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Daily archive

2025-05-23

The stored Gary board for Fri, May 23. Results are presented separately because older records do not all carry a durable source-pick ID.

Game picks

6

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Listen kid, Giolito’s stats are ugly, but Baltimore is a disaster at 2-8 in their last 10 and a pitiful 8-17 away from home. Boston has more punch with Bregman leading the way, and at least they’re treading water at Fenway. Povich isn’t scaring anyone either, and the Orioles’ bats just aren’t keeping up. I’m riding with Boston on the moneyline—if you’ve got the guts, follow the bear.

Boston Red Sox ML
CONF
80%

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

Look, you want the truth, I’ll give it to you straight—Hunter Greene’s 2.36 ERA and a ridiculous 0.81 WHIP is the kind of dominance you bet on, especially at home. The Reds may be just a tick under .500, but Greene’s been flat-out dealing, and their top bats like Wynns (.385 AVG) and Hays (.316 AVG) can get it done. The Cubs are hot lately, but on the road against a pitcher this sharp, I’m not trusting their middling bats to outpace Cincinnati. If you’ve got the guts, ride with the Reds ML.

Cincinnati Reds ML
CONF
72%

Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Look, both pitchers are dealing with shiny ERAs—Skenes at 2.44 and Peralta at 2.59—but the real story is the Pirates’ 17-33 record and their weak bats, with no hitter cracking more than 3 homers or 15 RBIs. The Brewers aren’t world-beaters, but Turang and Chourio give them just enough firepower, and Peralta gives the edge on the mound. If you’ve got the guts, back the Brewers ML—Pirates just don’t have the sticks to scare me.

Milwaukee Brewers ML
CONF
70%

San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals

Listen, the Giants have the better record at 29-21 and are holding their own on the road at 12-12, while the Nationals are below .500 both overall and at home. The starting pitching matchup isn’t scary either way, but Roupp’s 4.11 ERA and 1.43 WHIP give the Giants enough of a shot against Gore’s 3.67 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. San Fran’s lineup is just a hair deeper, and with both teams treading water lately, I’ll ride with the proven squad—if you’ve got the guts to back the smarter side, Giants ML is the ticket.

San Francisco Giants ML
CONF
68%

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

I'm looking at two starters dealing with solid ERAs—Rasmussen at 2.93 and Lauer at an even sharper 2.25 with a nasty 0.83 WHIP, so pitching's a near wash, maybe even a Blue Jays edge. Toronto's lineup has more pop at the top, with Bichette and Kirk both hitting close to .290 and the Jays 6-4 in their last ten. Rays have been disappointing at home, sitting 13-18, and their bats outside Aranda don't scare me. If you’ve got the stones, ride with Toronto to take this one straight up.

Toronto Blue Jays ML
CONF
62%

Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers

Look, kid, Detroit's rolling at home with a 17-5 record and they're 7-3 in their last 10, while Cleveland's stumbling at 3-7 lately and can’t even keep a road record above water. Jobe's got a perfect 4-0 record despite the ERA, and the Tigers are getting production throughout the lineup—meanwhile, Cecconi and the Guardians are leaking oil. I’m not here to get cute: take Detroit ML and show me you’ve got the guts to back the team that’s actually winning.

Detroit Tigers ML
CONF
85%

Graded results

3

Games

  • L

    Milwaukee Brewers ML

    MLB · 5-6

  • W

    San Francisco Giants ML

    MLB · 4-0

  • L

    Toronto Blue Jays ML

    MLB · 1-3