Sports picks for Wednesday, September 30, 2026

BUF: 33.7 points per game to NE's 12

Buffalo is putting up 33.7 a game and New England just 12 through three games. The Patriots scored 28.8 a game last season, so this is a stark drop from a team that could move the ball, while Buffalo is running above its 28.3 from last year. Some of both gaps should close, the Patriots' more than the Bills'. At home, Buffalo's offense sets the pace, and the question is whether New England can keep up enough to make it a game.

DAL: 57.1% third-down conversion rate to HOU's 36.4%

Dallas is converting 57.1% of third downs, Houston 36.4%, over three games. The Cowboys were at 41.1% last season, so this is a hot start likely to cool, while Houston sits near its 37.2% from last year. Dallas extending drives on the road helps them control the clock, but expect that edge to shrink as the sample grows.

LAR: 284 team passing yards per game to PHI's 191.7

The Rams are throwing for 284 yards a game, Philadelphia 191.7, over three games. Both are close to last season's numbers, 268.1 for the Rams and 194.3 for the Eagles, so this looks like identity and should hold. The Rams win through the air and Philadelphia leans elsewhere, which means this game likely comes down to which style controls the clock in Philadelphia.

BAL: 6.67 yards per play to TEN's 4.77

The Ravens gain 6.67 yards per play to Tennessee's 4.77 over three games, and both are running above last season's 5.92 and 4.38. Last game showed it: Baltimore had seven plays of 20 or more yards, including Lamar Jackson's 31-yarder to Rashod Bateman and a 29-yard Derrick Henry run, while Tennessee had one, a 20-yard Cam Ward throw to Carnell Tate. The big-play gap fits the Ravens' identity and should mostly hold. Tennessee needs long drives to keep pace, and that is hard to string together.

SF: 7.47 yards per play to DEN's 4.87

Through three games, SF gains far more ground each snap than DEN does. Both teams sat near the same mark last season, 5.49 for SF and 5.32 for DEN, so SF's 7.47 is a big jump and DEN's 4.87 a drop. Three games is a short run, and SF's number will likely drift down toward its old level. For this game, the question is whether DEN's offense can stay on the field long enough to keep SF's explosive start from setting the pace.

BUF: 75% red-zone scoring rate to NE's 16.7%

New England has turned just 16.7% of red-zone trips into touchdowns, against Buffalo's 75%, over three games. The Patriots were at 57.1% last season, so this is a small-sample collapse that should bounce back some. Buffalo is above its 66.2% from last year. When the Patriots do get close, field goals have been the story, and that can make them look better between the twenties than on the scoreboard.

JAX: 88.9% red-zone scoring rate to CIN's 50%

Jacksonville has scored touchdowns on 88.9% of red-zone trips, Cincinnati 50%, over three games. The Jaguars were at 61.8% last season, so that pace is well above their norm and should come down. Cincinnati sat at 66.7% last year and has room to climb back. Red-zone finishing swings over small samples, so this road game could look tighter than the season numbers suggest.

CHI: 184.3 rushing yards per game to NYJ's 92.3

Chicago is running for 184.3 yards a game, double the Jets' 92.3, through three games. The Bears were at 144.5 last season, so the ground game has taken a real step, while the Jets have dropped from 123.3. Some regression is likely for Chicago, but the style looks set: the Bears want to lean on the run at home. If they get an early lead, that approach can shorten the game and keep the Jets' offense on the sideline.

SF: 32.7 points per game to DEN's 20

DEN is at 20 points per game over 3 games; SF is at 32.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 23.6 over 17 games and SF at 25.7 over 17 games.

DAL: 1 sack taken per game to HOU's 3.33

Dallas has allowed one sack a game, Houston 3.33, through three games. Last season both sat around the same range, 2.38 for Dallas and 2.58 for Houston, so the Cowboys' line is running well ahead of its norm and the Texans' protection behind it. Both should drift back toward those marks. For this game, Houston's pass protection is the spot to watch against the Dallas rush.

MIN: 13.7 points allowed per game to MIA's 28.7

Minnesota is allowing 13.7 points a game and Miami 28.7 through three games. The Vikings allowed 19.6 last season, so this defense is playing above that level, and Miami is worse than its 24.9 from last year. Both should move toward last season's marks, but at home Minnesota's defense sets the tone against a Dolphins unit that has been giving up points.

BAL: 30.7 points per game to TEN's 12.3

Baltimore is scoring 30.7 a game and Tennessee 12.3 over three games. The Ravens are above last season's 24.9, so some cooling is likely, while the Titans are below their 16.7 from last year, which was already low. The scoring gap is real even if it narrows. Tennessee's ability to put up points is the bigger question for how lopsided this gets in Baltimore.

GB: 266.7 team passing yards per game to TB's 185

GB is at 266.7 team passing yards per game over 3 games; TB is at 185 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 212.8 over 17 games and TB at 205.9 over 17 games.

ATL: 47.7 rushing yards allowed per game to NO's 128.7

Atlanta allows only 47.7 rushing yards a game over 3 games, while New Orleans allows 128.7. Atlanta's number is extremely low and will likely rise, since run-defense averages this small often reflect opponents who fell behind and stopped running. It still points to a front that has been hard to move. In this game, the Saints may find the ground game tough and lean more on passing.

LV: 3.33 sacks recorded per game to KC's 1.33

Las Vegas has 3.33 sacks a game over 3 games, compared with Kansas City's 1.33. The Raiders' front has been getting home far more often, though three games is a small window and the sheet does not show who they faced. If that pressure carries into this game, Kansas City's passing plays could get cut short, which is worth weighing when thinking about the Chiefs' scoring and the pace of the game.

MIN: 4.67 sacks recorded per game to MIA's 0

Minnesota has 4.67 sacks a game over 3 games, and Miami has none at all. Getting zero sacks in three games says Miami's rush is not reaching quarterbacks, while Minnesota is getting there constantly. Sack pace like Minnesota's usually cools, but the gap between the two fronts is wide. In this matchup, pressure on the Miami quarterback is the thing most likely to kill drives.

CHI: 5.17 yards per rush attempt to NYJ's 3.17

CHI gains about two yards more per carry than NYJ through three games. NYJ ran for 4.53 a carry last season, so 3.17 is a steep fall; CHI's 5.17 is only a bit above its 4.75. NYJ should improve some as the sample grows, but right now its ground game is stuck. At CHI, NYJ may have to lean on the pass, while CHI can stay balanced and keep drives alive on the ground.

NO: 281.3 pass yards a game to ATL's 167.7

New Orleans is throwing for 281.3 yards a game, Atlanta for 167.7 through three games. Last season the gap was small, 219.3 to 207.2, so the Saints have jumped and the Falcons have dropped in a three-game sample. Both numbers look likely to move back toward last season. For now, the Saints' passing game is the one producing, and the Falcons would have to find more through the air on the road.

WSH: 0.33 turnovers a game to IND's 2

Indianapolis has given the ball away twice a game through three games, while Washington has coughed it up once in three weeks. Both teams sat at 1.35 last season, so each side has moved far from its norm in a small sample, and turnover rates swing hard week to week. If the Colts keep gifting possessions, Washington gets short fields at home. Expect both numbers to drift back toward last season's level.

BUF: 54.5% on third down to NE's 32.5%

Buffalo has moved the chains on more than half its third downs, while New England is converting about one in three. Both are three-game samples: Buffalo was at 44.8% last season, New England at 42.9%, so the Bills are running hot and the Patriots cold. If New England keeps stalling on third down, Buffalo gets extra possessions. Expect both to move toward last season's marks as the year goes on.

CHI: 184.3 rush yards a game to NYJ's 92.3

Chicago is running for about twice as many yards a game as the Jets through three games. The Bears were already a strong ground team last season at 144.5, and the Jets have fallen from 123.3 to 92.3. Chicago's number is likely to cool off some, but the gap looks real. A Bears team that can run at home controls the clock and shortens the game for the Jets.

LAR: 284 pass yards a game to PHI's 191.7

The widest gap between these two is pass yards a game: LAR threw for 284 passing yards a game over 3 games; PHI threw for 191.7 passing yards a game over 3 games this season. Last season LAR was at 268.1 over 17 games and PHI at 194.3 over 17 games.

BAL: 167.3 rush yards a game to TEN's 90.3

Baltimore is running for 167.3 yards a game, Tennessee for 90.3 through three games. Both numbers match last season closely, Baltimore at 156.6 and Tennessee at 93.5, so this is who these teams are. The Ravens can lean on the ground game at home and keep the Titans' offense on the sideline. Tennessee likely needs to win another way to keep pace.

DAL: 1 sacks taken a game to HOU's 3.33

Dallas has taken one sack a game through three games, while Houston's quarterback has gone down more than three times a game. Last season both were in the same range, Dallas at 2.38 and Houston at 2.58, so the Cowboys look better than usual and the Texans worse over a small sample. Sacks kill drives, so Houston's protection is the thing to track at home. Expect both to drift back toward last season.

MIN: 13.7 points allowed a game to MIA's 28.7

Minnesota is giving up 13.7 points a game while Miami's defense allows 28.7, both over 3 games. Both marks have moved from last season, when MIN allowed 19.6 and MIA 24.9, so three games have stretched a gap that was about five points. Expect some pull back toward those full-season numbers. For this game, the Miami defense coming into a road spot is the side to worry about, and the Vikings' 13.7 is the number more likely to rise.

SF: 7.47 yards a snap to DEN's 4.87

The widest gap between these two is yards a snap: DEN averaged 4.87 yards a snap on offense over 3 games; SF averaged 7.47 yards a snap on offense over 3 games this season. Last season DEN was at 5.32 over 17 games and SF at 5.49 over 17 games.

Jovaughn Gwyn (G) is out for BAL

Gwyn has a fractured fibula that will likely need surgery, so this is a long absence and he will not play against Tennessee. Baltimore will need another guard to step into his spot on the line. When judging how the Ravens run the ball and protect the passer, factor in a reshuffled interior.

Lamar Jackson (QB) is questionable for BAL

Jackson was limited Wednesday with a back injury, reported Sep 30. Questionable means a real chance he misses, though limited work early in the week is a better sign than sitting out. He is the engine of the Ravens offense, so any downgrade changes how this game against Tennessee looks. Watch his Thursday and Friday practice status before locking in anything tied to Baltimore's offense.

Cobie Durant (CB) is doubtful for DAL

Doubtful means Cobie Durant most likely sits Sunday in Houston. He is dealing with a hamstring injury, and the Dallas beat report says he likely won't suit up. Hamstrings can linger, so Dallas should plan for a thinner cornerback room against the Texans. That makes Houston's passing game the side to think about.

Azeez Al-Shaair (LB) is doubtful for HOU

Al-Shaair hurt his groin Sunday at Indianapolis, and DeMeco Ryans calling him week-to-week makes the doubtful tag look like a likely absence against Dallas. That label points past one game. Houston's other linebackers take on his snaps, so plan around a Texans defense playing without him for more than this week.

Charles Demmings (CB) is out for MIN

Kevin O'Connell said Charles Demmings will miss some time with a hamstring injury, reported Sep 29. Hamstrings tend to linger, so this is likely more than a one-game absence. Minnesota has to cover Miami's receivers with a thinner cornerback group, which is the spot to watch for Dolphins passing numbers this week.

Aidan O'Connell (QB) is questionable for LV

O'Connell missed Wednesday's practice for a personal reason. That is a different kind of absence than an injury, and the questionable tag tells you his status against Kansas City is still open. Hold off on Raiders passing props until there is word he is back with the team.

Nick Bosa (DE) is out for SF

Coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Bosa (calf) won't play this coming Sunday against the Broncos, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports. Reported Sep 28.

James Thompson Jr. (DT) is out for SF

James Thompson Jr. is out for the Broncos game with an ankle injury, reported Sep 29. He sits in the same week as Nick Bosa, so San Francisco is missing a tackle and its lead edge rusher at once. That double hit to the front is the main reason to look harder at Denver's ability to move the ball in this matchup.

Charlie Kolar (TE) is doubtful for LAC

Kolar is doubtful with a forearm injury and did not practice Wednesday, so he is unlikely to play at Seattle. Doubtful players rarely suit up. The sheet does not say who takes his snaps at tight end, so look at the rest of the Chargers' list before betting on it.

Xavier Legette (WR) is doubtful for CAR

Legette is doubtful with a knee injury after missing practice Wednesday, so expect Carolina to play Detroit without him. Jalen Coker is also questionable after sitting out Wednesday, which could leave the Panthers thin at receiver. Check both players' status late in the week before betting Carolina passing props.

HOU: 86.7 rushing yards allowed per game to DAL's 179.7

Houston allows 86.7 rushing yards a game and Dallas allows 179.7, each over 3 games. That is a big gap, but three games means one or two run-heavy opponents can shape the whole average, and the sheet does not name who they played. Houston's number looks like the sturdier one to lean on. When a team gives up this much on the ground, a bettor can think about how an opponent's run game might control the clock and shape the total.

Damien Lewis (G) is out for CAR

Carolina guard Damien Lewis is out against Detroit with an elbow injury. Coach Dave Canales said Wednesday he may return after the Week 5 bye, so this looks like a short absence. For this game, Carolina has a backup guard on the interior against Detroit, which matters most for their inside run game.

DET: 117.3 rushing yards allowed per game to CAR's 193.3

Detroit allows 117.3 rushing yards a game over 3 games, and Carolina allows 193.3. Carolina has been run on hard, and that level is hard to sustain but also hard to fix quickly. The sheet does not show opponents, so a run-heavy early schedule may be part of it. For this game, Detroit leaning on the ground to control the clock is a reasonable way to picture the script.

HOU: 3.67 sacks recorded per game to DAL's 0.67

Houston's defense has 3.67 sacks a game over 3 games; Dallas has 0.67. Pressure that consistent usually means a real pass rush, while Dallas getting almost no sacks points to a front struggling to win quickly. Three games is a short sample for sack totals, which tend to come in bunches. For this game, Houston's rush against the Dallas quarterback is the matchup that could stall drives and push scoring lower.

Braxton Jones (OT) is doubtful for CHI

Chicago's offensive tackle Braxton Jones is doubtful against the Jets and called week-to-week with a knee injury. Doubtful almost always means he sits, and week-to-week means this may stretch past one game. The sheet does not name his replacement, so the question for this game is how well a backup tackle holds up on the edge.

Mason Taylor (TE) is doubtful for NYJ

Taylor has a thumb injury, will not practice Wednesday and remains week-to-week as of Sep 30. Doubtful with that timeline means plan on him missing the Chicago game. Kenyon Sadiq, also a tight end, was limited Wednesday with an undisclosed issue, so the position is shaky across the board. Jets tight end props carry extra risk until Sadiq's status clears up.

Breece Hall (RB) is doubtful for NYJ

Hall has a thigh injury, won't practice Wednesday, and Aaron Glenn confirmed Sep 30 he is being viewed as week-to-week. That language plus a doubtful tag makes a Week trip to Chicago unlikely for him. The sheet doesn't name a backup, so the carries go to whoever is behind him. When a lead back is this unlikely to play, a Jets rushing line built on his usual workload is the number to question.

Adonai Mitchell (WR) is doubtful for NYJ

Mitchell has a finger injury, and Aaron Glenn said Sep 30 that he won't practice Wednesday and is week-to-week. Week-to-week on a Wednesday usually means more than one game, so doubtful here points toward sitting at Chicago. The Jets are also listed without Breece Hall and Mason Taylor this week, so the passing targets get thin fast. Bettors should expect the remaining receivers to soak up looks and price Jets yardage props with a short-handed group in mind.

Caleb Williams (QB) is doubtful for CHI

Doubtful means Williams is unlikely to play against the Jets. Coach Ben Johnson says he is getting better every day, yet he will not take part in Wednesday's walkthrough, and a quarterback who cannot do a walkthrough is a long way from playing. The sheet does not name a backup, so check who is listed before betting Chicago's offense.

Travis Etienne Jr. (RB) is out for NO

Travis Etienne Jr. hurt his hamstring in Sunday's 35-27 loss to the Raiders, and Kellen Moore said he will have some time lost. That points to missing the Falcons game and possibly more. The Saints lose their lead back, so the carries and check-downs shift to whoever else is in the New Orleans backfield.

Josh Allen (QB) is questionable for BUF

Allen is questionable with a knee injury, but he was spotted practicing Wednesday, which is a good early sign. Questionable means it could go either way, and a quarterback who is practicing midweek usually points toward playing. Thursday and Friday practice reports will say more before you commit to anything on New England at Buffalo.

MIN: 11.1% red-zone scoring allowed to MIA's 78.6%

Minnesota has let opponents score touchdowns on only 11.1% of red-zone trips over 3 games, while Miami has allowed 78.6%. Red-zone numbers ride on very few possessions, so Minnesota's figure is almost certain to climb. The direction still matters: Minnesota has been stingy when backed up and Miami has not. Bettors can think about which team settles for field goals, which shapes how a total lands.

TB: 37.5% red-zone scoring allowed to GB's 83.3%

GB is at 83.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; TB is at 37.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Jayden Daniels (QB) is questionable for WSH

Daniels is the Commanders' starting quarterback, so an elbow issue on his throwing side is the injury that matters most on this roster. Quinn said he will be limited in Wednesday's practice, which means he is working but not taking every rep. Questionable leaves him somewhere between likely and a true coin flip for the Colts game, and the rest of the week's practice reports will tell you which way it leans. If you are looking at Washington's passing numbers, wait to see whether he moves to full participation before trusting them.

Sam Cosmi (G) is out for WSH

Cosmi is a guard on Washington's offensive line, and a concussion keeps him off the London trip and out of Sunday's game against Indianapolis. Out means he will not play, so there is no game-time decision to wait on. His replacement is not listed here, so check who starts at guard before judging how the interior line holds up against the Colts' front.

Nick Cross (S) is out for WSH

Cross is a safety for Washington, and an illness keeps him from even making the trip to London, so he is fully ruled out for Sunday against the Colts. Out means no chance he plays, which settles the question well before kickoff. The fact sheet does not name who fills his spot, so watch for the Commanders' depth chart at safety this week. For bettors, this is a known absence that can be priced in early.

Teven Jenkins (G) is out for CLE

Cleveland also loses guard Teven Jenkins to a back injury for Thursday's game against Pittsburgh. Paired with center Elgton Jenkins being out, two of the three interior spots on the Browns line will have fill-ins. That middle of the line is where a backup gets tested fastest, so Cleveland's inside run game and interior pass protection are the places to look.

