Daily archive

2026-08-18

The stored Gary board for Tue, Aug 18. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.

Game picks

MLB6:35 PM

Yankees @ Orioles

Camden Yards gets a fascinating series opener: Carlos Rodón returns for New York while Shane Baz tries to steady Baltimore after a rough outing in Minnesota. My ticket is Yankees moneyline because the shape of tonight’s matchup favors New York, but Rodón’s workload uncertainty makes asking for a two-run victory unnecessary. The confirmed lineup is the heart of the bet. New York sends seven left-handed hitters against Baz, who has allowed lefties a .293 average and .801 OPS, compared with .233 and .639 against right-handed hitters. His 42.3% hard-hit rate is another concern against this alignment. Rodón owns the better season line—3.30 ERA and 1.25 WHIP against Baz’s 4.00 and 1.36—and Baltimore starts six right-handed hitters plus a switch-hitter against him. Rodón has limited right-handed batters to a .182 average and .552 OPS. Pete Alonso’s 1.246 OPS over the last 15 days is the danger in the middle, but the overall handedness matchup still favors the Yankees. The late innings separate these teams further. New York’s bullpen has a 2.65 ERA and 1.17 WHIP for the season, compared with Baltimore’s 4.10 and 1.24. Over the last seven games, that gap has widened to a 1.59 ERA for the Yankees and 5.40 for the Orioles. New York also had Monday off, while Baltimore played and watched its bullpen surrender another late lead. I respect the risk: Rodón is returning after 50 days, and the Yankees have averaged only 3.0 runs over their last 10 games compared with Baltimore’s 5.3. That is precisely why I am taking the moneyline instead of laying -1.5. My read says New York’s lineup construction creates the better early opportunities, then its bullpen gives it the better chance to finish a close game. At -108, that is the ticket I want.

Yankees ML-108

CONF

64%

MLB6:40 PM

Tigers @ Pirates

The lights come on at PNC Park with two right-handers carrying real form into a matchup that should stay competitive deep into the evening. Pittsburgh has home field and Braxton Ashcraft, but Detroit brings the pitching chain I trust more at an underdog price. Ashcraft is coming off a nine-inning, one-run performance and owns a 2.37 ERA with 20 strikeouts against three walks over his last three starts. That is the strongest argument against this ticket. But Keider Montero has been nearly as effective, posting a 2.45 ERA across 18.1 innings in his last three while carrying a 3.22 ERA and 0.99 WHIP for the season. He has also controlled both sides of the plate: left-handed hitters have a .616 OPS against him and right-handed hitters are at .583. Ashcraft’s split is wider, with lefties producing a .740 OPS compared with .600 for righties, and Detroit has five left-handed bats in its confirmed lineup. The Tigers have a legitimate path through this matchup without needing Ashcraft to pitch poorly. The separation comes after the starters. Detroit’s current bullpen owns a 3.24 ERA, while Pittsburgh’s is at 3.51 and has posted a 5.02 ERA over its last six games. The Pirates needed five relievers Monday, and Kirby Yates and Camilo Doval have each appeared on consecutive days. Detroit used three arms in the opener, with Kenley Jansen throwing only eight pitches, and no Tigers reliever has worked consecutive games across the last three days. That late-inning setup matters in a game I price considerably closer than Pirates -150. I could buy Detroit an extra run, but not at -170 when the outright ticket returns +140. My read is that Montero keeps the Pirates within reach, Detroit makes Ashcraft work, and the stronger bullpen position gives the Tigers enough ways to finish the job. I’m taking the underdog to win, not merely stay close.

Tigers ML+140

CONF

64%

MLB6:40 PM

Marlins @ Phillies

Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park brings a premium name in Zack Wheeler against a Miami bullpen game that begins with Cade Gibson. Philadelphia has the cleaner pitching structure, but the run line gives Miami valuable protection in a matchup carrying more uncertainty than the favorite’s reputation suggests. Wheeler’s 2.89 ERA and 1.00 WHIP deserve respect, yet his current form cannot be ignored. His last three starts produced a 5.84 ERA with eight earned runs and six walks over 12.1 innings. Miami also faced him 22 days ago and scored five earned runs in three innings. That does not guarantee another successful night, but it demonstrates why I will not price this matchup solely from Wheeler’s full-season numbers. The Marlins are batting .251 with a .731 OPS and scoring 4.4 runs per game; Philadelphia is batting .240 with a .713 OPS and scoring 4.5. Both clubs are 6-4 over their last ten, with Miami scoring 5.3 and allowing 3.4 per game compared with Philadelphia’s 5.2 scored and 4.4 allowed. This is not the offensive mismatch the starting-pitcher billing might imply. Miami’s bullpen is the danger: its current arms have a 4.27 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, compared with Philadelphia’s 3.57 and 1.22. But the Phillies’ leverage group enters after Jhoan Duran, Jonathan Bowlan and Orion Kerkering each worked on both of the previous two game days, while no Miami reliever did. Monday’s opener finished 6-5, and the season series stands 7-6 for Philadelphia. Those results do not predict tonight, but they reinforce the kind of narrow matchup for which the extra run matters. I’m taking the insurance and backing Miami +1.5 at -113.

Marlins +1.5-113

CONF

63%

MLB6:40 PM

Giants @ Guardians

Under partly cloudy skies at Progressive Field, two left-handers take the ball as San Francisco opens a road trip against a Cleveland club trying to steady itself. Cleveland’s moneyline is beyond my limit, but the matchup still points toward the home side, so I’m taking the Guardians -1.5 at +112. Foster Griffin owns the stronger foundation: a 3.25 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 138⅓ innings, compared with Carson Whisenhunt’s 6.11 ERA and 1.71 WHIP across 28 innings. Both have struggled over their last three starts—Griffin with a 7.53 ERA and Whisenhunt at 8.03—and both rebounded in their most recent appearance, so this is not a spotless-form argument. The meaningful difference is command. Griffin has issued 33 walks in 138⅓ innings; Whisenhunt has walked 18 in 28. Cleveland averages 3.64 walks per game, while San Francisco averages 2.64. Whisenhunt has also allowed right-handed hitters a .307 average and .903 OPS, and seven Guardians will bat right-handed against him. Griffin’s corresponding marks against right-handed hitters are .249 and .713, with six Giants batting from that side. San Francisco has produced the slightly better season offense—4.1 runs per game with a .714 OPS versus Cleveland’s 4.0 and .682—and both clubs are 3-7 over their last ten, so this is not a bet on momentum or offensive superiority. It is a bet on which pitching staff is better equipped to prevent a difficult inning from becoming a crooked one. Cleveland’s current bullpen carries a 3.33 ERA and 1.23 WHIP; San Francisco’s is at 3.97 and 1.41. Over the last seven games, the difference widens to 3.51 against 5.32. If Whisenhunt’s command trouble returns, the Giants’ thinner relief group must cover the consequences. That full-game pitching edge is strong enough for me to accept the extra run-line requirement at plus money.

Guardians -1.5+112

CONF

61%

MLB6:40 PM

Cardinals @ Reds

Clear skies, a light breeze drifting toward center, and another tight divisional game at Great American Ball Park. After splitting Monday’s doubleheader, both clubs come back with the series still balanced. I’m backing the starter trending in the right direction. Kyle Leahy has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine straight starts, with 17 strikeouts against one walk across his last three. Andrew Abbott is moving the other way: 11 earned runs and 10 walks over his last 16 innings. St. Louis also brings the better current offense, with Jordan Walker and Alec Burleson driving the ball exceptionally well. The bullpen breaks the tie. Cincinnati’s relief group has a 6.85 ERA over its last seven games, while St. Louis owns the stronger late-inning structure and a 1.82 mark in that span. I considered the Cardinals run line, but this series has already produced two one-run games. At only -112, I’ll pay the modest price and keep the extra run on my side.

Cardinals ML-112

CONF

63%

MLB6:40 PM

Blue Jays @ Rays

Under the Tropicana Field roof, the AL East leaders welcome a Toronto club fighting for its postseason life. It feels like a tight, late-inning game, and I want the plus money. José Soriano is the deciding matchup. His knuckle curve and splitter can miss bats against Tampa Bay’s left-heavy order, and he has allowed only two earned runs across his past three starts. Nick Martinez can still carve up this depleted Toronto lineup, but his sinker is hittable, and the Blue Jays have already seen his pitch mix twice this season. The bullpen conditions swing the price. Toronto had Monday off and brings its best late-inning arms in clean, while Tampa Bay used Kevin Kelly, Cam Booser and Bryan Baker during last night’s comeback. I’m not paying for the Rays’ record or their 9-3 season-series advantage when the fresher club has the more overpowering starter. Blue Jays moneyline at +119 is my bet.

Toronto Blue Jays ML+119

CONF

57%

MLB7:10 PM

Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

Fenway settles in under a warm, partly cloudy sky, the Monster looming over a Diamondbacks club trying to shake off last night’s beating. Boston has another chance to dictate the game from the first trip through the order. I’m attacking Merrill Kelly’s weakest lanes. His fastball and cutter have been hit hard, his command has deteriorated, and left-handed hitters have punished him all season. Wilyer Abreu is scorching the ball, Jarren Duran is back, and Boston’s lineup is built to turn Kelly’s traffic into a multi-run inning. Arizona counters with a diminished, right-heavy order missing Ketel Marte and Nolan Arenado, which is exactly the shape Ranger Suárez handles best. The bullpens are good enough on both sides that I don’t want to lay -159 and sweat a one-run finish; if Boston controls this matchup as expected, I want the plus-money payout on the margin.

