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NFL · Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

O/U 64.5 · SPREAD Washington Commanders -1.5 · Northwest Stadium

GARY'S PICK
Commanders +8.5
NFLvs Seahawks· -110

Commanders
+8.5

-110 · CASHED · SEA 31 · WSH 33

Seahawks

The pick & result

Published pick
Washington Commanders +8.5 -110
Published odds
-110
Result
Won
Final score
31-33

Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.

The line

BETMGM · 47 moves
MarketOpened
Sep 21 6:00 AM
Close
Sep 27 10:31 AM
Move
SPREADSeattle Seahawks -6.5 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -8.5 (-105)+2
TOTAL40.5 (-110)40.5 (-108)Price
MONEYLINESeattle Seahawks -285Seattle Seahawks -425−140
Every move, in order ›
WhenSpreadTotalMoneyline
OPENSep 21 6:00 AMSeattle Seahawks -6.5 (-112)40.5 (-110)Seattle Seahawks -285 · Washington Commanders +230
Sep 21 9:31 AMSeattle Seahawks -6.5 (-110)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -285 · Washington Commanders +230
Sep 21 11:31 AMSeattle Seahawks -6.5 (-112)40 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -285 · Washington Commanders +230
Sep 21 12:32 PMSeattle Seahawks -6.5 (-112)40 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -285 · Washington Commanders +230
Sep 21 4:03 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-105)40 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -295 · Washington Commanders +240
Sep 21 9:20 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-105)40 (-110)Seattle Seahawks -295 · Washington Commanders +240
Sep 21 9:51 PMSeattle Seahawks -6.5 (-130)40 (-110)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 21 10:21 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-110)40 (-110)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 22 6:00 AMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-108)40 (-110)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 22 6:30 AMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-110)40 (-110)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 22 2:55 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 22 4:56 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-112)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 22 7:58 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 22 9:58 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-112)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +270
Sep 23 4:06 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-112)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 23 5:06 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +270
Sep 23 6:06 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +260
Sep 23 8:07 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +270
Sep 23 9:39 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +275
Sep 23 10:09 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-112)40.5 (-105)Seattle Seahawks -325 · Washington Commanders +270
Sep 23 10:40 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +275
Sep 24 6:00 AMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +270
Sep 24 12:52 PMSeattle Seahawks -7 (-115)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +275
Sep 24 2:53 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-105)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +280
Sep 24 3:23 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-105)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +280
Sep 24 4:23 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-108)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +290
Sep 24 5:35 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-108)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +290
Sep 24 6:06 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-108)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 24 7:27 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-108)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +290
Sep 25 2:01 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-110)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +290
Sep 25 4:03 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-110)40 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -350 · Washington Commanders +290
Sep 25 6:05 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-110)40 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 25 8:05 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-112)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 25 10:06 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-120)40 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 26 11:01 AMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-112)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 26 6:34 PMSeattle Seahawks -7.5 (-112)40.5 (-105)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 26 9:05 PMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-108)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +310
Sep 26 10:05 PMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-108)40.5 (-105)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +310
Sep 26 10:43 PMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-108)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +310
Sep 26 11:43 PMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-108)40 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +310
Sep 27 12:14 AMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-108)40 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -375 · Washington Commanders +300
Sep 27 12:44 AMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-118)40 (-112)Seattle Seahawks -400 · Washington Commanders +320
Sep 27 5:00 AMSeattle Seahawks -8 (-112)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -400 · Washington Commanders +310
Sep 27 8:30 AMSeattle Seahawks -8.5 (-108)40.5 (-105)Seattle Seahawks -400 · Washington Commanders +320
Sep 27 9:18 AMSeattle Seahawks -8.5 (-110)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -425 · Washington Commanders +333
Sep 27 10:00 AMSeattle Seahawks -8.5 (-108)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -425 · Washington Commanders +333
Sep 27 10:10 AMSeattle Seahawks -8.5 (-105)40 (-120)Seattle Seahawks -425 · Washington Commanders +333
CLOSESep 27 10:31 AMSeattle Seahawks -8.5 (-105)40.5 (-108)Seattle Seahawks -425 · Washington Commanders +320

The read

The price is the bet: Seattle -8.5 sits 1–2 points above the exchange consensus (Polymarket -6.5, Kalshi -7.5), and the two-point move from -6.5 to -8.5 was a public-driven reaction to the Daniels news. The book has moved past where the market actually prices this game — the textbook spot to buy the dog, and +8.5 wins outright on 7- and 8-point losses where +7 only pushes or loses. Backing that with the matchup: Seattle's profile caps its margin.