Elgton Jenkins (C) is out for CLE

Cleveland plays Thursday against Pittsburgh without its starting center, who is out with a concussion. The center makes the line calls and snaps every play, so a backup handling that against the Steelers front is a real downgrade. The sheet does not name his replacement. For a bettor, this is a spot to think about Cleveland's run game and protection in a short-week division game.

Joey Porter Jr. (CB) is out for PIT

Porter has a back injury and is already ruled out for Thursday's game at Cleveland, so there is no waiting on a game-time call. Pittsburgh will play the Browns without him at corner, and the sheet does not name his replacement. For betting, the useful part is that the status is settled: anything priced on the Browns' passing game can account for his absence now.

Tylan Wallace (WR) is out for CLE

Wallace's knee keeps him out of Thursday's game against the Steelers, so there is no decision left to wait on. The status was set early in the week, which gives Cleveland a short week to plan around him. Look at how his targets get spread among the other Browns receivers rather than expecting one player to absorb them.

Rico Dowdle (RB) is out for PIT

The Steelers have already ruled Dowdle out for Thursday night in Cleveland with a toe injury, so there is no game-day decision here. The sheet does not name who takes his carries, so check who is listed behind him before playing any Pittsburgh rushing props. On a short week, a backfield change is the kind of spot where lines can lag behind the news.

HOU: 38.5% third downs allowed to DAL's 58.8%

Dallas has let opponents convert 58.8% of third downs over 3 games, while Houston sits at 38.5%. A defense that keeps getting off the field limits drives, and Dallas has not managed that yet. Third-down rates move a lot early in a season, so expect Dallas to come down somewhat. In this matchup, Houston's offense getting extra chances to extend drives is a reasonable way to frame the game script.

MIN: 22.7% third downs allowed to MIA's 48.1%

Minnesota has allowed conversions on just 22.7% of third downs over 3 games, while Miami has allowed 48.1%. That Minnesota rate is extreme, and rates this low rarely last a full season, so some pullback is likely. The sheet does not name the offenses they faced. Even with a dip, Minnesota ending drives early against a Miami defense that has not is a useful lens for how possessions might tilt.

SEA: 3.77 yards per play allowed to LAC's 5.4

Seattle allows 3.77 yards per play over 3 games; the Chargers allow 5.4. Yards per play is a steadier measure than totals, and 3.77 is a very low number that suggests a defense rarely giving up chunk gains. Some rise is likely as the sample grows. For this game, Seattle limiting explosive plays tilts toward longer, slower drives from the Chargers.

Colbie Young (WR) is out for CIN

Colbie Young will not suit up for the Bengals against the Jaguars in Week 4 because of a knee injury, per a report on Sep 28. The sheet gives no timeline beyond this game, so treat his absence as a one-week fact for now. His targets have to go to other Cincinnati receivers, and any prop tied to Young is dead for this matchup.

Terrance Ferguson (TE) is doubtful for LAR

Ferguson did not practice Wednesday with an ankle injury, and doubtful means the Rams expect him to sit at Philadelphia. That points to more snaps for the other Rams tight ends. If you are looking at Rams pass-catcher props, plan around him being out.

CAR: 172.3 passing yards allowed per game to DET's 299.3

Carolina allows 172.3 passing yards a game over 3 games, while Detroit allows 299.3. Detroit's secondary has been giving up big yardage, though the sheet does not say how many opponents were throwing to chase or protect a lead, which can inflate totals. Three games is short either way. In this game, Carolina's passing attack facing that Detroit defense is the spot to think about for yardage.

Dallas Goedert (TE) is doubtful for PHI

Doubtful usually means a player does not suit up, and Goedert sat out Wednesday's walkthrough with a knee injury. A walkthrough is the lightest session of the week, so missing it is a poor sign. If he sits against the Rams, Philadelphia's tight end snaps go to the backups, and DeVonta Smith is also nursing a hamstring, which thins the short-area options.

Jaylen Watson (CB) is doubtful for LAR

Jaylen Watson dislocated his shoulder in Sunday night's loss to the Broncos, and Sean McVay said he is likely to miss the Eagles game. Doubtful here means expect him out. A dislocated shoulder rarely clears in a week, so the Rams should plan to face Philadelphia's passing game with a thinner cornerback group.

Baker Mayfield (QB) is out for TB

Baker Mayfield has a thumb injury, and Todd Bowles said Monday he is expected to miss three weeks. That covers the Packers game and likely the next two after it. Losing the starting quarterback for that stretch changes how the whole Tampa Bay offense operates, so any Bucs number built on his games needs to be rethought for this window.

Ethan Pocic (C) is out for BAL

Ethan Pocic, the Ravens' center, is set to miss significant time with a knee injury, reported Sep 29. The center makes the line calls and snaps every play, so a replacement there matters more than a typical depth move. Baltimore also lost guard Jovaughn Gwyn in the same report, which leaves the middle of the line reshuffled for the Titans game.

DET: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to CAR's 16.7%

DET has converted 75% of its fourth-down tries this season, CAR just 16.7%. Fourth downs come in tiny numbers over three games, so a single attempt swings these rates hard. Last season CAR was at 67.5% and DET at 58.1%, which says CAR's number is the one most likely to bounce back. What carries over is DET's willingness to go for it, which can extend drives and add points in spots other teams punt.

GB: 266.7 pass yards a game to TB's 185

Green Bay is throwing for 266.7 yards a game, Tampa Bay for 185 through three games. Last season they were close, 212.8 and 205.9, so both have moved a long way in a small sample. The Packers' passing game is running hot and the Buccaneers' has gone quiet. Expect both to drift back toward last season's level, but the Packers bring the stronger air attack into this road game.

MIN: 23.7 points per game to MIA's 12

MIA is at 12 points per game over 3 games; MIN is at 23.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season MIA was at 20.4 over 17 games and MIN at 20.2 over 17 games.

SF: 90% red-zone scoring rate to DEN's 60%

DEN is at 60% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; SF is at 90% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 57.9% over 17 games and SF at 65.2% over 17 games.

Dylan Parham (G) is doubtful for NYJ

Jets guard Dylan Parham is doubtful at Chicago and considered week to week with a knee injury. Doubtful usually means he does not play, and week to week points to more than one missed game. The sheet does not name a replacement, so the Jets will lean on a backup on the interior line for this one.

MIN: 4.77 yards per play allowed to MIA's 6.3

MIA is at 6.3 yards per play allowed over 3 games; MIN is at 4.77 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

KC: 6.47 yards per play to LV's 4.93

KC is gaining about a yard and a half more per play than LV over three games, and its 6.47 is well above the 5.05 it posted last season. Its last game had four plays of 20 yards or more, led by Patrick Mahomes hitting Travis Kelce for 48. LV is up from 4.35 last season to 4.93 and had three chunk plays of its own, including a 36-yard touchdown run by Mike Washington Jr. KC's big-play rate should settle some, but in this game its deep passing is the edge LV has to contain.

DAL: 29.3 points per game to HOU's 18

DAL is at 29.3 points per game over 3 games; HOU is at 18 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 27.7 over 17 games and HOU at 23.8 over 17 games.

Trey Lance (QB) is questionable for LAC

The Chargers list Trey Lance as questionable for the Seahawks game, with no injury or further detail given. Questionable means a real chance he plays, and the sheet offers nothing more to size up. Check the final status closer to kickoff before leaning on anything involving him.

LV: 3 takeaways per game to KC's 1.67

Las Vegas has forced 3 takeaways a game over 3 games, compared with Kansas City's 1.67. Three a game is a pace no defense holds for long, since takeaways lean heavily on bounces and opponents' mistakes. The Raiders have still been disruptive. Against Kansas City, any extra possessions from turnovers could matter a lot to the margin, but counting on that pace to repeat is risky.

CHI: 2 takeaways per game to NYJ's 0.67

Chicago has forced 2 takeaways a game over 3 games, while the Jets have forced 0.67. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football, so expect Chicago's to drift down over time. For now, Chicago's defense has been handing its offense extra short fields. That field-position edge is the angle to consider for this matchup rather than a sign it will continue.

PIT: 2 takeaways per game to CLE's 0.67

Pittsburgh is forcing 2 takeaways a game over 3 games, while Cleveland is at 0.67. Takeaways swing a lot from game to game and depend partly on bounces, so Pittsburgh's rate will probably settle lower. The gap still means Pittsburgh has been creating extra possessions. For this game, turnover luck can move a spread, and Pittsburgh has been on the right side of it.

SEA: 141.7 passing yards allowed per game to LAC's 233

Seattle allows 141.7 passing yards a game over 3 games, while the Chargers allow 233. That is a stingy mark for Seattle, though the sheet does not name the quarterbacks faced, and weak passing offenses can make a secondary look better than it is. Expect some climb. For this game, the Chargers' passing attack faces a defense that has kept throwing yards low so far.

KC: 6.47 yards a snap to LV's 4.93

Kansas City is gaining 6.47 yards a play, Las Vegas 4.93 through three games. Both are up from last season, Kansas City at 5.05 and Las Vegas at 4.35, so the Chiefs have the bigger jump and some of it likely cools. The gap between them matches last season. The Chiefs move the ball more easily, and the Raiders likely need to shorten the game at home.

BUF: 6.67 yards per play to NE's 5.2

BUF is gaining about a yard and a half more per play than NE through three games. NE averaged 6.23 last season, so 5.2 is a drop, yet its last game had five plays of 20 yards or more, three of them Drake Maye completions. BUF's 6.67 is up from 5.94, with Josh Allen's 37-yarder to Keon Coleman the longest play in its last game. NE's recent big plays suggest its average may climb back, which could make this closer than the per-play gap suggests.

Caleb Douglas (WR) is questionable for MIA

Coach Jeff Hafley said Douglas will not practice Wednesday because of an ankle injury, reported Sep 30. Questionable means he could still play at Minnesota, but a missed Wednesday leaves Thursday and Friday to show progress. Until he returns to practice, be careful with any Dolphins receiving prop that assumes he plays his usual role.

Jaylen Wright (RB) is questionable for MIA

Wright was officially limited Wednesday with a foot injury, reported Sep 30, before Miami's trip to Minnesota. Limited practice early in the week leaves him a real chance to play. A foot issue could still cap his workload if he suits up. Keep an eye on the late-week report before betting his rushing numbers.

Nico Collins (WR) is questionable for HOU

Collins was limited Wednesday with a hamstring, reported Sep 30, ahead of Dallas at Houston. Hamstrings can linger and flare up, so limited work is only a partial green light. If he plays, watch whether his snaps get managed. Friday's final status is the signal for Collins props and Houston's passing game.

Zay Flowers (WR) is questionable for BAL

Flowers has a hamstring issue and was limited in Wednesday's practice ahead of Tennessee's visit. Hamstrings can linger, and even an active player may see his snaps managed. He is one of two Baltimore questionable tags this week along with Jackson, so the Ravens' passing game has two moving pieces to settle.

Tony Pollard (RB) is questionable for TEN

Pollard has an ankle injury and did not practice Wednesday, reported Sep 30, ahead of the trip to Baltimore. Questionable means it could go either way, and missing Wednesday makes the rest of the week's reports matter. Tyjae Spears is also sitting out Wednesday with an ankle, so Tennessee's backfield could be thin. Hold off on Titans rushing props until you see who practices later in the week.

Bucky Irving (RB) is questionable for TB

Irving was limited Wednesday with a glute injury, so he was on the field in some capacity ahead of Green Bay. That leans toward him being available, though questionable still means undecided. His practice level over the next two days is the best signal for Tampa's backfield plans.

Chris Godwin Jr. (WR) is questionable for TB

Godwin sat out Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, which makes his questionable tag against Green Bay a real concern. A missed session early in the week is worse news than a limited one. Watch whether he returns to practice later in the week before betting anything tied to Tampa's receivers.

Hollywood Brown (WR) is questionable for PHI

Brown (ankle) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 1.

DeVonta Smith (WR) is questionable for PHI

Smith missed Wednesday's walkthrough with a hamstring injury, and hamstrings can linger. With Dallas Goedert doubtful too, the Eagles could be short two pass catchers against the Rams. Whether Smith practices later in the week tells you most of what you need about his role in this game.

Will Shipley (RB) is questionable for PHI

Shipley missed Wednesday's practice with a foot injury, and questionable means it could go either way against the Rams. A missed practice to start the week leans toward concern. Watch Thursday and Friday reports before counting on him in the Eagles backfield rotation.

Puka Nacua (WR) is questionable for LAR

Nacua was limited Wednesday with a hip injury, so he did some work. Limited early in the week is usually a better sign than sitting out entirely. Watch the rest of the week's reports before Rams at Eagles, since a reduced role from the Rams' top receiver changes how the passing game gets spread.

KC: 153.3 rushing yards per game to LV's 100

KC is at 153.3 rushing yards per game over 3 games; LV is at 100 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season KC was at 106.6 over 17 games and LV at 77.5 over 17 games.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB) is questionable for NYG

Tracy did not practice Wednesday with a knee injury, which is a worse start to the week than a limited session. Questionable leaves room for him to play against Arizona, but he needs to get on the field later in the week. If he cannot go, the Giants backfield carries shift to the other backs on the roster.

Kene Nwangwu (RB) is questionable for NYJ

Nwangwu (back) was limited in Wednesday's practice, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 30.

Keon Coleman (WR) is questionable for BUF

Coleman did not practice Wednesday with an ankle, reported Sep 30, the worse of the two practice statuses. DJ Moore was also limited with a shoulder, so Buffalo could be short at receiver against New England. A full miss Wednesday means Thursday's report matters a lot here. Hold off on Coleman props until his practice status improves.

DJ Moore (WR) is questionable for BUF

Moore was limited Wednesday with a shoulder, reported Sep 30, which puts him in true questionable territory against New England. Keon Coleman also missed Wednesday practice with an ankle, so Buffalo's receiver depth is in question on both fronts. If Moore plays at less than full speed, targets could spread out. Wait on late-week practice reports before betting his yardage.

Rachaad White (RB) is questionable for WSH

White is a running back for Washington dealing with a shoulder injury, and Quinn said he will not practice Wednesday. Sitting out the first practice of the week is a worse sign than a limited day, so questionable here tilts toward doubt unless he returns to the field Thursday or Friday. If he sits against the Colts, his carries go to the other backs on the depth chart, so any bet built on White's usage depends on his practice status later this week.

Ashton Dulin (WR) is questionable for IND

Dulin is a depth receiver for the Colts, so his absence would shift a few snaps rather than change the offense. He did not practice Wednesday, Sep 30, with an ankle injury. Questionable leaves him somewhere near a coin flip, and missing the first practice of the week pushes that lean toward sitting. His status matters little for game lines against Washington, so bettors can mostly ignore it outside of deep props.

Jakobi Meyers (WR) is questionable for JAX

Meyers has a thumb injury and was limited Wednesday, so he got some work in ahead of the trip to Cincinnati. A limited session early in the week usually leaves the door open to play. If he is active, keep in mind a thumb can affect how cleanly a receiver catches the ball.

Tyjae Spears (RB) is questionable for TEN

Spears is out of Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, reported Sep 30, and Tony Pollard is sitting out the same day with an ankle of his own. That puts both of Tennessee's named backs in doubt for Baltimore. Questionable means a real chance either one plays or sits. If one gets upgraded and the other doesn't, the healthy back's workload could jump, so watch the late-week reports before betting any Titans runner.

LeQuint Allen Jr. (RB) is questionable for JAX

Allen was limited Wednesday with a hip injury, which means he practiced in some form. Questionable with limited work early in the week often trends toward playing, and Thursday and Friday reports will say more. If his workload against Cincinnati gets trimmed, other Jacksonville backs pick up carries.

Braves are 9-4 vs Phillies this season

Atlanta has won nine of the 13 meetings, which is a real sample for a season series. Philadelphia took the last one 9-4, so the edge does not show up every night. The sheet does not say who started those games or where they were played, so the record tells you who won and leaves out why. With the game in Atlanta, give the Braves a mild lean in how you frame it and let tonight's starters decide how much it counts.

BAL: 30:39 time of possession per game to TEN's 23:28

TEN is at 23:28 time of possession per game over 3 games; BAL is at 30:39 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 29:08 over 17 games and BAL at 29:11 over 17 games.

Jalen Coker (WR) is questionable for CAR

Coker did not practice Wednesday and is questionable against Detroit. The sheet gives no injury. With Xavier Legette doubtful too, Carolina could be short at receiver, so his status late in the week matters for anyone betting Panthers passing props.

George Holani (RB) is questionable for SEA

Holani (ribs) was a limited participant at the Seahawks' practice Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Jadarian Price (RB) is questionable for SEA

Price was limited Wednesday with a chest injury, which means he practiced on some level. A limited tag early in the week leaves him a fair chance to face the Chargers. Track the late-week reports, since any cut in his role sends touches to Seattle's other backs.

Keaton Mitchell (RB) is questionable for LAC

Mitchell was limited Wednesday with an ankle injury, which means he did some work, a better sign than sitting out entirely. Questionable leaves real doubt for the trip to Seattle. If he sits, the rest of the Chargers backfield takes his carries, so check the late-week report before backing any Chargers runner.

Brenen Thompson (WR) is questionable for LAC

Thompson has a quad injury and did not practice Wednesday, which puts him in real doubt for the trip to Seattle. Tight end Charlie Kolar is doubtful for the Chargers too, so their passing game could be missing two pieces. See whether Thompson practices later in the week before betting on him.

Ladd McConkey (WR) is questionable for LAC

Ladd McConkey was limited in Wednesday's practice with a foot injury and is questionable for the Seahawks game. A limited session midweek usually means he is working through it, and his practice status later in the week is the clearest signal. If he plays at less than full speed, his target share against Seattle is the thing to watch.

KhaDarel Hodge (WR) is questionable for SF

Hodge did not practice Wednesday because of a knee injury, and he is listed as questionable for Sunday against the Broncos. Questionable means it could go either way. One missed practice early in the week is a single data point, so Thursday and Friday reports will say more. The sheet does not describe his role or name a replacement, so any bet that depends on San Francisco's receiver group is better made after his final status is known.

Mike Evans (WR) is questionable for SF

Kyle Shanahan said Evans would not practice Wednesday because of a rib injury, which leaves his status for Denver in doubt. Rib injuries are often about pain tolerance, so he could still play without a full week of work. KhaDarel Hodge is also questionable in the same receiver room, so San Francisco's depth there is worth checking before kickoff.

Jaylen Waddle (WR) is questionable for DEN

Waddle was seen in a walking boot on his right foot after Sunday's win over the Rams, which is what put him on the questionable list. The Denver Post reports he is believed to be fine, and the sheet gives no diagnosis. Questionable leaves real doubt for the trip to San Francisco. Until practice reports show him moving freely, his receiving props carry more risk than usual, and a boot story can shift late in the week.

