Sports picks for Thursday, October 22, 2026

DAL: 267.2 team passing yards per game to PHI's 173.3

Dallas throws for 267.2 yards a game over six games, almost exactly its 266.3 last season, so the passing game is stable. Philadelphia is at 173.3, down from 194.3, and leans on other ways to move the ball. Dallas will have to win through the air on the road, while Philadelphia wants a slower game. Which side imposes that pace shapes how many points this game produces.

MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.3

Minnesota allows 12.8 points a game through five games, a big drop from 19.6 last season, while Indianapolis gives up 27.3 over six, worse than its 24.2 last year. Minnesota's number has improved by almost a touchdown, so some pullback toward last season is reasonable over a longer run. Indianapolis has leaked points two years running, which makes its number easier to trust. For this game, Minnesota's defense is the side setting the terms, and Indianapolis has to win in a building where scoring has been scarce.

TEN: 1.67 sacks taken per game to CLE's 4

Cleveland's quarterback is going down four times a game through six games, up from 3 last season, while Tennessee has cut its own sacks to 1.67 from 3.5. Six games is a real sample, so Cleveland's protection problem looks like more than one bad afternoon. Tennessee's offense is staying on schedule and Cleveland's keeps falling behind it. In a road spot, a line that gets the quarterback hit this often makes drive-killing negative plays and long third downs the likely script.

Case Keenum (QB) is out for CHI

Keenum is a healthy scratch by coach's decision and will be Chicago's emergency third quarterback Thursday against New England. He only dresses into action if the top two quarterbacks both get knocked out, so this has no bearing on how the Bears play. It is roster housekeeping and does not move the matchup.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Channing Canada (CB) is out for NE

Canada is ruled out for Thursday against the Bears with a hamstring injury, per the Oct 22 report. With Karon Prunty also out with a hamstring, New England goes into Chicago two cornerbacks short. Bettors looking at Bears receivers or passing numbers should factor in a Patriots secondary leaning on its reserves.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Carlton Davis III (CB) is out for NE

Davis has a neck injury and is officially ruled out for Thursday night in Chicago, so there is no game-time decision to wait on. The Patriots play this one without a starting-caliber corner, and the report does not name who takes his snaps. For betting, look at how the Bears passing game is priced and assume New England's secondary is thinner than usual.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Karon Prunty (CB) is out for NE

Prunty will not play Thursday at Chicago because of a hamstring injury, ruled out on Oct 22. The Patriots are also without Channing Canada, another corner with a hamstring, so New England is down two cornerbacks for this game. That thins the secondary against the Bears' passing game, and depth corners will have to cover more snaps.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

KC: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%

KC is at 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 78.6% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

Jayden Loving (DT) is out for CHI

CHI lists Jayden Loving as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Behren Morton (QB) is out for NE

Morton is inactive by coach's decision, which means he isn't hurt. New England lists him as the emergency third quarterback for Thursday at Chicago, so he only plays if both quarterbacks ahead of him go down. Nothing about the Patriots' game plan changes, and bettors can leave this one out of any read on the game.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

NYJ: 2.83 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0.8

The Jets get home 2.83 times a game over 6 games, and Miami manages 0.8 over 5. Sack totals depend on who you face and whether opponents are throwing from behind, and the sheet doesn't show schedule. The gap is wide enough to take seriously at this sample. In this game, Miami's quarterback figures to see more pressure than the Jets' does, which matters for drive-killing negative plays.

GB: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 297.4

Green Bay allows 193.3 passing yards a game over 6 games, while Detroit gives up 297.4 over 5. Passing yards allowed can swell when a team plays with a lead and opponents throw to catch up, so part of Detroit's number may be game script. Six and five games is a real but small sample. Green Bay's passing game has the easier matchup here on paper.

TEN: 1.67 sacks taken a game to CLE's 4

Cleveland's quarterback has gone down 4 times a game over six games, while Tennessee has kept it to 1.67. Both teams sat at 3 or more last season, so the Titans' protection is the bigger change: Cleveland took 3 a game last season and has gotten worse. Six games is enough to take the Browns' problem seriously. Sacks kill drives, so a Cleveland offense that keeps falling behind schedule is the side more likely to stall here.

MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to IND's 27.3

Minnesota has allowed 12.8 points a game over five games, and Indianapolis has given up 27.3 over six. Both moved from last season: the Vikings were at 19.6, the Colts at 24.2, so Minnesota's number has the most room to drift back up. Even with some give, the Colts defense has been leaky for two straight seasons. The question for this game is whether Indianapolis can score at all, since its own defense will hand Minnesota chances.

CAR: 295.6 pass yards a game to TB's 164.8

Carolina is throwing for 295.6 yards a game over five games, while Tampa Bay sits at 164.8 over six. That is a huge jump for the Panthers from 179.3 last season, and a drop for the Bucs from 205.9. Five games of a breakout passing team can cool, but the gap is wide enough to survive some regression. Expect Carolina to put the ball in the air and Tampa Bay to need a different way to keep pace.

BAL: 151.5 rush yards a game to CIN's 82.8

Baltimore runs for 151.5 yards a game over six games, and Cincinnati manages 82.8 over five. Neither number is a surprise: the Ravens were at 156.6 last season and the Bengals at 93.6. This gap has two seasons behind it and should hold. Baltimore can lean on the ground to control the clock, which pushes Cincinnati to win through the air.

DAL: 267.2 pass yards a game to PHI's 173.3

Dallas throws for 267.2 yards a game over six games, while Philadelphia is at 173.3. The Cowboys are right where they were last season at 266.3, and the Eagles have dipped from 194.3. Dallas's number looks stable. Philadelphia winning this game likely runs through something other than the pass, so watch how each side handles a game script where Dallas is throwing a lot.

Dee Winters (LB) is doubtful for DAL

Dee Winters sprained his Achilles in Sunday night's game against the Packers and is expected to miss at least one game. Doubtful usually means he sits, so plan on Dallas facing Philadelphia without him at linebacker. An Achilles sprain can linger, so his status past this week is open too.

Drew Lock (QB) is questionable for SEA

Lock has an elbow injury and was limited at practice Thursday, which is why he carries a questionable tag for Kansas City's visit. An elbow is a concern for a quarterback, and a limited session means he threw some but not fully. Friday's practice report matters most here, so wait on Seattle passing props until his status firms up.

Jonah Elliss (LB) is doubtful for DEN

Elliss hurt his ankle in Denver's Week 6 win over the Rams and is expected to land on injured reserve, which would keep him out for several weeks beyond this game at Arizona. The doubtful tag undersells it: this reads as a multi-week absence. The sheet does not name his replacement, so Denver's linebacker rotation thins out for the near term.

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is doubtful for DEN

Hufanga has an ankle injury and did not practice at all Wednesday. Doubtful means he is unlikely to play at Arizona, so Denver should be planning for a different safety in the back end. If he sits, Denver's secondary is missing a starter for this game.

Carson Beck (QB) is questionable for ARI

Beck is dealing with a back injury and did not practice at all Thursday, Oct 23, which is a worse sign than a limited session this late in the week. Questionable means it could go either way, but a quarterback who misses Thursday is in real doubt. The sheet does not name a backup, so check Arizona's final report and any Friday practice note before betting the DEN @ ARI game or Cardinals passing props.

David Montgomery (RB) is doubtful for HOU

Montgomery has a groin injury and is not practicing Thursday. Doubtful means he is unlikely to play against the Giants. Houston's backfield work goes to the other backs, but the report does not name them, so check the depth chart before betting Texans rushing props.

MIN: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5

Minnesota's defense takes the ball away 2 times a game over 5 games, while Indianapolis gets 0.5 over 6. Turnovers swing on bounces and the samples are short, so expect Minnesota's rate to drift down some. The gap still says one defense is creating extra possessions and the other almost never does. If Minnesota's offense gets short fields, that edge shows up on the scoreboard.

Jawhar Jordan (RB) is out for HOU

Jordan was placed on the practice squad injured list Wednesday with a quadriceps injury, per head coach DeMeco Ryans. As a practice squad back, he was not a regular part of the Houston offense, so his absence should not change much against the Giants.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Jackson is the centerpiece of Baltimore's offense, so any ankle issue gets attention. He was limited Thursday, which means he practiced but not fully, and questionable puts the call close to game day. A Jackson who plays but moves less changes how the Ravens attack Cincinnati, so watch his final practice report and any game-day word before betting his rushing numbers.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is out for CHI

CHI lists Kyle Monangai as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

T.J. Edwards (LB) is out for CHI

Edwards (hamstring) is inactive for Thursday night's matchup against New England. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Jack Sanborn (LB) is out for CHI

Sanborn (concussion) is officially listed as out for Thursday's game versus the Patriots. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Nick McCloud (CB) is out for CHI

CHI lists Nick McCloud as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Joshua Farmer (DT) is out for NE

NE lists Joshua Farmer as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is out for CHI

CHI lists Anthony Johnson Jr. as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 23.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Ben Skowronek (WR) is out for PIT

Ben Skowronek is ruled out for Sunday in New Orleans with a calf injury. Out means he will not play, so there is no game-time guessing. His snaps go to the rest of the Pittsburgh receiver room, and the report does not name who gets them, so look at the depth chart before playing any secondary Steelers receiver.

Brandin Echols (CB) is out for PIT

Echols is officially out Sunday in New Orleans with a hamstring injury, so there is no game-time decision here. Pittsburgh has to fill his cornerback snaps with someone else, and the report does not name who. For bettors, a missing corner is a small nudge toward the Saints passing game, so check who starts in his place before leaning on any receiver props.

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is out for SF

Samuel is listed out with a hamstring injury, and he was not expected to practice Wednesday, Oct 21, ahead of the trip to Atlanta. Hamstrings tend to linger, so a missed Wednesday this early in the week fits the out tag. With him off the field, his targets go to the rest of the San Francisco receiver room, and the team also has Mike Evans on the report. When pricing receiver props for this game, start from the idea that Samuel's share is spread around.

Garret Wallow (LB) is out for SF

Out means Wallow will not play when SF visits ATL, so there is no game-time call to wait on. The injury report from Oct 20 lists him as out but gives no injury or role details, so how much the linebacker room feels his absence is not clear from what is posted. Bettors can mark him as a confirmed scratch for this game and check closer to kickoff for who SF lists at linebacker.

Jaelan Phillips (LB) is doubtful for CAR

Phillips sat out Thursday's practice with a hamstring injury, and doubtful usually means a player is very unlikely to suit up. Assume Carolina takes on Tampa Bay without him. A missed Thursday with a soft-tissue injury rarely turns into a Sunday start, so make his absence your starting point and adjust only if he practices Friday.

Jordan McFadden (G) is out for CHI

CHI lists Jordan McFadden as out on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Baker Mayfield (QB) is questionable for TB

Mayfield is listed questionable with a right thumb injury, but he practiced fully Thursday. A full session from the starting quarterback is about the best sign you can get midweek, and the tag looks more like caution than real doubt. Tampa Bay should have its usual quarterback at Carolina, so there is little reason to price in a backup.

Kiko Mauigoa (LB) is doubtful for NYJ

Mauigoa has a thigh injury, did not practice Wednesday, and the Jets are calling him week-to-week. That language says this is more than a one-game issue, and doubtful usually means a player does not suit up. Plan on the Jets playing Miami without him at linebacker, and expect the absence to carry past this week.

Joseph Ossai (DE) is doubtful for NYJ

Doubtful means the Jets expect to play Miami without Ossai, so plan for that. He has an ankle injury and did not practice Wednesday, which is a bad sign this deep into the week. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps at defensive end, so watch the final report to see how thin the edge rotation gets.

Sauce Gardner (CB) is doubtful for IND

Gardner is IND's top cover corner, and an MRI on Monday showed a mild left calf strain that has him week-to-week. Doubtful means he very likely sits at Minnesota. Calf strains tend to linger, so this may run past one game. If he is out, expect Minnesota to test whoever lines up across from its top receiver more often.

Bub Means (WR) is out for CLE

Means is a practice squad receiver, so he was not part of Cleveland's active game plan. The Browns moved him to the practice squad injured list on Tuesday, Oct 20, with a knee injury, which rules him out against Tennessee. Since he was not on the active roster, his absence should not shift targets or snaps for the receivers who play on Sunday, and it gives a bettor no reason to adjust anything for this game.

Ben Brown (C) is out for NE

Brown, the Patriots' center, is out Thursday at Chicago with a knee injury, ruled out on Oct 22. A backup center will snap the ball and handle the line calls in front of the quarterback. On a short week, that change in the middle of the line is something to weigh when you think about New England's ability to protect and run inside.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DET: 32.8 points per game to GB's 21.2

Detroit scores 32.8 points a game over five games, up from 28.3 last season, while Green Bay is at 21.2, close to its 23 last year. Detroit's offense was already strong and has climbed, so some cooling is possible but the baseline is high. Green Bay has to keep pace on the road against an offense that scores in bunches. If Green Bay can't sustain drives, this one can get away from it.

SF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 16.7%

San Francisco has converted 75% of fourth downs over six games, up from 59.1% last season, while Atlanta has hit 16.7%, down sharply from 50%. Fourth-down attempts are few, so both numbers rest on a small handful of tries and are likely to move. San Francisco has the confidence to go for it and has been rewarded. A bettor should weigh the coaching aggression more than the exact rates, which will even out.

NO: 84.2% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 53.3%

New Orleans scores on 84.2% of red-zone trips over six games, a massive jump from 44.4% last season. Pittsburgh sits at 53.3%, close to its 58.8% from last year. A swing that large for New Orleans usually cools off, since red-zone rates bounce around on small numbers of trips. Pittsburgh needs to cash its chances on the road, because settling for field goals has been its pattern for two seasons.

HOU: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.83

Houston turns it over 0.5 times a game over six games, in line with 0.71 last season, so ball security is a habit there. The Giants are at 1.83, almost double their 1 from last year. The Giants' rate should come down some toward last season's number, but Houston's should hold. Turnovers decide close games, and the Giants giving away extra possessions on the road is a real problem for them.

SF: 0.83 sacks taken per game to ATL's 2.67

San Francisco's quarterback is sacked 0.83 times a game over six games, down from 1.8 last season, while Atlanta's is taking 2.67, up from 1.86. San Francisco's protection has been excellent and Atlanta's has slipped. Both teams sat near the same number last year, so expect some movement back toward the middle. Atlanta's quarterback facing more pressure at home makes a clean, rhythm-based game plan harder for its offense.

George Pickens (WR) is questionable for DAL

Pickens was limited at Thursday's practice with a shoulder injury, so he did some work. Questionable keeps his status at Philadelphia uncertain, and a sore shoulder can affect a receiver catching contested balls. Watch Friday's practice and the final designation before betting his receiving numbers.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Barkley, the centerpiece of the Philadelphia offense, has a hamstring injury and was limited Thursday. He is getting work in, which leans toward him playing against Dallas, but hamstrings are the kind of injury that can cut a player's snaps or burst. Watch his final status closely, since his workload drives Eagles rushing totals and any backup's value if he is held back.

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL

Turpin has a rib injury and did not practice Thursday, Oct 23. Missing a full session this late in the week puts him in more doubt than a limited player. If he can't go for DAL @ PHI, Dallas loses a receiver and possibly return work, so wait for Friday's status before betting anything that depends on him.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is questionable for SEA

Charbonnet practiced fully Thursday despite the knee, the best sign a questionable player can give. Full participation this late in the week usually means he plays against Kansas City in his normal role. Treat the Seattle backfield as close to normal unless his status changes.

Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC

Rice sat out Thursday's practice with hamstring and knee injuries, and he's questionable for Seattle. Two injured spots plus no practice is a bad combination for a top receiver. Travis Kelce is also questionable, which leaves the Chiefs' passing game with plenty of uncertainty heading into Seattle. Don't bet Kansas City passing props until both players' statuses are confirmed.

Mike Washington Jr. (RB) is questionable for LV

Washington went backward this week: he was downgraded to did not practice Thursday with foot and back issues. A downgrade late in the week is a worse sign than a steady absence, since it suggests something flared up. Las Vegas could be thin at running back against the Rams, so price any Raiders rushing bets with him likely out.

Tyler Scott (WR) is questionable for LV

Las Vegas cut Tyler Scott from the practice squad injured list on Wednesday with an undisclosed issue. He is no longer with the team, so he will not play against the Rams. Nothing here changes how to think about the Raiders' receiver group for this game.

KC: 6.74 yards per play to SEA's 5.3

Kansas City is gaining 6.74 yards per play over five games, a big jump from 5.05 last season, while Seattle is down to 5.3 from 5.98. Kansas City's efficiency surge is big enough that some cooling is likely. Seattle's offense has taken a step back at home. Kansas City's ability to create chunk plays on the road gives it an edge if the jump is real.

Puka Nacua (WR) is questionable for LAR

Puka Nacua hurt his calf during Thursday's practice and finished as a limited participant. That is a fresh injury in the middle of the week, so questionable carries real doubt for Sunday in Las Vegas. If he is limited or sits, the Rams' passing game loses its top read, and any Nacua props carry more risk until his status firms up.

Savion Williams (WR) is questionable for GB

Williams practiced on a limited basis Thursday with an ankle injury and is questionable for Detroit. Being limited is a better sign than sitting out entirely. Bo Melton is also questionable, so if both are hurt, Green Bay's depth at receiver gets tested. Keep an eye on whether Williams moves to full practice by Friday.

SF has won 6 straight

SF has not lost yet, six wins in six games, and the streak and the record are the same thing here. The sheet does not show who those wins came against, so how much of the 6-0 was earned is an open question. Unbeaten teams this deep tend to get priced on reputation, and the line at ATL will likely carry that. The useful question for this game is whether the number already charges you for the streak.

Christian Watson (WR) is questionable for GB

Watson has an ankle injury and practiced in a limited way Thursday. Ankle problems can cap a receiver's speed even when he plays, which matters for a deep threat. Matthew Golden is also questionable for Green Bay, so the Packers receiver group against Detroit is unsettled until the final report.

Bo Melton (WR) is questionable for GB

Melton didn't practice Thursday because of a back injury and is questionable for the Lions game. Back problems are hard to predict from one day to the next, so Friday's report will tell you more. Teammate Savion Williams is also questionable, which means Green Bay's receiver group behind the starters could be thin in Detroit.

Matthew Golden (WR) is questionable for GB

Golden has a shoulder injury and was limited at Thursday's practice. Questionable leaves his status for Detroit open, and Green Bay also has Christian Watson on the same report this week. If both are limited on game day, the receiver work could be spread thin, so wait for final word before betting any Packers wideout.

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI

Love hurt his ankle and was still sidelined Thursday, so he has yet to get back on the practice field this week. That points toward Arizona playing Denver without him or with him well short of full speed. If he sits, the Cardinals' backfield work moves to the backs behind him, and Arizona rushing props are worth holding off on until the inactives come out.

Jaylen Waddle (WR) is questionable for DEN

Waddle has a chest injury and stayed limited at practice Thursday, so he is working but not at full speed. That pattern usually ends with a player suiting up, and he is a key target in the Denver passing game when healthy. If he plays, a chest injury can still limit his snaps or contact, so be careful with high yardage props until his status firms up against Arizona.

Tyler Badie (RB) is questionable for DEN

Badie hurt his thumb and did not practice Thursday, which puts him in real doubt for the trip to Arizona. Running backs can sometimes play through a thumb injury with a wrap, but a missed practice this late in the week is a warning. If he sits, the Denver backfield carries go to the other backs on the roster, so watch the inactive list before betting any Broncos rushing props.

Bucky Irving (RB) is questionable for TB

Irving is listed with an illness and was limited in Thursday's practice. Illnesses can clear up fast or drag into the weekend, so this one is harder to read than a typical injury. Being on the field Thursday is a decent sign for the Carolina game, but check the final report before betting his rushing or receiving numbers.

Emeka Egbuka (WR) is questionable for TB

Egbuka is dealing with both a concussion and a foot injury, and he did not practice Thursday. A concussion means he has to clear the league's protocol before he can play, which is a higher bar than a normal questionable tag. Missing Thursday makes his trip to Carolina look shakier, so be careful with anything tied to him until his status is final.

Kene Nwangwu (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Nwangwu (knee) did not participate at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Hall has a quadriceps injury and was limited at Thursday's practice, which means he was on the field doing part of the work. Questionable makes his status for Miami a real question, and leg muscle injuries for a running back can mean a lighter workload even if he plays. If you are looking at his rushing numbers, wait on Friday's practice report and the final status before leaning either way.

Adonai Mitchell (WR) is questionable for NYJ

Mitchell has a finger injury and was limited in Thursday's practice, so he got some work in. Questionable means roughly a coin flip on playing, and a limited Thursday is a better sign than a missed one. Watch Friday's report: a full session points toward him suiting up against Miami, while a step back would put more of the receiver work on the rest of the Jets room.

Jaylen Wright (RB) is questionable for MIA

Wright has a foot injury and stayed limited at Thursday practice. Questionable means a game-time decision against the Jets. A back nursing a foot problem may not get a full share of carries even if he plays, so look for clearer word before betting Miami's rushing props.

Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA

Douglas has an ankle injury and was limited in Thursday practice. Questionable makes him a game-time call for Miami's trip to the Jets. Limited work midweek usually means a player is trending toward playing but may not be at full speed, so be careful with his props.

Anthony Gould (WR) is questionable for IND

Gould is in the concussion protocol and missed practice both Wednesday and Thursday, a bad sign for his chances at Minnesota. A player who hasn't practiced all week while working back from a concussion often doesn't clear in time. Plan around Indianapolis playing without him, especially if you were counting on him in the return game.

Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND

Dulin has a hamstring issue and was limited at practice Thursday, which means he did some work but not a full load. Limited by Thursday usually points toward playing, though hamstrings can flare up during a game. If he sits at Minnesota, Indianapolis loses a depth receiver, so any effect on Colts receiving props should be small.

Calvin Ridley (WR) is questionable for TEN

Ridley has a hip injury and did not practice Thursday. A player who misses practice this late in the week has a harder path to playing than one who was limited. If Ridley sits against Cleveland, Tennessee loses a main target, so watch his Friday practice report before betting Titans receivers.

KC Concepcion (WR) is questionable for CLE

Concepcion has calf and quadriceps injuries and was limited Thursday. Questionable means his status at Tennessee is uncertain, and Cleveland has other receivers on the report too. Leg injuries like these can cut into a receiver's speed even when he plays, so his props carry extra risk.

Denzel Boston (WR) is questionable for CLE

Boston has a foot injury and stayed limited in Thursday practice. Questionable means he could play at Tennessee or miss, and Cleveland has two other receivers listed this week. With that much uncertainty in the receiver group, wait for final statuses before betting Browns pass catchers.

Quinshon Judkins (RB) is questionable for CLE

Judkins is dealing with an ankle injury and was limited again Thursday, so he has not worked fully this week. Questionable puts his status at Tennessee in real doubt. A back playing on a sore ankle may see fewer carries, so be careful with his rushing props until Cleveland gives a clearer answer.

Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) is questionable for ATL

Zaccheaus is dealing with a shoulder injury and was limited at practice Thursday, leaving him questionable against San Francisco. Limited work midweek usually means a player is trending toward playing, but nothing is settled. If you like an Atlanta receiver prop, his Friday practice status is the thing to check before betting.

Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) is questionable for ATL

Brian Robinson Jr. did not practice Thursday with a hamstring injury, which makes his questionable tag against San Francisco a real worry. Hamstrings are tricky for running backs, and a missed Thursday session leaves little time to ramp up. Friday's practice report and Atlanta's final designation are the next things to check before betting his rushing numbers.

MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 61.1%

Minnesota allows touchdowns on 25% of red-zone trips over 5 games; Indianapolis is at 61.1% over 6. A handful of goal-line stands can make a red-zone rate look elite, so Minnesota's figure is likely to rise. The gap still favors Minnesota at the spots where points are decided. Indianapolis drives may end in more field goals than its yardage suggests.

DET: 114.2 rushing yards per game to GB's 59.8

Detroit runs for 114.2 yards a game over five games, close to its 120.1 last season, so the ground game is steady. Green Bay has dropped to 59.8 from 119.8, a collapse that stands out. Green Bay's number is probably to climb some, but it means the offense has gotten one-dimensional. Detroit can lean on its run game at home while Green Bay may have to throw to keep pace.

Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

Evans missed Thursday's practice with both a ribs injury and an Achilles issue, and he goes into the Atlanta game as questionable. Two injuries plus no practice is a real worry. Questionable means it could go either way. If you're looking at San Francisco passing props, Friday's practice report and the inactive list matter more than usual this week.

Alvin Kamara (RB) is questionable for NO

Kamara has a back injury and practiced in a limited way Thursday. He is New Orleans' best-known back, so his status shapes how the Saints run the offense against Pittsburgh. Questionable with limited practice means a final call near kickoff. Until he is cleared, treat his rushing and receiving lines as shaky.

Rico Dowdle (RB) is questionable for PIT

Dowdle has a knee injury and was limited in Thursday practice, so he is getting some work in but is not fully cleared. Questionable makes this a game-time call for the trip to New Orleans. If he plays at less than full health, his workload could shrink, so props on him carry extra risk until his status is settled.

HOU: 0.5 turnovers a game to NYG's 1.83

Houston has given the ball away 0.5 times a game over six games, while the Giants are at 1.83. The Texans were careful last season too at 0.71, but the Giants have nearly doubled their rate from 1 last season. Some of New York's spike may settle, though six games is a real sample. Short fields from Giants mistakes are the cleanest path for Houston to pull away.

Dontayvion Wicks (WR) is questionable for PHI

Wicks has an ankle injury and did not practice Thursday, which puts him in doubt for Dallas. Philadelphia also has Smith listed with a hamstring, so the Eagles could be short at wide receiver. Check both receivers' statuses together before betting the Philadelphia passing game.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

Smith, one of Philadelphia's top receivers, missed practice Thursday with a hamstring injury. A missed practice this late in the week puts his status for Dallas in real doubt. If he sits, more targets flow to the other Eagles pass catchers, which can change how you look at their receiving props.

MIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to IND's 1.67

Minnesota's pass rush averages 3.4 sacks a game over 5 games, double Indianapolis's 1.67 over 6. Sacks also come with matchups and with opponents throwing from behind, which the sheet doesn't break out. Over this many games the gap looks real. Expect Indianapolis to face more third-and-long trouble than Minnesota does.

SF: 0.83 sacks taken a game to ATL's 2.67

Atlanta's quarterback is going down almost three times a game through 6 games, while San Francisco's is barely touched at under one. Both teams sat near the same spot last season, 1.8 for SF and 1.86 for ATL over 17 games, so this year's split is a six-game swing in both directions and some of it should drift back. The live edge is Atlanta's protection: if SF's rush gets home early, expect shorter drops, quicker throws and stalled drives for the Falcons at home.

KC: 6.74 yards a snap to SEA's 5.3

Kansas City is gaining 6.74 yards a snap over five games, while Seattle is at 5.3 over six. Both teams flipped from last season: the Chiefs were at 5.05 and the Seahawks at 5.98. Five or six games can swing these numbers, so neither offense is fully settled. Right now Kansas City moves the ball more efficiently, and Seattle needs long drives to match it.

DET: 114.2 rush yards a game to GB's 59.8

Detroit runs for 114.2 yards a game over five games, and Green Bay is at just 59.8 over six. The Lions are close to last season's 120.1, but the Packers have collapsed from 119.8. That Green Bay drop is the number most likely to move back up. Until it does, the Packers are a pass-first team in this matchup, and Detroit's defense knows it.

KC: 159.8 rushing yards per game to SEA's 107.2

Kansas City runs for 159.8 yards a game over five games, up sharply from 106.6 last season, while Seattle is down to 107.2 from 123.3. That kind of jump in rushing identity is unusual and may not last. Kansas City has become a ground-based team this year. If Kansas City runs effectively on the road, it controls the clock and limits Seattle's chances.

DAL: 23.3 first downs per game to PHI's 14.8

Dallas picks up 23.3 first downs a game over six games, nearly identical to 23.1 last season, so this is stable. Philadelphia is at 14.8, down from 18 last year. Dallas sustains drives consistently, while Philadelphia has had trouble staying on the field. On the road, Dallas can control possession if it keeps moving the chains.

KC: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 2

Kansas City turns it over 0.8 times a game over five games, in line with 0.88 last season, so ball security is consistent. Seattle is at 2 a game, up from 1.65 last year, and has been careless for two seasons. Kansas City's number should hold and Seattle's may drift a little lower. Seattle giving away possessions at home is the gap Kansas City can exploit.

DET: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 50%

Detroit scores on 77.3% of red-zone trips over five games, up from 62.5% last season, while Green Bay is at 50%, below its 57.6% from last year. Red-zone rates bounce around, so both will likely drift. Detroit finishing drives with touchdowns keeps its scoring numbers high. Green Bay settling for field goals on the road is a recipe for falling behind.

KC: 5.48 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.8

KC is at 5.48 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 3.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 4.29 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

HOU: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 1.33

Houston averages 3 sacks a game over 6 games, while the Giants sit at 1.33 over the same span. Equal samples make this a fairer comparison than most. Houston's rush should keep producing at roughly this level. That points to more drive-ending plays against the Giants' offense than Houston's will face.

Jack Sanborn

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Theo Johnson (TE) is questionable for NYG

Johnson is questionable at Houston with a neck injury after a limited practice Thursday. Neck injuries can linger, and the report gives no sign yet which way this goes. Hold off on Giants tight end props until there is a clearer word, since an absence would shift those targets elsewhere.

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Brevin Jordan (TE) is questionable for HOU

Jordan was limited Thursday with a foot issue and is questionable against the Giants. Foot problems can flare up on game day, so his snap count is uncertain even if he suits up. Keep Houston tight end props small or wait for a final status.

PHI: 38.9% third downs allowed to DAL's 54.7%

Philadelphia lets opponents convert 38.9% of third downs over 6 games; Dallas allows 54.7% over the same span. A defense letting more than half of third downs through keeps opponents on the field and the clock running. Third-down rates swing, but this gap over 6 games is meaningful. Philadelphia's offense should sustain drives against Dallas more easily than the reverse.

Garret Wallow

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Ben Skowronek

Calf · Did not practice · Out

Kyle Monangai

Thumb, Toe · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side won; final 24-30

T.J. Hockenson (TE) is questionable for MIN

T.J. Hockenson was a full participant Thursday as he comes back from a concussion. Full practice is a strong sign, but concussion cases still need final clearance, which is why he stays questionable for Indianapolis. If he is cleared, expect his usual role in Minnesota's passing game.

