Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers -3.5-114
CONF 67%
WCashedFinal 105-116
The read
TALE OF THE TAPE
Indiana Pacers Sacramento Kings Record 5-18 → 6-17 Off Rating 110.1 ← 109.1 Def Rating 115.3 ← 118.0 Net Rating -5.2 ← -9.0 Key Injuries Jackson, Jones, Sheppard, Nesmith, Toppin, Haliburton Schroder, Sabonis
Gary's Take This one's interesting – both teams want to play fast, but they win possessions in very different ways. Indiana has the edge in offensive rating, takes care of the ball better, and crashes the offensive glass, while Sacramento leans more on pure shot-making and three-point efficiency.
With Tyrese Haliburton and Domantas Sabonis both sidelined, this turns into a depth and structure game. Pascal Siakam carries a big offensive load for Indiana, and the Pacers’ combination of turnover advantage, extra chances on the boards, and home court should offset Sacramento’s shooting edge. If DeMar DeRozan and Malik Monk don’t get consistent clean looks in transition, Sacramento’s weaker defense is going to show over 48 minutes.
Here’s how I see it playing out: Indiana’s possession edge grinds Sacramento down, they live at the line more, and the Kings’ late-game clutch magic isn’t enough on the road. Lock this in: Indiana Pacers -3.5 -114.
Injuries noted
Sacramento Kings: Dennis Schroder (Out) — Dec 7: Schroder (hip) is questionable for Monday's game against the Pacers.; Keegan Murray (Day-To-Day) — Dec 7: Murray is questionable for Monday's game in Indiana due to right trapezius soreness.; Domantas Sabonis (Out) — Nov 20: Sabonis has been diagnosed with a partially torn meniscus in his left knee and is expected to be evaluated in 3-to-4 weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Indiana Pacers: Quenton Jackson (Out) — Dec 7: Jackson (hamstring) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Kings.; Kam Jones (Out) — Dec 7: Head coach Rick Carlisle said Jones (back) participated in non-contact work Sunday and is expected to return "sooner than later," Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.; Ben Sheppard (Out) — Dec 5: Head coach Rick Carlisle said Friday that they hope Sheppard's (calf) injury isn't long-term, but he remains without a timetable for return, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.; Aaron Nesmith (Out) — Nov 15: Nesmith (knee) is expected to be out for around four weeks, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.; Obi Toppin (Out) — Oct 31: Toppin will undergo surgery to place a screw in his right foot Monday, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.; Tyrese Haliburton (Out) — Jul 7: Haliburton will miss the entire 2025-26 season while recovering from surgery on his right Achilles tendon, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
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