Justin Jefferson (WR) is questionable for MIN

Jefferson is the Vikings' best player on offense, and limiting him changes how Minnesota attacks Miami. He has an ankle injury, and Kevin O'Connell said he won't practice Wednesday, Sep 30, and is day-to-day. Questionable with no practice is a real risk, though day-to-day language suggests the team is not ruling him out. Any Vikings passing prop or total is shakier until he gets on the practice field later this week.

Chris Bell (WR) is questionable for MIA

Bell was limited Wednesday with a knee, reported Sep 30, ahead of Miami at Minnesota. Limited early-week work gives him a path to play. Check whether he upgrades later in the week before trusting any Bell prop.

TB: 76 rushing yards allowed per game to GB's 138.7

Tampa Bay's run defense has given up 76 yards a game through three games, while Green Bay has allowed 138.7. Three games is a short run, and without opponent detail it's hard to say how much of that gap is the defense and how much is who they faced or game script. Expect both numbers to drift toward the middle as the sample grows. For this game, the question is whether Green Bay can lean on the ground against a front that has held up so far, or gets pushed into throwing.

SEA: 25 points per game to LAC's 14.7

LAC is at 14.7 points per game over 3 games; SEA is at 25 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAC was at 21.6 over 17 games and SEA at 28.4 over 17 games.

SEA: 266.7 pass yards a game to LAC's 195.7

Seattle is throwing for 266.7 yards a game, the Chargers for 195.7 through three games. Last season it was 228.1 to 212.2, so the Seahawks are up and the Chargers down in a small sample. Both numbers look likely to move back some. At home, Seattle's passing game is the one producing right now, and the Chargers need more through the air to keep pace.

NE: 170 passing yards allowed per game to BUF's 254.3

New England has allowed 170 passing yards a game over three games, while Buffalo is giving up 254.3. A three-game sample can reflect soft passing opponents or teams that ran the ball with a lead, so the Patriots' number may not be as solid as it looks. It is likely to rise some against better passing attacks. In Buffalo, the useful angle is whether New England's coverage holds against a stronger aerial test than a lower number alone suggests.

NO: 27 points per game to ATL's 17

ATL is at 17 points per game over 3 games; NO is at 27 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 20.8 over 17 games and NO at 18 over 17 games.

GB: 2.67 sacks taken per game to TB's 4.33

TB's quarterback is going down more than four times a game through three games, GB's under three. Both lines are allowing more sacks than last season, when TB gave up 2.38 a game and GB 2.07. TB's jump is the bigger one and may ease, but at home it has to protect better. If GB's pass rush keeps TB behind the chains, TB drives stall and GB's passing edge gets more room to play.

WSH: 82 rushing yards allowed per game to IND's 141.3

Washington has allowed 82 rushing yards a game through three games, and Indianapolis sits at 141.3. That split is real so far, but three games leaves room for schedule and script to shape it. Both should move toward average as more games come in. In this matchup, watch whether Indianapolis can establish the run or has to lean elsewhere against a front that has been stingy early.

BUF: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to NE's 2

NE is at 2 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; BUF is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 0.47 over 17 games and BUF at 0.59 over 17 games.

SF: 0 sacks taken per game to DEN's 1.67

DEN is at 1.67 sacks taken per game over 3 games; SF is at 0 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 1.77 over 17 games and SF at 1.8 over 17 games.

ARI: 100% fourth-down conversion rate to NYG's 50%

ARI has converted every fourth down it has tried this season, NYG half of theirs. Over three games that is a handful of attempts, so one miss changes the rate a lot. Last season ARI was at 42.9% and NYG at 46.2%, so ARI's perfect mark will almost surely come down. What matters for this game is how aggressive each coach is on fourth down, which affects drive length and scoring chances.

TEN: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to BAL's 0%

TEN is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; BAL is at 0% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 45.7% over 17 games and BAL at 60% over 17 games.

SEA: 1 sack taken per game to LAC's 2.67

Seattle's quarterback has gone down once a game through three games, while the Chargers are giving up 2.67. That fits both teams' history: last season LAC took 3.75 a game and SEA 2.08, so this gap looks like who these lines are. In Seattle, the side that stays upright gets to keep drives alive and call its full playbook, and the Chargers' passing plan is the one more likely to get cut short.

DET: 4 sacks recorded per game to CAR's 2.33

Detroit is getting 4 sacks a game through three games, while Carolina is at 2.33. That kind of pressure rate is hard to keep up over a full season, and three games can be inflated by one big day against a weak line. Expect Detroit's number to cool some. In Carolina, the pressure matchup is a way to think about how comfortable the Panthers' quarterback will be and how drives might stall.

Jeremy Ruckert (TE) is questionable for NYJ

Ruckert (knee) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 1.

NYJ: 4.67 yards per play allowed to CHI's 5.93

The Jets are allowing 4.67 yards per play over three games, while Chicago gives up 5.93. Yards per play is a cleaner efficiency number than totals, which gives this gap more weight than most three-game splits. Opponent quality still matters over a sample this short. In Chicago, it frames the Jets defense as the steadier unit on a per-snap basis heading in.

KC: 4.83 yards per rush attempt to LV's 3.23

Kansas City is gaining 4.83 yards a carry over three games, and Las Vegas is at 3.23. KC was at 4.29 last season, so some of this jump is a three-game bump that can cool off, while the Raiders at 3.38 last season look much the same as now. If KC can lean on the run and the Raiders can't, KC controls the pace and the clock, which matters when you think about how a game script plays out.

Padres 6-2 in Nick Pivetta's last 8 starts

San Diego has won six of Nick Pivetta's last eight starts, and the last five in a row. That streak sits inside a small sample, and runs like it rarely last long. The record covers the whole team, and the sheet has no pitching lines to show how much of it is Pivetta. Hosting the Cubs, it supports the Padres on his day, though a streak this visible can push the price shorter than the evidence earns.

Braves 6-2 in Tyler Mahle's last 8 starts

Atlanta usually comes out ahead when Tyler Mahle pitches, six wins in his last eight turns. Eight starts is a small window, and a team record counts the lineup and bullpen too, so Mahle gets only part of the credit. With no innings or runs allowed on the sheet, his own share is hard to pin down. Against Philadelphia, it says the Braves tend to be in these games on his days, and the price decides whether that is worth anything.

White Sox 6-2 in Sean Burke's last 8 starts

Chicago has won six of Sean Burke's last eight starts, a strong run for the club behind him. Eight games is a short sample, and the wins include the offense and bullpen, so it describes how those games went more than how Burke pitched. Team records over a stretch like this tend to drift back toward the club's usual level. At Houston, it gives you a reason to look at the White Sox on his day, weighed against the price.

Ben Sinnott (TE) is questionable for WSH

Sinnott (ribs) was estimated as limited in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Eli Raridon (TE) is questionable for NE

Raridon was limited Wednesday with a thigh injury, so he practiced in some form. Questionable with limited work early in the week usually leans toward playing at Buffalo. A reduced role would push tight end snaps to New England's other options.

T.J. Sanders (DT) is doubtful for BUF

Sanders is a Buffalo defensive tackle listed doubtful against New England, so expect him to miss. The report gives no injury detail. The Bills rotate other interior linemen into his snaps, which matters most on Patriots running plays.

Durham Smythe (TE) is questionable for BAL

Smythe (heel) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Cubs are 5-1 vs Padres this season

Chicago has won five of six against San Diego, and the last meeting was a 23-3 blowout. Six games is a short sample, and one lopsided score makes a series look more one-sided than the teams are. Nothing on the sheet says who pitched or where those games were played, so there is no clear reason the edge carries into tonight in San Diego. Put tonight's pitching matchup well ahead of the head-to-head record.

Colby Parkinson (TE) is questionable for LAR

Head coach Sean McVay said Parkinson (shoulder) will not practice Wednesday, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

DAL: 7.3 sack yards lost per game to HOU's 23.3

DAL is at 7.3 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; HOU is at 23.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 16 over 17 games and HOU at 20.8 over 17 games.

Joey Porter Jr.

Back · Limited practice · Out

Rico Dowdle

Toe · Did not practice · Out

Elgton Jenkins

Concussion · Did not practice · Out

Teven Jenkins

Back · Limited practice · Out

Tylan Wallace

Knee · Did not practice · Out

Sam Cosmi

Concussion, Throat · Did not practice · Out

Kenyon Sadiq (TE) is questionable for NYJ

Sadiq was limited at Wednesday's practice due to a back injury. Reported Oct 1.

Nick Cross

Illness · Did not practice · Out

Colbie Young

Knee · Did not practice · Out

Baker Mayfield

Thumb · Did not practice · Out

Ethan Pocic

Knee · Did not practice · Out

Damien Lewis

Elbow · Did not practice · Out

James Thompson Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice · Out

Nick Bosa

Calf · Did not practice · Out

Charles Demmings

Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

Jovaughn Gwyn

Lower Leg · Did not practice · Out

Mo Alie-Cox (TE) is questionable for IND

Alie-Cox missed Wednesday's practice with an illness, which tends to clear up faster than a structural injury. If he gets back on the field later in the week, he likely plays against Washington. If he sits, the Colts' other tight ends absorb his snaps.

Chig Okonkwo (TE) is questionable for WSH

Okonkwo (hamstring) was estimated as a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Bryce Harper (bats L) gets a RHP from the 3rd spot

Harper has a .997 OPS against right-handers over 352 at-bats and .657 against lefties over 225. Both samples are large, so this split is who he is. With right-hander Tyler Mahle starting in Atlanta, he bats third to get that side of him up in the first inning. His props and early Phillies scoring look best while Mahle is in, and less so once a lefty comes out of the Braves bullpen.

P 2-for-5, 5 TB

DAL: 75% red-zone scoring rate to HOU's 50%

DAL is at 75% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; HOU is at 50% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 56.9% over 17 games and HOU at 46.3% over 17 games.

JAX: 12 points allowed a game to CIN's 21

Jacksonville's defense has allowed 12 points a game through three games, Cincinnati's 21. Both are better than last season, Jacksonville at 19.8 and Cincinnati at 28.9, and the Bengals' improvement is the bigger one. Three games is a small sample, so expect both to give some of that back. The Jaguars' defense has been the stingier one so far, which matters on the road.

Jaxson Dart (QB) is on injured reserve for NYG

Dart had surgery to repair the meniscus and MCL in his left knee and is on injured reserve, so he will not play against Arizona. That is a long-term absence. The sheet does not name who starts at quarterback for the Giants, so confirm the starter before betting their offense.

Jalen Ramsey (CB) is questionable for PIT

Ramsey (wrist) is questionable for Thursday night's game against the Browns, Brooke Pryor of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 30.

Brandin Echols (CB) is questionable for PIT

Pittsburgh cornerback Brandin Echols is questionable for Thursday at Cleveland with a concussion. A concussion requires clearing the league protocol, and the short week gives him little time. If he sits, the Steelers need another corner in coverage, though the sheet does not name one.

Monroe Freeling (OT) is questionable for CAR

Carolina tackle Monroe Freeling is questionable against Detroit after missing Wednesday's practice with a concussion. He has to clear the league protocol to play. With guard Damien Lewis already out, Carolina could be thin on the line in this game if Freeling sits too.

NE: 17 points allowed per game to BUF's 26

NE is at 17 points allowed per game over 3 games; BUF is at 26 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 18.8 over 17 games and BUF at 21.5 over 17 games.

JAX: 12 points allowed per game to CIN's 21

Jacksonville has allowed 12 points a game over three games, down from 19.8 last season, while Cincinnati has allowed 21 after giving up 28.9 last year. Both defenses are well ahead of last season, and three games is a small sample, so some of each number probably drifts back toward last year's mark. Jacksonville has the better defensive track record here, but the size of its drop is the part most likely to shrink.

Will Anderson Jr. (DE) is questionable for HOU

Anderson is Houston's top edge rusher, and he was limited Wednesday with an ankle injury. Limited work keeps him in play for Dallas, though questionable leaves real doubt. His status matters a lot for how much pressure the Cowboys quarterback faces, so watch the final report before betting on Houston's pass rush.

Josh Simmons (OT) is questionable for KC

Chiefs tackle Josh Simmons did not practice Wednesday because of a back injury and is questionable at Las Vegas. Tackles protect the quarterback's edge, so if he sits, Kansas City plays a backup there. The sheet does not name the fill-in, so later practice reports this week are the thing to check.

D.J. Reed (CB) is questionable for DET

Reed was limited Wednesday with a rib injury, so he got some work in. Rib injuries are often a matter of pain tolerance, and limited practice is a decent sign for him facing Carolina. If he is out or limited in snaps, the Lions' other corners have to cover more ground.

BUF: 155 rushing yards per game to NE's 109.3

NE is at 109.3 rushing yards per game over 3 games; BUF is at 155 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 128.9 over 17 games and BUF at 159.6 over 17 games.

Lukas Van Ness (DE) is questionable for GB

Van Ness was limited Wednesday with a shoulder injury and is questionable at Tampa Bay. Getting on the field at all is a step toward playing. If he is out, Green Bay's edge rotation gets thinner against the Buccaneers.

Jacob Monk (C) is questionable for GB

Jacob Monk picked up an undisclosed injury late in the Packers' 35-14 loss to the Falcons on Thursday. He is questionable for the Tampa Bay game, and the sheet gives no detail on how serious it is. A change at center can affect the whole line, so his final status is worth checking before this game.

Christian Gonzalez (CB) is questionable for NE

Gonzalez did not practice Wednesday with a shoulder injury, and he is a starting cornerback for New England. Missing him against Buffalo would force the Patriots to cover with depth behind him. Whether he returns to practice later in the week is the signal that matters for how this secondary looks Sunday.

Shavon Revel Jr. (CB) is questionable for DAL

Shavon Revel Jr. is expected to work his way into practice this week while coming back from a knee injury. That sounds like a gradual return, so a limited role or snap count at Houston is possible even if he's active. With Cobie Durant also doubtful, the Dallas cornerback depth is the thing to track.

Tyson Campbell (CB) is questionable for CLE

Campbell (knee) was estimated as a limited participant in Monday's practice, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. Reported Sep 29.

BUF: 4 red-zone trips per game to NE's 2

NE is at 2 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; BUF is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 3.71 over 17 games and BUF at 3.82 over 17 games.

DET: 0.33 turnovers committed per game to CAR's 1.33

Detroit has turned it over once in three games, 0.33 a game, while Carolina is at 1.33. Carolina's number matches its 1.35 from last season, and Detroit was already careful at 0.88 last year, so the gap looks real even if Detroit's rate rises a bit. Extra possessions tend to go Detroit's way in this game.

GB: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to TB's 2.33

GB is at 1.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; TB is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 0.76 over 17 games and TB at 0.94 over 17 games.

BUF: 1.67 turnovers committed per game to NE's 2.67

NE is at 2.67 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; BUF is at 1.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 0.94 over 17 games and BUF at 1.12 over 17 games.

CAR: 2.33 takeaways per game to DET's 1.33

DET is at 1.33 takeaways per game over 3 games; CAR is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

MIN: 2 takeaways per game to MIA's 1

MIA is at 1 takeaways per game over 3 games; MIN is at 2 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

LAR: 1 takeaways per game to PHI's 0

The Rams are forcing 1 takeaway a game through three games, while Philadelphia has none. Takeaways are among the most random stats in football, and three games is too few to call either side opportunistic or not. Expect both to move. For this game, don't lean on the turnover gap as if it reflects a lasting edge.

NYG: 18.3 points allowed a game to ARI's 27

The Giants' defense has allowed 18.3 points a game through three games, Arizona's 27. Arizona is close to last season's 28.7, while the Giants have improved from 25.8 in a small sample. The Cardinals' number looks like who they are, and the Giants' may drift up some. At home, New York has the steadier defense right now.

DET: 0.33 turnovers a game to CAR's 1.33

Detroit has turned it over once in three games, Carolina about four times. Carolina matches last season's 1.35, while Detroit is below its own 0.88 from last season, so some regression is likely. Turnovers swing a lot week to week, but the Lions have protected the ball better for a full season. Carolina likely needs to win the turnover battle at home to hang around.

NYG: 18.3 points allowed per game to ARI's 27

The Giants have allowed 18.3 points a game over three games, while Arizona has given up 27. Arizona's number matches last season's 28.7, so that looks real, while the Giants have improved sharply from 25.8. Three games is a short run for a jump that size, so Arizona's defensive problems are the steadier fact in this matchup.

SEA: 16.7 points allowed per game to LAC's 25.3

LAC is at 25.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; SEA is at 16.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAC was at 20 over 17 games and SEA at 17.2 over 17 games.

NO: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to ATL's 1.67

ATL is at 1.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; NO is at 3.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 2.94 over 17 games and NO at 2.65 over 17 games.

TB: 35.7% third downs allowed to GB's 50%

Tampa Bay has allowed 35.7% on third downs over three games, and Green Bay is giving up 50%. Half of third downs converted is a high rate, though three games can swing on a couple of long drives. Both numbers should drift toward the middle. In Tampa, it points to the Bucs offense having a better shot at extending drives than the Packers do.

JAX: 29% third downs allowed to CIN's 43.6%

Jacksonville has allowed conversions on 29% of third downs over three games, and Cincinnati is at 43.6%. Third-down rates swing hard in small samples, so the Jaguars' number is more likely to rise toward average than stay this low. Cincinnati's mark suggests drives are staying alive against them. That gap is a way to think about possession length and which offense gets extra chances to score.

ARI: 210 team passing yards per game to NYG's 153

Arizona is throwing for 210 yards a game over three games, and the Giants are at 153. Both are below last season, when ARI had 232.6 and NYG 204.4, so three games may be understating both passing games. The Giants' number is the one farthest off its own history, which makes it the more likely to move up.

Malik Hooker (S) is questionable for DAL

Hooker (forearm) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

Blake Cashman (LB) is questionable for MIN

Cashman was a limited participant Wednesday with an elbow injury and is questionable against Miami. Limited work suggests he has a path to play. If he sits, Minnesota's other linebackers take on his role in the middle of the defense.

Chamarri Conner (S) is questionable for KC

Chamarri Conner has a knee injury but has a good chance to play Sunday against the Raiders, according to a report on Monday. Questionable with that kind of word from the team leans toward playing. The Chiefs secondary likely stays intact, though a final practice update would settle it.

