Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins

I’m laying the run and a half with Toronto because Ryan Gusto’s 1.40 WHIP invites traffic, and this Jays lineup turns that contact into runs. Bo Bichette at .298 keeps the line moving, and Addison Barger’s 18 homers gives them the knockout swing. The gap in team quality shows at 74-54 versus 60-67, so once Toronto grabs a lead I expect them to separate rather than nurse a one‑run edge. The risk is the Jays can whiff in spots—Barger has 98 strikeouts—but Miami’s bats are lighter with Derek Hill striking out 42 times in 109, so a modest early cushion is likely to hold if you’ve got the guts to lay it.