Indianapolis gives up more on every snap, which tends to show up as chunk plays and short scoring drives. The sheet has no opponent list, so the schedule's role is unknown. For this game, Pittsburgh's offense has the friendlier matchup on a per-play basis.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 31:19 time of possession per game to BUF's 28:06

    BUF is at 28:06 time of possession per game over 4 games; LAR is at 31:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 33:09 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • QUARTERBACKBUF @ LAR

    Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

    Through 4 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1039 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 8.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • RED ZONETB @ DAL

    TB: 53.8% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 70%

    TB is at 53.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; DAL is at 70% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • COVERAGEMIN @ NO

    MIN: 173.2 passing yards allowed per game to NO's 212.2

    MIN is at 173.2 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NO is at 212.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

    Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PASS RUSHHOU @ TEN

    TEN: 2 sacks taken per game to HOU's 2.8

    HOU is at 2.8 sacks taken per game over 5 games; TEN is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 2.58 over 17 games and TEN at 3.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PACE & SCRIPTTB @ DAL

    TB: 22.4 points allowed per game to DAL's 27.2

    TB is at 22.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; DAL is at 27.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 24.2 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • QUARTERBACKIND @ PIT

    Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

    Through 5 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1021 passing yards, completed 61.4% of his passes and averaged 5.8 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • QUARTERBACKCLE @ NYJ

    Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

    Through 5 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1010 passing yards, completed 64.2% of his passes and averaged 6.82 yards per attempt. His 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • QUARTERBACKMIN @ NO

    Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

    Through 4 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.3% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • QUARTERBACKLV @ NE

    Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

    Through 5 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1228 passing yards, completed 65.6% of his passes and averaged 8.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • QUARTERBACKLV @ NE

    Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

    Through 5 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1269 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 7.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • QUARTERBACKCIN @ MIA

    Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

    Through 5 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1361 passing yards, completed 71.4% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • QUARTERBACKHOU @ TEN

    Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

    Through 5 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 896 passing yards, completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 5.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • QUARTERBACKHOU @ TEN

    C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

    Through 5 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1402 passing yards, completed 64.3% of his passes and averaged 7.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • QUARTERBACKPHI @ JAX

    Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

    Through 5 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 933 passing yards, completed 57.8% of his passes and averaged 6.06 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • QUARTERBACKCHI @ GB

    Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

    Through 5 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1408 passing yards, completed 60.5% of his passes and averaged 7.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • QUARTERBACKTB @ DAL

    Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

    Through 3 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 337 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.13 yards per attempt. His 2-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • QUARTERBACKCLE @ NYJ

    Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

    Through 5 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1084 passing yards, completed 69.4% of his passes and averaged 7.37 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • QUARTERBACKCIN @ MIA

    Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

    Through 5 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 849 passing yards, completed 56.2% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • QUARTERBACKNYG @ WSH

    Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

    Through 4 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 805 passing yards, completed 57.6% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • QUARTERBACKIND @ PIT

    Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

    Through 5 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1234 passing yards, completed 59.8% of his passes and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • QUARTERBACKDET @ ARI

    Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

    Through 5 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1110 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 5.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • QUARTERBACKTB @ DAL

    Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

    Through 5 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1381 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • QUARTERBACKPHI @ JAX

    Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

    Through 5 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1174 passing yards, completed 67.1% of his passes and averaged 8.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • QUARTERBACKMIN @ NO

    Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

    Through 5 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1299 passing yards, completed 66.8% of his passes and averaged 6.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • QUARTERBACKNYG @ WSH

    Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

    Through 3 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 459 passing yards, completed 60.5% of his passes and averaged 6.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • QUARTERBACKCHI @ GB

    Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

    Through 3 games in 2026, Tyson Bagent threw for 409 passing yards, completed 65.6% of his passes and averaged 6.39 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • QUARTERBACKDEN @ LAC

    Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

    Through 5 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 942 passing yards, completed 59.9% of his passes and averaged 5.82 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Hunter Long (TE) is on injured reserve for ARI

    The Cardinals placed Long (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • QUARTERBACKDEN @ LAC

    Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

    Through 5 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 937 passing yards, completed 59.4% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 30:59 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:46

    CIN is at 30:59 time of possession per game over 5 games; MIA is at 27:46 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 30:08 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • QUARTERBACKDET @ ARI

    Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

    Through 5 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1485 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 7.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • QUARTERBACKSF @ SEA

    Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

    Through 5 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1196 passing yards, completed 69% of his passes and averaged 8.42 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 21.8 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.4

    CIN is at 21.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; MIA is at 26.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 28.9 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • COOLING OFFLAD @ MIL

    Garrett Mitchell: .560 OPS in Last 15 Days

    Mitchell has a .560 OPS over the last 15 days, well below his .771 season mark. That is 36 at-bats, small enough that a couple of good games would move it a lot. His season number is the better guide, and the dip is a reason to check how he is being used before writing him off.