Its 22 ppg sits on 347 ypg — an offense that moves the ball but is genuinely poor in the red zone (42.9% red-zone TD, RZ EPA -0.089, goal-to-go EPA -0.291, 27.3% success, 2.33 ypp). An elite yardage defense (8.5 ppg, 3.75 ypp) paired with a red-zone-challenged offense wins by 3–7, not 9+. Washington is also a live home dog: first home game of 2026, a competent veteran backup in Mariota (68.8%, 111 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, QBR 83.2 in his one game), Diggs/McLaurin plus a real run game (157 ypg, 4.9 ypc) to control tempo, and a Seattle secondary missing both safeties (Julian Love, 96% snaps, and Okada, both OUT) — fresh absences the number may not fully carry.

Holding the other side in view: Seattle's defense vs a backup QB is a real mismatch, and Washington's defense (30.5 ppg, 137 opp passer rating, 0 takeaways) can't stop anyone — that's the case for laying the 8.5, and it's why this is only a moderate-confidence play. But eight-and-a-half on the road from a 22-ppg team that is banged up at safety, sitting above the market's own number, is the wrong price. Take the points.

Injuries noted

Seattle Seahawks: Zach Charbonnet (PUP-R) — Head coach Mike Macdonald said Friday that Charbonnet (knee) returning to practice next week is potentially "on the table," Corbin Smith of SI.com reports.; Robbie Ouzts (IR) — Neck; Jake Bobo (IR) — Knee; Irv Charles (IR-R) — Charles (undisclosed) was placed on injured reserve by the Seahawks on Sunday with a designation to return, John Boyle of the team's official website reports.; Bud Clark (IR) — The Seahawks placed Clark (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports.; Ty Okada (Out) — Okada (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Commanders, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.; Mason Richman (IR) — The Seahawks placed Richman (leg) on injured reserve Tuesday, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports.; Sam Darnold (Questionable) — Darnold (glute) said Thursday that he's "feeling good" and aiming to play Sunday at Washington, but the Seahawks are taking the situation "day by day," John Boyle of the team's official site reports.; Anthony Bradford (IR) — The Seahawks placed Bradford (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports.; Cooper Kupp (Questionable) — Kupp (back) was limited in Wednesday's practice, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.; Jadarian Price (Questionable) — Price (chest) was limited in practice Thursday, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.; George Holani (Questionable) — Holani (knee) practiced on a limited basis Wednesday, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.; Ernest Jones IV (Questionable) — Jones (neck) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports.; Brady Russell (Questionable) — questionable; Julian Love (Out) — Love (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Commanders, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.

Washington Commanders: Deatrich Wise Jr. (PUP-R) — Wise (undisclosed) was placed on the reserve/PUP list on Sunday.; Trey Amos (IR-R) — Amos (ankle) was placed on injured reserve Sunday with a designation to return.; Jeremy McNichols (IR-R) — The Commanders placed McNichols (quadriceps) on injured reserve with a designation to return Sunday, Zach Selby of the team's official site reports.; Laremy Tunsil (IR) — The Commanders placed Tunsil (triceps) on injured reserve Monday.; Dorance Armstrong (Questionable) — questionable; Jer'Zhan Newton (IR) — The Commanders placed Newton (pectoral) on injured reserve Monday.; Frankie Luvu (Out) — Luvu (groin) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Seahawks.; Chig Okonkwo (Out) — Okonkwo (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's contest against the Seahawks.; Jordan Magee (IR) — The Commanders placed Magee (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Zach Selby of the team's official site reports.; Tyler Owens (Questionable) — questionable; Jaylin Lane (Questionable) — Lane returned six kickoffs for 120 yards and one punt for 14 yards in Sunday's 37-20 loss to the Cowboys.; Charles Omenihu (Questionable) — questionable; Javon Kinlaw (Questionable) — Kinlaw (shoulder) did not practice Wednesday, John Keim of ESPN.com reports.; Jayden Daniels (Out) — Daniels (elbow) won't be placed on injured reserve and is considered week-to-week, per Commanders head coach Dan Quinn.; Brandon Coleman (Questionable) — Coach Dan Quinn said Monday that "all signs look good to go" regarding Coleman's (finger) odds of being available in Week 3, JP Finlay of NBC Sports Washington reports.; Sam Cosmi (Out) — Cosmi (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Seahawks.; Nick Cross (Out) — Commanders head coach Dan Quinn said that Cross (internal injury) won't play in Sunday's game versus the Seahawks, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports.; Kaytron Allen (Questionable) — questionable; Percy Butler (Questionable) — questionable; Leo Chenal (Questionable) — Chenal (chest) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice.; Jeremy Reaves (Questionable) — Reaves (knee) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice.

The research

The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.

