Sports picks for Sunday, October 18, 2026
698 stored itemsGary’s saved picks and research for this day. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.
Game picks
13
Rays Moneyline
Texans Moneyline
Buccaneers Moneyline
Eagles +3.0
Raiders +5.5
Jets +7.5
Giants Moneyline
Titans +6.5
Ravens -3
Chiefs -7.5
Falcons Moneyline
Cardinals +12.5
Cowboys MoneylinePlayer props
27


























Research
756- TURNOVERSLAC @ KC
KC: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.6
The Chargers are giving it away 2.6 times a game over five games, double last season's 1.24, while Kansas City is at 0.5, below last year's 0.88. Turnover rates swing wildly in small samples, so expect the Chargers' number to come down. The Chiefs' ball security is closer to their norm. Don't price this game as if the turnover gap will repeat.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- TRENCHESBAL @ CLE
BAL: 164.4 rushing yards per game to CLE's 94.2
Baltimore runs the ball far more effectively than Cleveland, and the gap is wider than last season, when the Ravens ran for 156.6 a game and the Browns 97. Five games is a small sample, but both numbers sit close to last year's, so this looks like who these teams are. Expect Baltimore to lean on the ground game and try to control the clock. For bettors, Ravens rushing props and a slower game pace are the angles to think about.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- TURNOVERSNYJ @ NE
NYJ: 0.6 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2.2
The Jets are protecting the ball at 0.6 giveaways a game after 1.35 last season, while New England has jumped from 0.94 to 2.2. Turnover rates swing a lot over five games, so both numbers should drift back toward last year's. Expect the Patriots' giveaway rate to cool more than the Jets' care to hold. Weigh this lightly when pricing the game, because it's the stat most likely to fade.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- SITUATIONALCAR @ PHI
CAR: 301.3 team passing yards per game to PHI's 170.6
Carolina is throwing for 301.3 yards a game across four games, a huge jump from 179.3 last season, while Philadelphia sits at 170.6, under last year's 194.3. Four games is a thin sample for that big a leap, so expect the Panthers' number to come down, especially on the road. The Eagles' lower passing total fits a team that prefers to run. Carolina passing props may be priced off a hot start rather than a full-season level.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ KC
KC: 29.5 points per game to LAC's 16.8
Kansas City is scoring 29.5 a game over four games after 21.3 last season, while the Chargers have dropped from 21.6 to 16.8. Last year these offenses were nearly identical, so a gap this wide over four and five games is likely to shrink. The Chiefs are home and in form. Team totals are a cleaner way to think about this than assuming the early gap holds.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSLAC @ KC
KC: 6.58 yards per play to LAC's 4.78
Kansas City is gaining 6.58 yards a play over four games, well above last season's 5.05, while the Chargers are at 4.78, down from 5.19. The Chiefs had six plays of 20-plus last game, including Kenneth Walker III's 76-yard run and Patrick Mahomes hitting Tyquan Thornton for 55 and 42. Explosive plays inflate small samples, so expect some regression. The Chiefs' big-play threat is the thing the Chargers' defense has to solve.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- SITUATIONALDAL @ GB
DAL: 49.2% third-down conversion rate to GB's 27.6%
Dallas is converting 49.2% on third down over five games, up from 41.1% last season, while Green Bay has crashed to 27.6% after 48.8% last year. Third-down rates move a lot in small samples, and Green Bay's drop is too sharp to fully trust. Expect the Packers to climb back toward their norm, especially at home. Fade the idea that Green Bay simply can't sustain drives.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ IND
IND: 24.8 points per game to TEN's 11.6
Tennessee is scoring 11.6 points a game, down from 16.7 last season, while Indianapolis sits a bit below last year's 27.4. Over five games the Titans' drop is real, but some of that is the schedule they've faced, so a little rebound is plausible. The Colts should be the team setting the tempo at home. Think about Tennessee's team total more than the side, since their scoring has been the steadier signal.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSARI @ LAR
LAR: 6.04 yards per play to ARI's 4.42
The Rams gain a first down's worth of extra yardage every six or so snaps compared to Arizona, and that gap is mostly about the Cardinals falling off: 4.42 now after 5.18 last season, while the Rams sit close to last year's 6.15. Arizona's last game had only 3 plays of 20+ yards, all Jacoby Brissett throws. Five games is a decent read, so expect the Rams to control field position and the Cardinals to need long, mistake-free drives to keep pace.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBUF @ LV
BUF: 6.78 yards per play to LV's 5.16
Buffalo is moving the ball at a clip well above its 5.94 from last season, and Josh Allen's last game had 6 completions of 20+ yards, including a 57-yarder to Khalil Shakir. Las Vegas has climbed from 4.35 last season to 5.16, with Kirk Cousins spreading chunk throws to Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers. Buffalo's number may cool toward last year's over a full season, but in this game the Bills are the side more likely to win on explosive plays.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBAL @ CLE
BAL: 6.36 yards per play to CLE's 4.72
Baltimore gains 6.36 yards a play over five games, up from 5.92 last season, while Cleveland sits at 4.72, a bit above last year's 4.33. Justice Hill had runs of 47 and 21 last game, while the Browns got five 20-plus plays, mostly Deshaun Watson throws to Isaiah Bond. Both teams look close to their identities, with Baltimore more efficient. Expect the Ravens to grind on the ground and the Browns to need chunk throws to keep up.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- SITUATIONALCHI @ ATL
CHI: 3 fourth-down attempts per game to ATL's 0.6
Chicago is going for it on fourth down far more than last season, 3 a game now against 1.71 then, while Atlanta has almost stopped trying at 0.6 after 1.65 last year. Five games is enough to call it a coaching choice more than an accident. Chicago's aggression adds drives that end in points or turnovers on downs, so this game has more swing possessions on one side, which matters for spread and total bettors weighing how drives finish.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- TURNOVERSDAL @ GB
GB: 1.8 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.4
Green Bay forces 1.8 turnovers a game and Dallas forces 0.4 over five games each. Takeaways swing a lot week to week, so both numbers tend to drift toward the middle. Dallas rarely gives its offense a short field, which matters if this game turns into a grind where one extra possession decides it.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- MISMATCHLAC @ KC
KC: 0.5 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.6
The Chargers have turned it over 2.6 times a game over 5 games; Kansas City has 0.5 over 4. Last season the Chargers were at 1.24, so their giveaways have roughly doubled in a short sample, and that rate is more likely to fall than hold. Kansas City at 0.88 last season has been steady. In this road spot, the Chargers' path depends on protecting the ball, and any game script assuming more short fields for Kansas City relies on a 5-game number.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ ATL
Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is out for CHI
Chicago will play at Atlanta without safety Anthony Johnson Jr., who is listed as out on the Oct 19 injury report. The report gives no injury, so it is unclear how long he will be gone. Out means he will not play at all. Look at who starts at safety for the Bears and how much the Falcons attack deep in the middle.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- REPLACEMENTNO @ NYG
Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is out for NYG
Eluemunor is listed as out for the Giants' home game against New Orleans, reported Oct 19. Out means he will not play, so the Giants line up without a starting-caliber tackle and someone else takes his spot up front. The report gives no injury or replacement, so the size of the drop-off is unclear. Check who is named at tackle before kickoff and how that matchup looks against the Saints' pass rush.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Josh Jacobs (RB) is out for GB
The out tag here reflects Jacobs sitting on the Commissioner's Exempt List for a personal matter, not an injury. The report from Oct 16 says he comes off the list Monday and could play as soon as Week 7 at Detroit, which means he will not face Dallas. If you are looking ahead to the Lions game, his return is the news to track.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- MISMATCHBAL @ CLE
BAL: 164.4 rush yards a game to CLE's 94.2
The widest gap between these two is rush yards a game: BAL ran for 164.4 rushing yards a game over 5 games; CLE ran for 94.2 rushing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season BAL was at 156.6 over 17 games and CLE at 97 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- MISMATCHNYJ @ NE
NYJ: 0.6 turnovers a game to NE's 2.2
New England has given the ball away 2.2 times a game over 5 games, while the Jets sit at 0.6. Last season both were cleaner and the order was flipped: New England 0.94, the Jets 1.35. Five games is a short run, and turnover rates swing hard, so the Patriots' number will likely come down and the Jets' will likely rise. For this game, give the Jets' ball security some credit, but do not price New England as a team that will keep coughing it up at this rate.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- MISMATCHARI @ LAR
LAR: 307.6 pass yards a game to ARI's 209.6
The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: ARI threw for 209.6 passing yards a game over 5 games; LAR threw for 307.6 passing yards a game over 5 games this season. Last season ARI was at 232.6 over 17 games and LAR at 268.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- MISMATCHCAR @ PHI
CAR: 301.3 pass yards a game to PHI's 170.6
Carolina is throwing for 301.3 a game through four games after 179.3 last season, a jump that big over a short stretch is likely to cool. Philadelphia is at 170.6 through five, down from 194.3. Philadelphia's answer is to keep Carolina's passing game off the field with their own longer drives. Expect Carolina's number to come down some, and price this as a road team whose hot start is still small.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Aaron Banks (G) is out for GB
Banks is inactive for Sunday night against Dallas with a toe injury, so Green Bay plays without a starting guard. Losing an interior lineman changes the line protecting the quarterback and opening running lanes, and a backup steps into the spot. Toe injuries can linger, so his status from week to week is worth checking. For this game, look at whether Dallas can push the middle of the Packers' line.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- MISMATCHBUF @ LV
BUF: 158 rush yards a game to LV's 82
Buffalo runs for 158 yards a game to Las Vegas's 82 through 5 games, and this looks real: last season it was 159.6 for Buffalo and 77.5 for Las Vegas. Both teams are carbon copies of their full-season selves, so expect it to hold. Las Vegas cannot match Buffalo's ground game, so the Raiders have to stay close through the air. If Buffalo gets an early lead, its running game can shorten the afternoon.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- MISMATCHDAL @ GB
DAL: 49.2% on third down to GB's 27.6%
Dallas converts 49.2% of its third downs over 5 games, Green Bay just 27.6%. Last season Green Bay was at 48.8% and Dallas at 41.1%, so the Packers' drop is the bigger move and the likelier one to bounce back. Five games of third downs is a small pile of plays. At Green Bay, Dallas extending drives is a fair expectation, but Green Bay's offense has a track record that says it should not stay this stuck.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Marcus Mariota (QB) is out for WSH
Mariota has a knee injury and will not play Monday night at San Francisco, according to Tashan Reed of The Washington Post. Out means he is done for this game, with no game-time decision to wait on. The fact sheet does not say who starts in his place, so check Washington's quarterback plan before you lean on any passing number in this matchup.
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Donovan Jennings (G) is out for GB
GB lists Donovan Jennings as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
James Houston (LB) is out for DAL
DAL lists James Houston as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Alijah Clark (S) is out for DAL
DAL lists Alijah Clark as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is out for DAL
DAL lists DeMarvion Overshown as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- COVERAGEDAL @ GB
GB: 4.7 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.42
Green Bay gives up 4.7 yards every time an offense snaps the ball, and Dallas gives up 6.42, so drives against the Packers stall far more often. The sheet doesn't say who either team has faced, so some of this gap could be schedule. Five games is enough to take it seriously. For this game, Dallas moving the ball against Green Bay is the harder ask than the reverse.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Jager Burton (C) is out for GB
GB lists Jager Burton as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Benjamin St-Juste (CB) is out for GB
GB lists Benjamin St-Juste as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Drew Shelton (OT) is out for DAL
Offensive tackle Drew Shelton is out for Dallas at Green Bay, per the Oct 18 report. Out means he will not play. The report gives no injury or depth detail, so if he was a starter, a backup tackle protects the quarterback against the Packers pass rush, and that matters more for sacks and pressure than for the point spread.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Cobie Durant (CB) is out for DAL
Dallas lists cornerback Cobie Durant as out for Sunday at Green Bay, reported Oct 18. Out means he is not playing. No injury is given, so the size of the hit comes down to his snap share, but a missing corner means someone deeper on the depth chart covers Green Bay receivers, which is the spot to think about for Packers passing numbers.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Camden Brown (WR) is out for DAL
Dallas has Camden Brown listed as out for the trip to Green Bay, per the Oct 18 report. Out means he will not play Sunday, so there is no game-time decision to wait on. The report gives no injury or role, so judge how much this matters by how much he has been used, and check who Dallas lists behind him at receiver before reading anything into a Dallas passing prop.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Emari Demercado (RB) is out for DAL
Demercado is inactive for Sunday night in Green Bay as a coach's decision, which means he is healthy and Dallas chose to leave him off the game-day roster. That points to a depth or special-teams call more than a problem with the backfield. The carries stay with the backs who are active, so his absence should not change how Dallas runs the ball.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ PHI
CAR: 30.3 points per game to PHI's 18.4
Carolina is scoring 30.3 a game over 4 games after averaging 18.3 last season, a jump that big over four games is likely to settle back some. Philadelphia sits at 18.4 over 5 games, down from 22.3 last year, so the Eagles offense is the colder unit right now. Price this game expecting Carolina's scoring to drift down and Philadelphia's to recover, rather than taking either team's current pace as its true level.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Garret Wallow (LB) is out for SF
San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Wallow will miss "at least a couple of weeks" due to a hamstring strain, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Marques Sigle (S) is out for SF
Sigle (ankle) won't play in Monday's Week 6 matchup against Washington, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports. Reported Oct 18.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (LB) is out for WSH
Jean-Baptiste has a pectoral injury and will sit Monday against the 49ers. Washington is also without Charles Omenihu, so the front seven is down two players for this game. Expect a lighter pass rush and think about that before you bet on San Francisco's offense.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Nick Bosa (DE) is out for SF
Bosa (knee/calf) has been ruled out for Monday's Week 6 matchup against the Commanders, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports. Reported Oct 18.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Charles Omenihu (DE) is out for WSH
Omenihu is dealing with groin and ankle injuries and has been ruled out for Monday's Week 6 game at San Francisco. Out means he will not play, so Washington's pass rush goes without him. The sheet does not say who replaces him on the edge.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is out for SF
Samuel is out with a hamstring injury, and Kyle Shanahan said Thursday the 49ers will hold off on putting him on injured reserve because of their Week 8 bye. That tells you the team expects him back after the off week rather than a long absence. Against Washington, his targets and touches go to the rest of the San Francisco receiving group.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) is out for WSH
Croskey-Merritt is out for Monday night's game at San Francisco with a groin injury, per Tashan Reed of The Washington Post. Out means he will not suit up. The sheet does not name who takes his carries, so the backfield split is the open question for anyone looking at Washington rushing numbers in this game.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCAR @ PHI
CAR: 6.13 yards per play to PHI's 4.58
Carolina is at 6.13 yards per play over 4 games after 4.92 last season, and its last game had 6 plays of 20+ yards, led by Bryce Young to Tetairoa McMillan and a 32-yard Chuba Hubbard run. Philadelphia has slid to 4.58 from 5.27, with just 1 play of 20+ yards last game, a 62-yard Jalen Hurts touchdown to Darius Cooper. Four games is a short window for a jump this large, so lean on Carolina's improvement being partly real and partly due to fall back.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PASS RUSHLAC @ KC
KC: 1.5 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3.4
LAC is at 3.4 sacks taken per game over 5 games; KC is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season LAC was at 3.75 over 17 games and KC at 2.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- MISMATCHWSH @ SF
SF: 51.9% on third down to WSH's 31.9%
The widest gap between these two is third down: WSH's offense converted 31.9% of its own third downs over 5 games; SF's offense converted 51.9% of its own third downs over 5 games this season. Last season WSH was at 37.6% over 17 games and SF at 49.8% over 17 games.
