Sports picks for Tuesday, October 20, 2026

MIN: 12.8 points allowed per game to IND's 27.3

IND is at 27.3 points allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 12.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 24.2 over 17 games and MIN at 19.6 over 17 games.

DAL: 267.2 team passing yards per game to PHI's 173.3

DAL is at 267.2 team passing yards per game over 6 games; PHI is at 173.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 266.3 over 17 games and PHI at 194.3 over 17 games.

TEN: 1.67 sacks taken per game to CLE's 4

Cleveland's quarterback is going down four times a game through six games, while Tennessee's passer gets hit far less often. Cleveland allowed 3 a game last season, so this year's line has gotten worse, while Tennessee improved from 3.5. Six games is enough to take Cleveland's protection problems seriously, though four a game is steep to sustain. In this spot, think about Cleveland drives stalling on obvious passing downs and Tennessee's pass rush getting chances.

CAR: 295.6 pass yards a game to TB's 164.8

Carolina throws for 295.6 yards a game over five games, a big jump from 179.3 last season, while Tampa Bay sits at 164.8, down from 205.9. Five games is a short window for a jump that large, so Carolina's number is the one most likely to come back some. Tampa Bay's drop over six games looks closer to real. Carolina's passing attack carries this game, and how much of the jump holds decides how one-sided it gets.

Bub Means (WR) is out for CLE

Means is on the Browns' practice squad, so he was not in line for snaps against Tennessee anyway. The knee injury moves him to the practice squad injured list as of Oct 20, which takes him off the board for now. For bettors, this changes nothing on the Cleveland side of the game.

Garret Wallow (LB) is out for SF

Out means Garret Wallow is not playing at Atlanta. The report lists no injury and no backup, so check the depth chart at linebacker before reading much into SF's defensive numbers this week.

MIN: 12.8 points allowed a game to IND's 27.3

Minnesota allows 12.8 points a game over five games, down from 19.6 last season, while Indianapolis gives up 27.3, worse than its 24.2 last season. Both moved in the same direction as their prior year, so the split has some backing. Five games of 12.8 is likely to drift up toward last season's level. The Colts offense faces the tougher side of this collision, which pushes the scoring burden onto them.

Sauce Gardner (CB) is doubtful for IND

Sauce Gardner has a mild left calf strain, diagnosed by MRI on Monday, and is considered week-to-week. Doubtful means he is unlikely to play against Minnesota, and week-to-week suggests this could stretch past one game. Price the Colts secondary as playing without its top corner, and watch the Vikings receivers' lines for any move.

Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) is out for SF

Out means Deebo Samuel Sr. will not play at Atlanta, so there is no game-time call to wait on. The report gives no injury or date he last played, so how much SF loses here comes down to how big his role has been. Look at how the passing game and its props are priced once the other receivers take his snaps.

Ben Brown (C) is doubtful for NE

Ben Brown is the center for New England, so if he sits the Patriots lose the player who snaps the ball and sets the protection calls. Mike Vrabel said Tuesday that Brown's knee will probably keep him out of Thursday's game in Chicago. Doubtful in coach terms usually means he won't play, and the short week makes a late recovery harder. The fact sheet doesn't name his replacement, so watch for that news before you bet anything that depends on the Patriots' interior line.

Dee Winters (LB) is doubtful for DAL

Winters sprained his Achilles in Sunday night's game against the Packers, and the report out of Dallas is that he will likely miss at least one game. Doubtful means teams expect a player to sit, so plan on the Cowboys facing the Eagles without him. The sheet does not name who takes his snaps, so check the final inactive list before kickoff and watch how Dallas fills that linebacker spot.

BAL: 151.5 rush yards a game to CIN's 82.8

Baltimore runs for 151.5 yards a game over six games, close to its 156.6 last season, while Cincinnati manages 82.8 over five games, below its 93.6. Baltimore's number is a steady identity and should hold. Cincinnati has been light on the ground two years running. A Ravens team that can control the game on the ground forces the Bengals to win through the air.

TEN: 1.67 sacks taken a game to CLE's 4

Cleveland's quarterback is going down four times a game through six games, up from three a game last season, while Tennessee has cut its rate to 1.67 from 3.5. The Titans' rush gets the matchup that keeps Cleveland behind the chains. Six games is a real sample for both, so the gap should mostly hold. Long third downs and stalled Browns drives favor a slower, lower-scoring Cleveland offense.

Kobie Turner (DE) is out for LAR

Turner strained his groin in Sunday's 18-16 loss to Arizona, and Sean McVay said Monday he is expected to go on injured reserve. That makes this more than a one-week absence. The Rams' defensive front at Las Vegas runs without him, which matters for how much pressure they can get.

DAL: 267.2 pass yards a game to PHI's 173.3

Dallas throws for 267.2 yards a game over six games, almost exactly its 266.3 from last season. Philadelphia sits at 173.3, down from 194.3. The Dallas number is about as stable as these get, while the Eagles have leaned away from the pass. Expect Dallas to move the ball through the air and Philadelphia to try to win a different way, keeping Dallas's offense off the field.

NYJ: 2.83 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0.8

The Jets are getting home about 2.83 times a game over 6 games, while Miami's defense sits at 0.8 over 5. That's a real gap in pressure, and a six-game sack rate is steadier than turnovers, though the sheet doesn't show which offensive lines the Jets faced. Miami's quarterback should see more heat in this one than the Jets' will, which matters for sacks and negative-play props.

MIN: 2 takeaways per game to IND's 0.5

Minnesota's defense is taking the ball away about four times as often as Indy's, 2 a game across 5 games against 0.5 across 6. Takeaways swing on bounces, so a five-game rate this high tends to cool off, and Indy's low number can climb just as fast. The sheet doesn't say who either side faced. For this game, Minnesota has the better chance at a short field, but don't build a whole number around turnovers repeating.

Elijah Arroyo (TE) is out for SEA

Arroyo hurt his shoulder in Thursday's 17-14 overtime loss to the Broncos, and Mike Macdonald said Monday he will miss significant time. Out means he sits against KC, and the coach's wording suggests more than one game. The sheet does not name a replacement, so Seattle's other tight ends take the targets he leaves behind.

GB: 193.3 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 297.4

Green Bay is holding offenses to 193.3 passing yards a game over 6 games, and Detroit is giving up 297.4 over 5. That's a wide gap, though the sheet doesn't show the quarterbacks each side saw, so some of it could be schedule. Detroit's number also reflects how often opponents were throwing, which trailing teams do. In this game, Green Bay's passing attack has the softer matchup on paper.

KC: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to SEA's 78.6%

KC is at 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 78.6% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

Adonai Mitchell (WR) is doubtful for NYJ

Doubtful means Adonai Mitchell is unlikely to suit up when the Jets host Miami. The report gives no injury detail or timeline, so there is little to judge beyond the label. If Mitchell sits, expect the remaining Jets receivers to split the targets, and any prop tied to Mitchell is a risky play until the final inactive list comes out.

DET: 32.8 points per game to GB's 21.2

Detroit is scoring 32.8 points a game through five games, and Green Bay puts up 21.2 through six. Detroit was at 28.3 last season, so it has gotten even sharper, and Green Bay dipped from 23. Detroit's level may ease a bit but its offense has a long track record. In this matchup, Detroit sets the pace and Green Bay may have to keep up.

NO: 84.2% red-zone scoring rate to PIT's 53.3%

New Orleans scores on 84.2% of red-zone trips, and Pittsburgh gets to 53.3%. Last season New Orleans was at 44.4%, so this is a huge swing over six games and likely to come down. Pittsburgh was at 58.8% last season, near where it is now. When thinking about this game, New Orleans may not keep cashing trips at this rate, and Pittsburgh's drives often end in field goals.

SF: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to ATL's 16.7%

San Francisco has converted 75% of fourth downs, while Atlanta has hit 16.7% through six games. Fourth-down attempts are few, so a couple of plays swing these rates heavily: San Francisco was at 59.1% and Atlanta at 50% last season. Both should move toward those marks. Atlanta's misses may make its staff more cautious, which matters for drives near midfield in this game.

HOU: 0.5 turnovers committed per game to NYG's 1.83

Houston gives the ball away once every two games, while the Giants turn it over 1.83 times a game. Last season Houston was at 0.71 and the Giants at 1, so the Giants' jump is the bigger move and turnovers tend to swing back toward normal. Houston's care with the ball looks real. Field position and short fields could favor Houston if the Giants keep coughing it up.

Baker Mayfield (QB) is questionable for TB

Questionable means Baker Mayfield has a real chance to miss the game at Carolina. The report gives no injury or practice detail, and a quarterback's status moves a line more than almost any other position. If TB is getting priced as though he plays, the later updates this week matter, and a downgrade would reprice the spread and total along with every Tampa passing prop.

Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) is doubtful for NE

Alijah Vera-Tucker is a guard for New England, and Mike Vrabel said Tuesday that the hamstring makes him unlikely for Thursday at Chicago. Doubtful usually means he sits, and a short week gives a hamstring little time to heal. With center Ben Brown also doubtful, the Patriots could be missing two of the three middle spots on the line. If both are out, expect less push in the run game and more inside pressure on the quarterback.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Questionable means Lamar Jackson's status for Cincinnati at Baltimore is a true coin flip right now. The report lists no injury or timeline. For a team's starting quarterback, that uncertainty can move the line more than any other listing. Watch for practice reports and the final status before kickoff, because a game played with or without Jackson is a very different bet.

SF: 0.83 sacks taken per game to ATL's 2.67

San Francisco's quarterback is getting sacked less than once a game, and Atlanta's passer goes down 2.67 times. Last season both teams were near 1.8, so each has moved a lot over six games and both numbers may drift back. For now, San Francisco's passing game looks steady, while Atlanta's quarterback faces more pressure, which can kill drives in this matchup.

Rashod Bateman (WR) is questionable for BAL

Bateman left late in the second quarter of Sunday's 13-10 loss to the Browns with a shoulder injury. Jesse Minter said Monday he should be OK. Questionable means he is not yet confirmed for the Bengals game, but the coach's tone suggests he will play, so watch the week's practice reports to confirm it.

Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA

Douglas has an ankle injury, and Jeff Hafley said he would be limited in Monday's informal practice. Questionable means he could go either way against the Jets. Watch whether his practice level improves before Miami's final report comes out.

Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

Evans left Monday's 23-17 win over the Commanders with right Achilles tendinitis and missed two quarters. Shanahan doesn't expect more testing or imaging and called it short term, so questionable here sounds like a real chance he plays Sunday in Atlanta. Achilles soreness can linger and limit a receiver even when he suits up. Wait for the late-week practice reports before leaning on his receiving numbers.

KaVontae Turpin (WR) is questionable for DAL

KaVontae Turpin carries a questionable tag, but the report says the rib injury is expected to keep Turpin out of the Week 7 game against the Eagles. That is closer to doubtful than a real toss-up. Dallas would have to cover Turpin's receiving and return work with other players, so assume Turpin is out unless the team says otherwise.

Jeremiyah Love (RB) is questionable for ARI

Jeremiyah Love is questionable with an ankle injury, so his status for the Denver game is still open. Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love was expected to do some running Tuesday, which is a step in his recovery and no promise that he plays. Until the team clarifies his practice work, his rushing props and the Arizona backfield split are the numbers most likely to move.

Kyle Monangai (RB) is questionable for CHI

Monangai is dealing with both a thumb and a toe issue, and he did not participate in Tuesday's walk-through. Questionable means it is roughly a coin flip whether he suits up against New England, and missing a walk-through early in the week is a mild red flag. If he sits or is limited, the Bears backfield work shifts to whoever else is active. Check the final injury report before backing any Chicago rushing angle.

DET: 114.2 rushing yards per game to GB's 59.8

GB is at 59.8 rushing yards per game over 6 games; DET is at 114.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 119.8 over 17 games and DET at 120.1 over 17 games.

HOU: 0.5 turnovers a game to NYG's 1.83

The Giants are turning it over 1.83 times a game over six games, up from one a game last season, while Houston has trimmed its rate to 0.5 from 0.71. The Giants' spike sits well above last season, so some of it should settle. Houston's ball security looks real across two seasons. Giveaways handing the Texans short fields is the swing to price in.

SF has won 6 straight

SF has not lost yet: 6-0, every game this season a win. The sheet does not say who those six came against, so the record shows results without showing how hard they were to get. Unbeaten teams usually get priced on the streak, and a trip to ATL is the kind of road spot where a short number is fair to question. Look at what the line asks of SF on the road before trusting the 6-0.

KC: 6.74 yards per play to SEA's 5.3

Kansas City gains 6.74 yards every play through five games, while Seattle gets 5.3. Last season it was flipped: Kansas City 5.05, Seattle 5.98. A swing that sharp suggests both may settle toward the middle. For this game, Kansas City is moving the ball efficiently right now, and Seattle's offense has to find more on each snap.

MIN: 25% red-zone scoring allowed to IND's 61.1%

Minnesota has allowed touchdowns on just 25% of red-zone trips over 5 games, while Indy sits at 61.1% over 6. Red-zone rates are built on few trips and tend to slide toward average, so Minnesota's number is probably better than the unit really is. Indy's mark is more ordinary. For this game, Minnesota has the edge at keeping drives to field goals, but expect that gap to shrink over time.

A.J. Brown (WR) is questionable for NE

Brown has an ankle injury and was a limited participant in Tuesday's practice, so he got some work in but not a full load. Questionable means it could go either way for Sunday at Chicago. If he sits, targets in the New England passing game move to the other receivers. Watch the rest of the week's practice reports before you bet on his props or the Patriots' passing numbers.

