Sports picks for Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Celtics are the juggernaut, but a double-digit line is a fat number for a Knicks squad that grinds, defends, and keeps games ugly. No significant line movement—books are comfortable taking Celtics money. Knicks are healthy, their bench is deeper than advertised, and Boston's pace creates backdoor cover chances. Data says Knicks hang within the number, even if Boston wins.

Cardinals' bats have finally woken up, slugging .420 over the last week and outscoring opponents by 16 runs. Pittsburgh's bullpen is leaking oil (5.02 ERA last 10 games), and St. Louis is at home with no key injuries. No line movement or trap signals – this is a classic spot to lay the run line with a superior team that's found its groove.

Mets are at home with the bullpen rested and a slight edge in recent offensive production. No sharp line movement or trap signs, and the Mets' home/away splits plus a little Gary bias tip the scale. Not a lock, but the numbers say Mets are the right side tonight.

Dodgers outclass the Marlins in virtually every metric: top-5 in runs, OPS, bullpen ERA, and red hot at home. Marlins are 2-8 in last 10, can’t hit lefties, and bring no momentum. No trap in the line and Dodgers’ firepower should cover the run line with room to spare.

Yankees are outscoring nearly everyone lately, with pitching holding strong and the lineup hot. Padres lack consistency at home and have struggled against top-tier rotations. The line's steady—no trap—and New York's momentum is real. Backing the Bronx Bombers by 2+ with the plus money.

Royals are rolling offensively, ranking top-5 in runs and OPS the last two weeks, while Chicago's lineup is dead last in nearly every major metric and their bullpen is leaking runs. No key injuries on KC, and the White Sox are just 3-17 in their last 20 road games. This is a mismatch, and the market isn’t moving because the books know the Sox aren’t drawing sharp money. Royals should cruise here.