NBA · Tue, Jan 13 · 11:10 PM

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors

Chase Center

Gary's pick

Golden State Warriors -10.5-115

Result

WCashedFinal 97-119

The read

TALE OF THE TAPE (VERIFIED FROM BDL)

Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Record 21-19 ← 19-21 Off Rating N/A ←→ N/A Def Rating N/A ←→ N/A Net Rating N/A ←→ N/A Key Injuries [object Object] (O) [object Object] (O), [object Object] (O)

Gary's Take The betting market has moved this line into double digits for a reason, but I don't think it has fully accounted for the structural collapse of the Portland offense following the fresh loss of Deni Avdija. Avdija was the engine of this team at 26.1 PPG, and his absence on top of the already missing Jerami Grant leaves Shaedon Sharpe as the only high-volume threat on the floor. Asking Sharpe to carry that load against a Golden State defense featuring Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler is a recipe for efficiency regression.

The real edge here is the bench. Golden State's second unit is a juggernaut, averaging 52 points per game. Portland's depth has been completely hollowed out by injuries, and they are now forced to start players who should be coming off the pine. This creates a massive 14-point discrepancy in bench scoring that typically manifests in the second and fourth quarters. While Portland plays at a breakneck pace that can sometimes invite variance, the Warriors are equally comfortable in a track meet and possess the veteran discipline to maintain their lead.

I expect Donovan Clingan to grab his fair share of rebounds against the Warriors' small-ball lineups, but that won't be enough to offset the sheer lack of scoring options for the Blazers. Once the Warriors' motion offense gets into a rhythm at home, where they are 13-6, they should systematically pull away from a Portland team that simply doesn't have the firepower to keep pace. Lay the points with the Golden State Warriors -10.5 -115.

Injuries noted

Portland Trail Blazers: Jerami Grant (Doubtful) — Although Grant is likely to miss his 14th consecutive contest due to left Achilles tendonitis, it's a positive sign that he isn't being ruled out a day in advance of tipoff. If the veteran forward is ultimately ruled out, Sidy Cissoko would likely continue to see an increased role.; Matisse Thybulle (Out) — The Trail Blazers aren't yet able to bring a return timetable into focus for Thybulle. That said, it sounds like the forward could be multiple weeks away from being cleared to return to game action.; Scoot Henderson (Out) — Henderson has begun non-contact, on-court basketball activities and has advanced to the next stage of his rehab. The Trail Blazers are bringing him along slowly, and there's no guarantee he returns right after the re-evaluation.; Blake Wesley (Out) — A fifth metatarsal fracture is a notoriously tough injury to recover from, and there's a high chance of experiencing a setback if brought back too soon, so it wouldn't be shocking to see his absence extend beyond this 12-week window. At minimum, he'll be out through the end of December, so he can safely remain on the waiver wire in fantasy leagues.; Kris Murray (Out) — Murray will miss his third consecutive game Sunday with a lumbar strain, and with no firm return date, it seems unlikely he'll play at all during Week 13. Until we receive a positive update on Murray's rehab process, he should be considered week-to-week.; Deni Avdija (Out) — Avdija departed Sunday's matchup against the Knicks early after picking up a back injury, and it'll sideline him at least one additional game. Jrue Holiday will presumably be on a minutes restriction again Tuesday, so it'll likely be up to Caleb Love to step up in the backcourt.

Golden State Warriors: Seth Curry (Out) — Curry hasn't played since Dec. 4 but is working with the team's training staff daily during his recovery process. The veteran sharpshooter will aim to return by late January, though his absence shouldn't cause any significant waves in the Golden State rotation.

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Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Board stored January 13, 2026 at 5:24 PM ET.
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The displayed line is the value retained with the call. Source names were not retained with this call.
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