Oklahoma Sooners at Michigan Wolverines

QUARTERBACK

• OU's passing game is +61 yards per game

  61 YPG

  OU is at 231 team passing yards per game over 1 game; MICH is at 170 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

TRENCHES

• OU is +64 rush yards per game

  64 YPG

  OU is at 170 rushing yards per game over 1 game; MICH is at 106 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

PACE & SCRIPT

• OU holds the ball 10:40 longer per game

  10:40 TOP

  OU is at 30:32 time of possession per game over 1 game; MICH is at 19:52 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• OU is scoring +38 points per game

  38 PPG

  OU is at 51 points per game over 1 game; MICH is at 13 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• OU @ MICH carries a 43.5 market total

  43.5

  OU @ MICH’s current FanDuel total is 43.5, 11 points below the 54.5 median across 43 games with posted totals on this slate, pointing to restrained scoring. That expectation would crack if scoring reaches closer to the slate median.

• OU's defense gives up 12 fewer points per game

  12 PPG

  OU is at 0 points allowed per game over 1 game; MICH is at 12 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

TURNOVERS

• OU commits 2 fewer turnovers per game

  2 TO

  OU is at 1 turnovers committed per game over 1 game; MICH is at 3 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

COACHING

• OU gives away 50 fewer penalty yards per game

  50 YDS

  OU is at 30 penalty yards per game over 1 game; MICH is at 80 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

MISMATCH

• OU's ball security against MICH's giveaways — 3 turnovers a game to OU's 1

  1 VS 3

  The widest gap on this matchup's tape: turnovers / g — OU 1, MICH 3, over 1 and 1 game samples.

COVERAGE

• OU allows a third-down conversion rate 29.1 percentage points lower

  29.1 PP

  OU is at 15.4% third downs allowed over 1 game; MICH is at 44.4% over 1 game. Those come from the opposing team boxes in the games each side has already played this 2026 season, through 2026-09-11.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

• OU lead the series with MICH since 2025

  1-0 SERIES

  OU has taken 1 of the last 1. Sep 6, 2025: MICH 13 at OU 24.

REPLACEMENT

• Ace Hamilton (OL) is out for the season for MICH

  OUT FOR SEASON

  Ace Hamilton was reported Sep. 10 as out for the 2026 season with a lower-leg injury suffered during fall camp. The season-long absence affects Michigan’s offensive line against Oklahoma; no replacement was identified.

• Michael Fasusi (OL) is doubtful for OU

  DOUBTFUL

  Fasusi aggravated a preseason shoulder injury against UTEP, was limited to rehabilitation work Monday, and could be rested against Michigan. Per John Hoover, Oklahoma Sooners On SI, Sep 8.

SITUATIONAL

• OU's third-down conversion rate is 24.5 percentage points higher

  24.5 PP

  OU is at 54.5% third-down conversion rate over 1 game; MICH is at 30% over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• OU moves the chains 6 more times per game

  6 FD

  OU is at 18 first downs per game over 1 game; MICH is at 12 over 1 game. Those are current-2026 team-game results through 2026-09-11.

• No. 11 Oklahoma at Michigan

  #11 AP

  Oklahoma is No. 11 in the AP poll at 1-0 with 1,039 points, down one spot. Michigan is unranked, leaving Oklahoma as the only side bringing a poll position into the road matchup.

AFTER GARY

• OU -4.5 → -4.5

  GARY +0.22PP

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