Treydan Stukes (S) is questionable for LV

Stukes was a full participant Wednesday while coming back from a concussion, which is the step a player takes before being cleared. He still has to finish the protocol to face Kansas City. Full practice points toward him playing, so the remaining question is clearance.

Barion Brown (WR) is questionable for NO

New Orleans listed the wide receiver as questionable on Sep 29 for the Falcons game, which means his status is uncertain. The report gives no injury or practice detail, so check whether he is active before betting Saints passing props.

Julian Love (S) is questionable for SEA

Love (calf) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

Marvin Mims Jr. (WR) is questionable for DEN

Mims is a Denver receiver and returner listed questionable at San Francisco. No injury detail is on the report. A miss would shift some receiving snaps and return duties to others on the Broncos roster.

British Brooks (RB) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists British Brooks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Astros are 5-2 vs White Sox this season

Houston has won five of seven against Chicago, including a 6-2 win in the last meeting. Seven games is a small sample, and the sheet does not show the starters or venues behind those results. The game is in Houston, so the record lines up with the home side, but it explains little on its own. Keep it as background and let the listed pitchers shape how you view the game.

CHI: 29.7 points per game to NYJ's 21.3

Chicago is scoring 29.7 points a game over three games, and the Jets are at 21.3. Both are up from last season, CHI from 25.9 and NYJ from 17.6, so the Jets' jump is the bigger one to trust carefully over three games. At home, Chicago's offense has the longer track record of putting up points.

Wilyer Abreu: .371 OPS in Last 15 Days

Abreu's last 15 days sit 0.402 below his .773 season mark, over 41 AB. That many at-bats can swing on a handful of results. The season line carries more weight, so a rebound is more likely than this pace holding. In BOS @ NYY, count the cold spell as recent form and price him closer to his season level.

P 0-for-4, 0 TB

Colson Montgomery: .265 OPS in Last 15 Days

Montgomery has been ice cold over the last 15 days, but it covers just 39 AB, and a few hard-hit balls would change it fast. His season mark of .685 sits 0.42 above this stretch and is the better guide to who he is. Expect some drift back toward that number. For CHW @ HOU, count the slump as short-term form and keep his full season as the baseline.

P 0-for-3, 0 TB, 1 BB

NE (1-2) at BUF (3-0), a division game

Buffalo is 3-0 with a +23 point margin and 2-0 at home, while New England is 1-2 at -15 and 0-2 on the road. That home and road split is the sharpest part of this spot: the Bills have handled their own building and the Patriots have not won away from theirs. It is three games, so none of it is settled, but division familiarity tends to tighten games that look lopsided on paper. The number to price is how much of that road record is New England and how much is schedule.

Devin Lloyd (LB) is questionable for CAR

Devin Lloyd is dealing with a calf injury, and Dave Canales said Monday he was confident Lloyd would be back at practice before the Lions game. That leans toward him playing in Week 4. Watch whether he actually practices, since a calf can tighten up, and his availability matters against a Detroit offense the Panthers host.

Grant Delpit (S) is questionable for CLE

Delpit (shoulder) was estimated as a limited participant in Monday's practice, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. Reported Sep 29.

Frankie Luvu (LB) is questionable for WSH

Luvu (groin) was estimated as a limited participant on the Commanders' official injury report Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

Percy Butler (S) is questionable for WSH

Butler is recovering from a concussion ahead of the Commanders' matchup in London against the Colts in Week 4, Ben Standig of The Team 980 Washington D.C. reports. Reported Sep 30.

Christian Barmore (DT) is questionable for NE

Barmore (shoulder) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Minkah Fitzpatrick (S) is questionable for NYJ

Coach Aaron Glenn said Fitzpatrick (groin) will be limited in Wednesday's practice, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 30.

Kyle Dugger (S) is questionable for CIN

Dugger did not practice Wednesday with a quadriceps injury, which is a shaky start to the week. Questionable leaves the door open against Jacksonville, but he needs to get on the field before Sunday. If he sits, Cincinnati's other safeties take over his role.

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (S) is questionable for ARI

Arizona safety Dadrion Taylor-Demerson missed Wednesday's practice with a back injury and is questionable at the Giants. A missed practice early in the week is a mild warning sign. If he sits, Arizona needs another safety in the back of its defense, though the sheet does not say who.

Jake Cronenworth: .968 OPS in Last 15 Days

Cronenworth has hit like a middle-of-the-order bat over the last 15 days, but that is only 47 AB and sits far above his .629 season mark. A run that short usually drifts back toward the baseline, and a full season at .629 says more about who he is. His total-bases line is 0.5, so one hit clears it, which makes this a choice between two weeks of good contact and a season of weaker work.

P 0-for-2, 0 TB

MIA: 192.3 team passing yards per game to MIN's 137

MIA is at 192.3 team passing yards per game over 3 games; MIN is at 137 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season MIA was at 180.5 over 17 games and MIN at 166.7 over 17 games.

Mack Wilson Sr. (LB) is questionable for ARI

Cardinals linebacker Mack Wilson Sr. was limited in Wednesday's practice with a thumb injury and is questionable at the Giants. Limited participation is a better sign than missing practice, and thumb injuries can often be played through with a wrap or cast. He looks closer to playing than sitting, pending later practice reports.

Nate Landman (LB) is questionable for LAR

Landman (shoulder) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. Reported Oct 1.

Kamren Kinchens (S) is questionable for LAR

Kinchens (hamstring) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. Reported Oct 1.

Zack Baun (LB) is questionable for PHI

Baun (concussion) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 1.

Jihaad Campbell (LB) is questionable for PHI

Campbell (knee) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Oct 1.

Edgerrin Cooper (LB) is questionable for GB

Cooper was limited Wednesday while dealing with a concussion and a shoulder injury. The concussion is the bigger hurdle because he has to clear the protocol before facing Tampa Bay. If he does not, Green Bay's other linebackers pick up his snaps.

Rueben Bain Jr. (LB) is questionable for TB

Bain (groin) did not participate in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Josiah Trotter (LB) is questionable for TB

Trotter (shoulder) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Chris Moore (WR) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Chris Moore as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 1.

DeMarvion Overshown (LB) is questionable for DAL

Overshown did not practice Wednesday because of a hamstring injury, and that kind of injury tends to linger. Questionable for Houston, he would leave Dallas thinner at linebacker if he sits. Wait for later practice reports before assuming he plays.

Ty Okada (S) is questionable for SEA

Okada (hamstring) didn't participate in Seattle's practice Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

Derwin James Jr. (S) is questionable for LAC

James (hamstring) was a limited participant at practice Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.

Dre Greenlaw (LB) is questionable for SF

Greenlaw (quadriceps) didn't practice Wednesday, Vic Tafur of The Athletic reports. Reported Oct 1.

Xander Bogaerts: 1.123 OPS in Last 15 Days

Bogaerts has been one of the hottest bats around lately, but that run covers only 34 AB, well above his .676 season number, so expect it to cool. His 13 home runs show some pop. A 1.5 total-bases line needs an extra-base hit or two singles, and his season baseline makes that a harder ask than the recent stretch suggests.

P 2-for-4, 3 TB

J.T. Realmuto: .197 OPS in Last 15 Days

Almost nothing has fallen in for Realmuto over the last 15 days, a 37 AB stretch that sits 0.417 below an already modest .614 season mark. Thirty-seven at-bats is a small sample, and he should move back toward .614. For PHI @ ATL, his season number is the fairer guide to what to expect at the plate.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

HOU: 42.9% red-zone scoring allowed to DAL's 69.2%

DAL is at 69.2% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; HOU is at 42.9% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Reggie Gilliam (FB) is questionable for NE

Gilliam (knee) was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice. Reported Sep 30.

Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) is questionable for LV

Jackson Powers-Johnson has a groin injury and was still being evaluated as of Sep 29. There is no timeline yet, so questionable is a genuine toss-up for the Chiefs game. If he sits, the Raiders have to patch the interior of their line, which is worth factoring into how Las Vegas moves the ball against Kansas City.

Zach Charbonnet (RB) is pup-r for SEA

Coach Mike Macdonald said Wednesday that Charbonnet (knee) may take part in Thursday's practice, which would open a 21-day window in which he can be evaluated and eventually be activated from the reserve/PUP list, Gregg Bell of The Tacoma News Tribune reports. Reported Sep 30.

KC: 263 team passing yards per game to LV's 211.7

KC is at 263 team passing yards per game over 3 games; LV is at 211.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season KC was at 214.1 over 17 games and LV at 167.7 over 17 games.

SEA: 26.8% third downs allowed to LAC's 40%

Seattle has held opponents to 26.8% on third downs over three games, while the Chargers allow 40%. Seattle's number is very low and third-down rates tend to regress, so expect it to climb some. In Seattle, the question is whether the Chargers can stay on schedule on early downs to avoid the kind of long third downs this defense has won so far.

Caleb Williams is the projected starting quarterback for CHI

Through 2 games in 2026, Caleb Williams threw for 407 passing yards, completed 65.5% of his passes and averaged 7.4 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3942 yards, completed 58.1% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 27-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Caleb Williams is also listed d for this matchup.

Josh Allen is the projected starting quarterback for BUF

Through 3 games in 2026, Josh Allen threw for 786 passing yards, completed 65.1% of his passes and averaged 9.14 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3668 yards, completed 69.3% and averaged 7.97 yards per attempt, 25-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in. Josh Allen is also listed q for this matchup.

Jayden Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for WSH

Through 2 games in 2026, Jayden Daniels threw for 260 passing yards, completed 56.9% of his passes and averaged 5.1 yards per attempt. Last season over 7 games he threw for 1262 yards, completed 60.6% and averaged 6.71 yards per attempt, 8-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in. Jayden Daniels is also listed q for this matchup.

MIA @ MIN carries a 38.5 market total

The 38.5 total puts this game 7 points below the 45.5 median across 16 slate games, which prices it as a low-possession game with few explosive plays. The sheet has no team stats or injuries to explain it, so the gap in the number is the whole story here. It cracks if either offense hits big plays early and forces the other to chase. Think of it as a game where one quick score changes how both sides call the rest of it.

PIT @ CLE carries a 38.5 market total

At 38.5, this game sits 7 points under the 45.5 slate median, so the market expects a slow game settled by field goals and a couple of long drives. The sheet gives no injury, pace or scoring history, so the number is the only evidence. For that low total to crack, one side needs short fields from turnovers or a defensive score. A bettor can ask how many points one extra touchdown moves this game, since 7 points is the whole gap to the median.

NO: 1 interception thrown per game to ATL's 2

ATL is at 2 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; NO is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 0.47 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

NYY games have gone OVER 4 straight

The Yankees' last four games have averaged 10.5 runs against totals around 6.5, clearing by about four runs a night. Four games with no pitchers named behind them says more about recent scoring than about these teams. Tonight's total is 6.5 again with Boston in the Bronx. Check the starters first, since four games alone will not tell you whether 6.5 is too low.

P final total 11 vs 6.5

LAR: 6.33 yards per play to PHI's 5.33

The Rams are gaining 6.33 yards a play over three games to Philadelphia's 5.33, and last season looked the same, 6.15 to 5.27. In their last game the Rams had 7 plays of 20 or more yards, including Stafford's 49-yarder to Davante Adams and a 48-yard touchdown to Konata Mumpfield, while the Eagles had 2. The Rams hit big plays, and Philadelphia tends to need long drives, so a game that turns on a few chunk plays favors LA.

Jeremy Pena: 1.064 OPS in Last 15 Days

Pena was already a good hitter at .802 OPS, and over the last 15 days he has pushed that higher across 51 AB. The strong baseline and 22 home runs mean less of this looks like luck than it would for a weaker hitter, though some cooling is normal. Against a 1.5 total-bases line, the hot stretch sits on a solid floor, the kind of profile where an over is easier to consider.

P 2-for-4, 5 TB

AFC WEST game: KC 1-0, LV 1-0 in the division

Both teams have played one division game and won it, so this is the first AFC West meeting between two clubs that each have a 1-0 start inside the division. One game is a thin read on either side. The winner takes sole ownership of the division tiebreaker edge early, which can shape how aggressive each staff is late in a close game.

Ko Kieft (TE) is questionable for TB

TB lists Ko Kieft as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

CHI: 12.3 sack yards lost per game to NYJ's 24.3

NYJ is at 24.3 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; CHI is at 12.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NYJ was at 24.9 over 17 games and CHI at 12.7 over 17 games.

Tristan Peters: .307 OPS in Last 15 Days

Peters' slump sits 0.467 below his .774 season baseline, but it comes in only 28 AB, so a couple of good games would reshape it. The .774 season mark is the steadier number and the likelier landing spot. In CHW @ HOU, give the cold stretch modest weight given how few at-bats it covers.

P 1-for-3, 1 TB, 1 BB

Chase Meidroth: 1.066 OPS in Last 15 Days

Meidroth's last 41 AB are well above a .765 season mark that was already respectable. His 16 home runs say the power is real, but 41 AB is a short window and the jump is large. A 1.5 total-bases line fits a hitter at his season level, so the recent form nudges things his way without being enough to lean on by itself.

P 2-for-3, 5 TB, 1 BB

GB @ TB carries a 39.5 market total

The 39.5 total sits 6 points under the 45.5 median across 16 slate games, so scoring here is expected to come in small pieces. No injuries or team numbers are on the sheet, so the price is the only signal. It breaks if red-zone trips turn into touchdowns instead of kicks, or a turnover hands over a short field. In a low total, each touchdown carries more weight, which is how to size up this spot.

Bryce Harper: .609 OPS in Last 15 Days

Harper's last 15 days, over 48 AB, sit 0.256 below his .865 season level. That is a dip for a hitter whose full season is well above average, and far from a collapse. Forty-eight at-bats is a short window, and the .865 is the stronger signal. For PHI @ ATL, his season baseline should carry most of the weight in how you rate him.

P 2-for-5, 5 TB

SEA: 6.13 yards per play to LAC's 5.23

Seattle is gaining 6.13 yards a play over three games, and the Chargers 5.23. Both line up almost exactly with last season, SEA at 5.98 and LAC at 5.19, so this looks like who these offenses are. At home, Seattle has the more efficient offense, and the Chargers' sack problem makes their drives easier to stop.

LAR: 21.3 first downs per game to PHI's 15.7

The Rams are moving the chains 21.3 times a game over three games, and the Eagles 15.7. Both are down a bit from last season, LAR at 23.3 and PHI at 18, so the gap has stayed about the same size. The Rams sustain drives better, which pairs with their bigger plays and makes them the side more likely to control time of possession.

BUF: 5 yards per rush attempt to NE's 3.87

NE is at 3.87 yards per rush attempt over 3 games; BUF is at 5 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 4.4 over 17 games and BUF at 4.97 over 17 games.

ATL: 35.7% third downs allowed to NO's 47.1%

Atlanta has allowed 35.7% on third downs through three games, and New Orleans has given up 47.1%. Three games is a small base for a stat that moves with down-and-distance and opponent. Both should settle toward average. In New Orleans, the gap points to Atlanta's offense having more room to keep drives going.

JAX @ CIN carries a 51.5 market total

At 51.5, this is 6 points above the 45.5 slate median: the market expects both offenses to score and the game to run back and forth. The sheet offers no player or unit detail, so the price is the evidence. For the total to crack, drives have to stall into field goals or one side has to take over the clock with a lead. A bettor can watch the first few possessions: early punts matter more against a number set this high.

John Franklin-Myers (DE) is questionable for TEN

TEN lists John Franklin-Myers as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Keionte Scott (CB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Keionte Scott as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Fred Johnson (OT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Fred Johnson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Josh Wallace (CB) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Josh Wallace as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Andrew Thomas (OT) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Andrew Thomas as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Deonte Banks (CB) is questionable for NYG

The Giants listed the cornerback as questionable on Sep 29 against Arizona, so he may or may not suit up. The report gives no injury detail. If he sits, Cardinals receivers could draw an easier matchup, so watch his status before betting their yardage props.

Hjalte Froholdt (C) is questionable for ARI

Arizona lists Froholdt as questionable for the Giants game, with no practice details or injury given. Questionable means his status is uncertain. If he misses time, the Cardinals need a different center, so check the final injury report.

CAR: 45.2% third downs allowed to DET's 56.1%

DET is at 56.1% third downs allowed over 3 games; CAR is at 45.2% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Montaric Brown (CB) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Montaric Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Next college slate · OCT 2

BDL lists 2 covered college games on the next college slate. All 2 kickoff times are confirmed.

Amik Robertson (CB) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Amik Robertson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Charles Omenihu (DE) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Charles Omenihu as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Sean Burke: 6.39 ERA over his last 3 starts

Burke has allowed 9 earned runs in 12.2 innings over his last 3 starts, so he is barely getting through four innings. His 1.82 WHIP in that stretch against 1.20 for the season shows hits and walks piling up. Three starts is a short sample next to a 3.34 season ERA, so some bounce back is likely. Against Houston, watch whether he gets through the order a second time before trusting his early innings.

P 4 IP, 3 ER, 8 K

Christian Braswell (CB) is questionable for JAX

Jacksonville put Braswell on the report Sep 30 as questionable, which means his status for the trip to Cincinnati is a real coin flip rather than a formality. The sheet gives no injury or backup, so watch the final report and pregame inactives before leaning on anything tied to the Jaguars secondary.

Tytus Howard (OT) is questionable for CLE

CLE lists Tytus Howard as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 28.

Martin Emerson Jr. (CB) is questionable for NO

New Orleans listed the cornerback as questionable on Sep 29 against Atlanta, so he may or may not play. The report gives no injury or backup. If he is out, the Falcons receivers get an easier look, so check before betting their yardage.

Samson Ebukam (DE) is questionable for ATL

Atlanta listed the defensive end as questionable on Sep 29 for the trip to New Orleans, so he may not play. The report does not name the injury or who fills in. Wait for inactives before leaning on the Falcons' pass rush.

Elijah Molden (CB) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Elijah Molden as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Romello Height (DE) is questionable for SF

SF lists Romello Height as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Keion White (DE) is questionable for SF

SF lists Keion White as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

L'Jarius Sneed (CB) is questionable for KC

Kansas City lists Sneed as questionable at Las Vegas, reported Sep 30, with no injury detail given. If the corner sits, the Raiders receivers could see an easier matchup. Check the final report before the game.

Robert Beal Jr. (DE) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Robert Beal Jr. as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Logan Hall (DE) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Logan Hall as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Trent Brown (OT) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Trent Brown as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Jadeveon Clowney (DE) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Jadeveon Clowney as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

MIA: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to MIN's 0.67

MIA is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; MIN is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season MIA was at 1.35 over 17 games and MIN at 1.41 over 17 games.

