Dodgers at Reds

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The research

The dated measurements the app shows under this card — observations with their sample and source, not predictions.

All research from this day

• GARY'S PICK

  ELLY DE LA CRUZHITS OVER 0.5

  MLBCincinnati Reds· -138

  ✓ CASHED · ACTUAL 1

  GARY'S TAKE

  De La Cruz is in the best form of his season right now. He's hitting .436 with a 1.411 OPS in September, and he's collected a hit in 13 of his last 15 games. Tonight's matchup only sharpens that. He's a switch-hitter batting from the side that owns a .352 average and 1.080 OPS against left-handed pitching this year, and Blake Snell is exactly that tonight. His 0-for-4 career mark against Snell isn't enough at-bats to mean anything next to a season-long platoon split built on 145 at-bats. He's already 3-for-7 with a homer in this series, and he's reached base with a hit in every game of it, including a double off Yamamoto and a single off Scott just last night. Even if Snell handles him early, De La Cruz still sees the Dodgers bullpen behind him. One hit is the bar here, and almost nothing about his last month suggests he fails to clear it.

  ×

  Elly De La Cruz
  Hits over 0.5

  -138 · CASHED · ACTUAL 1

  Cincinnati Reds

  Read Gary’s Take

  De La Cruz is in the best form of his season right now. He's hitting .436 with a 1.411 OPS in September, and he's collected a hit in 13 of his last 15 games. Tonight's matchup only sharpens that. He's a switch-hitter batting from the side that owns a .352 average and 1.080 OPS against left-handed pitching this year, and Blake Snell is exactly that tonight. His 0-for-4 career mark against Snell isn't enough at-bats to mean anything next to a season-long platoon split built on 145 at-bats.

  He's already 3-for-7 with a homer in this series, and he's reached base with a hit in every game of it, including a double off Yamamoto and a single off Scott just last night. Even if Snell handles him early, De La Cruz still sees the Dodgers bullpen behind him. One hit is the bar here, and almost nothing about his last month suggests he fails to clear it.

• GARY'S PICK

  JUAN BRITOH+R+RBI OVER 0.5

  MLBCincinnati Reds· -154

  ✓ CASHED · ACTUAL 4

  GARY'S TAKE

  Brito has turned into one of the hotter bats in this Cincinnati lineup since the calendar flipped to September, hitting .368 with a 1.146 OPS over his last 19 at-bats, including a 6-for-12 stretch over the past week. The platoon matchup tonight plays right into that: he's a switch-hitter producing a .423 average and 1.102 OPS against left-handed pitching this season, and he draws another left-hander in Blake Snell. This prop only needs one hit, run or RBI to cash, and Brito has cleared that in each of his last three games, including a double off Hall in his most recent look at a lefty reliever. Batting sixth gives him close to four plate appearances tonight against a pitching staff he's already touched for two hits in six at-bats this series. The season sample on him is still short at 80 at-bats, but every recent trend points the same direction, and the bar here is a low one.

  ×

  Juan Brito
  H+R+RBI over 0.5

  -154 · CASHED · ACTUAL 4

  Cincinnati Reds

  Read Gary’s Take

  Brito has turned into one of the hotter bats in this Cincinnati lineup since the calendar flipped to September, hitting .368 with a 1.146 OPS over his last 19 at-bats, including a 6-for-12 stretch over the past week. The platoon matchup tonight plays right into that: he's a switch-hitter producing a .423 average and 1.102 OPS against left-handed pitching this season, and he draws another left-hander in Blake Snell.

  This prop only needs one hit, run or RBI to cash, and Brito has cleared that in each of his last three games, including a double off Hall in his most recent look at a lefty reliever. Batting sixth gives him close to four plate appearances tonight against a pitching staff he's already touched for two hits in six at-bats this series. The season sample on him is still short at 80 at-bats, but every recent trend points the same direction, and the bar here is a low one.

• THE LONG SHOT

  MOOKIE BETTSHR OVER 0.5

  MLBLos Angeles Dodgers· +440

  LOST · ACTUAL 0

  GARY'S TAKE

  Betts has found his power stroke at the right time. He's hit four home runs in September alone, three of them in just the last seven days, a stretch that has him slugging 1.128. That kind of surge lines up well with a ballpark that plays small with the wind blowing in from the outfield, exactly the conditions that turn deep fly balls into home runs. Andrew Abbott is what makes this worth the plus money. He's allowed a home run in four of his last five starts, including three in one outing against the Cubs and two more his last time out, and he takes the ball tonight on a career-high workload for a rotation that has leaned on him hard all year. Betts has gone cold in this series at 0-for-8, and his numbers against lefties trail his numbers against righties this season, so I'm not calling this a lock. But the recent power spike combined with a homer-prone starter in a hitter-friendly park is enough to take a swing at plus-440.

  ×

  Mookie Betts
  HR over 0.5

  +440 · LOST · ACTUAL 0

  Los Angeles Dodgers

  Read Gary’s Take

  Betts has found his power stroke at the right time. He's hit four home runs in September alone, three of them in just the last seven days, a stretch that has him slugging 1.128. That kind of surge lines up well with a ballpark that plays small with the wind blowing in from the outfield, exactly the conditions that turn deep fly balls into home runs.

  Andrew Abbott is what makes this worth the plus money. He's allowed a home run in four of his last five starts, including three in one outing against the Cubs and two more his last time out, and he takes the ball tonight on a career-high workload for a rotation that has leaned on him hard all year. Betts has gone cold in this series at 0-for-8, and his numbers against lefties trail his numbers against righties this season, so I'm not calling this a lock. But the recent power spike combined with a homer-prone starter in a hitter-friendly park is enough to take a swing at plus-440.

Every prop from this day is on the archive page.