Sports Picks Archive — Sunday, September 27, 2026

Game picks

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Lions· -105

I’ll take the points. The Jets have allowed 3.98 yards per play and held opponents to a 23.8% third-down conversion rate through two games. That gives them a way to slow Detroit’s offense, while their possession-focused attack faces a Lions defense allowing 147 rushing yards per game and a 58.6% third-down conversion rate. Goff has thrown six touchdowns, Detroit has extra rest, and the Jets’ defensive sample is small; those are serious reasons to fear a comfortable Lions win. At 6.5, though, I trust New York to sustain enough drives and make Detroit earn a margin of more than one score.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFLvs Chargers· +100

I’m laying the 7.5 at even money. Buffalo’s ability to attack through Allen, Cook and its tight ends gives it several ways to get beyond one score. The Chargers have allowed 8.03 yards per pass attempt through two games; their stronger run-defense results don’t convince me they can consistently force this offense off the field. Kincaid’s 12 catches for 225 yards also give Buffalo a productive option while Moore’s availability remains unresolved. The other matchup I trust is Buffalo’s rush against Los Angeles’s protection. The Chargers have surrendered six sacks on 66 dropbacks, while Buffalo has generated seven on 86. Awosika is out after playing 74% of last week’s offensive snaps. That creates another adjustment for an offense already struggling to sustain possessions. I’m not treating Slater or Strange as absent: the returned practice report lists both as full participants with no game designation. The strongest argument against this ticket is substantial: Buffalo has allowed 31 points in both games, and Herbert could exploit that defense enough to stay inside the extra half-point. These are only two-game samples, so I expect a closer contest than the scoring averages suggest. Still, I trust Buffalo to produce scoring drives more consistently and its rush to interrupt enough Chargers possessions to create an eight-point margin. At +100, that outweighs the backdoor-cover risk.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Browns· -104

I’m backing Young’s passing attack to create the separation needed to cover a field-goal win. He has thrown three touchdowns in each game, and Cleveland has allowed five passing touchdowns and 7.49 yards per attempt through two games. That is the matchup carrying my bet. Cleveland’s strongest counter is Carolina’s run defense, allowing 224 rushing yards per game and now missing Devin Lloyd. But Judkins has managed just 54 yards on 24 carries; I’m reluctant to price in a rushing breakthrough. The practice report also softens my earlier concern about Cleveland’s line: Howard practiced fully with no game designation, despite the older questionable listing. Carolina’s turnover-driven Atlanta blowout overstates how dependable its defense is, and Coker and Legette remain questionable. Even accounting for that, I prefer Carolina’s demonstrated passing production at -2.5 and the cheaper -104 price.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Dolphins· -102

Miami has no sacks through two games, while Kansas City has allowed only four on 84 dropbacks. That gives Mahomes and Walker a strong path to sustained drives against a defense allowing 31 points per game. On the other side, Willis has taken nine sacks, and Miami’s leading receiver Caleb Douglas is out. The risk is a Chiefs defense with several questionable players and a Miami home opener that could stay close. But Miami has scored 13 points in each game, and I trust Kansas City to create more than a ten-point gap at this price. These are only two-game samples, so this is a measured play.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Giants· -110

Two things carry this. First, the best unit on the field belongs to Tennessee, and the worst belongs to the Giants. Through two games the Titans defense has allowed 0.098 EPA/play, 44.7% success and 5.39 yards/play, while the Giants defense has surrendered 0.257 EPA/play, 50.9% success, 6.74 yards/play and a whopping 65% on third down with only one sack and a 7.3% QB-hit rate. So the QB matchup tilts hard toward the visitor: Cam Ward has been careful (32-52, 323 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, plus 2 rushing scores) and should get time, whereas Jameis Winston (11-27, 111 yards, 1 INT, QBR 17.4 in relief) inherits a protection unit allowing a 19.4% QB-hit rate and now faces Jeffery Simmons (13 pressures, top DT league-wide) with LT Andrew Thomas (groin, questionable) protecting his blind side. Second, the number itself. It moved from Giants -6.5 down to -2.5 as the market digested Dart's injury, yet the exchange market sits even lower — Polymarket implies Giants -1.5 and Kalshi actually has the Titans favored by 2.5, with both moneylines near pick'em (+125/-125). Getting plus a full 2.5 points on a game the wider market treats as a coin flip is real cushion, and +118 on the ML is live value too. Supporting context: the Giants' questionables hit their strengths (Burns' edge rush, Nubin and Banks in the secondary), a wet/windy MetLife afternoon suppresses the passing game, and better defense plus a run game (4.4 ypc) usually wins those. The bear case is honest — New York is home, Winston is a 12th-year vet with 89 starts who just got a week of game-planning, Skattebo/Likely/Nabers can make plays, and Tennessee is 0-2 and has been outgained in both games with a limited offense of its own. But the Titans' clear defensive and ball-security edges plus the extra points outweigh home field and an erratic backup QB.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFLvs Texans· -108

Houston's offense is the unit I trust least here, and it is precisely the unit the number asks to lay points. Without Nico Collins a second straight week, the Texans have no vertical threat: their only game without him produced 6 points, zero touchdowns, a 0-for-4 red-zone day, and 18 rushing yards on 14 combined carries by Montgomery and Marks. The passing volume (Stroud 30-of-55, 353) was empty calories and the finishing was the problem Ryans and Stroud both named afterward. That problem compounds this week because the Houston offensive line is compromised — Ingram (100% of Week 2 snaps at guard) is OUT and Trent Brown (100% at tackle) is QUESTIONABLE — against a Colts front that, while not a sack machine, at least gets home occasionally and now gets a full week to script pressure looks. Meanwhile the situational spot tilts hard to Indy: home division game, essentially a must-win for both at 0-2/0-0 in the South, and the Colts come off a genuinely competitive 33-30 overtime loss at Kansas City (halftime lead, Taylor running well, Jones not sacked) rather than a collapse. Indianapolis has the functional offense in this matchup: Taylor is the most reliable weapon on either side, Warren is a red-zone target (2 TDs already), and Jones was efficient and clean at Arrowhead. The market agrees something is off in Houston's price — the line has drifted from Texans -2.5 to -1.5 — and at +1.5 the Colts win on an outright win, a tie, or a one-point loss, which matters in a game between two flawed teams that projects close. The argument against me is real and is the reason I'm not more aggressive: the Colts' defense is the worst unit on the field by the season sheet (last in yards, yards per play and points allowed), and Houston's pass rush (Anderson, Hunter, five sacks last week) plus Stroud's arm can absolutely win this by a margin. But that defensive disaster was built against Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, Houston just failed to score a touchdown against a lesser defense, and the Texans' own road situational sloppiness (botched snap, missed long kick, turnovers on downs) is exactly the profile that loses a one-score division game. I'll take the home dog with the cushion rather than lay points with an offense missing its best receiver and two linemen.

Meanwhile the situational spot tilts hard to Indy: home division game, essentially a must-win for both at 0-2/0-0 in the South, and the Colts come off a genuinely competitive 33-30 overtime loss at Kansas City (halftime lead, Taylor running well, Jones not sacked) rather than a collapse. Indianapolis has the functional offense in this matchup: Taylor is the most reliable weapon on either side, Warren is a red-zone target (2 TDs already), and Jones was efficient and clean at Arrowhead. The market agrees something is off in Houston's price — the line has drifted from Texans -2.5 to -1.5 — and at +1.5 the Colts win on an outright win, a tie, or a one-point loss, which matters in a game between two flawed teams that projects close. The argument against me is real and is the reason I'm not more aggressive: the Colts' defense is the worst unit on the field by the season sheet (last in yards, yards per play and points allowed), and Houston's pass rush (Anderson, Hunter, five sacks last week) plus Stroud's arm can absolutely win this by a margin.

But that defensive disaster was built against Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, Houston just failed to score a touchdown against a lesser defense, and the Texans' own road situational sloppiness (botched snap, missed long kick, turnovers on downs) is exactly the profile that loses a one-score division game. I'll take the home dog with the cushion rather than lay points with an offense missing its best receiver and two linemen.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFLvs Bengals· -120

This is a spot play on a home divisional dog, and the number gives me the hook. The total is 42.5 — an unusually low number that tells me the market itself projects a tight, low-scoring AFC North game. In a game expected to land near 23-20, laying -3.5 on the road is a bad position: the favorite has to win by a full four to hurt me, and a field-goal margin (or any Pittsburgh outright win) cashes. Getting +3.5 rather than +3 matters precisely because so many of these games land on 3. The matchup supports the close projection. Pittsburgh's defense is legitimately good — 16.5 ppg allowed, 7 sacks, 4 takeaways, and an opponent passer rating of 63.7 with a 59.1% completion rate allowed through two games. T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith (3 sacks each) can get after Burrow behind a Cincinnati line that has already surrendered 6 sacks. At home, that defense can hold Cincinnati to the 17-20 range, which is exactly the window where Pittsburgh covers. The offense should also look better than the 3-point New England debacle suggests. That game came against the #1 scoring defense in the league (8.0 ppg allowed); this week Pittsburgh faces a Cincinnati defense allowing 359 yards and 284.5 pass yards per game. Against a far weaker Atlanta defense in Week 1, Pittsburgh put up 20. The market agrees this isn't a blowout spot: the line opened at Bengals -3.5 and held there all week with only price drift, despite Cincinnati sitting 2-0 and the public piling onto the road favorite after Pittsburgh's embarrassing loss. If the market truly believed the Bengals were a touchdown better, it would have moved to -4 or -4.5. It didn't. Hold the bear case honestly: Pittsburgh's offense has been genuinely broken — Rodgers at 59.5%, 5.17 YPA, 1 TD/1 INT, QBR 33.2, a 20% third-down conversion rate, lost Dowdle (OUT), and a banged-up Warren. Cincinnati's defense is better than its yardage suggests (red-zone success allowed 21.1%), and if Burrow gets the Bengals up early, Pittsburgh's 3.5 ppg second-half scoring and 0% comeback rate make a rally unlikely. That's the risk. But it's a fresh divisional game, not a fourth-quarter deficit yet, and at home with a good defense and a field-goal cushion against a 42.5 total, the value sits on the dog.

The matchup supports the close projection. Pittsburgh's defense is legitimately good — 16.5 ppg allowed, 7 sacks, 4 takeaways, and an opponent passer rating of 63.7 with a 59.1% completion rate allowed through two games. T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith (3 sacks each) can get after Burrow behind a Cincinnati line that has already surrendered 6 sacks. At home, that defense can hold Cincinnati to the 17-20 range, which is exactly the window where Pittsburgh covers.

The offense should also look better than the 3-point New England debacle suggests. That game came against the #1 scoring defense in the league (8.0 ppg allowed); this week Pittsburgh faces a Cincinnati defense allowing 359 yards and 284.5 pass yards per game. Against a far weaker Atlanta defense in Week 1, Pittsburgh put up 20. The market agrees this isn't a blowout spot: the line opened at Bengals -3.5 and held there all week with only price drift, despite Cincinnati sitting 2-0 and the public piling onto the road favorite after Pittsburgh's embarrassing loss. If the market truly believed the Bengals were a touchdown better, it would have moved to -4 or -4.5. It didn't.

Hold the bear case honestly: Pittsburgh's offense has been genuinely broken — Rodgers at 59.5%, 5.17 YPA, 1 TD/1 INT, QBR 33.2, a 20% third-down conversion rate, lost Dowdle (OUT), and a banged-up Warren. Cincinnati's defense is better than its yardage suggests (red-zone success allowed 21.1%), and if Burrow gets the Bengals up early, Pittsburgh's 3.5 ppg second-half scoring and 0% comeback rate make a rally unlikely. That's the risk. But it's a fresh divisional game, not a fourth-quarter deficit yet, and at home with a good defense and a field-goal cushion against a 42.5 total, the value sits on the dog.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFLvs Seahawks· -110

The price is the bet: Seattle -8.5 sits 1–2 points above the exchange consensus (Polymarket -6.5, Kalshi -7.5), and the two-point move from -6.5 to -8.5 was a public-driven reaction to the Daniels news. The book has moved past where the market actually prices this game — the textbook spot to buy the dog, and +8.5 wins outright on 7- and 8-point losses where +7 only pushes or loses. Backing that with the matchup: Seattle's profile caps its margin. Its 22 ppg sits on 347 ypg — an offense that moves the ball but is genuinely poor in the red zone (42.9% red-zone TD, RZ EPA -0.089, goal-to-go EPA -0.291, 27.3% success, 2.33 ypp). An elite yardage defense (8.5 ppg, 3.75 ypp) paired with a red-zone-challenged offense wins by 3–7, not 9+. Washington is also a live home dog: first home game of 2026, a competent veteran backup in Mariota (68.8%, 111 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, QBR 83.2 in his one game), Diggs/McLaurin plus a real run game (157 ypg, 4.9 ypc) to control tempo, and a Seattle secondary missing both safeties (Julian Love, 96% snaps, and Okada, both OUT) — fresh absences the number may not fully carry. Holding the other side in view: Seattle's defense vs a backup QB is a real mismatch, and Washington's defense (30.5 ppg, 137 opp passer rating, 0 takeaways) can't stop anyone — that's the case for laying the 8.5, and it's why this is only a moderate-confidence play. But eight-and-a-half on the road from a 22-ppg team that is banged up at safety, sitting above the market's own number, is the wrong price. Take the points.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Jaguars· +100

The single best unit on the field belongs to the road team, and the number does not make New England pay for it. The Patriots defense is allowing 4.57 yards per play, a 38.6% success rate and -0.182 EPA per play, with opponents converting just 17.4% on third down and a 78.1 opposing passer rating — that is the profile of a defense that keeps games low-scoring and close, and close is exactly what +2.5 is built to reward. The Jaguars' offense is the better offense (+0.142 EPA, 5.84 yds/play, 51.85% success, Lawrence 4 TD/1 INT), but it has not faced a defense like this, and Jacksonville's own pass defense is the softest spot in the matchup: 6.35 yards per play allowed, 9.30 yards per opponent attempt, a 97.4 opposing passer rating. Maye has thrown for 386 yards and has the arm to exploit that, so this is not a case of the Patriots being unable to move it at all. Jacksonville's week also carries more real question marks than the price implies: Meyers (90% of week-2 snaps), Hainsey (100%) and Van Lanen (100%) are all questionable, and if any of that interior line or the receiver rotation is limited, a Patriots front generating an 8.2% sack rate and 17.8% QB-hit rate can get home and turn this into the grinding game I want. I also weight the game shape: Jacksonville has scored zero fourth-quarter points across two games with a -10.5 Q4 differential and blew a 10-3 halftime lead at Denver, while New England's win over Pittsburgh was defensively dominant — a late-game fade pattern from the home favorite is exactly the kind of margin that keeps a +2.5 dog live. The best argument against me is real: Maye has four interceptions, the Patriots are -3 in turnovers, and Jacksonville is +2 with 75% red-zone touchdown efficiency, so the Jaguars converting short fields into a 7-10 point win is the live path to a loss. But at a near pick'em with the better defense and a 2.5-point cushion, I would rather be holding the side that wins the low-scoring, close game the numbers point to than laying points with the team whose defense can be thrown on.

Maye has thrown for 386 yards and has the arm to exploit that, so this is not a case of the Patriots being unable to move it at all. Jacksonville's week also carries more real question marks than the price implies: Meyers (90% of week-2 snaps), Hainsey (100%) and Van Lanen (100%) are all questionable, and if any of that interior line or the receiver rotation is limited, a Patriots front generating an 8.2% sack rate and 17.8% QB-hit rate can get home and turn this into the grinding game I want. I also weight the game shape: Jacksonville has scored zero fourth-quarter points across two games with a -10.5 Q4 differential and blew a 10-3 halftime lead at Denver, while New England's win over Pittsburgh was defensively dominant — a late-game fade pattern from the home favorite is exactly the kind of margin that keeps a +2.5 dog live.

The best argument against me is real: Maye has four interceptions, the Patriots are -3 in turnovers, and Jacksonville is +2 with 75% red-zone touchdown efficiency, so the Jaguars converting short fields into a 7-10 point win is the live path to a loss. But at a near pick'em with the better defense and a 2.5-point cushion, I would rather be holding the side that wins the low-scoring, close game the numbers point to than laying points with the team whose defense can be thrown on.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Buccaneers· -104

Minnesota’s pressure is the matchup I trust most: it has eight sacks in two games, while Tampa Bay has allowed seven and given the ball away five times. That creates a difficult path for the Bucs’ offense against a defense that has already forced four takeaways. The case against Minnesota is real—its offense has struggled on early downs, and Kyler Murray has barely played in this system. But at only 1.5 points, I’ll take the Vikings’ defensive edge at the cheaper spread price.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Cowboys· -102

I’ll lay the 3.5. In this two-game sample, Dallas has allowed 173.5 rushing yards per game, 126 total rushing yards to quarterbacks and a 68% third-down conversion rate. Jackson and Henry are the matchup I trust to keep Baltimore moving the ball. Dallas’ 37–20 win last week is less convincing than the score: Washington outgained the Cowboys, and Jayden Daniels left at halftime. The case against my bet is real—Prescott can attack Baltimore’s secondary, while Ronnie Stanley is out and Zay Flowers may sit. At the posted price, I still think Baltimore’s ground-game advantage is enough to win by more than a field goal.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ 49ers· -110

I’m taking Arizona with the touchdown and a hook. My strongest reason is that San Francisco’s defensive performance came with a front that changes materially today: Nick Bosa and Romello Height, both OUT; FRESH — reported Sept. 25, played 68% and 54% of the defensive snaps against Miami. Losing both gives me reason to expect more manageable possessions for Brissett. That matters when Arizona can lose by seven and still cash. Seattle thoroughly beat Arizona, but I wouldn’t price that offensive performance as Arizona’s settled level after two games. The Cardinals scored 26 at the Chargers the week before. My read is that they can recover enough offensive production against this depleted front to keep the margin within one score; they don’t need to match San Francisco’s impressive opening pace possession for possession. The strongest argument against this ticket is Purdy against Arizona’s secondary: San Francisco has allowed zero sacks on 61 dropbacks, Will Johnson is on IR, and Max Melton remains questionable. McCaffrey and Kittle give the favorite additional ways to score. That keeps my confidence modest. Even after the move from 8.5 to 7.5, I prefer the remaining protection above seven because San Francisco’s new defensive absences make another comfortable separation less convincing than its first two results suggest.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Saints· -102

Las Vegas’ pass rush is the matchup I trust most. The Raiders have eight sacks in two games, while Tyler Shough has already taken eight, and New Orleans now has Asim Richards replacing Kelvin Banks Jr. at left tackle. The best case against this pick is Shough’s explosive passing game, especially in the Saints’ home opener. But at +3 and -102, I’ll back the Raiders’ pressure to keep this close; a three-point Saints win pushes.

Permanent matchup analysis →

GARY'S PICK

NFL@ Broncos· -104

The read I trust is that the Rams are the more complete team right now, and the two matchups that decide this game both tilt their way. Denver's 2025 identity was a sack-driven defense (76 sacks on 770 opponent dropbacks), but in the 2026 sample that has not shown up — 4 sacks on 64 opponent dropbacks (6.25%) — while the Rams' line has allowed 1 sack in 61 dropbacks, so Los Angeles can keep Stafford clean and on schedule. On the other side, Denver's offense is the real problem: 15.0 ppg, -0.087 EPA/play, Nix at a 41.2 QBR with 2 TD/2 INT, and a red-zone offense converting 42.9% (33.3% success, -0.34 EPA) against a Rams defense allowing 16.5 ppg, 4.71 Y/P, zero rushing TDs and the best red-zone EPA allowed in the sample (-0.297). The trump card is the run game: the Rams average 142.5 rush yds/gm at 5.0 YPC (Williams 5.5, Corum 6.0) against a Denver front allowing 157.5 rush yds/gm, 22.0 ppg (EPA +0.066 allowed) and a glaring 80% short-yardage conversion rate. That lets LA sustain drives and take the air out of the home crowd. Supporting: -2.5 sits below the key number 3 (the most common NFL margin cashes the Rams side), -104 is a fair price for the clearly better offense, and Adams (11-221-2) gives Stafford a true No. 1 even with Nacua doubtful. I've held the counter in view — Nacua (hip) doubtful, Kinchens doubtful, Garrett on IR, LA's first road game, altitude, Denver's 14-3 2025 and the dropped 44.5 total making a tight game plausible (where +2.5 would bail Denver). But Denver's current offense is bad enough and its run/short-yardage defense leaky enough that I'll lay the small number rather than take the points.

Permanent matchup analysis →

Player props

GARY'S PICK

JARED GOFFPASSING YARDS UNDER 258.5

NFLDetroit Lions· -113

I’ll take under 258.5 passing yards at -113. The Jets have allowed 285 passing yards combined in two games, and their possession-focused offense can limit Goff’s chances to throw. This is a small defensive sample against a quarterback who threw for 327 yards last week and has averaged 293.3 across his last ten games from 2025. Detroit has enough receiving talent to beat this line even if New York plays well.

GARY'S PICK

GENO SMITHPASSING COMPLETIONS OVER 21.5

NFLNew York Jets· -103

I’ll take over 21.5 completions at -103. Detroit has allowed 658 passing yards in two games, and its trouble ending drives gives Geno room to build a completion count. He completed 27 passes against Green Bay while the Jets controlled possession. The strongest concern is volume: New York wants to run, and Geno finished with only 19 completions against Tennessee. Aidan Hutchinson’s pass rush could also shorten drives before Geno reaches 22.

