Sports picks for Wednesday, October 7, 2026

DET: 287.3 team passing yards per game to ARI's 194.3

Detroit throws for 287.3 a game over four games, up from 253.1 last season. Arizona is at 194.3, down from 232.6. Both teams have moved in opposite directions, and some return toward last season is likely for each. Detroit still looks like the side set to carry the passing game in this one.

SF: 57.5% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 31.1%

San Francisco converts 57.5% of third downs over four games, well above its 49.8% last season. Seattle sits at 31.1% after 39.8%. Both rates are extreme and likely to move back toward last season. San Francisco staying on the field longer is the edge, but expect it to shrink.

DAL: 1.5 sacks taken per game to TB's 4

TB is at 4 sacks taken per game over 4 games; DAL is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 2.38 over 17 games and DAL at 2.38 over 17 games.

CHI: 47.4% third-down conversion rate to GB's 26.1%

Chicago converts 47.4% of third downs over four games, a bit above its 42.7% last season. Green Bay has dropped to 26.1% after 48.8% last season, a fall too steep to fully trust over four games. The Bears' number looks closer to real. Expect the Packers to bounce back some, but they need it to keep pace in this one.

DAL: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to TB's 2.25

Tampa Bay is giving the ball away far more than last season, 2.25 a game over four games against 0.94 a year ago. Dallas has been unusually careful at 0.5, also better than its 1.24 last season. Both numbers are extreme for four games and turnovers swing a lot, so expect each side to drift back toward last season. Short fields for Dallas are the risk Tampa Bay has to clean up on the road.

HOU: 264.8 team passing yards per game to TEN's 172.3

Houston is moving the ball through the air well above last season's 218.1, at 264.8 over four games. Tennessee's 172.3 is close to its 166.1 last season, so a limited passing game is who the Titans have been. Houston's jump has more room to cool off than Tennessee's number. In this matchup, Houston is the side likely to set the tempo through the air.

CIN: 24.3 points per game to MIA's 11.5

Cincinnati is scoring 24.3 a game, almost exactly its 24.4 last season, so that looks like who the Bengals are. Miami is the outlier at 11.5 over four games after 20.4 last season. A drop that steep over four games tends to come back some. When thinking about Miami's scoring at home, weigh last season's level alongside the slow start.

LV: 28.8 points per game to NE's 16.3

These two have swapped identities: Las Vegas scores 28.8 a game over four games after 14.2 last season, and New England sits at 16.3 after 28.8 last season. Swings that big over four games usually settle somewhere in between. Lean on the full picture for both sides here rather than assuming either new number is the new normal.

DAL: 81.3% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 41.7%

Dallas has scored on 81.3% of its red-zone trips over four games, while Tampa Bay sits at 41.7%. Last season the two were close, Dallas at 56.9% and Tampa Bay at 54%, so both are running far from their norm. Red-zone rates move a lot over a handful of trips, so the gap should narrow. Think of Tampa Bay settling for field goals as the thing most likely to change.

MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to NO's 32

Minnesota is allowing 12.8 points a game over four games, a big drop from 19.6 last season. New Orleans is giving up 32 after 22.5 last season. Both are far from last season and likely to move back some. Minnesota's defense looks like the side controlling this matchup, with the Saints' defense the bigger worry.

CHI: 36:36 time of possession per game to GB's 26:46

Chicago holds the ball 36:36 a game over four games, up from 30:59 last season, while Green Bay is at 26:46 after 29:48. The Bears are controlling the clock, which fits a run-first offense. Long Chicago drives mean fewer possessions for Green Bay. That gap is wider than last season showed and will probably narrow some.

CIN: 277.5 team passing yards per game to MIA's 163.5

Cincinnati is throwing for 277.5 a game over four games, up from 235.6 last season. Miami has fallen to 163.5 from 180.5. Both moved in the extreme direction, so some pullback toward last season makes sense for each. The Bengals look like the side built to win this through the air while Miami's passing game is still finding itself.

Chauncey Golston (DE) is out for NYG

Golston has a neck injury, and the report from Oct 8 says he might be facing a lengthy absence, so this looks like more than a one-week issue for the Giants' front. Out means he will not play at Washington. The sheet does not name a replacement, so expect the Giants to spread his defensive end snaps across the rotation.

Jamel Dean (CB) is doubtful for PIT

Dean hurt his ankle and left Thursday's 27-24 loss to the Browns, and Pittsburgh could be without him for a couple of weeks. Doubtful usually means a player sits, and the timeline points the same way here. Expect the Steelers to face the Colts with a backup at cornerback, which matters most for Indianapolis receivers.

Arden Key (DE) is out for IND

Colts coach Shane Steichen said Tuesday that Key is expected to miss three to four weeks with a hamstring injury, so the trip to Pittsburgh is the first of several games without him. Three to four weeks is a timeline, and hamstrings can run long, so plan on him missing more than this one game. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps at defensive end, so the Colts pass rush against the Steelers is the part of this game with the least to go on.

Breece Hall (RB) is doubtful for NYJ

Doubtful means Hall is unlikely to play against Cleveland. He has a quadriceps injury and did not practice Wednesday, so there is no sign of progress yet. If he sits, the Jets backfield work shifts to whoever is behind him, and the sheet does not name that player. Watch Thursday and Friday practice reports before trusting any Jets rushing number.

Adonai Mitchell (WR) is doubtful for NYJ

Doubtful means Mitchell is very unlikely to play against Cleveland. His head coach called the finger injury week-to-week on Wednesday, so this looks like more than a one-game absence. The sheet does not say who takes his targets, so the useful takeaway is to expect the Jets' receiver group without him and check the final report before betting anything tied to their passing game.

Tyler Shough (QB) is questionable for NO

Shough was limited Wednesday with an injury to his non-throwing hand, which is the better hand to have hurt for a quarterback. Questionable means real doubt, but limited work this early in the week counts as practice. Watch Thursday and Friday: a full session would make the Minnesota game look normal for New Orleans.

DAL: 1.5 sacks taken a game to TB's 4

Tampa Bay's quarterback has gone down 4 times a game through 4 games, while Dallas has kept theirs clean at 1.5. Both teams sat at 2.38 last season, so this split is a four-game story, and Tampa's line is the side that moved most. A four-game spike like that tends to drift back toward the old number. For this game, the question is whether the Dallas rush can keep Tampa's protection under that same pressure, which shapes how many drives stall for the visitors.

HOU: 264.8 pass yards a game to TEN's 172.3

Houston is throwing for 264.8 yards a game through 4 games, up from 218.1 last season, while Tennessee sits at 172.3, close to its 166.1 from last year. Tennessee's number looks like who they are; Houston's jump is the newer and less proven piece. If Houston's passing holds near this level, Tennessee has to shorten the game and keep the ball. Bettors can think about whether Tennessee's offense can keep pace if Houston moves it through the air.

CIN: 277.5 pass yards a game to MIA's 163.5

Cincinnati is throwing for 277.5 yards a game through 4 games against Miami's 163.5. Cincinnati is up from 235.6 last season, and Miami has dropped from 180.5, so both teams have moved in opposite directions. Four games is a short window, and Miami's dip is the likelier number to climb back. In this spot, Miami needs to lean on something other than the pass to keep up, which frames how the scoring might split.

MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to NO's 32

Minnesota's defense has allowed 12.8 points a game through 4 games, while New Orleans has given up 32. Both are well off last season, when Minnesota allowed 19.6 and New Orleans 22.5, so each team has pushed further to an extreme. Numbers that far from the prior year usually pull back some over a longer run. The shape of this game still points to New Orleans needing to hide a leaky defense with long, ball-control drives.

CHI: 196.3 rush yards a game to GB's 58

Chicago is running for 196.3 yards a game through 4 games, and Green Bay is at just 58. Last season the gap was far smaller, 144.5 to 119.8, so Green Bay's ground game has collapsed and Chicago's has surged. Green Bay's 58 is the number most likely to climb back toward its old level. For this game, Chicago can try to grind clock on the ground, and Green Bay has to find a way to stay ahead of the sticks without much run game.

DET: 287.3 pass yards a game to ARI's 194.3

Detroit is throwing for 287.3 yards a game through 4 games, up from 253.1 last season, while Arizona sits at 194.3, down from 232.6. Arizona's drop is the bigger surprise and the more likely number to move back up. Through four games, Detroit has the passing edge by a wide margin. Arizona at home has to keep Detroit's offense off the field to keep this close.

SF: 57.5% on third down to SEA's 31.1%

San Francisco has converted 57.5% of its third downs through 4 games, Seattle just 31.1%. Last season they were at 49.8% and 39.8%, so both have moved toward the extremes over a short stretch. Expect some pullback on each side. Third downs decide who keeps drives alive, so if the gap holds even partly, San Francisco should own more of the possession battle in Seattle.

BAL: 0.5 turnovers a game to ATL's 2

Baltimore has turned it over 0.5 times a game through 4 games, Atlanta 2. Last season the order was flipped, with Baltimore at 1.35 and Atlanta at 1.06. Turnover rates swing a lot over four games and tend to settle, so neither number is a fixed trait. Atlanta at home has to protect the ball to avoid giving Baltimore extra short fields.

Reese Taylor (CB) is out for MIA

Taylor has a quadriceps injury and is ruled out for Miami's Week 5 game against the Bengals, reported Monday. Out means he will not play, so the Dolphins are a cornerback down against Cincinnati's passing game. That is the spot to think about when looking at Bengals receivers.

DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is out for DAL

Overshown (hamstring) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Buccaneers, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is out for TB

Winfield, Tampa Bay's safety, is out Thursday in Dallas with a rib injury. He will not play, so the Bucs' back end is missing a starter on a short week. The sheet does not name his replacement, so expect a reshuffled secondary and weigh the Dallas passing game with that in mind.

SirVocea Dennis (LB) is out for TB

Dennis is out Thursday at Dallas with an ankle injury, so the Bucs lose a linebacker on a short week. Out is final for this game. Morrison is also out for this one, which means Tampa Bay is down a corner and a linebacker together, and that matters most if you are sizing up the Dallas offense.

Drew Shelton (OT) is out for DAL

Shelton is a Cowboys offensive tackle, and a hamstring keeps him out of Thursday's game against Tampa Bay. Out means he will not play, so Dallas goes with a different tackle on the line. The sheet does not name the replacement, so the cleanest way to use this is to watch how the Cowboys protect the passer once the lineup is set.

Cobie Durant (CB) is out for DAL

Durant has a hamstring injury and the Cowboys ruled him out for Thursday's game against the Buccaneers. Out means he will not suit up, so Dallas plays this one a cornerback short. Tampa Bay's receivers get a thinner secondary to work against, which is the angle to weigh on the Bucs passing side.

MIN: 18.2% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 66.7%

Opponents have scored touchdowns on just 18.2% of red-zone trips against Minnesota, while New Orleans allows 66.7%. Red-zone rates come from small trip counts over four games and are among the shakiest numbers in football, so 18.2% will almost certainly climb. Even with regression, the Vikings have turned drives into field goals. For this game, that gap tilts toward Minnesota touchdowns and Saints field goals.

Benjamin Morrison (CB) is out for TB

Morrison is out with a quadriceps injury, so Tampa Bay heads to Dallas on Thursday a cornerback short. Out means he will not play, with no game-day decision coming. The facts here do not name who replaces him, so check who the Bucs list next at corner before you look at Dallas passing numbers.

Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB

Mayfield is Tampa Bay's starting quarterback, and the report lists him as out for the trip to Dallas with no injury detail attached. Out means he will not play, so the offense runs through whoever is next on the depth chart. The sheet does not name the backup, so check who starts before reacting to any Bucs number built around Mayfield.

PIT: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5

Pittsburgh has forced 2 takeaways a game over four games, and Indianapolis just 0.5. Turnovers are streaky, so both numbers will likely move toward the middle as the season goes on. The Steelers still have a four-game habit of taking the ball away. That puts the Colts' ball security under the most stress, and extra possessions for Pittsburgh help a home side in a close spot.

MIN: 22.6% third downs allowed to NO's 47.6%

Minnesota has let opponents convert just 22.6% of third downs, so drives keep dying, while New Orleans allows 47.6%, close to half. Over four games third-down rates swing a lot, and the sheet does not name the offences faced, so the Vikings will probably give some back. The Saints number is a red flag for a defense that cannot get off the field. Expect Minnesota to sustain longer drives and win time of possession.

Marcus Mariota (QB) is doubtful for WSH

Doubtful means Mariota is very unlikely to play against the Giants. The knee injury will not land him on injured reserve, so Washington expects him back within the next few weeks. The sheet does not name who starts if he sits, so hold off on Washington passing props until the quarterback is confirmed.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Jackson did not practice Wednesday with an ankle injury, and he is the engine of the Baltimore offense, so any limit on him changes everything about this game. Questionable leaves real doubt. Flowers and Bateman were both limited too. Hold off on Ravens props and the Atlanta line until you see whether Jackson practices later this week.

Marques Sigle (S) is out for SF

SF lists Marques Sigle as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Kyle Juszczyk (FB) is out for SF

Juszczyk hyperextended his right knee and bruised the bone in Sunday's 24-14 win over the Broncos, and Kyle Shanahan said he will miss multiple weeks. The fullback is out at Seattle and likely for some time after that. The sheet does not name who replaces him, so watch whether San Francisco uses more tight ends or receivers in his place.

Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is doubtful for DET

Ya-Sin has a hamstring injury and is expected to sit for Detroit's Week 5 game at Arizona. Doubtful with that report attached means plan on him missing it. The Lions lose some cornerback depth, which gives Arizona's receivers a slightly easier look.

Isaiah Adams (G) is out for ARI

Adams, a Cardinals guard, will miss Sunday's game against Detroit with an ankle injury. Out is final, so Arizona plays a different guard on the interior line. The sheet does not say who steps in, so check the Cardinals' lineup before reading too much into how their run game should look.

Pat Bryant (WR) is doubtful for DEN

Bryant sat out Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, and doubtful means the Broncos expect him to miss Sunday's game at the Chargers. The report doesn't say how big his role is, so his absence mostly shifts targets to the other Denver receivers. If you're looking at Broncos receiving props, price him as out and check who's active closer to kickoff.

MIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to NO's 2

Minnesota is getting to the quarterback 4 times a game, double the 2 New Orleans manages, over four games. Who those sacks came against is not on the sheet, so a soft set of lines could inflate it. Pressure tends to hold up better than third-down or red-zone luck. Paired with Minnesota's other defensive numbers, the Saints offense projects to stall, which points toward their side of the scoring.

CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1

Cincinnati's pass rush gets home 3.5 times a game, and Miami's has managed just 1, both over four games. Sack numbers depend on the quarterbacks and lines faced, and the sheet does not name who those were, so some of the gap may be schedule. A pass rush that has produced over four games usually keeps producing. The Miami quarterback is the one likely to be under pressure, which can stall drives and keep the Dolphins' scoring down.

Rashawn Slater (OT) is out for LAC

Slater, the Chargers' left tackle, suffered a high-ankle sprain Sunday against the Seahawks and is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks. That is a long stretch without a starting blocker protecting the quarterback's blind side. Against Denver, a weaker edge on the Chargers' line is a reason to think about pass rush pressure on that side.

Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI

Williams, Chicago's starting quarterback, has a hamstring injury and will not practice during Week 5, per head coach Ben Johnson. The team calls it week-to-week rather than day-to-day, which signals more than a short absence. He is out for the trip to Green Bay, so price the Bears around a different starter there.

Jayden Daniels (QB) is questionable for WSH

Daniels is Washington's starting quarterback, so everything in the offense runs through him. He is dealing with an elbow injury, and he was seen throwing in the open part of Wednesday's practice. Throwing on a Wednesday is a good early sign for a questionable tag. Watch Thursday and Friday participation before betting Commanders sides or totals against the Giants.

CHI: 23.7% third downs allowed to GB's 48.2%

Chicago lets offences convert just 23.7% of third downs, while Green Bay allows 48.2%, nearly half. Four games is a thin base for third-down rates, and the sheet does not name who Chicago faced, so expect some climb. Green Bay's number says its defense keeps drives alive. On the road, Chicago's best path is long, clock-eating drives against that Packers defense.

