NCAAB · Wed, Dec 17 · 8:00 PM

South Florida Bulls at Alabama Crimson Tide

GARY'S PICK

NCAABvs South Florida Bulls· -120

TALE OF THE TAPE Alabama Crimson Tide South Florida Bulls Points/Game 93.1 ← 88.6 Off Rating 123.2 ← 117.7 Effective FG% 47.7% ← 43.6% Turnovers/Game 10.4 ← 11.8 Off Reb/Game 11.5 → 15.5 FT Rate 0.340 → 0.447 Key Injuries None None Gary's Take Alabama comes in with a true top-tier offense: they play fast, score in the 90s on average, and their shooting efficiency and offensive rating are both clearly superior. At home recently they’ve hung big numbers on everyone, with multiple games clearing 90 and even 100, and they do it while keeping turnovers low so almost every trip is a clean look. South Florida isn’t a pushover offensively – they can run, get to the line a ton, and they pound the offensive glass for second chances. That profile keeps them competitive, but it also feeds into exactly the kind of up-tempo game Alabama thrives in. Over 40 minutes, Alabama’s combination of pace, shot-making, and ball security should wear down a Bulls team that’s already allowed 83+ three times in its last five. In a high-possession game in Tuscaloosa, Alabama’s offensive gap and home edge project to a comfortable margin, so I’m laying the points with Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 -120.

The pick & result

Published pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 -120
Published odds: -120
Result: Lost
Final score: 93-104

Odds are the American price printed with this pick, not a current offer. Wins, losses and pushes remain on the public record; a missing grade is not a win.

The read

TALE OF THE TAPE

Alabama Crimson Tide South Florida Bulls Points/Game 93.1 ← 88.6 Off Rating 123.2 ← 117.7 Effective FG% 47.7% ← 43.6% Turnovers/Game 10.4 ← 11.8 Off Reb/Game 11.5 → 15.5 FT Rate 0.340 → 0.447 Key Injuries None None

Gary's Take Alabama comes in with a true top-tier offense: they play fast, score in the 90s on average, and their shooting efficiency and offensive rating are both clearly superior. At home recently they’ve hung big numbers on everyone, with multiple games clearing 90 and even 100, and they do it while keeping turnovers low so almost every trip is a clean look.

South Florida isn’t a pushover offensively – they can run, get to the line a ton, and they pound the offensive glass for second chances. That profile keeps them competitive, but it also feeds into exactly the kind of up-tempo game Alabama thrives in. Over 40 minutes, Alabama’s combination of pace, shot-making, and ball security should wear down a Bulls team that’s already allowed 83+ three times in its last five.

In a high-possession game in Tuscaloosa, Alabama’s offensive gap and home edge project to a comfortable margin, so I’m laying the points with Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 -120.

About this analysis

Who made it: Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data: Daily picks first stored December 17, 2025 at 9:40 AM ET.
Odds record: The pick receipt shows the price printed in the published ticket. The matchup market and line ladder provide separate market context. Source names were not retained with this pick.
Accountability: Read the editorial standards, source policy, and corrections process.

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