MIA: 41.5% third-down conversion rate to MIN's 30.2%

MIA is at 41.5% third-down conversion rate over 3 games; MIN is at 30.2% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season MIA was at 34.9% over 17 games and MIN at 31.8% over 17 games.

GB: 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate to TB's 0%

GB is at 33.3% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; TB is at 0% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 56% over 17 games and TB at 44.8% over 17 games.

Marlon Humphrey (CB) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Marlon Humphrey as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Ronnie Stanley (OT) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Ronnie Stanley as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Cole Van Lanen (OT) is questionable for JAX

Van Lanen is listed as questionable for Jacksonville's game in Cincinnati, and the report gives no injury detail. The tag is worth a check on the final report, since a change on the offensive line can affect how a game plays out.

Mauricio Dubon: .994 OPS in Last 15 Days

Dubon's hot run covers 42 AB and sits 0.275 above his .719 season baseline. His 12 home runs give him some pop, but a jump that size in that few at-bats usually settles back toward the season mark. Against a 1.5 total-bases line, the season level is the better starting point, with the recent form as a small nudge.

P 2-for-5, 2 TB

SF: 16.7 points allowed per game to DEN's 23.3

DEN is at 23.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; SF is at 16.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 18.3 over 17 games and SF at 21.8 over 17 games.

TB: 30:03 time of possession per game to GB's 25:38

GB is at 25:38 time of possession per game over 3 games; TB is at 30:03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 29:48 over 17 games and TB at 31:53 over 17 games.

WSH: 2.7 sack yards lost per game to IND's 13.7

Washington is losing just 2.7 yards a game to sacks over three games, while Indianapolis loses 13.7. The Colts are close to last season's 15.1, so that looks real, but Washington lost 12.5 a game last year, so its number is likely to rise. For now, Washington's offense stays on schedule better than the Colts'.

Morgan Moses (OT) is questionable for NE

NE lists Morgan Moses as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Dre'Mont Jones (DE) is questionable for NE

NE lists Dre'Mont Jones as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

NO: 211.7 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 263

New Orleans has allowed 211.7 passing yards a game through three games, and Atlanta is at 263. Passing totals depend a lot on game script, since teams that lead often run more late. That makes three-game numbers shaky. In New Orleans, the gap frames how the Saints passing game might find more room than Atlanta's does.

MIA has lost 3 straight

Miami is 0-3 and heads to Minnesota, which is 3-0. Three games is a small sample, and nothing on the sheet shows who those losses came against. The line will likely lean hard on the two records, so a bettor should ask whether a three-game gap justifies the size of the spread.

NO: 74 offensive plays per game to ATL's 63.3

ATL is at 63.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; NO is at 74 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 61.6 over 17 games and NO at 63.2 over 17 games.

TEN: 19.7 points allowed per game to BAL's 26

TEN is at 19.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; BAL is at 26 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 28.1 over 17 games and BAL at 23.4 over 17 games.

HOU has lost 3 straight

Houston is 0-3 and hosts Dallas. Three losses is a short run with no opponent or margin detail on the sheet, so it may say as much about the early schedule as the roster. Home teams stuck at zero often come in with a discounted line, which is worth comparing against the matchup before leaning either way.

TEN has lost 3 straight

Tennessee is 0-3 and goes on the road to Baltimore. With only three games and no detail on opponents or margins, the record shows a slow start more than a settled identity. A winless road team tends to get priced low, so the question for a bettor is whether that number already reflects the gap or overshoots it.

IND: 36.4% third downs allowed to WSH's 47.1%

Indianapolis has allowed 36.4% on third downs over three games, while Washington is at 47.1%. That's a real early gap, but third-down rates shift a lot as the sample grows. In Washington, it frames the Colts offense as the side more likely to extend possessions, which matters for time of possession and total plays.

LV has won 3 straight

LV carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 3-0 on the season. They face KC in KC @ LV. Current-2026 standings through 2026-09-29.

ATL: 13.7 sack yards lost per game to NO's 24.3

ATL is at 13.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; NO is at 24.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 12.9 over 17 games and NO at 18.7 over 17 games.

TB has lost 3 straight

Tampa Bay is 0-3 and at home against Green Bay. Three games is a small sample, and the sheet does not say who beat them or by how much, so the record alone does not tell you whether this is a bad team or a tough early schedule. Winless teams at home can draw soft prices, which makes this a spot to judge the matchup rather than the streak.

BUF has won 3 straight

Buffalo is 3-0 and hosts New England at home. Three games is a short run, and the sheet gives no read on who those wins came against, so the streak says more about current confidence than true strength. For a bettor, a home favorite on a streak often carries a price inflated by the record, so weigh what the matchup itself offers before paying for the run.

Spencer Jones: .472 OPS in Last 15 Days

Jones sits 0.27 under his .742 season mark over the last 15 days, in 42 AB. A window that small lets a few strikeouts or soft outs pile up quickly. Expect him to drift back toward .742. In BOS @ NYY, give the recent form light weight against his season level.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

KC has won 3 straight

KC carries a 3-game winning streak into this one, sitting at 3-0 on the season. They face LV in KC @ LV. Current-2026 standings through 2026-09-29.

LAC has lost 3 straight

The Chargers are 0-3 and go on the road to Seattle. Three losses is a short run, and the sheet shows nothing about opponents or margins, so the record may overstate how far off this team is. Winless road teams tend to get cheap numbers, and a bettor should judge whether that discount is deserved.

SF has won 3 straight

San Francisco is 3-0 and hosts Denver. Three games is a small sample, and the sheet gives no read on who those wins came against. An unbeaten home favorite often carries a price that already bakes in the streak, so the edge, if any, comes from the matchup rather than the record.

KC: 57.1% red-zone scoring allowed to LV's 77.8%

Kansas City has allowed scores on 57.1% of opponents' red-zone trips over three games, while Las Vegas is at 77.8%. Red-zone rates rest on only a handful of trips over three games, so both can move quickly. In Las Vegas, it's a way to think about whether Kansas City turns its red-zone visits into touchdowns more often than the Raiders do.

NYJ: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to CHI's 50%

NYJ is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; CHI is at 50% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NYJ was at 44.7% over 17 games and CHI at 58.2% over 17 games.

PHI: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to LAR's 50%

LAR is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; PHI is at 66.7% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAR was at 63.2% over 17 games and PHI at 70.5% over 17 games.

BAL: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TEN's 50%

TEN is at 50% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; BAL is at 66.7% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 57.6% over 17 games and BAL at 47.5% over 17 games.

DET: 78.6% red-zone scoring rate to CAR's 61.5%

DET is at 78.6% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; CAR is at 61.5% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DET was at 62.5% over 17 games and CAR at 53.3% over 17 games.

MIN has won 3 straight

Minnesota is 3-0 and hosts Miami, which is 0-3. Three wins is a short streak, and the sheet does not show the quality of those opponents, so the record may be running ahead of the team. When an unbeaten home side meets a winless visitor, the spread often gets stretched, which is where the value question sits.

SF: 105.7 rushing yards allowed per game to DEN's 143.7

San Francisco has allowed 105.7 rushing yards a game over three games, while Denver gives up 143.7. The Niners' mark is solid but not extreme, and Denver's number could reflect opponents running with leads. Three games leaves room for both to move. In San Francisco, it sets up Denver's run game against a front that has held better so far.

Zack Baun

Concussion · Did not practice

KC: 7.93 yards per pass attempt to LV's 6.53

KC is at 7.93 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; LV is at 6.53 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season KC was at 5.65 over 17 games and LV at 4.94 over 17 games.

LAR: 7.37 yards per pass attempt to PHI's 5.93

LAR is at 7.37 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; PHI is at 5.93 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAR was at 7.24 over 17 games and PHI at 6.33 over 17 games.

LAC (0-3) at SEA (2-1)

The Chargers are 0-3 at -32 with three straight losses, and the margin says they have been beaten soundly. Seattle is 2-1 at +25, coming off a loss, and 1-0 at home. One home game is thin evidence, but the season margins line up with the records on both sides. A Seahawks team off a loss at home against a winless visitor is a spot where the market often leans heavily toward the home side.

DEN (2-1) at SF (3-0)

Denver has won two straight to reach 2-1, but sits at -10 on the year, a record that flatters the team. San Francisco is 3-0 at +48 and 2-0 at home, with the margins to match its record. The Broncos lost their only road game, one game of evidence. A winning streak on a negative margin is the profile most likely to slip, especially on the road against a team this far ahead on point differential.

MIA (0-3) at MIN (3-0)

This is the widest split on the board: Miami is 0-3 at -50 and 0-2 on the road, while Minnesota is 3-0 at +30 and won its lone home game. A -50 margin across three games means the Dolphins have been losing by a lot, which is harder to write off as bad luck than close losses would be. Both runs could cool, but the margins back up the records. The question for a bettor is whether the line has already priced in that gap.

DAL (1-2) at HOU (0-3)

Dallas is 1-2 but +6 on the year, a record that undersells a team scoring more than it allows. Houston is 0-3 at -21 and 0-2 at home, so the Texans have not found wins in their own building. The Cowboys are 0-1 on the road, a single game. The margin gap favors Dallas, and a team at +6 with a losing record is a common spot for the record to catch up with the play.

TEN (0-3) at BAL (2-1)

Tennessee is 0-3 at -22, losing three straight, but a -22 margin across three losses points to games that stayed competitive rather than blowouts. Baltimore is 2-1 at +14 and, oddly, 0-1 at home, one game that says little. The Ravens have the better profile, though a +14 margin is modest. The Titans losing streak is the loudest number here, and it can push a line further than the margins support.

JAX (2-1) at CIN (2-1)

Same 2-1 record, very different margins: Jacksonville is +46 and Cincinnati is +17. The Jaguars lost their only road game and the Bengals won their only home game, which is one game each, far too small to call a trend. The margin gap says Jacksonville has been the better team so far, and records like these tend to catch up to margins. A bettor pricing this off matching records may be underrating the road side.

NYJ (1-2) at CHI (2-1)

The Jets are 1-2 but +3 on the year, which means their losses have been close and their record undersells them. Chicago is 2-1 at +36, so the Bears have been winning by real margins. Both teams are 1-1 in their home or road split, so the location adds little here. A team with a positive margin and a losing record is the kind of profile that tends to even out, which matters if the market prices the Jets off the 1-2 alone.

ATL has 3 more days of rest

Atlanta has 6 days since its last game and New Orleans has 3, so the Falcons get the fuller week of rest and preparation in a division road game. The Saints have to recover, game plan and play with barely any practice time in between. That 3-day gap is fixed by the calendar. It is worth weighing how much a tired home side can lean on the crowd against a fresher opponent.

GB has 3 more days of rest

Green Bay walks in with 6 days since its last game, while Tampa Bay has only 3, so the Packers get twice the time to heal up, install a plan and travel. A team on 3 days usually runs a lighter walkthrough week and leans on a simpler game plan. That gap is locked in by the schedule and will not move before kickoff. For a bettor, it is a spot to ask whether the home side's legs and prep hold up late in the game.

Alec Pierce (WR) is on injured reserve for IND

Colts head coach Shane Steichen reiterated Monday that Pierce didn't undergo surgery on his left heel and is continuing to rehab the injury, James Boyd of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 28.

Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB) is questionable for IND

IND lists Akeem Davis-Gaither as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Javon Kinlaw (DT) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Javon Kinlaw as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

A.J. Brown (WR) is on injured reserve for NE

Brown was spotted Monday in the Patriots' locker room walking without a limp and wearing a small wrap on his injured right ankle, Taylor Kyles of CLNSMedia.com reports. Reported Sep 28.

Craig Woodson (S) is questionable for NE

NE lists Craig Woodson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Christian Elliss (LB) is questionable for NE

NE lists Christian Elliss as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Joe Andreessen (LB) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Joe Andreessen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Damar Hamlin (S) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Damar Hamlin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Deone Walker (DT) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Deone Walker as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Kingsley Enagbare (LB) is questionable for NYJ

NYJ lists Kingsley Enagbare as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 1.

Kyler Gordon (CB) is pup-r for CHI

Gordon (calf) was estimated as a full participant on the Bears' official injury report Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.

DaVon Hamilton (DT) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists DaVon Hamilton as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Albert Regis (DT) is questionable for JAX

JAX lists Albert Regis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

B.J. Hill (DT) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists B.J. Hill as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Andrei Iosivas (WR) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed Iosivas (thumb) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Bryan Cook (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Bryan Cook as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Jordan Battle (S) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Jordan Battle as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Roy Lopez (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Roy Lopez as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 1.

Walter Nolen III (DT) is questionable for ARI

ARI lists Walter Nolen III as questionable on the injury report. Reported Oct 1.

Tyler Nubin (S) is questionable for NYG

NYG lists Tyler Nubin as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Aaron Donald (DT) is questionable for LAR

LAR lists Aaron Donald as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Moro Ojomo (DT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Moro Ojomo as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Micah Parsons (DE) is pup-r for GB

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said Monday that Parsons (knee) hasn't experienced any setbacks but won't be cleared to practice this week, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 28.

Warren Brinson (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Warren Brinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Anthony Campbell (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Anthony Campbell as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Jayden Reed (WR) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers are expected to place Reed (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 30.

Karl Brooks (DT) is questionable for GB

GB lists Karl Brooks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Jalen McMillan (WR) is on injured reserve for TB

The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches (DT) is questionable for TB

TB lists Rakeem Nunez-Roches as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

SirVocea Dennis (LB) is questionable for TB

TB lists SirVocea Dennis as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Yaya Diaby (LB) is questionable for TB

TB lists Yaya Diaby as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Trey Hendrickson (LB) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists Trey Hendrickson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Calen Bullock (S) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Calen Bullock as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Jake Hansen (LB) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Jake Hansen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Storm Duck (CB) is pup-r for MIA

The Dolphins opened Duck's (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. Reported Oct 1.

De'Von Achane (RB) is on injured reserve for MIA

The Dolphins placed Achane (knee) on injured reserve Monday. Reported Sep 28.

Jack Bech (WR) is on injured reserve for LV

The Raiders placed Bech (forearm) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

Jonah Coleman (RB) is on injured reserve for DEN

Coleman (ankle) is being placed on injured reserve Saturday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 26.

Dondrea Tillman (LB) is questionable for DEN

DEN lists Dondrea Tillman as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Brandon Aiyuk (WR) is reserve-dnr for SF

Head coach Kyle Shanahan said Sunday that he's not viewing Aiyuk as an option for the 49ers while the club contends with multiple injuries at receiver, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 21.

Mykel Williams (DE) is pup-r for SF

The 49ers opened Williams' (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday to return from the reserve/PUP list, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports. Reported Sep 30.

Demarcus Robinson (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

The 49ers placed Robinson (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Dalvin Tomlinson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Justin Eboigbe (DT) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Justin Eboigbe as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Brandon Pili (DT) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Brandon Pili as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Jarran Reed (DT) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Jarran Reed as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Cade Mays (C) is ir-r for DET

Mays (wrist) is targeting a Week 7 return from injured reserve, Dave Birkett of the Detroit Free Press reports. Reported Sep 29.

DJ Wonnum (LB) is questionable for DET

DET lists DJ Wonnum as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Nick Scott (S) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Nick Scott as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Princely Umanmielen (LB) is questionable for CAR

CAR lists Princely Umanmielen as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Christen Miller (DT) is questionable for NO

New Orleans has defensive tackle Christen Miller listed as questionable against Atlanta as of Sep 29, so he may or may not play. The report gives no injury or replacement, so confirm the inactive list before betting on Atlanta's run game in this division matchup.

DET @ CAR carries a 50.5 market total

The current fanduel total is 50.5, 5 points above the 45.5 median across 16 games with posted totals on this slate.

ARI: 1.33 sacks recorded per game to NYG's 0.33

Arizona is getting 1.33 sacks a game over three games, while the Giants are at 0.33. Both rates are low and three games is a small sample, so neither pass rush has shown much yet. Expect movement as the sample grows. For this game, don't count on either front to take over through pressure alone.

WSH: 1 sack taken per game to IND's 2

IND is at 2 sacks taken per game over 3 games; WSH is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season IND was at 2.07 over 17 games and WSH at 2.31 over 17 games.

CHI: 2 sacks taken per game to NYJ's 3

NYJ is at 3 sacks taken per game over 3 games; CHI is at 2 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NYJ was at 3.75 over 17 games and CHI at 1.85 over 17 games.

JAX: 1.33 sacks taken per game to CIN's 2.33

Jacksonville is taking 1.33 sacks a game over three games, down from 3.42 last season, while Cincinnati is at 2.33 after 2.12. Cincinnati's number fits its history, but Jacksonville's drop is big for three games and is likely to creep back up. The Bengals' line is the steadier known quantity.

LAR: 1.67 sacks taken per game to PHI's 2.67

LAR is at 1.67 sacks taken per game over 3 games; PHI is at 2.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAR was at 1.77 over 17 games and PHI at 2.33 over 17 games.

ATL: 2.33 sacks taken per game to NO's 3.33

ATL is at 2.33 sacks taken per game over 3 games; NO is at 3.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and NO at 3.06 over 17 games.

Ashton Dulin

Ankle · Did not practice

Mo Alie-Cox

Illness · Did not practice

Rachaad White

Shoulder · Did not practice

Joe Andreessen

Knee · Did not practice

Christian Benford

Toe · Did not practice

T.J. Sanders

Appendix · Did not practice

Morgan Moses

Foot · Did not practice

Christian Barmore

Shoulder · Did not practice

Keon Coleman

Ankle · Did not practice

Christian Gonzalez

Shoulder · Did not practice

Breece Hall

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Braxton Jones

Knee · Did not practice

Jonah Jackson

Did not practice

Caleb Williams

Hamstring · Did not practice

Adonai Mitchell

Finger · Did not practice

Mason Taylor

Thumb · Did not practice

Dylan Parham

Knee · Did not practice

Kiko Mauigoa

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Dalton Risner

Knee · Did not practice

B.J. Hill

Achilles · Did not practice

Kyle Dugger

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Dadrion Taylor-Demerson

Back · Did not practice

Andrew Thomas

Groin · Did not practice

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Knee · Did not practice

Josh Sweat

Did not practice

Isaac Seumalo

Did not practice

Budda Baker

Did not practice

Terrance Ferguson

Ankle · Did not practice

Will Shipley

Foot · Did not practice

DeVonta Smith

Hamstring · Did not practice

Fred Johnson

Knee · Did not practice

Colby Parkinson

Shoulder - AC Joint · Did not practice

Hollywood Brown

Ankle · Did not practice

Davante Adams

Did not practice

Dallas Goedert

Knee - MCL · Did not practice

Aaron Donald

Back · Did not practice

Jaylen Watson

Shoulder · Did not practice

Rueben Bain Jr.