DET: 114.2 rush yards a game to GB's 59.8

Green Bay runs for 59.8 yards a game over six games, about half its 119.8 last season, while Detroit is at 114.2 over five, near its 120.1. Detroit's number looks like who it is. Green Bay's drop is steep enough that some rebound is likely, but six games is a fair sample. A Packers offense with no ground game has to carry this one through the air.

SF: 0.83 sacks taken a game to ATL's 2.67

The widest gap between these two is sacks taken a game: SF took 0.83 sacks a game over 6 games; ATL took 2.67 sacks a game over 6 games this season. Last season SF was at 1.8 over 17 games and ATL at 1.86 over 17 games.

KC: 159.8 rushing yards per game to SEA's 107.2

Kansas City runs for 159.8 yards a game through five games, far above its 106.6 last season. Seattle ran for 123.3 last year and sits at 107.2 now. A jump that big over five games may cool off. Still Kansas City leaning on the ground could slow the game and shorten Seattle's possessions in this matchup.

MIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to IND's 1.67

Minnesota's pass rush is getting home 3.4 times a game over 5 games, about double Indy's 1.67 over 6. Sack rates hold up better than turnovers, though the sheet doesn't say which protection units Minnesota beat up on. This one points to the Indy quarterback seeing more pressure than his counterpart, which is worth weighing on drive-killing sacks and passing yardage.

KC: 6.74 yards a snap to SEA's 5.3

Kansas City averages 6.74 yards a snap over five games, up from 5.05 last season, while Seattle is at 5.3 over six, down from 5.98. Both swung hard off last year, and Kansas City's jump on five games is the likeliest to cool. The efficiency edge belongs to the Chiefs right now. Fewer snaps needed per score means Kansas City can win without long drives.

KC: 5.48 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.8

KC is at 5.48 yards per rush attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 3.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 4.29 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

DAL: 23.3 first downs per game to PHI's 14.8

Dallas picks up 23.3 first downs a game, in line with its 23.1 last season. Philadelphia is at 14.8, down from 18, so the Eagles are moving the chains less. Dallas sustains drives and Philadelphia plays shorter possessions. That shapes time of possession and the number of plays each side runs in this game.

Pat Surtain II (CB) is doubtful for DEN

Pat Surtain II is doubtful for Denver at Arizona, which means Surtain will probably miss the game. No injury detail is listed. If Surtain sits, Denver's other corners take on tougher assignments, and Arizona's top receivers become the matchup to think about for passing props and totals.

DET: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to GB's 50%

Detroit scores touchdowns on 77.3% of red-zone trips over five games, and Green Bay converts half of its trips. Detroit was at 62.5% and Green Bay at 57.6% last season, so Detroit's number likely comes down while Green Bay's could rise. In this game, Detroit is cashing trips well, and Green Bay's red-zone work could be the difference.

KC: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to SEA's 2

Kansas City turns it over 0.8 times a game, close to its 0.88 last season, so its ball security looks real. Seattle is at two giveaways a game, up from 1.65, and has been loose with it again. In this matchup, Seattle's mistakes could hand Kansas City short fields, which can decide a close game.

HOU: 3 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 1.33

Houston is averaging 3 sacks a game over 6 games, more than double the Giants' 1.33 over the same span. Six games is a fair sample for pressure, though the sheet doesn't show the lines Houston faced. In this game the Giants' quarterback is the one more likely to be under fire, and that tilts sack and passing props toward Houston's side.

Talanoa Hufanga (S) is doubtful for DEN

Doubtful means Talanoa Hufanga is unlikely to suit up at Arizona. The report gives no injury detail, so plan for DEN to start someone else at safety and look at how that changes the back end against the Cardinals' passing game.

Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) is doubtful for TB

Antoine Winfield Jr. is doubtful for Tampa Bay at Carolina, so plan on Winfield not playing. The report lists no injury or timeline. Without Winfield, the Bucs secondary leans on its backup safeties, which is worth weighing when you look at Carolina's passing game in this one.

Jalen Pitre (S) is doubtful for HOU

Jalen Pitre is doubtful for Houston against the Giants, which points to Pitre sitting out. The report gives no injury detail. Houston would turn to its depth at safety, so factor in a thinner back end when sizing up the Giants passing game.

TB: 75.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 132.2

Tampa Bay is allowing 75.5 rushing yards a game over 6 games, while Carolina gives up 132.2 over 5. Rush yards allowed partly follow game script, since teams protecting a lead run more, and the sheet doesn't show who either team faced. The gap is big enough to matter: Tampa's ground game has the easier path in this one, and Carolina will have a harder time leaning on its own.

PHI: 38.9% third downs allowed to DAL's 54.7%

Philadelphia is letting opponents convert 38.9% of third downs, while Dallas is at 54.7%, both over 6 games. A defense allowing more than half its third downs is extending drives constantly, and that isn't a one-game fluke at six games. The sheet doesn't show the offenses faced. For this game, Philly's offense should sustain drives better, which leans toward them winning the time of possession.

CAR: 5.98 yards per play to TB's 4.7

Carolina gains more than a yard extra every snap, and the jump from 4.92 last season says the passing game has found a gear: Bryce Young hit three throws of 20-plus to three different receivers in the last game. Tampa has slid from 5.12 to 4.7 and managed only two 20-yard plays its last time out. Five and six games is a real but early sample. At home, Carolina is the side more likely to set the tempo with chunk plays, so lean toward how that offense moves the ball when sizing up this game.

MIA has lost 5 straight

MIA has not won a game: 0-5, and the losing streak is the entire season. Five straight losses usually mean a team is chasing games and changing things, and markets tend to keep fading them. Going to NYJ, the useful question is whether the number has moved so far against MIA that a winless team is getting more points than the matchup justifies.

CAR: 29.2 points per game to TB's 19.8

Carolina is scoring more than a touchdown above Tampa per game, a huge swing from last season when it scored 18.3 to Tampa's 22.4. That flip over five and six games is the story: Carolina's offense rose while Tampa's dipped. Some pullback toward last season is normal for both, so expect the scoring gap to narrow somewhat. Carolina at home should still be the team pushing the score, and Tampa needs its offense to rediscover last year's form to keep pace.

KC has won 5 straight

KC is 5-0, with every game this season a win. The sheet does not list who those wins came against, so the record says KC keeps finishing games without saying how strong the opposition was. Five games is a short sample. At SEA on the road, the price will lean on the unbeaten start, so weigh what a road favorite has to cover against what five games actually prove.

MIN has won 5 straight

MIN is 5-0, so the streak is the whole season. Five games is a real start but a small sample, and the sheet gives no opponent strength to say how tough those wins were. Hosting IND at home, MIN will likely be priced as the clear side, so the question for a bettor is whether that price already counts the unbeaten run.

LAR: 4.52 yards per rush attempt to LV's 2.98

The Rams average a yard and a half more per carry than the Raiders, close to their 4.69 from last season, so that run game is steady. Las Vegas at 2.98 is even worse than last season's 3.38, which makes this a two-year pattern over a six-game sample, not a fluke. The Raiders will likely lean on the pass and struggle to stay ahead of the chains. Expect the Rams to be the side that can control the game on the ground if they play with a lead.

Morgan Moses (OT) is questionable for NE

Moses is the Patriots' veteran right tackle, and an ankle issue kept him to a limited practice Tuesday. Questionable means it could go either way, and limited work early in the week usually leaves room to play by Sunday at Chicago. If he sits, the protection on his side becomes the spot to watch against the Bears' rush. Check Friday's practice status before betting anything tied to New England's passing game.

Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB) is questionable for NO

McKinstry left Sunday's 34-27 win over the Giants with a migraine, which the Saints list as an illness, so this is not a structural injury. Questionable means a real chance he plays, and illnesses like this often clear within the week. If he sits against Pittsburgh, the Saints have to cover with a depth corner, which is the spot to look at for Steelers receivers. Check the final practice reports before trusting anything on the passing side.

Upton Stout (CB) is questionable for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan told reporters Tuesday that Stout's removal from Monday's 23-17 win over the Commanders was due to an AC sprain in his shoulder, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 20.

Dillon Gabriel (QB) is ir-r for CLE

Gabriel is out with a back injury and was ruled out for Sunday's game in the report from Oct 10. The IR-R tag means he is on injured reserve but designated to return, so the team expects him back at some point, and he does not play this week. The fact sheet doesn't name who starts in his place, so check the depth chart before pricing Cleveland's passing game.

MIN has 7 more days of rest

Indianapolis plays on 2 days since its last game, and Minnesota has had 9 days with a bye behind it. Teams in Indy's spot usually trim practice to walkthroughs and lean on a simple game plan, while the rested side gets extra install time and healthier bodies. The 7-day gap is fixed. Weigh how much the Colts rely on physical, high-snap players who need recovery time.

DAL: 1.17 sacks taken per game to PHI's 2.67

Dallas has cut its sacks taken roughly in half from last season's 2.38, while Philadelphia is going down slightly more than its 2.33. The Cowboys line and quarterback are getting the ball out cleanly over six games, and the Eagles protection is leaking a bit. Sack rates move with matchups, so a road trip to Philadelphia is a real test for Dallas. Watch whether the Eagles can stay on schedule, since drive-killing sacks are already showing up for them.

MIA has 7 more days of rest

Miami arrives with 9 days of rest and a bye, while the Jets are 2 days removed from their last game. The Dolphins had time to heal and add wrinkles, and New York is mostly recovering and running a trimmed plan at home. Home field softens a short week but does not erase a 7-day gap. Check the Jets injury report closely, since banged-up starters have little time to get right.

CIN has 7 more days of rest

Cincinnati comes off a bye with 9 days of rest, and Baltimore plays on 2 days since its last game. The Ravens get to stay home, but they will have had almost no full practice time, and the Bengals had over a week to scheme for them. A 7-day spacing edge is about as wide as the schedule gets. Look at whether Baltimore's key players are carrying injuries into such a quick turnaround.

DET: 4 sacks recorded per game to GB's 2.5

Detroit is averaging 4 sacks a game over 5 games, while Green Bay sits at 2.5 over 6. Both defenses are getting pressure, Detroit just more of it, and the sheet doesn't show which lines either faced. In this game Green Bay's quarterback is the one more likely to take negative plays, which matters for sack props and drive totals.

MIN: 4.6 yards per play allowed to IND's 5.8

IND is at 5.8 yards per play allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 4.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

DEN: 20.8 points allowed a game to ARI's 29.7

Arizona allows 29.7 points a game over six games, close to its 28.7 last season, while Denver gives up 20.8, near its 18.3. Both defenses look like their prior-year selves, so the gap should hold. Arizona's defense is the weak side and has been for two years. The Broncos offense draws the friendlier matchup here.

SEA: 141.3 passing yards allowed per game to KC's 217.2

Seattle is holding offenses to 141.3 passing yards a game over 6 games, while Kansas City allows 217.2 over 5. Pass yards allowed drop when a team plays with the lead and opponents run, and the sheet doesn't show the quarterbacks Seattle faced. Kansas City's offense is the tougher passing test here, so this game tells you whether Seattle's number is real.

CAR: 0.8 turnovers committed per game to TB's 1.83

TB is at 1.83 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; CAR is at 0.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 0.94 over 17 games and CAR at 1.35 over 17 games.

Jalen Hurts (QB) is on injured reserve for PHI

Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve and expected to miss the rest of the season after new imaging found several blood clots in the lungs, on top of a calf injury. The report says Hurts will be held out of football activities for multiple months. Philadelphia hosts Dallas with a backup quarterback, and this absence will hang over every Eagles line and total for the season.

DET has 7 more days of rest

Green Bay plays on 2 days since its last game and goes on the road, while Detroit is rested at home with 9 days and a bye behind it. That combination of travel and a short week is the tougher half of a 7-day gap. Teams in the Packers' spot tend to simplify and protect tired players. Weigh how much late-game legs matter in a division game like this one.

Carlton Davis III (CB) is questionable for NE

Davis is dealing with a neck injury and was limited in Tuesday's practice, which means he did some work but not a full load. Questionable means a real chance he plays, and a limited session this early in the week leaves room to improve to full by Friday. His practice reports later in the week are the tell: a full session points toward playing at Chicago, while a step back raises the risk for the Patriots secondary. If he sits, the Bears passing game gets an easier matchup.

LAR: 4.82 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.98

The Rams are allowing 4.82 yards per play, while Las Vegas gives up 5.98, both over 6 games. Yards per play is one of the steadier defensive numbers because it doesn't depend on how many snaps a team faced. That gap points to the Rams' offense having the easier time moving the ball in this game, and Vegas needing short fields to keep pace.

IND: 2.33 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.6

Indianapolis goes for it on fourth down far more than most, up from 1.59 last season, while Minnesota barely tries at all, down from 1.41. That is a clear coaching style split across five and six games. Aggressive fourth-down calls can lengthen drives and add points the Colts would otherwise give up, but failures hand Minnesota short fields at home. Expect a game where Indy's decisions on fourth down swing the result more than Minnesota's will.

HOU: 83 rushing yards allowed per game to NYG's 135.5

Houston is allowing 83 rushing yards a game, while the Giants give up 135.5, both over 6 games. That's a steady gap over six games, though the sheet doesn't show the backfields either side faced. Houston's run game should find more room in this one, and the Giants will likely have to throw to move the ball.

DEN: 20.8 points allowed per game to ARI's 29.7

DEN is at 20.8 points allowed per game over 6 games; ARI is at 29.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and ARI at 28.7 over 17 games.

GB: 20.8 points allowed per game to DET's 29.6

GB is at 20.8 points allowed per game over 6 games; DET is at 29.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and DET at 24.3 over 17 games.

GB @ DET carries a 52.5 market total

The market expects this one to be the shootout of the slate, with both offenses moving the ball and points coming in bunches rather than from a couple of big plays. Only the total and the slate median are on the sheet, so there is no injury or weather angle to explain the gap. For the number to crack, drives have to stall: red-zone trips ending in field goals or a slow, run-heavy script would drag a game priced this high back toward a normal week.

