New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers

I'm backing the Pacers to cover at home because this team has shown a knack for controlling the pace on their own floor, especially against squads like the Knicks who rely on grit and half-court execution. In a matchup where the environment plays a role, Indiana’s offensive fluidity should give New York fits, particularly late when the pressure ratchets up. The spread is short enough that I believe Indiana’s ability to get out and run, plus their comfort in big home games, gives them the edge to win by more than one possession. If you’ve got the guts to ride with me, I say we take the points and let Indiana’s home-court advantage do the heavy lifting.