Red Sox -1.5+129

CONF

64%

MLB7:10 PM

Padres @ Mets

Citi Field takes center stage for Game 2, with the Mets trying to carry last night’s 2-1 victory into another matchup under the lights. I’m taking Mets ML +100 because the starting-pitcher gap is the clearest edge on the board. Zac Thornton brings a 2.78 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, while Robbie Ray enters at 3.28 and 1.33. Over their last three starts, Thornton has a 3.45 ERA with six walks in 15.2 innings; Ray has a 4.20 ERA with nine walks in 15.0 innings. Add Ray’s 4.56 road ERA against Thornton’s 2.63 mark at home, and New York has the cleaner opening setup. Thornton has only eight career starts, so I’m not treating him like a finished product, but at even money his current profile is enough. The lineup matchup does not push me away from New York. The Mets have a .236 average and .700 OPS against left-handed pitching, compared with San Diego’s .240 and .683. Ray uses his four-seam fastball 34.2% of the time, and that pitch has allowed a .426 xwOBA; Thornton’s primary cutter, used 38.9%, has allowed a .375 xwOBA. Neither starter’s main offering has been untouchable, but Ray’s recent walks and fastball results create the more inviting path. Both clubs are 7-3 over their last ten, while New York has won four straight and leads the season series 3-1. That is not destiny; it confirms that the Mets’ current form has already held up against this opponent. San Diego’s bullpen is the counterweight. Its current relief group owns a 2.22 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 195.0 innings, compared with New York’s 2.59 and 1.01 over 55.2. Still, the Mets’ relievers have delivered 8.1 scoreless innings across the last three games. My read is that New York gets enough from the starting matchup to hand its bullpen a workable game. At +100, I only need the home side to win. This is a close bet, but the plus-money price properly pays for that uncertainty.

Mets ML+100

CONF

59%

MLB7:40 PM

Athletics @ Royals

Tuesday night at Kauffman Stadium brings two left-handers trying to give their clubs length, with both bullpens likely entering the story early. Kansas City has the hotter heart of the order and the more trustworthy path through those middle innings, so I’m laying the -156 with the Royals. Brady Basso carries a 4.35 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, but the split that matters tonight is the .340 average and .942 OPS he has allowed to right-handed batters. Bobby Witt Jr. is 9-for-25 with two home runs over the last seven days, and Maikel Garcia and Salvador Perez give Kansas City additional right-handed bats near the middle of the order. The left-handed portion is hardly cold: Jac Caglianone is 23-for-50 with four homers over the last 15 days, while Michael Massey is 15-for-46 with three. Daniel Lynch IV has struggled while transitioning from relief, allowing six earned runs across four innings in his two starts, but his full-season 2.88 ERA and 1.02 WHIP give me more confidence than Basso’s profile. Lynch has also held left-handed batters to a .151 average and .419 OPS. The separation comes after the starters leave. Kansas City’s bullpen has allowed seven earned runs across 21⅓ innings over its last seven games, good for a 2.95 ERA. Oakland’s relievers have surrendered 19 earned runs in 26 innings over the same span, a 6.58 ERA, and have covered 11⅓ innings across the past three games compared with 6⅓ for Kansas City. The Royals have also committed zero errors in their last seven games, while the Athletics have made six. I considered Kansas City -1.5, because Oakland’s relief pitching creates a route to separation, but Lynch’s abbreviated starts introduce too much early uncertainty to demand a two-run victory. The moneyline fits the read: Kansas City has the stronger lineup position, cleaner defense and better recent bridge to the ninth, and -156 is a price I’m willing to pay for the Royals simply to finish the job.

Royals ML-156

CONF

64%

MLB7:40 PM

Mariners @ Brewers

The roof is closed at American Family Field, and both clubs arrive after winning road series against division leaders. Milwaukee returns home with Kyle Harrison facing Bryce Miller, and my ticket is the Brewers moneyline at -168. The season ERAs are close, but tonight’s setting and current form separate the starters. Harrison owns a 1.38 ERA across 10 home starts, with Milwaukee going 7-3 in those games. Miller has a 4.57 road ERA, a 6.06 ERA over his last three starts, and Seattle has lost each of his past six starts. Harrison’s four-seamer and slurve have limited opponents to .268 and .217 xwOBA, and that combination faces a Seattle offense batting .219 with a .646 OPS against left-handers. Milwaukee has produced a .255 average and .742 OPS against right-handers. Those are the splits I trust most in this matchup. The bullpen widens Milwaukee’s advantage. The Brewers’ current relief group has a 3.58 ERA and 1.17 WHIP, compared with Seattle’s 4.11 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Over the last seven games, those ERAs are 3.32 for Milwaukee and 7.25 for Seattle. Trevor Megill is also positioned to handle the ninth after not appearing in Milwaukee’s previous three games. I considered the run line, but Miller’s 3.39 season ERA, 0.99 WHIP and excellent splitter give him enough capacity to keep Seattle competitive. I want Milwaukee to win, but I do not need to demand a two-run victory. Harrison’s home results, the handedness matchup and the superior late-inning structure make Brewers ML -168 the right expression of the read.

Brewers ML-168

CONF

63%

MLB7:40 PM

Braves @ Twins

Under the lights at Target Field, Minnesota tries to carry the momentum of Monday’s 4-2 win while Atlanta looks to answer with the stronger pitching setup. I’m backing the Braves on the moneyline at -136. Tyler Mahle gives Atlanta the more reliable starting point. He has a 2.83 ERA across his last five starts, while Zebby Matthews has a 7.04 ERA over his last five. The contact profile supports that difference: Mahle has allowed a 7.0% barrel rate and 37.1% hard-hit rate, compared with 11.6% and 41.5% for Matthews. Mahle’s four-seamer and splitter have produced .293 and .282 xwOBA marks, while Matthews’ most-used pitch, his four-seamer, sits at .413. I’m not ignoring the location—the matchup is at Target Field, where Matthews owns a 3.35 ERA, while Mahle has a 7.07 road ERA. That contrast is why I want Atlanta simply to win rather than laying the run and demanding separation. The bullpen is what finishes the handicap for me. Atlanta’s current relief group carries a 2.52 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, compared with Minnesota’s 3.73 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Minnesota used Jeff Hoffman and Yoendrys Gómez in the opener, while Taylor Rogers has pitched on each of the past two game days. Atlanta did not use Dylan Lee, Dylan Dodd or Raisel Iglesias on Monday. That gives the Braves the deeper late-game route if Mahle keeps this close through the middle innings. Minnesota has a legitimate home-starter angle and already showed it can strike early, but Atlanta owns the steadier starter form and the stronger finishing unit. At -136, the moneyline is the ticket that matches the read.

Braves ML-136

CONF

61%

MLB8:05 PM

White Sox @ Cubs

Tuesday night under the lights at Wrigley, the wind is blowing out and these Chicago clubs are back after a 10-inning street fight. The Cubs won the opener, but tonight’s price asks me to treat the White Sox like a long shot. I don’t. The Cubs’ season offense has been better—5.2 runs per game with a .757 OPS versus 4.8 and .729—but the immediate form runs the other way. Over the last five games, the White Sox have averaged 6.6 runs to the Cubs’ 3.6. Across the last three, their .386 xwOBA and 40.2% hard-hit rate also lead Chicago’s .287 and 26.4%. Kevin Gausman can absolutely ruin this ticket with his splitter, but his overall profile does not justify laying this kind of price against a lineup seeing the ball well. He carries a 4.53 ERA and 3.89 xERA, while Bryan Hudson sits at 3.14 and 3.15. Gausman has a 4.67 ERA across his last 17⅓ innings; Hudson has a 2.45 ERA over 3⅔ innings in his last three starts, although those abbreviated outings confirm he is only opening the game. The first inning is the pressure point: Gausman has a 7.43 ERA there, compared with Hudson’s 1.50. With the wind blowing 10 mph out to center, I want the lineup producing the better current contact at an underdog return. The Cubs own the cleaner defense—46 errors and a .990 fielding percentage versus 68 and .985—and the bullpens are close: the White Sox are at a 3.48 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, while the Cubs are at 3.55 and 1.23. Those are legitimate Chicago advantages, which keeps this from being a reckless swing. But +156 is paying me to back a first-place club that is 13-7 over its last 20, exactly matching the Cubs over that span, and that showed last night it can answer after falling behind. My read has this game much closer than the moneyline. I’ll take the price and trust the White Sox to finish the upset.

White Sox ML+156

CONF

60%

MLB8:05 PM

Nationals @ Rangers

The roof is closed at Globe Life Field, and this series opener puts Washington’s rookie left-hander Jackson Kent opposite Texas veteran Cal Quantrill. Quantrill owns the clear starting-pitching edge: a 3.44 ERA and 4.38 xERA across 70.2 innings, compared with Kent’s 6.75 ERA and 5.22 xERA through only four major-league innings. I’m not pretending those résumés are equal. Kent’s debut, however, included six strikeouts and only three hits allowed; the trouble was five walks. My read is that Washington can remain competitive if his command is merely better than it was in that debut. This is a full-game bet, and that is where Washington becomes attractive. The Nationals average 5.3 runs per game with a .764 OPS, while the Rangers average 4.1 with a .709 OPS. Over their last ten games, Washington has scored 5.0 per game and Texas 3.0. The season-long bullpen numbers favor Texas—3.73 ERA against Washington’s 4.23—but recent relief work points the other way: the Rangers have a 5.76 bullpen ERA over their last seven games, compared with 4.50 for the Nationals. Both clubs had Monday off, so I’m not overstating fatigue; I simply trust Washington’s full nine-inning offensive and relief profile more than the market price suggests. Texas is 32-27 at home, but Washington is a respectable 33-30 on the road, so Globe Life Field does not scare me away from the underdog. The Nationals’ +1.5 at -178 demands too much juice for protection, while Rangers -1.5 at +146 conflicts with my expectation of a competitive game. At +126, Washington only needs to win outright often enough to justify the plus money. Quantrill may control the opening portion, but I see several credible paths for the Nationals once the game moves beyond him. I’ll accept Kent’s volatility and back the stronger offense at the better price.