JAX: 2 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.5

Jacksonville has forced 2 takeaways a game over four games, and Philadelphia's defense has managed just 0.5. Takeaways swing more from week to week than almost any defensive stat, so both numbers should drift toward the middle. Four games of steady ball-hawking still says the Jaguars attack the football. Philadelphia's quarterback faces the riskier day, and a short field or two can push a total higher.

LAR: 145.5 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 256.3

The Rams allow 145.5 passing yards a game, so quarterbacks have been held to modest days, while Buffalo gives up 256.3. Passing yards depend heavily on game script and the quarterbacks faced, which the sheet does not show, and four games is a short run. Buffalo's quarterback is the toughest test the Rams number could get. The Bills secondary still looks like the side more likely to give up a big passing day.

TB: 78.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 150.3

Tampa Bay gives up 78.5 rushing yards a game, so backs have found little room against them, while Dallas has been run over at 150.3. Both numbers come from four games, and the sheet does not say which offences produced them, so some of the gap may be schedule. Four games is enough to show a real lean. When Dallas has the ball, expect a pass-heavy script, and when Tampa runs, the Cowboys front is the side under pressure.

CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 16.7%

Cincinnati keeps converting when it goes for it, and Miami keeps coming up short. Four games of fourth downs is a tiny pile of attempts, so both rates will swing. Last season Cincinnati was at 70% and Miami at 47.8%, which says the Bengals edge is real and the Dolphins number is probably too low to last. In a road spot, Cincinnati's willingness to go for it can stretch drives, which matters for live totals.

TB: 32.7% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.3%

Tampa Bay allows a 32.7% third-down rate, solid without being elite, and Dallas allows 52.3%, more than half. Both are four-game numbers, and the sheet does not name the offences faced. A defense letting over half of third downs convert is hard to trust anywhere. Expect Tampa Bay to stay on the field and string together long drives in Dallas.

DAL: 30.5 points per game to TB's 19

TB is at 19 points per game over 4 games; DAL is at 30.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.

Dylan Parham (G) is doubtful for NYJ

Parham is a Jets guard nursing a knee injury, and coach Aaron Glenn still calls him week-to-week. Doubtful means he is unlikely to play against Cleveland, and week-to-week suggests this could stretch past one game. Plan on New York playing without him on the interior line.

Trey Lance (QB) is questionable for LAC

Lance is listed as questionable for the Chargers against Denver, and the report gives no injury or practice detail. Questionable means a real chance he plays, so wait for the inactive list before betting anything that depends on his role.

BUF @ LAR carries a 54.5 market total

At 54.5, the market expects this to be a shootout, with both offenses moving the ball and touchdowns coming in bunches. Being 11 points above the 43.5 slate median means the price assumes scoring on most drives, not a game decided by field goals. For it to crack, one defense has to force punts early or a couple of drives have to stall in the red zone. If the opening possessions trade punts, the over gets harder fast.

Milwaukee Brewers pen: 14 relief IP across 3 games

Abner Uribe worked all 3 games (49 pitches); Trevor Megill worked 2 games (26 pitches; 2.63 season ERA over 61.2 IP). The pen allowed 1 ER in that 14-IP span (Oct 3–Oct 6).

IND: 75% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 44.4%

IND is at 75% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; PIT is at 44.4% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and PIT at 58.8% over 17 games.

NO: 80% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

MIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; NO is at 80% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season MIN was at 56.9% over 17 games and NO at 44.4% over 17 games.

TB: 4.95 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.43

Tampa Bay gives up 4.95 yards per play and Dallas 6.43, a big gap in how much each defense allows snap to snap. Yards per play steadies faster than most stats, so four games says more here than it would for turnovers or red-zone rates. With the Cowboys also soft against the run and on third down, the pattern is consistent. Tampa's offense projects to move the ball, which leans toward their scoring.

DET: 5.85 yards per play to ARI's 4.38

Detroit gains about a yard and a half more per snap than Arizona, and the last game shows why: Jared Goff hit Isaac TeSlaa for 57 and Jameson Williams for 49. Detroit's 5.97 last season says this offense is who it is. Arizona's drop from 5.18 to 4.38 over four games looks more like a slump than a new floor. Detroit tends to get chunk plays, so Arizona needs long drives to keep pace.

Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) is questionable for NE

Stevenson has an apparent leg injury, and Mike Vrabel said he is not expected to practice Wednesday. That puts him questionable for the Raiders game with the week's practice reports still to come. If he sits, the sheet does not name who takes his carries, so hold off on Patriots backfield props until his status clears.

DEN: 1.25 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.5

The Chargers have given the ball away twice as often as Denver this season. Last season they were at 1.24 a game, so 2.5 over four games looks like turnover luck that tends to settle. Denver at 1.25 sits close to its 1 from last season. The Broncos defense gets more short fields if the Chargers stay careless at home, but expect that gap to narrow.

NYG: 19.8 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5

The Giants defense has been stingy and Washington's has leaked points through four games. Both flipped from last season, when New York allowed 25.8 and Washington 26.5, so the Giants improvement may cool and the Commanders should tighten some. Four games is a short read on a defense. In Washington, the question for totals is whether the Giants can keep the Commanders offense limited on the road.

SEA: 2 takeaways per game to SF's 0.75

SF is at 0.75 takeaways per game over 4 games; SEA is at 2 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Jonathan Mingo (WR) is questionable for DAL

Mingo did not practice Wednesday due to an illness and is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against the Buccaneers, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley has a hamstring injury and did not practice Wednesday, which tags him questionable for the trip to Jacksonville. Questionable is a true coin flip, and a missed Wednesday on a hamstring is the less hopeful start to the week. Watch his Thursday and Friday practice status before betting anything tied to the Eagles' run game.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

DeVonta Smith has a hamstring injury and did not take part in Wednesday practice ahead of the Jaguars game. He is questionable, so his status is open. With Saquon Barkley also on the report with a hamstring, the Eagles have two key pieces in doubt, and any Philadelphia offense angle depends on how both practice later this week.

Hollywood Brown (WR) is questionable for PHI

Brown, an Eagles receiver, has an ankle injury and did not practice Wednesday. Questionable means it is up in the air for Jacksonville, and a missed practice early in the week leaves the call open. His practice reports the rest of the week will say more than this one day, so check before kickoff if you are betting anything on his production.

Tony Pollard (RB) is questionable for TEN

Pollard, the Titans' running back, sat out Wednesday's practice with a foot injury. He is questionable against Houston, which leaves his status open with the week still young. If he does sit, Tennessee's carries go to other backs, so wait for his later practice reports before betting on any Titans rushing number.

Colbie Young (WR) is questionable for CIN

Young was limited in Wednesday's practice with a knee injury, so he got some work in. Questionable means he could go against Miami. If he gets to full participation later in the week, that is a good sign; if he drops to a DNP, expect the Bengals' other receivers to pick up his snaps.

Ja'Marr Chase (WR) is questionable for CIN

Chase is still in concussion protocol, and Zac Taylor said he would not practice Wednesday. Questionable here carries real weight because he has to clear protocol before he can play at Miami. With Tee Higgins also questionable, a bettor should wait on the late-week practice reports before leaning on any Bengals passing number.

Tee Higgins (WR) is questionable for CIN

Higgins missed Wednesday practice with groin and neck injuries. Questionable means his status for Miami is open, and one missed early-week practice leaves time to return. Ja'Marr Chase is also questionable and in concussion protocol, so Cincinnati's top two receivers are both uncertain and the passing game could look very different.

Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA

Douglas, a Dolphins receiver, has an ankle injury, and coach Jeff Hafley said he would not practice Wednesday. Questionable means his status for Cincinnati is undecided. A coach ruling a player out of practice ahead of time suggests the injury needs managing, so check the later reports before counting on him.

Chris Bell (WR) is questionable for MIA

Bell is questionable for the Dolphins against Cincinnati with a knee injury. He was limited Wednesday, which means he did some work, a better sign than a full absence. A full practice later in the week would point toward him playing.

Jalen Nailor (WR) is questionable for LV

Jalen Nailor is in the concussion protocol, and coach Klint Kubiak said he will not practice Wednesday before the trip to New England. Questionable means he could still play, but concussion cases need clearance before a return, so his status can stay unclear late into the week. Look for his practice status Thursday and Friday.

Cody White (WR) is questionable for LV

White, a Raiders receiver, was limited at practice Wednesday with an ankle injury. Limited means he did some work, a better sign than sitting out, and he is questionable for the game at New England. Watch whether that limited tag becomes full participation by the end of the week.

Mack Hollins (WR) is questionable for NE

Hollins, a Patriots receiver, has a calf injury, and coach Mike Vrabel did not expect him to practice Wednesday. He is questionable against Las Vegas, with his status still unsettled. The rest of the week's practice reports are the tell, so hold off on any New England receiving bet until they come in.

Justin Jefferson (WR) is questionable for MIN

Jefferson has an ankle injury and said Wednesday he is aiming to play Sunday at New Orleans. Questionable means it is undecided, and a player's own intent is a hopeful sign without being a guarantee. Minnesota's passing game runs through him, so his final status moves how you should view that offense.

Jordan Addison (WR) is questionable for MIN

Addison has a hamstring injury and will not practice Wednesday, which leaves the Vikings receiver questionable at New Orleans. Hamstring injuries can linger, so a missed early session is worth tracking. If both he and Justin Jefferson are limited, the Minnesota passing game looks different, so check later practice reports.

Alvin Kamara (RB) is questionable for NO

Kamara is questionable for the Saints against Minnesota with a back injury. He did not take part in Wednesday's walkthrough, a lighter session than a full practice, which makes the missed day more notable. If he cannot do more as the week goes on, his status for Sunday gets shakier, and the sheet does not name who would take his carries.

Barion Brown (WR) is questionable for NO

Brown's value Monday came on returns: 130 kickoff-return yards and a two-yard punt return in the 45-24 loss to Atlanta, plus one carry for minus five. The report lists him questionable without naming an injury. His impact on Minnesota is mostly field position, which matters more for totals than for any receiving bet.

Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

Gabriel is on injured reserve with a designation to return, and he was a full participant Wednesday as he works back from a back injury. A full practice is the best sign a player in his spot can give. Whether he's active for the Jets game depends on Cleveland moving him onto the active roster, so watch for that before kickoff.

Tylan Wallace (WR) is questionable for CLE

Wallace sat out Wednesday's practice with a knee injury, which makes this a shaky questionable heading into Cleveland's game against the Jets. A missed practice early in the week means his practice status later in the week will matter. If he can't get on the field by Friday, plan for the Browns' other receivers to take his targets.

Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND

Dulin missed Wednesday's practice with a hamstring injury, and hamstrings tend to linger for receivers who depend on speed. He's questionable for the Colts at Pittsburgh. Watch whether he practices later in the week, and treat a second straight DNP as a strong hint that he'll sit.

Keenan Allen (WR) is questionable for IND

Allen was limited Wednesday with a groin injury and is questionable for Pittsburgh. Groin injuries on receivers can linger, so the rest of the week's practice reports count. If he gets in full work by Friday, the tag is mostly a precaution. If he stays limited, be wary of his receiving props.

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is questionable for PIT

Pittman is questionable for the Steelers against the Colts with a foot injury. He was limited Wednesday, so he is working, just not fully. Foot injuries can linger, so watch whether he moves to full participation before game day.

Rico Dowdle (RB) is questionable for PIT

Dowdle is questionable for the Steelers against the Colts with a toe injury. He was limited Wednesday, meaning he practiced in some capacity. Toe injuries can affect a running back's burst even when he plays, so a full practice later in the week would be the cleaner sign.

Malik Nabers (WR) is questionable for NYG

Nabers, a Giants receiver, said he took on as much as he could at Wednesday's practice and then noted soreness afterward. He is questionable for Washington. He practiced, which is a good sign, but the soreness comment means his workload is worth confirming before kickoff if you are betting his numbers.

Cam Skattebo (RB) is questionable for NYG

Skattebo is questionable for the Giants at Washington with a shoulder injury. He was limited Wednesday, so he is practicing in some form. The Giants also have Nabers listed with a knee issue, so their offensive picture for this game is unsettled on two fronts.

Rachaad White (RB) is questionable for WSH

White is questionable for Washington against the Giants with a shoulder injury. He was limited Wednesday, meaning he did some work. A full practice later in the week would point toward him playing.

Terry McLaurin (WR) is questionable for WSH

McLaurin (hamstring) won't practice Wednesday, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Oct 7.

Stefon Diggs (WR) is questionable for WSH

Diggs was a non-participant at Wednesday's practice due to a hamstring injury. Reported Oct 7.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) is questionable for WSH

Croskey-Merritt (groin) was limited in Wednesday's practice session, Ralph Vacchiano of FoxSports.com Reported Oct 7.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Monangai is a Chicago running back carrying a questionable tag for a thumb injury. Head coach Ben Johnson said Wednesday the thumb is not an issue. When the head coach says that midweek, questionable usually leans toward playing. Bettors can treat his availability against Green Bay as likely unless practice reports say otherwise.

D'Andre Swift (RB) is questionable for CHI

Swift, a Bears running back, missed Wednesday's practice with both hip and knee injuries. He is questionable for the game at Green Bay. Two injuries and no practice make his status a real question, so if he sits, Chicago's carries go elsewhere and his later practice reports decide how to view the Bears' run game.

Chris Brooks (RB) is questionable for GB

Chris Brooks has an ankle injury, and coach Matt LaFleur said he will not practice Wednesday before the Bears game. He is questionable, so his availability is uncertain. If he sits, Green Bay's backfield touches get split among the other backs.

Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC

Ladd McConkey has a foot injury but was expected to practice Wednesday before the Denver game. Taking part early in the week is a good sign for a questionable player. Check whether he stays on the field through Friday before you factor him into the Chargers passing game.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

Thompson, a Chargers receiver, was limited at Wednesday's practice with a quadriceps injury. Questionable means it is undecided for Denver, though getting some practice work is a better sign than sitting out. Check whether he moves to full participation later in the week.

Quentin Johnston (WR) is questionable for LAC

Johnston was limited Wednesday with a chest injury, so he practiced in some form ahead of the Chargers' home game against Denver. Questionable with limited work usually leans toward playing. Check his final practice status before betting his receiving props, since a chest injury can cut into his snap count even if he suits up.

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI

Love, a Cardinals running back, practiced on a limited basis Wednesday with an ankle injury. He is questionable for Detroit, and limited work early in the week leans more toward playing than a missed practice would. His late-week reports are worth checking before betting on Arizona's backfield.

Kaelon Black (RB) is questionable for SF

Black has an illness and was limited in Wednesday's practice, which makes him questionable for the trip to Seattle. Limited practice is a better sign than sitting out, and illnesses can clear quickly. Check the rest of the week's reports before counting on his role.

Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

Evans has a rib injury and was limited Wednesday, which means he did some work. Limited early in the week is a better sign than a missed practice for questionable players. Watch whether he moves to full participation later in the week before counting on his role at Seattle.

George Holani (RB) is questionable for SEA

Holani was limited Wednesday with a rib injury, and he's questionable for Seattle's home game against San Francisco. Limited work early in the week is a decent sign. If he sits, the Seahawks' other backs take his carries, so keep an eye on the final report before betting Seattle's running game.

Zay Flowers (WR) is questionable for BAL

Flowers was limited Wednesday with a foot injury, and he is questionable at Atlanta. Bateman was also limited and Lamar Jackson did not practice, so Baltimore's whole passing game is in question this week. Wait for later practice reports before betting any Ravens receiver.

Rashod Bateman (WR) is questionable for BAL

Bateman was limited Wednesday with a shoulder injury and is questionable at Atlanta. Flowers was also limited and Lamar Jackson missed practice, so the Ravens passing attack has several question marks. A limited session is still practice, but hold off on Bateman props until the final status comes out.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Moore has a shoulder injury, and the report says it is not considered long-term. He is questionable for Buffalo's trip to the Rams. That reads as a short-term issue, so his practice status this week is the thing to track before betting on the Bills' receivers.

Konata Mumpfield (WR) is questionable for LAR

Mumpfield took a shot to the rotator cuff in Sunday's 24-20 win over the Eagles, and a contusion is a bruise, so there is no structural tear on the report. Questionable means a real chance he suits up against Buffalo, but shoulder bruises on receivers can limit how much they fight for contested catches. Check the week's practice participation before trusting any of his numbers.

