Sports picks for Tuesday, October 13, 2026

DAL: 49.2% third-down conversion rate to GB's 27.6%

DAL is at 49.2% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; GB is at 27.6% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and GB at 48.8% over 17 games.

CAR: 301.3 team passing yards per game to PHI's 170.6

CAR is at 301.3 team passing yards per game over 4 games; PHI is at 170.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 179.3 over 17 games and PHI at 194.3 over 17 games.

IND: 24.8 points per game to TEN's 11.6

Indianapolis scores more than twice as much as Tennessee so far. Both teams have dipped from last season, with the Colts at 27.4 and the Titans at 16.7, so the gap is bigger now than it was then. Five games is a short run, and Tennessee probably drifts up toward its old number. Ask yourself whether the Titans can keep pace if Indy gets back near its usual output, because last season's numbers say they rarely do.

BAL: 164.4 rushing yards per game to CLE's 94.2

BAL is at 164.4 rushing yards per game over 5 games; CLE is at 94.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 156.6 over 17 games and CLE at 97 over 17 games.

KC: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.6

The Chargers are turning it over 2.6 times a game, more than double their 1.24 from last season, and KC is at 0.5 over 4 games, a bit cleaner than its 0.88 last year. Turnover rates are noisy and the Chargers number is the most likely to fall. Still a giveaway-prone stretch for LA heading into Arrowhead. If you play this game, think about how short fields could tilt the game, without assuming the turnovers keep coming at this rate.

NYJ: 0.6 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2.2

The Jets are protecting the ball and the Patriots are giving it away, a full flip from last season, when New York sat at 1.35 a game and New England at 0.94. Turnover rates over five games swing hard, and both teams are a long way from their 17-game numbers. Expect both to move back toward last season. Give the Jets some credit for clean play, but not a full point and a half of turnover edge.

KC: 29.5 points per game to LAC's 16.8

Last season these offenses scored almost the same, 21.6 for the Chargers and 21.3 for the Chiefs. This season KC is at 29.5 over 4 games and the Chargers have slipped to 16.8 over 5. A gap that opened this fast on this few games usually closes some. Expect KC to be the stronger offense here, but by less than this number says.

KC: 6.58 yards per play to LAC's 4.78

KC gains almost two yards more per play than the Chargers, after these two were about even last season at 5.05 and 5.19. In KC's last game, it hit 6 plays of 20 or more, with a 76-yard Kenneth Walker III run and two long Patrick Mahomes throws to Tyquan Thornton. The Chargers had 2, with a 42-yard Kimani Vidal touchdown run. KC is at this over just 4 games, so expect it to come down some, but it looks like the more explosive team for now.

BAL: 6.36 yards per play to CLE's 4.72

Baltimore gains a lot more each snap than Cleveland, and this matches last season, when the Ravens were at 5.92 and the Browns 4.33. In the last game, Justice Hill had runs of 47 and 21 yards for Baltimore, while Cleveland's chunk plays came through the air, with Deshaun Watson hitting Isaiah Bond for 30 and 24. Cleveland had more big plays last time out, 5 to 3, yet still averages less per play. Expect Baltimore to have the more efficient offense, with the Browns needing big passes to keep up.

LAR: 6.04 yards per play to ARI's 4.42

The Rams gain a lot more ground every snap, and Stafford is spreading it around: his last game had 5 plays of 20+ yards, including a 34-yarder to Blake Corum and two big catches by Tyler Higbee. Arizona sat at 5.18 last season and has slid to 4.42 over 5 games, so the offense is moving backward. Brissett did hit 3 chunk plays last game, two to Kendrick Bourne. The Rams' 6.15 last season says their number is real, so think about how the Cardinals stay in this one if they keep needing long drives to score.

BUF: 6.78 yards per play to LV's 5.16

Buffalo is gaining more per play than last season's 5.94, and Allen's last game had 6 plays of 20+ yards, led by a 57-yard shot to Khalil Shakir. Las Vegas is also better than last season's 4.35, with Cousins hitting Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers for chunk gains. Both offenses have improved over 5 games, but Buffalo's edge comes from more big plays. If the Raiders can't keep Allen's deep throws in front of them, they will need long drives to keep up.

Josh Jacobs (RB) is out for GB

Jacobs stays on the Commissioner's Exempt List for a personal matter, so he is out against Dallas. Adam Schefter reports the league may count his time on the list toward any suspension it eventually hands down, which means this absence has no fixed end date. This report dates to Sep 13, so it is an ongoing situation. For bettors, the Packers should be judged by the backs actually playing until the league rules.

Javon Hargrave (DT) is out for GB

An MRI on Monday confirmed Hargrave tore his Achilles in Sunday's 31-7 win over the Bears, an injury that typically ends a season. Green Bay loses an interior pass rusher and run stopper ahead of Dallas, and the next tackles on the depth chart take his snaps. The Packers defensive front is weaker going forward than the one that handled Chicago.

NYJ: 0.6 turnovers a game to NE's 2.2

New England is giving the ball away 2.2 times a game through five games, while the Jets sit at 0.6. That is a flip from last season, when New England was the careful one at 0.94 and the Jets were at 1.35. Five games is a short run and turnover rates swing a lot, so both numbers are likely to drift back toward last season. In this game, short fields off New England mistakes are the Jets' clearest path to points.

Tyler Scott (WR) is out for LV

Scott was on the Raiders' practice squad, and they moved him to the practice-squad injured list Monday with an undisclosed injury. A practice-squad receiver was unlikely to see the field against Buffalo, so this move shouldn't change how Las Vegas lines up. Bettors can leave their read on the Raiders' passing game as it was.

CAR: 30.3 points per game to PHI's 18.4

Carolina is scoring 30.3 a game after scoring 18.3 last season, and Philadelphia has fallen to 18.4 from 22.3. Carolina's number covers only 4 games, so one or two blowouts can inflate it, and that kind of jump usually cools off. Philadelphia at home should be closer to its old self than the gap suggests, so check whether the line is pricing Carolina's early scoring as if it were permanent.

Tre' Harris (WR) is doubtful for LAC

Harris hurt his hamstring in Sunday's 23-17 loss to Denver, and Jim Harbaugh called him week-to-week on Monday. Doubtful usually means a player does not suit up, and week-to-week points the same way. Stack that with Brenen Thompson and Quentin Johnston both out, and the Chargers head to Kansas City short at receiver.

Roman Wilson (WR) is out for PIT

Mike McCarthy ruled out Roman Wilson on Monday with a finger injury, so he misses Sunday's game in Tampa Bay. Ben Skowronek is also out with a calf, leaving Pittsburgh two receivers short. Fewer bodies at receiver means more of the passing game funnels to whoever is left, a useful angle for Steelers receiving props.

Ben Skowronek (WR) is out for PIT

Mike McCarthy said Monday that Ben Skowronek will not play against Tampa Bay because of a calf injury. Roman Wilson is out too with a finger injury, so Pittsburgh is down two receivers for this game. That narrows the Steelers' passing targets, which matters if you are looking at their receiver props.

Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB

Tampa Bay lists quarterback Baker Mayfield as out for Pittsburgh, reported Oct 12, with no injury or timeline given. A starting quarterback missing changes everything about the Buccaneers' offense, and the sheet does not name his replacement. Confirm who starts under center before you touch any Tampa Bay side, total or passing prop.

Jalyx Hunt (LB) is doubtful for PHI

Hunt is dealing with an ankle injury, and Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio said Tuesday it would take something miraculous for him to play Week 6 against the Panthers. Doubtful usually means a player sits, and Fangio's words point the same way. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps at linebacker, so plan as if Philadelphia plays without him and watch the final inactives for confirmation.

Will Shipley (RB) is doubtful for PHI

Will Shipley has a partial tear of his plantar fascia, suffered in Sunday's 19-17 loss to Jacksonville in London, and could miss multiple weeks. Doubtful usually means a player sits, and this diagnosis points the same way. With Saquon Barkley also listed out but called hopeful by his coach, Barkley's status decides who carries the ball for Philadelphia against Carolina.

Will Campbell (OT) is doubtful for NE

Campbell is New England's starting offensive tackle, and doubtful means he is expected to sit against the Jets. He sprained his right knee in Sunday's game against the Raiders, so this is a fresh injury with almost no time to heal. The fact sheet does not name his replacement, so watch who lines up at tackle and how the Patriots protect the quarterback. Bettors can treat a missing starting tackle as a reason to look harder at sack and pressure numbers for the Jets' pass rush.

TreVeyon Henderson (RB) is doubtful for NE

Henderson has a right high-ankle sprain, confirmed by an MRI on Monday, and Adam Schefter reports he is expected to miss multiple weeks. Doubtful usually means a player sits, and with that diagnosis this one reads close to out for the Jets game. High-ankle sprains tend to linger, so expect his absence to stretch past this week. Bettors should plan for a different Patriots backfield and look at the other running backs' carry and yardage lines.

LAR: 307.6 pass yards a game to ARI's 209.6

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: ARI threw for 209.6 passing yards a game over 5 games; LAR threw for 307.6 passing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season ARI was at 232.6 over 17 games and LAR at 268.1 over 17 games.

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is out for CHI

Chicago has ruled Johnson out for the trip to Atlanta, so he will not play in this one. The report from Oct 14 gives no injury or timeline, and the sheet does not name who steps in at safety. Out is final for this game, so any number you see already prices in his absence. If you lean on Atlanta's passing game, check who Chicago lists behind him before you commit.

Michael Penix Jr. (QB) is questionable for ATL

Penix left Sunday's 30-23 overtime loss to the Ravens with a rib injury and was scheduled for an MRI Monday. Questionable means he could play against Chicago, and the MRI result is the swing factor. Rib injuries can limit a quarterback's throwing even when he suits up. Hold off on firm reads of Atlanta's passing game until his status clears up.

Jalen Pitre (S) is doubtful for HOU

Pitre hurt his shoulder Sunday at Tennessee, and the good news is he won't need surgery or a trip to injured reserve. Doubtful still means he is unlikely to play at Jacksonville, so this looks like a short-term absence for Houston's secondary. The sheet doesn't name who fills in at safety, so price this game assuming Pitre sits and the Texans lean on backups in the back end.

David Montgomery (RB) is doubtful for HOU

Montgomery has a groin injury, and DeMeco Ryans called him week-to-week on Monday. Doubtful means he is very unlikely to play against Jacksonville, and week-to-week suggests this could stretch past one game. The report does not name who takes his carries. Bettors should price Houston's run game as if Montgomery is not there.

Drew Lock (QB) is questionable for SEA

Lock is dealing with a forearm injury and was estimated as limited on Tuesday's report, which means he did some work but not a full load. Questionable means it could go either way for the trip to Denver. The fact sheet doesn't name his role on the depth chart or a replacement, so the key signal is how his practice status moves later in the week. A forearm issue for a quarterback can affect throwing, so watch whether he upgrades to full.

CAR: 301.3 pass yards a game to PHI's 170.6

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: CAR threw for 301.3 passing yards a game over 4 games; PHI threw for 170.6 passing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season CAR was at 179.3 over 17 games and PHI at 194.3 over 17 games.

KC: 0.5 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.6

The Chargers are turning it over 2.6 times a game across five games, more than double last season's 1.24, while Kansas City is at 0.5 over four after 0.88 last year. Turnover rates swing hard in short samples, so the Chargers likely settle closer to last season. Kansas City protecting the ball at home puts pressure on the Chargers to play clean, and extra possessions off their mistakes are the swing factor.

Garret Wallow (LB) is out for SF

Shanahan said Monday that Garret Wallow will miss "at least a couple of weeks" with a hamstring strain, so he will not play against Washington. Hamstring timelines often run past the first estimate. His snaps at linebacker go to the next man on the depth chart, and the information supplied does not say who that is.

Marcus Mariota (QB) is doubtful for WSH

Washington listed Mariota as doubtful on Oct 13, which usually means a player is unlikely to suit up. The report gives no injury detail and names no replacement, so the quarterback picture for the trip to San Francisco is unclear. Check the final inactive list before betting anything that depends on who takes the snaps.