Nationals ML+126

CONF

58%

MLB8:10 PM

Angels @ Astros

Under the closed roof at Daikin Park, George Klassen and the Angels open a three-game set against Cristian Javier and the division-leading Astros. Houston is the stronger club across the season, but tonight’s starting matchup makes Los Angeles the better ticket at this price. Javier enters with a 6.68 ERA and 1.70 WHIP, and right-handed hitters have produced a .319 average and .995 OPS against him. That vulnerability matters with Mike Trout, Zach Neto, Vaughn Grissom and Denzer Guzman batting right-handed, plus switch-hitter Tyler Heineman. Javier’s four-seamer accounts for 51.4% of his pitches and carries a .398 expected wOBA. Klassen is hardly safe—his 15 walks in 14.2 innings make him volatile—but his August work has been better. He owns a 2.70 ERA across 10 innings this month, and his latest start produced six innings, two earned runs, five strikeouts and one walk. The Angels’ offense makes this uncomfortable: they have scored 2.7 runs per game in August, compared with Houston’s 4.3. But the relief comparison gives Los Angeles a chance to finish the job if Klassen delivers competitive innings. The Angels’ bullpen owns a 3.53 season ERA and a 2.59 ERA over its last seven games; Houston’s is at 3.58 for the season and 4.02 over its last seven. Josh Hader remains a major Houston advantage, but I am not paying for the stronger team when its starter is this vulnerable. At +148, the Angels moneyline properly rewards the risk and captures their real path to winning outright.

Angels ML+148

CONF

58%

MLB8:40 PM

Dodgers @ Rockies

Coors Field gets the stage again after Los Angeles opened this series with an 11-5 statement. The Rockies now hand the ball to Ryan Feltner, and I’m backing the Dodgers to keep the pressure on and cover the run line. Eric Lauer brings the stronger recent command: a 3.86 ERA with three walks over his last 16.1 innings, compared with Feltner’s 4.96 ERA and seven walks across the same workload. Lauer’s 5.84 road ERA is the danger, but his command gives him a better chance of managing this environment. Feltner has allowed an .845 OPS to left-handed hitters and an .871 OPS to right-handed hitters, so there is no comfortable section of this Los Angeles order. His four-seamer carries a .349 xwOBA and his slider sits at .481. That lines up poorly with Ohtani, Freeman and Muncy, who own .419, .399 and .428 xwOBAs against four-seamers. Colorado has a legitimate counter at the top—McCarthy and Carrigg have .877 and .850 OPS marks against lefties—but the Dodgers’ lineup presents pressure from both sides and has already seen Feltner’s inability to consistently miss bats. The separation should come once the starters leave. The Dodgers’ current bullpen owns a 4.43 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, while Colorado’s group sits at 5.93 and 1.84. Los Angeles also carries the lighter recent relief workload and the stronger season-long defense, with 52 errors against Colorado’s 80. The wind coming in from right field offers both pitchers some protection, but it does not solve Feltner’s traffic or Colorado’s late-inning depth problem. My read is that Los Angeles creates repeated scoring opportunities, Lauer keeps the Rockies from controlling the game early, and the bullpen matchup gives the Dodgers the chance to turn a lead into a run-line result.

Dodgers -1.5-137

CONF

64%

Player props

MLB · Yankees @ Orioles

Carlos Rodon

I want Carlos Rodón to issue at least two walks in his first major-league start in 50 days. He has walked 26 batters in 46 1/3 innings this season, a rate of roughly five per nine innings, and this over has cashed in seven of his last eight starts.

OVER 1.5 Pitcher Walks-140

MLB · Yankees @ Orioles

Shane Baz

I’m backing the Yankees to collect at least five hits against Shane Baz. This prop has cleared in six of his last eight starts, and New York sends seven left-handed hitters to the plate. That matters against Baz, who has allowed lefties a .293 average and .801 OPS, compared with .233 and .639 against right-handed batters.

OVER 4.5 Pitcher Hits Allowed-165

MLB · Tigers @ Pirates

Keider Montero

I only need Montero to complete 5.2 innings, a mark he has cleared in each of his last three starts. He worked at least six innings in all three while throwing no more than 88 pitches, so his recent efficiency supports both his form and his leash.

OVER 16.5 Pitcher Outs-107

MLB · Tigers @ Pirates

Oneil Cruz

Cruz is making his first start since June 6 after returning from a fractured hand. The power can reappear quickly, but game-speed timing and impact contact are demanding asks immediately after more than two months away. This under still cashes if he walks or finishes with one single, so I do not need him completely neutralized.

UNDER 1.5 Total Bases-156

MLB · Marlins @ Phillies

Bryce Harper

Harper has drawn a walk in 13 of his last 15 games while maintaining a disciplined 21% chase rate. Miami is opening with Cade Gibson before turning to a bullpen carrying a 1.41 WHIP, so Harper should see multiple pitchers and several chances to reach without a hit. At nearly even money, I’m backing his patience.

OVER 0.5 Walks-110

MLB · Marlins @ Phillies

Bryson Stott

Stott has walked in 11 of his last 15 games, including four walks over Philadelphia’s last three. Miami’s bullpen-game structure should give him different looks, and several of its available relievers have struggled with control. The recent frequency makes +158 worth taking despite Stott batting sixth.

OVER 0.5 Walks+158

MLB · Giants @ Guardians

Carson Whisenhunt

I’m willing to lay the price because Whisenhunt has issued at least two walks in all six of his starts, totaling 18 across just 28 innings. Even his rebound against Houston included three walks, so better run prevention has not solved the control problem.

OVER 1.5 Pitcher Walks-170

MLB · Giants @ Guardians

Foster Griffin

Griffin has finished below six strikeouts in six of his last eight starts, and his recent swing-and-miss profile has not supported this number. He recorded only three strikeouts in five innings against Detroit, while his whiff rate fell to 8% in that outing.

UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts-106

MLB · Cardinals @ Reds

Kyle Leahy

Leahy has allowed at least six hits in four of his last five starts, and his recent run prevention has depended on escaping traffic. That becomes tougher at Great American Ball Park, especially against a Cincinnati lineup with three left-handed bats. Lefties have hit .319 with an .870 OPS against him, while his heavily used four-seamer has allowed a .362 average. I only need five hits, not a big Reds scoring night.

OVER 4.5 Pitcher Hits Allowed-120

MLB · Cardinals @ Reds

Andrew Abbott

Abbott has finished below five strikeouts in six of his last eight starts, including four straight, and his whiff rate dropped to 15 percent in his latest outing. His four-seamer accounts for nearly half his pitches but generates only a 14.7 percent whiff rate.

UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts-126

MLB · Blue Jays @ Rays

Nick Martinez

Martinez wins with command and weak contact, not strikeouts. He has only 78 punchouts in 138 innings, and this contact-oriented Toronto lineup has already faced him twice. He recorded zero strikeouts over six innings in their most recent meeting. With Bateman, Lukes, Kirk and Clement difficult to put away, I’m taking Martinez under 3.5 strikeouts.

UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts-136

MLB · Blue Jays @ Rays

Chandler Simpson

Simpson has stolen a base in seven of his past 15 games, and this is an inviting matchup whenever he reaches. Opposing runners have succeeded on 46 of 57 attempts against Alejandro Kirk. Simpson is batting leadoff, swinging well and should have multiple chances to get aboard in a low-scoring game where Tampa Bay will need to manufacture runs. I’ll take the aggressive plus price.

OVER 0.5 Stolen Bases+235

MLB · Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu

Abreu is the Boston bat I want against Merrill Kelly. He owns a 1.292 OPS with five homers over his last 15 days, and Kelly has allowed a .889 OPS and 17 homers to left-handed hitters. Kelly's fastball and cutter have both been hit hard, giving Abreu multiple paths to clear this with one extra-base hit.

OVER 1.5 Total Bases+100

MLB · Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

Merrill Kelly

Kelly has issued 11 walks across his last three starts and has gone over this number in six of his last eight. Boston can make him work: Sogard, Abreu, Contreras and Rutschman have all been drawing walks regularly, and Kelly cannot afford to challenge the heart of this order carelessly at Fenway.

OVER 1.5 Pitcher Walks-144

MLB · Padres @ Mets

Zac Thornton

Thornton has finished with two, three and two strikeouts in his last three starts, and he has cleared this number in only three of eight starts overall. That fits an arsenal built around contact: his cutter carries a 19.3% whiff rate, while his four-seamer is down at 11.3%.

UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts+100

MLB · Padres @ Mets

Robbie Ray

Ray must record an out in the sixth inning to beat this number, something he has done only twice across his last six starts. His first two outings with San Diego lasted five and four innings, with nine walks and 176 pitches across those nine frames.

