Yankees at White Sox

Getaway day on the South Side, and there's still a buzz in the building from last night — twelve innings, a botched pickoff throw, and another walk-off for a White Sox club that keeps refusing to go quietly. The Yankees get one more crack at Chicago before heading crosstown to Wrigley, but the finale sets up as the hardest game of this series for New York to take.

Sean Burke is the best pitcher in this ballgame and right now it isn't particularly close. He's gone at least six innings in each of his last three starts with three earned runs total across them, he's held left-handed hitters to a .218 average all season, and the Yankees are running out a lineup with six left-handed bats and none of the three names — Judge, Stanton, Bellinger — that make this offense frightening. New York has scraped together about three and a half runs a game for two weeks, Trent Grisham is 1 for his last 20 at the top of the order, and the bottom third has gone quiet. On the other side, Ryan Weathers is a fastball-leaning lefty whose heaters get hit hard, and Will Venable answered by stacking right-handed bats that feast on exactly that look — Vargas and Grichuk both punish lefties, and Murakami has been scalding the baseball for a week with three homers in his last seven games.

The honest wrinkles: it's a day game after a night marathon, which dings a few Chicago bats, and both bullpens are running on fumes — Jordan Hicks has worked back-to-back days and may not be an option at all. But the arithmetic cuts harder against New York. Weathers hasn't finished six innings in any of his last three starts, so the Yankees will need three or four frames from a pen that just burned five arms covering twelve innings, while Burke's length lets Venable skip right past the tired half of his relief corps. A 33-21 home team with the clearly better starter, facing a depleted and cold lineup, shouldn't be priced as a pure coin flip. I'll take the White Sox at -110.