- TEAM RECORDTB @ CLE
Rays 7-1 in Drew Rasmussen's last 8 starts
Tampa Bay has won seven of the last eight games Rasmussen has started, so his turn has been a good day for this team. Team record mixes in the offense and the bullpen along with the starter, and eight starts is a short run. Expect that pace to cool. Use it as a sign the Rays are playing well behind him, and price tonight off how he matches up with Cleveland's lineup.
- SITUATIONALBAL @ CLE
BAL: 8.1 yards per pass attempt to CLE's 5.52
Baltimore gains 8.1 yards every time it throws, up from 6.69 last season, while Cleveland is at 5.52, better than last year's 4.78 but still well behind. The Ravens can push the ball downfield, and the Browns have to grind out drives through the air with less per throw. Baltimore's number is likely to slip some toward last season, though the gap between these passing games should stay wide.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PACE & SCRIPTWSH @ SF
SF: 18.6 points allowed per game to WSH's 29.8
WSH is at 29.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; SF is at 18.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 26.5 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.
- COVERAGEARI @ LAR
LAR: 4.82 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.24
The Rams allow 4.82 yards per play and Arizona allows 6.24, both over five games. That is a real gap in how hard each defense makes it to gain ground. The sheet doesn't say who either side has played, so part of it may be opponents. Arizona's offense faces the tougher unit here, and the Cardinals' defense is the one more likely to give up chunk gains.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PASS RUSHDAL @ GB
GB: 2.8 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1
Green Bay gets 2.8 sacks a game and Dallas gets 1, over five games each. The Packers' rush is reaching the quarterback often, and the Cowboys' mostly isn't. Sack rates depend on the protection a team faces, which the sheet doesn't cover. Dallas' quarterback is the one more likely to be under pressure, which can kill drives and push the game toward fewer Dallas points.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL
Turpin (ribs) is questionable to return to Sunday night's matchup against Green Bay, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 19.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF
Evans (ribs) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against Washington, Vic Tafur of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 17.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Stefon Diggs (WR) is questionable for WSH
Diggs (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against San Francisco. Reported Oct 17.
- SITUATIONALCAR @ PHI
CAR: 23.5 first downs per game to PHI's 14.4
CAR is at 23.5 first downs per game over 4 games; PHI is at 14.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 18 over 17 games and PHI at 18 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- RED ZONEBAL @ CLE
BAL: 73.7% red-zone scoring rate to CLE's 45.5%
BAL is at 73.7% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; CLE is at 45.5% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 47.5% over 17 games and CLE at 52.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- TURNOVERSNYJ @ NE
NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 1.4
The Jets have not thrown an interception in 5 games after 0.76 a game last season, and New England is at 1.4 a game, triple last year's 0.47. Zero is a streak, so expect the Jets to throw one eventually, and the Patriots' rate is likely to come down too. For this game, the turnover edge leans Jets on current form, but both numbers are the kind that move fast.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSWSH @ SF
SF: 6.54 yards per play to WSH's 5.14
WSH is at 5.14 yards per play over 5 games; SF is at 6.54 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 5.53 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games. WSH had 7 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 38-yard run for a touchdown (Jayden Daniels 38 Yd Rush (Drew Stevens Kick)); 33-yard run for a touchdown (Jacory Croskey-Merritt 33 Yd Rush (Drew Stevens PAT Failed)); 26-yard run for a touchdown (Jayden Daniels 26 Yd Rush (Jayden Daniels Pass to Terry McLaurin for Two-Point Conversion)). SF had 3 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 28-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 28 Yds to Mike Evans); 23-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 23 Yds to Mike Evans); 23-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 23 Yds to Mike Evans).
- PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ CLE
BAL: 29.2 points per game to CLE's 18.6
BAL is at 29.2 points per game over 5 games; CLE is at 18.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 24.9 over 17 games and CLE at 16.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- TEAM RECORDSEA @ DEN
DEN is 3-0 at home; SEA is 1-2 on the road
Denver has won all three games in its own building, and Seattle has won once in three trips. Three games each way is a small sample, and the sheet doesn't say who either team played, so the split could reflect the schedule as much as the venue. The home edge points Denver's way here, but price it as a modest tilt on top of the matchup itself, since three games can flip quickly.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- TURNOVERSLAC @ KC
KC: 0 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1.2
LAC is at 1.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; KC is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season LAC was at 0.41 over 17 games and KC at 0.18 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PASS RUSHNYJ @ NE
NE: 9.6 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 26.8
The Jets are losing 26.8 yards a game to sacks, nearly the same as 24.9 last season, so this is a lasting problem. New England gives up only 9.6, better than last year's 12.6. Jets drives are more likely to stall from sacks pushing them into long down and distance, which makes the Patriots' pass rush matter in this game.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PLATOON EDGETB @ CLE
Nathaniel Lowe (bats L) draws Drew Rasmussen (RHP), batting 5th
Lowe has an .822 mark against right-handers this year over 336 at-bats, and he gets a righty tonight. His weak lefty number comes from only 45 at-bats, so it pulls his season line down and undersells him in this spot. Against Rasmussen, he is a real middle-of-the-order bat. His value drops if Cleveland brings in a lefty late, so his early at-bats against the starter carry the edge.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
- COVERAGESEA @ DEN
SEA: 28% third downs allowed to DEN's 44.4%
Seattle lets offenses convert 28% of third downs, Denver 44.4%, both over six games. The Seahawks get off the field and the Broncos often don't. Third-down rates bounce around, so expect Seattle's number to rise some. Denver extending drives is the bigger concern, since long Seattle possessions mean more chances to score and more clock burned.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- TURNOVERSCAR @ PHI
CAR: 1.75 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.6
Carolina forces 1.75 turnovers a game over four games, Philadelphia 0.6 over five. Takeaways are among the streakiest defensive stats, and four games is a short run, so Carolina's number is likely to come down. Philadelphia rarely steals possessions, so the Eagles' defense has to win this game by getting stops.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- RED ZONECHI @ ATL
ATL: 69.2% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 42.9%
Atlanta scores on 69.2% of red-zone trips, a bit up from 62% last season, while Chicago has fallen to 42.9% from 58.2%. Red-zone rates swing a lot over 5 games, so Chicago's drop is more likely to bounce back than Atlanta's edge is to grow. The gap shows up in how often trips end in touchdowns or field goals, which matters for totals and the spread more than raw yardage does.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ IND
IND: 31:07 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:31
Indianapolis holds the ball for 31:07 a game, up from 29:37 last season, while Tennessee is down to 24:31 from 29:08. Five games with that big a swing for the Titans means their drives are short and they are on the field defensively a lot. Indy should control the clock and the tempo here, which tends to shorten the game and limits Tennessee's possessions.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- RED ZONEWSH @ SF
SF: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to WSH's 83.3%
WSH is at 83.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; SF is at 50% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Ben Skowronek
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Antoine Winfield Jr.
Rib · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Jeremiyah Love
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Andrew Wingard
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Rashee Rice
Hamstring, Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Donte Jackson
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Josh Simmons
Back · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Derwin James Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Joe Alt
Neck · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Marques Sigle
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Tonka Hemingway
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Javon Hargrave
Achilles · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Jonathan Ford
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Cobie Durant
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Drew Shelton
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Benjamin St-Juste
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Skyy Moore
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Marcus Mariota
Knee · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Charles Omenihu
Groin, Ankle · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Pat Surtain II
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Jalen Pitre
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Kevin Winston Jr.
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Javontae Jean-Baptiste
Pectoral · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Jaylon Carlies
Ribs · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Carlton Davis III
Neck · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Dylan Parham
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Adonai Mitchell
Finger · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Joseph Ossai
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Breece Hall
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Jordan Elliott
Not injury related - personal matter · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Ashton Dulin
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Teven Jenkins
Back · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Rashod Bateman
Full practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Broderick Washington Jr.
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Lamar Jackson
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Grant Delpit
Full practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Matt Hibner
Hand · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Mike Hall Jr.
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Cam Jurgens
Concussion · Limited practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Keyshaun Elliott
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
T.J. Edwards
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Ross Matiscik
Shoulder · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
David Montgomery
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Montaric Brown
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Chazz Surratt
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Talanoa Hufanga
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Drake Thomas
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PASS RUSHBAL @ CLE
BAL: 2.2 sacks taken per game to CLE's 3.8
BAL is at 2.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; CLE is at 3.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 2.65 over 17 games and CLE at 3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- COVERAGEARI @ LAR
LAR: 156.8 passing yards allowed per game to ARI's 236.8
The Rams allow 156.8 passing yards a game and Arizona allows 236.8, both over five games. The sheet doesn't say which quarterbacks either side faced, or whether teams ran on the Rams instead, so the gap may be partly schedule and game script. Arizona's passing game faces the stingier defense, and the Rams' passing attack has the easier matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
- PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ GB
DAL @ GB carries a 53.5 market total
This number puts the game in the top tier of the slate for expected scoring, far above the middle of the board. The market is pricing a game where both teams trade scores rather than grind clock. For it to come in lower, one side has to win with field goals and long drives, so the early possession results tell you a lot about which script is playing out.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LV
BUF @ LV carries a 53.5 market total
The market expects this one to be a shootout, with a number that sits among the highest on the board and well clear of a typical game this week. That price assumes both offenses move the ball and finish drives, so the under needs long, stalled possessions or red-zone failures to have a chance. When a total sits this far above the pack, the useful question is whether either defense can force punts early.
- HEAD-TO-HEADTB @ CLE
Rays are 5-1 vs Guardians this season
The Rays have taken five of six from Cleveland, and the last meeting was a 1-0 game. The sheet gives no pitchers or venues, so it does not show why Tampa Bay keeps winning. Six games is a small set, and a one-run finish says these teams play close. Keep the record as background and set tonight's price from the starters and lineups actually on the field in Cleveland.
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Groin · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Nick Bosa
Knee, Calf · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Garret Wallow
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Jalyx Hunt
Knee, Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Michael Carter II
Abdomen · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Saquon Barkley
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Anfernee Jennings
Knee · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Kaden Elliss
Calf · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Tyler Nubin
Neck · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Colton Hood
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Karon Prunty
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Baker Mayfield
Thumb · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Theo Johnson
Neck · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
C.J. Henderson
Groin · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Ladd McConkey
Full practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Kayode Awosika
Fibula · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Kyle Monangai
Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- MISMATCHTEN @ IND
IND: 31:07 of possession a game to TEN's 24:31
Indianapolis has held the ball 31:07 a game over 5 games while Tennessee sits at 24:31. Last season the two were close, 29:37 for the Colts and 29:08 for the Titans, so Tennessee's dip is the outlier. Possession time follows game script, and through 5 games Tennessee has been on the field defending a lot. At Indianapolis, expect the Colts to control the clock unless the Titans can sustain drives like last season.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Tre' Harris
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Wydett Williams Jr.
Concussion · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
AJ Dillon
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- STREAKTEN @ IND
TEN has lost 5 straight
Tennessee has lost every game this season, five in a row. Five games is enough to say the team is struggling, but the sheet doesn't show who they lost to or by how much, so it can't separate a bad roster from a tough early schedule. Winless teams often get marked down hard by the market, so the useful question against Indianapolis is whether the number already prices in all five losses.
- STREAKLAC @ KC
LAC has lost 5 straight
The Chargers are 0-5 and haven't won a game yet. Five straight losses is a real trend, though the sheet doesn't say how close those games were, and that's the difference between a broken team and an unlucky one. Going to Kansas City is a hard spot, and the price on a winless team in that building usually reflects it, so the value question is about the spread more than the result.
- RED ZONELAC @ KC
KC: 4.75 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 2.6
LAC is at 2.6 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; KC is at 4.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and KC at 3.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- STREAKWSH @ SF
SF has won 5 straight
San Francisco is 5-0 and hasn't lost yet. The sheet doesn't list the opponents, so it's unclear how much of that record came against strong teams. Unbeaten teams at home tend to carry inflated prices, so against Washington the thing to weigh is whether the margin you're asked to cover matches what this team has actually shown.
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Rodney Shelley
Hamstring · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Monroe Freeling
Knee · Limited practice · Doubtful
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF
Stout (shoulder) is questionable for Monday night's game against the Commanders. Reported Oct 18.