UNDER 15.5 Pitcher Outs-131

Hub research

135

starter_team_recordOAK @ KC
Athletics 0-8 in Jack Perkins's last 8 starts
Oakland hasn't won a single Perkins start all year — eight tries, eight losses. Whatever's breaking down happens like clockwork, and Kansas City is just the next team that gets to benefit from it.
head_to_headTOR @ TB
Rays are 9-3 vs Blue Jays this season
Tampa's 9-3 against Toronto this year across a real sample, and tonight the series shifts back to Tampa Bay's own building — the same setup that produced most of this dominance. The Jays' one-run win last time out shows they can hang, but doing it again on the road against a team that's owned them is tougher.
starter_team_recordLAD @ COL
Dodgers 7-1 in Eric Lauer's last 8 starts
The Dodgers have basically solved Lauer's turn through the rotation — 7-1 over his last eight. No reason a trip to Colorado changes a formula that's worked all year.
starter_team_recordNYY @ BAL
Orioles 1-7 in Shane Baz's last 8 starts
Baltimore is 1-7 in Baz starts and currently riding five straight losses in this exact spot — that's a live pattern, not old scar tissue. The Yankees walk into Camden Yards catching the Orioles at the worst point of a problem still unfolding.
starter_team_recordSEA @ MIL
Mariners 1-7 in Bryce Miller's last 8 starts
Seattle is 1-7 in Miller's last eight, and six of those losses are stacked in a row right now. Milwaukee gets this team while the pattern is still very much alive.
head_to_headLAD @ COL
Dodgers are 9-4 vs Rockies this season
Nine wins in thirteen meetings, capped by an 11-5 blowout last time out — LA has had Colorado's number all year regardless of venue. Home cooking hasn't been enough to dent this series, and nothing says tonight's different.
starter_team_recordTOR @ TB
Rays 6-1 in Nick Martinez's last 7 starts
Martinez has Tampa Bay winning at a 6-1 clip over his last seven turns — that's a formula clicking, not luck. Toronto runs into that exact buzzsaw tonight.
platoon_edgeNYY @ BAL
Coby Mayo (bats R) gets a LHP from the 4th spot
Coby Mayo hitting cleanup against a lefty tonight is exactly the look Baltimore wants there, a righty bat getting breaking stuff spinning into his zone instead of away from it. Rodon has to get through the middle of the order and Mayo's best individual matchup in the same at-bat.
P 1-for-3, 4 TB, 1 BB
cut_listARI tonight
Merrill Kelly
Kelly's 5.11 ERA is already thin bait in most formats, but xERA has him over two full runs worse at 7.15. That's not sequencing luck evening out — that's a pitcher getting hit harder than the boxscore shows, with the correction overdue. He's on the mound again tonight, and there's no reason to find out live which version turns up. CUT — the ERA/xERA gap is too wide to justify the spot, tonight's start included.
platoon_edgeMIA @ PHI
Griffin Conine (bats L) hits 4th against Zack Wheeler (RHP)
Griffin Conine batting cleanup against Wheeler gives Miami the matchup it wants, a lefty bat seeing a righty arm clean instead of fighting off same-side stuff. If there are runners on when he comes up, that's the at-bat that costs Wheeler the most tonight.
P 2-for-4, 5 TB
heat_checkOAK @ KC
Jac Caglianone: 1.241 OPS in Last 15 Days
Caglianone was already productive at .815 on the year, so this is a good hitter getting hotter, not a fluke. Twenty-two homers backs the power, and 1.5 total bases shouldn't require his best night tonight.
P 2-for-4, 3 TB
heat_checkARI @ BOS
Wilyer Abreu: 1.292 OPS in Last 15 Days
Abreu's OPS is nearly 500 points above his already-strong season mark right now, and 22 homers says the power's real. A 1.5 total-bases number is a light ask for a bat locked in this hard — one extra-base knock clears it.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB, 1 BB
cooling_offLAA @ HOU
Jeremy Pena: .398 OPS in Last 15 Days
This has gone on long enough to look like a real timing issue, not bad luck — chasing pitches he'd normally leave alone. Home field doesn't fix a swing problem, so I want to see better two-strike contact out of him before trusting this tonight.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
platoon_edgeTOR @ TB
Nathan Lukes (bats L) hits 2nd against Nick Martinez (RHP)
Nathan Lukes hitting second is about grinding out at-bats ahead of the bigger bats, and he gets the exact hand he handles well tonight in Martinez. That's traffic on the bases before the middle of the order even turns over once.
P 1-for-5, 1 TB, 1 BB
head_to_headNYY @ BAL
Yankees are 7-3 vs Orioles this season
New York's up 7-3 in this series, though Baltimore's 7-0 shutout last time out shows what happens when their pitching plan clicks. The bigger sample still says Yankees, but that shutout is the one reason not to completely dismiss Baltimore's arms tonight.
platoon_edgeSEA @ MIL
Brice Turang (bats L) gets a RHP from the 1st spot
Brice Turang leading off against a righty tonight is the version of him that works deep counts instead of handing away a quick out. That's a rough way for Miller to open his night given how his last three starts have already looked.
P 0-for-2, 0 TB, 2 BB
starter_team_recordDET @ PIT
Pirates 6-2 in Braxton Ashcraft's last 8 starts
Pittsburgh's 6-2 when Ashcraft starts, and eight turns is enough to call that real. Detroit walks into a team with a built-in margin for error at home tonight.
heat_checkNYY @ BAL
Pete Alonso: 1.246 OPS in Last 15 Days
Already elite at .851 for the season, and now running nearly 400 points above that over the last couple weeks. Twenty-seven homers on the year, and 1.5 total bases is barely a speed bump for where this bat is right now.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
platoon_edgeSF @ CLE
Jo Adell (bats R) hits 3rd against Carson Whisenhunt (LHP)
Jo Adell hitting third against a lefty tonight is the matchup a lineup gets built around, breaking stuff running into his zone instead of away from it. Whisenhunt doesn't get to ease into his start before that problem shows up.
P 3-for-4, 6 TB
cut_listSF tonight
Buddy Kennedy
A .091 average and a .332 OPS batting sixth for the Giants isn't a cold streak, it's an automatic out with a uniform on. Being in tonight's lineup doesn't matter when the role itself produces nothing. Cut. No path to fantasy value from that spot with that line.
platoon_edgeTOR @ TB
Jesus Sanchez (bats L) hits 5th against Nick Martinez (RHP)
Jesus Sanchez hitting fifth means there's no breather at the bottom of the top of this order against Martinez, he handles that look just as well as the bats ahead of him. That's a long stretch of tough at-bats for a pitcher, not just one.
P 1-for-3, 2 TB, 1 BB
bullpen_fatigueDET @ PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates pen: 16 relief IP over their last 3 games
Yates and Doval have both worked back-to-back nights, so neither is a real late-inning option tonight, and Soto's been used twice as well. If Pittsburgh's starter doesn't get through six, Detroit's staring at a bullpen piecing it together with tired, unfamiliar arms.
platoon_edgeLAA @ HOU
Wade Meckler (bats L) hits 1st against Cristian Javier (RHP)
Wade Meckler leading off against Javier tonight puts Houston's starter to work before he even sees the middle of the order. A comfortable leadoff hitter means more pitches and more traffic right from the first inning.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
platoon_edgeLAA @ HOU
Yordan Alvarez (bats L) gets a RHP from the 2nd spot
Alvarez is dangerous against everybody, but he's even better against right-handers, and batting second just means the best hitter in this lineup gets more looks. Klassen starting right-handed plays right into that tonight.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
heat_checkSTL @ CIN
Alec Burleson: 1.198 OPS in Last 15 Days
Burleson's been good all year at .852, so this hot stretch is a good swing getting better, not an outlier. Twenty-one homers on the season backs the pop, and 1.5 total bases is very reachable with him seeing the ball this well.
P 1-for-4, 2 TB
starter_formSF @ CLE
Foster Griffin: 7.53 ERA over his last 3 starts
Three straight starts of hard, constant contact against Griffin — that's his real form right now, not the season number. That's a lean-the-offense spot in Cleveland tonight, with an early hook likely if the traffic keeps piling up.
P 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 K
heat_checkSD @ NYM
Bo Bichette: 1.046 OPS in Last 15 Days
.700 on the season made this a down year, so a surge this pronounced looks like a hitter rounding back into form. Fifty plate appearances is enough sample to trust it, and 1.5 total bases is in range given how he's squaring the ball up right now.
P 2-for-5, 4 TB
cut_listLAA tonight
George Klassen
Klassen doesn't leave you an argument to hang onto him — 5.52 ERA and 6.59 xERA, no gap to hide behind. When the process number is worse than an already-bad surface number, there's no reading of this where he's actually pitching well. He takes the ball again tonight with nothing in the profile suggesting it flips. CUT — surface and process agree, easiest call of the three.
platoon_edgeOAK @ KC
Vinnie Pasquantino (bats L) hits 5th against Jack Perkins (RHP)
Vinnie Pasquantino hitting fifth means Perkins can't pitch around the middle of this Kansas City order, there's no letup once he clears the top. That's a full turn through the lineup with no easy patch for him tonight.
P 2-for-4, 3 TB
two_start_weekLos Angeles Dodgers — week of 8/17
Blake Snell
Monday's trip to face the Rockies is already in the books by the time you're reading this — nothing left to manage there. What's live is Saturday's home date against the Pirates, and with a 2.17 xERA, the best number in this whole group, that's the start you build the rest of your staff around. Start with zero hesitation for the Saturday half — this is as close to a lock as the sheet gets.
regression_watchOAK @ KC
Jack Perkins: 7.27 ERA vs 4.26 xERA
Perkins is missing bats near a strikeout an inning and his contact allowed is right around normal — the ERA is inflated by hits falling in, not stuff failing him. That's the widest gap on the slate between results and process, and it points toward correction landing in Kansas City tonight.
P 3.2 IP, 0 ER, 4 K
heat_checkCHW @ CHC
Alex Bregman: 1.040 OPS in Last 15 Days
A jump from .745 to over 1.000 with 16 homers on the year backing the surge — that's not empty contact. Fifty-six plate appearances is a deep sample for a hot streak, and 1.5 total bases is very clearable with him squaring everything up.
P 2-for-5, 2 TB
cooling_offMIA @ PHI
Otto Lopez: .495 OPS in Last 15 Days
The sample's real but too short to say a hitter forgets how to square the ball up overnight — this looks more like hard contact finding gloves than a broken swing. On the road against Philly, I'm treating this as a discount, not a red flag.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
head_to_headCHW @ CHC
White Sox are 5-2 vs Cubs this season
Chicago's south side is 5-2 in this crosstown series, and last game's 7-5 shootout loss reads more like a track meet than a real correction. On the road tonight, one high-scoring loss doesn't erase how much they've had the Cubs' number.
bullpen_fatigueLAA @ HOU
Houston Astros pen: 14 relief IP over their last 3 games
Hader and Abreu have each worked twice in three days and Abreu's pitch count wasn't cheap, so Houston's top two late options are running warm. Okert's the freshest arm if they need a bridge, but real value sits on the Houston starter finding length against the Angels tonight.
starter_formOAK @ KC
Jack Perkins: 11.48 ERA over his last 3 starts
Perkins was already shaky, and he's pitched worse than that over his last three, with baserunners piling up before Kansas City even has to work. Nothing in this recent stretch supports betting on the earlier-season version showing up tonight.
P 3.2 IP, 0 ER, 4 K
ballpark_shiftATL @ MIN
Zebby Matthews's ERA drops to 3.35 at Target Field
