Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Injuries noted

Atlanta Falcons: Storm Norton (PUP-R) — out; DeAngelo Malone (PUP-R) — The Falcons placed Malone (undisclosed) on the reserve/PUP list Tuesday.; Anterio Thompson (Out); James Pearce Jr. (Reserve-Sus) — reserve-sus; JD Bertrand (IR) — The Falcons placed Bertrand (undisclosed) on injured reserve Monday.; Beaux Collins (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: hip; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Full · Thu, Oct 29 Full · Sat, Oct 31 Full. Collins (hip) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers and will remain on injured reserve.; Trey Sermon (IR) — ir; Cameron Williams (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: ankle; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Full · Thu, Oct 29 Full · Sat, Oct 31 Full. Williams (ankle) will remain on injured reserve and has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers.; Da'Shawn Hand (IR) — The Falcons placed Hand (quadriceps) on injured reserve Wednesday.; Yasir Abdullah (IR) — The Falcons placed Abdullah (hamstring) on injured reserve Saturday.; Divine Deablo (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: forearm; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited. Deablo (forearm) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers.; Billy Bowman Jr. (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: hamstring; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited. Bowman (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers.; Michael Jerrell (IR) — The Falcons placed Jerrell (biceps) on injured reserve Saturday.; Brian Robinson Jr. (Out) — Official report, Wk 8: hamstring; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 DNP · Sat, Oct 31 DNP. Robinson (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Tampa Bay.; Olamide Zaccheaus (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: shoulder; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited. Zaccheaus (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Buccaneers.; Avieon Terrell (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: illness; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited.; Jalon Walker (IR) — ir; Samson Ebukam (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: hamstring; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited.; Charles Snowden (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: back; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited.; Jake Matthews (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: not injury related - resting player; practice by report day: Sat, Oct 31 Limited.; Za'Darius Smith (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: not injury related - resting player; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Jawaan Taylor (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: hamstring; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited.; Chris Lindstrom (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: not injury related - personal matter; practice by report day: Sat, Oct 31 DNP.; LaCale London (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: chest; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Limited.; C.J. Henderson (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: groin; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; A.J. Terrell (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: groin; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Cameron Thomas (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: groin; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Kendal Daniels (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: achilles; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jalen McMillan (IR) — The Buccaneers placed McMillan (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday.; Josh Hayes (IR-R) — Hayes suffered a small setback in his recovery from a knee injury.; Mohamed Kamara (IR) — Kamara (knee) reverted to the Buccaneers' injured reserve list Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.; Emeka Egbuka (Out) — Official report, Wk 8: foot; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 DNP. Egbuka (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Falcons.; Luke Goedeke (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: calf; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 DNP · Sat, Oct 31 Limited. Goedeke (calf) is officially questionable for Sunday's Week 8 matchup against Atlanta.; Christian Rozeboom (IR) — Rozeboom (finger) was placed on injured reserve by the Buccaneers on Thursday.; Kenny Gainwell (Questionable) — Official report, Wk 8: hip; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full. Gainwell (hip) is in line to play in Sunday's game against the Falcons.; A'Shawn Robinson (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: not injury related - resting player; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 Limited · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Chris Godwin Jr. (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: not injury related - resting player; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 DNP · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Baker Mayfield (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: thumb; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Full · Thu, Oct 29 Full · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Antoine Winfield Jr. (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: rib; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Full · Thu, Oct 29 Full · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Yaya Diaby (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: illness; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 Limited · Thu, Oct 29 Full · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Bucky Irving (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: not injury related - resting player; practice by report day: Thu, Oct 29 DNP · Sat, Oct 31 Full.; Josiah Trotter (No game designation) — Official report, Wk 8: illness; practice by report day: Wed, Oct 28 DNP · Thu, Oct 29 Full · Sat, Oct 31 Full.

QUARTERBACK

• Baker Mayfield is the projected starting quarterback for TB

  6.35 Y/A

  Through 4 games in 2026, Baker Mayfield threw for 679 passing yards, completed 63.6% of his passes and averaged 6.35 yards per attempt. Last season over 17 games he threw for 3693 yards, completed 63.2% and averaged 6.8 yards per attempt, 26-11 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 3-2 touchdown-to-interception line is 4 games in.