Alijah Vera-Tucker

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Ben Brown

Knee · Did not practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Karon Prunty

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice · Out

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Will Kacmarek (TE) is questionable for MIA

Kacmarek (hamstring) was limited in Thursday's practice, but he said he expects to play Sunday versus the Jets, Joe Schad of The Palm Beach Post reports. Reported Oct 22.

CAR: 5.98 yards per play to TB's 4.7

Carolina gains more on every snap, and its last game shows how: Bryce Young hit Jalen Coker for 32, David Moore for 27 and Tetairoa McMillan for 21. That is a big jump from last season's 4.92, so five games of downfield success is carrying the number. Tampa is at 4.7 after 5.12 last season, with its longest recent plays only 22 and 21 yards. If Carolina keeps landing chunk throws, Tampa has to answer with long drives, and its offense has not shown that this year.

TB: 75.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 132.2

Tampa Bay holds opponents to 75.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games, and Carolina allows 132.2 over 5. Rush yards allowed fall when a team leads and opponents give up on the run, so script can flatter a defense. The gap is wide enough to hold. Tampa Bay's run game has the cleaner path in this matchup.

Travis Kelce (TE) is questionable for KC

Kelce practiced on a limited basis Thursday because of an ankle injury and is questionable for Seattle. A limited practice is a reasonable sign he'll play. Rashee Rice missed Thursday and is also questionable, so if Kelce suits up he could see even more targets. If he's a full participant Friday, that confirms he's on track.

Dalton Schultz (TE) is questionable for HOU

Schultz has a quadriceps injury and was limited at Thursday's practice. He was on the field, which is a fair sign for the Giants game, but questionable keeps it open. Check the final status before betting his receiving numbers.

Brandin Echols

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Tyler Warren (TE) is questionable for IND

Warren has a groin injury and did not practice Thursday. Missing practice this late in the week makes his status for Minnesota shakier than a typical questionable. If he sits, the Colts lose a tight end target, so wait on the final report before betting Indianapolis passing numbers.

Dallas Goedert (TE) is questionable for PHI

Goedert (knee) was held out of Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 22.

LAR: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to LV's 2.98

The Rams run the ball about as well as they did last season, 4.52 now against 4.69 then, so that part looks real. Las Vegas has been stuck under three yards a carry through six games and was only 3.38 last season, so the run game has been weak for a while. Expect the Rams to lean on the ground more comfortably while the Raiders struggle to stay on schedule, which pushes them into obvious passing downs.

CAR: 29.2 points per game to TB's 19.8

Carolina is scoring like a top offense after averaging 18.3 last season, and five games is a short run to build that on. Tampa went the other way, from 22.4 last season to 19.8 over six games. Both numbers probably drift back toward last season's form. Price the game knowing Carolina's scoring jump is the newer and shakier of the two trends.

KC has won 5 straight

KC is 5-0, so every game this season has been a win. The sheet does not say who those five came against, which leaves the quality of the run open. A road trip to SEA is a different test than a home streak. Unbeaten teams rarely come cheap, so check whether the line asks KC to win by more than the record supports.

MIN has won 5 straight

MIN is 5-0, so this streak covers its whole season. Five games is a real run, and the sheet does not list the opponents, so the strength of those wins is unknown. Home against IND, an unbeaten team draws heavy public money. Weigh the price against what five games actually prove before paying a premium.

MIA has lost 5 straight

MIA has not won a game, 0-5, so the losing streak is its whole season. Five straight losses usually brings lineup or play-calling changes, and winless teams get priced low. The sheet does not show margins or opponents, so whether these were close losses or blowouts is unknown. At NYJ, the question is how much of the 0-5 is already built into the spread.

DEN: 20.8 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.7

Denver has allowed 20.8 points a game over six games, and Arizona has given up 29.7. The Broncos were at 18.3 last season, and the Cardinals were at 28.7, so both defenses look like themselves. Arizona's leaky defense has two seasons behind it. Denver should find points here, and the bigger question is whether the Cardinals can keep up.

DAL: 1.17 sacks taken per game to PHI's 2.67

Dallas has cut its sacks taken roughly in half from last season's 2.38, while Philadelphia is a bit worse than its 2.33 from last season. Six games is enough to take Dallas's improvement seriously, though sack rates tend to drift toward the middle. Philadelphia getting hit more often hurts its drives in a game where it is the home side, and it gives Dallas a cleaner path to keep its offense on schedule.

DET: 4 sacks recorded per game to GB's 2.5

Detroit averages 4 sacks a game over 5 games, and Green Bay gets 2.5 over 6. Both pass rushes are producing, Detroit's more so, though high sack counts tend to cool off as the season goes on. Green Bay's quarterback figures to be under more pressure in this game. That matters for negative plays and stalled drives.

CAR: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to TB's 1.83

TB is at 1.83 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; CAR is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 0.94 over 17 games and CAR at 1.35 over 17 games.

Jalen Ramsey (CB) is questionable for PIT

Ramsey is questionable for the Saints game, and the report gives no injury detail. He is coming off 10 tackles, nine solo, and 2.0 sacks in the Steelers' 26-19 overtime win over the Buccaneers. That is one game, so take the stat line as a strong outing rather than a new baseline, and watch the later reports for what is keeping him on the list.

Nick Bosa (DE) is questionable for SF

Bosa has a calf injury and did not practice Thursday, Oct 23. He is San Francisco's top pass rusher, so losing him would change how the 49ers pressure Atlanta's quarterback. Missing a full session puts him in real doubt, so watch Friday's report: if he sits, Atlanta's passing game and the total become more appealing to look at.

Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said that Stout's removal from Monday's 23-17 win over the Commanders was due to an AC sprain in his shoulder, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 20.

Mykel Williams (DE) is questionable for SF

Williams (knee) was estimated to be a nonparticipant in Wednesday's walkthrough practice, Harrison Rich of the San Francisco Chronicle reports. Reported Oct 22.

C.J. Henderson (CB) is questionable for ATL

Henderson (groin) was a limited participant at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. Reported Oct 22.

Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

Dillon Gabriel hurt his back and was ruled out ahead of the game against the Jets, reported Oct 10. He now sits on injured reserve with a designation to return, which means he is still not active for the Tennessee game. Cleveland plays this one without him at quarterback.

Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN

Darrisaw was a full participant Thursday while working back from a concussion, which is a good sign he is near clearance for the Colts game. Full practice in concussion protocol usually means the final step is medical sign-off. If he plays, Minnesota keeps its left tackle in place, so treat his status as mostly a pass protection question.

Max Mitchell (OT) is questionable for NYJ

Mitchell (concussion) did not participate at the Jets' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Luke Goedeke (OT) is questionable for TB

Goedeke did not practice Thursday because of a calf injury, which makes his questionable tag look shaky for the Carolina trip. A lineman who misses midweek work is less likely to play than one who was limited. If he sits, Tampa Bay's line loses a starter, a factor to weigh on Buccaneers rushing and sack props.

Zyon McCollum (CB) is questionable for TB

McCollum was limited Thursday with an illness, which leaves him questionable against Carolina. Illnesses tend to clear quickly, so this is usually less worrying than a soft tissue injury. His Friday status should tell you whether the Buccaneers secondary is at full strength.

Cam Jurgens (C) is questionable for BAL

Jurgens was a full participant Wednesday while working back from a concussion, and he is listed as questionable for Cincinnati. A full practice is a good sign, though concussion cases also require clearance from the protocol. If he is cleared, Baltimore keeps its starting center in place against the Bengals.

Colton Hood (CB) is questionable for NYG

Hood was a full participant Thursday while coming back from a concussion, putting him close to clearance for the Houston game. The questionable tag stays until he is medically signed off. If he is cleared, the Giants cornerback group is intact, so wait for that final word before leaning on Texans receiver props.

Greg Newsome II (CB) is questionable for NYG

Newsome (concussion) did not participate at practice Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is questionable for NYG

Eluemanor (calf) was a limited participant at the Giants' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Andrew Thomas (OT) is questionable for NYG

Thomas (groin) was a limited participant at the Giants' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Pat Surtain II (CB) is questionable for DEN

Surtain (ankle) remained limited in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 22.

Max Melton (CB) is questionable for ARI

Melton (knee) did not participate at practice Thursday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 23.

Brandon Cisse (CB) is questionable for GB

Cisse has a shoulder injury and was limited in Wednesday's walkthrough, Oct 22. A walkthrough is a light session, so limited there tells you less than a full practice would. His status for the game at Detroit should get clearer as the week goes on.

Lukas Van Ness (DE) is questionable for GB

Van Ness was limited Thursday with an illness and is questionable for the trip to Detroit. Illness tags usually resolve by game day, so he leans toward playing. Check Friday's report if Green Bay's pass rush is part of how you see this game.

Trent McDuffie (CB) is questionable for LAR

McDuffie sat out Wednesday's practice, Oct 22, with a groin injury. A missed opening practice with a soft tissue issue points to real doubt for the trip to Las Vegas. If he stays out of practice, the Rams would have a weaker cornerback group against the Raiders passing game.

Cobie Durant (CB) is questionable for DAL

Durant (hamstring) was a limited participant at practice Thursday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 23.

Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Hurts (calf) is expected to be held out of football activities for multiple months and miss the rest of the season after new imaging over the weekend revealed several blood clots in his lungs, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Oct 19.

MIN: 4.6 yards per play allowed to IND's 5.8

IND is at 5.8 yards per play allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 4.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

SEA: 141.3 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 217.2

Seattle allows 141.3 passing yards a game over 6 games, Kansas City 217.2 over 5. Low passing yards allowed can come from teams running on you while ahead, as much as from tight coverage. Seattle's number is still notable. Kansas City's passing game faces the tougher look here.

DET has 7 more days of rest

Green Bay travels on 4 days while Detroit is coming off a bye with 11. That is the toughest version of the spot: a short week plus a road trip against a rested team that had extra time to prepare. Teams in Green Bay's position usually trim the playbook and lean on what already works. Watch the second half, when the rest gap tends to show up in tackling and pass rush.

CIN has 7 more days of rest

Cincinnati comes off its bye with 11 days of rest, and Baltimore hosts on 4. The Ravens get home field, but their week is mostly recovery and walkthroughs, while the Bengals had time to heal and add wrinkles. That 7-day gap is set by the calendar. In a division game where both sides know each other well, extra prep time on scheme matters a bit less than fresh legs late.

MIA has 7 more days of rest

Miami arrives on 11 days with a bye behind it, and the Jets host on just 4 days. The home team has had little time to recover or practice at full speed, while Miami had an extra week to rest and scheme. Home field softens a short week but does not erase it. Think about which side needs a sharp, detailed plan to function; that side is hurt most by the Jets' compressed prep.

MIN has 7 more days of rest

Indianapolis plays on 4 days of rest while Minnesota gets 11 after its bye, so one side is still recovering and the other had extra days to heal and install a plan. A short week usually means walkthroughs instead of full practices and a simpler game plan for the road team. The gap is fixed by the schedule. Weigh how much Indianapolis relies on timing and volume, since a team on 4 days often looks flat late.

T.J. Edwards

Hamstring · Limited practice · Doubtful

P Edge side won; final 24-30

DEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.7

Arizona's defense is giving up almost the same as last season's 28.7, so this is who it is through six games. Denver has allowed a bit more than last season's 18.3 but is still sturdy. The Broncos offense should find room in this matchup, and Arizona's defense is a steadier read than any recent hot streak.

GB: 20.8 points allowed per game to DET's 29.6

GB is at 20.8 points allowed per game over 6 games; DET is at 29.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and DET at 24.3 over 17 games.

GB @ DET carries a 52.5 market total

This is the highest total on the slate, 8 points above the 44.5 median, so the market expects Green Bay and Detroit to trade scores for four quarters. A number this high assumes both offenses finish drives with touchdowns instead of settling for field goals. For it to crack, one side has to stall: a couple of red-zone stops, long clock-eating drives or a turnover-free grind would pull it under. Bettors should ask whether both teams need to score, since one quiet offense breaks a 52.5.

IND: 2.33 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.6

Indianapolis goes for it on fourth down far more often than last season's 1.59 a game, and Minnesota rarely does, down from 1.41. Part of that is game script: teams behind go for it more. Indy's aggression adds swing plays and can push scoring either way, while Minnesota tends to punt or kick and play the field.

SF: 1 turnover committed per game to ATL's 2

Atlanta is giving the ball away twice a game through six, nearly double last season's 1.06, which points to a rough stretch more than a new identity. San Francisco has been cleaner than last season's 1.29. Expect Atlanta's number to cool off, so the turnover edge for San Francisco is real but probably not this wide going forward.

HOU: 83 rushing yards allowed per game to NYG's 135.5

Houston gives up 83 rushing yards a game over 6 games; the Giants allow 135.5 over the same span. With equal samples, the gap looks like a real difference in run defense. Houston's ground game should find more room than the Giants' does. That favors Houston controlling tempo if the game stays close.

KC: 1.2 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.67

KC is at 1.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; SEA is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 2.94 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

LAR: 4.82 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.98

The Rams allow 4.82 yards per play over 6 games, while Las Vegas gives up 5.98. Yards per play strips out pace and is one of the steadier defensive measures, so this gap should mostly hold. Every snap against Las Vegas is worth more. The Rams' offense has the friendlier matchup on a per-play basis.

Kaden Elliss (LB) is questionable for NO

Elliss (calf) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 22.

Marques Sigle (S) is questionable for SF

Sigle (ankle) was estimated to be a nonparticipant in Wednesday's walkthrough practice, Harrison Rich of the San Francisco Chronicle reports. Reported Oct 22.

Jaden Dugger (LB) is questionable for SF

Dugger (knee) was estimated to be a limited participant in Wednesday's walkthrough, Harrison Rich of the San Francisco Chronicle reports. Reported Oct 22.

Divine Deablo (LB) is questionable for ATL

Deablo (arm) did not participate at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. Reported Oct 22.

Jaylinn Hawkins (S) is questionable for BAL

Hawkins has a knee injury and did not practice Thursday, Oct 23, which puts his status against Cincinnati in real doubt. Missing a full session this late in the week is a bad sign. If he sits, Baltimore is thinner at safety against the Bengals' passing game, so wait for Friday's report.

Jevon Holland (S) is questionable for NYG

Holland (concussion) was a limited participant at practice Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Jalen Pitre (S) is questionable for HOU

Pitre (shoulder) did not participate at the Texans' practice Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 21.

Reed Blankenship (S) is questionable for HOU

Blankenship (concussion/hand) didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) is questionable for HOU

Al-Shaair was a limited practice participant Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

DAL: 5.52 yards per play to PHI's 4.42

Both offenses are down from last season, Dallas from 5.96 and Philadelphia from 5.27, but Philadelphia's drop is much steeper. Six games suggests a real dip for the Eagles, though last season shows the ceiling is higher. Dallas has moved the ball better per snap this year, so Philadelphia likely needs to win on long drives and fewer mistakes at home.

Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI

Wingard (knee) did not participate at practice Thursday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 23.