GARY'S PICK

KC CONCEPCIONRECEPTIONS OVER 3.5

NFLCleveland Browns· -125

I’ll take Concepcion over 3.5 receptions at -125. He has caught four and six passes on five and six targets in Cleveland’s two games, and Carolina has allowed 26 catches to wide receivers across its two games. Cleveland may need those shorter completions to keep pace with Carolina’s passing attack. The concern is that Concepcion’s role is still young: he played 38 of 58 offensive snaps last week, and two games do not establish a dependable target floor.

GARY'S PICK

QUINSHON JUDKINSRUSHING ATTEMPTS UNDER 16.5

NFLCleveland Browns· -115

I’ll take Judkins under 16.5 rushing attempts at -115. He has had 12 carries in each of Cleveland’s two games, while Watson has been part of the rushing plan and Judkins has also been used as a receiver. I expect Carolina’s passing offense to put pressure on Cleveland to throw, limiting Judkins’ path to 17 carries. The strongest case against me is the matchup on the ground: Carolina has allowed 347 rushing yards to running backs in two games, and Devin Lloyd is out. Cleveland has a clear reason to give Judkins more work.

GARY'S PICK

ORONDE GADSDENRECEPTIONS UNDER 3.5

NFLLos Angeles Chargers· -130

I’m taking under 3.5 receptions at -130. Gadsden has drawn two targets in each of the Chargers’ two games. Four catches would require a sizable jump in opportunities, and Buffalo’s pass rush has seven sacks through two games against a Chargers offense that has allowed six. The strongest case against me is his changing role: Kolar is out, and Buffalo has allowed tight ends 14 catches in two games. Gadsden could become Herbert’s quick outlet if that rush gets home.

GARY'S PICK

JOSH ALLENPASSING ATTEMPTS UNDER 30.5

NFLBuffalo Bills· -119

I’m taking under 30.5 passing attempts at -119. Allen has thrown 29 and 31 passes in Buffalo’s two games while carrying the ball 20 times. Cook has added 192 rushing yards. I expect those ground options and Buffalo’s efficient passing game to give Allen a path to scoring without a large attempt count against a Chargers defense that has allowed four passing touchdowns in two games. The strongest objection is Los Angeles’s run defense, which has allowed 86.5 yards per game through two games. Buffalo has also conceded 31 points in each game, so a close contest could keep Allen throwing.

GARY'S PICK

ISAIAH LIKELYRECEPTIONS OVER 3.5

NFLNew York Giants· -137

Isaiah Likely over 3.5 receptions at -137. The line and price: four catches clears it, and the over costs -137, the heaviest juice on this board, so this is a bet I make expecting him to be a near lock rather than a coin flip. Why I take it. Likely is the one constant in this Giants passing game. He owns 18 of the team's 61 targets through two games, catching 13 of them for 111 yards and two scores, and the volume held even in the ugly Rams game where he drew 10 targets and caught 5. That came with Jameis Winston throwing, and Winston leans on the tight end. The conditions push the same way: sustained winds near 25 to 30 mph with rain through the afternoon, which shortens routes and sends a veteran quarterback to the middle of the field instead of the boundary. The matchup is there as well, since Tennessee has allowed 9 catches on 12 targets to tight ends across its two games. The strongest contrary evidence is the price and his history. At -137 I am paying a premium, and Likely's 2025 baseline was 2.6 receptions a game with several one and two catch afternoons, so 3.5 sits above his career norm. The market also walked this number down from 4.5 earlier in the week, which says the books are less bullish than the raw 2026 catches suggest. Tennessee's inside linebackers, Anthony Hill Jr. and Cody Barton, stay on the field every snap and cover well, and a low-possession, ground-heavy game in bad weather could leave Likely one catch short.

GARY'S PICK

TONY POLLARDRUSHING ATTEMPTS UNDER 15.5

NFLTennessee Titans· -124

Tony Pollard under 15.5 rushing attempts at -124. The line and price: 16 carries beats it, and the under is the favored side at -124. Why I take it. This number asks for more than Pollard has delivered. In 2026 he has 14 carries in the Philadelphia game and 7 against the Jets, 10.5 a game, and across his 2025 games he averaged 14.4 attempts. Pushing past 15.5 means his heaviest workload in over a year. He is also on the report with an ankle issue, limited Thursday before a full Friday, and Tennessee rotates Tyjae Spears and rookie Nick Singleton behind him. The club runs the ball around 20 times a game and spreads those handoffs, and Pollard's share has not reached 16 yet this season. The strongest contrary evidence is the script the market sees. Tennessee is heavily run-oriented, with a pass rate over expected near minus 8 points, and a wet, windy MetLife afternoon argues for even more handoffs. That is likely why this line climbed from 11.5 to 15.5 during the week. If Spears cannot go on his bad ankle, the carries could funnel to Pollard, and the Giants have been generous to running backs, allowing 39 carries for 219 yards and a score across two games. Pollard's own ankle is the same concern that keeps this number live, and a competitive game where the Titans lean on the ground could push him over the top.

GARY'S PICK

EMMETT JOHNSONRUSHING RECEIVING YARDS UNDER 42.5

NFLKansas City Chiefs· -114

Emmett Johnson is the second back in this Kansas City offense, and the usage says so plainly: ten carries and four catches over two games, fourteen touches total, roughly five carries and two targets a game. He played fourteen snaps against Denver and twenty five against Indianapolis while Kenneth Walker handled the heavy work. The season average of 51.5 combined yards per game looks like real production until you find the 44 yard catch against the Broncos inside it. Strip that one play out and he has been a short yardage and checkdown piece. The line asks him to clear 42.5 combined yards tonight, which is a big ask for a depth back on this touch count. The strongest case against me is Miami's run defense. The Dolphins have given up 207 rushing yards and 115 receiving yards to running backs across two games, and that unit has not generated pressure or negative plays. A lopsided score could also hand Johnson extra fourth quarter carries with the game decided. I am treating that as the live risk and keeping the stake modest. Walker is the engine here, Johnson is the change of pace, and at -114 the number sits above what his role has produced.

GARY'S PICK

CHRIS BELLRECEPTIONS UNDER 1.5

NFLMiami Dolphins· -114

Chris Bell has one catch on three targets across two games, and his slice of Miami's passing work is thin. He is on the injury report with a knee, though he has said he expects to play Sunday. The line sits at 1.5 receptions, so he needs two catches to beat me, and he has never drawn more than two targets in a game this season. Kansas City has allowed nineteen catches on thirty three targets to receivers over two games with no touchdowns, so this is not a secondary handing out easy completions underneath. Malik Willis has been pressured on a heavy share of his dropbacks and sacked nine times, which pushes the ball toward De'Von Achane, Malik Washington and the tight ends rather than a rotational rookie wideout. The case against me is Miami's receiver room. Caleb Douglas is out with an ankle injury, Bell plays a starter's share of snaps, and the targets have to go somewhere, so concentration around him is possible. I am also aware a blowout in either direction changes how Miami throws late. Bell's role has been real but small, and at -114 I will take the under on a receiver who has caught one ball in two games.

GARY'S PICK

C.J. STROUDPASSING ATTEMPTS OVER 32.5

NFLHouston Texans· -115

Houston cannot run the ball. Two games in, the Texans are at 92 rushing yards a game, and the Week 2 loss to Cincinnati produced 60 team rushing yards with Montgomery and Marks combining for 18 on 14 carries. Ryans has said the ground game has to change, and it has not. Nico Collins is out again, so the downfield option is gone, and Stroud has answered that by throwing: 55 attempts in Week 2, a career high, and 38 in Week 1. He is at 46.5 attempts a game this season against a 32.5 line. The matchup invites volume. Indianapolis is last in the league in yards allowed per game, yards per play and points allowed, has faced 80 opponent dropbacks in two games, and is giving up 9.8 yards per pass attempt. When a team cannot run and its opponent cannot stop anyone, the quarterback keeps throwing. The number sits below where Stroud has lived, and a one-point spread that I expect Houston to be chasing keeps him in dropback mode all afternoon. The strongest case against me: Stroud averaged 30.6 attempts a game across his 2025 sample, and four of those ten games landed under this line, so the 2026 rate rests on a two-game sample. The Colts are allowing 177 rushing yards a game, and if Houston finally leans on the run against the league's softest front, the attempts could fall into the low 30s. A banged-up Houston line with Trent Brown questionable could also shorten some of these drives.

GARY'S PICK

XAVIER HUTCHINSONRECEPTIONS UNDER 3.5

NFLHouston Texans· -125

Hutchinson is the de facto top receiver with Collins out, and he has run 81% of the snaps and seen 7.5 targets a game. The catches have not followed. He has exactly three receptions in each game, on six targets in Week 1 and nine in Week 2, and that conversion profile lives below this line. The role is established. The efficiency is the problem: 15 targets have produced six catches. Week 2 was already a Collins-out game and the result was still three catches, so the exact scenario I am being asked about has already played out once. The line sits at 3.5, above the three he has posted in both games, and the price asks me to buy a fourth catch from a receiver who has not made one yet. The strongest case against me: Indianapolis is last in the league in pass defense, giving up 353 yards a game and a 73% completion rate to wide receivers, and a 17% target share on a team that may throw 40-plus times could produce four or five catches. If Houston falls behind, the volume rises for everyone, Hutchinson included. He also showed red-zone work in 2025 with five catches inside the 20 and two touchdowns, so a game that turns into a shootout could push him over.

GARY'S PICK

JA'MARR CHASERECEPTIONS UNDER 6.5

NFLCincinnati Bengals· +108

I’m taking under 6.5 receptions at +108. Chase has seven catches across Cincinnati’s two games, with four and nine targets. Pittsburgh has allowed wide receivers 12 catches across its two games, giving me a matchup reason to take the plus price on six or fewer. The strongest case against me is Chase’s established role: he averaged more than eight catches across the ten listed games from last season, and Iosivas going on injured reserve could send more work his way.

GARY'S PICK

ERICK ALL JR.RECEIVING YARDS OVER 6.5

NFLCincinnati Bengals· -109

I’m taking over 6.5 receiving yards at -109. Pittsburgh has given up 70 yards to tight ends on four catches through two games, so one useful gain can clear this line. All drew three targets in his one recorded game, enough involvement for me to take the small number. The strongest case against me is his uncertain role: those two catches gained only five yards, and Gesicki drew seven targets in his recorded game.

GARY'S PICK

EMANUEL WILSONRUSHING YARDS OVER 30.5

NFLSeattle Seahawks· -113

I’ll take over 30.5 rushing yards at -113. Wilson carried 21 times for 92 yards last week, and Seattle is favored by 8.5 against a Washington defense that allowed 1,966 rushing yards to running backs across 17 games last season. A lead gives Wilson a path to enough carries to clear this modest line. The role is the risk: he had only two carries in Week 1, and Jadarian Price has shared the work through Seattle’s first two games.

GARY'S PICK

MARCUS MARIOTAPASSING YARDS OVER 170.5

NFLWashington Commanders· -113

I’ll take over 170.5 passing yards at -113. With Jayden Daniels out, Mariota gets the start rather than another relief appearance. Washington is an 8.5 point home underdog, which gives him a plausible path to more throws, and Seattle will be without safety Julian Love after he played nearly every defensive snap last week. The strongest case against the bet is Seattle’s pass defense: it has allowed only 136.5 passing yards per game through two games. Mariota threw for 111 yards in his lone appearance this season, so the extra volume still has to materialize.

GARY'S PICK

ROMEO DOUBSRECEPTIONS UNDER 3.5

NFLNew England Patriots· -140

I’ll take under 3.5 receptions at -140. Doubs has drawn seven targets in two games and played 67% of New England’s offensive snaps last week. Four catches asks for more volume than his current role has produced. Jacksonville’s pass defense is the strongest case against this pick: it has allowed 20 catches to wide receivers in two games, giving Maye a reason to throw.

GARY'S PICK

BHAYSHUL TUTENRECEPTIONS UNDER 1.5

NFLJacksonville Jaguars· -108

I’ll take under 1.5 receptions at -108. Tuten has three targets across Jacksonville’s two games and played roughly half the offensive snaps last week. His rushing work is clear; the passing work has been sparse. New England has allowed eight catches to running backs in two games, and Tuten caught two passes last week. Those are real paths to a second catch, especially if Jacksonville needs quick throws.

GARY'S PICK

JORDAN ADDISONRECEPTIONS UNDER 3.5

NFLMinnesota Vikings· -160

I’ll take under 3.5 receptions at -160. Addison has drawn seven targets across Minnesota’s first two games, while the Vikings have leaned heavily on the run. He is playing substantial snaps, so this is a call on passing volume and target share, not playing time. The strongest case against me is Kyler Murray’s return: he has barely played in this offense, and a fuller passing game could give Addison more chances. Addison also drew five targets last week.

GARY'S PICK

BAKER MAYFIELDPASSING COMPLETIONS OVER 19.5

NFLTampa Bay Buccaneers· -109

I’ll take over 19.5 completions at -109. Mayfield completed 23 passes in Week 1 and 21 in Week 2. Minnesota’s aggressive blitzing can give him quick throws, and its defense has allowed substantial passing yardage through two games. The strongest objection is the pressure itself: Minnesota has eight sacks and 25 quarterback hits, while Tampa Bay has allowed seven sacks. Drives can end before Mayfield gets enough attempts.

GARY'S PICK

LAMAR JACKSONPASSING COMPLETIONS UNDER 19.5

NFLBaltimore Ravens· -105

I’ll take under 19.5 completions at -105. Baltimore has a clear reason to put the ball in Jackson’s and Derrick Henry’s hands on the ground: Dallas has allowed 173.5 rushing yards per game and has struggled to contain running quarterbacks through two games. Jackson completed 17 and 21 passes in Baltimore’s two games, so I expect the run matchup to keep his passing volume below what this line needs. Dallas has also allowed five passing touchdowns, and its offense can force Baltimore to throw if Prescott builds a lead. Those are the strongest threats to this pick.

GARY'S PICK

RASHOD BATEMANRECEIVING YARDS UNDER 43.5

NFLBaltimore Ravens· -113

I’ll take under 43.5 receiving yards at -113. Bateman is an active Baltimore receiver, but his role has swung sharply in two games: one target and no yards in the opener, then 88 yards against New Orleans with Zay Flowers out. Henry and Jackson have a favorable rushing matchup against Dallas, and Mark Andrews has drawn steady targets, so I do not need Baltimore to lean heavily on Bateman to move the ball. The case against me is substantial. Flowers may sit again, Bateman drew nine targets in that situation last week, and Dallas is without cornerback Cobie Durant.

GARY'S PICK

MICHAEL WILSONRECEIVING YARDS OVER 44.5

NFLArizona Cardinals· -113

I’m taking Wilson over 44.5 receiving yards at -113. He has drawn seven targets in each of Arizona’s two games, and his 56 yards against the Chargers show what that workload can produce. With Nick Bosa and Romello Height out, I expect Brissett to have more chances to find Wilson than he had during last week’s stalled offense. The strongest concern is San Francisco’s pass defense: it has allowed only 182.5 passing yards per game through two games, while Wilson managed 18 yards against Seattle. McBride also remains Brissett’s leading target.

GARY'S PICK

MIKE EVANSRECEIVING YARDS UNDER 55.5

NFLSan Francisco 49ers· -113

I’m taking Evans under 55.5 receiving yards at -113. His role has produced ten targets and 49 and 54 yards across San Francisco’s two games. He intends to play through a hip issue, but I’m reluctant to price in a larger workload today. Purdy has other established options in McCaffrey, Kittle and Deebo Samuel. The strongest case against me is Arizona’s secondary: Will Johnson is on injured reserve, Max Melton is questionable, and opposing wide receivers have gained 329 yards in two games. Purdy’s sharp start gives Evans a clear path to beat this line with a few substantial catches.

GARY'S PICK

TRAVIS ETIENNE JR.RECEPTIONS OVER 1.5

NFLNew Orleans Saints· -132

New Orleans is a pass-first offense right now: 331 passing yards a game against 78 on the ground, and Tyler Shough has done his best work swinging the ball to the outlet when the rush gets home. Etienne has drawn 5.5 targets a game in 2026, a stable figure across both starts, and he has caught 2 passes in one game and 7 in the other. Las Vegas has allowed 7 catches to running backs across two games, 3.5 a game, and the Raiders' pressure package should force exactly the quick throws that make the back the answer. The line sits at 1.5, so one catch in the flow of the offense plus one checkdown on a late third down clears it. The strongest case against is his own health. Etienne is on the injury report with a hamstring and was only a limited participant in practice, so his snaps and routes could shrink, and Alvin Kamara carries an elite touch share of his own out of the same backfield. Two games is a thin read on his 2026 role, and his 2025 season produced only 2.2 catches a game.

GARY'S PICK

KIRK COUSINSRUSHING YARDS OVER 1.5

NFLLas Vegas Raiders· -113

New Orleans has given up 36 rushing yards to quarterbacks over two games, 18 a game, and their front is built to make a veteran move off his spot rather than sit on a sack. Cousins has carried the ball four times and five times in his two starts, and he has been sacked only twice, which tells me he is getting the ball out and still using his legs enough to pick up yards when the pocket closes. The number I need is two rushing yards. One keeper off play action or one scramble on a third down clears it, and the Saints' rush should create that kind of escape lane. The strongest case against: Cousins is a 15th-year pocket passer whose 2026 rushing line reads 1 yard and minus 6 yards, and six games in 2025 produced 7 rushing yards total. Kneel-downs count against him, and if the New Orleans pressure lands the way it did against Baltimore, he takes the sack instead of running for a gain.

GARY'S PICK

RJ HARVEYRUSHING RECEIVING YARDS OVER 42.5

NFLDenver Broncos· -112

The board prices Harvey's rushing and receiving yards together at 42.5, and the over is -112. His one game this season is the entire 2026 sample, and in it he touched the ball seven times against Kansas City for 41 yards, three carries for 18 and four catches for 23, so the line sits just above what a modest workload already produced. The room around him has thinned since. Jonah Coleman went to injured reserve Saturday with an ankle, Ronnie Rivers is on injured reserve with a calf, and J.K. Dobbins is carrying a hip. Harvey has his own questionable tag for a hamstring, though he was on the field for the open portion of Thursday's practice, which reads like a player on track to dress. The Rams have allowed running backs 184 yards on 43 carries and 44 yards on 10 catches across their two games, and Denver's offense has leaned on throws underneath, which is exactly where Harvey's catches came from. The strongest contrary point is the evidence itself: one game with three carries is a thin basis for a role, Dobbins could take the early-down work if the hip holds, and a touch count in the single digits needs one chunk play to clear the number. I am taking the workload growth and the receiving usage over the uncertainty of the tag.

GARY'S PICK

BO NIXPASSING COMPLETIONS OVER 21.5

NFLDenver Broncos· -103

The board lines Nix's completions at 21.5, with the over at -103. He has thrown 31 and 28 attempts across his two games and completed 22 and 17 of them, and his prior season ran above 22 completions a game. The Rams are the stronger offense in this matchup and the spread has them favored on the road, so the game script has Denver throwing to keep pace at home. Los Angeles has been stingy through the air, allowing 168 passing yards a game and a low opponent passer rating, and that is the real risk in this number. If the Rams' own run game controls the clock, Denver's snap count falls and the attempt volume falls with it, and Nix's offense has managed 209.5 yards a game with him at a 41.2 QBR. The two Rams games also came against offenses that did not stress them downfield. I am taking the volume and the negative game script over the quality of the opposing secondary.