    P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB

  • COVERAGESF @ SEA

    SEA: 4.1 yards per play allowed to SF's 4.7

    SF is at 4.7 yards per play allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 4.1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • COVERAGEDET @ ARI

    DET: 5.66 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.24

    DET is at 5.66 yards per play allowed over 5 games; ARI is at 6.24 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • COVERAGEBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 33.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%

    The Rams have allowed opponents to convert a third of their third downs over four games, while Buffalo is at 40.7%. Four games is a small sample, and third-down rates bounce around a lot early, so both numbers can move toward the middle. Buffalo is the stronger offense test the Rams defense has to pass, and that matters more than the rate itself. Take the Rams edge as modest until it holds against an offense like this.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA

    CIN: 62.4 offensive plays per game to MIA's 54.8

    CIN is at 62.4 offensive plays per game over 5 games; MIA is at 54.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CIN was at 62.2 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NE

    LV: 26.4 points per game to NE's 22

    LV is at 26.4 points per game over 5 games; NE is at 22 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season LV was at 14.2 over 17 games and NE at 28.8 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PASS RUSHBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.75

    BUF is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PASS RUSHBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to BUF's 2.25

    BUF is at 2.25 sacks taken per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • RED ZONEIND @ PIT

    IND: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 54.5%

    IND is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; PIT is at 54.5% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and PIT at 58.8% over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 8.1 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 7.08

    BAL is at 8.1 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; ATL is at 7.08 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BAL was at 6.69 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET: 51.6 penalty yards per game to ARI's 69

    DET is at 51.6 penalty yards per game over 5 games; ARI is at 69 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 42.2 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • TRENCHESIND @ PIT

    PIT: 103.4 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 130.2

    Pittsburgh holds opponents to 103.4 rushing yards a game over five games, while Indianapolis gives up 130.2. Rushing yards allowed also depend on game script: teams protecting a lead run more against you, and the sheet does not say how those games played out. Five games makes both numbers reasonably stable but not settled. Pittsburgh's ground game has the better matchup here, which matters if it wants to shorten the game.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • TRENCHESDEN @ LAC

    LAC: 118.6 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 145.2

    Denver has allowed 145.2 rushing yards a game over five games, and the Chargers 118.6. A defense giving up that much on the ground either has a soft front or has spent time trailing against teams happy to run, and the sheet does not say which. The Chargers run game gets the easier draw in this matchup, and a team that can run on Denver can control the clock.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • TRENCHESSF @ SEA

    SF: 128.6 rushing yards per game to SEA's 106

    SF is at 128.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; SEA is at 106 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and SEA at 123.3 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • TURNOVERSSF @ SEA

    SF: 0.4 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1

    SF is at 0.4 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR

    BUF (3-1) at LAR (2-2)

    Buffalo is 3-1 at +20 and 1-0 on the road, coming off its first loss. The Rams are 2-2 at +2, a team that has basically broken even, and 1-1 at home. Four games is a short sample for both sides. Buffalo's margin gives it the edge on paper, though the samples are small enough that this one leans on more than the records.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • RED ZONEHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 3.6 red-zone trips per game to TEN's 2.6

    HOU is at 3.6 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; TEN is at 2.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 3.18 over 17 games and TEN at 1.94 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for ARI

    The Cardinals placed Johnson (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ WSH

    NYG: 34:02 time of possession per game to WSH's 31:14

    NYG is at 34:02 time of possession per game over 5 games; WSH is at 31:14 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season NYG was at 30:58 over 17 games and WSH at 28:41 over 17 games.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Julian Neal (CB) is on injured reserve for SEA

    The Seahawks placed Neal (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • RED ZONENYG @ WSH

    NYG: 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 83.3%

    NYG is at 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; WSH is at 83.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • TURNOVERSBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 1.25 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.75

    BUF is at 1.25 takeaways per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • SITUATIONALIND @ PIT

    IND: 32.8 penalty yards per game to PIT's 49.6

    IND is at 32.8 penalty yards per game over 5 games; PIT is at 49.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and PIT at 47.2 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • SITUATIONALCLE @ NYJ

