Sports picks for Thursday, October 8, 2026
900 stored itemsGary’s saved picks and research for this day. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.
Game picks
2
White Sox Moneyline
Buccaneers +8.5Player props
4



Research
964- BULLPENCLE @ CHW
Chicago White Sox pen: 22 relief IP across 3 games
Grant Taylor worked 2 games (49 pitches); Bryan Hudson worked 2 games (22 pitches; 3.74 season ERA over 67.1 IP). The pen allowed 10 ER in that 22-IP span (Oct 3–Oct 7).
- BULLPENCLE @ CHW
Cleveland Guardians pen: 17 relief IP across 3 games
Cade Smith worked all 3 games (36 pitches); Hunter Gaddis worked all 3 games (33 pitches; 2.98 season ERA over 60.1 IP). The pen allowed 5 ER in that 17-IP span (Oct 3–Oct 7).
- SITUATIONALCHI @ GB
CHI: 47.4% third-down conversion rate to GB's 26.1%
Chicago converts 47.4% of third downs over 4 games, and Green Bay only 26.1%. The Bears are a little above last season's 42.7%, but the Packers have collapsed from 48.8%. That Green Bay number is the one most likely to move back up. Chicago extending drives on third down fits a run-first game plan that keeps the Packers' offense off the field.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET: 287.3 team passing yards per game to ARI's 194.3
Detroit throws for 93 more yards a game than Arizona over 4 games. The Lions are up from 253.1 last season to 287.3, and the Cardinals have dropped from 232.6 to 194.3. Arizona's fall is the bigger move and the likelier one to partly reverse. Detroit still looks like the team dictating the passing game in this matchup.
- PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA
CIN: 24.3 points per game to MIA's 11.5
CIN is at 24.3 points per game over 4 games; MIA is at 11.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 24.4 over 17 games and MIA at 20.4 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTLV @ NE
LV: 28.8 points per game to NE's 16.3
Las Vegas is putting up 28.8 points a game over 4 games, and New England 16.3. Last season these numbers ran almost exactly the other way: the Raiders at 14.2 and the Patriots at 28.8. A full flip like that over four games is the kind of swing that tends to partly reverse, so be careful pricing this game as if the new roles are settled.
- PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO
MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to NO's 32
Minnesota is allowing 12.8 points a game while New Orleans gives up 32 over 4 games. Both are far from last season: Minnesota at 19.6, New Orleans at 22.5. The Saints' defense is the bigger worry, and the Vikings' number looks too good to last. Expect points against both to drift back toward last season, which matters for any total built on these four games.
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB
CHI: 36:36 time of possession per game to GB's 26:46
Chicago holds the ball for 36:36 a game to Green Bay's 26:46 over 4 games. Last season both sat near even, the Bears at 30:59 and the Packers at 29:48. A gap this size usually shrinks, but the Bears' heavy running backs it up. If Chicago controls the clock again, Green Bay gets fewer possessions, which pushes toward a slower, lower-scoring game.
- SITUATIONALSF @ SEA
SF: 57.5% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 31.1%
SF is at 57.5% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; SEA is at 31.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSTB @ DAL
DAL: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to TB's 2.25
Tampa Bay is giving the ball away 2.25 times a game while Dallas sits at 0.5, over 4 games each. Both numbers are extreme next to last season: Tampa was at 0.94 and Dallas at 1.24. Turnover rates swing hard over four games, so expect both to drift back toward those marks. A bettor pricing this game off a big Dallas turnover edge is leaning on the noisiest stat on the sheet.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PASS RUSHTB @ DAL
DAL: 1.5 sacks taken per game to TB's 4
TB is at 4 sacks taken per game over 4 games; DAL is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 2.38 over 17 games and DAL at 2.38 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN
HOU: 264.8 team passing yards per game to TEN's 172.3
HOU is at 264.8 team passing yards per game over 4 games; TEN is at 172.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 218.1 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.
- RED ZONETB @ DAL
DAL: 81.3% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 41.7%
Dallas is scoring on 81.3% of red-zone trips, nearly double Tampa Bay's 41.7%, over 4 games. Last season the two were close, Dallas at 56.9% and Tampa at 54%, so this gap is mostly four-game noise in both directions. Expect Dallas to cool and Tampa to improve, which matters most for totals and touchdown props where those trips decide the number.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN: 277.5 team passing yards per game to MIA's 163.5
Cincinnati is out-throwing Miami by 114 yards a game over 4 games. The Bengals are up from 235.6 last season to 277.5, and the Dolphins have slipped from 180.5 to 163.5. Both moves are in the same direction as last season's gap, so the edge looks real even if its size shrinks. Expect Cincinnati to dictate through the air in Miami.
- TURNOVERSIND @ PIT
PIT: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5
IND is at 0.5 takeaways per game over 4 games; PIT is at 2 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB
Tampa Bay will play at Dallas without its listed quarterback, and the report from Oct 8 gives no injury detail or timeline. Out means he will not play, so the Bucs' offense runs through whoever is next on the depth chart. Before you look at Tampa Bay's passing numbers or the total, check who is named the starter.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
SirVocea Dennis (LB) is out for TB
TB lists SirVocea Dennis as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- MISMATCHTB @ DAL
DAL: 1.5 sacks taken a game to TB's 4
Tampa Bay's quarterback has gone down 4 times a game through four games, while Dallas has kept theirs clean at 1.5. Both teams sat at 2.38 last season, so Tampa Bay's jump is a four-game swing on top of an average line. Expect it to drift back some, but until the protection settles, Dallas gets chances at drive-killing negative plays. Think about Tampa Bay drives stalling and field position flipping.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- MISMATCHHOU @ TEN
HOU: 264.8 pass yards a game to TEN's 172.3
The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: HOU threw for 264.8 passing yards a game over 4 games; TEN threw for 172.3 passing yards a game over 4 games this season. Last season HOU was at 218.1 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.
- MISMATCHCIN @ MIA
CIN: 277.5 pass yards a game to MIA's 163.5
Cincinnati is throwing for 277.5 yards a game through four games, Miami for 163.5. Cincinnati was at 235.6 last season, so some of this is a hot start, and Miami has dropped from 180.5. Miami has to shorten the game on the ground and avoid trading passes with a better aerial offense. If Miami trails early, its four-game passing output gives little sign it can catch up through the air.
- MISMATCHMIN @ NO
MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to NO's 32
The widest gap between these two is points allowed a game: MIN's defense allowed 12.8 points a game over 4 games; NO's defense allowed 32 points a game over 4 games this season. Last season MIN was at 19.6 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.
- MISMATCHCHI @ GB
CHI: 196.3 rush yards a game to GB's 58
Chicago has run for 196.3 yards a game through four games, Green Bay just 58. Chicago was at 144.5 last season, so expect some cooling, and Green Bay's 119.8 a year ago says its run game should come back up. Chicago's path is to grind clock and keep Green Bay's offense waiting. Green Bay, with little rushing in four games, likely leans on the pass, so script and tempo favor Chicago controlling the game.
- MISMATCHDET @ ARI
DET: 287.3 pass yards a game to ARI's 194.3
Detroit is throwing for 287.3 yards a game through four games, Arizona for 194.3. Detroit was at 253.1 last season, so this is a stronger version of a known passing offense, while Arizona has slipped from 232.6. Arizona needs long drives to limit Detroit's possessions. If Detroit scores early, Arizona's thinner passing game this season makes a comeback harder.
- MISMATCHSF @ SEA
SF: 57.5% on third down to SEA's 31.1%
San Francisco has converted 57.5% of its third downs through four games, Seattle 31.1%. Last season it was 49.8% against 39.8%, so both have moved to the extremes and should drift back. Seattle has to win early downs to avoid long third downs it has failed to convert. San Francisco extending drives means more possessions and clock on its side.
- MISMATCHBAL @ ATL
BAL: 0.5 turnovers a game to ATL's 2
Baltimore has turned it over 0.5 times a game through four games, Atlanta 2. Last season Atlanta was at 1.06 and Baltimore at 1.35, so both numbers are likely to move, since turnovers swing a lot over four games. Atlanta has to protect the ball to keep short fields away from Baltimore. Giveaways in this spot can decide field position and the margin.
- TURNOVERSPHI @ JAX
JAX: 2 takeaways per game to PHI's 0.5
Jacksonville has forced two turnovers a game through four, while Philadelphia has managed just 0.5. Takeaways swing a lot from week to week, and four games is not much to go on, so expect both numbers to drift toward the middle. A bettor can think of Jacksonville's edge as real but noisy, more useful for props tied to turnovers than for a side.
- PASS RUSHMIN @ NO
MIN: 4 sacks recorded per game to NO's 2
Minnesota is averaging four sacks a game over four, double New Orleans at two. Sack totals depend on who you played, and four games does not settle that. For this matchup, the Vikings' rush is the unit more likely to disrupt the other quarterback, which is worth keeping in mind for sack props and drives stalling.
- PASS RUSHCIN @ MIA
CIN: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 1
Cincinnati is getting home 3.5 times a game, while Miami has just one sack a game over four. Sack totals over four games depend heavily on which quarterbacks and lines a defense saw, and the sheet does not say who that was. For this game, the pass rush gap points toward Cincinnati having the better chance to speed up Miami's passer, which matters for sack props and drive-killing plays.
- TRENCHESTB @ DAL
TB: 78.5 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 150.3
Tampa Bay has been hard to run on through four games, while Dallas has been gashed on the ground at 150.3 yards a game. Four games is a small sample and the sheet does not show who each side faced, so part of that gap could be schedule. The Dallas number is the louder signal here. For this game, the question is whether Tampa Bay leans on the run against a front that has given up yards all season.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- COVERAGEMIN @ NO
MIN: 22.6% third downs allowed to NO's 47.6%
Minnesota has let opponents convert just 22.6% of third downs over four games, while New Orleans sits at 47.6%. Third-down rates bounce around a lot in small samples, so both should move toward average. The Saints number is the bigger worry: offenses keep sustaining drives against them, which can mean longer possessions for Minnesota here.
- COVERAGECHI @ GB
CHI: 23.7% third downs allowed to GB's 48.2%
Chicago has allowed conversions on just 23.7% of third downs through four games, while Green Bay allows 48.2%. That is a big gap, but four games of third downs is a small pile of plays, and both rates should move toward the middle. The Packers number suggests opposing offenses stay on the field against them, which favors Chicago's chances of sustaining drives here.
- COVERAGEBUF @ LAR
LAR: 145.5 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 256.3
The Rams have allowed just 145.5 passing yards a game over four, while Buffalo has given up 256.3. Passing yards allowed can be shaped by game script, since teams trailing throw more, and the sheet does not show who each side faced. For this game, Buffalo's secondary looks like the softer spot, which matters for Rams passing props.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Pat Surtain II (CB) is doubtful for DEN
Surtain is doubtful with an ankle injury, which means he likely misses the Chargers game, though Sean Payton said Wednesday he doesn't expect him to land on injured reserve. That reads as a short absence. Losing the Broncos' top corner for this game opens up the Chargers receivers, so weigh their passing game with him off the field.
- RED ZONEMIN @ NO
MIN: 18.2% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 66.7%
Minnesota has held opponents to touchdowns or points on only 18.2% of red-zone trips over four games, while New Orleans gives up scores on 66.7%. Red-zone rates are built on very few possessions, so Minnesota's number is the more likely to rise. Bettors can lean on the general picture, a sturdier Vikings defense, without assuming that goal-line wall holds every week.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Isaiah Adams (G) is out for ARI
Mike LaFleur ruled Adams out with an ankle injury, so Arizona plays Detroit on Sunday without him at guard. Out means no decision is left: he will not suit up. The sheet does not name his replacement, so the open question is who fills that interior spot against the Lions front. If you are looking at this game, keep an eye on how Arizona's line holds up inside, since a lineup change there can affect both the run game and pass protection.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is doubtful for DET
Ya-Sin has a hamstring injury and is expected to sit for Detroit's Week 5 game at Arizona. Doubtful with that report attached means plan on him missing it. The Lions lose some cornerback depth, which gives Arizona's receivers a slightly easier look.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Jacardia Wright (RB) is out for SEA
Seattle put Wright on the practice squad injured list Tuesday with a foot injury. He was depth behind the main backs, so the Seahawks backfield against San Francisco looks the same.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Kyle Juszczyk (FB) is out for SF
Juszczyk hyperextended his right knee and bruised the bone in Sunday's 24-14 win over the Broncos, and Kyle Shanahan said he will miss multiple weeks. The fullback is out at Seattle and likely for some time after that. The sheet does not name who replaces him, so watch whether San Francisco uses more tight ends or receivers in his place.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Marques Sigle (S) is out for SF
Marques Sigle will not play for SF at Seattle, and the out tag on the Oct 7 report settles it. The report does not name the injury or a replacement, so it is unclear who takes his safety snaps. Wait for SF's final depth chart before betting anything tied to the back end of their defense.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL
Jackson still wasn't practicing Thursday with an ankle injury, and questionable means it could go either way for Atlanta. He is the Ravens offense, so this is the status that moves the game more than any other on the slate. Going two days without practice is a bad sign, so hold Baltimore positions until Friday's report and the inactives settle it.
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Drew Shelton (OT) is out for DAL
Shelton is a Cowboys offensive tackle, and a hamstring keeps him out of Thursday's game against Tampa Bay. Out means he will not play, so Dallas goes with a different tackle on the line. The sheet does not name the replacement, so the cleanest way to use this is to watch how the Cowboys protect the passer once the lineup is set.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Joey Porter Jr. (CB) is out for DAL
Porter is ruled out of Thursday's home game against the Buccaneers with an illness, according to the Oct 8 report. An illness usually doesn't carry into future weeks the way a structural injury can, so this looks like a one-game absence. Dallas is also without two other corners on this report, so its secondary is thin against Tampa Bay's receivers.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Camden Brown (WR) is out for DAL
Dallas lists Brown as out for Thursday's game against Tampa Bay, with no injury or timeline given in the Oct 8 report. Out means he will not play, so his targets go to the other Dallas receivers.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Benjamin Morrison (CB) is out for TB
Tampa Bay lists Morrison as out for the trip to Dallas, and the Oct 8 report gives no injury detail. Out means he will not play, so the Bucs need another corner in his spot against the Dallas passing game.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Cobie Durant (CB) is out for DAL
Durant is out for Dallas on Thursday, with no injury listed in the Oct 8 report. Porter is also ruled out at corner, so Dallas is down two cornerbacks against Tampa Bay. A shorthanded secondary can push you toward Tampa Bay's receiving props or the passing side of the total.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Ajani Cornelius (OT) is out for DAL
DAL lists Ajani Cornelius as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Reese Taylor (CB) is out for MIA
Taylor has a quadriceps injury and is ruled out for Miami's Week 5 game against the Bengals, reported Monday. Out means he will not play, so the Dolphins are a cornerback down against Cincinnati's passing game. That is the spot to think about when looking at Bengals receivers.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Adonai Mitchell (WR) is doubtful for NYJ
Mitchell missed the start of Thursday's practice with a finger injury, and doubtful means teams expect him to sit more often than not. A receiver missing practice this late in the week rarely turns around by Sunday. Plan the Jets passing game against Cleveland without him and expect his targets to spread to the rest of the room.
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is out for TB
TB lists Antoine Winfield Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
DeMonte Capehart (DT) is out for TB
TB lists DeMonte Capehart as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is out for DAL
DAL lists DeMarvion Overshown as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
James Houston (LB) is out for DAL
DAL lists James Houston as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Luke Haggard (G) is out for TB
TB lists Luke Haggard as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Billy Schrauth (G) is out for TB
TB lists Billy Schrauth as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Breece Hall (RB) is doubtful for NYJ
Hall, the Jets' lead back, wasn't at warmups to start Thursday's practice with a quadriceps injury, and doubtful usually means he sits. Losing him takes the main engine out of the New York run game against Cleveland. Price the Jets offense as a lesser version of itself, with the backfield work going to whoever is behind him.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is out for PIT
Pittman aggravated his foot injury and is expected to miss multiple weeks, so he is out against the Colts and likely beyond. That pulls a starting receiver out of the Steelers passing game for a stretch. Expect the targets he leaves behind to shift to other Pittsburgh receivers, and keep the absence in mind past this week.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Arden Key (DE) is out for IND
Arden Key is out for the trip to Pittsburgh, and the bigger story is the timeline: Shane Steichen said Tuesday the hamstring injury should cost him three to four weeks. That makes this a multi-game absence for the Colts pass rush, not a one-week blip. The fact sheet does not name who steps into his snaps, so for this game and the next few, factor in an Indianapolis edge group playing without one of its regulars.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Jamel Dean (CB) is doubtful for PIT
Dean hurt his ankle and left Thursday's 27-24 loss to the Browns, and Pittsburgh could be without him for a couple of weeks. Doubtful usually means a player sits, and the timeline points the same way here. Expect the Steelers to face the Colts with a backup at cornerback, which matters most for Indianapolis receivers.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Marcus Mariota (QB) is doubtful for WSH
Doubtful means Mariota is very unlikely to play against the Giants. The knee injury will not land him on injured reserve, so Washington expects him back within the next few weeks. The sheet does not name who starts if he sits, so hold off on Washington passing props until the quarterback is confirmed.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Chauncey Golston (DE) is out for NYG
Golston has a neck injury and is out against Washington, and John Harbaugh said he could be facing a long-term absence. That thins the Giants' defensive front for this game and possibly well beyond it. Factor in a weaker pass rush from that spot until there is word on a return.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Caleb Williams (QB) is out for CHI
Williams is the starting quarterback, so Chicago is without the player who runs the whole offense. He strained his hamstring, a Grade 2 tear, in the Week 2 loss to the Vikings, and the Oct 8 report says he has made real progress in recovery. Progress does not change the OUT tag: he will not play at Green Bay. Price this game as Chicago with its backup under center, and keep an eye on how close Williams is for the following week.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Rashawn Slater (OT) is out for LAC
Slater, the Chargers' left tackle, suffered a high-ankle sprain Sunday against the Seahawks and is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks. That is a long stretch without a starting blocker protecting the quarterback's blind side. Against Denver, a weaker edge on the Chargers' line is a reason to think about pass rush pressure on that side.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Pat Bryant (WR) is doubtful for DEN
Bryant has an ankle injury and didn't practice Thursday, and doubtful means he likely sits against the Chargers. Sitting out this late in the week points toward missing the game. Expect the Denver targets he would have drawn to go to other receivers.