Research

882

TEAM RECORDSTL @ MIL
Brewers 8-0 in Jacob Misiorowski's last 8 starts
Milwaukee has won each of Misiorowski’s last 8 starts, which speaks to Brewers results on his turn rather than his individual pitching line. St. Louis is tonight’s opponent, and 8 starts flags a meaningful recent run without explaining its cause. Use it when sizing Milwaukee in the full-game market, not as a pitcher-only angle.
PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ TB
MIN: 12.5 points allowed per game to TB's 28
Minnesota's defense has allowed 12.5 points per game through 2 games, well below its 19.6 mark last season, while Tampa Bay is allowing 28 after 24.2. The gap suggests Minnesota has been better at ending drives and Tampa Bay has left opponents room to score. The sample is 2 games, so use it to judge the early game environment rather than a fixed defensive ceiling.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
RED ZONENE @ JAX
JAX: 75% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 33.3%
Jacksonville has finished red-zone trips far more often through 2 games, while New England's 33.3% is well below its 57.1% rate last season. Jacksonville's 75% is also above its 61.8% mark last season. With only 2 games behind both rates, the matchup is more about which offense turns chances into touchdowns than a settled identity.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PASS RUSHHOU @ IND
IND: 1 sack taken per game to HOU's 3.5
HOU is at 3.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; IND is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 2.58 over 17 games and IND at 2.07 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
RED ZONEHOU @ IND
IND: 83.3% red-zone scoring rate to HOU's 44.4%
Indianapolis has cashed in when it reaches the red zone, while Houston has left more scoring chances unfinished. It is a 2-game sample, though Indianapolis is above its 65.2% last-season rate and Houston sits close to 46.3%. The key game-state angle is whether Houston can create enough red-zone trips to offset Indianapolis finishing more of its own.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSARI @ SF
SF: 6.85 yards per play to ARI's 4.35
San Francisco's offense has created far more per snap through 2 games, while Arizona had no play of 20+ yards in its last game. Brock Purdy connected with George Kittle for 40-yard and 26-yard passes, and with Mike Evans for 27 yards. Arizona needs to limit chunk plays, though 2 games is too little to lock either offense into this profile.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 15 points allowed per game to DET's 35.5
The Jets have allowed far less scoring through 2 games, a sharp change from 29.6 points allowed per game last season. Detroit has allowed 35.5, above its 24.3 last-season figure, so the matchup pits New York's early defensive control against a defense allowing points. If the Jets sustain that resistance, Detroit may have to win with fewer easy scoring possessions.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
TRENCHESPHI @ CHI
CHI: 212.5 rushing yards per game to PHI's 112.5
Chicago is running for 212.5 yards per game through 2 games after averaging 144.5 last season, while Philadelphia is at 112.5 after 116.9. Chicago's jump is the larger change and points to an offense that has controlled games on the ground early. The 2-game sample can move quickly, but Philadelphia's ability to limit rushing production shapes the style of this matchup.
RED ZONECAR @ CLE
CAR: 70% red-zone scoring rate to CLE's 20%
Carolina has finished drives far more often near the goal line, while Cleveland has converted only 20% of its red-zone chances. Both rates come from 2 games, and Carolina is above its 53.3% last season while Cleveland is well below 52.6%. Red-zone results can swing quickly, so the useful angle is whether Cleveland gets enough trips to overcome the finishing gap.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ PIT
CIN: 26.5 points per game to PIT's 11.5
Cincinnati has opened with a much stronger scoring pace, while Pittsburgh is well below its 23.4 points per game last season. Cincinnati's 26.5 is also above its 24.4 last-season number, but this is a 2-game sample. The useful matchup lens is whether Pittsburgh can slow the game enough to keep Cincinnati from turning its early scoring edge into a volume edge.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAC @ BUF
BUF: 7.2 yards per play to LAC's 5.15
Buffalo is creating far more yardage on each snap, which points to an offense finding explosive plays rather than living on long drives. The 2-game sample includes 7 plays of 20+ yards for Buffalo in its last game, while Los Angeles had 1, led by a 53-yard pass to Tre' Harris. Buffalo's 7.2 is above 5.94 last season, so explosive-play volume is the pressure point for Los Angeles.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ BUF
BUF: 38.5 points per game to LAC's 14
Buffalo is turning drives into points at a far higher rate, while the Chargers have opened well below their 21.6 points per game last season. This is only 2 games, though Buffalo's 38.5 also sits above its 28.3 last-season mark. The scoring gap matters most if Los Angeles cannot keep the game close enough to limit Buffalo's offensive volume.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ NYG
NYG: 32:03 time of possession per game to TEN's 22:25
The Giants have held the ball far longer, which means Tennessee has had far less time to build offensive rhythm. Both figures cover 2 games, with Tennessee down from 29:08 last season and New York slightly above 30:58. Possession is the central game-flow variable if the Giants keep extending drives and limiting Tennessee's chances.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
SITUATIONALKC @ MIA
KC: 271.5 team passing yards per game to MIA's 183.5
Kansas City has produced more through the air, while Miami's passing output is only slightly above its 180.5 mark last season. Kansas City's 271.5 is well above 214.1 last season, though both numbers cover 2 games. The matchup can swing on whether Miami can keep Kansas City from pairing its passing production with its strong rushing output.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
SITUATIONALHOU @ IND
HOU: 285.5 team passing yards per game to IND's 179.5
Houston has opened with much more passing production, while Indianapolis is below its 227.8 per game last season. Houston's 285.5 is also well above 218.1 last season, but both marks cover 2 games. The matchup favors the side that can keep its preferred passing rhythm and force the other offense to chase through the air.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ SF
SF: 31 points per game to ARI's 16.5
San Francisco is scoring at a higher rate than last season through 2 games, while Arizona is below its own 20.9 points per game from last season. That creates a game script where Arizona may need to keep pace with an offense producing 31 points per game. The 2-game sample leaves room for both numbers to shift.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ SF
SF: 10 points allowed per game to ARI's 22.5
ARI is at 22.5 points allowed per game over 2 games; SF is at 10 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ CLE
CAR: 35.5 points per game to CLE's 16.5
Carolina is scoring at nearly double Cleveland's rate through 2 games, with its 35.5 far above 18.3 last season. Cleveland's 16.5 is almost identical to its 16.4 last-season mark, so the early change is mostly on Carolina's side. This matchup turns on whether Carolina's scoring surge can dictate the pace before Cleveland settles into its usual output.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PACE & SCRIPTKC @ MIA
KC: 32 points per game to MIA's 13
Kansas City is scoring far more often through 2 games, while Miami has opened below its 20.4 points per game last season. Kansas City's 32 is also above its 21.3 last-season rate, so both sides have moved in opposite directions early. That gap matters if Miami cannot generate enough offense to keep Kansas City from controlling the game's pace.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PACE & SCRIPTSEA @ WSH
SEA: 8.5 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5
Seattle has allowed far less than Washington through 2 games, and both teams are ahead of last season's defensive scoring pace. Seattle gave up 17.2 points per game last season, while Washington allowed 26.5. The early gap frames this game around whether Seattle can keep Washington from turning possessions into scoring chances.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
SITUATIONALCAR @ CLE
CAR: 312.5 team passing yards per game to CLE's 204
Carolina has opened with a passing attack that produces far more per game than Cleveland's, a major shift from last season's 179.3. Cleveland is also above its 165.2 last-season number, but trails well behind after 2 games. The gap can matter if Carolina keeps the game in a pass-heavy script and makes Cleveland match its pace.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
SITUATIONALCIN @ PIT
CIN: 44.8% third-down conversion rate to PIT's 20%
Cincinnati has kept drives alive at about last season's level, while Pittsburgh's 20% rate is far below its 40% mark last season. Both samples cover 2 games, so the Steelers' number can move quickly. This matchup pits a steady chain-moving offense against a defense that benefits if it can force early stops.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
SITUATIONALKC @ MIA
KC: 24 first downs per game to MIA's 13
KC is at 24 first downs per game over 2 games; MIA is at 13 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 19.8 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
SITUATIONALMIN @ TB
MIN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 0%
MIN is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; TB is at 0% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and TB at 44.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
HEAD-TO-HEADSTL @ MIL
Brewers are 10-2 vs Cardinals this season
Milwaukee has controlled this season series, though the latest 3-2 win shows the games can stay close. The 12-game sample gives the Brewers a stronger backdrop than one result, but the facts offer no matchup reason behind it. Let the series record support Milwaukee’s game-level case without assuming the same edge automatically repeats.
COVERAGECIN @ PIT
PIT: 154.5 passing yards allowed per game to CIN's 253.5
Pittsburgh has allowed less passing production than Cincinnati through 2 games, while Cincinnati has given up more through the air. That is a two-game sample without opponent or game-script context, so the gap can move quickly. In this matchup, use it to frame passing-volume expectations rather than label either secondary.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
TURNOVERSCAR @ CLE
CAR: 3 takeaways per game to CLE's 0.5
Carolina has created takeaways at a much higher rate than Cleveland through 2 games. Turnovers can swing sharply in a two-game sample, and there is no opponent or quarterback context here to show how repeatable the gap is. For this game, give the takeaway edge weight when judging possession volatility, not as a stable team identity yet.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
RED ZONECAR @ CLE
CLE: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 100%
Cleveland has allowed fewer red-zone scores than Carolina through 2 games, while Carolina has allowed scores on every red-zone trip. Red-zone results are based on few possessions in a two-game sample, and the sheet gives no opponent context. In this matchup, use the gap to frame finishing chances rather than assume either defense owns the red zone.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
RED ZONEARI @ SF
SF: 20% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 62.5%
San Francisco has allowed red-zone scores on 20% of trips, compared with Arizona's 62.5%. Each defense has played 2 games, leaving very few goal-line possessions behind either rate. The early split favors San Francisco near the goal line, though red-zone scoring can swing sharply on a small set of drives.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PASS RUSHKC @ MIA
KC: 2 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0
Kansas City has produced sacks through 2 games, while Miami has none. A two-game sack total can be shaped by a handful of passing situations, and there is no opponent or pressure context to show whether it will hold. In this matchup, use the difference to assess passing-game disruption and how often each offense may face long downs.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PASS RUSHLV @ NO
LV: 4 sacks recorded per game to NO's 2
Las Vegas has recorded 4 sacks per game, while New Orleans has recorded 2. Both defenses have only 2 games behind those rates, so the gap can shift on a few successful rushes. Las Vegas brings the stronger early sack profile, while pressure markets need caution when the sample is this short.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PASS RUSHLAC @ BUF
BUF: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to LAC's 1.5
Buffalo's pass rush has produced more sacks through 2 games than the Chargers' has. Two games can turn on a few high-leverage dropbacks, and this sheet offers no opponent or pressure context to explain the difference. For this matchup, sacks are a reason to check passing-game risk, not a standalone case for either side.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PASS RUSHMIN @ TB
MIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to TB's 1.5
Minnesota has recorded 4 sacks per game, against Tampa Bay's 1.5. Both rates come from 2 games, so a handful of pressure plays has a large effect on the comparison. Minnesota has supplied the stronger early pass-rush signal, but sack totals are a thin base for judging how this matchup will play.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
MISMATCHNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 15 points allowed a game to DET's 35.5
The Jets have allowed 15 points a game over 2 games, while Detroit has allowed 35.5. New York is well below its 29.6 points allowed last season, but Detroit has risen from 24.3, making both numbers early-sample moves. Detroit needs to keep this from becoming a game where the Jets can play from ahead, because New York's early defensive edge gives it more room to control pace.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
MISMATCHKC @ MIA
KC: 186 rush yards a game to MIA's 88
Kansas City is running for 186 yards a game through 2 games, while Miami is at 88. Kansas City has surged from 106.6 rushing yards last season, and Miami has dropped from 120.2, though each figure comes from only 2 games. The Chiefs can use the ground game to keep drives moving and shorten Miami's opportunities; Miami needs its own rushing output to avoid a one-sided possession battle.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
MISMATCHATL @ GB
ATL: 173 rush yards a game to GB's 48.7
Atlanta has run for 173 yards a game through 3 games, while Green Bay is at 48.7. Atlanta is well above its 125.8-yard mark from last season, and Green Bay is far below its 119.8, so both sides have moved sharply in a short sample. The Falcons can lean on the run to control possessions; Green Bay needs its ground game to stay involved so Atlanta cannot dictate the pace.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
MISMATCHLV @ NO
LV: 1 sacks taken a game to NO's 4
Las Vegas has taken 1 sack a game through 2 games, while New Orleans has taken 4. Las Vegas was at 4 sacks a game last season, so its protection has improved sharply early, while New Orleans is above its 3.06 rate. The Raiders can keep their offense on schedule if they protect the quarterback; New Orleans needs to reduce negative plays to avoid stalled drives.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
MISMATCHPHI @ CHI
CHI: 212.5 rush yards a game to PHI's 112.5
Chicago is running for 212.5 yards a game through 2 games, while Philadelphia is at 112.5. Chicago has jumped from 144.5 rushing yards last season, while Philadelphia is near its 116.9 mark, so the Bears' surge carries the bigger small-sample warning. Chicago can use that ground output to control possessions; Philadelphia needs its run game to keep the Bears from dictating the game's pace.
MISMATCHBAL @ DAL
DAL: 68.2% on third down to BAL's 38.9%
Dallas has converted 68.2% of its third downs through 2 games, compared with 38.9% for Baltimore. Dallas was at 41.1% last season and Baltimore at 40.9%, which makes Dallas's current rate a major 2-game spike. Dallas can keep drives alive if that carries over; Baltimore needs to win enough third downs to keep Dallas from controlling possession and scoring chances.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
MISMATCHARI @ SF
SF: 6.85 yards a snap to ARI's 4.35
The widest gap between these two is yards a snap: ARI averaged 4.35 yards a snap on offense over 2 games; SF averaged 6.85 yards a snap on offense over 2 games this season. Last season ARI was at 5.18 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
MISMATCHCIN @ PIT
CIN: 44.8% on third down to PIT's 20%
Cincinnati has converted 44.8% of its third downs through 2 games, while Pittsburgh is at 20%. Cincinnati is close to its 43.4% rate last season, but Pittsburgh has fallen from 40%, which makes its early number the less stable one. Cincinnati can extend drives and limit Pittsburgh's chances; Pittsburgh needs to get back on schedule on third down to keep the possession gap from growing.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
MISMATCHTEN @ NYG
NYG: 32:03 of possession a game to TEN's 22:25
The Giants are holding the ball for 32:03 a game through 2 games, while Tennessee is at 22:25. New York is slightly above its 30:58 mark last season, but Tennessee has fallen sharply from 29:08. The Giants have the early edge in controlling how many possessions this game has, and Tennessee needs longer drives to keep New York from setting the pace.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
MISMATCHCAR @ CLE
CAR: 312.5 pass yards a game to CLE's 204
Carolina is throwing for 312.5 yards a game through 2 games, well ahead of Cleveland's 204. Carolina was at 179.3 last season and Cleveland at 165.2, so the gap reflects a fast start rather than a long-established identity. Cleveland needs to avoid letting Carolina's passing game control the game flow, while bettors can focus on whether that 2-game volume holds against this opponent.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
MISMATCHLAC @ BUF
BUF: 0 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.5
Buffalo has not turned the ball over in 2 games, while the Chargers have given it away 2.5 times a game. That is a major early reversal for Los Angeles after 1.24 turnovers a game last season, while Buffalo was at 1.12. The Chargers need cleaner possessions to keep this from becoming a field-position game, because extra Buffalo drives can shape both scoring chances and tempo.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
MISMATCHMIN @ TB
MIN: 0.5 turnovers a game to TB's 2.5
Minnesota has committed 0.5 turnovers a game through 2 games, while Tampa Bay is at 2.5. Minnesota was at 1.76 turnovers a game last season, while Tampa Bay was at 0.94, so both teams have moved dramatically in opposite directions. Tampa Bay needs to stop handing Minnesota extra possessions, because Minnesota's early ball security can turn a close game into a field-position edge.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
MISMATCHSEA @ WSH
SEA: 8.5 points allowed a game to WSH's 30.5
Seattle has allowed 8.5 points a game through 2 games, compared with 30.5 for Washington. Seattle is below its 17.2 points allowed last season, while Washington remains above its 26.5, so the gap is large but built on a short sample. Washington needs to avoid falling behind early, because Seattle's defense has given opponents very little room to chase games so far.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
MISMATCHNE @ JAX
JAX: 0.5 turnovers a game to NE's 2.5
Jacksonville has committed 0.5 turnovers a game through 2 games, while New England is at 2.5. Jacksonville is below its 1.06 turnover rate last season, but New England has climbed sharply from 0.94, making ball security the obvious early split. New England needs to protect possessions to prevent Jacksonville from gaining extra drives and field position, a factor that can swing game script quickly.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
MISMATCHHOU @ IND
HOU: 285.5 pass yards a game to IND's 179.5
Houston is throwing for 285.5 yards a game through 2 games, compared with 179.5 for Indianapolis. Houston has jumped from 218.1 passing yards last season, while Indianapolis has fallen from 227.8, so the gap is new and based on limited evidence. The Texans can press their passing advantage if it continues; Indianapolis needs enough offense to prevent Houston from owning the game through the air.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Jaylen Watson (CB) is out for LAR
Watson is out for the rest of Sunday night with a shoulder injury, so the Rams will finish the game without one of their cornerbacks. The injury happened during this matchup with Denver, making this an in-game adjustment for Los Angeles' secondary. Denver can test the replacement coverage as the Rams sort out the snaps Watson would have handled.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
TRENCHESATL @ GB
ATL: 47.7 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 138.7
Atlanta has limited rushing production through 3 games, while Green Bay has allowed far more on the ground. The gap has no opponent or game-script context here, so it is a small early signal rather than a full defensive verdict. In this matchup, compare each side's rushing expectations with those short samples before leaning on the split.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
TRENCHESHOU @ IND
HOU: 85.5 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 177
Houston has allowed less rushing production than Indianapolis through 2 games, while Indianapolis has been easier to run on early. With only 2 games and no opponent or game-script detail, the gap has limited proof behind it. In this matchup, it is a useful prompt to examine rushing volume and whether either offense can control the game on the ground.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
TRENCHESCAR @ CLE
CLE: 131.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 224
Cleveland has allowed less rushing production than Carolina through 2 games, while Carolina's number points to a defense that has been easier to run on early. The sample is only 2 games, with no opponent or game-script detail to show whether either result travels. The matchup makes rushing volume and efficiency worth separating from the raw split.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
TRENCHESNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 65.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DET's 147
The Jets have allowed little on the ground through 2 games, while Detroit has allowed more rushing production. The sample is only 2 games and lacks opponent or game-script context, so it does not settle either run defense. In this matchup, the gap is useful for sizing the value of rushing volume versus a passing-heavy game.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
TRENCHESBAL @ DAL
BAL: 83.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 173.5
Baltimore has allowed 83.5 rushing yards per game, while Dallas has allowed 173.5. The difference is based on 2 games for each defense, with no detail here on the run games or game scripts they faced. Baltimore has the better early run-defense number, though yards allowed can move quickly with opponent volume and score.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
COVERAGEKC @ MIA
KC: 4.45 yards per play allowed to MIA's 6.05
Kansas City has allowed fewer yards per play than Miami through 2 games, a broad sign that opponents have found less efficiency against the Chiefs. It is only 2 games, with no opponent or game-script context to explain the split. In this matchup, use it to judge whether Miami's offense can maintain efficient drives rather than focus on one stat line.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
COVERAGESEA @ WSH
SEA: 3.65 yards per play allowed to WSH's 6.05
Seattle has held opponents to fewer yards per play than Washington through 2 games, a broad early edge in defensive efficiency. Two games leave room for major movement, and the sheet gives no opponent or game-script context behind either result. In this matchup, use the split to judge whether either offense can keep drives efficient from snap to snap.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
TURNOVERSLV @ NO
LV: 2.5 takeaways per game to NO's 1
Las Vegas has produced 2.5 takeaways per game, compared with 1 for New Orleans. Those totals span 2 games, and turnovers can turn on a small number of plays. Las Vegas has created more disruption so far, but turnover production is a volatile input when sizing any matchup angle.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
COVERAGENYJ @ DET
NYJ: 4 yards per play allowed to DET's 6
The Jets have held opponents to fewer yards per play through 2 games than Detroit. Yards per play captures overall efficiency, though 2 games and no opponent context leave plenty of room for the numbers to move. For this matchup, use the split as a check on whether either offense can sustain efficient drives.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
COVERAGENYJ @ DET
NYJ: 23.8% third downs allowed to DET's 58.6%
NYJ is at 23.8% third downs allowed over 2 games; DET is at 58.6% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
COVERAGETEN @ NYG
TEN: 43.3% third downs allowed to NYG's 65%
Tennessee has allowed fewer third-down conversions than the Giants through 2 games, while New York's defense has struggled to get off the field early. The sample is only 2 games, and no opponent or down-and-distance context explains the difference. In this matchup, extended drives are the clearest way this split can affect scoring chances and possession.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
COVERAGEKC @ MIA
KC: 29.2% third downs allowed to MIA's 50%
Kansas City has allowed fewer third-down conversions than Miami through 2 games, giving the Chiefs an early edge at getting off the field. Third down is volatile in a two-game sample, and the sheet gives no opponent or down-and-distance context. For this matchup, the gap matters when weighing which offense can extend possessions.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
COVERAGESEA @ WSH
SEA: 124.5 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 224
Seattle has allowed less passing production than Washington through 2 games, while Washington has given up far more through the air. The sample is only 2 games and comes without opponent or game-script context, which limits how firmly the split can be trusted. In this matchup, passing volume is where the early defensive difference has the clearest relevance.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
COVERAGESEA @ WSH
SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to WSH's 52%
Seattle has allowed conversions on 28.6% of third downs, while Washington has allowed 52%. Both marks come from 2 games, so the gap describes a fast start more than a settled defensive identity. Seattle has the early edge in getting off the field, but third-down markets need room for that small sample to move.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
COVERAGEBAL @ DAL
BAL: 44% third downs allowed to DAL's 68%
Baltimore has allowed a 44% third-down conversion rate, compared with 68% for Dallas. Each figure covers 2 games, so the contrast comes from a short run of third-down situations. Baltimore has been better at ending drives early, while this is too small a sample to assume either rate will stay in place.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Tyson Bagent (QB) is questionable for CHI
Bagent is questionable, though he cleared concussion protocol Sunday and is set to be Chicago's No. 2 quarterback for Week 3 against Philadelphia. That puts him behind the starter unless an in-game emergency changes the depth chart. His availability mainly matters as quarterback insurance for the Bears.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Fred Johnson (OT) is out for PHI
This says Fred Johnson does not play Monday against the Bears. The sheet lists a knee, reported Sep 26, and nothing about how long he is out, so the read is one game for the Philadelphia offensive line. An offensive tackle out means the next man up holds that edge in pass protection and the run game, and line play tends to slip when a tackle is swapped in. With only the injury and the matchup here, the useful part for a bettor is that the protection could be softer than usual against Chicago.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Dallas Goedert (TE) is out for PHI
Goedert is out for the Eagles on Monday at Chicago with a knee injury. He is the starting tight end, so his routes and red-zone looks go to the backup. Ruled out on Sep 26, he has no path to play Monday. Tight end depth is thin for most teams, so the drop in production tends to be steeper than at receiver.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Hollywood Brown (WR) is out for PHI
Brown is out for the Eagles on Monday at Chicago with an ankle injury. He is a starting receiver, so his snaps and targets pass to the next man in the rotation. The call came Sep 26, two days before kickoff, which leaves no path back for Monday. Losing a top pass catcher can nudge a team total, so it matters for anyone weighing the Eagles.
TURNOVERSPHI @ CHI
CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to PHI's 0
Chicago has produced 1.5 takeaways per game, while Philadelphia has produced none. The comparison covers 2 games for each defense, leaving very little turnover volume to establish a durable edge. Chicago has made more game-changing plays early, but a zero or a small total can reverse quickly in the next matchup.
TURNOVERSMIN @ TB
MIN: 2 takeaways per game to TB's 0.5
Minnesota has produced 2 takeaways per game, while Tampa Bay has produced 0.5. That is only 2 games of turnover chances, and takeaways depend heavily on a few loose balls and errant throws. Minnesota owns the stronger early disruption profile, while turnover-based angles carry more volatility than the raw gap suggests.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
TURNOVERSSEA @ WSH
SEA: 2 takeaways per game to WSH's 0
SEA is at 2 takeaways per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI
Williams will not play for Chicago with a Grade 2 hamstring strain, an injury the doctors place at three to four weeks. That is the Bears without their quarterback for Monday's game against the Eagles and for weeks after. Out carries real length here.
COVERAGENYJ @ DET
NYJ: 131.5 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 310.5
The Jets have kept passing production low through 2 games, while Detroit has allowed much more through the air. That is only 2 games, and no opposing pass-game context explains whether either number reflects the defenses or the schedules. For this matchup, the split matters most when judging how much passing volume each side may need.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PASS RUSHHOU @ IND
IND: 8.5 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 28
HOU is at 28 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; IND is at 8.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 20.8 over 17 games and IND at 15.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PACE & SCRIPTKC @ MIA
KC: 72.5 offensive plays per game to MIA's 53
KC is at 72.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; MIA is at 53 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 62.4 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
TEAM RECORDLAA @ SEA
Angels 1-7 in Yusei Kikuchi's last 8 starts
The Angels have won only once in Kikuchi’s last 8 starts and have lost 3 straight in his outings. Seattle is tonight’s opponent, and this is a team-result trend rather than a measure of Kikuchi alone. It belongs in the full-game view of Los Angeles, especially when deciding how much faith to place in its recent results.
MISMATCHLAR @ DEN
LAR: 142.5 rush yards a game to DEN's 82.5
The Rams are running for 142.5 yards a game through 2 games, compared with 82.5 for Denver. Los Angeles is above its 126.6-yard mark last season, while Denver has fallen from 118.7, though both early numbers come from 2 games. The Rams can lean on the run to extend drives and control tempo; Denver needs more ground production to keep the game from tilting toward Los Angeles's preferred pace.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
HEAD-TO-HEADBAL @ NYY
Yankees are 9-3 vs Orioles this season
New York has taken 9 of 12 from Baltimore this season, while the latest 6-3 result also went to the Yankees. That is a clear series edge across more than a few meetings, though the facts do not identify why it exists. Use the history as favorable context for New York at home, not as a substitute for tonight’s matchup details.
HEAD-TO-HEADATL @ MIA
Braves are 9-3 vs Marlins this season
Atlanta has won 9 of 12 from Miami, and the latest meeting was an 8-3 Braves win. The season series shows a steady edge, though the supplied results do not identify the pitching, lineup, or other factors behind it. Give Atlanta credit for the larger series sample without assuming it guarantees the same result in Miami.
PACE & SCRIPTKC @ MIA
KC: 35:21 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:40
KC is at 35:21 time of possession per game over 2 games; MIA is at 27:40 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 30:09 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
TURNOVERSATL @ GB
GB: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to ATL's 2.67
ATL is at 2.67 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; GB is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 1.06 over 17 games and GB at 0.76 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PASS RUSHBAL @ DAL
DAL: 6.5 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 25.5
Dallas has kept sack damage low through 2 games, while Baltimore has lost far more yardage on sacks than its 17.2 from last season. Dallas is also below its 16 from last season. Baltimore's passing game has less room for error in Dallas if that pressure-related gap continues, though 2 games can distort sack results.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
HEAT CHECKARI @ SD
Nolan Arenado: 1.400 OPS in Last 15 Days
Arenado’s recent production has been far above his .803 season mark, with 30 home runs showing the power is real. The surge covers 49 AB in the last 15 days, so it can shift quickly. For hitter markets, weigh the current contact and power against the much larger season baseline.
P 1-for-3, 2 TB
PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ DET
DET: 31 points per game to NYJ's 20
Detroit has produced points at a higher level through 2 games, while the Jets are above their 17.6 from last season but still well behind Detroit. Detroit is also above its 28.3 from last season. The scoring gap gives Detroit the stronger early offensive profile, though 2 games is a short base for judging a total or game script.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PACE & SCRIPTKC @ MIA
KC: 20 points allowed per game to MIA's 31
KC is at 20 points allowed per game over 2 games; MIA is at 31 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
COVERAGEMIN @ TB
MIN: 29.6% third downs allowed to TB's 48.1%
Minnesota has allowed conversions on 29.6% of third downs, while Tampa Bay has allowed 48.1%. Both defenses have played 2 games, so the early separation rests on a limited set of third-down snaps. Minnesota has been more effective at getting off the field, but this rate is likely to move as the sample grows.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI
Barkley is questionable with a stinger, though he took part in the open portion of Friday's practice. His status remains unsettled for Chicago, with his practice involvement offering the main positive signal available.