    CLE: 65.4 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 82.4

    Both teams are flagged more than last season, when CLE was at 49.4 and NYJ at 53.5, and the Jets have jumped further. Five games of penalty yards is a short and noisy sample, and officiating crews vary a lot, so expect some pull back toward last season. Extra Jets flags can extend Cleveland drives, which matters most in spots where a few hidden yards swing field position.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • COVERAGECHI @ GB

    GB: 181 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 215.4

    CHI is at 215.4 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 181 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

    The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU

    Brooks (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 3.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Jaylin Smith (CB) is on injured reserve for HOU

    Smith (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Texans on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

    The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 1.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ

    Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ

    McGregor (pectoral) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • TURNOVERSBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 1

    BUF is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 0.53 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

    The Raiders placed Bech (forearm) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

    The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

    Price (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 3.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Arden Key (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

    The Colts placed Key (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Chauncey Golston (DE) is on injured reserve for NYG

    The Giants placed Golston (neck) on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Rashawn Slater (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC

    The Chargers placed Slater (ankle) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR

    Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

    Garrett (knee), per head coach Sean McVay, is "on track" in his recovery but is not expected to return to practice next week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 10.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET: 2.2 fourth-down attempts per game to ARI's 1.4

    DET is at 2.2 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; ARI is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 1.82 over 17 games and ARI at 1.65 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • RED ZONEIND @ PIT

    PIT: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 62.5%

    IND is at 62.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; PIT is at 50% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • COVERAGEIND @ PIT

    PIT: 220.8 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 254

    IND is at 254 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; PIT is at 220.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 6.36 yards per play to ATL's 5.84

    Baltimore moves the ball better per snap, up from 5.92 last season, and Atlanta has climbed too from 5.38. The Ravens' last game leaned on the ground with Justice Hill runs of 47 and 21 and Tyler Huntley at quarterback, while ATL had 6 plays of 20+ yards through Bijan Robinson and Michael Penix Jr. Both offenses are producing chunks over 5 games, so this sets up as a game where explosive plays decide more than long drives.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • HEAD-TO-HEADLAD @ MIL

    Brewers are 4-3 vs Dodgers this season

    Seven games in, Milwaukee leads the season series by a single win, close to even. The last meeting was a 6-2 Brewers win, and the sheet has nothing else explaining the split. Tonight in Milwaukee should be judged on the starters and current form, with this record as a tiebreaker at most.

  • PACE & SCRIPTSF @ SEA

    SF: 30.8 points per game to SEA's 26.8

    SF is at 30.8 points per game over 5 games; SEA is at 26.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • SITUATIONALCLE @ NYJ

    CLE: 1.6 fourth-down attempts per game to NYJ's 0.8

    CLE is at 1.6 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CLE was at 1.71 over 17 games and NYJ at 2.41 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALLV @ NE

    LV: 44.2 penalty yards per game to NE's 60

    LV is at 44.2 penalty yards per game over 5 games; NE is at 60 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NE at 50.2 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Mike Evans

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Devonte Wyatt

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Lukas Van Ness

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Anthony Belton

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Rachaad White

    Limited practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Derek Barnett

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Aaron Jones Sr.

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Tucker Addington

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Jonathan Allen

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Marcus Harris

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Kevin Winston Jr.

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • RED ZONEHOU @ TEN

    HOU: 55.6% red-zone scoring rate to TEN's 46.2%

    HOU is at 55.6% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; TEN is at 46.2% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 46.3% over 17 games and TEN at 57.6% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Nico Collins

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jourdan Lewis

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    AJ Epenesa

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Dontayvion Wicks

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jarrian Jones

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Montaric Brown

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Josh Hines-Allen

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Anthony Nelson

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PASS RUSHLV @ NE

    LV: 1.6 sacks taken per game to NE's 2.2

    LV is at 1.6 sacks taken per game over 5 games; NE is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season LV was at 4 over 17 games and NE at 3 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PASS RUSHSF @ SEA

    SEA: 2.8 sacks recorded per game to SF's 2.2

    SF is at 2.2 sacks recorded per game over 5 games; SEA is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PASS RUSHNYG @ WSH

    WSH: 2 sacks taken per game to NYG's 2.6

    NYG is at 2.6 sacks taken per game over 5 games; WSH is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season NYG was at 2.82 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PASS RUSHCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 3.2 sacks taken per game to CLE's 3.8