- REPLACEMENTNO @ NYG
Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB) is questionable for NO
McKinstry left Sunday's 34-27 win over the Giants with a migraine, listed as an illness, per Saints coach Kellen Moore. Questionable means it is a real coin flip whether he plays. A migraine is usually short-term, so check the final status before kickoff; if he sits, New Orleans goes to cornerback depth.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI
The Eagles put Jalen Hurts on injured reserve Saturday with a calf injury, so he misses the Panthers game and at least several more. Losing the starting quarterback changes everything about Philadelphia's offense, and the backup takes over. Expect lines and totals for the Eagles to stay lower until Hurts returns.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Mykel Williams (DE) is questionable for SF
Williams (knee) is questionable for Monday night's game against the Commanders. Reported Oct 18.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ CLE
Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE
Gabriel is on injured reserve with a designation to return, which means the Browns have started the clock to bring him back but have not activated him. The last report, from Oct 10, had him ruled out with a back injury for the Jets game. Nothing on the sheet says he has been cleared for the Ravens, so plan as if he sits until Cleveland activates him.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- MISMATCHNO @ NYG
NYG: 21.2 points allowed a game to NO's 30.2
New Orleans has allowed 30.2 points a game over 5 games, up from 22.5 last season. The Giants have gone the other way, from 25.8 last season to 21.2. Both moves came in 5 games, so some of each should drift back toward last season. At New York, the Saints' defense is the weaker side, and the Giants' offense should find chances to score.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- SITUATIONALLAC @ KC
KC has 7 more days of rest
Kansas City is coming off its bye and hosts a Chargers team on a standard seven-day week. The Chiefs get two weeks to rest and scheme for one division opponent, plus they don't have to travel. The rest gap is locked in by the calendar. For a bettor, that is a home team with extra prep against a familiar foe, a spot where early-game execution and health tend to favor the rested side.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- SITUATIONALCAR @ PHI
CAR has 7 more days of rest
Carolina gets two full weeks off before this trip, while Philadelphia is on a normal one-week turnaround. A bye gives a team extra time to heal bumps, install a game plan built for one opponent and arrive fresh. The edge is a fixed part of the schedule, so it won't change before kickoff. Teams off a bye tend to be sharper early, so the first half is where an extra week of preparation is most likely to show up.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PACE & SCRIPTNO @ NYG
NYG: 21.2 points allowed per game to NO's 30.2
New Orleans is allowing 30.2 a game, a big jump from 22.5 last season, while the Giants have tightened up to 21.2 from 25.8. Five games is enough to take the Saints' slide seriously, though some regression toward last year is likely. The Giants offense gets the softer matchup here, and the Saints will need their own scoring to keep pace.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
AJ Epenesa
Back · Did not practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Benjamin Morrison
Quadricep · Limited practice · Doubtful
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Jordon Riley
Achilles · Limited practice · Doubtful
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- SITUATIONALSEA @ DEN
SEA: 225 team passing yards per game to DEN's 168
Seattle throws for 225 a game, right on last season's 228.1, so that is a stable number. Denver has dropped to 168 from 223.9, a steep fall over 6 games. The Seahawks bring the more reliable passing attack, and the Broncos' number has room to climb but is pointing the wrong way right now.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- SITUATIONALCAR @ PHI
CAR: 7.08 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 5.02
CAR is at 7.08 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; PHI is at 5.02 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 5.47 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- TURNOVERSBUF @ LV
LV: 2 takeaways per game to BUF's 1
Las Vegas forces 2 turnovers a game and Buffalo 1, over five games each. Takeaways swing heavily from week to week, so the Raiders' rate is likely to cool. A turnover or two can flip a game against a stronger offense, but betting on it repeating is betting on luck holding.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- COVERAGECHI @ ATL
CHI: 26% third downs allowed to ATL's 40.3%
Chicago lets offenses convert 26% of third downs, Atlanta 40.3%, over five games each. The Bears get off the field far more often. Third-down rates tend to drift toward the middle, so Chicago's figure will likely rise. Atlanta's offense needs early-down gains here, since third-and-long plays to Chicago's strength.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ ATL
CHI @ ATL carries a 52.5 market total
The market sees this as one of the higher-scoring spots on the slate, sitting well above the typical game this week. That assumes points arrive steadily from both sides. A slow first half, with drives ending in punts or field goals, is the main way this expectation cracks, so bettors watching live can weigh how the opening possessions go.
- MISMATCHSEA @ DEN
DEN: 1 turnovers a game to SEA's 2
Seattle turns it over twice a game through six games, up from 1.65 last season, while Denver sits at 1, the same as last year. Denver's steadiness looks real. Seattle's rate is likely to settle closer to last season, but on the road they have to protect the ball to stay in it. Extra short fields for Denver is the main way this game swings.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- TURNOVERSSEA @ DEN
DEN: 1 turnover committed per game to SEA's 2
Seattle is turning it over twice a game across 6 games, up from 1.65 last season, while Denver sits at exactly 1, matching last year. Denver's rate looks steady, and Seattle's spike may cool some but is a real issue right now. In a road game at Denver, the Seahawks giving away short fields is the clearest way this one tilts toward the Broncos.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- COVERAGESEA @ DEN
SEA: 3.9 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.05
Seattle allows 3.9 yards per play over six games, which means offenses barely move against it. Denver allows 5.05. The sheet doesn't list opponents, but six games of that is a strong sign the Seahawks' defense is good. Denver's offense will have a hard time sustaining drives, and the game may lean toward lower scoring from the Broncos' side.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- SITUATIONALLAC @ KC
LAC (0-5) at KC (4-0), a division game
Kansas City is 4-0 and 2-0 at home with a +41 differential, while the Chargers are 0-5 at -45 and 0-2 on the road. Every split on the sheet points the same way. A five-game losing streak backed by a negative differential is a team playing poorly, not unlucky. Division familiarity is the main thing that can keep a spot this lopsided closer than the numbers say.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- MISMATCHHOU @ JAX
JAX: 14 points allowed a game to HOU's 22.4
Jacksonville has allowed 14 points a game over 5 games, down from 19.8 last season, while Houston has slipped from 17.4 to 22.4. Five games is enough to notice and short enough to doubt, so expect both to move a bit toward last season's numbers. At home, the Jaguars' defense is the stronger unit, and Houston's offense needs to show it can score against it.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- REPLACEMENTNO @ NYG
Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is questionable for NYG
Edmunds hurt his shoulder on the Saints' final offensive play of Sunday's game, reported Oct 18. He is questionable, so his status is unsettled. If he cannot go, the Giants lean on backup linebackers, which matters most for run defense and covering backs and tight ends.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ JAX
JAX: 14 points allowed per game to HOU's 22.4
Jacksonville's defense is giving up 14 points a game through five games, while Houston's has allowed 22.4. Both numbers are a swing from last season, when Houston allowed 17.4 and Jacksonville 19.8, so the Jaguars have improved and the Texans have slipped. Five games is a small window, and both teams may drift back toward last year's form. For this game, the side with the stingier defense is also the home team, which tilts the low-scoring script toward Jacksonville.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALARI @ LAR
ARI (1-4) at LAR (2-3), a division game
Arizona has dropped four straight and sits at -54, so its 1-4 is earned. The Rams at 2-3 are basically even at -1, which points to a team close to average with a few bad breaks. LA is only 1-2 at home, so home field has not added much. The point differential gap is the clearer signal here than either team's record or venue split.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Dee Winters (LB) is questionable for DAL
Winters (ankle) is questionable to return to Sunday night's contest against Green Bay, Nick Harris of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram reports. Reported Oct 19.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PASS RUSHHOU @ JAX
HOU: 3.6 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.2
Houston gets 3.6 sacks a game and Jacksonville 2.2, over five games each. Both rushes get home, Houston's more often. Sack totals depend on the line and quarterback across the way, which the sheet doesn't cover. Jacksonville's quarterback is the one likelier to face steady pressure, which can stall drives.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- COOLING OFFTB @ CLE
Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in L15, draws LHP Parker Messick
Diaz has a .450 OPS over the last 15 days, well under his .805 for the season, and that slump covers just 40 at-bats. Hitters with a full-season line like his usually drift back toward it. Lefties are his weaker side at .780 over 178 at-bats, which is still a solid number. Against Messick, lean on the season and split numbers over the cold stretch when you look at his props.
P 3-for-5, 4 TB
- PACE & SCRIPTARI @ LAR
LAR: 24 points allowed per game to ARI's 32.4
ARI is at 32.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; LAR is at 24 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season ARI was at 28.7 over 17 games and LAR at 20.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- SITUATIONALTEN @ IND
TEN (0-5) at IND (2-3), a division game
Tennessee is 0-5 with a -51 point differential, so the losing streak reflects how lopsided the games have been. Indianapolis at 2-3 and -14 is a modest team, 1-1 at home. Both point differentials back up the records, so neither looks out of place. The useful frame is one struggling team at home against a winless one that has been beaten soundly, in a division game where familiarity can tighten things.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PASS RUSHWSH @ SF
SF: 0.6 sacks taken per game to WSH's 2
WSH is at 2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; SF is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 2.31 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALHOU @ JAX
HOU (1-4) at JAX (4-1), a division game
Jacksonville has won three in a row and is 3-0 at home, so it comes into this one with real form behind it. Houston's 1-4 record looks worse than its -2 point differential, which says the Texans have lost close games rather than been run over. That kind of gap usually narrows over time. For a division game, weigh Houston as a tighter opponent than the record suggests, against a Jaguars team that has protected its building.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALBAL @ CLE
BAL (4-1) at CLE (3-2), a division game
Baltimore is 3-0 on the road with a +27 point differential and three straight wins. Cleveland's 3-2 record sits on a -19 differential, so the Browns have won more than their scoring suggests, though they are 2-0 at home. A team winning while being outscored tends to regress. This sets up as a road favorite with momentum against a home team whose record flatters it.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- COVERAGESEA @ DEN
SEA: 141.3 passing yards allowed per game to DEN's 208.5
Seattle allows 141.3 passing yards a game over six games, Denver 208.5. The sheet doesn't show whether opponents chose to run on Seattle or trailed and threw, so script may play a part. Denver's passing game has a hard matchup here.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- BULLPENTB @ CLE
Cleveland Guardians pen: 15 relief IP across 3 games
Slade Cecconi worked 2 games (38 pitches); Cade Smith worked 1 game (18 pitches; 1.95 season ERA over 74 IP). The pen allowed 6 ER in that 15-IP span (Oct 13–Oct 17).
- PASS RUSHLAC @ KC
KC: 9.5 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 22.8
LAC is at 22.8 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; KC is at 9.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- TRENCHESBAL @ CLE
BAL: 5.02 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 3.68
BAL is at 5.02 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; CLE is at 3.68 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 5.28 over 17 games and CLE at 3.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PASS RUSHSEA @ DEN
DEN: 1.33 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.67
Seattle's quarterback is going down 2.67 times a game through six games, double Denver's 1.33. Seattle was at 2.08 last season, so protection has gotten worse, while Denver has improved from 1.77. Six games is a modest sample, but both moves point the same way. With the game in Denver, Seattle's line is the unit to watch, and drive-killing sacks lean toward a slower Seattle offense.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- SITUATIONALNO @ NYG
NO: 2.4 fourth-down attempts per game to NYG's 0.8
New Orleans is going for it on fourth down 2.4 times a game, and the Giants just 0.8, over five games each. The Saints are close to last season's 2, while the Giants have dropped sharply from 2.29, so New York's caution is the newer trend. Fourth-down calls depend on game script, and five games can swing on a few situations. Expect the Saints to extend more drives, which adds variance to their scoring and to live totals.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Jalen Ramsey
Wrist · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Blake Gillikin
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Kam Curl
Ankle · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Omar Cooper Jr.
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI
Conner is on injured reserve with a foot injury and is close to practicing, but Arizona is not expected to open his 21-day return window this week, reported Oct 13. That rules him out against the Rams. The Cardinals backfield stays with the backs who have been carrying it, so do not expect him this week.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
TreVeyon Henderson
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Abdul Carter
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Chris Olave
Illness · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Drew Kendall
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Trevor Etienne
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Rico Dowdle
Toe · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Keeanu Benton
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Pat Freiermuth
Calf · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Tershawn Wharton
Neck · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PACE & SCRIPTWSH @ SF
SF: 30.8 points per game to WSH's 23
WSH is at 23 points per game over 5 games; SF is at 30.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 20.9 over 17 games and SF at 25.7 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTARI @ LAR
ARI @ LAR carries a 51.5 market total
This total sits comfortably above the slate's middle, so the market expects a game with more possessions ending in points than usual. It needs both offenses to produce for the number to land. If one side controls the ball and shortens the game, scoring can fall short of a price set this high.
- PACE & SCRIPTWSH @ SF
WSH @ SF carries a 51.5 market total
The market expects points here, with the total well above what a typical game on this slate carries. That price leans on both teams scoring, so a one-sided game where the trailing offense stalls is the clearest path under. Bettors can think about whether each side has a realistic way to keep pace.
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Jaelan Phillips
Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Sean Tucker
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Zaven Collins
Hip · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Kenyon Sadiq
Concussion · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Trent McDuffie
Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Josiah Trotter
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
SirVocea Dennis
Ankle, Foot · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Jamel Dean
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Kitan Crawford
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Jamaree Caldwell
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
L'Jarius Sneed
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Christian Elliss
Chest · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Aaron Banks
Knee, Toe · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- QUARTERBACKCHI @ ATL
Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI
Through 2 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 407 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Caleb Williams is also listed q for this matchup.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PASS RUSHSEA @ DEN
DEN: 6.8 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 19.8
SEA is at 19.8 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; DEN is at 6.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 14.3 over 17 games and DEN at 9.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Joshua Williams
Pectoral · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Carson Schwesinger
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Derek Barnett
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Andrew Vorhees
Foot · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Emery Jones Jr.
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Ja'Kobi Lane
Wrist · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Budda Baker
Not injury related - resting player, Groin · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Brenen Thompson
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Dalvin Tomlinson
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Daiyan Henley
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Bud Dupree
Neck, Not injury related - resting player · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
DJ Moore
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Mason Graham
Knee, Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
A.J. Brown
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Dane Belton
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Nathan Shepherd
Illness · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Tyler Warren
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- MISMATCHPIT @ TB
PIT: 223.4 pass yards a game to TB's 173.4
Pittsburgh is throwing for 223.4 yards a game over 5 games, up from 202.4 last season, while Tampa Bay has fallen to 173.4 from 205.9. Tampa Bay's drop is the sharper change, and a 5-game slump is more likely to recover than last. At Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh has the passing edge, but a Buccaneers air game closer to last season would shrink it fast.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Alvin Kamara
Back · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Taylor Moton
Lung · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Damien Lewis
Elbow · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Tyjae Spears
Knee · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Craig Woodson
Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Channing Canada
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Andrew Thomas
Groin · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Lorenzo Styles Jr.