The average against at home is ordinary, so it's not that hitters can't find him — he's just cutting down the walks and mistakes that snowball into crooked innings. Forty-three innings across seven home starts is real, and Atlanta gets that trusted version tonight.
P 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 K
cooling_offLAA @ HOU
Zach Neto: .437 OPS in L15 — draws RHP Cristian Javier
Neto's recent line is ugly, but a stretch that short is mostly hard-hit balls finding gloves. The real issue is his track record against right-handers, and Javier's more of that same look tonight.
P 2-for-4, 3 TB
cooling_offNYY @ BAL
Ben Rice: .523 OPS in Last 15 Days
Long enough a slide that I won't call it pure bad luck, but he was strong enough before it to doubt the swing's actually broken. This looks like a hitter pressing — I want to see a walk or a real two-strike battle out of him in Baltimore before trusting the barrel's all the way back.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
cooling_offLAA @ HOU
Vaughn Grissom: .372 OPS in L15 — draws RHP Cristian Javier
Grissom's the steepest slump of the bunch, but it's also the thinnest sample, so I wouldn't lean on the number alone. What tips it for me is his track record against right-handers pointing the same direction, and Javier again tonight lines up with both.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
cooling_offLAA @ HOU
Yordan Alvarez: .696 OPS in Last 15 Days
Even in a slump, that floor is a season most hitters would sign up for — this is bad luck stacked on bad luck, not lost timing. Back home against the Angels, I'd bet on this flipping tonight rather than waiting.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
bullpen_fatigueTOR @ TB
Toronto Blue Jays pen: 14.7 relief IP over their last 3 games
Nine different arms touched in three games says Toronto's been mixing and matching, not running a set order, and Rogers is already into his second look in three days. Nobody's fully locked out, but if this one's still live late against Tampa, the Jays are working by feel, not hierarchy.
two_start_weekBoston Red Sox — week of 8/17
Alec Gamboa
Gamboa already worked Monday against the Diamondbacks, so that turn's off the board no matter how your week is shaping up. Saturday's home date with the Giants is the one still in front of you, and a 2.42 xERA, second-best in this group, makes it an easy call. Start for Saturday — the number's too strong to sit, Monday's already banked either way.
closer_watchNYY @ BAL
Ryan Helsley / Andrew Kittredge
Helsley's the name up top but this is a true committee — just two saves separate him from Kittredge, and Kittredge's 8 holds say he's trusted plenty late himself. Baltimore's barely favored at -102 against a good Yankees lineup, nearly a coin flip, and Helsley hasn't pitched in three games, so he's fresh whenever the call comes. Don't overpay for either arm this week — Helsley's the first save target if you need one now, but roster Kittredge too if you can, since a two-save committee with that role split rarely settles itself fast.
closer_watchOAK @ KC
Lucas Erceg / Alex Lange
This is the live one tonight. Erceg's out front 12 saves to 10 over Lange, Kansas City's a real favorite at -136 over a bad Oakland club, and he hasn't thrown in three games — as fresh as a closer gets. Call it a committee on paper, but that gap plus the workload says Erceg's still first up. Erceg's my top save priority of this group this week — good matchup, good price, rested arm. If he's sitting on your waiver wire, add him today.
starter_formSEA @ MIL
Kyle Harrison: 7.24 ERA over his last 3 starts
The tidy season line doesn't match the pitcher who's shown up lately — command's slipped and the extra traffic is turning into extra runs. Build tonight's number around the last three starts, not the season ERA.
P 5 IP, 0 ER, 8 K
heat_checkMIA @ PHI
Alec Bohm: .978 OPS in Last 15 Days
.684 on the season made this a down year, so pulling out of it at this level over 48 trips is a real form change. Fourteen homers says the power never left, and 1.5 total bases is a fair number to attack with him seeing it this well.
P 2-for-4, 3 TB
fantasy_pickupsARI @ BOS
Wilyer Abreu
Merrill Kelly's out there with a 7.15 xERA — that's a pitcher in real trouble — and Abreu's hitting .259 with an .810 OPS out of the three-hole. This is the matchup you circle on the calendar. Must-add everywhere, no exceptions — top priority claim tonight.
cooling_offDET @ PIT
Bryan Reynolds: .561 OPS in Last 15 Days
The shallowest fade on the board relative to how good he is over a full year — this reads as mistimed fly balls, not a flaw. Home against Detroit, I like this as a quiet bounce-back spot.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
cooling_offWSH @ TEX
Evan Carter: .321 OPS in L15 — draws LHP Jackson Kent
Carter didn't have much cushion to begin with, and left-handed pitching has given him trouble outside of this slump too. Kent's the same look again tonight, so this reads like the same issue showing up twice, not a correction coming.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
streakingMIA @ PHI
PHI have won 4 straight
Philadelphia's plus-17 over this four-game run, that's blowout-level form, not a team sneaking out close ones. Staying home against Miami is about as good a spot as a streak like this gets.
P team won 4-6
streakingSD @ NYM
NYM have won 4 straight
New York's four straight have come tight, plus-6 total, but they were still 3-3 over the ten games before the streak started, so this isn't a sudden hot flash. San Diego's walking into a team built on winning close games.
P team lost 5-2
cooling_offWSH @ TEX
CJ Abrams: .628 OPS in Last 15 Days
A full season of production doesn't unravel in two weeks — this looks like hard contact not falling in rather than a lost strike zone. On the road in Texas, I'm betting on the season-long version showing back up.
P 2-for-4, 3 TB
cooling_offLAD @ COL
Freddie Freeman: .559 OPS in Last 15 Days
Freeman's dip is middling in size on a shorter sample than most, which leaves room for this to be timing, not talent — an .842 season line doesn't vanish in three weeks. I like him to be first to turn it around on the road in Colorado tonight.
P 2-for-3, 2 TB, 1 BB
cooling_offSTL @ CIN
Elly De La Cruz: .561 OPS in Last 15 Days
Too much dip to wave off completely, not sharp enough to call the swing broken — some of this is just a long season catching up. At home against St. Louis, the swing still looks more trustworthy than the results, and that usually closes with one loud night.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
cooling_offOAK @ KC
Isaac Collins: .340 OPS in Last 15 Days
The shakiest read in the group — the season baseline wasn't a star line to begin with, so there's less cushion here, and it plays more like lost timing than tough luck. Against Kansas City tonight, I'm not banking on a quick fix.
P 0-for-1, 0 TB, 1 BB
fantasy_pickupsARI @ BOS
Ceddanne Rafaela
Rafaela's hitting .288 and sits in the two-hole against the same Kelly disaster (7.15 xERA) as the rest of this lineup — more at-bats, more chances to do damage. Must-add across the board — same urgency as Abreu, don't overthink this one.
heat_checkNYY @ BAL
Trent Grisham: .994 OPS in Last 15 Days
A real step forward from an already-solid .729 season mark, and 16 homers says the power's legitimate. The total-bases number here is about as low as this market sets it, and a bat this hot should clear it without much trouble tonight.
P 2-for-4, 5 TB
cooling_offNYY @ BAL
Heliot Ramos: .381 OPS in L15 — draws RHP Shane Baz
It doesn't take much bad luck to produce a number this ugly over two weeks, but the bigger flag is his real trouble against right-handers over a longer stretch. Baz is that same look again tonight, so I'd expect a grind more than a breakout.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
two_start_weekPhiladelphia Phillies — week of 8/17
Zack Wheeler
Wheeler's the real deal this week — nothing's played yet, both turns still sit in front of you. Home tonight against the Marlins, then a Sunday finale against the Cardinals, and a 2.79 xERA gives you the safety to trust every out of it. Full two-start week, get him in before tonight's game — start with confidence both nights.
bullpen_fatigueTOR @ TB
Tampa Bay Rays pen: 14 relief IP over their last 3 games
Boyle threw 84 pitches in his outing — that's starter's work, not a reliever bouncing back tonight — and the middle of this pen has already put in a full week. Wells and Kelly are the fresh arms if it's close late, right as Toronto's own pen is showing the same wear.
two_start_weekSeattle Mariners — week of 8/17
Bryce Miller
Miller's a clean two-start week too, both turns still ahead — tonight on the road against the Brewers, then home Sunday against the Cubs. A 2.83 xERA puts him solidly in the better half of this group, and neither start has happened yet, so you've got the whole week's value still to capture. Start tonight and Sunday both — get the lineup set before the Brewers game.
cut_listNYM tonight
Christopher Morel
Morel's .162/.425 line batting sixth for the Mets is the kind of week-killer that sinks a lineup slot. Tonight's start doesn't change the underlying profile — this is replacement-level output in a below-average spot in the order. Cut. Bench him everywhere you can.
heat_checkMIA @ PHI
Bryson Stott: 1.018 OPS in Last 15 Days
Stott's not a power bat, nine homers on the year says that clearly, so this surge past 1.000 OPS is coming from doubles and hard contact, not balls leaving the yard. That tends to hold up better, and 1.5 total bases against Miami tonight is right in his range.
P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB
next_slateNCAAF
Next college slate · AUG 29
BDL lists 6 verified FBS-vs-FBS games on the next college slate. All 6 kickoff times are confirmed.
starter_formMIA @ PHI
Zack Wheeler: 5.84 ERA over his last 3 starts
A pitcher who's been stingy with baserunners all year is suddenly handing them out at a much higher clip his last three times out. The name's still big tonight, but the form on the mound is the one worth pricing in against Miami.
P 5 IP, 2 ER, 7 K
head_to_headSTL @ CIN
Cardinals are 6-4 vs Reds this season
A real ten-game sample shows a slight, consistent Cardinals edge, and last game's 6-5 finish could've gone either way. St. Louis's advantage here is real, but not the kind worth leaning on heavily in Cincinnati tonight.
head_to_headDET @ PIT
Pirates are 3-1 vs Tigers this season
Four games is thin enough that one series swing flips the record, and Detroit's 8-5 slugfest last time out wasn't the kind of pitching that carries forward. Tonight's starters have more say in this than the season series does.
head_to_headSF @ CLE
Giants are 2-0 vs Guardians this season
Two meetings is barely a body of work between two teams that rarely cross paths, and the 10-7 shootout last time out says more about that one night than either team's identity. The record's real, but the sample behind it isn't worth much in Cleveland tonight.
head_to_headSD @ NYM
Mets are 3-1 vs Padres this season
Four games and a 2-1 finish last time out says this series has come down to pitching, not one lineup running away with it. New York's got the record, but the margins have been thin enough that San Diego's never far from flipping it.
closer_watchNYY @ BAL
David Bednar
Nothing to untangle here — Bednar's at 27 saves to Yarbrough's 2, that's a locked-down role, not a timeshare. Yankees are favored -116 on the road at Baltimore, and even though Bednar worked once in the last three games, he's still logged as fully rested. Set-and-forget territory — Bednar's a top-shelf closer in a good spot tonight. No committee to speculate on; if he's somehow available in your league, that's an easy add.
fantasy_pickupsARI @ BOS
Adley Rutschman