MIL have won 7 straight

Milwaukee is 7-0 in this stretch and has outscored opponents by 16 runs, so the wins have come from steady margins more than a couple of blowouts. Seven games is a short sample, and nothing here says how the Brewers match up in San Diego. A hot week usually gets built into the price fast, so judge tonight on the pitching matchup and the number offered.

P team won 3-1

DEN: 1.25 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3

Denver protects its quarterback and the Chargers do not: 3 sacks a game against 1.25. This one has a history, since the Chargers took 3.75 last season and Denver 1.77, so it likely holds. Sacks kill drives and push offenses into long third downs. When Denver's pass rush meets a line that gives up sacks, Chargers drives stalling is a fair expectation.

DET: 3.75 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2

Detroit is getting 3.75 sacks a game, and Arizona's defense 2, both over four games. The sheet does not say which lines Detroit faced, so a soft early slate may help. Sack production tends to hold up better than turnovers. The Cardinals quarterback should expect a busy day, which can stall drives and help a road favorite cover.

DET @ ARI carries a 53.5 market total

The 53.5 total says the market sees a high-tempo game where both sides score often, 10 points above the 43.5 median across this slate. That number leaves little room for empty drives. The under needs one of these offenses to sputter, through turnovers or settling for kicks, because a total this high assumes touchdowns. Early drive results tell you a lot about whether that assumption is holding.

BUF: 31.8 points per game to LAR's 21.3

BUF is at 31.8 points per game over 4 games; LAR is at 21.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 28.3 over 17 games and LAR at 30.5 over 17 games.

NYG: 19.8 points allowed a game to WSH's 30.5

The Giants' defense has allowed 19.8 points a game through 4 games, down from 25.8 last season, while Washington has given up 30.5, up from 26.5. Both teams have moved in opposite directions from last year. Four games is a short sample, and these numbers will likely drift back toward their old levels. Washington at home has to slow the game down and avoid letting this turn into a shootout it can't win on defense.

DEN: 1.25 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.5

Denver has turned it over 1.25 times a game through 4 games, the Chargers 2.5. Last season Denver was at 1 and the Chargers at 1.24, so the Chargers have doubled their giveaways over a short run. That jump is the likelier number to fall back. For this division game, the Chargers' ball security at home is what keeps Denver from getting cheap possessions.

LAD games have gone UNDER 8 straight

Across the last 8 Dodgers games, the two sides have combined for 5.5 runs a night while the market kept posting totals around 7.8. Nothing on the sheet explains the drop, no pitcher or lineup change, and 8 games is a short run. Tonight's total in Atlanta sits at 7.5, so the books have already moved toward the trend. The gap between recent scoring and the number is narrower now, which leaves the under less room than the streak suggests.

P final total 5 vs 7.5

CIN: 30.8% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 64.7%

Opponents have scored touchdowns on just 30.8% of red-zone trips against Cincinnati, and on 64.7% against Miami. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of trips over four games, so Cincinnati's will probably climb. Miami turning most red-zone trips into touchdowns is a concern, and Cincinnati's pass rush also gets home. Bengals drives look likelier to end in touchdowns than Dolphins drives.

Nick Bosa (DE) is doubtful for SF

Doubtful means Bosa is very unlikely to play at Seattle. He is a defensive end, and the sheet gives no injury detail or date for when he last played. If he sits, San Francisco loses an edge rusher against the Seahawks, and the sheet does not say who replaces him. That matters most for spots that hinge on pressure on the quarterback.

CHI: 25.3 first downs per game to GB's 17

CHI is at 25.3 first downs per game over 4 games; GB is at 17 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.

LAR: 4.13 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.45

The Rams allow 4.13 yards per play and Buffalo 5.45, so the Rams have been the tighter defense snap to snap over four games. Yards per play steadies quicker than most stats, though the sheet does not name the offences faced. Buffalo's offense will test that number. Read with the Rams' low passing yards allowed, a lower-scoring game is plausible if their defense holds near form.

IND: 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate to PIT's 33.3%

Indianapolis has converted most of its fourth-down tries, and Pittsburgh has missed most of its own. Four games is very few attempts, so the swing is big. Last season the Colts were at 66.7% and the Steelers at 52.2%, so both numbers are likely to come back toward those. Indy's aggression on fourth down keeps drives alive, and that matters for props tied to their scoring.

CHI: 28 points per game to GB's 18.3

CHI is at 28 points per game over 4 games; GB is at 18.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CHI was at 25.9 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.

CHI: 16.3 points allowed per game to GB's 26.3

CHI is at 16.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; GB is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.

JAX: 13.3 points allowed a game to PHI's 23.3

Jacksonville's defense has allowed 13.3 points a game through 4 games, Philadelphia's 23.3. Last season the two were close, Jacksonville at 19.8 and Philadelphia at 19.1, so this gap is new. Four games is a short window, and both should drift back some. At home, Jacksonville's defense gives Philadelphia's offense a tougher test than its own defense has offered opponents so far.

JAX: 13.3 points allowed per game to PHI's 23.3

PHI is at 23.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 13.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season PHI was at 19.1 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.

CHI: 47.3 penalty yards per game to GB's 86

CHI is at 47.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; GB is at 86 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CHI was at 57.1 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.

Isaiah Likely (TE) is questionable for NYG

Likely (knee/groin) practiced in a limited capacity Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Rib · Did not practice · Out

SF: 43.3 penalty yards per game to SEA's 81.8

SF is at 43.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; SEA is at 81.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 38.3 over 17 games and SEA at 46.6 over 17 games.

James Thompson Jr. (DT) is doubtful for SF

SF lists James Thompson Jr. as doubtful on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Drew Shelton

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

White Sox 5-1 in Sean Newcomb's last 6 starts

Chicago has won five straight Newcomb starts and is 5-1 over his last six. The sheet has no runs allowed, opponents or bullpen data, so there is no way to split credit between Newcomb, run support and the schedule. Six starts is a small sample, and team records behind one starter swing fast. Against Cleveland, price the game on the matchup and give the 5-1 mark little weight.

CHI: 74.5 offensive plays per game to GB's 58.8

CHI is at 74.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; GB is at 58.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and GB at 59.4 over 17 games.

Chig Okonkwo (TE) is questionable for WSH

Okonkwo (hamstring) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.

Marques Sigle

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Kyle Juszczyk

Knee · Did not practice · Out

Isaiah Adams

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Ben Sinnott (TE) is questionable for WSH

Sinnott (ribs) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.

Mason Taylor (TE) is questionable for NYJ

Jets head coach Aaron Glenn said that Taylor (thumb) will practice Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Mason Graham (DT) is doubtful for CLE

Doubtful means Graham is very unlikely to play for Cleveland against the Jets. The sheet lists no injury detail or replacement, so the safe assumption is the Browns' defensive front plays without him this week.

Noah Fant (TE) is questionable for NO

Fant was limited Wednesday with an abdomen injury and is questionable for Minnesota. Tyler Shough was also limited, so New Orleans has health questions in the passing game. Watch the end-of-week report before betting on Fant's receiving numbers.

Brock Bowers (TE) is questionable for LV

Bowers is the tight end the Raiders' passing game runs through, so any knee issue matters for this offense. He was limited in Wednesday's practice, which means he is working but not at full load, and questionable keeps the door open either way for New England. Watch the rest of the week's reports: a step up to full practice is the clearest sign he plays his normal role.

Charlie Kolar (TE) is questionable for LAC

Kolar (forearm) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.

Braves are 5-1 vs Dodgers this season

Atlanta has taken five of six from Los Angeles, and the most recent meeting was a 1-0 game. The sheet says nothing about who pitched, where the earlier games were played or the other margins, so the record has no stated cause. Six games is a small sample. Tonight is in Atlanta, and the starters and current form tell you more about this game than the 5-1 series mark.

Rashawn Slater

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Caleb Williams

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Chauncey Golston

Neck · Did not practice · Out

Arden Key

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Reese Taylor

Quadriceps · Did not practice · Out

Dallas Goedert (TE) is questionable for PHI

Goedert has a knee injury but is practicing Wednesday, a good sign for the Eagles tight end ahead of the game at Jacksonville. Questionable still leaves doubt, so confirm he stays on the field all week before counting on his usual role.

SirVocea Dennis

Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Out

Cobie Durant

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Ko Kieft (TE) is questionable for TB

Kieft (elbow) was a limited participant in practice Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

DeMarvion Overshown

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

Benjamin Morrison

Quadricep · Did not practice · Out

BAL: 241.5 team passing yards per game to ATL's 179.5

Baltimore is throwing for far more than Atlanta, a big shift from last season when the Ravens averaged 175.6 and the Falcons 207.2. Four games is short, but the Ravens look more pass-heavy this year. Atlanta's dip may bounce some at home. Ravens passing props carry more weight while this trend holds, and Atlanta may need the run to keep pace.

Luis Garcia Jr.: .276 OPS in Last 15 Days

Garcia Jr. has barely reached base or hit for power over his last 35 at-bats, a .276 OPS against .831 for the season. That 0.555 drop comes from a short stretch for a hitter who has been well above average all year. Slumps this deep over so few at-bats usually drift back toward the season line. In TB at NYY, his .831 is the better guide to his props than the cold two weeks.

P 1-for-3, 1 TB

SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to SF's 44.1%

Seattle holds offences to a 28.6% third-down rate, and San Francisco allows 44.1%. Both are four-game numbers, and the sheet does not name who each faced, so some movement is likely. Seattle getting off the field at home lines up with its takeaway numbers. San Francisco's defense letting drives continue gives Seattle's offense a cleaner path to sustained scoring.

CIN: 20.8 first downs per game to MIA's 13.3

CIN is at 20.8 first downs per game over 4 games; MIA is at 13.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.

SF: 0 sacks taken per game to SEA's 1.5

SF is at 0 sacks taken per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

TEN: 1.5 sacks taken per game to HOU's 3

Houston's line is giving up 3 sacks a game, Tennessee's half that. Last season the Titans took 3.5 and the Texans 2.58, so Tennessee has cleaned up a lot and Houston has slipped. Four games is short, but if the Titans pass rush gets home, Houston drives stall. On the road, the Texans need quick throws to protect the quarterback.

HOU: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2

Houston is averaging 3.5 sacks a game, Tennessee 2, both over four games. That is a steady rush for Houston, though four games is a short window and sack counts depend on how often opponents drop back. The sheet does not show the offenses faced. Going into Tennessee, Houston's pressure is the defensive edge to weigh on drive props and on the Tennessee quarterback's sack line.

JAX: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1

Jacksonville is getting home 2.5 times a game, while Philadelphia sits at 1 sack per game through four games. Sack totals over four games can lean on one big afternoon, and the sheet does not show which offensive lines each team faced. If the Jacksonville rush holds this pace, it adds pressure on Philadelphia's passing game, which matters for drive-killing negative plays and quarterback sack props.

MIN: 94.5 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 147.8

MIN is at 94.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NO is at 147.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Quinyon Mitchell (CB) is questionable for PHI

Mitchell, an Eagles cornerback, was limited at Wednesday's practice with a knee injury. Questionable means his availability against Jacksonville is undecided, though he did get some work. If he sits, Philadelphia's coverage plays without him, so watch his practice status through the end of the week.

Jourdan Lewis (CB) is questionable for JAX

Lewis is questionable for the Jaguars against Philadelphia after a strong game Sunday: five tackles, three solo, and an interception in the 22-17 win over the Bengals. The report doesn't say what the injury is. If he can't go, Jacksonville's secondary loses a corner who was just making plays, which matters against the Eagles' passing game.

Will Anderson Jr. (DE) is questionable for HOU

Anderson is questionable for the trip to Tennessee after five tackles and half a sack in Sunday's 34-30 loss to Dallas, so he played through whatever this is. The sheet names no injury or practice status, so his practice reports this week tell you more than the label does.

Charles Woods (CB) is questionable for NE

Woods left Sunday's 29-26 win over the Bills with a shoulder injury after making two tackles, one solo. Questionable gives him a path to face the Raiders, but corners need their shoulders to tackle and jam. If he is limited or out, New England's secondary depth gets tested against Las Vegas.

Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN

Darrisaw is in concussion protocol following Sunday's game versus the Dolphins, Dane Mizutani of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports. Reported Oct 6.

Elgton Jenkins (C) is questionable for CLE

Head coach Todd Monken said Wednesday that Jenkins has cleared the league's concussion protocol, Tom Withers of The Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 8.

Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (CB) is questionable for NYJ

Brownlee is in concussion protocol as Week 5 approaches, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Oct 5.

Brandon Cisse (CB) is questionable for GB

Brandon Cisse picked up a neck injury in Sunday's 17-14 win over the Buccaneers, and Matt LaFleur said he is not in the concussion protocol and the issue looks short-term. Questionable with that kind of coach language usually leans toward playing, though practice reports this week will tell you more. If he is limited or sits against Chicago, the Packers' corner depth gets tested, so check his status before backing the Bears' passing game.

Lukas Van Ness (DE) is questionable for GB

Van Ness was limited Wednesday with a shoulder injury, so he's getting some work ahead of the Bears game. A limited defensive end usually plays, but he may be on the field less. If he sits, Green Bay has less edge pressure, and that helps Chicago's quarterback a bit.

Riley Moss (CB) is questionable for DEN

Moss had imaging done on his ribs Monday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 5.

Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC

Jackson (hamstring) did not practice Wednesday, Kris Rhim of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 7.

Joe Alt (OT) is questionable for LAC

Alt (neck) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 8.

Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF

San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Stout is day-to-day with an AC joint sprain in his shoulder, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 7.

Ronnie Stanley (OT) is questionable for BAL

Stanley is Baltimore's left tackle and finished Sunday's 24-18 win over Tennessee despite a toe injury. Playing through it is a good sign, and questionable keeps him in line to face Atlanta. If he is limited, the Ravens' protection on the blind side is the spot to watch.

Cam Jurgens (C) is questionable for BAL

Baltimore traded for center Cam Jurgens from Philadelphia on Wednesday, and he is in the concussion protocol. He is questionable for the Atlanta game, and a new team plus a concussion makes an immediate debut uncertain. Expect the current Ravens center to keep the job until Jurgens is cleared and up to speed.

CHW have won 5 straight

The White Sox have won 5 in a row by a combined 13 runs and are 7-2 over their last 9, so the run has some length to it. Five games is a small sample, and the sheet names no player or unit driving it. The run margin says the wins have been earned. Hosting Cleveland tonight, the question is whether the price has already caught up to the hot stretch.

P team lost 9-3

JAX: 28.6% red-zone scoring allowed to PHI's 58.8%

PHI is at 58.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 28.6% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

CHI: 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 85.7%

CHI is at 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; GB is at 85.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

NYJ: 0.25 turnovers a game to CLE's 1.25

The Jets have turned it over 0.25 times a game through 4 games, Cleveland 1.25. Last season the Jets were at 1.35 and Cleveland at 1.47, so the Jets' near-spotless start is the outlier. That number should rise over a longer run. For this game, Cleveland has to win the turnover battle on the road to make up ground elsewhere.

NYJ: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.25

The Jets have turned it over once in four games, after 1.35 a game last season, which is a pace almost nobody keeps. Cleveland at 1.25 is close to its 1.47 from last season. The Jets' number should move up as the sample grows. Expect a cleaner Jets team than Cleveland, but price in more giveaways than four games show.

MIN: 1.75 takeaways per game to NO's 0.75

MIN is at 1.75 takeaways per game over 4 games; NO is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

LV: 2.25 takeaways per game to NE's 1.25

Las Vegas is forcing 2.25 takeaways a game, New England 1.25, each over four games. Takeaways are among the streakiest numbers in football, since fumble recoveries and tipped passes come and go, so expect Las Vegas's rate to come back toward the pack. The sheet does not show the offenses faced. Lean on it lightly for turnover props and avoid pricing it in as a lasting trait.

DET: 6.77 yards per pass attempt to ARI's 4.75

Detroit gets almost seven yards every time it throws, close to last season's 7.09, so that passing game looks real. Arizona is at 4.75 per attempt, down from 5.61 last season, which means short throws and few chunk gains. The Cardinals have to sustain long drives to keep up with an offense that can flip the field in a few plays. A Detroit edge through the air is the more trustworthy side of this gap.