GB: 1.8 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.4

DAL is at 0.4 takeaways per game over 5 games; GB is at 1.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

BUF: 158 rush yards a game to LV's 82

Buffalo runs for 158 yards a game, nearly double Las Vegas at 82, and it matches last season almost exactly: 159.6 to 77.5. When a gap holds over a full year and five more games, it is part of who these teams are. Las Vegas has to find offense through the air because the ground game has not been there, while Buffalo can lean on the run to control this game on the road.

BAL: 164.4 rush yards a game to CLE's 94.2

The widest gap between these two is rush yards a game: BAL ran for 164.4 rushing yards a game over 5 games; CLE ran for 94.2 rushing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season BAL was at 156.6 over 17 games and CLE at 97 over 17 games.

DAL: 49.2% on third down to GB's 27.6%

Dallas converts 49.2% of its third downs through five games, while Green Bay is at 27.6%. Green Bay is the surprise: it was at 48.8% last season, so a drop that steep over five games is more likely a slump than a new identity. Dallas is up from 41.1% and also likely to come back some. Expect this gap to narrow, and be careful pricing Green Bay's offense off its early third-down number.

GB: 4.7 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.42

Green Bay gives up 4.7 yards every snap, while Dallas allows 6.42, so offenses move far more easily on the Cowboys. That is 5 games each, and the strength of the offenses each side faced is not part of this number, so some of the gap could be schedule. A spread that wide over 5 games rarely closes all the way. For this game, it points to the Green Bay offense finding more room than the Dallas offense does.

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is out for SF

Deebo Samuel Sr. strained his right hamstring in Sunday's 32-29 win over Seattle, and Kyle Shanahan said he pulled it "pretty good" and will miss at least a couple weeks. Out means he does not play against Washington. Hamstrings can linger, so "at least" is the key phrase: plan for more than this one game. The sheet names no replacement, so look at who else San Francisco trusts to catch the ball before betting any receiver props here.

CHI: 3 fourth-down attempts per game to ATL's 0.6

Chicago is going for it on fourth down 3 times a game, up from 1.71 last season, while Atlanta has nearly stopped at 0.6 after 1.65 last season. Both teams were about the same last year, so this is a coaching shift over 5 games, with Chicago pushing harder and Atlanta pulling back. Extra fourth-down tries mean more possessions that end with points or a turnover on downs, and that can swing a total or a spread late.

CAR: 6.13 yards per play to PHI's 4.58

Carolina is gaining 6.13 a snap after 4.92 last season, and its last game had 6 plays of 20+ yards, with Tetairoa McMillan catching a 32-yard touchdown and a 26-yarder and Chuba Hubbard breaking a 32-yard run. Philadelphia's last game had 1 play of 20+, a 62-yard touchdown to Darius Cooper, which means it struggled to gain yards on most other snaps. Carolina's sample is 4 games, so expect its rate to drop somewhat, but if the Eagles' offense keeps relying on one big play, they will have trouble covering.

Caleb Williams (QB) is questionable for CHI

Chicago listed Williams as questionable on Oct 13 for the game at Atlanta, so it is a real coin flip whether he plays. The report gives no injury or timeline. A starting quarterback's status moves sides and totals more than most, so wait for later practice reports before locking in a Bears number.

Rays 7-1 in Freddy Peralta's last 8 starts

Tampa Bay has won seven straight games Peralta has started, with the one loss in this run coming before the streak. Eight starts is a short window, and team wins depend on the lineup and bullpen too, so this mostly says the Rays have scored and held leads behind him. Win streaks like this tend to cool, and books usually build them into the price. Against Cleveland, judge Peralta on how he is actually pitching before paying extra for Tampa Bay.

SF: 51.9% on third down to WSH's 31.9%

San Francisco converts 51.9% of its third downs through five games, close to its 49.8% last season, so this looks like the real team. Washington is at 31.9%, down from 37.6%, which is lower than its own track record. San Francisco extending drives at home means fewer chances for Washington, and the visitors need early-down gains to avoid long third downs.

KC: 1.5 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3.4

LAC is at 3.4 sacks taken per game over 5 games; KC is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season LAC was at 3.75 over 17 games and KC at 2.94 over 17 games.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Baltimore lists Lamar Jackson as questionable for the trip to Cleveland, as of Oct 13. Questionable means a real chance he sits, and the report gives no injury or practice detail to lean either way. He is the engine of this offense, so his status moves the whole game. Hold off on Ravens sides and totals until there is word on him, since the number can swing hard either way.

BAL: 8.1 yards per pass attempt to CLE's 5.52

Baltimore is gaining 8.1 yards every time it throws, well above last season's 6.69, and that makes its passing game hard to defend. Cleveland has improved from 4.78 to 5.52 over 5 games but still gains little through the air. The Browns probably need to run the ball and shorten the game, while the Ravens can create points quickly with a few throws.

SF: 18.6 points allowed per game to WSH's 29.8

WSH is at 29.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; SF is at 18.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 26.5 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.

CeeDee Lamb (WR) is questionable for DAL

Lamb has a quad bruise that is not considered serious, according to a report from Oct 9. That leans toward him playing at Green Bay. A bruise can still limit snaps or explosiveness, so his receiving lines deserve a look at the final practice report before you trust them.

GB: 2.8 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1

Green Bay gets 2.8 sacks a game, and Dallas gets 1, so the Packers rush has put far more pressure on quarterbacks. Sack totals over 5 games depend a lot on who the quarterbacks were and whether opponents were throwing from behind, and that context is not part of this number. For this game, the Dallas passing game is the side more likely to face drive-killing negative plays.

LAR: 4.82 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.24

The Rams allow 4.82 yards per play, and Arizona allows 6.24, a big gap in how easily offenses move. Both numbers come from 5 games, and the opponents behind them are not shown here, so the schedule could be helping one side. A difference that size tends to hold up in part even after some regression. In this divisional game, the Rams offense looks likely to have the easier time moving the ball.

CAR: 23.5 first downs per game to PHI's 14.4

CAR is at 23.5 first downs per game over 4 games; PHI is at 14.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and PHI at 18 over 17 games.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) is questionable for SEA

Smith-Njigba is dealing with an ankle injury and was limited on Tuesday's estimated practice report, which means he did some work but not a full load. Questionable means it is uncertain whether he plays against Denver. Tuesday's estimate is an early read, and the rest of the week's practice reports will say more. If you want a piece of his receiving props, waiting for his final status removes the guesswork.

Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

Gabriel has a back injury and was ruled out of the Jets game, then landed on Cleveland's injured reserve list. That keeps him off the field against Baltimore as well. The sheet does not say who starts for the Browns, so confirm the quarterback before reading anything into Cleveland's offensive numbers.

Quinshon Judkins (RB) is questionable for CLE

Judkins tweaked his ankle in the 17-12 loss to the Jets, and coach Todd Monken calls him day-to-day. He has not been ruled out for the Week 6 game against the Ravens. Day-to-day after a minor-sounding tweak leans toward playing, though his workload could be trimmed, so rushing props carry extra risk until his status firms up.

Jalen Coker (WR) is questionable for CAR

Jalen Coker is questionable for Carolina at Philadelphia with a quadriceps injury. He took part in the Panthers' unofficial practice Tuesday, which points toward him trending in the right direction. Questionable still leaves room for a late scratch, so watch the official practice reports later in the week before backing anything tied to him.

Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC

McConkey has a foot injury and was active but played zero snaps in the 23-17 loss to Denver. That is a warning sign: the team dressed him and still would not use him. Before betting his receiving props at Kansas City, look for proof he is practicing fully.

BAL: 73.7% red-zone scoring rate to CLE's 45.5%

BAL is at 73.7% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; CLE is at 45.5% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 47.5% over 17 games and CLE at 52.6% over 17 games.

BUF @ LV carries a 53.5 market total

The market expects this one to play 10 points above the typical game on this slate, a 53.5 against a 43.5 median across 14 games. A number that high prices in both offenses moving the ball and finishing drives with touchdowns. For it to crack, one side has to stall in the red zone and settle for field goals, or the game has to shorten with long, clock-eating drives. Watch the early possessions: a slow first quarter from both teams is the first sign the price ran ahead of the game.

NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 1.4

The Jets haven't thrown an interception in 5 games after 0.76 a game last season, and the Patriots are throwing 1.4 a game after only 0.47. Zero picks over 5 games is unlikely to continue for long, and New England's turnover count should come down too. The current numbers favor the Jets in the turnover battle, but expect both teams to drift back toward last season's rates.

BAL: 29.2 points per game to CLE's 18.6

BAL is at 29.2 points per game over 5 games; CLE is at 18.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 24.9 over 17 games and CLE at 16.4 over 17 games.

SF: 6.54 yards per play to WSH's 5.14

WSH is at 5.14 yards per play over 5 games; SF is at 6.54 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 5.53 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

Pat Surtain II (CB) is doubtful for DEN

Denver listed Surtain as doubtful on Oct 13, so he is unlikely to face Seattle. Losing a top corner usually means more favorable matchups for the opposing receivers. No replacement is named, but Seattle's passing props are the place to watch if he sits.

NE: 9.6 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 26.8

The Jets are losing 26.8 yards a game to sacks, close to last season's 24.9, so their pass protection is a lasting problem. New England loses only 9.6, slightly better than last season's 12.6. Sacks set the Jets back on third downs and long fields, which helps the Patriots' defense control drives, so watch for New York struggling to finish drives.

KC: 0 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1.2

LAC is at 1.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; KC is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season LAC was at 0.41 over 17 games and KC at 0.18 over 17 games.

IND: 31:07 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:31

Indianapolis holds the ball about 31 minutes a game, while Tennessee is at 24:31 after 29:08 last season. That gap means the Colts are controlling games by sustaining drives and keeping the Titans' offense off the field. When one team limits possessions like this, it slows the game and reduces the other side's chances to come back.

SF: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 83.3%

WSH is at 83.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; SF is at 50% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

CAR: 1.75 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.6

Carolina forces 1.75 turnovers a game over 4 games, and Philadelphia forces 0.6 over 5. Turnovers are among the noisiest stats in football, and 4 games is a thin base, so expect Carolina's rate to cool off. Philadelphia's low number can rise just as quickly. A bettor should see Carolina's edge here as something that may not last, and should not build a case on it alone.

ATL: 69.2% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 42.9%

Atlanta scores on 69.2% of red-zone trips, up from 62% last season, while Chicago has fallen to 42.9% from 58.2%. Red-zone rates swing a lot over 5 games, so Chicago is likely to improve toward last season. Pair that with Chicago's frequent fourth-down tries: the Bears go for it often, so some failed red-zone trips may be turnovers on downs that cost them points.

SEA: 29.4% third downs allowed to DEN's 45.2%

Seattle lets opponents convert just 29.4% of third downs, and Denver allows 45.2%, so the Seahawks get off the field far more often. It is 5 games, and the offenses each team faced are not part of the number, so part of the gap could come from the schedule. A 29.4% rate is hard to maintain, so expect some slide. In this game, Seattle's offense looks more likely to keep drives going than Denver's.

ARI @ LAR carries a 52.5 market total

At 52.5, this game sits 9 points above the 43.5 slate median, so the market sees one of the higher-scoring spots of the week. That number needs steady touchdown production from both sides, with a field goal or two not enough to carry it alone. The expectation breaks if drives stall past midfield or one offense goes quiet for a half. Think of it as a game priced for both teams to show up, and ask whether you believe each one will.

IND: 31:07 of possession a game to TEN's 24:31

Indianapolis holds the ball 31:07 a game, Tennessee 24:31, a gap of more than six minutes. Last season both were near even, Tennessee at 29:08 and Indianapolis at 29:37, so five games have pulled them apart. Some of this comes from game script and may narrow, but it points to Indianapolis controlling tempo at home and Tennessee getting fewer possessions to work with.

LAR: 156.8 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 236.8

The Rams allow 156.8 passing yards a game, and Arizona gives up 236.8, a big difference through the air. Passing yards allowed also depend on game script: teams playing from ahead tend to face more throws, and that context is not shown in these 5 games. The Rams passing attack looks set up better in this game, but yardage totals swing with how the game flows, so think in terms of efficiency more than raw yards.