KC: 1.2 sacks taken per game to SEA's 2.67

KC is at 1.2 sacks taken per game over 5 games; SEA is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 2.94 over 17 games and SEA at 2.08 over 17 games.

SF: 1 turnover committed per game to ATL's 2

SF is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 1.29 over 17 games and ATL at 1.06 over 17 games.

Sean Tucker (RB) is questionable for TB

Sean Tucker is questionable for Tampa Bay at Carolina, so Tucker's status is uncertain and no injury detail is listed. If Tucker sits, the other Bucs backs take those carries. Wait for the final status before touching a Tucker prop.

AJ Dillon (RB) is questionable for CAR

AJ Dillon is questionable for Carolina against Tampa Bay, with no injury detail listed. A Dillon absence would shift carries to the other Panthers backs. Check the final status before betting on the Carolina backfield.

Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is questionable for NYG

Tremaine Edmunds hurt a shoulder on the Saints' final offensive play of Sunday's game and is questionable for the Giants at Houston. Questionable means a real chance Edmunds plays, but a shoulder injury picked up so recently adds doubt. If Edmunds sits, the Giants lean on their other linebackers, which matters for Houston's run game and short passing.

David Montgomery (RB) is questionable for HOU

Houston has David Montgomery listed as questionable for the Giants game, reported Oct 20. The listing gives no injury, so how hurt he is stays unclear. Questionable means he has a real chance to play or sit. If you like a Texans running back prop, wait for the final word before kickoff.

Rashee Rice (WR) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Rashee Rice as questionable for the trip to Seattle, reported Oct 20. No injury is named, so there is little to judge beyond the tag. Questionable leaves both outcomes open. Hold off on Rice or other Chiefs receiver props until his status firms up closer to game time.

Jack Sanborn (LB) is questionable for CHI

Sanborn (concussion) was estimated as a non-participant on the Bears' official injury report Tuesday. Reported Oct 21.

DET: 0.2 turnovers committed per game to GB's 1.17

GB is at 1.17 turnovers committed per game over 6 games; DET is at 0.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and DET at 0.88 over 17 games.

DET: 4.18 yards per rush attempt to GB's 2.8

GB is at 2.8 yards per rush attempt over 6 games; DET is at 4.18 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 4.21 over 17 games and DET at 4.52 over 17 games.

LAR: 167 passing yards allowed per game to LV's 237.3

The Rams are allowing 167 passing yards a game, while Las Vegas gives up 237.3, both over 6 games. Some of that can come from game script, since teams trailing throw more, and the sheet doesn't show the quarterbacks faced. Paired with the Rams' edge in yards per play, it leans toward the Rams' passing game having the better matchup here.

NYJ: 37.7% third downs allowed to MIA's 51.7%

The Jets are letting opponents convert 37.7% of third downs over 6 games, while Miami allows 51.7% over 5. Miami giving up more than half its third downs means drives keep going against them. The sheet doesn't show the offenses faced. In this game the Jets should stay on the field longer, which can mean more plays and more scoring chances for their offense.

PIT: 21.3 points allowed a game to NO's 29.7

New Orleans allows 29.7 points a game over six games, a sharp rise from 22.5 last season, while Pittsburgh gives up 21.3, near its 22.8. Pittsburgh's number looks stable. The Saints' jump is large enough that some correction is likely. Pittsburgh's offense faces a defense leaking points well beyond its usual level.

PIT: 21.3 points allowed per game to NO's 29.7

New Orleans is allowing 29.7 a game, a big jump from 22.5 last season, while Pittsburgh has tightened slightly from 22.8. A seven-point jump over six games is large enough that some regression back toward last season is likely for the Saints. The Steelers defense looks steady. Expect New Orleans at home to have to score to keep up, with Pittsburgh's offense getting real chances against a defense that has leaked points.

T.J. Edwards (LB) is questionable for CHI

Edwards (hamstring) was estimated as a non-participant on the Bears' official injury report Monday. Reported Oct 20.

Saquon Barkley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Philadelphia has Saquon Barkley questionable against Dallas, reported Oct 20. The report names no injury. Questionable means a game-time type call is possible. Anyone betting the Eagles ground game or a Barkley prop should wait for the inactive list before locking anything in.

Ben Skowronek (WR) is questionable for PIT

Ben Skowronek is questionable for Pittsburgh at New Orleans, a real toss-up with no injury detail listed. If Skowronek misses, the Steelers spread those snaps among their other receivers. This is a check-before-kickoff situation.

Quinshon Judkins (RB) is questionable for CLE

Quinshon Judkins is questionable for Cleveland at Tennessee, so Judkins' status is uncertain and no injury detail is given. If Judkins sits, the Browns backfield work shifts to the other running backs. Wait on the final word before betting Cleveland rushing props.

TB (1-5) at CAR (3-2), a division game

Carolina has won two straight and sits at 3-2, but they are just 1-1 at home, so most of their edge came from their road games. Tampa at 1-5 has lost only one straight and split two road games, which means the overall record makes them look worse away from home than they have been. In a division game where both teams have split their games at this venue type, the home and road split matters less than the season form does.

MIA (0-5) at NYJ (2-4), a division game

Miami has lost all five games, all three road games included, so they come in with zero momentum. The Jets at 2-4 have lost only one straight and split their two home games, which makes them the steadier side here. Division games tend to be closer than the records suggest, but a five-game skid with a deep scoring hole is hard to wave off. The thing to weigh is whether Miami's road form keeps holding.

Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND

Ashton Dulin is questionable for Indianapolis at Minnesota, with no injury detail listed. A Dulin absence would push snaps to the other Colts receivers. Confirm the status before kickoff.

DAL: 5.52 yards per play to PHI's 4.42

Dallas gains more than a yard extra per play compared to Philadelphia, though both teams are down from last season: Dallas from 5.96, Philly from 5.27. The Eagles drop is the steeper one, and it fits with their rise in sacks taken. Six games is enough to take seriously, but last season's numbers say Philly has more offense in it. Expect the Eagles at home to look a little better than this, with Dallas still the more efficient unit so far.

Breece Hall (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Breece Hall is questionable for the Jets against Miami, which leaves Hall's availability open with no injury detail given. If Hall sits, the Jets backfield work moves to the other running backs. With receiver Adonai Mitchell also doubtful for New York, check both final statuses before betting Jets props or the total.

NYJ: 0.67 turnovers a game to MIA's 1.6

Miami turns it over 1.6 times a game over five games, a bit above its 1.41 last season, while the Jets are down to 0.67 from 1.35. The Dolphins' rate looks close to normal for them. The Jets' cleanup is the bigger change and may not fully hold. Miami's giveaways are the edge the Jets want to cash.

DAL (2-4) at PHI (2-4), a division game

Both teams are 2-4, but they are coming in in different shape. Philadelphia has lost four straight and is 1-2 at home, while Dallas has dropped two straight and has a smaller negative point total. Matching records hide that gap. A four-game skid at home in a division game shows a team that has not been able to steady itself, so bettors should lean on recent form over the identical win-loss numbers.

Jonah Jackson (G) is questionable for CHI

Jackson is dealing with a hip flexor, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 20.

CLE: 29:09 time of possession per game to TEN's 24:01

Cleveland holds the ball about five minutes more per game, steady with last season's 29:18. Tennessee's 24:01 is a big drop from 29:08 last season, which suggests its offense is going three-and-out often or its defense is on the field too long. Over six games that change looks real. Expect Cleveland to control the clock even on the road, which shortens the game and can keep scoring lower.

GB: 4.63 yards per play allowed to DET's 5.66

Green Bay is allowing 4.63 yards per play over 6 games, while Detroit gives up 5.66 over 5. Yards per play holds up well because it isn't swayed by how many snaps a defense faced. Green Bay's unit looks sturdier on a down-by-down basis, though the sheet doesn't show who each played. In this game, Green Bay's offense has the friendlier matchup.

PHI has lost 4 straight

PHI carries a 4-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 2-4 on the season. They face DAL in DAL @ PHI. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-19.

Cesar Ruiz (G) is questionable for NO

Ruiz has a knee injury but made the trip to Paris for the Saints' Week 7 game against Pittsburgh, which points toward him having a real chance to play. Questionable leaves it open, so his status may not be settled until close to kickoff. He is a starting guard, and an interior line change matters most against a Steelers front that can collapse the pocket. Watch the inactives before leaning on the Saints' run game.

Christian Kirk (WR) is ir-r for SF

Kirk has a calf injury and was downgraded to out for Monday's game against Washington, and he now carries a designation to return from injured reserve. That means the 49ers are working him back, but he is not a given for Atlanta. Until he is activated, his targets stay with the other San Francisco receivers.

Dylan Sampson (RB) is ir-r for CLE

Cleveland running back Dylan Sampson is still on injured reserve with a knee injury and will not be activated for Sunday's game, reported Oct 16. That means he is out, with no guesswork. The Browns backfield works without him again, so price any Cleveland running back props without Sampson in the mix.

Jordan Mason (RB) is ir-r for MIN

The Vikings opened Mason's return window from injured reserve Monday after his thumb injury. That starts a practice clock, and he can be activated any time in the window, so playing against Indianapolis is possible. If he returns, expect him to take some carries from the current backfield, which makes Vikings running back props shakier this week.

Jonah Savaiinaea (G) is questionable for MIA

Savaiinaea has an ankle injury and was limited in Miami's practice Monday. Limited participation early in the week is a decent sign for a player listed as questionable. If he can't go against the Jets, a backup guard steps into the line, which affects the Dolphins run game more than any single skill player.

David Sills V (WR) is ir-r for TB

Sills is working back from a hamstring injury and was listed as questionable for the Steelers game while carrying a return designation from injured reserve. That means he is back practicing but still has to be activated. He is a depth receiver, so his status should not move much for Tampa Bay against Carolina.

Tank Dell (WR) is ir-r for HOU

Tank Dell is on track to come off injured reserve and make his season debut in Week 7 against the Giants, per head coach DeMeco Ryans on Monday. He is recovering from a knee injury, and this would be his first game of the season. A first game back often comes with limited snaps, so expect his workload to be eased in before betting a big line on him.

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) is ir-r for LV

Thornton has a hamstring injury and was not activated from injured reserve for Sunday's game against Buffalo. He carries a return designation, so the Raiders are working him back. Until he is activated, his snaps stay with the other Las Vegas receivers for the Rams game.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Charbonnet is coming back from a knee injury, and Mike Macdonald said Monday he is slated for a full week of work with a good chance to play Sunday night against the Chiefs. A full practice week is a strong sign. If he returns, he splits the Seattle backfield, which cuts into the lead back's carries and makes Seahawks rushing props less predictable.

MIA: 4.9 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.58

Miami runs for more than a yard extra per carry, up from 4.64 last season, while the Jets have fallen from 4.53 to 3.58. Over five and six games, the Dolphins run game is moving well and the Jets ground game has stalled. Some of that gap likely narrows as the season goes on. On the road, Miami has a running edge that can help it stay on schedule, while the Jets may have to throw more than they want to.

CAR: 2.4 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.67

TB is at 3.67 sacks taken per game over 6 games; CAR is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 2.38 over 17 games and CAR at 2.19 over 17 games.

SF: 8.47 yards per pass attempt to ATL's 6.75

SF is at 8.47 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; ATL is at 6.75 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 6.9 over 17 games and ATL at 6.21 over 17 games.

SF: 51.5% third-down conversion rate to ATL's 38.9%

SF is at 51.5% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; ATL is at 38.9% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 49.8% over 17 games and ATL at 33.3% over 17 games.

DEN: 5.05 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.05

Denver allows about five yards a play over six games, while Arizona's defense gives up a yard more over the same stretch. That yard adds up: over a full game it is the difference between punting and kicking field goals. The sheet doesn't list opponents, so some of each number could be schedule. Six games apiece is a fair sample, and it points to Denver's offense having the easier day in Arizona.

NYJ: 4.68 yards per play allowed to MIA's 5.7

The Jets give up under five yards a snap through six games, which means drives against them stall before they reach scoring range. Miami's defense allows a full yard more per play over five games, so this matchup tilts toward the Jets moving the ball more easily than Miami does. Six games is enough to take the gap seriously, though the sheet doesn't show who either side has faced. For this game, think about which offense can stay on schedule, and the Jets have the steadier defense behind them.

CHI: 36:01 of possession a game to NE's 31:17

Chicago holds the ball 36:01 a game over six games, up from 30:59 last season, while New England sits at 31:17, matching its 31:18. New England's number is rock steady. Chicago's jump is big and may ease, but six games backs it. A Bears team that keeps the ball shortens the game and limits Patriots possessions.

DAL: 25.2 points per game to PHI's 17.7

DAL is at 25.2 points per game over 6 games; PHI is at 17.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and PHI at 22.3 over 17 games.

NYG: 66.7% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 28.6%

The Giants are converting two of every three fourth downs, a sharp jump from 46.2% last season, while Houston has crashed from 57.9% to 28.6%. Fourth-down rates come off a small number of tries over six games, so both are likely to move back toward last season. On the road, the Giants should not expect that success to last, and Houston's misses look more like bad luck than a lost ability.

KC: 7.6 sack yards lost per game to SEA's 19.8

KC is at 7.6 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 19.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 14.3 over 17 games.

Matt Hibner (TE) is questionable for BAL

Baltimore lists tight end Matt Hibner as questionable against Cincinnati, reported Oct 20. The report names no injury, so there is little to go on beyond the tag. Check the inactive list before the game if Ravens tight end usage matters to your bet.

