Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Injuries noted

Cleveland Browns: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (PUP-R) — out; Damarri Mathis (IR) — ir; Elijah Chatman (IR) — The Browns reverted Chatman (quadriceps) to IR on Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Kalia Davis (IR-R) — Davis (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Kelsey Russo of the Browns' official site reports.; Dillon Gabriel (IR-R) — Gabriel (back) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.; Edefuan Ulofoshio (IR) — Ulofoshio (biceps) reverted to the Browns' IR on Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Alex Wright (IR) — The Browns placed Wright on injured reserve Sunday due to a ruptured Achilles, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Teven Jenkins (Out) — Jenkins (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.; Dylan Sampson (IR) — Sampson (knee) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday.; Mason Graham (Out) — Graham (knee/ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.; Tylan Wallace (Out) — Wallace (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.; Mike Hall Jr. (Out) — Hall (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.; Carsen Ryan (Out) — Ryan (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.

New York Jets: Tyler Baron (PUP-R) — The Jets moved Baron (knee) to the reserve/PUP list Sunday, Eric Allen and Amanda Vogt of the team's official site report.; Kingsley Jonathan (IR) — ir; VJ Payne (IR); Tre Brown (IR) — Brown (undisclosed) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve Sunday, Amanda Vogt and Eric Allen of the team's official site report.; Anez Cooper (IR-R) — The Jets placed Cooper (shoulder) on injured reserve Sunday with a designation to return, Al Iannazzone of Newsday reports.; Chip Trayanum (IR) — Trayanum (neck) was placed on injured reserve by the Jets on Sunday, Eric Allen & Amanda Vogt of the team's official website report.; Omar Cooper Jr. (IR) — The Jets are expected to place Cooper (ankle) on injured reserve, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.; Kiko Mauigoa (Out) — Mauigoa (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.; Marcelino McCrary-Ball (IR) — ir; David Onyemata (IR) — Onyemata (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery Wednesday, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports.; Arian Smith (IR) — Smith (knee) underwent surgery Wednesday to repair a torn ACL and will miss the rest of the season, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports.; Adonai Mitchell (Out) — Mitchell (finger) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.; Breece Hall (Out) — Hall (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.; Dylan Parham (Out) — Parham (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.; Kingsley Enagbare (Questionable) — Enagbare (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Browns, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.; Braiden McGregor (IR) — McGregor (pectoral) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports.; Will McDonald IV (Questionable) — McDonald (calf) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Browns, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.

QUARTERBACK

• Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

  7.43 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 855 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. His 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

• Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

  7.71 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 902 passing yards, completed 72.7% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

PASS RUSH

• CLE: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYJ's 2.25

  0.75 SACKS

  Cleveland's front gets to the quarterback three times a game, the Jets 2.25, both over four games. Sack totals swing on a few plays and depend on the lines and quarterbacks faced, which the sheet doesn't list. Four games is a small base. Cleveland's rush is the side to factor in if the Jets end up in long-yardage passing downs.

PACE & SCRIPT

• CLE @ NYJ carries a 39.5 market total

  39.5

  Cleveland at the Jets is set at 39.5, 4 points under the 43.5 median, which points to a slower, lower-scoring game than most on the slate. It is less extreme than the lowest total here, so the market sees some scoring, just not much. For it to crack, one side has to hit a couple of explosive plays or gift field position with turnovers. Judge it by whether either offense can create points it does not have to grind out.

TURNOVERS

• NYJ: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.25

  1 TO

  The Jets have given the ball away once in 4 games, 0.25 a game, after 1.35 last season. That kind of clean month rarely lasts, so expect more giveaways from them going forward. Cleveland at 1.25 is a bit better than last season's 1.47 and looks closer to normal. If you're leaning on the Jets to win the turnover battle again, know that their current rate is the outlier here.

• NYJ: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 0.75

  0.5 FUM

  CLE is at 0.75 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CLE was at 0.41 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.59 over 17 games.

• NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CLE's 0.5

  0.5 INT

  CLE is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.

MISMATCH

• NYJ: 0.25 turnovers a game to CLE's 1.25

  0.25 VS 1.25

  The Jets have 0.25 turnovers a game to Cleveland's 1.25 over 4 games. Last season the Jets were at 1.35 and Cleveland at 1.47, so the Jets' number is the outlier and is unlikely to last. Cleveland is close to its usual level. Cleveland's path is to force mistakes from a Jets offense that has hardly made any, and that regression is part of how to think about this spot.

COVERAGE

• NYJ: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 235.3

  42 YPG

  The Jets allow 193.3 passing yards a game to Cleveland's 235.3, each over four games. The sheet doesn't say which passing offenses either faced, and four games of yardage can tilt on one shootout. A gap of this size can shrink quickly. At home, the Jets' coverage numbers point toward a tougher day for Cleveland's passing game than the Browns' defense presents for New York.