SF: 6.97 yards per play to SEA's 5.83

SF is at 6.97 yards per play over 4 games; SEA is at 5.83 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 5.49 over 17 games and SEA at 5.98 over 17 games.

ATL: 48.3 rushing yards allowed per game to BAL's 100

Atlanta has allowed only 48.3 rushing yards a game, while Baltimore has given up 100, both over four games. The sheet does not show whether Atlanta faced run-heavy offenses or teams that threw because they trailed, and script shapes rushing totals a lot. When Baltimore visits, Atlanta's run defense number is the one to test first against rushing yardage props, with four games of evidence behind it.

LV: 1.5 turnovers a game to NE's 2.5

New England has turned it over 2.5 times a game through 4 games, the Raiders 1.5. Last season New England was at 0.94, so this is a sharp rise over a short stretch, while the Raiders at 1.35 have barely moved. New England's number is the one most likely to fall back. At home, New England's ball security decides whether the Raiders get short fields to work with.

Jaylon Carlies (LB) is questionable for IND

Carlies logged five tackles (three solo) and an interception during Sunday's 30-13 win over the Commanders in London before exiting with a rib injury in the third quarter, Joel A. Erickson of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 7.

Jason Pinnock (S) is questionable for NYG

Pinnock suffered a concussion during Sunday's 36-24 win over the Cardinals, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 5.

Frankie Luvu (LB) is questionable for WSH

Luvu (groin) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.

Sonny Styles (LB) is questionable for WSH

Styles (groin) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (S) is questionable for ARI

Taylor-Demerson has a back injury and was limited Wednesday, so he practiced in some form. With fellow safety Andrew Wingard also questionable after missing practice, Arizona's safety group is thin heading into the Detroit game, and that is the spot to watch.

Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI

Wingard has a knee injury and did not practice Wednesday, a worse early sign than a limited session. Dadrion Taylor-Demerson is also questionable at safety with a back issue, so Arizona could be short at the position against Detroit. Later-week practice reports will tell you how many of them suit up.

Leonard Williams (DT) is questionable for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that he expects Williams (ankle) to be available for this Sunday's NFC West showdown against the 49ers, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports. Reported Oct 5.

Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL

Hendrickson didn't practice Wednesday because of a finger injury. A finger usually doesn't keep a pass rusher off the field, and many players just tape it up and play. If he does sit against Atlanta, Baltimore's pass rush gets thinner, so check the inactive list before betting on the Falcons' passing game.

Chris Moore (WR) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Chris Moore as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.

Jake Cronenworth: .968 OPS in Last 15 Days

Cronenworth has a .968 OPS over the last 15 days in 47 AB, well above his .629 season mark. That 0.339 swing comes from about two weeks of games, and a .629 hitter over a full season usually settles back toward it. His total-bases line tonight is 1.5, which needs a double or two hits, so lean on the season baseline more than the hot stretch when judging it.

P 0-for-2, 0 TB

Josiah Trotter (LB) is questionable for TB

Trotter (knee) was listed as a limited participant on the Buccaneers' estimated injury report Monday, Brianna Dix of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 6.

Jihaad Campbell (LB) is questionable for PHI

Campbell (knee) did not practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.

Amani Hooker (S) is questionable for TEN

Hooker is a starting safety for Tennessee, and he reported concussion symptoms after Sunday's 24-18 loss to the Ravens. He sits out Wednesday's practice, and a concussion means he has to clear the league's protocol before he can play against Houston, so questionable here leans on how he progresses through the week. Watch the late-week practice reports: if he stays out, the Titans' secondary is thinner against the Texans' passing game.

CHI (3-1) at GB (2-2), a division game

Chicago has won 2 straight at +47, a margin that backs up the 3-1 record, and it won its only road game. Green Bay sits at 2-2 but -32, which means its losses were lopsided, and it lost its only home game. Those home and road splits are one game each, so they add little. The point differential is the stronger signal here, and it favors Chicago more than the records alone suggest.

ARI: 233.8 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 304

Detroit is allowing 304 passing yards a game, Arizona 233.8, over four games each. Passing yards allowed can swell when a defense plays with a lead and opponents throw to catch up, and the sheet does not show the game scripts or opponents. With Detroit visiting Arizona, the Detroit pass defense gives Arizona's passing props the more favorable setup.

Atlanta Braves pen: 15.1 relief IP across 3 games

Brent Suter worked 2 games (54 pitches); Raisel Iglesias worked 2 games (25 pitches; 2.55 season ERA over 60 IP). The pen allowed 7 ER in that 15.1-IP span (Oct 3–Oct 6).

NYG (3-1) at WSH (1-3), a division game

The Giants are 3-1 but only +3 on the year, so their wins have been close, and their one road game was a loss. Washington is 1-3 at -34, a team that has been beaten badly when it loses, though it has split two home games. A 3-1 record at +3 tends to drift toward the middle. In a division game, the Giants' record oversells the gap between these two, and that matters when you size up a road favorite.

TB: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 73.3%

TB is at 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; DAL is at 73.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Marcus Epps (S) is questionable for PHI

Epps (groin) did not practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.

SF (4-0) at SEA (3-1), a division game

SF is unbeaten through four games and has outscored teams by 58, while SEA is 3-1 at +32 and has won 1 straight. The road and home splits are thin: SF has played just one road game, SEA is 2-0 at home. Four games is a small sample, so the point differential tells you more than the records. In a division game where both teams are winning, think about how much of SF's edge survives a trip to a building where SEA has not lost yet.

Barrett Carter (LB) is questionable for CIN

Carter posted 11 tackles (five solo) and one pass defense during Sunday's 22-17 loss to the Jaguars. Reported Oct 7.

Jackson Woodard (LB) is questionable for MIA

Woodard suffered an ankle injury during Sunday's 15-10 loss to the Vikings. Reported Oct 5.

Dante Trader Jr. (S) is questionable for MIA

Trader (knee) is considered day-to-day ahead of Week 5, C. Isaiah Smalls II of the Miami Herald reports. Reported Oct 5.

Julian Blackmon (S) is questionable for NO

Blackmon logged 10 tackles (five solo) in the Saints' 45-24 loss to the Falcons on Monday. Reported Oct 8.

Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) is questionable for HOU

Al-Shaair was limited Wednesday with a groin injury before Houston's trip to Tennessee. Groin injuries can flare up, so whether he gets in a full practice later in the week tells you more than the questionable tag. If he's out, the Texans lose a linebacker who sees a lot of snaps, and the Titans' short passing game could get easier.

Zack Baun (LB) is questionable for PHI

Baun (concussion) was limited during practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.

Colson Montgomery: .265 OPS in Last 15 Days

Montgomery has a .265 OPS in 39 AB over the last 15 days, with little getting on base or going for extra bases. His season mark is .685, so the 0.42 dip comes off a baseline that was already modest. In 39 AB, some bounce back is the likelier path, though .685 is a limited ceiling. For CLE at CHW, expect production closer to his season form than to this slump.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB

Kaden Elliss (LB) is questionable for NO

Elliss (calf) was estimated as a non-participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.

Jaden Crumedy (DT) is questionable for HOU

Crumedy hurt his shoulder in Sunday's 34-30 loss to the Cowboys, and questionable leaves his status open for the trip to Tennessee. He is a depth piece on the Houston defensive line, so his absence would mean a lighter rotation up front more than a major shift in the matchup.

Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI

Greenard (ankle) did not practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.

Kingsley Enagbare (LB) is questionable for NYJ

Enagbare (knee) was limited in practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.

Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB) is questionable for IND

Davis-Gaither was a non-participant in Wednesday's practice due to a knee injury. Reported Oct 7.

DET: 29.8 points per game to ARI's 21.8

DET is at 29.8 points per game over 4 games; ARI is at 21.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 28.3 over 17 games and ARI at 20.9 over 17 games.

JAX: 74.3 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 122

PHI is at 122 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 74.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

SF: 9.32 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 7.43

SF is at 9.32 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 7.43 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.

Xander Bogaerts: 1.123 OPS in Last 15 Days

Bogaerts has a 1.123 OPS in 34 AB over the last 15 days, against .676 for the season, a 0.447 swing. Thirty-four at-bats is a small sample, and 13 home runs on the season point to modest power over the long run. Expect this to cool toward the season line. His total-bases line tonight is 1.5, which takes a double or two hits, so price it off the .676 hitter more than the hot two weeks.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

Tyler Smith

Thumb · Full practice · Questionable

Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 4 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 967 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 10.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in. Lamar Jackson is also listed q for this matchup.

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Thornton (hamstring) was a full participant at practice Wednesday, Anthony Galaviz of The Fresno Bee reports. Reported Oct 7.

Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU

Dell is on IR with a designation to return, and he was limited Wednesday with his knee injury. Being back at practice is the first step, but Houston still has to activate him from IR before he can play at Tennessee. Until that move happens, treat him as unavailable.

Chase McLaughlin (PK) is questionable for TB

McLaughlin didn't practice Tuesday due to a right groin/hip injury. Reported Oct 6.

IND: 2 sacks taken a game to PIT's 3.25

Pittsburgh has taken 3.25 sacks a game through 4 games, Indianapolis 2. Indianapolis is right on its 2.07 from last season, while Pittsburgh is up from 2.38. Pittsburgh's jump over four games is the number more likely to settle back. At home, Pittsburgh needs to keep its quarterback upright to avoid drives dying on negative plays.

Jonathan Mingo

Illness · Did not practice · Questionable

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 2 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 260 passing yards, completed 56.9% of his passes and averaged 5.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Jayden Daniels is also listed q for this matchup.

NO: 72.8 offensive plays per game to MIN's 59.8

MIN is at 59.8 offensive plays per game over 4 games; NO is at 72.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

IND: 13.8 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 26.8

Pittsburgh is losing 26.8 yards a game to sacks, close to double last season's 14.8. Indianapolis at 13.8 sits near its 15.1 from last season. Four games is a small window, so Pittsburgh's number could ease, but every one of those lost yards puts the offense in long down and distance. If the Steelers' protection doesn't improve, their drives will keep stalling.

DEN: 5.8 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 18.8

DEN is at 5.8 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; LAC is at 18.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and LAC at 21.6 over 17 games.

Irv Charles (WR) is ir-r for SEA

Charles (undisclosed) practiced Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Charbonnet (knee) won't be activated from the reserve/PUP list in advance of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Gregg Bell of The Tacoma News Tribune reports. Reported Oct 5.

Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Friday that the 49ers could open Kirk's (calf) practice window to return from injured reserve in two weeks, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 2.

Trevor Penning (G) is questionable for LAC

Penning (concussion) did not participate in Wednesday's practice, Kris Rhim of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 8.

Yandy Diaz: .450 OPS in Last 15 Days

Diaz has a .450 OPS across his last 40 at-bats, well off his .805 season mark, a 0.355 gap. Forty AB is a small window, and the full season says he is a productive hitter in a cold patch. Gaps like this tend to close as at-bats pile up. In TB at NYY, the season line is the better guide, with the recent dip as a reason for some caution on short-term props.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

Savion Williams (WR) is ir-r for GB

Williams (ankle) was a limited participant Wednesday after the Packers opened his 21-day practice window. Reported Oct 7.

Jeremy McNichols (RB) is ir-r for WSH

McNichols (quadriceps) had his 21-day practice window opened prior to Wednesday's session, during which he was a limited participant. Reported Oct 7.

MIA has lost 4 straight

Miami has lost every game through four weeks. The sheet does not list the opponents, so how much of that is the schedule is unknown. Four games can mislead, and a home game against Cincinnati is a spot to judge on the matchup more than on the streak.

HOU has lost 4 straight

Houston is still looking for its first win after four games. Their opponent, Tennessee, is also winless, so one of these streaks ends here. With two 0-4 teams, the records cancel out and this comes down to the matchup itself.

TB has lost 4 straight

Tampa Bay has not won a game yet, four tries in and four losses. The sheet does not say who they lost to, so we cannot tell whether this is a bad team or a hard early schedule. Four games is a small slice of a season, and going to Dallas is a tough place to turn it around.

SF has won 4 straight

San Francisco is 4-0, with two of those wins inside the division. Going to Seattle, who is also unbeaten in division play, is a real test of the streak. Unbeaten teams tend to carry inflated prices, so weigh what this matchup says on its own.

Tim Patrick (WR) is ir-r for NYJ

The Jets designated Patrick (groin) for return from injured reserve Wednesday, John Pullano of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is ir-r for NO

Tyson (hamstring) is said to be making progress and feeling good but isn't expected to be activated from injured reserve until Week 7 at the soonest, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 5.

SEA: 144.8 passing yards allowed per game to SF's 209

Seattle is holding offenses to 144.8 passing yards a game, while San Francisco allows 209, both over four games. That Seattle number is very low, and four games is a short run, so some drift upward is likely. The sheet does not show who they faced. For San Francisco at Seattle, Seattle's pass defense makes it a tougher spot for San Francisco's passing yardage props.

LAC has lost 4 straight

The Chargers have lost all four games, and their one division game went the wrong way too. Four games is early, and this one is at home against Denver, who also lost its only division game. Look at the matchup before leaning on a winless record.

MIN has won 4 straight

Minnesota is a perfect 4-0. The sheet does not say who those wins came against, so the quality of the run is unclear. A road trip to New Orleans tests whether the streak carries away from home, and unbeaten teams often get priced up off the record alone.

NO: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2

MIN is at 2 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NO is at 3.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.

SEA: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to SF's 1.5

SF is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; SEA is at 2.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

IND: 2 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.25

IND is at 2 sacks taken per game over 4 games; PIT is at 3.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and PIT at 2.38 over 17 games.

Freddie Freeman: .489 OPS in Last 15 Days

Freeman has a .489 OPS over 46 AB in the last 15 days, well under his .792 season mark. Two weeks of at-bats is a window where a few hard-hit outs can drag the number down. A .792 hitter usually drifts back toward his baseline. At Atlanta, weigh his full season more heavily than this stretch when you look at his props.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1

DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

DAL: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1.25

TB is at 1.25 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and DAL at 0.71 over 17 games.

MIN: 4.93 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.9

MIN is at 4.93 yards per play allowed over 4 games; NO is at 5.9 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

Dart recently underwent surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.

Chris Manhertz (TE) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Chris Manhertz as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Adam Trautman (TE) is questionable for DEN

DEN lists Adam Trautman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR

The Rams listed Colby Parkinson as questionable on Oct 6 ahead of Buffalo, with no injury named. Questionable means a coin-flip type call, so any LAR tight end prop is a wait-for-inactives bet.

Tristan Peters: .307 OPS in Last 15 Days

Peters has a .307 OPS over the last 15 days, but that covers only 28 AB. His season mark is .774, so the 0.467 drop rests on a sample where a handful of outcomes swing everything. Expect movement back toward the season line more than a lasting collapse. In CLE at CHW, lean on the .774 when judging his props and give the recent stretch light weight.

P 1-for-4, 2 TB

BAL: 8.85 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 7.15

BAL is at 8.85 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; ATL is at 7.15 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BAL was at 6.69 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 12

SF is at 0 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; SEA is at 12 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

AFC WEST game: DEN 0-1, LAC 0-1 in the division

Denver and the Chargers each dropped their one division game. One game is not a trend. The Chargers are also winless overall, so this home game matters more for them than for Denver.

NFC WEST game: SF 2-0, SEA 1-0 in the division

San Francisco is 2-0 in the division and Seattle is 1-0, so one of those perfect marks goes away. Three games total is a small sample, but this is the first real separation point in the West race, and it is in Seattle.

NFC EAST game: NYG 1-0, WSH 0-2 in the division

The Giants won their only division game, while Washington lost both of theirs. Three combined games is a tiny sample. This one is in Washington, which gives the home side a chance to even things out.

NYG: 43.4% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.6%

The Giants are converting 43.4% on third down, up a little from 40.2% last season, so that looks mostly real. Washington is at 31.6% after 37.6% last season, a drop four games can produce and then fix. Extra third-down conversions mean longer Giants drives and fewer Washington possessions. Expect Washington's rate to rise toward last season's mark.

