Houston Rockets at Portland Trail Blazers
Moda Center
Portland Trail Blazers +6.5-108
WCashedFinal 102-103
The read
TALE OF THE TAPE
Portland Houston Record 17-20 → 22-11 Net Rating -1.5 → +7.3 Pace 104.0 ← 98.1 Off Rebound % 27.4% → 36.8% Key Injuries Grant (OUT) Sengun (OUT)
Gary's Take The market is still treating the Portland Trail Blazers like the lottery team they were in October, but that version of Portland is long gone. Even with a backcourt that looks more like an infirmary ward than a basketball team, the Blazers have found a terrifying rhythm. Deni Avdija is playing the best basketball of his life, coming off a Western Conference Player of the Week nod where he was essentially a 6'9" version of Magic Johnson. Over his last five games, he is averaging 28.0 points and nearly 10 assists, and Houston’s defense—while elite—is going to have a nightmare of a time containing a point-forward of that size without Alperen Sengun’s interior presence to help.
Houston is a legitimate contender, but they have developed a nasty habit of leaving their focus at the airport. They are just 3-7 in their last ten road games, a startling split for a team with the second-best net rating in the league. Coming off an emotional, high-stakes win over Phoenix where Kevin Durant had to play hero with a buzzer-beater, this has all the markings of a classic letdown spot. The Rockets often prefer to grind games out in the half-court, ranking 29th in pace, but Portland is going to try to turn this into a track meet to exploit Houston's older legs.
The battle on the glass will be the deciding factor. Houston leads the league in rebounding, and Steven Adams is back to anchor that effort, but Portland’s rookie Donovan Clingan has been a revelation, ranking 5th in the NBA in boards. If Clingan can keep the Rockets from getting three and four looks at the rim, Portland’s transition game will take over. I expect Kevin Durant to get his—he is chasing Wilt Chamberlain on the scoring list and remains unguardable—but the Blazers' collective energy at the Moda Center is too high to ignore right now.
I am taking the points with the home dog here. Portland is playing with a desperation that usually spells trouble for favorites who are feeling a little too good about themselves. Don't be surprised if the Blazers win this outright, but the 6.5 points provide a massive safety net for a team that has won five of its last six. Take the Portland Trail Blazers +6.5.
Injuries noted
Houston Rockets: Alperen Sengun (Out) — Sengun suffered a sprained right ankle in Saturday's loss to Dallas and is expected to miss an extended period. With the star big man on the shelf, Steven Adams will likely enter the starting lineup for the foreseeable future, while Clint Capela should see increased burn off the bench.; Fred VanVleet (Out) — VanVleet struggled with efficiency during his second season in Houston, but the Rockets' win-loss record with him on the court (41-19) spoke volumes about his overall impact on the team. With VanVleet sidelined, the runway is clear for Reed Sheppard, who barely had a role as a rookie. Amen Thompson could also handle a ton of ball-handling responsibilities, while Aaron Holiday is the only other true point guard on the roster currently.; Isaiah Crawford (Out) — Crawford was recalled from the G League's Rio Grande Valley Vipers on Monday but won't be able to suit up for the parent club Wednesday. The two-way player has logged just five total minutes over two regular-season appearances with the Rockets in 2025-26, so his absence shouldn't affect the Houston rotation.
Portland Trail Blazers: Jrue Holiday (Out) — Holiday continues to progress in his recovery from a right calf strain that has kept him sidelined since Nov. 14, having recently been cleared for on-court activities. He's not quite ready to return, but his next chance to play is in Friday's rematch against Houston. Caleb Love -- who has averaged 16.9 points and 3.6 threes over 29.5 minutes per game over his last eight outings -- will continue to serve in an expanded role off the bench for as long as Holiday is sidelined.; Jerami Grant (Questionable) — Grant will miss an 11th straight game while recovering from left Achiles tendinitis. His next chance to play is Friday's rematch against Houston, but Grant doesn't appear to have a clear timeline for his return. An indication that he is getting closer to his return would be if he were to be tagged as doubtful, questionable or probable (rather than out) by the Trail Blazers.; Matisse Thybulle (Out) — The Trail Blazers aren't yet able to bring a return timetable into focus for Thybulle. That said, it sounds like the forward could be multiple weeks away from being cleared to return to game action.; Scoot Henderson (Out) — Henderson has begun non-contact, on-court basketball activities and has advanced to the next stage of his rehab. The Trail Blazers are bringing him along slowly, and there's no guarantee he returns right after the re-evaluation.; Blake Wesley (Out) — A fifth metatarsal fracture is a notoriously tough injury to recover from, and there's a high chance of experiencing a setback if brought back too soon, so it wouldn't be shocking to see his absence extend beyond this 12-week window. At minimum, he'll be out through the end of December, so he can safely remain on the waiver wire in fantasy leagues.; Damian Lillard (Out) — Lillard underwent surgery on a torn Achilles tendon in his left foot over the summer after suffering the injury during the first round of the NBA playoffs with the Bucks against the Pacers. The veteran guard was then waived by Milwaukee on July 1, making him an unrestricted free agent. The future Hall of Famer then decided to return to the Blazers on a three-year contract worth $42 million with a player option for the 2027-28 season. He also has a no-trade clause in his deal.; Kris Murray (Day-To-Day) — Murray is unlikely to suit up Wednesday due to lower back soreness. In the likely event that the 25-year-old forward joins Jerami Grant (Achilles) on the sidelines, Sidy Cissoko is expected to step into the starting five.
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- Board stored January 7, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET.
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Props on this game
2Donovan ClinganOVER 10.5 Rebounds Rebounds-130
LActual 7
The kid is a monster on the glass and Portland is leaning on him heavily with the rest of the roster in the infirmary. He's cleared this line in four of his last five, including a massive 17-board performance against Utah just two nights ago.
Steven Adams is a veteran bruiser, but Clingan has the youth and the length to outwork him for second-chance opportunities. With Houston missing Sengun's interior presence, there's even more room for Clingan to dominate the paint.
I expect him to be the focal point of Portland's defensive rebounding tonight.
Tari EasonOVER 6.5 Rebounds Rebounds+107
WActual 13
Tari Eason is finally seeing the floor like he should, and the results are speaking for themselves. With Sengun sidelined, the Rockets need Eason's energy and nose for the ball more than ever, evidenced by his 30+ minutes in recent outings.
He's snagged at least 8 boards in four straight games, making this 6.5 line look like a gift from the books. Portland plays at a top-10 pace, which means more missed shots and more chances for a high-motor guy like Eason to clean up.
He's going to be all over the glass tonight.
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