Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

Injuries noted

Buffalo Bills: Tyrell Shavers (PUP-R) — out; Dorian Strong (NFI-R) — nfi-r; Zane Durant (IR-R) — ir; Ed Oliver (Out) — Oliver (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.; DJ Moore (Questionable) — Moore (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.; Jordan Hancock (IR) — The Bills placed Hancock (hamstring) on injured reserve Friday.; Dee Alford (Questionable) — Alford (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.; Joshua Palmer (Out) — Palmer (shoulder) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Rams, Katherine Fitzgerald of The Buffalo News reports.; Landon Jackson (Questionable) — Jackson (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rams, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.

Los Angeles Rams: Justin Dedich (IR-R) — Dedich (undisclosed) was put on injured reserve with a designation to return by the Rams on Sunday, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports.; Eddie Walls III (IR); Matthew Caldwell (IR) — The Rams placed Caldwell (undisclosed) on injured reserve Saturday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.; Daniel Rickert (IR) — Rickert (knee) reverted to the Rams' injured reserve Tuesday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Keir Thomas II (IR) — ir; Keagen Trost (IR-R) — Trost (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve with a designation to return by the Rams on Sunday, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports.; Myles Garrett (IR) — Garrett (knee), per head coach Sean McVay, is "on track" in his recovery but is not expected to return to practice next week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports.; Ronnie Rivers (IR) — The Rams placed Rivers (calf) on their injured reserve list Wednesday.; Terrance Ferguson (IR) — Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports.; Quentin Lake (Questionable) — Lake (hip) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Bills, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports.

QUARTERBACK

• Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

  7.34 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1189 passing yards, completed 61.1% of his passes and averaged 7.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

• Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

  8.73 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1039 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 8.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

PASS RUSH

• BUF: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.75

  0.75 SACKS

  BUF is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

• LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to BUF's 2.25

  0.75 SACKS

  BUF is at 2.25 sacks taken per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• BUF: 31.8 points per game to LAR's 21.3

  10.5 PPG

  Buffalo is scoring about ten more points a game than the Rams through four games. Buffalo's 31.8 is a step up from 28.3 last season, so their offense looks like itself. The Rams are the surprise: 21.3 now against 30.5 last season, a big drop over a four-game sample. In BUF @ LAR, the Rams' number is the one more likely to climb back, so a low Rams team total deserves a second look before you assume this offense is broken.

• LAR: 20.8 points allowed per game to BUF's 26.8

  6 PPG

  Buffalo is allowing 26.8 points a game through four games, up from 21.5 last season, while the Rams are at 20.8, right in line with last year's 20.4. The Rams defense looks like its usual self. Buffalo's jump comes from four games and could ease back toward last year, but on the road against a Rams offense throwing it well, the Bills defense has more to prove.

• LAR: 69 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59.5

  9.5 PLAYS

  BUF is at 59.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; LAR is at 69 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.

• LAR: 31:19 time of possession per game to BUF's 28:06

  3:12 TOP

  BUF is at 28:06 time of possession per game over 4 games; LAR is at 31:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 33:09 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

• BUF: 1.25 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.75

  0.5 TO

  BUF is at 1.25 takeaways per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

• LAR: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 1

  0.5 FUM

  BUF is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 0.53 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS

• BUF: 6.58 yards per play to LAR's 6.1

  0.48 Y/P

  Buffalo is ahead of last season's 5.94 over 4 games, and its last game ran through Josh Allen deep: 5 plays of 20+ yards, led by 51 to Khalil Shakir. The Rams sit close to last season's 6.15 with Stafford leaning on Puka Nacua. Four games is a thin sample for Buffalo's jump, so expect some settling, but two efficient offenses point toward a game decided by which defense gets stops.

RED ZONE

• BUF: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 53.3%

  15.4 PP

  BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; LAR is at 53.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.

• LAR: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 68.8%

  10.4 PP

  BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; LAR is at 58.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 11.

MISMATCH

• LAR: 290.3 pass yards a game to BUF's 247.3

  290.3 VS 247.3

  The Rams throw for 290.3 yards a game and Buffalo for 247.3, over 4 games. The Rams were at 268.1 last season, so their passing game is running a bit hotter but on track. Buffalo has jumped from 216.6, a big rise over a short sample. Both teams can throw, and the Bills likely need to keep pace through the air rather than slow the Rams down.

COVERAGE

• LAR: 145.5 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 256.3

  110.8 YPG

  The Rams allow 145.5 passing yards a game, and Buffalo allows 256.3, both over 4 games. That is a short sample, and the sheet doesn't show which quarterbacks they saw or whether teams were running out the clock against them. If you look at passing numbers here, the Rams' receivers have the easier coverage to beat.

• LAR: 4.13 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.45

  1.32 Y/P

  The Rams allow 4.13 yards per play, and Buffalo allows 5.45, over 4 games each. Four games is a small sample, and the sheet doesn't show who either team faced. On a per-snap basis the Rams' defense has been much harder to move on, and Buffalo's has given up chunk yardage.