- COVERAGETB @ DAL
TB: 32.7% third downs allowed to DAL's 52.3%
Tampa Bay has allowed conversions on 32.7% of third downs over four games, while Dallas is at 52.3%. Dallas letting offenses convert more than half the time is the standout, though four games is a small sample. Tampa Bay should find room to extend drives, which ties in with the yards Dallas has allowed elsewhere.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to MIA's 16.7%
Cincinnati has converted most of its fourth-down tries through 4 games, while Miami has converted almost none. Cincinnati was at 70% last season, so its number looks like a real habit. Miami's 16.7% is a big drop from 47.8% last season and comes from a small pile of attempts, so expect it to climb. In Miami, Cincinnati is the side more likely to keep drives alive by going for it, which can stretch possessions and add scoring chances.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR
BUF @ LAR carries a 54.5 market total
At 54.5, this game is tied for the highest total on the slate, 11 points above the 43.5 median. That price assumes both offenses move the ball freely and finish drives. Nothing else is on the sheet to explain it, so the number has to carry the case. A bettor should watch the early possessions: if both sides are punting and kicking field goals, the over is in trouble.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Dylan Parham (G) is doubtful for NYJ
Parham is a Jets guard nursing a knee injury, and coach Aaron Glenn still calls him week-to-week. Doubtful means he is unlikely to play against Cleveland, and week-to-week suggests this could stretch past one game. Plan on New York playing without him on the interior line.
- PACE & SCRIPTTB @ DAL
DAL: 30.5 points per game to TB's 19
TB is at 19 points per game over 4 games; DAL is at 30.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 22.4 over 17 games and DAL at 27.7 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PACE & SCRIPTDET @ ARI
DET @ ARI carries a 54.5 market total
The market expects this one to turn into a shootout: 54.5 sits 11 points above the typical game on a 15-game slate, so it is pricing points on most drives. The fact sheet names no injuries, weather or recent form, so the number is the whole story here. For the under to have a real shot, drives have to stall in the red zone and settle for field goals, because a total this high assumes touchdowns.
- RED ZONEMIN @ NO
NO: 80% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%
MIN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; NO is at 80% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season MIN was at 56.9% over 17 games and NO at 44.4% over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Trey Lance (QB) is questionable for LAC
Lance is listed as questionable for the Chargers against Denver, and the report gives no injury or practice detail. Questionable means a real chance he plays, so wait for the inactive list before betting anything that depends on his role.
- RED ZONEIND @ PIT
IND: 75% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 44.4%
IND is at 75% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; PIT is at 44.4% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and PIT at 58.8% over 17 games.
- COVERAGETB @ DAL
TB: 4.95 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.43
TB is at 4.95 yards per play allowed over 4 games; DAL is at 6.43 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSDET @ ARI
DET: 5.85 yards per play to ARI's 4.38
Detroit gains about a yard and a half more per snap than Arizona through 4 games, and that edge matches last season, when Detroit was at 5.97 and Arizona at 5.18. Detroit's last game had 4 plays of 20 or more yards, including Jared Goff hitting Isaac TeSlaa for 57 and Jameson Williams for 49. Arizona's 4.38 sits well below its 5.18 from last season, so some recovery is likely. In Arizona, Detroit's chunk passing is the style that should set the tempo.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
D'Andre Swift (RB) is questionable for CHI
Swift returned to practice on a limited basis Thursday with hip and knee injuries, reported Oct 8. A return to the field is a step toward playing, and questionable leaves the call open. Kyle Monangai is also questionable with turf toe, so the CHI carries at GB could split in ways that are hard to predict until the final report.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI
Monangai is dealing with turf toe that could cloud his status for the next 1-to-2 weeks, though he is aiming to play through it, per a report on Oct 8. Turf toe saps burst even when a back suits up. With D'Andre Swift also questionable, the CHI backfield at GB is unsettled, so rushing numbers here carry more risk than usual.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) is questionable for WSH
Croskey-Merritt (groin) was a limited practice participant Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Stefon Diggs (WR) is questionable for WSH
Diggs (hamstring) didn't participate in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Terry McLaurin (WR) is questionable for WSH
McLaurin did not practice Thursday with a hamstring injury, reported Oct 8. Questionable means a real chance he sits, and a hamstring with no Thursday work is the kind that often lingers. The sheet names no backup, so watch Friday's practice report before trusting any WSH passing number against NYG.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Rachaad White (RB) is questionable for WSH
White has a shoulder injury and was limited at practice Thursday. Questionable means he could miss the Giants game, and the limited session shows he is doing some work. Wait for his final status before betting on him.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Cam Skattebo (RB) is questionable for NYG
Skattebo has a shoulder injury and was limited at practice Thursday. Questionable means his status for the Washington game is uncertain. A shoulder issue on a running back can affect contact and ball security, so watch the final report before betting the Giants ground game.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Malik Nabers (WR) is questionable for NYG
Nabers has a knee injury and was limited at practice Thursday. Questionable means he may or may not play at Washington, and limited work means he did part of the session. Check his final status before relying on him in any Giants passing bet.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Rico Dowdle (RB) is questionable for PIT
Dowdle has a toe injury and was limited in Thursday's practice. Questionable puts his availability against Indianapolis in doubt. Toe injuries can affect how much a running back can cut and accelerate, so watch for any change in his workload if he plays.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Keenan Allen (WR) is questionable for IND
Allen has a groin injury and was limited Thursday. Questionable means he could miss the game at Pittsburgh, and limited practice shows he is taking some of the work. Groin injuries can linger, so wait for the final report before betting on him.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND
Dulin has a hamstring injury and did not practice Thursday. Hamstrings often linger, and a missed session makes his status at Pittsburgh more doubtful than the questionable tag alone suggests. The sheet does not say how big his role is for Indianapolis or who steps in. Wait for Friday's report and the final inactive list before leaning on any Colts receiver angle.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Tylan Wallace (WR) is questionable for CLE
Wallace has a knee injury and did not practice Thursday. Questionable means his status for the Jets game is uncertain, and a missed session leans toward a later decision or a scratch. The sheet does not show his role in Cleveland's receiver group or who absorbs his snaps. Whether he practices Friday is the next real signal.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE
Gabriel is on injured reserve with a designation to return, and he was a full participant Wednesday as he works back from a back injury. A full practice is the best sign a player in his spot can give. Whether he's active for the Jets game depends on Cleveland moving him onto the active roster, so watch for that before kickoff.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Barion Brown (WR) is questionable for NO
Brown's value Monday came on returns: 130 kickoff-return yards and a two-yard punt return in the 45-24 loss to Atlanta, plus one carry for minus five. The report lists him questionable without naming an injury. His impact on Minnesota is mostly field position, which matters more for totals than for any receiving bet.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Chris Olave (WR) is questionable for NO
Olave was limited Thursday with the listing marked rest and foot. The rest label suggests some of the reduced work is management, though the foot is also listed. Questionable keeps him uncertain for Minnesota, so his final status is the thing to check.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Alvin Kamara (RB) is questionable for NO
Kamara has a back injury and was limited Thursday. Questionable means his availability against Minnesota is in doubt, while the limited work shows he is moving through practice. Confirm his status before betting on the New Orleans run game.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Jordan Addison (WR) is questionable for MIN
Addison is dealing with a hamstring injury and practiced in a limited way Thursday. Questionable means he could miss the New Orleans game, and hamstrings are the kind of injury teams handle carefully. His final practice of the week is the best clue on whether he goes.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Justin Jefferson (WR) is questionable for MIN
Jefferson has an ankle injury and was limited on Thursday, so he took part in some of practice. Questionable leaves his status for New Orleans uncertain. Ankle issues can cap how much a receiver plays even when he suits up, so check the final word before betting his props.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) is questionable for NE
Stevenson has a knee injury and was limited in Thursday's practice. Questionable means he may or may not face Las Vegas, and a limited day means he got some work in. If he plays on a sore knee, his share of the carries is the thing to watch.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Mack Hollins (WR) is questionable for NE
Hollins has a calf injury and was not seen during the open part of Thursday's practice. Questionable already signals doubt about him facing Las Vegas, and missing that session adds to it. Wait for the final report before counting on him in any New England passing bet.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Ashton Jeanty (RB) is questionable for LV
Jeanty is managing both ankle and foot injuries and was limited on Thursday. Questionable means his availability for New England is uncertain, and limited work shows he is doing some of the practice load. Two lower-body issues on a running back make his workload worth checking even if he plays.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Cody White (WR) is questionable for LV
White has an ankle injury and was a limited participant Thursday, so he got some work in. Questionable means roughly a coin flip to play, and a limited session points toward the better side of that. The sheet does not say what role he has for Las Vegas or who replaces him. Check Friday's practice report and the final status before betting anything tied to the Raiders' receivers against New England.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Jalen Nailor (WR) is questionable for LV
Nailor is in the concussion protocol and did not practice Thursday. Concussions follow their own clearance steps, so his status for the trip to New England could stay unclear until close to kickoff. Hold off on any Las Vegas receiver angle involving him until he is cleared.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Chris Bell (WR) is questionable for MIA
Bell is questionable for the Dolphins against Cincinnati with a knee injury. He was limited Wednesday, which means he did some work, a better sign than a full absence. A full practice later in the week would point toward him playing.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA
Douglas has an ankle injury and did not practice Thursday. A questionable tag paired with no practice this late in the week puts his status for the Bengals game in real doubt. Any Miami receiver bet that depends on him needs the final injury report first.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Jaylen Wright (RB) is questionable for MIA
Wright has a foot injury and was limited on Thursday, which means he did part of the work. Questionable puts his availability in doubt for the Bengals game, and a limited session is a better sign than sitting out. Watch whether he practices fully before the weekend, since that usually decides these calls.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Tee Higgins (WR) is questionable for CIN
Higgins is dealing with two issues, groin and neck, and did not practice at all on Thursday. Questionable means a real chance he sits, and a missed Thursday session leaves him behind where you want a player to be this late in the week. If you are looking at Cincinnati passing props, wait for the final status before acting.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) is questionable for CIN
Chase is coming off a concussion and was limited Thursday, which means he is moving through the protocol. Questionable for the Miami game, his status hinges on clearing it before Sunday. He drives the Bengals passing game, so wait for the final word before betting on Cincinnati's offense.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Carnell Tate (WR) is questionable for TEN
Tate was limited Thursday with a back injury, and questionable means he has a real shot to play against Houston. Getting some practice work in is a decent sign. If he upgrades Friday, expect the Titans passing game to look normal.
- PACE & SCRIPTNYG @ WSH
NYG: 19.8 points allowed per game to WSH's 30.5
NYG is at 19.8 points allowed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 30.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season NYG was at 25.8 over 17 games and WSH at 26.5 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Treyvhon Saunders (WR) is questionable for HOU
The Texans cut Saunders from the practice squad with an injury settlement Tuesday, so he is no longer part of the team. Nothing changes for Houston against Tennessee.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is questionable for PHI
Wicks was limited Thursday with a hamstring injury, a better sign than a full absence, and questionable means a real chance he plays. If Smith sits, Wicks could matter more for the Eagles against Jacksonville. Watch how Friday's report breaks for both.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Hollywood Brown (WR) is questionable for PHI
Brown, an Eagles receiver, has an ankle injury and did not practice Wednesday. Questionable means it is up in the air for Jacksonville, and a missed practice early in the week leaves the call open. His practice reports the rest of the week will say more than this one day, so check before kickoff if you are betting anything on his production.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI
Smith was a non-participant Thursday with a hamstring injury, and questionable puts him on the fence for Jacksonville. With Barkley and Wicks also nursing hamstrings, the Eagles offense has several moving pieces this week. Friday's practice status is the tell for whether Philadelphia's passing game is close to full strength.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI
Barkley didn't practice Thursday with a hamstring injury, and questionable means it could go either way against Jacksonville. Hamstrings are easy to re-tweak, so even if he plays his workload could be lighter. Wait on Friday's practice report before leaning on the Eagles run game.
- TURNOVERSSF @ SEA
SEA: 2 takeaways per game to SF's 0.75
Seattle is forcing two turnovers a game over four, while San Francisco is at 0.75. Takeaways swing heavily from week to week and four games is a small sample, so expect both to move toward average. Seattle's edge is real for now, but it is a thin thing to build a bet on.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF
Moore did not practice Thursday because of a shoulder injury. With the game in Los Angeles against the Rams coming up, the fact that he could not get onto the field makes this questionable tag lean toward concern. Friday's practice report tells you more than the label does. If he is limited or out, Buffalo's passing game has to send those targets elsewhere, and any Moore prop is risky until his status is clear.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Zay Flowers (WR) is questionable for BAL
Flowers was limited Thursday with a foot injury, reported Oct 8. Limited work midweek usually points toward playing, though questionable means it is not settled. Foot injuries can cap how much a receiver runs, so his snap share at ATL is worth checking once the final status comes out.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
George Holani (RB) is questionable for SEA
Holani has a rib injury and stayed limited in Thursday's practice, so he is working through it. Questionable here reads as a player trying to suit up against San Francisco. The sheet gives no detail on his share of Seattle's backfield or who takes his carries. If he plays with sore ribs, his workload could be lighter than usual.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Dante Pettis (WR) is questionable for SF
This status no longer matters for Sunday. The 49ers released Pettis from their practice squad with an injury settlement on Thursday because of a calf injury, so he will not play against Seattle. His departure does not change anything for the San Francisco receivers who are actually on the field.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF
Evans has a rib injury and did not practice Thursday, though he ran on a side field during the open part of the session. Running on his own is a step forward, but he still missed team practice, so questionable fits for the Seattle game. Wait for the final call before betting San Francisco's receivers.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI
Love has an ankle injury and stayed limited Thursday, so he is still practicing in some form ahead of Detroit. That is a better sign than a player who sits out entirely, though he still carries the questionable tag. Watch for his final status before betting the Arizona run game.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Quentin Johnston (WR) is questionable for LAC
Johnston (chest) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC
Thompson missed Thursday's practice entirely with a quadriceps injury, and a DNP this late in the week is the worrying kind of questionable for Sunday against Denver. Watch Friday's report: another missed session would point toward him sitting. Until his status clears, hold off on any Chargers receiver prop that depends on how the targets get split.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC
McConkey has a foot injury and did not practice Thursday, so he is questionable for Denver. Missing practice outright this late in the week is a worse sign than a limited session. Wait for his final status before betting the Chargers' passing game or his receiving numbers.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Chris Brooks (RB) is questionable for GB
Brooks has an ankle injury and did not practice Thursday, which leaves his status for the Chicago game open. A player who misses practice this late in the week is less likely to suit up than one who was limited. Wait for the final inactive list before betting anything tied to the Packers' backfield.
- TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC
DEN: 1.25 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2.5
The Chargers are giving the ball away twice as often as Denver through 4 games. The Chargers were at 1.24 per game last season, so 2.5 looks like a bad stretch more than who they are, and it should come down. Denver at 1.25 is close to its 1 from last season. In Los Angeles, Denver is the steadier side with the ball, and the Chargers' giveaways are the swing factor.
- MISMATCHDEN @ LAC
DEN: 1.25 turnovers a game to LAC's 2.5
Denver has given it away 1.25 times a game through four games, the Chargers 2.5. Last season the Chargers were at 1.24, so their giveaways have doubled, while Denver sits near its 1 from a year ago. Expect the Chargers' number to come down, but they still have to protect the ball. Giveaways in a division game decide field position and close margins.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR
BUF: 31.8 points per game to LAR's 21.3
BUF is at 31.8 points per game over 4 games; LAR is at 21.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 28.3 over 17 games and LAR at 30.5 over 17 games.