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Ayden Garnes
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Brandon Cisse
Hip · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Savion Williams
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Ameer Speed
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Jacob Monk
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Joshua Palmer
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Ed Oliver
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
T.J. Sanders
Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Trey Zuhn III
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Dee Alford
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Will Campbell
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Riley Moss
Ribs · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Henry To'oTo'o
Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Ja'Marcus Ingram
Elbow · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Jaylon Jones
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Za'Darius Smith
Neck · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Kyler Gordon
Calf · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.
Hip · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Quinshon Judkins
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Jermaine Eluemunor
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- RED ZONETEN @ IND
IND: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TEN's 46.2%
Indianapolis is scoring touchdowns on 66.7% of red-zone trips, right in line with last season's 65.2%, so that looks stable. Tennessee has fallen to 46.2% from 57.6% last season over five games, and red-zone rates swing a lot on a handful of trips. Expect Tennessee to drift back up some. In this game, the Titans settling for field goals is the gap that could decide a spread.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- RED ZONESEA @ DEN
DEN: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%
SEA is at 78.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; DEN is at 52.9% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Christian Kirk
Calf · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Mike Evans
Ribs, Achilles · Did not practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Gracen Halton
Quadricep · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Javon Kinlaw
Ankle, Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Jordan Magee
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Jeremy McNichols
Quadricep · Full practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Tyler Owens
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Lucas Patrick
Illness · Full practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Trey Amos
Ankle · Full practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Upton Stout
Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Percy Butler
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LV
Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV
Dont'e Thornton Jr. stays on injured reserve with a hamstring injury and will not be activated for Sunday's game against Buffalo, reported Oct 16. IR-R means he is eligible to return but the team chose not to bring him back yet, so he is out this week. The Raiders receivers already active keep his targets against the Bills.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF
Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Saturday that the 49ers may activate Kirk (calf) from injured reserve ahead of Monday's game against the Commanders, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 17.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Jeremy McNichols (RB) is ir-r for WSH
McNichols (quadriceps) is questionable for Monday night's game against the 49ers. Reported Oct 18.
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ TB
David Sills V (WR) is ir-r for TB
David Sills V is designated to return from injured reserve and is questionable Sunday against the Steelers with a hamstring injury. Questionable means it is a real game-day call. Even if he plays, a receiver coming off a hamstring may see limited snaps, so keep expectations modest.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ CLE
Dylan Sampson (RB) is ir-r for CLE
Sampson is designated to return from injured reserve, but the Browns will not activate him for the Ravens game, per an Oct 16 report. The knee keeps him out Sunday. Price Cleveland's backfield without him.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ JAX
Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU
Dell is on injured reserve with a knee injury and was ruled out for Sunday's game against Jacksonville in London. The IR-R tag means he is on the return track, but he is not available for this game. Houston's targets go to the receivers who are healthy, so compare how the Texans' passing game has looked with and without him.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- REPLACEMENTSEA @ DEN
Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA
Charbonnet is ruled out for Thursday's game at Denver with a knee injury and sits on the reserve PUP list, so he is not close to returning. Seattle has to lean on its other backs for the carries he would take. Bettors should not count on him for this game and can look at how the remaining Seahawks backs split the work instead.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- STREAKARI @ LAR
ARI has lost 4 straight
Arizona won its opener and has lost four straight since, now 1-4. That's a slide over most of the season so far, though the sheet doesn't show the opponents or the scores. A road trip to the Rams in a division game is a tough place to turn it around, and the market will likely lean the same way, so look at whether the number has gone further than four losses justify.
- STREAKLAC @ KC
KC has won 4 straight
Kansas City is 4-0, unbeaten through four games. Four games is a short run, and without the opponents on the sheet it's hard to tell how tested this team has been. They host a Chargers team that hasn't won, which is the kind of matchup where a hot favorite gets priced heavily, so the margin matters more than who wins.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Siran Neal
Neck · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Stefon Diggs
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Zach Wood
Calf · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Nick Cross
Illness · Full practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Mykel Williams
Knee · Limited practice · Questionable
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Joey Porter Jr.
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Anthony Campbell
Ankle · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
LT Overton
Foot · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
DeMarvion Overshown
Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Caleb Williams
Hamstring · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- SITUATIONALBAL @ CLE
BAL: 229.8 team passing yards per game to CLE's 179.4
BAL is at 229.8 team passing yards per game over 5 games; CLE is at 179.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 175.6 over 17 games and CLE at 165.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- SITUATIONALPIT @ TB
PIT: 223.4 team passing yards per game to TB's 173.4
Pittsburgh is throwing for 223.4 yards a game, up from 202.4 last season, while Tampa Bay has dropped to 173.4 from 205.9. Five games is a short window, and Tampa's dip looks out of line with its own history. The Bucs lean on the run this year, so this game likely sets up as Pittsburgh's passing against Tampa's ground game.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PLATOON EDGETB @ CLE
Travis Bazzana (bats L) hits 6th against Drew Rasmussen (RHP)
Bazzana has an .846 mark against right-handers and is well below average against lefties. Both samples have some size, 303 at-bats against righties and 146 against lefties, so the gap looks real and should hold. With Rasmussen on the mound, the 6th spot gets his good side early. A lefty out of the Tampa Bay pen later would take that edge away, so his best at-bats come against the starter.
P 0-for-4, 0 TB
- COVERAGECHI @ ATL
ATL: 5.02 yards per play allowed to CHI's 6
Atlanta allows 5.02 yards per play and Chicago allows 6, over five games each. The Falcons are tougher to move on, and Chicago gives up more on a typical snap. The sheet doesn't say who either has faced. Atlanta's offense has the friendlier matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- RED ZONEHOU @ JAX
JAX: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to HOU's 58.3%
Jacksonville allows a score on 33.3% of red-zone trips, Houston 58.3%, over five games each. Red-zone rates rest on few trips and swing quickly, so the Jaguars' figure likely rises. Houston drives that reach the red zone have been stalling more often against Jacksonville-style resistance than the Texans' defense manages.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PASS RUSHNYJ @ NE
NYJ: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2.2
The Jets' pass rush is getting home more than three times a game across 5 games, while New England's defense sits at 2.2. The sheet doesn't say who either team has faced, so some of that gap could come from the quarterbacks and lines they've seen. Five games is a real but early sample. If the Patriots' protection is shaky, the Jets' rush is the edge to watch in drive-killing spots and quarterback props.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- TRENCHESSEA @ DEN
SEA: 96 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 139.8
SEA is at 96 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; DEN is at 139.8 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- SITUATIONALCHI @ ATL
CHI: 41.8 penalty yards per game to ATL's 71
Chicago is drawing just 41.8 penalty yards a game, down from 57.1 last season, while Atlanta has jumped to 71 from 48.2. Penalty numbers are noisy over five games and tend to regress, so both teams should move back toward last year. For now, Atlanta's flags hand Chicago free yards and extended drives, which matters most in a close game.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PACE & SCRIPTNO @ NYG
NYG: 34:02 time of possession per game to NO's 29:17
The Giants hold the ball 34:02 a game, way up from 30:58 last season, while the Saints sit at 29:17, close to last year's 28:36. Five games is a short run and the Giants' jump is the number most likely to slip. A Giants team that grinds clock shortens the game, which caps possessions for both sides and favors lower totals.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- SITUATIONALDAL @ GB
DAL: 23.2 first downs per game to GB's 17.2
Dallas moves the chains 23.2 times a game, almost identical to last season's 23.1, so that looks like who the Cowboys are. Green Bay has dropped to 17.2 from 19.6 over five games, which leaves room for a rebound. At Lambeau, Dallas likely controls the play count, and the Packers need bigger chunk plays to keep pace.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- TEAM RECORDTEN @ IND
AFC SOUTH game: TEN 0-1, IND 1-0 in the division
Each team has played one AFC South game: Indianapolis won theirs, Tennessee lost theirs. One division game apiece says very little on its own. The broader season form matters more than this split for this matchup.
- TEAM RECORDARI @ LAR
NFC WEST game: ARI 0-2, LAR 0-1 in the division
Arizona has lost both of its NFC West games, and the Rams lost their only one. Two games and one game are tiny samples, so this split says almost nothing about how this matchup plays out. Lean on the overall form and the matchup more than the division record.
- PASS RUSHLAC @ KC
LAC: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1
The Chargers are getting 2.2 sacks a game over 5 games, and Kansas City's defense has 1 per game over 4. One fewer game for KC makes their number a little shakier. Without opponent detail, it's unclear how much of that comes from talent versus who they've played. The Chargers rushing the passer at Arrowhead is the matchup to weigh when thinking about how drives stall.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ KC
Trey Lance (QB) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers put backup quarterback Trey Lance on injured reserve with a groin injury, reported Oct 11. IR keeps him out of Sunday's game at Kansas City. As a backup, his absence changes little unless the starter goes down, in which case the Chargers have one fewer fallback option.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PASS RUSHBAL @ CLE
CLE: 3.2 sacks recorded per game to BAL's 2
Cleveland gets 3.2 sacks a game and Baltimore 2, over five games each. The Browns' rush gets home more often. Sacks depend on the protection a team faces, which the sheet doesn't cover. Baltimore's quarterback is the one likelier to be pressured in this game.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- TEAM RECORDLAC @ KC
AFC WEST game: LAC 0-2, KC 2-0 in the division
Kansas City is 2-0 inside the AFC West and the Chargers are 0-2. Two games each is a small sample, but it lines up with the bigger picture: Kansas City unbeaten, the Chargers winless. The division record adds a little weight to what the overall form already says, and the price will likely reflect both.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSSEA @ DEN
SEA: 5.3 yards per play to DEN's 4.33
Seattle gains 5.3 yards a play to Denver's 4.33 over six games, though both teams are down from last season, Seattle from 5.98 and Denver from 5.32. Denver's slide is steeper and looks more likely to recover some. With Seattle also taking more sacks this year, the Seahawks' efficiency edge runs into a pass-protection problem in Denver.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSNYJ @ NE
NE: 5.84 yards per play to NYJ's 4.88
New England gains 5.84 yards a play to the Jets' 4.88 over five games. The Patriots are a bit below last season's 6.23 and the Jets are up from 4.36, so the gap has narrowed. New England's last game had 7 plays of 20-plus yards, with Drake Maye hitting Kyle Williams for 49 and 34, against 3 for the Jets. The Patriots win with explosive throws, so this matchup hinges on whether the Jets can keep Maye's deep shots in front of them.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- SITUATIONALNYJ @ NE
NYJ (2-3) at NE (3-2), a division game
New England has won two straight and is 2-0 at home with a +16 differential. The Jets at 2-3 and -3 are closer to average than their record implies, and they are 1-2 on the road. The Patriots' home split and positive differential give them the firmer case. Expect a division game between a mid-pack visitor and a home team that has done its job at home so far.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- HEAT CHECKTB @ CLE
Brayan Rocchio: 1.068 OPS in Last 15 Days
Rocchio has a 1.068 OPS over the last 15 days, 0.363 above his .705 season mark, so he has hit like a slugger lately. That run covers only 34 at-bats, where a few extra-base hits swing the number hard. The .705 is closer to who he is, so expect him to cool. With his total-bases line at 0.5, he needs a single hit, and the season line matters more than the hot streak when you weigh that.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB
- PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ PHI
CAR @ PHI carries a 38.5 market total
This is one of the lowest totals on the slate, well below the typical game this week. The market expects scoring to come slowly, with short fields and turnovers more likely to decide it than long touchdown drives. A couple of quick scores or a defensive touchdown would break that script fast, which is the risk any under bet carries at a number this low.
- PACE & SCRIPTPIT @ TB
PIT @ TB carries a 38.5 market total
The market expects a low-scoring game, with this total sitting among the lowest on the board and well under the middle of the slate. That assumes defenses control drives and points come in small chunks. For the over to have life, explosive plays or turnovers in plus territory have to show up, so early chunk plays are the signal that this expectation is cracking.
- PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ GB
DAL: 27.6 points per game to GB's 20.8
DAL is at 27.6 points per game over 5 games; GB is at 20.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- RED ZONEBAL @ CLE
BAL: 3.8 red-zone trips per game to CLE's 2.2
BAL is at 3.8 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; CLE is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and CLE at 2.24 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- RED ZONECAR @ PHI
PHI: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 72.7%
CAR is at 72.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; PHI is at 50% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- TURNOVERSLAC @ KC
KC: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.4
LAC is at 1.4 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; KC is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season LAC was at 0.82 over 17 games and KC at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- TURNOVERSBAL @ CLE
BAL: 0.6 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.4
BAL is at 0.6 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; CLE is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 1.35 over 17 games and CLE at 1.47 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- TRENCHESDAL @ GB
GB: 127.6 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 168.4
DAL is at 168.4 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 127.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- COVERAGETEN @ IND
TEN: 5.22 yards per play allowed to IND's 6.14
Tennessee allows 5.22 yards every snap through 5 games, a stingier rate than Indianapolis at 6.14. Indy giving up over six a play is a lot of easy yardage, and five games is enough to take it seriously, though the sheet doesn't show who they faced. In this game, the Colts defense looks like the softer unit, which matters for how efficiently Tennessee can move the ball.
