Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5-106
CONF 68%
Not yet graded
The read
TALE OF THE TAPE
Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns Record 23-1 ← 14-10 Off Rating 122.0 ← 112.7 Def Rating 103.1 ← 114.1 Net Rating +18.9 ← -1.5 Key Injuries Hartenstein, Joe, Topic, Livers, Booker, J. Green Sorber
Gary's Take I love this spot for Oklahoma City because every pillar of their profile points to a runaway at home. Their big net rating edge is built on elite offense and defense, and Chet Holmgren’s inside-out game (18.6 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 36.4% from three) plus Aaron Wiggins’ shooting (13.8 PPG, 43.4% from deep) give them efficient scoring at all three levels. Combine that with a low turnover rate and heavy trips to the line, and this is a machine that stretches leads quickly.
For Phoenix, the story is simple: they’re on the road without Devin Booker (25.0 points and 6.7 assists per game), the engine of their offense. Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen can score (22.1 and 16.9 PPG), but without Booker’s creation they’re leaning on tougher looks against a Thunder defense that already grades out far better. I see OKC pushing pace, winning the efficiency battle, and building enough separation that only the Suns’ offensive rebounding and a late surge threaten the backdoor. I’m laying Oklahoma City -14.5; only way this misses is if Phoenix really owns the glass and gets hot from three.
Injuries noted
Phoenix Suns: Isaiah Livers (Out) — Dec 9: Livers (hip) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.; Devin Booker (Out) — Dec 9: Booker (groin) is listed as questionable for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.; Koby Brea (Day-To-Day) — Dec 8: Brea recorded 29 points (10-18 FG, 5-11 3Pt, 4-5 FT), nine rebounds, three assists and one turnover across 39 minutes of Sunday's 123-105 G League loss to the Stockton Kings.; Jalen Green (Out) — Nov 11: Green (hamstring) will be re-evaluated in four-to-six weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Oklahoma City Thunder: Isaiah Hartenstein (Out) — Dec 9: Hartenstein (calf) is out for Wednesday's game against the Suns.; Isaiah Joe (Out) — Dec 9: Joe (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Suns.; Nikola Topic (Out) — Oct 30: Topic has been diagnosed with testicular cancer, Thunder general manager Sam Presti announced Thursday, Justin Martinez of The Oklahoman reports.; Thomas Sorber (Out) — Sep 5: The Thunder announced Friday that Sorber has sustained a torn ACL in his right knee during an offseason workout, NBA reporter Marc Stein reports.
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