MLB · Fri, Aug 22 · 6:41 PM EST

Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates

Gary's pick

Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5+105

CONF 69%

Result

Game not started

The read

I’m laying the hook with Pittsburgh because Braxton Ashcraft’s 3.02 ERA tells you he keeps games clean, and his 1.27 WHIP limits traffic. That plays into Colorado’s swing-happy middle, where Hunter Goodman has 117 strikeouts in 423 at-bats, so Ashcraft can get ahead and control counts. On the other side, Antonio Senzatela’s 7.00 ERA and 1.87 WHIP scream traffic and crooked numbers. Sure, Pittsburgh’s bats run hot and cold, but Senzatela’s .354 opponent average turns even light sticks into threats, and Bryan Reynolds’ 116 hits give them the finishing punch—have the guts to ride with me.

About this analysis

Who made it
Gary AI, an AI sports-analysis product operated by Gary A.I. LLC. No human reviewer is claimed unless one is explicitly named.
Published data
Board stored August 22, 2025 at 4:32 PM ET.
Odds record
The displayed line is the value retained with the call. Source names were not retained with this call.
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