TB: 54.8 penalty yards per game to CAR's 83.8

TB is at 54.8 penalty yards per game over 6 games; CAR is at 83.8 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 43.4 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

NFC EAST game: DAL 1-1, PHI 1-0 in the division

PHI is 1-0 in the NFC East and DAL is 1-1, so these are one-game and two-game samples. Neither number says much about this matchup by itself. PHI has lost four straight overall, so the division mark carries less weight than the current form when sizing up DAL at PHI.

PIT: 1.17 turnovers committed per game to NO's 2

New Orleans is giving the ball away twice a game through 6 games, up from 1.41 last season, while Pittsburgh sits at 1.17 after 0.88 a year ago. Both teams are sloppier than last season, but the Saints have jumped further. Turnover rates swing hard over six games, so some of that New Orleans number should come back down. For this game, the Saints are the side more likely to hand over short fields, which matters most if you are looking at Pittsburgh's scoring chances.

AFC NORTH game: CIN 0-1, BAL 0-1 in the division

These two share the AFC NORTH. CIN is 0-1 against it, BAL is 0-1. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-19.

Theo Johnson (TE) is questionable for NYG

The Giants list tight end Theo Johnson as questionable for the Houston game, reported Oct 20. No injury is named. Questionable leaves him a coin flip by the label alone. Wait for his final status before betting any Giants tight end prop.

PIT: 0.33 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1.17

PIT is at 0.33 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; NO is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season PIT was at 0.35 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

CAR: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 47.4%

TB is at 47.4% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; CAR is at 66.7% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 54% over 17 games and CAR at 53.3% over 17 games.

DAL: 6 sack yards lost per game to PHI's 18

DAL is at 6 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; PHI is at 18 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and PHI at 13 over 17 games.

LAR: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 73.9%

The Rams allow scores on half of opponents' red-zone trips over six games, while Las Vegas gives them up on nearly three of four. Red-zone numbers are built on small counts, so expect some drift toward the middle for both. The gap still says Rams drives that get close should cash in more often than Raiders drives. For bettors, that leans toward the Rams on touchdown scorers and in how a close game finishes.

TB: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to CAR's 76.9%

TB is at 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; CAR is at 76.9% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

GB: 1.83 takeaways per game to DET's 1

GB is at 1.83 takeaways per game over 6 games; DET is at 1 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

PIT: 32.5% third downs allowed to NO's 44.6%

PIT is at 32.5% third downs allowed over 6 games; NO is at 44.6% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

LAR: 112.7 rush yards a game to LV's 79.2

The Rams run for 112.7 yards a game over six games, down from 126.6 last season, while Las Vegas sits at 79.2, close to its 77.5. The Raiders' thin run game is consistent across two seasons. The Rams still hold a clear ground edge. A Raiders offense that cannot run has to throw to keep pace.

CIN: 50% third-down conversion rate to BAL's 38.2%

Cincinnati is moving the chains on half its third downs over 5 games, well above its 43.4% last season. Baltimore is at 38.2% over 6 games, a bit below its 40.9% from a year ago. Fifty percent is a hard pace to keep, so expect the Bengals to drift toward last season's rate. If Cincinnati keeps extending drives, it controls the clock and keeps Baltimore's offense on the sideline, so watch early third downs as a read on game flow.

CHI: 36:01 time of possession per game to NE's 31:17

Chicago holds the ball over 36 minutes a game, a big rise from 30:59 last season, while New England sits right at last season's 31:17 to 31:18. The Bears jump over six games points to an offense that is sustaining long drives. At home, Chicago controlling the clock means fewer possessions overall, which can keep the game tighter and lower scoring than the teams' offenses suggest.

SF: 18.3 points allowed per game to ATL's 25.5

SF is at 18.3 points allowed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 25.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 21.8 over 17 games and ATL at 23.6 over 17 games.

Tyler Warren (TE) is questionable for IND

Indianapolis lists tight end Tyler Warren as questionable at Minnesota, reported Oct 20. No injury is given. Questionable means he could play or sit. If you have interest in Warren or Colts pass catchers, wait for the final status before acting.

LV: 2.5 sacks recorded per game to LAR's 1.33

LAR is at 1.33 sacks recorded per game over 6 games; LV is at 2.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

NE @ CHI carries a 50.5 market total

The market sees points coming from both sides here, with this total sitting well above a typical game on the slate. The sheet carries only the total and median, so the why behind it is not spelled out. A bettor can frame it simply: if either offense settles for field goals or the game turns into a grind, a number this far above the slate norm has room to fall short.

DAL: 6.43 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 4.83

DAL is at 6.43 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; PHI is at 4.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

CHI: 25.8% third downs allowed to NE's 37.1%

Chicago lets opponents convert only about a quarter of their third downs over six games, while New England allows a bit over a third. Rates that low tend to drift up over a season, but six games is a real stretch. In this matchup, the Patriots will have a harder time sustaining drives than the Bears. Watch how New England handles third-and-long, since that is where Chicago's defense has been winning.

CIN: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 40%

CIN is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 5 games; BAL is at 40% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CIN was at 70% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

BAL: 71.4% red-zone scoring rate to CIN's 52.9%

CIN is at 52.9% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; BAL is at 71.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CIN was at 66.7% over 17 games and BAL at 47.5% over 17 games.

CIN @ BAL carries a 50.5 market total

The market expects both offenses to score at a steady clip, with this total well above a typical game on the slate. Only the total and median are on the sheet, so there is no listed injury or matchup detail behind it. For it to crack, drives need to bog down into long, clock-eating possessions and field goals, which keep the scoreboard quieter than a high number assumes.

SF: 4.8 sack yards lost per game to ATL's 16.2

SF is at 4.8 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; ATL is at 16.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 10.7 over 17 games and ATL at 12.9 over 17 games.

CLE @ TEN carries a 38.5 market total

This is priced as one of the slowest games on the slate, the kind where points arrive in small chunks and a single touchdown carries real weight. The sheet gives only the total and median, so the reason for the low number is not on it. For the under view to crack, the game needs short fields from turnovers or a defensive or special teams score, the cheap points that flip a low total quickly.

Carter Runyon (TE) is ir-r for LV

Runyon has a lower body injury and was ruled out for Sunday's game against Buffalo, and he carries a return designation from injured reserve. He is a depth tight end, so his availability for the Rams game should not change much for the Raiders offense.

Karon Prunty (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Karon Prunty as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Channing Canada (CB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Channing Canada as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Nick Bosa (DE) is questionable for SF

Questionable means Nick Bosa's status for the trip to Atlanta is uncertain. No injury detail is listed. A limited or absent pass rusher of his profile changes how much pressure SF can create, which matters for Atlanta's quarterback and the total.

C.J. Henderson (CB) is questionable for ATL

ATL lists C.J. Henderson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jordan Addison (WR) is questionable for MIN

Addison is listed as questionable, and the sheet gives no injury or practice detail, so there is little to go on yet. Questionable means it could go either way. If he sits against Indianapolis, more targets go to the rest of the Vikings receivers, so his status matters for any Minnesota passing prop. Wait for the final practice reports before acting.

Joseph Ossai (DE) is questionable for NYJ

The Jets list defensive end Joseph Ossai as questionable against Miami, reported Oct 20. No injury is given. If he misses, the Jets pass rush loses a piece, which can give the Dolphins quarterback more time. Wait for his final status before leaning on a Jets sack prop.

Benjamin Morrison (CB) is questionable for TB

Tampa Bay lists cornerback Benjamin Morrison as questionable at Carolina, reported Oct 20. The report names no injury. If he sits, the Bucs secondary loses depth against the Panthers passing game, so check the inactive list before betting Carolina receivers.

Monroe Freeling (OT) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Monroe Freeling as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Colbie Young (WR) is questionable for CIN

Young is questionable for Cincinnati against Baltimore, and the sheet gives no injury or practice detail. Questionable means a genuine coin flip on availability. Without more on his role, the betting impact is hard to size, so this is one to recheck once the final injury report comes out.

Cam Jurgens (C) is questionable for BAL

Baltimore lists center Cam Jurgens as questionable against Cincinnati, reported Oct 20. No injury is named. A center who misses the game means a backup handling snaps and line calls, which can affect both the run game and pass protection. Confirm his status before betting on the Ravens offense.

Colton Hood (CB) is questionable for NYG

Questionable means Colton Hood is a real coin flip for the Giants at Houston, and the call may not come until close to kickoff. The report gives no injury detail or named backup at corner. If he sits, a reserve covers more snaps against the Texans' receivers, so hold any Houston passing props until his status is settled.

Jermaine Eluemunor (OT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Jermaine Eluemunor as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Benjamin St-Juste (CB) is questionable for GB

St-Juste is questionable for Green Bay at Detroit, listed Oct 20, with no injury or practice detail on the sheet. Questionable leaves it open either way. If he sits, the Packers have one fewer corner against the Detroit passing game, and that is the spot to watch once the status is settled.

Trent McDuffie (CB) is questionable for LAR

Questionable means Trent McDuffie might not play at Las Vegas. No injury detail is listed. If he sits, the Raiders' top receiver likely faces a backup at cornerback, which is the spot to check on the final report.

Josh Simmons (OT) is questionable for KC

Questionable means Josh Simmons may not suit up at Seattle. No injury detail is listed. If he is out, KC's backup tackle has to handle Seattle's edge rushers, which can show up in sacks and pressure on the quarterback.

Cobie Durant (CB) is questionable for DAL

Durant is questionable for Dallas at Philadelphia, listed Oct 20. The sheet has no injury or practice detail, so his status is open. Check whether he is active before you lean on anything tied to the Dallas secondary in this game.

Drew Shelton (OT) is questionable for DAL

Shelton is questionable for Dallas at Philadelphia, listed Oct 20, with no injury detail given. A tackle being out moves the protection plan more than the box score shows, so confirm he is active before you weigh the Dallas passing game.

Grant Calcaterra (TE) is ir-r for PHI

The Eagles downgraded Calcaterra (back) to out Saturday for Sunday's game against the Panthers. Reported Oct 18.

Eli Stowers (TE) is ir-r for PHI

The Eagles have downgraded Stowers (quadriceps) to out for Sunday's game against the Panthers. Reported Oct 18.

Michael Carter II (CB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Michael Carter II as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

AJ Epenesa (DE) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists AJ Epenesa as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jayson Tatum and Cade Cunningham lead tonight's board

Tatum's line of 26.5 sits above the 22.2 he averaged last season, and that average came from only 22 games, so it says little about his full workload. Cunningham's 23.5 sits just under his 24.7 from 78 games, a much sturdier base. On opening night, the Cunningham number has the longer track record behind it, while Tatum's line asks him to beat a short sample by a lot.

Joel Embiid and Jalen Brunson lead tonight's board

Embiid's line of 22.5 is set well under the 26.4 he averaged last season, a gap that reflects doubt about his minutes after he played only 45 games. Brunson's 26.5 matches his 26.5 average exactly over 94 games, so the market sees him as the same player. The Embiid number depends on how much he plays, and the Brunson number is a straight bet on last season repeating.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama lead tonight's board

Gilgeous-Alexander's 29.5 is a point under the 30.5 he averaged across 83 games last season, so the book is shading him slightly on opening night. Wembanyama's 25.5 is set above his 24.6 from 87 games, which prices in some growth. Both lines sit close to big, reliable samples, so the edge on either side is thin.

NYG: 190.2 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 246

NYG is at 190.2 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; HOU is at 246 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

MIN: 173.2 passing yards allowed per game to IND's 228.7

IND is at 228.7 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 173.2 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

LAR: 112.7 rushing yards per game to LV's 79.2

The Rams run for 112.7 yards a game over 6 games, down from 126.6 last season, while the Raiders sit at 79.2, close to last season's 77.5. The Las Vegas number has held steady across two seasons, so it looks like who they are. The Rams can lean on the ground game here while the Raiders mostly can't, which pushes this game toward Los Angeles setting the pace on early downs.

CLE is 1-2 on the road; TEN is 0-3 at home

TEN is 0-3 at home and CLE is 1-2 on the road. Each number comes from three games, so one result changes the picture. TEN has not won in front of its own fans yet, which makes any home-field bump in the line for TEN worth questioning when CLE comes to Tennessee.

PIT is 1-2 on the road; NO is 0-3 at home

NO has lost all three home games, and PIT has won one of three on the road. Three games is a small sample, but 0-3 at home means NO has not turned its own field into any edge yet. For PIT at NO, the split only mildly favors the road side, so it is a reason to question a home price for NO more than a reason to back PIT.

CHI is 2-1 at home; NE is 1-2 on the road

CHI has won two of three at home, and NE has won one of three on the road. Three games on each side is a thin split, and one result either way flips it. NE has also won three straight overall, which points the other way, so this home and road edge for CHI is too small to carry much weight by itself.

Next college slate · OCT 23

BDL lists 2 covered college games on the next college slate. All 2 kickoff times are confirmed.

SF: 238.5 team passing yards per game to ATL's 194.8

SF is at 238.5 team passing yards per game over 6 games; ATL is at 194.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 244.5 over 17 games and ATL at 207.2 over 17 games.

CIN: 260 team passing yards per game to BAL's 216.2

CIN is at 260 team passing yards per game over 5 games; BAL is at 216.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CIN was at 235.6 over 17 games and BAL at 175.6 over 17 games.

SF: 0.33 interceptions thrown per game to ATL's 1.17

SF is at 0.33 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; ATL is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 0.94 over 17 games and ATL at 0.47 over 17 games.

SAS won last season's series 8-4

San Antonio took eight of twelve meetings last season, but the average margin was only 4.3 points, so most games were within a couple of possessions. Twelve games is a solid sample for a head-to-head. The series record looks lopsided, but the scoring margins describe two teams that played each other close.