DAL @ GB carries a 52.5 market total

The market has this one 9 points above the 43.5 median across 14 games, a 52.5 that calls for a shootout by this slate's standards. Totals this far out front usually assume both offenses carry their share. If one side controls the ball on the ground or the red zone turns into field goal range, the number has room to fall short. The question for a bettor is whether both offenses have to cooperate for this to go over, because the price says they will.

Rays are 5-1 vs Guardians this season

The Rays have taken five of six from Cleveland this year, and the most recent meeting was a 1-0 game, about as close as a win gets. Six games is a small sample, and there is no detail here on who pitched or where, so the record does not explain why Tampa Bay won them. Tonight's starters and the Rays being at home should carry more weight than the 5-1.

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is doubtful for TB

Tampa Bay listed Winfield, a safety, as doubtful on Oct 13 ahead of Pittsburgh. If he sits, the Bucs lose a starter in the back end of the secondary. No replacement is named, so Pittsburgh's downfield passing is the area most affected.

Marques Sigle (S) is doubtful for SF

San Francisco listed Sigle, a safety, as doubtful on Oct 13 for the Washington game. He is unlikely to play, and no injury or fill-in is named on the report.

BAL: 2.2 sacks taken per game to CLE's 3.8

BAL is at 2.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; CLE is at 3.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and CLE at 3 over 17 games.

SF has won 5 straight

San Francisco is 5-0 and has won every game it has played. The sheet does not list who they beat, so the strength of the schedule behind it is unclear. A perfect record through five games is a real sample, though one bad week ends any streak. With Washington coming to San Francisco, the home team will likely be priced as the clear favorite, so the edge depends on whether that price already accounts for the run.

TEN has lost 5 straight

Tennessee has not won a game yet, five tries and five losses. Five games is a real stretch: a team that is 0-5 has usually lost in more than one way. The fact sheet does not say who they lost to or by how much, so how badly they are playing is unknown. Going to Indianapolis, look at the margins of those losses before assuming the slide keeps going at the same pace.

KC: 4.75 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.6

LAC is at 2.6 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; KC is at 4.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and KC at 3.47 over 17 games.

LAC has lost 5 straight

LAC carries a 5-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 0-5 on the season. They face KC in LAC @ KC. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-12.

KC has 7 more days of rest

Kansas City is home and rested off a bye with 9 days, and the Chargers arrive on 2 days after travel. A team on that short a week usually trims the playbook and limits contact in prep. The schedule fact won't change before kickoff. The travel and short week both hit the road side, so fourth-quarter legs and late scoring are the places to think about Kansas City's edge.

Cam Jurgens (C) is questionable for BAL

Jurgens is Baltimore's starting center, the player who snaps the ball and sets the line calls up front. Jesse Minter said Monday he is in the finishing stages of the concussion protocol, so questionable here reads closer to likely than doubtful, though he still has to be fully cleared before the trip to Cleveland. If he sits, a backup handles the snaps and protections, which matters most against an aggressive front. Check his practice status late in the week before leaning on Baltimore's offense.

Colton Hood (CB) is questionable for NYG

Hood is a Giants cornerback dealing with a concussion and is considered day-to-day before the Saints game. With a concussion, playing depends on clearing the protocol, and that can change quickly late in the week. If he can't go, the Giants are thinner at corner, so New Orleans receiver props are the place a bettor would feel it.

Trey Lance (QB) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers put Lance on injured reserve Saturday with a groin injury. He is out for the Kansas City game and at least several weeks beyond it. As a backup quarterback his absence mainly thins the depth chart.

Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC

Rice hurt his hamstring in the win over the Raiders, and the injury was described as relatively minor. Kansas City had its Week 5 bye right after, which gave him extra time to heal before the Chargers. Hamstrings can linger, so check whether he practices fully before trusting his receiving lines.

Tyler Guyton (OT) is questionable for DAL

Guyton, a Dallas offensive tackle, had X-rays on his back come back negative, coach Brian Schottenheimer said Friday. That removes the worst-case news, though he stays questionable for Green Bay. If he sits, the Cowboys shuffle the line in a road game.

CAR has 7 more days of rest

Carolina gets a full bye to rest and game plan, while Philadelphia turns around just 2 days after its last game. The home team usually leans on a simpler script in that spot, with lighter prep and tired legs late. The gap is fixed by the schedule, so it holds. Rest edges like this matter more in the second half, so second-half and live numbers are where the Carolina side of the calendar shows up.

NYG: 21.2 points allowed per game to NO's 30.2

New Orleans is allowing 30.2 points a game, way up from 22.5 last season, while the Giants have cut theirs to 21.2 from 25.8. A jump of that size over 5 games often means a couple of bad games, so expect the Saints' defense to improve somewhat. The Giants' defensive improvement looks steadier, but the total may already reflect New Orleans' poor start.

NYG: 21.2 points allowed a game to NO's 30.2

New Orleans is allowing 30.2 points a game through five games, up from 22.5 last season, while the Giants have tightened from 25.8 to 21.2. New Orleans' number is the bigger jump and the more likely to come back down, though five games of it is a real warning sign. In this game, the Giants' offense draws a defense that has been giving up a lot, and the Saints need to score to keep pace.

CAR: 7.08 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 5.02

CAR is at 7.08 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; PHI is at 5.02 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 5.47 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

LV: 2 takeaways per game to BUF's 1

Las Vegas forces 2 turnovers a game and Buffalo forces 1, both over 5 games. Turnover rates jump around more than nearly any other defensive stat, so the Raiders likely won't stay at 2. This gives Las Vegas a path to steal possessions, but it is a thin reason to back them on its own against a Buffalo team the number says little about otherwise.

CHI: 26% third downs allowed to ATL's 40.3%

Chicago allows conversions on 26% of third downs, compared with Atlanta's 40.3%, so the Bears have been the far stingier defense in the money down. It is a 5-game sample, and a rate as low as 26% usually rises as the year goes on. For this game, Atlanta's offense is more likely to face long drives that stall, while Chicago's offense gets a defense that allows more third-down conversions.

HOU: 3.6 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.2

Houston gets 3.6 sacks a game and Jacksonville gets 2.2, both over 5 games, so the Texans have been the more disruptive pass rush. Sack rates over a handful of games depend on the quarterbacks and offensive lines faced, and that is not part of this number. For this game, the Jacksonville passing game is the side more likely to lose drives to negative plays.

JAX: 14 points allowed per game to HOU's 22.4

Jacksonville is allowing just 14 points a game, better than last season's 19.8, while Houston's defense has slipped to 22.4 from 17.4. Five games is a short sample for both, and the Texans' defense was one of the better units last season, so it may improve. For now, the Jaguars' defense is outperforming, and that can keep this game low-scoring.

LAR: 24 points allowed per game to ARI's 32.4

ARI is at 32.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; LAR is at 24 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and LAR at 20.4 over 17 games.

Joshua Palmer (WR) is questionable for BUF

Joshua Palmer is questionable for Buffalo at Las Vegas, reported Oct 13, with no injury named. DJ Moore is also questionable, so two Bills receivers are uncertain at once. If either sits, the remaining receivers pick up the looks, so hold off on Buffalo receiver props until the final report.

Jalen Nailor (WR) is questionable for LV

Las Vegas lists Jalen Nailor as questionable against Buffalo, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. Questionable means his status for this game is uncertain, so the final injury report is the thing to check before betting on the Raiders' receivers.

HOU (1-4) at JAX (4-1), a division game

Jacksonville arrives on a three-game win streak and is 3-0 at home, with a +53 point margin that says the wins have not been close calls. Houston is 1-4 but only -2 on points, so its record looks worse than how it has actually played. That gap between record and margin is the Texans' case: losses by small amounts can flip. In a division game, the Jaguars' form is real, and the Texans' margin argues against treating them as a pushover.

BAL (4-1) at CLE (3-2), a division game

Baltimore has won three straight and is 3-0 on the road, so the travel spot has not bothered it. Cleveland is 3-2 with a -19 point margin, which means its wins have been tight and its losses lopsided, and that record probably flatters the Browns. Their 2-0 home mark is the one thing in their favor here. A bettor can lean on the margins more than the records, while respecting that Cleveland has protected its own field so far.

Quentin Johnston (WR) is questionable for LAC

Quentin Johnston is questionable for the Chargers at Kansas City, reported Oct 13, with no injury listed. Questionable means his status is uncertain. With Brenen Thompson also questionable, the Chargers' receiver depth is in doubt, which matters for both receiver props and how the passing game is spread around.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo lists DJ Moore as questionable at Las Vegas, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. Questionable means he may or may not play. Joshua Palmer carries the same tag, so the Bills could be down two receivers, and that is worth knowing before betting their passing numbers.

Carson Schwesinger (LB) is questionable for CLE

Carson Schwesinger sprained his right ankle in the 17-12 loss to the Jets on Sunday, and it was reported as a Grade 1 sprain, the mildest level. That leaves him questionable for Baltimore, meaning his status for this game is uncertain. A mild sprain gives him a real path to playing, so watch his practice participation this week before assuming the Browns are without him at linebacker.

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is questionable for DEN

Hufanga has an ankle injury and was listed as a non-participant on Denver's estimated report Monday. A safety who doesn't practice early in the week is a real question mark for Seattle, so watch whether he practices later in the week. If he sits, Denver's back end loses a starter against the Seahawks passing game.

SEA: 4.1 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.2

Seattle allows 4.1 yards per play, and Denver allows 5.2, so offenses have moved much less against the Seahawks. Through 5 games, with the quality of those offenses not shown here, 4.1 is a very low number and could drift up. It still matches Seattle's third-down and run-defense numbers this season, which makes it more convincing. For this game, the Seattle offense looks likely to have the easier time moving the ball.

JAX: 14 points allowed a game to HOU's 22.4

Jacksonville is allowing 14 points a game through five games, down from 19.8 last season, while Houston has slipped from 17.4 to 22.4. Both moved against their own track records, so expect some drift back. For now, Houston's offense faces the stingier defense on the road, and points could be hard to come by on its side of the ball.

SF: 0.6 sacks taken per game to WSH's 2

WSH is at 2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; SF is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 2.31 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.

Tonka Hemingway (DT) is questionable for LV

Tonka Hemingway is in concussion protocol ahead of Week 6 against Buffalo, which is why he is questionable. A player in protocol has to clear a series of steps before he can play, and that timing is out of the team's hands. Until he clears, assume the Raiders may be short a body on the interior line.

Stefon Diggs (WR) is questionable for WSH

Questionable means Diggs has a real chance to play against San Francisco, but Washington has not committed either way. The report as of Oct 13 does not name an injury, so how serious this is remains unclear. Watch the practice reports later this week. Receiving props are hard to price until his status is settled.

James Thompson Jr. (DT) is questionable for SF

Thompson has been out with an ankle injury and could return in Week 6 against Washington, per a report from Oct 12. Questionable means his status is undecided, so it may come down to how the ankle responds late in the week. The sheet does not say who has covered his snaps at defensive tackle. A return would add depth to the San Francisco front, but wait for the final word before factoring him into how you see Washington's ground game.

Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists Ashton Dulin as questionable for Tennessee, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. Questionable means he may or may not play. Darius Slayton carries the same tag, so the Colts' receiver group could be thin, and that is worth settling before betting their passing game.

Adonai Mitchell (WR) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list Adonai Mitchell as questionable at New England, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. Questionable means his status is uncertain. Breece Hall is also questionable for this game, so the Jets could be short two skill players, and the final report later in the week will tell you how much of their offense is intact.

Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Breece Hall is questionable for the Jets at New England, reported Oct 13, with no injury named. Questionable means he may or may not suit up. Adonai Mitchell carries the same tag, so wait for the final statuses before betting Jets rushing numbers or the team total.

Darius Slayton (WR) is questionable for IND

Darius Slayton is questionable for the Colts against Tennessee, reported Oct 13, with no injury listed. Ashton Dulin has the same designation, so two Indianapolis receivers are uncertain at once. If either sits, targets shift to whoever is healthy, which matters for receiver props in this game.