- MISMATCHNYG @ WSH
NYG: 19.8 points allowed a game to WSH's 30.5
The Giants have allowed 19.8 points a game through four games, Washington 30.5. Last season both were worse than average, 25.8 and 26.5, so the Giants' improvement may be partly a four-game run and Washington's jump a defensive dip. Washington's offense likely has to outscore its own defense here. A game where the Giants' offense finds room against that defense points toward points on the board.
- PASS RUSHDET @ ARI
DET: 3.75 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2
Detroit is averaging 3.75 sacks a game over four, while Arizona is at two. Sack numbers depend on the lines and quarterbacks faced, which the sheet does not show. In this game, Detroit's rush is the one more likely to force negative plays, a useful angle for sack props.
- PASS RUSHDEN @ LAC
DEN: 1.25 sacks taken per game to LAC's 3
The Chargers' quarterback goes down about 3 times a game and Denver's barely more than once, through 4 games. Both teams look like last season, when the Chargers took 3.75 a game and Denver 1.77, so this gap has a long track record behind it. In Los Angeles, expect Denver's pass rush to get home often enough to stall Chargers drives and force longer third downs.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Nick Bosa (DE) is doubtful for SF
SF lists Nick Bosa as doubtful on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- RED ZONECIN @ MIA
CIN: 30.8% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 64.7%
Cincinnati has allowed scores on 30.8% of red-zone trips over four games, while Miami allows 64.7%. Red-zone numbers come from few possessions and tend to swing back toward average. Miami's rate suggests Cincinnati should turn more drives into touchdowns here, while the Bengals' stinginess is less likely to last.
- COVERAGEBUF @ LAR
LAR: 4.13 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.45
The Rams allow 4.13 yards a play over four games, while Buffalo gives up 5.45. Yards per play holds up better than most early numbers, though four games and an unknown schedule still leave room for change. This matches the passing gap: the Rams look like the stingier defense in this matchup.
- SITUATIONALCHI @ GB
CHI: 25.3 first downs per game to GB's 17
CHI is at 25.3 first downs per game over 4 games; GB is at 17 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CHI was at 21.1 over 17 games and GB at 19.6 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX
JAX: 13.3 points allowed per game to PHI's 23.3
PHI is at 23.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 13.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season PHI was at 19.1 over 17 games and JAX at 19.8 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB
CHI: 28 points per game to GB's 18.3
CHI is at 28 points per game over 4 games; GB is at 18.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CHI was at 25.9 over 17 games and GB at 23 over 17 games.
- MISMATCHPHI @ JAX
JAX: 13.3 points allowed a game to PHI's 23.3
Jacksonville has allowed 13.3 points a game through four games, Philadelphia 23.3. Last season they were close at 19.8 and 19.1, so Jacksonville's start is likely to move up some. Philadelphia has to finish drives with touchdowns against a defense that has kept scores low. A low-scoring, field-position game favors the defense that has been stronger this season.
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB
CHI: 16.3 points allowed per game to GB's 26.3
CHI is at 16.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; GB is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CHI was at 24.4 over 17 games and GB at 21.2 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALIND @ PIT
IND: 83.3% fourth-down conversion rate to PIT's 33.3%
Indianapolis has converted 83.3% of its fourth-down tries through 4 games, up from 66.7% last season, while Pittsburgh has made a third of its own after 52.2% last season. Four games of fourth downs is a small number of attempts, so both should move back toward last season. In Pittsburgh, the Colts have earned confidence when they go for it, and that aggression can tilt a close game.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Mason Graham (DT) is doubtful for CLE
Doubtful means Graham is very unlikely to play for Cleveland against the Jets. The sheet lists no injury detail or replacement, so the safe assumption is the Browns' defensive front plays without him this week.
- SITUATIONALSF @ SEA
SF: 43.3 penalty yards per game to SEA's 81.8
SF is at 43.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; SEA is at 81.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 38.3 over 17 games and SEA at 46.6 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALCHI @ GB
CHI: 47.3 penalty yards per game to GB's 86
CHI is at 47.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; GB is at 86 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CHI was at 57.1 over 17 games and GB at 48.1 over 17 games.
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Benjamin Morrison
Quadricep · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Drew Shelton
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Cobie Durant
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
SirVocea Dennis
Ankle, Foot · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
DeMarvion Overshown
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Antoine Winfield Jr.
Rib · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Baker Mayfield
Thumb · Did not practice · Out
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Marques Sigle
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Kyle Juszczyk
Knee · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Isaiah Adams
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Rashawn Slater
Ankle · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Caleb Williams
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Chauncey Golston
Neck · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Michael Pittman Jr.
Foot · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Arden Key
Hamstring · Did not practice · Out
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Reese Taylor
Quadriceps · Did not practice · Out
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Dallas Goedert (TE) is questionable for PHI
Goedert was limited Thursday with a knee injury, reported Oct 8. Limited practice is a step toward playing, and questionable keeps the outcome open for PHI at JAX. A knee can trim a tight end's snaps even when he suits up, so his workload is less certain than his status.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Gunnar Helm (TE) is questionable for TEN
Helm was a limited participant Thursday with a knee injury, reported Oct 8. That points toward a chance to play for TEN against HOU, with questionable meaning the call is still open. Friday's practice level is the next tell.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
David Martin-Robinson (TE) is questionable for TEN
Martin-Robinson has a hamstring injury and did not practice Thursday. That makes his status against Houston uncertain, and hamstrings tend to keep players out longer than expected. The sheet does not list his role at tight end for Tennessee or the next man up. Friday's practice is the tell.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Justin Joly (TE) is questionable for MIA
Joly (concussion) did not practice Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Noah Fant (TE) is questionable for NO
Fant was limited Thursday with an abdomen injury, reported Oct 8. Limited work midweek leans toward playing, and questionable keeps it uncertain for NO against MIN. Core injuries can limit how much a tight end blocks and runs routes, so his snap count matters as much as his status.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Carsen Ryan (TE) is questionable for CLE
Ryan logged a limited practice Thursday due to a calf injury. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is doubtful for NYJ
NYJ lists Kiko Mauigoa as doubtful on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Isaiah Likely (TE) is questionable for NYG
Likely (knee/groin) practiced on a limited basis Thursday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Chig Okonkwo (TE) is questionable for WSH
Okonkwo (hamstring) remained limited at Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Charlie Kolar (TE) is questionable for LAC
Kolar (forearm) remained limited in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
James Thompson Jr. (DT) is doubtful for SF
SF lists James Thompson Jr. as doubtful on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR
Parkinson is dealing with both a shoulder and a knee issue, but he was limited in Thursday's practice rather than missing it. That usually means a player is working toward suiting up against Buffalo. Questionable with limited work tends to end in him playing, though possibly with a lighter role. Check his final status before betting the Rams tight ends.
- PACE & SCRIPTCHI @ GB
CHI: 74.5 offensive plays per game to GB's 58.8
CHI is at 74.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; GB is at 58.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CHI was at 64.9 over 17 games and GB at 59.4 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL
BAL: 241.5 team passing yards per game to ATL's 179.5
Baltimore is throwing for about 62 more yards a game than Atlanta through 4 games. That is a big change for Baltimore, which averaged 175.6 last season, and Atlanta has dropped from 207.2. Expect both to move back some. In Atlanta, the Ravens look more willing to win through the air, which changes how a defense has to line up against them.
- COVERAGESF @ SEA
SEA: 28.6% third downs allowed to SF's 44.1%
Seattle has let opponents convert just 28.6% of third downs over four games, while San Francisco is at 44.1%. Third-down rates move a lot in small samples, so expect both to drift. Seattle's defense has been better at getting off the field, which favors them in a game where drives may be harder for San Francisco to finish.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Christian Gonzalez (CB) is questionable for NE
Gonzalez (shoulder) did not participate at the Patriots' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Joe Alt (OT) is questionable for LAC
Alt (neck) did not participate at the Chargers' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Jaylen Watson (CB) is questionable for LAR
Watson is a Rams cornerback with a shoulder injury who was limited at practice Thursday, Oct 9, and is questionable for Buffalo. Questionable leaves his status open, and a shoulder can limit a corner's tackling and press work even if he suits up. The sheet does not say who replaces him, so check the final injury report before leaning on Buffalo's passing game against this secondary.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Julian Neal (CB) is questionable for SEA
Neal (hamstring) was a limited participant at Seattle's practice Thursday, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. Reported Oct 9.
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN: 20.8 first downs per game to MIA's 13.3
CIN is at 20.8 first downs per game over 4 games; MIA is at 13.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIA at 17.1 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Charles Woods (CB) is questionable for NE
Woods (shoulder) exited Sunday's 29-26 win over the Bills. He finished with two tackles (one solo). Reported Oct 4.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Marlon Humphrey (CB) is questionable for BAL
Humphrey is dealing with both a calf and a hamstring injury and did not practice Thursday. Two soft-tissue issues and a missed session make him a real question mark for the Atlanta game. The sheet does not say who replaces him at corner. If he sits, the Falcons' receivers draw an easier matchup, so watch his final status before betting their passing props.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Cam Jurgens (C) is questionable for BAL
Baltimore traded for center Cam Jurgens from Philadelphia on Wednesday, and he is in the concussion protocol. He is questionable for the Atlanta game, and a new team plus a concussion makes an immediate debut uncertain. Expect the current Ravens center to keep the job until Jurgens is cleared and up to speed.
- RED ZONECHI @ GB
CHI: 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 85.7%
CHI is at 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; GB is at 85.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- RED ZONEPHI @ JAX
JAX: 28.6% red-zone scoring allowed to PHI's 58.8%
Jacksonville has let opponents score on only 28.6% of red-zone trips through 4 games, while Philadelphia is at 58.8%. Four games is a small window, and red-zone rates swing on a handful of possessions, so a couple of touchdowns allowed could move Jacksonville's number a long way. No opponent detail is on the sheet, so there is no telling yet how much of this is schedule. For this game, the gap leans toward Philadelphia drives stalling into field goals more often than Jacksonville's.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF
San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Stout is day-to-day with an AC joint sprain in his shoulder, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 7.
- PASS RUSHHOU @ TEN
TEN: 1.5 sacks taken per game to HOU's 3
Houston's quarterback is getting sacked 3 times a game through 4 games, double Tennessee's 1.5. That is a flip for Tennessee, which took 3.5 a game last season, while Houston was at 2.58. Tennessee's improvement is the bigger change and the one more likely to slip. In Tennessee, Houston's protection is the weak spot, and the Titans' pass rush should get chances.
- TRENCHESMIN @ NO
MIN: 94.5 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 147.8
MIN is at 94.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NO is at 147.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Jake Matthews (OT) is questionable for ATL
Matthews was limited Thursday with a groin injury. A limited practice keeps him in the mix to play against Baltimore. He is a tackle, so his status matters most for how Atlanta holds up in pass protection. If he sits, that protection weakens, which is worth weighing on any Falcons passing angle.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Christian Benford (CB) is questionable for BUF
Benford practiced in a limited capacity Thursday with a toe injury, which keeps him on track to possibly face the Rams. Paired with DJ Moore's missed practice, Buffalo has injury questions on both sides of the passing game. If Benford ends up out or limited, the Rams receivers get a softer matchup on that side of the field.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Brian O'Neill (OT) is questionable for MIN
O'Neill (knee) was a limited practice participant Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Dee Alford (CB) is questionable for BUF
Alford has an ankle injury and did not practice Thursday. Questionable after a missed session means his availability at the Rams is uncertain. The sheet does not name his replacement in Buffalo's secondary. Pair this with Ed Oliver's status: two Bills defenders listed questionable for the same game is worth tracking together.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN
Darrisaw (concussion) didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (CB) is questionable for NYJ
Brownlee (concussion) was limited during practice Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Andrew Thomas (OT) is questionable for NYG
Thomas (groin) was a limited participant in practice Thursday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Charles Omenihu (DE) is questionable for WSH
Omenihu (groin/ankle) did not practice Thursday, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Lukas Van Ness (DE) is questionable for GB
Van Ness was limited Wednesday with a shoulder injury, so he's getting some work ahead of the Bears game. A limited defensive end usually plays, but he may be on the field less. If he sits, Green Bay has less edge pressure, and that helps Chicago's quarterback a bit.
- PASS RUSHSF @ SEA
SF: 0 sacks taken per game to SEA's 1.5
SF is at 0 sacks taken per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Anthony Belton (OT) is questionable for GB
Belton is a Green Bay offensive tackle dealing with a knee injury, and he was limited at practice Thursday, Oct 9. Questionable means a real chance he plays, with the call often coming close to kickoff. Limited work suggests he got some reps in, which usually points toward playing more than a missed practice would. The sheet does not name a backup, so watch the inactive list against Chicago before betting anything tied to Green Bay's pass protection.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Donte Jackson (CB) is questionable for LAC
Jackson (hamstring) did not practice Wednesday, Kris Rhim of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Riley Moss (CB) is questionable for DEN
Moss (ribs) did not participate at the Broncos' practice Thursday, Chris Tomasson of The Denver Gazette reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Quinyon Mitchell (CB) is questionable for PHI
Mitchell was a full participant Thursday despite the knee injury, which is the best sign a questionable player can give. He looks on track to play at Jacksonville. If he is active, Jaguars receivers should not get extra credit for facing a banged-up Eagles secondary.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Montaric Brown (CB) is questionable for JAX
Brown (hamstring) was a limited practice participant Wednesday and Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Jourdan Lewis (CB) is questionable for JAX
Lewis registered five tackles (three solo) and an interception during the Jaguars' 22-17 win over the Bengals on Sunday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Jager Burton (C) is questionable for GB
Burton (back) was a limited participant at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Will Anderson Jr. (DE) is questionable for HOU
Anderson is questionable for the trip to Tennessee after five tackles and half a sack in Sunday's 34-30 loss to Dallas, so he played through whatever this is. The sheet names no injury or practice status, so his practice reports this week tell you more than the label does.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE
Davis has a neck injury and did not practice Thursday. For a cornerback, a missed session puts his status against Las Vegas in real doubt. The sheet does not name who covers in his place if he sits. If he is out, the Raiders' passing game faces a thinner New England secondary, so props on their receivers depend on his final status.
- PASS RUSHPHI @ JAX
JAX: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to PHI's 1
Jacksonville is getting home 2.5 times a game through 4 games, against 1 for Philadelphia. Sack totals in a four-game window depend heavily on which quarterbacks and lines a defense drew, and the sheet does not name them. Jacksonville's rush has the clearer edge on paper here, which matters most for Philadelphia drives that end up in obvious passing downs.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Jacob Monk (C) is questionable for GB
Monk (quadriceps) did not participate at the Packers' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- PASS RUSHHOU @ TEN
HOU: 3.5 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2
Houston's defense is recording 3.5 sacks a game through 4 games, with Tennessee at 2. That is a strong pace for Houston, though four games of sack totals can lean on one or two big afternoons. Tennessee's quarterback will likely face more pressure than Houston's, which tilts toward Houston in long-yardage and late-game passing situations.
- MISMATCHLV @ NE
LV: 1.5 turnovers a game to NE's 2.5
Las Vegas has turned it over 1.5 times a game through four games, New England 2.5. New England was at 0.94 last season, so this is a sharp change that should come down. Over four games, giveaways are a noisy number. If New England keeps handing the ball over, Las Vegas gets short fields, so turnover swings can decide the margin.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET: 6.77 yards per pass attempt to ARI's 4.75
Detroit is gaining 6.77 yards every time it throws, Arizona 4.75, so the Lions move the ball in chunks while the Cardinals grind short. Both are down from last season, Detroit from 7.09 and Arizona from 5.61, which suggests Arizona's drop is the bigger red flag. Over 4 games the gap could narrow, but Detroit's passing game is the one more likely to dictate pace and force Arizona to keep up.
- TURNOVERSMIN @ NO
MIN: 1.75 takeaways per game to NO's 0.75
MIN is at 1.75 takeaways per game over 4 games; NO is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- TURNOVERSLV @ NE
LV: 2.25 takeaways per game to NE's 1.25
Las Vegas is forcing 2.25 takeaways a game through 4 games, with New England at 1.25. Turnover rates are the least stable defensive stat, and four games is a short run, so expect Las Vegas to come back toward the pack. A bettor should lean on it lightly: it says the Raiders have been opportunistic, not that they will win the turnover battle on Sunday.
- TURNOVERSCLE @ NYJ
NYJ: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to CLE's 1.25
The Jets have coughed it up once in 4 games, 0.25 per game, after 1.35 last season. Cleveland at 1.25 is slightly better than its 1.47 a year ago. Nobody keeps a pace that low for long, so expect the Jets to give some back. Cleveland's path in this game likely runs through forcing mistakes the Jets have mostly avoided so far.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSSF @ SEA
SF: 6.97 yards per play to SEA's 5.83
SF is at 6.97 yards per play over 4 games; SEA is at 5.83 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 5.49 over 17 games and SEA at 5.98 over 17 games.