NYK won last season's series 6-2

The Knicks beat Philadelphia six times in eight tries last season, and the average margin of 15.1 points means most of those were not close. That is eight games of real evidence, but rosters and health change over a summer, and tonight is the first look at both teams. Last season's gap is a starting point for how this matchup has gone, and the opener will show whether it carries over.

NE has won 3 straight

NE carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-2 on the season. They face CHI in NE @ CHI. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-19.

SEA: 2.67 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.6

Seattle is getting to the quarterback almost three times a game over six games, while Kansas City has 1.6 sacks a game over five games. Sacks swing a lot game to game, so both numbers carry noise. For this matchup, Seattle's rush is the one more likely to stall drives and force long down-and-distance. That points toward sack props and a tougher day for the Kansas City offense when it gets behind the chains.

MIA: 16.2 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 26.5

MIA is at 16.2 sack yards lost per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 26.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 19.5 over 17 games and NYJ at 24.9 over 17 games.

HOU: 0.17 interceptions thrown per game to NYG's 1

NYG is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; HOU is at 0.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NYG was at 0.59 over 17 games and HOU at 0.53 over 17 games.

LV has lost 3 straight

LV carries a 3-game losing streak into this one, sitting at 3-3 on the season. They face LAR in LAR @ LV. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-19.

GB has won 3 straight

GB carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 4-2 on the season. They face DET in GB @ DET. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-19.

NE: 8 sack yards lost per game to CHI's 18.3

Chicago is losing 18.3 yards a game to sacks over 6 games, up from 12.7 last season, while New England has cut its number to 8 from 12.6. That is a clear split in protection this year. Six games is enough to take it seriously, though sack yardage can swing on one bad afternoon. Drives that stall on sacks favor New England in field position, and Chicago's passing totals carry more risk of drives dying early.

MIA: 126.6 rushing yards per game to NYJ's 94.5

Miami runs for 126.6 yards a game over 5 games, close to last season's 120.2, while the Jets have dropped to 94.5 over 6 games from 123.3 a year ago. The Dolphins look like the same rushing team, and the Jets have lost something on the ground. A team running less tends to throw more and play faster, so the Jets may lean on the pass if they fall behind.

Dominick Barlow is OUT for PHI

Barlow missed the entire preseason with a back issue and now starts the regular season on the sidelines. He joins Ariel Hukporti and Tacko Fall on Philadelphia's out list for tonight in New York. With no game reps since the summer, his return date is open, so his minutes go to whoever else is healthy in the frontcourt rotation.

Thomas Sorber is OUT for OKC

Sorber has no firm timeline for his debut after offseason knee surgery, so this absence could stretch past tonight. Oklahoma City is also without Nikola Topic and Otega Oweh for the opener in San Antonio. For a bettor, his absence is a known quantity already built into the roster the Thunder use to start the season.

Nikola Topic is OUT for OKC

Topic has no concrete timetable for his debut after offseason back surgery and projects as backcourt depth once healthy. That makes his absence more about rotation depth than the top of Oklahoma City's lineup. He is one of three Thunder players out tonight, with Thomas Sorber and Otega Oweh.

Tacko Fall is OUT for PHI

Fall sits out the opener with the same injury that kept him out all preseason. He is one of several Philadelphia absences tonight, alongside Dominick Barlow and Ariel Hukporti. As a deep reserve, his absence matters mostly when combined with the other frontcourt players out.

Jayden Quaintance is OUT for SAS

Quaintance tore his ACL and meniscus at Arizona State, and San Antonio is expected to be very cautious with him. That points to a long absence. Tobias Harris is also out for the Spurs tonight against Oklahoma City, so the Spurs' frontcourt depth is thinner than a full roster would suggest.

Tobias Harris is OUT for SAS

Coach Mitch Johnson says Harris is ramping up but still needs more work on the court, so he is close but not ready. He joins Jayden Quaintance on San Antonio's out list for the opener against Oklahoma City. His comments suggest a short absence, so his return is something to check before upcoming Spurs games.

Otega Oweh is OUT for OKC

Oweh ruptured his right Achilles in a non-contact play during a preseason game against the Pacers, which is a long-term injury. Oklahoma City is also without Thomas Sorber and Nikola Topic tonight. His absence trims the Thunder's depth for the whole season.

Devin Carter is OUT for BOS

Carter missed Boston's last three preseason games with an illness and is expected to miss time to begin the regular season. An illness usually means a shorter absence than an injury, so his status is worth checking game to game. For tonight in Detroit, his minutes go to the rest of the Celtics' guard rotation.

Ariel Hukporti is OUT for PHI

Hukporti ruptured his Achilles in the preseason opener against these same Knicks, so he is out long term. It adds to a thin Philadelphia frontcourt tonight, which matters for rebounding and for whoever picks up the backup center minutes.

PIT: 5.1 yards per play allowed to NO's 5.9

Pittsburgh allows about five yards a snap over six games, while New Orleans gives up nearly six. That gap tells you Saints drives against Pittsburgh should stall sooner than Steelers drives do in New Orleans. Six games is a fair sample, though opponent strength isn't on the sheet. For this game, Pittsburgh's offense has the friendlier matchup.

SEA: 3.9 yards per play allowed to KC's 4.7

KC is at 4.7 yards per play allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 3.9 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

HOU: 5.73 yards per play to NYG's 4.95

Houston gains 5.73 yards a play over 6 games, up from 5.1 last season, while the Giants sit at 4.95, down from 5.15. The Giants did hit 8 plays of 20-plus yards last game, including a 49-yarder to Charlie Jones and a 46-yarder to Malik Nabers, so the big play is there even with a weak average. Houston's efficiency looks steadier, with C.J. Stroud connecting with Jaylin Noel for 50 and 34 last game. The Giants can stay close on explosives, but the Texans are the more reliable offense snap to snap.

Marcus Bryant (OT) is ir-r for NE

Bryant (ankle) was a full participant at the Patriots' practice Tuesday. Reported Oct 21.

Romeo Doubs (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Doubs (shoulder) is hopeful to return after the Patriots' Week 11 bye and isn't expected to face a long-term absence, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 19.

Roman Wilson (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

Roman Wilson went on injured reserve with a finger injury, reported Oct 17, so he will miss the trip to New Orleans and at least several weeks after it. PIT's other receivers absorb his targets for now.

Anfernee Jennings (LB) is questionable for NO

Jennings is questionable for New Orleans against Pittsburgh, listed Oct 20. The sheet has no injury or practice detail. Elliss is also questionable at linebacker for the Saints, so the depth at that spot matters if both sit.

Kaden Elliss (LB) is questionable for NO

Elliss is questionable for New Orleans against Pittsburgh, listed Oct 20, with no injury detail given. Jennings is questionable at linebacker too, so the Saints could be thin there. Wait for inactives before reading much into the Saints run defense.

Nathan Shepherd (DT) is questionable for NO

NO lists Nathan Shepherd as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday that Robinson (ankle) has an "outside chance" to return from injured reserve for the 49ers' Week 7 game versus the Falcons but is more likely to be activated following the team's Week 8 bye, David Lombardi of SFStandard.com reports. Reported Oct 15.

Marques Sigle (S) is questionable for SF

SF lists Marques Sigle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Mason Graham (DT) is questionable for CLE

Graham is questionable for Cleveland at Tennessee, listed Oct 20, with no injury or practice detail on the sheet. Mike Hall Jr. is also questionable on the Browns interior line. If both sit, Cleveland is short inside, and that is the part of the matchup to recheck once statuses are final.

Mike Hall Jr. (DT) is questionable for CLE

Hall is questionable for Cleveland at Tennessee, listed Oct 20. The sheet gives no injury detail. With Mason Graham also questionable at defensive tackle, the Browns interior could be thin, so check both before judging the Titans ground game.

Kevin Winston Jr. (S) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists Kevin Winston Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Pierce stays on injured reserve with a heel injury. Shane Steichen said Monday the Colts will not open his 21-day practice window in Week 7, so he is out for the trip to Minnesota. Indianapolis plays this one without him in the receiver room.

Jaylon Carlies (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Jaylon Carlies as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks (core) was seen jogging at practice Thursday, Sheena Quick of Fox Sports Radio 1340 reports. Reported Oct 15.

Broderick Washington Jr. (DT) is questionable for BAL

Washington is questionable for Baltimore against Cincinnati, listed Oct 20, with no injury or practice detail on the sheet. Questionable leaves it open. Check inactives before giving his status any weight on the Ravens interior line.

Braxton Berrios (WR) is on injured reserve for NYG

Berrios (foot) underwent successful surgery Friday to repair a Lisfranc injury, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 14.

Tyler Nubin (S) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Tyler Nubin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

James Conner (RB) is ir-r for ARI

Conner is close to practicing after his foot injury, but Arizona was not expected to open his 21-day return window this week, per the Oct 13 report. Without that window open, he is not playing soon, so the Cardinals backfield stays as is against Denver. Treat the current running backs as the workload for now.

Andrew Wingard (S) is questionable for ARI

Questionable means Andrew Wingard might not play against Denver. No injury detail is listed. With Wydett Williams Jr. also questionable, ARI's safety depth is worth checking on the final report.

Wydett Williams Jr. (S) is questionable for ARI

Questionable means Wydett Williams Jr. might not play against Denver. No injury is listed. Andrew Wingard is also questionable at safety, so if both sit, ARI's back end gets thin quickly.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Parsons has a knee injury and won't practice in Week 7, with Matt LaFleur saying he still has hurdles to clear. That rules him out against Detroit in any practical sense. Losing the Packers' top pass rusher means less pressure on the Lions quarterback, which matters for Detroit passing numbers.

Skyy Moore (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

Green Bay placed Moore on injured reserve Saturday with an ankle injury, so he is out against Detroit and for at least several weeks. He was a depth receiver, so the effect on the Packers offense is small, and his snaps go to the rest of the receiver room.

Tom Kennedy (WR) is on injured reserve for DET

Detroit moved Kennedy to injured reserve on Friday, Oct 17, with a knee injury, so he is out for the Packers game and at least the next few weeks. IR means no practice and no game action until he is eligible to return. The fact sheet does not name a replacement, so the snaps he leaves go to the rest of the Lions receiver room. For betting, this is a depth move to note, and the main Lions passing reads should not change much because of it.

Davante Adams (WR) is on injured reserve for LAR

Adams went on injured reserve Tuesday with a hamstring injury, so he is out against Las Vegas and for at least the next several weeks. Losing a veteran receiver of his standing takes away a proven target for the Rams' passing game. His targets get spread among the remaining Rams receivers. Any line or prop built on his usage should be repriced with him off the field.

Tonka Hemingway (DT) is questionable for LV

The Raiders list Hemingway as questionable for the Rams game, with no injury or practice detail given. Questionable means his availability is uncertain. With this little to go on, wait for the final status before leaning on anything involving the Raiders' interior line.

Jadarian Price (RB) is on injured reserve for SEA

Jadarian Price is on injured reserve and will not face KC. Mike Macdonald said Price should be looking at a return sooner rather than later after Seattle's Week 7 game, so his absence looks short. Until he returns, the other Seattle backs carry the load, and that split could change soon.

Chazz Surratt (LB) is questionable for SEA

Seattle lists Surratt as questionable for Kansas City, so his status for this game is still open. The report gives no injury details. Check the inactive list before kickoff before factoring the Seahawks linebacker group into how you see this one.

Drake Thomas (LB) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Drake Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is questionable for DAL

DAL lists DeMarvion Overshown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jakorian Bennett (CB) is ir-r for PHI

Bennett (knee) won't come off injured reserve this weekend and has been ruled out for Sunday's Week 6 battle against Carolina. Reported Oct 18.

Will Shipley (RB) is on injured reserve for PHI

The Eagles placed Shipley (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 16.

Jalyx Hunt (LB) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jalyx Hunt as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

NYJ: 20.3 points allowed per game to MIA's 26.4

MIA is at 26.4 points allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 20.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 24.9 over 17 games and NYJ at 29.6 over 17 games.

ARI: 67.3 offensive plays per game to DEN's 57.3

Arizona runs 67.3 plays a game over 6 games, up from 63.2 last season, while Denver has dropped to 57.3 from 64.2. The Cardinals are playing faster or staying on the field longer, and the Broncos are getting off it quickly. Ten plays a game is a big gap, and if it holds, Arizona controls the volume, which matters for player props tied to snaps and targets.

SF @ ATL carries a 49.5 market total

The market leans toward a game with plenty of scoring, priced above a normal matchup on this slate though short of the very top tier. The sheet holds only the total and median, so the reasoning is not supplied. A bettor can watch the early script: sustained touchdown drives support the number, while punts and red-zone stalls make a total this far above the median hard to reach.

MIA @ NYJ carries a 39.5 market total

This one is expected to be low scoring, with points arriving slowly and field goals mattering more than usual. The sheet has only the total and median, so the cause of the low number is not stated. For that expectation to crack, the game needs turnovers that hand over short fields or a quick touchdown or two early, which can push a total this far below the slate norm over in a hurry.

NO: 16.3 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 26.5

PIT is at 26.5 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; NO is at 16.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

NO: 2.17 sacks taken per game to PIT's 3.17

PIT is at 3.17 sacks taken per game over 6 games; NO is at 2.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season PIT was at 2.38 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.

Ben Brown

Knee · Did not practice

Alijah Vera-Tucker

Hamstring · Did not practice

Jack Sanborn

Concussion · Did not practice

T.J. Edwards

Hamstring · Did not practice

Joshua Farmer

Did not practice

Kyle Monangai

Toe · Did not practice

DEN has 3 more days of rest

Both teams are on short weeks, but Denver has 5 days since its last game and Arizona only 2. Arizona has home field, so the Broncos carry the travel and the Cardinals carry the tighter turnaround. A 3-day gap is real but smaller than a bye-week edge. Think about which side had the more physical last game, since that decides who really needs the extra days.