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- TRENCHESHOU @ JAX
JAX: 114.2 rushing yards per game to HOU's 79
Jacksonville runs for 114.2 yards a game, matching last season's 115.1, while Houston has fallen to 79 from 108.9 over five games. The Jaguars' number looks steady and the Texans' drop is the one likely to move back up. Houston is throwing more this year, so expect the Texans to lean on the pass while Jacksonville runs to set up its offense.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- RED ZONECHI @ ATL
CHI: 4.2 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 2.6
CHI is at 4.2 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; ATL is at 2.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 3.24 over 17 games and ATL at 2.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ ATL
CHI: 73.2 offensive plays per game to ATL's 62
CHI is at 73.2 offensive plays per game over 5 games; ATL is at 62 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and ATL at 61.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- SITUATIONALBAL @ CLE
BAL: 21.6 first downs per game to CLE's 16.2
BAL is at 21.6 first downs per game over 5 games; CLE is at 16.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 18.5 over 17 games and CLE at 15.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PACE & SCRIPTLAC @ KC
KC: 19.3 points allowed per game to LAC's 25.8
LAC is at 25.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; KC is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and KC at 19.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Eli Stowers (TE) is ir-r for PHI
Eli Stowers was downgraded to out with a quadriceps injury for Sunday against Carolina. Grant Calcaterra is out as well, so the Eagles are down two tight ends. Whoever is left on the depth chart should see most of the snaps, though the target share is hard to bank on.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Grant Calcaterra (TE) is ir-r for PHI
The Eagles downgraded tight end Grant Calcaterra to out Saturday with a back injury, ahead of Sunday's game against Carolina. Eli Stowers is also out, so Philadelphia is very thin at the position. With Jalen Hurts on injured reserve too, this offense is missing several pieces against the Panthers.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LV
Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV
Las Vegas tight end Carter Runyon, on injured reserve with a lower body injury, is ruled out for Sunday against Buffalo, per the Oct 17 report. IR-R means he is eligible to come back but will not this week. The other Raiders tight ends keep handling the blocking and short targets he would have shared.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- COVERAGEWSH @ SF
SF: 199.6 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 255
WSH is at 255 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; SF is at 199.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
- UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF
Next college slate · OCT 23
BDL lists 13 covered college games on the next college slate. All 13 kickoff times are confirmed.
- SITUATIONALPIT @ TB
PIT: 60% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 28.6%
Pittsburgh converts 60% of fourth downs to Tampa Bay's 28.6% over five games. Both teams were closer last season, 52.2% and 44.8%, and fourth-down rates swing on a few attempts. Tampa should bounce back some. For a bettor, it means Pittsburgh drives that stall near midfield have extended into points more often than Tampa's.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- SITUATIONALHOU @ JAX
HOU: 261.8 team passing yards per game to JAX's 220.6
HOU is at 261.8 team passing yards per game over 5 games; JAX is at 220.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season HOU was at 218.1 over 17 games and JAX at 222.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LV
BUF: 8.2 yards per pass attempt to LV's 6.7
BUF is at 8.2 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; LV is at 6.7 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LV at 4.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LV
BUF: 50% third-down conversion rate to LV's 39.4%
BUF is at 50% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; LV is at 39.4% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LV at 33.8% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- COVERAGEWSH @ SF
SF: 4.7 yards per play allowed to WSH's 5.54
WSH is at 5.54 yards per play allowed over 5 games; SF is at 4.7 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
- TRENCHESCAR @ PHI
PHI: 118 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 156.5
Philadelphia allows 118 rushing yards a game over 5 games, and Carolina gives up 156.5 over 4. Run defense numbers can be inflated by losing scripts where opponents grind the clock, and Carolina has one fewer game in the sample. If Philly leads, Carolina's soft run defense could let the Eagles lean on the ground late, which shapes rushing props and the clock.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- STREAKNO @ NYG
NO has lost 3 straight
New Orleans has lost three in a row and is 1-4. The sheet doesn't say who those losses came against or how close they were. Going on the road to the Giants, the question is whether the market has marked them down past what three losses actually show.
- STREAKBAL @ CLE
BAL has won 3 straight
Baltimore has won three straight and is 4-1. Without the opponents on the sheet, it's hard to know how much those wins should count. On the road at Cleveland in a division game, the form favors Baltimore, but a three-game run is a small window, so weigh it alongside the price rather than over it.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- RED ZONECAR @ PHI
CAR: 4.25 red-zone trips per game to PHI's 2.8
CAR is at 4.25 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; PHI is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 2.65 over 17 games and PHI at 2.59 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- RED ZONENO @ NYG
NO: 81.3% red-zone scoring rate to NYG's 64.3%
NO is at 81.3% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NYG is at 64.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NO was at 44.4% over 17 games and NYG at 47.5% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- STREAKCAR @ PHI
PHI has lost 3 straight
Philadelphia has dropped three straight to fall to 2-3. Three games is a short run, and the sheet doesn't show the opponents or margins, so a cold stretch and a real decline look the same from here. Back at home against Carolina, a losing streak can soften the price on a team whose overall record is still close to even.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LV
BUF: 32.8 points per game to LV's 26.4
BUF is at 32.8 points per game over 5 games; LV is at 26.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 28.3 over 17 games and LV at 14.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- STREAKHOU @ JAX
JAX has won 3 straight
Jacksonville has won three in a row and sits at 4-1. The sheet doesn't list who those wins came against, so the quality of the run is unclear. At home against Houston in a division game, the form points their way, but three games is a short streak and division games often run tighter than the records suggest.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALNO @ NYG
NO: 240.2 team passing yards per game to NYG's 199.2
NO is at 240.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; NYG is at 199.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NO was at 219.3 over 17 games and NYG at 204.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ IND
Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND
Alec Pierce is on injured reserve with a left ankle and heel injury, and he was seen without a cast Wednesday. That is a step toward recovery, though he remains out against Tennessee. Colts receivers already active keep his targets for now.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR
Brooks is on IR with a core injury, and he was seen jogging at practice Thursday, reported Oct 15. Jogging is an early step in a return, and he stays out of this game at Philadelphia while on IR. Watch for a move off the list in coming weeks rather than a role this Sunday.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI
The Eagles put Shipley on IR Friday with a foot injury, reported Oct 16, so he misses this game against Carolina. IR means at least several weeks out. The facts here do not name who absorbs his work in the backfield.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ TB
Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT
Pittsburgh put Wilson on IR Saturday with a finger injury, reported Oct 17, so he is out at Tampa Bay. IR means he cannot play until he becomes eligible to return. The facts here do not name who takes his targets.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Tyler Owens (S) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Tyler Owens as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Calais Campbell
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
DeForest Buckner
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Cory Durden
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
DK Metcalf
Did not practice
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Kaelon Black
Did not practice
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Percy Butler (S) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Percy Butler as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Javon Kinlaw (DT) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Javon Kinlaw as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 16.
- REPLACEMENTNO @ NYG
Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG
Berrios had surgery Friday to repair a Lisfranc injury in his foot, reported Oct 14, so he is out for this game against New Orleans and well beyond it. Lisfranc repairs are serious foot surgeries, and IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not say who takes his snaps, so look at the Giants' other receivers before assuming anything about the passing game.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
Alaric Jackson (OT) is reserve-sus for LAR
Jackson, a Rams offensive tackle, had his suspension for unsportsmanlike conduct in the Bills game cut to one game, reported Oct 15. He misses this one against Arizona and should be back after. For this game, the Rams line plays with a fill-in at tackle.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI
Bennett is on the designated-to-return list with a knee injury but will not be activated this weekend and is ruled out for Week 6 against Carolina, reported Oct 18. The return tag means he is working back, and he is not ready yet. Philadelphia's corner rotation for Sunday stays the same as it was without him.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Nick Cross (S) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Nick Cross as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 17.
- PASS RUSHARI @ LAR
LAR: 1.4 sacks taken per game to ARI's 2.4
ARI is at 2.4 sacks taken per game over 5 games; LAR is at 1.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season ARI was at 3.69 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF
Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday that Robinson (ankle) has an "outside chance" to return from injured reserve for the 49ers' Week 7 game versus the Falcons but is more likely to be activated following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 15.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Gracen Halton (DT) is questionable for SF
SF lists Gracen Halton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 15.
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Ronnie Stanley
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Siran Neal (S) is questionable for SF
SF lists Siran Neal as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 15.
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB
The Packers aren't planning on opening Parsons' (knee) 21-day practice window this week ahead of Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 12.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Moore (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- SITUATIONALCAR @ PHI
CAR (2-2) at PHI (2-3)
Carolina is 2-2 and has outscored teams by 12, while Philadelphia is 2-3, has been outscored by 20 and has lost 3 straight. Both teams are 1-1 in their home or road games, so the location splits add little over a sample that small. Philadelphia's slide looks real in the point margin as well as the record. If a price leans on the Eagles' name over these numbers, Carolina's better margin is the one to weigh.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTSEA @ DEN
Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA
Price is on injured reserve, so he will not play at Denver. Macdonald said he should be back sooner rather than later after the Week 7 game, which points to a return a little after that. For now, Seattle's backfield runs without him, so plan around his return later and not this week.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ ATL
Montez Sweat (DE) is reserve-sus for CHI
Montez Sweat is suspended two games without pay for violating the league's performance-enhancing substances policy, announced Oct 13. He misses the Falcons game, and the Bears lose an edge rusher for this stretch. A lighter pass rush gives Atlanta's quarterback more time, which helps when weighing Falcons passing props.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ CLE
Raheim Sanders (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE
The Browns put Sanders on injured reserve Tuesday, Oct 13, with a hip injury. That rules him out for the Ravens game and at least the next few weeks. With Sampson also staying on injured reserve, Cleveland is down two running backs this week, so expect a thinner rotation in the backfield.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ NE
Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE
The Patriots opened Marcus Bryant's 21-day practice window Wednesday as he works back from an ankle injury. That means he can practice now, with a return possible inside that window. He is unlikely to change the Jets matchup unless New England activates him this week.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PASS RUSHPIT @ TB
PIT: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to TB's 1.2
Pittsburgh is getting 2.2 sacks a game over 5 games, and Tampa Bay sits at 1.2. That's a meaningful gap in how often each defense finishes on the quarterback, though opponent detail isn't on the sheet. If Pittsburgh's rush keeps winning, it can stall Tampa drives on passing downs, which is the spot to think about for the Bucs offense.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Tyler Higbee
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PASS RUSHNYJ @ NE
NE: 2.2 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3.2
NYJ is at 3.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; NE is at 2.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and NE at 3 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- SITUATIONALCHI @ ATL
CHI (3-2) at ATL (2-3)
Chicago at +23 is better than its 3-2 record, and Atlanta's -3 says the Falcons are close to average. Atlanta is 0-2 at home, a two-game sample too small to call a trend. Both teams lost last time out, so neither brings momentum. The differential is the steadier number, which leans toward Chicago being the stronger side regardless of venue.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- RED ZONEBUF @ LV
BUF: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to LV's 55.6%
BUF is at 71.4% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; LV is at 55.6% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LV at 50% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- SITUATIONALSEA @ DEN
SEA: 6.47 yards per pass attempt to DEN's 5.08
SEA is at 6.47 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; DEN is at 5.08 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 8.01 over 17 games and DEN at 5.99 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- MISMATCHCHI @ ATL
CHI: 19.2 points allowed a game to ATL's 24.4
Chicago's defense has allowed 19.2 points a game over 5 games, down from 24.4 last season. Atlanta is at 24.4 this season, close to its 23.6 from last year, so the Falcons are who they were. The question is Chicago: 5 games of improvement is promising, and it holds up only if the Bears keep defending at this level on the road. At Atlanta, the Bears' defense has the edge on paper.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ IND
IND: 64.4 offensive plays per game to TEN's 54.6
TEN is at 54.6 offensive plays per game over 5 games; IND is at 64.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and IND at 59.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Byron Young
Did not practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- SITUATIONALWSH @ SF
WSH (1-3-1) at SF (5-0)
WSH is 1-3-1, -34 points on the year this season. SF is 5-0, +61 points on the year, has won 5 straight this season. WSH is 0-2 on the road; SF is 3-0 at home.
- PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ CLE
BAL @ CLE carries a 39.5 market total
This total is below most of the slate, so the market expects a tight game where possessions end in punts more often than touchdowns. Points likely arrive through field goals and field position. A fast start from either offense would push this off its expected script, and bettors can use the opening drives as a read on which way the game is tilting.
- SITUATIONALSEA @ DEN
SEA (3-3) at DEN (4-2)
SEA is 3-3, +26 points on the year, has lost 2 straight this season. DEN is 4-2, -11 points on the year, has won 2 straight this season. SEA is 1-2 on the road; DEN is 3-0 at home.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- SITUATIONALNO @ NYG
NO (1-4) at NYG (3-1-1)
The Giants are 3-1-1 and 3-0 at home, but a +3 differential says they have won tight games rather than dominated. New Orleans has lost three straight at -33, and it is 1-1 on the road. A record propped up by close results is the kind most likely to slip. Respect the Giants at home, but their margin for error is thinner than 3-1-1 suggests.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ KC
Tyquan Thornton (WR) is on injured reserve for KC
Kansas City placed receiver Tyquan Thornton on injured reserve with an ankle injury, reported Oct 13. IR keeps him out for Sunday against the Chargers. His snaps go to the rest of the Chiefs receivers, so check who moves up the depth chart before looking at Kansas City receiving props.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- COVERAGEARI @ LAR
LAR: 32.8% third downs allowed to ARI's 42.1%
The Rams allow conversions on 32.8% of third downs through 5 games, while Arizona is at 42.1%. Third-down rates can be noisy since they hinge on a few plays per game. Arizona letting opponents extend drives that often is a concern for them, and the Rams' stinginess means the Cardinals offense likely needs to stay ahead of the chains.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PACE & SCRIPTTEN @ IND
TEN: 21.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.6
TEN is at 21.8 points allowed per game over 5 games; IND is at 27.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season TEN was at 28.1 over 17 games and IND at 24.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PACE & SCRIPTSEA @ DEN
SEA: 24.7 points per game to DEN's 19
SEA is at 24.7 points per game over 6 games; DEN is at 19 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 28.4 over 17 games and DEN at 23.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- COVERAGENYJ @ NE
NYJ: 4.5 yards per play allowed to NE's 5.26
The Jets allow 4.5 yards per snap through 5 games, ahead of New England at 5.26. Per-play numbers hold up better than totals because they ignore pace and game flow. The sheet doesn't show who either team faced, so schedule could be shading both. On the road, the Jets defense looks like the unit better equipped to keep this game low on efficiency.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Jordon Riley (DT) is pup-r for GB
Riley (Achilles) had his 21-day practice window opened by the Packers on Wednesday, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 15.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- TRENCHESBUF @ LV
BUF: 108.2 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 140.6
Buffalo holds opponents to 108.2 rushing yards a game through 5 games, while Las Vegas allows 140.6. Run totals depend on script, and teams playing from behind usually face fewer carries. The Raiders' run defense has been the softer one, so Buffalo's ground game sets up as a way to control this one.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- COVERAGEBUF @ LV
LV: 236.4 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 280.4
Las Vegas allows 236.4 passing yards a game over 5 games, and Buffalo gives up 280.4. Passing totals swing with game script, since trailing teams throw more, and the sheet doesn't show opponents. Buffalo's number suggests the Raiders can find yards through the air if they fall behind, which is the angle for Vegas passing props.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- COVERAGEDAL @ GB
GB: 181 passing yards allowed per game to DAL's 227
DAL is at 227 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 181 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Jordan Magee (LB) is ir-r for WSH
Magee (hamstring) was designated to return from injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 15.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Lucas Patrick (G) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Lucas Patrick as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 16.