Groin · Did not practice

Aaron Banks

Toe · Did not practice

Jacob Monk

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Chris Godwin Jr.

Ankle · Did not practice

Ko Kieft

Elbow · Did not practice

Karl Brooks

Illness · Did not practice

Yaya Diaby

Calf · Did not practice

Rakeem Nunez-Roches

Ankle · Did not practice

Zach Bako-Bewele

Knee · Did not practice

Jayden Reed

Neck · Did not practice

Anthony Campbell

Ankle · Did not practice

Jacob Parrish

Did not practice

Tony Pollard

Foot · Did not practice

John Franklin-Myers

Back · Did not practice

Trey Hendrickson

Finger · Did not practice

Calais Campbell

Did not practice

Tyjae Spears

Ankle · Did not practice

British Brooks

Hamstring · Did not practice

Cobie Durant

Hamstring · Did not practice

Azeez Al-Shaair

Groin · Did not practice

Trent Brown

Illness · Did not practice

DeMarvion Overshown

Hamstring · Did not practice

Shavon Revel Jr.

Knee · Did not practice

Brett Thorson

Hamstring · Did not practice

Caleb Douglas

Ankle · Did not practice

Justin Jefferson

Ankle · Did not practice

Robert Beal Jr.

Hamstring · Did not practice

Aidan O'Connell

Personal · Did not practice

Josh Simmons

Back · Did not practice

Jackson Powers-Johnson

Groin · Did not practice

Dondrea Tillman

Hamstring · Did not practice

Trent Williams

Neck · Did not practice

KhaDarel Hodge

Knee · Did not practice

Mike Evans

Ribs · Did not practice

Christian McCaffrey

Did not practice

Keion White

Hamstring · Did not practice

Dre Greenlaw

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Donte Jackson

Concussion · Did not practice

Khalil Mack

Did not practice

Kayode Awosika

Lower Leg · Did not practice

Dalvin Tomlinson

Hamstring · Did not practice

Charlie Kolar

Forearm · Did not practice

Ty Okada

Hamstring · Did not practice

Brenen Thompson

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Justin Eboigbe

Eye · Did not practice

Princely Umanmielen

Ankle · Did not practice

Monroe Freeling

Concussion · Did not practice

Chuba Hubbard

Did not practice

Darren Waller

Did not practice

Ben Bartch

Foot · Did not practice

Xavier Legette

Knee · Did not practice

DJ Wonnum

Back · Did not practice

Jalen Coker

Quadriceps · Did not practice

Matt Olson vs Cristopher Sanchez: .333

Olson is 6-for-18 against Cristopher Sanchez with a 1.111 OPS, so he has done damage when he connects. Eighteen at-bats is small, and a few swings either way change it a lot. He comes in steady at a .723 OPS over the last 15 days. For Olson props, the history is a reason to expect him to be a factor, kept in check by how few trips it covers.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

NYG: 5.77 yards per play allowed to ARI's 6.57

The Giants are allowing 5.77 yards per play over three games, and Arizona is giving up 6.57. Neither number is strong, and the gap between them is modest. Three games leaves both open to change. For this game, it points to two defenses that have been giving up yardage, which is a way to think about scoring chances on both sides.

ATL (1-2) at NO (1-2), a division game

Both teams are 1-2, but New Orleans at -2 has played close while Atlanta at -17 has been outscored more clearly. The Falcons are 1-1 on the road and the Saints lost their one home game, one game that tells you little. Division games between struggling teams often stay tight. The margins give New Orleans the edge on quality, even with matching records.

ARI: 44.8% third downs allowed to NYG's 54.5%

ARI is at 44.8% third downs allowed over 3 games; NYG is at 54.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

ATL: 0.67 fumbles lost per game to NO's 1.33

ATL is at 0.67 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; NO is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 0.59 over 17 games and NO at 0.71 over 17 games.

SEA: 1.33 turnovers committed per game to LAC's 2

LAC is at 2 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; SEA is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAC was at 1.24 over 17 games and SEA at 1.65 over 17 games.

SF: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to DEN's 1.33

DEN is at 1.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; SF is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 1 over 17 games and SF at 1.29 over 17 games.

NE: 49.7 penalty yards per game to BUF's 73

NE is at 49.7 penalty yards per game over 3 games; BUF is at 73 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NE was at 50.2 over 17 games and BUF at 49.9 over 17 games.

ARI: 21 points per game to NYG's 15.3

ARI is at 21 points per game over 3 games; NYG is at 15.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ARI was at 20.9 over 17 games and NYG at 22.4 over 17 games.

BAL: 4 red-zone trips per game to TEN's 2.67

TEN is at 2.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; BAL is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 1.94 over 17 games and BAL at 3.47 over 17 games.

JAX: 119.3 rushing yards per game to CIN's 91.3

JAX is at 119.3 rushing yards per game over 3 games; CIN is at 91.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 115.1 over 17 games and CIN at 93.6 over 17 games.

JAX: 0 fumbles lost per game to CIN's 0.67

JAX is at 0 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; CIN is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 0.35 over 17 games and CIN at 0.41 over 17 games.

WSH: 1 takeaways per game to IND's 0.33

Washington's defense has forced one turnover a game through three games, while Indianapolis has managed 0.33, or one takeaway total. Turnovers swing on tipped balls and bounces, so three games is a thin sample for either side. Neither number says much about skill yet. Expect both to drift, and avoid pricing this game as if Washington owns a reliable turnover edge.

GB: 0.67 fumbles lost per game to TB's 1.33

GB is at 0.67 fumbles lost per game over 3 games; TB is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 0.35 over 17 games and TB at 0.29 over 17 games.

KC: 0.67 turnovers committed per game to LV's 1.33

KC is at 0.67 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; LV is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season KC was at 0.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.35 over 17 games.

LAC: 2 takeaways per game to SEA's 1.33

LAC is at 2 takeaways per game over 3 games; SEA is at 1.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

DEN: 1.33 takeaways per game to SF's 0.67

Denver has forced 1.33 turnovers a game over three games, twice San Francisco's 0.67. Takeaways are one of the noisiest stats in football, and three games can hinge on a single fumble recovery. Expect both numbers to move toward the middle. A bettor should lean more on how each defense handles yardage than on this turnover gap.

NYJ: 0.33 turnovers committed per game to CHI's 1

NYJ is at 0.33 turnovers committed per game over 3 games; CHI is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NYJ was at 1.35 over 17 games and CHI at 0.65 over 17 games.

MIA: 5.07 yards per play to MIN's 4.3

Miami is gaining 5.07 yards a play over three games, and Minnesota 4.3. Both are down from last season, MIA at 5.4 and MIN at 4.82, so both offenses are a bit behind their norm. Each had 3 plays of 20 or more yards last game, Malik Willis with deep throws to Chris Bell and Greg Dulcich and Kyler Murray hitting Jordan Addison for a 41-yard touchdown, so this game could hinge on which side hits the big throw.

CHI: 5.83 yards per play to NYJ's 5.1

The Jets are the story here: 5.1 yards a play through 3 games after sitting at 4.36 last season, and their last game had 6 plays of 20+ yards, with Geno Smith hitting Kenyon Sadiq for 43 and a 24-yard score. Chicago is close to its old self, 5.83 now against 5.71 last season, with Case Keenum finding Kalif Raymond for a 41-yard touchdown. Three games is a thin base for a jump that big, so the Jets number has more room to slide back than Chicago's. If New York keeps living on explosives, this game hinges on whether the Bears let the ball get over their heads.

LAR: 66.3 offensive plays per game to PHI's 57.3

LAR is at 66.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; PHI is at 57.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAR was at 63.9 over 17 games and PHI at 59.4 over 17 games.

Grey Zabel (G) is questionable for SEA

SEA lists Grey Zabel as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Kayode Awosika (G) is questionable for LAC

LAC lists Kayode Awosika as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

DAL: 5.53 yards per play to HOU's 4.8

Dallas moves the ball better per snap, 5.53 against Houston's 4.8 through 3 games, though both teams are down from last season, when Dallas was at 5.96 and Houston at 5.1. Each side had only 2 plays of 20+ yards last time out, so neither offense is winning with chunk plays right now. Both numbers sit below their full-season marks, which points to a drift back up over time. For this game, Dallas has the more efficient offense, and the Dak Prescott to CeeDee Lamb shot of 49 yards is the kind of play that can swing a tight, low-explosion game.

Ben Bartch (G) is questionable for DET

DET lists Ben Bartch as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Nick Allegretti (G) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Nick Allegretti as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Lucas Patrick (G) is questionable for WSH

WSH lists Lucas Patrick as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G) is questionable for BUF

BUF lists Ar'maj Reed-Adams as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

TEN: 44.3 penalty yards per game to BAL's 66

TEN is at 44.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; BAL is at 66 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 59.5 over 17 games and BAL at 43.9 over 17 games.

Dalton Risner (G) is questionable for CIN

CIN lists Dalton Risner as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Aaron Banks (G) is questionable for GB

GB lists Aaron Banks as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

John Simpson (G) is questionable for BAL

BAL lists John Simpson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

Ed Ingram (G) is questionable for HOU

HOU lists Ed Ingram as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Tucker Addington (LS) is questionable for MIA

MIA lists Tucker Addington as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 30.

PIT: 49.3 penalty yards per game to CLE's 69.7

Cleveland is giving away 69.7 penalty yards a game through 3 games, up from 49.4 last season, while Pittsburgh sits at 49.3, right around its 47.2 from last year. Pittsburgh looks like the same disciplined team, and the Cleveland spike comes from just 3 games, so expect it to come back toward last season. For this game, the Browns are the side more likely to extend drives with flags, which matters most in a close, grinding matchup.

KC: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to LV's 1

KC is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; LV is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season KC was at 1.88 over 17 games and LV at 1.88 over 17 games.

ATL: 22.7 points allowed per game to NO's 27.7

ATL is at 22.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; NO is at 27.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and NO at 22.5 over 17 games.

George Lombard Jr.: .885 OPS in Last 15 Days

Lombard is a below-average hitter on the season at .699, on a good run over his last 46 AB, up 0.186. The season number is the likelier place he lands. Against Boston, a 0.5 total-bases line asks for one hit, so the recent form helps, though his season level keeps it closer than the streak suggests.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

DET: 0 interceptions thrown per game to CAR's 0.67

DET is at 0 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; CAR is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DET was at 0.47 over 17 games and CAR at 0.71 over 17 games.

PIT: 4.27 yards per rush attempt to CLE's 3.43

Pittsburgh runs for 4.27 yards a carry through 3 games, almost exactly its 4.26 from last season, so that number looks real. Cleveland is at 3.43, down from 3.9 last year, and a 3-game dip is easier to explain as early noise than a new identity. In this game Pittsburgh is the side more likely to lean on the run and control the pace, while Cleveland may have to find yards elsewhere if its ground game stays stuck.

SF: 0.33 interceptions thrown per game to DEN's 1

DEN is at 1 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; SF is at 0.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 0.65 over 17 games and SF at 0.94 over 17 games.

CLE: 17.3 sack yards lost per game to PIT's 25.7

PIT is at 25.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; CLE is at 17.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season PIT was at 14.8 over 17 games and CLE at 20.3 over 17 games.

SF: 4.9 yards per play allowed to DEN's 5.57

DEN is at 5.57 yards per play allowed over 3 games; SF is at 4.9 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

LAR: 4.5 yards per play allowed to PHI's 5.17

LAR is at 4.5 yards per play allowed over 3 games; PHI is at 5.17 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

GB: 2 fourth-down attempts per game to TB's 1

GB is at 2 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; TB is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 1.47 over 17 games and TB at 1.71 over 17 games.

SEA: 0.67 interceptions thrown per game to LAC's 1.33

LAC is at 1.33 interceptions thrown per game over 3 games; SEA is at 0.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAC was at 0.82 over 17 games and SEA at 0.88 over 17 games.

HOU: 67.3 offensive plays per game to DAL's 59

DAL is at 59 offensive plays per game over 3 games; HOU is at 67.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 65.9 over 17 games and HOU at 64 over 17 games.

Trevor Lawrence is the projected starting quarterback for JAX

Through 3 games in 2026, Trevor Lawrence threw for 616 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 7.61 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4007 yards, completed 60.9% and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt, 29-12 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jordan Love is the projected starting quarterback for GB

Through 3 games in 2026, Jordan Love threw for 844 passing yards, completed 52.4% of his passes and averaged 6.81 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3381 yards, completed 66.3% and averaged 7.7 yards per attempt, 23-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jalen Hurts is the projected starting quarterback for PHI

Through 3 games in 2026, Jalen Hurts threw for 620 passing yards, completed 64.4% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3224 yards, completed 64.8% and averaged 7.1 yards per attempt, 25-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 5-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Matthew Stafford is the projected starting quarterback for LAR

Through 3 games in 2026, Matthew Stafford threw for 872 passing yards, completed 60.4% of his passes and averaged 7.86 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4707 yards, completed 65% and averaged 7.88 yards per attempt, 46-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jameis Winston is the projected starting quarterback for NYG

Through 2 games in 2026, Jameis Winston threw for 229 passing yards, completed 51% of his passes and averaged 4.67 yards per attempt. Last season over 3 games he threw for 567 yards, completed 56.1% and averaged 8.59 yards per attempt, 2-2 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Jacoby Brissett is the projected starting quarterback for ARI

Through 3 games in 2026, Jacoby Brissett threw for 652 passing yards, completed 70.1% of his passes and averaged 5.57 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3366 yards, completed 64.9% and averaged 6.94 yards per attempt, 23-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Joe Burrow is the projected starting quarterback for CIN

Through 3 games in 2026, Joe Burrow threw for 743 passing yards, completed 70.9% of his passes and averaged 7.21 yards per attempt. Last season over 8 games he threw for 1809 yards, completed 66.8% and averaged 6.99 yards per attempt, 17-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 6-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jalon Daniels is the projected starting quarterback for TB

In his first 2026 game, Jalon Daniels threw for 0 passing yards, completed 0% of his passes and averaged 0 yards per attempt. His 0-1 touchdown-to-interception line comes from a one-game sample, so the relationship between completion rate and per-throw production is still an early read.

Geno Smith is the projected starting quarterback for NYJ

Through 3 games in 2026, Geno Smith threw for 783 passing yards, completed 75.5% of his passes and averaged 7.68 yards per attempt. Last season over 15 games he threw for 3025 yards, completed 67.4% and averaged 6.75 yards per attempt, 19-17 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Drake Maye is the projected starting quarterback for NE

Through 3 games in 2026, Drake Maye threw for 585 passing yards, completed 63.8% of his passes and averaged 7.31 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4394 yards, completed 72% and averaged 8.93 yards per attempt, 31-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-6 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Daniel Jones is the projected starting quarterback for IND

Through 3 games in 2026, Daniel Jones threw for 611 passing yards, completed 66.3% of his passes and averaged 6.24 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 3101 yards, completed 68% and averaged 8.08 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Deshaun Watson is the projected starting quarterback for CLE

Through 3 games in 2026, Deshaun Watson threw for 587 passing yards, completed 68.3% of his passes and averaged 7.16 yards per attempt. His 5-1 touchdown-to-interception line rounds out the current sample without turning an early-season profile into a settled one.

Aaron Rodgers is the projected starting quarterback for PIT

Through 3 games in 2026, Aaron Rodgers threw for 700 passing yards, completed 58.4% of his passes and averaged 6.2 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3322 yards, completed 65.7% and averaged 6.67 yards per attempt, 24-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

In his first 2026 game, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 256 passing yards, completed 72% of his passes and averaged 10.24 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 1 game in.

Tyler Shough is the projected starting quarterback for NO

Through 3 games in 2026, Tyler Shough threw for 917 passing yards, completed 68.9% of his passes and averaged 6.95 yards per attempt. Last season over 11 games he threw for 2384 yards, completed 67.6% and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt, 10-6 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

TEN: 9 sack yards lost per game to BAL's 17

TEN is at 9 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; BAL is at 17 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 26.1 over 17 games and BAL at 17.2 over 17 games.

SEA: 87 rushing yards allowed per game to LAC's 116.3

LAC is at 116.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; SEA is at 87 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Josh Oliver (TE) is on injured reserve for MIN

The Vikings placed Oliver (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Brett Thorson (P) is questionable for MIN

MIN lists Brett Thorson as questionable on the injury report. Reported Sep 29.

Bryson Stott: .941 OPS in Last 15 Days

Stott's last 41 AB sit 0.205 above his .736 season mark, a hot stretch in a small sample. His 10 home runs on the season show modest power. A 1.5 total-bases line needs an extra-base hit or two singles, and his season level makes that a steeper ask than the recent run implies.

P 1-for-5, 1 TB

Bryce Young is the projected starting quarterback for CAR

Through 3 games in 2026, Bryce Young threw for 939 passing yards, completed 59.5% of his passes and averaged 7.76 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3011 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 6.3 yards per attempt, 23-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Jared Goff is the projected starting quarterback for DET

Through 3 games in 2026, Jared Goff threw for 802 passing yards, completed 70.6% of his passes and averaged 7.36 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4564 yards, completed 68% and averaged 7.9 yards per attempt, 34-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 8-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Sam Darnold is the projected starting quarterback for SEA

Through 2 games in 2026, Sam Darnold threw for 392 passing yards, completed 68.1% of his passes and averaged 8.34 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4048 yards, completed 67.7% and averaged 8.49 yards per attempt, 25-14 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Justin Herbert is the projected starting quarterback for LAC

Through 3 games in 2026, Justin Herbert threw for 627 passing yards, completed 59.1% of his passes and averaged 7.13 yards per attempt. Last season over 16 games he threw for 3727 yards, completed 66.4% and averaged 7.28 yards per attempt, 26-13 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-4 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Brock Purdy is the projected starting quarterback for SF

Through 3 games in 2026, Brock Purdy threw for 789 passing yards, completed 72.3% of his passes and averaged 9.51 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 2167 yards, completed 69.4% and averaged 7.63 yards per attempt, 20-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Bo Nix is the projected starting quarterback for DEN

Through 3 games in 2026, Bo Nix threw for 605 passing yards, completed 60.2% of his passes and averaged 6.5 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3931 yards, completed 63.4% and averaged 6.42 yards per attempt, 25-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Kirk Cousins is the projected starting quarterback for LV

Through 3 games in 2026, Kirk Cousins threw for 661 passing yards, completed 67.4% of his passes and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt. Last season over 10 games he threw for 1721 yards, completed 61.7% and averaged 6.4 yards per attempt, 10-5 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-3 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

NYJ: 87.3 rushing yards allowed per game to CHI's 117

NYJ is at 87.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; CHI is at 117 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Patrick Mahomes is the projected starting quarterback for KC

Through 3 games in 2026, Patrick Mahomes threw for 812 passing yards, completed 68.4% of his passes and averaged 8.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3587 yards, completed 62.7% and averaged 7.14 yards per attempt, 22-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Kyler Murray is the projected starting quarterback for MIN

Through 2 games in 2026, Kyler Murray threw for 186 passing yards, completed 52.9% of his passes and averaged 5.47 yards per attempt. Last season over 5 games he threw for 962 yards, completed 68.3% and averaged 5.97 yards per attempt, 6-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 2 games in.