SEA has 3 more days of rest

Kansas City travels on 2 days since its last game, and Seattle is at home on 5 days. Both sides are on short weeks, so neither had a full practice cycle, but the Chiefs also have the road trip to manage. A 3-day gap with travel tilts toward the home team. Watch which Kansas City starters are listed as limited.

PIT (4-2) at NO (2-4)

Pittsburgh is 4-2 with two straight wins, but they are just 1-2 on the road and only +9 on the year, which suggests the record looks better than the margins. New Orleans has not won at home in three tries. Something has to give here: either Pittsburgh's road struggles continue or the Saints' home losing streak does. The record gap points to the Steelers, but the home and road splits make this closer than it looks.

SF (6-0) at ATL (2-4)

San Francisco is unbeaten in six games and 2-0 on the road, with a +67 point margin that backs up the record. Atlanta is winless at home in three games and has lost two straight. With a road favorite in form against a home team that has not won there, the splits line up with the overall records. The main question is the margin, not the winner.

CLE (4-2) at TEN (1-5)

Cleveland is 4-2 but has been outscored by 16 points, so the record flatters them, and they are 1-2 on the road. Tennessee is 1-5 and winless at home in three games. Both teams won their last game. A winning team with a negative margin often comes back down, which makes this a better spot to question the favorite's price than to trust the record.

IND (2-4) at MIN (5-0)

Minnesota is unbeaten in five games, 2-0 at home, and +45 on the year, so the record looks earned. Indianapolis has lost two straight and is 1-2 on the road. The home team has the momentum and the margin. With only two home games for Minnesota, that split is a small sample, but nothing on the sheet points the other way.

DEN (4-2) at ARI (2-4)

Denver is 4-2 with two straight wins but has a negative point margin and is 1-2 on the road, so the record oversells them. Arizona has not won at home in two games and is -52 on the year, which means their record looks about right. One team has been lucky and the other has been bad, so this spot is closer than the four-win gap in the standings.

KC (5-0) at SEA (3-3)

Kansas City is unbeaten in five games, 2-0 on the road, and +57 on the year, so they arrive with real momentum. Seattle has lost two straight but is 2-1 at home with a positive margin, making them stronger than their 3-3 record. The home split and point totals suggest this is a tougher road game than Seattle's recent slide implies.

KC: 7.9 yards per pass attempt to SEA's 6.47

KC is at 7.9 yards per pass attempt over 5 games; SEA is at 6.47 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and SEA at 8.01 over 17 games.

DAL: 47.2% third-down conversion rate to PHI's 37.3%

DAL is at 47.2% third-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 37.3% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 41.1% over 17 games and PHI at 37.1% over 17 games.

DAL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 20%

DAL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; PHI is at 20% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

MIN: 86.6 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 122.5

IND is at 122.5 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; MIN is at 86.6 over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

CHI: 160.7 rushing yards per game to NE's 130.7

Chicago runs for 160.7 yards a game over 6 games, up from 144.5 last season, and New England is at 130.7, about where it was at 128.9. Both teams want to run, and the Bears do it at a level few teams reach. If both sides stay on the ground, the clock moves and possessions shrink, which tends to keep totals in check.

PIT: 103.2 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 138

PIT is at 103.2 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; NO is at 138 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

LV: 1.67 takeaways per game to LAR's 1

LAR is at 1 takeaways per game over 6 games; LV is at 1.67 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

CHI: 4.33 red-zone trips per game to NE's 3

NE is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; CHI is at 4.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NE was at 3.71 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.

TEN: 12.8 sack yards lost per game to CLE's 22.2

Cleveland loses 22.2 yards a game to sacks over 6 games, about the same as 20.3 last season, while Tennessee has cut its number to 12.8 from 26.1. The Browns' protection issue looks like a two-season pattern. The Titans' improvement is big enough that some of it may slip back, but for this game Cleveland is the offense more likely to see drives stall behind the line.

CAR: 0.4 interceptions thrown per game to TB's 1.17

TB is at 1.17 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; CAR is at 0.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 0.65 over 17 games and CAR at 0.71 over 17 games.

SF: 6.48 yards per play to ATL's 5.72

SF is at 6.48 yards per play over 6 games; ATL is at 5.72 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 5.49 over 17 games and ATL at 5.38 over 17 games. SF had 4 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 54-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 54 Yds to Mike Evans); 35-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 35 Yds to George Kittle); 24-yard pass (Brock Purdy Pass Complete for 24 Yds to Mike Evans). ATL had 5 plays of 20+ yards in its last game, led by 41-yard pass (Michael Penix Jr. Pass Complete for 41 Yds to Jahan Dotson); 39-yard pass (Michael Penix Jr. Pass Complete for 39 Yds to Drake London); 33-yard pass (Michael Penix Jr. Pass Complete for 33 Yds to Jahan Dotson).

SF: 29.5 points per game to ATL's 23.7

SF is at 29.5 points per game over 6 games; ATL is at 23.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 25.7 over 17 games and ATL at 20.8 over 17 games.

MIA: 52 penalty yards per game to NYJ's 74.5

MIA is at 52 penalty yards per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 74.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 47.7 over 17 games and NYJ at 53.5 over 17 games.

Kalia Davis (DT) is ir-r for CLE

Davis (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Ravens. Reported Oct 17.

Teven Jenkins (G) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Teven Jenkins as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

PHI: 5.38 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.1

Philadelphia allows a bit under five and a half yards a play over six games, while Dallas gives up just over six. That gap points to Eagles drives moving more easily than Cowboys drives in this one. Six games apiece is a fair sample, though the sheet doesn't list opponents. For this game, the Dallas defense is the softer side to target.

KC: 41.7% third-down conversion rate to SEA's 32.4%

KC is at 41.7% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; SEA is at 32.4% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 37.4% over 17 games and SEA at 39.8% over 17 games.

GB (4-2) at DET (3-2), a division game

Green Bay has won three straight and is 2-1 on the road, but they are only +2 on the year, so the streak is built on close games. Detroit is 2-0 at home with a better margin. The road team has the momentum and the home team has the stronger profile underneath. That makes it a division game where the records undersell Detroit.

KC: 0.2 fumbles lost per game to SEA's 0.83

KC is at 0.2 fumbles lost per game over 5 games; SEA is at 0.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 0.18 over 17 games and SEA at 0.76 over 17 games.

Andrew Vorhees (G) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Andrew Vorhees as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

Jordon Riley (DT) is pup-r for GB

Riley is coming back from an Achilles injury, and Green Bay opened his 21-day practice window on Wednesday, Oct 15. PUP-R means he can practice now, but he still has to be activated to the roster before he can play. Opening the window does not put him on the field against Detroit. Bettors should not count on him for this game, and his activation within the window is the next thing to track.

DEN: 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed to ARI's 71.4%

DEN is at 52.9% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; ARI is at 71.4% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

Banks is questionable for Green Bay at Detroit, listed Oct 20, with no injury detail given. A guard sitting changes the interior protection, so confirm he is active before you weigh the Packers offense in this game.

Kerby Joseph (S) is pup-r for DET

Lions head coach Dan Campbell stated Kerby (knee) "is in a good headspace" and expects the 25-year-old to play at some point this season, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports. Reported Oct 20.

CIN: 3.4 sacks recorded per game to BAL's 2.5

Cincinnati is getting 3.4 sacks a game over five games, while Baltimore records 2.5 over six. Sack totals swing from week to week, so both rates can move. In this matchup, Cincinnati's pass rush is the more productive unit and is the one more likely to stall drives. That is relevant for sack props and for how the Baltimore offense handles obvious passing downs.

Cooper McDonald (LB) is ir-r for KC

The Chiefs designated McDonald (knee) to return from injured reserve Tuesday, Charles Goldman of AtoZSports.com reports. Reported Oct 21.

NE: 80% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 53.3%

NE is at 80% fourth-down conversion rate over 6 games; CHI is at 53.3% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NE was at 72% over 17 games and CHI at 51.7% over 17 games.

IND: 20 first downs per game to MIN's 15.4

IND is at 20 first downs per game over 6 games; MIN is at 15.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 20.7 over 17 games and MIN at 17.2 over 17 games.

DEN: 44.8 penalty yards per game to ARI's 66

DEN is at 44.8 penalty yards per game over 6 games; ARI is at 66 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DEN was at 67.6 over 17 games and ARI at 49.5 over 17 games.

DeShon Elliott (S) is ir-r for PIT

Elliott (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. Reported Oct 17.

Justin Joly (TE) is questionable for MIA

Joly is questionable for Miami at the Jets. This listing is from Oct 13, so it is a week old and his status may have moved. Confirm the latest word before counting on him at tight end.

Dylan Parham (G) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Dylan Parham as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 20.

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to GB's 0.67

GB is at 0.67 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; DET is at 0 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 0.41 over 17 games and DET at 0.47 over 17 games.

TB: 33.8% third downs allowed to CAR's 42%

Tampa Bay allows about a third of third downs to be converted over six games, while Carolina allows 42 percent over five games. That gap means Carolina drives should end sooner than Tampa's. Five and six games are a fair sample, though third-down rates can drift. For this game, Tampa is the side more likely to sustain drives and control the clock.

SF: 209.8 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 252

SF is at 209.8 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; ATL is at 252 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

CIN: 1.6 takeaways per game to BAL's 1

Cincinnati's defense forces 1.6 turnovers a game over 5 games, Baltimore's 1 over 6. Takeaways swing a lot week to week and are the least stable number a defense has, so expect this gap to shrink. A bettor can count Cincinnati as the likelier side to steal a possession, but that edge is too noisy to lean on alone.

LAR: 32.9% third downs allowed to LV's 41.3%

LAR is at 32.9% third downs allowed over 6 games; LV is at 41.3% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

ARI: 32:05 time of possession per game to DEN's 28:46

DEN is at 28:46 time of possession per game over 6 games; ARI is at 32:05 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DEN was at 31:14 over 17 games and ARI at 29:48 over 17 games.

CHI: 73.2 offensive plays per game to NE's 64.5

NE is at 64.5 offensive plays per game over 6 games; CHI is at 73.2 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NE was at 61.4 over 17 games and CHI at 64.9 over 17 games.

CIN: 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 57.9%

CIN is at 41.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; BAL is at 57.9% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

NE: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to CHI's 66.7%

NE is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; CHI is at 66.7% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

PHI: 119.3 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 149.8

DAL is at 149.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 119.3 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

BAL: 5 yards per play allowed to CIN's 5.68

Baltimore gives up 5 yards every time an offense snaps it, and Cincinnati's defense allows 5.68, so the Ravens are the tighter unit on a per-play basis. Six games is enough to take it seriously, but the sheet doesn't say who those offenses were, so some of the gap could be schedule. For this game, the side that stops drives early is Baltimore, which matters most if you expect a lower-scoring script in Baltimore.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 6 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 1336 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 7.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Landon Dickerson (G) is ir-r for PHI

Dickerson (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Panthers. Reported Oct 18.

Anthony Bradford (G) is ir-r for SEA

Bradford (knee) was designated to return from injured reserve by the Seahawks on Monday, John Boyle of the team's official website reports. Reported Oct 20.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Ferguson (ankle), who is eligible to come off injured reserve next week, isn't expected to be ready at that time, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Oct 20.

Rock Ya-Sin (CB) is questionable for DET

DET lists Rock Ya-Sin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Tanner Hudson (TE) is on injured reserve for CIN

Hudson (pectoral) was placed on injured reserve by the Bengals on Monday. Reported Oct 19.

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Robert Beal Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Reese Taylor (CB) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Reese Taylor as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Christian Darrisaw (OT) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Christian Darrisaw as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

NYJ: 18.7 points per game to MIA's 14

MIA is at 14 points per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 18.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 20.4 over 17 games and NYJ at 17.6 over 17 games.

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, SAS by 8.3

OKC outscored teams by 11.1 a game last season, SAS by 8.3. 2025-26 regular season: SAS over 82 games, OKC over 82.

DET outscored teams by 8.2 a game last season, BOS by 7.7

DET outscored teams by 8.2 a game last season, BOS by 7.7. 2025-26 regular season: DET over 82 games, BOS over 82.

NYK outscored teams by 6.3 a game last season, PHI was outscored by 0.2

NYK outscored teams by 6.3 a game last season, PHI was outscored by 0.2. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, PHI over 82.

MIN: 22.2% third downs allowed to IND's 30.4%

IND is at 30.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; MIN is at 22.2% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 6 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 1463 passing yards, completed 63.9% of his passes and averaged 8 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 3 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 712 passing yards, completed 72.5% of his passes and averaged 7.82 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 6 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 1487 passing yards, completed 61.4% of his passes and averaged 6.38 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 6 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 1443 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 6.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 6 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 1460 passing yards, completed 69.6% of his passes and averaged 8.54 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

Through 4 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 944 passing yards, completed 64.5% of his passes and averaged 8.58 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 6 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 1174 passing yards, completed 63.8% of his passes and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt. His 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 6 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 998 passing yards, completed 61.6% of his passes and averaged 5.64 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 6 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 1290 passing yards, completed 59.6% of his passes and averaged 5.92 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 4 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 662 passing yards, completed 68.3% of his passes and averaged 6.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 5 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 849 passing yards, completed 56.2% of his passes and averaged 6.53 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

Through 4 games in 2026, Jalon Daniels threw for 501 passing yards, completed 61.2% of his passes and averaged 5.11 yards per attempt. His 3-5 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 5 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 1549 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 7.71 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 5 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 1361 passing yards, completed 71.4% of his passes and averaged 7.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Tyler Huntley is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 3 games in 2026, Tyler Huntley threw for 429 passing yards, completed 70.8% of his passes and averaged 5.96 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 426 yards, completed 77.6% and averaged 6.36 yards per attempt, 2-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 5 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 957 passing yards, completed 57% of his passes and averaged 6.06 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 6 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 1714 passing yards, completed 65.3% of his passes and averaged 7.83 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 6 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 1049 passing yards, completed 60.3% of his passes and averaged 5.55 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 6 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 1328 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 5.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 6 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 1684 passing yards, completed 59.7% of his passes and averaged 7.45 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 5 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 1485 passing yards, completed 67% of his passes and averaged 7.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 12-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 6 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 1794 passing yards, completed 65.9% of his passes and averaged 7.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 11-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 6 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 1582 passing yards, completed 63.4% of his passes and averaged 7.43 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 14-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 5 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 1309 passing yards, completed 66.5% of his passes and averaged 8.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 5 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 1033 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 6.93 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-7 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 6 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 1639 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 6.66 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 10-5 touchdown-to-interception line is 6 games in.