    CLE is at 3.8 sacks taken per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 3.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CLE was at 3 over 17 games and NYJ at 3.75 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALCLE @ NYJ

    CLE (3-2) at NYJ (2-3)

    Cleveland is 3-2 but -19 points, so the record flatters a team that has been outscored, and the Browns are 1-2 on the road. The Jets are 2-3 at only -3, which says their losses have been close, and they are 1-1 at home. The margins point the opposite way from the records. A bettor can treat New York as the team more likely to improve and Cleveland as the one likely to slip.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALIND @ PIT

    IND (2-3) at PIT (3-2)

    Pittsburgh is 3-2 at +2 but 3-0 at home, so the Steelers' wins have come here. Indianapolis is 2-3 at -14 and 1-2 on the road. Pittsburgh's slim margin suggests close games, which can swing either way. The home split is the strongest point on the Steelers' side in this spot.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ LAC

    DEN: 22.2 points allowed per game to LAC's 25.8

    DEN is at 22.2 points allowed per game over 5 games; LAC is at 25.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and LAC at 20 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA

    Nick Martin (LB) is on injured reserve for SF

    Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Martin's (hamstring) status will be evaluated "in these next couple of days," Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 13.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Swayze Bozeman (LB) is on injured reserve for CIN

    The Bengals placed Bozeman on injured reserve Monday due to a fractured forearm, Ben Baby of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH

    NYG: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to WSH's 57.1%

    NYG is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; WSH is at 57.1% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season NYG was at 46.2% over 17 games and WSH at 61.5% over 17 games.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Yasir Abdullah (LB) is on injured reserve for ATL

    The Falcons placed Abdullah (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB

    Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

    NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX

    Caleb Ransaw (S) is on injured reserve for JAX

    The Jaguars placed Ransaw (knee) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • AFTER GARYBUF @ LAR

    LAR -3.5 → -3.5

    Gary's number was -3.5; the same book now shows -3.5.

  • TRENCHESBAL @ ATL

    ATL: 80.2 rushing yards allowed per game to BAL's 102

    Atlanta allows just 80.2 rushing yards a game over five games, and Baltimore allows 102. Both run defenses are good, and Atlanta's is stingier so far. The sheet does not show who those opponents were or how often they had to throw from behind, which can keep rushing totals low. A Baltimore offense that leans on the run is the kind of test that tells you whether Atlanta's number is real.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 6.58 yards per play to LAR's 6.1

    Buffalo is ahead of last season's 5.94 over 4 games, and its last game ran through Josh Allen deep: 5 plays of 20+ yards, led by 51 to Khalil Shakir. The Rams sit close to last season's 6.15 with Stafford leaning on Puka Nacua. Four games is a thin sample for Buffalo's jump, so expect some settling, but two efficient offenses point toward a game decided by which defense gets stops.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNYG @ WSH

    WSH: 5.14 yards per play to NYG's 4.66

    Both offenses are down from last season, the Giants from 5.15 and Washington from 5.53. Washington's last game showed its identity: 7 plays of 20+ yards, with Jayden Daniels running for 38 and 26 and Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 33, all touchdowns. New York lives on Jameis Winston throws to Malik Nabers, so the matchup hinges on whether the Giants can contain Daniels as a runner.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • COVERAGELV @ NE

    NE: 205.4 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 236.4

    LV is at 236.4 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NE is at 205.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Harrison Smith

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Grant Stuard

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    DJ Moore

    Shoulder - AC Joint · Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Dee Alford

    Ankle · Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    DaVon Hamilton

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Quentin Lake

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Josaiah Stewart

    Limited practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Ronnie Stanley

    Limited practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • RED ZONELV @ NE

    LV: 3.6 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.8

    LV is at 3.6 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; NE is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NE at 3.71 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • COVERAGECIN @ MIA

    CIN: 46% third downs allowed to MIA's 51.7%

    CIN is at 46% third downs allowed over 5 games; MIA is at 51.7% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • TURNOVERSCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 0.6 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 1

    CLE is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CLE was at 0.41 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.59 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • RED ZONEDET @ ARI

    DET: 4.4 red-zone trips per game to ARI's 3.6

    DET is at 4.4 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; ARI is at 3.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season DET was at 3.76 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • TRENCHESDET @ ARI

    DET: 107 rushing yards allowed per game to ARI's 126.6

    DET is at 107 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; ARI is at 126.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • TURNOVERSTB @ DAL

