Steven Kwan
Kwan is batting .331 on the season, is 3 for his last 7 (.429), and has 52 hits in 40 games. His consistency and recent form make the over 0.5 hits a high-confidence play, even at heavy juice.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Freddy Peralta
Peralta has 48 strikeouts in 45.1 IP (9.5 K/9), and notched 8 Ks in 5 IP last time out. Cleveland has some swing-and-miss in their lineup. The line is fair and Peralta has exceeded this in 4 of last 6 starts.
OVER 5.5 Strikeouts-104
Ben Lively
Lively has 28 Ks in 41.2 IP (6.0 K/9), and just 3 Ks in 5 IP in his last outing. He has not shown much strikeout upside and faces a Brewers team with solid contact rates. The under is a strong play.
UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts-137
Spencer Torkelson
Torkelson has a .247 average on the season and is incredibly hot lately, going 3-for-6 (.500) in his last 10 at-bats. Given his recent form and season consistency, he is a strong candidate to record at least one hit.
OVER 0.5 Hits-167
Wilyer Abreu
Abreu is hitting .279 with a .380 OBP and has been red-hot recently, going 5-for-6 (.833) in his last 10 at-bats. His form and overall production make him a high-probability option to record a hit.
OVER 0.5 Hits-190
Zach McKinstry
McKinstry has a .274 average and has hit safely in 34 of 37 games this season. He is a consistent contact hitter and faces a Red Sox pitching staff that has been inconsistent.
OVER 0.5 Hits-186
Kerry Carpenter
Carpenter is batting .284 with 9 HR and a .537 SLG. He has hit safely in 38 of 38 games and is a strong candidate to reach at least one total base, especially against Houck’s struggles.
OVER 0.5 Total Bases-200
Kyle Schwarber
Schwarber has a .269 AVG and .593 SLG on the season, with 14 HRs, 39 hits in 40 games, and is 4-for-9 (.444) with 2 HR in his last 10 ABs. Facing Liberatore (career .285 BAA vs LHH) and a Cardinals bullpen that has struggled, he is highly likely to get at least one base.
OVER 0.5 Total Bases-169
Nolan Arenado
Arenado is hitting .270 on the year and .500 (4-for-8) in his last 10 ABs. He’s a consistent contact hitter and has a favorable home ballpark split, making one hit a strong baseline.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Brendan Donovan
Donovan is batting .318 with 48 hits in 39 games and .375 (3-for-8) in his last 10 ABs. He has 12 doubles on the year and gets on base consistently, making this a high-floor play.
OVER 0.5 Total Bases-200
Alec Bohm
Bohm has 36 hits in 37 games and is 2-for-5 (.400) recently. He makes consistent contact and faces a pitcher (Liberatore) who allows a high batting average, increasing his hit probability.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
David Peterson
Peterson averages 8.5 K/9 with 36 strikeouts in 38.1 innings. The Pirates' lineup is struggling offensively in recent games, with most hitters hitting under .250 in their last 10 at-bats. This, coupled with Peterson's solid strikeout rate, makes the over 4.5 K a strong play.
OVER 4.5 Strikeouts-200
Paul Skenes
While Skenes' full season stats are not provided, he is a highly touted prospect and is likely facing a Mets lineup with multiple cold bats (several key Mets, including Alonso, Lindor, and Vientos, have 0-1 hits in their last 7-11 at-bats). The Mets strike out at an above-average rate, supporting the over.
OVER 4.5 Strikeouts-200
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Hayes is batting .253 on the season and has 2 hits in his last 8 at-bats (.250) — consistent with his season average. He has a high probability to notch at least one hit, especially against a lefty in Peterson, against whom he has historically performed better.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Francisco Lindor
Despite a recent cold stretch (0 hits in last 7 at-bats), Lindor is hitting .301 on the season with a .877 OPS, and regularly bounces back. He is facing Falter (4.36 ERA), giving him a good chance to break out of his mini-slump with at least one hit.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Jake Irvin
Irvin averages 6.2 K/9 (33 Ks in 48 IP) and is facing a Braves lineup with several hitters in recent slumps (Olson, Albies, Harris II all hitting .250 or less last 10 at-bats). The Braves have been striking out at an above-average rate, giving Irvin a strong chance to reach at least 4 Ks.
OVER 3.5 Strikeouts-145
Matt Olson
Olson is hitting .224 on the season but has a .356 OBP and is a streaky hitter with good power. While he's cold recently, Irvin is allowing a .247 BAA and 5.5 hits allowed is the line for his outing, so Olson should get on base at least once.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Keibert Ruiz
Ruiz is hitting .292 on the season and .500 (2-for-4) in his last 10 at-bats, showing strong recent form. With Bryce Elder (Braves starter) carrying a 4.97 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, Ruiz has a favorable matchup to record at least one hit.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Austin Riley
Riley is hitting .283 with 8 HR and 47 hits in 40 games. He has extra-base power and faces a pitcher (Irvin) who allows over a hit per inning. Riley's ability to get doubles/homers boosts his likelihood to reach 2+ total bases.
OVER 1.5 Total Bases-125
Ian Happ
Happ is batting .269 on the season and hitting .333 (4-for-12) in his last 10 games. He's been a consistent source of base hits and faces Max Meyer, who allows a 1.35 WHIP. Happ's recent form and season-long contact rate suggest strong value on over 0.5 hits.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Nico Hoerner
Hoerner owns a .281 batting average for the season and has a .500 average over his last 4 recent at-bats. He’s a high-contact hitter and should have plenty of opportunity to reach base against Meyer and Miami's bullpen.
OVER 0.5 Hits-200
Kyle Stowers
Stowers is hitting .287 on the season and .333 in his last 10 games. He’s facing Ben Brown, who has a 1.75 WHIP and has struggled in recent starts, making Stowers a strong candidate for at least one hit.
OVER 0.5 Hits-143