NFC NORTH game: CHI 0-1, GB 0-1 in the division

These two share the NFC NORTH. CHI is 0-1 against it, GB is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-06.

HOU: 29:12 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:19

HOU is at 29:12 time of possession per game over 4 games; TEN is at 24:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 31:49 over 17 games and TEN at 29:08 over 17 games.

HOU: 21 points per game to TEN's 13.8

HOU is at 21 points per game over 4 games; TEN is at 13.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.

JAX: 26 points per game to PHI's 18.8

PHI is at 18.8 points per game over 4 games; JAX is at 26 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.

HOU @ TEN carries a 37.5 market total

At 37.5, the market expects Houston and Tennessee to score 6 points fewer than the typical game on a slate where the median total is 43.5. That projects a game of field goals and long drives, with few quick scores. For it to crack, someone needs short fields: turnovers, a return score or a couple of explosive plays. A bettor can ask whether either offense has shown it can finish drives with touchdowns, since a low total leaves little room once one team starts scoring.

PHI: 222 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 280.3

PHI is at 222 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 280.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Chase Meidroth: 1.066 OPS in Last 15 Days

Meidroth has a 1.066 OPS in 41 AB over the last 15 days, against a .765 season baseline, a 0.301 swing. Forty-one at-bats is a small window, but a .765 season with 16 home runs is a solid floor to fall back to. His total-bases line tonight is 0.5, which one hit clears, so the question is how often he reaches safely, and both his season and recent form support him there.

P 1-for-4, 2 TB

Brayan Rocchio: 1.068 OPS in Last 15 Days

Rocchio has a 1.068 OPS in 34 AB over the last 15 days, against a .705 season mark, a 0.363 swing. Thirty-four at-bats is a short run, and a .705 hitter usually cools back toward his baseline. His 15 home runs on the season show the power is real. His total-bases line tonight is 0.5, so one hit cashes it, which makes reaching safely matter more than the hot OPS.

P 2-for-4, 2 TB

Ozzie Albies: .405 OPS in Last 15 Days

Albies has a .405 OPS in 43 AB over the last 15 days, down 0.28 from his .685 season mark. That is a cold two weeks in a small sample, and his season number was already modest, so any bounce back has a low ceiling. In LAD at ATL, the .685 is the better guide to his production, with the slump as a reason for caution on his overs.

P 1-for-4, 2 TB

Will Smith: 1.182 OPS in Last 15 Days

Smith has a 1.182 OPS in 31 AB over the last 15 days, against .781 for the season, a 0.401 swing. Thirty-one at-bats is a short sample, and a number like 1.182 rarely holds. With 10 home runs on the season, he is a solid hitter running hot. His total-bases line at Atlanta is 1.5, which needs a double or two hits, so price it closer to the .781 hitter than the hot stretch.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

Mookie Betts: 1.046 OPS in Last 15 Days

Betts has a 1.046 OPS over the last 15 days against a .780 season mark, across 46 AB, a decent sample for two weeks. His 23 home runs on the season show he has the power for stretches like this, though some regression toward .780 is likely. His total-bases line at Atlanta is 1.5, which needs a double or two hits, so his extra-base form matters more here than in a one-hit prop.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

LAR: 290.3 pass yards a game to BUF's 247.3

The Rams are throwing for 290.3 yards a game through 4 games, Buffalo 247.3. The Rams are up from 268.1 last season, and Buffalo has jumped from 216.6, so both passing games are running hot. Four games is a short sample, and some cooling is likely. With both teams throwing well above last year, this sets up as a game where each defense has to slow the pass to get an edge.

TEN: 9.3 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 20.5

HOU is at 20.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; TEN is at 9.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 20.8 over 17 games and TEN at 26.1 over 17 games.

DEN (2-2) at LAC (0-4), a division game

DEN is 2-2, -20 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. LAC is 0-4, -39 points on the year, has lost 4 straight this season. DEN is 0-2 on the road; LAC is 0-2 at home. Both live in the AFC WEST.

Cam Lewis (CB) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Cam Lewis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Darnell Wright (OT) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Darnell Wright as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Andrew Thomas (OT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Andrew Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jalen Ramsey (CB) is questionable for PIT

PIT lists Jalen Ramsey as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jarrian Jones (CB) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Jarrian Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Cameron Thomas (DE) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Cameron Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Michael Jerrell (OT) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Michael Jerrell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

TEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to HOU's 27.3

HOU is at 27.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 20.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 17.4 over 17 games and TEN at 28.1 over 17 games.

Nehemiah Pritchett (CB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Nehemiah Pritchett as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Cam Hart (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Cam Hart as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Next college slate · OCT 9

BDL lists 4 covered college games on the next college slate. All 4 kickoff times are confirmed.

Jager Burton (C) is questionable for GB

GB lists Jager Burton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jacob Monk (C) is questionable for GB

GB lists Jacob Monk as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Anthony Belton (OT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Belton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Morgan Moses (OT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Morgan Moses as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Dre'Mont Jones (DE) is questionable for NE

NE lists Dre'Mont Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Drew Kendall (C) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Drew Kendall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Lane Johnson (OT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Lane Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Fred Johnson (OT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Fred Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Carlton Davis III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Karon Prunty (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Karon Prunty as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Austin Jackson (OT) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Austin Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

JuJu Brents (CB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists JuJu Brents as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Robert Beal Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Marcus Harris (CB) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists Marcus Harris as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

John Franklin-Myers (DE) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists John Franklin-Myers as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Logan Hall (DE) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Logan Hall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jadeveon Clowney (DE) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Jadeveon Clowney as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Nate Thomas (OT) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Nate Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Padres are 4-2 vs Brewers this season

San Diego is 4-2 against Milwaukee in six meetings, and the most recent one was a 4-3 game. That is close to an even split over a short sample, and the sheet has nothing on starters, venues or margins that points to a matchup edge. Tonight is in San Diego. The pitching matchup and current form carry more weight than a 4-2 series.

San Diego Padres pen: 13.2 relief IP across 3 games

Yuki Matsui worked all 3 games (65 pitches); Mason Miller worked 1 game (40 pitches; 1.67 season ERA over 70 IP). The pen allowed 4 ER in that 13.2-IP span (Oct 3–Oct 6).

Jaylen Watson (CB) is questionable for LAR

The Rams list Jaylen Watson as questionable on Oct 6 ahead of Buffalo, with no injury detail. With a corner questionable on each side, both teams' passing props hinge on the final inactive lists.

Christian Benford (CB) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo listed Christian Benford as questionable on Oct 6 for the trip to the Rams, with no injury given. If Benford sits, the Bills corner group is thinner against LAR receivers, so wait on Rams passing props.

Josh Hines-Allen (DE) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Josh Hines-Allen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Tanor Bortolini (C) is questionable for IND

IND lists Tanor Bortolini as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

LAC: 36.5% third downs allowed to DEN's 47.5%

Denver lets opponents convert 47.5% of third downs, while the Chargers allow 36.5%, both over four games. Third-down rates on four games can shift with a few long conversions, and the sheet does not show the offenses faced. For Denver at the Chargers, Denver's third-down leak points to longer Chargers drives, which matters for possession and scoring totals.

SEA: 3.93 yards per play allowed to SF's 4.82

SF is at 4.82 yards per play allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 3.93 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Anton Harrison (OT) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Anton Harrison as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Will Mallory (TE) is ir-r for IND

Colts head coach Shane Steichen said that Mallory (thumb) will have his 21-day practice window opened Wednesday, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 7.

Montaric Brown (CB) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Montaric Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Derek Barnett (DE) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Derek Barnett as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Carl Granderson (DE) is questionable for NO

NO lists Carl Granderson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Cole Van Lanen (OT) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Cole Van Lanen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

JAX: 5.63 yards per play to PHI's 4.75

Jacksonville is gaining 5.63 a play to Philadelphia's 4.75, after both sat at 5.27 last season. The Jaguars had 5 plays of 20+ yards last game, including a 29-yard Trevor Lawrence throw to Josh Cameron and a 25-yard Chris Rodriguez Jr. touchdown run, while the Eagles had none. One game of explosives swings a lot, so both teams likely move back toward last season. Jacksonville is the side making big plays right now.

Charles Demmings (CB) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Charles Demmings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Brian O'Neill (OT) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Brian O'Neill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Ben Yurosek (TE) is ir-r for MIN

Yurosek (undisclosed) practiced Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.

HOU: 83.8 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 122.8

Houston has allowed 83.8 rushing yards a game, Tennessee 122.8, both through four games. Rushing yards allowed often reflect game script, since trailing offenses run less, and the sheet does not show opponents or scores. In Houston at Tennessee, the run game looks like the tougher path against Houston, so Tennessee's rushing props carry the steeper climb.

MIA: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.42

CIN is at 3.42 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; MIA is at 4.52 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 4.14 over 17 games and MIA at 4.64 over 17 games.

Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Channing Canada as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Christian Gonzalez (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Christian Gonzalez as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

IND: 25.5 points per game to PIT's 19.3

IND is at 25.5 points per game over 4 games; PIT is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and PIT at 23.4 over 17 games.

NYJ has lost 3 straight

The Jets won their opener, then lost the next three. Cleveland comes in on the opposite run, three straight wins. Four games is early, and this game at home is the Jets' chance to show the slide is more schedule than team.

SF: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 1.25

SF is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 1.29 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.

DEN: 46.8 penalty yards per game to LAC's 72.3

DEN is at 46.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; LAC is at 72.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and LAC at 46.3 over 17 games.

ARI has lost 3 straight

Arizona won once, then dropped three straight to sit 1-3. The sheet does not list who they lost to. Detroit visits next, and with only four games played, the streak is a short sample to read too much into.

PIT: 209.5 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 261.3

Indianapolis is allowing 261.3 passing yards a game, Pittsburgh 209.5, through four games. Passing yards allowed rise when opponents trail and throw late, and the sheet does not show which offenses or scripts drove these numbers. In Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, the matchup favors Pittsburgh's passing props more than Indianapolis's, with four games of evidence behind it.

DET: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to ARI's 1

DET is at 0.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 0.88 over 17 games and ARI at 1.24 over 17 games.

CLE has won 3 straight

Cleveland has won three straight after a loss in its opener, now 3-1. The sheet does not show the opponents, so how earned the run is stays unclear. The Jets have lost three in a row, which makes this road trip a fair spot for the streak to keep going, though prices may already reflect it.

NYG: 2 takeaways per game to WSH's 1.25

The Giants are forcing 2 takeaways a game, Washington 1.25, each over four games. Turnovers swing on bounces and tipped balls, so a four-game takeaway rate usually settles back down. The sheet does not show the offenses faced. In the Giants at Washington, give the Giants' takeaway edge some weight on turnover props without treating it as a lasting trait.

DAL: 8.3 sack yards lost per game to TB's 18.5

TB is at 18.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; DAL is at 8.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.

DAL: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to TB's 1

TB is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 0.29 over 17 games and DAL at 0.53 over 17 games.

LV: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.25

LV is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NE is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NE at 3.71 over 17 games.

SF: 4.85 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.78

SF is at 4.85 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 3.78 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 3.81 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

DAL: 5.53 yards per play to TB's 4.67

Dallas gains 5.53 a play to Tampa Bay's 4.67, and had 4 plays of 20+ yards last game, led by a 53-yard Dak Prescott throw to George Pickens. Tampa Bay had 2 of those, both from Jalon Daniels. Dallas was at 5.96 last season and Tampa at 5.12, so both teams sit below their norm and could climb. The Cowboys' downfield passing is the edge to respect.

HOU: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to TEN's 1.25

HOU is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 0.71 over 17 games and TEN at 1.12 over 17 games.

WSH: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.25

NYG is at 1.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season NYG was at 1 over 17 games and WSH at 1.35 over 17 games.

LAC: 1.75 takeaways per game to DEN's 1

The Chargers are forcing 1.75 takeaways a game, Denver 1, over four games apiece. A gap of under one takeaway a game across four games is a few loose balls, and turnover rates move around a lot week to week. The sheet does not show opponents faced. In Denver at the Chargers, this is a mild edge for the home defense, too thin to build a whole position around.

SF: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 66.7%

SF is at 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 66.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

ARI: 1.75 takeaways per game to DET's 1

Arizona is forcing 1.75 takeaways a game, Detroit 1, both over four games. That gap amounts to a few extra turnovers, and takeaway numbers tend to drift back toward average. The sheet does not show who either defense faced. In Detroit at Arizona, it is a small tilt toward Arizona on turnover props, with little to build on beyond four games.

Andrew Vorhees

Foot · Did not practice

TEN: 209.8 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 260

HOU is at 260 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 209.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

BAL: 215.3 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 264.8

BAL is at 215.3 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; ATL is at 264.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Rueben Bain Jr. (LB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Rueben Bain Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.

Anthony Nelson (LB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Anthony Nelson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Tank Bigsby (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Bigsby (abdomen) on injured reserve Tuesday, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 6.

DaVon Hamilton (DT) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists DaVon Hamilton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Braden Smith (OT) is ir-r for HOU

The Texans designated Smith (foot) to return from injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.

British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Brooks (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 3.

Jamal Hill (LB) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Jamal Hill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Joshua Williams (CB) is ir-r for TEN

The Titans opened Williams' (pectoral) 21-day practice window Wednesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 8.

Kevin Winston Jr. (S) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists Kevin Winston Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jeffery Simmons (DT) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists Jeffery Simmons as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

B.J. Hill (DT) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists B.J. Hill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Bryan Cook (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Bryan Cook as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Jordan Battle (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Jordan Battle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Kyle Dugger as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Swayze Bozeman (LB) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Swayze Bozeman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Dexter Lawrence II (DT) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Dexter Lawrence II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Folorunso Fatukasi (DT) is questionable for LV

LV lists Folorunso Fatukasi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Brown (ankle) was seen in the locker room Wednesday without a noticeable limp, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 7.

Craig Woodson (S) is questionable for NE

NE lists Craig Woodson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Christian Barmore (DT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Christian Barmore as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Christian Elliss (LB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Christian Elliss as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Michael Jurgens (C) is ir-r for MIN

The Vikings designated Jurgens (elbow) for return from injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 1.

Anfernee Jennings (LB) is questionable for NO

NO lists Anfernee Jennings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Grant Delpit (S) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Grant Delpit as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Mike Hall Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Berrios (foot) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Deatrich Wise Jr. (DE) is pup-r for WSH

Wise (quadriceps) had his 21-day practice window opened Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.

Trey Amos (CB) is ir-r for WSH

The Commanders opened Amos' (ankle) 21-day practice window ahead of Wednesday's session. Reported Oct 7.

Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Lane (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

Nick Cross (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Nick Cross as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Percy Butler (S) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Percy Butler as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

Gordon (calf) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.

Keyshaun Elliott (LB) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Keyshaun Elliott as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Parsons (knee), per head coach Matt LaFleur, will not practice this week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 5.

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Devonte Wyatt (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Devonte Wyatt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Dondrea Tillman (LB) is questionable for DEN

DEN lists Dondrea Tillman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Dalvin Tomlinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Derwin James Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

Mays, a center, has been on injured reserve with a wrist injury, and Detroit opened his window to return on Wednesday. That starts a practice period, and it does not mean he is active for Arizona; the Lions still have to add him back to the roster. For bettors this is a depth note on the interior line, so check whether he is activated before kickoff rather than counting on him.

DJ Wonnum (LB) is questionable for DET

DET lists DJ Wonnum as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Tyleik Williams (DT) is questionable for DET

DET lists Tyleik Williams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Ty Okada (S) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Ty Okada as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Price (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 3.

Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Tyrice Knight (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Tyrice Knight as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Kyle Hamilton (S) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Kyle Hamilton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Yasir Abdullah as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

T.J. Sanders (DT) is questionable for BUF

Buffalo listed defensive tackle T.J. Sanders as questionable on Oct 6 ahead of the trip to the Rams, and the report gives no injury detail or note on when he last played. Questionable means it is uncertain whether he plays, so his status may not be settled until closer to kickoff. If Sanders sits, Buffalo has one fewer body in its interior line rotation, so check the final inactives before betting anything that leans on the Rams running inside.