    DAL: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to TB's 0.8

    TB is at 0.8 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; DAL is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 0.29 over 17 games and DAL at 0.53 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • COVERAGECLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 33.9% third downs allowed to CLE's 39.4%

    The Jets have held opponents to 33.9% on third down over five games, and Cleveland is at 39.4%. A lower rate means fewer drives that stay alive, which keeps opponents off the board and slows the game. The sheet has no opponent detail, so schedule could explain part of it. In this matchup, Cleveland's offense faces the tougher third-down defense, which points toward shorter drives on its side.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALSF @ SEA

    SF: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to SEA's 33.3%

    SF is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; SEA is at 33.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season SF was at 59.1% over 17 games and SEA at 58.3% over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB

    CHI: 19.2 points allowed per game to GB's 22.4

    CHI is at 19.2 points allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 22.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • RED ZONEMIN @ NO

    NO: 3.2 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.4

    MIN is at 2.4 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; NO is at 3.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • COVERAGEPHI @ JAX

    PHI: 238.8 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 266.2

    PHI is at 238.8 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; JAX is at 266.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • TRENCHESHOU @ TEN

    TEN: 3.9 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.34

    HOU is at 3.34 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; TEN is at 3.9 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and TEN at 4.19 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • TURNOVERSBAL @ ATL

    BAL: 1.2 takeaways per game to ATL's 0.8

    Baltimore has forced 1.2 turnovers a game over five games, and Atlanta 0.8. Takeaways are one of the most random defensive numbers, swinging on bounces and tipped passes, so a five-game gap this size can close quickly. The sheet does not list who threw those interceptions or lost those fumbles. Turnover edges like this matter less for picking a side than the yardage and run defense numbers in this game.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • TURNOVERSDET @ ARI

    ARI: 1.4 takeaways per game to DET's 1

    DET is at 1 takeaways per game over 5 games; ARI is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 30:43 time of possession per game to CLE's 28:36

    CLE is at 28:36 time of possession per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 30:43 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CLE was at 29:18 over 17 games and NYJ at 28:15 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PACE & SCRIPTCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 19.2 points allowed per game to CLE's 22.4

    CLE is at 22.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 19.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CLE was at 22.3 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • RED ZONEIND @ PIT

    IND: 3 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 2.2

    IND is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; PIT is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and PIT at 3 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO

    NO: 66.8 offensive plays per game to MIN's 61.4

    MIN is at 61.4 offensive plays per game over 5 games; NO is at 66.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Donovan Jackson (G) is on injured reserve for MIN

    Jackson (knee) was placed on injured reserve by the Vikings on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR

    BUF: 7.73 yards per pass attempt to LAR's 7

    BUF is at 7.73 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; LAR is at 7 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LAR at 7.24 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI

    Isaiah Adams (G) is on injured reserve for ARI

    The Cardinals placed Adams (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC

    Trevor Penning (G) is on injured reserve for LAC

    The Chargers placed Penning (concussion) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Reggie Gilliam (FB) is on injured reserve for NE

    The Patriots placed Gilliam (ankle/knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 11.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • RED ZONEBUF @ LAR

    LAR: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 68.8%

    BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; LAR is at 58.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • RETURN WATCHTOR · return listed 10/15

    Cody Ponce

    Ponce is on Toronto's 60-day IL with a knee injury, carrying a 3.86 ERA. His listed October 15 return is three days away, but that listing doesn't guarantee he'll be back. I'd stash him only in an open IL slot if your season still has games to play. I wouldn't spend an active roster spot banking on that return date.

  • TURNOVERSCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CLE's 0.4

    CLE is at 0.4 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 0 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • TURNOVERSTB @ DAL

    DAL: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1

    TB is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; DAL is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and DAL at 0.71 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • SITUATIONALTB @ DAL

    TB (1-4) at DAL (2-3)

    Tampa Bay is 1-4 but only 12 points under, which says the record undersells them; they also snapped their skid last week. Dallas is 2-3 at +2 and 1-2 at home, so the edge at home hasn't shown up. These teams are closer than the standings say, and Tampa's 1-1 road split is even with what Dallas does at home.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO

    Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN

    The Vikings placed Oliver (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • HEAT CHECKCLE @ TB

    Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days

    DeLuca has an .857 OPS over the last 15 days in 42 at-bats, a modest step up from his .728 season mark. That is a good stretch more than a different hitter, and a gap that size is easier to keep than a huge spike. His total-bases line is 1.5, which needs an extra-base hit or two singles, so his season profile with 11 home runs is the better guide.

