UCF Knights at Pittsburgh Panthers

QUARTERBACK

• PITT's passing game is +280 yards per game

  280 YPG

  UCF is at 200 team passing yards per game over 1 game; PITT is at 480 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

TRENCHES

• UCF is +194 rush yards per game

  194 YPG

  UCF is at 360 rushing yards per game over 1 game; PITT is at 166 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• PITT's front holds runners to 79 fewer yards per game

  79 YPG

  UCF is at 107 rushing yards allowed per game over 1 game; PITT is at 28 over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-11.

PACE & SCRIPT

• UCF is scoring +14 points per game

  14 PPG

  UCF is at 73 points per game over 1 game; PITT is at 59 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

TURNOVERS

• PITT commits 1 fewer turnovers per game

  1 TO

  UCF is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 1 game; PITT is at 0 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• UCF's defense takes the ball away 1 more time per game

  1 TO

  UCF is at 2 takeaways per game over 1 game; PITT is at 1 over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-11.

COACHING

• PITT gives away 17 fewer penalty yards per game

  17 YDS

  UCF is at 55 penalty yards per game over 1 game; PITT is at 38 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

MISMATCH

• PITT's passing attack against UCF's — 480 pass yards a game to 200

  480 VS 200

  PITT averaged 480 passing yards over one game, while UCF averaged 200 over one game. The matchup turns toward whether UCF can limit PITT’s passing production or keep pace with it.

COVERAGE

• UCF's secondary gives up 187 fewer passing yards per game

  187 YPG

  Through 2026-09-11, UCF allowed 74 passing yards per game over 1 game, 187 fewer than PITT’s 261, based on opposing team boxes this 2026 season. Opponent quality and offensive approach are not supplied, limiting what the one-game comparison says about either secondary.

REPLACEMENT

• Duane Thomas Jr. (WR) is questionable for UCF

  QUESTIONABLE

  Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and his availability against Pittsburgh was reported as unclear. Per Covers, Sep 5.

SITUATIONAL

• PITT moves the chains 7 more times per game

  7 FD

  UCF is at 26 first downs per game over 1 game; PITT is at 33 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• PITT's third-down conversion rate is 7.5 percentage points higher

  7.5 PP

  UCF is at 62.5% third-down conversion rate over 1 game; PITT is at 70% over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• UCF has 2 more days of rest

  9d vs 7d

  UCF enters on 9 days of rest with a bye behind it, while PITT has had 7 days since its last game. That gives UCF a 2-day spacing edge.

AFTER GARY

• PITT -7.5 → -7.5

  NO MOVE

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