- TRENCHESBAL @ ATL
ATL: 48.3 rushing yards allowed per game to BAL's 100
Atlanta is allowing just 48.3 rushing yards a game through 4 games, while Baltimore gives up 100. That is an elite run-defense number, though the sheet does not show who Atlanta faced, and a few pass-heavy opponents or games where Atlanta led early would shrink rushing attempts. Baltimore's own ground game is the stiffer test, so this matchup shows quickly whether Atlanta's number is real.
- MISMATCHCLE @ NYJ
NYJ: 0.25 turnovers a game to CLE's 1.25
The Jets have turned it over just 0.25 times a game through four games, Cleveland 1.25. Last season the Jets were at 1.35, so that clean start is likely to rise. Cleveland sits near its 1.47 from a year ago. Cleveland has to protect the ball to keep the Jets from steering field position.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Frankie Luvu (LB) is questionable for WSH
Luvu (groin) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Jason Pinnock (S) is questionable for NYG
Pinnock suffered a concussion during Sunday's 36-24 win over the Cardinals, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 5.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Bryan Cook (S) is questionable for CIN
Cook (ankle) was a limited practice participant Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Jaylon Carlies (LB) is questionable for IND
Carlies logged five tackles (three solo) and an interception during Sunday's 30-13 win over the Commanders in London before exiting with a rib injury in the third quarter, Joel A. Erickson of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
B.J. Hill (DT) is questionable for CIN
Hill (Achilles) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (S) is questionable for ARI
Taylor-Demerson has a back injury and was limited Wednesday, so he practiced in some form. With fellow safety Andrew Wingard also questionable after missing practice, Arizona's safety group is thin heading into the Detroit game, and that is the spot to watch.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Marcus Epps (S) is questionable for PHI
Epps (groin) did not practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Amani Hooker (S) is questionable for TEN
Hooker reported concussion symptoms following Sunday's 24-18 loss to the Ravens and won't practice Wednesday, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Kingsley Enagbare (LB) is questionable for NYJ
Enagbare (knee) was limited in Wednesday's estimated practice report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Nick Cross (S) is questionable for WSH
Cross (illness) was a limited participant at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Jackson Woodard (LB) is questionable for MIA
Woodard suffered an ankle injury during Sunday's 15-10 loss to the Vikings. Reported Oct 5.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI
Greenard (ankle) did not practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.
- SITUATIONALCHI @ GB
CHI (3-1) at GB (2-2), a division game
Chicago is 3-1 with a +47 margin and two straight wins, so the record is backed by real scoring separation. Green Bay sits at 2-2 but is -32 on the year and lost its only home game. Four games is a short run, but the gap in point margin is wide, and in a division game the Bears arrive as the team with the steadier body of work.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Julian Blackmon (S) is questionable for NO
Blackmon (shoulder) was a limited practice participant Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE
Hall (ankle) didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) is questionable for HOU
Al-Shaair was limited Wednesday with a groin injury before Houston's trip to Tennessee. Groin injuries can flare up, so whether he gets in a full practice later in the week tells you more than the questionable tag. If he's out, the Texans lose a linebacker who sees a lot of snaps, and the Titans' short passing game could get easier.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Kaden Elliss (LB) is questionable for NO
Elliss (calf) did not participate in practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR
Landman (shoulder) did not participate at practice Thursday, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Leonard Williams (DT) is questionable for SEA
Williams (ankle) did not participate at the Seahawks' practice Thursday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI
Wingard has a knee injury and did not practice Wednesday, a worse early sign than a limited session. Dadrion Taylor-Demerson is also questionable at safety with a back issue, so Arizona could be short at the position against Detroit. Later-week practice reports will tell you how many of them suit up.
- COOLING OFFCLE @ CHW
Colson Montgomery: .265 OPS in Last 15 Days
Montgomery has barely reached base or hit for power over the last 15 days, and that covers only 39 at-bats. His season OPS is .685, so this is a 0.42 drop from a mark that was already modest. A stretch of 39 at-bats swings on a few results, and a move back toward .685 is the likelier path. For CLE @ CHW, price him near his season form, and remember that form has a limited ceiling.
P 2-for-4, 2 TB
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Quentin Lake (S) is questionable for LAR
Lake (hip) did not participate at practice Thursday, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 9.
- RED ZONETB @ DAL
TB: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 73.3%
TB is at 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; DAL is at 73.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- COVERAGEDET @ ARI
ARI: 233.8 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 304
Detroit is giving up 304 passing yards a game through 4 games, against 233.8 for Arizona. Big passing yardage allowed can come from opponents chasing points late, but over four games Detroit's number points to a secondary that has been leaking. Arizona's passing game draws the friendlier matchup here, which is the angle for quarterback and receiver yardage.
- SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH
NYG (3-1) at WSH (1-3), a division game
The Giants have won two straight, yet at +3 points on the year their 3-1 record is built on close games, and their one road trip was a loss. Washington is 1-3 with a -34 margin, though it has split two home games. A four-game sample and a division meeting make this tighter than the records suggest, so the margin numbers matter more than the win column here.
- SITUATIONALSF @ SEA
SF (4-0) at SEA (3-1), a division game
SF is unbeaten through four games and has outscored teams by 58, while SEA is 3-1 at +32 and has won 1 straight. The road and home splits are thin: SF has played just one road game, SEA is 2-0 at home. Four games is a small sample, so the point differential tells you more than the records. In a division game where both teams are winning, think about how much of SF's edge survives a trip to a building where SEA has not lost yet.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Eric Murray (S) is questionable for JAX
Murray (concussion) was a limited practice participant Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Jihaad Campbell (LB) is questionable for PHI
Campbell (knee) was limited during Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Aaron Donald (DT) is questionable for LAR
Donald (back) will be a limited participant at Thursday's practice, according to head coach Sean McVay, Adam Grosbard of the LA Daily News reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Ed Oliver (DT) is questionable for BUF
Oliver has a knee injury and did not practice Thursday. A missed session puts his status against the Rams in doubt, and the sheet does not say who takes his snaps on the interior. If he sits, Buffalo's defensive front is thinner, which matters for how you view the Rams' offense in this game.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL
Hendrickson didn't practice Wednesday because of a finger injury. A finger usually doesn't keep a pass rusher off the field, and many players just tape it up and play. If he does sit against Atlanta, Baltimore's pass rush gets thinner, so check the inactive list before betting on the Falcons' passing game.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Zack Baun (LB) is questionable for PHI
Baun (concussion) was limited during practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Christian Barmore (DT) is questionable for NE
Barmore (shoulder) was a limited participant at the Patriots' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Dante Trader Jr. (S) is questionable for MIA
Trader (shin) was limited during Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 8.
- TRENCHESPHI @ JAX
JAX: 74.3 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 122
PHI is at 122 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 74.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- SITUATIONALSF @ SEA
SF: 9.32 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 7.43
SF is at 9.32 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 7.43 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTDET @ ARI
DET: 29.8 points per game to ARI's 21.8
DET is at 29.8 points per game over 4 games; ARI is at 21.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 28.3 over 17 games and ARI at 20.9 over 17 games.
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Jonathan Mingo
Illness · Did not practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- STREAKTB @ DAL
TB has lost 4 straight
Tampa Bay has not won a game yet, and four weeks in, that is a real hole. The sheet does not show who they lost to or by how much, so four games is the whole sample. Losing streaks this early tend to push a team toward taking more chances to get a result. Going into Dallas, the useful question is whether the losses were close or lopsided, because that tells you more about this spot than the 0-4 does.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB
Banks (toe/knee) did not participate at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Savion Williams (WR) is ir-r for GB
Williams (ankle) was a limited participant Wednesday after the Packers opened his 21-day practice window. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Jeremy McNichols (RB) is ir-r for WSH
McNichols (quadriceps) was a limited participant at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU
Dell (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 8.
- PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO
NO: 72.8 offensive plays per game to MIN's 59.8
MIN is at 59.8 offensive plays per game over 4 games; NO is at 72.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season MIN was at 56.1 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Tim Patrick (WR) is ir-r for NYJ
The Jets designated Patrick (groin) for return from injured reserve Wednesday, John Pullano of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Reggie Gilliam (FB) is questionable for NE
Gilliam (ankle) did not participate at the Patriots' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 9.
- PASS RUSHDEN @ LAC
DEN: 5.8 sack yards lost per game to LAC's 18.8
DEN is at 5.8 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; LAC is at 18.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and LAC at 21.6 over 17 games.
- PASS RUSHIND @ PIT
IND: 13.8 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 26.8
Pittsburgh is losing 26.8 yards a game on sacks through 4 games, close to double the 14.8 it gave up last season, while the Colts are near their 15.1 from a year ago. Those lost yards turn second downs into long third downs. The Steelers spike is a 4-game sample that could ease, but if the Colts pass rush gets home, Pittsburgh drives get much harder to finish.
- COVERAGESF @ SEA
SEA: 144.8 passing yards allowed per game to SF's 209
Seattle is holding opponents to 144.8 passing yards a game through 4 games, while San Francisco allows 209. A number that low can reflect opponents who leaned on the run or weak passing attacks, and the sheet does not say which offenses Seattle saw. San Francisco's passing game is a fair test, so Seattle's figure should rise some if the schedule has been soft.
- MISMATCHIND @ PIT
IND: 2 sacks taken a game to PIT's 3.25
Pittsburgh's quarterback has been sacked 3.25 times a game through four games, Indianapolis's 2. Last season Pittsburgh was at 2.38 and Indianapolis at 2.07, so the Colts are steady while Pittsburgh's protection has slipped. Expect Pittsburgh's number to drift back some, but until it does, the Colts' pass rush gets chances at drive-killing negative plays. Stalled Pittsburgh drives can tilt field position.
- STREAKHOU @ TEN
HOU has lost 4 straight
Houston is 0-4, and the losses have come every week. Four games is a short sample, and the sheet does not say who they played. The trip to Tennessee is a meeting of two winless teams, since the Titans are also 0-4. That means one streak has to end, and the price on either side should reflect two teams that have not shown much yet.
- STREAKCIN @ MIA
MIA has lost 4 straight
Miami has lost all four games so far. That is four weeks of results, with no opponent detail on the sheet, so it is hard to say how much is the schedule and how much is the team. At home against Cincinnati, a bettor should ask whether the market has already priced the 0-4 in, since winless starts often get marked down hard.
- STREAKMIN @ NO
MIN has won 4 straight
Minnesota has won every game it has played. Four games is a decent start but a small sample, and the sheet does not show who those wins came against. Unbeaten teams usually get priced up as the streak grows, so going into New Orleans the record may already be baked into the number.
- STREAKDEN @ LAC
LAC has lost 4 straight
LAC carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 0-4 on the season. They face DEN in DEN @ LAC. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-07.
- QUARTERBACKBAL @ ATL
Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL
Through 4 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 967 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 10.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in. Lamar Jackson is also listed q for this matchup.
- QUARTERBACKMIN @ NO
Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO
Through 4 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1203 passing yards, completed 67.2% of his passes and averaged 6.68 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in. Tyler Shough is also listed q for this matchup.
- STREAKSF @ SEA
SF has won 4 straight
SF carries a 4-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-0 on the season. They face SEA in SF @ SEA. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-07.
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Tyler Smith
Thumb · Full practice · Questionable
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Irv Charles (WR) is ir-r for SEA
Charles (undisclosed) practiced Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA
Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Charbonnet (knee) won't be activated from the reserve/PUP list in advance of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Gregg Bell of The Tacoma News Tribune reports. Reported Oct 5.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF
Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Friday that the 49ers could open Kirk's (calf) practice window to return from injured reserve in two weeks, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 2.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV
Thornton (hamstring) was a full participant at practice Wednesday, Anthony Galaviz of The Fresno Bee reports. Reported Oct 7.
- PASS RUSHSF @ SEA
SEA: 2.75 sacks recorded per game to SF's 1.5
SF is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; SEA is at 2.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- RED ZONEMIN @ NO
NO: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2
MIN is at 2 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NO is at 3.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season MIN was at 3 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSTB @ DAL
DAL: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1.25
TB is at 1.25 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and DAL at 0.71 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PASS RUSHIND @ PIT
IND: 2 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.25
IND is at 2 sacks taken per game over 4 games; PIT is at 3.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and PIT at 2.38 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSDET @ ARI
DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1
DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.
- COOLING OFFCLE @ CHW
Tristan Peters: .307 OPS in Last 15 Days
Peters has done almost nothing at the plate lately, but the window is just 28 at-bats, the thinnest sample in this group. His season OPS is .774, a 0.467 gap, and a handful of hits would close much of it. Expect him to move back toward the season mark rather than stay buried. For CLE @ CHW, judge him off the .774 and give the recent slump light weight.
P 1-for-3, 1 TB
- SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH
NYG: 43.4% third-down conversion rate to WSH's 31.6%
The Giants are converting 43.4% of third downs through 4 games, up a bit from 40.2% last season, while Washington has slipped to 31.6% from 37.6%. The Giants number is close to their norm; Washington's dip over 4 games is more likely to recover some. The Giants are the side better set up to sustain drives and control the clock here.
- TEAM RECORDSF @ SEA
NFC WEST game: SF 2-0, SEA 1-0 in the division
These two share the NFC WEST. SF is 2-0 against it, SEA is 1-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-07.
- TEAM RECORDDEN @ LAC
AFC WEST game: DEN 0-1, LAC 0-1 in the division
These two share the AFC WEST. DEN is 0-1 against it, LAC is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-07.
- TEAM RECORDCHI @ GB
NFC NORTH game: CHI 0-1, GB 0-1 in the division
These two share the NFC NORTH. CHI is 0-1 against it, GB is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-07.
- TEAM RECORDNYG @ WSH
NFC EAST game: NYG 1-0, WSH 0-2 in the division
The Giants have played one division game and won it, while Washington has lost both of theirs. These are one and two game samples, so they say little about either team's true level. Washington is at home and already two losses down in the NFC East, which makes this a game they badly need.
- SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL
BAL: 8.85 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 7.15
BAL is at 8.85 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; ATL is at 7.15 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BAL was at 6.69 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Chris Manhertz (TE) is questionable for NYG
NYG lists Chris Manhertz as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG
Dart recently underwent surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.
- PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN
HOU: 21 points per game to TEN's 13.8
HOU is at 21 points per game over 4 games; TEN is at 13.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 23.8 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX
JAX: 26 points per game to PHI's 18.8
PHI is at 18.8 points per game over 4 games; JAX is at 26 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season PHI was at 22.3 over 17 games and JAX at 27.9 over 17 games.
- COVERAGEMIN @ NO
MIN: 4.93 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.9
MIN is at 4.93 yards per play allowed over 4 games; NO is at 5.9 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- PASS RUSHSF @ SEA
SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 12
SF is at 0 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; SEA is at 12 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN
HOU: 29:12 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:19
HOU is at 29:12 time of possession per game over 4 games; TEN is at 24:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 31:49 over 17 games and TEN at 29:08 over 17 games.
- COVERAGEPHI @ JAX
PHI: 222 passing yards allowed per game to JAX's 280.3
PHI is at 222 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; JAX is at 280.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC
DEN (2-2) at LAC (0-4), a division game
Neither team has done anything away from or at its own stadium: Denver is 0-2 on the road and the Chargers are 0-2 at home during an 0-4 start. The Chargers' -39 margin is worse, but Denver at -20 is no juggernaut at 2-2. This is a division game between two flawed teams, and the home and road splits suggest neither side has earned trust as a favorite.
- PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN
HOU @ TEN carries a 37.5 market total
At 37.5, the market expects Houston and Tennessee to score 6 points fewer than the typical game on a slate where the median total is 43.5. That projects a game of field goals and long drives, with few quick scores. For it to crack, someone needs short fields: turnovers, a return score or a couple of explosive plays. A bettor can ask whether either offense has shown it can finish drives with touchdowns, since a low total leaves little room once one team starts scoring.
- MISMATCHBUF @ LAR
LAR: 290.3 pass yards a game to BUF's 247.3
The Rams are throwing for 290.3 yards a game through four games, Buffalo for 247.3. The Rams were at 268.1 last season, so this is a slightly better version of a known passing offense, while Buffalo is up from 216.6. Both teams can move the ball through the air. If the passing games carry over, this sets up a game where both offenses trade throws.
- HEAT CHECKCLE @ CHW
Brayan Rocchio: 1.068 OPS in Last 15 Days
Rocchio has been hitting far above his usual level over 34 at-bats, well past his .705 season OPS. That is a short run, and 34 at-bats does not make him a new hitter. His season line and 15 home runs describe a solid, ordinary bat, so expect him to drift back toward .705. At a 0.5 total-bases line the only question is one hit, and a hot two weeks says little about that against the White Sox.