Aaron Donald (DT) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Aaron Donald as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

HOU: 63.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53.8

HOU is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; TEN is at 53.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 64 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

CIN: 62.3 offensive plays per game to MIA's 52.5

CIN is at 62.3 offensive plays per game over 4 games; MIA is at 52.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 62.2 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.

LAR: 20.8 points allowed per game to BUF's 26.8

Buffalo is allowing 26.8 points a game over four games, a clear jump from 21.5 last season. The Rams at 20.8 are right at last season's 20.4, so that defense looks steady. Four games is short, so Buffalo's number could improve. If it doesn't, this game leans toward a Rams offense finding points.

LV: 3 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2

Las Vegas is averaging 3 sacks a game, New England 2, both through four games. Sack counts over four games can lean on one big outing, and the sheet does not show which lines they faced. For Las Vegas at New England, the Raiders' rush is the edge to weigh on the New England quarterback's sack line and on drives that stall on negative plays.

WSH: 1.75 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.75

Washington's pass rush is getting to the quarterback almost two times a game, while the Giants are barely getting home at all through four games. Four games is a small sample, and the sheet doesn't say who either defense faced, so some of this gap could be schedule. If it holds, the Giants' quarterback should face more pressure in this game than Washington's, which matters for drive-killing sacks and turnover props.

Eric Murray

Concussion · Did not practice

Drew Kendall

Knee · Did not practice

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jonathan Greenard

Ankle · Did not practice

Saquon Barkley

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jihaad Campbell

Knee · Did not practice

Hollywood Brown

Ankle · Did not practice

Marcus Epps

Groin · Did not practice

Tony Pollard

Foot · Did not practice

Will Anderson Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

John Franklin-Myers

Back · Did not practice

Trent Brown

Did not practice

Jamal Hill

Knee · Did not practice

Marcus Harris

Knee · Did not practice

Amani Hooker

Concussion · Did not practice

Jeffery Simmons

Back · Did not practice

Jackson Woodard

Ankle · Did not practice

Jonathan Allen

Did not practice

Caleb Douglas

Ankle · Did not practice

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Swayze Bozeman

Groin · Did not practice

Bryan Cook

Ankle · Did not practice

Kyle Dugger

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Ja'Marr Chase

Concussion · Did not practice

Tee Higgins

Groin · Did not practice

Jalen Nailor

Concussion · Did not practice

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Did not practice

Mack Hollins

Calf · Did not practice

Karon Prunty

Hamstring · Did not practice

Christian Gonzalez

Shoulder · Did not practice

Tyler Shough

Hand · Did not practice

Christian Darrisaw

Concussion · Did not practice

Alvin Kamara

Back · Did not practice

Barion Brown

Thigh · Did not practice

Jordan Addison

Hamstring · Did not practice

Charles Demmings

Hamstring · Did not practice

Chris Olave

Did not practice

Kaden Elliss

Calf · Did not practice

Anfernee Jennings

Knee · Did not practice

Breece Hall

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Mike Hall Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

Derek Barnett

Ankle · Did not practice

Adonai Mitchell

Finger · Did not practice

Dylan Parham

Knee · Did not practice

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Jarvis Brownlee Jr.

Concussion · Did not practice

Teven Jenkins

Back · Did not practice

Tylan Wallace

Knee · Did not practice

Mason Graham

Knee - MCL · Did not practice

Jaylon Carlies

Ribs · Did not practice

Ashton Dulin

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jalen Ramsey

Wrist · Did not practice

Akeem Davis-Gaither

Knee · Did not practice

Tanor Bortolini

Ankle · Did not practice

Jamel Dean

Ankle · Did not practice

Cameron Heyward

Did not practice

Stefon Diggs

Hamstring · Did not practice

Andrew Thomas

Groin · Did not practice

Percy Butler

Hamstring · Did not practice

Marcus Mariota

Knee - MCL · Did not practice

Terry McLaurin

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jason Pinnock

Concussion · Did not practice

Tyler Owens

Hamstring · Did not practice

Charles Omenihu

Groin · Did not practice

Najee Harris

Did not practice

Malik Nabers

Knee · Did not practice

Chris Brooks

Ankle · Did not practice

Aaron Banks

Toe · Did not practice

Jager Burton

Back · Did not practice

Jacob Monk

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Jonah Jackson

Ankle · Did not practice

Darnell Wright

Ankle · Did not practice

Joe Thuney

Pectoral · Did not practice

Grady Jarrett

Did not practice

D'Andre Swift

Hip · Did not practice

Kyle Monangai

Thumb · Did not practice

Pat Bryant

Ankle · Did not practice

Pat Surtain II

Ankle · Did not practice

Donte Jackson

Hamstring · Did not practice

Ladd McConkey

Foot · Did not practice

Riley Moss

Ribs · Did not practice

Derwin James Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Joe Alt

Neck · Did not practice

Kayode Awosika

Lower Leg · Did not practice

Trevor Penning

Concussion · Did not practice

Ben Bartch

Foot · Did not practice

Tyleik Williams

Foot · Did not practice

Josh Sweat

Did not practice

Isaac Seumalo

Did not practice

Jordan Burch

Did not practice

Budda Baker

Did not practice

Andrew Wingard

Knee · Did not practice

Rock Ya-Sin

Hamstring · Did not practice

Upton Stout

Shoulder - AC Joint · Did not practice

Trent Williams

Did not practice

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Did not practice

Christian McCaffrey

Did not practice

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Did not practice

Nick Bosa

Calf · Did not practice

James Thompson Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

Dre Greenlaw

Did not practice

Za'Darius Smith

Concussion · Did not practice

Ronnie Stanley

Toe · Did not practice

Jake Matthews

Groin · Did not practice

Yasir Abdullah

Hamstring · Did not practice

Lamar Jackson

Ankle · Did not practice

Durham Smythe

Achilles · Did not practice

Trey Hendrickson

Finger · Did not practice

Calais Campbell

Did not practice

Marlon Humphrey

Calf · Did not practice

CLE has 3 more days of rest

Cleveland gets a full six days to prepare and the Jets get three, so New York is installing a game plan, getting banged-up players back on the field and traveling nothing while still recovering from the last one. The team on the short week usually trims practice to walkthroughs and leans on a simpler script. Look at how much the Jets' plan depends on timing and complexity, because that is what a three-day turnaround squeezes first.

PIT has 3 more days of rest

Pittsburgh is home on six days of rest while Indianapolis travels on three, which stacks a short week on top of a road trip for the Colts. A team in that spot typically cuts practice to light sessions and has less time for injured players to heal. The rested home side gets the extra installs and film work, so the late-game legs and the depth of the Colts' game plan are the places to look.

BUF: 53.3% third-down conversion rate to LAR's 43.1%

BUF is at 53.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 43.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LAR at 39.6% over 17 games.

TB (0-4) at DAL (2-2)

Tampa Bay is 0-4 but only -20, an average of five points a loss, so the record undersells a team that has been close. Dallas is 2-2 at +10 and 1-1 at home. A winless team with that margin is a common candidate to stop the slide. The Bucs' record makes them look worse than the scoreboard has been, which is the angle to weigh against Dallas here.

PHI (2-2) at JAX (3-1)

Jacksonville is 3-1 at +51 and 2-0 at home, so the record and margin agree. Philadelphia has lost 2 straight and is -18 at 2-2, though it has split its two road games. The Jaguars' numbers look like a team playing well. The Eagles' 2-2 record is the one that flatters here, given a negative margin and the current skid.

CIN (2-2) at MIA (0-4)

CIN is 2-2 but has lost 2 straight, while MIA is 0-4 and has been outscored by 55. The gap in point totals is wide: CIN sits at +12, so its recent slide looks more like a cold stretch than a collapse. MIA has played only one home game, so its home record says very little. The record and the point totals both favor CIN here, which leaves the price as the main question for a bettor.

LV (3-1) at NE (2-2)

LV is 3-1, +31 points on the year, has lost 1 straight this season. NE is 2-2, -12 points on the year, has won 1 straight this season. LV is 2-0 on the road; NE is 1-0 at home.

MIN (4-0) at NO (1-3)

Minnesota is 4-0 at +35 and 2-0 on the road. New Orleans is 1-3 at -23, has lost 2 straight and is 0-2 at home, so it has no home edge to lean on yet. A +35 margin over four games says the Vikings are winning by around nine a game, solid but less dominant than an unbeaten record can sound. The road and home splits both point the same way.

MIA: 104 rushing yards per game to CIN's 74.3

CIN is at 74.3 rushing yards per game over 4 games; MIA is at 104 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 93.6 over 17 games and MIA at 120.2 over 17 games.

CHI: 102.5 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 139.3

CHI is at 102.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; GB is at 139.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

IND: 26.3 penalty yards per game to PIT's 49.5

IND is at 26.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; PIT is at 49.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and PIT at 47.2 over 17 games.

BUF: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 53.3%

BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; LAR is at 53.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.

DET: 72.2% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 57.1%

DET is at 72.2% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; ARI is at 57.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and ARI at 54.1% over 17 games.

DET: 24.5 first downs per game to ARI's 19.8

DET is at 24.5 first downs per game over 4 games; ARI is at 19.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 20.4 over 17 games and ARI at 19.5 over 17 games.

LAR: 69 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59.5

BUF is at 59.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; LAR is at 69 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.

NE: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 76.9%

When opponents reach the red zone, New England is holding them to a score a bit over half the time, while Las Vegas gives one up on about three of every four trips. Red-zone rates move fast over four games because the trip count is small. In this game, the Raiders' offense faces the tougher finish near the goal line, which matters for touchdown props and for totals that depend on drives ending in touchdowns rather than field goals.

DEN: 0.75 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.5

DEN is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; LAC is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and LAC at 0.82 over 17 games.

Kayden McDonald (DT) is ir-r for HOU

The Texans designated McDonald (ankle) for return from injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.

Spencer Burford (G) is questionable for LV

LV lists Spencer Burford as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) is questionable for LV

LV lists Jackson Powers-Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Tucker Addington (LS) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Tucker Addington as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Kenneth Grant (DT) is ir-r for MIA

The Dolphins designated Grant (toe) for return from injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.

Jaylan Ford (LB) is ir-r for NO

The Saints designated Ford (ankle) for return to practice from injured reserve Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 8.

Lorenzo Styles Jr. (S) is ir-r for NO

The Saints designated Styles (calf) to return from injured reserve Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 8.

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

The Browns opened Davis' (quadriceps) 21-day practice window Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Teven Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Sam Cosmi (G) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Sam Cosmi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Nick Allegretti (G) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Nick Allegretti as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

DET (2-2) at ARI (1-3)

Detroit is 2-2 at -8 and 0-2 on the road, so the record is roughly fair and away form is a concern. Arizona has lost 3 straight at -30 and lost its only home game. Neither team shows momentum. This is a spot where the Lions' road struggles and the Cardinals' skid offset, so the gap is smaller than one team's name might suggest.

GB: 4.97 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.68

CHI is at 5.68 yards per play allowed over 4 games; GB is at 4.97 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Beau Stephens (G) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Beau Stephens as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Reggie Gilliam as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

SEA lead the series with SF since 2025

SEA has taken 2 of the last 3. Jan 17, 2026: SF 6 at SEA 41 (playoffs). Jan 3, 2026: SEA 13 at SF 3. Sep 7, 2025: SF 17 at SEA 13.

M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU

Stewart (knee) practiced in full Thursday. Reported Oct 2.

CHI lead the series with GB since 2025

All three meetings were one-score games, and the home team won every time: Green Bay 28-21 on Dec 7, then Chicago 22-16 and 31-27 in the playoffs, both at Soldier Field. This one is in Green Bay, the setting where the Packers won the only home game they had in the series. Three games is a small sample, but every meeting came down to the final possessions. For a bettor, the history points toward a tight game where home field has mattered more than the series record.

SF: 137.3 rushing yards per game to SEA's 110.3

SF is at 137.3 rushing yards per game over 4 games; SEA is at 110.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and SEA at 123.3 over 17 games.

BAL: 6.58 yards per play to ATL's 5.88

Baltimore is at 6.58 yards a play, up from 5.92 last season, and Atlanta is at 5.88, up from 5.38. Both offenses are running hotter than last year over four games, so some of that should cool. Baltimore still looks like the more efficient offense by a clear margin. Expect plenty of yardage, with the Ravens holding the edge per snap.

Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Alec Ingold (FB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Alec Ingold as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET

Branch (Achilles) had his 21-day practice window opened by the Lions on Sunday, Richard Silva of The Detroit News reports. Reported Oct 7.

LV: 250 team passing yards per game to NE's 213.8

LV is at 250 team passing yards per game over 4 games; NE is at 213.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and NE at 250.5 over 17 games.

HOU: 20.3 first downs per game to TEN's 15.8

HOU is at 20.3 first downs per game over 4 games; TEN is at 15.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and TEN at 15.4 over 17 games.

Dalton Risner (G) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Dalton Risner as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

BAL: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 2.5

BAL is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; ATL is at 2.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and ATL at 2.94 over 17 games.

Ben Bartch (G) is questionable for DET

DET lists Ben Bartch as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

John Simpson (G) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists John Simpson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Jonah Jackson (G) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Jonah Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Joe Thuney (G) is questionable for CHI

CHI lists Joe Thuney as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

PHI: 5.23 yards per play allowed to JAX's 5.92

PHI is at 5.23 yards per play allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 5.92 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

NYJ: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 235.3

CLE is at 235.3 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 193.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Nick Martinez: 5.27 ERA over his last 3 starts

Martinez has a 5.27 ERA over his last three starts, only 13.2 innings, and his WHIP is 1.39 in that span against 1.09 for the season. More runners are reaching, which is how a 3.10 season ERA turns into rough outings. Three starts is a short stretch, so this can settle back. Against the Yankees, track the early baserunner traffic, since that lineup punishes extra runners.

P 3.2 IP, 2 ER, 3 K

George Lombard Jr.: .885 OPS in Last 15 Days

Lombard Jr. has a .885 OPS over the last 15 days in 46 AB, up 0.186 on his .699 season mark. That is a moderate jump over two weeks, and a .699 hitter usually drifts back toward his baseline. His total-bases line tonight is 0.5, so one hit cashes it, and the season mark is the steadier guide to how often that happens.

P 2-for-3, 2 TB, 1 BB

BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LAR's 50%

BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LAR at 66.7% over 17 games.

SF @ SEA carries a 47.5 market total

At 47.5, the market prices this 4 points above the 43.5 slate median, a game with somewhat more scoring than a typical one on this card. The gap is small, so the number leans on normal offensive production more than a shootout. If both defenses hold early and drives end in field goals, the under comes into play quickly, while a couple of quick touchdowns put the over in reach.

NE: 104 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 134.5

LV is at 134.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NE is at 104 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

TB @ DAL carries a 47.5 market total

At 47.5, this sits 4 points above the 43.5 slate median: a game expected to score a bit more than a typical one, without the shootout pricing of the biggest totals. A gap that small can close on a single stalled drive or a missed kick. Think of it as close to an average game with a slight lean toward points, where one turnover or one long touchdown can swing the result either way.

BAL: 29 points per game to ATL's 24

BAL is at 29 points per game over 4 games; ATL is at 24 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BAL was at 24.9 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 2 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 479 passing yards, completed 73.3% of his passes and averaged 10.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

NO: 5.03 yards per play to MIN's 4.4

New Orleans is moving the ball at 5.03 yards a play, right at last season's 5.05, so that number looks real. Minnesota's 4.4 is the outlier, down from 4.82 last season over 17 games, which makes four games the likely culprit and points to some bounce back. Both teams had three plays of 20 or more last game, with Tyler Shough finding Chris Olave for 44. At home, the Saints have the steadier offense, but the gap is probably smaller than it reads right now.

HOU: 5.5 yards per play to TEN's 4.85

Houston gains 5.5 yards a snap to Tennessee's 4.85 through four games, and both are up from last season's 5.1 and 4.38. A lot of Houston's number comes from chunk throws: eight plays of 20 or more last game, led by C.J. Stroud's 52-yarder to Jaylin Noel and 45 to Nico Collins. Explosive plays swing yards per play hard over four games, so expect some cooling. Tennessee needs Cam Ward and Carnell Tate to keep pace, and if the Titans can limit the deep shots, this game tightens.

