Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Injuries noted

Chicago Bears: Shemar Turner (PUP-R) — Turner (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Green Bay.; Kyler Gordon (PUP-R) — Gordon (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers.; Coby Bryant (IR) — The Bears placed Bryant (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday.; Dallis Flowers (IR) — ir; Jonathan Garvin (IR) — ir; Brittain Brown (IR) — Brown (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve by the Bears on Sunday.; Tony Fields II (IR-R) — The Bears placed Fields (undisclosed) on injured reserve Sunday with a designation to return.; Ruben Hyppolite II (IR) — Hyppolite (shoulder) reverted to Chicago's injured reserve Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Nikola Kalinic (IR) — ir; Hayden Large (IR) — The Bears placed Large (undisclosed) on injured reserve Tuesday.; Nephi Sewell (IR) — The Bears placed Sewell (concussion) on injured reserve Tuesday.; Kyle Monangai (Out) — Monangai (toe) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Patrick Finley of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.; Caleb Williams (Questionable) — Williams (hamstring), who is listed as questionable for Sunday's game at Green Bay but isn't expected to suit up, is "pushing to play" Week 6 against the Falcons, Mike Garafolo of NFL Network reports.; Braxton Jones (IR) — The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday.; Keyshaun Elliott (Out) — Elliott (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers.; Anthony Johnson Jr. (IR); Noah Sewell (Questionable) — Sewell (Achilles) was activated from the Bears' reserve/PUP list Saturday.

Green Bay Packers: Luke Musgrave (PUP-R) — Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst said Tuesday that he's "really hopeful" Musgrave (neck) will be able to play at some point during the 2026 season, Ryan Wood of USA Today reports.; Micah Parsons (PUP-R) — Parsons (knee), per head coach Matt LaFleur, will not practice this week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Jordon Riley (PUP-R) — out; Johnathan Baldwin II (IR) — ir; Warren Brinson (IR) — Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday.; Collin Oliver (IR-R) — Oliver is dealing with Achilles and calf injuries. and is considered week-to-week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Savion Williams (IR-R) — Williams (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bears, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Thomas Yassmin (IR) — Green Bay reverted Yassmin (undisclosed) to injured reserve Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Aaron Banks (Doubtful) — Banks (toe/knee) is doubtful for Sunday's game against the Bears, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Anthony Campbell (Questionable) — questionable; Zach Bako-Bewele (IR) — The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Jayden Reed (IR) — The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.; Edgerrin Cooper (IR) — Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday.; Jacob Monk (Doubtful) — Monk (quadriceps) is doubtful to play against the Bears on Sunday.; Jager Burton (Questionable) — Burton (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Bears, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.; Chris Brooks (IR) — The Packers placed Brooks (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday.; Javon Hargrave (Questionable) — Hargrave (toe) is listed as questionable against the Bears on Sunday, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.

QUARTERBACK

• Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

  7.4 Y/A

  Through 2 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 407 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Caleb Williams is also listed q for this matchup.

• Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

  6.76 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1041 passing yards, completed 56.5% of his passes and averaged 6.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

TRENCHES

• CHI: 102.5 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 139.3

  36.8 YPG

  Chicago gives up 102.5 rushing yards a game while Green Bay allows 139.3, both over four games. The sheet doesn't show opponents, and run defense numbers bend with game script: a team protecting a lead faces more carries. Four games can move fast. For this matchup, Green Bay's softer run defense is the side to think about if Chicago can stay close enough to keep handing the ball off.

PACE & SCRIPT

• CHI: 36:36 time of possession per game to GB's 26:46

  9:50 TOP

  Chicago holds the ball for 36:36 per game over four games, way up from 30:59 last season, and Green Bay sits at 26:46 after 29:48 last year. A strong run game and good third downs let the Bears keep the clock moving. If that holds, it means fewer possessions for both teams and a slower game. Four games is a short sample, so the gap is likely to shrink some.

• CHI: 16.3 points allowed per game to GB's 26.3

  10 PPG

  CHI is at 16.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; GB is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

• CHI: 28 points per game to GB's 18.3

  9.8 PPG

  CHI is at 28 points per game over 4 games; GB is at 18.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 25.9 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

• CHI: 74.5 offensive plays per game to GB's 58.8

  15.8 PLAYS

  CHI is at 74.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; GB is at 58.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and GB at 59.4 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

• CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to GB's 1

  0.5 TO

  CHI is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 4 games; GB is at 1 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS

• CHI: 5.75 yards per play to GB's 5.15

  0.6 Y/P

  Chicago is right where it was last season at 5.71, so its edge comes from Green Bay slipping to 5.15 from 5.61 over 4 games. Chicago hit 6 plays of 20 or more yards last time with Tyson Bagent at quarterback, mixing Rome Odunze through the air with a 26-yard Kyle Monangai run. Green Bay's big plays last game came mostly on the ground through Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks, and with only 4 games logged, its number has room to climb back toward last season's mark.

RED ZONE

• CHI: 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 85.7%

  30.2 PP

  CHI is at 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; GB is at 85.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

MISMATCH

• CHI: 196.3 rush yards a game to GB's 58

  196.3 VS 58

  Chicago is running for 196.3 yards a game while Green Bay is at 58 over 4 games, a huge gap on the ground. Both numbers are extremes: Chicago ran for 144.5 last season and Green Bay for 119.8, so four games have stretched each one. Green Bay's run game should come back toward last year. If Chicago keeps grinding, it controls the clock and Green Bay gets fewer possessions, which favors a lower-scoring, slower game.

COVERAGE

• CHI: 23.7% third downs allowed to GB's 48.2%

  24.5 PP

  Chicago has held opponents to 23.7% on third down across four games, and Green Bay allows 48.2%, so the Bears get off the field and the Packers do not. The sheet does not say which offenses either faced, so schedule may account for part of it. Rates this extreme tend to come back toward the middle. Green Bay at home still has the bigger issue to fix, which matters for drive length and the total.