• LAR: 33.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%

  7.4 PP

  The Rams have allowed opponents to convert a third of their third downs over four games, while Buffalo is at 40.7%. Four games is a small sample, and third-down rates bounce around a lot early, so both numbers can move toward the middle. Buffalo is the stronger offense test the Rams defense has to pass, and that matters more than the rate itself. Take the Rams edge as modest until it holds against an offense like this.

REPLACEMENT

• DJ Moore (WR) is out for BUF

  OUT

  DJ Moore is inactive for Monday's game at the Rams with a shoulder injury. Buffalo also lists receiver Joshua Palmer as out, so the Bills are down two wideouts tonight. The sheet does not say who absorbs their targets, so be careful with props on the receivers who remain.

• Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G) is out for BUF

  OUT

  BUF lists Ar'maj Reed-Adams as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

• Bill Murray (G) is out for LAR

  OUT

  LAR lists Bill Murray as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

• Ed Oliver (DT) is out for BUF

  OUT

  BUF lists Ed Oliver as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

• Larrell Murchison (DE) is out for LAR

  OUT

  LAR lists Larrell Murchison as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

• Jude Bowry (OT) is out for BUF

  OUT

  BUF lists Jude Bowry as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

• Max Klare (TE) is out for LAR

  OUT

  LAR lists Max Klare as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 12.

• CJ Daniels (WR) is out for LAR

  OUT

  The Rams list receiver CJ Daniels as out against the Bills. The sheet gives no injury, timeline or replacement, so the firm fact is that he does not play Monday.

• Joshua Palmer (WR) is out for BUF

  OUT

  Buffalo lists receiver Joshua Palmer as out at the Rams. DJ Moore is also inactive with a shoulder injury, so the Bills are missing two receivers tonight. The sheet does not say who picks up the snaps.

• Landon Jackson (DE) is out for BUF

  OUT

  Jackson is inactive for Monday night against the Rams because of a knee injury. Buffalo will rotate other edge rushers into his snaps. The pass rush has one fewer body, and that is something to keep in mind for the Rams' passing game.

• Dee Alford (CB) is out for BUF

  OUT

  Cornerback Dee Alford is inactive for Monday's game against the Rams with an ankle injury. Buffalo plays tonight one corner short, and the sheet does not name who takes his snaps.

• Ty Simpson (QB) is out for LAR

  OUT

  Ty Simpson is inactive as a coach's decision. He is healthy and is the Rams' emergency third quarterback against the Bills on Monday. He would only enter if both quarterbacks ahead of him go down, so this barely touches how the game plays out.

• Spencer Brown (OT) is questionable for BUF

  QUESTIONABLE

  Brown (back) is questionable to return to Monday night's contest against the Rams. Reported Oct 13.

• Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

  IR

  Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports. Reported Oct 7.

• Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

  IR

  Garrett (knee), per head coach Sean McVay, is "on track" in his recovery but is not expected to return to practice next week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 10.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Joshua Palmer

  Out

  Shoulder · Did not practice · Out

• Ed Oliver

  Out

  Knee · Did not practice · Out

• Alaric Jackson

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Terrel Bernard

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Tyler Higbee

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Byron Young

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Aaron Donald

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Grant Stuard

  LP

  Limited practice

• DJ Moore

  LP

  Shoulder - AC Joint · Limited practice

• Dee Alford

  LP

  Ankle · Limited practice

• Quentin Lake

  LP

  Limited practice

• Josaiah Stewart

  LP

  Limited practice

• Ar'maj Reed-Adams

  FP

  Coach's Decision · Full practice

• Landon Jackson

  FP

  Knee · Full practice

• Konata Mumpfield

  FP

  Full practice

• Joe Andreessen

  FP

  Full practice

• T.J. Sanders

  FP

  Full practice

• Christian Benford

  FP

  Full practice

• Keon Coleman

  FP

  Full practice

• Colby Parkinson

  FP

  Full practice

• Bradley Chubb

  FP

  Full practice

• Dorian Williams

  FP

  Full practice

• Damar Hamlin

  FP

  Full practice

• Ray Davis

  FP

  Full practice

• Davante Adams

  FP

  Full practice

• Nate Landman

  FP

  Full practice

• Jaylen Watson

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• BUF: 53.3% third-down conversion rate to LAR's 43.1%

  10.2 PP

  BUF is at 53.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 43.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LAR at 39.6% over 17 games.

• BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LAR's 50%

  25 PP

  BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LAR at 66.7% over 17 games.

• BUF (3-1) at LAR (2-2)

  -18 PT GAP

  Buffalo is 3-1 at +20 and 1-0 on the road, coming off its first loss. The Rams are 2-2 at +2, a team that has basically broken even, and 1-1 at home. Four games is a short sample for both sides. Buffalo's margin gives it the edge on paper, though the samples are small enough that this one leans on more than the records.

• BUF: 7.73 yards per pass attempt to LAR's 7

  0.73 Y/A

  BUF is at 7.73 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; LAR is at 7 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 11. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LAR at 7.24 over 17 games.

AFTER GARY

• LAR -3.5 → -3.5

  NO MOVE

  Gary's number was -3.5; the same book now shows -3.5.