Tyler Nubin (S) is questionable for NYG

Nubin, a Giants safety, has a neck injury and is considered day-to-day before the Saints game. Combined with cornerback Colton Hood's concussion, the Giants secondary could be short-handed. If both miss, New Orleans gets a better look at passing downfield.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Philadelphia lists Saquon Barkley as questionable against Carolina, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. Questionable means his status is uncertain. DeVonta Smith and Hollywood Brown share the same tag, so three Eagles skill players are in doubt at once, and how many of them play shapes what the offense looks like in this game.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

DeVonta Smith is questionable for the Eagles against Carolina, reported Oct 13, with no injury listed. Hollywood Brown is also questionable, so two Philadelphia receivers are uncertain together. If both sit, the targets have to go somewhere else, which makes waiting for final statuses the smart move on any Eagles receiving prop.

Hollywood Brown (WR) is questionable for PHI

Hollywood Brown is questionable for Philadelphia against Carolina, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. DeVonta Smith and Saquon Barkley carry the same tag, so the Eagles have several pieces in doubt. Brown's status matters most for how the receiver snaps get divided if Smith is limited too.

Rico Dowdle (RB) is questionable for PIT

Pittsburgh lists Rico Dowdle as questionable at Tampa Bay, reported Oct 13, with no injury named. Questionable means he may or may not play, so any bet on the Steelers' run game should wait until his status is final and it is clear how the carries will be split.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

The Chargers list Brenen Thompson as questionable at Kansas City, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail. Quentin Johnston has the same tag, so two Los Angeles receivers are uncertain for this game. Final statuses will decide who soaks up the targets.

LAC (0-5) at KC (4-0), a division game

Kansas City is 4-0 with a +41 margin and 2-0 at home, so the unbeaten start comes with real separation. The Chargers are 0-5 at -45 and 0-2 on the road, losing in every setting. Division familiarity is the only thing on the sheet that works for Los Angeles. Both records match their margins, so there is little sign either is being misread right now.

ARI (1-4) at LAR (2-3), a division game

Arizona has lost four straight and is -54 on points, so its 1-4 record is earned. The Rams are 2-3 with a -1 margin, which reads as a team that has played even and dropped close ones, so their record likely undersells them a little. Neither side has a home or road split worth leaning on: Arizona is 1-2 away, the Rams 1-2 at home. The point margins carry the separation here.

TEN (0-5) at IND (2-3), a division game

Tennessee is 0-5 with a -51 point margin and five straight losses, so the record is an honest picture of a team getting beat. Indianapolis is 2-3 at -14 and 1-1 at home, middling with nothing in the splits that stands out. The Colts are the better side on every number here, though not by a wide margin of their own. This is a spot about Tennessee's form more than Indianapolis's strength.

Drake Thomas (LB) is questionable for SEA

Drake Thomas (ankle) did not participate on Monday's estimated report, and he is questionable for Seattle at Denver. Sitting out the first practice of the week is a worse sign than limited work. Watch whether he practices later in the week, which will show which way this is heading.

Tylan Wallace (WR) is questionable for CLE

Cleveland lists Tylan Wallace as questionable for the Baltimore game, reported Oct 13, with no injury named. Questionable means he may or may not play, so any bet that depends on how the Browns split their receiver snaps should wait for the final status.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Chicago has Kyle Monangai listed as questionable for the trip to Atlanta, reported Oct 13, with no injury detail attached yet. Questionable means his status for this game is uncertain, so the later practice reports and the final inactive list are what to wait on before betting anything that depends on the Bears' backfield.

KC: 9.5 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 22.8

LAC is at 22.8 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; KC is at 9.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.

NO: 2.4 fourth-down attempts per game to NYG's 0.8

New Orleans goes for it on fourth down 2.4 times a game, close to last season's 2, while the Giants have dropped to 0.8 from 2.29. The Giants' coaches are clearly kicking more often than last year. The Saints' aggression can lead to extra points or short fields for the Giants, so expect more swings on those plays.

BAL: 5.02 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 3.68

BAL is at 5.02 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; CLE is at 3.68 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 5.28 over 17 games and CLE at 3.9 over 17 games.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Charbonnet is working back from a knee injury and was estimated as limited on Tuesday. The PUP-R tag means he has been on the physically unable to perform list and is in his return window, so getting any practice work in is progress. Limited work early in a return usually points to a gradual ramp-up, so don't count on a full workload against Denver even if he is activated.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 3 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 719 passing yards, completed 67.5% of his passes and averaged 9.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in. Michael Penix Jr. is also listed q for this matchup.

Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU

Tank Dell (knee) is on injured reserve with the designation to return, and the Oct 9 report ruled him out for the Titans game. The return designation means the team expects him back at some point, but nothing supplied says he is ready for this Jacksonville game. Treat Houston's receiver group as being without him until a new report says otherwise.

Trevor Etienne (RB) is ir-r for CAR

The Panthers announced Tuesday that Etienne (ankle) is designated to return from injured reserve. Reported Oct 13.

David Sills V (WR) is ir-r for TB

Sills is on injured reserve with a hamstring injury. Tampa Bay opened his 21-day practice window on Monday, which lets him practice before the team decides whether to activate him. An open window does not mean he plays against Pittsburgh. Treat him as a depth piece who is not yet back.

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

James Conner is on injured reserve with a foot injury and will not play against the Rams. He is getting close to practicing, but Arizona is not expected to open his 21-day return window this week. That means the Cardinals backfield runs without him again, so price Arizona's run game as it has looked in his absence.

KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR) is ir-r for LAC

The Chargers designated Lambert-Smith (hamstring) for return from injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (hamstring) is on injured reserve with the designation to return, and he was ruled out against the Patriots. Nothing supplied clears him for Buffalo, so assume Las Vegas plays without him until the team activates him.

Savion Williams (WR) is ir-r for GB

Williams is on injured reserve with an ankle injury and was ruled out of the Bears game on Oct 9. Nothing on the report says he is cleared for Dallas. Until Green Bay activates him, assume he is not part of the plan for this game.

Jeremy McNichols (RB) is ir-r for WSH

McNichols (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants. Reported Oct 11.

Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Kirk (calf) is "unlikely" to return to practice this week, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

PIT: 223.4 pass yards a game to TB's 173.4

Pittsburgh is throwing for 223.4 yards a game through five games, up from 202.4 last season, while Tampa Bay has dropped to 173.4 from 205.9. Tampa Bay's dip is the bigger outlier and the more likely to bounce back at home. The gap here is real for now, but both teams sit closer together on last season's numbers than this season's.

Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days

Diaz has a .450 OPS over the last 15 days, which means he is barely getting on base and hitting for almost no power. That is 40 at-bats, and his season OPS is .805, a 0.355 drop from his normal level. A hitter with his track record usually climbs back from a cold stretch this short. When pricing his props against Cleveland, lean on the .805 season number more than the last two weeks.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

SF: 30.8 points per game to WSH's 23

WSH is at 23 points per game over 5 games; SF is at 30.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 20.9 over 17 games and SF at 25.7 over 17 games.

WSH @ SF carries a 50.5 market total

The current fanduel total is 50.5, 7 points above the 43.5 median across 14 games with posted totals on this slate.

ARI has lost 4 straight

ARI carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 1-4 on the season. They face LAR in ARI @ LAR. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-12.

KC has won 4 straight

KC carries a 4-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-0 on the season. They face LAC in LAC @ KC. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-12.

IND: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TEN's 46.2%

TEN is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; IND is at 66.7% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season TEN was at 57.6% over 17 games and IND at 65.2% over 17 games.

PIT: 223.4 team passing yards per game to TB's 173.4

Pittsburgh throws for about 50 more yards a game than Tampa Bay this season. That is a flip from last season, when Tampa Bay was at 205.9 and Pittsburgh at 202.4, so both five-game numbers have moved a lot. Tampa's drop looks more like a style shift toward the run than a broken passing game, so passing props in this one should lean on how each team chooses to move the ball rather than on raw talent gaps.

JAX: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to HOU's 58.3%

Jacksonville allows a score on 33.3% of opponent red-zone trips, while Houston allows 58.3%. Red-zone rates across 5 games come from only a handful of trips, and 33.3% is low enough that it will probably rise. For this game, Houston drives that reach the red zone face the tougher stop, so field goals are more likely than touchdowns compared with Jacksonville's trips.

BAL: 229.8 team passing yards per game to CLE's 179.4

BAL is at 229.8 team passing yards per game over 5 games; CLE is at 179.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 175.6 over 17 games and CLE at 165.2 over 17 games.

ATL: 5.02 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6

Atlanta allows 5.02 yards per play, and Chicago allows 6, so offenses move more easily against the Bears. It is 5 games, and who those offenses were is not part of the number. Chicago's third-down defense has held up better than its yards per play suggests, which means opponents gain yards but stall at key moments. For this game, the Atlanta offense should be able to gain yards, but drives may stall on third down.

SEA: 100.4 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 145.2

Seattle allows 100.4 rushing yards a game, and Denver gives up 145.2, so the Broncos have been far easier to run on. Rushing yards allowed also depend on game script, since teams with a lead run more against you, and that is not separated out over these 5 games. If Seattle can play with a lead, its run game has a clear opening against Denver.

SEA: 26.8 points per game to DEN's 19.4

Seattle scores about a touchdown more per game than Denver through five games. Both teams are down from last season, Seattle at 28.4 and Denver at 23.6, so Denver's offense has slipped harder. Denver's scoring is the likelier number to bounce back toward last year's level, which matters when sizing up a road favorite in Denver and how far a Broncos team total might drift.

David Martin-Robinson (TE) is questionable for TEN

Martin-Robinson is questionable for the trip to Indianapolis, so his status is open. The Oct 13 report does not name an injury. Practice reports later in the week will settle whether he is available.

Carsen Ryan (TE) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Carsen Ryan as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

NYJ: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2.2

The Jets pass rush is getting home 3.4 times a game through 5 games, while New England's sits at 2.2 over the same stretch. Five games is enough to call it a real gap, though the sheet doesn't say whose quarterbacks either defense has faced, so some of it may be schedule. For this game, the Jets' edge shows up when the Patriots are stuck in obvious passing downs, so props and drive totals lean on how often New England falls behind the chains.

AFC SOUTH game: TEN 0-1, IND 1-0 in the division

These two share the AFC SOUTH. TEN is 0-1 against it, IND is 1-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-12.

Freddy Peralta: 1.15 ERA over his last 3 starts

Peralta has a 1.15 ERA over his last three starts, with a 1.09 WHIP against 1.33 for the season, so fewer hitters are reaching base. That run covers only 15.2 innings, and 13 strikeouts is solid without being dominant, so some of the low run total likely comes from good timing that fades. His 4.42 season ERA is the larger sample. Against Cleveland, the question is whether the drop in baserunners is real enough to beat a line built on that 4.42.

P 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 K

CLE: 3.2 sacks recorded per game to BAL's 2

Cleveland gets 3.2 sacks a game, and Baltimore gets 2, both over 5 games, so the Browns rush has been the more disruptive one. Sack numbers over 5 games swing with the quarterbacks and lines faced, and that context is not part of this number. For this game, the Baltimore passing game is the side more exposed to sacks that stall drives.

LAC: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1

The Chargers are getting 2.2 sacks a game over 5 games, and Kansas City has managed only 1 a game over 4. That Chiefs number comes from one fewer game, so it is the shakier of the two. Neither figure tells you who they played, so treat the Chiefs' low count as thin pressure that could tick up. A bettor looking at this game should weigh whether the Chargers' rush can speed up the Chiefs' passing game more than the reverse.

NE: 5.84 yards per play to NYJ's 4.88

New England gains nearly a full yard more per snap than the Jets, and the last game showed why: seven plays of 20 or more yards, three of them Drake Maye throws of 34 yards or longer. The Jets improved from 4.36 last season, while New England dipped from 6.23, so the gap has narrowed some. New England's explosive passing is the edge at home, and the Jets need Garrett Wilson to keep producing chunk plays to keep pace.

AFC WEST game: LAC 0-2, KC 2-0 in the division

These two share the AFC WEST. LAC is 0-2 against it, KC is 2-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-12.