TB (1-5) at CAR (3-2), a division game

Carolina is 3-2, +23 on the year and has won two straight, while Tampa Bay is 1-5 but only -19, which suggests a team that has lost close games. Both are 1-1 in their split, so venue adds little here. A 1-5 record with that margin tends to undersell a team, and a division matchup can narrow the gap. Watch whether the number leans too hard on Tampa Bay's record and too little on how close those losses were.

Drake Thomas (LB) is questionable for SEA

Thomas missed Wednesday's practice, Oct 22, with an ankle injury. Sitting out the first practice of the week puts his status for the home game against Kansas City in doubt. If he stays out, the Seahawks linebacker group is thinner against the Chiefs.

Quay Walker (LB) is questionable for LV

Walker (chest) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 22.

Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR

Landman did not practice Wednesday, Oct 22, because of a concussion. Concussion cases hinge on clearing the league protocol, so the questionable tag carries real doubt. The Rams also have McDuffie listed after a missed practice, which could leave their defense thin against Las Vegas.

Keir Thomas II (LB) is questionable for LAR

The Rams released Thomas from injured reserve with an injury settlement Thursday because of a groin injury. That means he is off the roster and will not play against Las Vegas, despite the questionable tag. There is no betting angle here beyond knowing he is not part of this game.

PIT: 21.3 points allowed per game to NO's 29.7

New Orleans has allowed about seven more points per game than last season's 22.5 over six games, a big slide that may ease somewhat but has lasted long enough to take seriously. Pittsburgh is close to last season's 22.8. The Steelers offense draws a defense that has leaked points all year, which matters for how you think about their scoring in this game.

Kevin Winston Jr. (S) is questionable for TEN

Winston (quadriceps) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports. Reported Oct 21.

Zaire Franklin (LB) is questionable for GB

Franklin practiced in a limited capacity Thursday due to a shin injury. Reported Oct 23.

Budda Baker (S) is questionable for ARI

Baker (groin/illness) did not participate at practice Thursday, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. Reported Oct 23.

LAR: 167 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 237.3

The Rams allow 167 passing yards a game over 6 games, and Las Vegas gives up 237.3. Passing yards allowed can shrink when opponents are running to protect a lead, so script may help the Rams' figure. With yards per play also favoring the Rams, the gap looks real. Las Vegas's passing game has the harder assignment.

Grant Delpit (S) is questionable for CLE

Delpit (concussion/shoulder) was a limited participant at the Browns' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

MIA (0-5) at NYJ (2-4), a division game

Miami has lost all five games by a combined 62 points, and three of those losses came on the road. The Jets are 2-4 but only -10 on the year, so their losses have mostly been close, and they are 1-1 at home. Home and road splits this early cover two or three games, so the point differential tells you more. Division games often run tighter than the records, so ask whether the line already prices in how far apart these two have played.

NYJ: 37.7% third downs allowed to MIA's 51.7%

The Jets allow 37.7% of third downs to convert over 6 games; Miami allows 51.7% over 5. Miami letting about half of third downs through keeps opponents moving. Third-down rates swing week to week, so expect some regression on both ends. The Jets' offense should extend drives more easily in this game.

Carson Schwesinger (LB) is questionable for CLE

Schwesinger (ankle) was a limited participant at the Browns' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is questionable for TB

Winfield (ribs) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 22.

PIT: 21.3 points allowed a game to NO's 29.7

Pittsburgh allows 21.3 points a game over six games, while New Orleans gives up 29.7. The Steelers are near last season's 22.8, but the Saints have fallen off badly from 22.5. Six games makes New Orleans' slide real, though some of it could pull back. Pittsburgh's offense should find room, which matters most for how much scoring this game produces.

DET: 4.18 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.8

GB is at 2.8 yards per rush attempt over 6 games; DET is at 4.18 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 4.21 over 17 games and DET at 4.52 over 17 games.

Quincy Williams (LB) is questionable for CLE

Williams (neck) did not participate at the Browns' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

T.J. Watt (LB) is questionable for PIT

T.J. Watt landed on Pittsburgh's injury report Thursday with a calf issue and was limited. He is the Steelers' top pass rusher, so even a limited version of him changes how the Saints protect their quarterback. A late addition is worth tracking: if he sits, the Pittsburgh defense loses its main source of pressure in New Orleans.

DET: 0.2 turnovers committed per game to GB's 1.17

GB is at 1.17 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; DET is at 0.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and DET at 0.88 over 17 games.

Tavius Robinson (LB) is questionable for BAL

Robinson has a pectoral injury and did not practice Thursday, leaving him in doubt for Cincinnati. Pectoral injuries limit a linebacker's ability to shed blocks and tackle, so he may be held out even if he travels. If he sits, Baltimore leans on its other linebackers, which matters most if you are betting on the Bengals moving the ball.

Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is questionable for NYG

Edmunds (shoulder) did not participate at practice Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Charlie Jones (WR) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Charlie Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

DAL (2-4) at PHI (2-4), a division game

Same 2-4 record, different paths: Dallas is -8 on the year, and Philadelphia is -31 with four straight losses. Both teams are 1-2 in this split, so home field has done little for the Eagles so far. Dallas has played closer games, while Philadelphia's slide is longer and heavier. In a division game between matching records, the point differential is the better tiebreaker than the standings.

NYJ: 0.67 turnovers a game to MIA's 1.6

The Jets have turned it over 0.67 times a game over six games, and Miami sits at 1.6 over five. Last season the two were close, Miami at 1.41 and the Jets at 1.35, so the Jets' cleanup is the bigger change. Turnover rates swing in small samples, so this gap could narrow. For now, Miami is the side more likely to hand over short fields.

Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

Kirk (calf) was a full practice participant Thursday, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 22.

Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

The Falcons designated Collins (hip) to return from IR on Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log. Reported Oct 22.

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Christian Elliss

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

Banks (toe) logged a limited practice session Wednesday and Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 4 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 967 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 10.07 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in. Lamar Jackson is also listed q for this matchup.

Jonah Coleman (RB) is ir-r for DEN

Coleman (ankle) was a full participant in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 22.

GB: 4.63 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.66

Green Bay allows 4.63 yards per play over 6 games, while Detroit gives up 5.66 over 5. Yards per play ignores pace, so it is a fair read on defensive quality. This gap should mostly hold. Green Bay's offense is the one more likely to find efficient plays in this matchup.

Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 3 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 615 passing yards, completed 63.5% of his passes and averaged 6.41 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in. Baker Mayfield is also listed q for this matchup.

PHI has lost 4 straight

PHI carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 2-4 on the season. They face DAL in DAL @ PHI. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-21.

MIA: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.58

Miami runs well again, a touch better than last season's 4.64 over five games. The Jets have fallen from 4.53 last season to 3.58 over six. Expect Miami to lean on the run when it wants to control tempo, while the Jets may need to throw to move the ball.

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Thornton (hamstring) was a full participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 22.

Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU

Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said Monday that Dell (knee) is on track to return from injured reserve to make his season debut in Week 7 versus the Giants, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 19.

Kevin Byard

Chest · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice · Questionable

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Tyrique Stevenson Sr.

Hip · Full practice · Questionable

P Edge side won; final 24-30

CLE @ TEN carries a 37.5 market total

At 37.5, Cleveland at Tennessee sits 7 points below the 44.5 median, the market's way of saying points will be scarce and come in small pieces. A total this low prices in field goals, punts and a slow pace. It cracks if one defensive score, a short field off a turnover or a single long play shows up, because each of those swings a low number more than a high one. This is a spot where one random touchdown matters a lot.

CLE: 29:09 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:01

Tennessee is holding the ball five minutes less than Cleveland, a sharp drop from last season's 29:08, when the two teams were nearly even. Cleveland is right at last season's 29:18, so the change is all Tennessee. Short possessions over six games point to quick stalls on offense, which means more snaps for its defense and a home team that may struggle to control the clock.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 6 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1684 passing yards, completed 59.7% of his passes and averaged 7.45 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in. Jordan Love is also listed q for this matchup.

Dylan Sampson (RB) is ir-r for CLE

Sampson (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice. Reported Oct 22.

Cesar Ruiz (G) is questionable for NO

Ruiz (knee) made the trip to Paris ahead of the Saints' game against the Steelers in Week 7, Nick Underhill of NewOrleans.Football reports. Reported Oct 20.

Jordan Mason (RB) is ir-r for MIN

Mason (thumb) practiced fully Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

Dylan Parham (G) is questionable for NYJ

Parham (knee) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 22.

DEN: 5.05 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.05

Denver allows 5.05 yards per play over six games, a full yard less than Arizona's 6.05. That gap over the same number of games points to a Broncos defense that limits chunk plays better. The sheet does not show opponents, so some of it could be schedule. In this matchup, the Denver offense faces the softer unit, which is a useful lens when thinking about which side moves the ball easier.

SF: 51.5% third-down conversion rate to ATL's 38.9%

SF is at 51.5% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; ATL is at 38.9% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and ATL at 33.3% over 17 games.

SF: 8.47 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 6.75

SF is at 8.47 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; ATL is at 6.75 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

NYG: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 28.6%

The Giants have converted fourth downs far better than last season's 46.2%, while Houston has fallen from 57.9% to 28.6%. Fourth-down tries are a small sample over six games, so both rates should move back toward the middle. Expect Houston to remain cautious on fourth down, while the Giants' success makes them more likely to keep trying.

DAL: 25.2 points per game to PHI's 17.7

DAL is at 25.2 points per game over 6 games; PHI is at 17.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and PHI at 22.3 over 17 games.

CHI: 36:01 of possession a game to NE's 31:17

Chicago holds the ball 36:01 a game over six games, compared with New England's 31:17. The Bears were at 30:59 last season, so this is a new style, while the Patriots are right at their 31:18 from last season. Both teams control the clock, so this game could have fewer possessions than usual. That tends to shrink scoring chances on both sides.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

CAR: 2.4 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.67

TB is at 3.67 sacks taken per game over 6 games; CAR is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 2.38 over 17 games and CAR at 2.19 over 17 games.

NYJ: 4.68 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.7

The Jets allow 4.68 yards every time an offense snaps it, while Miami gives up 5.7, so New York is the stingier unit play for play. Six games is a fair sample, though the sheet does not say who those offenses were, so schedule could be helping. Miami has only five games logged at 5.7. For this game, the Jets' defense is the side more likely to shorten drives, which matters if you are weighing how much the Dolphins can move it.

DAL: 6 sack yards lost per game to PHI's 18

DAL is at 6 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; PHI is at 18 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and PHI at 13 over 17 games.

Chris Manhertz (TE) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Chris Manhertz as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

PIT: 0.33 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1.17

PIT is at 0.33 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; NO is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season PIT was at 0.35 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

PIT: 1.17 turnovers committed per game to NO's 2

New Orleans is giving the ball away about twice a game, while Pittsburgh coughs it up a little over once. Both teams are running worse than last season, when the Saints sat at 1.41 and the Steelers at 0.88, so the Saints' six-game number has room to drift back down. Turnovers swing short samples hard. If the Saints keep handing over extra possessions, the Steelers get short fields without needing to sustain long drives.

GB: 1.83 takeaways per game to DET's 1

GB is at 1.83 takeaways per game over 6 games; DET is at 1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

TB: 54.8 penalty yards per game to CAR's 83.8

TB is at 54.8 penalty yards per game over 6 games; CAR is at 83.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 43.4 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

CIN: 50% third-down conversion rate to BAL's 38.2%

Cincinnati is moving the chains on half its third downs, Baltimore on 38.2%. The Bengals are well above last season's 43.4% over just five games, which is a hot stretch more than a new baseline. Baltimore is a bit under its 40.9% from last season. Expect Cincinnati to cool somewhat, but extended Bengal drives would keep the Ravens' offense on the sideline and shrink the number of possessions.

AFC NORTH game: CIN 0-1, BAL 0-1 in the division

These two share the AFC NORTH. CIN is 0-1 against it, BAL is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-21.

SF: 18.3 points allowed per game to ATL's 25.5

SF is at 18.3 points allowed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 25.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 21.8 over 17 games and ATL at 23.6 over 17 games.

LAR: 112.7 rush yards a game to LV's 79.2

The Rams run for 112.7 yards a game over six games, and Las Vegas is at 79.2. Los Angeles is a bit under last season's 126.6, and the Raiders are about where they were at 77.5. This gap looks durable. The Rams can lean on the run to stay ahead, while Las Vegas will need its passing game to carry it.

PIT: 32.5% third downs allowed to NO's 44.6%

Pittsburgh lets offenses convert just 32.5% of third downs, while New Orleans allows 44.6%, both over six games. That means drives against the Steelers stall far more often. Third-down rates swing a lot week to week, so expect some drift, but the gap is wide. For this game, Pittsburgh's offense should see more extended drives than New Orleans does.

NFC EAST game: DAL 1-1, PHI 1-0 in the division

These two share the NFC EAST. DAL is 1-1 against it, PHI is 1-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-21.

CAR: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 47.4%

TB is at 47.4% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; CAR is at 66.7% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and CAR at 53.3% over 17 games.

CHI: 36:01 time of possession per game to NE's 31:17

Chicago is holding the ball much longer than its 30:59 last season, while New England is right at last season's 31:18. Six games is a decent sample, but this can shift with game flow. Chicago's long drives reduce possessions for both offenses, which tends to keep scoring lower and favors the side that controls the clock.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

KC: 7.6 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 19.8

KC is at 7.6 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 19.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

LAR: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 73.9%

LAR is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; LV is at 73.9% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

TB: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 76.9%

When offenses reach the red zone, Tampa Bay allows a score 52.9% of the time over six games, while Carolina gives one up 76.9% of the time over five. Red-zone rates rest on a small number of trips, so both numbers can move fast. Carolina's mark is the one more likely to look ugly in this game, which matters for how many of Tampa's drives end in points.

SF: 4.8 sack yards lost per game to ATL's 16.2

SF is at 4.8 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; ATL is at 16.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and ATL at 12.9 over 17 games.

NE @ CHI carries a 50.5 market total

New England at Chicago is set 6 points above the 44.5 median, so the market expects both offenses to move the ball and finish. A 50.5 needs steady touchdowns from both sides rather than one team carrying the load. If either offense bogs down in the red zone and kicks field goals, this number gets hard to reach. Bettors can weigh how much of the total depends on both teams scoring versus one running away with it.

LV: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.33

LAR is at 1.33 sacks recorded per game over 6 games; LV is at 2.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

BAL: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to CIN's 52.9%

CIN is at 52.9% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; BAL is at 71.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CIN was at 66.7% over 17 games and BAL at 47.5% over 17 games.

CHI: 25.8% third downs allowed to NE's 37.1%

Chicago allows conversions on just 25.8% of third downs over six games, well below New England's 37.1%. Opponents are getting off the field fast against the Bears. A mark that low tends to creep up as the season goes, so expect some regression. For this game, the Patriots' offense faces the harder third-down test, which can cap long drives.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

DAL: 6.43 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 4.83

DAL is at 6.43 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; PHI is at 4.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 40%

CIN is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; BAL is at 40% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CIN was at 70% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

Next college slate · OCT 23

BDL lists 2 covered college games on the next college slate. All 2 kickoff times are confirmed.

Garrett Williams (CB) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Garrett Williams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Za'Darius Smith (DE) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Za'Darius Smith as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Tyler Guyton (OT) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Tyler Guyton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead tonight's board

Jokic's 26.5 line sits under the 27.5 he averaged last season, while Gilgeous-Alexander's 30.5 matches his average exactly. The market is basically pricing these two as last year's players. Jokic also averaged 12.9 rebounds and 10.6 assists, so his scoring can dip on nights the offense runs through his passing. With no games played yet, last season is the only guide, and that cuts both ways.