• NYJ: 4.88 yards per play allowed to CLE's 5.47

  0.6 Y/P

  The Jets give up 4.88 yards per play, Cleveland 5.47, both across four games. Yards per play strips out pace and game script better than totals do, so this is a cleaner read on the Jets' defense being the stingier unit. Four games is still a small sample. In a game where both offenses may grind, the Jets' per-snap edge is the number that carries the most weight.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

• NYJ lead the series with CLE since 2025

  1-0 SERIES

  One meeting: the Jets beat Cleveland 27-20 at home on Nov 9, a one-score game. This rematch is in the same stadium, but a single game is a thin base, so the result points to a competitive matchup more than a clear edge.

REPLACEMENT

• Quinshon Judkins (RB) is questionable for CLE

  QUESTIONABLE

  Judkins is listed as questionable after being seen in a walking boot on his right foot following Sunday's 17-12 loss at the Jets. A boot right after a game is a warning sign even without a diagnosis. Bettors looking at Browns rushing numbers should wait for his status before leaning on him.

• Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

  IR-R

  Gabriel's back injury has him ruled out for Sunday at the Jets, and his designation shows he's on the return path from injured reserve without being ready yet. The sheet doesn't say who starts for Cleveland, so check the quarterback before backing any Browns passing number.

• Carson Schwesinger (LB) is questionable for CLE

  QUESTIONABLE

  Schwesinger is questionable with a lower leg injury after he was seen in a walking boot following the 17-12 loss to the Jets. The boot is a real concern even with no diagnosis given. If he cannot go, Cleveland's linebacker group is down a body.

• Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

  IR-R

  Kalia Davis has been designated to return from injured reserve but is ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets with a quadriceps injury, per an Oct 10 report. The return window stays open while Davis keeps rehabbing. Cleveland heads to New York without Davis in the defensive tackle rotation, which matters most for how the Browns handle the Jets' run game.

• Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ

  IR

  Braiden McGregor went on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday with a pectoral injury, per an Oct 7 report. McGregor is out Sunday against Cleveland and for at least several weeks. New York's edge rotation loses a body, which can shade how much pressure the Jets get on the Browns' quarterback.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Adonai Mitchell

  Out

  Finger · Did not practice · Out

• Dylan Parham

  Out

  Knee · Did not practice · Out

• Kiko Mauigoa

  Out

  Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

• Teven Jenkins

  Out

  Back · Did not practice · Out

• Tylan Wallace

  Out

  Knee · Did not practice · Out

• Mason Graham

  Out

  Knee, Ankle · Did not practice · Out

• Carsen Ryan

  Out

  Calf · Did not practice · Out

• Mike Hall Jr.

  Out

  Ankle · Did not practice · Out

• Breece Hall

  Out

  Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

• Kingsley Enagbare

  Questionable

  Knee · Full practice · Questionable

• Tim Patrick

  Questionable

  Groin · Full practice · Questionable

• Will McDonald IV

  Questionable

  Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

• Derek Barnett

  LP

  Limited practice

• Mekhi Blackmon

  FP

  Full practice

• Elgton Jenkins

  FP

  Full practice

• Jarvis Brownlee Jr.

  FP

  Full practice

• Mason Taylor

  FP

  Full practice

• Grant Delpit

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• CLE has 3 more days of rest

  10d vs 7d

  Cleveland had the bye and shows up with 10 days to prepare, while the Jets are on a normal 7-day week. Those extra days usually go to healing bumps and building a game plan specific to this opponent. The Jets have home field, so the travel edge runs their way. Rest is one input among many, so weigh it as a small tilt toward Cleveland's preparation and freshness, and look at whether the line already accounts for it.

• CLE (3-1) at NYJ (1-3)

  +6 PT GAP

  Cleveland is 3-1 on a 3-game win streak, yet sits at -14 on the year, so the record flatters them. The Jets are 1-3 at -8, better than their record, and have lost 3 straight. Cleveland is 1-1 on the road, the Jets 0-1 at home in one game. A 3-1 team with a negative margin is a classic candidate to come back toward the pack, and this matchup is closer than the standings say.

STREAK

• NYJ has lost 3 straight

  L3

  The Jets won their opener, then lost three in a row to sit at 1-3. The sheet does not show the opponents, so the slide could be schedule as much as form. Three games is a short stretch. At home against a Cleveland team on a three-game win streak, the market may be pricing in both streaks, which can leave value on the home side.

• CLE has won 3 straight

  W3

  Cleveland has won three straight after a loss to open the season, sitting at 3-1. The sheet does not say who those wins came against, so the quality is unclear. Three games is a short run. The Jets have lost three straight, so this spot pits a rising team against a sliding one, and the line will likely lean that way already.

AFTER GARY

• CLE +114 → +118

  NOW +0.86PP

  Gary's number was 114; the same book now shows 118.