NFC WEST game: ARI 0-2, LAR 0-1 in the division

Arizona is 0-2 in the NFC West and the Rams are 0-1. Neither team has won a division game yet, and three total games is a thin sample. One of these two gets its first division win on Sunday, and Arizona's two losses carry a bit more weight than the Rams' one.

NYG: 34:02 time of possession per game to NO's 29:17

The Giants hold the ball almost five minutes longer per game than New Orleans, up from 30:58 last season. The Saints are close to their 28:36 from last year, so the change is on the Giants' side and comes from five games. A Giants team that grinds clock at home shortens the game, which tends to drag down totals and gives fewer possessions for a trailing Saints team to rally.

DAL: 23.2 first downs per game to GB's 17.2

Dallas moves the chains about six more times a game than Green Bay. Dallas was at 23.1 last season, so that number is who it is, while Green Bay has dropped from 19.6 over five games and has room to rebound. Dallas sustaining drives on the road can keep Green Bay's offense on the sideline, but expect the Packers' number to creep back toward last year's level.

CHI: 41.8 penalty yards per game to ATL's 71

CHI is at 41.8 penalty yards per game over 5 games; ATL is at 71 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 57.1 over 17 games and ATL at 48.2 over 17 games.

SEA: 5.5 yards a snap to DEN's 4.62

Seattle gains 5.5 yards a snap through five games, Denver 4.62. Both are down from last season, Seattle from 5.98 and Denver from 5.32, so neither offense is moving it as well as a year ago. Seattle keeps the edge either way, and Denver has to scrape out yards at home against a team that has been more efficient in both seasons.

Monroe Freeling (OT) is questionable for CAR

Freeling (knee) could return to the field as soon as the Panthers' Week 6 game against the Eagles on Sunday, Oct. 18, Mike Kaye of ESPN.com reported Monday. Reported Oct 6.

Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

Dart, the Giants quarterback, is on injured reserve after surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee. That means he is out for this Saints game and well beyond it, so the Giants play with a backup quarterback. Price Giants totals and passing props around the backup, and treat any Dart return as a long way off.

KC: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.4

LAC is at 1.4 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; KC is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season LAC was at 0.82 over 17 games and KC at 0.71 over 17 games.

NYJ (2-3) at NE (3-2), a division game

New England has won two straight, is 2-0 at home and sits at +16 on points, so its 3-2 record has some substance. The Jets are 2-3 at only -3, close to even, and 1-2 on the road. That margin says New York has been closer than its record shows. In a division game, the Patriots' home form leads, but the Jets' margin points to a tighter game than the records suggest.

PHI: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 72.7%

CAR is at 72.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; PHI is at 50% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

BAL: 3.8 red-zone trips per game to CLE's 2.2

BAL is at 3.8 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; CLE is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and CLE at 2.24 over 17 games.

CHI: 4.2 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 2.6

CHI is at 4.2 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; ATL is at 2.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 3.24 over 17 games and ATL at 2.94 over 17 games.

JAX: 114.2 rushing yards per game to HOU's 79

HOU is at 79 rushing yards per game over 5 games; JAX is at 114.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season HOU was at 108.9 over 17 games and JAX at 115.1 over 17 games.

CHI @ ATL carries a 49.5 market total

This 49.5 sits 6 points above the 43.5 median, the mildest of the high totals on this slate. The market sees an above-average scoring game without pricing a shootout. For it to miss, both offenses would need to trade punts for long stretches or bog down near the goal line. Being closer to the pack, it takes less to land on either side, so a single turnover returned for a score or a missed kick matters more here.

DAL: 27.6 points per game to GB's 20.8

DAL is at 27.6 points per game over 5 games; GB is at 20.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

GB: 127.6 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 168.4

DAL is at 168.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 127.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

BAL: 0.6 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.4

BAL is at 0.6 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; CLE is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 1.35 over 17 games and CLE at 1.47 over 17 games.

SEA: 2.2 takeaways per game to DEN's 1.4

SEA is at 2.2 takeaways per game over 5 games; DEN is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

TEN: 5.22 yards per play allowed to IND's 6.14

Tennessee's defense gives up 5.22 yards per play over 5 games, and Indianapolis allows 6.14 over the same span. That is a meaningful gap: the Colts are leaking bigger chunks on a snap-by-snap basis. The sheet doesn't show who either team faced, so part of it could be schedule, but five games makes the Colts' number more than noise. In this game, the Titans offense has the friendlier matchup on a per-play basis.

Brayan Rocchio: 1.068 OPS in Last 15 Days

Rocchio has a 1.068 OPS over the last 15 days, well above his .705 season mark, a 0.363 jump. That comes in just 34 at-bats, and runs that big on so few swings usually drift back toward the season number. His 15 home runs show the power has some backing. His total-bases line at Tampa Bay is 0.5, so a single hit clears it, and his chance of getting one hit matters more than the hot streak.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

Christian Gonzalez (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Christian Gonzalez as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

KC: 19.3 points allowed per game to LAC's 25.8

LAC is at 25.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; KC is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.

CHI: 73.2 offensive plays per game to ATL's 62

CHI is at 73.2 offensive plays per game over 5 games; ATL is at 62 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and ATL at 61.6 over 17 games.

Riley Moss (CB) is questionable for DEN

DEN lists Riley Moss as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

Davis is questionable for New England against the Jets, with no injury listed on the Oct 13 report. Fellow cornerback Karon Prunty carries the same tag. Two questionable corners on one roster is something to track before kickoff if you are betting on the Jets' receivers.

Cobie Durant (CB) is questionable for DAL

Durant is questionable for Dallas at Green Bay, so his status is open. The Oct 13 report does not list an injury. Check his practice participation this week before factoring the Cowboys' secondary into a pass-heavy read.

Trey Zuhn III (C) is questionable for LV

LV lists Trey Zuhn III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Landon Jackson (DE) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Landon Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Dee Alford (CB) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Dee Alford as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Rodney Shelley (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Rodney Shelley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Joe Alt (OT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Joe Alt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Donte Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Benjamin Morrison (CB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Benjamin Morrison as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Karon Prunty (CB) is questionable for NE

Prunty is questionable for New England against the Jets, with no injury listed on the Oct 13 report. Carlton Davis III is also questionable at cornerback for the Patriots. If both sit, New England's depth at the position gets thin, which is worth factoring into how you view the Jets' passing game.

Next college slate · OCT 15

BDL lists 1 covered college game on the next college slate. Its kickoff time is confirmed.

Jamel Dean (CB) is questionable for PIT

PIT lists Jamel Dean as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Will Mallory (TE) is ir-r for IND

Will Mallory (thumb) is on injured reserve with the designation to return and was ruled out against the Steelers. Nothing supplied puts him back for Tennessee, so assume Indianapolis plays without him at tight end until he is activated.

Drew Kendall (C) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Drew Kendall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

SF: 199.6 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 255

San Francisco allows 199.6 passing yards a game over 5 games, and Washington gives up 255. Passing yards against depend heavily on game script: teams that lead early see more throwing against them late. The sheet doesn't say who either faced, so the gap is a starting point, not a verdict. For this game, the Niners' pass offense has the easier lane, and Washington's yardage allowed matters most for passing props.

Za'Darius Smith (DE) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta lists edge rusher Za'Darius Smith as questionable for the Bears game, with no injury detail given. He is a veteran pass rusher, so whether he plays affects how much pressure Chicago's quarterback faces. Check his status before kickoff if you're looking at Bears passing numbers.

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is questionable for CAR

Phillips (hamstring) could return to the Panthers' lineup as early as the Week 6 game against the Eagles on Sunday, Oct. 18, Mike Kaye of ESPN.com reported Monday. Reported Oct 5.

Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is questionable for NYG

Eluemunor is listed as questionable for the Giants against the Saints, with no injury detail or practice participation on the sheet. Questionable means his status for this one is uncertain. With an offensive tackle, a missed game can mean a backup handling pass protection on that side, so his final status is worth checking before kickoff if you're looking at Giants passing numbers.

Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Channing Canada as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

SEA: 5.5 yards per play to DEN's 4.62

Seattle gains almost a yard more per play than Denver, and in its last game Sam Darnold hit Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 38 and 35 yards while Denver managed one 20-yard play, a 34-yarder from Bo Nix to Evan Engram. Both teams are below last season, Seattle at 5.98 and Denver at 5.32. Denver's offense lacks the big play right now, so it has to string together long drives against a Seattle team that can score in a few snaps.

DEN: 53.3% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 75%

SEA is at 75% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; DEN is at 53.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

BAL: 21.6 first downs per game to CLE's 16.2

BAL is at 21.6 first downs per game over 5 games; CLE is at 16.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 18.5 over 17 games and CLE at 15.8 over 17 games.

Nick Bosa (DE) is questionable for SF

SF lists Nick Bosa as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Charles Omenihu (DE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Charles Omenihu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Jacob Monk (C) is questionable for GB

GB lists Jacob Monk as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Joey Porter Jr. (CB) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Joey Porter Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Drew Shelton (OT) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Drew Shelton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

CAR: 4.25 red-zone trips per game to PHI's 2.8

CAR is at 4.25 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; PHI is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 2.65 over 17 games and PHI at 2.59 over 17 games.

SEA: 150.8 passing yards allowed per game to DEN's 202.2

SEA is at 150.8 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; DEN is at 202.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

SF: 4.7 yards per play allowed to WSH's 5.54

The Niners allow 4.7 yards per play over 5 games, and Washington gives up 5.54. Per play is less bent by game script than total yards, which makes this the cleaner read on how good each unit is. The sheet doesn't show opponents, so schedule could account for some of it, but five games gives the Niners' number some weight. In this game, San Francisco's offense faces the more forgiving defense snap for snap.

BUF: 32.8 points per game to LV's 26.4

BUF is at 32.8 points per game over 5 games; LV is at 26.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 28.3 over 17 games and LV at 14.2 over 17 games.

DEN: 5.6 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 16.2

SEA is at 16.2 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; DEN is at 5.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 14.3 over 17 games and DEN at 9.5 over 17 games.

NO: 81.3% red-zone scoring rate to NYG's 64.3%

NO is at 81.3% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NYG is at 64.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NO was at 44.4% over 17 games and NYG at 47.5% over 17 games.

SEA: 6.9 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 5.46

SEA is at 6.9 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; DEN is at 5.46 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 8.01 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.

HOU: 261.8 team passing yards per game to JAX's 220.6

HOU is at 261.8 team passing yards per game over 5 games; JAX is at 220.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season HOU was at 218.1 over 17 games and JAX at 222.3 over 17 games.

NO: 240.2 team passing yards per game to NYG's 199.2

NO is at 240.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; NYG is at 199.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NO was at 219.3 over 17 games and NYG at 204.4 over 17 games.

PIT: 60% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 28.6%

Pittsburgh converts fourth downs at a 60% clip while Tampa Bay is at 28.6%. Fourth-down tries are rare, so five games is a tiny pile of attempts, and both teams were closer last season at 52.2% and 44.8%. Tampa's number is the likeliest to rise, so do not lean on it heavily when judging how a late fourth-down call might go.

BUF: 50% third-down conversion rate to LV's 39.4%

BUF is at 50% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; LV is at 39.4% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LV at 33.8% over 17 games.

BUF: 8.2 yards per pass attempt to LV's 6.7

BUF is at 8.2 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; LV is at 6.7 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LV at 4.94 over 17 games.

BAL has won 3 straight

Baltimore is 4-1 with three straight wins. That loss came early and they have won every game since. They go to Cleveland, a division road game, which tends to be closer than records suggest. The streak says the team is playing well right now; the road division setting is the reason to be careful about how many points they are asked to cover.

NO has lost 3 straight

New Orleans is 1-4 and has dropped three in a row. The sheet does not show who those losses came against. A trip to the Giants is a road game for a team that has not won lately, and a bettor can look at how close those three losses were before deciding how much the slide matters for this spot.

PHI has lost 3 straight

PHI carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 2-3 on the season. They face CAR in CAR @ PHI. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-12.

JAX has won 3 straight

Jacksonville is 4-1 and has won three straight since its only loss. The sheet does not say who those wins came against, so it is unclear how strong the competition was. Hosting Houston, a division rival, they come in with a run of form behind them, and a bettor can check whether the line already gives them full credit for it.