• Michael Penix Jr. is the projected starting quarterback for ATL

  8.04 Y/A

  Through 5 games in 2026, Michael Penix Jr. threw for 1157 passing yards, completed 66.7% of his passes and averaged 8.04 yards per attempt. Last season over 9 games he threw for 1982 yards, completed 60.1% and averaged 7.18 yards per attempt, 9-3 touchdowns to interceptions. This season's 9-1 touchdown-to-interception line is 5 games in.

PASS RUSH

• ATL: 2.29 sacks taken per game to TB's 3.14

  0.86 SACKS

  ATL is at 2.29 sacks taken per game over 7 games; TB is at 3.14 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 31. Last season ATL was at 1.86 over 17 games and TB at 2.38 over 17 games.

PACE & SCRIPT

• TB: 21.6 points allowed per game to ATL's 24.7

  3.1 PPG

  ATL is at 24.7 points allowed per game over 7 games; TB is at 21.6 over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 31. Last season ATL was at 23.6 over 17 games and TB at 24.2 over 17 games.

TURNOVERS

• TB: 1.71 takeaways per game to ATL's 1.29

  0.43 TO

  ATL is at 1.29 takeaways per game over 7 games; TB is at 1.71 over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 31.

EXPLOSIVE PLAYS

• ATL: 5.57 yards per play to TB's 4.8

  0.77 Y/P

  Atlanta gains more per play than Tampa Bay, and Tampa has fallen from 5.12 last season to 4.8 over 7 games. Tampa still hit two long runs last game, a 46-yard Sean Tucker touchdown and a 29-yard Kenny Gainwell run, so its run game can break one. Atlanta had one 20-yard play, a 21-yard Drake London touchdown. Watch whether Tampa's explosive runs come up against Atlanta.

RED ZONE

• ATL: 66.7% red-zone scoring rate to TB's 52.2%

  14.5 PP

  ATL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring rate over 7 games; TB is at 52.2% over 7 games. Those are this season's games through Oct 31. Last season ATL was at 62% over 17 games and TB at 54% over 17 games.

• TB: 52.6% red-zone scoring allowed to ATL's 66.7%

  14 PP

  ATL is at 66.7% red-zone scoring allowed over 7 games; TB is at 52.6% over 7 games. Those are what each defense has allowed in this season's games through Oct 31.

MISMATCH

• ATL: 197.4 pass yards a game to TB's 150.4

  197.4 VS 150.4

  Atlanta throws for 197.4 a game over seven games, Tampa Bay 150.4 over seven. The Falcons are near last season's 207.2, while the Buccaneers have fallen hard from 205.9, so Tampa's number is the one likeliest to climb back. Until it does, the Bucs at home need the run game and short fields to keep up.

COVERAGE

• TB: 217.4 passing yards allowed per game to ATL's 255.6

  38.1 YPG

  Tampa Bay allows 217.4 passing yards a game over seven games, compared with 255.6 for Atlanta over the same count. The Buccaneers' pass defense has been the tighter unit across a fair sample. At home, that tilts passing props toward Tampa Bay's offense having more room than Atlanta's.

• TB: 36.4% third downs allowed to ATL's 42.4%

  6.1 PP

  Tampa Bay lets opponents convert 36.4% of third downs over 7 games, while Atlanta allows 42.4%. Third-down rates bounce more than most stats because they depend on distance, and the sheet gives no opponent list or last-season comparison to test them. For this matchup, Atlanta's offense faces the tougher money down, which can shorten its drives and help Tampa Bay control possession and the clock.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

• ATL and TB are even since 2025

  1-1 SERIES

  Both meetings last season were decided by a field goal or less, and the road team won each time. Tampa Bay won 23-20 in Atlanta in Week 1, and Atlanta returned the favor 29-28 in Tampa in December. With this game in Tampa, the recent history points to another one-score game where neither side has had much of a home edge.

REPLACEMENT

• Beaux Collins (WR) is ir-r for ATL

  IR-R

  Beaux Collins is dealing with a hip injury and stays on injured reserve, so he is ruled out for Sunday at Tampa Bay. The Falcons' other receivers handle the work again. Nothing changes from Atlanta's recent setup here.

• Josh Hayes (CB) is ir-r for TB

  IR-R

  Josh Hayes is working back from a knee injury on Tampa Bay's return list, but he had a small setback as of Oct 29. That makes it less likely he helps the Bucs' secondary against Atlanta, so plan on the corners who have been playing.

• Cameron Williams (OL) is ir-r for ATL

  IR-R

  Cameron Williams has an ankle injury and stays on injured reserve, so he is out Sunday against the Buccaneers. Atlanta keeps going without him on the line. Michael Jerrell is also on IR with a biceps injury, so the Falcons are thin up front for this game.