Will McDonald IV (DE) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Will McDonald IV as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Avieon Terrell (CB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Avieon Terrell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Marcus Mbow (OT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Marcus Mbow as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Blake Fisher (OT) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Blake Fisher as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

LAR: 112.7 rushing yards per game to LV's 79.2

The Rams run for 112.7 yards a game to the Raiders' 79.2. That matches last season closely: Los Angeles at 126.6, Las Vegas at 77.5, so this gap looks real and stable. The Rams can lean on the ground game to control tempo, while the Raiders have shown for two seasons they rarely get much from it. Raiders' paths to scoring likely run through the air.

Drew Kendall (C) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Drew Kendall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

AJ Epenesa (DE) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists AJ Epenesa as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Michael Carter II (CB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Michael Carter II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Eli Stowers (TE) is ir-r for PHI

Stowers (quadriceps) was a full participant at the Eagles' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Grant Calcaterra (TE) is ir-r for PHI

Calcaterra (back) was a full participant at the Eagles' practice Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Drew Shelton (OT) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists Drew Shelton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

PIT is 1-2 on the road; NO is 0-3 at home

NO has lost all three games at home, and PIT has won one of three on the road. Three games is thin, so neither number tells you much about who these teams are. Home field has not helped NO so far. Look for a spread that leans too hard on NO being at home, since the home record so far gives that edge no support.

Willie Lampkin (C) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Willie Lampkin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Darius Robinson (DE) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Darius Robinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

L'Jarius Sneed (CB) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Sneed as questionable for Seattle, but no injury or practice details are on the report. Without that, there is no clear lean on whether he plays. Hold off on any Seattle passing bets that depend on who covers their receivers until his status is set.

MIN: 173.2 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 228.7

IND is at 228.7 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 173.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

NYG: 190.2 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 246

The Giants allow 190.2 passing yards a game over six games, while Houston gives up 246. That is a real gap, though passing yards also depend on game script: teams that lead often get passed on more. The sheet does not show who each faced. In this game, the Giants' passing attack draws the more forgiving secondary.

CLE is 1-2 on the road; TEN is 0-3 at home

TEN is 0-3 at home, and CLE is 1-2 on the road. That is three games each, so one result changes either picture. Home field has not shown up for TEN yet. Any line built on a standard home bump for TEN is giving credit the record has not earned.

CHI is 2-1 at home; NE is 1-2 on the road

CHI has won two of three at home, and NE has lost two of three on the road. Three games on each side is a small sample, and one result flips either split. NE also comes in on a three-game winning streak, which cuts against the road number. Lean on how both teams are playing now more than on the site split.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

Runyon (foot) was a full participant in practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 22.

Benjamin St-Juste (CB) is questionable for GB

GB lists Benjamin St-Juste as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Luke Musgrave (TE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt Lafleur said Thursday it's "tough to say" whether Musgrave (neck) plays this season, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Donovan Mitchell and Tyrese Maxey lead tonight's board

Both lines sit under what these two scored last season: Mitchell averaged 27.5 against a 25.5 line, Maxey 27.7 against a 22.5 line. Opening night lines often shade low because nobody has a current sample yet, and minutes and shot volume can be uneven early. Maxey's gap is the wider one. If you lean on last season's averages here, remember it is one game with no current-season data behind it.

CIN: 260 team passing yards per game to BAL's 216.2

CIN is at 260 team passing yards per game over 5 games; BAL is at 216.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and BAL at 175.6 over 17 games.

SF: 238.5 team passing yards per game to ATL's 194.8

SF is at 238.5 team passing yards per game over 6 games; ATL is at 194.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 244.5 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

Samson Ebukam (DE) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Samson Ebukam as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Michael Jerrell (OT) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Michael Jerrell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Derek Barnett (DE) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Derek Barnett as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Cameron Thomas (DE) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Cameron Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Tytus Howard (OT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Tytus Howard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Elgton Jenkins (C) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Elgton Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Justin Walley (CB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Justin Walley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

NE: 8 sack yards lost per game to CHI's 18.3

Chicago is losing 18.3 yards a game to sacks, up from 12.7 last season, while New England has cut its number to 8 from 12.6. The Bears' jump over six games points to protection trouble or holding the ball too long, and it may ease some. At home against a Patriots offense that is staying clean, Chicago drives are more likely to stall behind the sticks.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

MIA: 16.2 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 26.5

MIA is at 16.2 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 26.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 19.5 over 17 games and NYJ at 24.9 over 17 games.

SF: 0.33 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 1.17

SF is at 0.33 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; ATL is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and ATL at 0.47 over 17 games.

SEA: 2.67 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.6

Seattle gets 2.67 sacks a game over six games, while Kansas City has 1.6 over five. The Seahawks are getting home far more often. Sack rates bounce around with opponent line quality, which the sheet does not show. For this game, Seattle's rush is the one more likely to disrupt drives, which matters when thinking about Kansas City's offensive rhythm.

NE has won 3 straight

NE carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-2 on the season. They face CHI in NE @ CHI. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-21.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

LV has lost 3 straight

LV carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 3-3 on the season. They face LAR in LAR @ LV. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-21.

GB has won 3 straight

GB carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-2 on the season. They face DET in GB @ DET. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-21.

MIA: 126.6 rushing yards per game to NYJ's 94.5

Miami runs for 126.6 yards a game over five games, near last season's 120.2. The Jets have fallen to 94.5 from 123.3 last season, a real drop in their ground game. The Dolphins' number looks steady, while the Jets' could recover some. If Miami controls the line here, the Jets get pushed into a passing script they have not been built around.

CLE won last season's series 4-0

Cleveland swept Philadelphia last season and won by 13.3 a game across 4 meetings. That is a lopsided series, but it is 4 games from a different season, and tonight is the first meeting with new rosters and a fresh injury report. Use it as a sign of how the matchup went last year, then check who is actually playing tonight before putting weight on it.

HOU: 0.17 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 1

NYG is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; HOU is at 0.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and HOU at 0.53 over 17 games.

Michael Jerrell

Biceps · Did not practice

Dominick Barlow is OUT for PHI

Barlow is out with a low back stress reaction, and earlier reporting said he would miss at least two weeks. That makes this a longer absence, so Philadelphia's frontcourt minutes get spread around for a stretch. Look at who picks up his rotation spot, since that player's role can be underpriced in the first games.

Nae'Qwan Tomlin is OUT for CLE

Tomlin is out with a low back stress reaction, and earlier reporting had him missing several weeks. This is a stretch absence, so the minutes he would have played go to someone else on Cleveland's bench for a while.

Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC

Sorber is out after right knee surgery, and he was already listed out the day before. This was expected, so the line should already account for it. The main question is who absorbs his frontcourt minutes for Oklahoma City.

Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC

Topic will not play after low back surgery, and that was reported the day before. It is a known absence, so expect it to be priced in. It mostly affects Oklahoma City's guard depth rather than the top of the rotation.

Ariel Hukporti is OUT for PHI

Hukporti is out with a right Achilles rupture, reported back in early October. That is a long-term injury, so his absence is part of Philadelphia's baseline now. It also thins the center spot alongside the other frontcourt players out tonight.

Tacko Fall is OUT for PHI

Fall is out with a left quadriceps strain. Together with Barlow and Hukporti also out, Philadelphia is short on bigs tonight. That can matter for rebounding and for whoever ends up playing center minutes.

Khalifa Diop is OUT for CLE

Diop is out with what is listed as left knee injury management, reported the day before. It is a depth absence for Cleveland's frontcourt, and with Jarrett Allen questionable, the center rotation could get thin. Check Allen's status before the game.

Otega Oweh is OUT for OKC

Oweh is out after right Achilles surgery, reported in mid October. This is a long-term absence and should already be built into Oklahoma City's rotation and the number.

Julian Strawther is OUT for DEN

Strawther is out with a left knee sprain diagnosed last week. That takes a wing out of Denver's bench rotation for the opener, which can push more minutes to the starters and whoever is next up.

PIT: 5.1 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.9

Pittsburgh allows 5.1 yards per play over six games, while New Orleans allows 5.9. Paired with the Steelers' third-down numbers, this looks like a defense that limits gains snap to snap. The sheet does not say who either team faced. In this game, the Saints' defense is the one more likely to give up chunk yardage.

SEA: 3.9 yards per play allowed to KC's 4.7

KC is at 4.7 yards per play allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 3.9 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

HOU: 5.73 yards per play to NYG's 4.95

Houston gains 5.73 yards per play to the Giants' 4.95. The Texans are well above last season's 5.1, and the Giants dipped slightly from 5.15. The Giants did hit 8 plays of 20-plus yards last game, with J.J. McCarthy finding Charlie Jones for 49 and Malik Nabers for 46, so they can strike. Houston is the more efficient offense, while the Giants rely more on explosive plays to keep pace.

Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE

Bryant (ankle) was a full participant at the Patriots' practice Tuesday. Reported Oct 21.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Mike Hall Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Colts head coach Shane Steichen said Monday that Pierce (heel) won't have his 21-day practice window opened in Week 7, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports. Reported Oct 19.

CJ Allen (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists CJ Allen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Willie Gay Jr. (LB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Willie Gay Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

T'Vondre Sweat (DT) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists T'Vondre Sweat as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Moore (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Tom Kennedy (WR) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Kennedy (knee) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

Adams (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Oct 20.

Tonka Hemingway (DT) is questionable for LV

LV lists Tonka Hemingway as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Romeo Doubs (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Doubs (shoulder) is hopeful to return after the Patriots' Week 11 bye and isn't expected to face a long-term absence, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 19.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Wilson (finger) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Ray Fittipaldo of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports. Reported Oct 17.

Alex Highsmith (LB) is questionable for PIT

PIT lists Alex Highsmith as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Anfernee Jennings (LB) is questionable for NO

NO lists Anfernee Jennings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Ashtyn Davis (S) is questionable for SF

SF lists Ashtyn Davis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Siran Neal (S) is questionable for SF

SF lists Siran Neal as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

The Falcons designated Williams (ankle) for return to practice from their injured reserve list Thursday, per the NFL's transaction log. Reported Oct 23.

A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) is ir-r for ATL

Terrell (groin) was a limited participant at the Falcons' practice Wednesday, Daniel Flick of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. Reported Oct 22.

Kendal Daniels (LB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Kendal Daniels as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Gervon Dexter Sr. (DT) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists Gervon Dexter Sr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Mason Graham (DT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Mason Graham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

T.J. Tampa (CB) is ir-r for BAL

Baltimore opened Tampa's return window from injured reserve on Wednesday after a toe and ankle injury. That starts his practice clock but does not put him on the active roster yet. Unless the Ravens activate him before Cincinnati, plan on the cornerback group looking the way it has been.

Broderick Washington Jr. (DT) is questionable for BAL

Baltimore lists Washington, a defensive tackle, as questionable for the Cincinnati game. The report does not name an injury or a practice level, so there is little to go on. Check the final status, but this one is unlikely to move the line by itself.

Paulson Adebo (CB) is ir-r for NYG

The Giants designated Adebo (knee) to return from injured reserve Wednesday, Dan Duggan of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 21.

Tyler Nubin (S) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Tyler Nubin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Henry To'oTo'o (LB) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Henry To'oTo'o as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

Conner (foot) is close to practicing, but the Cardinals aren't expected to open his 21-day evaluation window this week, John Gambadoro of Arizona Sports 98.7 FM reports. Reported Oct 13.

Wydett Williams Jr. (S) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Wydett Williams Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said that Parsons (knee) won't practice in Week 7, Weston Hodkiewicz of the team's official site reports. "He has to clear some hurdles yet before we get to that point," LaFleur said. Reported Oct 19.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Head coach Mike Macdonald said Friday that Price "should be looking at a sooner rather than later return after" the Seahawks' next game in Week 7, Brady Henderson of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 16.

Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Chazz Surratt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Connor O'Toole (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Connor O'Toole as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

DeMarcus Lawrence (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists DeMarcus Lawrence as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Uchenna Nwosu (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Uchenna Nwosu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI

Bennett (knee) won't come off injured reserve this weekend and has been ruled out for Sunday's Week 6 battle against Carolina. Reported Oct 18.

Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Shipley (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 16.

Jalyx Hunt (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jalyx Hunt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jonathan Greenard (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jonathan Greenard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

Moro Ojomo (DT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Moro Ojomo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

NYJ: 20.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.4

MIA is at 26.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 20.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 24.9 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

ARI: 67.3 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57.3

Arizona runs 67.3 plays a game to Denver's 57.3. Last season these teams were nearly even at 63.2 and 64.2, so this six-game split is a shift. Denver's drop could tighten back. More snaps for Arizona at home means more chances to score, and a slower Denver game pushes toward fewer total possessions.

SF @ ATL carries a 49.5 market total

San Francisco at Atlanta sits 5 points above the 44.5 median, an expectation of a game with more scoring than most this week. At 49.5 the market is counting on both teams producing touchdown drives. It cracks if the game turns into a ground-heavy, clock-draining affair with fewer possessions. Pace and possession count are the things to think about here.

MIA @ NYJ carries a 39.5 market total

Miami at the Jets is posted 5 points below the 44.5 median, so the market expects a low-scoring game where drives stall. A 39.5 prices in punts and field goals over touchdowns. One big play, a defensive score or a turnover deep in a team's own end can blow through a number this low. Low totals leave less room for error, so a single extra touchdown changes the picture.

NO: 16.3 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 26.5

PIT is at 26.5 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; NO is at 16.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

NO: 2.17 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.17

PIT is at 3.17 sacks taken per game over 6 games; NO is at 2.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season PIT was at 2.38 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.

Dee Winters

Calf · Did not practice

Dontayvion Wicks

Ankle · Did not practice

Sebastian Joseph-Day

Triceps · Did not practice

Davon Godchaux

Did not practice

Cesar Ruiz

Knee · Did not practice

Daniel Carlson

Did not practice

Cameron Heyward

Did not practice

Billy Bowman Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Marques Sigle

Ankle · Did not practice

Upton Stout

Shoulder - AC Joint · Did not practice

Siran Neal

Knee · Did not practice

Brian Robinson Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Mike Evans

Achilles · Did not practice

Jawaan Taylor

Did not practice

Divine Deablo

Forearm · Did not practice

Nick Bosa

Knee · Did not practice

Luke Gifford

Groin · Did not practice

Calvin Ridley

Hip · Did not practice

Mike Hall Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

Quincy Williams

Neck · Did not practice

Tony Pollard

Did not practice

Teven Jenkins

Back · Did not practice

Kalia Davis

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Jerry Tillery

Did not practice

Anthony Gould

Concussion · Did not practice

Sauce Gardner

Calf · Did not practice

Tyler Warren

Groin · Did not practice

Rigoberto Sanchez

Foot · Did not practice

Grover Stewart

Did not practice

Kene Nwangwu

Knee · Did not practice

Willie Gay Jr.

Illness · Did not practice

Joseph Ossai

Ankle · Did not practice

Max Mitchell

Concussion · Did not practice

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Reese Taylor

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Christian Rozeboom

Finger · Did not practice

Chris Godwin Jr.