    P 2-for-4, 2 TB

  • PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB

    CHI: 23.8 points per game to GB's 20.8

    CHI is at 23.8 points per game over 5 games; GB is at 20.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season CHI was at 25.9 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • SITUATIONALLV @ NE

    LV (3-2) at NE (3-2)

    Both teams are 3-2, but New England is +16, has won 2 straight and is 2-0 at home. Las Vegas is +3, has lost 2 straight and is 2-1 on the road. The Raiders' road record is decent, though their margin is thin. Form, margin and venue all lean New England, which a bettor can weigh against how the matching records get priced.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL

    Baltimore placed Pocic (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA

    Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN

    The Bengals placed Davis (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • HEAD-TO-HEADHOU @ TEN

    HOU lead the series with TEN since 2025

    Houston has handled Tennessee all three times, and two of those were one-way: 26-0 and 26-3. The only close game was a 16-13 win in Nashville last November. The Titans have scored 16 points total across three meetings, which says a lot about how this matchup tends to go. For a game at Tennessee, the question is whether the Titans can score at all against this defense.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • HEAD-TO-HEADNYG @ WSH

    WSH lead the series with NYG since 2025

    Washington won both games last season, 21-6 and 29-21, but the Giants pulled even at 27-27 in Washington on Oct 11. New York has scored more in each meeting, going from 6 to 21 to 27, so the gap that existed last season has closed. With the most recent game a tie, this looks like a much tighter matchup than the series record suggests.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI

    The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • HEAD-TO-HEADDEN @ LAC

    DEN lead the series with LAC since 2025

    Every game has been low-scoring and the margins have been small, apart from Denver's 19-3 win in January. The Chargers won the first meeting 23-20, then Denver took the next two, including 23-17 at the Chargers on Oct 11. No team has scored more than 23 in this series. Expect a defensive game where a field goal or two can decide it.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT

    Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

    The Steelers placed Harmon (foot) on injured reserve Monday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 5.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL

    The Cowboys placed Bullard (calf) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

    Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL

    Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

    The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

    The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

    The Giants placed Burns (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 29.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH

    Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

    The Commanders placed Chenal (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • REGRESSIONCLE @ TB

    Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

    Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.

  • REPLACEMENTLV @ NE

    Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE

    The Patriots placed Van Roten (thigh) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL

    Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL

    The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB

    Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for CHI

    CHI lists Anthony Johnson Jr. as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

    The Titans placed Slater (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN

    Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

    The Titans placed Carmona (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • SITUATIONALIND @ PIT

    IND is on a short week

    Indianapolis and Pittsburgh come in on the same rest, so the calendar gives neither side an advantage. Home field and health are the factors left to separate them.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL

    BAL is on a short week

    Baltimore and Atlanta come in on the same rest, so the schedule favors neither team. With the calendar a wash, health and home field are what separate them.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • SITUATIONALSF @ SEA

    SF is on a short week

    San Francisco and Seattle are on identical rest, so neither side gets a calendar edge in this division game. The injury report carries more weight than the schedule here.

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • HEAD-TO-HEADIND @ PIT

    PIT lead the series with IND since 2025

    Pittsburgh has beaten Indianapolis twice at home. The first game was 27-20 last November, and the Oct 11 rematch was a bigger margin at 34-22. The Colts have scored 20 or more both times but have given up more on each trip. Two games is a short sample, but the Steelers' offense has been getting better results in this matchup.

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • HEAD-TO-HEADLV @ NE

    LV and NE are even since 2025

    The two games went in opposite directions. Las Vegas won 20-13 in New England in Week 1 last season, and then the Patriots won 45-17 on the same field on Oct 11. That kind of swing suggests New England has changed more since last season than the 1-1 record shows. With just two meetings, the latest one is the better guide.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • HEAD-TO-HEADCIN @ MIA

    CIN lead the series with MIA since 2025

    Cincinnati has won both meetings in Miami, and the Dolphins have given up 45 and 31. The first win was a 24-point blowout last December, while the Oct 11 rematch was closer at 31-24. Miami narrowed the gap but still couldn't stop the Bengals' offense. Two games is a small sample, but both point to a high-scoring Cincinnati team.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • HEAD-TO-HEADCLE @ NYJ

    NYJ lead the series with CLE since 2025

    The Jets beat Cleveland twice at home, 27-20 last November and 17-12 on Oct 11. Both games were decided by one score, and the scoring dropped in the second game. The Browns stayed close each time but haven't gotten over the line. That's two meetings, both tight, so expect another close game.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH

    NYG is on a short week

    The Giants and Washington are on identical rest, so the schedule is a wash in this division game. Injury news matters more than the calendar here.