QUARTERBACK

  • Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

    6.5 Y/A

    In his first 2026 game, Sam Darnold threw for 13 passing yards, completed 50% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

  • Marcus Mariota is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

    6.94 Y/A

    In his first 2026 game, Marcus Mariota threw for 111 passing yards, completed 68.8% of his passes and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 1695 yards, completed 61.2% and averaged 7.47 yards per attempt, 10-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

TRENCHES

  • WSH: 157 rushing yards per game to SEA's 129.5

    27.5 YPG

    SEA is at 129.5 rushing yards per game over 2 games; WSH is at 157 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 123.3 over 17 games and WSH at 134.7 over 17 games.

  • WSH: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 4.25

    0.65 Y/C

    SEA is at 4.25 yards per rush attempt over 2 games; WSH is at 4.9 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 4.17 over 17 games and WSH at 4.81 over 17 games.

PASS RUSH

  • WSH: 0.5 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 14

    13.5 YDS

    SEA is at 14 sack yards lost per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 14.3 over 17 games and WSH at 12.5 over 17 games.

  • WSH: 0.5 sacks taken per game to SEA's 1.5

    1 SACKS

    SEA is at 1.5 sacks taken per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 2.08 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

  • SEA: 8.5 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5

    22 PPG

    Seattle has allowed far less than Washington through 2 games, and both teams are ahead of last season's defensive scoring pace. Seattle gave up 17.2 points per game last season, while Washington allowed 26.5. The early gap frames this game around whether Seattle can keep Washington from turning possessions into scoring chances.

  • WSH: 67 offensive plays per game to SEA's 57.5

    9.5 PLAYS

    SEA is at 57.5 offensive plays per game over 2 games; WSH is at 67 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 59.7 over 17 games and WSH at 58.2 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

  • SEA: 2 takeaways per game to WSH's 0

    2 TO

    SEA is at 2 takeaways per game over 2 games; WSH is at 0 over 2 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 26.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS

  • SEA: 5.8 yards per play to WSH's 5.1

    0.7 Y/P

    Seattle has gained more per snap through two games, though Washington actually produced more explosive plays in its last game. Seattle's 82-yard touchdown from Lock to Smith-Njigba inflates part of the early edge, while Washington got chunk plays from Mariota, Daniels and McLaurin. Seattle is below its 17-game level from last season, so this matchup pits steadier early efficiency against Washington's ability to create quick gains.

RED ZONE

  • WSH: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to SEA's 42.9%

    23.8 PP

    SEA is at 42.9% red-zone scoring rate over 2 games; WSH is at 66.7% over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 54.2% over 17 games and WSH at 65.2% over 17 games.

MISMATCH

  • SEA: 8.5 points allowed a game to WSH's 30.5

    8.5 VS 30.5

    Seattle has allowed 8.5 points a game through 2 games, compared with 30.5 for Washington. Seattle is below its 17.2 points allowed last season, while Washington remains above its 26.5, so the gap is large but built on a short sample. Washington needs to avoid falling behind early, because Seattle's defense has given opponents very little room to chase games so far.

COVERAGE

  • SEA: 3.65 yards per play allowed to WSH's 6.05

    2.4 Y/P

    Seattle has held opponents to fewer yards per play than Washington through 2 games, a broad early edge in defensive efficiency. Two games leave room for major movement, and the sheet gives no opponent or game-script context behind either result. In this matchup, use the split to judge whether either offense can keep drives efficient from snap to snap.

  • SEA: 124.5 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 224

    99.5 YPG

    Seattle has allowed less passing production than Washington through 2 games, while Washington has given up far more through the air. The sample is only 2 games and comes without opponent or game-script context, which limits how firmly the split can be trusted. In this matchup, passing volume is where the early defensive difference has the clearest relevance.

  • SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to WSH's 52%

    23.4 PP

    Seattle has allowed conversions on 28.6% of third downs, while Washington has allowed 52%. Both marks come from 2 games, so the gap describes a fast start more than a settled defensive identity. Seattle has the early edge in getting off the field, but third-down markets need room for that small sample to move.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

  • SEA lead the series with WSH since 2025

    1-0 SERIES

    Seattle’s edge is built on one meeting, a 38-14 win at Washington on Nov 2. The margin makes the result clear, while the one-game sample leaves little proof of a repeatable series pattern. This game is again in Washington, so the prior setting matches. Use Seattle’s prior control as context for the matchup, then leave room for the rematch to look different.

REPLACEMENT

  • Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

    PUP-R

    Charbonnet remains on the PUP list with a knee injury, and Mike Macdonald said a return to practice next week is only potentially on the table. That keeps him unavailable for Washington, so Seattle’s existing backfield workload stays in place for this game.

  • Anthony Bradford (G) is on injured reserve for SEA

    IR

    Bradford is on injured reserve with a knee injury after Seattle placed him there Wednesday. He is unavailable at Washington, with no replacement guard identified on the fact sheet.