Rutschman's cooled to .242 with a .741 OPS, but he's still hitting fifth against a Kelly start that's cratering at a 7.15 xERA. Catcher is shallow enough that this matchup alone makes him worth a look. Streaming option — add for tonight in catcher-needy or daily-move leagues, not a lasting roster piece off this alone.
fantasy_pickupsARI @ BOS
Caleb Durbin
Durbin's quietly solid at .257 with a .735 OPS out of the six-hole, and he gets the exact same gift matchup against Kelly's 7.15 xERA as everyone else in that lineup. Streaming option — worthwhile for a one-day add in deep or daily-transaction formats.
regression_watchSD @ NYM
Zac Thornton: 2.78 ERA vs 4.85 xERA
A 41% hard-hit rate with barely six strikeouts a nine is weak-contact management that isn't actually happening — opponents are hitting 41 points below what that batted-ball mix should produce. San Diego's a lineup that can force that gap closed in a hurry tonight.
P 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 K
regression_watchARI @ BOS
Merrill Kelly: 5.11 ERA vs 7.15 xERA
Under six strikeouts a nine and hard contact near 45% isn't a profile getting bailed out by stuff — he's surviving on hitters running into outs well below what that contact should allow. Boston doesn't need him to pitch worse than he already is; the process says the results catch down tonight.
P 4 IP, 6 ER, 2 K
two_start_weekSt. Louis Cardinals — week of 8/17
Quinn Mathews
Mathews already made his Monday turn against the Reds, so that page is turned regardless of your lineup. Saturday's the one that's still live, on the road against the Phillies, and a 3.08 xERA — middle of the pack in this group — is solid enough to trust for that one turn. One live start left, Saturday at the Phillies — start him for it, Monday's already history.
two_start_weekChicago White Sox — week of 8/17
Bryan Hudson
Hudson hasn't thrown yet this week — on the road at the Cubs Tuesday, then home Sunday against the Mets. Both turns are still ahead, and a 3.15 xERA is trustworthy enough to run back twice. Both starts are live — Hudson's in the lineup Tuesday and Sunday both.
starter_formLAA @ HOU
Cristian Javier: 3.94 ERA over his last 3 starts
The command issues that wrecked his season line have actually corrected — fewer people reaching base, not just fewer runs, across three starts now. That's the buy-low window against the Angels before the market catches up.
P 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 K
starter_formSEA @ MIL
Bryce Miller: 6.06 ERA over his last 3 starts
He's still working deep into games, so the stuff hasn't left him, but the extra traffic means those innings are coming the hard way. Length without control just means more chances for Milwaukee to find him tonight.
P 4.2 IP, 5 ER, 3 K
ownedLAA @ HOU
Cristian Javier vs Mike Trout: 0-for-14, 10 K
Javier's 0-for-14 with 10 strikeouts against Trout isn't randomness at this point, he's got a real answer for him. I'm not betting against that history repeating tonight, and Houston can pitch to its own strengths instead of tiptoeing around him.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
two_start_weekMilwaukee Brewers — week of 8/17
Kyle Harrison
Harrison's a genuine two-start week from here, both turns still on the board — home tonight against the Mariners, home again Sunday against the Braves. A 3.27 xERA sits toward the softer half of this group, though it edges a couple of arms here, and getting both starts at home is worth something. Start both nights — full week of home cooking still ahead.
bullpen_fatigueCHW @ CHC
Chicago Cubs pen: 13 relief IP over their last 3 games
Rolison's worked both of the last two days and is off the board barring emergency, and nine arms across three games says Chicago's been reacting, not running a plan. The Cubs need length from their starter tonight — the group behind him is more tired than it looks.
two_start_weekPhiladelphia Phillies — week of 8/17
Cristopher Sánchez
Sánchez already threw Monday at home against the Marlins, so we're down to just Saturday's date with the Cardinals. A 3.34 xERA is the softest number anywhere in this group, tied for last, but the volume and the tier still make him worth the roster spot for that one remaining turn. Startable for Saturday, not a must — the number says keep the expectations modest.
two_start_weekPittsburgh Pirates — week of 8/17
Braxton Ashcraft
Ashcraft's still got the full two-start week ahead of him — home tonight against the Tigers, then a Sunday trip to face the Dodgers. His 3.34 xERA ties for the softest mark in this group, but two turns of volume still count for something if counting stats matter to your week. Start for the volume across both turns, just know the ceiling's capped by that number.
regression_watchTOR @ TB
Nick Martinez: 2.74 ERA vs 4.44 xERA
Real skill here — hard contact and barrels both sit strong — but a strikeout rate barely above five a nine means he's leaning hard on weak contact, with opponents hitting nearly 30 points below what even that should allow. Toronto's a lineup that can expose that thin margin tonight if the luck normalizes even a little.
P 3.2 IP, 6 ER, 5 K
regression_watchMIA @ PHI
Cade Gibson: 5.61 ERA vs 3.95 xERA
A barrel rate under 3% with eight strikeouts a nine is a real weapon getting bad results — opponents are hitting 30 points above what that contact quality should produce. Philadelphia draws him right as the process is due to catch up tonight.
P 1.1 IP, 1 ER, 1 K
regression_watchSTL @ CIN
Kyle Leahy: 3.38 ERA vs 5.08 xERA
Hard contact allowed pushing 48% isn't offset by the results — that gap is sequencing with runners on, which is a shaky thing to keep counting on. Cincinnati gets a pitcher due for that loud contact to start turning into real damage tonight.
P 5 IP, 0 ER, 6 K
regression_tomorrowTOR @ TB
Max Scherzer: 6.58 ERA vs 4.69 xERA
Contact quality here sits toward the better half of the slate, though a slightly elevated barrel rate means what does get hit is squared up. That's a real but modest gap — expect a gradual step toward his real level when Tampa Bay sees him tomorrow, not a dramatic bounce-back.
park_weatherSEA @ MIL
Wind blowing out 11 mph at American Family Field tonight
Eleven miles an hour blowing out to left at American Family plus warm air at 79 degrees is real carry tonight, anything with lift is going further than it deserves. Pull power benefits most, and with the total sitting at 7.5, the over doesn't need much help to get there.
P final total 22 vs 7.5 (over lean)
starter_formSTL @ CIN
Andrew Abbott: 6.19 ERA over his last 3 starts
Abbott's still going deep into games, so this isn't about short outings — it's mistakes turning into extra bases instead of routine outs. I'd expect Cincinnati's lineup to jump on him early rather than grind out a long at-bat.
P 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 K
ownedSTL @ CIN
Andrew Abbott vs Jordan Walker: 0-for-12, 6 K
Walker's 0-for-12 with six punchouts against Abbott says he hasn't solved this look, and that pattern tends to follow a hitter right into the box. I'd expect Cincinnati to keep attacking him the same way tonight, with whiffs the bigger story over weak contact.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
regression_watchDET @ PIT
Esmerlyn Valdez: .254 AVG vs .206 xBA
Valdez is hitting .254 against contact that grades out at .206, that gap usually gets squeezed shut, not stretched further, and the sample's still under 250 plate appearances. I'm fading the hot version of him tonight.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
return_watchTOR — return listed 8/18
Joe Mantiply
Knee, 60-day IL, and the clock hits zero today — listed return is 8/18, same as this column. A 2.04 ERA arm coming off the shelf same-day as the update is exactly the kind that gets grabbed before you refresh the page. Confirm the actual activation posts, but don't sit on this one. Add now if he's on waivers — all formats.
regression_watchTOR @ TB
Chandler Simpson: .309 AVG vs .261 xBA
Simpson's average has been running 48 points ahead of his contact quality for a full season, not a two-week hot streak — that kind of gap closes from the top down. Against Tampa Bay tonight, I'd trust the under on his hit total over betting the results keep floating above the swings.
P 2-for-5, 2 TB
regression_watchTOR @ TB
Jose Soriano: 3.17 ERA vs 4.54 xERA
Nine strikeouts a nine with a barrel rate under 8% is a legitimately strong foundation, and opponents hitting 30 points below what even that should allow is fortune riding on top of real ability. Tampa Bay draws a pitcher tonight who should stay effective even if that batting-average luck eases up.
P 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 2 K
starter_formTOR @ TB
Jose Soriano: 1.15 ERA over his last 3 starts
The strikeouts and traffic haven't moved for Soriano over this run, what's changed is he's stranding everybody once they reach. That's real for a stretch, but it's sequencing more than suppression, and he needs to keep winning those two-out battles again tonight to keep it intact.
P 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 2 K
regression_watchSD @ NYM
Robbie Ray: 3.28 ERA vs 4.57 xERA
Nothing here looks inflated — ordinary hard contact and barrel rate, strikeouts comfortably above average, only about a 12-point average gap. This is one of the more sustainable lines on the board, and the Mets get him about as advertised tonight.
P 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 K
park_weatherCHW @ CHC
Wind blowing out 10 mph at Wrigley Field tonight
Wind out at Wrigley with it sitting at 77 degrees means nothing's dying on the warning track tonight, which is why the total here is the highest of the night at 9. I wouldn't trust a two-run lead in this one — both staffs need to work away from contact, not around it.
P final total 7 vs 9 (over lean)
cut_listSTL tonight
Kyle Leahy
Leahy's the one that fools people — a 3.38 ERA still looks like a streamer worth running back. But xERA has him at 5.08, a run and a half uglier, the profile of a guy getting bailed out by sequencing that doesn't hold up start after start. He's going tonight still riding the good number, which is exactly when you sell instead of hold. CUT — move him while the ERA still says he's good, before tonight erodes it.
park_weatherLAD @ COL
Wind blowing in 10 mph at Coors Field tonight
Don't let wind blowing in fool you at Coors — 85 degrees at altitude still means thin air and everything carries, that outfield just turns line drives into doubles and triples instead. This knocks a few majestic shots down to the track, that's the extent of it. The 11.5 total still respects the altitude more than tonight's breeze.
P final total 13 vs 11.5 (under lean)
park_weatherATL @ MIN
Wind blowing out 10 mph at Target Field tonight
Ten out to right at Target Field turns warning-track fly balls into extra bases, and with the total already at 8.5, that's an easy path for both lineups to get there through the air. Any pitcher counting on his outfield to clean up contact is exposed tonight.
P final total 5 vs 8.5 (over lean)
ballpark_shiftOAK @ KC
Daniel Lynch IV owns a 2.05 ERA at Kauffman Stadium — 3.80 everywhere else
Lynch is a genuinely different pitcher at Kauffman — a .161 average against over 25 home starts isn't a heater, it's a real split. Oakland draws the tougher version of him tonight, and I'd expect him ahead in counts most of the way.
P 4 IP, 1 ER, 1 K
regression_tomorrowCHW @ CHC
Clay Holmes: 2.56 ERA vs 4 xERA
Hard contact near 44% with barrels under 5% is a strange split, and opponents hitting over 50 points below what that mix should produce is the widest gap on this whole slate. Contact's finding gloves right now, and the White Sox lineup is live to be the one that starts cashing in on it when he takes the mound tomorrow.
bullpen_fatigueCHW @ CHC
Chicago White Sox pen: 12.7 relief IP over their last 3 games
Only two arms — Smith and Hicks — have worked on back-to-back days, so this pen is clean compared to most working through a long stretch right now. If it comes down to who's fresher late against the Cubs, the White Sox have the deeper tank.