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • SITUATIONALCHI @ GB

    CHI is on a short week

    Chicago and Green Bay come in on the same rest, so neither side gets a calendar edge in this division game. With rest even, the practice reports are the better guide.

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC

    DEN is on a short week

    Denver and the Chargers are on identical rest, so the schedule favors neither team in this division game. Look to who practiced this week rather than the calendar.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • SITUATIONALDET @ ARI

    DET is on a short week

    Detroit and Arizona come in on the same rest, so the calendar is even. Detroit still has the travel, which is the only schedule difference between them.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA

    CIN is on a short week

    Cincinnati and Miami come in on the same rest, so the schedule favors neither side. Home field is the only setup difference, and the week's injury news matters more than the calendar here.

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX

    PHI is on a short week

    Philadelphia and Jacksonville come in on identical rest, so the calendar hands neither side an advantage. When the turnaround is the same for both teams, the schedule cancels out, and the practice reports and injury news carry more weight in sizing up this game.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • SITUATIONALCLE @ NYJ

    CLE is on a short week

    Cleveland and the Jets are on identical rest, so the schedule favors neither team. With the calendar even, the week's practice and injury news are the better guide.

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN

    HOU is on a short week

    Houston and Tennessee are on identical rest, so the calendar gives neither team an edge. With the schedule even, the injury report and practice participation are the better guides to this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • SITUATIONALLV @ NE

    LV is on a short week

    Las Vegas and New England are on identical rest, so the calendar is a wash. With neither side getting extra recovery, look to the practice reports for who is actually healthy.

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • SITUATIONALTB @ DAL

    TB is on a short week

    Both teams get the same 4 days since their last game, so neither side has a rest edge here. A turnaround that short usually means walkthroughs instead of full practices, a trimmed game plan and sore players suiting up anyway. Dallas gets to sleep in its own bed, which is the only calendar difference between them. With rest even, the injury report and who actually practiced this week are the better guides to this game.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • SITUATIONALMIN @ NO

    MIN is on a short week

    Minnesota and New Orleans come in on the same rest, so neither gets a schedule edge. The calendar cancels out here, which puts the weight on the injury report and matchup details.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Tyrice Knight

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Kaelon Black

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Trent Williams

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Christian McCaffrey

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Nehemiah Pritchett

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Romello Height

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Jaden Dugger

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Dre Greenlaw

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Cameron Thomas

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Mark Andrews

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Chris Moore

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Rashod Bateman

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Kyle Hamilton

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Ar'maj Reed-Adams

    Coach's Decision · Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Landon Jackson

    Knee · Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Konata Mumpfield

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Joe Andreessen

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    T.J. Sanders

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Christian Benford

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Keon Coleman

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Colby Parkinson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Bradley Chubb

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Dorian Williams

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Damar Hamlin

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Ray Davis

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Davante Adams

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Nate Landman

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR

    Jaylen Watson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 37-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Dadrion Taylor-Demerson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Tyler Badie

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Alec Ingold

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Dalvin Tomlinson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Adam Trautman

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    D.J. Jones

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Deane Leonard

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Khalil Mack

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Zach Allen

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Cam Hart

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    D'Andre Swift

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Grady Jarrett

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Joe Thuney

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Darnell Wright

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Brandon Cisse

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Malik Nabers

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Chig Okonkwo

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Ben Sinnott

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Jacory Croskey-Merritt

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Deonte Banks

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Najee Harris

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Javon Kinlaw

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Nick Allegretti

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Jeremy Reaves

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Sonny Styles

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Isaiah Likely

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Cam Skattebo

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Sam Cosmi

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Jayden Daniels

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Treylon Burks

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Frankie Luvu

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Brock Bowers

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Jarvis Brownlee Jr.