LAR: 31:19 time of possession per game to BUF's 28:06

BUF is at 28:06 time of possession per game over 4 games; LAR is at 31:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 33:09 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.

NO: 26.3 points per game to MIN's 21.5

MIN is at 21.5 points per game over 4 games; NO is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season MIN was at 20.2 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.

CIN: 30:49 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:38

CIN is at 30:49 time of possession per game over 4 games; MIA is at 27:38 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 30:08 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.

Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 2 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 148 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 4.93 yards per attempt. His 1-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 4 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1065 passing yards, completed 70% of his passes and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 4 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 713 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 6.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 4 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 843 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 4 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1141 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 4 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 726 passing yards, completed 63% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 4 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1171 passing yards, completed 71.3% of his passes and averaged 7.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 4 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 712 passing yards, completed 56.3% of his passes and averaged 6.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 4 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1026 passing yards, completed 64.6% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 4 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 854 passing yards, completed 62.4% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 3 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 433 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 4 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1203 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 6.68 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 4 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 855 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. His 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 4 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 902 passing yards, completed 72.7% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 4 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 754 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 5.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 4 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 999 passing yards, completed 57.5% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 3 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 479 passing yards, completed 55.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Tyson Bagent threw for 322 passing yards, completed 69.8% of his passes and averaged 7.49 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 4 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1041 passing yards, completed 56.5% of his passes and averaged 6.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 4 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 819 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 6.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 4 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 816 passing yards, completed 59.7% of his passes and averaged 6.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 4 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1214 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 4 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 818 passing yards, completed 67.8% of his passes and averaged 5.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 4 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1007 passing yards, completed 69.9% of his passes and averaged 8.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 3 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 560 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 8.12 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 4 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1039 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 8.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 4 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1189 passing yards, completed 61.1% of his passes and averaged 7.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports. Reported Oct 7.

Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Smythe (Achilles) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ryan Mink of the Ravens' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Hunter Long (TE) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Long (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

Branson Taylor (G) is ir-r for LAC

The Chargers designated Taylor (undisclosed) for return to practice from their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

Scott Matlock (FB) is ir-r for LAC

The Chargers opened Matlock's (undisclosed) 21-day practice window Monday, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 6.

Brett Thorson (P) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Brett Thorson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Tyler Smith (G) is ir-r for DAL

Smith (thumb) is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against the Buccaneers, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 8.

JAX: 32.6% third downs allowed to PHI's 40.4%

PHI is at 40.4% third downs allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 32.6% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

CIN: 45.3% third-down conversion rate to MIA's 38%

CIN is at 45.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; MIA is at 38% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 43.4% over 17 games and MIA at 34.9% over 17 games.

CLE: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYJ's 2.25

Cleveland is averaging three sacks a game, ahead of the Jets at a bit over two through four games. Both units are getting home, so this is less a mismatch than a game where both quarterbacks should expect pressure. Sack totals over a four-game stretch can swing on one big day, so lean on this mostly for sack props and for drives stalling on third down.

MIN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NO's 77.8%

MIN is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; NO is at 77.8% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and NO at 41.2% over 17 games.

LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to BUF's 2.25

BUF is at 2.25 sacks taken per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.

ARI: 45.5% third downs allowed to DET's 52.8%

DET is at 52.8% third downs allowed over 4 games; ARI is at 45.5% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

DET: 56.8 penalty yards per game to ARI's 75

DET is at 56.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; ARI is at 75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 42.2 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.

Garrett Mitchell: .560 OPS in Last 15 Days

Mitchell has a .560 OPS over the last 15 days in 36 AB, against a .771 season mark. In a window that small, a couple of hits either way swings the number a lot. Expect him to move back toward .771. In MIL at SD, his season line tells you more than this short cold spell.

P 2-for-4, 4 TB

NYJ: 4.88 yards per play allowed to CLE's 5.47

The Jets are allowing under five yards a play, while Cleveland gives up close to five and a half through four games. Yards per play is less swayed by game script than raw yardage, so this gap is a fairer read on how each unit has held up snap to snap. Over a full game that difference adds up, which favors the Jets' offense moving the ball more efficiently in this one.

NYG: 205.3 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 242.5

NYG is at 205.3 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 242.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

CHI: 5.75 yards per play to GB's 5.15

Chicago's 5.75 yards a play sits almost exactly on last season's 5.71, so the Bears' offense looks like the same unit. Green Bay is the one that has slipped, 5.15 now against 5.61 last season. The styles differ: Chicago hit six plays of 20 or more last game, mostly through the air with Tyson Bagent to Rome Odunze, while Green Bay's best gains came on runs by Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks. Packers at home with four games of slippage is a spot where their number has room to climb back.

LAR: 33.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%

The Rams let opponents convert only a third of their third downs, while Buffalo allows about four in ten over four games. Third-down rates swing a lot in four games because each team only sees a few dozen attempts. If it holds, Buffalo's offense will have a harder time extending drives in this one, which affects time of possession and how many scoring chances each side gets.

BUF: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.75

BUF is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

DEN: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1

DEN is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAC is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and LAC at 0.41 over 17 games.

Jaylin Smith (CB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Smith (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Texans on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Colts head coach Shane Steichen reiterated Monday that Pierce didn't undergo surgery on his left heel and is continuing to rehab the injury, James Boyd of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 28.

Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.

Jonah Coleman (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Coleman (ankle) is being placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 26.

Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Johnson (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

Mykel Williams (DE) is pup-r for SF

The 49ers opened Williams' (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday to return from the reserve/PUP list, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports. Reported Sep 30.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

The 49ers placed Robinson (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL

Baltimore placed Pocic (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

BUF (3-1) at LAR (2-2)

Buffalo is 3-1 at +20 and won its only road game, but it lost its last game. The Rams are 2-2 at +2, a dead-even team, and 1-1 at home. The Bills' margin supports their record without being dominant. The Rams look like exactly what 2-2 says, so this comes down to whether Buffalo's edge in margin is worth what the market asks.

CIN: 6.6 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.6

CIN is at 6.6 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; MIA is at 5.6 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 5.81 over 17 games and MIA at 6 over 17 games.

HOU: 6.7 yards per pass attempt to TEN's 5.72

HOU is at 6.7 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; TEN is at 5.72 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 6.2 over 17 games and TEN at 4.5 over 17 games.

CIN: 1.25 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.75

Cincinnati is forcing a bit over one takeaway a game, while Miami is under one through four games. Takeaways are among the streakiest defensive stats, so a four-game gap this size can flip quickly. Use it as a slight edge for Cincinnati in turnover-driven spots, without leaning heavily on it.

CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to GB's 1

CHI is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 4 games; GB is at 1 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

WSH: 42% third downs allowed to NYG's 48.9%

NYG is at 48.9% third downs allowed over 4 games; WSH is at 42% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

The Raiders placed Bech (forearm) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

De'Von Achane (RB) is on injured reserve for MIA

The Dolphins placed Achane (knee) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Sep 28.

Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA

The Dolphins opened Duck's (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. Reported Oct 1.

Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed Iosivas (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

BAL: 1.25 takeaways per game to ATL's 0.75

Baltimore is forcing a bit over one takeaway a game, while Atlanta sits under one through four games. Turnovers bounce around more than almost any defensive number, so this gap is thin evidence on its own. It points slightly toward Baltimore winning the turnover battle in this game, which matters most if the spread is close.

BUF: 1.25 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.75

BUF is at 1.25 takeaways per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

PIT: 21.8 points allowed per game to IND's 26

IND is at 26 points allowed per game over 4 games; PIT is at 21.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and PIT at 22.8 over 17 games.

DAL: 4 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3

TB is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; DAL is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and DAL at 3.82 over 17 games.

Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ

McGregor (pectoral) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Christian Braswell (CB) is on injured reserve for JAX

Braswell (knee) reverted from waivers to Jacksonville's injured reserve list Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 8.

Jordan Davis (DT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jordan Davis as questionable on the injury report.

DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to ARI's 3.5

DET is at 4.5 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; ARI is at 3.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 3.76 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

SF: 30.5 points per game to SEA's 26.3

SF is at 30.5 points per game over 4 games; SEA is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

NYJ: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 0.75

CLE is at 0.75 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CLE was at 0.41 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.59 over 17 games.

TB: 1 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.5

TB is at 1 takeaways per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Manny Machado: .567 OPS in Last 15 Days

Machado has a .567 OPS in 51 AB over the last 15 days, a 0.144 drop from his .711 season mark. That is a small gap from a middling baseline, so this looks like a mild slide. In MIL at SD, use the .711 as the anchor, with the recent dip as a slight lean down on his props.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

TB: 204.3 passing yards allowed per game to DAL's 239.3

TB is at 204.3 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; DAL is at 239.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

PIT: 5.05 yards per play to IND's 4.5

Pittsburgh is getting 5.05 yards a play to Indianapolis's 4.5 through four games. The bigger story is the Colts falling from 5.77 last season, and they managed one play of 20 or more last game while Aaron Rodgers hit six, including 49 to Roman Wilson and two to DK Metcalf. A drop that large over four games tends to partly reverse, so the gap may be wider now than it will be in a month. At home, the Steelers have the clearer path to chunk plays.

LAR: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 1

BUF is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 0.53 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.

TB: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to DAL's 0.75

TB is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 1.71 over 17 games and DAL at 2.06 over 17 games.

Rays are 7-6 vs Yankees this season

Tampa Bay has one more win than New York across 13 meetings, close to a coin flip. The sheet has nothing on the arms, the parks or the margins, and the Yankees won the most recent game 6-4. A 7-6 split between division rivals has little hold on tonight, so the pitching matchup is the better guide.

LV: 30 penalty yards per game to NE's 46

LV is at 30 penalty yards per game over 4 games; NE is at 46 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NE at 50.2 over 17 games.

HOU: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to TEN's 1

HOU is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; TEN is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 1.12 over 17 games and TEN at 2.06 over 17 games.

TEN: 4.08 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.45

HOU is at 3.45 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; TEN is at 4.08 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and TEN at 4.19 over 17 games.

ARI: 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 82.4%

DET is at 82.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; ARI is at 69.2% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to TEN's 0.5

HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; TEN is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and TEN at 0.47 over 17 games.

IND: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to PIT's 0.75

IND is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; PIT is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and PIT at 1.35 over 17 games.

DET: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to ARI's 1

DET is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 1.82 over 17 games and ARI at 1.65 over 17 games.

NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CLE's 0.5

CLE is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.

WSH: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 0.75

NYG is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; WSH is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and WSH at 0.71 over 17 games.

SF: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 0.75

SF is at 0.25 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; SEA is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

WSH: 4.22 yards per rush attempt to NYG's 3.57

NYG is at 3.57 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; WSH is at 4.22 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season NYG was at 4.31 over 17 games and WSH at 4.81 over 17 games.

White Sox are 7-6 vs Guardians this season

Thirteen games in, Chicago has one more win than Cleveland, about as even as a season series gets. The sheet says nothing about who pitched, where the games were played or how they were won, and Cleveland took the last one 6-3. A one-game edge over 13 meetings carries little weight, so price tonight on the starters and current form.

CIN: 21.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 25.3

CIN is at 21.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; MIA is at 25.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CIN was at 28.9 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.

TB: 24 points allowed per game to DAL's 28

TB is at 24 points allowed per game over 4 games; DAL is at 28 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 24.2 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.

Jeremiyah Love

Ankle · Limited practice

BUF: 6.58 yards per play to LAR's 6.1

Two efficient offenses here: Buffalo at 6.58 yards a play and the Rams at 6.1 through four games. The Bills are well above last season's 5.94, while the Rams are right at their 6.15, so Los Angeles looks steady and Buffalo looks hot over a four-game stretch that could cool. Both sides moving the ball this well points to a game decided by which offense stalls first.

CIN: 5.65 yards per play to MIA's 5.15

Cincinnati is up to 5.65 yards a play from 5.23 last season, while Miami has dipped to 5.15 from 5.4. Joe Burrow spread his big throws around last game, three completions of 26 yards or more to three receivers. Miami's lone 20-yard play was a 53-yard Ollie Gordon II run, and one long run can prop up a yards-per-play number over four games. Expect the Bengals to dictate through the air, with the Dolphins leaning on the ground to keep up.

LAC: 121.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 142.8

DEN is at 142.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; LAC is at 121.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Ben Rice: 1.041 OPS in Last 15 Days

Rice has a 1.041 OPS in 43 AB over the last 15 days, against a .897 season mark, a 0.144 swing. The jump is modest because the baseline is already high, and 41 home runs on the season say this is close to who he is. His total-bases line tonight is 1.5, and with that kind of power, one extra-base hit gets him there.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

Anthony Nelson

Limited practice

Cole Van Lanen

Knee · Limited practice

Josh Hines-Allen

Groin · Limited practice

Zack Baun

Concussion · Limited practice

Montaric Brown

Hamstring · Limited practice

Anton Harrison

Elbow · Limited practice

Fred Johnson

Knee · Limited practice

Quinyon Mitchell

Knee · Limited practice

DaVon Hamilton

Foot · Limited practice

Jarrian Jones

Foot · Limited practice

Dallas Goedert

Knee - MCL · Limited practice

Jourdan Lewis

Hamstring · Limited practice

Jadeveon Clowney

Knee · Limited practice

Azeez Al-Shaair

Groin · Limited practice

Nico Collins

Limited practice

Kayden McDonald

Ankle · Limited practice

Kevin Winston Jr.

Shoulder · Limited practice

Nate Thomas

Illness · Limited practice

Braden Smith

Foot · Limited practice

Tank Dell

Knee - ACL + MCL · Limited practice

Logan Hall

Knee · Limited practice

Chris Bell

Knee · Limited practice

Dante Trader Jr.

Knee · Limited practice

Austin Jackson

Knee · Limited practice

JuJu Brents

Heel · Limited practice

Tucker Addington

Shoulder · Limited practice

Kenneth Grant

Toe · Limited practice

Dalton Risner

Knee · Limited practice

Jordan Battle

Hamstring · Limited practice

Dexter Lawrence II

Wrist · Limited practice

Barrett Carter

Ankle · Limited practice

Colbie Young

Knee · Limited practice

Trey Zuhn III

Knee · Limited practice

Spencer Burford

Knee · Limited practice

Brock Bowers

Knee · Limited practice

Folorunso Fatukasi

Shoulder · Limited practice

Cody White

Ankle · Limited practice

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice

Dre'Mont Jones

Shoulder · Limited practice

Christian Barmore

Shoulder · Limited practice

Jackson Powers-Johnson

Groin · Limited practice

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Limited practice

Charles Woods

Shoulder · Limited practice

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice

Rhamondre Stevenson

Knee · Limited practice

Reggie Gilliam

Ankle · Limited practice

Christian Elliss

Chest · Limited practice

Brian O'Neill

Knee · Limited practice

Aaron Jones Sr.

Limited practice

Noah Fant

Abdomen · Limited practice

Justin Jefferson

Ankle · Limited practice

Carl Granderson

Ankle · Limited practice

Mike Reid

Ankle · Limited practice

Julian Blackmon

Shoulder · Limited practice

Grant Delpit

Shoulder · Limited practice

Kingsley Enagbare

Knee · Limited practice

Kalia Davis

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Jonathan Taylor

Limited practice

Rico Dowdle

Toe · Limited practice

Keenan Allen

Groin · Limited practice

Charvarius Ward

Limited practice

Michael Pittman Jr.

Foot · Limited practice

Frankie Luvu

Groin · Limited practice

Sam Cosmi

Concussion · Limited practice

Cam Skattebo

Shoulder · Limited practice

Isaiah Likely

Knee · Limited practice

Rachaad White

Shoulder · Limited practice

Sonny Styles

Groin · Limited practice

Trey Amos

Ankle · Limited practice

Jeremy McNichols

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Nick Allegretti

Hip · Limited practice

Chris Manhertz

Shoulder · Limited practice

Deatrich Wise Jr.