PHI: 118 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 156.5

Philadelphia allows 118 rushing yards a game over 5 games, and Carolina gives up 156.5 over 4. Run defense numbers inflate when a team trails and opponents grind clock, so Carolina's figure may partly reflect script. Four games is a small base for the Panthers. In this game, the Eagles' run game has the softer matchup, which matters for rushing props and how long Philadelphia can control the clock with a lead.

Ryan Vilade: .411 OPS in Last 15 Days

Vilade has a .411 OPS over the last 15 days, so very little of his contact is turning into hits or extra bases. That is only 30 at-bats against a .750 season mark, a 0.339 drop. Thirty at-bats says more about recent timing than about the hitter he is. In this game, use the .750 season number as his baseline.

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Mike Hall Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Raheim Sanders (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Sanders (hip) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

The Packers aren't planning on opening Parsons' (knee) 21-day practice window this week ahead of Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 12.

DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists DeMarvion Overshown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Ed Oliver (DT) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Ed Oliver as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Tyquan Thornton (WR) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Thornton (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Derwin James Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

DEN: 1.2 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.2

SEA is at 2.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; DEN is at 1.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 2.08 over 17 games and DEN at 1.77 over 17 games.

NE: 2.2 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3.2

NYJ is at 3.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; NE is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and NE at 3 over 17 games.

LAR: 1.4 sacks taken per game to ARI's 2.4

ARI is at 2.4 sacks taken per game over 5 games; LAR is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season ARI was at 3.69 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.

CAR (2-2) at PHI (2-3)

Philadelphia has lost three straight and is -20 on points, so the 2-3 record reflects a team in a real slide. Carolina is 2-2 at +12 and 1-1 on the road, the better team by margin. Neither side has a home or road split that tells you anything, both sitting at 1-1. The recent form and the margins favor Carolina, which is the angle that the Eagles' name can hide.

NO (1-4) at NYG (3-1-1)

The Giants are 3-1-1 and 3-0 at home, but only +3 on points, so the record runs well ahead of how much they have actually outscored people. New Orleans has lost three straight at -33 and is 1-1 on the road. The Giants' home results are real, and their thin margin suggests the record flatters them some. Expect a closer game than a 3-1-1 against 1-4 matchup might imply.

CHI (3-2) at ATL (2-3)

Chicago is 3-2 at +23, a team winning by real margins, and 1-1 on the road. Atlanta is 2-3 at -3, close to even, but 0-2 at home, which is the split that stands out here. Two home games is a small sample, so it may not mean much yet. The Bears have the stronger overall profile, and the Falcons have yet to show any home lift.

DAL has 3 more days of rest

Dallas travels, but it has 5 days to prepare against Green Bay's 2, so the home team is the one squeezed. Short prep tends to show up as a vanilla game plan and slower adjustments. The 3-day gap partly offsets home field for Green Bay, so the usual home bump may be worth less here.

TB has 3 more days of rest

Both teams are on short weeks, but Pittsburgh has it worse: 2 days against Tampa Bay's 5, and Pittsburgh is traveling. Tampa Bay at least gets a normal walkthrough cycle. A 3-day gap is real but smaller than a bye edge, so weigh it as a nudge toward the home side rather than a big swing.

Joshua Williams (CB) is ir-r for TEN

Williams is on injured reserve with a pectoral injury and was downgraded to out for the Texans game on Oct 10. Nothing on the report points to a return against Indianapolis. Safety Amani Hooker is also questionable for Tennessee, so the Titans' secondary could be short-handed in this game.

Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI

Arizona lists safety Andrew Wingard as questionable for the game against the Rams, with no injury detail given. The report gives little to go on, so his final status later in the week is what will matter for Arizona's depth at safety.

SirVocea Dennis (LB) is questionable for TB

TB lists SirVocea Dennis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Pittman (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

Marcus Epps (S) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Marcus Epps as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jonathan Greenard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

PIT: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to TB's 1.2

Pittsburgh is getting 2.2 sacks a game over 5 games, while Tampa Bay sits at 1.2. The sheet doesn't say whose quarterbacks either defense has faced, so the gap could shrink against a different slate. Over five games it is still a real difference in pressure. In this game, the Steelers rush has the better chance to disrupt, which matters most on third and long and in quarterback props.

SEA (3-2) at DEN (3-2)

Both teams are 3-2, but Seattle is +29 on points and Denver is -14, so the matching records hide a real gap in how they have played. Denver's case is its 2-0 home mark, while Seattle is 1-1 on the road. The Broncos' record likely flatters them, and that kind of margin tends to catch up. A bettor can weigh Seattle's margin against Denver's home split rather than treating this as two even teams.

Amani Hooker (S) is questionable for TEN

Hooker is questionable for Tennessee at Indianapolis, with no injury listed on the Oct 13 report. Cornerback Joshua Williams is on injured reserve, so a Hooker absence would leave the Titans' secondary thinner. That matters if you are looking at Colts passing numbers.

Pat Surtain II

Ankle · Did not practice

Drake Thomas

Ankle · Did not practice

Talanoa Hufanga

Ankle · Did not practice

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Did not practice

Jaylon Carlies (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Jaylon Carlies as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Kiko Mauigoa as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel said Monday that Brown (ankle) has "a chance" to return to practice this week, Mark Daniels of MassLive.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Hollins (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 10.

BUF: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to LV's 55.6%

BUF is at 71.4% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; LV is at 55.6% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LV at 50% over 17 games.

Taylor Moton (OT) is nfi-r for CAR

The Panthers activated Moton (illness) off the reserve/non-football illness list Tuesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 14.

Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Leonard Williams (DT) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Leonard Williams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

SEA: 222 team passing yards per game to DEN's 182.8

SEA is at 222 team passing yards per game over 5 games; DEN is at 182.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 228.1 over 17 games and DEN at 223.9 over 17 games.

Pat Bryant (WR) is on injured reserve for DEN

Bryant (ankle) was placed on the Broncos' injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 9.

Anfernee Jennings (LB) is questionable for NO

Jennings is questionable for New Orleans against the Giants, with no injury listed on the Oct 13 report. Fellow linebacker Kaden Elliss is also questionable. If both miss, the Saints' linebacker group gets thin fast.

Braden Smith (OT) is ir-r for HOU

Braden Smith (foot) was downgraded to out for Houston's game against the Titans and is on injured reserve with the designation to return. A downgrade late in the week shows the foot did not improve as hoped. Nothing supplied clears him for Jacksonville, so expect Houston to play a backup at tackle, which matters for anything tied to their passing game.

Eric Murray (S) is questionable for JAX

Murray is questionable for Jacksonville against Houston, with no injury listed on the Oct 13 report. His availability is unsettled until later practice reports come out.

Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

Kyler Gordon (calf) is on the PUP list with the designation to return and was ruled out against the Packers. That means he is working back from a longer absence, and nothing supplied clears him for Atlanta. Assume Chicago plays without him at cornerback until he is activated.

Keyshaun Elliott (LB) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Keyshaun Elliott as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Montez Sweat (DE) is reserve-sus for CHI

The NFL announced Tuesday that Sweat has been suspended two games without pay for violating the league's performance-enhancing substances policy, Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune reports. Reported Oct 13.

Ja'Kobi Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for BAL

Head coach Jesse Minter said Monday that the Ravens could designate Lane (wrist) to return from injured reserve as soon as Wednesday, Jonas Shaffer of the Baltimore Banner reports. Reported Oct 12.

Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Trey Hendrickson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Dylan Sampson (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

Head coach Todd Monken said Monday that there is a "possibility" that the Browns open the 21-day practice window for Sampson (knee) this week, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

Mason Graham (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Mason Graham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

CHI: 19.2 points allowed a game to ATL's 24.4

Chicago is allowing 19.2 points a game through five games, a big step from 24.4 last season. Atlanta sits at 24.4, close to its 23.6 from last year, so its defense looks like the same group. Chicago's improvement is the number more likely to move over a full season, but right now Atlanta's offense faces the tougher defense in its own building.

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Berrios (foot) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Jason Pinnock (S) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Jason Pinnock as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Vernon Broughton (DT) is questionable for NO

NO lists Vernon Broughton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Nathan Shepherd (DT) is questionable for NO

NO lists Nathan Shepherd as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Kaden Elliss (LB) is questionable for NO

Elliss is questionable for New Orleans at the Giants, with no injury listed on the Oct 13 report. Anfernee Jennings carries the same tag at linebacker. Watch both through the week, since losing two linebackers could change how the Saints hold up against the run.

Percy Butler (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Percy Butler as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Nick Cross (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Nick Cross as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Tyler Owens (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Tyler Owens as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Trey Amos (CB) is ir-r for WSH

Amos (ankle) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Giants. Reported Oct 11.

Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Brooks (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

IND: 64.4 offensive plays per game to TEN's 54.6

TEN is at 54.6 offensive plays per game over 5 games; IND is at 64.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and IND at 59.9 over 17 games.

WSH (1-3-1) at SF (5-0)

San Francisco is 5-0, 3-0 at home and +61 on points, so the unbeaten start comes with wide separation. Washington is 1-3-1 at -34 and 0-2 on the road, without a win away from home. Both records line up with their margins. The question for a bettor is less who wins and more how much of a gap these numbers justify.

NYJ: 4.5 yards per play allowed to NE's 5.26

The Jets allow 4.5 yards per play over 5 games, and New England gives up 5.26. Yards per play strips out pace and game script, so this is a fair read on which defense is tougher snap for snap. The opponents behind those numbers aren't on the sheet, so some of it may be schedule. In this game, the Jets defense is the steadier unit, which points toward the Patriots offense needing longer drives to score.

LAR: 32.8% third downs allowed to ARI's 42.1%

The Rams let opponents convert 32.8% of third downs over 5 games, while Arizona allows 42.1%. Third-down rates bounce around week to week, but five games gives this gap some footing. The sheet doesn't show who either faced. In this game, Arizona drives are more likely to stall, and the Rams offense should extend more possessions, which shapes how you think about time of possession and totals.

TEN: 21.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.6

TEN is at 21.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; IND is at 27.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season TEN was at 28.1 over 17 games and IND at 24.2 over 17 games.

GB: 181 passing yards allowed per game to DAL's 227

DAL is at 227 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 181 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

Jeremiah Wright (G) is questionable for NO

NO lists Jeremiah Wright as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Dylan Parham (G) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Dylan Parham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

BUF: 108.2 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 140.6

Buffalo allows 108.2 rushing yards a game over 5 games, while Las Vegas gives up 140.6. Teams that trail tend to see opponents run the clock out on them, so the Raiders' figure may carry some script. Five games makes the gap more than noise. In this game, the Bills ground game has the softer matchup, which matters for rushing props and how Buffalo closes out a lead.

Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Teven Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

Davis (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Kelsey Russo of the Browns' official site reports. Reported Oct 10.

Andrew Vorhees (G) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Andrew Vorhees as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

LV: 236.4 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 280.4

Las Vegas allows 236.4 passing yards a game over 5 games, and Buffalo gives up 280.4. Pass yards allowed rise when a team leads and opponents throw to catch up, so Buffalo's number may partly reflect game script. The sheet doesn't say who they faced. In this game, the Raiders passing attack has the more forgiving matchup on paper, which is most useful for passing yardage props.

Dre Greenlaw (LB) is reserve-sus for SF

Greenlaw's appeal of a one-game suspension was denied by the NFL on Tuesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 14.

Kyle Juszczyk (FB) is questionable for SF

SF lists Kyle Juszczyk as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT

Elliott (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Colts, Mark Kaboly of 93.7 The Fan Pittsburgh reports. Reported Oct 9.

Tershawn Wharton (DT) is pup-r for CAR

The Panthers designated Wharton (neck) to return from reserve/PUP list Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

CAR: 67 offensive plays per game to PHI's 57.8

CAR is at 67 offensive plays per game over 4 games; PHI is at 57.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 59.5 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.

PIT: 1.2 turnovers committed per game to TB's 1.8

PIT is at 1.2 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; TB is at 1.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season PIT was at 0.88 over 17 games and TB at 0.94 over 17 games.