  • Jordan Magee (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

    IR

    Magee is out for Washington after the team placed him on injured reserve Wednesday with a hamstring injury. IR rules him out against Seattle, so the Commanders will need their available linebackers to absorb his defensive work.

PRACTICE REPORT

  • Chig Okonkwo

    Out

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

  • Nick Cross

    Out

    Illness · Did not practice · Out

  • Leo Chenal

    Out

    Neck · Limited practice · Out

  • Frankie Luvu

    Out

    Groin · Did not practice · Out

  • Ty Okada

    Out

    Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

  • Jayden Daniels

    Out

    Elbow · Did not practice · Out

  • Julian Love

    Out

    Calf · Did not practice · Out

  • Sam Cosmi

    Out

    Concussion, Throat · Did not practice · Out

  • Brandon Pili

    Questionable

    Concussion, Neck · Limited practice · Questionable

  • Odafe Oweh

    LP

    Limited practice

  • Cooper Kupp

    LP

    Limited practice

  • K'Lavon Chaisson

    LP

    Limited practice

  • Javon Kinlaw

    FP

    Full practice

  • George Holani

    FP

    Full practice

  • Jaylin Lane

    FP

    Full practice

  • Brandon Coleman

    FP

    Full practice

  • Nick Emmanwori

    FP

    Full practice

  • Kaytron Allen

    FP

    Full practice

  • Josh Jobe

    FP

    Full practice

  • Josh Jones

    FP

    Full practice

  • Jadarian Price

    FP

    Full practice

  • Ernest Jones IV

    FP

    Full practice

  • Tory Horton

    FP

    Full practice

  • Tyler Owens

    FP

    Full practice

  • Drew Stevens

    FP

    Full practice

  • Daron Payne

    FP

    Full practice

  • Charles Omenihu

    FP

    Full practice

  • Chris Paul

    FP

    Full practice

  • Jeremy Reaves

    FP

    Full practice

  • Dorance Armstrong

    FP

    Full practice

  • Sam Darnold

    FP

    Full practice

  • Brady Russell

    FP

    Full practice

  • Percy Butler

    FP

    Full practice

SITUATIONAL

  • SEA: 7.65 yards per pass attempt to WSH's 5.3

    2.35 Y/A

    Seattle has generated far more per pass attempt through 2 games, though it remains below its 8.01 from last season. Washington is below its 6.41 from last season. Seattle's passing game has the cleaner early profile for this matchup, but the 2-game sample leaves the gap vulnerable to a quick correction.

  • SEA (2-0) at WSH (0-2)

    -46 PT GAP

    Seattle has started 2-0 and +27, while Washington is 0-2 and -19. Seattle won its only road game, and Washington has no home result listed, so the Seahawks bring both better overall form and the only venue result. The two-game sample can move quickly, but Seattle has done more early to support its momentum in this spot.

  • SEA: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to WSH's 1

    1 ATT/G

    SEA is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 2 games; WSH is at 1 over 2 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 26. Last season SEA was at 0.71 over 17 games and WSH at 1.53 over 17 games.

AFTER GARY

  • WSH +8.5 → +8.5

    GARY +1.11PP

    Gary's number was 8.5; the market closed at 8.5.

All research from this day

About this analysis

Who made it
Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Daily picks first stored September 24, 2026 at 4:27 PM ET.
Odds record
The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: draftkings, caesars, fanduel, betrivers, betmgm, fanatics.
Accountability
Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.

Props on this game

2
  • GARY'S PICK
    EMANUEL WILSONRUSHING YARDS OVER 30.5
    NFLSeattle Seahawks· -113

    Emanuel Wilson
    Rushing Yards over 30.5

    -113 · LOST · ACTUAL 14

    Seattle Seahawks

    I’ll take over 30.5 rushing yards at -113. Wilson carried 21 times for 92 yards last week, and Seattle is favored by 8.5 against a Washington defense that allowed 1,966 rushing yards to running backs across 17 games last season. A lead gives Wilson a path to enough carries to clear this modest line. The role is the risk: he had only two carries in Week 1, and Jadarian Price has shared the work through Seattle’s first two games.

  • GARY'S PICK
    MARCUS MARIOTAPASSING YARDS OVER 170.5
    NFLWashington Commanders· -113

    Marcus Mariota
    Passing Yards over 170.5

    -113 · CASHED · ACTUAL 183

    Washington Commanders

    I’ll take over 170.5 passing yards at -113. With Jayden Daniels out, Mariota gets the start rather than another relief appearance.

    Washington is an 8.5 point home underdog, which gives him a plausible path to more throws, and Seattle will be without safety Julian Love after he played nearly every defensive snap last week. The strongest case against the bet is Seattle’s pass defense: it has allowed only 136.5 passing yards per game through two games.

    Mariota threw for 111 yards in his lone appearance this season, so the extra volume still has to materialize.

Every prop from this day is on the archive page.

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