Malik Willis is the projected starting quarterback for MIA

Through 3 games in 2026, Malik Willis threw for 627 passing yards, completed 57% of his passes and averaged 7.29 yards per attempt. Last season over 4 games he threw for 422 yards, completed 85.7% and averaged 12.06 yards per attempt, 3-0 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 1-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

C.J. Stroud is the projected starting quarterback for HOU

Through 3 games in 2026, C.J. Stroud threw for 794 passing yards, completed 60% of his passes and averaged 6.62 yards per attempt. Last season over 14 games he threw for 3041 yards, completed 64.5% and averaged 7.19 yards per attempt, 19-8 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-0 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Dak Prescott is the projected starting quarterback for DAL

Through 3 games in 2026, Dak Prescott threw for 730 passing yards, completed 69.5% of his passes and averaged 6.95 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 4552 yards, completed 67.3% and averaged 7.59 yards per attempt, 30-10 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 7-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Lamar Jackson is the projected starting quarterback for BAL

Through 3 games in 2026, Lamar Jackson threw for 745 passing yards, completed 69.7% of his passes and averaged 9.8 yards per attempt. Last season over 13 games he threw for 2549 yards, completed 63.6% and averaged 8.44 yards per attempt, 21-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 4-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

Cam Ward is the projected starting quarterback for TEN

Through 3 games in 2026, Cam Ward threw for 504 passing yards, completed 62.5% of his passes and averaged 5.73 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3169 yards, completed 59.8% and averaged 5.87 yards per attempt, 15-7 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 2-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 3 games in.

GB: 41.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 30%

GB is at 41.7% red-zone scoring rate over 3 games; TB is at 30% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 57.6% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.

MIA: 6.1 yards per pass attempt to MIN's 5.07

MIA is at 6.1 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; MIN is at 5.07 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season MIA was at 6 over 17 games and MIN at 5.1 over 17 games.

Bryce Harper (.997 vs RHP) replaces Adolis Garcia at RF tonight

With Adolis Garcia out, Harper plays right field and bats third against right-hander Tyler Mahle. His .997 OPS against righties over 352 at-bats sits well above his .865 overall line. The lat injury has lasted 98 days, so this is a steady role. For props, Harper third in the order against a righty is where his season line undersells him.

P 2-for-5, 5 TB

DAL: 6.57 yards per pass attempt to HOU's 5.53

DAL is at 6.57 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; HOU is at 5.53 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 7 over 17 games and HOU at 6.2 over 17 games.

PIT: 207.7 team passing yards per game to CLE's 178.3

PIT is at 207.7 team passing yards per game over 3 games; CLE is at 178.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season PIT was at 202.4 over 17 games and CLE at 165.2 over 17 games.

Hunter Brown: 1.17 ERA over his last 3 starts

Hunter Brown has allowed 2 earned runs in 15.1 innings over his last 3 starts with 24 strikeouts, so hitters are missing a lot and rarely scoring. That stretch is 2.01 runs better than his 3.19 season ERA, and three starts is a small window, so expect the runs allowed to drift back up. The strikeout pace is the part most likely to carry against Chicago, which makes his strikeout total the cleaner angle.

P 0.2 IP, 3 ER, 2 K

PIT: 63.3 offensive plays per game to CLE's 55.7

PIT is at 63.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; CLE is at 55.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season PIT was at 58.1 over 17 games and CLE at 60.6 over 17 games.

DET: 31:32 time of possession per game to CAR's 28:27

DET is at 31:32 time of possession per game over 3 games; CAR is at 28:27 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DET was at 30:33 over 17 games and CAR at 29:51 over 17 games.

SF: 0 sack yards lost per game to DEN's 7.7

DEN is at 7.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; SF is at 0 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DEN was at 9.5 over 17 games and SF at 10.7 over 17 games.

Omar Cooper Jr. (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ

The Jets are expected to place Cooper (ankle) on injured reserve, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 19.

Jordan Hancock (CB) is on injured reserve for BUF

The Bills placed Hancock (hamstring) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.

NE: 4.87 yards per play allowed to BUF's 5.43

NE is at 4.87 yards per play allowed over 3 games; BUF is at 5.43 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

ARI: 3.67 red-zone trips per game to NYG's 2.67

ARI is at 3.67 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; NYG is at 2.67 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ARI was at 3.59 over 17 games and NYG at 3.47 over 17 games.

Ozzie Albies vs Cristopher Sanchez: .500

Albies is 6-for-12 against Cristopher Sanchez, but 12 at-bats can swing fast. He comes in cold at a .405 OPS over the last 15 days, which pulls hard against the history. The two signals point opposite ways, and the recent slump says more about what he looks like right now.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB

Lucas Giolito

Giolito returns tomorrow from a 60-day elbow stint. The 5.16 ERA tells you what happened before the injury — he wasn't pitching well. October callups mean short timelines and likely pitch limits on rehab assignments. If your league's playoffs extend into the first week of October, he could eat a streaming spot, but he's not a league-winner. Stash only in deep leagues with extended October playoffs.

BAL: 59.3 offensive plays per game to TEN's 52.3

TEN is at 52.3 offensive plays per game over 3 games; BAL is at 59.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season TEN was at 59.1 over 17 games and BAL at 57.3 over 17 games.

Manny Machado: .567 OPS in Last 15 Days

Machado's last 15 days sit 0.144 below his .711 season baseline over 51 AB, the smallest drop and the largest sample in this group. That is a mild cool-off more than a real slump, and a gap this narrow can close quickly. For CHC @ SD, his .711 season mark is a reasonable expectation.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB

De'Zhaun Stribling (WR) is on injured reserve for SF

The 49ers placed Stribling (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 19.

Nick Samac (C) is on injured reserve for MIN

The Vikings placed Samac (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.

Zach Bako-Bewele (OT) is on injured reserve for GB

The Packers placed Bako-Bewele (knee) on injured reserve Monday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Reported Sep 29.

Jordan Davis (DT) is questionable for PHI

PHI lists Jordan Davis as questionable on the injury report.

Ronnie Rivers (RB) is on injured reserve for LAR

The Rams placed Rivers (calf) on their injured reserve list Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Myles Garrett (DE) is on injured reserve for LAR

Garrett (knee) is facing a six-week recovery from surgery on his left knee, but the pass rusher is determined to be back before then, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network and ESPN reports. Reported Sep 27.

Jalen Davis (CB) is on injured reserve for CIN

The Bengals placed Davis (hamstring) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

Arian Smith (WR) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Smith (knee) underwent surgery Wednesday to repair a torn ACL and will miss the rest of the season, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.

NYJ: 171 passing yards allowed per game to CHI's 207

NYJ is at 171 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; CHI is at 207 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

GB (1-2) at TB (0-3)

Green Bay is 1-2 at -35, a margin that points to at least one heavy loss, and 1-1 on the road. Tampa Bay is 0-3 at -17 and 0-2 at home, with three straight losses. The Bucs record looks worse, but their margin is actually the better of the two. That makes this a spot where the winless team may be closer to the visitor than the records suggest.

PIT (2-1) at CLE (2-1), a division game

Both sides are 2-1 with negative margins: Pittsburgh at -7 and Cleveland at -17, so both records flatter the teams. The Browns have won two straight and won their only home game, while the Steelers lost their lone road game. Winning records on negative margins tend to regress. In a division game where neither team has outscored opponents, a bettor should expect a close, grinding game more than a clear favorite.

SEA: 4 red-zone trips per game to LAC's 3

LAC is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; SEA is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAC was at 3.35 over 17 games and SEA at 3.47 over 17 games.

TEN: 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed to BAL's 70%

TEN is at 55.6% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; BAL is at 70% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

LAR: 101.3 rushing yards allowed per game to PHI's 127.3

LAR is at 101.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; PHI is at 127.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

KC: 4.6 yards per play allowed to LV's 5.17

KC is at 4.6 yards per play allowed over 3 games; LV is at 5.17 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Trey Pipkins III (OT) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Pipkins (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Kelvin Banks Jr. (OT) is on injured reserve for NO

Banks is New Orleans' starting-caliber left tackle, and he had ankle surgery this week, reported Sep 26. Injured reserve means he is out for this game against Atlanta and at least several more. The sheet does not name his replacement, so watch who lines up at tackle and how the Saints protect the quarterback against the Falcons' pass rush.

Jaycee Horn (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Horn (quadriceps) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 30.

DAL: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to HOU's 28.6%

DAL is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; HOU is at 28.6% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 62.9% over 17 games and HOU at 57.9% over 17 games.

DET: 53.3 penalty yards per game to CAR's 70

DET is at 53.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; CAR is at 70 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DET was at 42.2 over 17 games and CAR at 44.8 over 17 games.

CHI: 4 red-zone trips per game to NYJ's 3

NYJ is at 3 red-zone trips per game over 3 games; CHI is at 4 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NYJ was at 2.24 over 17 games and CHI at 3.24 over 17 games.

Mike Jackson (CB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Head coach Dave Canales said Wednesday that Jackson (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery and will be sidelined about eight weeks, Joe Person of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 30.

Jonathon Brooks (RB) is on injured reserve for CAR

Brooks is expected to undergo surgery Wednesday to repair a core-muscle injury and is likely to miss at least six weeks, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Reported Sep 23.

IND: 2.33 sacks recorded per game to WSH's 1.67

IND is at 2.33 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; WSH is at 1.67 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Yankees are 7-6 vs Red Sox this season

New York and Boston have split 13 games nearly evenly, so this series shows no real edge either way. The last game was a 16-1 Yankees rout, and one blowout says little about the next game in a rivalry this close. With nothing on the sheet about the arms or venues, the season series gives close to no lean tonight in New York. Start from the pitching matchup and current form.

CAR: 27.7 points allowed per game to DET's 31.7

DET is at 31.7 points allowed per game over 3 games; CAR is at 27.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DET was at 24.3 over 17 games and CAR at 22.4 over 17 games.

ARI: 66.7 offensive plays per game to NYG's 60.3

ARI is at 66.7 offensive plays per game over 3 games; NYG is at 60.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season ARI was at 63.2 over 17 games and NYG at 63.8 over 17 games.

TB: 26.3 points allowed per game to GB's 30.3

GB is at 30.3 points allowed per game over 3 games; TB is at 26.3 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 21.2 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.

HOU: 30:05 time of possession per game to DAL's 27:30

DAL is at 27:30 time of possession per game over 3 games; HOU is at 30:05 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DAL was at 30:48 over 17 games and HOU at 31:49 over 17 games.

JAX: 22.3 first downs per game to CIN's 19

JAX is at 22.3 first downs per game over 3 games; CIN is at 19 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 20.9 over 17 games and CIN at 20.7 over 17 games.

NO: 2.33 sacks recorded per game to ATL's 1.67

ATL is at 1.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; NO is at 2.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

PIT: 192.7 passing yards allowed per game to CLE's 224

PIT is at 192.7 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; CLE is at 224 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

DEN: 2.67 sacks recorded per game to SF's 2

DEN is at 2.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; SF is at 2 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

DAL: 207.3 passing yards allowed per game to HOU's 238.7

DAL is at 207.3 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; HOU is at 238.7 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

HOU: 5.53 yards per play allowed to DAL's 6.03

DAL is at 6.03 yards per play allowed over 3 games; HOU is at 5.53 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

GB: 5.93 yards per pass attempt to TB's 5.03

GB is at 5.93 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; TB is at 5.03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 6.85 over 17 games and TB at 6.04 over 17 games.

CAR: 6.1 yards per play to DET's 5.6

Carolina is getting 6.1 yards a play through 3 games, a big jump from 4.92 last season, while Detroit is at 5.6, below its 5.97 from last year. Three games is not enough to call Carolina a new offense, and Detroit has a full season suggesting it gets back up. The gap on the headline may shrink or flip, so this game is better viewed with Detroit's longer track record in mind than Carolina's hot start.

NYG: 104.3 rushing yards allowed per game to ARI's 127.7

ARI is at 127.7 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; NYG is at 104.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

JAX: 52.9% third-down conversion rate to CIN's 46.3%

JAX is at 52.9% third-down conversion rate over 3 games; CIN is at 46.3% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 39.2% over 17 games and CIN at 43.4% over 17 games.

CIN: 3.33 sacks recorded per game to JAX's 2.67

JAX is at 2.67 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; CIN is at 3.33 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

BUF: 3 sacks recorded per game to NE's 2.33

NE is at 2.33 sacks recorded per game over 3 games; BUF is at 3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Cam Lewis

Leg · Limited practice

Ben Rice: 1.041 OPS in Last 15 Days

Rice is hot on top of an already strong .897 season, a 0.144 lift over 43 AB. With 41 home runs this season, the power is established, so less of this run depends on luck. Against a 1.5 total-bases line, one extra-base hit clears it, and his season profile supports that more than most hitters on a hot streak.

P 1-for-4, 1 TB, 1 BB

NE: 34.3% third downs allowed to BUF's 40.5%

NE is at 34.3% third downs allowed over 3 games; BUF is at 40.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

SF: 207.3 passing yards allowed per game to DEN's 237

DEN is at 237 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; SF is at 207.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Leo Chenal (LB) is on injured reserve for WSH

The Commanders placed Chenal (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 29.

Brenden Schooler (S) is nfi-r for NE

The Patriots opened the 21-day practice window for Schooler (back) on Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Quintayvious Hutchins (LB) is on injured reserve for NE

Hutchins (knee) was placed on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 26.

Shemar Turner (DT) is pup-r for CHI

The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Turner (knee) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 24.

Noah Sewell (LB) is pup-r for CHI

The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Sewell (Achilles) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. Reported Sep 23.

Brian Burns (LB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Burns (knee) on injured reserve Tuesday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 29.

P.J. Locke (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Locke (foot) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Jalen Thompson (S) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Jonathan Bullard (DT) is on injured reserve for DAL

The Cowboys placed Bullard (calf) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports. Reported Oct 1.

M.J. Stewart (S) is pup-r for HOU

The Texans designated Stewart (quadriceps) for return from their reserve/PUP list Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Jake Hummel (LB) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed Hummel (groin) on injured reserve Saturday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports. Reported Sep 26.

Mario Edwards Jr. (DT) is on injured reserve for HOU

The Texans placed Edwards on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Oct 1.

Thomas Harper (S) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Harper (ankle) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 26.

Claudin Cherelus (LB) is on injured reserve for CAR

The Panthers placed Cherelus (shoulder) on injured reserve Saturday, Darin Gantt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 26.

PIT: 20 points allowed per game to CLE's 23.7

PIT is at 20 points allowed per game over 3 games; CLE is at 23.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season PIT was at 22.8 over 17 games and CLE at 22.3 over 17 games.

LAR: 31:05 time of possession per game to PHI's 28:44

LAR is at 31:05 time of possession per game over 3 games; PHI is at 28:44 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAR was at 30:46 over 17 games and PHI at 30:11 over 17 games.

Brandin Echols

Concussion · Limited practice

Jalen Ramsey

Wrist · Limited practice

Frankie Luvu

Groin · Limited practice

Jayden Daniels

Elbow · Limited practice

Percy Butler

Concussion · Limited practice

Amik Robertson

Knee · Limited practice

Lucas Patrick

Foot · Limited practice

Nick Allegretti

Hip · Limited practice

Akeem Davis-Gaither

Knee · Limited practice

Charles Omenihu

Ankle · Limited practice

Javon Kinlaw

Shoulder · Limited practice

Keenan Allen

Limited practice

Jonathan Taylor

Limited practice

Ben Sinnott

Ribs · Limited practice

Charvarius Ward

Limited practice

Chig Okonkwo

Hamstring · Limited practice

Deone Walker

Quadriceps · Limited practice

DJ Moore

Shoulder · Limited practice

Dre'Mont Jones

Shoulder · Limited practice

Craig Woodson

Shoulder · Limited practice

Damar Hamlin

Ribs · Limited practice

Brenden Schooler

Back · Limited practice

Reggie Gilliam

Knee · Limited practice

Christian Elliss

Chest · Limited practice

Eli Raridon

Thigh · Limited practice

Shemar Turner

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Noah Sewell

Achilles · Limited practice

Kingsley Enagbare

Knee · Limited practice

Jeremy Ruckert

Knee · Limited practice

Kenyon Sadiq

Back · Limited practice

Minkah Fitzpatrick

Groin · Limited practice

Christian Braswell

Knee · Limited practice

Cole Van Lanen

Knee · Limited practice

Montaric Brown

Hamstring · Limited practice

Jakobi Meyers

Thumb · Limited practice

DaVon Hamilton

Back · Limited practice

Albert Regis

Elbow · Limited practice

Jordan Battle

Hamstring · Limited practice

Bryan Cook

Ankle · Limited practice

LeQuint Allen Jr.

Hip · Limited practice

Hjalte Froholdt

Knee · Limited practice

Roy Lopez

Groin · Limited practice

Tyler Nubin

Calf · Limited practice

Walter Nolen III

Shoulder · Limited practice

Deonte Banks

Calf · Limited practice

Mack Wilson Sr.

Thumb · Limited practice

Puka Nacua

Hip · Limited practice

Josh Wallace

Shoulder · Limited practice

Kamren Kinchens

Hamstring · Limited practice

Jordan Davis

Calf · Limited practice

Jihaad Campbell

Knee · Limited practice

Moro Ojomo

Calf · Limited practice

Nate Landman

Shoulder · Limited practice

Warren Brinson

Calf · Limited practice

Bucky Irving

Lower Body · Limited practice

Donovan Jennings

Limited practice

Javon Hargrave

Limited practice

Edgerrin Cooper

Concussion · Limited practice

Keionte Scott

Toe · Limited practice

Josiah Trotter

Shoulder · Limited practice

Lukas Van Ness

Shoulder · Limited practice

SirVocea Dennis

Calf · Limited practice

Ronnie Stanley

Toe · Limited practice

Chris Moore

Ankle · Limited practice

Durham Smythe

Heel · Limited practice

John Simpson

Groin · Limited practice

Zay Flowers

Hamstring · Limited practice

Marlon Humphrey

Hamstring · Limited practice

Nico Collins

Hamstring · Limited practice

Ed Ingram

Groin · Limited practice

Will Anderson Jr.