ATL: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to CHI's 1

CHI is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; ATL is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 0.24 over 17 games and ATL at 0.59 over 17 games.

WSH: 1.4 fourth-down attempts per game to SF's 0.4

WSH is at 1.4 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; SF is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 1.53 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.

BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LV's 50%

BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; LV is at 50% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LV at 40.6% over 17 games.

LAR: 116.8 rushing yards per game to ARI's 91.6

ARI is at 91.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; LAR is at 116.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season ARI was at 93.1 over 17 games and LAR at 126.6 over 17 games.

NYG: 1.6 takeaways per game to NO's 1

The Giants are forcing 1.6 takeaways a game over 5 games, while New Orleans is at 1. Turnovers are streaky and depend heavily on the other side's mistakes, so this number is likely to drift over the season. In this game, the Giants have the more opportunistic defense to date, which nudges turnover-related props, but it is a light signal to lean on.

JAX: 1.6 takeaways per game to HOU's 1

Jacksonville is forcing 1.6 takeaways a game over 5 games, and Houston sits at 1. Takeaways swing on bounces and the opponents' ball security, so they are among the least stable defensive numbers, and five games won't settle that. In this game, the Jaguars have the more opportunistic defense so far, but a bettor should lean on it lightly rather than expect the turnover gap to repeat.

DEN: 1.2 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 1.8

SEA is at 1.8 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; DEN is at 1.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 1.65 over 17 games and DEN at 1 over 17 games.

BAL: 32:03 time of possession per game to CLE's 28:36

BAL is at 32:03 time of possession per game over 5 games; CLE is at 28:36 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 29:11 over 17 games and CLE at 29:18 over 17 games.

BAL: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 1

BAL is at 0.4 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; CLE is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and CLE at 0.41 over 17 games.

TB: 3.4 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 2.2

PIT is at 2.2 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; TB is at 3.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season PIT was at 3 over 17 games and TB at 2.94 over 17 games.

TB: 72.8 rushing yards allowed per game to PIT's 103.4

Tampa Bay holds opponents to 72.8 rushing yards a game over 5 games, and Pittsburgh allows 103.4. Low rush totals can partly come from opponents abandoning the run while trailing, and the sheet doesn't show who either faced. Five games still makes the Bucs' number worth respecting. In this game, the Steelers will have a harder time leaning on the ground, which matters for rushing props and how Pittsburgh builds drives.

GB: 44.3% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.6%

DAL is at 52.6% third downs allowed over 5 games; GB is at 44.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

WSH: 0.4 turnovers committed per game to SF's 1

WSH is at 0.4 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; SF is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 1.35 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.

CHI: 19.2 points allowed per game to ATL's 24.4

CHI is at 19.2 points allowed per game over 5 games; ATL is at 24.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and ATL at 23.6 over 17 games.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 5 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 896 passing yards, completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 5.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Josh Simmons (OT) is questionable for KC

KC lists Josh Simmons as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Terrance Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve. Players coming off injured reserve often see limited snaps in their first game back. Until he is activated, assume the Rams play without him against Arizona.

Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Smythe (Achilles) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ryan Mink of the Ravens' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

PHI: 22.4 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.3

CAR is at 27.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; PHI is at 22.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and PHI at 19.1 over 17 games.

GB: 22.4 points allowed per game to DAL's 27.2

DAL is at 27.2 points allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 22.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season DAL was at 30.1 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

JAX: 2 sacks taken per game to HOU's 2.8

HOU is at 2.8 sacks taken per game over 5 games; JAX is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season HOU was at 2.58 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.

NYG: 11.8 sack yards lost per game to NO's 19.6

NO is at 19.6 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; NYG is at 11.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NO was at 18.7 over 17 games and NYG at 13.5 over 17 games.

DAL: 1.2 sacks taken per game to GB's 2

DAL is at 1.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; GB is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season DAL was at 2.38 over 17 games and GB at 2.07 over 17 games.

CAR: 2 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.2

CAR is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; PHI is at 1.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 4 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 755 passing yards, completed 64.3% of his passes and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 5 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 942 passing yards, completed 59.9% of his passes and averaged 5.82 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 5 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1402 passing yards, completed 64.3% of his passes and averaged 7.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 5 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1174 passing yards, completed 67.1% of his passes and averaged 8.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 3 games in 2026, Tyson Bagent threw for 409 passing yards, completed 65.6% of his passes and averaged 6.39 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 2 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 264 passing yards, completed 78% of his passes and averaged 6.44 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 5 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1010 passing yards, completed 64.2% of his passes and averaged 6.82 yards per attempt. His 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 5 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1021 passing yards, completed 61.4% of his passes and averaged 5.8 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 5 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1084 passing yards, completed 69.4% of his passes and averaged 7.37 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 5 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1228 passing yards, completed 65.6% of his passes and averaged 8.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 5 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1299 passing yards, completed 66.8% of his passes and averaged 6.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 4 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 805 passing yards, completed 57.6% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 4 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1268 passing yards, completed 62.3% of his passes and averaged 7.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 5 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 933 passing yards, completed 57.8% of his passes and averaged 6.06 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 5 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1234 passing yards, completed 59.8% of his passes and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 3 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 337 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.13 yards per attempt. His 2-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 5 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1110 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 5.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 5 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1572 passing yards, completed 64.4% of his passes and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 5 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 937 passing yards, completed 59.4% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 4 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1037 passing yards, completed 64.1% of his passes and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 5 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1249 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 9.05 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 5 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1269 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 7.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 5 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1381 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 5 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1408 passing yards, completed 60.5% of his passes and averaged 7.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 3 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 459 passing yards, completed 60.5% of his passes and averaged 6.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 5 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1196 passing yards, completed 69% of his passes and averaged 8.42 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Freddy Peralta's ERA drops to 1.69 at Tropicana Field (4 games there)

In four outings at Tropicana Field, Peralta has a 1.69 ERA and has held hitters to a .116 average over 21.1 innings. Everywhere else he has a 4.81 ERA across 147.2 innings, a much bigger sample. Four games can be carried by a few nights of soft contact, so expect that home number to drift up. Give the park a little credit against Cleveland, but price him off his full body of work.

P 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 K

CLE: 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 58.8%

BAL is at 58.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; CLE is at 42.9% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

IND: 30.5% third downs allowed to TEN's 38.5%

Indiana's defense gets off the field on about 30.5% of third downs, while Tennessee's lets opponents convert 38.5%, both over 5 games. Five games is a real sample, but the sheet does not say who those offences were, so some of Indy's edge could be schedule. For this game, the gap points to Indianapolis getting more short drives and extra possessions at home, which matters for drive-based props and the pace of the total.

BAL: 38.5% third-down conversion rate to CLE's 30.6%

BAL is at 38.5% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; CLE is at 30.6% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 40.9% over 17 games and CLE at 33.6% over 17 games.

BUF (4-1) at LV (3-2)

Buffalo is 4-1 at +23 and 2-0 on the road, so it has traveled well. Las Vegas is 3-2 but only +3 and has lost two straight, which suggests its record is a bit ahead of its play. The Raiders are 1-1 at home, no real edge there. The momentum and margin both sit with Buffalo heading in.

DAL: 3.72 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.92

DAL is at 3.72 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; GB is at 2.92 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season DAL was at 4.59 over 17 games and GB at 4.21 over 17 games.

HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to JAX's 0.6

HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; JAX is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and JAX at 0.71 over 17 games.

LAR: 4.5 yards per rush attempt to ARI's 3.74

ARI is at 3.74 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; LAR is at 4.5 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season ARI was at 4.25 over 17 games and LAR at 4.69 over 17 games.

JAX: 4.08 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.34

HOU is at 3.34 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; JAX is at 4.08 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and JAX at 3.98 over 17 games.

NO: 42.8 penalty yards per game to NYG's 60.2

NO is at 42.8 penalty yards per game over 5 games; NYG is at 60.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NO was at 54.1 over 17 games and NYG at 63.2 over 17 games.

CHI: 23.6 first downs per game to ATL's 19.8

CHI is at 23.6 first downs per game over 5 games; ATL is at 19.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and ATL at 19.4 over 17 games.

NE: 90.8 rushing yards allowed per game to NYJ's 118

New England allows 90.8 rushing yards a game over 5 games, and the Jets allow 118 over the same stretch. The sheet does not show the run offences each faced or how often teams were trailing and throwing, so part of the Patriots' number could be game script. Five games is enough to take the gap seriously. If the Jets want to lean on the run in Foxborough, this is the matchup that pushes back, which is the lens for Jets rushing props.

BUF: 5.52 yards per play allowed to LV's 6.1

BUF is at 5.52 yards per play allowed over 5 games; LV is at 6.1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

TEN: 217.8 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 254

Tennessee allows 217.8 passing yards a game over 5 games, and Indianapolis allows 254. Passing yards allowed also depend on how often opponents threw, and a defense that gets run on or plays with a lead sees fewer attempts, so this number may flatter Tennessee. Indy's 254 says the Titans' passing game has room in this one, which is the side to weigh when looking at Tennessee passing props.

BUF: 24 first downs per game to LV's 20.6

BUF is at 24 first downs per game over 5 games; LV is at 20.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 22 over 17 games and LV at 15.1 over 17 games.

NE: 57.1% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 46.2%

NYJ is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NE is at 57.1% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and NE at 57.1% over 17 games.

Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Lane (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.

Rashawn Slater (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Slater (ankle) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 10.

Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

Tank Bigsby (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Bigsby (abdomen) on injured reserve Tuesday, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 6.

Xavier Legette (WR) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Legette (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 3.

KC: 92.8 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 118.6

Kansas City allows 92.8 rushing yards a game over 4 games, and the Chargers allow 118.6 over 5. Kansas City's number comes from one fewer game, so it is a slightly thinner read. Teams trailing the Chiefs also tend to throw more, which can keep rushing totals down. For this game, the Chargers may find it harder to run in Kansas City than the Chiefs will against them, which is the angle for rushing props on both sides.

WSH: 64 offensive plays per game to SF's 56.8

WSH is at 64 offensive plays per game over 5 games; SF is at 56.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 58.2 over 17 games and SF at 63.6 over 17 games.

CHI: 35:12 time of possession per game to ATL's 32:26

CHI is at 35:12 time of possession per game over 5 games; ATL is at 32:26 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 30:59 over 17 games and ATL at 30:00 over 17 games.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Price (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 3.

Julian Neal (CB) is on injured reserve for SEA

The Seahawks placed Neal (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Arden Key (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Key (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Brooks went on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, a move reported Oct 3, so he will not play against Jacksonville. Injured reserve keeps him off the field for multiple weeks. The sheet does not name who takes his carries, so check the Houston depth chart before betting any running back props in this game.

Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ

McGregor (pectoral) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 1.

Chauncey Golston (DE) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Golston (neck) on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Ikem Ekwonu (OT) is pup-r for CAR

Coach Dave Canales said Monday that Ekwonu (knee) is still a considerable time away from returning to action, Mike Kaye of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 6.

DAL: 81.6 rushing yards per game to GB's 60.4

DAL is at 81.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; GB is at 60.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season DAL was at 125.6 over 17 games and GB at 119.8 over 17 games.

CHI: 215.4 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 248.4

Chicago allows 215.4 passing yards a game over 5 games, and Atlanta allows 248.4. The sheet does not show which quarterbacks each faced, so some of Chicago's edge could be opponent quality or teams running more against them. Atlanta's 248.4 suggests the Bears' passing game gets the friendlier matchup on the road, which is the spot to look at for Chicago passing props.

SF: 2.8 sack yards lost per game to WSH's 9.2

WSH is at 9.2 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; SF is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 12.5 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.

TB: 17 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 23.4

PIT is at 23.4 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; TB is at 17 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and TB at 15.9 over 17 games.

ATL: 5.84 yards per play to CHI's 5.32

Atlanta gains about half a yard more per play than Chicago, and its last game had six plays of 20 or more yards, led by a 38-yard Bijan Robinson run. Chicago had two such plays behind Case Keenum and has slipped from 5.71 last season, while Atlanta is up from 5.38. Atlanta's big-play balance between Robinson and Michael Penix Jr. at home is the edge, and Chicago needs long drives to answer.