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Cam Lewis

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Cameron Heyward

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Grover Stewart

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Tanor Bortolini

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Akeem Davis-Gaither

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT

    Jonathan Taylor

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 22-34

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Mekhi Blackmon

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Tyler Shough

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Bryan Hudson

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Ty Okada

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Elgton Jenkins

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Mason Taylor

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ

    Grant Delpit

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 12-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Jayden Price

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Chris Olave

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Dalton Risner

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Chris Manhertz

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Davon Godchaux

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Carl Granderson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Noah Fant

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Brett Thorson

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Segun Olubi

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Dareke Young

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Nate Thomas

    Coach's Decision · Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Folorunso Fatukasi

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Beau Stephens

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Brenden Schooler

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Jackson Powers-Johnson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Cody White

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Drake Maye

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Jordan Battle

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Quinyon Mitchell

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Barrett Carter

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB

    Jonah Jackson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 7-31

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    JuJu Brents

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Azeez Al-Shaair

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE

    Spencer Burford

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-45

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Andrew Thomas

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH

    Fabian Moreau

    Full practice

    P Edge side tied 27-27

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    John Simpson

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Austin Jackson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Dante Trader Jr.

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Chase McLaughlin

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO

    Mike Reid

    Coach's Decision · Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL

    Michael Jerrell

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

  • PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC

    Dondrea Tillman

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 23-17

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Jordan Burch

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    DJ Wonnum

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA

    Chris Bell

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 31-24

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Gunnar Helm

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Logan Hall

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Jeffery Simmons

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Wade Woodaz

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Jamal Hill

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    John Franklin-Myers

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Will Anderson Jr.

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN

    Tony Pollard

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 26-3

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    LeQuint Allen Jr.

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jihaad Campbell

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Dallas Goedert

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jakobi Meyers

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Fred Johnson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Jalen Hurts

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    E.J. Jenkins

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Anton Harrison

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Zack Baun

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX

    Cole Van Lanen

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Tyler Goodson

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Joey Porter Jr.

    Illness · Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    CeeDee Lamb

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Malik Hooker

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    James Houston

    Coach's Decision · Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Ko Kieft

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Alijah Clark

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Rueben Bain Jr.

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL

    Josiah Trotter

    Full practice

    P Edge side won; final 24-16

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Jeremiyah Love

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Budda Baker

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Ernest Jones IV

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Patrick O'Connell

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA

    Leonard Williams

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 32-29

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Josh Sweat

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI

    Isaac Seumalo

    Full practice

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • HEAD-TO-HEADMIN @ NO

    MIN lead the series with NO since 2025

    MIN has taken 1 of the last 1. Oct 11, 2026: MIN 23 at NO 13.

    P Edge side lost; final 23-13

  • HEAD-TO-HEADTB @ DAL

    TB lead the series with DAL since 2025

    This series is one game: Tampa Bay won 24-16 in Dallas on Oct 8. An eight-point road win is solid without being a rout, and one meeting says little about how these teams match up over time. Use it as a starting point for how this game might look, and lean more on what each side has done in its other games.

    P Edge side lost; final 24-16

  • HEAD-TO-HEADPHI @ JAX

    JAX lead the series with PHI since 2025

    This is one game: Jacksonville beat Philadelphia 19-17 at home on Oct 11. A two-point margin doesn't say much about which team is better. Treat this series as basically even and look at more information before leaning on it.

    P Edge side won; final 17-19

  • HEAD-TO-HEADDET @ ARI

    DET lead the series with ARI since 2025

    This is a single game, and it was a blowout: Detroit won 45-21 in Arizona on Oct 11. Scoring 45 on the road is a strong result, but one meeting is a thin sample for this matchup.

    P Edge side lost; final 45-21

  • HEAD-TO-HEADBAL @ ATL

    BAL lead the series with ATL since 2025

    Baltimore won the only meeting 30-23 at Atlanta on Oct 11, a one-score game. One close result doesn't create much of a series edge, so this matchup is close to a blank slate.

    P Edge side lost; final 30-23

Graded results

9

Games

  • L

    Los Angeles Rams -3.5 -105

    NFL · 37-34

  • L

    Dodgers ML -136

    MLB · 4-7

  • L

    Rays ML -172

    MLB · 7-3

Props

  • W

    Foster Griffin · over

    Guardians @ Rays · Actual 2

  • W

    Jake Bauers · over

    Dodgers @ Brewers · Actual 2

  • W

    Kyle Tucker · over

    Dodgers @ Brewers · Actual 2

  • W

    Kyren Williams · over

    Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams · Actual 6

  • L

    Matthew Stafford · under

    Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams · Actual 54

  • W

    Ryan Vilade · under

    Guardians @ Rays · Actual 0

Sports Picks Archive — Monday, October 12, 2026 | Gary AI