Ankle · Limited practice

Jadeveon Clowney

Knee · Limited practice

Calen Bullock

Quadriceps · Limited practice

Malik Hooker

Forearm · Limited practice

Dalton Schultz

Limited practice

Jake Hansen

Calf · Limited practice

Logan Hall

Knee · Limited practice

M.J. Stewart

Knee · Limited practice

Chris Bell

Knee · Limited practice

Blake Cashman

Elbow · Limited practice

Aaron Jones Sr.

Limited practice

Storm Duck

Knee · Limited practice

Tucker Addington

Shoulder · Limited practice

Jaylen Wright

Foot · Limited practice

L'Jarius Sneed

Knee · Limited practice

Zach Allen

Limited practice

Mykel Williams

Knee - ACL · Limited practice

Romello Height

Hand · Limited practice

Ladd McConkey

Foot · Limited practice

George Holani

Ribs · Limited practice

Leonard Williams

Limited practice

Jadarian Price

Chest · Limited practice

Derwin James Jr.

Hamstring · Limited practice

Jarran Reed

Foot · Limited practice

Elijah Molden

Hamstring · Limited practice

Grey Zabel

Groin · Limited practice

Julian Love

Calf · Limited practice

Keaton Mitchell

Ankle · Limited practice

Trey Lance

Groin · Limited practice

D.J. Reed

Ribs · Limited practice

ATL: 50% red-zone scoring allowed to NO's 61.5%

ATL is at 50% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; NO is at 61.5% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

NYJ: 75% fourth-down conversion rate to CHI's 57.1%

NYJ is at 75% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; CHI is at 57.1% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season NYJ was at 43.9% over 17 games and CHI at 51.7% over 17 games.

JAX: 40.3 penalty yards per game to CIN's 55

JAX is at 40.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; CIN is at 55 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 63.5 over 17 games and CIN at 37.2 over 17 games.

BAL: 105 rushing yards allowed per game to TEN's 126.3

TEN is at 126.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; BAL is at 105 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

JAX: 7.1 yards per pass attempt to CIN's 6.33

JAX is at 7.1 yards per pass attempt over 3 games; CIN is at 6.33 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 6.42 over 17 games and CIN at 5.81 over 17 games.

PIT: 33.3% third downs allowed to CLE's 39%

PIT is at 33.3% third downs allowed over 3 games; CLE is at 39% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

IND: 33.3 penalty yards per game to WSH's 46.7

IND is at 33.3 penalty yards per game over 3 games; WSH is at 46.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season IND was at 51.2 over 17 games and WSH at 53.7 over 17 games.

GB: 5.17 yards per play to TB's 4.73

Green Bay is at 5.17 yards a play and Tampa Bay at 4.73 through 3 games, and both are below last season, when Green Bay was at 5.61 and Tampa at 5.12. Both offenses hit for chunk plays last time out, Jordan Love finding Matthew Golden for 45 and Baker Mayfield hitting Ted Hurst III for a 40-yard score. With both teams running under their full-season levels, expect some bounce back on each side, which makes this game likelier to open up than the early numbers suggest.

JAX: 10.3 sack yards lost per game to CIN's 15.7

JAX is at 10.3 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; CIN is at 15.7 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season JAX was at 20.6 over 17 games and CIN at 14.1 over 17 games.

GB: 14.7 sack yards lost per game to TB's 20

GB is at 14.7 sack yards lost per game over 3 games; TB is at 20 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season GB was at 16.3 over 17 games and TB at 15.9 over 17 games.

LAC: 4.2 yards per rush attempt to SEA's 3.63

LAC is at 4.2 yards per rush attempt over 3 games; SEA is at 3.63 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAC was at 4.58 over 17 games and SEA at 4.17 over 17 games.

DET: 24.7 first downs per game to CAR's 22

DET is at 24.7 first downs per game over 3 games; CAR is at 22 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season DET was at 20.4 over 17 games and CAR at 18 over 17 games.

LAR: 50% fourth-down conversion rate to PHI's 33.3%

LAR is at 50% fourth-down conversion rate over 3 games; PHI is at 33.3% over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season LAR was at 66.7% over 17 games and PHI at 52.4% over 17 games.

TEN: 189 passing yards allowed per game to BAL's 216.3

TEN is at 189 passing yards allowed per game over 3 games; BAL is at 216.3 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

PIT: 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed to CLE's 44.4%

PIT is at 33.3% red-zone scoring allowed over 3 games; CLE is at 44.4% over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

IND: 1.67 fourth-down attempts per game to WSH's 1

IND is at 1.67 fourth-down attempts per game over 3 games; WSH is at 1 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season IND was at 1.59 over 17 games and WSH at 1.53 over 17 games.

Luis Campusano: .584 OPS in Last 15 Days

Campusano's dip sits 0.211 below his .795 season baseline, in just 26 AB, a sample where one extra-base hit moves the number a lot. His .795 season line is the more reliable guide. In CHC @ SD, give the recent slump little weight and lean on the season level.

Jackson Slater (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

The Titans placed Slater (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

KC: 32:07 time of possession per game to LV's 30:03

KC is at 32:07 time of possession per game over 3 games; LV is at 30:03 over 3 games. Those are this season's games through Sep 29. Last season KC was at 30:09 over 17 games and LV at 28:03 over 17 games.

MIN: 85.7 rushing yards allowed per game to MIA's 104.3

MIA is at 104.3 rushing yards allowed per game over 3 games; MIN is at 85.7 over 3 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Sep 29.

Fernando Carmona (G) is on injured reserve for TEN

The Titans placed Carmona (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday, Jim Wyatt of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 30.

Greg Van Roten (G) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Van Roten (thigh) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 30.

David Njoku (TE) is on injured reserve for LAC

The Chargers placed Njoku (fibula) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.

Gennings Dunker (G) is on injured reserve for PIT

The Steelers placed Dunker (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports. Reported Sep 26.

Tyler Smith (G) is on injured reserve for DAL

Cowboys head coach Brian Schottenheimer said Tuesday that Smith (thumb) is progressing well and could return from injured reserve for the team's Week 5 game against the Buccaneers, Todd Archer of ESPN.com reports. Reported Sep 30.

Will Johnson (CB) is on injured reserve for ARI

The Cardinals placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Wednesday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 23.

CHI is on a short week

Both teams are on a quick turnaround here, with the Jets on 3 days since their last game and Chicago on just 2. That is a thin gap, and neither side gets a normal week to heal or install much. Short prep for both usually means simpler schemes and more fatigue late. For a bettor, rest is close to a wash, so the edge has to come from somewhere else.

PHI is on a short week

The Rams come in on 3 days since their last game and Philadelphia on 2, so both sides are rushing through a short week. A one-day difference is small, and the Rams also have to travel across the country. Neither team gets much practice time, which tends to favor familiar game plans over new wrinkles. Rest barely separates these two, so look to other factors.

LAR (1-2) at PHI (2-1)

The Rams are 1-2 at -2, so their losses have been close and the record undersells them. Philadelphia is 2-1 at -14, a winning record on a negative margin, which flatters the Eagles. Each team has one game in its home or road split, too few to mean much. By margin, the visiting team has played better, and that gap tends to show up once records settle.

KC (3-0) at LV (3-0), a division game

Two 3-0 division rivals with nearly identical margins: Kansas City at +38 and Las Vegas at +34. Both are 1-0 in the relevant split, one game apiece. With three games of evidence and matching profiles, neither record gives much separation. Home field is the clearest tiebreaker on the sheet, so the price on the Raiders at home is the number to judge.

Micheal Clemons (DE) is on injured reserve for IND

Clemons (toe) was placed on injured reserve by the Colts on Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

A.J. Terrell Jr. (CB) is on injured reserve for ATL

The Falcons placed Terrell (groin) on injured reserve Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 22.

Paulson Adebo (CB) is on injured reserve for NYG

The Giants placed Adebo (knee) on injured reserve Friday, Dan Salomone of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 19.

T.J. Tampa (CB) is on injured reserve for BAL

The Ravens placed Tampa (knee) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 19.

Avonte Maddox (CB) is on injured reserve for DET

The Lions placed Maddox (foot) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

Max Fried's ERA jumps to 3.42 at Yankee Stadium

Fried allows more runs at home, yet hitters are batting just .196 off him in the Bronx, so he is still missing bats there. That gap points at the park, where the short porch turns a few fly balls into homers and pushes ERA up without much contact. Nine games and 47.1 innings is a real sample, so the split should hold. Against Boston, expect few hits off him, with the long ball as the main way runs score.

P 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 K

David Onyemata (DT) is on injured reserve for NYJ

Onyemata (groin) underwent core-muscle surgery Wednesday, Antwan V. Staley of the New York Daily News reports. Reported Sep 23.

Gavin Stone

Stone's shoulder return is Oct 3, just three days out, but the blank season line is a red flag — either he missed most of the year or didn't establish anything before going down. LAD will be cautious on workload. Shoulder injuries linger in ways elbow injuries sometimes don't. Pass unless your league plays deep into October and you need lottery upside.

Dell Pettus (S) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Pettus (ankle) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 24.

Ronnie Harrison Jr. (LB) is on injured reserve for MIA

The Dolphins placed Harrison (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday. Reported Sep 19.

C.J. West (DT) is on injured reserve for SF

The 49ers placed West (undisclosed) on injured reserve Wednesday. Reported Sep 23.

ARI (1-2) at NYG (2-1)

The Giants are 2-1 at -9 and 2-0 at home, a winning record that their margin does not support. Arizona is 1-2 at -18 with two straight losses and a 1-1 road split. Both margins are negative, so neither team has outscored opponents. New York's home record is the strongest thing on its sheet, but a negative margin on a winning team is a common candidate to cool off.

Anthony Bradford (G) is on injured reserve for SEA

The Seahawks placed Bradford (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Reported Sep 24.

DET (2-1) at CAR (1-2)

Detroit is 2-1 at -2 and Carolina is 1-2 at +6, so the records point one way and the margins point the other. The Lions have been winning close games, and the Panthers have been outscoring opponents without the wins to show for it. Each is 0-1 in its home or road split, one game each. Carolina is the kind of team whose record tends to rise to meet its margin.

Zach Wood (LS) is on injured reserve for NO

The Saints placed Wood (calf) on injured reserve Friday. Reported Sep 19.

Mike Onwenu (G) is on injured reserve for NE

The Patriots placed Onwenu (ankle) on injured reserve Tuesday. Reported Sep 23.

ARI is on a short week

Arizona and the Giants both have 3 days since their last game, but the Cardinals also make the long trip east on that short week. Both teams get little prep time. The rest number is even, so any calendar edge comes from the travel, not the days off.

ATL lead the series with NO since 2025

Atlanta won both meetings last season, and they looked very different. The Falcons won 24-10 in New Orleans in November, a comfortable road win, then escaped 19-17 at home on Jan 4. That second game shows the Saints can keep it tight. This one is in New Orleans, where Atlanta won easily last time, but two games is a small sample to call it a mismatch.

LAC is on a short week

The Chargers and Seattle are both on 3 days since their last game, so rest is level. The road trip up the coast is short, which keeps travel from adding much. The calendar gives neither side an edge.

DEN is on a short week

Denver and San Francisco each have 3 days since their last game, so the short week is shared. Both teams get little time to heal or install new looks. Rest does not tilt this matchup.

TEN is on a short week

Tennessee and Baltimore both come in on 3 days since their last game, so neither side gets extra time to heal or prepare. Short weeks usually mean simpler game plans for both teams. Rest does not separate these two.

DAL is on a short week

Dallas and Houston each have 3 days since their last game, so the short week hits both equally. With little practice time, both staffs are likely to lean on what they already run well. The calendar is a wash here.

IND is on a short week

Indianapolis and Washington are both on 3 days since their last game, so the short week hits each side equally. Neither team gets a full practice week, and simple game plans are the norm in this spot. Rest gives no edge in this matchup.

PIT is on a short week

Pittsburgh and Cleveland both come in on 3 days since their last game, so the calendar hands neither side an edge. Both teams have to recover and prepare on a compressed week, which usually means basic game plans. In a division game where both staffs know each other well, rest is a wash here.

MIA is on a short week

Miami and Minnesota are both on 3 days since their last game, so rest is even. The Dolphins do travel north on that short week, which adds some wear. Beyond that, neither side gets a prep edge from the schedule.

KC is on a short week

Kansas City and Las Vegas both come in on 3 days since their last game, so neither team gets the rest edge. A short week in a division game tends to favor the staffs that rely on familiar plans. The calendar is even here.

KC and LV are even since 2025

The two meetings could hardly look more different. KC won the Oct 19 game at home 31-0, then lost the Jan 4 rematch in Las Vegas 12-14 in a low-scoring, two-point game. That gives two games, one blowout and one coin flip, and the home side won both. For this trip to Las Vegas, the closer January game is the better guide to what a road game in this series can look like.

NE and BUF are even since 2025

These two played a pair of close, back-and-forth games last season, and the road team won both. New England won 23-20 in Buffalo in October, then Buffalo won a 35-31 shootout in Foxborough in December. The scoring jumped a lot between the two meetings, so there is no settled pattern on points. What held both times was a one-score finish, which makes a big spread in this series harder to trust.

PIT and CLE are even since 2025

Both meetings last season were low-scoring, and the home team won each one. Pittsburgh handled Cleveland 23-9 in October, then Cleveland returned the favor 13-6 on Dec 28 with Pittsburgh held to two scores' worth of points. This one is in Cleveland, where the Steelers managed just 6. Two games is a thin sample, but both pointed to a grinding, defense-first matchup, which is useful context when you look at the total.

DET is on a short week

Detroit and Carolina both come in on 3 days since their last game, so the short week hits each side the same. Thin prep time usually means basic game plans and some fatigue late. Rest is a wash in this one.

JAX is on a short week

Jacksonville and Cincinnati both come in on 3 days since their last game, so the short week cuts both ways. Neither team gets a normal practice week, which usually means lean game plans and some tired legs late. Rest is even in this one.

NE is on a short week

New England and Buffalo each have 3 days since their last game, so both are on the same short week. Division familiarity helps both staffs when prep time is thin. The calendar does not favor either side here.

Byron Young

Full practice

LaCale London

Full practice

Nick Scott

Full practice

Devin Lloyd

Full practice

Bryce Young

Full practice

Nick Emmanwori

Full practice

Rashid Shaheed

Full practice

Brandon Pili

Concussion · Full practice

Jaylen Waddle

Full practice

Marvin Mims Jr.

Full practice

J.K. Dobbins

Full practice

Jadon Canady

Full practice

Ashton Jeanty

Full practice

Malik Benson

Full practice

Chris Jones

Full practice

Tristin McCollum

Full practice

Jack Cochrane

Full practice

Ashton Gillotte

Full practice

Felix Anudike-Uzomah

Full practice

Rashee Rice

Full practice

Patrick Mahomes

Full practice

Chamarri Conner

Full practice

Folorunso Fatukasi

Full practice

Treydan Stukes

Concussion · Full practice

Cody White

Full practice

Chris Roland-Wallace

Full practice

JuJu Brents

Full practice

Dante Trader Jr.

Full practice

Aaron Brewer

Full practice

Zeek Biggers

Full practice

Seydou Traore

Full practice

Josh Uche

Full practice

Wade Woodaz

Full practice

James Houston

Full practice

Mark Andrews

Full practice

Benjamin St-Juste

Full practice

Brandon Cisse

Full practice

Anthony Belton

Full practice

Bo Melton

Full practice

Darius Cooper

Full practice

Jalen Carter

Full practice

Jonathan Greenard

Full practice

Tank Bigsby

Full practice

Patrick Ricard

Full practice

Nic Jones

Full practice

Elijah Campbell

Full practice

Jarrian Jones

Full practice

Kene Nwangwu

Full practice

Kyler Gordon

Calf · Full practice

Drake Maye

Full practice

Bradley Chubb

Full practice

Dorian Williams

Full practice

Terrel Bernard

Full practice

Ar'maj Reed-Adams

Full practice

Spencer Shrader

Full practice

Tytus Howard

Full practice

Tyson Campbell

Full practice

Grant Delpit

Full practice

IND (1-2) at WSH (1-2)

Mirror images: both teams are 1-2, both won their last game, and the margins are close at -19 for Indianapolis and -17 for Washington. The Commanders won their only home game and the Colts lost their only road game, one game each. Nothing on the sheet separates these teams much. Home field is the most concrete edge, and a bettor should expect the price to reflect a close game.

Marcelino McCrary-Ball (LB) is on injured reserve for NYJ

NYJ lists Marcelino McCrary-Ball as on injured reserve on the injury report. Reported Sep 23.

CIN lead the series with JAX since 2025

There is one meeting to go on: CIN beat JAX 31-27 at home on Sep 14 last season. That was a four-point game with both offenses scoring, so the 1-0 edge came from a close finish and one late swing could have flipped it. One game is a thin record, and this matchup is back in Cincinnati, the same setting as last time.

PHI lead the series with LAR since 2025

PHI and LAR have met once in this stretch, a 33-26 Philadelphia win at home on Sep 21 last season. That was a seven-point game with plenty of scoring on both sides. A single meeting tells you little about the matchup, so the 1-0 mark is thin evidence. The next game is also in Philadelphia, so the setting matches last year's meeting.

Alec Pierce

Heel

Quintayvious Hutchins

Knee

Jordan Hancock

Hamstring

Andrei Iosivas

Thumb

Jaxson Dart

Knee - Meniscus

Brian Burns

Knee - ACL

Jalen McMillan

Knee - PCL

Fernando Carmona

Ankle

Jake Hummel

Groin

P.J. Locke

Foot

Nick Samac

Knee

Demarcus Robinson

Ankle

Jonah Coleman

Ankle

Trey Pipkins III

Knee

Claudin Cherelus

Shoulder

Thomas Harper

Ankle

Martin Emerson Jr.

Shoulder

Christen Miller

Toe

Barion Brown

Hamstring

Samson Ebukam

Hamstring

Travis Etienne Jr.

Hamstring

Gennings Dunker

Knee

Leo Chenal

Neck