NBA · Wed, May 6 · 7:00 PM

Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks

O/U 213.5 · SPREAD New York Knicks -10.5 · Madison Square Garden

Gary's pick

New York Knicks -10.5-110

CONF 85%

Result

LLostFinal 102-108

The read

The bright lights of Madison Square Garden are shining on a New York squad that looks increasingly like a runaway freight train, while a shorthanded Philadelphia team attempts to find its footing after a devastating series opener. The Knicks enter Game 2 riding an unprecedented wave of momentum, having become the first team in NBA history to win three consecutive playoff games by at least 25 points.

The statistical gulf between these two teams over the last week is staggering. New York is operating at a historic efficiency level, posting a +27.8 net rating in their last five games compared to Philadelphia’s -6.2. The Knicks' offensive explosion is backed by a 61.9% effective field goal percentage over that span, while their defense has clamped down to hold opponents to just 98.2 points per game. The most critical factor tonight is the fresh absence of Joel Embiid, who was ruled out just hours before tip-off. Without their centerpiece, the 76ers lose a player who accounts for 33.6% of their usage and 34% of their scoring. In the two most recent matchups where Embiid was either absent or severely limited, the Knicks won by 49 and 39 points respectively.

While 10.5 is a massive number for a playoff spread, the Knicks’ depth and consistency make it feel light. Philadelphia is clearly suffering from the physical toll of a seven-game first-round series, appearing "stuck in mud" in Game 1 while being outscored 58-32 in the paint and 16-3 on the fast break. Tyrese Maxey is currently in a significant slump, and the 76ers' bench contributes nearly 10 fewer points per game than New York’s unit, which now features a fully available Jeremy Sochan. When you look at a Knicks team that is 30-10 at home and a Philadelphia squad that has lost its last two games against New York by a combined 88 points, the choice is clear. The Knicks have the efficiency, the health, and the home-court energy to continue this string of double-digit dominance.

Injuries noted

Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid (Out)

New York Knicks: Mitchell Robinson (Questionable)

About this analysis

Who made it
Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Board stored May 6, 2026 at 1:13 PM ET.
Odds record
The displayed line is the value retained with the call. Stored sportsbook sources: fanduel, fanatics, draftkings, betmgm, caesars, betway, rebet, betrivers, ballybet, betparx.
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