• Michael Jerrell (OT) is on injured reserve for ATL

  IR

  Michael Jerrell went on injured reserve with a biceps injury on Oct 24, so he is out against Tampa Bay. With Cameron Williams also on IR, Atlanta's line is down two players, and that matters for how well the Falcons can protect and run in this game.

• Christian Rozeboom (LB) is on injured reserve for TB

  IR

  Christian Rozeboom went on injured reserve with a finger injury on Oct 23, so he will not play against Atlanta. Other Tampa Bay linebackers pick up his snaps, and his absence is already part of how the Bucs have lined up recently.

PRACTICE REPORT

• Brian Robinson Jr.

  Out

  Hamstring · Did not practice · Out

• Emeka Egbuka

  Out

  Foot · Did not practice · Out

• Divine Deablo

  Questionable

  Forearm · Limited practice · Questionable

• Olamide Zaccheaus

  Questionable

  Shoulder · Limited practice · Questionable

• Samson Ebukam

  Questionable

  Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

• Avieon Terrell

  Questionable

  Illness · Limited practice · Questionable

• Charles Snowden

  Questionable

  Back · Limited practice · Questionable

• Luke Goedeke

  Questionable

  Calf · Limited practice · Questionable

• Kenny Gainwell

  Questionable

  Hip · Full practice · Questionable

• Billy Bowman Jr.

  Questionable

  Hamstring · Limited practice · Questionable

• Chris Lindstrom

  DNP

  Did not practice

• Jake Matthews

  LP

  Limited practice

• LaCale London

  LP

  Limited practice

• Jawaan Taylor

  LP

  Limited practice

• C.J. Henderson

  FP

  Full practice

• Cameron Thomas

  FP

  Full practice

• A'Shawn Robinson

  FP

  Full practice

• Bucky Irving

  FP

  Full practice

• Za'Darius Smith

  FP

  Full practice

• Baker Mayfield

  FP

  Full practice

• Chris Godwin Jr.

  FP

  Full practice

• A.J. Terrell Jr.

  FP

  Full practice

• Yaya Diaby

  FP

  Full practice

• Antoine Winfield Jr.

  FP

  Full practice

• Kendal Daniels

  FP

  Full practice

• Josiah Trotter

  FP

  Full practice

SITUATIONAL

• ATL: 6.69 yards per pass attempt to TB's 4.96

  1.73 Y/A

  Atlanta gains 6.69 yards per pass attempt over seven games, Tampa Bay just 4.96 over seven. Atlanta is up from 6.21 last season, while Tampa Bay has dropped sharply from 6.04. A slide that steep could correct some. For now Atlanta has the more efficient passing game in this matchup, and Tampa's offense has been grinding through short gains.

• ATL: 197.4 team passing yards per game to TB's 150.4

  47 YPG

  Atlanta throws for more per game than Tampa Bay, but the bigger story is Tampa's drop from 205.9 last season to 150.4 over 7 games. Atlanta has slipped only a little from 207.2. A drop that steep often reflects game script or a leaning run plan as much as quality, so it may drift back up. Look at whether Tampa is choosing to run or being forced to.

• ATL (3-4) at TB (2-5), a division game

  +13 PT GAP

  Tampa Bay is 2-5 but +11, a record that undersells a team that has outscored opponents. Atlanta is 3-4 and -2, roughly an average margin. The splits are stark: the Falcons are 2-1 on the road, and the Buccaneers are 0-4 at home. Those home losses with a positive margin point to close defeats, the kind that tend to even out, and a bettor should weigh that against the ugly home record.

TEAM RECORD

• ATL is 2-1 on the road; TB is 0-4 at home

  2-1

  Tampa Bay has lost all 4 home games, while Atlanta is 2-1 on the road. These are small samples, 4 games and 3 games, and home records swing on a couple of close results. An 0-4 home mark rarely stays that extreme for a full season. Use it as a mild nudge toward Atlanta and check whether the line already leans that way before giving it much weight.

• NFC SOUTH game: ATL 1-1, TB 1-0 in the division

  DIVISION

  These two share the NFC SOUTH. ATL is 1-1 against it, TB is 1-0. Current-2026 standings through 2026-10-31.

AFTER GARY

• TB -2.5 → -1.5

  NOW +1

  Gary's number was -2.5; the market closed at -1.5.