Houston Astros at Pittsburgh Pirates

You want to know where the real edge is? Take a look at Paul Skenes—his ERA (2.15) and WHIP (0.92) scream dominance, and that .187 BAA tells me even Houston’s lineup is in for a long night. McCullers Jr. is tossing batting practice by comparison with a bloated 5.89 ERA and 1.69 WHIP, so even this light-hitting Pirates squad ought to scratch out enough against him. Pittsburgh’s got the only ace on the mound and the plus odds give you the gutsy payout, so if you trust pitching wins games, this is the spot to hammer.