ballpark_shiftSTL @ CIN
At Great American Ball Park, Andrew Abbott pitches to a 4.97 ERA
The average against at home isn't alarming — Cincinnati hitters aren't finding him more, they're just doing more damage when they do, turning routine innings into crooked ones. Twelve starts is real sample, and St. Louis draws him in the park that's given him the most trouble all season.
P 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 K
first_inningTOR @ TB
NRFI watch: quiet first innings on both sides of TOR @ TB
Martinez and Soriano have both handled the opening inning well, so both lineups need time to get comfortable tonight. A clean first sets up a game where scoring has to be earned after both sides get another look.
P 1st inning: 2-0 (2 runs)
first_inningMIA @ PHI
NRFI watch: quiet first innings on both sides of MIA @ PHI
Wheeler gives Miami very little room to create early pressure, and Philadelphia's own slow starts point the same direction. I like a scoreless top of the first setting up a tighter, more controlled game tonight.
P 1st inning: 0-1 (1 run)
running_gameSD @ NYM
San Diego Padres like to run — Luis Torrens (38% caught) is the wrong catcher to test
Torrens has caught better than a third of the runners who've tested him, so San Diego isn't getting a free 90 feet just because they want to run tonight. I expect them to test him anyway, and whether that ends in a run or a rally dying at second decides this game.
P San Diego Padres stole 0 bases
return_watchTEX — return listed 8/20
Robert Garcia
Shoulder, 60-day IL, listed back 8/20 — two days out. 3.38 ERA is a perfectly usable number to build a bullpen spot around. I'd still want to see him actually activated before I call it locked, but that's close enough to plan around. Stash in mixed; hold in deep.
cut_listMIA tonight
Jakob Marsee
Marsee's .208 average and .639 OPS aren't good, but he's hitting leadoff for the Marlins, which means volume — more at-bats and more chances to accumulate than a bottom-of-the-order bat with the same slash line. Tonight's lineup keeps him in that role. Hold for now. The leadoff spot buys him rope a true bottom-order bat wouldn't get.
cut_listNYM tonight
Luis Robert Jr.
Batting third is the only thing propping this up — a .632 OPS and a .214 average from a No. 3 hitter is replacement-level production wearing a premium lineup spot. That's name and pedigree buying him at-bats, not results. Tonight's lineup slot doesn't change the season-long math: he's not getting on base, he's not hitting for average, and there's no counting-stat volume big enough to cover for it. Cut him. The roster spot is worth more than the name right now.
ownedNYY @ BAL
Gunnar Henderson vs Carlos Rodon: .250
The average undersells it — Henderson's driven the ball against Rodon, not just put it in play, and he's swinging a hot bat on top of that. Of everything on the board tonight, this is the pairing I'd most expect to produce a big swing.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
running_gameSEA @ MIL
Seattle Mariners like to run — William Contreras (38% caught) is the wrong catcher to test
This runs at lower volume than most steal matchups, but Contreras has caught more than a third of the runners who've tested him, so a Seattle attempt tonight is a real risk, not a free base. Whoever wins that one moment decides if it's a run or a wasted baserunner.
P Seattle Mariners stole 0 bases
regression_tomorrowMIA @ PHI
Aaron Nola: 5.33 ERA vs 4.26 xERA
Hard contact over 41% and barrels near 10% mean some of this is earned, and hitters batting 33 points above even that shaky profile stacks bad luck on top of a real problem. Miami draws a version of him tomorrow that should pitch a little better, but the hard-contact issue caps how far that bounce goes.
ballpark_shiftTOR @ TB
At Tropicana Field, Nick Martinez pitches to a 3.31 ERA
A 3.31 ERA with hitters batting .253 against him would be a fine year for most starters — it only looks like a letdown next to the 2.14 he's running everywhere else. Toronto still gets real stuff tonight, just the steadier home version instead of the nearly unhittable road one.
P 3.2 IP, 6 ER, 5 K
first_inningCHW @ CHC
YRFI watch: first innings have been live on both sides of CHW @ CHC
Neither lineup here has been shy about landing an early hit, and Gausman's had his own first-inning hiccups to match. One leadoff baserunner is probably all it takes to turn this into a running game right from the jump. I like the run scoring early and this one staying open all night.
P 1st inning: 0-2 (2 runs)
closer_watchSF @ CLE
Ryan Walker / JT Brubaker
San Francisco's a big road dog at +160 in Cleveland, and that's the real issue before the bullpen even matters — heavy underdogs just don't generate many save chances. Walker edges Brubaker only 3-2 in saves with both sitting on 3 holds apiece, as tight a committee as you'll see, even with Walker fully rested. Pass on this spot this week — the underdog number caps the save equity no matter who'd get the ball, and the committee's too even to trust as more than a deep-league stash.
fantasy_pickupsCHW @ CHC
Bryan Hudson
Hudson's actual ERA (3.13) is basically matching his xERA (3.15) — that tells you this ain't smoke, the performance is real. Toss in an 8.7 K/9 and he's got swing-and-miss stuff heading into Wrigley against the Cubs, even with a WHIP (1.28) that'll put a few extra guys on. Deep-league add only — solid two-way arm if you're 12-plus teams and scraping for pitching, not required anywhere shallower.
regression_tomorrowLAD @ COL
Kyle Freeland: 6.26 ERA vs 5.26 xERA
Freeland's actual line is bad, but the report underneath it is worse — hard contact near 43 percent and one of the highest barrel rates on the slate. Hitters are only about 11 points ahead of what they should be doing against him, so there's barely any bad luck to trade in for better results. I'm not expecting anything cleaner out of him against the Dodgers tomorrow.
ballpark_shiftARI @ BOS
Ranger Suarez's ERA jumps to 3.86 at Fenway Park
A .238 average against at Fenway tells you hitters aren't finding Suarez — the 3.86 ERA there tells you a few of the swings they do get have cost him. Ten starts and 49 innings makes that a real pattern, not a blip. Tonight's about Arizona's guy avoiding the one big swing, not about Boston seeing him clearly all game.
P 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 3 K
regression_tomorrowSD @ NYM
Michael King: 3.42 ERA vs 4.38 xERA
King's limiting hard contact under 33 percent, one of the better marks on the board, and that 21-point gap between what hitters are doing and what they should be doing is riding on a strong foundation, not propping up a shaky one. This reads more good-luck-and-good than mirage. Mets hitters get a tougher out tomorrow than the ERA alone suggests.
fantasy_pickupsARI @ BOS
Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez is sitting on a 3.25 ERA that his 3.6 xERA says is basically earned, not fluky — that's a real sub-4 arm. Add a 9.2 K/9 and a tidy 1.19 WHIP and you've got a strong ratios play vs ARI. He's tagged DEEP-only at this point, which just means the good leagues already scooped him up. Grab him in deep leagues today — anywhere shallower, he's long gone.
return_watchLAD — return listed 8/21
Gavin Stone
Shoulder, 60-day IL, listed for 8/21 — three days out. No 2026 line on file, so there's nothing here to grade him on. That makes this a bet on the name and the innings, not on any production in front of you. Speculative deep-league stash only.
regression_tomorrowATL @ MIN
Chris Sale: 2.16 ERA vs 3.06 xERA
Sale's the rare one on this board where the ERA isn't lying — a barrel rate under 6 percent is elite, and opponents are hitting within 7 points of what that contact should produce. That's about as tight as results and process line up anywhere on this slate. Minnesota's getting the real version of him tomorrow.
first_inningNYY @ BAL
NYY have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 0 of their last 10
Baz has left enough early contact out there to make the Yankees interesting in the first, but this lineup hasn't cashed a first inning in ten straight tries and I don't see that changing with Rodón lined up on the other side. I expect this one to stay buttoned up early and get decided from the third inning on.
P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st
return_watchBOS — return listed 8/24
Roman Anthony
Finger, 60-day IL, listed back 8/24 — six days out. The number on the sheet is a .675 OPS, which is light. I'm not dressing that up — the injury is doing more work than the bat here. Deep-league stash only; not a mixed-league add off this line.
running_gameOAK @ KC
Green light: Kansas City Royals run, and Jonah Heim has caught just 16%
Heim catching just 16% of runners turns every Kansas City baserunner into a threat with no hit required, a leadoff single is basically a double against this battery. Oakland doesn't have an answer for it, expect the Royals to press all night.
P Kansas City Royals stole 0 bases
fantasy_pickupsOAK @ KC
Daniel Lynch IV
A 1.02 WHIP is the number that jumps off the page — elite. The 2.88 ERA is shiny too, though the 3.62 xERA says some regression could be lurking. Light on strikeouts at 7.2 K/9, but he gets Oakland at home tonight. Deep-league speculative add for the ratios — grab him now before the ERA catches up to the peripherals.
fantasy_pickupsCHW @ CHC
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman's ERA is ugly at 4.53, but his 3.89 xERA says the stuff underneath is a full run better than the results. He's still missing bats at an 8.9 K/9 clip, and a 1.27 WHIP is playable, not scary. That ERA/xERA gap vs CHW is exactly the kind of buy-low spot deep leaguers should be hunting. Speculative deep-league add — betting on regression before the ERA fixes itself.
return_watchKC — return listed 8/25
Nick Mears
Shoulder, 60-day IL, listed for 8/25 — seven days out. 5.12 ERA on the season. There's no version of this where that ratio earns a bench spot, hurt or healthy. Drop / avoid — deep-league afterthought at best.
return_watchLAD — return listed 8/25
Tyler Glasnow
Back, 60-day IL, listed for 8/25 — seven days out. 2.72 ERA is the best ratio in this whole group. Back injuries are the ones I trust least on a printed date, so I want to see him actually take the mound first — but the production says the roster spot isn't in question. Hold everywhere; stash immediately if somehow available.
first_inningLAD @ COL
LAD have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 1 of their last 10
I'm not trusting the Dodgers' quiet first innings to carry over against this pair — Feltner and Lauer have both given up five first-inning homers apiece, so one swing changes this in a hurry no matter how patient LA has looked. A run in the first tilts this whole game toward track-meet mode.
P flagged team scored 1 in the 1st
return_watchTEX — return listed 8/26
Carter Baumler
Ribs, 60-day IL, listed for 8/26 — eight days out. 3.18 ERA is a solid number for a reliever. Worth a spot on the watch-list while that date approaches. Speculative stash in deep; watch-list in mixed.
first_inningWSH @ TEX
TEX have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 1 of their last 10
Quantrill's first-inning stuff has been clean enough to keep a Rangers lineup that already starts slow right where it's comfortable. I don't see fireworks out of the gate here — this is a level start that gets decided once Texas starts seeing him a second time through.
P flagged team scored 1 in the 1st
return_watchSD — return listed 8/28
Lucas Giolito
Elbow, and notably this is only a 15-day IL designation even though 8/28 — ten days out — is the latest return date of the whole group. That gap between IL type and timeline is worth a raised eyebrow on its own. 5.16 ERA this year, and I'm not burning a roster spot chasing that calendar. Drop in shallow/mixed; deep bench stash only.