P 0-for-2, 0 TB, 2 BB
- PASS RUSHHOU @ TEN
TEN: 9.3 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 20.5
HOU is at 20.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; TEN is at 9.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 20.8 over 17 games and TEN at 26.1 over 17 games.
- HEAT CHECKCLE @ CHW
Chase Meidroth: 1.066 OPS in Last 15 Days
Meidroth has been one of the more dangerous bats in the lineup over 41 at-bats, running well above his .765 season OPS. A window that short can lift the number fast and drop it just as fast. His 16 home runs show the power is real, which gives the run some support. With his total-bases line at 1.5 for CLE @ CHW, decide whether you are pricing the hot stretch or the full-season bat, and lean toward the season.
P 1-for-4, 2 TB, 1 BB
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Austin Jackson (OT) is questionable for MIA
MIA lists Austin Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN
TEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to HOU's 27.3
HOU is at 27.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 20.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 17.4 over 17 games and TEN at 28.1 over 17 games.
- TRENCHESCIN @ MIA
MIA: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to CIN's 3.42
CIN is at 3.42 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; MIA is at 4.52 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 4.14 over 17 games and MIA at 4.64 over 17 games.
- COVERAGESF @ SEA
SEA: 3.93 yards per play allowed to SF's 4.82
SF is at 4.82 yards per play allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 3.93 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- COVERAGEDEN @ LAC
LAC: 36.5% third downs allowed to DEN's 47.5%
Los Angeles is letting opponents convert 36.5% of third downs through 4 games, while Denver allows 47.5%. Third-down rates are noisy over four games, but Denver's number is high enough to keep drives alive for most offenses. Chargers drives have the better chance to stay on the field, which supports more possessions and plays for that side.
- TRENCHESHOU @ TEN
HOU: 83.8 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 122.8
Houston is allowing 83.8 rushing yards a game through 4 games, with Tennessee at 122.8. Houston's run defense has been solid, and Tennessee's has given up chunks on the ground. In this matchup, Houston's runners have the more inviting front, which matters for game script if Houston gets a lead.
- UPCOMING GAMESNCAAF
Next college slate · OCT 9
BDL lists 4 covered college games on the next college slate. All 4 kickoff times are confirmed.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Landon Jackson (DE) is questionable for BUF
BUF lists Landon Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Samson Ebukam (DE) is questionable for ATL
ATL lists Samson Ebukam as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Nehemiah Pritchett (CB) is questionable for SEA
SEA lists Nehemiah Pritchett as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Deane Leonard (CB) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Deane Leonard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Cam Hart (CB) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Cam Hart as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Darnell Wright (OT) is questionable for CHI
CHI lists Darnell Wright as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Jalen Ramsey (CB) is questionable for PIT
PIT lists Jalen Ramsey as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Tanor Bortolini (C) is questionable for IND
IND lists Tanor Bortolini as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Charvarius Ward (CB) is questionable for IND
IND lists Charvarius Ward as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Will Mallory (TE) is ir-r for IND
Mallory (thumb) was a full participant at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Mekhi Blackmon (CB) is questionable for CLE
CLE lists Mekhi Blackmon as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Derek Barnett (DE) is questionable for CLE
CLE lists Derek Barnett as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Carl Granderson (DE) is questionable for NO
NO lists Carl Granderson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Charles Demmings (CB) is questionable for MIN
MIN lists Charles Demmings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Ben Yurosek (TE) is ir-r for MIN
Yurosek (undisclosed) practiced Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE
NE lists Channing Canada as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Morgan Moses (OT) is questionable for NE
NE lists Morgan Moses as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Dre'Mont Jones (DE) is questionable for NE
NE lists Dre'Mont Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Karon Prunty (CB) is questionable for NE
NE lists Karon Prunty as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
JuJu Brents (CB) is questionable for MIA
MIA lists JuJu Brents as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA
MIA lists Robert Beal Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Marcus Harris (CB) is questionable for TEN
TEN lists Marcus Harris as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
John Franklin-Myers (DE) is questionable for TEN
TEN lists John Franklin-Myers as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Blake Fisher (OT) is questionable for HOU
HOU lists Blake Fisher as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Aireontae Ersery (OT) is questionable for HOU
HOU lists Aireontae Ersery as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Jarrian Jones (CB) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists Jarrian Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Josh Hines-Allen (DE) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists Josh Hines-Allen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Anton Harrison (OT) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists Anton Harrison as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Cole Van Lanen (OT) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists Cole Van Lanen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Drew Kendall (C) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Drew Kendall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Fred Johnson (OT) is questionable for PHI
PHI lists Fred Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSPHI @ JAX
JAX: 5.63 yards per play to PHI's 4.75
Jacksonville is gaining 5.63 yards a play to Philadelphia's 4.75 through 4 games; both teams sat at 5.27 last season, so the Jaguars are up and the Eagles are down. In their last game the Jaguars had 5 plays of 20 or more yards, including Trevor Lawrence's 29-yarder to Josh Cameron, while the Eagles had none. One game of big plays is a small piece of evidence, but Jacksonville looks like the side more likely to hit chunk gains.
- STREAKDET @ ARI
ARI has lost 3 straight
Arizona won once and has dropped three in a row, sitting at 1-3. The sheet does not show who those losses came against, so the streak tells you about results more than quality. Detroit comes to Arizona, and the home side needs to show something different from the last three weeks.
- TURNOVERSDET @ ARI
ARI: 1.75 takeaways per game to DET's 1
Arizona is forcing 1.75 takeaways a game through 4 games, with Detroit at 1. The gap is small and turnovers swing wildly over four games, so this is likely to move. It is a minor tilt toward Arizona creating extra possessions, worth less than the passing-defense gap in this game.
- PASS RUSHTB @ DAL
DAL: 8.3 sack yards lost per game to TB's 18.5
TB is at 18.5 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; DAL is at 8.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and DAL at 16 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSTB @ DAL
DAL: 5.53 yards per play to TB's 4.67
Dallas is gaining 5.53 yards a play to Tampa Bay's 4.67 through 4 games, with the Bucs down from 5.12 last season and the Cowboys slightly off their 5.96. In their last game Dallas hit 4 plays of 20 or more yards, led by Dak Prescott's 53-yarder to George Pickens, while Tampa Bay had 2, both from Jalon Daniels. The Cowboys look like the side more capable of flipping the field quickly at home.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- STREAKCLE @ NYJ
NYJ has lost 3 straight
The Jets won their opener and have lost three straight since, sitting at 1-3. They host a Cleveland team that has won three straight, so the recent form runs hard against them. Four games is still a small sample, and home field is the one thing the Jets have going for them on this sheet.
- STREAKCLE @ NYJ
CLE has won 3 straight
Cleveland has won three straight after a loss to open the season, so the 3-1 record came after a slow start. The sheet does not say who those wins came against. They visit a Jets team that has lost three straight, which makes this two streaks running in opposite directions with one going on the road.
- TURNOVERSNYG @ WSH
NYG: 2 takeaways per game to WSH's 1.25
The Giants are forcing 2 takeaways a game through 4 games, with Washington at 1.25. Takeaways bounce around more than any defensive stat, and four games is a short run, so expect the Giants to regress some. Use it as a light lean on turnover-driven swings, not a sign the Giants will win that battle on Sunday.
- TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC
LAC: 1.75 takeaways per game to DEN's 1
The Chargers are forcing 1.75 takeaways a game through 4 games, while Denver is at 1. Both numbers are modest, and the gap is the kind four games of turnover luck can create. It gives a slight edge to the Chargers in the turnover column without being something to build a bet around.
- COVERAGEIND @ PIT
PIT: 209.5 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 261.3
Indianapolis is allowing 261.3 passing yards a game through 4 games, while Pittsburgh gives up 209.5. Without opponent detail, some of Indianapolis's total may come from teams throwing to catch up or opponents with strong passing games. Pittsburgh's receivers draw the softer secondary here, which is the place to look for passing yardage.
- TRENCHESSF @ SEA
SF: 4.85 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.78
SF is at 4.85 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; SEA is at 3.78 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 3.81 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTIND @ PIT
IND: 25.5 points per game to PIT's 19.3
IND is at 25.5 points per game over 4 games; PIT is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 27.4 over 17 games and PIT at 23.4 over 17 games.
- RED ZONESF @ SEA
SF: 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 66.7%
SF is at 45.5% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; SEA is at 66.7% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- TURNOVERSSF @ SEA
SF: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 1.25
SF is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; SEA is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 1.29 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSDET @ ARI
DET: 0.25 turnovers committed per game to ARI's 1
DET is at 0.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 0.88 over 17 games and ARI at 1.24 over 17 games.
- RED ZONELV @ NE
LV: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2.25
LV is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; NE is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season LV was at 2.12 over 17 games and NE at 3.71 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC
DEN: 46.8 penalty yards per game to LAC's 72.3
DEN is at 46.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; LAC is at 72.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and LAC at 46.3 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSNYG @ WSH
WSH: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.25
NYG is at 1.25 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; WSH is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season NYG was at 1 over 17 games and WSH at 1.35 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSHOU @ TEN
HOU: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to TEN's 1.25
HOU is at 0.5 turnovers committed per game over 4 games; TEN is at 1.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 0.71 over 17 games and TEN at 1.12 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSTB @ DAL
DAL: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to TB's 1
TB is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 0.29 over 17 games and DAL at 0.53 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Mike Hall Jr.
Ankle · Did not practice
- AFTER GARYTB @ DAL
TB +8.5 → +9.5
Gary's number was 8.5; the same book now shows 9.5.
- COVERAGEHOU @ TEN
TEN: 209.8 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 260
Houston is giving up 260 passing yards a game through 4 games, while Tennessee allows 209.8. The sheet does not show whether Houston faced pass-heavy offenses or teams chasing late, both of which inflate yardage. Tennessee's passing game draws the more generous secondary here, which is the angle for its quarterback and receiver yardage.
- COVERAGEBAL @ ATL
BAL: 215.3 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 264.8
Atlanta's pass defense has allowed 264.8 yards a game over four games, against Baltimore's 215.3. Some of that can come from who threw on them and how often opponents were trailing and forced to pass, which four games can't fully sort out. Baltimore's number reads as a sturdier unit so far, and Atlanta's suggests coverage that teams have found ways through. For this game, the Ravens' passing attack is the side with the friendlier matchup on paper.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Tank Bigsby (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI
The Eagles placed Bigsby (abdomen) on injured reserve Tuesday, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
DaVon Hamilton (DT) is questionable for JAX
JAX lists DaVon Hamilton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Braden Smith (OT) is ir-r for HOU
Smith (foot) was a full participant in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
British Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for HOU
Brooks (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 3.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Jamal Hill (LB) is questionable for HOU
HOU lists Jamal Hill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Joshua Williams (CB) is ir-r for TEN
The Titans opened Williams' (pectoral) 21-day practice window Wednesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Kevin Winston Jr. (S) is questionable for TEN
TEN lists Kevin Winston Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Jeffery Simmons (DT) is questionable for TEN
TEN lists Jeffery Simmons as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN
CIN lists Kyle Dugger as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Swayze Bozeman (LB) is questionable for CIN
CIN lists Swayze Bozeman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Dexter Lawrence II (DT) is questionable for CIN
CIN lists Dexter Lawrence II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA
Duck (knee) practiced in full Thursday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE
Brown (ankle) was seen in the locker room Wednesday without a noticeable limp, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Craig Woodson (S) is questionable for NE
NE lists Craig Woodson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Christian Elliss (LB) is questionable for NE
NE lists Christian Elliss as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Michael Jurgens (C) is ir-r for MIN
The Vikings designated Jurgens (elbow) for return from injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Anfernee Jennings (LB) is questionable for NO
NO lists Anfernee Jennings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG
The Giants placed Berrios (foot) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Deatrich Wise Jr. (DE) is pup-r for WSH
Wise (quadriceps) had his 21-day practice window opened Wednesday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Trey Amos (CB) is ir-r for WSH
The Commanders opened Amos' (ankle) 21-day practice window ahead of Wednesday's session. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Jaylin Lane (WR) is on injured reserve for WSH
The Commanders placed Lane (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Percy Butler (S) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Percy Butler as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI
Gordon (calf) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Keyshaun Elliott (LB) is questionable for CHI
CHI lists Keyshaun Elliott as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB
Parsons (knee), per head coach Matt LaFleur, will not practice this week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 5.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB
GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Devonte Wyatt (DT) is questionable for GB
GB lists Devonte Wyatt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Dalvin Tomlinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Derwin James Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Grant Stuard (LB) is questionable for LAR
LAR lists Grant Stuard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET
Mays, a center, has been on injured reserve with a wrist injury, and Detroit opened his window to return on Wednesday. That starts a practice period, and it does not mean he is active for Arizona; the Lions still have to add him back to the roster. For bettors this is a depth note on the interior line, so check whether he is activated before kickoff rather than counting on him.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
DJ Wonnum (LB) is questionable for DET
DET lists DJ Wonnum as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Tyleik Williams (DT) is questionable for DET
DET lists Tyleik Williams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI
ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Karson Sharar (LB) is questionable for ARI
ARI lists Karson Sharar as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA
Price (chest) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 3.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA
SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL
ATL lists Divine Deablo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Yasir Abdullah (LB) is questionable for ATL
ATL lists Yasir Abdullah as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Josaiah Stewart (LB) is questionable for LAR
LAR lists Josaiah Stewart as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 9.
- PACE & SCRIPTHOU @ TEN
HOU: 63.5 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53.8
HOU is at 63.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; TEN is at 53.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 64 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA
CIN: 62.3 offensive plays per game to MIA's 52.5
CIN is at 62.3 offensive plays per game over 4 games; MIA is at 52.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 62.2 over 17 games and MIA at 55.8 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR
LAR: 20.8 points allowed per game to BUF's 26.8
Buffalo is allowing 26.8 points a game through 4 games, up from 21.5 last season, while the Rams are right on last season's pace at 20.8 against 20.4. The Bills defense is the number more likely to move back toward its usual level. With the Rams throwing well, Buffalo's leaky start is the key piece for anyone weighing points in this game.
- PACE & SCRIPTTB @ DAL
TB @ DAL carries a 48.5 market total
A 48.5 total is 5 points above the slate median, so the market expects more scoring than an average game, without the shootout pricing of the slate's highest totals. The fact sheet gives no injury, weather or form details to explain why. A 5-point gap is small enough that one long scoring drive or one stalled drive can swing which side wins, so the pace of the first half matters a lot here.
- PASS RUSHLV @ NE
LV: 3 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2
Las Vegas is recording 3 sacks a game through 4 games, with New England at 2. That is a strong four-game pace, though sack totals can bunch up against one weak offensive line, and the sheet does not name opponents. New England's quarterback likely faces more pressure on obvious passing downs, which is where this gap shows up most.
- PASS RUSHNYG @ WSH
WSH: 1.75 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.75
Washington's pass rush gets home about once more every game than the Giants' does, 1.75 sacks a game against 0.75 across four games each. That is a small sample, and sack totals swing a lot on a few plays and on which quarterbacks a defense happened to face. The Giants at 0.75 suggests their rush has rarely moved the quarterback off his spot, which gives Washington's passer a cleaner pocket in this one. For a bettor, that leans toward Washington's quarterback having time to finish drives.
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Drew Kendall
Knee · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
DeVonta Smith
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Jonathan Greenard
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Saquon Barkley
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Hollywood Brown
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Marcus Epps
Groin · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Ed Ingram
Illness · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
David Martin-Robinson
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Trent Brown
Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Aireontae Ersery
Illness · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Blake Fisher
Illness · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Amani Hooker
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Jackson Woodard
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Jonathan Allen
Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Justin Joly
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Caleb Douglas
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Robert Beal Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Kyle Dugger
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Tee Higgins
Groin · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Jalen Nailor
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Carlton Davis III
Neck · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Mack Hollins
Calf · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Reggie Gilliam
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Karon Prunty
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Christian Gonzalez
Shoulder · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Christian Darrisaw
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Davon Godchaux
Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Kaden Elliss
Calf · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Anfernee Jennings
Knee · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Breece Hall
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Adonai Mitchell
Finger · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Dylan Parham
Knee · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Kiko Mauigoa
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Teven Jenkins
Back · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Tylan Wallace
Knee · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Mason Graham
Knee - MCL · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Kalia Davis
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Jaylon Carlies
Ribs · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Ashton Dulin
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Grover Stewart
Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Jamel Dean
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Stefon Diggs
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Percy Butler
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Marcus Mariota
Knee - MCL · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Terry McLaurin
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Jason Pinnock
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Tyler Owens
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Charles Omenihu
Groin · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Nick Allegretti
Hip · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Chris Brooks
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Aaron Banks
Toe · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Jacob Monk
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Keyshaun Elliott
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Kyle Monangai
Toe · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Pat Bryant
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Pat Surtain II
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Donte Jackson
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Ladd McConkey
Foot · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Brenen Thompson
Quadriceps · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Riley Moss
Ribs · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Derwin James Jr.