Did not practice

Luke Goedeke

Calf · Did not practice

Emeka Egbuka

Concussion · Did not practice

Thomas Incoom

Calf · Did not practice

Jaelan Phillips

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jonathan Allen

Did not practice

Jaylinn Hawkins

Knee · Did not practice

Tavius Robinson

Pectoral · Did not practice

Tremaine Edmunds

Shoulder · Did not practice

Jalen Pitre

Shoulder - AC Joint · Did not practice

David Montgomery

Groin · Did not practice

Reed Blankenship

Concussion · Did not practice

Greg Newsome II

Concussion · Did not practice

Chris Manhertz

Calf · Did not practice

Blake Fisher

Thumb · Did not practice

Talanoa Hufanga

Ankle · Did not practice

Tyler Badie

Thumb · Did not practice

Jonah Elliss

Ankle · Did not practice

Walter Nolen III

Ankle · Did not practice

Carson Beck

Back · Did not practice

Budda Baker

Groin · Did not practice

Andrew Wingard

Knee · Did not practice

Jeremiyah Love

Ankle · Did not practice

Max Melton

Knee · Did not practice

Bo Melton

Back · Did not practice

Nate Landman

Concussion · Did not practice

Mike Washington Jr.

Foot · Did not practice

Trent McDuffie

Groin · Did not practice

Jaylon Moore

Concussion · Did not practice

Rashee Rice

Hamstring · Did not practice

Josh Simmons

Back · Did not practice

Drake Thomas

Ankle · Did not practice

Chazz Surratt

Calf · Did not practice

Connor O'Toole

Hamstring · Did not practice

Dallas Goedert

Knee · Did not practice

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice

Nolan Smith Jr.

Concussion · Did not practice

Willie Lampkin

Illness · Did not practice

Von Miller

Did not practice

Michael Carter II

Abdomen · Did not practice

Drew Shelton

Hamstring · Did not practice

KaVontae Turpin

Ribs · Did not practice

DEN has 3 more days of rest

Denver has a normal 7 days, while Arizona hosts on 4. The 3-day gap is smaller than a bye matchup, and the Cardinals at least skip travel. Arizona's week is still compressed, with limited full-speed practice. It is a modest edge for Denver, best used as a tiebreaker when you already lean one way.

SEA has 3 more days of rest

KC comes in on a short week (4 days since its last game); SEA on 7 days since its last game. That is a 3-day spacing gap between the sides.

PIT (4-2) at NO (2-4)

Pittsburgh is 4-2 but only +9, which means the wins have been tight, and they are 1-2 on the road. New Orleans is 0-3 at home and -26 on the year. Pittsburgh's record looks better than its margin, and the Saints have given their home crowd nothing yet. A bettor should weigh how slim Pittsburgh's wins have been before laying a big number on the road.

SF (6-0) at ATL (2-4)

SF is 6-0, +67 points on the year, has won 6 straight this season. ATL is 2-4, -11 points on the year, has lost 2 straight this season. SF is 2-0 on the road; ATL is 0-3 at home.

CLE (4-2) at TEN (1-5)

Cleveland is 4-2 but -16 on the year, which is a record well ahead of how it has played, and the Browns are 1-2 on the road. Tennessee is 1-5, -45, and 0-3 at home. Cleveland's record is the kind that tends to come back toward its margin. This is a spot where the better record may get more credit than the point totals give it.

IND (2-4) at MIN (5-0)

Minnesota is 5-0, +45, and 2-0 at home, so the record and the margin agree. Indianapolis is 2-4, -20, has lost two straight and is 1-2 on the road. The home sample for Minnesota is only two games, but nothing on the sheet argues against the Vikings. The question is price: an unbeaten home team draws attention, and the spread may already carry it.

DEN (4-2) at ARI (2-4)

Denver is 4-2 but -11 on the year, so that record is flattering, and the Broncos are 1-2 on the road. Arizona is 2-4, -52, and 0-2 at home, which is a team getting beaten clearly. Both teams have records that run ahead of their margins, Arizona's -52 most of all. Denver's 4-2 deserves some skepticism, but Arizona's numbers are worse.

KC (5-0) at SEA (3-3)

KC is 5-0, +57 points on the year, has won 5 straight this season. SEA is 3-3, +26 points on the year, has lost 2 straight this season. KC is 2-0 on the road; SEA is 2-1 at home.

KC: 7.9 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 6.47

KC is at 7.9 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 6.47 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.

DAL: 47.2% third-down conversion rate to PHI's 37.3%

DAL is at 47.2% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 37.3% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and PHI at 37.1% over 17 games.

DAL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 20%

DAL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 20% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

MIN: 86.6 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 122.5

IND is at 122.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 86.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

CHI: 160.7 rushing yards per game to NE's 130.7

Chicago runs for 160.7 yards a game, up from 144.5 last season, while New England sits at 130.7, close to its 128.9. Both teams can run, but the Bears lean on it harder. Chicago's bump may settle a little. With both offenses comfortable on the ground, this game could feature plenty of clock-draining drives.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

SF: 29.5 points per game to ATL's 23.7

SF is at 29.5 points per game over 6 games; ATL is at 23.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

LV: 1.67 takeaways per game to LAR's 1

LAR is at 1 takeaways per game over 6 games; LV is at 1.67 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

MIA: 52 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 74.5

MIA is at 52 penalty yards per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 74.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 47.7 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.

SF: 6.48 yards per play to ATL's 5.72

SF is at 6.48 yards per play over 6 games; ATL is at 5.72 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 5.49 over 17 games and ATL at 5.38 over 17 games. SF had 4 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 54-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 54 Yds to Mike Evans); 35-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 35 Yds to George Kittle); 24-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 24 Yds to Mike Evans). ATL had 5 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 41-yard pass (Michael Penix Jr. Pass Complete for 41 Yds to Jahan Dotson); 39-yard pass (Michael Penix Jr. Pass Complete for 39 Yds to Drake London); 33-yard pass (Michael Penix Jr. Pass Complete for 33 Yds to Jahan Dotson).

TEN: 12.8 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 22.2

Cleveland loses 22.2 yards a game to sacks, similar to 20.3 last season, so their protection issues look real. Tennessee is down to 12.8 from 26.1 a year ago, a big improvement over six games that may not fully hold. Cleveland drives on the road are the ones more likely to stall on sacks.

CHI: 4.33 red-zone trips per game to NE's 3

NE is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; CHI is at 4.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NE was at 3.71 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

PIT: 103.2 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 138

Pittsburgh allows 103.2 rushing yards a game over six games; New Orleans gives up 138. Rushing yards depend partly on script, since teams protecting leads run more. For this game, the Steelers' ground game gets the softer front, a useful angle when thinking about how Pittsburgh might control the clock.

CAR: 0.4 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1.17

TB is at 1.17 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; CAR is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and CAR at 0.71 over 17 games.

Bam Martin-Scott (LB) is ir-r for CAR

The Panthers designated Martin-Scott (hamstring) to return from injured reserve Wednesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

Cooper McDonald (LB) is ir-r for KC

The Chiefs designated McDonald (knee) to return from injured reserve Tuesday, Charles Goldman of AtoZSports.com reports. Reported Oct 21.

Marist Liufau (LB) is ir-r for DAL

The Cowboys designated Liufau (forearm) to return from injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 23.

Tyler Steen (G) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Tyler Steen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

CIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to BAL's 2.5

Cincinnati is getting 3.4 sacks a game over five games, while Baltimore has 2.5 over six. The Bengals' rush has been more disruptive, though five games is a modest sample and opponent line quality is not on the sheet. In this game, Cincinnati's pass rush is the bigger threat to stall drives.

KC: 0.2 fumbles lost per game to SEA's 0.83

KC is at 0.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 0.18 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.

DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT

Elliott (knee) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Teresa Varley of the Steelers' official site reports. Reported Oct 22.

DEN: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 71.4%

Denver holds red-zone trips to scores 52.9% of the time over six games; Arizona allows 71.4%. Red-zone rates come from few trips and move quickly. Along with Denver's lower yards per play, this points to a sturdier Broncos unit. In this game, Denver's offense faces the leakier red-zone defense.

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

Davis (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Ravens. Reported Oct 17.

NE: 80% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 53.3%

NE is at 80% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; CHI is at 53.3% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NE was at 72% over 17 games and CHI at 51.7% over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

IND: 20 first downs per game to MIN's 15.4

IND is at 20 first downs per game over 6 games; MIN is at 15.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

Tucker Addington (LS) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Tucker Addington as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

DEN: 44.8 penalty yards per game to ARI's 66

DEN is at 44.8 penalty yards per game over 6 games; ARI is at 66 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.

Kyle Louis (LB) is ir-r for MIA

The Dolphins opened the 21-day practice window for Louis (knee) on Wednesday, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 22.

KC: 41.7% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 32.4%

KC is at 41.7% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; SEA is at 32.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

GB (4-2) at DET (3-2), a division game

Green Bay is 4-2 with three straight wins, but only +2 on the year, so the record runs ahead of the play. Detroit is 3-2, +16, and 2-0 at home. The Lions' margin is better despite the worse record, with a two-game home sample. In a division game, Detroit's numbers say this is closer to even than the standings show.

Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Teven Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Dorian Mausi (LB) is ir-r for TEN

The Titans opened Mausi's 21-day practice window Wednesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 22.

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Lions head coach Dan Campbell stated Kerby (knee) "is in a good headspace" and expects the 25-year-old to play at some point this season, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Oct 20.

Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET

The Lions listed Branch as a full participant on Wednesday's estimated practice report. Reported Oct 21.

PHI: 5.38 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.1

Philadelphia allows 5.38 yards per play over six games, while Dallas gives up 6.1. The Eagles are the tighter defense snap to snap. The sheet does not show opponents, so schedule may play a part. For this game, Philadelphia's offense draws the softer unit.

Jon Gaines II (G) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Jon Gaines II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 22.

TB: 33.8% third downs allowed to CAR's 42%

Tampa Bay allows 33.8% on third downs over six games, while Carolina allows 42% over five. Third-down rates drift with sample, so the gap may narrow. In this game, Tampa's offense faces the defense less likely to get off the field.

ARI: 32:05 time of possession per game to DEN's 28:46

DEN is at 28:46 time of possession per game over 6 games; ARI is at 32:05 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DEN was at 31:14 over 17 games and ARI at 29:48 over 17 games.

CIN @ BAL carries a 48.5 market total

Cincinnati at Baltimore sits 4 points above the 44.5 median, a moderately high number that expects both sides to put up points. At 48.5 the market sees an above-average game, though less extreme than the top of the slate. It cracks if possessions shrink or red-zone trips end in field goals. Bettors can look at how this one compares with the slate's other high totals.

LAR @ LV carries a 48.5 market total

The Rams at Las Vegas is set 4 points above the 44.5 median, so the market expects a bit more scoring than a typical game this week. A 48.5 assumes both offenses get into the end zone regularly. If the game slows down or one offense goes cold, the total gets harder to reach. The question for bettors is whether both sides hold up their end.

CHI: 73.2 offensive plays per game to NE's 64.5

NE is at 64.5 offensive plays per game over 6 games; CHI is at 73.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to GB's 0.67

GB is at 0.67 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; DET is at 0 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 0.41 over 17 games and DET at 0.47 over 17 games.

LAR: 32.9% third downs allowed to LV's 41.3%

LAR is at 32.9% third downs allowed over 6 games; LV is at 41.3% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

BAL: 5 yards per play allowed to CIN's 5.68

Baltimore gives up 5 yards per play over 6 games, while Cincinnati allows 5.68 over 5. That gap is about a big play's worth of yardage every few drives. Neither number comes with an opponent breakdown here, so it can't be sorted into schedule luck or real quality. Six games is a decent early read. For this game, Baltimore is the defense more likely to force long drives, and Cincinnati is the one more likely to give up chunk gains.

SF: 209.8 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 252

SF is at 209.8 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 252 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

PHI: 119.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 149.8

DAL is at 149.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 119.3 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

CIN: 1.6 takeaways per game to BAL's 1

Cincinnati forces 1.6 takeaways a game over 5 games, Baltimore 1 over 6. Takeaways swing a lot week to week, so a gap this size over five or six games can close fast. Cincinnati has produced more extra possessions so far, but that edge is the least stable number on a defensive sheet. Use it as a small nudge toward turnover-driven variance, and lean harder on yardage numbers.

CIN: 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 57.9%

CIN is at 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; BAL is at 57.9% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

NE: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to CHI's 66.7%

New England allows red-zone scores 50% of the time over six games; Chicago allows 66.7%. Red-zone numbers rest on few trips and swing quickly. The Bears' strong third-down defense keeps opponents out of the red zone in the first place, so this gap matters less than it looks. In this game, both defenses have strengths at different points of a drive.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Robert Beal Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

MIN: 22.2% third downs allowed to IND's 30.4%

IND is at 30.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 22.2% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

IND: 199.8 team passing yards per game to MIN's 167

IND is at 199.8 team passing yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 167 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 227.8 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

CLE outscored teams by 4.1 a game last season, PHI was outscored by 0.2

CLE outscored teams by 4.1 a game last season, PHI was outscored by 0.2. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, CLE over 82.

CLE: 43.8% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 60%

CLE is at 43.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; TEN is at 60% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

Landon Dickerson (G) is ir-r for PHI

Dickerson (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Panthers. Reported Oct 18.

Reese Taylor (CB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Reese Taylor as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

NYJ: 18.7 points per game to MIA's 14

MIA is at 14 points per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 18.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 20.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.

IND: 63.2% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

IND is at 63.2% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; MIN is at 50% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 6 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 998 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 5.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 6 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 6 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1174 passing yards, completed 63.8% of his passes and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt. His 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is on injured reserve for SEA

Arroyo (shoulder) was placed on injured reserve Thursday, and Adam Schefter of ESPN reports that Arroyo will miss the remainder of the season. Reported Oct 22.

Anthony Bradford (G) is ir-r for SEA

Bradford (knee) was designated to return from injured reserve by the Seahawks on Monday, John Boyle of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 20.

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 3 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 712 passing yards, completed 72.5% of his passes and averaged 7.82 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 5 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 849 passing yards, completed 56.2% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 6 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1336 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 7.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 4 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 944 passing yards, completed 64.5% of his passes and averaged 8.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 6 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1460 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 8.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 6 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1487 passing yards, completed 61.4% of his passes and averaged 6.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 5 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1549 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 5 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1361 passing yards, completed 71.4% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 6 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1443 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, DEN by 5.1

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, DEN by 5.1. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, DEN over 82.

J.J. McCarthy is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 2 games in 2026, J.J. McCarthy threw for 243 passing yards, completed 52.4% of his passes and averaged 11.57 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1632 yards, completed 57.6% and averaged 6.72 yards per attempt, 11-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 6 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1714 passing yards, completed 65.3% of his passes and averaged 7.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 6 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1049 passing yards, completed 60.3% of his passes and averaged 5.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 6 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1328 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 5 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1485 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 7.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 6 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1794 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 7.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 6 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1582 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 5 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1309 passing yards, completed 66.5% of his passes and averaged 8.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 5 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1033 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 6 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1639 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 6.66 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

In his first 2026 game, Tanner McKee threw for 215 passing yards, completed 57.8% of his passes and averaged 4.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 6 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1463 passing yards, completed 63.9% of his passes and averaged 8 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson (ankle), who is eligible to come off injured reserve next week, isn't expected to be ready at that time, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 20.

Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is questionable for DET

DET lists Rock Ya-Sin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Tanner Hudson (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Hudson (pectoral) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Monday. Reported Oct 19.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 4 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.3% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

GB: 43.4% third downs allowed to DET's 50.7%

GB is at 43.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; DET is at 50.7% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

KC: 254.2 team passing yards per game to SEA's 225

KC is at 254.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; SEA is at 225 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and SEA at 228.1 over 17 games.

NE: 7.33 yards per pass attempt to CHI's 6.32

NE is at 7.33 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; CHI is at 6.32 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NE was at 7.99 over 17 games and CHI at 6.46 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

CAR: 4.2 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3.17

TB is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; CAR is at 4.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and CAR at 2.65 over 17 games.

NYJ: 1.33 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.8

MIA is at 0.8 takeaways per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 1.33 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

BAL: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to CIN's 1.2

CIN is at 1.2 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; BAL is at 0.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and BAL at 1.35 over 17 games.

LV: 27 points per game to LAR's 22.5

LAR is at 22.5 points per game over 6 games; LV is at 27 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season LAR was at 30.5 over 17 games and LV at 14.2 over 17 games.

SEA: 28% third downs allowed to KC's 35.7%

KC is at 35.7% third downs allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 28% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

NYG: 33:11 time of possession per game to HOU's 30:11

NYG is at 33:11 time of possession per game over 6 games; HOU is at 30:11 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NYG was at 30:58 over 17 games and HOU at 31:49 over 17 games.

SF: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 64%

San Francisco allows touchdowns on 50% of red-zone trips over 6 games, Atlanta 64%. Atlanta gives up seven far more often once opponents get close. Red-zone rates rest on few possessions and swing easily. For this game, a San Francisco drive into the red zone is the likelier one to end in a touchdown.

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Pittman (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday that Robinson (ankle) has an "outside chance" to return from injured reserve for the 49ers' Week 7 game versus the Falcons but is more likely to be activated following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 15.

Raheim Sanders (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Sanders (hip) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Odeyingbo (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

Berrios (foot) underwent successful surgery Friday to repair a Lisfranc injury, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 14.

ARI: 0 fumbles lost per game to DEN's 0.5

DEN is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; ARI is at 0 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and ARI at 0.59 over 17 games.

KC: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.17

KC is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 0.71 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

LAR: 5.88 yards per play to LV's 5.33

The Rams gain 5.88 yards per play to the Raiders' 5.33. The Raiders have improved sharply from 4.35 last season, and the Rams dipped from 6.15. Las Vegas had 4 plays of 20-plus last game, including a 44-yard Kirk Cousins touchdown to Tre Tucker, while the Rams had just 1. Los Angeles is still more efficient, but the Raiders' improvement makes this closer than last season's numbers suggest.

NE: 5.28 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.85

New England allows 5.28 yards per play over 6 games, Chicago 5.85 over 6. Chicago is the defense giving up more per snap, which usually means more explosive gains against it. Six games is a fair sample, though the opponents faced aren't on the sheet. For this game, New England's offense draws the softer per-play matchup of the two.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

NYJ: 185 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 219.2

MIA is at 219.2 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 185 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

PIT: 204.3 passing yards allowed per game to NO's 239.7

PIT is at 204.3 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; NO is at 239.7 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

Pat Bryant (WR) is on injured reserve for DEN

Bryant (ankle) was placed on the Broncos' injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 9.

Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Brooks (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

Mays (wrist) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Cardinals. Reported Oct 10.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay said Monday that Garrett (knee) won't have his 21-day practice window opened this week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 19.

ATL: 149.5 rushing yards per game to SF's 128.2

SF is at 128.2 rushing yards per game over 6 games; ATL is at 149.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and ATL at 125.8 over 17 games.

HOU: 0.33 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.83

NYG is at 0.83 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; HOU is at 0.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and HOU at 0.18 over 17 games.

NYG: 1.5 takeaways per game to HOU's 1

NYG is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 6 games; HOU is at 1 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

DEN scored 122.1 points a game last season, OKC 119.0

DEN scored 122.1 points a game last season, OKC 119.0. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, DEN over 82.

CLE scored 119.5 points a game last season, PHI 115.9

CLE scored 119.5 points a game last season, PHI 115.9. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, CLE over 82.

Kobie Turner (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Turner (groin) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 21.

Josh Simmons (OT) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Simmons (lower back) on injured reserve Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

Tyquan Thornton (WR) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Thornton (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

CAR: 14.2 sack yards lost per game to TB's 21.2

TB is at 21.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; CAR is at 14.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and CAR at 16 over 17 games.

Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Hollins (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 10.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Montez Sweat (DE) is reserve-sus for CHI

The NFL announced Tuesday that Sweat has been suspended two games without pay for violating the league's performance-enhancing substances policy, Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune reports. Reported Oct 13.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

NYJ: 30:37 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:46

MIA is at 27:46 time of possession per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 30:37 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 28:57 over 17 games and NYJ at 28:15 over 17 games.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks (core) was seen jogging at practice Thursday, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. Reported Oct 15.

DAL: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to PHI's 2.67

DAL is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; PHI is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 3.82 over 17 games and PHI at 2.59 over 17 games.

NYJ: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 63.6%

MIA is at 63.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; NYJ is at 50% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

BAL: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CIN's 123

CIN is at 123 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; BAL is at 100.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

NE: 1.83 sacks taken per game to CHI's 2.5

NE is at 1.83 sacks taken per game over 6 games; CHI is at 2.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NE was at 3 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

BAL: 39.5% third downs allowed to CIN's 46%

CIN is at 46% third downs allowed over 5 games; BAL is at 39.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

DEN: 3 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2.33

Denver gets 3 sacks a game over 6 games, Arizona 2.33 over 6. Denver is generating more drive-killing negative plays, which helps it get off the field on third down. Sack numbers lean on the opposing line and quarterback, and those aren't on the sheet. In this game, Denver's pass rush is the one more likely to stall drives.

DEN: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1

DEN is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; ARI is at 1 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

DET: 5.94 yards per play to GB's 5.4

Detroit gains 5.94 yards per play over five games, right at last season's 5.97, so it looks sturdy. Green Bay sits at 5.4, a slight drop from 5.61. Jared Goff threw touchdowns of 39 and 38 yards last game. At home, the Lions' efficiency is the steadier number, and Green Bay likely needs explosive plays to match.

NYG: 104.8 rushing yards per game to HOU's 84.8

NYG is at 104.8 rushing yards per game over 6 games; HOU is at 84.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season NYG was at 129.1 over 17 games and HOU at 108.9 over 17 games.

LAR: 288.7 team passing yards per game to LV's 263.5

LAR is at 288.7 team passing yards per game over 6 games; LV is at 263.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and LV at 167.7 over 17 games.

HOU: 62.5% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 75%

NYG is at 75% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; HOU is at 62.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

OKC won last season's series 3-1

Oklahoma City won last season's series 3-1, but by only 0.3 a game across 4 meetings. That is about as close as a series gets, so the 3-1 record says less than it seems. Tonight is the first meeting this season, and the margins suggest these two play tight games.

NE: 5.8 yards per play to CHI's 5.27

New England gains 5.8 yards per play to Chicago's 5.27. Both are down from last season, when the Patriots were at 6.23 and the Bears at 5.71. Drake Maye hit Romeo Doubs for a 42-yard touchdown and ran for 21 last game. The Patriots carry the efficiency edge, and the Bears' offense has slipped more than the six-game sample shows.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

LAR: 23 points allowed per game to LV's 27

LAR is at 23 points allowed per game over 6 games; LV is at 27 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and LV at 25.4 over 17 games.

Darius Robinson

Back · Limited practice

Garrett Williams

Knee · Limited practice

Jon Gaines II

Knee · Limited practice

Aaron Banks

Knee · Limited practice

Jordon Riley

Achilles · Limited practice

Savion Williams

Ankle · Limited practice

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Limited practice

Brandon Cisse

Shoulder · Limited practice

Lukas Van Ness

Illness · Limited practice

Matthew Golden

Shoulder · Limited practice

Benjamin St-Juste

Hamstring · Limited practice

Christian Watson

Ankle · Limited practice

Rock Ya-Sin

Hamstring · Limited practice

Puka Nacua

Calf · Limited practice

Tonka Hemingway

Concussion · Limited practice

Quay Walker

Chest · Limited practice

Drew Lock

Elbow · Limited practice

Cooper McDonald

Knee · Limited practice

DeMarcus Lawrence

Knee · Limited practice

Uchenna Nwosu

Hip · Limited practice

Travis Kelce

Ankle · Limited practice

L'Jarius Sneed

Knee · Limited practice

Moro Ojomo

Abdomen · Limited practice

Drew Kendall

Knee · Limited practice

Tyler Steen

Shoulder · Limited practice

Landon Dickerson

Knee · Limited practice

George Pickens

Shoulder · Limited practice

Marist Liufau

Forearm · Limited practice

Cobie Durant

Hamstring · Limited practice

Saquon Barkley

Hamstring · Limited practice

AJ Epenesa

Back · Limited practice

Tyler Guyton

Calf · Limited practice

Jonathan Greenard

Ankle · Limited practice

Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) is on injured reserve for PIT

Joseph-Day (triceps) was placed on injured reserve by the Steelers on Thursday, Teresa Varley of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday, Scott Smith of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 23.

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Hummel isn't expected to resume practicing this week while he continues to recover from groin surgery, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 21.

Jordon Riley (DT) is pup-r for GB

Riley (Achilles) had his 21-day practice window opened by the Packers on Wednesday, Mike Spofford of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 15.

Jalyx Hunt

Knee · Limited practice

Zaire Franklin

Shin · Limited practice

Zyon McCollum

Illness · Limited practice

Bucky Irving

Illness · Limited practice

Javon Hargrave (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Hargrave (Achilles) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

GB: 11.3 sack yards lost per game to DET's 17.4

GB is at 11.3 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; DET is at 17.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 16.3 over 17 games and DET at 20.3 over 17 games.

Jaylen Wright

Foot · Limited practice

Adonai Mitchell

Finger · Limited practice

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice

Jonathan Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Ford (calf) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

Devin White (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed White (forearm) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.

Kyle Louis

Knee · Limited practice

BAL: 5.98 yards per play to CIN's 5.5

Baltimore gains a bit more per snap, and that is close to who it was last season at 5.92, so the Ravens' number looks real. Cincinnati is the mover: 5.5 over 5 games after 5.23 last season, and its last game leaned on one big strike, the 45-yard Burrow to Chase touchdown. Baltimore got two chunk passes from Tyler Huntley to Zay Flowers and Josh Cuevas, so the backup still found explosives. If the Bengals' gain is mostly Chase splash plays, Baltimore at home should set the style.

Will McDonald IV

Toe · Limited practice

Henry To'oTo'o

Shoulder · Limited practice

Paulson Adebo

Knee · Limited practice

Jevon Holland

Concussion · Limited practice

Azeez Al-Shaair

Knee · Limited practice

Tyler Nubin

Neck · Limited practice

Nico Collins

Limited practice

Theo Johnson

Neck · Limited practice

Jermaine Eluemunor

Calf · Limited practice

Dalton Schultz

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Brevin Jordan

Foot · Limited practice

Pat Surtain II

Ankle · Limited practice

Jaylen Waddle

Chest · Limited practice

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, DEN 116.9

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, DEN 116.9. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, DEN over 82.

NE +3 → +3

Gary's number was 3; the same book now shows 3.

A'Shawn Robinson

Limited practice

Antoine Winfield Jr.

Ribs · Limited practice

Lamar Jackson

Ankle · Limited practice

T.J. Tampa

Toe · Limited practice

Broderick Washington Jr.

Ankle · Limited practice

B.J. Hill

Limited practice

Marcus Mbow

Knee · Limited practice

Charlie Jones

Achilles · Limited practice

Andrew Thomas

Groin · Limited practice

Will Anderson Jr.

Limited practice

PHI: 22.8 points allowed per game to DAL's 26.5

DAL is at 26.5 points allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 22.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 30.1 over 17 games and PHI at 19.1 over 17 games.

KC: 16.6 points allowed per game to SEA's 20.3

KC is at 16.6 points allowed per game over 5 games; SEA is at 20.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.

CLE: 59 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53

CLE is at 59 offensive plays per game over 6 games; TEN is at 53 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CLE was at 60.6 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

CLE: 17.7 points per game to TEN's 14

CLE is at 17.7 points per game over 6 games; TEN is at 14 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.

Tucker Addington

Shoulder · Limited practice

T'Vondre Sweat

Elbow · Limited practice

Dylan Parham

Knee · Limited practice

Will Kacmarek

Hamstring · Limited practice

Breece Hall

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Caleb Douglas

Ankle · Limited practice

Justin Walley

Knee · Limited practice

Ashton Dulin

Hamstring · Limited practice

CJ Allen

Ankle · Limited practice

Austin Ajiake

Limited practice

Mason Graham

Knee - MCL · Limited practice

Elgton Jenkins

Knee · Limited practice

KC Concepcion

Calf · Limited practice

Tony Adams

Ankle · Limited practice

Grant Delpit

Concussion · Limited practice

Derek Barnett

Ankle · Limited practice

ARI: 3.83 red-zone trips per game to DEN's 3

DEN is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; ARI is at 3.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DEN was at 3.35 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

MIA: 41.3% third-down conversion rate to NYJ's 35.1%

MIA is at 41.3% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; NYJ is at 35.1% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 34.9% over 17 games and NYJ at 34.9% over 17 games.

Quinshon Judkins

Ankle · Limited practice

Denzel Boston

Foot · Limited practice

Dylan Sampson

Knee · Limited practice

Carson Schwesinger

Ankle · Limited practice

Tytus Howard

Knee · Limited practice

Kevin Winston Jr.

Quadriceps · Limited practice

PHI: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 66.7%

DAL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; PHI is at 54.2% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

PIT: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 61.5%

PIT is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; NO is at 61.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

Jaden Dugger

Knee · Limited practice

Olamide Zaccheaus

Shoulder · Limited practice

C.J. Henderson

Groin · Limited practice

A.J. Terrell Jr.

Groin · Limited practice

Gervon Dexter Sr.

Hamstring · Limited practice

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring · Limited practice

Avieon Terrell

Hamstring · Limited practice

Cameron Thomas

Ankle · Limited practice

Ashtyn Davis

Hamstring · Limited practice

Za'Darius Smith

Neck · Limited practice

Kendal Daniels

Neck · Limited practice

Cameron Williams

Ankle · Limited practice

Mykel Williams

Knee · Limited practice

Alex Highsmith

Groin · Limited practice

Anfernee Jennings

Knee · Limited practice

Kaden Elliss

Calf · Limited practice

T.J. Watt

Calf · Limited practice

Rico Dowdle

Knee · Limited practice

Jalen Ramsey

Wrist · Limited practice

Alvin Kamara

Back · Limited practice

CLE allowed 115.4 points a game last season, PHI 116.1

CLE allowed 115.4 points a game last season, PHI 116.1. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, CLE over 82.

IND: 66.7 offensive plays per game to MIN's 61.4

IND is at 66.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; MIN is at 61.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and MIN at 56.1 over 17 games.

BAL: 0.17 interceptions thrown per game to CIN's 0.6

CIN is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; BAL is at 0.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CIN was at 1 over 17 games and BAL at 0.65 over 17 games.