Tanner McKee is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

In his first 2026 game, Tanner McKee threw for 215 passing yards, completed 57.8% of his passes and averaged 4.78 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 274 yards, completed 55.8% and averaged 6.37 yards per attempt, 1-1 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Charles Demmings (CB) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Charles Demmings as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

CLE: 43.8% red-zone scoring allowed to TEN's 60%

CLE is at 43.8% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; TEN is at 60% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

IND: 63.2% red-zone scoring rate to MIN's 50%

IND is at 63.2% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; MIN is at 50% over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 65.2% over 17 games and MIN at 56.9% over 17 games.

IND: 199.8 team passing yards per game to MIN's 167

IND is at 199.8 team passing yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 167 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 227.8 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

BAL: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to CIN's 1.2

CIN is at 1.2 turnovers committed per game over 5 games; BAL is at 0.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CIN was at 1.41 over 17 games and BAL at 1.35 over 17 games.

NYJ: 1.33 takeaways per game to MIA's 0.8

MIA is at 0.8 takeaways per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 1.33 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

CAR: 4.2 red-zone trips per game to TB's 3.17

TB is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; CAR is at 4.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 2.94 over 17 games and CAR at 2.65 over 17 games.

SEA: 28% third downs allowed to KC's 35.7%

KC is at 35.7% third downs allowed over 5 games; SEA is at 28% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

GB: 43.4% third downs allowed to DET's 50.7%

GB is at 43.4% third downs allowed over 6 games; DET is at 50.7% over 5 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

KC: 254.2 team passing yards per game to SEA's 225

KC is at 254.2 team passing yards per game over 5 games; SEA is at 225 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and SEA at 228.1 over 17 games.

NE: 7.33 yards per pass attempt to CHI's 6.32

NE is at 7.33 yards per pass attempt over 6 games; CHI is at 6.32 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NE was at 7.99 over 17 games and CHI at 6.46 over 17 games.

LV: 27 points per game to LAR's 22.5

LAR is at 22.5 points per game over 6 games; LV is at 27 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season LAR was at 30.5 over 17 games and LV at 14.2 over 17 games.

NYG: 33:11 time of possession per game to HOU's 30:11

NYG is at 33:11 time of possession per game over 6 games; HOU is at 30:11 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NYG was at 30:58 over 17 games and HOU at 31:49 over 17 games.

NYK scored 116.5 points a game last season, PHI 115.9

NYK scored 116.5 points a game last season, PHI 115.9. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, PHI over 82.

DET scored 117.8 points a game last season, BOS 114.9

DET scored 117.8 points a game last season, BOS 114.9. 2025-26 regular season: DET over 82 games, BOS over 82.

Tyquan Thornton (WR) is on injured reserve for KC

The Chiefs placed Thornton (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay said Monday that Garrett (knee) won't have his 21-day practice window opened this week, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. Reported Oct 19.

Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

Mays (wrist) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Cardinals. Reported Oct 10.

HOU: 0.33 fumbles lost per game to NYG's 0.83

NYG is at 0.83 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; HOU is at 0.33 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NYG was at 0.41 over 17 games and HOU at 0.18 over 17 games.

DAL: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to PHI's 2.67

DAL is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; PHI is at 2.67 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 3.82 over 17 games and PHI at 2.59 over 17 games.

ARI: 0 fumbles lost per game to DEN's 0.5

DEN is at 0.5 fumbles lost per game over 6 games; ARI is at 0 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DEN was at 0.35 over 17 games and ARI at 0.59 over 17 games.

LAR: 5.88 yards per play to LV's 5.33

The Rams gain 5.88 yards a play over 6 games, a little down from 6.15 last season, and the Raiders are at 5.33, a big jump from 4.35. Las Vegas hit 4 plays of 20-plus yards last game, led by Kirk Cousins to Tre Tucker for a 44-yard touchdown, while the Rams had just 1, a 43-yarder to Puka Nacua. The Rams are still the more efficient offense, but the gap is much smaller than a year ago, so last season's mismatch is a poor guide here.

NYG: 1.5 takeaways per game to HOU's 1

NYG is at 1.5 takeaways per game over 6 games; HOU is at 1 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

SAS scored 119.8 points a game last season, OKC 119.0

SAS scored 119.8 points a game last season, OKC 119.0. 2025-26 regular season: SAS over 82 games, OKC over 82.

Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) is on injured reserve for CHI

The Bears placed Odeyingbo (quadriceps) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 17.

Montez Sweat (DE) is reserve-sus for CHI

The NFL announced Tuesday that Sweat has been suspended two games without pay for violating the league's performance-enhancing substances policy, Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune reports. Reported Oct 13.

Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Pittman (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

Raheim Sanders (RB) is on injured reserve for CLE

The Browns placed Sanders (hip) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 13.

Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Kyle Dugger as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 13.

Pat Bryant (WR) is on injured reserve for DEN

Bryant (ankle) was placed on the Broncos' injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 9.

NE: 5.28 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.85

New England allows 5.28 yards per play over 6 games, Chicago 5.85 over 6. That gap means the Patriots' defense gives up shorter gains snap to snap, though the sheet doesn't show which offenses each faced. For this game in Chicago, New England is the defense more likely to keep drives short, and that leans toward fewer explosive plays from the Bears.

SF: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 64%

San Francisco lets opponents score on 50% of red-zone trips, Atlanta on 64%, both over 6 games. Red-zone defense rides on a handful of possessions, so these rates can swing quickly. For this game, Atlanta is the defense more likely to give up touchdowns when drives stall near the goal line, which is worth weighing on totals and touchdown props.

NYJ: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 63.6%

MIA is at 63.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 5 games; NYJ is at 50% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

Chris Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Brooks (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

ATL: 149.5 rushing yards per game to SF's 128.2

SF is at 128.2 rushing yards per game over 6 games; ATL is at 149.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season SF was at 106.9 over 17 games and ATL at 125.8 over 17 games.

KC: 0.6 interceptions thrown per game to SEA's 1.17

KC is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 0.71 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

NYJ: 30:37 time of possession per game to MIA's 27:46

MIA is at 27:46 time of possession per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 30:37 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 28:57 over 17 games and NYJ at 28:15 over 17 games.

NYJ: 185 passing yards allowed per game to MIA's 219.2

MIA is at 219.2 passing yards allowed per game over 5 games; NYJ is at 185 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

PIT: 204.3 passing yards allowed per game to NO's 239.7

PIT is at 204.3 passing yards allowed per game over 6 games; NO is at 239.7 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

CAR: 14.2 sack yards lost per game to TB's 21.2

TB is at 21.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; CAR is at 14.2 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 15.9 over 17 games and CAR at 16 over 17 games.

Mack Hollins (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Hollins (calf) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 10.

DET won last season's series 3-1

Detroit won three of four against Boston last season, but the average margin was just 2.8 points. Four games is a thin sample and those were close, so the series record says more about tight finishes than a clear gap between the teams.

BAL: 39.5% third downs allowed to CIN's 46%

CIN is at 46% third downs allowed over 5 games; BAL is at 39.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

BAL: 100.5 rushing yards allowed per game to CIN's 123

CIN is at 123 rushing yards allowed per game over 5 games; BAL is at 100.5 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

LAR: 23 points allowed per game to LV's 27

LAR is at 23 points allowed per game over 6 games; LV is at 27 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season LAR was at 20.4 over 17 games and LV at 25.4 over 17 games.

DEN: 0.5 interceptions thrown per game to ARI's 1

DEN is at 0.5 interceptions thrown per game over 6 games; ARI is at 1 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and ARI at 0.65 over 17 games.

NE: 1.83 sacks taken per game to CHI's 2.5

NE is at 1.83 sacks taken per game over 6 games; CHI is at 2.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NE was at 3 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.

DEN: 3 sacks recorded per game to ARI's 2.33

Denver gets to the quarterback 3 times a game over 6 games, Arizona 2.33 over 6. Pressure numbers depend on the offensive lines faced, and the sheet doesn't say how strong those were. For this game, Denver's rush is the more likely to disrupt drives, which is a reason to consider sack props and an Arizona offense under some stress.

NYG: 104.8 rushing yards per game to HOU's 84.8

NYG is at 104.8 rushing yards per game over 6 games; HOU is at 84.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season NYG was at 129.1 over 17 games and HOU at 108.9 over 17 games.

DET: 5.94 yards per play to GB's 5.4

Detroit gains 5.94 yards a play over 5 games, almost exactly its 5.97 last season, while Green Bay is at 5.4 over 6 games, down from 5.61. The Lions are the same efficient offense, and last game Jared Goff threw touchdowns of 39 to Jameson Williams and 38 to Sam LaPorta. Green Bay's big plays topped out at 28 yards. Detroit's number has two seasons behind it, so it is the steadier side to trust in this matchup.

NE: 5.8 yards per play to CHI's 5.27

New England gains 5.8 yards a play over 6 games, down from 6.23 last season, and Chicago is at 5.27, down from 5.71. Both offenses have cooled a bit. Last game the Patriots got a 42-yard touchdown from Drake Maye to Romeo Doubs, while Chicago's 3 big plays all topped out at 25 yards. The Bears are moving the ball in shorter gains, so they need longer drives to score, which makes their scoring more fragile.

LAR: 288.7 team passing yards per game to LV's 263.5

LAR is at 288.7 team passing yards per game over 6 games; LV is at 263.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and LV at 167.7 over 17 games.

HOU: 62.5% red-zone scoring allowed to NYG's 75%

NYG is at 75% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; HOU is at 62.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

MIA: 41.3% third-down conversion rate to NYJ's 35.1%

MIA is at 41.3% third-down conversion rate over 5 games; NYJ is at 35.1% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 34.9% over 17 games and NYJ at 34.9% over 17 games.

BOS allowed 107.2 points a game last season, DET 109.6

BOS allowed 107.2 points a game last season, DET 109.6. 2025-26 regular season: DET over 82 games, BOS over 82.

CLE: 17.7 points per game to TEN's 14

CLE is at 17.7 points per game over 6 games; TEN is at 14 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CLE was at 16.4 over 17 games and TEN at 16.7 over 17 games.

CLE: 59 offensive plays per game to TEN's 53

CLE is at 59 offensive plays per game over 6 games; TEN is at 53 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CLE was at 60.6 over 17 games and TEN at 59.1 over 17 games.

KC: 16.6 points allowed per game to SEA's 20.3

KC is at 16.6 points allowed per game over 5 games; SEA is at 20.3 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 19.3 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.

PHI: 22.8 points allowed per game to DAL's 26.5

DAL is at 26.5 points allowed per game over 6 games; PHI is at 22.8 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 30.1 over 17 games and PHI at 19.1 over 17 games.

GB: 11.3 sack yards lost per game to DET's 17.4

GB is at 11.3 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; DET is at 17.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 16.3 over 17 games and DET at 20.3 over 17 games.

A.J. Brown

Ankle · Limited practice

Morgan Moses

Foot · Limited practice

Jonah Jackson

Hip · Limited practice

Channing Canada

Hamstring · Limited practice

Carlton Davis III

Neck · Limited practice

Karon Prunty

Hamstring · Limited practice

PIT: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 61.5%

PIT is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; NO is at 61.5% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

PHI: 54.2% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 66.7%

DAL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 6 games; PHI is at 54.2% over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

ARI: 3.83 red-zone trips per game to DEN's 3

DEN is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; ARI is at 3.83 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DEN was at 3.35 over 17 games and ARI at 3.59 over 17 games.

BAL: 5.98 yards per play to CIN's 5.5

Baltimore gains about half a yard more per snap than Cincinnati, and its 5.98 sits right on last season's 5.92, so that number looks like who the Ravens are. Cincinnati's 5.5 is up from 5.23 last season, over 5 games. Baltimore's last game ran through Tyler Huntley, with two chunk throws including 31 yards to Zay Flowers, while the Bengals got one big play, a 45-yard Burrow touchdown to Ja'Marr Chase. Expect Baltimore to set the tempo at home, with Cincinnati leaning on the Chase deep shot to keep pace.

NYK allowed 110.1 points a game last season, PHI 116.1

NYK allowed 110.1 points a game last season, PHI 116.1. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, PHI over 82.

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, SAS 111.5

OKC allowed 107.9 points a game last season, SAS 111.5. 2025-26 regular season: SAS over 82 games, OKC over 82.

Poona Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Ford (triceps) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Oct 20.

Devin White (LB) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed White (forearm) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

Brian Branch (S) is pup-r for DET

Branch (Achilles) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Cardinals. Reported Oct 10.

Jonathan Ford (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Ford (calf) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

Javon Hargrave (DT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Hargrave (Achilles) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 18.