Graded results

Games

W
Royals ML -156
MLB · 3-4
L
White Sox ML +156
MLB · 3-4
W
Angels ML +148
MLB · 3-1
L
Tigers ML +140
MLB · 1-4
W
Cardinals ML -112
MLB · 3-0
W
Yankees ML -108
MLB · 3-1
W
Guardians -1.5 +112
MLB · 1-8
W
Toronto Blue Jays ML +119
MLB · 10-5
L
Marlins +1.5 -113
MLB · 4-6
L
Braves ML -136
MLB · 1-4
W
Red Sox -1.5 +129
MLB · 4-9
L
Mets ML +100
MLB · 5-2
W
Brewers ML -168
MLB · 0-22
L
Nationals ML +126
MLB · 0-5
L
Dodgers -1.5 -137
MLB · 7-6

Props

L
Andrew Abbott · under
Cardinals @ Reds · Actual 6
W
Bryce Harper · over
Marlins @ Phillies · Actual 2
W
Bryson Stott · over
Marlins @ Phillies · Actual 1
W
Carlos Rodon · over
Yankees @ Orioles · Actual 2
W
Carson Whisenhunt · over
Giants @ Guardians · Actual 2
L
Chandler Simpson · over
Blue Jays @ Rays · Actual 0
L
Foster Griffin · under
Giants @ Guardians · Actual 6
L
Keider Montero · over
Tigers @ Pirates · Actual 15
L
Kyle Leahy · over
Cardinals @ Reds · Actual 3
W
Merrill Kelly · over
Diamondbacks @ Red Sox · Actual 4
L
Nick Martinez · under
Blue Jays @ Rays · Actual 5
L
Oneil Cruz · under
Tigers @ Pirates · Actual 4
L
Robbie Ray · under
Padres @ Mets · Actual 18
L
Shane Baz · over
Yankees @ Orioles · Actual 4
L
Wilyer Abreu · over
Diamondbacks @ Red Sox · Actual 0
L
Zac Thornton · under
Padres @ Mets · Actual 7