Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5-142
CONF 69%
Game not started
The read
I’m laying the run and a half because Skenes is built to smother this matchup—174 strikeouts in 154 innings tells you hitters don’t square him up when he’s dictating counts. Colorado’s middle order swings through too many pitches, with Jordan Beck at 131 strikeouts and Hunter Goodman at 121, so once Skenes gets ahead the rallies die on the vine. He keeps traffic scarce with a 0.96 WHIP and a .198 opponent average, which means any loud contact is usually stranded while Pittsburgh plays for a crooked inning. Sure, the Pirates lack big thump—Isiah Kiner-Falefa has just 1 homer—but Andrew McCutchen’s 53 walks and Bryan Reynolds’ 63 RBI show they can manufacture enough support for Skenes to win by two or more.
About this analysis
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- Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
- Published data
- Board stored August 24, 2025 at 11:02 AM ET.
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- The displayed line is the value retained with the call. Source names were not retained with this call.
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