WSH: 31:14 time of possession per game to SF's 28:36

WSH is at 31:14 time of possession per game over 5 games; SF is at 28:36 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 28:41 over 17 games and SF at 30:54 over 17 games.

CHI: 53.3% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 33.3%

CHI is at 53.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; ATL is at 33.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 51.7% over 17 games and ATL at 50% over 17 games.

HOU: 234 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 266.2

HOU is at 234 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; JAX is at 266.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

LAC: 193 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 225

The Chargers allow 193 passing yards a game over 5 games, and the Chiefs allow 225 over 4. The 193 is the stingier mark, though passing yards allowed also track how often opponents chose to throw. This one is on Kansas City's turf, so if Chiefs passing props are priced off their usual output, the Chargers' coverage is the part of the matchup that can pull them down.

Damien Lewis (G) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Damien Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Alaric Jackson (OT) is reserve-sus for LAR

Jackson is a Rams offensive tackle, and reserve-suspended means he is out for this game against Arizona, with no decision left to make. Another lineman fills his spot at tackle, and that player has to hold up in pass protection. Since the absence is already known, any effect on the line should already be in the price, so the useful question is whether the backup can handle the Cardinals' edge rushers.

Nick Martin (LB) is on injured reserve for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Martin's (hamstring) status will be evaluated "in these next couple of days," Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 13.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Ankle · Limited practice

IND: 100.8 rushing yards per game to TEN's 82.6

TEN is at 82.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; IND is at 100.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season TEN was at 93.5 over 17 games and IND at 118.1 over 17 games.

Drew Lock

Forearm · Limited practice

Zach Charbonnet

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Abdullah (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Cody Ponce

Ponce is on Toronto’s 60-day IL with a knee injury and a 3.86 ERA. His listed return date is October 15, two days away, but I’m not treating that listing as a promise. Stash only if you have a spare IL slot and your season extends beyond October 15. I wouldn’t tie up an active roster spot on the listed date alone.

NYJ: 175 passing yards allowed per game to NE's 205.4

NYJ is at 175 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NE is at 205.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

BAL: 16.4 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 22.6

BAL is at 16.4 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; CLE is at 22.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BAL was at 17.2 over 17 games and CLE at 20.3 over 17 games.

ARI: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.6

ARI is at 2.2 sacks recorded per game over 5 games; LAR is at 1.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

Leonard Williams

Ankle · Limited practice

CHI: 219.2 team passing yards per game to ATL's 195

CHI is at 219.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; ATL is at 195 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CHI was at 225.1 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

LAC: 31.3% third downs allowed to KC's 37%

LAC is at 31.3% third downs allowed over 5 games; KC is at 37% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

LAR: 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 76.5%

ARI is at 76.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; LAR is at 64.7% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

Cam Jackson (DT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Jackson (shoulder) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 14.

LV: 65 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59

BUF is at 59 offensive plays per game over 5 games; LV is at 65 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LV at 55.8 over 17 games.

Riley Moss

Ribs · Limited practice

NYG: 127.6 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 148.8

The Giants allow 127.6 rushing yards a game over 5 games, and the Saints allow 148.8, so both run defenses give up plenty. Without the opponent list, it is hard to say how much each was hurt by schedule or by trailing late. With both units soft, the run game on both sides has room in New York, which is the frame for rushing props and a game that could lean on the ground.

CAR: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to PHI's 3.78

CAR is at 4.4 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; PHI is at 3.78 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 4.16 over 17 games and PHI at 4.14 over 17 games.

WSH: 0.2 fumbles lost per game to SF's 0.6

WSH is at 0.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; SF is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season WSH was at 0.65 over 17 games and SF at 0.35 over 17 games.

NE: 22 points per game to NYJ's 18.6

NYJ is at 18.6 points per game over 5 games; NE is at 22 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NYJ was at 17.6 over 17 games and NE at 28.8 over 17 games.

CHI: 1.2 takeaways per game to ATL's 0.8

CHI is at 1.2 takeaways per game over 5 games; ATL is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

ARI: 1.4 takeaways per game to LAR's 1

ARI is at 1.4 takeaways per game over 5 games; LAR is at 1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

DAL: 70% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 81.3%

DAL is at 70% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; GB is at 81.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

HOU: 5.06 yards per play allowed to JAX's 5.52

HOU is at 5.06 yards per play allowed over 5 games; JAX is at 5.52 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

HOU: 3.6 red-zone trips per game to JAX's 2.8

HOU is at 3.6 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; JAX is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season HOU was at 3.18 over 17 games and JAX at 4 over 17 games.

PIT: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to TB's 0.8

PIT is at 0.4 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; TB is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season PIT was at 0.35 over 17 games and TB at 0.29 over 17 games.

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Gilliam (ankle/knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 11.

DEN: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1

SEA is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; DEN is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 0.88 over 17 games and DEN at 0.65 over 17 games.

NYJ: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NE's 60%

NYJ is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; NE is at 60% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 12.

CAR: 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 22.2%

CAR is at 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; PHI is at 22.2% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season CAR was at 67.5% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

SEA: 1.2 fourth-down attempts per game to DEN's 0.6

SEA is at 1.2 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; DEN is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season SEA was at 0.71 over 17 games and DEN at 1.18 over 17 games.

Trevor Penning (G) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Penning (concussion) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 11.

Hunter Long (TE) is on injured reserve for ARI

Arizona placed Hunter Long (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, so he is unavailable for the Rams game. The tight end snaps he would have taken go to other players on the roster.

NE: 63.8 offensive plays per game to NYJ's 58.8

NYJ is at 58.8 offensive plays per game over 5 games; NE is at 63.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 12. Last season NYJ was at 59.4 over 17 games and NE at 61.4 over 17 games.

Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days

DeLuca has an .857 OPS over his last 42 at-bats, up from .728 for the season, a 0.129 jump. Forty-two at-bats is a couple of weeks of swings, so the gain can fade as fast as it came. His 11 home runs this season make the added power easier to believe. His total-bases line against Cleveland is 0.5, so the bet comes down to whether he gets one hit, and his recent form points toward yes.

P 2-for-4, 2 TB

PIT (3-2) at TB (1-4)

Pittsburgh is 3-2 but only +2 on points and 0-2 on the road, so its record looks better than its margin. Tampa Bay is 1-4 at -12 and 0-3 at home, which is an unusual split for a host. Both teams won last week, so neither carries much of a streak. With the visitor winless on the road and the host winless at home, the splits cancel and this looks closer than the records.

Isaiah Adams (G) is on injured reserve for ARI

Adams is on injured reserve with an ankle injury after Arizona placed him there Saturday, reported Oct 11, so he will miss the Rams game. Arizona has already lost Paris Johnson Jr. to injured reserve, so this is a second missing lineman on that front. A thinner Cardinals line is a fair reason to look closely at the Rams pass rush in this game.

Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL

Baltimore placed Pocic (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

Jaycee Horn (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Horn (quadriceps) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Johnson (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

LAR is on a short week

Both sides are on very short rest, and the Rams have it slightly tighter: 1 day against Arizona's 2, though the Rams stay home. With a one-day difference and no travel for the Rams, the calendar is close to a wash. Expect both teams to run simplified plans.

BUF is on a short week

Buffalo travels to Las Vegas on 1 day of rest, while the Raiders have 2. Both are squeezed, and Buffalo also carries the road trip, so the fatigue lands a bit heavier on the visitors. The edge is small, but it tilts toward the home side late in the game.

Jaylin Smith (CB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Smith (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Texans on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

Mike Jackson (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Head coach Dave Canales said Wednesday that Jackson (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery and will be sidelined about eight weeks, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.

DAL (2-3) at GB (3-2)

Dallas is 2-3 but +2 on points, so its record undersells it a little. Green Bay is 3-2 at -8, which means its record runs ahead of its margin, though it has won two straight. Both teams are 1-1 in this game's home and road setting, so the splits add nothing. The margins point to a more even game than the records show.

Caleb Ransaw (S) is on injured reserve for JAX

The Jaguars placed Ransaw (knee) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB

Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.

Anton Harrison (OT) is on injured reserve for JAX

JAX lists Anton Harrison as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 14.

Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Harmon (foot) on injured reserve Monday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 5.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

LAR lists Myles Garrett as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 14.

Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Bullard (calf) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.

Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

NE lead the series with NYJ since 2025

New England swept the Jets last season, and both wins were comfortable. The Patriots won 27-14 at home in November, then 42-10 on the road in December. The Jets scored 14 and 10 in those games. Two lopsided results suggest a real gap, and this one is back in New England. The bettor's question is whether the Jets' offense has improved enough since last season to keep it within a number.

LAR lead the series with ARI since 2025

LAR has taken 2 of the last 2. Jan 4, 2026: ARI 20 at LAR 37. Dec 7, 2025: LAR 45 at ARI 17.

LAC lead the series with KC since 2025

The Chargers won both meetings last season, and both were close. They beat Kansas City 27-21 at home in September and 16-13 at Arrowhead in December. The sweep looks dominant on paper, but each game came down to one score. This one is in Kansas City, where the last meeting was a low-scoring three-point game, so expect a tight contest more than a repeat of a sweep.

WSH is on a short week

Washington and San Francisco both come in on 2 days of rest, so the calendar is even on rest. Washington has a cross-country trip on a short week, which makes the travel heavier than in most short-week matchups.

NO is on a short week

New Orleans and the Giants both come in on 2 days of rest, so neither side has a rest edge. New Orleans has the road trip, the one schedule factor that leans toward the Giants.

NYJ is on a short week

The Jets and New England are both on 2 days of rest, so rest doesn't separate them. The Jets carry the travel, which is the only schedule edge in play.

TEN is on a short week

Tennessee and Indianapolis both come in on 2 days of rest, so the calendar is even. Tennessee travels, the one small tilt toward the home side.

BAL is on a short week

Baltimore and Cleveland both come in on 2 days of rest, so neither side has a rest advantage. Baltimore travels, which is the only schedule difference to factor in.

CHI is on a short week

Chicago and Atlanta are both on 2 days of rest, so the calendar is neutral. Chicago has the trip on top of the short week, which is the only tilt here.

HOU is on a short week

Houston and Jacksonville both come in on 2 days of rest, so rest is even. The only schedule difference is that Houston travels. Expect both to lean on a trimmed-down game plan.

SEA is on a short week

Seattle and Denver both come in on 2 days of rest, so the calendar gives neither side an edge. Seattle still carries the travel. Both teams will likely run simpler plans than usual.

HOU and JAX are even since 2025

Each team held serve at home last season. Jacksonville won the September meeting 17-10, and Houston took the rematch 36-29 in November. The first game was a grind and the second turned into a shootout, so two games tell you little about style. With this one in Jacksonville, the home side's edge is the only pattern the series has shown, and it rests on just two results.

BAL lead the series with CLE since 2025

Baltimore won both meetings last season, and the first was a rout: 41-17 at home in September. The November rematch in Cleveland was much tighter, a 23-16 Ravens win. This game is in Cleveland again, so the road result is the better guide to how competitive the Browns can make it at home. The blowout sets a ceiling more than a baseline.

IND lead the series with TEN since 2025

IND has taken 2 of the last 2. Oct 26, 2025: TEN 14 at IND 38. Sep 21, 2025: IND 41 at TEN 20.

Irv Charles

Full practice

Ben Powers

Full practice

Brandon Jones

Full practice

George Holani

Full practice

Beau Stephens

Full practice

Sai'vion Jones

Full practice

DAL and GB are even since 2025

The only recent meeting ended 40-40 in Dallas last September, a shootout where neither defense could get a stop. It's one game, and ties are rare enough that it says more about that afternoon than about either team. This one moves to Green Bay. Last season's scoring is the clearest takeaway: if both offenses look similar now, the total is the place to think about first.

NO lead the series with NYG since 2025

This is a one-game sample: New Orleans beat the Giants 26-14 at home in October last season. That's a solid win, but one result from a different building and a different year says little about this matchup. The game is in New York this time, so the home side changes, and the bettor should weigh current form well above one meeting.