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Dre Greenlaw (LB) is reserve-sus for SF
Greenlaw's appeal of a one-game suspension was denied by the NFL on Tuesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 14.
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ TB
DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT
Elliott is on the designated-to-return list with a knee injury and is ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, reported Oct 17. The return tag means he is working back, and this week is too soon. Pittsburgh's safety group stays as it was without him for this game.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ PHI
CAR: 67 offensive plays per game to PHI's 57.8
CAR is at 67 offensive plays per game over 4 games; PHI is at 57.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 59.5 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ CLE
Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE
Davis is designated to return from injured reserve, but the quadriceps injury has him ruled out for the Ravens game as of Oct 17. Cleveland's defensive tackle group plays without him again Sunday, which is worth keeping in mind if you're thinking about Baltimore's ground game.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LV
BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LV's 50%
BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; LV is at 50% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LV at 40.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- TURNOVERSSEA @ DEN
DEN: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.17
SEA is at 1.17 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; DEN is at 0.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 0.88 over 17 games and DEN at 0.65 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ ATL
CHI: 19.2 points allowed per game to ATL's 24.4
CHI is at 19.2 points allowed per game over 5 games; ATL is at 24.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and ATL at 23.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- TURNOVERSCHI @ ATL
ATL: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to CHI's 1
CHI is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; ATL is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 0.24 over 17 games and ATL at 0.59 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- TURNOVERSBAL @ CLE
BAL: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 1
BAL is at 0.4 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; CLE is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 0.71 over 17 games and CLE at 0.41 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- TURNOVERSPIT @ TB
PIT: 1.2 turnovers committed per game to TB's 1.8
PIT is at 1.2 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; TB is at 1.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season PIT was at 0.88 over 17 games and TB at 0.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- SITUATIONALWSH @ SF
WSH: 1.4 fourth-down attempts per game to SF's 0.4
WSH is at 1.4 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; SF is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 1.53 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSWSH @ SF
WSH: 0.4 turnovers committed per game to SF's 1
WSH is at 0.4 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; SF is at 1 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 1.35 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.
- RED ZONEPIT @ TB
TB: 3.4 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 2.2
PIT is at 2.2 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; TB is at 3.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season PIT was at 3 over 17 games and TB at 2.94 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- COVERAGEDAL @ GB
GB: 44.3% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.6%
DAL is at 52.6% third downs allowed over 5 games; GB is at 44.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- TURNOVERSNO @ NYG
NYG: 1.6 takeaways per game to NO's 1
The Giants are forcing 1.6 turnovers a game through 5 games, with New Orleans at 1. Takeaways are notoriously streaky, so this is the kind of number that tends to move toward the middle. It gives the Giants a slight edge in this game, but turnover rates shouldn't carry much weight in how you size this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- TRENCHESPIT @ TB
TB: 72.8 rushing yards allowed per game to PIT's 103.4
Tampa Bay allows just 72.8 rushing yards a game through 5 games, and Pittsburgh gives up 103.4. The sheet doesn't show opponents, and teams that build leads see more runs, so script can shape both numbers. Tampa's front makes running a tough path for Pittsburgh, which points toward the Steelers needing to throw to move the ball.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- TRENCHESARI @ LAR
LAR: 116.8 rushing yards per game to ARI's 91.6
ARI is at 91.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; LAR is at 116.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season ARI was at 93.1 over 17 games and LAR at 126.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- TURNOVERSHOU @ JAX
JAX: 1.6 takeaways per game to HOU's 1
Jacksonville is taking the ball away 1.6 times a game over 5 games, and Houston sits at 1 per game. Takeaways swing a lot and are among the least stable defensive stats, so expect both numbers to drift. The edge favors Jacksonville at home, but don't lean on turnover luck carrying over game to game.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ CLE
BAL: 32:03 time of possession per game to CLE's 28:36
BAL is at 32:03 time of possession per game over 5 games; CLE is at 28:36 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 29:11 over 17 games and CLE at 29:18 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- SITUATIONALBAL @ CLE
BAL: 38.5% third-down conversion rate to CLE's 30.6%
BAL is at 38.5% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; CLE is at 30.6% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 40.9% over 17 games and CLE at 33.6% over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- AFTER GARYHOU @ JAX
HOU +128 → +118
Gary's number was 128; the same book now shows 118.
- COVERAGETEN @ IND
IND: 30.5% third downs allowed to TEN's 38.5%
Indianapolis lets opponents move the chains on fewer than a third of their third downs, while Tennessee gives up conversions closer to four in ten. Five games is a real start but not a full picture, and the sheet does not show who each defense faced, so some of that gap could be schedule. If it holds at home, Tennessee's drives are more likely to stall, which matters for how you think about the Titans' scoring in this spot.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Landon Dickerson (G) is ir-r for PHI
Dickerson (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Panthers. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PACE & SCRIPTCAR @ PHI
PHI: 22.4 points allowed per game to CAR's 27.3
CAR is at 27.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; PHI is at 22.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 22.4 over 17 games and PHI at 19.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PACE & SCRIPTDAL @ GB
GB: 22.4 points allowed per game to DAL's 27.2
DAL is at 27.2 points allowed per game over 5 games; GB is at 22.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season DAL was at 30.1 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PASS RUSHNO @ NYG
NYG: 11.8 sack yards lost per game to NO's 19.6
NO is at 19.6 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; NYG is at 11.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NO was at 18.7 over 17 games and NYG at 13.5 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PASS RUSHCAR @ PHI
CAR: 2 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1.2
CAR is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; PHI is at 1.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PASS RUSHDAL @ GB
DAL: 1.2 sacks taken per game to GB's 2
DAL is at 1.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; GB is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season DAL was at 2.38 over 17 games and GB at 2.07 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PASS RUSHHOU @ JAX
JAX: 2 sacks taken per game to HOU's 2.8
HOU is at 2.8 sacks taken per game over 5 games; JAX is at 2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season HOU was at 2.58 over 17 games and JAX at 3.42 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- QUARTERBACKBAL @ CLE
Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL
Through 2 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 264 passing yards, completed 78% of his passes and averaged 6.44 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- QUARTERBACKTEN @ IND
Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND
Through 5 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1021 passing yards, completed 61.4% of his passes and averaged 5.8 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- QUARTERBACKTEN @ IND
Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN
Through 5 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 896 passing yards, completed 63.2% of his passes and averaged 5.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- QUARTERBACKNO @ NYG
Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG
Through 4 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 805 passing yards, completed 57.6% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- QUARTERBACKCAR @ PHI
Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI
In 2025, Tanner McKee threw for 274 passing yards, completed 55.8% of his passes and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt. His 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line puts that prior-season passing production in the context of his ball security over the same sample.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- QUARTERBACKPIT @ TB
Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB
Through 3 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 337 passing yards, completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 6.13 yards per attempt. His 2-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- QUARTERBACKARI @ LAR
Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR
Through 5 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1572 passing yards, completed 64.4% of his passes and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- QUARTERBACKLAC @ KC
Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC
Through 4 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1037 passing yards, completed 64.1% of his passes and averaged 8.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- QUARTERBACKSEA @ DEN
Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN
Through 6 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1049 passing yards, completed 60.3% of his passes and averaged 5.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- QUARTERBACKHOU @ JAX
C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU
Through 5 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1402 passing yards, completed 64.3% of his passes and averaged 7.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- QUARTERBACKHOU @ JAX
Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX
Through 5 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 1174 passing yards, completed 67.1% of his passes and averaged 8.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- QUARTERBACKBAL @ CLE
Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE
Through 5 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1010 passing yards, completed 64.2% of his passes and averaged 6.82 yards per attempt. His 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- QUARTERBACKCHI @ ATL
Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL
Through 3 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 719 passing yards, completed 67.5% of his passes and averaged 9.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- QUARTERBACKNYJ @ NE
Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ
Through 5 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1084 passing yards, completed 69.4% of his passes and averaged 7.37 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- QUARTERBACKNYJ @ NE
Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE
Through 5 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1228 passing yards, completed 65.6% of his passes and averaged 8.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- QUARTERBACKNO @ NYG
Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO
Through 5 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1299 passing yards, completed 66.8% of his passes and averaged 6.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- QUARTERBACKCAR @ PHI
Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR
Through 4 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1268 passing yards, completed 62.3% of his passes and averaged 7.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- QUARTERBACKPIT @ TB
Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT
Through 5 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1234 passing yards, completed 59.8% of his passes and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- QUARTERBACKARI @ LAR
Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI
Through 5 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1110 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 5.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- QUARTERBACKLAC @ KC
Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC
Through 5 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 937 passing yards, completed 59.4% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- QUARTERBACKBUF @ LV
Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF
Through 5 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1249 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 9.05 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- QUARTERBACKBUF @ LV
Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV
Through 5 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1269 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 7.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- QUARTERBACKDAL @ GB
Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL
Through 5 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1381 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- QUARTERBACKWSH @ SF
Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH
Through 3 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 459 passing yards, completed 60.5% of his passes and averaged 6.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
- QUARTERBACKWSH @ SF
Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF
Through 5 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1196 passing yards, completed 69% of his passes and averaged 8.42 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 13-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
- QUARTERBACKDAL @ GB
Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB
Through 5 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1408 passing yards, completed 60.5% of his passes and averaged 7.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- QUARTERBACKSEA @ DEN
Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA
Through 5 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1033 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- RED ZONEBAL @ CLE
CLE: 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 58.8%
BAL is at 58.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; CLE is at 42.9% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- SITUATIONALPIT @ TB
TB has 3 more days of rest
Tampa Bay has three extra days after a bye, against a Pittsburgh team on a normal week that also has to travel. Three days is a modest cushion: enough for some extra treatment and film work, less than a full extra week. It is set by the schedule and won't shift. Weigh it as a small lean toward the home side's freshness rather than a big swing.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- SITUATIONALDAL @ GB
DAL has 3 more days of rest
Dallas comes in with three extra days off a bye, while Green Bay is on its usual seven-day week at home. That gives the Cowboys a little more recovery and prep time to offset playing on the road. The gap is fixed by the calendar. It is a small edge, so it matters most if the matchup is otherwise close.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LV
BUF (4-1) at LV (3-2)
Buffalo is 2-0 on the road with a +23 differential. Las Vegas has dropped two straight and its +3 at 3-2 says the Raiders are about average. A team that has lost two in a row with a thin differential is more likely to slide than climb. Buffalo's road form and scoring margin make it the more reliable side in this spot.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- TRENCHESDAL @ GB
DAL: 3.72 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.92
DAL is at 3.72 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; GB is at 2.92 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season DAL was at 4.59 over 17 games and GB at 4.21 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- REGRESSIONTB @ CLE
Chandler Simpson: .306 AVG vs .261 xBA
Chandler Simpson's hits have been landing better than his contact says they should: the bat-to-ball quality grades out closer to a .261 hitter, and his overall production carries the same gap, .305 wOBA against a .263 expected. Over 612 plate appearances this is a full season of it, so luck alone covers only part of the story, though expected marks this far below results tend to pull the numbers down over time. For TB @ CLE, lean on the .261 and .263 when pricing his hit and on-base props.
P 2-for-3, 3 TB
- TURNOVERSHOU @ JAX
HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to JAX's 0.6
HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; JAX is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and JAX at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALSEA @ DEN
SEA: 20.2 first downs per game to DEN's 16.3
SEA is at 20.2 first downs per game over 6 games; DEN is at 16.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 20 over 17 games and DEN at 19.6 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- TRENCHESHOU @ JAX
JAX: 4.08 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.34
HOU is at 3.34 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; JAX is at 4.08 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and JAX at 3.98 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALCHI @ ATL
CHI: 23.6 first downs per game to ATL's 19.8
CHI is at 23.6 first downs per game over 5 games; ATL is at 19.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and ATL at 19.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- TRENCHESARI @ LAR
LAR: 4.5 yards per rush attempt to ARI's 3.74
ARI is at 3.74 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; LAR is at 4.5 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season ARI was at 4.25 over 17 games and LAR at 4.69 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- AFTER GARYDAL @ GB
DAL -106 → -112
Gary's number was -106; the market closed at -112.
- TRENCHESNYJ @ NE
NE: 90.8 rushing yards allowed per game to NYJ's 118
NYJ is at 118 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NE is at 90.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- SITUATIONALNO @ NYG
NO: 42.8 penalty yards per game to NYG's 60.2
NO is at 42.8 penalty yards per game over 5 games; NYG is at 60.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NO was at 54.1 over 17 games and NYG at 63.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH
The Commanders placed Lane (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.
