Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves ML+105
CONF 67%
WCashedFinal 127-120
The read
TALE OF THE TAPE
Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Record 13-12 15-9 ← Off Rating 113.0 118.9 ← Def Rating 110.1 ← 112.1 Net Rating +3.0 +6.7 ← Key Injuries Green, Horford (OUT) Conley (OUT), Edwards (Q)
Gary's Take This is exactly the spot where value lives. The numbers don't lie – Minnesota holds the clear edge in overall efficiency, shooting, and net rating, with advantages in three-point shooting, effective field goal percentage, and getting to the line and the offensive glass. Golden State has been strong at home, but taking Draymond Green and Al Horford out of the frontcourt guts a lot of their defense, toughness, and rebounding, which is exactly where this Timberwolves team can lean.
With Mike Conley sidelined, more creation falls to Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo, and Minnesota’s shooting profile gives those guys room to operate while still maintaining their efficiency edge. Even with Anthony Edwards sitting on the injury report, the structural gap in offense, spacing, and depth favors Minnesota over 48 minutes more than Golden State’s slight defensive edge and home court can offset. I’m grabbing Minnesota Timberwolves ML +105; only way this misses is if Edwards doesn’t go and the Warriors’ shooters stay red hot wire to wire. Lock this in.
Injuries noted
Minnesota Timberwolves: Mike Conley (Out) — Dec 11: Conley won't play Friday against the Warriors due to right Achilles tendinopathy.; Anthony Edwards (Day-To-Day) — Dec 11: Edwards is questionable for Friday's game against the Warriors due to right foot soreness.
Golden State Warriors: Trayce Jackson-Davis (Day-To-Day) — Dec 11: Jackson-Davis (knee) is probable for Friday's game against the Timberwolves.; Draymond Green (Out) — Dec 11: Green (personal) is out for Friday's game against Minnesota.; Al Horford (Out) — Dec 10: Horford (back has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Timberwolves, Danny Emerman of SFStandard.com reports.; day Edwards (Questionable); while Al Horford (Out); the Timberwolves (Out)
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- Board stored December 12, 2025 at 10:11 AM ET.
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