NCAAF · Sat, Oct 31 · 8:00 PM

Washington Huskies at Nebraska Cornhuskers

O/U 50.5 · SPREAD Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE

GARY'S PICK

NCAAF@ Nebraska· -105

It's the Blackout in Lincoln: a 7 PM kickoff under overcast skies, both teams fresh off a bye, and Washington still won't say who's playing quarterback. Nebraska is the better team. Laying 7.5 is a different question. Nebraska's offense stalls against real defenses. The last two games produced 17 points against Indiana and 14 at Oregon, and Oregon was starting backup Brock Thomas (9-of-20, 54 yards). The Huskers led both in the fourth quarter, lost both by 3, and were outscored 25-7 in those fourth quarters. Their blowout Big Ten wins came against Michigan State and Maryland, both now 2-6. The roster is thinner now. Starting lineman Gunnar Gottula is out with a concussion, and Paul Mubenga hasn't started since Oct 3. DL Anthony Jones Jr. and S Jamir Conn are out, the running back room is battered, and Jacory Barney Jr. and Brendan Black are playing hurt. Kicking matters near this number. In the box scores we have, Kyle Cunanan is 4-of-7 on field goals and Washington's Tyler Robles is 5-of-5. Washington can hit big plays. They had ten of 20-plus yards at Purdue, and Nebraska's secondary gave Indiana 263 passing yards on 22 attempts. The Huskies also hang with good teams: they lost by 3 to Minnesota and by 4 at USC. The risk is real. Washington's line gave up 7 sacks to Minnesota, 6 to Iowa and 5 to USC, and center Landen Hatchett is out for the season. Nebraska's defense has held opponents to 9-of-61 on third down. Elijah Brown threw 3 picks at Purdue, and Nebraska won't forgive that. I'd rather see Brown start. The scary version is Demond Williams Jr. behind this line with a healing rib. Most of the value is the half-point over a touchdown. I'll take Washington.

The pick & result

Published pick: Washington Huskies +7.5 -105
Published odds: -105
Result: Won
Final score: 17-10

Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.

The line

BETMGM · 33 moves

Market	Opened Oct 26 6:00 AM	Close Sat 7:41 PM	Move
SPREAD	Nebraska Cornhuskers -9 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	−1½
TOTAL	49.5 (-112)	50.5 (-108)	+1
MONEYLINE	Nebraska Cornhuskers -350	Nebraska Cornhuskers -295	+55

Every move, in order ›

When	Spread	Total	Moneyline
OPENOct 26 6:00 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -9 (-108)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -350 · Washington Huskies +275
Oct 26 10:31 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -9 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -325 · Washington Huskies +270
Oct 26 11:32 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8.5 (-110)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -325 · Washington Huskies +260
Oct 26 7:03 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Oct 27 2:31 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Oct 27 7:04 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8 (-108)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Oct 27 8:05 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Oct 27 9:05 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Oct 28 6:00 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Thu 11:32 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Thu 1:32 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Thu 5:36 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8 (-110)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Thu 6:06 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Thu 9:06 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +240
Thu 10:37 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	50.5 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Fri 12:37 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-105)	50.5 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Fri 2:50 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	50.5 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Fri 8:00 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Fri 10:01 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Fri 10:31 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	50.5 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +240
Fri 12:55 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -295 · Washington Huskies +240
Fri 3:02 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-105)	50.5 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +240
Fri 4:02 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -295 · Washington Huskies +240
Fri 11:34 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +240
Sat 9:00 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +240
Sat 9:21 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 10:01 AM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 12:14 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 3:47 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-120)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 6:41 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 7:01 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	49.5 (-112)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 7:21 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
Sat 7:31 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -8 (-108)	49.5 (-110)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -300 · Washington Huskies +250
CLOSESat 7:41 PM	Nebraska Cornhuskers -7.5 (-110)	50.5 (-108)	Nebraska Cornhuskers -295 · Washington Huskies +240

The read

Nebraska's offense stalls against real defenses. The last two games produced 17 points against Indiana and 14 at Oregon, and Oregon was starting backup Brock Thomas (9-of-20, 54 yards). The Huskers led both in the fourth quarter, lost both by 3, and were outscored 25-7 in those fourth quarters. Their blowout Big Ten wins came against Michigan State and Maryland, both now 2-6.

The roster is thinner now. Starting lineman Gunnar Gottula is out with a concussion, and Paul Mubenga hasn't started since Oct 3. DL Anthony Jones Jr. and S Jamir Conn are out, the running back room is battered, and Jacory Barney Jr. and Brendan Black are playing hurt. Kicking matters near this number. In the box scores we have, Kyle Cunanan is 4-of-7 on field goals and Washington's Tyler Robles is 5-of-5.

Washington can hit big plays. They had ten of 20-plus yards at Purdue, and Nebraska's secondary gave Indiana 263 passing yards on 22 attempts. The Huskies also hang with good teams: they lost by 3 to Minnesota and by 4 at USC.