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
J.K. Dobbins (RB) is questionable for DEN
Questionable for the Rams game means Dobbins has a real shot, and a hip injury still had him on the field for the media-access part of Thursday's practice. He is Denver's lead back, so his status decides the carry split. A practice appearance on Sep 24 keeps him trending toward playing, with the designation still the final word. If he sits, the touches go to the backup and the rushing plan changes.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
RED ZONECAR @ CLE
CAR: 5 red-zone trips per game to CLE's 2.5
CAR is at 5 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; CLE is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 2.65 over 17 games and CLE at 2.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Jordan Whittington (WR) is questionable for LAR
Questionable with a quadriceps means Jordan Whittington could play, but a limited practice Thursday leaves him short of cleared. He is a Rams receiver, and if he sits, his snaps move to the next name on the depth chart and the passing game thins behind the top targets. Quad injuries are hard on receivers who cut and accelerate, so the tag is a real question mark. For this game at Denver, the angle is how many receivers the Rams can throw at the defense.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Will Shipley (RB) is questionable for PHI
Shipley (foot) was a limited participant in Friday's practice. Reported Sep 26.
REPLACEMENTCAR @ CLE
Jalen Coker (WR) is questionable for CAR
Coker is questionable with a quadriceps injury, but he does not believe it is serious. The report offers no practice update or replacement workload, so his game status remains the key detail for Carolina at Cleveland. Bettors should wait for the inactive list before assigning any target shift.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Tank Bigsby (RB) is questionable for PHI
Bigsby (abdomen) was limited at practice Friday. Reported Sep 25.
REPLACEMENTMIN @ TB
Justin Jefferson (WR) is questionable for MIN
Jefferson injured his ankle in Sunday’s 23-16 win over Tampa Bay and nearly returned, which suggests Minnesota was managing the injury rather than ruling him out immediately. Questionable leaves his availability for this game unresolved, so his status is likely to move with practice and pregame updates.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI
Smith (hamstring) is participating in Saturday's practice, Dave Zangaro of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports. Reported Sep 26.
TRENCHESPHI @ CHI
CHI: 5.9 yards per rush attempt to PHI's 4.1
Chicago has gained far more per rush through 2 games, while Philadelphia is essentially at its 4.14 from last season. Chicago is above its 4.75 from last season. That gives Chicago an early ground-game advantage against Philadelphia, but 2 games leaves plenty of room for the efficiency gap to tighten.
PACE & SCRIPTATL @ GB
ATL: 32:54 time of possession per game to GB's 25:38
ATL is at 32:54 time of possession per game over 3 games; GB is at 25:38 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 30:00 over 17 games and GB at 29:48 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI
Monangai (knee) was listed as a DNP on Thursday's practice estimate. Reported Sep 24.
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCAR @ CLE
CAR: 6.7 yards per play to CLE's 5.25
Carolina has created more per snap through 2 games, with Bryce Young connecting with Xavier Legette and Tetairoa McMillan on long plays in its last game. Carolina is well above its 4.92 from last season, while Cleveland is above its 4.33. Big plays are lifting the early number, so this matchup tests whether Carolina can keep finding explosives in Cleveland.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Ty Simpson (QB) is inactive for LAR
Simpson is inactive by coach's decision for the Rams at Denver, though he will be available as the emergency third quarterback. He has no regular active role for this game. The Rams' quarterback depth only changes if their first two options cannot continue.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
RJ Harvey (RB) is questionable for DEN
Harvey is questionable with a hamstring injury after appearing at Thursday's media-access practice. A field appearance shows some participation, not a clear game designation or workload outlook for Denver against the Rams. Bettors should wait for the final status before pricing his role in the backfield.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
COOLING OFFTB @ PHI
Yandy Diaz: .311 OPS in Last 15 Days
Diaz has had little recent offensive impact across 49 AB in the last 15 days, well below his season level. That is enough volume to matter, while his broader season mark leaves room for the number to rebound. In Philadelphia, recent form can lower expectations for hitter markets without replacing the season baseline.
PARK WEATHERBAL @ NYY
Wind blowing in 17 mph at Yankee Stadium tonight
Conditions at Yankee Stadium: Overcast, 65°, wind 17 mph, In From LF. That wind knocks down anything hit in the air. The total sits at 7.5.
PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NO
LV: 13.5 points allowed per game to NO's 24
LV is at 13.5 points allowed per game over 2 games; NO is at 24 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LV was at 25.4 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PLATOON EDGECOL @ CHW
Randal Grichuk (bats R) gets a LHP from the 1st spot
Randal Grichuk's vs. Left line (1.016 OPS, 161 AB) sits well above his .655 mark the other way (97 AB). Tonight's starter Kyle Freeland throws LHP, the hand he hits best.
P 1-for-3, 4 TB
STREAKARI @ SD
ARI have won 6 straight
Arizona has won six straight and outscored opponents by 24 runs, with a 7-3 mark over its last 10. That is a strong recent run, though the sheet gives no opponent-by-opponent detail to explain it. At San Diego, the streak supplies current form, not a matchup edge on its own.
P team lost 4-9
PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ IND
HOU: 75.5 offensive plays per game to IND's 58
HOU is at 75.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; IND is at 58 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 64 over 17 games and IND at 59.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAR @ DEN
LAR: 6.55 yards per play to DEN's 5.15
The Rams have been far more efficient per snap through 2 games and are above their 6.15 from last season. Denver sits below its 5.32 from last season. Los Angeles has the early edge in sustaining productive offense, but 2 games can be shaped by opponents and a few explosive plays.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
COVERAGENE @ JAX
NE: 4.7 yards per play allowed to JAX's 6.1
New England has allowed 4.7 yards per play, compared with 6.1 for Jacksonville. Each mark comes from 2 games, so the gap captures an early efficiency split rather than a full defensive profile. New England has limited opposing plays better so far, while yards-per-play angles need context that this fact sheet does not provide.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBAL @ DAL
BAL: 6.75 yards per play to DAL's 5.4
Baltimore has been much more efficient per snap through 2 games and is above its 5.92 from last season. Dallas is below its 5.96 from last season. That puts Baltimore's offense in a strong early position against a Dallas unit producing less per play, though 2 games is a small sample for either side.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
HEAT CHECKPIT @ DET
Spencer Torkelson: 1.332 OPS in Last 15 Days
Torkelson has hit far better over 41 AB in the last 15 days than his .766 season baseline, and 26 home runs provide power context. The recent sample is short and can change fast. For a 1.5 total-bases line, compare the hot stretch with the season record before deciding how much extra weight it deserves.
P 0-for-1, 0 TB
SITUATIONALSEA @ WSH
SEA: 7.65 yards per pass attempt to WSH's 5.3
Seattle has generated far more per pass attempt through 2 games, though it remains below its 8.01 from last season. Washington is below its 6.41 from last season. Seattle's passing game has the cleaner early profile for this matchup, but the 2-game sample leaves the gap vulnerable to a quick correction.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PLATOON EDGENYM @ WSH
Brady House (bats R) gets a LHP from the 3rd spot
Brady House's vs. Left line (.989 OPS, 98 AB) sits well above his .579 mark the other way (216 AB). Tonight's starter Sean Manaea throws LHP, the hand he hits best.
P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB
COVERAGEHOU @ IND
HOU: 252.5 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 337.5
Houston has allowed 252.5 passing yards per game, while Indianapolis has allowed 337.5. Both numbers cover 2 games, with no detail here on pass volume, opposing quarterbacks or game script. Houston has the lower early passing-yards figure, though yardage allowed can change fast when opponents throw more often.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
SITUATIONALPHI @ CHI
PHI: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 50%
Philadelphia has converted every fourth-down try through 2 games, a sharp rise from 52.4% last season. Chicago is at 50%, close to its 51.7 from last season. The sample is only 2 games, but Philadelphia's fourth-down success can keep drives alive and add pressure to Chicago's defense.
RED ZONEATL @ GB
GB: 4 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 1.67
ATL is at 1.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; GB is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 2.94 over 17 games and GB at 3.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
RED ZONEATL @ GB
ATL: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 83.3%
ATL is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; GB is at 83.3% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 38:13 time of possession per game to DET's 31:33
NYJ is at 38:13 time of possession per game over 2 games; DET is at 31:33 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 28:15 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
TURNOVERSATL @ GB
GB: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 2
ATL is at 2 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; GB is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 0.47 over 17 games and GB at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
SITUATIONALTEN @ NYG
TEN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NYG's 50%
Tennessee has converted every fourth-down try through 2 games, a major jump from 45.7% last season. The Giants are at 50%, close to their 46.2 from last season. Fourth-down rates often come down to a handful of plays, but Tennessee's aggression can extend drives and change scoring chances in this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
T.J. Sanders
Illness · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Chig Okonkwo
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Rico Dowdle
Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Jalen Coker
Ankle · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
HEAD-TO-HEADLAD @ SF
Dodgers are 8-4 vs Giants this season
Los Angeles has won 8 of 12 from San Francisco, though the latest 4-3 Dodgers win was much tighter than the full series record. The 12 games support a Dodgers edge, with four Giants wins showing it has not been one-sided. Use that history as context in San Francisco, where the facts give little detail on tonight’s matchup.
TEAM RECORDCHC @ BOS
Cubs 6-2 in Shota Imanaga's last 8 starts
Cubs are 6-2 in Shota Imanaga's last 8 starts this season. He starts tonight.
TEAM RECORDATL @ MIA
Braves 2-6 in JR Ritchie's last 8 starts
Atlanta has won only 2 of Ritchie’s last 8 starts, so his recent turns have rarely become Braves wins. Miami is tonight’s opponent, and the record describes full-game results rather than Ritchie’s pitching line. It is useful context when judging Atlanta’s game outlook, especially before leaning on its broader team strength.
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR
Parkinson is questionable with a knee injury for the Rams' trip to Denver. The listing confirms his availability is unresolved, with no practice detail or replacement named on the report. Bettors should hold off on assuming his usual tight end work until the inactive list is out.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ DAL
BAL @ DAL carries a 52.5 market total
Nine points above the slate median, this game carries the clearest expectation for offense to arrive from both sides and keep the scoreboard moving. A bettor can frame BAL at DAL as a high-scoring environment, then look for game-specific news that would challenge that shared scoring expectation.
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Aaron Banks
Knee, Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Zach Bako-Bewele
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Samson Ebukam
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Jayden Reed
Neck · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Brenen Thompson
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Charlie Kolar
Forearm · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Kayode Awosika
Fibula · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Elijah Molden
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Ashton Dulin
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Fernando Carmona
Ankle · Full practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Nick Cross
Illness · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Mike Evans
Hip · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Romello Height
Hand · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Nick Bosa
Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
James Thompson Jr.
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Rueben Bain Jr.
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Josiah Trotter
Shoulder · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Ronnie Stanley
Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Treydan Stukes
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Fred Johnson
Knee · Did not practice · Out
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Shemar Turner
Knee · Limited practice · Out
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Noah Sewell
Achilles · Limited practice · Out
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Dallas Goedert
Knee · Did not practice · Out
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Caleb Williams
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Hollywood Brown
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Jonah Coleman
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Barion Brown
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
DeMarvion Overshown
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Leo Chenal
Neck · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Robert Beal Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Brett Thorson
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Dre'Mont Jones
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Frankie Luvu
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Nico Collins
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Ed Ingram
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Teven Jenkins
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Ty Okada
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Josh Simmons
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Nick Scott
Rib · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Christen Miller
Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Jayden Daniels
Elbow · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Caleb Douglas
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Mason Taylor
Thumb · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Warren Brinson
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Dalvin Tomlinson
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Malik Hooker
Forearm · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Julian Love
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Jadeveon Clowney
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Minkah Fitzpatrick
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Devin Lloyd
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Kiko Mauigoa
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Cobie Durant
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Sam Cosmi
Concussion, Throat · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Ben Bartch
Foot · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-31
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCIN @ PIT
CIN: 5.05 yards per play to PIT's 3.8
Cincinnati is moving the ball efficiently while Pittsburgh has had a hard time creating the same consistent offense through two games. The Bengals are close to last season's level, while Pittsburgh sits well below its 17-game mark, and Burrow found Chase and Higgins on multiple explosive throws last game. Pittsburgh's two-game output can move quickly, but Cincinnati has the cleaner early offensive profile.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
SITUATIONALKC @ MIA
KC: 80% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 33.3%
KC is at 80% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; MIA is at 33.3% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 75% over 17 games and MIA at 47.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
HEAT CHECKCLE @ KC
Angel Martinez: 1.279 OPS in Last 15 Days
Martinez has produced much more over 38 AB in the last 15 days than his .771 season baseline, and 18 home runs show some power behind the run. Thirty-eight AB is a short sample, so the gap can narrow quickly. For a 1.5 total-bases line, compare the hot stretch with his larger season body of work.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ IND
HOU: 28 points allowed per game to IND's 37
HOU is at 28 points allowed per game over 2 games; IND is at 37 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 17.4 over 17 games and IND at 24.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
RED ZONENYJ @ DET
NYJ: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 90%
NYJ is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; DET is at 90% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
COVERAGEPHI @ CHI
PHI: 5.05 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6.25
Philadelphia has made opponents work for each snap far more than Chicago through 2 games. Two games is a small sample, so this is an early efficiency signal rather than a settled defensive identity.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (CB) is questionable for CHI
Stevenson (hamstring) was a limited participant in Friday's practice. Reported Sep 25.
REPLACEMENTTEN @ NYG
Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG
Dart is on injured reserve with a knee injury after the Giants made the move Thursday. Injured reserve removes him from the immediate quarterback picture for Tennessee at New York. The report does not name a replacement, so the betting impact rests with the Giants' available quarterbacks.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
RED ZONESEA @ WSH
WSH: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to SEA's 42.9%
SEA is at 42.9% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; WSH is at 66.7% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 54.2% over 17 games and WSH at 65.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
REPLACEMENTATL @ GB
Jacob Monk (C) is questionable for GB
Monk suffered an undisclosed injury late in Green Bay's 35-14 loss to Atlanta on Thursday. He is questionable for the rematch with Atlanta, and the available information gives no clarity on his expected availability or replacement.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
SITUATIONALCAR @ CLE
CAR: 43.5% third-down conversion rate to CLE's 28.6%
CAR is at 43.5% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; CLE is at 28.6% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 36.1% over 17 games and CLE at 33.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Kamren Kinchens
Hamstring · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Jaylen Wright
Stinger, Foot · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Albert Regis
Elbow · Limited practice · Doubtful
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Kene Nwangwu
Back · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
B.J. Hill
Achilles · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
COVERAGEPHI @ CHI
PHI: 166 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 240
Philadelphia has limited opposing passing games more effectively than Chicago through 2 games. The sample is too short to call it a stable edge, but it gives the Eagles a better early defensive baseline for this matchup.
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Chamarri Conner
Knee · Limited practice · Doubtful
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Puka Nacua
Hip · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
TRENCHESCIN @ PIT
CIN: 74.5 rushing yards allowed per game to PIT's 128
Cincinnati has allowed 74.5 rushing yards per game, while Pittsburgh has allowed 128. Both figures come from 2 games, and the sheet gives no run-volume or game-script context. Cincinnati has the better early run-defense number, while rushing-yards angles should allow for a quick change as opponents' play calling shifts.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PASS RUSHBAL @ DAL
DAL: 1 sack taken per game to BAL's 2.5
BAL is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; DAL is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and DAL at 2.38 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PASS RUSHARI @ SF
SF: 0 sacks taken per game to ARI's 1.5
ARI is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; SF is at 0 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ARI was at 3.69 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PASS RUSHNE @ JAX
JAX: 1.5 sacks taken per game to NE's 3
NE is at 3 sacks taken per game over 2 games; JAX is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NE was at 3 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PASS RUSHLAR @ DEN
LAR: 0.5 sacks taken per game to DEN's 2
LAR is at 0.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; DEN is at 2 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 1.77 over 17 games and DEN at 1.77 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PASS RUSHHOU @ IND
HOU: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to IND's 2
Houston has recorded 3.5 sacks per game, compared with Indianapolis at 2. Both defenses have played 2 games, so a few pressure finishes are doing a lot of work in the difference. Houston has created more early pass-rush production, but sack totals alone are too narrow to make the matchup a certainty.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
HEAT CHECKHOU @ OAK
Lawrence Butler: 1.080 OPS in Last 15 Days
Butler has been much better across 51 AB in the last 15 days than his .722 season baseline, with 17 home runs supporting the power upside. Fifty-one AB is still a recent slice rather than the full picture. Use the split to give current form some weight against Houston while keeping the season mark central.
P 2-for-4, 2 TB
STREAKLAD @ SF
LAD games have gone UNDER 5 straight
Los Angeles Dodgers games have stayed UNDER 5 straight: just 5.6 runs a night against an average line of 7.9. Tonight's number sits at 8.5.
P final total 6 vs 8.5
STREAKLAD @ SF
SF games have gone UNDER 5 straight
The under has cashed 5 in a row in SF games: 5.4 combined runs per game vs lines averaging 7.5. Tonight's number sits at 8.5.
P final total 6 vs 8.5
HEAT CHECKARI @ SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1.160 OPS in Last 15 Days
Tatis has hit well above his .832 season mark over 56 AB in the last 15 days, and 25 home runs give the surge power context. This is a more useful recent sample than a one-game spike, though it remains smaller than a full season. Hitter markets can account for the current run while staying anchored to the season baseline.
STREAKCLE @ KC
KC games have gone OVER 5 straight
Kansas City games have gone over in five straight, averaging 16.2 combined runs against lines averaging 8.1. That is an extreme gap over a short five-game run, and tonight's 8.5 is higher than the recent average line. The streak supports a high-scoring recent profile, but the larger total asks the same pace to continue.
P final total 5 vs 8.5
PASS RUSHBAL @ DAL
BAL: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1
Baltimore has recorded 2.5 sacks per game, compared with Dallas at 1. The edge is based on 2 games, so a small number of sacks separates the teams. Baltimore has produced more early pressure finishes, but that is a fragile sample for any wager built around sacks or defensive control.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
TURNOVERSPHI @ CHI
PHI: 0 fumbles lost per game to CHI's 1
PHI is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; CHI is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season PHI was at 0.47 over 17 games and CHI at 0.24 over 17 games.
COOLING OFFTEX @ MIN
Ezequiel Duran: .382 OPS in Last 15 Days
Duran’s recent offense has fallen well below his .741 season mark across 47 AB in the last 15 days. That gives the slump more substance than a one-game dip, while the season sample remains the larger reference point. Against Minnesota, factor in the cold stretch when sizing Texas hitter expectations without discarding the broader record.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
TURNOVERSCIN @ PIT
CIN: 0 fumbles lost per game to PIT's 1
CIN is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; PIT is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 0.41 over 17 games and PIT at 0.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
RED ZONENE @ JAX
NE: 0% red-zone scoring allowed to JAX's 28.6%
New England has yet to allow a red-zone score through 2 games, while Jacksonville has allowed them on 28.6% of trips. Zero percent is a sharp start, but two games leave little room to separate strong defense from a few favorable situations.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
RED ZONEKC @ MIA
KC: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 88.9%
KC is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; MIA is at 88.9% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
RED ZONETEN @ NYG
TEN: 71.4% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 100%
Tennessee has allowed scores on most red-zone trips through 2 games, though New York has allowed scores on every trip. Neither defense has enough of a sample here to make red-zone results a firm expectation.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
SITUATIONALBAL @ DAL
BAL: 8.65 yards per pass attempt to DAL's 6.6
BAL is at 8.65 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; DAL is at 6.6 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 6.69 over 17 games and DAL at 7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
TRENCHESCAR @ CLE
CAR: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 2.95
CAR is at 4.4 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; CLE is at 2.95 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 4.16 over 17 games and CLE at 3.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
COVERAGEATL @ GB
ATL: 35.7% third downs allowed to GB's 50%
Atlanta has gotten off the field more often on third down than Green Bay through 3 games. That is a useful early edge in a matchup where extending drives can swing possession and scoring chances.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSKC @ MIA
KC: 6.3 yards per play to MIA's 5.15
Kansas City is gaining more on each snap, with its big-play output led by Mahomes finding Thornton and Rice downfield last game. The Chiefs are above last season's level through two games, while Miami is below its 17-game mark despite a 77-yard touchdown pass in its last game. Miami's explosive plays keep this from being a simple pace mismatch, but Kansas City has created the steadier early efficiency.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
HEAT CHECKSTL @ MIL
Brice Turang: 1.187 OPS in Last 15 Days
Turang has hit well above his .813 season level across 46 AB in the last 15 days, with 20 home runs adding power context. Forty-six AB is a short run that can cool, so the season baseline still matters. For a 0.5 total-bases line, recent form supports the case for production without making it the whole case.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
PLATOON EDGECLE @ KC
Maikel Garcia (bats R) hits 1st against Parker Messick (LHP)
Over 71 AB vs. Left, Maikel Garcia owns a .905 OPS versus .650 in 237 AB the other way. He sees LHP Parker Messick tonight hitting 1st, where the platoon side lines up his way.
P 1-for-2, 1 TB, 2 BB
TURNOVERSCIN @ PIT
CIN: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to PIT's 1.5
CIN is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; PIT is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and PIT at 0.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
SITUATIONALCIN @ PIT
CIN (2-0) at PIT (1-1), a division game
Cincinnati has the cleaner start, with a 2-0 record and a +20 point margin, while Pittsburgh is 1-1 and -10. The Bengals also won their only road game, and the Steelers won their only home game, so each side has one result that fits this setting. In an AFC North game, the early margins favor Cincinnati, while the home sample gives Pittsburgh a reason to stay competitive.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
SITUATIONALARI @ SF
ARI (1-1) at SF (2-0), a division game
San Francisco has won both games and is +42 on the year, while Arizona sits at 1-1 but has been outscored by 12. That is two games each, and the sheet does not say who either team played, so part of the gap may be schedule. Arizona won its only road game and San Francisco is 1-0 at home, which says little yet. In a division game between teams that know each other, lean less on two weeks of margin when sizing up a big spread.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
HEAD-TO-HEADTEX @ MIN
Twins are 4-1 vs Rangers this season
Minnesota has won 4 of 5 from Texas this season, though Texas took the latest meeting 6-2. The series favors the Twins at home, but five games can move quickly and the most recent result points the other way. Use the matchup history as light context instead of treating it as proof of a durable edge.
HEAT CHECKLAD @ SF
Kyle Tucker: 1.060 OPS in Last 15 Days
Tucker has been much better over 47 AB in the last 15 days than his .718 season baseline, and 17 home runs show the power is available. The recent sample can move quickly, so it does not erase the larger season body of work. Against San Francisco, use the jump as a positive input rather than the entire hitter case.
P 1-for-5, 1 TB
TRENCHESARI @ SF
SF: 134.5 rushing yards per game to ARI's 93
ARI is at 93 rushing yards per game over 2 games; SF is at 134.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ARI was at 93.1 over 17 games and SF at 106.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
RED ZONELAC @ BUF
LAC: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 77.8%
Los Angeles has been better at forcing field goals near the goal line than Buffalo through 2 games. The Chargers' 2-game sample offers an early red-zone advantage, while Buffalo's number leaves room for regression in either direction.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
COVERAGENE @ JAX
NE: 166 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 236.5
New England has held opposing passing games down more than Jacksonville through 2 games. It is an early edge for the Patriots' pass defense, but the sample is small enough that one game can reshape the numbers.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
COVERAGETEN @ NYG
TEN: 5.25 yards per play allowed to NYG's 6.35
Tennessee has been more efficient at limiting opponents snap to snap than New York through 2 games. That gives the Titans the better early defensive profile, though 2 games cannot establish a lasting gap.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PACE & SCRIPTNE @ JAX
JAX: 23.5 points per game to NE's 15
NE is at 15 points per game over 2 games; JAX is at 23.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NE was at 28.8 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR
Landman (shoulder) was a limited participant in Wednesday's estimated practice, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Sam Ehlinger (QB) is inactive for DEN
DEN lists Sam Ehlinger as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI
Greenard (pectoral) is listed as questionable ahead of Monday's game against the Bears. Reported Sep 26.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Jalen Carter (DT) is questionable for PHI
Carter (wrist) was a limited participant in practice Thursday. Reported Sep 24.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Andrew Mukuba (S) is questionable for PHI
Mukuba (knee) was limited in practice Thursday. Reported Sep 24.
COVERAGEHOU @ IND
HOU: 6.2 yards per play allowed to IND's 7.3
HOU is at 6.2 yards per play allowed over 2 games; IND is at 7.3 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
COVERAGEBAL @ DAL
BAL: 4.7 yards per play allowed to DAL's 5.8
BAL is at 4.7 yards per play allowed over 2 games; DAL is at 5.8 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
TRENCHESLAC @ BUF
BUF: 144.5 rushing yards per game to LAC's 104
LAC is at 104 rushing yards per game over 2 games; BUF is at 144.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAC was at 121.6 over 17 games and BUF at 159.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
COOLING OFFSTL @ MIL
Thomas Saggese: .348 OPS in L15, draws RHP Jacob Misiorowski
Thomas Saggese's .348 OPS over the last 15 days (43 AB) trails his .650 season mark, down 0.302. Tonight he draws RHP Jacob Misiorowski, his weaker side: a .581 OPS vs RHP across 111 AB.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
SITUATIONALTEN @ NYG
TEN: 35 penalty yards per game to NYG's 67
TEN is at 35 penalty yards per game over 2 games; NYG is at 67 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 59.5 over 17 games and NYG at 63.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PASS RUSHSEA @ WSH
WSH: 0.5 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 14
SEA is at 14 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 14.3 over 17 games and WSH at 12.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
SITUATIONALCIN @ PIT
CIN: 5.95 yards per pass attempt to PIT's 4.05
CIN is at 5.95 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; PIT is at 4.05 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 5.81 over 17 games and PIT at 5.99 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ DAL
BAL: 31:18 time of possession per game to DAL's 25:56
BAL is at 31:18 time of possession per game over 2 games; DAL is at 25:56 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 29:11 over 17 games and DAL at 30:48 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PLATOON EDGECIN @ TOR
Hector Rodriguez (bats L) gets a RHP from the 6th spot
Hector Rodriguez's vs. Right line (.784 OPS, 95 AB) sits well above his .415 mark the other way (41 AB). Tonight's starter Max Scherzer throws RHP, the hand he hits best.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ IND
IND: 26.5 points per game to HOU's 18.5
HOU is at 18.5 points per game over 2 games; IND is at 26.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and IND at 27.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
HEAT CHECKBAL @ NYY
Ben Rice: 1.211 OPS in Last 15 Days
Rice has hit at an elevated level over 49 AB in the last 15 days compared with his .897 season baseline. His 41 home runs give the surge real power context, though 49 AB can still shift fast. For a 1.5 total-bases line, balance the recent run with a season mark that was already strong.
REPLACEMENTSEA @ WSH
Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA
Charbonnet remains on the PUP list with a knee injury, and Mike Macdonald said a return to practice next week is only potentially on the table. That keeps him unavailable for Washington, so Seattle’s existing backfield workload stays in place for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Cairo Santos (PK) is questionable for CHI
Santos (right hip) didn't practice Friday. Reported Sep 25.
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Puka Nacua (WR) is inactive for LAR
Nacua (hip) is inactive for Sunday's game in Denver, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Marvin Mims Jr. (WR) is inactive for DEN
Mims (foot) is listed as inactive Sunday versus the Rams, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ BUF
LAC @ BUF carries a 50.5 market total
Seven points above the slate median, this number expects LAC at BUF to produce more combined offense than most games on the board. The total has room to move if game-specific information changes the outlook for either offense, so it is a useful benchmark for judging whether the market is pricing enough scoring.
PACE & SCRIPTATL @ GB
ATL: 22.7 points allowed per game to GB's 30.3
ATL is at 22.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; GB is at 30.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
Brandon Aiyuk (WR) is reserve-dnr for SF
Aiyuk is on reserve/did-not-report, and Kyle Shanahan does not view him as an option while San Francisco deals with multiple receiver injuries. He is out of the 49ers' receiver plans against Arizona. The report identifies a thin unit, though it does not name who absorbs his work.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
HEAT CHECKLAA @ SEA
Randy Arozarena: 1.158 OPS in Last 15 Days
Over the last 15 days (50 AB) he is at a 1.158 OPS, up 0.295 on his .863 season mark. He has 26 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
P 1-for-3, 2 TB
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Marvin Mims Jr.
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Roy Lopez
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Jaylen Warren
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Joey Porter Jr.
Not injury related - other · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Adonai Mitchell
Finger · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Tyjae Spears
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Rodney Shelley
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Max Melton
Toe · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Anthony Campbell
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
DJ Moore
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Billy Bowman Jr.
Achilles · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Keon Coleman
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Martin Emerson Jr.
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Joseph Ossai
Foot · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Elbow · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Javon Hargrave
Knee, Concussion · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Ed Oliver
Hip · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Trey Lance
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Grant Delpit
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Tyson Campbell
Ankle, Not injury related - other · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Xavier Legette
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Trent Brown
Knee, Wrist · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Charvarius Ward
Groin · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Ryan Miller
Hip, Back · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
JuJu Brents
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Cor'Dale Flott
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Tyler Nubin
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Brian Burns
Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Deonte Banks
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Jamel Dean
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Michael Pittman Jr.
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Brandon Pili
Concussion, Neck · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Craig Woodson
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Eli Raridon
Thigh · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Zay Flowers
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Aidan O'Connell
Not injury related - personal matter · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Brock Bowers
Knee · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Jonathan Greenard
Pectoral · Full practice · Questionable
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Tyson Bagent
Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Kwity Paye
Illness · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Colby Parkinson
Knee · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
SITUATIONALCAR @ CLE
CAR: 21 first downs per game to CLE's 14.5
CAR is at 21 first downs per game over 2 games; CLE is at 14.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and CLE at 15.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR: 38.9% third-down conversion rate to DEN's 26.1%
LAR is at 38.9% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; DEN is at 26.1% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 39.6% over 17 games and DEN at 41.2% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
COOLING OFFCHC @ BOS
Wilyer Abreu: .486 OPS in Last 15 Days
Abreu has produced less over 50 AB in the last 15 days than his .776 season standard. That is more than a single-game blip, while the broader season sample points to a stronger hitter than the recent stretch. In Boston, use the current skid to temper hitter expectations and keep the season baseline in the calculation.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
COOLING OFFSTL @ MIL
Jordan Walker: .462 OPS in Last 15 Days
Walker’s recent offense has dropped below his .800 season mark across 43 AB in the last 15 days. The gap is large, though 43 AB remains a short stretch beside his full-season record. Against Milwaukee, recent form can matter for hitter markets, with the season baseline helping limit how far the slump should be carried.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
QUARTERBACKPHI @ CHI
Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI
In his first 2026 game, Tyson Bagent threw for 54 passing yards, completed 55.6% of his passes and averaged 6 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in. Tyson Bagent is also listed q for this matchup.
STREAKTB @ PHI
PHI have lost 4 straight
Philadelphia has lost four straight and been outscored by 20 during the skid, after going 4-6 over its last 10. The losses reflect more than one rough night, though the sheet does not identify the cause. Tampa Bay gets a club in a poor recent run, with the four-game sample limiting how far to carry it.
P team won 3-7
COOLING OFFHOU @ OAK
Cam Smith: .346 OPS in Last 15 Days
Smith has provided very little offense over 42 AB in the last 15 days compared with his .666 season baseline. The cold run is real enough to affect current expectations, though the season mark is the larger sample. Against Oakland, bettors can lower the weight on his recent production while leaving room for a move back toward the season level.
P 2-for-4, 2 TB, 1 BB
RED ZONECIN @ PIT
PIT: 0% red-zone scoring allowed to CIN's 25%
Pittsburgh has not allowed a red-zone score through 2 games, while Cincinnati has allowed scores on 25% of trips. The Steelers own the stronger early result, though two games are too few to expect the zero to last.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
TRENCHESLAR @ DEN
LAR: 113 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 157.5
Los Angeles has contained opposing rushing attacks better than Denver through 2 games. That is an early matchup point for a game where the ground game can determine how often offenses stay on schedule.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
SITUATIONALMIN @ TB
MIN: 20 penalty yards per game to TB's 50.5
MIN is at 20 penalty yards per game over 2 games; TB is at 50.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season MIN was at 52.1 over 17 games and TB at 43.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
STREAKBAL @ NYY
NYY games have gone OVER 4 straight
Yankees games have gone over in four straight, averaging 10.5 combined runs against lines averaging 6.5. Four games is a short sample, while tonight's 7.5 already prices in more scoring than those recent lines did. The recent results favor offense, but the higher number gives less room than the streak had.
PASS RUSHTEN @ NYG
NYG: 1 sack yards lost per game to TEN's 13.5
TEN is at 13.5 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; NYG is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 26.1 over 17 games and NYG at 13.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
SITUATIONALHOU @ IND
HOU: 3 fourth-down attempts per game to IND's 1.5
HOU is at 3 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; IND is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 1.12 over 17 games and IND at 1.59 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
TURNOVERSHOU @ IND
HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to IND's 1
HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; IND is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and IND at 0.82 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
COOLING OFFCIN @ TOR
Ernie Clement: .324 OPS in Last 15 Days
Clement’s recent offense has fallen below his .653 season mark across 42 AB in the last 15 days. That identifies a real cold stretch, while the broader season work remains the better guide to his overall level. Against Cincinnati, use the split to temper current hitter expectations rather than assuming the skid defines the matchup.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
COOLING OFFATL @ MIA
Ozzie Albies: .420 OPS in Last 15 Days
Albies has had less offensive impact over 50 AB in the last 15 days than his .687 season mark suggests. That is a meaningful recent sample, while the season number remains the larger benchmark. In Miami, factor the slump into hitter expectations while keeping room for production to move back toward his broader level.
P 0-for-2, 0 TB
STARTER FORMTEX @ MIN
Dean Kremer: 1.62 ERA over his last 3 starts
Kremer has allowed 3 earned runs across 16.2 innings in his last 3 starts, a sharp change from his 4.97 season ERA. His 16 strikeouts support the recent run prevention, though 3 outings is a short sample. Against Minnesota, compare the hot stretch with the season line when looking at innings and earned-run markets.
P 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 K
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Terrance Ferguson (TE) is questionable for LAR
LAR lists Terrance Ferguson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 28.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
TEAM RECORDARI @ SF
NFC WEST game: ARI 0-1, SF 1-0 in the division
San Francisco has the early division edge, while Arizona already has a loss inside the NFC West. This is one game for each team, so it says more about who started clean than who controls the division. Division results matter most in a matchup like this because a second Arizona loss would deepen the gap fast.
HEAT CHECKBAL @ NYY
Pete Alonso: 1.124 OPS in Last 15 Days
Over the last 15 days (54 AB) he is at a 1.124 OPS, up 0.24 on his .884 season mark. He has 43 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
RED ZONEBAL @ DAL
DAL: 85.7% red-zone scoring rate to BAL's 66.7%
BAL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; DAL is at 85.7% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 47.5% over 17 games and DAL at 56.9% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
COVERAGEATL @ GB
GB: 202 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 263
ATL is at 263 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; GB is at 202 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
COVERAGEKC @ MIA
KC: 162.5 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 223.5
KC is at 162.5 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; MIA is at 223.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
COOLING OFFCOL @ CHW
Tristan Peters: .390 OPS in Last 15 Days
Peters has hit far below his .778 season mark over 33 AB in the last 15 days. Thirty-three AB is a short sample, so the cold stretch is relevant current form without replacing his full-season profile. At Chicago, bettors can discount recent production in hitter markets while maintaining the season baseline as the main reference.
P 0-for-1, 0 TB
COOLING OFFNYM @ WSH
James Wood: .626 OPS in L15, draws LHP Sean Manaea
James Wood's .626 OPS over the last 15 days (43 AB) trails his .895 season mark, down 0.269. Tonight he draws LHP Sean Manaea, his weaker side: a .802 OPS vs LHP across 191 AB.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
COVERAGECIN @ PIT
PIT: 25% third downs allowed to CIN's 37%
CIN is at 37% third downs allowed over 2 games; PIT is at 25% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ CHI
CHI: 31 points per game to PHI's 24
PHI is at 24 points per game over 2 games; CHI is at 31 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and CHI at 25.9 over 17 games.
PARK WEATHERCIN @ TOR
Wind blowing in 13 mph at Rogers Centre tonight
Tonight's reading at Rogers Centre: Partly Cloudy, 73°, wind 13 mph, In From CF. The air is taking runs off the board. The total sits at 8.5.
P final total 6 vs 8.5 (under lean)
PARK WEATHERLAD @ SF
Wind blowing out 13 mph at Oracle Park tonight
Conditions at Oracle Park: Partly Cloudy, 60°, wind 13 mph, Out To CF. Fly balls that die most nights have a chance to go tonight. The total sits at 8.5.
P final total 6 vs 8.5 (over lean)
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ NYG
TEN @ NYG carries a 37.5 market total
Six points below the slate median, this number expects TEN at NYG to be one of the quieter scoring environments on the board. A bettor can use that low bar to judge any game-specific development that points to easier offense, because the market has already priced in limited combined scoring.
COVERAGELV @ NO
LV: 29.2% third downs allowed to NO's 40.9%
Las Vegas has forced more third-down stops than New Orleans through 2 games. The Raiders' early edge matters for drive length, though 2 games is too little evidence to treat either rate as fixed.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
HEAT CHECKATL @ MIA
Jakob Marsee: .991 OPS in Last 15 Days
That .991 OPS spans the last 15 days (44 AB) against a .706 season baseline, a 0.285 swing. He has 11 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 0.5.
HEAT CHECKHOU @ OAK
Yainer Diaz: 1.038 OPS in Last 15 Days
Over the last 15 days (47 AB) he is at a 1.038 OPS, up 0.269 on his .769 season mark. He has 14 home runs on the season. His total-bases line tonight: 1.5.
P 2-for-5, 3 TB
PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NO
NO: 75 offensive plays per game to LV's 63.5
LV is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; NO is at 75 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LV was at 55.8 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PACE & SCRIPTNE @ JAX
NE: 8 points allowed per game to JAX's 15
NE is at 8 points allowed per game over 2 games; JAX is at 15 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ NYG
NYG: 61.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 50
TEN is at 50 offensive plays per game over 2 games; NYG is at 61.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and NYG at 63.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PLATOON EDGEBAL @ NYY
Colton Cowser (bats L) hits 6th against Elmer Rodriguez (RHP)
Over 284 AB vs. Right, Colton Cowser owns a .735 OPS versus .445 in 57 AB the other way. He sees RHP Elmer Rodriguez tonight hitting 6th, where the platoon side lines up his way.
PLATOON EDGEBAL @ NYY
Dylan Beavers (bats L) draws Elmer Rodriguez (RHP), batting 1st
Dylan Beavers carries a .715 OPS vs. Right (260 AB) against .537 the other way (64 AB), and faces RHP Elmer Rodriguez from the 1st spot, a split his blended season line may not reflect.
RED ZONEMIN @ TB
MIN: 14.3% red-zone scoring allowed to TB's 37.5%
MIN is at 14.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; TB is at 37.5% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
STARTER FORMCLE @ KC
Daniel Lynch IV: 7.07 ERA over his last 3 starts
Lynch has allowed 11 earned runs in 14 innings over his last 3 starts, with 13 hits allowed and a 7.07 ERA versus a 4.13 season mark. The contact and runs have piled up, though this remains a 3-start stretch. Against Cleveland, use recent damage to inform run markets while keeping the broader season baseline in view.
P 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 2 K
HEAD-TO-HEADCHC @ BOS
Red Sox are 2-0 vs Cubs this season
Boston is 2-0 against Chicago, and the latest meeting was a 2-0 Red Sox win. Both games favor Boston, but 2 games provide little evidence of a durable matchup advantage. The early series history can support a small Boston lean in the game context, while tonight’s result needs more than this sample to explain it.
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR: 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate to DEN's 0%
LAR is at 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 2 games; DEN is at 0% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 66.7% over 17 games and DEN at 50% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Alaric Jackson (OT) is questionable for LAR
LAR lists Alaric Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
HEAD-TO-HEADTB @ PHI
Rays are 2-0 vs Phillies this season
Tampa Bay is 2-0 against Philadelphia, with the latest a 12-1 Rays win. That score can make a 2-game series look stronger than it is, and the facts provide no matchup detail behind either result. Tampa Bay has the clean early edge, but the sample is too small to carry much weight on its own.
HEAD-TO-HEADNYM @ WSH
Mets are 7-5 vs Nationals this season
The Mets have won 7 of 12 from Washington, a modest series edge rather than a runaway advantage. The latest meeting was a 7-1 Mets win, sharper than the overall split, while the facts give no reason for that margin to repeat. In Washington, let the season series provide context without overextending it into tonight’s game.
UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF
Next college slate · OCT 2
BDL lists 2 covered college games on the next college slate. All 2 kickoff times are confirmed.
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSMIN @ TB
TB: 5.2 yards per play to MIN's 4.35
Tampa Bay has been more efficient snap to snap, while Minnesota has opened below both Tampa Bay's level and its own 17-game number from last season. The Buccaneers are almost exactly where they were last season, so the early split is more about Minnesota's drop. With only two games in the sample, Minnesota's offense has room to rebound, but Tampa Bay has the cleaner baseline.
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
RED ZONELAC @ BUF
BUF: 4 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.5
LAC is at 2.5 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; BUF is at 4 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
RED ZONEMIN @ TB
TB: 4 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.5
MIN is at 2.5 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; TB is at 4 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and TB at 2.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
RED ZONECIN @ PIT
CIN: 3 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 1.5
CIN is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; PIT is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 3.18 over 17 games and PIT at 3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
TRENCHESCAR @ CLE
CAR: 96.5 rushing yards per game to CLE's 65.5
CAR is at 96.5 rushing yards per game over 2 games; CLE is at 65.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 116.3 over 17 games and CLE at 97 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
RED ZONECIN @ PIT
CIN: 50% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 33.3%
CIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; PIT is at 33.3% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 66.7% over 17 games and PIT at 58.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR: 243 team passing yards per game to DEN's 201.5
LAR is at 243 team passing yards per game over 2 games; DEN is at 201.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and DEN at 223.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
RED ZONENYJ @ DET
DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 3
NYJ is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 2 games; DET is at 4.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 2.24 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PLATOON EDGEPIT @ DET
Kevin McGonigle (bats L) hits 3rd against Jared Jones (RHP)
Over 417 AB vs. Right, Kevin McGonigle owns a .860 OPS versus .666 in 180 AB the other way. He sees RHP Jared Jones tonight hitting 3rd, where the platoon side lines up his way.
P 2-for-3, 5 TB
TRENCHESTEN @ NYG
TEN: 4.55 yards per rush attempt to NYG's 3.5
TEN is at 4.55 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; NYG is at 3.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 4.19 over 17 games and NYG at 4.31 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
SITUATIONALKC @ MIA
KC: 46.7% third-down conversion rate to MIA's 36%
KC is at 46.7% third-down conversion rate over 2 games; MIA is at 36% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and MIA at 34.9% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR: 7.95 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 6.45
LAR is at 7.95 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; DEN is at 6.45 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PASS RUSHLAR @ DEN
DEN: 2 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1
LAR is at 1 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; DEN is at 2 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PASS RUSHSEA @ WSH
WSH: 0.5 sacks taken per game to SEA's 1.5
SEA is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 2.08 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
TRENCHESLV @ NO
LV: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 136.5
LV is at 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; NO is at 136.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Dalton Schultz
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTCAR @ CLE
Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Brooks is on injured reserve with a core-muscle injury and is expected to have surgery Wednesday. He is likely to miss at least six weeks, taking him out of Carolina's backfield plans at Cleveland and beyond. The report does not identify who takes his carries or targets.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
AFTER GARYKC @ MIA
KC -10.5 → -9.5
Gary's number was -10.5; the market closed at -9.5.
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF
Robinson is on injured reserve with an ankle injury after San Francisco placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable against Arizona, adding to the 49ers' receiver issues alongside Aiyuk's absence from the team's plans. The report does not identify the receiver who takes Robinson's work.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
Arian Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ
Smith is on injured reserve after surgery Wednesday to repair a torn ACL. He will miss the rest of the season, removing him from the Jets' receiver group for Detroit and every later game. The report gives no named replacement for his work.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Za'Darius Smith
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Ryan Neuzil
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Jake Matthews
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Terrel Bernard
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
DeForest Buckner
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Logan Hall
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Dexter Lawrence II
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Samaje Perine
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Eddy Pineiro
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Christian Darrisaw
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Jauan Jennings
Personal · Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Tyler Higbee
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Byron Young
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Aaron Donald
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Jonah Coleman (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN
Coleman (ankle) is being placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
SITUATIONALMIN @ TB
MIN (2-0) at TB (0-2)
Minnesota is 2-0 with a +23 point margin, while Tampa Bay is 0-2 and -10. The Vikings won their only road game, and the Buccaneers lost their only home game, giving the records added relevance at this venue. Minnesota owns the better early profile, while Tampa Bay needs to reverse both its two-game skid and its home result.
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
SITUATIONALSEA @ WSH
SEA (2-0) at WSH (0-2)
Seattle has started 2-0 and +27, while Washington is 0-2 and -19. Seattle won its only road game, and Washington has no home result listed, so the Seahawks bring both better overall form and the only venue result. The two-game sample can move quickly, but Seattle has done more early to support its momentum in this spot.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
SITUATIONALCAR @ CLE
CAR (1-1) at CLE (1-1)
Carolina and Cleveland have the same 1-1 record, yet their point margins point in different directions: Carolina is +9 and Cleveland is -20. Carolina won its only road game, while Cleveland has no home result listed, leaving little evidence for a venue edge. The Panthers' margin gives them the stronger early case, though this is only a two-game sample for both teams.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Ronnie Rivers (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR
The Rams placed Rivers (calf) on their injured reserve list Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTHOU @ IND
Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND
Pierce is on injured reserve with a heel injury after Indianapolis placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable for Houston at Indianapolis, thinning the Colts' receiver options. The report does not say who inherits his targets, so avoid assigning that work to a specific teammate.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
SITUATIONALKC @ MIA
KC (2-0) at MIA (0-2)
Kansas City is 2-0 with a +24 point margin, while Miami is 0-2 and -36, a clear separation through two games. The Chiefs have won two straight and the Dolphins have lost two straight, but neither team has a listed result in this venue. Kansas City's early form is the stronger baseline, while Miami's 0-2 start makes any turnaround case depend on more than a home split.
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
REPLACEMENTCIN @ PIT
Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN
Iosivas is on injured reserve with a thumb injury after Cincinnati placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable for the Bengals' game at Pittsburgh. No replacement or workload split is supplied, leaving the effect on Cincinnati's receiver usage unresolved.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
FIRST INNINGCOL @ CHW
YRFI watch: first innings have been live on both sides of COL @ CHW
A run was scored by either team in the first inning in 8 of 10 sampled CHW games and 9 of 10 sampled COL games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Anthony Kay: 3.30 ERA, .259 opponent AVG across 30.0 IP, 3 HR; Kyle Freeland: 8.64 ERA, .333 opponent AVG across 25.0 IP, 4 HR.
P 1st inning: 0-0 (0 runs)
SITUATIONALLAC @ BUF
LAC (0-2) at BUF (2-0)
Buffalo has opened 2-0 with a +15 point margin, while the Chargers are 0-2 and -24. Both clubs carry two-game streaks in opposite directions, but Buffalo's only home result was a win and the Chargers have no road result listed. The Bills have the early profile of the steadier side, while Los Angeles needs its first road sample to change the picture.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ IND
HOU: 32:44 time of possession per game to IND's 28:50
HOU is at 32:44 time of possession per game over 2 games; IND is at 28:50 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 31:49 over 17 games and IND at 29:37 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REGRESSIONPIT @ DET
Eduardo Valencia: .344 AVG vs .285 xBA
Eduardo Valencia is hitting .344 against a .285 expected average (xBA) over 134 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .431 against a .367 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
P 1-for-4, 4 TB
REGRESSIONCIN @ TOR
Brett Bateman: .325 AVG vs .264 xBA
Brett Bateman's .325 average comes against a .264 expected (xBA) on 177 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .367 against a .310 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
P 2-for-4, 2 TB
COVERAGELAR @ DEN
LAR: 4.6 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.4
Los Angeles has limited opponents more effectively on a per-play basis than Denver through 2 games. The Rams have the better early defensive efficiency marker, but the 2-game sample can move quickly.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
COVERAGELAR @ DEN
LAR: 38.5% third downs allowed to DEN's 48.3%
Los Angeles has been better at ending drives on third down than Denver through 2 games. That gives the Rams an early situational edge, though 2 games do not establish how either defense will hold up over time.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ DET
NYJ @ DET carries a 48.5 market total
Five points above the slate median, this number expects NYJ at DET to generate more combined scoring than a typical game on this slate. The market is pricing a favorable scoring environment from the matchup, and bettors can watch for game-specific information that either supports or disrupts that expectation.
PASS RUSHTEN @ NYG
TEN: 1.5 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.5
TEN is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; NYG is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
AFTER GARYLAR @ DEN
LAR -2.5 → -1.5
Gary's number was -2.5; the market closed at -1.5.
PASS RUSHPHI @ CHI
CHI: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.5
PHI is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; CHI is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
PACE & SCRIPTSEA @ WSH
WSH: 67 offensive plays per game to SEA's 57.5
SEA is at 57.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; WSH is at 67 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 59.7 over 17 games and WSH at 58.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
TRENCHESNYJ @ DET
DET: 4.15 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.2
NYJ is at 3.2 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; DET is at 4.15 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 4.53 over 17 games and DET at 4.52 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
STARTER FORMPIT @ DET
Jared Jones: 1.42 ERA over his last 3 starts
Jones has allowed 3 earned runs in 19 innings over his last 3 starts, with 26 strikeouts during the run. His 1.42 ERA is far below his 3.87 season number, so 3 starts do not replace the larger sample. Against Detroit, the recent strikeout volume is especially useful when comparing pitcher-prop prices with his season baseline.
P 4 IP, 0 ER, 5 K
SITUATIONALCIN @ PIT
CIN: 213.5 team passing yards per game to PIT's 175
CIN is at 213.5 team passing yards per game over 2 games; PIT is at 175 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and PIT at 202.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PLATOON EDGECOL @ CHW
Brenton Doyle (bats R) hits 4th against Kyle Freeland (LHP)
Over 86 AB vs. Left, Brenton Doyle owns a .712 OPS versus .529 in 118 AB the other way. He sees LHP Kyle Freeland tonight hitting 4th, where the platoon side lines up his way.
P 1-for-4, 4 TB
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Noah Sewell (LB) is pup-r for CHI
The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Sewell (Achilles) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 23.
REPLACEMENTNE @ JAX
Brenden Schooler (S) is nfi-r for NE
Schooler's 21-day practice window is open after a back injury kept him on the non-football injury list. He is eligible to practice, but the report does not say he is active for New England at Jacksonville. His return timeline depends on whether the Patriots activate him during that window.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
TRENCHESLAC @ BUF
BUF: 4.85 yards per rush attempt to LAC's 3.95
LAC is at 3.95 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; BUF is at 4.85 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAC was at 4.58 over 17 games and BUF at 4.97 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI
The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Turner (knee) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Lil'Jordan Humphrey (WR) is inactive for DEN
DEN lists Lil'Jordan Humphrey as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
CJ Daniels (WR) is inactive for LAR
LAR lists CJ Daniels as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
RED ZONEPHI @ CHI
PHI: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 57.1%
PHI is at 71.4% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; CHI is at 57.1% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season PHI was at 70.5% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSSEA @ WSH
SEA: 5.8 yards per play to WSH's 5.1
Seattle has gained more per snap through two games, though Washington actually produced more explosive plays in its last game. Seattle's 82-yard touchdown from Lock to Smith-Njigba inflates part of the early edge, while Washington got chunk plays from Mariota, Daniels and McLaurin. Seattle is below its 17-game level from last season, so this matchup pits steadier early efficiency against Washington's ability to create quick gains.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
COVERAGENE @ JAX
NE: 17.4% third downs allowed to JAX's 26.3%
NE is at 17.4% third downs allowed over 2 games; JAX is at 26.3% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Kamren Kinchens (S) is inactive for LAR
Kinchens (hamstring) is inactive for Sunday night's contest against Denver, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTHOU @ IND
M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU
Stewart has been designated for return from Houston's reserve/PUP list after a quadriceps injury. That opens his path back, but it does not say he is active for Houston at Indianapolis or establish a defensive role. His practice progress will determine when he becomes relevant to the Texans' secondary.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PACE & SCRIPTLAR @ DEN
LAR: 16.5 points allowed per game to DEN's 22
LAR is at 16.5 points allowed per game over 2 games; DEN is at 22 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and DEN at 18.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ CLE
CAR: 61 offensive plays per game to CLE's 52
CAR is at 61 offensive plays per game over 2 games; CLE is at 52 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 59.5 over 17 games and CLE at 60.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSPHI @ CHI
CHI: 6.05 yards per play to PHI's 5.35
Chicago has been more productive on each play through two games, while Philadelphia has improved slightly from last season but remains behind the Bears' early pace. Chicago is also above its own 17-game mark from last season, which gives the gap some context beyond one bad outing. It is still only two games, so the stronger signal is that both offenses have opened better than their prior-season levels.