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Joe Alt
Neck · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Kayode Awosika
Lower Leg · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Trevor Penning
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Ben Bartch
Foot · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Jordan Burch
Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Andrew Wingard
Knee · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Rock Ya-Sin
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Leonard Williams
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Mike Evans
Ribs · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Chazz Surratt
Calf · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Nick Bosa
Calf · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
James Thompson Jr.
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Za'Darius Smith
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Yasir Abdullah
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Lamar Jackson
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Durham Smythe
Achilles · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Trey Hendrickson
Finger · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Marlon Humphrey
Calf · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Cam Jurgens
Concussion · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
DJ Moore
Shoulder - AC Joint · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Dee Alford
Ankle · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Ed Oliver
Knee · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Davante Adams
Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Josaiah Stewart
Groin · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Grant Stuard
Hamstring · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Nate Landman
Shoulder · Did not practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Quentin Lake
Hip · Did not practice
- SITUATIONALCLE @ NYJ
CLE has 3 more days of rest
Cleveland gets 7 days to prepare while the Jets turn around in 4, a 3-day edge for the visitors. On a short week a team usually trades full practices for walkthroughs, which can leave a thinner game plan and less time for sore players to heal. The Browns get a normal week of prep and recovery. It matters most if the Jets are carrying injuries, so check their practice report before weighing it.
- SITUATIONALIND @ PIT
PIT has 3 more days of rest
Pittsburgh is home on 7 days of rest and Indianapolis travels on 4, a 3-day gap in the Steelers' favor. A short week usually means walkthroughs instead of full practices, less recovery for banged-up starters and less game-plan installation for the Colts. Pittsburgh gets a full week to prepare at home. The edge grows if the Colts are carrying injuries into the game.
- SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX
PHI (2-2) at JAX (3-1)
PHI is 2-2, -18 points on the year, has lost 2 straight this season. JAX is 3-1, +51 points on the year, has won 2 straight this season. PHI is 1-1 on the road; JAX is 2-0 at home.
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN (2-2) at MIA (0-4)
CIN is 2-2 but has lost 2 straight, while MIA is 0-4 and has been outscored by 55. The gap in point totals is wide: CIN sits at +12, so its recent slide looks more like a cold stretch than a collapse. MIA has played only one home game, so its home record says very little. The record and the point totals both favor CIN here, which leaves the price as the main question for a bettor.
- SITUATIONALLV @ NE
LV (3-1) at NE (2-2)
Las Vegas is 3-1 with a +31 margin and has won both road games, though it lost last time out. New England is 2-2 at -12 and won its only home game. One home game is not a home-field read, so the Raiders' road form and margin carry more weight in sizing up this spot.
- SITUATIONALMIN @ NO
MIN (4-0) at NO (1-3)
Minnesota is 4-0 with four straight wins, 2-0 on the road, and +35 on the year. New Orleans is 1-3, has lost two straight, and is 0-2 at home with a -23 margin. Four games is early, but every split here favors the Vikings, so the question for a bettor is price, since the market will know it too.
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR
BUF: 53.3% third-down conversion rate to LAR's 43.1%
BUF is at 53.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 43.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 44.8% over 17 games and LAR at 39.6% over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALTB @ DAL
TB (0-4) at DAL (2-2)
Tampa Bay is 0-4, but a -20 margin over four losses points to close defeats more than blowouts. Dallas is 2-2 at +10 and has split its two home games. An 0-4 team with a modest margin can be a record that undersells it, so the gap here may be smaller than the standings make it look.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- TRENCHESCHI @ GB
CHI: 102.5 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 139.3
Green Bay has given up 139.3 rushing yards a game through four games, while Chicago sits at 102.5, so the Packers' run defense has been the softer of the two. Four games is a short window, and rushing yards allowed rise when a defense spends long stretches protecting a lead or facing teams built to run. If the gap holds, Chicago has a reason to stay patient on the ground at Green Bay. That matters most for anyone looking at Bears rushing numbers or a game script where they control the clock.
- TRENCHESCIN @ MIA
MIA: 104 rushing yards per game to CIN's 74.3
CIN is at 74.3 rushing yards per game over 4 games; MIA is at 104 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 93.6 over 17 games and MIA at 120.2 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET: 24.5 first downs per game to ARI's 19.8
DET is at 24.5 first downs per game over 4 games; ARI is at 19.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 20.4 over 17 games and ARI at 19.5 over 17 games.
- RED ZONELV @ NE
NE: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 76.9%
When opponents reach the red zone, Las Vegas has let them score 76.9% of the time over four games, while New England is at 58.3%. Red-zone rates rest on only a handful of trips per game, so a couple of goal-line stands can move them a long way, and these numbers are likely to drift toward the middle. The Patriots have done better at turning long drives into field goals or nothing. In this matchup, that points to New England's offense having the easier path to finishing drives with touchdowns.
- RED ZONEDET @ ARI
DET: 72.2% red-zone scoring rate to ARI's 57.1%
DET is at 72.2% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; ARI is at 57.1% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and ARI at 54.1% over 17 games.
- RED ZONEBUF @ LAR
BUF: 68.8% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 53.3%
BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; LAR is at 53.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 66.2% over 17 games and LAR at 63.2% over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR
LAR: 69 offensive plays per game to BUF's 59.5
BUF is at 59.5 offensive plays per game over 4 games; LAR is at 69 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 63.6 over 17 games and LAR at 63.9 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC
DEN: 0.75 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.5
DEN is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; LAC is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and LAC at 0.82 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALIND @ PIT
IND: 26.3 penalty yards per game to PIT's 49.5
IND is at 26.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; PIT is at 49.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and PIT at 47.2 over 17 games.
- HEAD-TO-HEADCHI @ GB
CHI lead the series with GB since 2025
All three meetings were one-score games, and the home team won every time: Green Bay 28-21 on Dec 7, then Chicago 22-16 and 31-27 in the playoffs, both at Soldier Field. This one is in Green Bay, the setting where the Packers won the only home game they had in the series. Three games is a small sample, but every meeting came down to the final possessions. For a bettor, the history points toward a tight game where home field has mattered more than the series record.
- RED ZONEBAL @ ATL
BAL: 3.75 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 2.5
BAL is at 3.75 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; ATL is at 2.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BAL was at 3.47 over 17 games and ATL at 2.94 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Dalton Risner (G) is questionable for CIN
CIN lists Dalton Risner as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Alec Ingold (FB) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Alec Ingold as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE
The Browns opened Davis' (quadriceps) 21-day practice window Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.
- SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN
HOU: 20.3 first downs per game to TEN's 15.8
HOU is at 20.3 first downs per game over 4 games; TEN is at 15.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 19 over 17 games and TEN at 15.4 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALLV @ NE
LV: 250 team passing yards per game to NE's 213.8
LV is at 250 team passing yards per game over 4 games; NE is at 213.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season LV was at 167.7 over 17 games and NE at 250.5 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Kenneth Grant (DT) is ir-r for MIA
The Dolphins opened Grant's 21-day practice window Wednesday, and he was a limited participant in the team's first Week 5 session in his return from a toe injury. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Tucker Addington (LS) is questionable for MIA
MIA lists Tucker Addington as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Spencer Burford (G) is questionable for LV
LV lists Spencer Burford as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBAL @ ATL
BAL: 6.58 yards per play to ATL's 5.88
Baltimore is gaining 6.58 yards a play through 4 games, up from 5.92 last season, and Atlanta is at 5.88, up from 5.38. Both offenses are running hotter than a year ago, Baltimore more so. Some of that may cool, but an Atlanta defense trying to slow a Ravens offense gaining that much per snap is the matchup to think about.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE
CLE lists Teven Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Ben Bartch (G) is questionable for DET
DET lists Ben Bartch as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Kayden McDonald (DT) is ir-r for HOU
McDonald (ankle) was a full participant in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 9.
- HEAD-TO-HEADSF @ SEA
SEA lead the series with SF since 2025
SEA has taken 2 of the last 3. Jan 17, 2026: SF 6 at SEA 41 (playoffs). Jan 3, 2026: SEA 13 at SF 3. Sep 7, 2025: SF 17 at SEA 13.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Ed Ingram (G) is questionable for HOU
HOU lists Ed Ingram as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- COVERAGECHI @ GB
GB: 4.97 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.68
CHI is at 5.68 yards per play allowed over 4 games; GB is at 4.97 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 9.
- TRENCHESSF @ SEA
SF: 137.3 rushing yards per game to SEA's 110.3
SF is at 137.3 rushing yards per game over 4 games; SEA is at 110.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and SEA at 123.3 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Trevor Penning (G) is questionable for LAC
LAC lists Trevor Penning as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 9.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Joe Thuney (G) is questionable for CHI
CHI lists Joe Thuney as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
John Simpson (G) is questionable for BAL
BAL lists John Simpson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Jonah Jackson (G) is questionable for CHI
CHI lists Jonah Jackson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Jeremiah Wright (G) is questionable for NO
NO lists Jeremiah Wright as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET (2-2) at ARI (1-3)
Detroit is 2-2 at -8 but 0-2 on the road, so its record leans on home results. Arizona has lost three straight and sits at -30, with one home game, a loss. The Lions' road split makes them a shakier traveler than the overall record suggests, and that is the number to weigh in this spot.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Jaylan Ford (LB) is ir-r for NO
The Saints designated Ford (ankle) for return to practice from injured reserve Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Nick Allegretti (G) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Nick Allegretti as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Sam Cosmi (G) is questionable for WSH
WSH lists Sam Cosmi as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT
Elliott (undisclosed) returned to practice Thursday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET
Branch (Achilles) had his 21-day practice window opened by the Lions on Sunday, Richard Silva of The Detroit News reports. Reported Oct 7.
- COVERAGEPHI @ JAX
PHI: 5.23 yards per play allowed to JAX's 5.92
PHI is at 5.23 yards per play allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 5.92 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- COVERAGECLE @ NYJ
NYJ: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 235.3
The Jets have held teams to 193.3 passing yards a game over four games, while Cleveland has allowed 235.3. Four games is a short read, and passing yards allowed also depend on whether opponents were chasing points late. The Jets' coverage has been the tighter of the two so far. That makes Cleveland's passing game the tougher spot in this one, and the Jets' quarterback the one with more room to work.
- PACE & SCRIPTBAL @ ATL
BAL: 29 points per game to ATL's 24
BAL is at 29 points per game over 4 games; ATL is at 24 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BAL was at 24.9 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.
- TRENCHESLV @ NE
NE: 104 rushing yards allowed per game to LV's 134.5
LV is at 134.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; NE is at 104 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR
BUF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to LAR's 50%
BUF is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAR is at 50% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 59.4% over 17 games and LAR at 66.7% over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTBUF @ LAR
LAR: 31:19 time of possession per game to BUF's 28:06
BUF is at 28:06 time of possession per game over 4 games; LAR is at 31:19 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 33:09 over 17 games and LAR at 30:46 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA
CIN: 30:49 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:38
CIN is at 30:49 time of possession per game over 4 games; MIA is at 27:38 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 30:08 over 17 games and MIA at 28:57 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Ferguson (ankle) is expected to be ready to return after his four-game stint on injured reserve, Cameron DaSilva of USA Today reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Branson Taylor (G) is ir-r for LAC
The Chargers designated Taylor (undisclosed) for return to practice from their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Scott Matlock (FB) is ir-r for LAC
The Chargers opened Matlock's (undisclosed) 21-day practice window Monday, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports. Reported Oct 6.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSMIN @ NO
NO: 5.03 yards per play to MIN's 4.4
New Orleans moves the ball better per play, and the bigger story is Minnesota sliding from 4.82 last season to 4.4 through 4 games. The Saints sit right where they were, 5.05 last year, so their number looks real. Both had 3 plays of 20+ yards last game, Shough finding Chris Olave twice for New Orleans. Minnesota's dip over four games could bounce back toward last year's level, so a Saints edge here may be thinner than this season's gap shows.
- COVERAGEPHI @ JAX
JAX: 32.6% third downs allowed to PHI's 40.4%
PHI is at 40.4% third downs allowed over 4 games; JAX is at 32.6% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- QUARTERBACKPHI @ JAX
Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI
Through 4 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 713 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 6.25 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKDEN @ LAC
Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN
Through 4 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 819 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 6.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKCHI @ GB
Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB
Through 4 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1041 passing yards, completed 56.5% of his passes and averaged 6.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKCHI @ GB
Tyson Bagent is the projected starting quarterback for CHI
Through 2 games in 2026, Tyson Bagent threw for 322 passing yards, completed 69.8% of his passes and averaged 7.49 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 47 yards, completed 75% and averaged 11.75 yards per attempt, 0-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL
The Ravens placed Smythe (Achilles) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ryan Mink of the Ravens' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.
- QUARTERBACKCLE @ NYJ
Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ
Through 4 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 902 passing yards, completed 72.7% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSHOU @ TEN
HOU: 5.5 yards per play to TEN's 4.85
Houston gains more per snap than Tennessee, and its last game shows why: 8 plays of 20+ yards, with Stroud hitting Jaylin Noel for 52 and Nico Collins for 45. Both offenses are up from last season, Houston from 5.1 and Tennessee from 4.38, so the gap has held across two years. Tennessee leans on Cam Ward to Carnell Tate for its explosives. A Houston edge built on deep shots can swing a lot game to game, so the Texans' big-play count is the thing to watch.
- QUARTERBACKCLE @ NYJ
Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE
Through 4 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 855 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. His 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
- QUARTERBACKMIN @ NO
Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN
Through 3 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 433 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
- QUARTERBACKLV @ NE
Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE
Through 4 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 854 passing yards, completed 62.4% of his passes and averaged 7.3 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKLV @ NE
Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV
Through 4 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1026 passing yards, completed 64.6% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKTB @ DAL
Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL
Through 4 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1065 passing yards, completed 70% of his passes and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- QUARTERBACKTB @ DAL
Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB
Through 2 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 148 passing yards, completed 63.3% of his passes and averaged 4.93 yards per attempt. His 1-3 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- QUARTERBACKBUF @ LAR
Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR
Through 4 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1189 passing yards, completed 61.1% of his passes and averaged 7.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKBUF @ LAR
Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF
Through 4 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 1039 passing yards, completed 66.4% of his passes and averaged 8.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKBAL @ ATL
Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL
Through 2 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 479 passing yards, completed 73.3% of his passes and averaged 10.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
- QUARTERBACKSF @ SEA
Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA
Through 3 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 560 passing yards, completed 65.2% of his passes and averaged 8.12 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
- QUARTERBACKSF @ SEA
Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF
Through 4 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1007 passing yards, completed 69.9% of his passes and averaged 8.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKDET @ ARI
Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI
Through 4 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 818 passing yards, completed 67.8% of his passes and averaged 5.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKCIN @ MIA
Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA
Through 4 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 712 passing yards, completed 56.3% of his passes and averaged 6.91 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKDET @ ARI
Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET
Through 4 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1214 passing yards, completed 67.7% of his passes and averaged 7.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKCIN @ MIA
Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN
Through 4 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1171 passing yards, completed 71.3% of his passes and averaged 7.46 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKHOU @ TEN
Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN
Through 4 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 726 passing yards, completed 63% of his passes and averaged 6.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKHOU @ TEN
C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU
Through 4 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1141 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 7.56 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKNYG @ WSH
Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH
Through 2 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 260 passing yards, completed 56.9% of his passes and averaged 5.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.
- QUARTERBACKNYG @ WSH
Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG
Through 3 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 479 passing yards, completed 55.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.
- QUARTERBACKIND @ PIT
Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT
Through 4 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 999 passing yards, completed 57.5% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKIND @ PIT
Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND
Through 4 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 754 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 5.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKDEN @ LAC
Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC
Through 4 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 816 passing yards, completed 59.7% of his passes and averaged 6.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- QUARTERBACKPHI @ JAX
Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX
Through 4 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 843 passing yards, completed 69.2% of his passes and averaged 8.11 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Hunter Long (TE) is on injured reserve for ARI
The Cardinals placed Long (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.
- PACE & SCRIPTMIN @ NO
NO: 26.3 points per game to MIN's 21.5
MIN is at 21.5 points per game over 4 games; NO is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season MIN was at 20.2 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.
- COVERAGEBUF @ LAR
LAR: 33.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.7%
The Rams have let opponents convert 33.3% of third downs over four games, while Buffalo is at 40.7%. Third-down rates move quickly over a small sample and depend a lot on how long the distances were, so four games is an early read. The Rams have been better at getting off the field. For a bettor, that favors the Rams on time of possession and suggests Buffalo's drives may stall more often than theirs.