The risk is real. Washington's line gave up 7 sacks to Minnesota, 6 to Iowa and 5 to USC, and center Landen Hatchett is out for the season. Nebraska's defense has held opponents to 9-of-61 on third down. Elijah Brown threw 3 picks at Purdue, and Nebraska won't forgive that.

I'd rather see Brown start. The scary version is Demond Williams Jr. behind this line with a healing rib. Most of the value is the half-point over a touchdown. I'll take Washington.

Injuries noted

Washington Huskies: Demond Williams Jr. (probable) — QB #1 listed Probable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Jordan Washington (out) — RB #4 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Christian Moss (out) — WR #5 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Alex McLaughlin (probable) — S #7 listed Probable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Jacob Manu (probable) — LB #9 listed Probable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Xe'ree Alexander (questionable) — LB #10 listed Questionable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Ramzak Fruean (out) — EDG #11 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Jayden Limar (probable) — RB #17 listed Probable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Quaid Carr (out) — RB #21 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Trey Cooley (probable) — RB #22 listed Probable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Ansu Sanoe (doubtful) — RB #30 listed Doubtful on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Landen Hatchett (out) — OL #66 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Justin Hylkema (doubtful) — OL #70 listed Doubtful on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Jake Flores (doubtful) — OL #78 listed Doubtful on the Big Ten Update 2 report; CJ Christian (out) — S listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report

Nebraska Cornhuskers: Jamir Conn (out) — DB #4 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Anthony Jones Jr. (out) — DL #5 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Vincent Shavers Jr. (probable) — LB #10 listed Probable on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Larry Miles (out) — WR #17 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Kahmir Prescott (out) — DB #19 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Vincent Genatone (out) — RB #30 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Jase Reynolds (out) — LB #52 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Jacob Bower (out) — LB #54 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Gunnar Gottula (out) — OL #77 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report; Gabe Moore (out) — DL #95 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report

The research

The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.

QUARTERBACK

Anthony Colandrea is NEB's projected starter
7.12 Y/A
Anthony Colandrea is NEB's projected starting quarterback. The Seattle Times preview (Oct 30) calls Colandrea Nebraska's starter: 1,570 passing yards, 14 TD, 334 rushing yards, and held to 164 yards in a 17-14 loss to Oregon. In comments reported Oct 27, OC Dana Holgorsen called him a 'warrior', said he was 'bouncing around at practice', and told him to 'keep playing your ass off.' SI's Oct 30 preview also discusses him. No opened source has the team formally saying he starts. No injury from the Oregon game or limited practice this week was reported in the sources opened. 2026 line: 1560 passing yards, 62.6% completions, 7.12 yards per attempt, 14-4 TD-INT over 7 games.

MISMATCH

NEB: 194.4 rush yards a game to WASH's 104
194.4 VS 104
Nebraska is running for 194.4 yards a game, up from 145.9 last season, while Washington has dropped to 104 from 165.5. That is a big swing for both over seven games, so Washington's slide stands out most. Nebraska can lean on the run at home and keep drives going. Washington has to hide a run game that has lost its punch, which puts the load on its passing in this spot.

REPLACEMENT

Jordan Washington (RB) is out for WASH
OUT
RB #4 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Christian Moss (WR) is out for WASH
OUT
WR #5 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Ramzak Fruean (EDGE) is out for WASH
OUT
EDG #11 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Quaid Carr (RB) is out for WASH
OUT
RB #21 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Landen Hatchett (OL) is out for WASH
OUT
OL #66 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
CJ Christian (S) is out for WASH
OUT
S listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Jamir Conn (DB) is out for NEB
OUT
DB #4 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Anthony Jones Jr. (DL) is out for NEB
OUT
DL #5 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Larry Miles (WR) is out for NEB
OUT
WR #17 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Kahmir Prescott (DB) is out for NEB
OUT
DB #19 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Vincent Genatone (RB) is out for NEB
OUT
RB #30 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Jase Reynolds (LB) is out for NEB
OUT
LB #52 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Jacob Bower (LB) is out for NEB
OUT
LB #54 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Gunnar Gottula (OL) is out for NEB
OUT
OL #77 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)
Gabe Moore (DL) is out for NEB
OUT
DL #95 listed Out on the Big Ten Update 2 report Big Ten availability report (Update 2, published 2026-10-30 19:00:00 CT) (2026-10-30)

SITUATIONAL

NEB: 50.5% third-down conversion rate to WASH's 33.3%
17.2 PP
Nebraska converts about half its third downs while Washington is at a third, which means Nebraska keeps drives alive and Washington stalls. Washington was at 50.3% last season, so a 33.3% mark over seven games is a sharp drop that could recover. Nebraska rose from 46%. Washington's third-down rate is the number more likely to move, toward last season's level.

TEAM RECORD

Big Ten game: WASH 1-3, NEB 2-2 in conference
CONFERENCE
These two share the Big Ten. WASH is 1-3 against it, NEB is 2-2. 2026 standings through 2026-10-31.

All research from this day

About this analysis

Who made it: Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data: Daily picks first stored October 31, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET.
Odds record: The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, draftkings, betmgm, betrivers, caesars, fanatics.
Accountability: Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.

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