TRENCHESSEA @ WSH
WSH: 157 rushing yards per game to SEA's 129.5
SEA is at 129.5 rushing yards per game over 2 games; WSH is at 157 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 123.3 over 17 games and WSH at 134.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
TRENCHESARI @ SF
SF: 4.65 yards per rush attempt to ARI's 3.75
ARI is at 3.75 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; SF is at 4.65 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ARI was at 4.25 over 17 games and SF at 3.81 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Tutu Atwell (WR) is inactive for LAR
LAR lists Tutu Atwell as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
RED ZONELAR @ DEN
LAR: 40% red-zone scoring allowed to DEN's 57.1%
LAR is at 40% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; DEN is at 57.1% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PARK WEATHERPIT @ DET
Wind blowing out 11 mph at Comerica Park tonight
Tonight's reading at Comerica Park: Sunny, 74°, wind 11 mph, Out To RF. Everything about the air says carry. The total sits at 7.5.
P final total 6 vs 7.5 (over lean)
RED ZONEHOU @ IND
HOU: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 66.7%
HOU is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; IND is at 66.7% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
SITUATIONALLAC @ BUF
LAC: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to BUF's 0.5
LAC is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; BUF is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and BUF at 1.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
SITUATIONALPHI @ CHI
PHI: 37.5 penalty yards per game to CHI's 57.5
PHI is at 37.5 penalty yards per game over 2 games; CHI is at 57.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season PHI was at 63.1 over 17 games and CHI at 57.1 over 17 games.
SITUATIONALBAL @ DAL
BAL: 254 team passing yards per game to DAL's 220.5
BAL is at 254 team passing yards per game over 2 games; DAL is at 220.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 175.6 over 17 games and DAL at 266.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
SITUATIONALSEA @ WSH
SEA: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to WSH's 1
SEA is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; WSH is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 0.71 over 17 games and WSH at 1.53 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
SITUATIONALKC @ MIA
KC: 2.5 fourth-down attempts per game to MIA's 1.5
KC is at 2.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; MIA is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and MIA at 1.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ BUF
LAC: 26 points allowed per game to BUF's 31
LAC is at 26 points allowed per game over 2 games; BUF is at 31 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PACE & SCRIPTARI @ SF
ARI @ SF carries a 47.5 market total
Four points above the slate median, this number puts ARI at SF in the upper part of the board for expected combined scoring. It is a smaller separation than the slate’s highest totals, so game-specific information can matter more when deciding whether the market has priced this scoring environment correctly.
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to DEN's 0.5
LAR is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; DEN is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 1.76 over 17 games and DEN at 1.18 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
QUARTERBACKCIN @ PIT
Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT
Through 2 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 408 passing yards, completed 59.5% of his passes and averaged 5.17 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
REPLACEMENTLAC @ BUF
David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC
Njoku is on injured reserve with a fibula injury after the Chargers made the move Wednesday. He is out of the lineup for the trip to Buffalo, leaving Los Angeles without its tight end in this game.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
QUARTERBACKCAR @ CLE
Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR
Through 2 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 648 passing yards, completed 63% of his passes and averaged 8.88 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
QUARTERBACKNYJ @ DET
Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ
Through 2 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 462 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 7.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
AFTER GARYLV @ NO
LV +3 → +3.5
Gary's number was 3; the same book now shows 3.5.
QUARTERBACKNYJ @ DET
Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET
Through 2 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 533 passing yards, completed 67.5% of his passes and averaged 6.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
QUARTERBACKLAC @ BUF
Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC
Through 2 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 401 passing yards, completed 59.3% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
QUARTERBACKATL @ GB
Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB
Through 3 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 844 passing yards, completed 52.4% of his passes and averaged 6.81 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
SITUATIONALLV @ NO
LV (2-0) at NO (1-1)
Las Vegas is 2-0 and +26, while New Orleans is 1-1 and +6. The Raiders won their only road game, and the Saints have no home result listed, so Las Vegas brings the stronger overall start without much evidence about New Orleans in this building. The Raiders' two-game streak is useful context, though it remains an early-season sample.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
QUARTERBACKATL @ GB
Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL
In his first 2026 game, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 256 passing yards, completed 72% of his passes and averaged 10.24 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
QUARTERBACKTEN @ NYG
Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN
Through 2 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 323 passing yards, completed 61.5% of his passes and averaged 6.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
QUARTERBACKCIN @ PIT
Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN
Through 2 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 461 passing yards, completed 68.2% of his passes and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
QUARTERBACKLAC @ BUF
Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF
Through 2 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 582 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 9.7 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
QUARTERBACKHOU @ IND
C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU
Through 2 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 627 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 6.74 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
QUARTERBACKCAR @ CLE
Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE
Through 2 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 443 passing yards, completed 76.9% of his passes and averaged 8.52 yards per attempt. His 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
QUARTERBACKKC @ MIA
Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC
Through 2 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 566 passing yards, completed 63.5% of his passes and averaged 7.65 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
SITUATIONALATL @ GB
ATL: 72.7 penalty yards per game to GB's 92
ATL is at 72.7 penalty yards per game over 3 games; GB is at 92 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 48.2 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
SITUATIONALLAC @ BUF
BUF has 3 more days of rest
Buffalo gets three extra days to reset, with 10 days off and a bye behind it while the Chargers had the standard seven-day turn. That gives Buffalo more time for recovery, game planning and any lineup decisions. The Chargers need to manage a normal weekly install on the road, while the Bills arrive with the fresher calendar.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
SITUATIONALNYJ @ DET
DET has 3 more days of rest
Detroit has three more days between games, coming off 10 days and a bye while the Jets are on the usual seven-day schedule. The Lions have extra recovery and prep time at home, while New York has to handle a standard road-week turnaround. That gap matters most if either side is carrying fatigue or needs time to adjust its plan.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
QUARTERBACKSEA @ WSH
Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA
In his first 2026 game, Sam Darnold threw for 13 passing yards, completed 50% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
QUARTERBACKARI @ SF
Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI
Through 2 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 372 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 5.72 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
QUARTERBACKARI @ SF
Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF
Through 2 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 492 passing yards, completed 80.4% of his passes and averaged 8.79 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
QUARTERBACKTEN @ NYG
Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG
In his first 2026 game, Jameis Winston threw for 111 passing yards, completed 40.7% of his passes and averaged 4.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
QUARTERBACKMIN @ TB
Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN
In his first 2026 game, Kyler Murray threw for 18 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 3.6 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
QUARTERBACKBAL @ DAL
Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL
Through 2 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 559 passing yards, completed 67.9% of his passes and averaged 9.98 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
QUARTERBACKBAL @ DAL
Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL
Through 2 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 454 passing yards, completed 73.8% of his passes and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
AFTER GARYCIN @ PIT
PIT +3.5 → +3
Gary's number was 3.5; the market closed at 3.
QUARTERBACKHOU @ IND
Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND
Through 2 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 376 passing yards, completed 66.1% of his passes and averaged 6.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
RETURN WATCHTEX · return listed 9/27
Carter Baumler
Listed back 9/27 (60-Day-IL, ribs). 3.18 ERA this season.
QUARTERBACKLV @ NO
Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV
Through 2 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 413 passing yards, completed 67.8% of his passes and averaged 7 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
REGRESSIONLAD @ SF
Jonah Cox: .259 AVG vs .213 xBA
Jonah Cox is hitting .259 against a .213 expected average (xBA) over 165 plate appearances. His wOBA sits at .308 against a .261 expected (xwOBA). Statcast grades the quality of his contact rather than the results, and the expected marks sit below what he has actually posted.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
TRENCHESHOU @ IND
IND: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.6
HOU is at 3.6 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; IND is at 4.4 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and IND at 4.44 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
QUARTERBACKLAR @ DEN
Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR
Through 2 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 482 passing yards, completed 66.1% of his passes and averaged 8.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
QUARTERBACKPHI @ CHI
Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI
Through 2 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 467 passing yards, completed 64.5% of his passes and averaged 7.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
QUARTERBACKLAR @ DEN
Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN
Through 2 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 419 passing yards, completed 66.1% of his passes and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
RETURN WATCHBAL · return listed 9/27
Ryan Mountcastle
Mountcastle is on Baltimore’s 60-Day IL with an oblique issue; his roster lists a Sept. 27 return. A 0.690 OPS leaves little reason to hold through the final days. Cut
QUARTERBACKSEA @ WSH
Marcus Mariota is the projected starting quarterback for WSH
In his first 2026 game, Marcus Mariota threw for 111 passing yards, completed 68.8% of his passes and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 1695 yards, completed 61.2% and averaged 7.47 yards per attempt, 10-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
QUARTERBACKNE @ JAX
Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX
Through 2 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 434 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 8.35 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
QUARTERBACKNE @ JAX
Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE
Through 2 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 386 passing yards, completed 67.3% of his passes and averaged 7.02 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
QUARTERBACKKC @ MIA
Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA
Through 2 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 417 passing yards, completed 58% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
QUARTERBACKMIN @ TB
Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB
Through 2 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 398 passing yards, completed 71% of his passes and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
QUARTERBACKLV @ NO
Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO
Through 2 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 7.36 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
STARTER FORMHOU @ OAK
Peter Lambert: 5.79 ERA over his last 3 starts
Lambert has a 5.79 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over his last 14 innings, both worse than his 3.87 season ERA and 1.26 season WHIP. That means more recent traffic on the bases, though 14 innings is limited evidence. Against Oakland, use the split when evaluating run and baserunner markets rather than assuming it is his lasting level.
P 2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K
SITUATIONALNYJ @ DET
NYJ (1-1) at DET (1-1)
Both teams are 1-1 and enter off a loss, but the Jets are +10 on the year while Detroit is -9. New York won its only road game and Detroit won its only home game, leaving competing one-game venue signals. The point margins lean Jets, while Detroit's home result makes this a spot where the overall record alone leaves out useful context.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ CLE
CLE: 26.5 points allowed per game to CAR's 31
CAR is at 31 points allowed per game over 2 games; CLE is at 26.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and CLE at 22.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
STARTER FORMBAL @ NYY
Shane Baz: 6.06 ERA over his last 3 starts
Baz has allowed 11 earned runs and 18 hits in 16.1 innings across his last 3 starts, pushing his recent ERA above his 4.11 season mark. Frequent contact has driven the rough stretch, though it remains only 3 outings. Against the Yankees, compare his current hit and earned-run trouble with the broader season profile in pitcher markets.
PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ CHI
CHI: 70 offensive plays per game to PHI's 62.5
PHI is at 62.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; CHI is at 70 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season PHI was at 59.4 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.
COVERAGEPHI @ CHI
CHI: 31.8% third downs allowed to PHI's 39.3%
PHI is at 39.3% third downs allowed over 2 games; CHI is at 31.8% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
SITUATIONALCAR @ CLE
CAR: 8 yards per pass attempt to CLE's 6.95
CAR is at 8 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; CLE is at 6.95 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 5.47 over 17 games and CLE at 4.78 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTCIN @ TOR
Brett Bateman (.651 vs LHP) replaces Addison Barger at RF tonight
Brett Bateman draws LHP Brandon Williamson from the 2nd spot. He carries a .651 OPS vs LHP (56 AB), a tough platoon spot relative to his .822 season line. On the injury report for 62 days (Elbow).
P 2-for-4, 2 TB
REPLACEMENTBAL @ DAL
Ja'Kobi Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for BAL
Lane is on injured reserve after wrist surgery Wednesday. The rookie wide receiver is unavailable at Dallas, leaving Baltimore without him for this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Garrett (knee) is facing a six-week recovery from surgery on his left knee, but the pass rusher is determined to be back before then, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network and ESPN reports. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Dallen Bentley (TE) is inactive for DEN
DEN lists Dallen Bentley as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
TURNOVERSKC @ MIA
KC: 1.5 takeaways per game to MIA's 1
KC is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 2 games; MIA is at 1 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
TURNOVERSNYJ @ DET
DET: 1.5 takeaways per game to NYJ's 1
NYJ is at 1 takeaways per game over 2 games; DET is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
AFTER GARYNYJ @ DET
NYJ +6.5 → +6.5
Gary's number was 6.5; the market closed at 6.5.
TRENCHESMIN @ TB
TB: 75 rushing yards allowed per game to MIN's 100
MIN is at 100 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; TB is at 75 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
AFTER GARYARI @ SF
ARI +7.5 → +7.5
Gary's number was 7.5; the same book now shows 7.5.
TURNOVERSHOU @ IND
IND: 0.5 takeaways per game to HOU's 0
HOU is at 0 takeaways per game over 2 games; IND is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
TURNOVERSARI @ SF
ARI: 1.5 takeaways per game to SF's 1
Arizona has created more takeaways than San Francisco through 2 games. The Cardinals have the stronger early disruption number, but 2 games is too small to assume that turnover edge will persist.
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
AFTER GARYSEA @ WSH
WSH +8.5 → +8.5
Gary's number was 8.5; the market closed at 8.5.
TURNOVERSCAR @ CLE
CLE: 1 turnover committed per game to CAR's 1.5
CAR is at 1.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; CLE is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 1.35 over 17 games and CLE at 1.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
Isiah Pacheco (RB) is on injured reserve for DET
Pacheco is on injured reserve after back surgery Monday and is expected to miss a significant amount of time. Detroit is without its running back against the Jets, and the absence extends beyond this one matchup.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR: 19 first downs per game to DEN's 15.5
LAR is at 19 first downs per game over 2 games; DEN is at 15.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 23.3 over 17 games and DEN at 19.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
SITUATIONALHOU @ IND
HOU: 24 first downs per game to IND's 20.5
HOU is at 24 first downs per game over 2 games; IND is at 20.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and IND at 20.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTATL @ GB
A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) is on injured reserve for ATL
Injured reserve means A.J. Terrell Jr. is out for more than a week, so Atlanta loses a corner for a stretch instead of a single game. He went on the list Tuesday with a groin, reported Sep 22, before the trip to Green Bay. The sheet lists him only as a corner, so the replacement is whoever Atlanta slots in, and that player draws the coverage assignments Terrell would have had. IR is the strongest of these status words, so expect the Atlanta secondary to be shorthanded here.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
REPLACEMENTLAC @ BUF
Jordan Hancock (CB) is on injured reserve for BUF
Hancock is on injured reserve with a hamstring injury after Buffalo placed him there Friday. He is unavailable against the Chargers, leaving the Bills without a cornerback for this game.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
De'Zhaun Stribling (WR) is on injured reserve for SF
Stribling is on injured reserve with an ankle injury after San Francisco placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable against Arizona, taking a 49ers wide receiver out of the active lineup.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
AFTER GARYTEN @ NYG
TEN +2.5 → +2.5
Gary's number was 2.5; the market closed at 2.5.
TURNOVERSCAR @ CLE
CLE: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to CAR's 1
CAR is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; CLE is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CAR was at 0.65 over 17 games and CLE at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
TURNOVERSNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 0 turnovers committed per game to DET's 0.5
NYJ is at 0 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; DET is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 1.35 over 17 games and DET at 0.88 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
STARTER FORMARI @ SD
Randy Vasquez: 2.16 ERA over his last 3 starts
Vasquez has a 2.16 ERA and 0.66 WHIP over 16.2 innings in his last 3 starts, well below his 4.01 season ERA. His 8 strikeouts suggest the run has leaned on limiting baserunners more than overpowering hitters. Against San Diego, compare lines anchored to the season number with this recent efficiency before judging pitcher markets.
P 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 K
RUNNING GAMENYM @ WSH
Washington Nationals like to run, and Luis Torrens (39% caught) is the wrong catcher to test
Washington Nationals attempt 1.4 steals a game, but Luis Torrens has cut down 17 of 44 runners (39%). Someone is getting thrown out tonight.
P Washington Nationals stole 0 bases
TURNOVERSNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 0 fumbles lost per game to DET's 0.5
NYJ is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; DET is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 0.59 over 17 games and DET at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
TURNOVERSLAR @ DEN
DEN: 1.5 turnovers committed per game to LAR's 2
LAR is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; DEN is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 0.88 over 17 games and DEN at 1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
TURNOVERSTEN @ NYG
TEN: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1
TEN is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; NYG is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 1.12 over 17 games and NYG at 1 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
TURNOVERSBAL @ DAL
DAL: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to BAL's 1
BAL is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; DAL is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 1.35 over 17 games and DAL at 1.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ DAL
BAL: 60 offensive plays per game to DAL's 53
BAL is at 60 offensive plays per game over 2 games; DAL is at 53 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 57.3 over 17 games and DAL at 65.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PASS RUSHARI @ SF
SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to ARI's 7
ARI is at 7 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; SF is at 0 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ARI was at 24.9 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
TURNOVERSBAL @ DAL
DAL: 0 fumbles lost per game to BAL's 0.5
BAL is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; DAL is at 0 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season BAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and DAL at 0.53 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
SITUATIONALATL @ GB
ATL (1-2) at GB (1-2)
Atlanta and Green Bay are both 1-2, but Atlanta is -17 while Green Bay is -35. The Falcons are 1-1 on the road, and the Packers lost their only home game, so Atlanta has the better early venue evidence as well as the smaller negative margin. Both records come from three games, but Green Bay has more to repair before its home field can carry weight.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
TURNOVERSPHI @ CHI
PHI: 1 turnover committed per game to CHI's 1.5
PHI is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; CHI is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season PHI was at 0.88 over 17 games and CHI at 0.65 over 17 games.
SITUATIONALCIN @ PIT
CIN: 19 first downs per game to PIT's 15.5
CIN is at 19 first downs per game over 2 games; PIT is at 15.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and PIT at 17.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
RED ZONENYJ @ DET
DET: 77.8% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 66.7%
NYJ is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; DET is at 77.8% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and DET at 62.5% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
TURNOVERSLAR @ DEN
DEN: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAR's 1
LAR is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 2 games; DEN is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 0.41 over 17 games and DEN at 0.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
TURNOVERSLAC @ BUF
BUF: 1 takeaways per game to LAC's 0.5
Buffalo has created more takeaways than Los Angeles through 2 games. Turnovers can shape a game fast, but this is only a 2-game sample and one extra takeaway can materially change the gap.
P Edge side won; final 16-24
TURNOVERSNE @ JAX
JAX: 1.5 takeaways per game to NE's 1
NE is at 1 takeaways per game over 2 games; JAX is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
TURNOVERSTEN @ NYG
NYG: 1.5 takeaways per game to TEN's 1
TEN is at 1 takeaways per game over 2 games; NYG is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
TURNOVERSHOU @ IND
HOU: 1 turnover committed per game to IND's 1.5
HOU is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 2 games; IND is at 1.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 0.71 over 17 games and IND at 1.35 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTLAC @ BUF
KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for LAC
Lambert-Smith is on injured reserve with a hamstring injury after the Chargers placed him there Tuesday. He is unavailable for the game at Buffalo, taking a Chargers wide receiver out of the active lineup.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
REPLACEMENTLAC @ BUF
Trey Pipkins III (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC
Pipkins is on injured reserve with a knee injury after the Chargers placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable at Buffalo, removing a Chargers offensive tackle from the line for this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
REPLACEMENTCAR @ CLE
Dylan Sampson (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE
Sampson is on injured reserve with a knee injury after Cleveland made the move Tuesday. He is unavailable against Carolina, taking a Browns running back out of the backfield rotation.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
Omar Cooper Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ
Cooper is expected to go on injured reserve with an ankle injury. If the Jets make the move, he will be unavailable at Detroit and New York will be without a wide receiver for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
Avonte Maddox (CB) is on injured reserve for DET
Maddox is on injured reserve with a foot injury after Detroit placed him there Tuesday. He is unavailable against the Jets, leaving the Lions without a cornerback for this game.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
REPLACEMENTHOU @ IND
Micheal Clemons (DE) is on injured reserve for IND
Clemons is on injured reserve with a toe injury after Indianapolis made the move Tuesday. He is unavailable against Houston, taking a Colts defensive end out of the lineup.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
Will Johnson (CB) is on injured reserve for ARI
Johnson is on injured reserve with a neck injury after Arizona placed him there Wednesday. He is unavailable at San Francisco, leaving the Cardinals without a cornerback for this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
REPLACEMENTMIN @ TB
Nick Samac (C) is on injured reserve for MIN
Samac is on injured reserve with a knee injury after Minnesota placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable at Tampa Bay, removing a Vikings center from the offensive line for this game.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
REPLACEMENTLV @ NO
Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO
Banks is on injured reserve after ankle surgery this week. He is unavailable against Las Vegas, removing a Saints offensive tackle from the line for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
TURNOVERSLV @ NO
NO: 1 interception thrown per game to LV's 1.5
LV is at 1.5 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; NO is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LV was at 1.12 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNE @ JAX
JAX: 5.65 yards per play to NE's 5.15
Jacksonville has been more efficient per snap through two games, but New England's six plays of 20-plus yards last game show its offense can stretch a defense. The Jaguars are above their 17-game level from last season, while New England is well below its own despite Drake Maye's 63-yard completion and Henderson's 39-yard touchdown run. That makes the early gap vulnerable to movement if New England's big plays become steadier drives.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNYJ @ DET
DET: 5.4 yards per play to NYJ's 4.9
Detroit has the better early per-play offense and backed it with five plays of 20-plus yards last game, several involving Goff and St. Brown. The Lions remain below their 17-game level from last season, while the Jets have improved from theirs through two games. New York's two explosive plays show some upside, but Detroit has created more chunk production and a higher early efficiency.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PASS RUSHATL @ GB
GB: 2.33 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 1.67
ATL is at 1.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; GB is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
SITUATIONALNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 6.9 yards per pass attempt to DET's 6
NYJ is at 6.9 yards per pass attempt over 2 games; DET is at 6 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 4.28 over 17 games and DET at 7.09 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
SITUATIONALATL @ GB
ATL: 34.3% third-down conversion rate to GB's 27.8%
ATL is at 34.3% third-down conversion rate over 3 games; GB is at 27.8% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 33.3% over 17 games and GB at 48.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
TRENCHESKC @ MIA
KC: 90 rushing yards allowed per game to MIA's 112.5
KC is at 90 rushing yards allowed per game over 2 games; MIA is at 112.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
TRENCHESSEA @ WSH
WSH: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 4.25
SEA is at 4.25 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; WSH is at 4.9 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 4.17 over 17 games and WSH at 4.81 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
TURNOVERSTEN @ NYG
TEN: 0 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 0.5
TEN is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 2 games; NYG is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 0.47 over 17 games and NYG at 0.59 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Sai'vion Jones (DE) is inactive for DEN
DEN lists Sai'vion Jones as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
Thomas Harper (S) is on injured reserve for DET
Harper is on injured reserve with an ankle injury after Detroit placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable for the Jets game, and the fact sheet names no replacement in the Lions secondary.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Odafe Oweh
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
REPLACEMENTBAL @ DAL
P.J. Locke (S) is on injured reserve for DAL
Locke is on injured reserve with a foot injury after Dallas placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable against Baltimore, with no replacement safety identified on the fact sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Andrew Billings
Knee · Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Will Shipley
Limited practice
AFTER GARYHOU @ IND
IND +1.5 → +1.5
Gary's number was 1.5; the market closed at 1.5.
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Kam Curl
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Will McDonald IV
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Nate Landman
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Chris Olave
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Nathan Shepherd
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Kyler Murray
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
AFTER GARYNE @ JAX
NE +2.5 → +2.5
Gary's number was 2.5; the market closed at 2.5.
AFTER GARYMIN @ TB
MIN -1.5 → -1.5
Gary's number was -1.5; the same book now shows -1.5.
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Harrison Smith
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Isaiah Adams
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Kaelon Black
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
LeQuint Allen Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Morgan Moses
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Ben Brown
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Reggie Gilliam
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
DaVon Hamilton
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Cooper Kupp
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
K'Lavon Chaisson
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Tony Pollard
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Daniel Bellinger
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
SITUATIONALLAR @ DEN
LAR (1-1) at DEN (1-1)
The Rams and Broncos are each 1-1 and each enter on a win, but Los Angeles is +2 while Denver is -14. Denver won its only home game, while the Rams have no road result listed, so the Broncos have the only direct venue evidence. Los Angeles has the better point margin, yet Denver's home result keeps the early numbers from making this a simple form comparison.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
AFTER GARYBAL @ DAL
BAL -3.5 → -3.5
Gary's number was -3.5; the same book now shows -3.5.
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Andrew Thomas
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
AFTER GARYCAR @ CLE
CAR -2.5 → -2.5
Gary's number was -2.5; the market closed at -2.5.
RETURN WATCHLAD · return listed 9/27
Gavin Stone
Listed back 9/27 (60-Day-IL, shoulder).
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
L'Jarius Sneed
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Tucker Addington
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Chris Jones
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
CJ Allen
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Will Anderson Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