- PASS RUSHBUF @ LAR
BUF: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.75
BUF is at 2.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- COVERAGENYG @ WSH
NYG: 205.3 passing yards allowed per game to WSH's 242.5
Washington has allowed 242.5 passing yards a game over four games, while the Giants have held teams to 205.3. Passing yards allowed can rise when a defense plays with a lead and opponents throw to catch up, and four games can't separate that from weak coverage. The Giants' pass defense has been the tighter unit so far. For this game, the Giants' quarterback has the friendlier matchup through the air on paper.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET: 56.8 penalty yards per game to ARI's 75
DET is at 56.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; ARI is at 75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 42.2 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALMIN @ NO
MIN: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NO's 77.8%
MIN is at 100% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; NO is at 77.8% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season MIN was at 62.5% over 17 games and NO at 41.2% over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN: 45.3% third-down conversion rate to MIA's 38%
CIN is at 45.3% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; MIA is at 38% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 43.4% over 17 games and MIA at 34.9% over 17 games.
- COVERAGEDET @ ARI
ARI: 45.5% third downs allowed to DET's 52.8%
DET is at 52.8% third downs allowed over 4 games; ARI is at 45.5% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCHI @ GB
CHI: 5.75 yards per play to GB's 5.15
Chicago is getting more per play than Green Bay, and Tyson Bagent's last game had 6 plays of 20+ yards, including 37 to Rome Odunze. Chicago is near its 5.71 from last season, so that holds steady. Green Bay is the mover, down from 5.61, and its last game's big plays came mostly on the ground through Kaleb Johnson and Chris Brooks. Four games is a small window for the Packers' drop, so expect some pull back toward last year's number.
- PASS RUSHBUF @ LAR
LAR: 1.5 sacks taken per game to BUF's 2.25
BUF is at 2.25 sacks taken per game over 4 games; LAR is at 1.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 2.86 over 17 games and LAR at 1.77 over 17 games.
- COVERAGECLE @ NYJ
NYJ: 4.88 yards per play allowed to CLE's 5.47
Per play, the Jets allow 4.88 yards and Cleveland allows 5.47 across four games each, which is a fair measure of overall defense because it ignores how many snaps a team faced. A gap that size over four games is meaningful but can shift with a couple of opponents. The Jets look like the stingier defense right now. For a bettor, it suggests Cleveland's offense will have a harder time stringing together big gains on the road.
- PASS RUSHCLE @ NYJ
CLE: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYJ's 2.25
Cleveland's defense has 3 sacks a game over four games and the Jets have 2.25, so both fronts have been getting to the quarterback with the Browns a step ahead. Sacks swing on a few plays and on the protection a defense faces, so four games is a thin base. Both offensive lines face real pressure here. That makes this a spot where quarterbacks on both sides may be hurried, which tends to cut into explosive passing.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Mykel Williams (DE) is pup-r for SF
The 49ers opened Williams' (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday to return from the reserve/PUP list, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports. Reported Sep 30.
- COVERAGETB @ DAL
TB: 204.3 passing yards allowed per game to DAL's 239.3
TB is at 204.3 passing yards allowed per game over 4 games; DAL is at 239.3 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- COVERAGENYG @ WSH
WSH: 42% third downs allowed to NYG's 48.9%
NYG is at 48.9% third downs allowed over 4 games; WSH is at 42% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- TURNOVERSCIN @ MIA
CIN: 1.25 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.75
Cincinnati has forced 1.25 takeaways a game over four games, while Miami has 0.75. Takeaways are one of the least stable defensive numbers, heavily shaped by bounces and by how careless opposing quarterbacks were, so expect both to move. Over four games the gap is a handful of turnovers. It is a small lean toward Cincinnati winning the turnover battle, and it is better weighed lightly than built around.
- TURNOVERSTB @ DAL
TB: 1 takeaways per game to DAL's 0.5
TB is at 1 takeaways per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- TURNOVERSCHI @ GB
CHI: 1.5 takeaways per game to GB's 1
CHI is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 4 games; GB is at 1 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- TURNOVERSBAL @ ATL
BAL: 1.25 takeaways per game to ATL's 0.75
Baltimore has 1.25 takeaways a game through four games and Atlanta has 0.75. Turnovers are streaky and depend a lot on fumble luck and on the quarterbacks a defense happened to face, so these rates tend to drift back toward average. Over four games the difference amounts to a couple of turnovers. It gives Baltimore a slight edge in the turnover battle, and that is a small factor to weigh in this matchup.
- TURNOVERSBUF @ LAR
BUF: 1.25 takeaways per game to LAR's 0.75
BUF is at 1.25 takeaways per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- TURNOVERSBUF @ LAR
LAR: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to BUF's 1
BUF is at 1 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAR is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 0.53 over 17 games and LAR at 0.41 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTSF @ SEA
Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF
The 49ers placed Robinson (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
- PACE & SCRIPTSF @ SEA
SF: 30.5 points per game to SEA's 26.3
SF is at 30.5 points per game over 4 games; SEA is at 26.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN
HOU: 6.7 yards per pass attempt to TEN's 5.72
HOU is at 6.7 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; TEN is at 5.72 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 6.2 over 17 games and TEN at 4.5 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN: 6.6 yards per pass attempt to MIA's 5.6
CIN is at 6.6 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; MIA is at 5.6 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 5.81 over 17 games and MIA at 6 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB
The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR
BUF (3-1) at LAR (2-2)
Buffalo is 3-1 with a +20 margin and won its only road game, though it lost last week. The Rams are 2-2 at just +2 and have split two home games. With a one-game road sample for Buffalo, the margin gap is the better guide, and it points to the Bills as the more complete team so far.
- TURNOVERSDEN @ LAC
DEN: 0.5 fumbles lost per game to LAC's 1
DEN is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; LAC is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and LAC at 0.41 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTIND @ PIT
PIT: 21.8 points allowed per game to IND's 26
IND is at 26 points allowed per game over 4 games; PIT is at 21.8 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and PIT at 22.8 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Christian Braswell (CB) is on injured reserve for JAX
Braswell (knee) reverted from waivers to Jacksonville's injured reserve list Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Jaylin Smith (CB) is on injured reserve for HOU
Smith (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Texans on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN
The Bengals placed Iosivas (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
- TURNOVERSCLE @ NYJ
NYJ: 0.25 fumbles lost per game to CLE's 0.75
CLE is at 0.75 fumbles lost per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CLE was at 0.41 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.59 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
De'Von Achane (RB) is on injured reserve for MIA
The Dolphins placed Achane (knee) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Sep 28.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV
The Raiders placed Bech (forearm) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.
- RED ZONEDET @ ARI
DET: 4.5 red-zone trips per game to ARI's 3.5
DET is at 4.5 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; ARI is at 3.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 3.76 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.
- RED ZONETB @ DAL
DAL: 4 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3
TB is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; DAL is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and DAL at 3.82 over 17 games.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is on injured reserve for NO
The Saints are placing Etienne (hamstring) on injured reserve, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 1.
- REPLACEMENTCLE @ NYJ
Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ
McGregor (pectoral) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND
Colts head coach Shane Steichen reiterated Monday that Pierce didn't undergo surgery on his left heel and is continuing to rehab the injury, James Boyd of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 28.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Braxton Jones (OT) is on injured reserve for CHI
The Bears placed Jones (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSIND @ PIT
PIT: 5.05 yards per play to IND's 4.5
Pittsburgh's offense gains more per snap, but the swing is Indianapolis falling from 5.77 last season to 4.5 through 4 games. The Colts managed 1 play of 20+ yards last game, while Aaron Rodgers had 6, two of them to DK Metcalf. A drop that steep over four games could ease back, but Indy's lack of big plays explains it. If the Colts can't stretch the field, their scoring props and totals look shaky in this spot.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Jonah Coleman (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN
Coleman (ankle) is being placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Paris Johnson Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for ARI
The Cardinals placed Johnson (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Ethan Pocic (C) is on injured reserve for BAL
Baltimore placed Pocic (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.
- RED ZONEDET @ ARI
ARI: 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DET's 82.4%
DET is at 82.4% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; ARI is at 69.2% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- TRENCHESHOU @ TEN
TEN: 4.08 yards per rush attempt to HOU's 3.45
HOU is at 3.45 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; TEN is at 4.08 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 3.94 over 17 games and TEN at 4.19 over 17 games.
- TRENCHESNYG @ WSH
WSH: 4.22 yards per rush attempt to NYG's 3.57
NYG is at 3.57 yards per rush attempt over 4 games; WSH is at 4.22 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season NYG was at 4.31 over 17 games and WSH at 4.81 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSNYG @ WSH
WSH: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 0.75
NYG is at 0.75 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; WSH is at 0.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and WSH at 0.71 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSCLE @ NYJ
NYJ: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CLE's 0.5
CLE is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; NYJ is at 0 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CLE was at 1.06 over 17 games and NYJ at 0.76 over 17 games.
- PACE & SCRIPTTB @ DAL
TB: 24 points allowed per game to DAL's 28
TB is at 24 points allowed per game over 4 games; DAL is at 28 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 24.2 over 17 games and DAL at 30.1 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- SITUATIONALTB @ DAL
TB: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to DAL's 0.75
TB is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; DAL is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 1.71 over 17 games and DAL at 2.06 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PACE & SCRIPTCIN @ MIA
CIN: 21.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 25.3
CIN is at 21.3 points allowed per game over 4 games; MIA is at 25.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CIN was at 28.9 over 17 games and MIA at 24.9 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSSF @ SEA
SF: 0.25 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 0.75
SF is at 0.25 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; SEA is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.
- HEAD-TO-HEADCLE @ CHW
White Sox are 7-6 vs Guardians this season
Across 13 meetings the White Sox have won one more game than the Guardians, which is about as even as a season series gets. The record comes with no detail on starters, venues or margins, so it offers no matchup reason. Cleveland won the latest one 6-3. A one-game edge carries little weight tonight, so price this game on the starters and current form.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to ARI's 1
DET is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; ARI is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 1.82 over 17 games and ARI at 1.65 over 17 games.
- TURNOVERSHOU @ TEN
HOU: 0 interceptions thrown per game to TEN's 0.5
HOU is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 4 games; TEN is at 0.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 0.53 over 17 games and TEN at 0.47 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALIND @ PIT
IND: 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game to PIT's 0.75
IND is at 1.5 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; PIT is at 0.75 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and PIT at 1.35 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALLV @ NE
LV: 30 penalty yards per game to NE's 46
LV is at 30 penalty yards per game over 4 games; NE is at 46 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season LV was at 53 over 17 games and NE at 50.2 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN
HOU: 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game to TEN's 1
HOU is at 1.75 fourth-down attempts per game over 4 games; TEN is at 1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season HOU was at 1.12 over 17 games and TEN at 2.06 over 17 games.
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Christian Benford
Toe · Limited practice
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU
Stewart (knee) practiced in full Thursday. Reported Oct 2.
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Colby Parkinson
Shoulder - AC Joint · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Anthony Nelson
Limited practice
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Aaron Donald
Back · Limited practice
- REPLACEMENTPHI @ JAX
Caleb Ransaw (S) is on injured reserve for JAX
The Jaguars placed Ransaw (knee) on their injured reserve list Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Dallas Goedert
Knee - MCL · Limited practice
- SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL
BAL (3-1) at ATL (2-2)
Both teams have won 2 straight, but BAL is 3-1 and +20 while ATL is 2-2 and only +4. BAL is 2-0 on the road, and ATL has played just one home game and lost it. That one-game home sample should not carry much weight. The cleaner signal is BAL's stronger point total, so this spot is about whether ATL's streak is real or a product of a soft few weeks.
- PACE & SCRIPTPHI @ JAX
JAX: 30:53 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:33
PHI is at 28:33 time of possession per game over 4 games; JAX is at 30:53 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season PHI was at 30:11 over 17 games and JAX at 31:56 over 17 games.
- PASS RUSHDET @ ARI
ARI: 10.3 sack yards lost per game to DET's 16.3
DET is at 16.3 sack yards lost per game over 4 games; ARI is at 10.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DET was at 20.3 over 17 games and ARI at 24.9 over 17 games.
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Jaylen Watson
Shoulder · Limited practice
- TRENCHESDEN @ LAC
LAC: 121.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 142.8
Denver has allowed 142.8 rushing yards a game over four games, while the Chargers are at 121.8, so neither run defense has been stout and Denver's has been leakier. Rushing yards allowed climb when opponents are protecting leads, which four games can't separate from soft run fits. The Chargers have the better ground matchup at home. That makes Chargers rushing totals and a clock-controlling game plan the angle worth weighing.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSBUF @ LAR
BUF: 6.58 yards per play to LAR's 6.1
Two of the league's better offenses, with Buffalo a bit ahead per snap after jumping from 5.94 last season. The Rams sit right on last year's 6.15, so their number looks stable. Buffalo's rise over four games may cool some. With both offenses gaining yards this easily, this sets up as a game where scoring is the default expectation.
- EXPLOSIVE PLAYSCIN @ MIA
CIN: 5.65 yards per play to MIA's 5.15
Cincinnati is moving the ball better than Miami per snap, up from 5.23 last season while Miami slipped from 5.4. Burrow spread his last game's 20+ yard throws among Dohnte Meyers, Mitchell Tinsley and Tee Higgins. Miami had 1 play of 20+ yards last game, a 53-yard Ollie Gordon II run that props up a thin output. Four games is short, but the Bengals' passing explosives are the more repeatable edge.
- SITUATIONALTB @ DAL
TB: 49.8 penalty yards per game to DAL's 64.3
TB is at 49.8 penalty yards per game over 4 games; DAL is at 64.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season TB was at 43.4 over 17 games and DAL at 66.8 over 17 games.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Kenneth Grant
Toe · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Jaylen Wright
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Dalton Risner
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
B.J. Hill
Achilles · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Dexter Lawrence II
Wrist · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Swayze Bozeman
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Bryan Cook
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Ja'Marr Chase
Concussion · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Trey Zuhn III
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Spencer Burford
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Ashton Jeanty
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Cody White
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Morgan Moses
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Dre'Mont Jones
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Christian Barmore
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Craig Woodson
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Charles Woods
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Channing Canada
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Rhamondre Stevenson
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Christian Elliss
Chest · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Brian O'Neill
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Aaron Jones Sr.
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Noah Fant
Abdomen · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Justin Jefferson
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Alvin Kamara
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Carl Granderson
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Barion Brown
Thigh · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Jordan Addison
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Charles Demmings
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Chris Olave
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Jeremiah Wright
Concussion · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Julian Blackmon
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Derek Barnett
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Kingsley Enagbare
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.
Concussion · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Mekhi Blackmon
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Carsen Ryan
Calf · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
DeShon Elliott
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Rico Dowdle
Toe · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Jalen Ramsey
Wrist · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Tanor Bortolini
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Keenan Allen
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Charvarius Ward
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Frankie Luvu
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Andrew Thomas
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Cole Van Lanen
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Cam Skattebo
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Isaiah Likely
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Rachaad White
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Trey Amos
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Josh Hines-Allen
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Zack Baun
Concussion · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Montaric Brown
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Eric Murray
Concussion · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Jeremy McNichols
Quadriceps · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Chris Manhertz
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Deatrich Wise Jr.
Quadriceps · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Nick Cross
Illness · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Chig Okonkwo
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Malik Nabers
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Jager Burton
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Anthony Belton
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Tyleik Williams
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Brian Branch
Achilles · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
DJ Wonnum
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Walter Nolen III
Calf · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Jeremiyah Love
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Karson Sharar
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
George Holani
Ribs · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Ernest Jones IV
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Upton Stout
Shoulder - AC Joint · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Mykel Williams
Knee - ACL · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Zach Charbonnet
Knee - ACL · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Julian Neal
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Irv Charles
Undisclosed · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Nehemiah Pritchett
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Samson Ebukam
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Jake Matthews
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Divine Deablo
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Zay Flowers
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
John Simpson
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Andrew Vorhees
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Anton Harrison
Elbow · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Fred Johnson
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
DaVon Hamilton
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Jarrian Jones
Foot · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Dontayvion Wicks
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Jihaad Campbell
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Jourdan Lewis
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Jaylon Jones
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Will Anderson Jr.
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Jonah Jackson
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Savion Williams
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Lukas Van Ness
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Darnell Wright
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Devonte Wyatt
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Joe Thuney
Pectoral · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Anthony Campbell
Ankle · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
D'Andre Swift
Hip · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Cam Hart
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Quentin Johnston
Chest · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Deane Leonard
Ribs · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
D.J. Jones
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Dalvin Tomlinson
Hamstring · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Charlie Kolar
Forearm · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Alec Ingold
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Trey Lance
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Scott Matlock
Undisclosed · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Branson Taylor
Undisclosed · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Cade Mays
Wrist · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
John Franklin-Myers
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Azeez Al-Shaair
Groin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Jamal Hill
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Nico Collins
Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Kevin Winston Jr.
Shoulder · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Marcus Harris
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Carnell Tate
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Jeffery Simmons
Back · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Tank Dell
Knee - ACL + MCL · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Gunnar Helm
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Chris Bell
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Dante Trader Jr.