- TRENCHESLAC @ KC
KC: 92.8 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 118.6
LAC is at 118.6 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; KC is at 92.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Brooks (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTSEA @ DEN
Pat Bryant (WR) is on injured reserve for DEN
Denver moved wide receiver Pat Bryant to injured reserve on Friday, Oct 9, because of an ankle injury. That rules him out against Seattle, and injured reserve keeps him out for several weeks at minimum. The report does not say who picks up his targets, so the bigger question for bettors is how the Broncos spread the ball among their other receivers.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ JAX
Anton Harrison (OT) is on injured reserve for JAX
Harrison is going on injured reserve and will have arthroscopic surgery on his right knee next week, reported Oct 13. The timeline is wide open: 3-to-5 weeks if the surgery is minor, 3-to-4 months if surgeons find more. Either way he misses this Houston game. With a starting tackle out, watch how Jacksonville's line holds up in pass protection, and keep in mind that the sheet names no replacement.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Ikem Ekwonu (OT) is pup-r for CAR
Coach Dave Canales said Monday that Ekwonu (knee) is still a considerable time away from returning to action, Mike Kaye of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PACE & SCRIPTWSH @ SF
WSH: 64 offensive plays per game to SF's 56.8
WSH is at 64 offensive plays per game over 5 games; SF is at 56.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 58.2 over 17 games and SF at 63.6 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ ATL
CHI: 35:12 time of possession per game to ATL's 32:26
CHI is at 35:12 time of possession per game over 5 games; ATL is at 32:26 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 30:59 over 17 games and ATL at 30:00 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Tank Bigsby (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI
The Eagles placed Bigsby (abdomen) on injured reserve Tuesday, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ TB
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT
The Steelers put Pittman on IR with a foot injury, reported Oct 10, so he misses this game at Tampa Bay. With Roman Wilson also landing on IR, the Steelers are thinner at receiver than earlier in the season. The facts here do not name who takes the targets.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Garrett is on injured reserve with a knee injury, and Sean McVay said Tuesday he will not practice this week or play against the Cardinals on Sunday. The Rams lose a premier pass rusher for this game. That gives the Arizona quarterback a cleaner pocket and makes Rams sack totals harder to count on.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Trey Amos (CB) is ir-r for WSH
Amos (ankle) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Giants. Reported Oct 11.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ ATL
Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI
The Bears put Odeyingbo on IR Saturday with a quadriceps injury, reported Oct 17, so he misses this game at Atlanta. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not name who fills his spot on the edge.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- COVERAGEBUF @ LV
BUF: 5.52 yards per play allowed to LV's 6.1
BUF is at 5.52 yards per play allowed over 5 games; LV is at 6.1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- TRENCHESDAL @ GB
DAL: 81.6 rushing yards per game to GB's 60.4
DAL is at 81.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; GB is at 60.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season DAL was at 125.6 over 17 games and GB at 119.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- COVERAGETEN @ IND
TEN: 217.8 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 254
TEN is at 217.8 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; IND is at 254 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ NE
Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE
New England put Hollins on IR with a calf injury, reported Oct 10, so he is out against the Jets. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not say who picks up his receiver snaps.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LV
BUF: 24 first downs per game to LV's 20.6
BUF is at 24 first downs per game over 5 games; LV is at 20.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 22 over 17 games and LV at 15.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- RED ZONENYJ @ NE
NE: 57.1% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 46.2%
NYJ is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NE is at 57.1% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and NE at 57.1% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- COVERAGECHI @ ATL
CHI: 215.4 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 248.4
CHI is at 215.4 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; ATL is at 248.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PASS RUSHWSH @ SF
SF: 2.8 sack yards lost per game to WSH's 9.2
WSH is at 9.2 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; SF is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 12.5 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCHI @ ATL
ATL: 5.84 yards per play to CHI's 5.32
Atlanta gains 5.84 yards a play to Chicago's 5.32 over five games, with the Falcons up from 5.38 last season and the Bears down from 5.71. Atlanta had 6 plays of 20-plus yards in its last game, led by a 38-yard Bijan Robinson run, against 2 for Chicago with Case Keenum at quarterback. The Falcons hit chunk plays on the ground and through the air, while Chicago's offense is grinding with a backup.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- AFTER GARYCAR @ PHI
PHI +3 → +3
Gary's number was 3; the same book now shows 3.
- COVERAGEHOU @ JAX
HOU: 234 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 266.2
HOU is at 234 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; JAX is at 266.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- SITUATIONALCHI @ ATL
CHI: 53.3% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 33.3%
CHI is at 53.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; ATL is at 33.3% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 51.7% over 17 games and ATL at 50% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- COVERAGELAC @ KC
LAC: 193 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 225
The Chargers are allowing 193 passing yards a game over five games, the lowest pass-yardage figure in this matchup, while Kansas City gives up 225 over four. The sheet does not show who either team faced, and the Chiefs' smaller sample adds some noise. A stingy Chargers secondary going into Kansas City is the strength-on-strength piece to weigh when thinking about how this game is likely to be played.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PASS RUSHPIT @ TB
TB: 17 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 23.4
PIT is at 23.4 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; TB is at 17 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and TB at 15.9 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PACE & SCRIPTWSH @ SF
WSH: 31:14 time of possession per game to SF's 28:36
WSH is at 31:14 time of possession per game over 5 games; SF is at 28:36 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 28:41 over 17 games and SF at 30:54 over 17 games.
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Terry McLaurin
Limited practice
- TRENCHESCAR @ PHI
CAR: 4.4 yards per rush attempt to PHI's 3.78
CAR is at 4.4 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; PHI is at 3.78 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 4.16 over 17 games and PHI at 4.14 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- TRENCHESTEN @ IND
IND: 100.8 rushing yards per game to TEN's 82.6
TEN is at 82.6 rushing yards per game over 5 games; IND is at 100.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season TEN was at 93.5 over 17 games and IND at 118.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- TRENCHESNO @ NYG
NYG: 127.6 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 148.8
NO is at 148.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NYG is at 127.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTWSH @ SF
Nick Martin (LB) is on injured reserve for SF
Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Martin's (hamstring) status will be evaluated "in these next couple of days," Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 13.
- REPLACEMENTNO @ NYG
Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO
New Orleans lists Tyson on injured reserve, reported Oct 12, so he is out at the Giants. No injury detail is given here.
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTCAR @ PHI
Cam Jackson (DT) is on injured reserve for CAR
The Panthers placed Jackson (shoulder) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 14.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Javon Hargrave (DT) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Hargrave (Achilles) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Jonathan Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Ford (calf) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- SITUATIONALCHI @ ATL
CHI: 219.2 team passing yards per game to ATL's 195
CHI is at 219.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; ATL is at 195 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CHI was at 225.1 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ KC
Denzel Perryman (LB) is on injured reserve for LAC
Jim Harbaugh said Wednesday that linebacker Denzel Perryman will not come off injured reserve for Sunday at Kansas City, reported Oct 15. The injury is undisclosed, and IR means he does not play. The Chargers linebackers already on the field keep his run-stopping work against the Chiefs.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Keisean Nixon
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Devonte Wyatt
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Terrel Bernard
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Davis Allen
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Carson Beck
Coach's Decision · Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Devin Duvernay
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Morgan Moses
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Jake Matthews
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Treylon Burks
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Jalen Travis
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- AFTER GARYNO @ NYG
NYG -108 → -108
Gary's number was -108; the same book now shows -108.
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Matt Goncalves
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Maliek Collins
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Zay Flowers
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
John Simpson
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Denzel Boston
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Jaylahn Tuimoloau
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- AFTER GARYTEN @ IND
TEN +6.5 → +6.5
Gary's number was 6.5; the same book now shows 6.5.
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Divine Deablo
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Drake London
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- AFTER GARYCHI @ ATL
ATL -102 → -102
Gary's number was -102; the same book now shows -102.
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Jourdan Lewis
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- COVERAGENYJ @ NE
NYJ: 175 passing yards allowed per game to NE's 205.4
NYJ is at 175 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NE is at 205.4 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Logan Hall
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- COVERAGELAC @ KC
LAC: 31.3% third downs allowed to KC's 37%
LAC is at 31.3% third downs allowed over 5 games; KC is at 37% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LV
LV: 65 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59
BUF is at 59 offensive plays per game over 5 games; LV is at 65 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LV at 55.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PACE & SCRIPTSEA @ DEN
SEA: 31:04 time of possession per game to DEN's 28:46
SEA is at 31:04 time of possession per game over 6 games; DEN is at 28:46 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 30:12 over 17 games and DEN at 31:14 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PACE & SCRIPTSEA @ DEN
SEA: 63.2 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57.3
SEA is at 63.2 offensive plays per game over 6 games; DEN is at 57.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season SEA was at 59.7 over 17 games and DEN at 64.2 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PASS RUSHBAL @ CLE
BAL: 16.4 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 22.6
BAL is at 16.4 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; CLE is at 22.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season BAL was at 17.2 over 17 games and CLE at 20.3 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PASS RUSHARI @ LAR
ARI: 2.2 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.6
ARI is at 2.2 sacks recorded per game over 5 games; LAR is at 1.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Drew Lock
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Leonard Williams
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- RED ZONEARI @ LAR
LAR: 64.7% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 76.5%
ARI is at 76.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; LAR is at 64.7% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Emmanuel Pregnon
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Will Anderson Jr.
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Nico Collins
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Nate Boerkircher
Limited practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Dalton Schultz
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- AFTER GARYBAL @ CLE
BAL -3 → -3
Gary's number was -3; the same book now shows -3.
- AFTER GARYARI @ LAR
ARI +12.5 → +12.5
Gary's number was 12.5; the same book now shows 12.5.
- AFTER GARYBUF @ LV
LV +5.5 → +5.5
Gary's number was 5.5; the same book now shows 5.5.
- AFTER GARYLAC @ KC
KC -7.5 → -7.5
Gary's number was -7.5; the same book now shows -7.5.
- AFTER GARYPIT @ TB
TB +116 → +116
Gary's number was 116; the same book now shows 116.
- AFTER GARYNYJ @ NE
NYJ +7.5 → +7.5
Gary's number was 7.5; the same book now shows 7.5.
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Romello Height
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Austin Ekeler
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Fabian Moreau
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Jeremy Reaves
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Rachaad White
Limited practice
- COOLING OFFTB @ CLE
Junior Caminero: .749 OPS in L15, draws LHP Parker Messick
Caminero has a .749 OPS over the last 15 days in 46 at-bats, down from an .885 season mark, which is still a decent stretch. Forty-six at-bats is too few to say anything changed. Tonight he gets lefty Messick, and he has a .916 OPS across 157 at-bats against left-handers. The bigger split sample is the better guide here, and it points to a good matchup for him.
P 1-for-4, 1 TB
- RED ZONEHOU @ JAX
HOU: 3.6 red-zone trips per game to JAX's 2.8
HOU is at 3.6 red-zone trips per game over 5 games; JAX is at 2.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season HOU was at 3.18 over 17 games and JAX at 4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- TURNOVERSPIT @ TB
PIT: 0.4 fumbles lost per game to TB's 0.8
PIT is at 0.4 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; TB is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season PIT was at 0.35 over 17 games and TB at 0.29 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ NE
NE: 22 points per game to NYJ's 18.6
NYJ is at 18.6 points per game over 5 games; NE is at 22 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NYJ was at 17.6 over 17 games and NE at 28.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- TURNOVERSWSH @ SF
WSH: 0.2 fumbles lost per game to SF's 0.6
WSH is at 0.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; SF is at 0.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season WSH was at 0.65 over 17 games and SF at 0.35 over 17 games.
- RED ZONEDAL @ GB
DAL: 70% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 81.3%
DAL is at 70% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; GB is at 81.3% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- COVERAGEHOU @ JAX
HOU: 5.06 yards per play allowed to JAX's 5.52
HOU is at 5.06 yards per play allowed over 5 games; JAX is at 5.52 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- TURNOVERSCHI @ ATL
CHI: 1.2 takeaways per game to ATL's 0.8
CHI is at 1.2 takeaways per game over 5 games; ATL is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- TURNOVERSARI @ LAR
ARI: 1.4 takeaways per game to LAR's 1
ARI is at 1.4 takeaways per game over 5 games; LAR is at 1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- SITUATIONALCAR @ PHI
CAR: 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 22.2%
CAR is at 37.5% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; PHI is at 22.2% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season CAR was at 67.5% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ KC
Alec Ingold (FB) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers put fullback Alec Ingold on injured reserve Thursday with a shoulder injury, reported Oct 15. That rules him out for Sunday at Kansas City. A fullback is mostly a lead blocker, so the effect lands on the Chargers run game in short-yardage spots, with a tight end or extra lineman likely filling those snaps.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Ferguson, a Rams tight end, is on injured reserve with an ankle injury and is expected to be ready after his four-game stint, reported Oct 7. Whether that lines up with the Arizona game depends on when the stint ends, so check his status before betting on any Rams tight end.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- RED ZONENYJ @ NE
NYJ: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NE's 60%
NYJ is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; NE is at 60% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 17.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- HEAT CHECKTB @ CLE
Jonny DeLuca: .857 OPS in Last 15 Days
DeLuca has an .857 OPS over the last 15 days, 0.129 above his .728 season mark, across 42 at-bats. That is a warm stretch, short of proof he has changed as a hitter. His 11 home runs on the season say the power is already part of his game, so this is a modest lift over his normal level. At a 0.5 total-bases line he needs one hit, and both the recent form and the season numbers support that kind of contact.
P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ CLE
Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL
The Ravens put Smythe on injured reserve Wednesday, Oct 7, with an Achilles injury. He is out for the trip to Cleveland. An Achilles injury usually means a long absence, so Baltimore's tight end snaps go to the rest of the room for the foreseeable future.
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PACE & SCRIPTNYJ @ NE
NE: 63.8 offensive plays per game to NYJ's 58.8
NYJ is at 58.8 offensive plays per game over 5 games; NE is at 63.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 17. Last season NYJ was at 59.4 over 17 games and NE at 61.4 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
Hunter Long (TE) is on injured reserve for ARI
Arizona placed Long, a tight end, on injured reserve with a knee injury on Oct 6, so he is out against the Rams. His snaps and the few targets a backup tight end gets go to the rest of the Cardinals tight end room.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- SITUATIONALPIT @ TB
PIT (3-2) at TB (1-4)
Pittsburgh is 3-2 but only +2 and 0-2 on the road. Tampa Bay is 1-4 at -12 and 0-3 at home, which is a hard split to explain away. Both teams won their last game. Pittsburgh's record overstates how much better it has been, so this looks closer than the 3-2 against 1-4 suggests.
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- REPLACEMENTSEA @ DEN
Julian Neal (CB) is on injured reserve for SEA
Seattle put cornerback Julian Neal on injured reserve on Saturday, Oct 11, with a hamstring injury. Injured reserve means he will miss this game at Denver and at least the next few weeks. The report does not say who takes his snaps, so watch how the Seahawks fill out the secondary against the Broncos' receivers.