ARI: 120.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 139.8

DEN is at 139.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; ARI is at 120.8 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

KC: 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.17

KC is at 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and SEA at 0.71 over 17 games.

KC: 28 points per game to SEA's 24.7

KC is at 28 points per game over 5 games; SEA is at 24.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season KC was at 21.3 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

CAR: 68.4 offensive plays per game to TB's 62.8

TB is at 62.8 offensive plays per game over 6 games; CAR is at 68.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season TB was at 62.8 over 17 games and CAR at 59.5 over 17 games.

DET: 30:14 time of possession per game to GB's 28:03

GB is at 28:03 time of possession per game over 6 games; DET is at 30:14 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.

IND: 15.2 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 20.6

IND is at 15.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; MIN is at 20.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.

DET: 66.4 offensive plays per game to GB's 60.7

GB is at 60.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; DET is at 66.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 59.4 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.

DAL: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to PHI's 68.8%

DAL is at 77.3% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; PHI is at 68.8% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.

MIA: 46.2% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 37.5%

MIA is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NYJ is at 37.5% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season MIA was at 56.3% over 17 games and NYJ at 44.7% over 17 games.

IND: 3.17 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.4

IND is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; MIN is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and MIN at 3 over 17 games.

Ben Bartch (G) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Bartch (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

PIT: 5.1 yards per play to NO's 4.68

Pittsburgh moves the ball a little better per play, and at 5.1 it sits close to last season's 5.22. New Orleans has dropped from 5.05 to 4.68 over 6 games, though its last game had real juice from Tyler Shough: a 31-yard touchdown pass to Alvin Kamara and a 25-yard run of his own. Pittsburgh had no play of 20+ yards in its last game, so its edge comes from steady gains. In a game where neither side is producing much per snap, a couple of Saints chunk plays could swing it.

CLE: 173.5 team passing yards per game to TEN's 153.5

CLE is at 173.5 team passing yards per game over 6 games; TEN is at 153.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season CLE was at 165.2 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.

IND: 37.5 penalty yards per game to MIN's 50

IND is at 37.5 penalty yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 50 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and MIN at 52.1 over 17 games.

DEN made 14.2 threes a game last season, OKC 13.8

DEN made 14.2 threes a game last season, OKC 13.8. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, DEN over 82.

CLE made 14.3 threes a game last season, PHI 12.3

CLE made 14.3 threes a game last season, PHI 12.3. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, CLE over 82.

DET: 4.4 red-zone trips per game to GB's 3.67

GB is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; DET is at 4.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is on injured reserve for NE

Vera-Tucker (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Patriots on Thursday. Reported Oct 22.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

CLE: 3.17 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2.67

Cleveland gets 3.17 sacks a game over 6 games, Tennessee 2.67 over 6. Both fronts get home regularly, with Cleveland a step ahead. Sacks depend heavily on who's blocking and who's under center, which this sheet doesn't cover. For this game, both offenses should expect pressure, and Tennessee's quarterback faces the busier rush.

CHI: 2.83 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2.33

NE is at 2.33 sacks recorded per game over 6 games; CHI is at 2.83 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 21.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Blake Grupe (PK) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday's 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 19.

IND: 2.5 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

IND is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 6 games; MIN is at 3 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 21. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.

CIN (3-2) at BAL (4-2), a division game

These two are close on paper: Cincinnati is 3-2 and +19, Baltimore is 4-2 and +24. The Bengals are 2-1 on the road and the Ravens 1-1 at home, so neither split is big enough to lean on. Both margins support the records. A division game between two evenly matched teams usually lives near a field goal, so a big number either way is the thing to question.

SF is on a short week

SF comes in on a short week (3 days since its last game); ATL on a short week (4 days since its last game).

Arden Key (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Key (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

CLE played at 100.7 possessions a game last season, PHI 100.4

CLE played at 100.7 possessions a game last season, PHI 100.4. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, CLE over 82.

OKC played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, DEN 99.5

OKC played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, DEN 99.5. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, DEN over 82.

Julian Neal (CB) is on injured reserve for SEA

The Seahawks placed Neal (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Chauncey Golston (DE) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Golston (neck) on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Swayze Bozeman (LB) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed Bozeman on injured reserve Monday due to a fractured forearm, Ben Baby of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Abdullah (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Nick Martin (LB) is on injured reserve for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Martin's (hamstring) status will be evaluated "in these next couple of days," Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 13.

OKC grabbed 44.1 rebounds a game last season, DEN 44.0

OKC grabbed 44.1 rebounds a game last season, DEN 44.0. 2025-26 regular season: OKC over 82 games, DEN over 82.

CLE grabbed 44.4 rebounds a game last season, PHI 43.6

CLE grabbed 44.4 rebounds a game last season, PHI 43.6. 2025-26 regular season: PHI over 82 games, CLE over 82.

Cam Jackson (DT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Jackson (shoulder) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 14.

Jarrett Allen is Questionable for CLE

Allen is questionable with right patellar tendinopathy. With Diop already out, Allen's status matters for Cleveland's size, especially against a Philadelphia team short on bigs. If he plays, Cleveland should have the edge inside. If he sits, that edge shrinks.

Spencer Jones is Questionable for DEN

Jones is questionable with a hamstring issue on both legs. With Strawther already out, Denver's depth is thin on the wing if Jones sits too. Wait for the final status before backing anything tied to Denver's bench minutes.

Dean Wade is Questionable for PHI

Wade is questionable with a left ankle sprain, the same status reported the day before. A questionable tag on opening night can go either way, so check the final report before game time.

Isaiah Adams (G) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Adams (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

NE (4-2) at CHI (4-2)

Both teams are 4-2 with similar margins, Chicago at +31 and New England at +23. The Patriots have won three straight but are 1-2 on the road, and the Bears are 2-1 at home. The home and road splits are the only real separation here, and they come from three games each. Expect a tight number, and judge it on the margins more than the streaks.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Gilliam (ankle/knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 11.

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DAL is on a short week

Dallas and Philadelphia both enter on 4 days, a division game with no rest edge either way. These teams know each other well, so the shortened prep matters less than usual. The Cowboys travel, but it is a familiar trip. Look past the schedule for any edge.

CLE is on a short week

Cleveland and Tennessee each have 4 days, so rest does not separate them. Both teams face compressed prep and limited practice, which usually favors simple, physical play. The Browns also have to travel. The schedule gives no real edge here; the matchup decides it.

DAL and PHI are even since 2025

These two split last season with two close games, and the home team won both. Philadelphia won 24-20 at home on Sep 4, and Dallas won 24-21 at home on Nov 23. Neither game got away from either side, and the scoring was nearly identical both times. With this one in Philadelphia, the series points to a one-score game where home field has decided things so far.

GB lead the series with DET since 2025

GB has taken 2 of the last 2. Nov 27, 2025: GB 31 at DET 24. Sep 7, 2025: DET 13 at GB 27.

CIN and BAL are even since 2025

The 1-1 record hides two lopsided games. Cincinnati won 32-14 in Baltimore on Nov 27, then the Ravens shut out the Bengals 24-0 in Cincinnati on Dec 14. That swing in under three weeks says these games can go one-way in either direction. Two results that far apart give little to go on, so the last meeting's score shouldn't decide your read of this one.

TB is on a short week

Tampa Bay and Carolina are both on 4 days, a division game with an even short week. Familiarity helps when prep time is thin, since both staffs already know the opponent. Only travel separates them, and it is a short trip. Treat the calendar as neutral.

NYG is on a short week

The Giants and Texans both come in on 4 days, so neither has a rest advantage. The Giants travel, which adds a little strain to an already short week. Both offenses will likely run a trimmed playbook. Rest does not tip this one.

LAR is on a short week

The Rams and Raiders each play on 4 days, so the schedule is even. Los Angeles has a short trip, which keeps the travel cost low. Expect both sides to lean on simple plans and their most reliable players. The calendar is not a factor here.

NE is on a short week

New England and Chicago both come in on 4 days, so neither side gets a rest edge. Short weeks tend to produce simpler game plans and sloppier play on both sides. With the calendar even, the only difference is that the Patriots travel. Lean on the matchup itself rather than the schedule.

P Edge side won; final 24-30

TB and CAR are even since 2025

This series has been a coin flip with almost nothing between the teams. Carolina won 23-20 at home on Dec 21, and Tampa Bay answered 16-14 at home on Jan 3. Both games were one-score finishes with modest point totals, and each home team won. With the game in Carolina, the recent history points to a tight, lower-scoring game, which matters more for the spread than for picking a winner.

MIA lead the series with NYJ since 2025

Miami won both meetings last season, and neither was much of a fight late. They held off the Jets 27-21 at home in September, then went to New York on Dec 7 and won 34-10. That road blowout is the most recent look and comes in the same building as this game. Two games is a short series, so treat the Dec 7 score as a strong signal about how this matchup has gone, without assuming the Jets are the same team now.

PIT is on a short week

Pittsburgh and New Orleans both play on 4 days of rest, so the calendar is a wash. Both staffs will run mostly walkthroughs and trim the game plan. The Steelers carry the extra burden of travel. Look for teams that can win with basic, repeatable stuff in a game like this.

NYG (3-2-1) at HOU (2-4)

The Giants are 3-2-1 but -4 on the year, and they are 0-1-1 on the road. Houston is 2-4 yet +1, with two straight wins, though the Texans are 0-3 at home. Houston's record undersells its margin, and the Giants' record oversells theirs. Houston's home losses are a three-game sample, so the point differential is the better guide here.

Logan Hall

Full practice

Tank Dell

Knee - ACL + MCL · Full practice

Darnell Mooney

Full practice

Kayvon Thibodeaux

Full practice

Jadeveon Clowney

Full practice

Thomas Fidone II

Full practice

Colton Hood

Concussion · Full practice

Jordan Stout

Full practice

Trent Brown

Full practice

Ed Ingram

Full practice

Kyle Dugger

Full practice

Olaivavega Ioane

Full practice

Rashod Bateman

Full practice

John Simpson

Full practice

Andrew Vorhees

Full practice

Calais Campbell

Full practice

Trey Hendrickson

Full practice

Mark Andrews

Full practice

Matt Hibner

Full practice

Ronnie Stanley

Full practice

Cam Jurgens

Concussion · Full practice

Chase McLaughlin

Full practice

Sean Tucker

Full practice

Bam Martin-Scott

Hamstring · Full practice

Vita Vea

Full practice

Josiah Trotter

Full practice

Devin Lloyd

Full practice

Bryce Young

Full practice

Darren Waller

Full practice

Cody Mauch

Full practice

Chuba Hubbard

Full practice

David Sills V

Full practice

Benjamin Morrison

Full practice

Riley Dixon

Full practice

AJ Dillon

Full practice

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Full practice

Taylor Moton

Full practice

Monroe Freeling

Full practice

Calijah Kancey

Full practice

Malik Willis

Full practice

Demario Davis

Full practice

Jonah Savaiinaea

Full practice

Jackson Woodard

Full practice

JuJu Brents

Full practice

Harrison Phillips

Full practice

Jordyn Brooks

Full practice

Charvarius Ward

Full practice

Charles Demmings

Full practice

Jordan Addison

Full practice

Bryce Boettcher

Full practice

Christian Darrisaw

Concussion · Full practice

James Pierre

Full practice

Jordan Mason

Thumb · Full practice

Keenan Allen

Full practice

Justin Jefferson

Full practice

Jonathan Taylor

Full practice

Jaylon Carlies

Full practice

T.J. Hockenson

Concussion · Full practice

Drew Ogletree

Full practice

Brian O'Neill

Full practice

Jalen Travis

Full practice

Matt Goncalves

Full practice

Maliek Collins

Full practice

Tyjae Spears

Full practice

Dillon Gabriel

Back · Full practice

Justin Jefferson

Full practice

John Franklin-Myers

Full practice

Dorian Mausi

Foot · Full practice

Romello Height

Full practice

Spencer Rattler

Full practice

DeShon Elliott

Knee · Full practice

Nathan Shepherd

Full practice

Andy Borregales

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Joshua Farmer

Coach's Decision · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

TreVeyon Henderson

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

DeMarvion Overshown

Full practice

Jalen Carter

Full practice

Jihaad Campbell

Full practice

Britain Covey

Full practice

Hollywood Brown

Full practice

Arnold Ebiketie

Full practice

Christian Kirk

Calf · Full practice

Trent Williams

Full practice

Beaux Collins

Hip · Full practice

A.J. Brown

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Will Campbell

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Jonah Jackson

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-30

CJ Donaldson

Full practice

Tyler Shough

Full practice

Kool-Aid McKinstry

Full practice

Marcus Bryant

Ankle · Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Dre'Mont Jones

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Alijah Clark

Full practice

Ameer Speed

Full practice

Jakorian Bennett

Knee · Full practice

Trey Smith

Full practice

Anthony Bradford

Knee · Full practice

Beau Stephens

Full practice

Rashid Shaheed

Full practice

Patrick Mahomes

Full practice

Chamarri Conner

Full practice

Cyrus Allen

Full practice

Tyrice Knight

Full practice

Zach Charbonnet

Knee - ACL · Full practice

Segun Olubi

Full practice

Dont'e Thornton Jr.

Hamstring · Full practice

Josh Wallace

Full practice

Colby Parkinson

Full practice

Carter Runyon

Foot · Full practice

Brock Bowers

Full practice

Kolton Miller

Full practice

Spencer Burford

Full practice

Trey Zuhn III

Full practice

Folorunso Fatukasi

Full practice

Jordan Love

Full practice

Brian Branch

Achilles · Full practice

Cade Mays

Wrist · Full practice

Jonah Coleman

Ankle · Full practice

Riley Moss

Full practice

Zach Allen

Full practice

Isaac Seumalo

Full practice

Josh Sweat

Full practice

Jedrick Wills Jr.

Full practice

Wydett Williams Jr.

Concussion · Full practice

Grant Calcaterra

Back · Full practice

Drake Maye

Full practice

P Edge side lost; final 24-30

Zack Baun

Full practice

CLE opens its season

This is Cleveland's first game, while Philadelphia comes in on 2 days rest, which means the Sixers already have a game behind them. Openers can look sloppy as rotations settle, so early lines carry more guesswork than usual.

DEN opens its season

This is Denver's first game, and Oklahoma City comes in on 2 days rest with a game already played. The Thunder have a small head start on rhythm. Early-season lines lean heavily on last year, so expect some noise.

Jordan Davis

Full practice

Eli Stowers

Quadriceps · Full practice

Keyshaun Elliott

Full practice

P Edge side won; final 24-30

LAR (2-4) at LV (3-3)

The Rams are 2-4 but only -3 on the year, which points to close losses. The Raiders are 3-3 at +0 and have lost three straight, and they are 1-2 at home. The Rams are 1-1 on the road. Both margins say these teams are near average, so the Rams' record undersells them a little against a Raiders team that is sliding.

SF lead the series with ATL since 2025

SF has taken 1 of the last 1. Oct 19, 2025: ATL 10 at SF 20.

TEN lead the series with CLE since 2025

The only recent meeting was a shootout: Tennessee won 31-29 in Cleveland on Dec 7. One game is a small sample, and it came in Cleveland, while this one is in Tennessee. The result says these teams were close and both moved the ball that day, which is more useful for thinking about the total than about which side wins.