Shin · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Austin Jackson
Knee · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
JuJu Brents
Heel · Limited practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Tucker Addington
Shoulder · Limited practice
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is on injured reserve for GB
Cooper (Achilles) was placed on injured reserve by the Packers on Tuesday. Reported Oct 6.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Warren Brinson (DT) is on injured reserve for GB
Green Bay placed Brinson (calf/groin) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 3.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Derrick Harmon (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT
The Steelers placed Harmon (foot) on injured reserve Monday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 5.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO
NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 5.
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Landon Jackson
Knee · Limited practice
- COVERAGEIND @ PIT
IND: 29.2% third downs allowed to PIT's 34.8%
Indianapolis has let opponents convert just 29.2% of third downs over four games, while Pittsburgh is at 34.8%. Both are good numbers, and third-down rates can swing quickly over four games depending on distance and opponents. Both defenses have been getting off the field, so this matchup sets up for punts and shorter drives. For a bettor, that points toward a lower-scoring style of game where sustained drives are hard to come by.
- RED ZONELV @ NE
LV: 53.3% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 44.4%
LV is at 53.3% red-zone scoring rate over 4 games; NE is at 44.4% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season LV was at 50% over 17 games and NE at 57.1% over 17 games.
- RED ZONEIND @ PIT
IND: 3 red-zone trips per game to PIT's 2.25
IND is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; PIT is at 2.25 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and PIT at 3 over 17 games.
- RED ZONESF @ SEA
SEA: 4 red-zone trips per game to SF's 3.25
SF is at 3.25 red-zone trips per game over 4 games; SEA is at 4 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season SF was at 3.88 over 17 games and SEA at 3.47 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX
PHI: 48.3 penalty yards per game to JAX's 61.5
PHI is at 48.3 penalty yards per game over 4 games; JAX is at 61.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season PHI was at 63.1 over 17 games and JAX at 63.5 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC
DEN: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to LAC's 33.3%
DEN is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAC is at 33.3% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 50% over 17 games and LAC at 57.1% over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALIND @ PIT
IND: 37.7% third-down conversion rate to PIT's 32%
IND is at 37.7% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; PIT is at 32% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season IND was at 42.6% over 17 games and PIT at 40% over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALLV @ NE
LV: 39.6% third-down conversion rate to NE's 34.6%
LV is at 39.6% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; NE is at 34.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season LV was at 33.8% over 17 games and NE at 42.9% over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Donovan Jackson (G) is on injured reserve for MIN
Jackson (knee) was placed on injured reserve by the Vikings on Tuesday. Reported Oct 7.
- REPLACEMENTBAL @ ATL
Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is on injured reserve for BAL
The Ravens moved Gwyn (ankle) to injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 4.
- PASS RUSHDEN @ LAC
LAC: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to DEN's 2
DEN is at 2 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; LAC is at 2.5 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR
BUF: 7.73 yards per pass attempt to LAR's 7
BUF is at 7.73 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; LAR is at 7 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season BUF was at 6.88 over 17 games and LAR at 7.24 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC
DEN: 39.6% third-down conversion rate to LAC's 34.6%
DEN is at 39.6% third-down conversion rate over 4 games; LAC is at 34.6% over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 41.2% over 17 games and LAC at 45.8% over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALCHI @ GB
CHI: 6.83 yards per pass attempt to GB's 6.1
CHI is at 6.83 yards per pass attempt over 4 games; GB is at 6.1 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season CHI was at 6.46 over 17 games and GB at 6.85 over 17 games.
- SITUATIONALLV @ NE
LV: 21.8 first downs per game to NE's 19.3
LV is at 21.8 first downs per game over 4 games; NE is at 19.3 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season LV was at 15.1 over 17 games and NE at 21.2 over 17 games.
- TRENCHESIND @ PIT
PIT: 112.8 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 131
IND is at 131 rushing yards allowed per game over 4 games; PIT is at 112.8 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- RED ZONEBUF @ LAR
LAR: 58.3% red-zone scoring allowed to BUF's 68.8%
BUF is at 68.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 4 games; LAR is at 58.3% over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
- PACE & SCRIPTDEN @ LAC
DEN: 23.5 points allowed per game to LAC's 26.5
DEN is at 23.5 points allowed per game over 4 games; LAC is at 26.5 over 4 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 7. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and LAC at 20 over 17 games.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN
The Vikings placed Oliver (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
- PASS RUSHTB @ DAL
TB: 1.5 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 1
TB is at 1.5 sacks recorded per game over 4 games; DAL is at 1 over 4 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 7.
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO
Banks (ankle) underwent surgery this week, Katherine Terrell of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTDEN @ LAC
Trey Pipkins III (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC
The Chargers placed Pipkins (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Jordan Hancock (CB) is on injured reserve for BUF
The Bills placed Hancock (hamstring) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTBUF @ LAR
Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR
Garrett (knee) is facing a six-week recovery from surgery on his left knee, but the pass rusher is determined to be back before then, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network and ESPN reports. Reported Sep 27.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB
The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 29.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Nick Samac (C) is on injured reserve for MIN
The Vikings placed Samac (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.
- SITUATIONALMIN @ NO
NO is on a short week
Neither side is fresh: Minnesota comes in on 4 days and New Orleans on just 3. Three days leaves the Saints almost no practice time beyond recovery and a walkthrough, so they will lean on a simpler plan. The Saints do get to stay home while the Vikings travel. Expect both teams to manage snaps for players coming off knocks.
- REPLACEMENTCIN @ MIA
Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN
The Bengals placed Davis (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.
- SITUATIONALBAL @ ATL
ATL is on a short week
Both teams are short on rest, with Baltimore on 4 days and Atlanta on only 3. A 3-day turnaround is mostly recovery and a walkthrough, so the Falcons are likely running a pared-down plan. Being at home cuts out travel. Watch the injury report for anyone the Falcons rushed back.
- SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN
HOU (0-4) at TEN (0-4), a division game
Two winless division rivals meet: Houston is 0-4 at -25 and Tennessee is 0-4 at -28, both on four-game skids. Tennessee is 0-2 at home and Houston lost its one road game. The numbers are nearly identical, so this looks like a true coin flip where any spread should be small.
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL
The Cowboys placed Bullard (calf) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU
The Texans placed Hummel (groin) on injured reserve Saturday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU
The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is on injured reserve for NE
Hutchins (knee) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG
The Giants placed Burns (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 29.
- REPLACEMENTNYG @ WSH
Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH
The Commanders placed Chenal (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.
- REPLACEMENTDET @ ARI
Thomas Harper (S) is on injured reserve for DET
The Lions placed Harper (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL
The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTTB @ DAL
P.J. Locke (S) is on injured reserve for DAL
The Cowboys placed Locke (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- REPLACEMENTLV @ NE
Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE
The Patriots placed Van Roten (thigh) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 30.
- REPLACEMENTMIN @ NO
Lorenzo Styles Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for NO
NO lists Lorenzo Styles Jr. as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 8.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN
The Titans placed Carmona (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
- REPLACEMENTIND @ PIT
Gennings Dunker (G) is on injured reserve for PIT
The Steelers placed Dunker (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Sep 26.
- REPLACEMENTCHI @ GB
Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for CHI
CHI lists Anthony Johnson Jr. as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 9.
- SITUATIONALIND @ PIT
IND (2-2) at PIT (2-2)
Two 2-2 teams with near-identical point totals: IND at -2 and PIT at -10. IND has won 2 straight, PIT is 2-0 at home and lost its last game. Those home and road splits are only two games each, so neither tells you much yet. With records this even, the spot comes down to whether PIT's home results or IND's recent form is easier to trust.
- REPLACEMENTHOU @ TEN
Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN
The Titans placed Slater (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.
- SITUATIONALLV @ NE
LV is on a short week
Las Vegas and New England are both on 4 days, so the schedule favors neither team. The Raiders have to travel on the short week, and both staffs will be working off walkthroughs more than full practices.
- SITUATIONALNYG @ WSH
NYG is on a short week
The Giants and Washington each come in on 4 days of rest, so the calendar is even. With both teams on a short week, the late injury report is the thing to check.
- SITUATIONALCHI @ GB
CHI is on a short week
Chicago and Green Bay are both on 4 days of rest, so neither side has a scheduling edge. Short weeks for both usually mean trimmed game plans, which can favor the team with the healthier roster.
- SITUATIONALDEN @ LAC
DEN is on a short week
Denver and the Chargers both come in on 4 days, so rest is even. Both teams get the same compressed prep, so look at who is banged up more than at the calendar.
- SITUATIONALDET @ ARI
DET is on a short week
Detroit and Arizona are both on 4 days of rest, so the calendar is a wash. The Lions do have to travel on the short week, while the Cardinals stay home.
- SITUATIONALSF @ SEA
SF is on a short week
San Francisco and Seattle each come in on 4 days, so neither side gains on rest. With both teams on a short week, injury news late in the week is the factor to weigh.
- SITUATIONALBUF @ LAR
BUF is on a short week
Buffalo and the Rams are both on 4 days of rest, so the schedule is even. The Bills travel on the short turnaround while the Rams stay home, which is the one calendar wrinkle here.
- SITUATIONALTB @ DAL
TB is on a short week
Tampa Bay and Dallas are both on 4 days of rest, so the calendar favors neither side. Both staffs get the same compressed week of walkthroughs and recovery, which tends to mean simpler game plans on each side.
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- HEAD-TO-HEADHOU @ TEN
HOU lead the series with TEN since 2025
Houston swept both meetings last season, but the two games looked very different: a 26-0 shutout at home on Sep 28, then a 16-13 squeaker in Tennessee on Nov 16. Neither game produced many points, and Tennessee scored 13 total across the pair. Two games is a small sample. The road game in Tennessee was the tight one, so a bettor looking at this spot should lean on that 16-13 result more than the shutout when sizing up the margin.
- SITUATIONALCLE @ NYJ
CLE (3-1) at NYJ (1-3)
Cleveland has won three straight to reach 3-1, but it is -14 on the year, which means the record flatters a team that has been outscored. The Jets are 1-3 at only -8 and lost their one home game. This is the clearest case on the slate of records running ahead of margins, so a bettor should expect a closer game than 3-1 versus 1-3 implies.
- HEAD-TO-HEADNYG @ WSH
WSH lead the series with NYG since 2025
Washington won both meetings last season, 21-6 at home on Sep 7 and 29-21 at the Giants on Dec 14. The first was one-way, the second was an eight-point game where the Giants scored far more. Two games is a small sample. Washington is home for this one, which matches the setting of the more comfortable win, while the December game suggests the Giants can keep it closer than the opener did.
- RETURN WATCHTOR · return listed 10/15
Cody Ponce
Ponce is on Toronto’s 60-day IL with a knee injury, carrying a 3.86 ERA. His listed October 15 return is seven days away, but I’m not betting a roster spot on that listing alone. Stash only with an open IL slot and a league schedule that leaves room for him to help. Otherwise, pass.
- HEAD-TO-HEADDEN @ LAC
DEN and LAC are even since 2025
These two split last season, and the home team won both times. The Chargers edged Denver 23-20 on Sep 21, then Denver held them to 3 points in a 19-3 win on Jan 4. That is two games with opposite results, so there is no clear edge in the series. The game moves back to Los Angeles, where the first meeting was a three-point game, which points toward a tight one rather than the January blowout.
- SITUATIONALPHI @ JAX
PHI is on a short week
Philadelphia and Jacksonville each come in on 4 days, so rest is even. The Eagles do have to travel on the short week while the Jaguars stay home, and late-week injury news counts for more when nobody has time to heal.
- SITUATIONALHOU @ TEN
HOU is on a short week
Houston and Tennessee are both on 4 days of rest, so neither side gets a calendar edge. With a short week for both, injury status late in the week tells you more than the rest gap does.
- SITUATIONALCIN @ MIA
CIN is on a short week
Cincinnati and Miami both turn around in 4 days, so rest is a wash. A short week for both usually means limited practice and simpler plans on each side, which puts more weight on who is healthy.
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Mike Reid
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Will Mallory
Thumb · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Jonathan Taylor
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Akeem Davis-Gaither
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Brett Thorson
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Ben Yurosek
Ankle · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Ko Kieft
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
James Houston
Coach's Decision · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Malik Hooker
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
CeeDee Lamb
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Joey Porter Jr.
Illness · Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Tyler Goodson
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Jakobi Meyers
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
Quinyon Mitchell
Knee · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTPHI @ JAX
LeQuint Allen Jr.
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Joshua Williams
Pectoral · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Tony Pollard
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Jadeveon Clowney
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Wade Woodaz
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Kayden McDonald
Ankle · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Nate Thomas
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Braden Smith
Foot · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
M.J. Stewart
Knee · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTHOU @ TEN
Logan Hall
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Storm Duck
Knee · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Jordan Battle
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Barrett Carter
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCIN @ MIA
Colbie Young
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Drake Maye
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Brock Bowers
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Folorunso Fatukasi
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Jackson Powers-Johnson
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Brenden Schooler
Back · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Dareke Young
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
Hamstring · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTLV @ NE
Segun Olubi
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Tyler Shough
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Michael Jurgens
Elbow · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Bradley Chubb
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Dorian Williams
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Damar Hamlin
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Ray Davis
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTIND @ PIT
Cameron Heyward
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Bryan Hudson
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Treylon Burks
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Jayden Daniels
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Sam Cosmi
Concussion · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Sonny Styles
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Jeremy Reaves
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Fabian Moreau
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Javon Kinlaw
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Najee Harris
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Deonte Banks
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTNYG @ WSH
Ben Sinnott
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Shemar Turner
Knee - ACL · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Brandon Cisse
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Kyler Gordon
Calf · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Cam Lewis
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Noah Sewell
Achilles · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCHI @ GB
Grady Jarrett
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Zach Allen
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Khalil Mack
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Dondrea Tillman
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Adam Trautman
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDEN @ LAC
Tyler Badie
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Josh Sweat
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Isaac Seumalo
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTDET @ ARI
Budda Baker
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Patrick O'Connell
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Tyrice Knight
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Kaelon Black
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Trent Williams
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Beau Stephens
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Christian McCaffrey
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Ty Okada
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Romello Height
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Jaden Dugger
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTSF @ SEA
Dre Greenlaw
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Ronnie Stanley
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Cameron Thomas
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Michael Jerrell
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Mark Andrews
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Chris Moore
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Calais Campbell
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Rashod Bateman
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBAL @ ATL
Kyle Hamilton
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Konata Mumpfield
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Joe Andreessen
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Terrel Bernard
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
T.J. Sanders
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTBUF @ LAR
Keon Coleman
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Josiah Trotter
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Rueben Bain Jr.
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Chase McLaughlin
Full practice
P Edge side won; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTTB @ DAL
Alijah Clark
Full practice
P Edge side lost; final 24-16
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Lorenzo Styles Jr.
Calf · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTMIN @ NO
Jaylan Ford
Ankle · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Grant Delpit
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Dillon Gabriel
Back · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Mason Taylor
Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Tim Patrick
Groin · Full practice
- PRACTICE REPORTCLE @ NYJ
Elgton Jenkins
Full practice
- HEAD-TO-HEADIND @ PIT
PIT lead the series with IND since 2025
Pittsburgh beat Indianapolis 27-20 at home on Nov 2, the only meeting since 2025. That was a seven-point game, and this one is again in Pittsburgh. With one game, the series lead is thin evidence. What it does show is a one-score result in this same setting, which is a reasonable baseline before factoring in how each team looks this season.
- HEAD-TO-HEADCLE @ NYJ
NYJ lead the series with CLE since 2025
The Jets beat Cleveland 27-20 at home on Nov 9, the only meeting since 2025. It was a seven-point game, competitive throughout the scoreline, and this one is again at the Jets. One game is a small sample, so the series lead says little on its own. The useful takeaway is that the last meeting in this building was a one-score game.
- HEAD-TO-HEADLV @ NE
LV lead the series with NE since 2025
The only recent meeting was Sep 7, 2025, when Las Vegas won 20-13 at New England. It was a one-score, low-scoring game, and this one is again in New England. One game is all there is, so it says little beyond that the last meeting was close and modest on points. A bettor should weigh current form far more than this single result.
- HEAD-TO-HEADCIN @ MIA
CIN lead the series with MIA since 2025
There is one meeting to go on: Cincinnati won 45-21 at Miami on Dec 21. That was a lopsided game with the Bengals putting up 45, and this matchup is again in Miami. One game is a thin sample, so it tells you the Bengals offense had its way that day more than it tells you how this one goes. Use it as a reason to look at how each team's offense and defense are playing now rather than as a series trend.
Graded results
6Games
- W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 -105
NFL · 24-16
- L
White Sox ML -104
MLB · 9-5
Props
- W
Jake Ferguson · under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Actual 3
- L
KaVontae Turpin · under
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Actual 2
- L
Kyle Teel · over
Guardians @ White Sox · Actual 0
- L
Parker Messick · over
Guardians @ White Sox · Actual 2