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- REPLACEMENTNO @ NYG
Chauncey Golston (DE) is on injured reserve for NYG
The Giants put Golston on IR with a neck injury, reported Oct 11, so he misses this game against New Orleans. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not say who takes his snaps on the line.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- REPLACEMENTTEN @ IND
Arden Key (DE) is on injured reserve for IND
The Colts put Key on IR with a hamstring injury, reported Oct 10, so he misses this game against Tennessee. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not name who replaces him on the edge.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ JAX
Jaylin Smith (CB) is on injured reserve for HOU
The Texans put Smith on injured reserve with a hamstring injury on Tuesday, reported Oct 7, so he is out for this trip to Jacksonville. IR means at least a multi-week absence. The sheet names no one taking his snaps, so Houston's depth at corner is the thing to check before backing Jacksonville's receivers.
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ KC
Rashawn Slater (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC
Rashawn Slater went on injured reserve with an ankle injury, reported Oct 10, so he misses Sunday at Kansas City. He is a starting left tackle for the Chargers, the man protecting the quarterback's blind side, and that is a real loss up front. With a backup in his spot against the Chiefs pass rush, pressure and sack numbers are where this shows up first.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for ARI
Arizona placed Johnson, an offensive tackle, on injured reserve with a biceps injury on Oct 7, so he misses the Rams game. The Cardinals start a backup tackle, and with Garrett also out for the Rams, the pass-rush matchup on that side is less lopsided than it could have been.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ NE
Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ
The Jets put McGregor on IR Wednesday with a pectoral injury, reported Oct 7, so he is out at New England. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not name his replacement on the edge.
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- REPLACEMENTPIT @ TB
Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT
The Steelers put Harmon on IR Monday with a foot injury, reported Oct 5, so he misses this game at Tampa Bay. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not name who fills in on the interior line.
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ ATL
Yasir Abdullah (LB) is on injured reserve for ATL
The Falcons put Abdullah on IR with a hamstring injury, reported Oct 11, so he is out against Chicago. IR means he cannot play until he is eligible to return. The facts here do not name who covers his linebacker snaps.
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- REPLACEMENTDAL @ GB
Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB
Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- SITUATIONALDAL @ GB
DAL (2-3) at GB (3-2)
Green Bay has won two straight at 3-2, yet sits at -8, so the record runs ahead of the scoring. Dallas is 2-3 at +2, the opposite story: better margins than results. Both are 1-1 in their venue splits. These records likely drift toward each other, making this a spot where the standings make Green Bay look stronger than the numbers do.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ JAX
Caleb Ransaw (S) is on injured reserve for JAX
Jacksonville placed Ransaw on injured reserve with a knee injury on Tuesday, reported Oct 7, which rules him out against Houston. The sheet names no replacement at safety. Combined with tackle Anton Harrison also on IR, the Jaguars are thinner on both sides of the ball heading into this one.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- REGRESSIONTB @ CLE
Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)
Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.
- RUNNING GAMETB @ CLE
Green light: Cleveland Guardians run, and Liam Hicks has caught just 16%
Hicks has thrown out 11 of 69 runners this season, 16%, so most players who run on him make it. Cleveland already steals 1.1 bases a game, and that pace has room to climb with him catching. Sixty-nine attempts is a big enough sample to trust. Expect Cleveland to turn walks and singles into runners in scoring position, which makes one-hit innings more likely and helps their team total.
P Cleveland Guardians stole 0 bases
- REPLACEMENTLAC @ KC
Trevor Penning (G) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers put guard Trevor Penning on injured reserve with a concussion, reported Oct 11, so he is out for Sunday at Kansas City. Combined with Rashawn Slater also on IR, the Chargers line is missing two players. A thinner offensive line is the context to keep in mind for the Chargers run game and quarterback pressure in this matchup.
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- REPLACEMENTNYJ @ NE
Reggie Gilliam (FB) is on injured reserve for NE
The Patriots moved fullback Reggie Gilliam to injured reserve on Saturday, Oct 11, with ankle and knee injuries. IR means he is out for this game against the Jets and will miss at least several weeks before he can return. A fullback plays a limited role, mostly lead blocking in short-yardage and goal-line packages, so his absence matters more to how New England lines up near the end zone than to the overall game script.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- REPLACEMENTARI @ LAR
Isaiah Adams (G) is on injured reserve for ARI
The Cardinals placed Adams (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- HEAD-TO-HEADTEN @ IND
IND lead the series with TEN since 2025
Indianapolis has won both meetings since last season, and neither was close: 41-20 at Tennessee on Sep 21, then 38-14 at home on Oct 26. That is two blowouts with Indianapolis scoring 38 or more each time. Two games is a small sample, and nothing on the sheet says what has changed for either roster since. For this spot, the question is whether Tennessee can keep it within a score, because last season it never did.
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- SITUATIONALSEA @ DEN
SEA is on a short week
Both teams are playing on three days' rest, so neither side gets a scheduling edge here. On a week that short, teams usually trim the game plan, limit practice to walkthroughs and lean on what they already do well. Expect both offenses to look simpler than usual, and keep an eye on who is healthy enough to play after so little recovery time.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- HEAD-TO-HEADARI @ LAR
LAR lead the series with ARI since 2025
The Rams have beaten Arizona twice since last season, both by wide margins: 45-17 in Arizona on Dec 7 and 37-20 at home on Jan 4. The Rams put up 37 or more in each game while holding Arizona to 20 or fewer. Two late-season results is a short sample, and nothing here shows what either team looks like now. For bettors, the history points to a one-way matchup, so the useful test is whether Arizona has closed that gap this season.
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- HEAD-TO-HEADHOU @ JAX
HOU and JAX are even since 2025
These two traded home wins last season. Jacksonville took the Sep 21 meeting 17-10 in a low-scoring game, then Houston won a shootout 36-29 on Nov 9. Both games were one-score or close to it, and the home side won each time. Two games is a thin sample, but it points to a matchup where home field has mattered more than either team's edge.
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- HEAD-TO-HEADBAL @ CLE
BAL lead the series with CLE since 2025
Baltimore swept Cleveland last season, but the two wins looked very different. The Sep 14 game was a 41-17 rout in Baltimore, while the Nov 16 rematch in Cleveland was a tighter 23-16 grind. That second game is the better guide for this trip to Cleveland: the Browns kept it to one score at home, so a big Ravens margin there is less of a given than the first meeting suggests.
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- HEAD-TO-HEADLAC @ KC
LAC lead the series with KC since 2025
The Chargers beat Kansas City twice last season, and both were tight. They won 27-21 at home on Sep 5, then 16-13 in Kansas City on Dec 14. Two close wins by six and three points say the Chargers had the Chiefs' number, but the margins were thin enough that either game could have flipped. This one is back in Kansas City, where the last meeting was decided by a field goal.
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- HEAD-TO-HEADNYJ @ NE
NE lead the series with NYJ since 2025
New England won both meetings last season and neither was close. The Patriots beat the Jets 27-14 at home on Nov 13, then won 42-10 in New York on Dec 28, so the gap grew as the season went on. Two games is a small sample, but both were double-digit wins, and this one is in New England, where the Jets lost by 13.
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Lukas Van Ness
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Shavon Revel Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Vernon Broughton
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Will Mallory
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Brandon Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Beau Stephens
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Josh Sweat
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Jonathan Greenard
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Josh Downs
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
C.J. Gardner-Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Spencer Brown
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
T.J. Watt
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Arnold Ebiketie
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Darren Waller
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Darnell Mooney
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Najee Harris
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Tony Pollard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
KC Concepcion
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Cameron Thomas
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Trey Hendrickson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Sai'vion Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
George Holani
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Irv Charles
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTSEA @ DEN
Ben Powers
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Cole Van Lanen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Eric Murray
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Trent Brown
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Azeez Al-Shaair
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Wade Woodaz
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Jadeveon Clowney
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Jake Hansen
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ JAX
Jarrian Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-31
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Kendal Daniels
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Joe Thuney
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Jawaan Taylor
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Grady Jarrett
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ ATL
Michael Penix Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 31-23
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Tytus Howard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Roger Rosengarten
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Nick Vannett
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Mark Andrews
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Teddye Buchanan
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Mike Green
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Trenton Simpson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Marlon Humphrey
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Kyle Hamilton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Elgton Jenkins
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Tylan Wallace
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ CLE
Carsen Ryan
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 10-13
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
David Martin-Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
John Franklin-Myers
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Marcus Harris
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Cor'Dale Flott
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Daniel Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Grover Stewart
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Jonathan Taylor
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Keenan Allen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Charvarius Ward
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Marcus Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Nate Landman
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Dre'Mont Jones
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
James Thompson Jr.
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Colton McKivitz
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Jacob Cowing
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Quan Martin
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Omar Speights
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Christian McCaffrey
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Keagen Trost
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
James Houston
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Tyler Guyton
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Tyler Smith
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Quentin Johnston
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
CeeDee Lamb
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Patrick Mahomes
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Trent Williams
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Carver Willis
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Kyle Juszczyk
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
Jayden Daniels
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTWSH @ SF
K'Lavon Chaisson
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Von Miller
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Alijah Clark
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTDAL @ GB
Evan Williams
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 13-23
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Segun Olubi
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Malcolm Koonce
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Dareke Young
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Ashton Jeanty
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
TJ Parker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Bradley Chubb
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Keon Coleman
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Christian Benford
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Ty Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Brock Bowers
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Landon Jackson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Patrick Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Spencer Burford
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Folorunso Fatukasi
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Tristan Wirfs
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTTEN @ IND
Amani Hooker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-20
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Marcus Epps
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Chris Godwin Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
A'Shawn Robinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTPIT @ TB
Cameron Heyward
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 26-19
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Colby Parkinson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Malik Harrison
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
DeVonta Smith
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Hollywood Brown
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LV
Jalen Nailor
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 33-30
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Jalen Coker
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Jihaad Campbell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Thomas Incoom
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Chamarri Conner
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Justin Eboigbe
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Charlie Kolar
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Ben VanSumeren
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Peter Woods
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Elijah Molden
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Kendall Williamson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTLAC @ KC
Khalil Mack
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 6-22
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Drake Maye
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Kiko Mauigoa
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Charles Woods
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Kevin Byard
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNYJ @ NE
Christian Gonzalez
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 19-26
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Charlie Jones
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Tyler Shough
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Colby Wooden
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Greg Newsome II
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Isaiah Likely
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Jason Pinnock
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Zach Wilson
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Elijah Campbell
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Davon Godchaux
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Jeremiah Wright
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTNO @ NYG
Tyree Wilson
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 34-27
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Zack Baun
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Mac McWilliams
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
E.J. Jenkins
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Tyler Steen
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Tommy Tremble
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Fred Johnson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Bryce Young
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Dontayvion Wicks
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Jalen Carter
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Isaac Seumalo
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Alex Bachman
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTARI @ LAR
Josh Wallace
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 18-16
- PRACTICE REPORTCAR @ PHI
Andrew Mukuba
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 25-14
- HEAD-TO-HEADNO @ NYG
NO lead the series with NYG since 2025
The only meeting was New Orleans winning 26-14 at home on Oct 5 last season, a comfortable two-score result. One game is a thin sample, and this one moves to New York, so the home edge New Orleans had is gone. Bettors should weigh how both teams look this season more than a single result from a year ago.
P Edge side lost; final 34-27
- HEAD-TO-HEADSEA @ DEN
DEN lead the series with SEA since 2025
This series is one game: Denver beat Seattle 17-14 at home on Oct 15. A three-point game is close to a coin flip, so this result says little about which side is better. With one meeting and no other context on the sheet, bettors should look at how each team is playing this season before leaning on this result.
P Edge side won; final 14-17
- HEAD-TO-HEADDAL @ GB
DAL and GB are even since 2025
The only recent meeting ended in a 40-40 tie in Dallas on Sep 28 last season. Both offenses moved the ball at will that day, and neither defense could get a stop when it mattered. One game is a thin sample, but it is the only head-to-head evidence there is, and it points toward points rather than a clear edge for either side, with this one moving to Green Bay.
P Edge side won; final 13-23
Graded results
38Games
- L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML +116
NFL · 26-19
- L
Atlanta Falcons ML -102
NFL · 31-23
- W
Houston Texans ML +128
NFL · 34-31
- L
Philadelphia Eagles +3.0 -105
NFL · 25-14
- L
Baltimore Ravens -3 -115
NFL · 10-13
- L
New York Giants ML -108
NFL · 34-27
- W
Tennessee Titans +6.5 -115
NFL · 26-20
- W
Las Vegas Raiders +5.5 -115
NFL · 33-30
- W
New York Jets +7.5 -120
NFL · 19-26
- W
Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 -105
NFL · 6-22
- W
Arizona Cardinals +12.5 -110
NFL · 18-16
- L
Dallas Cowboys ML -106
NFL · 13-23
- W
Rays ML -132
MLB · 3-1
Props
- W
Ashton Jeanty · under
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders · Actual 22
- L
Brayan Rocchio · over
Rays @ Guardians · Actual 0
- W
Cam Ward · under
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts · Actual 102
- W
Chuba Hubbard · over
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Actual 120
- L
Cyrus Allen · under
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs · Actual 2
- L
Dak Prescott · over
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers · Actual 258
- L
Dontayvion Wicks · over
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Actual 2
- L
Geno Smith · under
New York Jets @ New England Patriots · Actual 1
- L
Jalon Daniels · under
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Actual 39
- W
Jaylen Warren · over
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Actual 28
- L
Jonathan Taylor · under
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts · Actual 94
- L
Josh Allen · under
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders · Actual 23
- W
Kyren Williams · over
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams · Actual 3
- L
Michael Penix Jr. · over
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons · Actual 225
- L
Omar Cooper Jr. · under
New York Jets @ New England Patriots · Actual 6
- L
Parker Messick · over
Rays @ Guardians · Actual 6
- L
Patrick Mahomes · under
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs · Actual 16
- L
Pierre Strong Jr. · under
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers · Actual 39
- L
Roschon Johnson · under
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons · Actual 85
- L
Tyler Allgeier · under
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams · Actual 18
- W
Tyler Huntley · over
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns · Actual 19
- L
Tyler Huntley · over
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns · Actual 5
- W
Xavier Hutchinson · over
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Actual 2
- L
Xavier Hutchinson · over
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Actual 10
- W
Zay Flowers · over
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns · Actual 66