D.J. Reed
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Maliek Collins
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Cole Bishop
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Barryn Sorrell
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Donovan Jennings
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Devonte Wyatt
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Lukas Van Ness
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Ty'Ron Hopper
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Edgerrin Cooper
Head · Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
AFTER GARYLAC @ BUF
BUF -7.5 → -7.5
Gary's number was -7.5; the market closed at -7.5.
REPLACEMENTCAR @ CLE
Claudin Cherelus (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Cherelus is on injured reserve with a shoulder injury after Carolina placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable at Cleveland, leaving the Panthers without a linebacker for this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
David Onyemata (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ
Onyemata is on injured reserve after core-muscle surgery Wednesday. He is unavailable at Detroit, taking a Jets defensive tackle out of the lineup for this game.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
REPLACEMENTHOU @ IND
Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU
Hummel is on injured reserve with a groin injury after Houston placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable at Indianapolis, with no linebacker replacement identified on the fact sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTNE @ JAX
Dell Pettus (S) is on injured reserve for NE
Pettus is on injured reserve with an ankle injury after New England placed him there Wednesday. He is unavailable at Jacksonville, and the Patriots have not named a replacement safety here.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
TRENCHESHOU @ IND
IND: 110.5 rushing yards per game to HOU's 92
HOU is at 92 rushing yards per game over 2 games; IND is at 110.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season HOU was at 108.9 over 17 games and IND at 118.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Brian Thomas Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
REPLACEMENTNE @ JAX
Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is on injured reserve for NE
Hutchins is on injured reserve after New England placed him there Friday with a knee injury. He is unavailable at Jacksonville, with no replacement linebacker listed on the fact sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
C.J. West (DT) is on injured reserve for SF
West is on injured reserve after San Francisco placed him there Wednesday with an undisclosed injury. He is unavailable against Arizona, and no defensive-line replacement is named here.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Kage Casey (OT) is inactive for DEN
DEN lists Kage Casey as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PACE & SCRIPTLAR @ DEN
LAR: 58.5 offensive plays per game to DEN's 53
LAR is at 58.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; DEN is at 53 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season LAR was at 63.9 over 17 games and DEN at 64.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
RED ZONELV @ NO
LV: 60% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 71.4%
LV is at 60% red-zone scoring allowed over 2 games; NO is at 71.4% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PASS RUSHNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 14.5 sack yards lost per game to DET's 20
NYJ is at 14.5 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; DET is at 20 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 24.9 over 17 games and DET at 20.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
SITUATIONALATL @ GB
ATL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to GB's 33.3%
ATL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; GB is at 33.3% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season ATL was at 50% over 17 games and GB at 56% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
COVERAGEARI @ SF
SF: 175 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 203
ARI is at 203 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; SF is at 175 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
COVERAGECAR @ CLE
CLE: 46.2% third downs allowed to CAR's 51.9%
CAR is at 51.9% third downs allowed over 2 games; CLE is at 46.2% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 18-21
COVERAGEBAL @ DAL
BAL: 191 passing yards allowed per game to DAL's 218
BAL is at 191 passing yards allowed per game over 2 games; DAL is at 218 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
Jake Tonges (TE) is on injured reserve for SF
Tonges is on injured reserve with an MCL tear that requires surgery, and he is done for the season. He is unavailable against Arizona, with no replacement tight end named on the fact sheet.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
REPLACEMENTNE @ JAX
Mike Onwenu (G) is on injured reserve for NE
Onwenu is on injured reserve with an ankle injury after New England placed him there Tuesday. He is unavailable at Jacksonville, and the fact sheet does not name the guard who takes his snaps.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
REPLACEMENTSEA @ WSH
Anthony Bradford (G) is on injured reserve for SEA
Bradford is on injured reserve with a knee injury after Seattle placed him there Wednesday. He is unavailable at Washington, with no replacement guard identified on the fact sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
REPLACEMENTCIN @ PIT
Gennings Dunker (G) is on injured reserve for PIT
Dunker is on injured reserve with a knee injury after Pittsburgh placed him there Saturday. He is unavailable against Cincinnati, and no replacement guard is listed on the fact sheet.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PASS RUSHNYJ @ DET
DET: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to NYJ's 3
NYJ is at 3 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; DET is at 3.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PASS RUSHTEN @ NYG
NYG: 2 sacks taken per game to TEN's 2.5
TEN is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; NYG is at 2 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season TEN was at 3.5 over 17 games and NYG at 2.82 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PASS RUSHNE @ JAX
NE: 3 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.5
NE is at 3 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; JAX is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PASS RUSHCIN @ PIT
CIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to PIT's 3.5
CIN is at 4 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; PIT is at 3.5 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PASS RUSHCAR @ CLE
CAR: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to CLE's 2
CAR is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 2 games; CLE is at 2 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
COVERAGELAC @ BUF
LAC: 35.7% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%
LAC is at 35.7% third downs allowed over 2 games; BUF is at 40.7% over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Tyler Onyedim (DT) is inactive for DEN
DEN lists Tyler Onyedim as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side won; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Maximus Pulley (S) is inactive for LAR
LAR lists Maximus Pulley as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PASS RUSHNYJ @ DET
NYJ: 2 sacks taken per game to DET's 2.5
NYJ is at 2 sacks taken per game over 2 games; DET is at 2.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and DET at 3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
COVERAGEARI @ SF
SF: 5.1 yards per play allowed to ARI's 5.5
ARI is at 5.5 yards per play allowed over 2 games; SF is at 5.1 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLV @ NO
NO: 5.1 yards per play to LV's 4.7
New Orleans has the stronger early offense per play and is almost exactly at its 17-game level from last season. Las Vegas has improved from its own prior-season mark, but remains behind New Orleans through two games. The sample is small, so the useful matchup angle is whether New Orleans can keep its usual efficiency while Las Vegas tries to sustain its early improvement.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
REPLACEMENTLAR @ DEN
Bill Murray (G) is inactive for LAR
LAR lists Bill Murray as inactive on the injury report. Reported Sep 27.
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
REPLACEMENTBAL @ DAL
T.J. Tampa (CB) is on injured reserve for BAL
Tampa is on injured reserve after Baltimore placed him there Saturday with a knee injury. He is unavailable at Dallas, and the fact sheet names no replacement cornerback.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
REPLACEMENTNE @ JAX
B.J. Green II (DE) is on injured reserve for JAX
Green is on injured reserve with an elbow injury after Jacksonville placed him there Wednesday. He is unavailable against New England, with no replacement defensive end listed on the fact sheet.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
REPLACEMENTTEN @ NYG
Paulson Adebo (CB) is on injured reserve for NYG
Adebo is on injured reserve after the Giants placed him there Friday with a knee injury. He is unavailable against Tennessee, and no replacement cornerback is identified here.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
BALLPARKCLE @ KC
Daniel Lynch IV owns a 4.62 ERA at Kauffman Stadium and 3.38 everywhere else
Lynch has a 4.62 ERA at Kauffman Stadium versus 3.38 everywhere else, despite hitters batting .217 off him there. The home split covers 30 games and 48.2 innings, so it carries more weight than a brief run. For Cleveland, separate the low batting average from the higher run environment when sizing his home-start risk.
P 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 2 K
RETURN WATCHSD · return listed 10/1
Lucas Giolito
Giolito is on San Diego’s 60-Day IL with an elbow issue; his roster lists an Oct. 1 return. With a 5.16 ERA and only four days until that listing, he is not a season-long stash. Cut
REPLACEMENTATL @ GB
Da'Shawn Hand (DT) is on injured reserve for ATL
Injured reserve takes Da'Shawn Hand off the field for more than this week, so Atlanta's defensive line loses a body for a stretch. He landed there Wednesday with a quadriceps, reported Sep 17. A defensive tackle out means fewer fresh legs in the interior rotation and more snaps for the next men inside. Against Green Bay, the sheet gives no timeline, so the line is thinner than usual for as long as he is out.
P Edge side won; final 35-14
REPLACEMENTHOU @ IND
Henry To'oTo'o (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU
To'oTo'o is on injured reserve with a shoulder injury and is expected to miss more than four games. He is unavailable at Indianapolis, with no replacement linebacker named on the fact sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
REPLACEMENTKC @ MIA
Cooper McDonald (LB) is on injured reserve for KC
McDonald is on injured reserve after Kansas City placed him there Wednesday with a knee injury. He is unavailable at Miami, and no replacement linebacker is identified on the fact sheet.
P Edge side won; final 24-10
REPLACEMENTKC @ MIA
Kyle Louis (LB) is on injured reserve for MIA
Louis is on injured reserve after Miami placed him there Wednesday with a knee injury. He is unavailable against Kansas City, with no replacement linebacker listed on the fact sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
REPLACEMENTARI @ SF
Kitan Crawford (S) is on injured reserve for ARI
The Cardinals placed Crawford (ankle) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 17.
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
REPLACEMENTMIN @ TB
Jordan Mason (RB) is on injured reserve for MIN
Mason is on injured reserve for Minnesota and is unavailable for the trip to Tampa Bay. The injury report supplies no reason or replacement, so the main betting impact is a thinner Vikings running back group for this game.
P Edge side won; final 23-16
SITUATIONALHOU @ IND
HOU (0-2) at IND (0-2), a division game
Houston and Indianapolis are both 0-2, separated by only -19 and -21 in point margin. Both have lost two straight, while Indianapolis also lost its only home game and Houston has no road result listed. In an AFC South game, neither record offers momentum to trust, so the near-identical early margins matter more than either team's win total.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
SITUATIONALPHI @ CHI
PHI (2-0) at CHI (1-1)
Philadelphia is 2-0, but Chicago's +16 point margin is stronger than Philadelphia's +6 despite its 1-1 record. The Eagles won their only road game, while the Bears lost their only home game, adding a venue edge to Philadelphia's undefeated start. Chicago's margin shows its record may undersell it, but the home result gives Philadelphia a cleaner fit for this spot.
REPLACEMENTKC @ MIA
Ronnie Harrison Jr. (LB) is on injured reserve for MIA
Harrison is out for the Dolphins after a hamstring injury sent him to injured reserve Saturday. IR removes him from this game against Kansas City, leaving Miami to cover his linebacker role with available depth.
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
REPLACEMENTSEA @ WSH
Jordan Magee (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH
Magee is out for Washington after the team placed him on injured reserve Wednesday with a hamstring injury. IR rules him out against Seattle, so the Commanders will need their available linebackers to absorb his defensive work.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
FIRST INNINGATL @ MIA
MIA have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 0 of their last 10
MIA scored in the first inning in 0 of the 10 sampled games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Janson Junk: 3.00 ERA, .216 opponent AVG across 24.0 IP, 3 HR; JR Ritchie: 2.61 ERA, .152 opponent AVG across 10.1 IP, 1 HR.
P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st
REGRESSIONLAD @ SF
San Francisco Giants are 16-29 in one-run games (.356 win rate)
San Francisco Giants are 16-29 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (45 completed games). They are 49-67 in their other 116 completed games.
REPLACEMENTPIT @ DET
Zach McKinstry (.630 vs RHP) replaces Wenceel Perez at RF tonight
Zach McKinstry draws RHP Jared Jones from the 8th spot. He carries a .630 OPS vs RHP (293 AB), a favorable platoon spot relative to his .586 season line. On the injury report for 16 days (Orbital).
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
REGRESSIONTB @ PHI
Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)
Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-49 in their other 122 completed games.
REPLACEMENTPHI @ CHI
Landon Dickerson (G) is on injured reserve for PHI
The Eagles placed Dickerson (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Chris McPherson of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 16.
REPLACEMENTNYJ @ DET
Marcelino McCrary-Ball (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ
NYJ lists Marcelino McCrary-Ball as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
REPLACEMENTLV @ NO
Zach Wood (LS) is on injured reserve for NO
Wood is out for New Orleans after a calf injury led to an injured-reserve placement Friday. A long snapper works on punts, field goals and extra points, so the Saints need a replacement in that specialist role against Las Vegas.
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
HEAD-TO-HEADARI @ SF
SF lead the series with ARI since 2025
San Francisco won both meetings last season, but they looked nothing alike. The Sep 21 game at SF was a coin flip, a 16-15 finish, while the Nov 16 rematch in Arizona turned into a 41-22 rout. Two games is a thin series, and one of them came down to a single point, so the sweep says less about a gap than the Arizona blowout suggests. For this one at SF, the close home result is as fair a reference point as the lopsided road win.
P Edge side won; final 30-36
HEAD-TO-HEADCIN @ PIT
CIN and PIT are even since 2025
Cincinnati and Pittsburgh have split the last two meetings, so there is no series edge to chase. Cincinnati won 33-31 at home, then Pittsburgh answered with a 34-12 home win. The current game returns to Pittsburgh, matching the site of the more lopsided result, though the sample is only two games. Home-field context matters more here than an even series record.
P Edge side won; final 27-30
HEAD-TO-HEADHOU @ IND
HOU lead the series with IND since 2025
Houston has won both meetings since 2025, with one game decided 20-16 and the other 38-30. The results came once in Indianapolis and once in Houston, so the edge has traveled. Two games is a short series, but Houston has produced the stronger finish in each. Use the history as a matchup lean, not proof that this trip plays out the same way.
P Edge side won; final 17-19
SITUATIONALATL @ GB
ATL is on a short week
Both Atlanta and Green Bay are working on three days of rest, so neither side gets a calendar edge. Short weeks compress recovery, practice and game-plan installation for both teams. Focus on which club can keep its normal rhythm with limited preparation rather than treating rest as a separator.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Mason Graham
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Anthony Nelson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Chauncey Golston
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Nic Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Matt Goncalves
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Jonathan Taylor
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Javon Kinlaw
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Justin Skule
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Sean Tucker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Shelby Harris
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Micah McFadden
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Josh Sweat
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Garrett Williams
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Christian Rozeboom
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Aaron Jones Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Jalen McMillan
Knee · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
A'Shawn Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Malik Nabers
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Anthony Richardson Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Chris Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
George Holani
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Jalen Redmond
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Jake Golday
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Jadon Canady
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Jeffrey Bassa
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Benjamin St-Juste
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Mansoor Delane
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
James Williams Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Foyesade Oluokun
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Dre Greenlaw
Quadriceps · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
R Mason Thomas
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Jaylin Lane
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Jacob Parrish
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Juice Scruggs
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Blake Cashman
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Baker Mayfield
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Derius Davis
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Bradley Chubb
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Jerry Jeudy
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Keion White
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Dante Trader Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Joe Burrow
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
TreVeyon Henderson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Trey McBride
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Andrew Van Ginkel
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Brian O'Neill
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
Miles Killebrew
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Nakobe Dean
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
James Houston
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Calais Campbell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Jaylinn Hawkins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
JJ Pegues
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Devontez Walker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Juwan Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Malik Willis
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Chop Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Ashton Gillotte
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Jordan Whittington
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Seydou Traore
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Rashee Rice
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Jaden Hicks
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Chris Bell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Jack Cochrane
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Patrick Mahomes
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTKC @ MIA
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-10
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Sauce Gardner
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
DJ Giddens
Knee · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Reed Blankenship
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Keenan Allen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Akeem Davis-Gaither
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Austin Ajiake
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Grover Stewart
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Wade Woodaz
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ IND
Laquon Treadwell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 17-19
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
D'Angelo Ponds
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Blake Miller
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Jamien Sherwood
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Christian Mahogany
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Alim McNeill
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
David Bailey
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Christian Izien
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Ahmed Hassanein
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Tate Ratledge
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ DET
Hogan Hatten
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-31
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Zion Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Elgton Jenkins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Jaelan Phillips
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Quinshon Judkins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Darren Waller
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Patrick Jones II
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Bobby Brown III
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Quincy Williams
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Tytus Howard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Dawand Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Bud Dupree
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Teair Tart
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Tuli Tuipulotu
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Cole Strange
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Deane Leonard
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Ladd McConkey
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Khalil Mack
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Akheem Mesidor
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Joe Andreessen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Ty Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Rashawn Slater
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ BUF
Derwin James Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 16-24
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Michael Penix Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Nick Muse
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Kendal Daniels
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Brian Robinson Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Tua Tagovailoa
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Chris Lindstrom
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Jawaan Taylor
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Brandon Dorlus
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Cooper Rush
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Brandon Cisse
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Anthony Belton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
FIRST INNINGPIT @ DET
PIT have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 1 of their last 10
PIT scored in the first inning in 1 of the 10 sampled games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Jared Jones: 1.80 ERA, .132 opponent AVG across 20.0 IP, 2 HR.
P flagged team scored 1 in the 1st
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
George Kittle
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Budda Baker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Mack Wilson Sr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Christian McCaffrey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Khalid Kareem
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ TB
DeeJay Dallas
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 23-16
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Nnamdi Madubuike
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Zion Young
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Chris Moore
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Ajani Cornelius
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Trey Hendrickson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Teddye Buchanan
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
John Simpson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Keondre Jackson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ DAL
Malaki Starks
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Ashton Jeanty
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Folorunso Fatukasi
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Alvin Kamara
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Darien Porter
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Oscar Delp
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Kendre Miller
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Travis Etienne Jr.
Hamstring · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Dareke Young
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Chase Young
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Cameron Jordan
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Davon Godchaux
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Isaiah Stalbird
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Jonas Sanker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NO
Segun Olubi
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-27
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Alaric Jackson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
J.K. Dobbins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Terrance Ferguson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Tyler Steen
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Jonah Elliss
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Davante Adams
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
RJ Harvey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Troy Franklin
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTLAR @ DEN
Omar Speights
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-30
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Cairo Santos
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Ozzy Trapilo
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Elijah Moore
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Darnell Wright
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Joe Thuney
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Xavier Woods
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
DeVonta Smith
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Grady Jarrett
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Andrew Mukuba
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Saquon Barkley
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Jalen Carter
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Cooper DeJean
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Kyle Monangai
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Dayo Odeyingbo
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Neville Gallimore
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Tank Bigsby
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
Malik Muhammad II
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ CHI
D'Andre Swift
Full practice
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Cody Simon
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Upton Stout
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Kyle Juszczyk
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Carlton Davis III
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Dametrious Crownover
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Robert Spillane
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Robert Hainsey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Jakobi Meyers
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
DaQuan Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
Bo Melton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Branson Combs
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Cole Van Lanen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTNE @ JAX
Christian Braswell
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-35
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Brandon Coleman
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Nick Emmanwori
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Kaytron Allen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Josh Jobe
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Josh Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Jadarian Price
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Ernest Jones IV
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ CLE
Parker Brailsford
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-21
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Tory Horton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Tyler Owens
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Drew Stevens
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Daron Payne
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Charles Omenihu
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Chris Paul
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Jeremy Reaves
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Dorance Armstrong
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Sam Darnold
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Brady Russell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ WSH
Percy Butler
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-33
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Cameron Heyward
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Troy Fautanu
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Dax Hill
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Shemar Stewart
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Darnell Washington
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Jonathan Allen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Jalen Ramsey
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ PIT
Cole Holcomb
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 27-30
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Micah Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Solomon Thomas
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Jermaine Eluemunor
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Cedric Gray
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Greg Newsome II
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Francis Mauigoa
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ NYG
Marcus Harris
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 7-12
PRACTICE REPORTATL @ GB
LaCale London
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 35-14
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Isaac Seumalo
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Trent Williams
Neck · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Hjalte Froholdt
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Jacoby Brissett
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
PRACTICE REPORTARI @ SF
Jack Gibbens
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 30-36
SITUATIONALNE @ JAX
NE (1-1) at JAX (1-1)
New England and Jacksonville are both 1-1, but Jacksonville is +17 and New England is +14. The Patriots lost their only road game, while the Jaguars won their only home game, so the venue results reinforce Jacksonville's small margin edge. With only two games for each club, the records are level, but Jacksonville has the more favorable early setup in this building.
P Edge side won; final 6-35
SITUATIONALTEN @ NYG
TEN (0-2) at NYG (1-1)
Tennessee is 0-2 and -17, while the Giants are 1-1 and -14, so the gap between the teams is smaller than the records suggest. New York won its only home game, and Tennessee has no road result listed, giving the Giants the only venue evidence. Tennessee's two losses are a poor start, but its point margin is close enough to keep this from looking like a major form mismatch.
P Edge side won; final 7-12
SITUATIONALBAL @ DAL
BAL (1-1) at DAL (1-1)
Baltimore and Dallas are both 1-1, with Baltimore at +11 and Dallas at +9. Baltimore enters off a loss and Dallas off a win, while each team won its only game in the relevant venue split. The margins are nearly even through two games, so this is more about whether Dallas can extend its home form than about a meaningful gap in overall results.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
HEAD-TO-HEADSEA @ WSH
SEA lead the series with WSH since 2025
Seattle’s edge is built on one meeting, a 38-14 win at Washington on Nov 2. The margin makes the result clear, while the one-game sample leaves little proof of a repeatable series pattern. This game is again in Washington, so the prior setting matches. Use Seattle’s prior control as context for the matchup, then leave room for the rematch to look different.
P Edge side won; final 31-33
HEAD-TO-HEADPHI @ CHI
CHI lead the series with PHI since 2025
Chicago’s edge comes from one 24-15 win at Philadelphia on Nov 28. It was a solid road result, though one meeting cannot say much about a long-running series. The rematch shifts to Chicago, so the venue now favors the team that won the first game. The prior score gives bettors a baseline for how these teams matched up, not a full trend.
HEAD-TO-HEADATL @ GB
ATL lead the series with GB since 2025
Atlanta’s series edge comes entirely from one game: a 35-14 win at Green Bay on Sep 24. That is a decisive result, but one meeting does not establish a lasting matchup advantage. This rematch is again in Green Bay, giving bettors a direct reference point for the setting. Price the result as recent evidence, with room for a major move after only one game.
P Edge side lost; final 35-14

