Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks
O/U 213.5 · SPREAD New York Knicks -10.5 · Madison Square Garden
New York Knicks -10.5-110
CONF 85%
LLostFinal 102-108
The read
The bright lights of Madison Square Garden are shining on a New York squad that looks increasingly like a runaway freight train, while a shorthanded Philadelphia team attempts to find its footing after a devastating series opener. The Knicks enter Game 2 riding an unprecedented wave of momentum, having become the first team in NBA history to win three consecutive playoff games by at least 25 points.
The statistical gulf between these two teams over the last week is staggering. New York is operating at a historic efficiency level, posting a +27.8 net rating in their last five games compared to Philadelphia’s -6.2. The Knicks' offensive explosion is backed by a 61.9% effective field goal percentage over that span, while their defense has clamped down to hold opponents to just 98.2 points per game. The most critical factor tonight is the fresh absence of Joel Embiid, who was ruled out just hours before tip-off. Without their centerpiece, the 76ers lose a player who accounts for 33.6% of their usage and 34% of their scoring. In the two most recent matchups where Embiid was either absent or severely limited, the Knicks won by 49 and 39 points respectively.
While 10.5 is a massive number for a playoff spread, the Knicks’ depth and consistency make it feel light. Philadelphia is clearly suffering from the physical toll of a seven-game first-round series, appearing "stuck in mud" in Game 1 while being outscored 58-32 in the paint and 16-3 on the fast break. Tyrese Maxey is currently in a significant slump, and the 76ers' bench contributes nearly 10 fewer points per game than New York’s unit, which now features a fully available Jeremy Sochan. When you look at a Knicks team that is 30-10 at home and a Philadelphia squad that has lost its last two games against New York by a combined 88 points, the choice is clear. The Knicks have the efficiency, the health, and the home-court energy to continue this string of double-digit dominance.
Injuries noted
Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid (Out)
New York Knicks: Mitchell Robinson (Questionable)
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- Board stored May 6, 2026 at 1:13 PM ET.
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Props on this game
2Karl-Anthony TownsOVER 4.5 Assists Assists+120
Not yet graded
Karl-Anthony Towns has undergone a fundamental role shift under Mike Brown, evolving from a secondary scorer into a high-post facilitator. Over his last five games, Towns is averaging 7.2 assists per game, including two performances with 10 assists.
This is a massive leap from his season average of 3.0 APG, yet the betting line remains anchored near his season baseline at 4.5. Tonight’s matchup against Philadelphia is particularly favorable for Towns' playmaking; with Andre Drummond starting for the 76ers, Philadelphia will likely employ a traditional drop coverage.
Towns' ability to operate at the top of the key will draw Drummond out of the paint, opening backdoor cutting lanes for Mikal Bridges and OG Anunoby. Towns recorded 6 assists in just 26 minutes during the Game 1 blowout, demonstrating that even reduced minutes in a potential repeat rout shouldn't prevent him from clearing this line.
Tyrese MaxeyUNDER 27.5 Points Points-105
Not yet graded
Tyrese Maxey faces the most difficult scoring environment of his season tonight. Without Joel Embiid to command double-teams and compromise the interior, the Knicks are free to deploy a 'bracket' defense on Maxey, utilizing the length of OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges to deny him comfortable looks.
In Game 1, this scheme held Maxey to just 13 points, as he struggled to find space against New York's elite perimeter length. The Knicks have become a defensive juggernaut in the postseason, posting a 99.2 Defensive Rating over their last five games and winning three straight by 25+ points.
While Maxey's usage rate is high (28.6%), his efficiency is heavily dependent on the gravity provided by Embiid. Against a Knicks team that allows just 48.9% eFG in their last five games, Maxey is unlikely to reach his season average of 28.3 PPG, making the 27.5 line a strong Under candidate.
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