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Groin · Limited practice

Ben Sinnott

Ribs · Limited practice

Chig Okonkwo

Hamstring · Limited practice

Anthony Belton

Knee · Limited practice

Savion Williams

Ankle · Limited practice

Shemar Turner

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Keyshaun Elliott

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Noah Sewell

Achilles · Limited practice

Lukas Van Ness

Shoulder · Limited practice

Devonte Wyatt

Ankle · Limited practice

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Limited practice

Cam Hart

Knee · Limited practice

Quentin Johnston

Chest · Limited practice

Zach Allen

Limited practice

Brenen Thompson

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Dondrea Tillman

Hamstring · Limited practice

Adam Trautman

Shoulder · Limited practice

Dalvin Tomlinson

Hamstring · Limited practice

Charlie Kolar

Forearm · Limited practice

Alec Ingold

Shoulder · Limited practice

Trey Lance

Groin · Limited practice

Scott Matlock

Undisclosed · Limited practice

Branson Taylor

Undisclosed · Limited practice

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson

Back · Limited practice

Cade Mays

Wrist · Limited practice

Brian Branch

Achilles · Limited practice

DJ Wonnum

Back · Limited practice

George Holani

Ribs · Limited practice

Tyrice Knight

Ankle · Limited practice

Leonard Williams

Ankle · Limited practice

Kaelon Black

Illness · Limited practice

Mykel Williams

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Zach Charbonnet

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Mike Evans

Ribs · Limited practice

Beau Stephens

Knee · Limited practice

Irv Charles

Undisclosed · Limited practice

Nehemiah Pritchett

Ankle · Limited practice

Cameron Thomas

Shoulder · Limited practice

Michael Jerrell

Ankle · Limited practice

Chris Moore

Ankle · Limited practice

Zay Flowers

Foot · Limited practice

John Simpson

Groin · Limited practice

Rashod Bateman

Shoulder · Limited practice

Kyle Hamilton

Groin · Limited practice

JAX: 30:53 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:33

PHI is at 28:33 time of possession per game over 4 games; JAX is at 30:53 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season PHI was at 30:11 over 17 games and JAX at 31:56 over 17 games.

Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB

Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.

ARI: 10.3 sack yards lost per game to DET's 16.3

DET is at 16.3 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; ARI is at 10.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DET was at 20.3 over 17 games and ARI at 24.9 over 17 games.

Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.

Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Harmon (foot) on injured reserve Monday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 5.

Caleb Ransaw (S) is on injured reserve for JAX

The Jaguars placed Ransaw (knee) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

TB: 49.8 penalty yards per game to DAL's 64.3

TB is at 49.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; DAL is at 64.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season TB was at 43.4 over 17 games and DAL at 66.8 over 17 games.

BAL (3-1) at ATL (2-2)

Both teams have won 2 straight, but BAL is 3-1 and +20 while ATL is 2-2 and only +4. BAL is 2-0 on the road, and ATL has played just one home game and lost it. That one-game home sample should not carry much weight. The cleaner signal is BAL's stronger point total, so this spot is about whether ATL's streak is real or a product of a soft few weeks.

IND: 29.2% third downs allowed to PIT's 34.8%

Indianapolis allows opponents to convert under three in ten third downs, while Pittsburgh is closer to one in three through four games. Both are good numbers over a short sample, so this looks like two defenses that get off the field. That points toward fewer extended drives on both sides, which leans toward a lower-scoring, field-position game.

SEA: 4 red-zone trips per game to SF's 3.25

SF is at 3.25 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; SEA is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season SF was at 3.88 over 17 games and SEA at 3.47 over 17 games.

IND: 3 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 2.25

IND is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; PIT is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and PIT at 3 over 17 games.

DEN: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to LAC's 33.3%

DEN is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAC is at 33.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 50% over 17 games and LAC at 57.1% over 17 games.

LV: 53.3% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 44.4%

LV is at 53.3% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; NE is at 44.4% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season LV was at 50% over 17 games and NE at 57.1% over 17 games.

IND: 37.7% third-down conversion rate to PIT's 32%

IND is at 37.7% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; PIT is at 32% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season IND was at 42.6% over 17 games and PIT at 40% over 17 games.

PHI: 48.3 penalty yards per game to JAX's 61.5

PHI is at 48.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; JAX is at 61.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season PHI was at 63.1 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.

Tyler Glasnow: 4.96 ERA over his last 3 starts

Glasnow has a 4.96 ERA over his last three starts and 16.1 innings, with a 1.16 WHIP against 0.95 for the season. He is putting more hitters on base than he has all year, and that traffic separates this stretch from his 3.53 season mark. Three starts is a small sample, so a dip is likelier than a new baseline. At Atlanta, watch whether he keeps the bases clean early.

P 4.2 IP, 1 ER, 5 K

CHI: 6.83 yards per pass attempt to GB's 6.1

CHI is at 6.83 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; GB is at 6.1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season CHI was at 6.46 over 17 games and GB at 6.85 over 17 games.

LV: 21.8 first downs per game to NE's 19.3

LV is at 21.8 first downs per game over 4 games; NE is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season LV was at 15.1 over 17 games and NE at 21.2 over 17 games.

LV: 39.6% third-down conversion rate to NE's 34.6%

LV is at 39.6% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; NE is at 34.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season LV was at 33.8% over 17 games and NE at 42.9% over 17 games.

LAR: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 68.8%

BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; LAR is at 58.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

DEN: 23.5 points allowed per game to LAC's 26.5

DEN is at 23.5 points allowed per game over 4 games; LAC is at 26.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and LAC at 20 over 17 games.

PIT: 112.8 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 131

IND is at 131 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; PIT is at 112.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

TB: 1.5 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1

TB is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; DAL is at 1 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

LAC: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to DEN's 2

DEN is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAC is at 2.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 6.

Jared Ivey (LB) is inactive for ATL

ATL lists Jared Ivey as inactive on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.

Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.

Donovan Jackson (G) is on injured reserve for MIN

Jackson (knee) was placed on injured reserve by the Vikings on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.

Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN

The Vikings placed Oliver (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

BUF: 7.73 yards per pass attempt to LAR's 7

BUF is at 7.73 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; LAR is at 7 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LAR at 7.24 over 17 games.

DEN: 39.6% third-down conversion rate to LAC's 34.6%

DEN is at 39.6% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAC is at 34.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 6. Last season DEN was at 41.2% over 17 games and LAC at 45.8% over 17 games.

Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 29.

ATL is on a short week

Baltimore comes in on three days and Atlanta on two, so this is a short week for both. The Falcons have one fewer day to recover while the Ravens carry the travel. With both staffs working on compressed prep, this is a spot where basic, well-drilled schemes tend to matter more than anything new.

NO is on a short week

Both teams are on short rest here, Minnesota on three days and New Orleans on just two. Neither side gets a normal week, so expect simplified game plans and limited practice on both sidelines. The Saints get the shorter recovery but skip the travel, which roughly evens out the calendar.

Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed Davis (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Garrett (knee) is facing a six-week recovery from surgery on his left knee, but the pass rusher is determined to be back before then, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network and ESPN reports. Reported Sep 27.

Jordan Hancock (CB) is on injured reserve for BUF

The Bills placed Hancock (hamstring) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.

Trey Pipkins III (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Pipkins (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Nick Samac (C) is on injured reserve for MIN

The Vikings placed Samac (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.

Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO

Banks (ankle) underwent surgery this week, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 26.

Max Fried's ERA jumps to 3.42 at Yankee Stadium

Fried's ERA at Yankee Stadium is 3.42 against 2.34 elsewhere, yet hitters bat just .196 against him there. That points to the park adding damage on a few carried balls or clustered runs more than a pitcher getting hit hard. Nine starts and 47.1 innings is a modest sample, and a .196 average allowed supports an ERA closer to his road number. Against Tampa Bay, weigh the weak contact over the venue ERA.

P 5.2 IP, 4 ER, 7 K

HOU (0-4) at TEN (0-4), a division game

Two 0-4 teams meet in a division game, with Houston at -25 and Tennessee at -28, so both have lost mostly close games. The Titans are 0-2 at home, the Texans 0-1 on the road. Margins that small usually mean at least one of these streaks breaks soon. With nearly identical numbers, the records give a bettor almost nothing to separate them.

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed Hummel (groin) on injured reserve Saturday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Sep 26.

Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is on injured reserve for NE

Hutchins (knee) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.

Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Burns (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 29.

Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Chenal (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Bullard (calf) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

Thomas Harper (S) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Harper (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

LAD have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 0 of their last 9

LAD scored in the first inning in 0 of the 9 sampled games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Tyler Mahle: 6.00 ERA, .329 opponent AVG across 18.0 IP, 3 HR; Tyler Glasnow: 3.46 ERA, .191 opponent AVG across 13.0 IP, 1 HR.

P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st

P.J. Locke (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Locke (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.

Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games (.641 win rate)

Tampa Bay Rays are 25-14 in one-run games in the 2026 regular season (39 completed games). They are 73-50 in their other 123 completed games.

IND (2-2) at PIT (2-2)

Two 2-2 teams with near-identical point totals: IND at -2 and PIT at -10. IND has won 2 straight, PIT is 2-0 at home and lost its last game. Those home and road splits are only two games each, so neither tells you much yet. With records this even, the spot comes down to whether PIT's home results or IND's recent form is easier to trust.

Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

The Titans placed Carmona (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Van Roten (thigh) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 30.

Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

The Titans placed Slater (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Gennings Dunker (G) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Dunker (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Sep 26.

DEN and LAC are even since 2025

This series split last season with the home team winning each time: the Chargers 23-20 on Sep 21 and Denver 19-3 on Jan 4. The first was a three-point game, the second was a mismatch where the Chargers managed a field goal. This one is in Los Angeles, where the last meeting came down to three points. Two games is a thin sample, so let home field carry more weight than either score.

SF is on a short week

SF comes in on a short week (3 days since its last game); SEA on a short week (3 days since its last game).

BUF is on a short week

Buffalo and the Rams are both on three days of rest, so the calendar is a wash on recovery. Both staffs face short prep and light practices. The Bills add a long road trip to the short week, and that is the scheduling piece to weigh in this one.

PHI is on a short week

Philadelphia and Jacksonville each have three days since their last game, so the rest is even. Both teams face trimmed practices and simpler game plans. The Eagles add travel on top of the short week, which is the one schedule factor separating the two sides.

HOU is on a short week

Houston and Tennessee are both on three days of rest, so neither gets a calendar edge. A short week on both sides usually means less practice time and fewer new wrinkles. The Texans carry the travel, which is the only scheduling difference in this one.

WSH lead the series with NYG since 2025

Washington won both meetings last season, 21-6 at home on Sep 7 and 29-21 at the Giants on Dec 14. The first was one-way, the second was a one-score game into the fourth quarter range. The Giants scored 6 in Washington, and this game is back there. A two-game sweep is a short sample, but both results point the same direction.

TB is on a short week

Tampa Bay and Dallas both come in on three days of rest, so the calendar gives neither side an edge. Both staffs are working with short prep and limited practice. The only lopsided piece is that the Bucs also travel, so any schedule effect here comes from the road trip rather than the rest gap.

CLE (3-1) at NYJ (1-3)

Cleveland is 3-1 and has won 3 straight, yet sits at -14, which means the wins were close and the loss was bad. The Jets are 1-3 at -8 and lost their only home game, so their record undersells a team that has been near the Browns by margin. This is the clearest case on the board of a record flattering one side, and a bettor should be wary of paying for Cleveland's 3-1.

NYG is on a short week

The Giants and Washington each come in on three days, so neither side gets more rest. Both have to work through a compressed week with light practices. The Giants travel, which is the only calendar factor that separates them in this division game.

CHI is on a short week

Chicago and Green Bay are both on three days of rest, so the schedule is even. Both teams prepare on a short week with limited practice time. The Bears carry the travel, the only edge the calendar hands either side in this one.

DEN is on a short week

Denver and the Chargers each have three days since their last game, so rest is level. Both staffs face short prep and fewer full practices. The Broncos travel, and that is the one schedule difference between the two.

DET is on a short week

Detroit and Arizona are both on three days of rest, so neither has a calendar advantage. Short weeks on both sides usually mean simplified game plans and less recovery time. The Lions also make the trip, which is the only scheduling gap here.

LV is on a short week

Las Vegas and New England are both on three days of rest, so the calendar treats them evenly. Short prep usually means limited practice and simpler plans on both sides. The Raiders add a road trip, and that is the one scheduling difference here.

CIN is on a short week

Cincinnati and Miami each come in on three days, so rest is a wash. Both staffs have to prepare with limited practice and lean on what their players already know. The Bengals also travel, and that is the only schedule gap between them.

HOU lead the series with TEN since 2025

Houston swept Tennessee last season, and the two games looked very different. The first was a 26-0 shutout in Houston on Sep 28, while the rematch in Tennessee was a 16-13 grind on Nov 16. This one is in Tennessee again, where the Titans kept it to a field goal. Weigh the road result more than the shutout, since that is the same setting as this game.

Treylon Burks

Full practice

Jaden Dugger

Full practice

Lorenzo Styles Jr.

Calf · Full practice

Ben Yurosek

Ankle · Full practice

Brett Thorson

Hamstring · Full practice

Michael Jurgens

Elbow · Full practice

Segun Olubi

Full practice

Dillon Gabriel

Back · Full practice

Davon Godchaux

Full practice

Jaylan Ford

Ankle · Full practice

Jayden Daniels

Full practice

Jeremy Reaves

Full practice

Fabian Moreau

Full practice

Javon Kinlaw

Full practice

Nick Cross

Full practice

Deonte Banks

Full practice

Dont'e Thornton Jr.

Hamstring · Full practice

Brenden Schooler

Back · Full practice

Ashton Jeanty

Full practice

Drake Maye

Full practice

B.J. Hill

Full practice

Storm Duck

Knee · Full practice

M.J. Stewart

Knee · Full practice

Wade Woodaz

Full practice

David Martin-Robinson

Full practice

Joshua Williams

Pectoral · Full practice

LeQuint Allen Jr.

Full practice

Jakobi Meyers

Full practice

NYY have gone quiet in the 1st: runs in 1 of their last 10

NYY scored in the first inning in 1 of the 10 sampled games. 2026 first-inning pitching samples — Max Fried: 3.15 ERA, .214 opponent AVG across 20.0 IP, 1 HR; Nick Martinez: 1.74 ERA, .195 opponent AVG across 31.0 IP, 2 HR.

P flagged team scored 0 in the 1st

Tyler Goodson

Full practice

Joey Porter Jr.

Full practice

Chase McLaughlin

Full practice

CeeDee Lamb

Full practice

Brandon Cisse

Full practice

Kyler Gordon

Calf · Full practice

Mark Andrews

Full practice

Malik Hooker

Full practice

James Houston

Full practice

Ko Kieft

Full practice

Alijah Clark

Full practice

Rueben Bain Jr.

Full practice

Josiah Trotter

Full practice

Cam Lewis

Full practice

Tyler Badie

Full practice

Patrick O'Connell

Full practice

Cody Ponce

Ponce is on Toronto’s 60-day IL with a knee injury and a 3.86 ERA. His listed October 15 return is eight days away, but I’m not treating that roster date as a promise. Stash only if you have a spare IL slot and your league is still playing when he could return. I’m not tying up an active roster spot.

Ty Okada

Full practice

Romello Height

Full practice

Bryan Hudson

Full practice

Will Mallory

Thumb · Full practice

Elgton Jenkins

Concussion · Full practice

Tim Patrick

Groin · Full practice

Mason Taylor

Full practice

NYJ lead the series with CLE since 2025

The Jets beat Cleveland 27-20 at home on Nov 9, the only meeting in the stretch. That was a one-score game, and this one is back with the Jets. With one game to go on, the margin says these teams were close more than it says either side has an edge.

PIT lead the series with IND since 2025

Pittsburgh beat Indianapolis 27-20 at home on Nov 2, the only recent meeting. It was a one-score game in the same stadium as this one. One result is a thin sample, so expect the margin to say more than the win.

CIN lead the series with MIA since 2025

There is one meeting to go on: Cincinnati won 45-21 in Miami on Dec 21. That was a blowout, and this game is in the same building. One game is a small sample, so treat the margin as a single result more than a pattern.

LV lead the series with NE since 2025

The only recent meeting was Week 1 last season, a 20-13 Las Vegas win in New England on Sep 7. It was a one-score game in the same building as this one. One opening-week result tells you little about either team now.