• GB: 4.97 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.68

  0.7 Y/P

  CHI is at 5.68 yards per play allowed over 4 games; GB is at 4.97 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 10.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

• CHI lead the series with GB since 2025

  2-1 SERIES

  All three meetings were one-score games. Green Bay won the first at home 28-21, then Chicago won 22-16 on Dec 20 and 31-27 in the playoff game on Jan 10, both at Soldier Field. The Bears' two wins came at home, and this one is in Green Bay, where the Packers took the only meeting. Expect another tight game more than a blowout.

REPLACEMENT

• Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is out for CHI

  OUT

  Chicago will play at Green Bay without safety Anthony Johnson Jr., who was listed out on the injury report Oct 12. The report gives no injury or detail on when he last played, so how much his absence costs is hard to measure from this alone. Out means he will not suit up, so someone else on the back end takes his snaps, and that depth spot is the thing to check before betting Bears pass defense.

• Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI

  OUT

  Williams is the Bears' starting quarterback, so this is the biggest absence on the board for Chicago. He is dealing with a hamstring injury, and Ben Johnson would not set a return date after Sunday's loss at Green Bay. Johnson said he is on track and it will be close whether he makes it back for Atlanta or after. A bettor should hold off on assuming he plays the Atlanta game until the team says more.

• Savion Williams (WR) is ir-r for GB

  IR-R

  Williams is still out with his ankle and won't face the Bears on Sunday, though his designation means a return from injured reserve is in motion. Green Bay's receiver group goes without him again this week.

• Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  The Packers placed running back Chris Brooks on injured reserve Saturday with an ankle injury, per an Oct 10 report. Brooks is out for Sunday's game against the Bears and at least the next few weeks. Green Bay's backfield depth thins out, so any Packers running back carry or yardage line should account for one fewer option behind the starter.

• Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

  PUP-R

  Micah Parsons is on the return list from the physically unable to perform designation with a knee injury, and Matt LaFleur said on Oct 5 he would not practice this week. A player who is not practicing is not on track to suit up against Chicago, so expect Green Bay to play this one without him. Anything you like on the Packers' pass rush should be priced as if he is out.

• Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

  PUP-R

  Kyler Gordon is working back from the PUP list with a calf injury and has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Green Bay, per an Oct 10 report. The ruling means Chicago's return window for Gordon stays open, with no snaps against the Packers this week. The Bears take on Green Bay's passing game short a cornerback, which is the spot to watch for Packers receiver props.

• Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI

  PUP-R

  Turner (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Green Bay. Reported Oct 10.

• Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.

• Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

• Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI

  IR

  The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

• Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 29.

• Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

  IR

  Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Kyle Monangai

  Out

  Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out

• Keyshaun Elliott

  Out

  Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

• Jacob Monk

  Doubtful

  Quadricep · Limited practice · Doubtful

• Aaron Banks

  Doubtful

  Knee, Toe · Limited practice · Doubtful

• Caleb Williams

  Questionable

  Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

• Noah Sewell

  Questionable

  Achilles · Full practice · Questionable

• Jager Burton

  Questionable

  Back · Limited practice · Questionable

• Javon Hargrave

  Questionable

  Toe · Limited practice · Questionable

• Anthony Campbell

  Questionable

  Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable

• Devonte Wyatt

  LP

  Limited practice

• Lukas Van Ness

  LP

  Limited practice

• Anthony Belton

  LP

  Limited practice

• D'Andre Swift

  FP

  Full practice

• Grady Jarrett

  FP

  Full practice

• Joe Thuney

  FP

  Full practice

• Darnell Wright

  FP

  Full practice

• Cam Lewis

  FP

  Full practice

• Brandon Cisse

  FP

  Full practice

• Jonah Jackson

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• CHI: 47.4% third-down conversion rate to GB's 26.1%

  21.3 PP

  Chicago converts 47.4% on third down over four games, a bit up from 42.7% last season. Green Bay has fallen hard to 26.1% after 48.8% last year, which suggests the Packers' number is more likely to climb than stay put. Chicago's run game keeps third downs short, which helps explain its rate. Expect more Bears drives to stay alive, while the Packers' slump sits on a four-game sample.

• CHI: 25.3 first downs per game to GB's 17

  8.3 FD

  CHI is at 25.3 first downs per game over 4 games; GB is at 17 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.

• CHI: 47.3 penalty yards per game to GB's 86

  38.8 YDS

  CHI is at 47.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; GB is at 86 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 57.1 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.

• CHI (3-1) at GB (2-2), a division game

  -79 PT GAP

  Chicago has outscored teams by 47 and arrives on a two-game win streak, while Green Bay sits 32 points underwater at 2-2. The road and home splits are one game each: the Bears are 1-0 away and the Packers 0-1 at Lambeau, too thin to mean much. The point differentials say these teams are further apart than the records do. In a division game, weigh that margin over the one-game splits.

• CHI: 6.83 yards per pass attempt to GB's 6.1

  0.73 Y/A

  CHI is at 6.83 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; GB is at 6.1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 10. Last season CHI was at 6.46 over 17 games and GB at 6.85 over 17 games.

TEAM RECORD

• NFC NORTH game: CHI 0-1, GB 0-1 in the division

  DIVISION

  Both Chicago and Green Bay lost their only division game so far. One game each is too little to read anything into. Division rivals meet twice a year and the games often play tighter than overall form suggests. The division records give no edge here, so look at the rest of each team's resume instead.

AFTER GARY

• CHI -1.5 → -1.5

  NOW +0.93PP

  Gary's number was -1.5; the same book now shows -1.5.