Graded results

Games

L
New York Jets +6.5 -105
NFL · 24-31
L
Tennessee Titans +2.5 -110
NFL · 7-12
W
Buffalo Bills -7.5 +100
NFL · 16-24
W
Indianapolis Colts +1.5 -108
NFL · 17-19
W
Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 -120
NFL · 27-30
L
New England Patriots +2.5 +100
NFL · 6-35
W
Washington Commanders +8.5 -110
NFL · 31-33
L
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 -102
NFL · 34-31
W
Las Vegas Raiders +3 -102
NFL · 35-27
W
Arizona Cardinals +7.5 -110
NFL · 30-36
W
Minnesota Vikings -1.5 -104
NFL · 23-16
L
Los Angeles Rams -2.5 -104
NFL · 26-30
L
Carolina Panthers -2.5 -104
NFL · 18-21
W
Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 -102
NFL · 24-10

Props

L
Baker Mayfield · over
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Actual 17
L
Bhayshul Tuten · under
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Actual 2
L
Bo Nix · over
Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos · Actual 17
L
Chris Bell · under
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins · Actual 4
L
C.J. Stroud · over
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts · Actual 27
L
Emanuel Wilson · over
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders · Actual 14
W
Emmett Johnson · under
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins · Actual 17
W
Geno Smith · over
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions · Actual 31
L
Isaiah Likely · over
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants · Actual 2
L
Ja'Marr Chase · under
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Actual 9
L
Jared Goff · under
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions · Actual 269
L
Jordan Addison · under
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Actual 5
W
Josh Allen · under
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills · Actual 26
L
KC Concepcion · over
Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns · Actual 2
W
Kirk Cousins · over
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Actual 3
W
Lamar Jackson · under
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys · Actual 15
W
Marcus Mariota · over
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders · Actual 183
W
Michael Wilson · over
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers · Actual 89
W
Mike Evans · under
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers · Actual 34
W
Oronde Gadsden · under
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills · Actual 0
L
Quinshon Judkins · under
Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns · Actual 18
W
Rashod Bateman · under
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys · Actual 37
W
RJ Harvey · over
Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos · Actual 47
W
Romeo Doubs · under
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Actual 3
L
Tony Pollard · under
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants · Actual 17
W
Travis Etienne Jr. · over
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Actual 2
W
Xavier Hutchinson · under
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts · Actual 3