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

Hummel is still recovering from abdominal-groin surgery, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Oct 21.

Jordyn Tyson (WR) is on injured reserve for NO

NO lists Jordyn Tyson as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 19.

IND: 15.2 sack yards lost per game to MIN's 20.6

IND is at 15.2 sack yards lost per game over 6 games; MIN is at 20.6 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 15.1 over 17 games and MIN at 24.9 over 17 games.

CAR: 68.4 offensive plays per game to TB's 62.8

TB is at 62.8 offensive plays per game over 6 games; CAR is at 68.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season TB was at 62.8 over 17 games and CAR at 59.5 over 17 games.

DET: 30:14 time of possession per game to GB's 28:03

GB is at 28:03 time of possession per game over 6 games; DET is at 30:14 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and DET at 30:33 over 17 games.

KC: 28 points per game to SEA's 24.7

KC is at 28 points per game over 5 games; SEA is at 24.7 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 21.3 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

BAL: 0.17 interceptions thrown per game to CIN's 0.6

CIN is at 0.6 interceptions thrown per game over 5 games; BAL is at 0.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CIN was at 1 over 17 games and BAL at 0.65 over 17 games.

DAL: 77.3% red-zone scoring rate to PHI's 68.8%

DAL is at 77.3% red-zone scoring rate over 6 games; PHI is at 68.8% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.

MIA: 46.2% red-zone scoring rate to NYJ's 37.5%

MIA is at 46.2% red-zone scoring rate over 5 games; NYJ is at 37.5% over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season MIA was at 56.3% over 17 games and NYJ at 44.7% over 17 games.

IND: 3.17 red-zone trips per game to MIN's 2.4

IND is at 3.17 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; MIN is at 2.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 3.88 over 17 games and MIN at 3 over 17 games.

DET: 66.4 offensive plays per game to GB's 60.7

GB is at 60.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; DET is at 66.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 59.4 over 17 games and DET at 62.5 over 17 games.

IND: 66.7 offensive plays per game to MIN's 61.4

IND is at 66.7 offensive plays per game over 6 games; MIN is at 61.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 59.9 over 17 games and MIN at 56.1 over 17 games.

KC: 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game to SEA's 1.17

KC is at 1.8 fourth-down attempts per game over 5 games; SEA is at 1.17 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and SEA at 0.71 over 17 games.

ARI: 120.8 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 139.8

DEN is at 139.8 rushing yards allowed per game over 6 games; ARI is at 120.8 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

BOS made 15.5 threes a game last season, DET 11.0

BOS made 15.5 threes a game last season, DET 11.0. 2025-26 regular season: DET over 82 games, BOS over 82.

Durham Smythe (TE) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Smythe (Achilles) on their injured reserve list Wednesday, Ryan Mink of the Ravens' official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Ben Bartch (G) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Bartch (foot) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Oct 17.

Blake Grupe (PK) is on injured reserve for LAR

Rams head coach Sean McVay announced Monday that Grupe will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a torn ACL in Sunday's 18-16 loss to the Cardinals, Greg Beacham of the Associated Press reports. Reported Oct 19.

NYK made 14.2 threes a game last season, PHI 12.3

NYK made 14.2 threes a game last season, PHI 12.3. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, PHI over 82.

OKC made 13.8 threes a game last season, SAS 13.6

OKC made 13.8 threes a game last season, SAS 13.6. 2025-26 regular season: SAS over 82 games, OKC over 82.

DET: 4.4 red-zone trips per game to GB's 3.67

GB is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 6 games; DET is at 4.4 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season GB was at 3.47 over 17 games and DET at 3.76 over 17 games.

IND: 2.5 sacks taken per game to MIN's 3

IND is at 2.5 sacks taken per game over 6 games; MIN is at 3 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and MIN at 4 over 17 games.

CHI: 2.83 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2.33

NE is at 2.33 sacks recorded per game over 6 games; CHI is at 2.83 over 6 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 19.

CLE: 3.17 sacks recorded per game to TEN's 2.67

Cleveland averages 3.17 sacks a game over 6 games, Tennessee 2.67 over 6. Both are steady pass rushes and the gap is half a sack, so neither has a big edge. In this game, Cleveland is slightly likelier to win on passing downs, which leans toward Tennessee drives stalling on third and long.

CLE: 173.5 team passing yards per game to TEN's 153.5

CLE is at 173.5 team passing yards per game over 6 games; TEN is at 153.5 over 6 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season CLE was at 165.2 over 17 games and TEN at 166.1 over 17 games.

IND: 37.5 penalty yards per game to MIN's 50

IND is at 37.5 penalty yards per game over 6 games; MIN is at 50 over 5 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 19. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and MIN at 52.1 over 17 games.

PIT: 5.1 yards per play to NO's 4.68

Pittsburgh is the more efficient offense by a modest margin, and its 5.1 is close to last season's 5.22, so that part is steady. The gap comes mostly from New Orleans, down to 4.68 over 6 games from 5.05 last season. The Saints still hit two 20-yard plays last game, a 31-yard Kamara touchdown catch and a 25-yard Tyler Shough run, while Pittsburgh had none. Picture the Steelers grinding out longer drives and the Saints living on a few explosive snaps, with New Orleans more likely to drift back toward last season's level.

CIN (3-2) at BAL (4-2), a division game

These division rivals are close on paper: Baltimore is 4-2 and +24, Cincinnati is 3-2 and +19. Cincinnati is 2-1 on the road, while Baltimore is only 1-1 at home and lost its last game. The home edge looks thin from the splits, so this division game sets up tighter than the standings suggest.

SF is on a short week

SF comes in on a short week (1 days since its last game); ATL on a short week (2 days since its last game).

DET played at 99.9 possessions a game last season, BOS 95.6

DET played at 99.9 possessions a game last season, BOS 95.6. 2025-26 regular season: DET over 82 games, BOS over 82.

PHI played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, NYK 97.7

PHI played at 100.4 possessions a game last season, NYK 97.7. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, PHI over 82.

SAS played at 100.7 possessions a game last season, OKC 100.4

SAS played at 100.7 possessions a game last season, OKC 100.4. 2025-26 regular season: SAS over 82 games, OKC over 82.

Arden Key (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

The Colts placed Key (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Oct 10.

Braiden McGregor (DE) is on injured reserve for NYJ

McGregor (pectoral) was placed on the Jets' injured reserve list Wednesday, Eric Allen of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 7.

Chauncey Golston (DE) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Golston (neck) on injured reserve Saturday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Julian Neal (CB) is on injured reserve for SEA

The Seahawks placed Neal (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Nick Martin (LB) is on injured reserve for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Martin's (hamstring) status will be evaluated "in these next couple of days," Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 13.

SAS grabbed 47.0 rebounds a game last season, OKC 44.1

SAS grabbed 47.0 rebounds a game last season, OKC 44.1. 2025-26 regular season: SAS over 82 games, OKC over 82.

NYK grabbed 45.6 rebounds a game last season, PHI 43.6

NYK grabbed 45.6 rebounds a game last season, PHI 43.6. 2025-26 regular season: NYK over 82 games, PHI over 82.

BOS grabbed 46.4 rebounds a game last season, DET 45.6

BOS grabbed 46.4 rebounds a game last season, DET 45.6. 2025-26 regular season: DET over 82 games, BOS over 82.

Swayze Bozeman (LB) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed Bozeman on injured reserve Monday due to a fractured forearm, Ben Baby of ESPN.com reports. Reported Oct 12.

Cam Jackson (DT) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Jackson (shoulder) on injured reserve Tuesday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 14.

Yasir Abdullah (LB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Abdullah (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Anfernee Simons is Day-To-Day for PHI

Simons got through a full practice Sunday, but Philadelphia has not committed to him for the opener. Full practice is a good sign, so lean toward him playing, but confirm before tip. Philadelphia already has Dominick Barlow, Ariel Hukporti and Tacko Fall out, so a Simons absence would thin the roster further.

Adem Bona is Day-To-Day for PHI

Bona missed the preseason with a foot issue but got in a full practice Sunday, so he looks to be trending toward playing. With Ariel Hukporti, Tacko Fall and Dominick Barlow out, Philadelphia's frontcourt is thin, and Bona's status matters more than usual. If he plays after no preseason games, his minutes could be limited.

Taurean Prince is Day-To-Day for DET

Prince is dealing with a personal matter and may not join Detroit for the opener. Even if he does, he may not play meaningful minutes. That makes him a low-impact factor for tonight's game against Boston, so plan around Detroit's usual rotation without him.

Dean Wade is Day-To-Day for PHI

Wade has missed back-to-back practices, which points to him sitting despite the day-to-day tag. Justin Edwards and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope are named as the players who would absorb his role. Bettors following Philadelphia's wings should watch whether that extra playing time goes to them.

NE (4-2) at CHI (4-2)

Both teams are 4-2 with similar positive margins. New England has won three straight but is 1-2 on the road, while Chicago is 2-1 at home. The momentum is with New England and the venue split favors Chicago. With records and margins this close, the road and home splits are the clearest separator here.

Isaiah Adams (G) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Adams (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 11.

Anthony Johnson Jr. (S) is on injured reserve for CHI

CHI lists Anthony Johnson Jr. as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Oct 21.

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Gilliam (ankle/knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. Reported Oct 11.

CIN and BAL are even since 2025

The 1-1 split hides two blowouts going in opposite directions. Cincinnati won 32-14 in Baltimore on Nov 27, then Baltimore shut them out 24-0 in Cincinnati on Dec 14. Two games this far apart in result show how fast this matchup can swing. With the game in Baltimore, a bettor should be careful about reading too much into either score.

MIA lead the series with NYJ since 2025

Miami won both meetings last season, and neither was close in the end. They beat the Jets 27-21 at home in September, then went to New York in December and won 34-10. Two games is a small sample, but the second one was lopsided on the Jets' own field. For this trip back to New York, the December result is the more recent look at how this matchup went.

DAL and PHI are even since 2025

These two split last season, and both games were close. Philadelphia won 24-20 at home in Week 1, and Dallas won 24-21 at home in November. The home team won each time by four points or less. With Philadelphia hosting, the recent pattern points to a tight game where the spread matters more than picking a winner.

GB lead the series with DET since 2025

GB has taken 2 of the last 2. Nov 27, 2025: GB 31 at DET 24. Sep 7, 2025: DET 13 at GB 27.

TB and CAR are even since 2025

This series has been a coin flip with two tight finishes. Carolina won 23-20 at home in December, and Tampa Bay answered 16-14 at home two weeks later. Both games were low scoring and decided by a field goal or less, and the home team won each time. With Carolina hosting again, expect another close game, where late possessions and kicking can decide it.

PIT is on a short week

Pittsburgh and New Orleans are both on 2 days since their last game, so rest is a wash. The Steelers have the road trip on top of the short week.

CLE is on a short week

Cleveland and Tennessee each come in 2 days removed from their last game, so neither side has a rest edge. The Browns add travel to the short week.

TB is on a short week

Tampa Bay and Carolina both play on 2 days since their last game, so the schedule is level. Tampa Bay has the trip, the only spacing difference here.

NYG is on a short week

The Giants and Houston both arrive on 2 days since their last game, so rest is even. New York has to travel on that turnaround.

LAR is on a short week

The Rams and Las Vegas are each 2 days removed from their last game, so neither side gains on rest. The Rams handle the road trip on the short week.

DAL is on a short week

Dallas and Philadelphia both play on 2 days since their last game, so the calendar is a wash. Dallas carries the travel, which matters a little more when neither team had a full week.

NE is on a short week

New England and Chicago both play on 2 days since their last game, so the calendar is even. The Patriots carry the travel, which is the only scheduling difference.

NYG (3-2-1) at HOU (2-4)

The Giants are 3-2-1 but have been outscored by 4 points and are winless in two road games, so the record flatters them a bit. Houston is 2-4 with a slightly positive margin and two straight wins, but 0-3 at home. Both teams have splits that work against them in this spot, which makes the season records a weak guide.

Season opener for both teams

Philadelphia and New York both open tonight, so rest is even. With no games played yet, last season's results and injury reports carry more weight than usual. Philadelphia comes in with three players out and several more listed day to day.

Christian Elliss

Full practice

Marcus Bryant

Ankle · Full practice

Keyshaun Elliott

Full practice

Drake Maye

Full practice

Will Campbell

Full practice

Andy Borregales

Full practice

Craig Woodson

Full practice

TreVeyon Henderson

Full practice

Kevin Byard

Full practice

Tyrique Stevenson Sr.

Full practice

Season opener for both teams

Both Boston and Detroit open their season tonight, so neither has a schedule edge. Openers come with no regular-season games to judge, and rotations can be uneven. Boston is without Devin Carter and Detroit may be without Taurean Prince, so injury news matters more here than rest.

Season opener for both teams

Oklahoma City and San Antonio both open their season tonight, so there is no rest advantage either way. Both teams are missing players, the Thunder three and the Spurs two. The difference in this game is more likely to come from those absences than from fatigue.

Dre'Mont Jones

Full practice

LAR (2-4) at LV (3-3)

Both teams have scored about as many points as they have given up, so neither record is far from what the margins say. Las Vegas has lost three straight and is 1-2 at home, while the Rams have dropped two straight and split two road games. With two struggling teams and nearly even margins, the cold streaks are what stand out.

SF lead the series with ATL since 2025

There is only one meeting to go on: San Francisco beat Atlanta 20-10 at home in October. Atlanta scored just 10 in that game. One game in San Francisco says little about how this one goes in Atlanta.

TEN lead the series with CLE since 2025

The only recent meeting was a shootout that Tennessee won 31-29 in Cleveland in December. One game decided by two points is about as thin as evidence gets. This time Tennessee is at home, and the last game suggests both offenses can put up points in this matchup.